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US stock indices post largest one-year dropUS stock indices registered their biggest decline in the past year: the S&P 500 fell by 2.71%, and the Nasdaq 100 lost 3.56%. Escalating trade tensions between the US and China triggered panic-driven sell-offs, although futures recovered slightly following statements from Donald Trump expressing readiness for negotiations. Experts believe volatility will remain elevated in the coming weeks as investors assess the outlook for a new trade policy. Follow the link for more details. Trade war intensifies US recession risksFears of a recession and renewed trade conflict led to sharp losses across equity markets. Trump announced a 100% tariff increase, deepening negative sentiment among investors and sparking broad-based stock selling. Analysts warn that the move could slow economic growth and intensify inflationary pressure. Follow the link for more details. Apple strengthens its position in artificial intelligenceApple made a strategic acquisition of computer vision startup Prompt AI, aimed at enhancing the functionality of devices within its smart home ecosystem. The integration of new capabilities into the company's product suite could significantly transform the market and strengthen Apple's competitive edge in the AI space. Follow the link for more details. As a reminder, InstaForex offers the best conditions for trading stocks, indices, and derivatives, helping traders effectively profit from market volatility. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Overview: Neither the US nor China have backed away from the brink approached before the weekend, but the many market participants have concluded that this is an "escalation to de-escalate". The foreign exchange market has unwound some of the pre-weekend price action. The dollar-bloc currencies and Norwegian krone, which suffered before the weekend, are firmer, while the euro, sterling, and the yen has seen last Friday's gains pared. Emerging market currencies are mixed, with the Taiwanese dollar and South Korean won joining most central European currencies are the bottom of the emerging market currency complex today. Of note, the PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at its lowest level since last November and reported stronger than expected exports and imports in September. The US S&P 500 posted its largest drop in six months before the weekend, and Asian equities fell. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday, but all the other large markets in the region fell, with the Hang Seng and the index of mainland companies that trade there down the most (~1.5%). Taiwan's market re-opened for its holiday and fell 1.4%. Europe's Stoxx 600, which fell by about 1.7% in the last two sessions, is up about 0.35% today. US index futures are trading broadly higher. The US 10-year yield fell 10 bp before the weekend (to 4.03%), and Antipodean yields fell today. European yields are mostly a little softer. The French political outlook is murky, and its 10-year yield is off about half of a basis point today. Gold has raced to a new record-high near $4080, and the squeeze in silver has lifted it slightly through $51.70. November WTI plunged to nearly $58.20 before the weekend, its lowest level since May, is back trying to establish a foothold above $60. USD: US banks are closed today and there is no Treasury market, but equities will trade. Investors and traders seem less concerned about the flare up in US-Chinese tensions, even though nothing has been resolved. The dates for the imposition of China's new export licenses and US 100% tariffs are after the potential meeting between Trump and Xi on the sidelines of the APEC meeting later this month. The fact that a bilateral summit was not arranged, however, was already a sign of tensions. The port levies for each other ships are effective tomorrow. The Dollar Index posted an inside trading day before the weekend, and it is trading firmly but inside the pre-weekend range. The key then is last Thursday's range, roughly 98.70-99.55. Last Friday's high was slightly below 99.45 and today's high has been a little above 99.20. EURO: The escalation of US-China tensions helped the euro recover ahead of the weekend. After reaching almost $1.1540 on Thursday, its lowest level since August 1, the euro recovered to $1.1630 and stalled on Friday. The $1.1630 level held earlier today, and the euro pulled back to about $1.1580. There are two developments to note today. First, the Netherlands invoked its "Goods Availability Act" to take control of Nexperia, a Chinese-owned Dutch-based semiconductor company. It follows the US decision in late September to automatically added subsidiaries are 100s of Chinese companies whose parent was the on the US entity list. Beijing said this was in violation of the truce struck with the US. The Dutch decision was implemented on September 30 but made public yesterday. Second, after resigning as prime minister last Monday, Lecornu was re-appointed prime minister of France on Friday. A new cabinet has been named, and a confidence vote is expected in the next few days. CNY: The dollar has forged a shelf near CNH7.12. Last week it approached the (50%) retracement of its losses since August 1 found near CNH7.1545. It is trading quietly today between CNH7.1320 and CNH7.1455. The PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at CNY7.1007, a new low for the year. (CNY7.1048 before the weekend). Separately, China reported an 8.3% year-over-year rise in September exports (4.4% in August), while imports surged 7.4% (from 1.3%). The trade surplus narrowed to $90.45 bln from $102.33 bln. Through September, China's trade surplus stands at nearly $876 bln, compared with almost $695 bln in the first nine months of 2024. China has replaced US demand. JPY: Japanese markets were closed today for a national holiday. The dollar has traded within the wide pre-weekend range. The dollar posted a key downside reversal ahead of the weekend. It made a new high for the move (~JPY153.25) and then was sold through and closed below Thursday's low (~JPY152.15). Today it is trading between JPY151.65 and JPY152.45 and is closer to the highs in the European morning. The drop in US Treasury yields and cautionary comments from the Japan's finance ministry also encouraged some profit-taking on long dollar positions. GBP: Sterling looked ugly. It was sold before the weekend to almost $1.3260, a two-month low. It looked to be headed lower, but the escalation of US-China tensions saw it recover to $1.3370. It settled above last month's low (~$1.3325-35), which helps lift the technical tone. It met the (38.2%) retracement of this month's losses (~$1.3365). In today's pullback, it found support near $1.3315. The UK reports employment data tomorrow. A close below $1.3320 could signa a return to the $1.3260 area. CAD: Canadian markets are closed today. The greenback stalled in the last two sessions near CAD1.4035. That is the highest level since April and overshot by a little the (38.2%) retracement of this year's decline (found around CAD1.4020). The better-than-expected Canadian jobs data failed to push the US dollar back below the 200-day moving average (~CAD1.3975). It straddled CAD 1.40 ahead in the waning hours of last week's activity. A break of the shelf around CAD1.3920 is needed to suggest a high is in place. It is trading between about CAD1.3985 and CAD1.4010 today so far today. AUD: The US dollar's weaker tone was not reflected in the Aussie ahead of the weekend. It was the weakest of the G10 currencies, losing a little more than 1% and returning to levels (~$0.6480) it had not seen since last August. There has been no follow-through selling today and the Aussie reached almost $0.6535 today to retrace a little more than (38.2%) of its losses since last Thursday's high near $0.6610. The (50%) retracement is around $0.6540. MXN: The risk-off mood ahead of the weekend punished the Mexican peso. Its 1% slide was the largest down move since the end of July. The Brazilian real was hit harder, tumbling nearly 2.4%. Fiscal concerns in Brazil added fuel to the fire, and Mexico reported an unexpected decline in August industrial output (-0.3% vs. median forecast in Bloomberg's survey for +0.4%). Still, risk-off helps explain the 0.66% decline in the JP Morgan Emerging Market Currency Index, its largest single day decline since the end of July. The dollar rose to MXN18.6050 before the weekend, its highest level in a month. It is also slightly above the (50%) retracement of the greenback's losses since August 1. The dollar held mostly below MXN18.54 today and found support slightly above MXN18.44. Disclaimer

According to reports, BNB showed unusual strength during a recent market tumble that wiped out nearly $20 billion in liquidations at the peak. The token barely budged at first — slipping roughly 2-3% during the early shock — and later traded above $1,130, gaining over 10% in 24 hours as buyers returned. CZ Pushes Back At Doubters Changpeng Zhao, the former Binance chief, answered critics on social media who suggested BNB’s steady price action deserved closer scrutiny. He mocked those raising alarm, using a laugh emoji and urging people to share more examples of BNB’s strength. He also said he was unaware of any affiliated entities buying or selling BNB in recent days and highlighted the community and infrastructure behind the chain as reasons for confidence. According to CoinMarketCap data, BNB’s limited drop put it in the same group as Bitcoin among the top-five coins that recorded minimal daily losses during the liquidation event. That put BNB in a small set of assets that outperformed peers while the market bled. Community And Utility Provide Support Reports have disclosed several practical reasons why BNB held up. The token offers trading fee discounts, which become more valuable when volatility spikes and trading volume rises. Network revenue also climbed with the surge in activity, giving the token real transactional demand beyond speculation. BNB’s deflationary token design was mentioned as another factor that can support price under stress. Some observers have pointed out an additional feature: a lack of market maker involvement. CZ reiterated that claim, saying the project does not rely on affiliated trading entities to prop up price, and that the chain’s community and core functions help absorb shocks. Analyst Views And Market Moves Prominent trader Altcoin Sherpa described the token as “insanely strong,” noting that its outperformance was surprising even during a broad market rebound. Market participants took notice when BNB’s intraday loss turned out to be deeper than its modest seven-day decline, suggesting buying interest reappeared at key levels after the worst of the sell-off passed. Some figures in the crypto space reported that certain meme-focused tokens plunged as much as 80% during the same period. By contrast, BNB’s deeper dip at one point reached about 17% before it recovered — a pattern that left traders debating whether the move was driven by genuine demand or by the particular structure of the Binance ecosystem. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Asia Market Wrap - Choppy Trading Dominates Most Read: Trade Setup to Watch: EUR/USD Breaks Ascending Trendline, Further Downside Ahead? Asian stock markets dropped sharply on Monday as renewed tensions in the US-China trade war worried investors, although there were early signs the fear was easing. The trade conflict escalated when the US and China exchanged fresh threats over the weekend, causing a widespread "risk-off" mood. However, US President Donald Trump later struck a more reassuring tone, suggesting things would "be fine" and that the US did not want to "hurt" China. Meanwhile, Beijing defended its restrictions on exports of rare earth materials as a response to US actions, but it did not announce any new taxes on US goods. Markets across the region reacted negatively: the broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (outside Japan) fell 1.6%, South Korea's index slid 1.3%, and Australia lost 0.6%. Chinese blue-chip stocks also fell 1.3%, although sectors like rare earth materials and semiconductors saw some gains. The Chinese market also showed some resilience after positive trade data indicated that exports were much stronger than expected. Trading was choppy due to holidays in Japan and the US. Japan's main Nikkei index was closed, but its futures plunged 5% on Friday due to political uncertainty surrounding the appointment of the new prime minister, Sanae Takaichi. However, Nikkei futures showed a small bounce on Monday, trading up 1.5% but still well below the last cash close. Chinese Exports Record Strongest Gain Since March In a sign of its economic strength despite the trade war, China's exports grew much faster than expected in September 2025, reaching their quickest pace in six months. China's total exports increased by 8.3% compared to the same month last year, hitting a total of $328.6 billion. This strong growth showed that Chinese producers were successfully finding new customers outside of the United States. Specifically, exports saw big jumps to regions like the European Union (up 14.2%) and the ASEAN countries in Southeast Asia (up 15.6%), as well as to South Korea (up 7.0%) and Australia (up 10.7%). In sharp contrast, China's exports to the US plummeted by 27.0%. The growth was broad, with high increases recorded for products like integrated circuits (up 23.3%), cars (up 10.8%), and ships (up 21.4%). However, exports of rare earth materials fell 7.6%, which is likely due to China's current restrictions on those exports. Overall, this strong export performance gives China a more confident position in its trade conflict with the US. European Session - European Shares Steady After Friday Selloff European stock markets stabilized and moved higher on Monday, recovering from a sharp drop on Friday that was caused by renewed tensions in the US-China trade war. The overall STOXX 600 pan-European index climbed 0.6%, recovering a significant portion of the losses seen after US President Donald Trump had threatened to impose 100% taxes on Chinese goods. The market mood improved after Trump softened his tone over the weekend. The gains were driven mainly by increases in technology and mining stocks. Among national markets, France's CAC 40 led the way, rising 0.9%, after the country quickly reappointed Sebastien Lecornu as Prime Minister, just four days after his resignation. Individual stocks also saw big moves: AstraZeneca rose 0.7% after it agreed to a deal with the US government to sell some medicines at a discount in exchange for relief from tariffs. German software firm PSI Software soared 37% after confirming that private equity firm Warburg Pincus would buy the company for over 700 million euros. Finally, French firm Exosens jumped nearly 13% after a Greek night vision company announced plans to buy a significant stake in it. On the FX front, the US dollar was slightly weaker overall on Monday, though it showed mixed results against individual currencies. The index that tracks the dollar's value against a group of major currencies dipped 0.1%. The euro remained stable against the dollar at $1.1622. However, the dollar grew stronger against the Japanese yen, rising 0.5% to 151.89 yen. Meanwhile, the Chinese currency, the offshore yuan, gained 0.2% after reports showed China's export growth was strong in September. Other currencies also saw gains against the dollar: the Australian dollar jumped 0.8%, the New Zealand dollar rose 0.3%, and the British pound edged up 0.1%. Currency Power Balance Source: OANDA Labs Gold prices soared to a new all-time high on Monday, reflecting increased safe-haven demand due to the renewed US-China trade tensions and ongoing expectations for US interest rate cuts. Spot gold was up 1.5%, setting a new record above $4,078 per ounce, with US gold futures also surging over 2%. Silver also mirrored this move by reaching its own record high. This rush into precious metals shows that investors remain cautious about the global economic and geopolitical environment. Oil prices moved higher on Monday, recovering from a sharp drop on Friday. Both major types of crude oil, Brent and US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) had fallen by around 4% on Friday, hitting their lowest prices since May. However, the market bounced back on Monday because of the possibility that the presidents of the world's two largest economies (and biggest oil users) might hold talks. If these trade tensions ease, it could boost global economic growth and, consequently, the demand for oil. As a result, Brent crude futures rose by 1.5% to trade at $63.67 a barrel, and WTI crude futures also gained 1.54% to reach $59.81 a barrel Economic Calendar and Final Thoughts Looking at the economic calendar, it is a rather quiet day from a data perspective with the OPEC + monthly report the main data release. Besides that we once again have a host of central bank speakers. Tariff and trade war developments will be in focus as markets wait for any developments or comments around a potential deal or discussions which could ease tensions between the US and China which could lead to improved sentiment. For more information on the week ahead, read Markets Weekly Outlook – Geopolitical peace and turmoil ; Third week of shutdown For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Day - DAX Index From a technical standpoint, the DAX index has pulled back to the top of the channel it broke out of last week. A gap up over the weekend has left the index trading higher than its Friday close with a potential golden cross pattern (s0-day MA crosses above 100-day MA) hinting at the potential for further upside. Given the risks present at the start of the week a lot will hinge on US-China trade war developments which could shape the overall risk narrative. Immediate upside resistance for now rests at 24500 before the 24665 swing high from July 10 comes into focus. A move to the downside will face support at 24200 before the confluence area around 24000 comes into focus. DAX Index Daily Chart, October 13. 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

In the earliest years of the United States Mint, every coin struck was more than currency — it was a piece of living history. The 1804 $5 Draped Bust Half Eagle, particularly the Small 8 Over Large 8 variety, designed by Robert Scot, stands as one of the most fascinating relics of early American gold coinage. It tells a story not only of artistry and innovation but also of the enduring spirit that shaped the young nation’s economy. A Glimpse Into the Early U.S. Mint By 1804, the U.S. Mint in Philadelphia was still mastering the art of striking gold. The Draped Bust design — featuring Liberty with soft, classical features framed by flowing hair — symbolized grace and independence. Each die was hand-engraved, meaning no two coins were exactly alike. Gold denominations like the Half Eagle ($5 face value) were crucial for commerce and trade, bridging the gap between silver coinage and the larger Gold Eagles. During this period, gold wasn’t viewed as an investment the way it is today — it was real money in circulation, a physical embodiment of wealth and trust. The “8 Over 8” Mystery The Small 8 Over Large 8 variety arose from the Mint’s resourceful methods. When a die was engraved with a large “8” that proved unsatisfactory, a smaller “8” was punched over it rather than scrapping the die. This created a distinctive double-layered date — an overdate — that’s easily visible under magnification. These imperfections tell a human story. In an age before machines controlled precision, mint workers improvised, corrected, and adapted. For numismatists, the Small 8 Over Large 8 variety offers a fascinating glimpse into 19th-century minting practices and the improvisation that produced some of America’s most rare coins. Gold, History, and Survival The 1804 Half Eagle is a survivor in every sense. Many early gold coins were melted down as the price of gold fluctuated or after the Coinage Act of 1834, which changed gold’s legal value and weight. As a result, only a fraction of early Pre-1933 gold coins still exist today — and the 1804 Half Eagle ranks among the rarest. Each surviving example is a tangible connection to the birth of American finance. These coins circulated in an era before banks and credit cards, when trust in gold defined trade itself. Holding one today is like holding a page torn from history — one that gleams with the unmistakable luster of U.S. Mint craftsmanship. A Collector’s Treasure Owning an 1804 Small 8 Over Large 8 Draped Bust Half Eagle is more than an acquisition — it’s an achievement. Each coin represents a story of survival and skill. Collectors prize this piece for its combination of low mintage, die variety, and visual charm. As with all Pre-1933 Gold Eagles, the appeal lies in both tangible value and historical significance. The 1804 Half Eagle reminds us of a time when coins were handcrafted, when mint workers’ hands shaped each die, and when gold itself passed through the pockets of America’s pioneers. Why Collectors Still Pursue the Draped Bust Series Collectors and investors alike continue to seek out Draped Bust coins for their beauty, scarcity, and deep historical resonance. Every coin tells its own story — of human craftsmanship, early mint experimentation, and the evolution of American artistry. For those passionate about numismatics, the 1804 $5 Draped Bust Half Eagle Small 8 Over Large 8 is a cornerstone of any serious collection. Its rarity and overdate charm make it one of the most discussed rare coins in early U.S. gold series — a coin that embodies the heritage, artistry, and integrity that define the U.S. Mint’s earliest era. Final Thoughts In a world increasingly defined by the digital, coins like the 1804 Half Eagle remind us of something enduring — the feel of solid gold, the marks of human hands, and the stories that survive through centuries. As part of the broader legacy of Pre-1933 U.S. Mint Gold, this coin stands as a timeless symbol of both American history and enduring value. The post The 1804 $5 Draped Bust Half Eagle: Small 8 Over Large 8 — A Rare Coin Forged in the Early Days of the U.S. Mint appeared first on Blanchard and Company.

