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Today marked the first trading day of the week for many North American traders after Columbus Day for the US and the Canadian Thanksgiving — and the session opened with what felt like a long-weekend hangover. Overnight markets had reacted sharply to China’s condemnations regarding the escalating US-China trade tensions, notably hurting Oil markets even further. Despite Trump’s reassuring comments on Sunday, which helped risk assets rebound over the weekend and led to a bullish Monday session, sentiment reversed during the Asia session leading to a scary opening Bell. Major indices gapped down, with the Nasdaq dropping 1.2% and cryptocurrencies also taking another hit after last week’s selloff. Sentiment quickly shifted mid-morning after the rough open. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer downplayed some of the recent rhetoric between the two nations, triggering a rebound just 20 minutes after the open that carried momentum throughout the session. By midday, all four major US indices had turned positive, erasing their early losses. 15M Chart Outlook for US Equities – October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView Despite the impressive rebound right after the open taking all indices to their weekly highs, there is are ongoing selloff waves in the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 to keep some eyes on. Nasdaq is not really reacting much for now and I am not spotting any headlines. The real bullish catalysts came around mid-day from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose dovish remarks at the National Association for Business Economics meeting brought further bullish momentum. Powell’s comments raised questions about whether the Fed had early insights into the NFP data, as he emphasized that further labor market softening could justify additional easing. His tone cemented expectations for another rate cut by month-end, reinforcing the ongoing theme of things not being so bad after all despite the US-China trade scare. You can access his latest speech right here. Still, the price action is looking more rangebound with the recent swings rather than back to fully bullish – Let's take a closer look to the Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500. US Equity heatmap – October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView Read More: WTI Oil tumbles as US-China trade tensions flare up againUK labor report gives pound a reality check: What's next for GBPUS-China trade war scare: What happened Friday and where things stand nowUS Index analysis and levels: Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500Dow Jones 4H Chart Dow Jones 4H Chart, October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView The Dow Jones led an impressive rebound today, lifted by decent earnings and a easier-path ahead when turning to Powell's latest comments. A few things to look going forward: A downward topline has put a strong stop to the ongoing bullish actionBulls will have to break above the Monday highs to relaunch a fully bullish price actionSellers will also have to break below the daily lows to relaunch take controlIn the meantime, the technical outlook being mixed, a consolidation period would have high probability of taking place – At least until the market knows more on the US-China situation.Dow Jones technical levels of interest Resistance Levels Current All-time high 47,105Daily highs to break with topline 46,560ATH Resistance Zone 47,000 to 47,160 (+/- 150 pts)post-FOMC highs resistance zone around 46,400 (immediately testing)Support Levels August ATH Immediate Pivot 45,650 to 45,750Daily session lows at 45,490Friday lows at 45,18945,000 psychological level44,400 to 44,500 Main SupportNasdaq 4H Chart Nasdaq 4H Chart, October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView The Tech-Heavy index hasn't rebounded as strongly as its peers today on a relative change and is finding itself in a mixed technical environment. It is the second time that sellers appear at the key Momentum pivot around 24,800 showing how undecisive the price action is. Keep an eye on struggling names in tech like Nvidia: If they come back from here, Nasdaq should follow suit. If the big names keep getting offered, ther path ahead might be a bit more grim. Nasdaq technical levels of interest Resistance Levels current ATH 25,2241.618 Fib-Extension resistance between 25,200 and 25,300Momentum Pivot 24,750 to 24,800Monday highs and 4H MA 50 24,890Support Levels End September Support and MA 200 24,300 (morning rebound)Friday lows 24,016August 12 ATH zone turning support (23,950 to 24,020)23,000 Key SupportEarly 2025 ATH at 22,000 to 22,229 SupportS&P 500 4H Chart S&P 500 4H Chart, October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView Similarly as the Nasdaq, sellers have appeared around the momentum pivot and the overall action might not be as bullish as it was the past few months – Keep an eye on sentiment. A pattern that emerges is the ongoing break-retest action of the main May upward channel – short term technicals are looking more neutral than anything for now. The price action will be interesting for the time to come, expect volatility. S&P 500 Trading Levels: Resistance Levels 6,774 (current All Time-Highs)Key current Resistance 6,745 to 6,760Key Pivot Zone 6,670 to 6,700potential resistance (1.618 fib - 6,790 to 6,800)Support Levels 6,570 to 6,600 Key SupportFOMC and daily lows 6,5626,490 to 6,512 Previous ATH now Support (MA 200 Confluence)6,400 Main Support6,210 to 6,235 Main Support (August NFP Lows) Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Price Eyes Acceptance Above $4100/oz on US-China Trade War Fears, Up 2% on the Day The loonie has recovered in the US session after starting the day on the back foot. The move was more driven by the US dollar than any developments on the side of the Canadian Dollar. The loonie has come under pressure in recent days as oil prices have also retreated to fresh lows. When it comes to USD/CAD, the loonies weakness coincided with a rally for the US Dollar which has defied the US Government shutdown and US-China tensions to leave the US Dollar Index (DXY) hovering near recent highs. Technical Analysis - USD/CAD Back to the technicals though and USD/CAD has broken the channel which had help price over for just over two months. This sets up USD/CAD for a potential 280 pip move. The medium-term outlook does look positive for USD/CAD as price has broken above the psychological 1.4000 handle and the 200-day MA. This is the first time USD/CAD trades above the 200-day MA since April 10, 2025. Funny enough this also coincided with USD/CAD breaking below the 1.4000 handle as is the case with the break above this time around. This makes the 200-day MA key for me and thus if we are to see the bullish move continue, price needs to remain above the 200-day MA if we get any pullback in price. USD/CAD Daily Chart, October 14, 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Dropping down to the four-hour chart and you can see that we have just had a bearish engulfing candle close. Together with the daily hovering near overbought territory (it was in overbought territory when USD/CAD was at its daily high) could lead to a slightly deeper pullback. If this does materialize, the swing low at 1.39840 is very close to the 200-day MA on the daily timeframe, which rests around Thus a hold above this level may be the sign for those would be bulls looking to get involved. USD/CAD Four-Hour Chart, October 14, 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Economic Data Ahead The US Government shutdown remains in effect and thus data from a US perspective remains out of reach. There is also a lack of high impact data from Canada this week with a speech by Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem the highlight. This could leave the technicals as a major driver for price moves while trade war developments between the US and China will also play a role. Next week is much more interesting. We get the releases of key inflation data from the US & Canada. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. Client Sentiment Data - USD/CAD Looking at OANDA client sentiment data and market participants are short on USDCAD with 75% of traders net-short. I prefer to take a contrarian view toward crowd sentiment and thus the fact that so many traders are short means USD/CAD prices could rise in the near-term. Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Veteran chartist Peter Brandt has shifted his view on XRP, moving from a short-lived bearish stance to a more positive outlook as the token tries to recover from a sharp market drop. According to recent reports, XRP fell to $1.55 Friday, Oct. 10 during the sell-off, then bounced back into the mid-$2 range as traders reassessed the situation. Brandt Revises Technical Take Brandt shared a long-term weekly chart covering 2013 to 2025. The chart shows years of sideways action that formed large triangle shapes before big moves. Between 2014 and 2017, XRP was held inside a symmetrical triangle and then broke out in March 2017, which preceded a run up to $3.30 by January 2018. That historical backdrop is being used now as a roadmap by some traders who see patterns repeating. Brandt’s recent update came after he had earlier listed XRP among possible short targets; he later said he closed his short for a profit and has since turned bullish. Channel Pattern After The Breakout Data shows a break above the triangle took place during the November 2024 rally. After that move, XRP entered a parallel channel where prices moved back and forth. The crash around Oct. 10 pushed XRP down to test the lower line of that channel, and the rebound has been built off that same support. At one point Brandt had XRP trading near $2.64, under its one-week simple moving average of $2.83, and it has been reported to have corrected further to about $2.55 at press time. Market strength is still thin; the Average Directional Index sits at 21.5, which points to a trend that is forming but not yet strong. On-Chain Signal Shows Traders Selling At A Loss Based on reports from Xaif Crypto, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for XRP dropped to a level last seen six months ago. That drop indicates many holders sold at a loss during the crash. Market watchers say a fall in SOPR can mark capitulation and sometimes precedes a recovery if buyers step in. During the sell-off, XRP slid nearly 44% from $2.8 to roughly $1.58, according to trading data, but it has since climbed back toward the $2.5 region as sellers have been absorbed. Key Levels To Watch A weekly close above $3 would be seen as proof of renewed strength. Resistance around $3.6 lines up with a July 2025 peak and could stall gains. Support is marked by the breakout zone and a rising trendline that runs from about $0.8 to $1.5. If those supports break, XRP could move lower toward the $1 area before stabilizing. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

