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Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.2180 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1920. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2050. The price is trading below the $0.240 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2025 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1880. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.2050 resistance to enter a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above $0.2120 and $0.2150. A high was formed at $0.2182 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1788 swing low to the $0.2182 high. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.2050 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2025 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. If there is another increase, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.2025 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.2085 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.2120 level. A close above the $0.2120 resistance might send the price toward $0.2180. Any more gains might send the price toward $0.2250. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.2320. More Losses In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.2085 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1930 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1788 swing low to the $0.2182 high. The next major support is near the $0.1880 level. The main support sits at $0.1800. If there is a downside break below the $0.1800 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.1665 level or even $0.1650 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1930 and $0.1880. Major Resistance Levels – $0.2085 and $0.2180.

Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer coins are moving to sell and that distribution is easing. Price-wise, ADA continues to defend the $0.70–$0.80 band many traders view as pivotal for basing. A sustained hold keeps the recovery structure intact and positions the token for attempts at prior resistance. Staking Access Expands, Berlin Summit In Focus Adding fuel to the thesis, eToro launched ADA staking in the U.S., potentially opening rewards access to over 40 million users and reducing liquid supply as holders lock tokens. Beyond flows, the community is eyeing the Berlin Summit, where ecosystem teams are expected to showcase progress across Midnight, Leios, and dApp growth, events that historically boost sentiment and developer visibility. Strategists argue these catalysts, paired with bargain hunting from whales, can help stabilize spot liquidity after the broader market shake-out. Cardano Price Outlook: Levels That Matter Now Technically, Cardano rebounded from the $0.61 swing low and is attempting to reclaim short-term signals. Bulls first want a clean move through $0.73 (recent pivot / 0.236 Fib area). Above that, chart watchers flag $0.86 as a major resistance repeatedly capping rallies; a breakout there exposes $1.01 and $1.12 as subsequent targets, aligning with an ascending-channel upper bound on higher time frames. On the downside, $0.61 remains the must-hold support; a daily close below would risk a deeper revisit toward $0.50–$0.60 and delay any trend resumption. A decisive push through $0.73, and especially $0.86, would strengthen the case for a broader recovery leg, while failure to hold $0.61 puts ADA back in consolidation. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Key takeaways Euro weakness stabilizes: EUR/USD’s recent 3.25% drop from its September high has stalled at the key 1.1530 medium-term support level.French political uncertainty eases: The reappointment of Prime Minister Lecornu and reduced sovereign risk premiums have helped calm Eurozone markets.Technical setup remains bullish: Price action forms an “Ascending Triangle” pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the medium-term uptrend.Short-term breakout confirmed: A minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout above 1.1625 suggests upward momentum toward 1.1690 and 1.1760. The euro has suddenly lost its sparkle ex-post September’s FOMC, after it hit a four-year high of 1.1919 against the US dollar on 17 September 2025. The EUR/USD dropped by 3.25% (high to low) to print an intraday low of 1.1542 on 9 October 2025. This article will look at several key technical/momentum factors to argue that the recent weakness of the EUR/USD is likely a bullish consolidation phase within a medium-term uptrend phase that is still intact since 13 January 2025. Before we jump straight into the technical analysis portion, let’s briefly highlight the main macro drivers that reinforced the recent softness seen in the EUR/USD. Recent rise in Eurozone sovereign risk premium capped the euro's strength zoom_out_map Fig. 1: 10-year yield spread of France sovereign bond/Germany Bund with EUR/USD as of 16 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Political uncertainties in France, the second-largest economy in the Eurozone, triggered higher sovereign risk premia in the Eurozone. The newly appointed French Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, resigned within hours of forming a cabinet, making it the shortest-lived government in modern French history. Also, the French government faces ongoing no-confidence threats and an inability to pass a credible budget. An increase in sovereign risk premia in the Eurozone can be gauged by using the yield spread of the 10-year French sovereign bond over the 10-year Germany Bund. The yield spread has spiked from 0.80% to 0.86% during the period of 16 September 2025 to 7 October 2025, in turn, triggering a slide in the EUR/USD over the same period (see Fig. 1). Interestingly, the 10-year yield spread between the French sovereign bond and the Germany Bund has started to compress to 0.77% as of 16 October 2025 at this time of writing, which suggests that sovereign risk premia in the Eurozone have been reduced as compared to two weeks ago, reinforced by the reappointment of the French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu proposed suspending a law to raise the retirement age in a bid to bring political stability to the country. Let’s now focus on the medium-term technical outlook of the EUR/USD Evolving within an “Ascending Triangle” range configuration since 1 July 2025 zoom_out_map Fig. 2: EUR/USD medium-term & major trends as of 16 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Since hitting its 1 July 2025 high of 1.1830, the price actions of the EUR/USD have traced out “similar swing highs” and “higher swing lows” (depicted by the four grey shaded boxes on the chart). These observations represent a potential bullish consolidation configuration called “Ascending Triangle” that represents a pause in EUR/USD’s impulsive up move sequences within its ongoing medium-term uptrend phase in place since 13 January 2025 low of 1.0178 (see Fig. 2). Also, the daily RSI momentum indicator of the EUR/USD has managed to stage a rebound after a retest of its key ascending support on 9 October 2025, which supports the ongoing medium-term uptrend phase of the EUR/USD. We will now examine its latest short-term (1 to 3 days) trajectory and key technical levels to watch on the EUR/USD. Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) – Minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout zoom_out_map Fig. 3: EUR/USD minor trend as of 16 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Bullish bias with key short-term pivotal support at 1.1590 for the EUR/USD. A clearance above 1.1690 sees the next intermediate resistance coming in at 1.1760 (see Fig. 3). Key elements The price actions of the EUR/USD have staged a bullish breakout on Wednesday, 15 October 2025, from the neckline resistance of a minor “Double Bottom” (depicted in the two green boxes shown in Fig. 3), now turns into an intermediate pull-back support at 1.1625The 1.1690 intermediate resistance confluences closely with the intersection point of the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.The hourly RSI momentum indicator of the EUR/USD has reached its overbought region, but no bearish divergence condition has been flashed out. These observations suggest a minor pull-back in the EUR/USD rather than a bearish reversal scenario.Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A break below the 1.1590 key short-term support invalidates the minor bullish breakout scenario on the EUR/USD for a retest on the 1.1530 key medium-term pivotal support. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

XRP price started a consolidation phase below $2.60. The price is now showing positive signs but faces a major resistance near $2.50 and $2.60. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.420 zone. The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.50 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2.60 resistance. XRP Price Faces Key Resistance XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.30, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.350 and $2.40 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $3.05 swing high to the $1.40 swing low. However, the bears are still active near the $2.550 and $2.60 levels. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.50 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.50 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $2.60 level, above which the price could rise and test the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $3.05 swing high to the $1.40 swing low at $2.660. A clear move above the $2.660 resistance might send the price toward the $2.750 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.780 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.820. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $2.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.40 level. The next major support is near the $2.30 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.30 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.2420. The next major support sits near the $2.220 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.120. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.40 and $2.30. Major Resistance Levels – $2.50 and $2.60.