In the earliest years of the United States Mint, every coin struck was more than currency — it was a piece of living history. The 1804 $5 Draped Bust Half Eagle, particularly the Small 8 Over Large 8 variety, designed by Robert Scot, stands as one of the most fascinating relics of early American gold coinage. It tells a story not only of artistry and innovation but also of the enduring spirit that shaped the young nation’s economy. A Glimpse Into the Early U.S. Mint By 1804, the U.S. Mint in Philadelphia was still mastering the art of striking gold. The Draped Bust design — featuring Liberty with soft, classical features framed by flowing hair — symbolized grace and independence. Each die was hand-engraved, meaning no two coins were exactly alike. Gold denominations like the Half Eagle ($5 face value) were crucial for commerce and trade, bridging the gap between silver coinage and the larger Gold Eagles. During this period, gold wasn’t viewed as an investment the way it is today — it was real money in circulation, a physical embodiment of wealth and trust. The “8 Over 8” Mystery The Small 8 Over Large 8 variety arose from the Mint’s resourceful methods. When a die was engraved with a large “8” that proved unsatisfactory, a smaller “8” was punched over it rather than scrapping the die. This created a distinctive double-layered date — an overdate — that’s easily visible under magnification. These imperfections tell a human story. In an age before machines controlled precision, mint workers improvised, corrected, and adapted. For numismatists, the Small 8 Over Large 8 variety offers a fascinating glimpse into 19th-century minting practices and the improvisation that produced some of America’s most rare coins. Gold, History, and Survival The 1804 Half Eagle is a survivor in every sense. Many early gold coins were melted down as the price of gold fluctuated or after the Coinage Act of 1834, which changed gold’s legal value and weight. As a result, only a fraction of early Pre-1933 gold coins still exist today — and the 1804 Half Eagle ranks among the rarest. Each surviving example is a tangible connection to the birth of American finance. These coins circulated in an era before banks and credit cards, when trust in gold defined trade itself. Holding one today is like holding a page torn from history — one that gleams with the unmistakable luster of U.S. Mint craftsmanship. A Collector’s Treasure Owning an 1804 Small 8 Over Large 8 Draped Bust Half Eagle is more than an acquisition — it’s an achievement. Each coin represents a story of survival and skill. Collectors prize this piece for its combination of low mintage, die variety, and visual charm. As with all Pre-1933 Gold Eagles, the appeal lies in both tangible value and historical significance. The 1804 Half Eagle reminds us of a time when coins were handcrafted, when mint workers’ hands shaped each die, and when gold itself passed through the pockets of America’s pioneers. Why Collectors Still Pursue the Draped Bust Series Collectors and investors alike continue to seek out Draped Bust coins for their beauty, scarcity, and deep historical resonance. Every coin tells its own story — of human craftsmanship, early mint experimentation, and the evolution of American artistry. For those passionate about numismatics, the 1804 $5 Draped Bust Half Eagle Small 8 Over Large 8 is a cornerstone of any serious collection. Its rarity and overdate charm make it one of the most discussed rare coins in early U.S. gold series — a coin that embodies the heritage, artistry, and integrity that define the U.S. Mint’s earliest era. Final Thoughts In a world increasingly defined by the digital, coins like the 1804 Half Eagle remind us of something enduring — the feel of solid gold, the marks of human hands, and the stories that survive through centuries. As part of the broader legacy of Pre-1933 U.S. Mint Gold, this coin stands as a timeless symbol of both American history and enduring value. The post The 1804 $5 Draped Bust Half Eagle: Small 8 Over Large 8 — A Rare Coin Forged in the Early Days of the U.S. Mint appeared first on Blanchard and Company.

Global markets remain in turmoil: gold is hitting an all-time high amid the escalating US-China trade war, while Bitcoin and major altcoins are experiencing a massive sell-off. At the same time, institutional players aren't standing idle — whales are buying up Ethereum worth hundreds of millions during the dip. Meanwhile, in the tech sector, Apple has made a strategic acquisition of startup Prompt AI to bring cutting-edge innovations into the smart home space. Read a detailed breakdown of these events and get recommendations on how to navigate the current wave of high volatility. Gold sets new records: why markets are on edge and how traders can profit On October 13, global financial markets were stunned as gold surged to a new all-time high of $4,059.30 per ounce. It was hard to imagine the precious metal would rise to such heights so quickly — but as often happens in times of global turmoil, reality has once again exceeded all forecasts. In this article, we'll explore what's driving the rapid rise in gold prices, what consequences may follow, and why this situation offers promising opportunities for traders and investors. At the start of the week, gold climbed 0.7%, testing a new historic peak at $4,059.30. Silver wasn't far behind, jumping 2% to a record $51.52. These sharp moves were a direct result of the intensified trade war between the US and China. Donald Trump once again rattled markets by promising 100% tariffs on Chinese imports along with new restrictions on the export of critical technologies. China opted not to respond with mirror tariffs but rather with "strategically justified" countermeasures — which did little to calm investor nerves. Experts agree: geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have taken a backseat this time — the spotlight is on the escalating trade confrontation between global superpowers. Investors are flocking to gold, the ultimate "safe-haven" asset, as uncertainty and chaos continue to dominate the headlines. The market is also being fueled by expectations of further action from the Fed: nearly 100% of market participants anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut in October, with another cut expected by December. This only increases interest in gold, as looser monetary policy typically boosts its appeal. It's no surprise that demand for the metal has surged by 54% year-over-year, driven by massive central bank purchases, strong inflows into ETFs, and rising anxiety over global debt and tariffs. Silver is also in the spotlight. According to Goldman Sachs, silver is expected to see medium-term growth, fueled by inflows from retail investors, though with significantly more volatility than gold. For thrill-seeking traders, these conditions are ideal. Meanwhile, political instability is adding fuel to the fire. The US government shutdown drags on, the release of key economic data is delayed, and Trump is blaming Democrats for mass layoffs of federal workers. In short, there are plenty of reasons for investors to be nervous — and gold is clearly leading as the preferred safe-haven for capital preservation. Bottom line: gold is now the ultimate indicator of global anxiety. Its rally is just beginning, and even all-time highs don't seem like a ceiling. Expectations of further Fed easing, trade wars, and a weakening macroeconomic backdrop in developed countries could push prices even higher. For traders, this is a golden opportunity — literally. Volatility and demand are creating ideal conditions for both short- and medium-term speculation. It's wise to consider long positions on pullbacks and breakouts of new highs. Don't forget about well-placed stop-losses and profit-taking: the moves are sharp, and the market is jittery. For long-term investors, cautiously increasing gold exposure can be a strong defensive strategy as the world braces for potential new crises. Now it all comes down to your trading discipline — and your ability to act decisively in a world full of instability. Bitcoin crashes below $105,000: new trade war escalation turns crypto market into a panic arena Last week was truly intense for the crypto market: news of a sharp escalation in the US-China trade conflict sent Bitcoin plunging below $105,000. Donald Trump, ever the architect of economic shocks, announced new 100%-130% tariffs on Chinese imports and tighter controls on the export of strategic software. In this piece, we'll break down why these measures triggered a sell-off, what's currently happening in the crypto market, and how traders can capitalize on the chaos. The situation escalated after China imposed export restrictions on rare earth metals, provoking a storm of retaliation — first on Truth Social, then with real tariffs from the White House. Trump did not hold back, accusing Beijing of "aggressive policy" and "resource monopolization." The result? Bitcoin, which had recently been approaching $120,000, lost over 10% in a matter of hours, dropping to $105,000. Other crypto assets followed: Ethereum fell 16%, Solana dropped 20–30%, and XRP plunged 32%. The total crypto market cap shrank by a quarter trillion dollars, falling from $4.27 trillion to below $4 trillion — the biggest collapse since August. The crash was further intensified by a liquidation avalanche: leveraged positions worth $7 billion were wiped out within hours, with over 80% of those being long positions. Exchanges struggled to handle the load, and liquidation tracking services even went offline due to overwhelming traffic — a clear sign of how widespread the panic was. Ironically, cryptocurrencies — often considered a hedge against traditional finance — turned out to be highly vulnerable to classical geopolitics. A breakdown in diplomacy (Trump even canceled a meeting with Xi Jinping at the APEC summit) only deepened the unease. Traditional markets were hit too: S&P 500 fell 2.7%, Nasdaq dropped 3.5% — hardly good news for long-term investors. What's the bottom line? This phenomenal volatility once again proves that the crypto market is not just driven by technology, but by news flow and global uncertainty. But those who profit aren't the ones who panic — it's those who thrive in turbulence. Sharp collapses often lead to technical rebounds. In the midst of the noise, traders can capitalize on support levels and short-term strategies. Widening spreads between platforms create room for arbitrage, while solid risk management becomes a matter of survival: Set stop-losses, Lock in losses and profits wisely, Only build long positions once the market shows signs of stabilization. Experienced traders can use the current situation to find short entries or take advantage of highly volatile altcoins. Most importantly, closely monitor new statements from the US and China — any signal of de-escalation or fresh tariff threats could instantly reshape the price landscape. If you're looking for a platform to implement these strategies and stay one step ahead of the market, open an account with InstaForex. You'll gain access to tools for fast, flexible trading, real-time news response, and market insights through our mobile app. $182M in Ethereum: whales are buying while the market panics On October 11, 2025, the crypto market once again fell hostage to chaos: in the wake of Washington's hardline economic stance — following Trump's promise of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports — Ethereum crashed from $4,300 to $3,400 in mere hours. While most retail investors scrambled to dump their digital assets, whales — major funds and institutional players — took advantage of the panic, buying up a whopping $182 million worth of ETH. Let's break down what's happening, who's behind it, and what opportunities this creates for traders — without the fear-mongering. As usual, panic among small investors turned into a shopping spree for the big players. Mass