Todas Atividades

Ethereum price started a fresh recovery above $4,000. ETH is now showing positive signs but faces a major resistance near the $4,250 level. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,100 levels. The price is trading above $4,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $4,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,250. Ethereum Price Starts Recovery Ethereum price started a recovery wave after a massive selloff below $3,800, like Bitcoin. ETH price formed a base and was able to recover above the $4,000 level. The price cleared the 50% Fib retracement level of the sharp decline from the $4,758 swing high to the $3,423 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $4,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading above $4,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,200 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,250 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the sharp decline from the $4,758 swing high to the $3,423 low. The first major resistance is near the $4,320 level. A clear move above the $4,320 resistance might send the price toward the $4,400 resistance. An upside break above the $4,400 region might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,450 resistance zone or even $4,500 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,250 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,120 level. The first major support sits near the $4,100 zone. A clear move below the $4,100 support might push the price toward the $4,020 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,950 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,880. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,020 Major Resistance Level – $4,250

Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $114,000 level. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $116,000 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $113,500 resistance level. The price is trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $113,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Bitcoin price started a recovery wave after a massive liquidation event below $110,000. BTC recovered above the $111,500 and $112,000 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the sharp decline from the $123,750 swing high to the $100,000 low. The bulls even pushed the price above the $113,500 resistance level. However, there are many hurdles on the upside. Bitcoin is now trading below $116,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $116,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,250 level. The next resistance could be $118,000 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the sharp decline from the $123,750 swing high to the $100,000 low. A close above the $118,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $119,500 resistance and the trend line. Any more gains might send the price toward the $120,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $122,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $114,000 level. The first major support is near the $113,500 level. The next support is now near the $113,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $112,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $113,500, followed by $112,500. Major Resistance Levels – $116,000 and $118,000.

GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair also traded with gains on Friday, which seemed somewhat contradictory given the macroeconomic background, though it was perfectly in line with the broader context. The global fundamental backdrop remains sharply negative for the U.S. dollar, making any dollar strength appear as nothing more than a technical correction. On the daily timeframe (where the core correction unfolds), corrections lasting several weeks or even months are absolutely standard. On the hourly chart, such a correction or sideways movement often appears as a series of alternating trends. From a technical standpoint, the downtrend remains intact. The price continues to move below the trendline and below the Ichimoku indicator lines. Therefore, the corrective movement may persist for a while longer. Over the past two weeks, the market has ignored several bearish dollar drivers, but can it ignore a new escalation in Trump's trade war with China? Perhaps we'll have an answer by Monday or Tuesday. If the upward movement continues, the trendline will break, and both major currency pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD) will begin pointing upward. On the 5-minute chart, four trading signals were generated on Friday. Initially, the pair bounced twice from the 1.3307 level but managed to decline by only about 30 pips. This short setup didn't bring a loss, but likely didn't generate notable profit either. During the U.S. session, a buy signal formed near the same 1.3307 level, and the price surged rapidly, so only quick traders could catch that entry. Nevertheless, the designated target area of 1.3369–1.3377 was reached. A bounce from this resistance zone allowed short positions to be considered, but this last signal came too late in the session to trade. COT Report COT reports for the British pound show that the sentiment of commercial traders has been constantly shifting in recent years. The red and blue lines, representing the net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders, cross frequently and generally remain near the zero line. Currently, they are practically aligned—indicating a nearly equal number of long and short positions. The dollar continues to weaken due to Donald Trump's policy actions, which diminish the relevance of asset manager demand for the pound in the short term. The trade war, in one form or another, is expected to persist over the long term. The Fed is widely expected to lower interest rates during the coming year, contributing to continued downward pressure on the dollar. According to the latest COT report on the pound, the "Non-commercial" group opened 3,700 long contracts and closed 900 short contracts—resulting in a net increase of 4,600 contracts. In 2025, the pound experienced strong growth, mainly due to Trump's political agenda. When that driver fades, the dollar could regain ground—but no one knows when that could happen. The rate of net position growth or decline for the pound isn't particularly important on its own. Dollar positioning remains more impactful and is declining at a faster pace. GBP/USD 1H Analysis On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD is still forming a downward trend. This continues to contradict the overall market logic. The dollar still lacks strong fundamental support, so we continue to expect the bullish trend of 2025 to resume sooner or later. For now, traders should wait for a break above the trendline and ideally also the Kijun-sen line. For October 13, we identify the following key trading levels: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3307, 1.3369–1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3533–1.3548, 1.3584, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. The Ichimoku indicator lines—Senkou Span B (1.3424) and Kijun-sen (1.3374)—may also serve as signal levels. Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven when the price moves 20 pips in the correct direction. Ichimoku lines can shift during the day and must be monitored when identifying signals. No significant economic events are scheduled for either the U.S. or the UK on Monday. As a result, flat price action and low volatility may dominate throughout the day. However, traders should not forget Trump's new tariffs, which markets might not have had time to fully price in on Friday. Trading RecommendationsToday, traders can operate from the 1.3369–1.3377 area and from the critical Ichimoku line. Rebounds from these levels would confirm that a correction is ongoing and present opportunities to open short positions targeting 1.3307. Long positions should only be considered above the Senkou Span B line, as the zone from 1.3369 to 1.3430 contains multiple layers of resistance. Explanation of Illustrations:Support and resistance price levels are shown as thick red lines. These lines mark areas where movement may stall. They are not trading signals.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B are Ichimoku indicator lines, transferred from the 4H chart to the 1H timeframe. These are considered strong lines.Extremum levels are thin red lines where price has previously reversed. These can generate trading signals.Yellow lines represent trendlines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts shows net position sizes for each trader group.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EUR/USD 5M Analysis On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair finally showed some growth. The ironic twist is that the only macroeconomic report of the day came from the U.S., and it turned out to be stronger than expected. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index exceeded traders' forecasts by 0.8 points, which could have strengthened the dollar. However, a market that had ignored negative U.S. data for two straight weeks also ignored this positive surprise. Throughout the past week, the market focused only on developments that supported the downward movement—but on Friday, that changed. Of course, Trump's evening speech also played a role. He announced new 100% tariffs on all imports from China. Trump was angered by Beijing's decision to tighten export restrictions on rare earth metals. He immediately accused China of being hostile and trying to hold the world hostage. The irony here is that it's Trump who is forcing his rules upon the world, while China continues trading with any nation willing to do business. On the 5-minute timeframe, no trading signals were formed during the day. More precisely, no signal occurred during the entire session. Only at the very end of the day and week did the pair break through the 1.1604–1.1615 area, but by then, any trade entry was probably too late. It's also worth noting that on the hourly TF, the pair broke above the descending trend line, suggesting that the trend may be shifting toward the upside. COT Report The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report is dated September 23. As shown in the chart, the net position of non-commercial traders had been bullish for a long time. Bears briefly shifted into dominance at the end of 2024 but quickly lost control. Since Trump began his second term as U.S. president, only the dollar has been consistently falling. While we can't say with 100% certainty that the dollar's decline will continue, current global developments suggest that scenario. Fundamentally, we still see no major factors to support the euro's growth. However, we do see plenty of factors weighing down the dollar. The global downtrend for the euro remains intact, but at this point, past 17-year price tendencies are increasingly irrelevant to current market dynamics. Once Trump ends his trade wars, the dollar may resume strengthening—but recent events show that the wars are far from over. The possible loss of Federal Reserve independence is another major bearish factor for the greenback. The red and blue lines on the indicator show that the bullish sentiment persists. During the latest reporting week, long positions held by the "Non-commercial" group declined by 800 contracts, while short positions increased by 2,600. Thus, the net position decreased by 3,400 contracts over the week. EUR/USD 1H Analysis On the hourly time frame, EUR/USD may have completed its downtrend last week. The trendline was breached, so now the euro needs to consolidate above the Kijun-sen line to confirm further upward movement—at least toward the Senkou Span B line. We believe it is already high time for the euro to rise. And, according to Donald Trump, it seems he agrees, which is quite amusing. For October 13, we highlight the following key levels for trading: 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604–1.1615, 1.1657–1.1666, 1.1750–1.1760, 1.1846–1.1857, 1.1922, 1.1971–1.1988; as well as the Ichimoku indicator lines: Senkou Span B (1.1733) and Kijun-sen (1.1657). Note: Ichimoku lines may shift positions during the day, and this must be taken into account when evaluating signals. Always remember to adjust the Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15 pips in the right direction. This ensures protection from false signals. For Monday, there are no significant events or reports scheduled in either the U.S. or the Eurozone. Therefore, the market may see a classic "slow Monday." Trading RecommendationsOn Monday, traders may trade from the 1.1604–1.1615 and 1.1657–1.1666 areas, as well as from the critical Ichimoku lines. Since no significant events are scheduled, there's a high chance of low volatility and range-bound movement. However, the market may continue reacting to Trump's new tariffs, so the U.S. dollar remains at risk, and current price levels may be attractive for long positions. Explanation of Illustrations:Support and resistance price levels are shown as thick red lines. These lines mark areas where movement may stall. They are not trading signals.