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Best Crypto to Buy Now as $XRP Outperforms Major Altcoins
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
What to Know: $XRP’s breakout was fueled by renewed risk appetite as investors pulled funds from gold. The token has strong support near the $2.42 zone, with a decisive close above $2.56 signaling a run to $2.63. New projects like $HYPER, $PEPENODE, and $BONK offer high-growth potential outside of major assets. $XRP jumped a notable 3% on Monday, briefly touching the $2.50 mark before people started taking a bit of profit. But why the sudden excitement? The main reason for the rise boils down to a classic case of risk appetite returning. For weeks, we’ve seen people nervously piling into defensive assets like gold. Well, that started to ease up today. When gold slips, risk assets usually perk up, and that’s exactly what happened. Even Bitcoin saw a modest uptick, helping set the mood. As well as this, $XRP’s had some other excellent tailwinds: The $1B Boost: Ripple’s massive $1B capital raise is still helping sentiment. Professional traders who want exposure to regulated-linked tokens see this as a huge vote of confidence. ETF Hype: Everyone is eagerly awaiting the SEC’s decisions on the crypto ETF applications. SEC Chair Paul Atkins is seen as a supporter of digital assets, so many are expecting good news. This is a major catalyst, and traders are positioning rotating toward tokens they think might benefit the most. The surge was quick! $XRP blew up from $2.36 to a day high of $2.53 in a fast afternoon breakout, with trading volume absolutely spiking. That tells you the big institutional players were active. Despite a slight retreat, $XRP quickly found solid footing around the $2.42-$2.45 zone. The takeaway? For now, the $2.42 support level looks strong, despite falling at $2.38 now. If $XRP can finally close decisively at about $2.53, we could be looking at a run toward $2.63 next. Keep an eye on those gold and Bitcoin trends; if they stay on their current course, $XRP might just keep climbing. But that doesn’t mean you should miss out on some of the other best crypto to buy now, all of which offer something new and exciting. Check out Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), PEPENODE ($PEPENODE), and BONK ($BONK). 1. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER): Bitcoin’s Upgrade Has Arrived Let’s face it: we all love Bitcoin, but trying to use it for anything fast is a nightmare of slow speeds and crazy high fees. That’s what Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is here to solve. Think of it as putting a Ferrari engine into the most secure vault in the world. It’s a game-changing Layer 2 network that integrates the hyper-fast Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), finally bringing real-world scalability to $BTC. That means your Bitcoin isn’t just a static store of value anymore; it’s a dynamic asset ready for DeFi, fast payments, and NFTs. The proof is in the pudding: the project has already exploded, raising over $24M in its presale. When you see whales piling in, buying up to $379.9K at a time, you know the smart money is moving. Plus, you can earn right away with dynamic staking rewards up to 48% APY. The Canonical Bridge ensures your original Bitcoin is locked securely while you transact at warp speed on the L2. Our experts predict $HYPER reaching $0.02595 by the end of 2025, which is a possible 97% ROI if you invested at today’s price. Hurry, though, as a price increase is coming in the next couple of days. Buy your Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) for $0.013155. 2. PEPENODE ($PEPENODE): Forget Boring Crypto – This is Mine-to-Earn Gaming Tired of meme coins that are all hype and zero substance? Say hello to PEPENODE ($PEPENODE), the project that’s revolutionizing the space by introducing a wildly fun mine-to-earn gaming model. Forget the dusty, power-guzzling hardware of old-school mining. Here, you get to build and upgrade your own virtual nodes in a gamified, browser-based server room using the $PEPENODE token. The best part is that the digital miners don’t just sit there; they actively generate a mix of hot meme coins, including $PEPE and $PEPENODE itself. This is real passive income meets viral meme culture. $PEPENODE’s tokenomics are built to reward early movers and drive long-term value: they burn 70% of the tokens used to buy nodes, making $PEPENODE deflationary, and thus potentially increasing value over time. The presale is closing in on $2M raised, offering early investors massive staking APYs up to 674%. These unique upgradeable nodes give you a powerful edge over later buyers, making early entry critical. Our price prediction for $PEPENODE by the end of 2025 is $0.0031, giving you a potential ROI of 178%. Buy your $PEPENODE now for $0.0011138. 3. BONK ($BONK): The Solana Superstar That’s Still Running the Show You know the name. BONK ($BONK) is more than just a dog-themed meme coin; it’s the token that reignited the flame of the Solana community. It started as a massive, fair-launch airdrop, immediately establishing itself as the ‘people’s coin’ and proving that fun and fair distribution can win. Built on Solana’s lightning-fast and cheap blockchain, $BONK is the perfect social currency, quick to move and affordable to use. But the real story is utility. $BONK has been integrated into over 350 projects across the Solana ecosystem. We’re talking DEXs, NFT marketplaces, and even games; it’s everywhere. The project is governed by the BONK DAO, ensuring the community has a real voice, and mechanisms like BonkSwap keep the token relevant and in demand. The recent setup of Bonk Inc. and its acquisition plan further signals a serious, long-term commitment to ecosystem growth and scarcity. Unlike fly-by-night projects, $BONK has survived and thrived, demonstrating that it has the staying power to be a core part of the crypto landscape for years to come. $BONK isn’t just a coin; it’s a movement. You can buy your $BONK for $0.00001419. Recap: $XRP saw a sudden 3% jump, briefly hitting $2.50, driven by a shift from defensive assets like gold back into the broader, risk-on crypto market. This surge was increased by strong internal factors. Check out $HYPER, $PEPENODE, and $BONK as the next best crypto to buy now. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://newsbtc.com/news/best-crypto-to-buy-as-xrp-outperforms-major-altcoins-at-2-5 -
Bitcoin Could Crash 50%, Pushing MSTR ‘Underwater,’ Legendary Trader Warns
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Veteran chartist Peter Brandt ignited a fresh technical debate on X after publishing two annotated charts—one of today’s Bitcoin daily bars, the other of Chicago Board of Trade soybeans from 1977—arguing that the cryptocurrency may be carving out a broadening top akin to the historical commodity pattern that preceded a 50% collapse. “In 1977 Soybeans formed a broadening top and then declined 50% in value,” Brandt wrote. “Bitcoin today is forming a similar pattern. A 50% decline in $BTC will put MSTR underwater. Whether I am right or wrong, you have to admit this old guy has the gonads to make big calls.” What This Means For Bitcoin Price Brandt’s side-by-side comparative overlay is central to his thesis. The soybean chart marks an “Ascending Megaphone” that resolved sharply lower, while his current Bitcoin chart shows an expanding range bounded by rising upper and lower trendlines with a highlighted “sell zone” near the mid-range around $114,800. While the upper boundary sits just above $125,000, the lower trendline now tracks a descending band around $102,000–$100,000. The BTC panel also includes short-term moving averages (8-period and 18-period) and a modestly elevated ADX reading, capturing a market that has been volatile within a widening corridor rather than trending cleanly. On Brandt’s rendering, recent bounces have stalled beneath a horizontal resistance band, consistent with the “sell zone” annotation. The post triggered immediate pushback from pattern specialists, most notably Francis Hunt (TheMarketSniper), who argued that the similarity is superficial because the direction of the megaphone matters. “If you have #HVFmethod you would notice whilst the broadening structures look the same. The Soybeans was an Ascending Megaphone on a bull trend => Bearish. Bitcoin is a Descending structure on a bull trend, eventually => Bullish. Place a splitter between each for net gradient.” Brandt, who has a long record of public calls across FX, commodities, and crypto, framed his view as a live hypothesis rather than a certainty, adding an important nuance a few hours later: “I am a Bayesian. I deal in possibilities, not probabilities and certainly not certainties. At any given time I have binary TA and macro narratives playing in my head — $250k Bitcoin or $60k Bitcoin. I consider all possibilities and look for asymmetrical bets in either direction.” He also acknowledged the alternative read from Hunt: “I’ll be first to admit you could be right. I am willing to go with it in either direction. If BTC goes up I want to be long, if it goes down I want to be short.” At the heart of Brandt’s warning is second-order exposure: Strategy (MSTR), the business-intelligence firm that has accumulated the world’s largest Bitcoin treasury, would, in his words, be “underwater” if BTC fell by half from current levels. The firm’s average acquisition price is currently about $74,010 per BTC (inclusive of fees and expenses), based on the company’s latest disclosure this week putting total holdings at 640,418 BTC for roughly $47.4 billion. At press time, BTC traded at $107,998. -
Just as everyone started to believe that demand for Bitcoin had returned—especially after its rapid surge toward the $114,000 mark—some traders seized the opportunity to lock in profits, quickly dragging BTC back down to its intraday lows. This high volatility suggests the presence of large players in the market, which is actually a positive sign, as it shows the battle for direction is still ongoing. Ethereum also faced challenges in holding the $4,000 level, slipping below it by the end of the day's close. Meanwhile, according to the latest data from SoSoValue, spot BTC and ETH ETFs recorded new inflows during yesterday's trading session. These inflows, combined with Fed official Waller's recent statement, helped strengthen positive momentum across the crypto market. Many experts attribute the increased investment activity to the shift in regulatory tone and rising expectations for monetary policy easing in the near future. The growing interest in spot ETFs—especially amid market turbulence—demonstrates increasing trust in digital assets as legitimate investment tools. The ability to invest in Bitcoin and Ethereum through regulated, institutionally familiar platforms like ETFs continues to attract attention. The impact of these new inflows on the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum is indeed significant and is a key reason why the market remains resilient and continues to attempt a recovery. However, the long-term sustainability of this trend will depend on a variety of factors, including macroeconomic conditions, future actions by the Federal Reserve, and regulatory developments. Investors should remain vigilant and consider the risks associated with crypto market volatility. That said, the current dynamics reveal strong potential for further growth and development in the sector. Trading recommendations As for Bitcoin's technical outlook, buyers are currently aiming to regain the $109,300 level, which would open a direct path toward $111,600 and, from there, just a short move to $113,800. The ultimate bullish target remains the high near $116,300—breaking above this level would confirm the strengthening of the bull market. If Bitcoin declines, buyer interest is expected around $106,700. A drop below this area could quickly push BTC down to around $103,400, with the furthest bearish target being the $100,000 zone. Regarding Ethereum's technical picture, a clear breakout and consolidation above $3,926 opens the way to $4,056. The furthest upward target is the high near $4,191—a breakout above it would indicate a stronger bullish trend and renewed buyer interest. In case of a drop, buyers are expected at the $3,803 level. If ETH breaks below this zone, it could quickly fall to around $3,655. The furthest bearish target would be the $3,505 area. What's on the chart The red lines represent support and resistance levels, where price is expected to either pause or react sharply. The green line shows the 50-day moving average. The blue line is the 100-day moving average. The lime line is the 200-day moving average. Price testing or crossing any of these moving averages often either halts movement or injects fresh momentum into the market. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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YouTuber Sam Pepper Took Crypto Too Far: Banned From Pump.Fun For Firework Accident