liquidations of leveraged positions worth $19 billion turned the market into a discount sale — one that seasoned investors couldn't ignore. According to Lookonchain, just two newly created wallets — reportedly linked to BitMine — withdrew 33,323 ETH ($126.4 million) from major exchanges. Add to that an OTC player who bought 14,165 ETH (around $56 million), and you have just the visible part of a massive accumulation. One standout example: BitMine Immersion Technologies, led by Thomas Lee of Fundstrat. The company has already accumulated 2.83 million ETH (about $13.4 billion), representing over 2% of the total ETH supply. Lee even announced an ambition to acquire 5% of all circulating ETH — an aggressive move that hasn't gone unnoticed. In the midst of the chaos, institutional investors are doing the opposite of the crowd: when others sell, they buy. No wonder that after the crash, over 230,000 ETH ($900+ million) was moved from centralized exchanges to cold wallets. As a result, ETH exchange reserves have hit their lowest levels since 2016, now standing at just 14.8 million ETH — a 52% drop in available supply over the years. For long-term holders, this represents a golden opportunity: the lower the supply, the higher the growth potential, assuming demand holds — a principle proven across all commodity markets. The ETH shortage has been amplified by surging institutional demand. Since April alone, 68 institutions have purchased over 5.2 million ETH ($21.7 billion). Add to that Ethereum ETFs, which hold 6.75 million tokens, and nearly 10% of the total ETH supply is now under whale control. The market is quietly tilting toward a potential rally, awaiting the next positive catalyst. Takeaway: When the crowd panics, the smart money buys strong assets. Those who follow the professionals — not the herd — tend to win. For traders, the current conditions are ripe: speculators can profit from rebounds and quick price reversals. Long-term investors may use the dip to increase ETH exposure and prepare for the next growth wave. Our advice is simple: Watch institutional activity closely, Track ETH outflows from exchanges, Analyze demand structure. Don't panic — act rationally. Use stop-losses, take partial profits, and follow a plan. The professionals are already building positions — perhaps now is your time to join them and turn this global turbulence into your perfect entry point. Apple strengthens HomeKit: another quiet acquisition promises a big leap for the Smart Home Apple is preparing for a new strategic acquisition — a targeted buyout of Prompt AI, a computer vision startup. This small team of 11 has spent the past two years building Seemour, a service for home security cameras that can recognize people, animals, and vehicles, send real-time alerts, and most notably, generate text-based descriptions of what's happening on video. In this article, we'll explore what Apple gains from this deal, why it could reshape the smart home market, and how traders and investors should react. Apple is structuring the deal as an acquihire — meaning part of the Prompt AI team will join Apple, and the technology will be integrated into Apple's products. Some employees will be offered new roles in Cupertino, while others may see pay cuts or be encouraged to seek opportunities elsewhere. According to reports, investors will receive a partial return on their funding. Apple's interest is less about the finished product and more about the talent and innovation behind it. The Seemour technology has the potential to make smart home cameras truly smart. AI-powered cameras will be able to identify people, track vehicle movement, distinguish pets, and send detailed and user-friendly alerts. The ultimate goal is to integrate these features into HomeKit, boosting Apple's competitiveness in the smart home device market. Notably, competitors like Elon Musk's xAI and Neuralink also showed interest in Prompt AI, but the startup ultimately chose to go with Apple. Prompt AI's business model couldn't withstand the pressure from larger players. The startup's management has already announced that the Seemour app will shut down, all user data will be deleted for security reasons, and the entire team will move to Apple. This move is a clear example of how Apple builds technological leadership not by acquiring huge companies, but by quietly bringing in small but talented teams. Before launching new products with advanced features, Apple strategically absorbs top talent and neural network solutions — allowing for rapid innovation across its ecosystem. This approach proved highly effective during the development of Vision Pro and object recognition technologies in iPhones. While there's no official confirmation of the deal yet, if the transition of staff and integration of technology happens in the coming weeks, Seemour users will receive notifications about the app's shutdown and data deletion. For Apple fans, the key question will be: how soon will Prompt AI's innovations appear in HomeKit, and how much will they improve smart home devices? Key takeaway: Apple's small, niche startup acquisitions have long been a hallmark of its digital strategy. For traders, this is a signal: don't overlook such deals. They may not instantly affect stock prices, but they often become powerful catalysts for long-term value growth. Recommendation for investors and traders: Keep a close eye on news about HomeKit feature integration and monitor Apple's moves in the fields of AI and computer vision. Stories like these often lay the groundwork for future tech rallies, even if they seem subtle at first. And remember — big companies know how to turn low-profile acquisitions into massive competitive advantages. Don't miss your chance to capitalize on these trends: open an account with InstaForex to gain access to advanced tools for trading the biggest tech stocks. Track the market in real-time with our mobile app and make informed decisions anytime, anywhere! The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The BNB price has exploded back above $ 1,300, marking a robust +15% rebound that has reignited the FOMO across the crypto market. After briefly dipping below key support levels during the latest market correction, BNB coin surged on renewed buying pressure from traders betting on a stronger altcoin season. With BNB crypto price showing resilience amid market volatility, investors are asking: Can Binance and its native token reclaim dominance heading into Q4, and is a new BNB ATH back on the horizon? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What is BNB and Why Does It Matter So Much for the Crypto Market? BNB (Binance Coin) is the backbone of the BNB Chain and the broader Binance ecosystem, serving as a utility token that powers millions of daily transactions. Initially launched in 2017 as an ERC-20 token, BNB evolved into its own blockchain asset, now integral to decentralised finance, gaming, NFTs, and payment solutions. The BNB Chain operates on Proof of Staked Authority (PoSA), a hybrid system that provides low gas fees and fast block times of under 2 seconds. It supports 2.9M daily users, $9Bn in TVL, and maintains compatibility with Ethereum’s virtual machine, making it easy for developers to migrate. (Source – bnbchain) BNB’s deflationary model (driven by Binance’s quarterly auto-burn events) continually reduces supply, aligning price with long-term growth. Combined with Binance’s global reach and liquidity dominance, BNB remains one of the most technically and economically sound tokens in the crypto space. (Source – bnbburn.info) DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 How Has BNB Proven Its Resilience Through $19Bn Market Chaos? The recent flash crash on October 10, 2025, tested the entire crypto market’s nerves. Triggered by geopolitical tensions and tariff shocks, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Bitcoin BTC $115,451.10 3.87% Bitcoin BTC Price $115,451.10 3.87% /24h Volume in 24h $83.66B Price 7d DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Can BNB Price Extend Its Q4 Rally Toward New ATH Above $1350? Following a textbook V-shaped reversal after the recent crash, the BNB price has demonstrated impressive strength, backed by clear signs of sustained buying pressure and growing demand. The bullish structure remains fully intact, with the market recovering to pre-crash levels. This is a strong signal of confidence from both retail traders and institutional participants. (Source – TradingView) This swift recovery underscores why BNB coin remains one of the most resilient assets in the entire cryptocurrency market. Continuing on the 4-hour timeframe, both the 200 EMA and 200 SMA lines have been successfully retested and are now acting as a dynamic support zone, a hallmark of a confirmed bullish trend. The Volume Profile further validates this move, showing confluence between previous all-time-high zones and recently retested support areas, providing high-probability confirmation of BNB’s current upward trajectory. (Source – TradingView) At the time of writing, the BNB price sits just below its ATH, with this level serving as the final resistance before a potential breakout and new price discovery phase. Considering both the strong fundamentals of the BNB ecosystem and the technical momentum building on the charts, FOMO appears to be returning fast. All signs point to a market gearing up for another leg higher. One decisive push away from rewriting BNB’s all-time highs. DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways BNB price sitting just under ATH, gearing up for a push. Tremendous buying pressure experienced BNB coin pushing for $1350. The post BNB Price Slams Back Above $1,300 In +15% Blast: Will Binance Dominate Q4? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

On Friday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above the Fibonacci level 61.8%– 1.1594. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the resistance level 1.1645 – 1.1656. A rebound from this zone will favor the U.S. dollar and the resumption of a decline toward the corrective level 76.4% – 1.1517. Consolidation above the zone will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous wave's peak, while the new downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for now. Recent labor market data and the revised FOMC outlook support bullish traders, so I expect a trend reversal to "bullish." To end the bearish trend, the price must consolidate above the last peak – 1.1779. On Friday, there were few interesting economic reports – only the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which traders largely ignored. In the evening, however, Trump announced that starting November 1, tariffs on imports from China would rise by 100%. It is important to note that tariffs of 100%, on top of existing ones, effectively mean a halt in trade between China and the U.S. At a minimum, Chinese exports to the U.S. will drop almost to zero, similar to last summer when reciprocal tariffs between the two countries were in the triple digits. A response from Beijing should be expected soon, but it is already clear that China will mirror all tariffs on U.S. imports. Thus, a new round of the global trade war begins, which does not favor the bears or the U.S. dollar. I continue to expect the resumption of the bullish trend. On the 4-hour chart, the pair consolidated below 1.1680, allowing traders to anticipate a continuation of the decline toward the 127.2% corrective level at 1.1495. The CCI indicator is showing a developing bullish divergence, which may halt the current drop. A close above 1.1680 will favor the euro and resume the bullish trend toward the 161.8% corrective level at 1.1854. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: During the last reporting week, professional players closed 789 Long positions and opened 2,625 Short positions. Sentiment among the Non-commercial group remains bullish due to Donald Trump and has strengthened over time. The total number of Long positions held by speculators now stands at 252,000, while Short positions are 138,000. The gap is nearly twofold. Additionally, note the number of green cells in the table above, which reflect a strong accumulation of positions in the euro. In most cases, interest in the euro continues to grow, while interest in the dollar is declining. For 33 consecutive weeks, major players have been reducing Short positions and increasing Long positions. Donald Trump's policies remain the most significant factor for traders, as they could cause numerous problems with long-term and structural consequences for the U.S. Despite the signing of several important trade agreements, many key economic indicators continue to decline. News Calendar for the U.S. and the Eurozone: On October 13, the economic calendar contains no noteworthy entries. The news background will have no impact on market sentiment on Monday. EUR/USD Forecast and Trader Recommendations: Sales are possible today if the pair rebounds from the resistance level 1.1645 – 1.1656 on the hourly chart, with a target of 1.1594, or if it closes below 1.1594, with a target of 1.1517. Purchases could be considered if the pair closes above 1.1594, with a target of 1.1645 – 1.1656. These trades may be held open today. Fibonacci grids are built from 1.1392 – 1.1919 on the hourly chart and from 1.1214 – 1.0179 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The Oct. 10–11 sell-off that erased an estimated ~$19–20 billion across crypto within 24 hours has ignited a fierce post-mortem over whether market structure—or malice—turned a macro shock into cascading liquidations. Crypto Crash Not Random? On X, Uphold’s head of research Dr. Martin Hiesboeck alleged the crash “is suspected to be a targeted attack that exploited a flaw in Binance’s Unified Account margin system,” arguing that collateral posted in assets such as USDe, wBETH and BnSOL “had liquidation prices based on Binance’s own volatile spot market, not reliable external data,” which allowed a cascade once those instruments depegged on Binance order books. He added that the episode “was timed to exploit a window between Binance’s announcement of a fix and its implementation,” calling it “Luna 2.” Binance has publicly acknowledged extraordinary price dislocations in exactly those instruments during the crash window and has committed to compensating affected users. In a series of notices published Oct. 12–13 (UTC), the exchange said that “all Futures, Margin, and Loan users who held USDE, BNSOL, and WBETH as collateral and were impacted by the depeg between 2025-10-10 21:36 and 22:16 (UTC) will be compensated, together with any liquidation fees incurred,” with the payout “calculated as the difference between the market price at 2025-10-11 00:00 (UTC) and their respective liquidation price.” Binance also outlined “risk control enhancements” after the incident. The depegs were violent on Binance’s books: USDe printed as low as roughly $0.65, while wrapped staking tokens wBETH and BNSOL also plunged, briefly gutting the collateral value in Unified Accounts and triggering forced unwinds. Third-party market coverage and exchange community posts documented those prints and the immediate knock-on to margin balances during the 21:36–22:16 UTC window. Hiesboeck later framed the chain of events as leverage meeting brittle collateral mechanics rather than pure price discovery. In a follow-up explainer, he wrote: “The Trigger: It all started with external shock. A political post (Trump’s new tariff threat) hit the US stock market, and that fear spilled directly into crypto… The Amplifier: …too many people using massive leverage… Domino Effect: …panic selling hit related assets that were supposed to be stable (like USDe and wBETH), causing them to ‘depeg’… The Lesson (and Binance’s Role): Analysts say the true issue was not an attack, but bad design… [the] system dumped [collateral] immediately at any price.” He added that “Binance is now preparing a huge compensation plan.” Macro shock is, in fact, a credible first domino. The Oct. 10–11 liquidation wave was triggered by new tariff threats from the US President Donald Trump against China, which sparked cross-asset risk-off and an aggressive deleveraging across crypto perps. Friday’s crash was the “largest ever” liquidation event with roughly $20 billion in liquidations in a single day, with more than $1.2 billion of trader capital erased on Hyperliquid alone. Where the debate turns technical is on the “exploit” claim. One camp points to a design gap in how Binance’s Unified Account treated certain collateral: rather than anchoring to robust external pricing, liquidation thresholds referenced internal spot pairs that became thin and disorderly precisely when they were most system-critical. That design, critics argue, created a reflexive loop in which depegging collateral forced liquidations that sold more of the same collateral back into the same unstable books. Binance, for its part, has said it will adjust pricing logic for wrapped assets and has begun compensating users who were liquidated or suffered verified losses during the specified window. Ethena’s team, whose synthetic dollar USDe was at the center of the move, contends the problem was localized to Binance’s pricing/oracle path rather than a fundamental break in USDe’s mechanism. At press time, the total crypto market cap recovered to $3.87 trillion.

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday reversed in favor of the British pound and returned to the resistance level of 1.3332 – 1.3357 after Trump announced his intention to raise tariffs on China to 100% starting November 1. Thus, traders are currently in a very favorable position. A close above the 1.3332 – 1.3357 level will allow expectations of continued growth toward the next corrective level of 76.4% – 1.3425. A close below this level will favor the U.S. currency and the resumption of a decline toward the Fibo level 127.2% – 1.3225. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous high, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. The news background in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S. dollar, yet bullish traders are still not taking advantage of the opportunities presented to them. To cancel the "bearish" trend, the pair would need to rise above 1.3528, but for now, the bears remain on the offensive. The first thing to note is that the U.S. government shutdown continues, which means that most of the key economic indicators that were supposed to be released this week will not be available to traders. In particular, this concerns important reports on retail sales and inflation. Let me remind you that the Federal Reserve bases its decisions on three "pillars": inflation, unemployment, and the labor market. None of these indicators (except for ADP) have been released in October. Thus, as long as the shutdown continues, neither traders nor the Fed will have any understanding of how September performed. The new conflict between China and the U.S. is another negative factor for the dollar. Recall that the trade war has been the main reason for the dollar's decline this year. The more it escalates, the faster the U.S. currency will resume its downward trend. At least, that's how this equation looks to me. I had already expected a new decline in the dollar, since even those U.S. reports that did come out showed nothing promising for the American economy. I do not expect anything positive from the unreleased reports either, which will eventually become available sooner or later. On the 4-hour chart, the pair has consolidated below the level 1.3339 – 1.3435, which allows us to expect a continuation of the downward movement toward the corrective level 76.4% – 1.3118. A consolidation of quotes above 1.3339 will favor the pound and some growth. No emerging divergences are currently observed in any indicator, and further growth of the U.S. dollar appears highly doubtful. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: The sentiment of the Non-commercial trader category became more bullish over the last reporting week. The number of Long positions held by speculators increased by 3,704, while the number of Short positions decreased by 912. The gap between the number of Long and Short positions is now approximately 85,000 vs. 86,000. Bullish traders are once again tipping the scales in their favor. In my view, the pound still has potential for a decline, but with each passing month, the U.S. dollar looks weaker and weaker. Previously, traders worried about Donald Trump's protectionist policies, not realizing what results they might bring. Now, however, they may be more concerned about the consequences of these policies: a possible recession, the constant introduction of new tariffs, and Trump's conflict with the Federal Reserve, as a result of which the regulator could become "politically controlled" by the White House. Thus, the pound now looks much less dangerous than the U.S. currency. News Calendar for the U.S. and the U.K.: On October 13, the economic calendar contains no noteworthy entries. The influence of the news background on market sentiment on Monday will therefore be absent. Forecast for GBP/USD and Trader Recommendations: Sales today are possible upon a close below the 1.3332 – 1.3357 level on the hourly chart, with a target of 1.3225. Purchases can be considered upon a close above the 1.3332 – 1.3357 level, with a target of 1.3425. Fibonacci grids are built between 1.3332 – 1.3725 on the hourly chart and 1.3431 – 1.2104 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader. #instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

While everyone remains focused on how the story between the U.S. and China will unfold, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated that the regulator has already determined its inflation target and expects an economic revival in 2026. "Inflation remains close to our 2% target," Lagarde said, adding that core price pressures also persist and that wage growth is expected to continue slowing. Addressing lawmakers, she noted that weak export figures — driven by high tariffs, a stronger euro, and intensifying global competition — are likely to hold back economic growth until the end of this year. These comments came amid growing concerns about slowing economic growth in the euro area. Despite success in containing inflation, the obstacles to recovery remain substantial. High energy prices, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainty in global trade continue to create a challenging environment for businesses and consumers alike. The European Central Bank is under pressure as it tries to balance supporting economic growth with keeping inflation under control. ECB policymakers have repeatedly affirmed their commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target, while also acknowledging that tightening monetary policy too aggressively could harm the economy. Under these conditions, the outlook for the eurozone remains uncertain. Improvement in the global economic situation seems unlikely in the near term, and new trade disputes could further undermine the region's future prospects. "The impact of these factors on growth should ease next year," Lagarde said. "Survey data indicate that the services sector continues to expand, suggesting some positive underlying momentum in the economy." Most policymakers, including Lagarde herself, have recently expressed their reluctance to lower borrowing rates below the current 2% level, as inflation hovers near target and the risks appear balanced in both directions. "If you look at my inflation forecast, the balance of risks, and core inflation, as I have said many times before — we are in a good position," the ECB president said. Lagarde reiterated the ECB's official stance that policy decisions will continue to be data-dependent, with no pre-commitments regarding future actions. Current Technical Outlook for EUR/USD At present, buyers need to focus on reclaiming the 1.1630 level. Only a breakout above this mark would allow a move toward 1.1660. From there, the pair could climb to 1.1690, although doing so without the support of major players would be quite difficult. The ultimate upward target remains 1.1720. In the event of a decline, significant buying interest is expected to appear around 1.1590. If no large buyers emerge there, it would be prudent to wait for a retest of the 1.1545 low or consider opening long positions near 1.1510. Current Technical Outlook for GBP/USD Buyers of the pound should aim to break the nearest resistance at 1.3360. Only this will open the path toward 1.3390, though breaking above that level could prove difficult. The farthest upward target is the 1.3425 level. If the pair falls, bears will likely try to regain control near 1.3330. If they succeed, a break below this range would deal a serious blow to the bulls and push GBP/USD toward the 1.3290 low, with the potential to extend losses to 1.3260. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The euro and the British pound continue to show growth, while the U.S. dollar remains weak. Even though the administration of President Donald Trump announced on Sunday its willingness to reach a deal with China to ease the renewed trade tensions, currency traders are maintaining a cautious stance, even as early signs of stabilization appear in the U.S. stock market. Vice President J.D. Vance urged Beijing to choose a reasonable path in the escalating trade war between the world's two largest economies, stating that Trump would have more leverage if the conflict dragged on. Later, Trump issued a statement hinting at a possible compromise while simultaneously delivering a veiled threat that a full-scale trade war would harm China. "Don't worry about China — everything will be fine! The respected Chairman Xi has just been through a rough time. He doesn't want a depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S. wants to help China, not harm it!" he wrote. Vance and Trump's statement came amid growing concern about the renewed escalation of the trade conflict, which had already disrupted global supply chains and increased volatility in financial markets earlier that year. Economists warn that further escalation could push the global economy into recession. While Vance called for restraint, Trump took a harder line. His hint at compromise was interpreted by some as a sign that he was open to negotiations, yet his warning to China suggested he was ready for a prolonged confrontation. Analysts believe that both sides are aware of the high cost of a trade war. China, in particular, could face slower economic growth and rising unemployment if exports to the U.S. decline significantly. The remarks by Trump and Vance indicate that the U.S. intends to keep pressuring China to reverse its latest trade decisions, while simultaneously trying to reassure nervous markets that a retaliatory escalation is not inevitable. The most likely scenario seems to be that both sides refrain from their most aggressive measures, leading to a further — and possibly indefinite — postponement of tariff escalation deadlines agreed upon in May. It's worth noting that the dollar wasn't the only one hit. On Friday, stocks, oil, and cryptocurrencies also saw their largest sell-off in months. On social media, Trump threatened to respond to China's new restrictions on the export of rare earth metals and other trade measures. Earlier on Sunday, China's Ministry of Commerce stated that the U.S. should stop threatening tariff increases and called for further negotiations to resolve outstanding trade issues. "Threatening high tariffs at every step is not the best way to build relations with China," the ministry said. "If the U.S. continues on its current path, China will firmly take appropriate measures to protect its legitimate rights and interests." It all began last week when China announced new export control measures. In response, an enraged Trump declared on Friday that starting November 1, the U.S. would impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, restrict the export of certain software from the U.S., and hinted that he might suspend aircraft component deliveries to China. As noted earlier, the foreign exchange market, particularly the U.S. dollar, reacted to all this with a decline. Current Technical Outlook for EUR/USD At present, buyers need to focus on reclaiming the 1.1630 level. Only a breakout above this mark would allow for a move toward 1.1660. From there, the pair could rise to 1.1690, although achieving this without support from major market players would be quite difficult. The farthest upward target is 1.1720. In case of a decline, I expect strong buying interest to appear near 1.1590. If no major buyers emerge there, it would be preferable to wait for a test of the 1.1545 low or consider opening long positions from 1.1510. Current Technical Outlook for GBP/USD Buyers of the pound need to take control of the nearest resistance at 1.3360. Only a breakout above this level would allow the pair to target 1.3390, above which further progress would be quite difficult. The ultimate upward target lies around 1.3425. If the pair declines, bears will likely attempt to regain control near 1.3330. If successful, a breakout below this range would seriously damage bullish positions and push GBP/USD toward the 1.3290 low, with the potential to extend losses to 1.3260. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

"Bull" markets don't die of old age. They die of fear. Stock markets fear recession more than anything—and the combination of a reignited U.S.–China trade war and cooling labor market is a clear path toward economic decline in the United States. It's no surprise, then, that we've just seen the worst S&P 500 sell-off since America's Liberation Day back in April. Donald Trump threatened to cancel his meeting with Xi Jinping and retaliate against China's tightening of export controls on rare earth minerals, triggering a sharp drop in the broad equity index. Even after trading closed, the U.S. president announced an increase in tariffs to 100%. Although Trump historically has a strong interest in propping up the S&P 500, he failed to prevent market panic, which materialized anyway. Dynamics of S&P 500 P/E Multiples Investor complacency and rich valuations played a cruel joke on the bulls. The mere appearance of unexpected news about a renewed U.S.–China trade war sent the broad index tumbling off a cliff. The current S&P 500 bull market has now lasted exactly three years. It began on October 12, 2022, and during that time, it produced an 88% rally and added $28 trillion in market capitalization. Of the 13 post–World War II bull markets, 7 completed the three-year mark with an 88% return. The current 13% gain in the S&P 500 over the past 12 months is double the average return seen in the third year of all previous bull markets. Wall Street veterans say they have never seen anything like it. On the buyer side, the S&P 500 has been supported by a strong economy, positive expectations for third-quarter corporate earnings, confidence in the ongoing cycle of the Federal Reserve's monetary expansion, and advancements in artificial intelligence technology. However, a survey conducted by Bloomberg MLIV PULSE found that 62% of investors believe that the costs associated with AI are not yielding satisfactory returns. Return on Artificial Intelligence Investments According to projections from Wall Street Journal analysts, the U.S. GDP is forecast to expand by 1.7% in 2025. Some specialists previously estimated that tariffs would accelerate inflation by up to 1 percentage point, but updated forecasts suggest a smaller 0.5 percentage point impact. That latter view was based on the assumption that tariff certainty would boost economic activity. But the revival of a trade war completely undermines that narrative. A weakening labor market will eventually weigh on GDP, and the cost absorption of tariffs by U.S. companies is actively eroding corporate profit margins. Optimism surrounding strong Q3 earnings might prove unfounded. All of this raises the risk of a sustained corrective move for the broader stock market. On the S&P 500 daily chart, a break of the previously identified support level at 6720 has prompted a shift toward a strategy that combines short-term selling with long-term buying. A deep sell-off marked by a wide-bodied bearish candle signals an elevated risk of further downside. For now, maintaining short positions makes sense. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the level of 1.3355 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3293 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may begin to rise toward 1.3323 — the lower fractal (blue dashed line). Figure 1: Daily Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.3355 (closing price of Friday's daily candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3278 — the 76.4% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective upward movement may follow, targeting 1.3293 — the historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the level of 1.1621 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, the price may move upward toward 1.1608 — the historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). Figure 1: Daily Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.1621 (closing price of Friday's daily candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.1556 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, the price may start to rise toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3355 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may continue to move downward, targeting 1.3141 — the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3270 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). Figure 1: Weekly Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall Conclusion Based on the weekly chart, the GBP/USD pair is most likely to show a downward trend during the week, with no upper shadow on the weekly black (bearish) candle (Monday — down) and the presence of a lower shadow by Friday (Friday — up). Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.3355 (closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may continue to move downward toward 1.3044 — a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, the price may start moving upward, targeting 1.3141 — the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)This week, from the level of 1.1621 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the market may continue to move downward, aiming for 1.1488 — a historical support level (light blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may bounce upward toward 1.1536 — the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Figure 1: Weekly Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Conclusion of comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall Summary for the Weekly EUR/USD Candle Throughout the week, the price is most likely to show a downward trend, with no upper shadow on the weekly black (bearish) candle (Monday — down) and a lower shadow forming by Friday (Friday — up). Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.1621 (closing price of the last weekly candle), the pair may continue its downward movement toward 1.1447 — the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may start moving upward, targeting 1.1488 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