The Blockchain Recovery Investment Consortium (BRIC), a partnership between GXD Labs and VanEck, announced on Tuesday a significant development in Celsius’ bankruptcy case. Tether (USDT) has agreed to pay a major amount to the crypto lender’s bankruptcy estate following an adversary proceeding that was initiated last year. Tether Settles Billion Dollar Lawsuit This settlement marks a significant milestone in the ongoing legal saga surrounding Celsius, which filed for bankruptcy in July 2022. Celsius had previously accused Tether of mishandling collateral and liquidations, claiming 39,542 BTC (approximately $4.3 billion at the time) along with an additional $100 million in damages, which constituted their largest third-party claim. As previously reported by Bitcoinist, Celsius asserted that Tether’s actions exemplified a broader “scheme to exploit the US cryptocurrency market,” a position they believed could support jurisdiction in this case. In response to the allegations, Tether characterized the lawsuit as a “shake down,” asserting that Celsius was responsible for providing additional collateral in light of fluctuating Bitcoin prices at the time. Tether maintained that Celsius’s mismanagement should not result in undue costs for them. Significant Return For Celsius Bankruptcy Creditors Ultimately, the settlement allows Tether to resolve the matter for a fraction of the initial amount claimed by Celsius, with nearly $300 million expected to be recovered, providing a notable return for creditors involved in the bankruptcy proceedings. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino also commented on the settlement on social media site X (formerly Twitter), stating, “Tether is pleased to have reached a settlement of all issues related to the Celsius bankruptcy.” David Proman, Managing Partner of GXD Labs, also expressed satisfaction with the resolution. “We are pleased to have resolved Celsius’s adversary proceeding and related claims against Tether,” he stated. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin continues to trade with high volatility following Friday’s brutal crash that sent prices as low as $103,000. Over the weekend, the market has struggled to find a clear direction, with bulls and bears locked in a tense battle around the $115,000 level. Sentiment remains divided — some analysts expect a consolidation phase before another leg higher, while others warn of a deeper correction if selling pressure intensifies. Adding to the uncertainty, new data from on-chain analytics firm Lookonchain has revealed massive withdrawals by wallets linked to Matrixport, a major crypto financial services platform. The move has sparked heavy speculation across the market, with investors debating whether this represents institutional accumulation, treasury reallocation, or preparation for potential selling. Matrixport, founded by former Bitmain co-founder Jihan Wu, is known for managing large-scale digital asset operations. As such, its actions often draw attention from analysts tracking institutional flows. For now, Bitcoin remains in a delicate position — consolidating near support, while large-scale whale movements keep traders on edge. Institutions Adjust Positions as Market Enters Choppy Phase As Bitcoin struggles to reclaim its recent all-time highs above $125,000, institutional activity has started to reflect a more cautious tone. The market appears to be entering a choppy, directionless phase — one defined by profit-taking, reallocation, and controlled derisking rather than panic. Long-term holders, who have accumulated substantial gains throughout the year, are beginning to trim positions, locking in profits as volatility remains elevated and macroeconomic uncertainty grows. The recent Matrixport activity fits neatly into this broader institutional trend. On-chain data from Lookonchain revealed that wallets linked to Matrixport withdrew 4,000 BTC (roughly $454 million) from Binance within 20 hours, a move that quickly caught the attention of traders and analysts. Such large transfers from exchanges are typically interpreted as a sign of strategic repositioning — either moving assets to custody, deploying them for institutional clients, or reallocating capital in response to shifting market dynamics. This follows a pattern seen across major crypto players in recent weeks. Institutional entities appear to be rotating funds, managing risk more proactively, and rebalancing exposure amid the heightened volatility triggered by Friday’s market crash. The broader context suggests not an exodus, but rather a strategic phase of recalibration. In essence, the Matrixport withdrawal underscores a market in transition — one where large players are still active but far more selective. As Bitcoin hovers between $113K and $118K, the coming days could define whether this cautious accumulation transforms into renewed confidence or if continued derisking keeps BTC trapped in consolidation before its next decisive move. Bitcoin Price Analysis: Consolidation Deepens After Rejection Bitcoin continues to show signs of weakness after failing to reclaim the $117,500 resistance level — a key zone that has now acted as a rejection point multiple times over the past months. The daily chart shows BTC trading around $111,800, down roughly 3% in the last 24 hours, as volatility remains elevated following last week’s sharp correction. The 50-day moving average (blue line) has started to flatten, signaling a potential short-term shift in momentum, while the 100-day MA (green line) is acting as dynamic support near $111,000. A decisive breakdown below this area could expose Bitcoin to a deeper correction toward the 200-day MA (red line), currently sitting around $106,000 — a level that has historically served as a strong accumulation zone. On the upside, bulls must reclaim $117,500 to regain control and reestablish a bullish structure. However, the repeated failures to sustain above this range reflect growing indecision and possible profit-taking by institutions and long-term holders. The market appears to be consolidating within a broad range, with traders awaiting confirmation of direction. A clean push above $117,500 would open the door for recovery, while a close below $110,000 could increase bearish momentum in the short term. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Boa tarde, traders. O Presidente do Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, acaba de entregar um discurso denso e de imensa importância, realizando um delicado ato de equilíbrio que tenta acalmar os mercados de liquidez enquanto mantém uma postura firme contra a inflação. A manchete principal, e o sinal mais claro de uma grande virada na política monetária, é que o programa de aperto quantitativo (QT), que drena liquidez do sistema, pode ser encerrado "nos próximos meses". No entanto, o discurso também veio carregado de alertas sobre os riscos de uma inflação persistente e os perigos de agir "rápido demais" no corte de juros. 1. O Fim do QT: A Validação da Tese de Liquidez Este anúncio é a validação oficial da nossa tese de que o sistema financeiro não suporta mais o dreno de liquidez. Como alertamos, com as reservas bancárias em níveis críticos, o fim do QT se tornou uma necessidade técnica, não uma escolha de política. Powell admitiu que, no momento, "não há um caminho sem riscos" para a política monetária, reconhecendo o dilema estagflacionário que o Fed enfrenta. Minha Análise: A mensagem de Powell sobre o QT é um sinal "dovish" (brando) inequívoco. É o reconhecimento de que a fragilidade do sistema financeiro exige uma mudança de curso, independentemente dos dados de inflação de curto prazo. 2. O Alerta Inflacionário e a "Cegueira" do Shutdown Para equilibrar o sinal dovish do QT, Powell adotou um tom duro em relação à inflação. Ele alertou que "a inflação ainda está subindo" e que o efeito das novas tarifas de importação pode parecer uma "inflação sustentável", complicando o cenário. Afirmou que agir "rápido demais" nos cortes de juros poderia deixar o trabalho de combate à inflação inacabado. Confirmou que, devido ao "shutdown" do governo, o Fed está "começando a perder dados estatísticos", o que torna a tomada de decisões uma tarefa muito mais complexa. Minha Análise: Esta é a tentativa de Powell de gerenciar as expectativas. Enquanto o fim do QT é uma vitória para os mercados, ele está sinalizando que os cortes de juros podem ser mais lentos do que muitos esperam. Ele está preso entre a necessidade de fornecer liquidez (encerrando o QT) e o medo de alimentar a inflação (sendo cauteloso com os cortes de juros). 3. Implicações de Mercado e a Grande Notícia Cripto Ouro (XAU/USD): O cenário é extremamente positivo. O fim do QT é uma forma de flexibilização monetária e o sinal mais forte de que o Fed priorizará a estabilidade do sistema. Isso reforça a tese de alta estrutural para o ouro para o médio e longo prazo. No curto prazo, deve-se tomar atenção em fluxos de ofertas de preço, porquê os bancos podem forçar o preço obter oferta para que eles ingressem mais. Dólar (USD): Estruturalmente negativo. O fim do encolhimento do balanço do Fed, combinado com os cortes de juros, confirma a trajetória de baixa para o dólar. Enquanto o Fed domina as manchetes, uma notícia estruturalmente otimista para o mercado cripto surgiu hoje. Foi apresentado no congresso americano o "The Retirement Investment Choice Act", um projeto de lei que visa solidificar o decreto de Trump que permite a inclusão de criptomoedas nos planos de aposentadoria 401(k). Minha Análise: Este é um passo gigantesco. Ele abre legalmente as portas para que uma parte do mercado de aposentadoria americano, de US$ 9 trilhões, possa fluir para ativos como o Bitcoin, criando um canal para uma demanda de longo prazo e de grande escala. Conclusão de Igor Pereira O dia nos deixa com duas mensagens claras. Do Fed, temos a confirmação de que o aperto de liquidez via QT está terminando. Do lado regulatório, vemos as portas se abrindo para uma nova e massiva fonte de capital para as criptomoedas. O dilema estagflacionário é real, mas a resposta das autoridades, como sempre, parece ser a mesma: garantir o fluxo de liquidez. Preparem-se. Você agora entende o dilema de Powell e a grande notícia para o mercado. Mas a pergunta mais importante para um trader é: "Como eu opero isso na prática?" No ExpertFX Club, nós respondemos a essa pergunta. Transformamos a análise macro em planos de trade, com níveis, gatilhos e gerenciamento de risco. Tenha acesso à minha visão completa e às estratégias que não compartilho publicamente. Eleve sua análise. Eleve seus resultados. Junte-se à nossa comunidade, acesse o site " https://expertfx.club/ " e conheça.