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Sam Pepper, a British content creator, known for livestreaming and crypto-related stunts has been banned from Pump.fun and the livestreaming platform, Kick after a dangerous incident during a live broadcast in New Delhi, India. While celebrating Diwali, Pepper and his friends were shooting fireworks at each other in the street, with some locals joining in. Things took a serious turn when one of the fireworks that Pepper launched, hit a girl directly in the face. Pepper’s firework stunt isn’t the first time someone has gotten hurt while trying to promote a memecoin on Pump.fun. For instance, last year, a Solana dev from Florida tried to boost attention for his “DARE” token, by covering himself in rubbing alcohol and letting his friends shoot fireworks at him. Of course, the stunt went horribly wrong and paramedics rushed him to the hospital with third degree burns all over his body. While the price of his memecoin went up, the injury prevented the man from cashing in and eventually caused him to step away from the project EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Key Takeaways Sam Pepper banned from Pump.fun and Kick after injuring teen with firework His meme coin $NERVE dropped 16% following viral backlash from the livestream incident Pepper clarified that the injured girl received a butterfly stitch and that her vision is fine The post YouTuber Sam Pepper Took Crypto Too Far: Banned From Pump.Fun For Firework Accident appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
How Gold Spot Prices Work: Market Mechanisms, Players & Data Sources
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Look up the gold price on three different websites and you’ll likely see slightly different figures. Unlike stocks with a single exchange price, gold trades continuously across global markets through a network of banks, exchanges, and data providers. Each site is quoting the spot price, i.e. the current market value of gold for immediate delivery, though small variations appear because different platforms pull data from different sources. This article explains how gold spot price actually works, who sets it, and why understanding these mechanisms helps investors make smarter decisions. Watch this educational video for additional context on the key market forces that drive gold price movements. What Does “Gold Spot Price” Actually Mean? The term “spot price” sounds straightforward, but in gold it comes with technical complexities that don’t exist in most other markets. The Technical Definition The gold spot price is the current market price for one troy ounce of gold, quoted for immediate settlement. In this context, “spot” refers to a purchase intended for immediate delivery, as opposed to a futures contract for delivery at a later date. In practice, “immediate” means settlement within two business days (T+2), which is the standard time required for payment to clear and ownership to transfer. Image: Gold spot prices are quoted per troy ounce, with bars like this 999.9 fine gold serving as the benchmark. Source: Blanchard Theory vs. Reality in Physical Markets Spot transactions by definition require immediate delivery, but physical gold markets operate differently than this theoretical framework suggests. Several practical factors typically complicate true spot pricing in physical transactions. Physical dealers usually must source inventory, verify authenticity, arrange secure transport, and process documentation – activities that often extend beyond the two-day settlement window. Large institutional buyers face similar constraints when purchasing physical metal rather than paper contracts, frequently requiring extended settlement periods for vault storage and chain-of-custody procedures. These logistical realities mean that most quoted spot prices reflect paper gold markets where transactions happen electronically, though some dealers with sufficient inventory and infrastructure can accommodate genuine spot transactions. The Benchmark Standards Spot gold price quotes require precise specifications to ensure consistency across global markets. Two primary benchmarks define gold pricing: on COMEX, futures contracts are based on 100-ounce bars of .995 fine gold, while the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) uses Good Delivery bars weighing 350-430 ounces at a minimum of .995 purity. These shared standards allow traders and institutions worldwide to reference the same underlying product when discussing the gold spot price, whether the trade settles physically or through paper contracts. Dollar-Denominated Pricing Global gold spot pricing is universally quoted in U.S. dollars, making the dollar the reference point for gold’s value worldwide. In financial markets, this appears as the XAU/USD pair, where XAU represents one troy ounce of gold (from the Latin aurum) and USD represents U.S. dollars. While gold can be purchased in local currencies across the globe, all fundamental pricing originates in dollars. As a result, shifts in dollar strength have immediate effects on gold prices everywhere, even when buyers and sellers never handle U.S. currency directly. This dollar-centric system ensures that whether you’re buying gold in London, Shanghai, or New York, the core value calculation always traces back to the same USD-denominated spot price of gold. Who Sets the Gold Spot Price? Unlike markets with a single exchange price, the spot price of gold is shaped collectively by many institutions trading around the world. Primary Gold Pricing Hubs The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) operates the world’s largest over-the-counter gold market. Twice daily at 10:30 AM and 3:00 PM London time, the LBMA conducts electronic auctions among major bullion banks to establish the official “LBMA Gold Price.” This price serves as a global benchmark that replaced the century-old “London Fix”, i.e. a telephone-based process where five major banks negotiated a single gold price, in 2015. Image: The LBMA headquarters, where twice-daily electronic auctions set global gold price benchmarks. Source: LBMA COMEX, part of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, runs the world’s most active gold futures market in New York. These contracts represent agreements to buy or sell 100-ounce gold bars at future dates, but the massive trading volumes – often exceeding 200,000 contracts daily – create significant influence on the current spot gold price. Most COMEX contracts settle in cash rather than through physical delivery, making it primarily a paper gold market that shapes pricing worldwide. Secondary Market Influences Beyond the two primary hubs, other players directly shape XAU USD spot gold price. The Shanghai Gold Exchange drives significant movements during Asian trading sessions, particularly when Chinese demand surges or new contracts shift global supply calculations. Together, these sessions create a 24-hour pricing cycle in which trading passes from Asia to London to New York, with each region’s open sparking fresh activity that can move spot prices immediately. Image: Gold trading follows the sun across global time zones, creating continuous price discovery. Source: Investing Live Liquidity and Data Providers Day-to-day gold trading depends on bullion banks and market makers, who provide continuous buy and sell quotes that keep the market liquid. Their quotes feed into the spot market and help determine the XAUUSD spot gold price investors actually see. Data providers such as Reuters, Bloomberg, and other financial platforms then aggregate these inputs from across the globe, publishing real-time prices that become the reference point for dealers and investors. Why Spot Gold Price Differs Across Platforms Given that multiple data sources feed into spot pricing, variations between platforms are inevitable and highlight key differences in how companies handle pricing data. Data Aggregation Methods Different platforms prioritize different market sources when calculating their displayed price, creating the first layer of variation. Some platforms emphasize COMEX futures data from New York trading, while others weigh LBMA auction results from London more heavily. These source preferences can produce legitimate differences of several dollars per ounce. Additionally, platform refresh rates vary significantly. Some update prices every few seconds to capture real-time movements, while others lag by minutes, creating temporary discrepancies that become pronounced during volatile trading periods when gold prices shift rapidly. Currency conversion timing introduces yet another variable, since platforms may update XAU USD spot gold price rates at different points throughout the trading day. This is why checking multiple sources often shows slightly different spot prices, even at the same moment. Commercial Manipulation and Transparency More concerning than technical variations are deliberate commercial adjustments, where some dealers inflate a displayed XAUUSD spot gold price to increase profit margins on physical sales. These manipulated feeds can show prices significantly above true market rates, misleading customers about actual gold values. Reliable pricing requires direct access to unfiltered market data from primary sources rather than third-party aggregators who may introduce delays or modifications. Platforms using verified feeds from bullion banks and major exchanges provide more accurate pricing than those relying on secondary data sources or applying commercial markups. Blanchard’s pricing reflects direct market feeds without commercial manipulation, ensuring customers see authentic spot prices rather than artificially inflated rates designed to boost dealer margins. This transparency becomes especially important during periods of market volatility when global economic shifts can dramatically impact gold’s role as a safe-haven asset, making accurate pricing data crucial for informed investment decisions. What Factors Influence Daily Movements Gold spot prices fluctuate constantly as markets weigh multiple competing forces that affect supply, demand, and investor sentiment. Physical Supply and Demand Gold supply is relatively stable, which means even small changes can move spot prices. When mining output falls, supply tightens and prices often rise. Recycling flows push the other way: higher prices encourage people to sell old jewelry and electronics, boosting supply and sometimes capping further gains. On the demand side, jewelry accounts for about half of global consumption, with seasonal patterns like India’s wedding season adding predictable pressure. Investment demand is more reactive: during periods of financial uncertainty, investors looking to buy gold at spot price through ETFs and physical bullion often surge, pushing prices higher within hours. Central banks also sit on this side of the equation when they buy or sell reserves directly: their large-scale purchases or sales can shift demand dramatically, sometimes creating the biggest spot price moves of all. Economic Indicators Beyond physical fundamentals, the spot price of gold also responds to macroeconomic conditions. Interest rates create the clearest relationship: when central banks raise rates, bonds and savings accounts look more attractive, weighing on gold; when rates fall, gold gains appeal as a store of value. The dollar’s strength is another key driver. Because gold is priced in USD worldwide, a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for overseas buyers, reducing demand, while a weaker dollar makes it cheaper and often spurs buying. Inflation expectations round out the picture. When inflation runs hotter than expected, or when central banks seem slow to act, investors turn to gold to preserve purchasing power, often fueling some of the fastest price spikes. This inflation-hedging characteristic helps explain why gold often moves independently from traditional stock investments, making it a valuable portfolio diversification tool. Geopolitical and Market Forces Political instability, trade disputes, and military conflicts consistently spark safe-haven buying