Ethereum’s high-timeframe structure exposes the fallout from the leverage massacre. Open Interest has cratered, reflecting widespread liquidation across futures markets. With leverage drained and traders shaken out, the path forward depends on whether spot demand can fill the vacuum left by the OI collapse. The recent market volatility has presented a critical opportunity to assess the underlying health of various crypto assets. In an X post, Daan Crypto Trades, a full-time crypto trader and investor, has offered a compelling analysis of Ethereum’s high-timeframe chart, specifically focusing on Open Interest (OI), which shows exactly how much speculative excess has been washed out. Particularly, ETH got hit hard in the process. Why This Flush Could Be The Foundation For Ethereum’s Next Move According to Daan, what’s encouraging is that ETH’s Open Interest is now sitting at levels comparable to when ETH traded at $3,000. Meanwhile, the price now hovers around $4,000. For Daan, a simple rule of thumb to determine whether a healthy reset has occurred is if open interest is lower than it was previously at a specific price. Typically, as price increases, Open Interest tends to rise as more capital flows into derivative markets, and vice versa. This relative comparison of OI and price is crucial because an increase or decrease in price will generally make OI trend in both directions. There are also coins used as margin, which can inflate OI figures in a rising market. Thus, the relative levels to watch out for are between OI and price, which carry more weight than the absolute numbers. In the meantime, leverage is making a comeback in the Ethereum market. As the Master of Crypto, an observer of market dynamics, has highlighted, the Open Interest on ETH has surged 8.2% within 24 hours, fueling the ongoing price move. The surge in Open Interest suggests that traders are once again opening aggressive long positions after the recent flush, a familiar pattern that often carries more risk than reward. Master of Crypto advises caution, framing this leverage-driven rally within a historical context, that approximately 75% of rallies aggressively fueled by such a rapid build-up in leverage tend to reverse, while only 25% sustain their momentum upward. The Calm Phase Before The Next Expansion The Ethereum macro trend remains upward despite the short-term move. Analyst EtherNasyonaL has emphasized that after breaking free from its long-standing downtrend, ETH is currently only retesting the demand zone and trendline, a healthy bullish move retest that is typical of a strong market structure. However, the analyst pointed out that the fluctuation on the short timeframes doesn’t define the trend, but it’s the longer timeframes that hold the true directional signal. Currently, “ETH macrotrend is still upward, and the bigger picture hasn’t yet spoken.”

Ethereum price is still struggling to settle above $4,220. ETH is now consolidating in a range and might decline sharply if there is a move below $3,880. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,075. Ethereum Price Dips To Support Ethereum price struggled to settle above $4,200 and corrected most gains, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,050 and $4,000 levels. It even tested the $3,940 zone. A low was formed at $3,932 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,216 swing high to the $3,932 low. Besides, there is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,075 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,150 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,216 swing high to the $3,932 low. The first major resistance is near the $4,200 level. A clear move above the $4,200 resistance might send the price toward the $4,250 resistance. An upside break above the $4,250 region might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,350 resistance zone or even $4,420 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,150 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,950 level and the triangle’s trend line. The first major support sits near the $3,880 zone. A clear move below the $3,880 support might push the price toward the $3,820 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,750 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,640. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,950 Major Resistance Level – $4,150

Ethereum (ETH) is back in the spotlight after Fidelity clients purchased roughly 36,460 ETH ($154.6 million), signaling renewed institutional demand even as spot ETH ETFs logged heavy redemptions. Before stabilizing around $4,100, the second-largest cryptocurrency briefly dipped below $4,000 this week, but several analysts argue the pullback places ETH in a key “buy zone” ahead of a potential push toward new highs. Fidelity Steps In as ETFs See Redemptions Fidelity’s reported buy spotlights a growing trend as traditional finance is steadily increasing exposure to Ethereum’s smart-contract ecosystem, staking yields, and tokenization upside. The move contrasts with the latest ETF flow picture, where spot ETH products saw about $428 million in outflows in a single day, led by $310 million from BlackRock’s fund. While redemptions weighed on price near term, primary-market creations like Fidelity’s purchase can tighten available supply and stabilize spot liquidity. Outflows and Liquidations Test Nerves Macro jitters and tariff headlines helped trigger a sharp selloff, sending ETH down 6.5% on Oct. 14 and sparking $145 million in liquidations in 24 hours, per derivatives trackers. That forced unwinding pushed price through the $4,000 handle, but technicians note ETH is retesting prior resistance-turned-support and still carving a bullish flag structure on higher time frames. Popular trader Michael van de Poppe argues ETH likely just needs a higher low to reassert momentum, eyeing a recovery toward $5,000 first and then $6,250 if buyers reclaim control. Ethereum Price Outlook: Key Levels to Watch Near term, bulls want to see an Ethereum price balance back above $4,000–$4,211, followed by a decisive break of the $5,000 psychological level to unlock the $6,250 target many chartists flag via tools like Murrey Math and measured-move projections. On the downside, traders are watching $3,626 as interim support; a daily close below $3,425 would dent the bullish structure and argue for deeper consolidation. Despite headline outflows, the Fidelity inflow highlights sticky institutional interest in Ethereum’s role across DeFi, NFTs, and real-world asset tokenization, plus the structural tailwind from staking yields. If ETF redemptions cool and spot demand returns, ETH’s recent dip could prove a buy-the-pullback setup on the path toward new cycle highs. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD on Tradingview

Boa noite, traders. Menos de 24 horas após o Presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, sinalizar o fim iminente do Quantitative Tightening (QT), o mercado recebeu a prova contundente do porquê: o sistema bancário está sob estresse de liquidez. Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School Dados do Federal Reserve (FRED) divulgados hoje mostram um pico alarmante no uso da facilidade de Repo overnight, que atingiu $6,75 bilhões. Este movimento, vindo de níveis próximos a zero, é um sinal de alerta de que a pressão no "encanamento" do sistema financeiro está se intensificando dramaticamente. 1. Desvendando o Sinal de Alerta: O Que é a Facilidade de Repo? É crucial entender o que este indicador significa. Ao contrário do Repo Reverso (RRP), que serve para o Fed drenar o excesso de liquidez, a facilidade de Repo regular é uma injeção de emergência de caixa no sistema bancário. É a "janela de desconto" para onde os bancos correm quando não conseguem ou não querem buscar financiamento de curto prazo no mercado interbancário privado. Minha Análise: Um pico no uso desta ferramenta, que estava praticamente dormente, é um dos sinais mais claros de que um ou mais bancos estão enfrentando uma crise de liquidez aguda e precisam de caixa imediato do banco central para fechar suas operações diárias. 2. Conectando os Pontos: O Fim do QT Não é uma Escolha, é uma Reação A fala de Powell ontem não foi uma previsão; foi uma antecipação. Ele sabia que o sistema estava chegando ao seu limite. O pico no uso do Repo de hoje é a confirmação. A razão pela qual os bancos precisam de caixa pode ser variada, mas, como alguns analistas apontam, provavelmente se deve ao estresse em seus balanços — seja por "ativos tóxicos", perdas não realizadas em suas vastas carteiras de títulos, ou uma simples desconfiança entre as próprias instituições. Minha Análise (Igor Pereira): Isso valida completamente nossa tese: o fim do QT não será um pivô "dovish" voluntário para estimular a economia. Será uma reação forçada para evitar que o sistema financeiro se rompa. Powell está sinalizando o fim do aperto não porque a inflação foi derrotada, mas porque o sistema não aguenta mais. Conclusão e Implicações de Mercado Este evento reforça massivamente a tese de alta para o ouro (XAU/USD) e outros ativos de refúgio. Ele prova que o sistema financeiro é frágil e que o Fed não terá outra escolha a não ser reverter o aperto monetário para garantir a estabilidade. A era da liquidez, que o Fed tentou encerrar, está voltando por necessidade, não por desejo. O alerta de liquidez de hoje é um dos sinais mais importantes que recebemos este mês. Ele nos diz que, por trás da fachada dos mercados, a pressão está se acumulando. Para o ouro, que prospera com a instabilidade do sistema e a inevitabilidade da impressão de dinheiro, este é um dos sinais mais otimistas que poderíamos ver.

Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $113,500 and $114,000. BTC is now consolidating and might start another decline below $110,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $110,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $112,500 resistance level. BTC recovered above the $112,800 and $113,000 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $110,000 low. The bulls even pushed the price above the $113,500 resistance level. However, there are many hurdles on the upside. Bitcoin is now trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $112,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $113,000 level. The next resistance could be $113,700 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $110,000 low. A close above the $113,700 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $114,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $115,250 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $113,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $110,200 level. The first major support is near the $110,000 level. The next support is now near the $109,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $108,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $107,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $110,200, followed by $110,000. Major Resistance Levels – $112,000 and $113,000.

Elon Musk’s one-word reply on X has put Bitcoin back in the headlines, even if the comment was brief. His simple response — “True” — came after a widely shared post linking recent gains in gold, silver and Bitcoin to heavy government spending and currency debasement. Markets and crypto fans noticed fast. Musk’s Brief Reply Signals Interest According to the post by ZeroHedge, which has more than 2 million followers, the rallies were tied to what the author called an AI “arms race” between the US and China and to large-scale fiscal outlays. Musk agreed with the thread. He added a view that echoes a common pro-Bitcoin line: fiat can be printed, while Bitcoin’s tie to energy gives it a different kind of backing. That single-word answer reopened a conversation many thought had cooled. Tesla’s Past Moves And Holdings Based on reports, Tesla bought $1.5 billion of Bitcoin in early 2021 and said it would take the coin as payment for cars. But the deal was short-lived. The company soon stopped accepting Bitcoin because of concerns about mining’s heavy energy use and said it might resume payments only after a major move toward renewable mining practices. By mid-2022, Tesla sold about 75% of its holdings, a move that happened near a market low and drew wide notice. According to Arkham Intelligence, Tesla still holds roughly 11,509 BTC, which is worth about $1.25 billion at current prices. What The Market Might Be Watching Traders read signals. A single public endorsement from a high-profile executive used to move prices more. That was the case in 2021 when Tesla’s investment and payment plan helped lift sentiment. Now, the context is different. Crypto markets are bigger and more diverse, and a one-word message does not equal a corporate decision. No official change at Tesla has been reported, and company spokespeople have not confirmed any shift in strategy. Featured image from ET Edge Insights, chart from TradingView

The Dogecoin weekly chart structure may be setting up for a classic Elliott Wave “third wave” advance, according to trader and market commentator Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), who argued that DOGE has reclaimed a critical Fibonacci level and could be transitioning from corrective price action into a new impulsive leg. Dogecoin Set For Takeoff As Wave 3 Kicks In Sharing a weekly chart, the analyst wrote: “Initially I thought DOGE wave 2 retraced to 0.5 of wave 1, which is valid, but it decided to get to 0.382 which is also possible for a wave 2 retracement. Now it’s reclaiming 0.618 and wave 3 could be starting… and wave 3 is the most bullish and most powerful of them all.” The chart posted by Cantonese Cat applies a Fibonacci grid to Dogecoin’s 2022–December 2024 advance (“Wave 1” on the graphic), with the 0.618 retracement anchored around ~$0.20088 on the weekly timeframe and the mid-range levels marked at 0.5 (~$0.15350) and 0.382 (~$0.11729). On the left axis, historical weekly candles show DOGE’s earlier cycle blow-off followed by a lengthy basing period near the ~$0.05–$0.10 zone (the 0.0 line sits at ~$0.04909), from which the advance began in mid-2022. Elliott Wave analysis proposes that markets trend in a five-wave impulse where the third wave is typically the strongest by both breadth and momentum. Within that framework, a “Wave 2” pullback frequently terminates in the 0.382–0.618 retracement band of Wave 1, while a decisive reclaim of the 0.618 level on higher timeframes is often treated by technicians as a structural pivot back in favor of the prevailing uptrend. The chart Cantonese Cat shared labels the recent decline as “Wave 2,” with wicks probing toward the 0.382 band and subsequent weekly closes gravitating back toward the 0.618 level. The current weekly candle plotted on the image sits almost exactly on that 0.618 line, indicating the market is testing whether buyers can convert it into support. The analyst’s emphasis on the 0.618 reclaim is consistent with how many systematic traders translate Fibonacci confluence into risk frameworks: closes and acceptance above the golden-ratio band raise the probability that the prior impulse has resumed, whereas sustained rejection there often keeps a market locked in a range. DOGE Price Targets The chart also visualizes potential topside waypoints should momentum expand. The Fibonacci projections drawn beyond the “Wave 1” peak display the 1.0 band at roughly $0.48 and classical extensions at 1.272 (~$0.89), 1.414 (~$1.23), and 1.618 (~$1.96). Elliott practitioners frequently monitor these zones for acceleration targets or distribution risk if a third wave unfolds. For now, the operative claim is straightforward and testable on chart: “Now it’s reclaiming 0.618 and wave 3 could be starting,” with the reminder that “wave 3 is the most bullish and most powerful of them all.” Whether price can hold above the ~$0.20088 pivot into weekly close and then demonstrate impulsive breadth—rising range, expanding volume, and leadership versus peers—will determine if this setup matures into the kind of third-wave advance Elliott theorists anticipate or fades back into consolidation. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.20.