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B are Ichimoku indicator lines, transferred from the 4H chart to the 1H timeframe. These are considered strong lines.Extremum levels are thin red lines where price has previously reversed. These can generate trading signals.Yellow lines represent trendlines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts shows net position sizes for each trader group.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Stock Market Meltdown Triggers Outside Week Key Reversals Stock market live While the average retail investor might view Friday’s (October 10, 2025) U.S. stock market selloff as a classic buy-the-dip opportunity, technical traders may see it very differently. The sharp drop to end the week created outside week key reversal patterns in major indices. A potentially important warning signal after months of relentless gains. What Is an Outside Week Key Reversal? An outside week key reversal is a classic technical analysis pattern that can mark the transition from an existing trend to a possible reversal. It forms when: The current week’s high exceeds the prior week’s high, and The low for the week falls below the prior week’s low, and The close finishes opposite the prior trend (for example, closing lower after an uptrend). This pattern often reflects a shift in market sentiment where traders who were previously driving the trend begin to take profits or reverse positions. Many veteran traders were taught that for a true outside week key reversal, the close must also fall below the prior week’s low (in a down reversal) or above the prior week’s high (in an up reversal), though that stricter definition is rarely found online today. Friday’s Stock Market Meltdown: More Than Just a Dip Friday’s plunge rattled both investors and traders who had grown comfortable with what looked like a one-way street higher. Despite repeated warnings of overvaluation and bubble risks, the abrupt decline was a stark reminder that markets can still surprise even the most seasoned bulls. The outside week key reversals in major U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 (US500) and Nasdaq 100 (NAS100) have technical analysts on alert for possible follow-through. US 500 WEEKLY CHART (blue line = 20 week moving averge_ NAS100 WEEKLY CHART (blue line = 20 week moving averge_ Stock market live However, these reversals require confirmation from other indicators before signaling a sustained change in trend. Without that confirmation, they may simply represent a healthy market correction or washout after a prolonged rally. Context Behind the Selloff: Trump’s Tariff Threat Friday’s drop wasn’t driven by economic data but rather by headlines. Markets sold off sharply after President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on imports from China. Though no formal action was taken. By now, traders know the importance of distinguishing between what the President says and what he does. Still, the market’s reaction matters most. And in this case, it revealed how overcrowded bullish positioning had become. It took only a minor shock to tip the boat. Hooked on Headlines: Why Financial Markets Are Addicted to News Trump, in typical fashion, already backtracked over the weekend Technical Picture: Key Levels and What to Watch Despite the sharp declines, both US500 and NAS100 remain above their 20-week moving averages, which act as initial support zones and limit downside potential while prices stay above them. The outside week reversal pattern does suggest that recent record highs may stand for now, but it is too early to call an end to the mega uptrend without confirmation from momentum and volume indicators. In the near term, traders should watch: Reactions to fresh headlines — especially around tariffs and inflation data 4-hour and daily charts for signs of stabilization or continued weakness Stop levels: as Friday’s selloff cleared out buy stops near record highs and left sell stops below the day’s lows Many traders caught off guard by Friday’s price action are likely to place sell orders above the market, hoping to exit positions into any bounce. To sum up, the outside week key reversals on October 10, 2025, mark a potentially pivotal moment in the U.S. stock market’s technical landscape. While not definitive signals of a trend change, they do suggest increased caution is warranted after months of near-uninterrupted gains. Whether this becomes a lasting top or just another shakeout will depend on the market’s reaction in the coming days — especially around key support levels and headline-driven volatility. For now, the message from the charts is clear: complacency has been shaken, and risk awareness is back in play. Stock market live New York Stock Exchange The post Stock Market Meltdown Triggers Outside Week Key Reversals: What Technical Traders Are Watching Next appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

Against the backdrop of a sparsely populated economic calendar, political and geopolitical developments in the United States, France, and China will take center stage for currency market traders. The upcoming week lacks major scheduled events for the EUR/USD pair—though with an important caveat: this only holds true if the U.S. government shutdown continues. If Congress reaches an agreement and approves the budget for the new fiscal year, government agencies will resume full operations. In that case, key macroeconomic data will start flowing rapidly. In particular, markets will receive the September Nonfarm Payrolls report and crucial inflation data from the U.S. (CPI and PPI indices). These releases are expected to generate significant volatility in EUR/USD, especially if the data points align (for example, showing signs of labor market cooling alongside stagnant or weakening inflation). If the shutdown continues for an extended period, traders will be forced to rely on secondary news drivers. Moreover, the market will continue tracking statements from Donald Trump and Chinese officials amid the sudden escalation of the U.S.