as investors seek security outside traditional financial assets. Even rumors of instability, such as elections, sanctions, or sudden policy shifts, can trigger sharp gold moves before fundamentals catch up. These geopolitical risks and their influence on gold markets have created some of the most dramatic spot gold price movements throughout history. Market sentiment then amplifies these reactions. When momentum builds, technical traders and algorithms often pile in, pushing prices higher or lower than underlying supply and demand alone would justify. This combination of geopolitics and psychology explains why gold can sometimes spike or fall dramatically in a matter of hours, even without major changes in physical supply or macroeconomic indicators. Technical Trading Algorithmic trading systems now execute thousands of gold transactions in milliseconds, reacting to price patterns and momentum signals. These automated strategies can accelerate price moves in either direction, especially when large orders hit during thin liquidity. Once gold breaks key technical levels, algorithms and momentum traders often magnify the move, producing sharp intraday swings in the current spot gold price per ounce that may appear disconnected from fundamentals. Spot Gold Price in Practice When investors research gold purchases, the spot price of gold provides a starting reference point, but two practical issues immediately arise: physical products always cost more than the published spot rate, and different websites may display significantly different spot prices. Physical Products vs. Spot Price Physical gold almost always trades above spot due to unavoidable costs. Fabrication, shipping, insurance, and dealer margins typically add a noticeable premium to the current gold spot price USD per ounce. Blanchard’s gold inventory showcases the range of available options, from coins that usually carry higher markups than bars because of design costs and, in some cases, collectible or numismatic value, to bars with premiums that vary by production method. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) track spot prices more closely since they represent paper ownership of gold, though management fees still create a slight divergence over time. Image: Gold coins like the American Eagle carry premiums above spot price due to design costs and collectible value. Source: Blanchard Verifying Authentic Spot Pricing Knowing that gold products trade above spot is only part of the picture. It is equally important to confirm that the spot price itself is accurate. Some platforms publish delayed data or artificially inflate their displayed spot to justify higher markups on physical products. These practices can mislead investors about both the true value of gold and the fairness of quoted premiums. Reliable spot pricing comes from direct feeds provided by primary exchanges and bullion banks, updated continuously during trading hours. Cross-checking the current gold spot price USD per ounce across multiple authoritative sources helps investors identify discrepancies and avoid manipulated benchmarks. Blanchard eliminates this uncertainty by publishing unfiltered market data from verified sources, ensuring clients see genuine spot prices before any product premiums are applied. Conclusion Gold spot price emerges from a global system that spans exchanges, central banks, bullion banks, and data providers operating across time zones. The LBMA’s twice-daily auctions and COMEX futures contracts anchor global benchmarks, while secondary forces, from Shanghai trading sessions and central bank activity to algorithmic strategies, adjust pricing continuously throughout each 24-hour cycle. Understanding these mechanisms helps explain why different websites display slightly different spot prices. Variations often reflect timing delays, differences in data weighting, or, in some cases, deliberate commercial inflation. Knowing the distinction allows investors to separate legitimate market variation from manipulated pricing. This awareness becomes especially important when purchasing physical gold, where premiums above spot are standard. By recognizing authentic spot pricing, investors can judge whether premiums reflect real costs of fabrication and distribution or inflated baselines designed to increase dealer margins. Ultimately, transparency is key. Working with dealers who provide direct, unmanipulated market data helps investors make more confident decisions. Blanchard follows this standard, offering clients authentic spot prices and clear visibility into product premiums, ensuring precious metals purchases are grounded in real market conditions. FAQs 1. What does spot price mean in gold markets? Gold’s spot price is the current market value for one troy ounce of gold available for immediate delivery, typically within two business days. It serves as the baseline reference for all gold products, from coins to bars to ETFs. 2. How is the gold spot price determined? The gold spot price emerges from continuous trading across global markets, with primary influence from LBMA’s twice-daily auctions in London and COMEX futures trading in New York, plus secondary influences from Asian markets, central banks, and bullion dealers worldwide. 3. What is the spot price of 1 oz of gold today? Gold spot prices change continuously during trading hours as markets respond to supply, demand, and economic factors. You can view current gold pricing on Blanchard’s live spot price page, though different platforms may show slight variations based on their data sources and refresh rates. 4. Where can I buy gold at spot price? You typically cannot buy physical gold exactly at spot price due to fabrication, shipping, and dealer costs that create necessary premiums. Gold ETFs come closest to tracking spot prices, while reputable dealers like Blanchard offer the most transparent approach by displaying authentic spot rates and clearly itemizing any additional costs rather than inflating the baseline price. The post How Gold Spot Prices Work: Market Mechanisms, Players & Data Sources appeared first on Blanchard and Company. -
How Gold Spot Prices Work: Market Mechanisms, Players & Data Sources
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Look up the gold price on three different websites and you’ll likely see slightly different figures. Unlike stocks with a single exchange price, gold trades continuously across global markets through a network of banks, exchanges, and data providers. Each site is quoting the spot price, i.e. the current market value of gold for immediate delivery, though small variations appear because different platforms pull data from different sources. This article explains how gold spot price actually works, who sets it, and why understanding these mechanisms helps investors make smarter decisions. Watch this educational video for additional context on the key market forces that drive gold price movements. What Does “Gold Spot Price” Actually Mean? The term “spot price” sounds straightforward, but in gold it comes with technical complexities that don’t exist in most other markets. The Technical Definition The gold spot price is the current market price for one troy ounce of gold, quoted for immediate settlement. In this context, “spot” refers to a purchase intended for immediate delivery, as opposed to a futures contract for delivery at a later date. In practice, “immediate” means settlement within two business days (T+2), which is the standard time required for payment to clear and ownership to transfer. Image: Gold spot prices are quoted per troy ounce, with bars like this 999.9 fine gold serving as the benchmark. Source: Blanchard Theory vs. Reality in Physical Markets Spot transactions by definition require immediate delivery, but physical gold markets operate differently than this theoretical framework suggests. Several practical factors typically complicate true spot pricing in physical transactions. Physical dealers usually must source inventory, verify authenticity, arrange secure transport, and process documentation – activities that often extend beyond the two-day settlement window. Large institutional buyers face similar constraints when purchasing physical metal rather than paper contracts, frequently requiring extended settlement periods for vault storage and chain-of-custody procedures. These logistical realities mean that most quoted spot prices reflect paper gold markets where transactions happen electronically, though some dealers with sufficient inventory and infrastructure can accommodate genuine spot transactions. The Benchmark Standards Spot gold price quotes require precise specifications to ensure consistency across global markets. Two primary benchmarks define gold pricing: on COMEX, futures contracts are based on 100-ounce bars of .995 fine gold, while the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) uses Good Delivery bars weighing 350-430 ounces at a minimum of .995 purity. These shared standards allow traders and institutions worldwide to reference the same underlying product when discussing the gold spot price, whether the trade settles physically or through paper contracts. Dollar-Denominated Pricing Global gold spot pricing is universally quoted in U.S. dollars, making the dollar the reference point for gold’s value worldwide. In financial markets, this appears as the XAU/USD pair, where XAU represents one troy ounce of gold (from the Latin aurum) and USD represents U.S. dollars. While gold can be purchased in local currencies across the globe, all fundamental pricing originates in dollars. As a result, shifts in dollar strength have immediate effects on gold prices everywhere, even when buyers and sellers never handle U.S. currency directly. This dollar-centric system ensures that whether you’re buying gold in London, Shanghai, or New York, the core value calculation always traces back to the same USD-denominated spot price of gold. Who Sets the Gold Spot Price? Unlike markets with a single exchange price, the spot price of gold is shaped collectively by many institutions trading around the world. Primary Gold Pricing Hubs The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) operates the world’s largest over-the-counter gold market. Twice daily at 10:30 AM and 3:00 PM London time, the LBMA conducts electronic auctions among major bullion banks to establish the official “LBMA Gold Price.” This price serves as a global benchmark that replaced the century-old “London Fix”, i.e. a telephone-based process where five major banks negotiated a single gold price, in 2015. Image: The LBMA headquarters, where twice-daily electronic auctions set global gold price benchmarks. Source: LBMA COMEX, part of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, runs the world’s most active gold futures market in New York. These contracts represent agreements to buy or sell 100-ounce gold bars at future dates, but the massive trading volumes – often exceeding 200,000 contracts daily – create significant influence on the current spot gold price. Most COMEX contracts settle in cash rather than through physical delivery, making it primarily a paper gold market that shapes pricing worldwide. Secondary Market Influences Beyond the two primary hubs, other players directly shape XAU USD spot gold price. The Shanghai Gold Exchange drives significant movements during Asian trading sessions, particularly when Chinese demand surges or new contracts shift global supply calculations. Together, these sessions create a 24-hour pricing cycle in which trading passes from Asia to London to New York, with each region’s open sparking fresh activity that can move spot prices immediately. Image: Gold trading follows the sun across global time zones, creating continuous price discovery. Source: Investing Live Liquidity and Data Providers Day-to-day gold trading depends on bullion banks and market makers, who provide continuous buy and sell quotes that keep the market liquid. Their quotes feed into the spot market and help determine the XAUUSD spot gold price investors actually see. Data providers such as Reuters, Bloomberg, and other financial platforms then aggregate these inputs from across the globe, publishing real-time prices that become the reference point for dealers and investors. Why Spot Gold Price Differs Across Platforms Given that multiple data sources feed into spot pricing, variations between platforms are inevitable and highlight key differences in how companies handle pricing data. Data Aggregation Methods Different platforms prioritize different market sources when calculating their