The Ethereum Foundation has deposited 2,400 ETH into Morpho’s lending vaults, along with roughly $6 million in stablecoins. This marks a notable shift in how the foundation is handling its treasury. It looks like they’re getting more comfortable with using DeFi protocols directly. On-chain analysts say this might be the largest single exposure the foundation has taken on in a permissionless lending system. Morpho is an open DeFi platform designed to improve capital efficiency. It matches borrowers and lenders more directly, reducing the gap between borrowing and lending rates. By using Morpho, the Ethereum Foundation is putting serious trust in the protocol’s infrastructure, security, and stability. Splitting Risk Between ETH and Dollars The numbers behind this move are hard to ignore. At current prices, the 2,400 ETH alone is worth well into eight figures. Add the $6 million in stablecoins, and you’ve got a sizable allocation being actively put to work. By using both ETH and stablecoins, the foundation is diversifying its yield sources. If ETH performs well, they benefit from the upside. If the market turns sideways or down, the stablecoins should still generate relatively steady returns. This strategy also shows that the foundation sees Morpho as capable of handling large volumes without breaking under pressure. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Eyes on Risk, Even With the Best Intentions As with any DeFi strategy, this move comes with complications. The foundation will need to closely monitor yield, track smart contract risks, and remain ready to pull funds out or rebalance if needed. There’s also the public angle. Everyone is watching. If something goes wrong with Morpho, it won’t just affect the Ethereum Foundation—it could reflect poorly on Ethereum’s broader ecosystem. More Foundations Are Warming Up to DeFi The Ethereum Foundation is not alone in this. More crypto-native organizations are moving past cold storage and passive holding strategies. There’s growing interest in making treasuries productive without compromising on safety. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What makes this case different is the visibility. When a project like Ethereum makes a move, the rest of the industry tends to pay attention. For some, it’s a sign that DeFi protocols are ready for prime time. For others, it’s still too early to say. What This Means for Morpho and ETH’s Treasury For Morpho, having the Ethereum Foundation on board is a milestone. It shows serious validation. If nothing breaks and the yield looks good, this could attract more institutional users. But with that comes pressure. The team behind Morpho now has to deliver on uptime, transparency, and smart contract security. For Ethereum, this is a shift from passive holding to active treasury management. Rather than letting funds sit idle, the foundation is trying to generate yield that could support new grants, development, or ecosystem incentives. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 High Stakes, High Standards Nothing in DeFi is risk-free. Even the best-audited protocols can run into problems. The foundation will need to stay on top of smart contract reviews, insurance options, and backup plans if things go sideways. And beyond security, there’s performance. If the returns fall short or look inconsistent, the decision to step into Morpho might be questioned by observers. Right now, 2,400 ETH and $6 million in stablecoins are live in Morpho’s system. The results of this experiment could shape how other major players in crypto approach treasury management from here on out. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The Ethereum Foundation has deployed 2,400 ETH and $6 million in stablecoins into Morpho, marking its biggest known DeFi exposure to date. By combining ETH and stablecoins, the Foundation is balancing yield potential with risk management across different market conditions. This is not just a financial move—it’s a reputational one that puts Ethereum’s name behind a permissionless lending protocol. Morpho now carries the weight of institutional-grade expectations, with its performance likely to influence other large DeFi participants. This step reflects a broader trend of crypto foundations shifting toward active treasury management using DeFi tools. The post Ethereum Foundation Deploys 2,400 ETH in Morpho to Boost Treasury Yield appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Tether has expanded its reach to Solana by launching two omnichain tokens, USDT0 and XAUT0, built using LayerZero technology. These tokens are managed by Everdawn Labs and are designed to move seamlessly across blockchains while staying fully backed. USDT0 connects Solana to a broader liquidity network that includes Ethereum, Tron, TON, and others. According to Lorenzo R., co-founder of USDT0, the system now taps into more than $175 billion worth of Tether liquidity across chains. Circulating Supply Still in the Early Stages Right now, USDT0 has a circulating supply of roughly 7.5 billion tokens. XAUT0, the gold-backed counterpart, sits at around 7,355 tokens. For context, standard USDT currently exceeds 180 billion tokens, while the original version of XAUT has a supply of about 375,572 tokens. These figures show that USDT0 and XAUT0 are still small compared to their mainline versions. But the idea is not to replace them; instead, it’s to make them usable in more places, with less friction. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 Solana Taps Into Cross-Chain Liquidity With this integration, Solana becomes directly connected to Tether’s native ecosystem without relying on wrapped tokens or bridges. That means fewer risks, faster transfers, and smoother movement of capital. Tamar Menteshashvili, Head of Stablecoins at the Solana Foundation, said the update brings more efficiency to both ecosystems. She pointed out that it benefits institutional payments, DeFi platforms, and general fund movement. For Solana, having gold-backed XAUT0 on-chain adds another tool for builders. Programmable gold can now be used in lending, hedging, or even as treasury collateral across decentralized protocols. Legacy Mesh Makes the Whole Thing Work Behind the scenes, the system runs on Legacy Mesh, a stablecoin-native interoperability framework built using LayerZero. It is designed specifically for stablecoins and tokenized assets like gold, avoiding traditional wrapped asset setups. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Unlike synthetic tokens, every transfer through Legacy Mesh is backed by real assets. The system charges a 0.03 percent fee per transaction, paid in USDT. Since its launch, USDT0 has moved through nine different chain pathways, processed more than 320,000 transactions, and moved over $25 billion in total bridge volume. That’s a significant footprint for a product that remains relatively under the radar. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What Happens Next Will Be Key This rollout shows that cross-chain finance is moving into a more connected phase. Solana now has direct access to the largest stablecoin liquidity pool and one of the only tokenized gold products with meaningful usage. For developers, the opportunity is wide open. With native access to USDT0 and XAUT0, they can create applications without relying on fragile bridge infrastructure. This could include lending platforms, cross-border remittance tools, or treasury systems using real-world value. Still, the big question is growth. The numbers are small right now, and adoption will take time. If the system proves stable and efficient, though, it could put Solana in a strong position as the go-to chain for seamless, cross-chain financial operations. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Tether launched two new omnichain tokens—USDT0 and XAUT0—on Solana using LayerZero tech, linking Solana directly to over $175 billion in cross-chain Tether liquidity. USDT0 and XAUT0 are still small in supply but aim to boost usability across blockchains rather than replace existing stablecoins. The rollout removes the need for wrapped assets or bridges, making cross-chain transfers faster, safer, and more capital-efficient. Legacy Mesh, a framework tailored for stablecoins and tokenized assets, powers the system and has already processed over $25 billion in volume. Developers on Solana can now build with native programmable gold (XAUT0) and stablecoin access, unlocking use cases in DeFi, payments, and treasury tools. The post Tether Expands to Solana With USDT0 and XAUT0 for Cross-Chain Use appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

XRP may be quietly setting the stage for another major breakout. Recent chart patterns and market behavior show striking similarities to its 2017 accumulation phase, a period that preceded a massive parabolic rally. As Q4 unfolds, technical indicators and Bitcoin dominance data hint that the long-awaited bullish setup could still be in play. Q4 Move Still Possible: XRP’s Bullish Potential Isn’t Gone Yet Crypto analyst CoinsKid recently shared an update confirming that the highly anticipated Q4 move for XRP is still a potential option. This optimistic outlook is heavily underpinned by the current data observed on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, which the analyst views as a crucial barometer for altcoin performance. If BTC.D shows weakness, capital typically flows into assets like XRP, supporting the potential for a significant surge in the coming months. However, CoinsKid pointed out that the recent loss of the $1.90 low last Friday introduced what he described as a structural anomaly into the equation. This development adds a layer of uncertainty to XRP’s short-term outlook, even as the broader setup continues to show potential. He further explained that for this bullish scenario to remain valid, Bitcoin dominance must stay below its 5-day resistance level on the CoinskidRibbon. At the same time, XRP needs to hold above its own 5-day CoinskidRibbon as support. Wyckoff Blueprint In Motion: XRP Mirrors Its 2017 Setup EᴛʜᴇʀNᴀꜱʏᴏɴᴀL, in a recent update, highlighted that XRP is currently positioned within a major accumulation area, signaling that a crucial phase may be unfolding for the asset. According to the analyst, the current market structure strongly mirrors the early stages of a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, a technical formation that often precedes large-scale bullish movements. The Wyckoff method identifies this accumulation phase as a period where smart money quietly builds positions while the price remains range-bound. This typically occurs after extended declines, setting the stage for a powerful reversal once the market confirms strength. From a technical perspective, this accumulation structure indicates growing pressure beneath key support zones, which often leads to a strong bullish cycle once a breakout occurs. The repeated testing of support levels, combined with diminishing selling volume, strengthens the case for a potential upside breakout in the near term. EᴛʜᴇʀNᴀꜱʏᴏɴᴀL also drew parallels to XRP’s behavior in the 2017 cycle, when a similar accumulation phase preceded one of the asset’s most explosive rallies, with XRP climbing all the way to the distribution zone, where profits were eventually taken. If history repeats, the altcoin could once again be on the verge of a powerful upward run.