First Quantum Minerals (TSX: FM) has pushed back against claims that its La Granja copper project in northern Peru is stalled due to public opposition, calling the allegations outdated and misleading. The comments come in response to a study by GEM Mining Consulting, which suggests the project remains “blocked by public distrust.” First Quantum responded this week, stating La Granja is progressing “decisively and transparently” under strict environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards. The company noted that GEM’s study relies on community opposition sources that are nearly two decades old and no longer reflect the current state of the project or its relationship with local stakeholders. La Granja, a joint venture between First Quantum (55%) and Rio Tinto (45%), sits in the district of Querocoto, Cajamarca. The project entered a new development phase in September 2023, focusing on advanced exploration and in-depth technical and socio-environmental studies. With an inferred mineral resource of 4.32 billion tonnes at 0.51% copper and room for further expansion, the site is viewed as a major copper asset. First Quantum highlighted ongoing regulatory inspections by Peruvian authorities, none of which have identified non-compliance. It also cited its participatory environmental monitoring program, which includes local community representatives. ESIA in the works The miner described its relationship with surrounding communities as strong, pointing to local employment, use of regional suppliers, and a permanent community information office in Querocoto. According to First Quantum, perception studies show that a majority of residents view La Granja favourably and consider it a key driver of regional development. Support from local, regional and national authorities further reinforces the project’s strategic importance to Peru’s economy, the company added. The miner said part of its $546 million initial funding is being invested on an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA), which is expected to be completed in the next two years. “La Granja is a model of responsible mining where agriculture, livestock, and mining coexist harmoniously,” First Quantum said. “Far from being ‘blocked,’ the project continues to advance, grounded in dialogue, trust, and environmental stewardship.”

The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has ended, but the recent decline in the euro has required an adjustment of the wave count. We now see a series of three-wave structures a–b–c, which may be part of the larger wave 4 within the overall uptrend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unusually extended form, but the wave pattern as a whole remains coherent. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background mostly supports currencies other than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Federal Reserve also persists. The market's dovish expectations regarding the Fed rate are growing. Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown continues. The market has given a rather low assessment of the results of Trump's first 7–8 months in office, even though economic growth in the second quarter reached nearly 4%. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not yet complete. Its potential targets extend up to the 1.25 area. Based on this, the euro may continue to decline for some time, even without any clear reasons for it (as seen over the past two weeks). However, the wave structure will remain consistent. The EUR/USD pair declined by several dozen more points on Tuesday and could lose much more by the end of the day — even without relevant news. Lately, the pair has been trading entirely under the influence of a corrective wave pattern. Until recently, I did not believe that the market would continue to increase demand for the dollar given the current news background — but you live and learn. Even if the trend segment that began on July 1 is not wave 4, we are still observing the formation of a sequence of three-wave structures. Therefore, we should in any case expect the current structure to complete. At present, it is in the process of forming wave c, which could even end below the August 1 low at 1.1391. Based on this analysis, it can be concluded that the euro may easily lose another 150–200 points in value. The market is clearly taking advantage of the absence of U.S. economic data to benefit the dollar — no statistics, no problems. Once the shutdown ends and all delayed reports are released, it is possible that the formation of the upward trend will resume. For now, my readers can only watch events unfold. Personally, I still do not consider selling, as this would go against the current news background. Even though the political crisis in France has already been resolved, the euro continues to decline. General ConclusionsBased on the EUR/USD analysis, I conclude that the pair continues to form an upward trend segment. The wave structure still depends heavily on the news background related to Trump's decisions and the foreign and domestic policies of the new White House administration. The targets for the current trend segment may extend up to the 1.25 level. At present, we appear to be witnessing the formation of corrective wave 4, which is nearing completion but has taken on a complex and extended form. Therefore, in the near term, I still consider buying positions only. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to 1.2245, corresponding to 200.0% on the Fibonacci scale. On a smaller scale, the entire upward segment is clearly visible. The wave structure is not perfectly standard, as the corrective waves differ in size — for example, the larger wave 2 is smaller than the inner wave 2 within wave 3. However, this also happens. I would like to remind readers that it is best to identify clear and readable structures on charts rather than trying to label every single wave. The current upward structure raises few doubts. Main Principles of My Analysis Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often change unexpectedly.If you are unsure about the market situation, it is better to stay out.Absolute certainty about market direction never exists. Always use Stop Loss protective orders.Wave analysis can and should be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Today, the Japanese yen is leading amid concerns about possible interventions. Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato noted that recently there have been one-sided and sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate, emphasizing the importance of stable currency movements that reflect the economy's fundamentals. This has supported the yen, although political uncertainty could limit its gains. Last week, the long-standing LDP–Komeito coalition unexpectedly collapsed, as newly elected LDP leader Sanae Takaichi awaits a parliamentary vote to confirm her as Japan's first female prime minister. The breakup means Takaichi will need support from other parties to advance her key initiatives. Nevertheless, growing political uncertainty could create challenges for the Bank of Japan regarding further rate hikes and may weaken the yen. In addition, optimism triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to reconsider his stance on Chinese tariffs has been another factor discouraging investment in safe-haven currencies. Trump softened his rhetoric, having earlier threatened to impose additional 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1, and stated on Truth Social that the U.S. does not wish to harm China. He noted that both nations aim to avoid economic losses, which has eased fears of a trade war between the world's two largest economies. The U.S. dollar remains in a familiar range, trading near the month's high, which also helps the USD/JPY pair avoid global losses. However, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve may limit further dollar strength and the pair's upward potential. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in October and December stands at about 97% and 90%, respectively. Meanwhile, traders are also pricing in the likelihood of rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, given persistent inflation and solid economic data. The U.S. government shutdown has now entered its third week, as the budget impasse continues. From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair is struggling to hold off a decline. However, positive oscillators on the daily chart suggest potential for further upside. Buying above the round level of 152.00 could lift the pair toward 152.70–152.75, and a breakout above that would confirm a bullish outlook, pushing spot prices toward 153.00, allowing a retest of the eight-month high near 153.25–153.30, seen last Friday. On the other hand, a drop below 151.56 could attract buyers near 151.15 (Friday's swing low), followed by the psychological level of 151.00. A decisive break below 151.00 would leave USD/JPY vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward the psychological level of 150.00, with intermediate support around 150.70. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Today, the GBP/JPY pair is attracting aggressive intraday sellers following yesterday's rally and the rise during the Asian session to the 203.55 level. This comes amid the overall strengthening of the Japanese yen. Weak U.K. employment data suggest that the Bank of England will likely continue cutting interest rates, as signs of economic slowdown increase the likelihood of further monetary easing. Moreover, solid demand for the yen is putting downward pressure on the GBP/JPY pair, curbing its upward momentum. Recent remarks from Japan's Finance Minister, Katsunobu Kato, about possible sharp fluctuations in the foreign exchange market have heightened speculation that the authorities may be ready to intervene to prevent further yen weakness. Combined with renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China, this reinforces the yen's role as a safe-haven currency and serves as a key factor weighing on the GBP/JPY cross. However, a broad-based yen rally still seems unlikely, given concerns that domestic political difficulties could hinder the Bank of Japan's ability to raise interest rates further. Last week, the coalition between the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito unexpectedly collapsed, creating uncertainty about support for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in her bid to become Japan's first female premier and implement her priority policy reforms. In addition, the prevailing risk-on sentiment in global markets may discourage traders from aggressively buying the yen, thereby limiting GBP/JPY's downside. Under such conditions, it makes sense to wait for signs of active selling below the key 202.00 level before opening new short positions. From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart remain positive, prices are holding above the 202.00 round level, and the pair is trading above the 9-day EMA, while the 9-day EMA lies above the 14-day EMA, confirming a positive outlook for the pair. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The price test of 151.95 in the first half of the day occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for buying the U.S. dollar. As a result, the pair rose by 20 points. During the U.S. session, data on the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index will be released. Although this macroeconomic indicator might appear insignificant, it can still influence currency market dynamics — particularly for risk-sensitive assets. The NFIB index, reflecting the sentiment of small business owners, provides valuable insights into the outlook for U.S. economic growth. A decline in optimism in this sector may signal emerging problems in the economy, prompting investors to shift toward safer assets, traditionally including the U.S. dollar. This effect would be especially pronounced amid the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future policy direction. In fact, these are precisely the prospects traders hope to hear about today from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose speech is scheduled for later in the day. Expectations of further monetary easing — if supported by weak small business sentiment data — could significantly weaken the dollar's position against the yen. As for the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today when the price reaches the entry point around 152.14 (green line on the chart), with a target of rising to 152.76 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 152.76, I plan to close buy positions and open sell positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 point reversal from that level. The pair's upward movement may continue as part of the prevailing bullish trend.Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today if the price tests 151.89 twice in a row, at a moment when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and trigger an upward market reversal. Growth can be expected toward the opposite levels of 152.14 and 152.76. Sell Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today after the level of 151.89 (red line on the chart) is updated, which will likely lead to a quick decline in the pair. The main target for sellers will be 151.25, where I plan to exit sell positions and immediately open buys in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point reversal from the level). Selling pressure on the pair may return if Fed officials adopt a dovish tone.Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just beginning to move downward from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today if the price tests 152.14 twice in a row, at a moment when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and cause a downward market reversal. A decline can be expected toward the opposite levels of 151.89 and 151.25. Chart Legend: Thin green line – Entry price for buying the trading instrument;Thick green line – Approximate level for placing Take Profit or manually fixing profit, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – Entry price for selling the trading instrument;Thick red line – Approximate level for placing Take Profit or manually fixing profit, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – When entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should make trading decisions with great caution. Before the release of key fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp exchange rate fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you don't apply money management principles and trade with large volumes. And remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions, based solely on current market conditions, are inherently a losing strategy for any intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Crypto exchange Changelly has predicted when the Shiba Inu price could delete three extra zeros and rally to as high as $0.01. Based on the prediction, the top meme coin is still over a decade away from achieving this milestone, even as it currently underperforms in this market cycle. When The Shiba Inu Price Could Hit $0.01 Changelly predicted in a blog post that the Shiba Inu price could reach $0.01 by September 2040. Specifically, they highlighted $0.0106 as the maximum price that SHIB could reach by then. Meanwhile, the crypto exchange projects that the meme coin could still reach $0.0139 by year-end 2040, highlighting that price level as the maximum for December 2040. The crypto exchange also expects the Shiba Inu price to record further upside from that level, predicting that the meme coin could reach a maximum price of $0.0177 by year-end 2050. This marks a gain of 160809.1% from the meme coin’s current price level. The SHIB burn is one of the mechanisms the SHIB community has adopted to achieve the $0.01 target for the meme coin. The Shiba Inu burn tracker explained that reducing the number of tokens in circulation could increase the Shiba Inu price over time. The platform added that the community’s goal is to raise the meme coin’s price to $0.01. According to the Shiba Inu burn tracker, SHIB’s circulating supply needs to be 224 trillion for it to get to this price target. Therefore, 61.98% of the meme coin’s circulating supply must be removed from circulation, representing 589.5 trillion tokens. SHIB currently has a circulating supply of 589.24 trillion, indicating there is still a long way to go before the meme coin reaches its 224 trillion target. However, the meme coin would also have to witness significant demand for these burns to have an impact on the Shiba Inu price. A Recovery Is On The Cards For SHIB Crypto analyst Javon Marks stated that a more than 150% recovery move to $0.000032 is on the cards for the Shiba Inu price based on a bullish divergence that has formed for the meme coin. This comes as SHIB continues to struggle, with the meme coin one of the top altcoins with a year-to-date (YTD) loss. Crypto analyst SHIB Knight said that the first target for the Shiba Inu price as part of its recovery is $0.00001209, which is the former accumulation zone. The analyst noted that when the market turns positive, SHIB is often among the first to recover. He claimed that this is mainly because of the strength of the SHIB Army. At the time of writing, the Shiba Inu price is trading at around $0.00001065, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3325 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 points. A sharp increase in the number of unemployment benefit claims and in the unemployment rate in the U.K. led to a sell-off of the pound. Investors reacted instantly, alarmed by signs of a slowdown in economic growth. The data published by the Office for National Statistics caused some turbulence. In particular, the rise in jobless claims pointed to potential issues in the labor market, intensifying concerns about consumer spending and the overall economic health of the U.K. The Bank of England now finds itself in a difficult position. On one hand, the regulator must curb inflation, which remains high; on the other, high interest rates could further worsen the labor market situation. During the U.S. session, data from the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index will be released, which may increase pressure on the British pound. However, weak optimism figures could also signal a slowdown in U.S. economic growth — which, in turn, could trigger a sell-off of the U.S. dollar. Market participants will also be closely watching speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Any indications that the Fed plans to continue aggressive rate hikes could further strengthen the dollar and add pressure on the pound sterling. As for the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to buy the pound today when the price reaches the entry point around 1.3284 (green line on the chart), with a target of rising to 1.3335 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3335, I plan to close buy positions and open sell positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 point pullback from that level. A strong rally in the pound is unlikely today.Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pound if the price tests 1.3257 twice in a row, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and trigger an upward market reversal. Growth can be expected toward the opposite levels of 1.3284 and 1.3335. Sell Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the pound today after the level of 1.3257 (red line on the chart) is updated, which will lead to a quick decline in the pair. The main target for sellers will be 1.3215, where I plan to exit sales and immediately open buy positions in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point reversal from the level). The pound could fall sharply in the second half of the day.Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just beginning to decline from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound today if the price tests 1.3284 twice in a row, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.3257 and 1.3215 can be expected. Chart Legend: Thin green line – Entry price for buying the trading instrument;Thick green line – Estimated level for placing Take Profit or manually locking in profit, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – Entry price for selling the trading instrument;Thick red line – Estimated level for placing Take Profit or manually locking in profit, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – When entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should make market entry decisions with great caution. Before the release of key fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, such as the one I've outlined above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are, by nature, a losing strategy for any intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro The price test of 1.1578 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell toward the target level of 1.1558. Weak data from eurozone countries triggered a drop in the euro. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for Germany and the eurozone turned out worse than economists' forecasts, which became a trigger for new short positions. Recession risks in the eurozone, reinforced by the ZEW data, caused a chain reaction in the financial world. The European Central Bank faces a difficult dilemma: on one hand, it needs to stimulate the economy; on the other, it must restrain inflation, which could easily rise above the target level. During the U.S. trading session, only the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index will be of interest. The main focus is on the speeches of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and FOMC member Christopher Waller. Market participants are eagerly awaiting statements from senior officials of the U.S. regulator—especially given the absence of key fundamental data due to the U.S. government shutdown. Will the Fed maintain its dovish stance on rate cuts to stimulate economic growth, or will it take a more cautious approach? The answers to these questions may significantly influence the behavior of financial markets in the short term. It is expected that Powell and Waller will clarify the Fed's position on the current inflation level, the labor market situation, and future economic prospects. Particular attention will be paid to any hints of potential changes in monetary policy. As for the intraday strategy, I will rely primarily on Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: Buy the euro today when the price reaches around 1.1565 (green line on the chart), aiming for growth toward 1.1599. At 1.1599, I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, expecting a move of 30–35 points from the entry point. An upward movement in the euro today is likely only after dovish statements from Fed officials.Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the euro if the price tests 1.1549 twice in a row, at the moment when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a market reversal upward. Growth toward the opposite levels of 1.1565 and 1.1599 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the euro after reaching the level of 1.1549 (red line on the chart). The target is 1.1513, where I plan to exit the market and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point move in the opposite direction). Selling pressure on the pair may return at any time today.Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just beginning to decline from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the euro if the price tests 1.1565 twice in a row, at the moment when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.1549 and 1.1513 can be expected. Chart Legend: Thin green line – Entry price for buying the instrument;Thick green line – Estimated level for setting Take Profit or manually fixing profit, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – Entry price for selling the instrument;Thick red line – Estimated level for setting Take Profit or manually fixing profit, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – When entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should make entry decisions with extreme caution. Before the release of important fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you don't use money management and trade with large volumes. And remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, such as the one presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on current market conditions are a losing strategy for an intraday trader from the start. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Fitch Solutions’ BMI has raised its 2025 average copper price forecast to $9,650 per tonne, up from $9,500 previously, as persistent supply disruptions and resilient industrial demand continue to support the market. Copper prices have averaged $9,609 per tonne, but are currently trading above $10,000 per tonne due to a confluence of macro factors. Chief amongst those are US interest rate cuts, which BMI predicts will spur manufacturing and investment activity into 2026, creating a tailwind for industrial metals. However, it also cautions that geopolitical tensions—particularly the renewed US-China trade confrontations—could cap further gains through 2026. Clean energy driving demand According to BMI, China remains the dominant driver of global copper consumption, though its property sector continues to weigh on near-term growth. The firm expects China’s GDP to expand 4.8% in 2025, slightly below target, as manufacturing PMIs hover below the expansion threshold. Still, the country’s green-energy expansion has sharply lifted physical demand for the red metal, it adds. Solar capacity surged by 212 GW in the first half of 2025, nearly doubling year on year, while electric-vehicle (EV) sales rose 33% to 5.4 million units in the same period. This renewable and EV boom has driven Shanghai Futures Exchange copper inventories to multi-year lows—from 160,800 tonnes in March to just 26,800 tonnes by end-September, BMI notes. Globally, London Metal Exchange stocks fell by half over 2025 to nearly 140,000 tonnes, as much of its inventory had been exported into the US in anticipation of sectoral tariffs on the metal. On the Comex, copper stocks are sitting at 329,900 tonnes due to this front-loading. Impact of mine disruptions On the supply side, BMI believes copper prices will remain underpinned by a wave of supply disruptions across major producers. A mud-flow disaster in September at Freeport-McMoRan’s Grasberg mine, the second-largest globally, has led to its force majeure and a 35% reduction in its projected 2026 output. In Chile, the production decline is also profound, with state-owned miner Codelco’s output dropping 25% year-on-year in August to a 20-year low of 93,400 tonnes after an incident at El Teniente, the world’s largest underground copper mine. The Collahuasi mine, jointly owned by Anglo American and Glencore, also saw its output drop 27%, and both companies have revised 2025–2026 production targets downward. Teck Resources, meanwhile, has cut its 2025 forecast at Quebrada Blanca to 170,000–190,000 tonnes, well below earlier guidance. That said, BMI still expects global refined copper output to rise 2.4% in 2025, largely driven by China, but constrained by limited concentrate availability. Consequently, the firm forecasts a smaller global surplus this year compared with 2024. Long-term outlook Looking further ahead, BMI sees a “significant pipeline of new projects” to bring additional copper to the market in the coming decade, but the supply growth will be increasingly outpaced by demand. Citing IEA data, the research team highlights that each battery-electric vehicle contains over 50 kg of copper—more than twice that of conventional cars—and renewable installations such as offshore wind require up to 8 tonnes per megawatt As such, the firm projects copper prices to reach $17,000 per tonne by 2034, as chronic supply deficits emerge amid accelerating electrification and clean-energy infrastructure build-out.

Published overnight, the latest UK labor market data has raised several red flags for the economy, signaling a possible shift in the broader macro outlook. Persistent inflation pressures constrain the Bank of England’s rate-cut path, leaving the BoE with the second-highest policy rate among OECD economies, just behind the Federal Reserve at 4%. (FYI Fed Chair Powell will be speaking here for those interested) Bank of England rate odds – October 14, 2025 – Source: LSEG If everything stays as it is, it would support the GBP (and has done so for the first half of 2025), but some challenges are appearing ahead. Earlier in the year, the pound’s strength was supported by solid employment and wage growth. However, the long-term effects of Brexit—notably on food inflation—are weighing on household spending, with a UK resilience now looking increasingly fragile. The latest jobs report showed slower pay growth and a weaker jobs market, reigniting stagflation concerns. The BoE now faces a dilemma: cutting rates risks fueling inflation, while holding steady could deepen the slowdown in employment and growth. This uncertainty is pressuring the pound. Let’s take a closer look at the technical levels and technical setups for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY to see how that translates to the charts Read More: WTI Oil tumbles as US-China trade tensions flare up againUS-China trade war scare: What happened Friday and where things stand nowGBP/USD 8H Chart and levels GBP/USD 8H Chart – October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView The Pound had fallen to new bi-monthly lows after the labor report but some contradicting price action is appearing ahead. A double bottom has show its face with some small bullish divergence. In the context of the ongoing broad US dollar selloff that started this morning, it will be interesting to see who wins the tug-of-weakness between the two. Now just crossing back above the 1.33 psychological level, back 600 pips from the overnight lows, there are two levels to keep you eyes on: To the upside, the 1.3350 to 1.3360 pre-data zone that comes at a confluence with the channel's upper bound. A break above could relaunch a more bullish GBP demand. A retest of the 1.3248 to 1.3260 daily lows would mark another sign of weakness for the pound: Watch for a break if traders bring GBP/USD back there again. In the current contradicting context, some rangebound conditions appear overall. Levels of interest for GBP/USD trading: Resistance Levels 1.34 Support Zone now key pivot1.3350 to 1.3360 daily highs and channel upper boundPivot now resistance 1.3450 to 1.34650Main Resistance zone around 1.35Support Levels Pivotal Support 1.3260-1.331.32486 overnight lowsS2 1.3170 - 1.318501.3140 August 1 lowsGBP/JPY 8H Chart and levels GBP/JPY 8H Chart – October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView In our most recent (now a bit out-dated) GBP/JPY analysis, we explored how the 200.00 level was defended by sellers which they had used as resistance to sell the pair. However, fundamentals changed quite largely for the yen throughout the beginning of August, particularly as it comes to Japanese politics: The newly elected LDP leader (governing party in Japan) has scared markets on a bad fiscal outlook which quickly undone any yen strength. This was a goldmine for GBP/JPY bulls. However, with the current state of markets, the balance seems to be tilting yet again. Growth sentiment is getting highly affected by the US-China trade tensions and this helps the safe-haven yen. As expected for the most volatile FX pair, there has been some intense swings in that period – Looking at the current course of action, the 8H momentum is hanging around neutral. Traders may look at the downward trendline to spot where flows can head next, with the 201.27 level acting as a key level to observe for upcoming action. Levels of interest for GBP/JPY trading: Support Levels: 201.27 pre-Bank of Japan highs and overnight lows200.00 psychological levelMain Pivot (previously resistance) 199.00 to 200.00Intermediate Support 195.00 to 196.85Resistance Levels: July 2024 downward pivot 203.00Downward trendline at 202.95Post-Election highs 205.33208.120 July 2024 highs Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