displayed price, creating the first layer of variation. Some platforms emphasize COMEX futures data from New York trading, while others weigh LBMA auction results from London more heavily. These source preferences can produce legitimate differences of several dollars per ounce. Additionally, platform refresh rates vary significantly. Some update prices every few seconds to capture real-time movements, while others lag by minutes, creating temporary discrepancies that become pronounced during volatile trading periods when gold prices shift rapidly. Currency conversion timing introduces yet another variable, since platforms may update XAU USD spot gold price rates at different points throughout the trading day. This is why checking multiple sources often shows slightly different spot prices, even at the same moment. Commercial Manipulation and Transparency More concerning than technical variations are deliberate commercial adjustments, where some dealers inflate a displayed XAUUSD spot gold price to increase profit margins on physical sales. These manipulated feeds can show prices significantly above true market rates, misleading customers about actual gold values. Reliable pricing requires direct access to unfiltered market data from primary sources rather than third-party aggregators who may introduce delays or modifications. Platforms using verified feeds from bullion banks and major exchanges provide more accurate pricing than those relying on secondary data sources or applying commercial markups. Blanchard’s pricing reflects direct market feeds without commercial manipulation, ensuring customers see authentic spot prices rather than artificially inflated rates designed to boost dealer margins. This transparency becomes especially important during periods of market volatility when global economic shifts can dramatically impact gold’s role as a safe-haven asset, making accurate pricing data crucial for informed investment decisions. What Factors Influence Daily Movements Gold spot prices fluctuate constantly as markets weigh multiple competing forces that affect supply, demand, and investor sentiment. Physical Supply and Demand Gold supply is relatively stable, which means even small changes can move spot prices. When mining output falls, supply tightens and prices often rise. Recycling flows push the other way: higher prices encourage people to sell old jewelry and electronics, boosting supply and sometimes capping further gains. On the demand side, jewelry accounts for about half of global consumption, with seasonal patterns like India’s wedding season adding predictable pressure. Investment demand is more reactive: during periods of financial uncertainty, investors looking to buy gold at spot price through ETFs and physical bullion often surge, pushing prices higher within hours. Central banks also sit on this side of the equation when they buy or sell reserves directly: their large-scale purchases or sales can shift demand dramatically, sometimes creating the biggest spot price moves of all. Economic Indicators Beyond physical fundamentals, the spot price of gold also responds to macroeconomic conditions. Interest rates create the clearest relationship: when central banks raise rates, bonds and savings accounts look more attractive, weighing on gold; when rates fall, gold gains appeal as a store of value. The dollar’s strength is another key driver. Because gold is priced in USD worldwide, a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for overseas buyers, reducing demand, while a weaker dollar makes it cheaper and often spurs buying. Inflation expectations round out the picture. When inflation runs hotter than expected, or when central banks seem slow to act, investors turn to gold to preserve purchasing power, often fueling some of the fastest price spikes. This inflation-hedging characteristic helps explain why gold often moves independently from traditional stock investments, making it a valuable portfolio diversification tool. Geopolitical and Market Forces Political instability, trade disputes, and military conflicts consistently spark safe-haven buying as investors seek security outside traditional financial assets. Even rumors of instability, such as elections, sanctions, or sudden policy shifts, can trigger sharp gold moves before fundamentals catch up. These geopolitical risks and their influence on gold markets have created some of the most dramatic spot gold price movements throughout history. Market sentiment then amplifies these reactions. When momentum builds, technical traders and algorithms often pile in, pushing prices higher or lower than underlying supply and demand alone would justify. This combination of geopolitics and psychology explains why gold can sometimes spike or fall dramatically in a matter of hours, even without major changes in physical supply or macroeconomic indicators. Technical Trading Algorithmic trading systems now execute thousands of gold transactions in milliseconds, reacting to price patterns and momentum signals. These automated strategies can accelerate price moves in either direction, especially when large orders hit during thin liquidity. Once gold breaks key technical levels, algorithms and momentum traders often magnify the move, producing sharp intraday swings in the current spot gold price per ounce that may appear disconnected from fundamentals. Spot Gold Price in Practice When investors research gold purchases, the spot price of gold provides a starting reference point, but two practical issues immediately arise: physical products always cost more than the published spot rate, and different websites may display significantly different spot prices. Physical Products vs. Spot Price Physical gold almost always trades above spot due to unavoidable costs. Fabrication, shipping, insurance, and dealer margins typically add a noticeable premium to the current gold spot price USD per ounce. Blanchard’s gold inventory showcases the range of available options, from coins that usually carry higher markups than bars because of design costs and, in some cases, collectible or numismatic value, to bars with premiums that vary by production method. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) track spot prices more closely since they represent paper ownership of gold, though management fees still create a slight divergence over time. Image: Gold coins like the American Eagle carry premiums above spot price due to design costs and collectible value. Source: Blanchard Verifying Authentic Spot Pricing Knowing that gold products trade above spot is only part of the picture. It is equally important to confirm that the spot price itself is accurate. Some platforms publish delayed data or artificially inflate their displayed spot to justify higher markups on physical products. These practices can mislead investors about both the true value of gold and the fairness of quoted premiums. Reliable spot pricing comes from direct feeds provided by primary exchanges and bullion banks, updated continuously during trading hours. Cross-checking the current gold spot price USD per ounce across multiple authoritative sources helps investors identify discrepancies and avoid manipulated benchmarks. Blanchard eliminates this uncertainty by publishing unfiltered market data from verified sources, ensuring clients see genuine spot prices before any product premiums are applied. Conclusion Gold spot price emerges from a global system that spans exchanges, central banks, bullion banks, and data providers operating across time zones. The LBMA’s twice-daily auctions and COMEX futures contracts anchor global benchmarks, while secondary forces, from Shanghai trading sessions and central bank activity to algorithmic strategies, adjust pricing continuously throughout each 24-hour cycle. Understanding these mechanisms helps explain why different websites display slightly different spot prices. Variations often reflect timing delays, differences in data weighting, or, in some cases, deliberate commercial inflation. Knowing the distinction allows investors to separate legitimate market variation from manipulated pricing. This awareness becomes especially important when purchasing physical gold, where premiums above spot are standard. By recognizing authentic spot pricing, investors can judge whether premiums reflect real costs of fabrication and distribution or inflated baselines designed to increase dealer margins. Ultimately, transparency is key. Working with dealers who provide direct, unmanipulated market data helps investors make more confident decisions. Blanchard follows this standard, offering clients authentic spot prices and clear visibility into product premiums, ensuring precious metals purchases are grounded in real market conditions. FAQs 1. What does spot price mean in gold markets? Gold’s spot price is the current market value for one troy ounce of gold available for immediate delivery, typically within two business days. It serves as the baseline reference for all gold products, from coins to bars to ETFs. 2. How is the gold spot price determined? The gold spot price emerges from continuous trading across global markets, with primary influence from LBMA’s twice-daily auctions in London and COMEX futures trading in New York, plus secondary influences from Asian markets, central banks, and bullion dealers worldwide. 3. What is the spot price of 1 oz of gold today? Gold spot prices change continuously during trading hours as markets respond to supply, demand, and economic factors. You can view current gold pricing on Blanchard’s live spot price page, though different platforms may show slight variations based on their data sources and refresh rates. 4. Where can I buy gold at spot price? You typically cannot buy physical gold exactly at spot price due to fabrication, shipping, and dealer costs that create necessary premiums. Gold ETFs come closest to tracking spot prices, while reputable dealers like Blanchard offer the most transparent approach by displaying authentic spot rates and clearly itemizing any additional costs rather than inflating the baseline price. The post How Gold Spot Prices Work: Market Mechanisms, Players & Data Sources appeared first on Blanchard and Company. -
Here’s Why The Shiba Inu Price Could Bottom And Rise Another 40%
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The Shiba Inu price decline following the October 10 liquidation was as swift as the rest of the market, and even now, the meme coin continues to struggle to reach its pre-crash prices. Nevertheless, there have been some developments among major metrics that could indicate that the Shiba Inu price is getting ready to mark a bottom. These range from the open interest to the trading volume, with both reaching levels that have previously marked the bottom for the price. Open Interest Crashes Toward 2025 Lows One major metric that has suffered when it comes to Shiba Inu is the open interest. This metric which tracks the total number of open contracts for the meme coin has dropped very sharply, alongside the price, and has reached levels not seen in nine months. According to data from the Coinglass website, the Shiba Inu open interest is now sitting below $80 million. The last time that the open interest was this low was back at the start of January 2025, right before the surge. Back then, the open interest being below $80 million marked the bottom for the Shiba Inu price. What followed was a quick uptick in the Shiba Inu price as investors began to take their positions once again. The result was a sharp uptick in the open interest, rising by over 800% in the next few weeks to reach a new all-time high open interest of $542 million. If history repeats itself, then this is when the Shiba Inu price could see a retracement. Volume Paints Possible Bullish Future For Shiba Inu Price Another metric that has fallen toward 2025 lows is the daily trading volume. Coinglass shows that trading volume is currently averaging below $200 million, which is quite low for the meme coin known for being one of the most famous meme coins in the space. The daily trading failing blow $200 million has often been one of the markers of a bottom for the Shiba Inu price. This was the case back in May 2025 before the price rallied 40%, and then again in July 2025, leading to another 40% rally. If this trend also holds, then it could be the precursor to another 40% rally. Coupled with the open interest crashing to 9-month lows, the Shiba Inu price might be on the verge of another upsurge. -
Gold Price Drop? Why Is Gold Rugging Like a Sh*tcoin On The Solana Network?