The XRP price has been exhibiting a complex pattern of consolidation and retracement for weeks. However, according to prominent market analyst Egrag Crypto, there’s a critical signal to watch for that could determine whether the cryptocurrency’s bullish narrative remains intact or not. The expert’s analysis, shared on X social media, highlights that the behaviour of XRP’s 3-day candles could soon decide the direction of its next major move. XRP Price Integrity Hinges On 3-Day Candle Closes Below $2 In his post on X, Egrag Crypto explains the “measured move breakdown” for XRP, identifying a key technical formation in the form of a descending triangle that, based on its structure, points to a potential move toward $2.14. The accompanying chart shows XRP hovering between $2.40 and $2.60, with multiple retests of the same price levels over the past few months. Despite the brief wick to the downside, Egrag Crypto suggests that the structure continues to indicate consolidation within the range. The analyst reiterates that $2.65 remains a critical price target for XRP. If the cryptocurrency breaks and sustains above it, he predicts that it could regain upward momentum, potentially paving the way for renewed bullish sentiment. However, failure to hold current levels around $2.5 might expose XRP to deeper retracements, particularly if 3-day candles start closing below the $2.00 to $1.91 range. Egrag Crypto warns that this specific candle behaviour is concerning, as it could signal a structural breakdown of XRP’s market cycle. It could also invalidate his bullish thesis, suggesting that the recent peak near $3.65 may have been the cycle top. Additionally, the analyst’s chart shows XRP’s price action hovering above the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), serving as a long-term support level. Should XRP maintain its position above this moving average, Egrag Crypto asserts that the cryptocurrency’s bullish setup remains valid. He noted that the next 60 to 90 days are expected to be crucial, as XRP’s reaction around the levels mentioned above could define the trajectory of the rest of the year. XRP Faces 57% Chance Of Breaking To A New ATH In a separate analysis, Egrag Crypto introduced a 57% to 43% probability model, sharing his broader perspective on XRP’s potential price direction in the short term. He stated that there is a 57% probability that XRP could break into a new all-time high in the coming months. He also sees a 43% chance that the cryptocurrency could decline significantly, offering traders another opportunity to accumulate it at a price below $1. While the probabilities of XRP’s near-term price favor a more bullish outcome, the bearish case remains plausible given the lingering macroeconomic uncertainty and overall crypto market volatility. Egrag Crypto notes that he is personally positioning himself toward the bullish scenario, aligning his expectations with the 57% chance of a major price breakout.

On Tuesday evening, what may end up being the most closely watched event of the week took place—Jerome Powell's speech. Although, in my view, this event draws more attention out of habit rather than actual substance, at least at this stage. Powell rarely shakes the markets with bold statements or abrupt policy changes. As a result, 8 out of every 10 of his speeches offer little new information. In recent weeks, leading up to the next FOMC meeting, Powell has spoken multiple times, reiterating the same core message: any decision will depend on incoming economic data. Yet therein lies his skill in message delivery. Powell never offers specifics, but like a skilled gardener, he carefully nurtures the narrative that suits his goals. On Tuesday, the FOMC Chair noted that the U.S. labor market remains stagnant, with low hiring and low levels of layoffs. What are market participants to make of this? Only one thing: the labor market continues to "cool," signaling the need for several more rounds of monetary policy easing. Powell also stated that the government shutdown currently has no significant impact on the U.S. economy or the Fed's forecasts for key indicators. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Susan Collins said in a separate appearance that the Fed should continue easing — but not excessively, to ensure inflation remains under control. What "not excessively" means is, of course, anyone's guess. At present, futures markets are pricing in a 97% probability of a rate cut in October and a 96% chance of two cuts—one in October and another in December. In simple terms, markets firmly expect two rounds of easing by year-end. If that's the case, then demand for the U.S. dollar over the past 24 hours has weakened surprisingly little. I would also caution against drawing firm conclusions until the government shutdown is resolved. And clearly, most market players are taking a similarly cautious stance. Demand for the dollar remains essentially intact. Wave Structure for EUR/USD:Based on recent analysis, EUR/USD continues to develop a bullish wave sequence. The overall wave structure remains highly dependent on news flow—specifically, decisions from Donald Trump and the foreign and domestic policy of the current U.S. administration. The target for the current upward wave could reach as high as the 1.2500 mark. At this point, a complex corrective Wave 4 appears close to completion. Despite its extended and convoluted form, the broader upward wave remains valid. Thus, I continue to view the market with a long bias, even if the corrective a-b-c structure hasn't yet entirely played out. By year-end, I expect the euro to reach 1.2245, aligning with the 200.0% Fibonacci. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure for GBP/USD has evolved. The pair remains within a broader bullish trend, but its internal wave composition has become more complicated. Wave 4 is forming as a complex three-wave correction, and its pattern is significantly more extended than that of Wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed three-wave corrective structure, it may soon be complete. If confirmed, the pair may resume upward movement within the global wave pattern. The initial targets for the next bullish leg are located near the 1.3800–1.4000 (38 and 40 figures) area. Core Principles of My Analysis:Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to interpret and often subject to frequent revisions.If market conditions are unclear, it's better not to enter positions.No trader can have 100% certainty about price direction. Always use stop-loss orders.Wave analysis can and should be used in combination with other methods of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

On Wednesday, the Japanese yen was rising amid a general weakening of the US dollar. Tensions surrounding trade tariffs escalated on Tuesday after China announced new special port fees for American vessels arriving at Chinese ports. This move came alongside tightened Chinese export restrictions on rare earth metals and threats from U.S. President Donald Trump to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100%. In addition, Trump threatened to halt trade with China on several goods, including cooking oil, and responded to China's decision to stop purchasing American soybeans. These developments have raised concerns about a further escalation in the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies—a scenario that favors safe-haven assets like the yen. According to media reports, Trump has considered the option of deploying U.S. Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine as a way to pressure Russian President Vladimir Putin into negotiations. This has further fueled geopolitical risk sentiment, thereby increasing demand for the Japanese yen. Last week, the U.S. Senate failed to pass a Republican-supported funding bill intended to end the partial federal government shutdown that began on October 1. As a result, the shutdown has entered its third week, with no clear resolution in sight. On the Japanese political front, the unexpected collapse of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)–Komeito coalition last week created uncertainty. Newly elected LDP leader Sanae Takaichi will need support from other parties to be confirmed as Japan's first female prime minister and to advance her policy agenda. Adding to the complexity, according to Kyodo News, Japan's parliamentary committee failed to reach an agreement on voting procedures to elect the new prime minister, originally scheduled for October 21. This political uncertainty could hinder the Bank of Japan's efforts to raise interest rates and put pressure on the yen. Still, markets are increasingly pricing in the possibility of additional tightening measures by the BoJ later this year—an outlook that sharply diverges from the more dovish expectations surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve. CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that markets have fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in October, and a 90% probability of another in December. This continues to weigh on the U.S. dollar and pulls the USD/JPY pair lower. From a technical standpoint, a firm break and close below the round 151.00 mark would confirm a bearish scenario and target the psychological support zone around 150.00, with an interim halt at 150.70. On the other hand, any intraday recovery above the 151.65–151.75 range would likely face resistance near the 152.00 level. A move beyond this would attract some sellers around the 152.25–152.30 region, with further resistance in the 152.65–152.70 zone. A sustained breakout above that range would shift momentum back in favor of the bulls. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the value of the dollar relative to a basket of major world currencies, continued its decline for a second consecutive day, falling below the key 99.00 level. This suggests a possible preparation for further losses in the near term. The weakening of the dollar is primarily due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year — once in October and again in December. An additional factor putting pressure on the currency is the concern that an extended government shutdown may have a negative impact on the broader U.S. economy. On Tuesday, the stopgap funding bill proposed by Republicans, aimed at ending the shutdown, failed to gain sufficient support in the Senate. This means the shutdown will enter a full third week starting October 1, with no clear signs of resolution in sight. Rising trade tensions between the United States and China further exacerbate the dollar's bearish outlook. On Tuesday, President Donald Trump threatened to halt trade with China on several goods, including vegetable oil, in response to China's decision to stop purchasing American soybeans. In return, China introduced new port tariffs for U.S. vessels calling at Chinese ports. Additionally, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) continues to set a tightly managed reference rate for USD/CNY, which is leading to intraday dollar selling against the yuan. From a technical standpoint, however, oscillators on the daily chart remain positive. Prices are trading above the 9-day EMA, and the 9-day EMA itself is positioned above the 14-day EMA. This alignment confirms that the DXY is not yet ready for a larger, sustained downtrend. If prices manage to reclaim and stay above the 99.00 resistance level, the next barrier lies at 99.25. Conversely, if prices fall below 98.70, it would mark a shift in sentiment, giving bears the upper hand over bulls. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