GBP/USD Brief Analysis: At the end of June, a trend reversal occurred on the chart of the British pound. The upward trend was replaced by a corrective bearish wave. After reaching the upper boundary of a strong support zone, quotations entered a sideways drift. Once it is fully completed, the price rise will continue. Weekly Forecast: During the coming week, the pound is expected to continue moving sideways between nearby opposing zones. After possible pressure on the support zone early in the week, a bullish trend is the most likely scenario. The rise is expected to end near the calculated resistance zone. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.3520 / 1.3570Support: 1.3240 / 1.3190Recommendations: Sales: No potential, risky.Purchases: Premature until the current decline ends and corresponding buy signals appear near support according to your trading system (TS).AUD/USD Brief Analysis: In the short term, the direction of the Australian dollar major pair has been determined by an uptrend since April 4. Over the past month, a counter-correction has been forming. Its structure does not yet appear complete. The price is approaching the upper boundary of a strong potential reversal zone on the weekly timeframe. Weekly Forecast: During the week, price movement is expected within a corridor between opposing zones. After a possible attempt to test the support zone, a reversal and change of direction can be expected. The resistance zone represents the likely upper limit of the week's price movement. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.6540 / 0.6590Support: 0.6440 / 0.6390Recommendations: Sales: Low potential, may result in losses.Purchases: Possible after confirmed reversal signals appear near the support zone according to your trading system.USD/CHF Brief Analysis: Since early April of this year, the Swiss franc's price trend has been directed by an upward wave forming as a "shifting plane." The wave's structure is gradually approaching the active growth phase of its final segment (C). The price is moving along the level of a potential daily reversal zone. Weekly Forecast: At the start of the week, continued sideways movement is expected along the boundaries of the calculated resistance zone. Closer to the weekend, conditions for renewed price decline may form. The support level represents the lower boundary of the expected weekly range. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.8090 / 0.8140Support: 0.7860 / 0.7810Recommendations: Purchases: Possible with small volume sizes during individual trading sessions.Sales: Relevant after reversal signals appear near the resistance zone.EUR/JPY Brief Analysis: Since February, price movement in the EUR/JPY pair has been driven by an upward wave. Analysis of the structure indicates an internal correction forming within the final segment (C). In recent days, quotations have been retreating from the levels of strong resistance on the higher timeframe. Weekly Forecast: During the first days of the week, a sideways trend ("flat") is the most probable scenario. A short-term decline toward the support zone is possible, followed by renewed price growth closer to the weekend. Increased volatility and trend reversal could coincide with the release of key economic data. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 177.80 / 178.30Support: 174.00 / 174.50Recommendations: Sales: Limited potential; high risk.Purchases: May be used for trading after confirmed reversal signals appear.AUD/JPY Analysis: Globally, the AUD/JPY pair has been moving "north" on the price chart. Since August 5, quotations have been forming a counter corrective "expanded flat." This structure remains incomplete. Since last Thursday, quotations have been declining from the boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. Forecast: In the coming days, a downward trend is highly probable. Near the support zone, a decline completion and reversal formation are expected. Toward the end of the week, a reversal and the beginning of an upward move are likely. The resistance boundary represents the probable upper limit of the pair's weekly range. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 100.50 / 101.00Support: 97.10 / 96.60Recommendations: Sales: Possible with small intraday volumes.Purchases: Become relevant after reversal signals appear near support.US Dollar Index Brief Analysis: Since August, the short-term trend of the US Dollar Index has been directed "south." The unfinished section of the wave is corrective. Prices are mostly moving sideways, approaching the upper boundary of a strong potential reversal zone on the weekly timeframe. Weekly Forecast: In the coming days, the index is expected to continue moving sideways with a downward bias. A breakout below the calculated support boundary is unlikely. A reversal and resumption of upward movement are probable toward the weekend. The resistance zone marks the expected upper boundary of the week's movement. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 98.00 / 98.20Support: 96.90 / 96.70Recommendations: The strengthening of national currencies in major pairs will allow for short-term buying opportunities in the coming days. Renewed strengthening of the US dollar—and corresponding sales of national currencies—can be considered after reversal signals appear near the support zone. Notes: In Simplified Wave Analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A–B–C). On each timeframe, the analysis focuses on the last, incomplete wave. Dotted lines represent expected movements. Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the time duration of price movements. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EUR/USD Analysis: Since late July of this year, an upward trend has been forming on the euro chart. From mid-September, quotes have been retreating downward from the lower boundary of a large-scale potential reversal zone. A counter-trend zigzag has formed on the chart, not exceeding the correction level. At the time of analysis, the wave structure appears complete, but there are no signals indicating an imminent trend change. Forecast: Over the coming week, the euro's sideways trend is expected to conclude. Early in the week, pressure on the support zone is likely. Toward the weekend, the probability of a reversal and renewed price growth increases. The resistance zone marks the probable upper limit for the week's movement. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.1670 / 1.1720Support: 1.1540 / 1.1490Recommendations: Sales: Low potential, may result in losses.Purchases: Possible after appropriate signals appear near the calculated support zone according to your trading system (TS).USD/JPY Analysis: Since April of this year, an upward wave has been forming on the yen chart. The wave structure has created an "ascending pennant" pattern. The unfinished segment has been in progress since October 1. The price has reached the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. No signals of an imminent trend reversal are observed. Forecast: In the coming days, the general upward movement is expected to continue up to the resistance zone boundaries. After that, the price is likely to move sideways, forming a reversal and starting a downward correction. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 154.40 / 154.90Support: 150.00 / 149.50Recommendations: Purchases: Possible with partial volumes within individual trading sessions; potential limited by resistance.Sales: Premature before confirmed reversal signals appear near the resistance zone.GBP/JPY Analysis: For the past two months, the GBP/JPY pair chart has shown an upward bias. The current main wave began on September 11. The structure is now close to completion, but no immediate reversal signals have formed. In recent days, the price has pulled back downward from the lower boundary of the potential reversal zone. Forecast: At the start of the coming week, a decline toward the support zone is expected. After that, a sideways consolidation and subsequent rise toward the resistance zone are likely. This area coincides with a major timeframe potential reversal zone. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 205.30 / 205.80Support: 201.20 / 200.70Recommendations: Sales: Possible in the early part of next week with small volume sizes.Purchases: Not advisable until reversal signals appear near the support zone according to your trading system.USD/CAD Analysis: Since February of this year, USD/CAD has been forming a downward wave. The middle section of wave (B) started on June 16 and remains incomplete. The price has broken through intermediate resistance, which now serves as support. Before resuming upward movement, the pair needs to consolidate within a flat range to raise its wave level. Forecast: At the start of the week, a sideways trend with a decline toward the support zone is expected. Afterward, sideways drift is likely. A brief decline below support is not excluded. Toward the end of the week, the probability of a reversal and renewed bullish momentum increases. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.4160 / 1.4210Support: 1.3930 / 1.3880Recommendations: Purchases: Become relevant after appropriate buy signals appear near support.Sales: May be used with small intraday volumes.Bitcoin Analysis: Wave analysis of the bullish trend that has dominated since March shows that the horizontal correction is nearing completion. Its final unfinished segment began on October 6 and forms the last section of the correction. Once completed, the instrument's price is expected to resume its upward trend. Forecast: In the next couple of days, Bitcoin's downward movement is expected to continue, reaching the support zone. Prices are likely to consolidate there. Toward the end of the week, renewed growth is anticipated. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 118,000 / 119,000Support: 106,000 / 105,000Recommendations: Sales: Low potential, risky, may lead to losses.Purchases: Relevant after appropriate buy signals appear according to your trading system.Gold Analysis: Since May, gold has been forming the final unfinished section of its global bullish trend. After breaking another record high, prices encountered multiple overlapping potential reversal levels of varying scales. In recent days, the price has mostly moved sideways. Analysis shows the structure remains incomplete. Forecast: During the upcoming week, the overall sideways trend is expected to continue. Early in the week, a possible decline toward the support zone is likely. Afterward, a reversal and renewed upward movement are expected, possibly reaching the resistance zone. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 4060 / 4080Support: 3940 / 3920Recommendations: Sales: Low potential, risky.Purchases: Possible with small volumes after appropriate reversal signals appear near the support zone.Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A–B–C). On each timeframe, the last incomplete wave is analyzed. Dotted lines indicate expected movements. Attention: The wave algorithm does not account for the time duration of price movements. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Friday's sell-off, according to many observers, was linked to Binance—one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges—where most of the liquidations took place. There are many versions circulating online about why Bitcoin dropped to $101,000. One of the most compelling theories, in my view, points to issues on Binance itself. According to one report, the collateral for positions on Binance was being evaluated using its own internal order book data rather than external price oracles. When Binance announced on October 6 that it would be switching to oracle-based pricing, it gave a select group of traders enough time for a coordinated attack. During that transition period, organized actors reportedly began manipulating Binance's order book. The resulting forced liquidations triggered mass sales of BTC, ETH, and altcoins. Other exchanges, through bots and cross-market algorithms, mimicked the drop—leading to a cascade of selling across the crypto market. However, this interpretation raises several questions and requires deeper analysis. First and foremost, the claim that the order book was manipulated must be backed by credible evidence, not speculation. Specific accounts allegedly involved in the attack would need to be identified, and any unusual trading volumes or price anomalies during the timeframe should be thoroughly analyzed. Moreover, while switching to oracle-based pricing is certainly a step toward increased transparency and platform safety, it does not fully eliminate the risk of manipulation. Oracles themselves can be exploited, and delays in the information they deliver can give certain traders unfair advantages. Finally, more fundamental macroeconomic events must also be considered—such as the abrupt U.S. announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. This news sparked a sharp sell-off in global equity markets, which in turn weighed heavily on the crypto space. Trading recommendations Buyers of Bitcoin are currently aiming to reclaim the $116,300 level. A breakout here would open a clear path to $118,400, and from there to $120,600. The most distant target is the $122,400 area—breaking above this level would indicate renewed bullish momentum. In the event of further declines, buyer interest is expected around $114,200. A move below this level could send BTC quickly down to $112,800, followed by $111,200 as the next major support zone. As for Ethereum, a solid consolidation above $4,169 opens the path to $4,244. The furthest upside objective is the $4,318 level—surpassing it would confirm increased buyer interest and further reinforcement of the uptrend. If Ethereum falls lower, buyers are expected at $4,061. Dropping below this area could push ETH toward $3,942, with the most distant support around $3,827. What we see on the chart: - Red lines indicate support and resistance levels where either a price slowdown or a strong move is expected; - Green lines represent the 50-day moving average; - Blue lines represent the 100-day moving average; - Light green lines represent the 200-day moving average. Generally, a crossover or price test of these moving averages either halts market momentum or sets a new directional impulse. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Following the massive crash that Bitcoin and the entire crypto market suffered over the weekend, the Fear & Greed Index has been pushed down to its lowest level in the last six months. This index, which measures the market sentiment and shows on a scale how investors are feeling about the crypto market, has now fallen back into the Extreme Fear territory. The number on the scale now shows the lowest level it has been since the market crash back in April 2025. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Sees Major Crash The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index uses a number of factors to determine how investors are feeling about the market. It takes into account things like volatility, social sentiment aggregated across different social media platforms, market volume and momentum, and market dominance to come to a figure. The data is aggregated, which puts it on a scale of 1-100, with 1-25 being Extreme Fear, 26-46 being Fear, 47-54 being Neutral, 55-75 representing Greed, and 76-100 representing Extreme Greed. Each of these shows either bullishness, bearishness, or nonchalance in the market. The most recent data shows that the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index crashed to 24 on Sunday. This puts the index firmly in Extreme Fear territory, suggesting that investors are extremely cautious at this point. It also shows a reluctance to enter into any positions at this time. This is the result of the massive liquidation event that happened last Friday, with crypto traders losing over $19 billion in one day. Thus, it is no surprise that fear has gripped the market. However, this would also present a unique opportunity in the market. Buy When The Market Is Bleeding One of the oldest sayings in the financial world is to “buy when there is blood on the streets.” This represents times of extreme losses, where most investors are scared to put their money in the market. Thus, with the market teetering on Extreme Fear, it could be the time to buy. The last time that the market declined into Extreme Fear this low was back in April 2025, and what followed was a rally that saw the Bitcoin price reach new all-time highs in May 2025. If this trend holds, then the market could be looking at a possible rapid increase. By Sunday, the market was already recovering, with the Bitcoin price crossing $114,000 and Ethereum making its way back above $4,000. It is still quite early to tell if the market is in a full recovery trend, but with prices already bouncing, it could signal the next wave of gains.

US stock indexes closed the New York session on Friday with their biggest plunge in a year. The S&P 500 fell by 2.71%, while the Nasdaq 100 sank by 3.56%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.90%. During today's Asian trading session, futures on US stock indexes edged higher after President Donald Trump signaled readiness to strike a deal with China, which improved market sentiment following the shock from a sharp escalation in trade tensions. Futures on the S&P 500 rose by 1.3%, and Nasdaq 100 contracts gained 1.8% after the administration softened its rhetoric following Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on China in response to Chinese export control measures. US Treasury bond futures fell, and oil climbed by 1.5%. Silver hit its highest level in decades, while gold continued its upward trend. Last Friday's market crash was triggered by the Trump administration's announcement that it was ready to impose 100% tariffs on China in retaliation for Beijing's export control measures. The announcement came like a bolt from the blue, sparking a panic sell-off across all major stock indexes, from Wall Street to the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Investors, shocked by the renewed prospect of a full-scale trade war, rushed to dump risk assets, with a massive flight to "safe havens" ensuing. The consequences of the crash were swift. The US dollar plunged as capital fled the country, while oil prices collapsed amid fears of a global economic slowdown. Gold, on the other hand, soared, reaffirming its status as a reliable safe haven in times of uncertainty. Recently, sharp declines in risk assets have been rare, which in itself may have contributed to the strong market reaction to the escalation in trade tensions. After the tariff-driven drop in April, the S&P 500 had rebounded sharply on optimism around artificial intelligence and hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut. In response to Trump's actions, China stated that the US must stop threatening to raise tariffs and called for further negotiations to resolve unresolved trade issues. Beijing also emphasized that it would not hesitate to take retaliatory measures if Washington continued to act against China. Just yesterday, the US administration indicated that it is open to reaching a deal with China, while Trump hinted at a possible refusal by Xi Jinping to continue negotiations, simultaneously issuing a veiled threat that a full-scale trade war would harm China. This suggests that the US intends to step up pressure on China to reverse its recent trade decisions, while also trying to reassure jittery markets that further escalation is not inevitable. As for the technical picture of the S&P 500, the main task for buyers today will be to break through the nearest resistance at 6,648. Achieving this would allow for further gains and open the path to a push toward the next level at 6,660. An equally important objective for the bulls is to maintain control above 6,672, which would strengthen their position. In case of a downward move amid weakening risk appetite, buyers must step in around the 6,638 area. A break below this level would quickly push the instrument down to 6,630 and open the road to 6,616. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Bitcoin plummeted to $101,000, later stabilizing near $112,000. It is currently trading at $115,000, opening a real opportunity for recovery above $116,000. Ethereum has reclaimed nearly 80% of its losses from the end of last week. According to data, the crypto market crash led to a record $19 billion in liquidated long positions. Many market participants connect the sudden drop in Bitcoin and altcoins to potential new aggressive tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump aimed at China. A combination of factors—leverage, automatic sell triggers, and lack of liquidity during off-market hours—contributed to the rapid reduction in positions. This event marks the largest single-day sell-off in the market's history. Now, traders are trying to identify which major player was flushed out. Data from CoinGlass confirmed more than 1.6 million traders were liquidated. So far, no major whale investor has officially admitted to being wiped out. In the cryptocurrency market, margin calls do not work the same way as on traditional exchanges: when collateral falls, algorithms sell automatically. As a result, a system designed to run 24/7 can work against the market, and sharp volatility leads to rapid acceleration in losses. Since Trump made his announcement during a U.S. holiday weekend, there was a lack of active participants in the market, intensifying the crash. These issues became especially apparent on the Hyperliquid exchange. While its trading volume is smaller than Binance, Hyperliquid's USD trading volume hit $10 billion during the panic. Many have also blamed the crash on the automatic deleveraging (ADL) system, which liquidates severely leveraged positions automatically when liquidation volumes exceed what available insurance can cover. Exchanges use ADL as a safeguard during extreme volatility to protect the broader system from cascading losses. In any case, the market is now partially recovering from the sell-off, and soon, most will have forgotten about it. As for intraday strategy in the crypto market, I will continue to respond to major dips in Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting the medium-term bull market—which remains intact—to reassert itself. Below are the conditions and strategies for short-term trading. BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to buy Bitcoin today upon reaching the entry point near $115,300, with a target of rising to $116,800. Around $116,800, I will close the long position and immediately sell on the expected pullback.Before buying on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario 2: Buying is also possible from the lower boundary of $114,300, provided there is no breakout and a return toward $115,300 and $116,800.Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell Bitcoin today at the $114,300 entry point, targeting a fall to $113,000. Around $113,000, I will exit shorts and buy on rebound.Before selling on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario 2: I can also sell from the upper boundary at $115,300 if there is no follow-through after a breakout, targeting a return to $114,300 and then $113,000. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I will buy Ethereum today upon reaching the entry point near $4172, with a target of rising to $4283. Around $4283, I will take profit and open short positions on the pullback.Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in positive territory.Scenario 2: Alternatively, I will buy from the lower boundary of $4114 if no breakout occurs, with a rebound back toward $4172 and $4283.Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell Ethereum today after reaching the $4114 entry point, targeting a decline to $3992. Around $3992, I will exit sales and open long positions on the rebound.Before selling on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario 2: I can also sell from the upper boundary at $4172 if no follow-through occurs after a breakout, with expected return to $4114 and $3992.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com