As the crypto market is resting in the emergency room, traders are wondering if ETH USD will see a new ATH in 2025. What does this massive sell-off and liquidation event mean for the rest of this bull-run? With .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Ethereum ETH $4,147.37 4.26% Ethereum ETH Price $4,147.37 4.26% /24h Volume in 24h $48.93B Price 7d Crypto Caesar is a trader who has been around for a while and today we will also consider his analysis. For him it seems like $3800 is an important support level. Will it hold? Before reading further, please catch up with my previous ETH USD analysis. DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 ETH USD Support Holding: Will ATH Come Soon? (Source – Tradingview, ETHUSD) To answer that question, we will first look at the Weekly chart. We are still within the 2021 ATH and 2023 support levels. A very broad range, though justified by huge volatility. LTF traders can be seriously hurt trading such a price action. RSI is getting reset back down and price is above all three Moving Averages. And we have effectively ranged above 2024’s highs, potentially accumulating for a break above $5,000. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 (Source – Tradingview, ETHUSD) Next, we would like to analyse the 1D chart. Essentially, price has been ranging above $4,000 for three months. Some investors, like Tom Lee’s BitMine keep buying Ethereum with full conviction. Potentially some of the long wick was filled by them. RSI here has been in the low levels, which leaves plenty of room for a run. Price dropped down to Key Support (what a great entry) and is currently underneath MA50 and MA100. DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 Low Timeframe Analysis And Concluding Thoughts (Source – Tradingview, ETHUSD) On this final chart – the Low Timeframe 4h – we can see some good insight into what led to the big sell-off. Actually TA analysts could’ve see some warning signs. We have a MSB, followed by a retest and rejection from bearish orderblock with a Bearish Engulfing candle leading into the sell off. It turned out to be a great short entry! Currently we are underneath all Moving Averages. So, will ETH USD see a new ATH soon? Traders are hopeful. We still have not seen capital rotation from BTC to major L1’s. This sell off could be the start though. And for Altseason to commence, ETH needs to get its act together and break above that bearish orderblock. Until then, it is range bound. Stay safe out there! DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Update ETH USD Still Rangebound: When New ATH? Beautiful 1W chart with break and retest of 2024 High RSI on 1D looks reset and ready to grow Price wick’d to second support at $3350 and bounced back quickly ETH USD needs to reclaim $4800 before hopes for new ATH. The post ETH USD Still Rangebound: When New ATH? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Ostium Labs’ Market Outlook #55 argues that Bitcoin’s higher-timeframe bull structure survived last week’s volatility and now points “back to the highs,” provided spot holds above $107,000. “Whilst we trade above $107k, I think the next move is back to the highs, with $112k likely to act as local support,” the note states, adding that the firm still expects price to trade into “that confluence of overhead resistance at $133k by month-end.” The team frames last week’s deleveraging as the “great reset,” contending that the largest liquidation event in crypto history removed excess leverage without breaking weekly structure. On the weekly chart, no major support was lost and the wick down to roughly $107,000 was reclaimed into a $115,000 close, which Ostium reads as confirmation that momentum remains bullish on higher timeframes. Invalidation is precise: “A weekly close below last week’s low is now the obvious invalidation… close through $107k… and we have a more pressing concern, where we undoubtedly then trade into $99k.” On the daily, Ostium notes a classic sweep-and-reversal sequence. Price twice tagged the prior range high near $126.3k, failed to hold above $123.8k, and then “collapsed,” ultimately wicking into the 200-day moving average—an area the desk had flagged as a likely terminal level for any early-October capitulation. The view from here is unambiguous: “Anyone expecting sub-$100k will remain sidelined for a long time—if you didn’t get it on the largest liquidation event in crypto history, I don’t think you’re getting it until we enter a bear market.” Tactical invalidation on this timeframe is a daily close below the 200-DMA, which would put the 360-DMA near $100,000 in play and constitute Ostium’s “line in the sand for a full-blown flip into bear market territory.” Path dependency matters for the upside call. Ostium expects prior highs around $112,000 to act as support and form a higher low, with “acceptance back above ~$116k” setting a rotation to the top of the range at $123.8k and then “price discovery beyond that.” The desk’s near-term timing is surprisingly punchy: “Gun to my head I think we trade $125k by early next week and $133k by month-end.” For traders, the preferred long setup is early-week weakness into $110k–$112k to establish a higher low, using a daily close below $107k (hard stop $105k) as risk, and targeting at least $121k with scope for much higher. A counter-trend short, by contrast, would require a grind up into the $121k confluence, a rejection and daily close back below $118k, and then a fade into the $110k–$112k zone—only if the higher-low hasn’t already formed. Positioning evidence, in Ostium’s view, buttresses the reset-then-extend thesis. The firm highlights obliterated open interest, Binance Net Longs back to “Liberation Day” lows, compressed three-month annualized basis, and fresh liquidation maps for one-week and one-month horizons—all consistent with a cleaner tape for trend continuation. The calendar this week is dense but navigable: a speech-heavy week (Powell, Bailey, Lagarde), the NY Empire State Manufacturing print, the Philadelphia Fed survey, and US Industrial Production. Ostium’s framework treats these events as potential catalysts rather than trend definers; so long as $107,000 holds and $112,000 functions as a springboard, the structural bias remains higher toward $133,000. At the core of the thesis is a binary investor psychology after the purge. “These sorts of events mark turning points: either you are now cemented in your belief that… the bear market has begun… or you are cemented in your belief that the leverage washout gives us the runway for higher for longer prices into Q1 next year,” Ostium writes. The desk is firmly in the latter camp, reiterating that Bitcoin “looks more bullish today than it did at the beginning of last week.” Briefly beyond Bitcoin, Ostium’s cross-asset read tilts supportive for the crypto beta complex if near-term conditions align. For Ethereum, weekly structure “looks nothing like a top,” with a decisive close above trendline resistance and $4,400 expected to trigger an all-time-high breakout; the team believes “ETH trades through $4,950 within 10 days… toward $5,750 in November,” and sees the Q4 low as likely in. On ETH/BTC, the desk calls last week’s flush into 0.0319 a higher-low and anticipates ETH outperformance into year-end, contingent on reclaiming 0.0375 and eventually breaking the trendline—a dynamic that, if realized, could cap BTC dominance without undermining Bitcoin’s own trend. The DXY rally is viewed as late-stage: resistance near 100 and a looming rollover would reduce macro headwinds for risk assets. For US equities, Ostium still expects “higher for longer,” eyeing fresh SPX highs by month-end and a strong November as buyback blackouts end and earnings season progresses; improving equity breadth tends to coincide with constructive crypto flows. Finally, in “OTHERS,” the altcoin index printed a historic wick to the 360-week MA before reclaiming support; with derivatives positioning “utterly decimated,” Ostium now expects a higher local low, a November reclaim of the yearly open near $335bn, and, if confirmed, a push toward cycle and ATH resistance—conditions that usually track with a healthier, less fragile Bitcoin uptrend. Taken together, the desk’s message is consistent across timeframes and assets: the reset did its job, the invalidation is clear at $107,000, $112,000 should be the pivot, and the upside waypoint is $133,000, with the macro calendar more likely to modulate the path than to derail the destination. As Ostium summarizes, “Whilst we trade above $107k… the next move is back to the highs.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,509.

What to Know: Brian Q at Santiment highlights ‘crowd FUD’ as a major driver of bullish surges Crypto market is still largely fear- and emotion-driven Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) could be in a prime position to take advantage of any big $BTC move In 2025, ‘crowd FUD’ is driving the market. The mass panic, fear, uncertainty, and doubt among retail investors in response to political or macro news causes corrections and sharp pullbacks – but within a short time, FUD soon gives way to FOMO. Analysts are beginning to treat it as a potential contrarian indicator: when the crowd is at its most fearful, it may be a signal to buy – and Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is ready to take advantage. Trump’s Tariffs: Catalyst for Panic and Rebound A recent flashpoint occurred when U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on China. The announcement triggered a sharp sell-off across crypto markets as retail investors rushed to exit. But as soon as the markets cooled and officials clarified that the tariffs weren’t set in stone, many of those ‘feared’ positions were covered and prices rebounded. According to Santiment analyst Brian Q, retail traders often act on emotion, moving opposite to where more experienced investors position themselves. In events like these, when panic peaks, institutional or savvy traders see opportunities to scoop up value. A Recurring Pattern in 2025 This event is not unique. Throughout 2025, several political and macro developments have prompted similar cycles of FUD-driven sell-offs and subsequent recoveries. Among them: In April, the first wave of global tariff threats unsettled markets. In June, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East heightened fears. In August, uncertainty over whether the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut rates triggered renewed volatility. Each of these moments saw elevated fear, followed by buyers stepping in once the panic cooled. Survey data underscores this phenomenon. A December 2024 survey of over 1,200 crypto users by Kraken found: 81% of respondents admitted that FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) influenced their investing decisions 63% conceded that emotional decisions harmed their portfolios Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a sentiment gauge ranging from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed), has recently lingered in the fear zone (around 38 or lower). That tracks with the market volatility. Analysts’ Take: Risk and Reward Analysts like Brian Q propose that peaks in crowd FUD can be signals to accumulate, on the logic that panic-driven sell-offs often overshoot fundamentals. The cycle tends to be: News or political shock triggers panic Retail exits en masse Institutional or value-focused investors buy in Fear subsides and prices recover Retail returns, often chasing momentum The timing and depth of rebounds can vary, and what appears to be panic could be rooted in genuine macroeconomic headwinds or regulatory changes. Still, viewing FUD as an opportunity rather than a headwind could be a major step forward, highlighting why downturns are precisely the right time to explore the best new crypto projects. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) could be uniquely positioned to double down on the next FUD-fueled $BTC surge. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Fastest, Cheaper Bitcoin Payments for Next-Gen Crypto Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) takes all of Bitcoin’s weaknesses and turns them into strengths: Lack of scalability? Bitcoin deposited on an SVM-powered canonical bridge becomes wrapped Bitcoin on the Bitcoin Hyper Layer 2. Slow transaction speeds? Bitcoin Hyper allows transactions at Solana’s several thousand TPS, not Bitcoin’s 7 TPS. Low throughput? The SVM boasts high throughput and minimal fees, making microtransactions a practical option. All of those improvements don’t come at the expense of Bitcoin’s natural advantages; you’ll still get the security and stability of Bitcoin with all Hyper transactions finally resolving on the original layer 1. It’s more than just an idea; Bitcoin Hyper’s potential – and the chance to supercharge Bitcoin’s next run – is drawing investors to the presale in droves. Major whale buys include a massive $379K $HYPER purchase, while another investor added their own $32K purchase in the last 24 hours. Learn how to buy Bitcoin Hyper with our guide and see why the $23.5M presale could just be the beginning of $HYPER’s story. Tokens currently cost $0.013115, but that price won’t last. Our price prediction indicates that the token may reach $0.02595 by the end of the year. Be sure to visit the Bitcoin Hyper presale page for the latest information. If crowd sentiment is becoming a driver of crypto market flow, then political events, tariff policy shifts, central bank decisions, and regulatory noise will likely continue to be focal points. Monitoring measures such as the Fear & Greed Index, social media sentiment, and institutional inflows can help anticipate when FUD is peaking – and when it’s time to invest in the best altcoins to buy. Do your own research; this isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/when-the-people-panic-why-crowd-fud-is-a-big-buy-signal

In 2018, Binance and crypto donors gave $200,000 in donation .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } to Malta’s cancer fund. That donation has now ballooned to around $39 million and yet it remains unclaimed. Coinbase’s Conor Grogan has urged Maltese citizens to notify their government, saying that the money could pay for medical specialists. In the meantime, France has also voiced concerns regarding inconsistent crypto licensing across EU countries, warning that it might block firms licensed elsewhere from operating within its borders. In July, ESMA had criticized Malta’s crypto licensing process after a peer review found that the MFSA had only partially met expectations when approving crypto asset service providers. EXPLORE: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways Binance’s donation to Malta grew from $20K to $39M but remains untouched Similar $38M crypto relief for Japan also sits idle in a dormant wallet Malta is against expanding ESMA’s authority to directly regulate major crypto firms across the EU The post $20,000 Binance Donation To Malta Grows To $39M, Remains Unclaimed: Coinbase Exec appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Estelle project. Credit: Nova Minerals Nova Minerals’ (NASDAQ, ASX: NVA) shares skyrocketed on Tuesday after the Australian miner announced that it had been requested by the US government to provide a brief on its antimony project in Alaska ahead of a planned meeting between the nations’ leaders. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is scheduled to meet with US President Donald Trump on Oct. 20 in Washington DC, where the pair are likely to discuss critical minerals partnerships amid surging American interest in the sector and speculation that the Trump government could buy stakes in Australia’s miners. Local media in Australia also reported that its government is mulling a A$1.2 billion strategic minerals reserve. According to reports, mining firms looking to be involved in the talks are expected to brief the Australian government before what would be the first official sitdown between Albanese and Trump. Amongst those are Nova Minerals, which seeks to build a vertically integrated US antimony operation in Alaska and recently secured a land permit for its proposed refinery at Port MacKenzie. In the Australian market, Nova Minerals soared 16.1% to a new 52-week high of A$0.90 on the news. The stock has now nearly doubled over the past month, with a current market capitalization of A$359.6 million. Meanwhile, its Nasdaq-listed shares have had an even bigger gain, with the stock price rising over 400% over that period. On Tuesday, Nova jumped nearly 70% to a new high of $58.72, with a market capitalization of $310 million. Government backing The briefing follows a site visit by the Australian Consular-General, Tanya Bennett, in August, during which she recognized the company’s Estelle project in Alaska as a “leading example of the deepening Australia–US collaboration in critical minerals and strategic resource development,” Nova said. “Being invited to brief the Australian government for this high-level meeting between Prime Minister Albanese and President Trump is a testament to the strategic importance of the Estelle project,” CEO Christopher Gerteisen stated in a press release on Tuesday. “With antimony recognized as a critical mineral and our gold resources adding significant value, Nova is well-positioned to contribute to both US and Australian critical minerals strategies,” he added. Earlier this month, the company was awarded $43.4 million by the US Department of War in support of its proposed antimony operations. Gerteisen stated that the funding to help fast-track its production of military-spec antimony, targeting first delivery of products within 24 months.

Uma notícia de peso está circulando nos mercados hoje, confirmando o status do governo dos Estados Unidos como um dos maiores detentores de Bitcoin (BTC) do mundo. Após uma recente e massiva ação de confisco, as posses de Bitcoin do governo americano aumentaram para mais de 325.000 BTC. Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School Este desenvolvimento transforma o governo em uma "baleia" involuntária, criando um cenário complexo que representa tanto uma forma de validação para o ativo digital quanto uma fonte significativa de risco e incerteza para o mercado. 1. A Origem e Escala da Posição É crucial entender que o governo dos EUA não está comprando Bitcoin como um investimento estratégico da mesma forma que a China compra ouro. A vasta maioria desses ativos foi adquirida através de confiscos em operações policiais contra atividades ilícitas. A mais recente e notável foi uma ação de confisco de aproximadamente 127.271 BTC, avaliados em cerca de $15 bilhões, ligados a esquemas de fraude de criptomoedas no Camboja. Esta última apreensão, somada a posses anteriores de casos famosos como o da Silk Road, elevou o total para mais de 325.000 BTC. Em valores atuais, isso representa uma posição de quase $40 bilhões de dólares, colocando o governo dos EUA em uma categoria similar ou até superior à de grandes nações e empresas que detêm Bitcoin em seus balanços. Anteriormente, as posses eram estimadas em cerca de 198.000 BTC em agosto de 2025. 2. A "Espada de Dâmocles": O Risco da Venda Governamental Na minha análise, o principal impacto desta notícia para o mercado é o risco de uma futura pressão de venda. Historicamente, o governo americano não é um "HODLer". Sua política padrão é liquidar os ativos confiscados para financiar suas operações. O U.S. Marshals Service já realizou diversos leilões de Bitcoin no passado. Isso cria uma "espada de Dâmocles" sobre o mercado. Cada BTC nas mãos do governo é um BTC que pode, a qualquer momento, ser despejado no mercado, criando uma pressão de venda massiva. A incerteza não é se eles vão vender, mas quando e como. Um leilão anunciado ou vendas diretas em exchanges poderiam causar volatilidade significativa. É importante notar, no entanto, que a administração Trump estabeleceu em março de 2025 uma Reserva Estratégica de Bitcoin, com a intenção de manter o BTC confiscado como um ativo de reserva, sem vendê-lo. A política sobre como lidar com essas novas posses massivas, à luz dessa ordem executiva, ainda é incerta. 3. Validação Involuntária? Apesar do risco de venda, o fato de a maior potência econômica do mundo possuir uma quantidade tão significativa de Bitcoin é, ironicamente, uma forma de validação. Isso força agências governamentais (como o Departamento de Justiça e o Tesouro) a desenvolverem uma profunda expertise técnica e legal sobre o ativo. Essa interação contínua, mesmo que adversarial, integra o Bitcoin cada vez mais ao sistema financeiro e legal tradicional, legitimando-o como uma classe de ativo com a qual se deve contar. Conclusão de Igor Pereira Para o trader, a posse de BTC pelo governo é, acima de tudo, um fator de risco e incerteza que deve ser monitorado. Anúncios de leilões ou movimentações das carteiras conhecidas do governo podem causar volatilidade de curto prazo. No entanto, isso não altera a tese de alta fundamental do Bitcoin, baseada na adoção institucional via ETFs e na contínua desvalorização da moeda fiduciária. Apenas adiciona um grande vendedor potencial ao mix, cujas ações são imprevisíveis e podem ser politicamente motivadas. O governo dos EUA se tornou, por acidente ou por desígnio, um dos maiores players do mercado. Resta saber como ele irá jogar suas cartas.