To reach a goal, one must sometimes make sacrifices. France's new Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, concluded that short-term political stability is more important than pushing forward with pension reform. He agreed to postpone raising the retirement age from 62 to 64, effectively protecting himself from a no-confidence vote. As a result, the Socialist Party no longer intends to vote for his removal. The yield spread between French and German bonds plunged, and EUR/USD launched a counterattack. French-German Bond Yield Spread Dynamics Pension reform has long been a cornerstone of Emmanuel Macron's policy agenda. However, the president recognizes that another prime minister's resignation would bring France closer to snap elections—outcomes that would likely favor the left or right, but not his centrist allies. Thus, choosing the lesser of two evils became the logical decision. France's political drama may be approaching its end. If Lecornu successfully survives the no-confidence vote, the storm will pass. The newly proposed budget sets a deficit of 4.7%, although the prime minister is giving parliament the flexibility to increase it, so long as it does not exceed 5%. The stabilization of the political situation in France is a clear positive for EUR/USD. However, the euro is in no rush to rise and is instead awaiting U.S. inflation data. An acceleration in consumer price growth could provide a formal justification for FOMC hawks to argue in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged in October. In reality, though, policymakers are likely to view any jump in CPI, potentially caused by tariffs, as a temporary phenomenon. As long as inflation expectations remain anchored, the recent rise in prices is viewed as transitory. U.S. Inflation Dynamics The futures market currently assigns a 98% probability to Federal Reserve easing in October and a 95% chance of a rate cut in December. Jerome Powell, while careful not to issue direct signals, stated that a slowing labor market will eventually lead to rising unemployment. Investors interpreted this as a dovish cue, triggering renewed bullish interest in the EUR/USD pair. Adding to this sentiment are concerns over rising trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. Donald Trump pledged to stop buying vegetable oil from China in retaliation for Beijing's suspension of U.S. soybean purchases. According to the president, the United States "does not wish harm" on China's economy, only good. But if tariffs are what he considers benevolence, then apparently 100% might not be enough. The growing risk of renewed trade war escalation puts significant pressure on the U.S. dollar. There's no guarantee the already-strained U.S. economy—facing a slowing labor market, declining industrial production, and rising prices—can withstand such a blow. From a technical perspective, the probability is increasing that EUR/USD's corrective movement within the broader uptrend is nearing completion. Traders should prepare to re-enter long positions on the euro. A potential signal for such a move would be a renewed breakout against the lower boundary of the fair value range at 1.1635–1.1870. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Bitcoin continues to hover around the $112,500 level, with volatility persisting across the market following last week’s historic crash. According to on-chain data, short-term holders (STHs) remain under heavy pressure, showing clear signs of panic. The STH realized price, a metric that tracks the average cost basis of recent buyers, indicates that many traders are still reacting emotionally to price fluctuations. The latest liquidation event seems to have deeply impacted market sentiment — even a small pullback yesterday was enough to trigger another wave of panic selling. Yet, while some investors capitulate, others are seizing the opportunity. The famous Bitcoin OG whale, who gained widespread attention for shorting BTC and ETH right before the crash, has reportedly closed his position, locking in more than $197 million in profits. This move marks the end of one of the most successful short trades of the year. As Bitcoin stabilizes within a tight range, the market remains divided between fear-driven sellers and opportunistic players positioning for the next major move. The coming days could determine whether BTC finds stability or faces renewed selling pressure from nervous short-term holders. Bitcoin Whale Moves Cause Speculation Lookonchain has tracked a series of high-stakes moves from the trader known as BitcoinOG (1011short) — one of the most closely watched whales in the market right now. The trader reportedly closed all BTC short positions on Hyperliquid, securing more than $197 million in profit across two wallets after last week’s crash. Just hours later, the same wallet transferred $89 million USDC to Binance, immediately sparking speculation that the trader could be preparing to reopen short positions. Coincidentally, Bitcoin open interest on Binance surged by $510 million shortly after the deposit, adding fuel to theories that the whale may be behind the move. While no direct link has been confirmed, analysts are split on whether this signals another round of aggressive shorting or simply capital repositioning. Some suggest the whale may be betting on further downside after Bitcoin’s failure to hold above $115K, while others believe the funds could be used for market-neutral strategies like hedging or arbitrage. Still, the timing has left traders uneasy. The market remains fragile, and the whale’s actions — whether strategic or coincidental — could influence short-term sentiment as Bitcoin fights to defend support around the $110K region. BTC Consolidates Below Pivotal Level Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure as it trades around $112,500, hovering just above its short-term support zone. The daily chart shows that BTC remains trapped between the 50-day moving average (near $115,000) and the 200-day moving average (around $108,000), signaling an indecisive market. The repeated rejections near $117,500 — a level that acted as both support and resistance throughout the year — confirm it as a key supply zone. The recent bounce attempts have been weak, with volume thinning and momentum indicators suggesting consolidation rather than a strong reversal. Bulls are struggling to reclaim control after the sharp sell-off that briefly sent BTC to $103K, and failure to hold above $110K could expose the next lower liquidity pockets around $107K and $105K. On the other hand, holding above this range would stabilize market sentiment, allowing BTC to rebuild a base for a potential retest of the $115K–$118K area. For now, price action remains cautious — range-bound and reactive to broader risk sentiment. Traders are watching for a breakout above $115K or a decisive drop below $110K to confirm the next major directional move in the aftermath of last week’s volatility. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 15 An uneasy sentiment still dominates markets, even as equities somehow manage to close higher. The opening session continued the positive flows coming from Europe but at some point buyers vanished into the fog the moment selling pressure hit. Thin trading conditions are amplifying the swings, with many participants on edge for the latest headline. US-China trade angst remains front and center, with top officials on both sides offering a mix of fiery remarks and conciliatory tones. It is part of the Trump's way of doing to publish harsh comments, never failing to scare markets and TACO it out – Bulls are hoping for another TACO for now at least. Meanwhile, metals continue to thrive on the backdrop of uncertainty. Gold surged to a new record at $4,218, while Silver consolidates at its highs — clear signs that flows into metals remain robust even as equity traders struggle to find their footing. Read More:North American mid-week Market update – US-China trade tensions are backSilver (XAG/USD) squeeze shakes market participantsWhat if there was no trend in the US Dollar ? DXY OutlookCross-Assets Daily Performance zoom_out_map Cross-Asset Daily Performance, October 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView Many assets remain mixed, but overall, the current US-China trade seems to be located in selling Cryptos, and buying gold. For the rest, equities and currencies are very mixed (except for the USD which is also getting rejected from its highs. A picture of today's performance for major currencies zoom_out_map Currency Performance, October 15 – Source: OANDA Labs Counterintuitively, the GBP is finishing on top of majors today, propulsed by some technical "bad lows" after the UK's disappointing jobs report. Nonetheless, the pound seems to disregard the bearish outlook – Confusing flows, but might provide some opportunities? It was getting sold off heavily heading into the number so it could be some buy-the-bad-news flows. North American currencies have struggled on the other side of the daily spectrum, hurt by the still absent US-Canada deal news, and the US-China scare. A look at Economic data releasing through tonight and tomorrow's session zoom_out_map For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. The session is not over yet for AUD traders who will have to monitor the highly anticipated Australian Employment Data, releasing this evening at 20:30 EDT. With the AUD having performed well, expectations are high. The early birds will assist to the UK GDP and Production data (2:00 A.M. ET), which will provide insight into British economic momentum. In the absence of BLS data, markets should only see the Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey which should help at least a bit from the huge absence of US Data. To compliment the data, Markets are awaiting a wave of Central Bank comments: US Fed: A host of officials speak throughout the day, including Barr, Waller, Bowman, and Kashkari, starting at 9:00 A.M. ET.Canada BoC: Keep a close eye on Governor Macklem's economic outlook speech at 1:30 P.M. ET.Europe: We also hear from ECB's Lagarde and BoE's Mann. Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Today, gold has updated its all-time high, driven by a series of fundamental factors. This week has been marked by new threats from U.S. President Donald Trump, who announced the possible suspension of trade operations with China — including shipments of vegetable oil and other goods — in response to Beijing's refusal to purchase American soybeans. In turn, China announced additional special port fees for American vessels entering its ports, as well as stricter export restrictions on rare earth metals. These measures indicate a significant escalation of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies. At the same time, geopolitical risks and concerns that the U.S. administration could influence economic indicators are driving increased investment in gold as a safe-haven asset. On Wednesday, a new record high was recorded for the precious metal. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for global economic growth in 2025 for the second time since April — to 3.2% from the previous 3.0% — but warned that renewed trade conflicts between the U.S. and China could significantly slow down production. At the same time, the report notes that the Trump administration's tariff measures have proven to be less damaging than expected. According to media reports, Trump has considered supplying Ukraine with long-range American Tomahawk cruise missiles to put pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin and push him toward negotiations. These actions sustain geopolitical tensions and contribute to the rise in gold prices. Meanwhile, the vote on a temporary funding bill supported by Republicans — aimed at ending the partial shutdown of the federal government — failed to gain the required number of votes in the Senate on Tuesday. This means the shutdown, which began on October 1, will enter its third week, with no resolution in sight. Yesterday, on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell did not provide specific guidance regarding interest rates, but his comments about labor market weakness suggest that further monetary easing remains possible. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets have already priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut in October, and there is a 90% probability that the Fed will lower borrowing costs again in December. This has been weighing on the U.S. dollar for the second consecutive day, supporting the rise in gold prices. Given that important U.S. macroeconomic data releases have been delayed due to the government shutdown, attention should be paid to speeches by influential FOMC members — they will play a key role in driving dollar demand and providing additional momentum. From a technical standpoint, gold has shown strong resilience below the round level of $4,100. Moreover, the rally seen over the past three weeks has been moving along an upward trendline, indicating that the path of least resistance for gold remains upward. However, the extremely overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the daily chart calls for caution when opening new long positions. A corrective pullback toward the $4,100 round level can be viewed as a buying opportunity, likely limited to the $4,060–4,055 area. A convincing break below this zone could trigger technical selling, pushing the price toward the psychological level of $4,000. A strong breakout below that level could be seen as the first sign of exhaustion in the bullish trend, signaling the potential for deeper losses. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Clark Street Associates (CSA), a US advisory firm specializing in government funding for hard tech companies in sectors such as critical minerals, semiconductors, climate technology, and defense, announced Wednesday its expansion into Canada. The move opens up opportunities for Clark Street’s existing and prospective clients to take advantage of a market where government investment is rapidly increasing—and often with less competition for available funding, it said. The firm, which has offices in Washington DC and Los Altos, California said Canada’s federal government is aggressively deploying capital to build domestic technology capabilities, creating unprecedented opportunities for companies that understand how to navigate the landscape. Billions of dollars are being allotted across key strategic areas, including Defense. Beginning in 2025, CSA said Canada will exceed NATO’s requirement that 20% of military budgets go to major equipment and technology, representing a C$13.2 billion growth opportunity in advanced defense manufacturing, cybersecurity, and R&D. The Canadian federal government has also pledged to reach 5% of GDP in defense-related investments, an estimated C$150 billion annually, while also increasing annual expenditures from C$39.0 billion in 2024–25 to more than C$52.2 billion by 2029–30. Critical minerals The country’s Critical Minerals Infrastructure Fund is offering up C$1.5 billion through 2030 to support clean energy and transportation infrastructure for mineral production. Likewise, the updated Critical Minerals Strategy includes over C$550 million in commitments, including new tax credits, funding for innovation, and expanded infrastructure, aimed at making Canada a global supplier of choice. Aiming to compete in the global AI race, Canada has already awarded over C$74 million in quantum technology grants in the past year alone, the firm said, adding that it believes this trend is only going to continue as the government is investing heavily in next-generation compute platforms, including a C$2 billion Sovereign AI Compute Strategy to expand access to high-performance infrastructure. Clean energy Canada continues to focus on clean energy, opening up new avenues for U.S. companies to establish a footprint there, CSA pointed out. The country aims to offer C$93B in Clean Economy Investment Tax Credits by 2034 – 2035, which will cover clean technology, manufacturing, carbon capture, and hydrogen projects. “Canada is investing boldly to turn today’s challenges into tomorrow’s opportunities—building in sectors from energy to critical minerals and beyond,” Senior Trade Commissioner at the Canadian Consulate in San Francisco Simon Pomel said in a news release. “We invite global innovators and industry leaders to see Canada as their next platform for growth—where world-class infrastructure, skilled talent, and a stable, values-driven economy position you to lead on solutions critical to our shared security and prosperity.” “Expanding into Canada isn’t just about geography, it’s about timing,” CSA CEO Stephen Empedocles said. “With billions in new funding coming online, Canada is opening the door for companies to launch new projects, scale faster, and build lasting partnerships,” Empedocles said. “Our job is to make sure innovators take full advantage of these opportunities, establish projects in the region, and build meaningful partnerships with our neighbors to the north.” For a more detailed summary of funding opportunities in Canada, Clark Street’s recent whitepaper is here.

Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. A strong US dollar and resilient North American equity markets — both on impressive runs since early October — finally met their first major challenge towards the end of last week: the return of US-China trade tensions. The spark came from a Trump Truth Social post last Friday that reignited fears of a new trade war, triggering a sharp risk-off move across markets. China has tightened restrictions on rare earth exports, a move that rattled Washington and recreated what seemed to be a new challenge to the American dominance on global trade. On that aspect, President Trump actually made a few repetitions of BRICS being an attack on the dollar. Read More:US-China trade war scare: What happened Friday and where things stand nowSilver (XAG/USD) squeeze shakes market participants Over the weekend and into Monday, sentiment stabilized thanks to a series of calming remarks from the President in another post and the US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, whose conciliatory tone was welcomed by investors and helped equities rebound despite volatile opens on Monday and Tuesday. Still, market participants remain on edge. The EU has called on the US to coordinate a joint response to Beijing’s latest trade maneuvers — a sign that the geopolitical and economic crosscurrents fueling volatility may only just be warming up. Markets are also still awaiting for concrete news regarding the US-Canada deal, mentioned to have been in the middle of discussions. Both Trump and Canadian PM Mark Carney have been preoccupied by the Peace summit for the Middle East throughout the end of last week. FYI, the Fed Beige Book just got published – It's not a big market mover with nothing alarming noted. It is still a very nice read, you can access it right here. Let's dive right into a few charts to get an overview on North American Markets, from US and Canadian equity Markets performance, USD and CAD performance to USDCAD and DXY charts. North-American Indices Performance zoom_out_map North American Top Indices performance since last Monday – October 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView Not a single Stock index has managed to withhold the trade tensions scare. Not only restraining economic activity, such tensions come to challenge the globalized world as we know it which never helps sentiment. This also comes as many analysts start to show concerns on elevated equity valuations (which haven't seen much retracement since June), further amplifying the tense feeling in Equities. Dollar Index 8H Chart zoom_out_map Dollar Index 8H Chart, October 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView The US Dollar has been forming what resembles a higher timeframe range, reacting well to the RSI extremes. A further, detailed analysis of the Dollar has been published on our site this morning, which I gladly invite you to discover. Read More: What if there was no trend in the US Dollar ? DXY OutlookUS Dollar Mid-Week Performance vs Majors zoom_out_map USD vs other Majors since last Monday, October 15, 2025 - Source: TradingView. The US Dollar had taken quite the lead on its major counterparts, but the latest currency risk-off put the CHF and the JPY on the front lines (only since Friday). Keep track of how the current narrative shapes FX flows looking forward. Things have been and are expected to stay volatile. Canadian Dollar Mid-Week Performance vs Majors zoom_out_map CAD vs other Majors, October 15, 2025 - Source: TradingView. The Loonie has been looking for redemption, appreciating from the rise of its neighbor brother, but consequently also getting dragged down throughout the end of last week. Keep an eye on any news regarding the US-Canada trade deal, which largely is the biggest X factor for the struggling currency. This would also be of great help to the Canadian Economy which has been struggling for a while and definitely not helped by the tariffs. Intraday Technical Levels for the USD/CAD zoom_out_map USDCAD 4H Chart, October 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView A lack of convicting fundamentals from Canada keep attracting buyers which are largely enjoying the upward trendline. This one will also be the one to watch for any correction, as the price action now holds largely above 1.40. Levels to place on your USDCAD charts: Resistance Levels 1.40 to 1.4050 Psychological resistance (currently testing)Tuesday 14 Oct highs 1.40784Daily Resistance 1.41 - 1.4150April Pivot 1.4250Support Levels Upward trendline line & MA 50 1.3910 to 1.39201.3925 Aug 22 highs current pivotMajor Daily Pivot 1.391.38 Handle +/- 150 pips1.3550 Main 2025 Support You can also check out our very recent in-detail analysis of the North American pair right here: USD/CAD Price Outlook: Consolidation Above Key 1.4000 Handle. What Next for the Loonie? US and Canada Economic Calendar for the Rest of the Week zoom_out_map US and Canadian Data for the rest of the week, MarketPulse Economic Calendar Now midway through the third week of the US government shutdown, Markets have been getting pretty hungry for US data. The Monthly US CPI will be getting released on October 24th in what was an emergency gathering of a few BLS workers to work on the essential release. There is still no news on the Jobs data, hence Markets will be waiting for other reports such as the Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey, which gathers much more importance now. For the rest, focus on key speeches from Fed members (the upcoming cut is well-priced in after Powell's speech from yesterday). For CAD traders, don't forget to check the Macklem remarks at 13:30 tomorrow, and the Housing Starts on Friday morning 8:30. How investors and traders can gauge the US labor market amid the BLS shutdown Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