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Can we get a crypto pump, por favor? Meanwhile, precious metals have hit all-time highs recently, and we’re finally seeing a new gold price drop. If all your TA brought you to this, what was the point of the TA? Might as well just flip a coin. Spot gold plunged 6.3% on Tuesday to around $4,090 per ounce, while silver fell nearly 9%, as traders dumped positions after technical indicators signaled that the rally had gone too far, too fast. So what’s going on with gold, and is this a larger indicator that we’re going into a global economic recession? Gold Price Drop? Profit-Taking Ends a Historic Bullion Surge (Source: TradingView) Sorry, I sold when I realized outside of coins, bullion, and jewelry, there isn’t much practical use for gold in the modern world. Maybe fake teeth? Gold crashes 5% in a single day Can’t even buy coffee with it What’s the point of this again? It’s clearly not a store of value or a currency. “A drop of more than 5% is rare,” said Alexander Stahel, a Swiss resources investor. “In theory, it would be once in hundreds of thousands of trading days.” 99Bitcoins analysts say the latest correction doesn’t spell the end of gold’s rally but rather a necessary recalibration after months of speculative excess. Gold Price Technicals and the Central Bank Pulse: Is A Rebound Happening? Gold is clinging to key support around $4,000 – $4,050, a line that readers like gold bug Peter Schiff say separates correction from total collapse. The RSI had stayed overheated since early September for gold, and this setup was begging for a pullback. On-chain data from CoinGecko shows tokenized gold assets down 5% across Ethereum and BNB. (Source: CoinGecko) Meanwhile, the dollar’s rebound, driven by renewed talk of a US-China trade thaw, added further pressure to gold’s decline. Citigroup: Gold Still a Long-Term Play, But “Overstretched” Citigroup strategists, led by Charlie Massy-Collier, cut their overweight gold recommendation after Tuesday’s collapse, predicting a near-term consolidation around $4,000. “Prices have run ahead of the debasement story,” Citigroup wrote in a note. “Central bank diversification away from the U.S. dollar will eventually return as a theme, but there’s no rush to position for that at current levels.” The upshot is gold’s correction looks painful but overdue. For now, traders are calling it a massive but temporary reset, not the end of the bull market. EXPLORE: Now That the Bull Run is Dead, Will Powell Do Further Rate Cuts? Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Can we get a crypto pump por favor…meanwhile, precious metals have hit all-time highs recently and we’re finally seeing a new gold price drop or now, traders are calling it a massive but temporary reset, not the end of the gold bull market. The post Gold Price Drop? Why Is Gold Rugging Like a Sh*tcoin On The Solana Network? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Why is Bitcoin dropping? The mysterious $11 Bn .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Bitcoin BTC $108,309.05 1.52% Bitcoin BTC Price $108,309.05 1.52% /24h Volume in 24h $105.33B Price 7d Just a week ago, the same wallet reportedly booked over $200 Mn in profit after accurately timing Bitcoin’s sharp drop to $100,000. It appears that he might be right again, with BTC stuck in what feels like a perpetual cycle of decline. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Whale Movements Signal Institutional-Level Strategy Underpinning BTC Mega Short The investor, who first emerged in September, made headlines after rotating roughly $5Bn worth of BTC into Ethereum (ETH). This move briefly made the Whale one of the largest non-corporate ETH holders, surpassing even Sharplink’s treasury exposure. Meanwhile, newer Bitcoin whales aren’t faring as well. According to CryptoQuant, these large investors now face $6.95 Bn in unrealized losses after Bitcoin slipped below its average cost basis of $113,000. “Bitcoin is trading below its average cost basis, leaving whales with the largest unrealized loss since October 2023,” CryptoQuant wrote on X. (Source: CryptoQuant) Glassnode data reinforces that picture, showing that short-term holder supply, typically more speculative, has increased, indicating that traders are re-leveraging after a cleanup of overextended long positions. Chart Check: Volatility or the Start of Something Bigger? 99Bitcoins analysts say the latest turbulence looks less like panic and more like a purge. We’re shaking off excess leverage but there’s also no gurantee we breakout of this mess. Bitcoin’s next test sits around $112,000, where liquidation clusters could spark violent intraday swings. If the move fails, support lines up near $108,000 and $104,000, backed by the 200-day moving average, according to TradingView. Whether this whale is early, lucky, or prescient, his trades have become a proxy for sentiment among high-cap investors. EXPLORE: Now That the Bull Run is Dead, Will Powell Do Further Rate Cuts? Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Why is Bitcoin dropping? The mysterious $11 Bn Bitcoin whale is back and this time, he’s doubling down on another massive short. If the move fails, support lines up near $108,000 and $104,000, backed by the 200-day moving average, according to TradingView. The post Why is Bitcoin Dropping? Billionaire Crypto Whale Places Quarter-Billion Dollar Bitcoin Bet (Is The Top In For BTC USD?) appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated below the 1.1645–1.1656 level and continued its decline toward the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594, which, as of Wednesday morning, was nearly reached. A rebound from this level would favor the European currency and signal a renewed rise toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656 and the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718 within the framework of a new bullish trend. Conversely, a consolidation below 1.1594 would point to further decline and most likely mark the end of the bullish trend. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave broke the previous high, while the most recent completed downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend has currently shifted to bullish. Recent labor market data, the changing outlook for the Fed's monetary policy, Trump's renewed aggression toward China, and the ongoing "shutdown" have all supported bullish traders. However, the bulls continue to attack very sluggishly — as if they simply don't want to, for reasons unknown. On Tuesday, the news background in both the EU and the U.S. was once again quiet, aside from another speech by Christine Lagarde, who again avoided discussing monetary policy. Hence, there was effectively no market-moving news yesterday. Many traders are now asking: why is the dollar rising again? In my view, there's no clear — or logical — explanation. Some experts suggest it's due to easing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China, as Trump has recently adopted a more conciliatory tone. However, I don't believe any real reconciliation has occurred. Only when Beijing and Washington actually hold talks and reach common ground can we draw conclusions about peace or further escalation — but not now, when no decisions have been made and no negotiations have even taken place. On the 4-hour chart, the pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below 1.1680, which suggests a potential for further decline. However, earlier the pair had also consolidated above the descending trend channel after forming a bullish divergence on the CCI indicator. Therefore, the upward movement could resume toward the next retracement level of 161.8% – 1.1854. Market movements remain weak, so I believe the hourly chart currently provides a more relevant picture. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: During the most recent reporting week, professional traders closed 789 long positions and opened 2,625 short ones. The sentiment among the Non-commercial group remains bullish — thanks largely to Donald Trump — and continues to strengthen over time. The total number of long positions held by speculators is now 252,000, compared to 138,000 short positions — nearly a twofold difference. Also note the number of green cells in the table above, indicating strong growth in positions on the euro. In most cases, interest in the euro continues to rise while interest in the dollar declines. For thirty-three consecutive weeks, large players have been cutting short positions and increasing long ones. Donald Trump's policies remain the most significant factor for traders, as they could cause numerous long-term, structural problems for the U.S. economy. Despite the signing of several key trade agreements, many major economic indicators continue to show weakness. News Calendar for the U.S. and the Eurozone: Eurozone – ECB President Christine Lagarde's Speech (12:25 UTC)On October 22, the economic calendar contains only one entry of potential interest to traders. The influence of the news background on market sentiment on Wednesday is expected to be weak or nonexistent. EUR/USD Forecast and Trading Recommendations: Sales were possible after a rebound from 1.1718 on the hourly chart, targeting 1.1656. New short positions became viable after a close below the 1.1645–1.1656 level, targeting 1.1594. That target has now been almost reached. New short trades can be considered upon a close below 1.1594, targeting 1.1517. Long positions can be considered today in case of a rebound from 1.1594, with targets at 1.1645–1.1656. The Fibonacci grids are built from 1.1392–1.1919 on the hourly chart and from 1.1214–1.0179 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued to decline on Tuesday, remaining below the 50.0% retracement level at 1.3387. On Wednesday morning, the pair rebounded from this level and began a new downward move following the release of the UK inflation report. Thus, a consolidation of quotes below the support level of 1.3354–1.3357 would indicate the potential for a continued decline toward the next retracement level of 23.6% at 1.3313. A rebound from the 1.3354–1.3357 level, however, could signal a reversal in favor of the pound and a resumption of the bullish trend. The wave situation turned bullish almost in a single day. The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, but the most recent upward wave also broke the previous high. The news background in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S. dollar, yet bullish traders have not taken advantage of the opportunities to advance. Now they are beginning to spread their wings — though very slowly. On Tuesday, there were no significant economic reports from either the UK or the U.S., just as on Monday. However, on Wednesday morning, the UK released its September inflation report, which came as quite a surprise. Traders had become accustomed to persistently rising inflation in Britain, but this time the figure showed no increase compared to the previous month — holding steady at 3.8% year-over-year. Core inflation even declined from 3.6% to 3.5%, contrary to forecasts of 3.7%. As a result, expectations grew that the Bank of England might deliver another round of monetary easing before the end of the year, triggering a sharp bearish reaction. I do not believe the new wave of bearish momentum will last long, but at the same time, Friday's upcoming U.S. inflation report could help the bears if it exceeds market expectations. The U.S. dollar lacks strong fundamental reasons to rise, but continues to seize every opportunity for modest strengthening. Bulls, meanwhile, remain extremely passive. On the 4-hour chart, the pair reversed in favor of the pound after forming a bullish divergence on the CCI indicator, climbing toward the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3435. A rebound from this level favored the U.S. currency, leading to a new decline toward 1.3339. A rebound from 1.3339 could signal a new upward move, while consolidation below it would point to a continuation of the fall. No emerging divergences are currently observed on any indicator. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: The sentiment among Non-commercial traders became more bullish in the latest reporting week. The number of long positions held by speculators increased by 3,704, while short positions decreased by 912. The gap between long and short positions now stands at approximately 85,000 vs. 86,000. Bullish traders are once again tipping the scales in their favor. In my view, the pound still faces some downside risk, but with each passing month, the U.S. dollar looks weaker. If earlier traders were worried about Donald Trump's protectionist policies without fully grasping their implications, they may now be concerned about the consequences — potential recession, constant imposition of new tariffs, and Trump's ongoing confrontation with the Federal Reserve, which could make the regulator "politically controlled" by the White House. Thus, the pound now appears far less risky than the U.S. currency. News Calendar for the U.S. and the U.K.: United Kingdom – Consumer Price Index (06:00 UTC)On October 22, the economic calendar includes only one key event — already released — which supported the bears. The remaining part of the day is not expected to bring any further market-moving news. GBP/USD Forecast and Trading Tips: I cannot recommend selling the pair today, as I believe the trend has shifted to bullish. Buying opportunities can be considered in case of a rebound from the 1.3354–1.3357 level with targets at 1.3419–1.3425 and 1.3460, or from the 1.3313 level. The Fibonacci grids are drawn from 1.3526–1.3247 on the hourly chart and 1.3431–1.2104 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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The crypto market turned lower on Tuesday as renewed U.S.–China trade tensions unsettled investors. President Trump suggested his planned meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping “may not happen,” adding pressure to an already fragile truce between the two economic powers. As macro pressures weigh on the broader market, investors are increasingly turning toward high-utility sectors such as AI and infrastructure in their search for the next crypto to explode — projects showing both momentum and clear use cases despite the current volatility. Trump’s remarks on rare earth exports and new 100% tariffs on Chinese goods starting November 1 reignited trade fears. Over the weekend, he also signed a deal with Australia aimed at securing critical mineral supply chains, signaling a tougher stance toward Beijing ahead of expected trade talks later this month. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Bitcoin BTC $108,309.05 1.52% Bitcoin BTC Price $108,309.05 1.52% /24h Volume in 24h $105.33B Price 7d DISCOVER: AI Coins DeAgentAI (AIA) +170% and COAI +111% Are Best New Crypto After Skyrocket Move: Is AI Season Here? Meanwhile, attention is shifting toward AI-related tokens, which continue to stand out from the market trend. ChainOpera AI (COAI) surged +36.06%, AI Companions (AIC) gained +30.37%, Unibase (UB) rose +16.55%, Keeta (KTA) advanced +16.29%, and River (RIVER) added +15.36%, now up more than 91% in a week. These gains suggest that while macro pressures weigh on broader sentiment, investors are still actively looking for the next crypto to explode, focusing on sectors that combine real-world utility with sustained momentum — particularly AI and infrastructure projects leading the current recovery narrative. 23 minutes ago Kadena (KDA) Crypto SHUT DOWN Operations, Investors Shocked By Fatima Kadena (KDA) Crypto just shocked the market and its investors by announcing that it is shutting down operations completely. In an official post on its X account, the team wrote, “Kadena organization is no longer able to continue business operations and will be ceasing all business activity and active maintenance of the Kadena blockchain immediately.” According to the post, all employees have already been notified, and only a small group will stay on to manage the transition and wind-down. In a strange twist, they even left an email open for people to vent their frustrations. The statement also added, “As for the KDA token and protocol, it will also continue in our absence, as noted in the latest token economic update.” Despite that reassurance, the token tanked more than 60%, crashing from a $120 million market cap to under $28 million. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Read The Full Article Here The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, October 22 – Bitcoin Is Retesting $107K As Trump Plays Tariffs Card; XRP Can’t Break The $2.5 Wall – Time To Find The Next Crypto To Explode? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3367 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3363, the 61.8% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3367 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3332 – the lower fractal (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3381, the 14.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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EUR/USD Daily Market Overview and Indicator Insights on October 22, 2025
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Trend analysis (Figure 1). On Wednesday, starting from the 1.1598 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin an upward move toward the 23.6% retracement at 1.1631 (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may retreat toward the 61.8% retracement at 1.1593 (blue dotted line). Figure 1: (Daily chart) Comprehensive analysis: indicator-based analysis – up Fibonacci levels – up volume analysis – down candlestick analysis – down trend analysis – up Bollinger Bands – up weekly chart – up Conclusion: bullish outlook Alternative scenario: From the 1.1598 level (previous daily close), the euro/dollar pair may attempt an upward move toward 1.1608, a historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). If tested, the price could face pressure and retreat toward the 61.8% retracement at 1.1593 (blue dotted line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Bitcoin Newbie Whales Now Sitting On $6.9 Billion In Losses, Most Since 2023
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On-chain data shows the recent bearish Bitcoin price action has put the network’s short-term holder whales into a significant unrealized loss. New Bitcoin Whales Have Dived Underwater In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has discussed about the latest trend in the profit-loss situation of the short-term holder Bitcoin whales. The “short-term holders” (STHs) broadly refer to the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The STH whales (or “new whales”) are the holders with 1,000+ BTC (equivalent to $110.8 million at the current exchange rate) who got into the market during the last five months. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the net unrealized profit/loss held by the STH whales over the past year: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH whales have seen their profit-loss balance lean heavily into the underwater territory following the recent bearish wave in the cryptocurrency’s price. This means that the members of this cohort are now carrying a heavy amount of net loss. More specifically, the STH whales are holding about $6.95 billion in unrealized loss, which is the largest for the group since October 2023, about two years ago. This indicates significant pressure among big-money investors, especially considering that the STHs control a notable chunk of the whale Realized Cap. The Realized Cap is an indicator that basically measures the total amount of capital that Bitcoin investors have put into the cryptocurrency. The Realized Cap of the new whales, in particular, corresponds to the big-money capital that came into the network during the past 155 days. From the above chart, it’s apparent that the new whales today control around 45% of the total whale Realized Cap, which is a new record. Considering that the cohort as a whole is underwater, this capital is naturally being held at a net loss now. The recent growth in the Realized Cap of the STH whales has come as the long-term holders (LTHs), covering investors with a holding time greater than the STH upper limit of 155 days, have been participating in distribution. As the chart shared by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn shows, 337,300 BTC has exited the wallets of the Bitcoin LTHs over the last 30 days. So far, new capital has been coming in to absorb this selloff from the HODLers, but with the STH whales now under pressure, demand for the cryptocurrency may be starting to weaken. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $111,000, down 1.7% over the last week. -
Pressure on the British pound has grown after the Bank of England warned of parallels between the $1.7 trillion private credit boom and the subprime lending crisis, as UK officials confirmed plans to stress test the market. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told a parliamentary committee on Tuesday that there are worrying signs in the sector. He referred to conversations with industry representatives who assured him that "everything's fine in our world"—except for the role of rating agencies, which, he noted, echoed the confusion over debt quality seen during the securitization of subprime mortgages. "We're not going to run that movie again, are we?" Bailey said during hearings of the House of Lords Financial Services Regulation Committee in London. The comments from the head of the UK's central bank—who also chairs the Basel-based Financial Stability Board—were the latest warning about the state of the global private credit market. Sarah Breeden, the Bank of England's Deputy Governor for Financial Stability, recently pointed to the market's opacity, leverage, and links to banks as key risks for the sector. According to policymakers, the lending sector has expanded significantly since the 2008 financial crisis. It is also flooded with capital from insurance companies, which require credit ratings for regulatory purposes. Companies are creating increasingly complex structured products, such as investment-grade rated fund-backed bonds, partly to attract insurance capital—further pumping money into the market. There are growing fears that any problems arising in this sector and the broader leveraged credit markets could quickly spread to banks and the wider economy following the recent collapses of U.S. companies First Brands and Tricolor. These cases prompted JP Morgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon to warn: "If you see one cockroach, there are probably more." Leaders of private credit firms responded by claiming that the problem lies with loans issued by banks and should not be viewed as evidence of growing risks from new players entering the lending market. Nevertheless, Bailey noted that whether cases like First Brands are isolated incidents remains an open question. It's worth recalling that in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis, creative loan packaging led to risky loans being rebranded as collectively safe securities. The result was hundreds of billions in losses, the collapse of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns, and a global financial crisis that suppressed world economic growth for more than a decade. As for the current technical outlook for EUR/USD, buyers now need to focus on breaking the 1.1630 level. Only then can they target a test of 1.1655. From there, a move to 1.1700 is possible, though achieving this without support from large players will be quite difficult. The furthest target is the 1.1725 high. In case of a decline, I expect significant buyer activity around 1.1605. If no one steps in there, it might be worth waiting for a renewal of the 1.1575 low or opening long positions from 1.1545. As for the current technical outlook for GBP/USD, pound buyers need to take out the nearest resistance at 1.3400. Only this will allow targeting 1.3440, above which a breakout will be quite challenging. The furthest target is the 1.3485 level. If the pair falls, bears will try to take control at 1.3360. Should they succeed, breaking that range would deal a serious blow to the bulls' positions and push GBP/USD down to a 1.3330 low, with potential to reach 1.3300. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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When everyone is selling, it creates an opportunity to buy cheaper. This is how uptrends recover. However, sometimes the rise in asset prices after widespread sell-offs is merely the result of short sellers covering their troubled positions. If that's the case, the bullish trend is not necessarily resuming. Something similar is currently happening with the S&P 500. According to research from Goldman Sachs, short sellers of U.S. equities covered their positions in October at the fastest pace on record since tracking began in 2008. It was their activity that brought the S&P 500 back to near record highs. But if this is not a case of buying the dip, there are serious doubts about the bulls' ability to reestablish a sustained trend. S&P 500 Short Seller Position Growth Dynamics For a long time, the broad stock index has ignored negative developments, while many good news events are already priced in. U.S.–China trade talks have resumed. Derivatives markets are fully pricing in a rate cut by the Federal Reserve by the end of December. The U.S. government shutdown prevents a proper assessment of the economy's strength. All that's left is the third-quarter earnings season. Thus far, things appear favorable. According to FactSet, 76% of reporting companies have exceeded profit forecasts. Notably, positive results from Coca-Cola, 3M, and General Motors helped the Dow Jones Industrial Average to reach new record highs. General Motors' Earnings and Free Cash Flow Forecasts Earnings growth significantly contributes to equity value expansion. However, when the S&P 500 rises this high, thoughts of a bubble become inevitable. What could cause it to burst? First and foremost: failure of the U.S.–China negotiations followed by a full-blown trade war. A much stronger-than-expected surge in U.S. inflation in September could undermine expectations for a Fed rate cut in October. Finally, the earnings season might start strong but end poorly. Who can guarantee that tech giants will satisfy investor expectations for Q3? Indeed, if the S&P 500 reaches new record highs, fresh buyers will join the rally. But if the broad-based index fails to break through soon, consolidation and elevated volatility can be expected. As a result, October may live up to its longstanding reputation as the most volatile month for U.S. equities. A transition of the S&P 500 into a trading range would shift attention to other markets. The carry trade has lifted Japan's Nikkei 225 and TOPIX, while the resolution of France's political turmoil has pushed the CAC 40 to a new record. From a technical perspective, a doji bar has formed on the daily chart of the S&P 500 following a wide-bodied candle. A decline below the 6,720 level could signal the start of a bearish reversal pattern. Consider short entries from this level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Fusaka Is On Horizon: Ethereum News as Ether Enters Final Pre-Upgrade Testnet