Canadian explorer Loncor Gold (TSX: LN) agreed to be acquired by Chengtun Mining Group for about $261 million cash in a deal that will hand control of a major gold project in the Democratic Republic of Congo to a deep-pocketed Chinese operator. Chengtun’s C$1.38 per share offer represents a 16% premium over Friday’s closing price on the Toronto Stock Exchange, and a one-third premium to the 30-day volume weighted average trading price, Loncor said Tuesday. The transaction is expected to close no later than in the first quarter of 2026. Toronto-based Loncor has been focusing on the Ngayu gold belt in the DRC’s northeast. Its main Imbo project includes the Adumbi deposit, which holds an indicated resource of about 28.2 million tonnes grading 2.08 grams gold per tonne for 1.9 million contained ounces. “The sale delivers a strong outcome for shareholders,” executive chairman Arnold Kondrat said in the statement. It “crystallizes the inherent value we have built over 15 years and eliminates future dilution while mitigating commodity, political, and execution risks.” Loncor shares jumped 9.2% to C$1.30 in Tuesday morning in Toronto, giving the company a market value of about C$229 million. The stock has traded between C$0.37 and C$1.31 in the past year. Interested party News of the deal follows Loncor’s July 14 announcement that it had received an “unsolicited, confidential non-binding offer” from an unidentified “interested party.” Loncor immediately set up a special board committee to review the proposed deal. Selling to Chengtun, whose existing operations in the DRC include the Kalongwe copper-cobalt mine, will allow Loncor to leverage the Chinese miner’s “strong access to capital and depth of technical and in-country expertise to develop the Imbo project,” Loncor said. Chengtun’s other metals include nickel and gold. Chengtun is to provide Loncor with $3 million in refundable advances within the next two months. These advances will be used for the exploration program at Adumbi and for general corporate purposes, Loncor said. Adumbi is one of three main targets at Imbo, all of which are located within a 5-km radius of each other. Loncor acquired control of the project in 2019. A preliminary economic assessment for Adumbi, completed in 2021, calculated an $879 million after-tax net present value using a 5% discount rate and a gold price of $1,760 per ounce. It envisioned annual gold production of 303,000 oz. at an all-in sustaining cost of $950 per oz. over a 10.3-year mine life. Resolute backing Chengtun will need two-thirds of votes cast by Loncor shareholders to back the deal at an upcoming meeting. The Toronto Stock Exchange and the Ontario Superior Court will also need to sign off on the deal. Loncor shareholders representing about 38% of the issued and outstanding shares have agreed to vote in favour of the transaction. They include Australia’s Resolute Mining (ASX: RSG) and Kondrat, who respectively own 18% and 17% of the company. Deal terms give Loncor the right to accept a superior proposal, which Chengtun would have the right to match. A mutual reciprocal termination fee of $10 million, payable in certain circumstances, is also included in the agreement.

A degrading sentiment took a pause yesterday as participants digested Trump’s remarks over a prolonged North American trading weekend , which initially signaled a possible de-escalation in trade tensions between the US and China. However, optimism looks short-lived. China reiterated its stance through multiple official channels — including its Commerce Ministry and state media — emphasizing its readiness to respond firmly to any tariff actions which comes after an initial Friday comment from Donald Trump in case you missed the story. Read More: US-China trade war scare: What happened Friday and where things stand now This is even leading to the EU and US looking to partner up again to fight the Chinese aggressive policy. Adding pressure, US ships began paying duties at Chinese ports today, a measure long anticipated but now officially in effect. This development has weighed heavily on global trade sentiment, extending the downtrend in Oil prices. With easing Middle East tensions and steady Russian supply to fund its war in Ukraine, Oil fundamentals remain pointed to the downside except for the advent any black swan event. WTI has now fallen below $60, and has been holding below the threshold since Trump's original post. Let’s dive into Oil spot charts to see whether this decline is nearing exhaustion — or just beginning. Read More: Markets Today: UK Wage Growth Hits 3-Year Lows, Gold Retreats from Highs, FTSE 100 Eyes Gains. US Earnings Season AheadJPMorgan (JPM) bullish reversal from 5% decline at key support as Q3 earnings loomWTI Daily Chart US Oil Daily Chart, October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView This year has seen many factors leading to downward revised global economic performance. The most evident one is the Trump tariffs which added a widespread angst among economists, especially as they get imposed about a year after the conclusion of the fastest hike cycles, which aimed to dampen the fast growing economies from 2022 and 2023. Even a few years after, economic deceleration still imposes its dominance on oil demand, particularly when looking at the slowing labor growth in OECD nations which generate a lot of demand. For example, the UK just published weak data as seen in the overnight data report (more on this coming on MarketPulse today) and an also slowing US jobs market. This combined with Chinese deflation doesn't help for bulls prospects. There is some nuance however, with Chinese trade data coming in way better than expected and airlines projecting a solid outlook ahead. The daily chart shows reactions at the lows of the daily downtrend after the overnight 1.50% drop. The RSI is approaching the oversold territory but isn't quite there. Let's take a closer look. WTI 4H Chart and levels US Oil 4H Chart, October 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView Since the end of September, Oil has firmly held its daily descending channel and even formed a steeper hourly trend. This led to the overnight $57.75 lows, levels not seen since May 2025 and the Liberation Day troughs. There has been some small mean-reversion however as prices reach a confluence bottom of the daily & hourly channels, combined with a bullish RSI divergence and an end to a measured-move. Traders will have to look at the daily lows: any attempt to make new lows and any 4H close below would maintain the bearish trend and push towards the $55 2025 support zone. Any rebound from here may point to the 4H 50-MA at $61.15 , at a confluence with the upper bound of Hourly Channel. Levels to place on your WTI charts: Resistance Levels $59 to $60 2021 and 2025 Main Support now PivotMA 50 and upper bound of Hourly Channel $61.15 to $61.30September range Support now resistance $62 to $63September resistance $65 to $67Support Levels Overnight lows $57.76$55 to $56.50 2025 Support2019 mini support $53 to $54Mid-2019 Main support $51 to $52.5 Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

A mais recente Pesquisa Global de Gestores de Fundos (FMS) do Bank of America, referente a outubro, revelou um paradoxo fascinante e, na minha visão, extremamente otimista para o futuro do preço do ouro. A pesquisa mostra duas realidades aparentemente contraditórias: Pela primeira vez desde junho, a posição "Comprar Ouro" (Long Gold) foi votada como o "trade mais lotado/superpovoado" do mercado, com 43% dos gestores globais a identificando como tal, superando até mesmo "Comprar as 7 Magníficas". No entanto, a alocação média real desses mesmos gestores em ouro permanece em míseros 2,4%. Vamos dissecar por que essa divergência é tão significativa. Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School, membro Junior WallStreet NYSE 1. A Coroação do Ouro: O Trade Mais Comentado de Wall Street O fato de "Comprar Ouro" ser agora visto como o trade mais popular marca uma mudança sísmica no sentimento. Significa que a tese de alta do ouro, impulsionada pela crise fiscal, pelo pivô do Fed e pela instabilidade geopolítica, deixou de ser uma visão de nicho e se tornou o tópico principal nas mesas de operações de Wall Street. A adoção mental foi alcançada. Todos estão falando sobre isso. 2. A Realidade dos Portfólios: O Gigante Adormecido do Capital Aqui reside a informação mais importante do relatório. Apesar de toda a conversa, a alocação de capital real conta uma história completamente diferente: A alocação média em ouro é de apenas 2,4%. A maioria dos gestores (39%) tem ZERO alocação em ouro. Somados, 58% dos gestores têm 2% ou menos de seus portfólios alocados em ouro. Minha Análise: Este é o dado crucial. Ele nos mostra que, apesar de toda a atenção, o capital real, o grande dinheiro institucional, ainda não entrou no mercado de forma significativa. Os portfólios dos maiores gestores do mundo estão dramaticamente sub-alocados em um dos ativos de melhor desempenho do ano. 3. Conclusão de Igor Pereira: Por Que Este é o Cenário Mais Otimista Possível? Temos uma situação em que todos estão olhando para a festa e comentando sobre como ela está cheia, mas a maioria dos convidados ainda nem sequer entrou pela porta. Isso significa que o potencial de influxo de capital para o ouro ainda é astronômico. Se esses gestores, que atualmente têm 0% ou 2% de alocação, decidirem apenas se mover em direção à média histórica ou ao que é considerado prudente (5-10%), estaríamos falando de centenas de bilhões, senão trilhões, de dólares buscando um lar em um mercado de ouro físico e de ETFs relativamente pequeno. Em outras palavras, como se diz no mercado: ainda há muito para quem comprar e muito espaço para comprar. Este relatório do Bank of America não sinaliza um topo no ouro. Pelo contrário, ele sinaliza o início da próxima grande fase do bull market: a fase da grande rotação de capital institucional. A adoção mental já aconteceu. A adoção de capital está apenas começando. O que vimos até agora pode ter sido apenas o aquecimento para o médio e longo prazo.