The recent market-wide crash that sent the XRP price tumbling to $1.2 before an immediate rebound has left traders wondering whether the worst is over. Crypto analyst Steph, in a detailed technical analysis shared on X, noted that the latest move could be an important turning point for XRP. Although his outlook acknowledges the possibility of recovery, his deeper analysis of XRP’s chart history and key indicators paints a mixed picture of what lies ahead for the cryptocurrency. Bearish RSI Divergence Echoes 2021 Price Collapse According to Steph, XRP’s current structure on the weekly timeframe closely mirrors the 2020 to 2021 cycle that led to a 74% correction. The analyst highlighted a bearish RSI divergence where the price forms higher highs while the RSI forms lower highs, indicating that buying momentum is fading even as prices attempt to climb. In his view, this pattern has always indicated exhaustion in bullish strength and the beginning of corrections. Steph drew comparisons to late 2024, up until July 2025, when XRP’s weekly RSI was declining despite rising prices. This setup has now triggered the most recent 65% correction that reached a bottom over the weekend. He noted that the correction, which started around July 14, has lasted more than 80 days, similar to the duration of the 2021 correction. Based on this, XRP could be nearing the end of its corrective phase before a rebound if history repeats itself. Steph acknowledged that the crypto market’s recent crash was heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, including the US president’s announcement of a 130% tariff on Chinese imports, effective November 1. This shock, combined with leveraged positions across the market, led to the deepest liquidation wicks ever recorded for XRP. Nonetheless, the analyst believes that XRP has flushed out excessive leverage and cleared liquidity zones around $2.25, and this has set the stage for a possible rebound to higher liquidity targets and new all-time highs above $4. However, sustained bullish momentum from here depends on reclaiming other important price levels. XRP Price Levels To Watch Before Calling A Bottom Despite the bullish prediction, it is important to note that XRP is still at a technical crossroads that can either be bullish or bearish. The price has fallen below its range between $2.65 and $2.84, which had served as support for months. Therefore, reclaiming at least $2.65 on the weekly close is essential to confirm that the bottom is in and that the recovery phase has begun. In his video, crypto analyst Steph also talked about the importance of the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), which is currently around $2.45. Closing below this line has marked the start of bear markets for XRP. If we see one or two weekly closes below $2.40, then that’s a signal to exit crypto. The bullish prediction, one that could even lead XRP to new all-time highs, depends on if it manages a weekly close above $2.4, breaks above $2.65 and its 50-week SMA, and sustains buying strength. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.52, up by 2.6% in the past 24 hours.