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The Ethereum testnet phase for the upcoming Fusaka upgrade is now in full swing, signalling a significant moment for the Ethereum network and its effect on the ETH price. With the Ethereum network gearing up for Fusaka, traders and developers alike are watching closely. Will the upgrade boost throughput, lower fees, and anchor a renewed altcoin surge? Here’s everything you need to know about what’s coming, why the final testing matters, and how the Ethereum price could respond. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What Is The Fusaka Upgrade, And Why is it On The Horizon? The Fusaka upgrade is the next major hard fork for Ethereum, following the Pectra upgrade earlier in 2025. It is designed to improve scalability, efficiency, and security on the Ethereum network by optimising how blocks and transactions are processed. Learn more price managed to hit a new ATH at $4950 and is now retracing back to $3860 level. That marks a double top pattern, which can lead to significant profit-taking and cause the ETH price to seek support later on. On a weekly time frame, this support is around $3850 level, where the price has previously tried to break out three times. This makes a perfect spot to bet that the ETH price will go up, given the positive fundamentals and technicals. (Source – TradingView) On a daily time frame $3850 support coincides with the 200 EMA and SMA supporting band, which further strengthens the chance of the ETH price to bounce from here. If that happens, the price will form a channel, staying at the bottom of it. The RSI indicator is staying at 42, which is on the verge of oversold levels. MACD is showing potential for a reversal as it goes to the positive levels. (Source – TradingView) If Fusaka delivers as expected, ETH could enjoy a function-driven rally rather than just speculation, a favourable scenario for altcoins built on Ethereum, especially as network efficiency improves. DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Ethereum testnet enters the last phase before the December launch. Is Ethereum going to target a new ATH? The post Fusaka Is On Horizon: Ethereum News as Ether Enters Final Pre-Upgrade Testnet appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Gold and silver prices have experienced their steepest sell-off in the past twelve years, sparking concerns that their dramatic surge in recent weeks has made them overvalued. Spot gold is trading around $4,140 per ounce after falling 6.3% in the previous session, marking the largest intraday decline in more than twelve years. Silver registered a slight increase after an 8.7% drop on Tuesday. The sharp drop followed technical signals indicating that the rapid price rally in both metals had pushed them into strongly overbought territory. Many experts emphasize that technical selling was the primary cause. Prices have been in the overbought zone since early September, making a sell-off virtually inevitable. The pullback abruptly halted a steep rally that began in mid-August. Key drivers of the recent growth included so-called debasement trading, where investors avoid sovereign bonds and currencies to hedge against uncontrolled budget deficits, as well as bets that the Federal Reserve would implement at least one significant rate cut before the end of the year. Despite the retreat, gold remains up nearly 60% for the year. Aggressive actions by President Donald Trump in his attempts to reform global trade, along with rising geopolitical uncertainty, have also fueled the surge in precious metal prices this year. Central banks seeking to diversify and shift away from the U.S. dollar continued buying, while retail investors redirected funds into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aiming to capitalize on the rally. Following the sharp sell-off, Citigroup Inc. downgraded its gold recommendation from "overweight," citing concerns over positioning in an overbought market. The bank expects prices to consolidate around $4,000 per ounce in the coming weeks. The sell-off also occurred as investors assessed potential progress in U.S.-China trade talks following a recent rise in tensions that had previously increased demand for safe-haven assets. On Tuesday, Trump predicted that an upcoming meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping would result in a favorable trade deal, although he acknowledged that talks might not happen at all. The U.S. government shutdown also deprived traders of one of their most valuable tools: the weekly report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which reveals how hedge funds and other asset managers are positioned in U.S. gold and silver futures markets. Without this data, speculators are more likely to form unusually large positions in either direction. Technical Picture Buyers need to reclaim the nearest resistance at $4,186 to aim for $4,249, a level above which a breakout would be difficult to sustain. The furthest target lies in the $4,304 area. Should gold decline, bears will attempt to take control at the $4,124 level. A successful breakdown below this range could deal a significant blow to bullish positions and push gold toward a low of $4,062, with potential to reach $4,008. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.66 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell USD/JPY. The primary pressure on the Japanese yen continues to be the new Prime Minister's willingness to return to economic stimulus and support measures—an approach that contrasts with the Bank of Japan's potential plans to raise interest rates. This dichotomy creates significant uncertainty in financial markets. On one hand, stimulus efforts aimed at reviving the economy could lead to increased inflation and a weakening of the yen. On the other hand, rate hikes intended to control inflation might slow economic growth and also pressure the yen if perceived as premature or excessive. Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the actions of both the government and the central bank to try to assess which course will dominate. Their decisions directly influence the supply and demand for the yen and thus impact its value. External factors such as the global economic situation and U.S. trade policy further complicate the outlook. For the intraday strategy, I will primarily focus on the execution of Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenariosScenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today upon reaching the entry point around 152.10 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to the 152.75 level (thicker green line on the chart). Around 152.75, I plan to exit the long position and open a short position in the opposite direction (expecting a move of 30–35 pips in the opposite direction). It's advisable to return to buying the pair on pullbacks and deep corrections in USD/JPY. Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today if there are two consecutive tests of the 151.72 level while the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downside potential and trigger a reversal to the upside. Growth can then be expected toward the 152.10 and 152.75 levels. Sell ScenariosScenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after a breakout below the 151.72 level (red line on the chart), which may lead to a swift decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be the 151.14 level, where I plan to exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction (expecting a reversal move of 20–25 pips). It's best to sell as high as possible. Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 152.10 level while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This would limit the pair's upward potential and result in a reversal to the downside. A decline can then be expected toward the 151.72 and 151.14 levels. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price to buy the trading instrumentThick green line – projected price for placing Take Profit or manually exiting long positions (further growth beyond this point is unlikely)Thin red line – entry price to sell the trading instrumentThick red line – projected price for placing Take Profit or manually exiting short positions (further decline below this point is unlikely)MACD Indicator – when entering trades, it's important to follow overbought and oversold zonesImportant: Beginner traders on the Forex market must be very cautious when making entry decisions. Before the release of key fundamental reports, it is generally best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you choose to trade during news events, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-loss protection, you could quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you do not use money management and trade with high volumes. Remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, such as the one outlined above. Spontaneous decision-making based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3367 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not experience a significant drop. The British pound continues to decline against the US dollar—especially against the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and unresolved trade disputes between the United States and China. Investors are exercising caution due to the unpredictability of global trade and the potential impact on the UK economy, which is already facing political and economic challenges. Yesterday's data on the sharp increase in public sector borrowing confirms this pressure. Today, all market participants' attention is focused on the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Core CPI, and Retail Price Index (RPI) in the UK for September. These reports will serve as key indicators of the current inflation landscape in the country. Analysts will carefully assess the figures to understand the extent of inflationary pressure on the British economy and to gauge the Bank of England's potential policy response. Should inflation data prove high, it may encourage the BoE to maintain a hawkish stance on interest rates. Such a move would likely support the pound sterling but could simultaneously act as a brake on economic growth, as more expensive credit would reduce business investment and consumer spending. Conversely, low inflation could prompt the BoE to consider easing monetary policy, which could weaken the pound but give a boost to the economy. Investors will weigh the potential risks and benefits to determine the most probable scenario going forward. Particular attention will be paid to the Core Consumer Price Index, which excludes energy and food prices—components known for their high volatility. It provides a clearer view of underlying inflation trends. The Retail Price Index is also important, as it is used to adjust wages, pensions, and other social payments. Regarding the intraday strategy, I will focus primarily on executing Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenariosScenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the pound upon reaching the entry point around 1.3395 (green line on the chart), targeting growth toward the 1.3440 level (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3440, I plan to exit long positions and enter short positions (expecting a counter-move of 30–35 pips). A bullish outlook on the pound today is only justified in the case of very strong economic data.Important: Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero level and just beginning to rise from it.Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.3372 level at a time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This will likely limit the pair's downside potential and initiate a reversal to the upside. Expected targets for growth include the 1.3395 and 1.3440 levels.Sell ScenariosScenario #1: I plan to sell the pound after a breakout below 1.3372 (red line on the chart), which may lead to a rapid decline of the pair. The sellers' key target will be the 1.3324 level, where I will exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction (expecting a counter-move of 20–25 pips). Pound sellers are likely to return if inflation data shows a decline.Important: Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero level and just beginning to fall from it.Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.3395 level at a time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and may lead to a market reversal to the downside. A decrease is expected toward the 1.3372 and 1.3324 levels. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price to buy the trading instrumentThick green line – projected price for placing Take Profit or manually exiting long positions (further growth beyond this point is unlikely)Thin red line – entry price to sell the trading instrumentThick red line – projected price for placing Take Profit or manually exiting short positions (further decline below this point is unlikely)MACD Indicator – when entering trades, it's important to follow overbought and oversold zonesImportant: Beginner traders on the Forex market must be very cautious when making entry decisions. Before the release of key fundamental reports, it is generally best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you choose to trade during news events, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-loss protection, you could quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you do not use money management and trade with high volumes. Remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, such as the one outlined above. Spontaneous decision-making based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test of 1.1606 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this level occurred when the MACD indicator was in the oversold zone, triggering Scenario #2 for buying the euro, which resulted in a 20-pip rise in the euro's value. President Trump's inconsistent approach to resolving trade disputes with China continues to keep investors from active operations with the euro. Uncertainty about the possibility of reaching a full-fledged trade agreement negatively affects market sentiment, with participants preferring to observe rather than act. One moment, Trump states he's ready to meet with Xi, and then a few hours later, he says he intends to impose 155% tariffs on China starting November 1. Today, no economic data is scheduled to be published in the Eurozone during the first half of the day, which automatically shifts attention to the speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. Traders will pay close attention to her comments regarding future inflation trends, economic growth, and subsequent monetary policy actions. Market participants are looking for hints on how concerned the central bank is about pricing and its willingness to implement further monetary stimulus if needed. In addition to Lagarde's speech, investors will also be following developments from the US and China regarding the status of a trade agreement. For the intraday strategy, I will rely primarily on the execution of Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenariosScenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the euro upon reaching the price of 1.1620 (green line on the chart), targeting growth toward 1.1652. At 1.1652, I plan to exit the market and sell the euro on a pullback, expecting a move of 30–35 pips from the entry level. Euro growth should only be expected following a hawkish stance from Lagarde.Important: Before buying, confirm that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it.Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the euro today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1603 level while the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This would limit downside potential and trigger a reversal to the upside. Growth can then be expected toward the 1.1620 and 1.1652 levels.Sell ScenariosScenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after it reaches the 1.1603 level (red line on the chart), targeting a move down to 1.1573. At 1.1573, I will exit short positions and buy immediately on a rebound (expecting a 20–25 pip counter-move). Pressure on the pair would return today if Lagarde delivers dovish comments.Important: Before selling, confirm that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it.Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the euro today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1620 level, while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This would limit upside potential and result in a reversal down. A decline can be expected toward the 1.1603 and 1.1573 levels. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price to buy the trading instrumentThick green line – projected price for placing Take Profit or manually exiting long positions (further growth beyond this point is unlikely)Thin red line – entry price to sell the trading instrumentThick red line – projected price for placing Take Profit or manually exiting short positions (further decline below this point is unlikely)MACD Indicator – when entering trades, it's important to follow overbought and oversold zonesImportant: Beginner traders on the Forex market must be very cautious when making entry decisions. Before the release of key fundamental reports, it is generally best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you choose to trade during news events, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-loss protection, you could quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you do not use money management and trade with high volumes. Remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, such as the one outlined above. Spontaneous decision-making based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Cryptocurrency Market Trading Recommendations for October 22
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Bitcoin failed to hold the $113,800 level yesterday and quickly lost ground by the end of the day, returning to the $108,000 area. Ethereum also fell below the $4,000 mark, which raises further concern about potential large-scale sell-offs. Bitcoin's growth yesterday occurred following comments in an interview by Federal Reserve member Christopher Waller, who stated that BTC could eventually become a form of electronic gold. Not many Fed officials are willing to make such statements; however, the stance of one of the Fed's key figures on cryptocurrencies is certainly a positive signal for traders and investors. Given Bitcoin's sharp drop, such a view from a high-ranking official is a breath of fresh air for the crypto community. Investors and traders, tired of constant calls for regulation, interpreted Waller's words as a signal of a possible softening in the central bank's rhetoric. It's worth noting that recognizing Bitcoin as a form of electronic gold implies its use as a safe-haven asset, an alternative to traditional gold reserves. This approach opens new opportunities for institutional investors who had previously refrained from investing in cryptocurrencies due to the lack of a clear legal framework and regulatory uncertainties. However, the significance of a single statement should not be overestimated. Fed policy is set collegially, and Waller's words do not guarantee an immediate change to the central bank's approach toward crypto. Nevertheless, this event can be seen as an important precedent, indicating the gradual acceptance of digital assets in the financial world. The impact of this statement is likely to be felt over the long term, supporting further development of the cryptocurrency industry and the establishment of a more definitive regulatory framework. Regarding the intraday cryptocurrency market strategy, I will continue to operate based on major dips in Bitcoin and Ethereum, anticipating the continuation of the medium-term bull market, which remains intact. In terms of short-term trading, the strategy and trade setups are as follows: BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today upon reaching the entry point around $108,800 with an upward target at $110,300. Around the $110,300 level, I will exit long positions and sell immediately on a pullback. Before entering a breakout buy trade, ensure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be bought from the lower boundary at $107,700 if there is no reaction to a breakout downward, targeting levels of $108,800 and $110,300.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today upon reaching the entry point around $107,700, targeting a fall to $106,400. Around the $106,400 level, I will exit short positions and buy immediately on a pullback. Before entering a breakout sell trade, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Bitcoin can be sold from the upper boundary at $108,800 if there is no reaction to an upward breakout, targeting levels of $107,700 and $106,400. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario #1: I will buy Ethereum today upon reaching the entry point around $3,883, targeting a move up to $3,971. Around the $3,971 level, I will exit long positions and sell immediately on a pullback. Before entering a breakout buy trade, ensure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Ethereum can be bought from the lower boundary at $3,826 if there is no reaction to a breakout downward, targeting levels of $3,883 and $3,971.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I will sell Ethereum today upon reaching the entry point around $3,826, targeting a decline to $3,742. Around the $3,742 level, I will exit short positions and buy immediately on a pullback. Before entering a breakout sell trade, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Ethereum can be sold from the upper boundary at $3,883 if there is no reaction to an upward breakout, targeting levels of $3,826 and $3,742.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Intraday Strategies for Beginner Traders on October 22
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The American dollar continues to strengthen its position—this is especially evident in pairs with the euro and the Japanese yen. President Trump's somewhat mixed stance on resolving trade relations with China continues to push away buyers of risk assets. The uncertainty surrounding the prospects of concluding a trade agreement exerts a restraining influence on investor sentiment, leading many to adopt a wait-and-see position until the situation becomes clearer. In this context, volatility in the foreign exchange market is not as high as it was previously. Traders will continue to respond sensitively to any new information regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations. This morning, there are no reports from the Eurozone, so all attention will once again be focused on another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. Traders will closely watch her comments on the prospects for inflation, economic growth, and future steps in monetary policy. The market expects signals indicating how concerned the central bank is with slowing inflation and whether it's prepared to ease policy further if necessary. The market's reaction to Lagarde's speech will likely depend on the tone of her statements. If she expresses concern about economic risks and suggests that the ECB is willing to take additional measures to stimulate the economy, the euro may come under pressure. As for the pound, traders' focus will shift to the UK Consumer Price Index. High inflation readings may prompt the Bank of England to maintain a hawkish stance on interest rates, which in turn may strengthen the British pound. Conversely, low inflation readings may lead the central bank to consider monetary easing, which may weaken the pound but stimulate the economy. If the data matches economists' expectations, it is best to proceed using a Mean Reversion strategy. If the data turns out to be much higher or lower than expected, the best approach is to use a Momentum strategy. Momentum Strategy (Breakout Trading):EURUSD PairLong positions on a breakout above 1.1620 may lead to the euro strengthening toward 1.1645 and 1.1675Short positions on a breakout below 1.1600 may lead to the euro weakening toward 1.1575 and 1.1545GBPUSD PairLong positions on a breakout above 1.3390 may lead to the pound strengthening toward 1.3420 and 1.3450Short positions on a breakout below 1.3360 may lead to the pound weakening toward 1.3336 and 1.3295USDJPY PairLong positions on a breakout above 152.10 may lead to dollar strengthening toward 152.42 and 152.82Short positions on a breakout below 151.73 may lead to dollar weakening toward 151.29 and 150.83Mean Reversion Strategy (Reversal Trading): EURUSD PairSelling opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout above 1.1624, with a return below that levelBuying opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout below 1.1600 with a return above that level GBPUSD PairSelling opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout above 1.3393 with a return below that levelBuying opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout below 1.3360 with a return above that level AUDUSD PairSelling opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout above 0.6517 with a return below that levelBuying opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout below 0.6485 with a return above that level USDCAD PairSelling opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout above 1.4020 with a return below that levelBuying opportunities may arise after an unsuccessful breakout below 1.3989 with a return above that levelThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Fetch.AI CEO Offers Reward To ‘Uncover’ Ocean Protocol’s Alleged $120M FET Dump
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The CEO of Fetch.AI (FET) has offered a reward to uncover Ocean Protocol’s move after the project was accused of liquidating millions of tokens, affecting the FET’s price and its holders. Fetch.AI Vs Ocean Protocol Feud On Tuesday, Humayun Sheikh, CEO of Fetch.AI, offered a bounty $250,000 to anyone who could “uncover the OceanDAO signatories and their connections to Ocean Foundation.” The post followed last week’s allegations that Ocean Protocol had dumped hundreds of millions of FET tokens into crypto exchanges earlier this year. For context, crypto AI projects Fetch.AI, Ocean Protocol (OCEAN), and SingularityNET (AGIX) merged into the Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) Alliance in mid-2024, combining their tokens under a shared FET framework. Over a year later, Ocean Protocol Foundation announced its departure from the alliance, sharing on October 9 that it had resigned as a member of the ASI Alliance, “effective immediately.” Last week, Fetch.AI’s CEO affirmed that the Ocean Protocol Foundation had swapped 661.2 million OCEAN tokens minted in 2023 for 286.4 million FET this July, suggesting that the protocol had been moving and liquidating them for the past three months. Sheikh noted that “Ocean as stand alone project did this it would be classed as a rug pull,” later vowing to personally fund three or more class action lawsuits in different jurisdictions. “If you are or were a holder of $fet and have lost money during this Ocean action be ready with your evidence. (…) I will be setting up a channel for all to submit your claims,” he wrote. Ocean Protocol called the accusations “unfounded claims and harmful rumors,” affirming that their team was “preparing responses to the various unfounded claims and allegations while respecting the ambits of the law.” At the time of writing, the protocol’s official X account has not published a response. Did Ocean Dump $120M Worth Of FET? Data analytics platform Bubblemaps shared a timeline of the Ocean Protocol moves, highlighting that despite the merger, the protocol kept a large amount of OCEAN tokens in its wallets for alleged “community incentives” and “data farming.” According to Bubblemaps’ analysis, Ocean Protocol’s team wallet (0x4D9B) converted 661 million OCEAN into 286 million FET, worth $191 million on July 1, and later sent 90 million FET to an OTC provider, GSR Markets. On August 31, the team wallet split the remaining 196 million FET across 30 new addresses. By October 14, most of these addresses had sent the funds to Binance or the OTC provider. Bubblemaps estimated that around 160 million tokens were sent to Binance, while 109 million FET were transferred to GSR Markets. In total, approximately 270 million tokens, valued at around $120 million, were reportedly transferred and potentially liquidated. “We can’t confirm whether the $FET tokens were sold by Ocean Protocol, although such transfers are typically associated with liquidation,” the platform noted, adding that on-chain activity only shows a multisig wallet linked to the protocol swapped millions of OCEAN tokens for FET, and sent them to Binance and GSR. FET’s Price Sees Sharp Decline Analyst Cryptor pointed out that the feud has triggered uncertainty surrounding the projects. He noted that the FET’s Top PnL Leaderboard doesn’t look good, as “almost everyone over the past 30 days has fully exited their positions.” Additionally, Smart Money Flows have been declining for nearly a year, alongside the price, which has retraced over 92.6% from its $3.45 all-time high (ATH). The analyst asserted that “you want segments like Top PnL traders, Smart Money, and funds to stay onboard because they set the tone for market behavior. (…) The data shows hesitation and capital leaving, which is to me a clear sign that confidence hasn’t returned. Price might hold temporarily, but without their participation, volatility rises quickly.” As of this writing, FET trades at $0.25, an 8.3% decline in the daily timeframe.