–China trade war. Trump Tariffs and China's Response At the start of the new trading week, EUR/USD will move in continuation of Friday's momentum, when the U.S. dollar weakened across the board. The move came in response to Trump's announcement that starting November 1, the U.S. will impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. According to Trump, these tariffs will be "above and beyond any existing duties currently paid by China." Additionally, the U.S. plans to implement export controls on all critical software starting next month. It's important to note that the first escalatory move came from China, which announced tighter export controls on rare earth metals. Trump responded by drastically raising the stakes, with the 100% tariff effectively acting as a renewed embargo on Chinese imports. The U.S. president made this announcement just hours before markets closed on Friday. Despite the initial volatile response, likely, traders have not yet fully priced this development in. Moreover, China quickly issued a forceful response, accusing Washington of double standards and promising to take "appropriate measures to protect its interests." This implies that Beijing is not backing down—at least for now—placing the two superpowers on the brink of a renewed phase in their trade confrontation. Geopolitical Brinkmanship, But with a Delay However, despite the aggressive rhetoric, both sides have left a time buffer: the U.S. tariffs are scheduled to take effect on November 1, while China plans to implement its new restrictions starting December 1. This suggests that both economies are preparing for another round of negotiations, but are first establishing hardline positions. Whether and when talks may actually resume remains unclear, and EUR/USD traders are unlikely to make long-term assumptions. For now, market participants will focus on immediate headlines, which are not in favor of the U.S. dollar. French Political Dynamics Add Complexity The euro gained moderate support on Friday following Emmanuel Macron's reappointment of Sebastien Lecornu as Prime Minister of France. However, political stability in France remains fragile due to the absence of a pro-presidential majority in parliament. After his reappointment, Lecornu stated that he may once again resign if "the working conditions are not adequate," referring specifically to the need for legislative support—especially for budget proposals. If this support fails to materialize, the French president could dissolve the National Assembly and call early elections. Such a move would likely apply downward pressure on the euro, as the newly elected parliament would likely have a pronounced right-wing tilt. Markets Eye Secondary Data and Political Risk Due to the light economic calendar, political and geopolitical developments (such as the shutdown, France, and the U.S.–China trade war) will be the primary focus for EUR/USD traders. Upcoming Economic Releases That May Move EUR/USD On Tuesday, the ZEW indices will be released. Positive results are expected, with the German Economic Sentiment Index projected to rise to 41.7 (after increasing to 37.3 in September). The broader Eurozone ZEW index is also set to increase to 30.2 (from 26.1 in the previous month).On Wednesday, China will publish key inflation data. If the CPI reading surprises to the upside (exceeding the forecast of -0.2%), it could have a secondary impact on EUR/USD.During Wednesday's U.S. session, the Empire Manufacturing Index will be released. After plunging to -8.7 in September, a slight rebound to +0.2 is expected.If the government shutdown ends before Wednesday—which remains unlikely—then major U.S. inflation metrics (CPI) may also be released that day. However, political deadlock between Republicans and Democrats continues to make this scenario improbable. On Thursday, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be published. After surging to 23.2 in September, it is expected to decline to 9.1 this month. For bullish dollar sentiment to recover, this figure must not fall back into negative territory.If the shutdown ends, the Producer Price Index may also be released on Thursday.On Friday, the final inflation data for the Eurozone (September) is scheduled for publication. This data is expected to match the previously released preliminary estimate and is the only significant figure from the Eurozone for the day unless the U.S. government resumes operations.If the shutdown ends, the long-awaited Nonfarm Payrolls data from September will also be released on Friday, further amplifying volatility. Technically: EUR/USD Key Resistance and Bullish Confirmation Long positions on EUR/USD should be considered only after a confirmed breakout above the resistance level of 1.1630 (Kijun-sen line on H4 chart). The first upside target in this case would be 1.1680 (the upper Bollinger Bands boundary on H4). A successful move beyond this area would open the path toward the 1.1700 zone. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

When discussing the U.S. news landscape in mid-October 2025, it is more appropriate to list which reports will NOT be published this week — and there will be many. For example, it is unlikely that market participants will see any retail sales data or industrial production figures. The Consumer Price Index is also very likely to go unpublished. So what remains? Only a speech by Jerome Powell. He could have provided the market with guidance last week on how the Federal Reserve plans to proceed at the end of the month, but opted not to do so. It's important to remember that the FOMC Chair has historically been very cautious in his public statements. The longest government shutdown in U.S. history lasted 35 days. Therefore, there is still a good chance that the government will be operational again before October 29, when the Fed holds its next policy meeting. Thus, there is little point in speculating on what data the FOMC will review or how it will act — the market has to wait. After all, no one can demand concrete answers from Powell ahead of the meeting. Consequently, I think Powell will probably not provide anything significant to the markets in the upcoming week as well. So it appears that the leading newsmaker of the forthcoming week will once again be Donald Trump. On Friday, the U.S. president announced additional tariffs against China in response to China's restrictions on the export of rare-earth metals — resources the U.S. critically depends on. China aims to respond to Trump in kind, but the U.S. president still has many cards up his sleeve. It looks like the U.S.-China trade war is entering a new phase of escalation. In any case, both Trump and Xi Jinping can be expected to make further announcements that will impact the market. At this point, I can say that renewed escalation in the trade war suggests that demand for the U.S. dollar will continue to decline. Even over the past two weeks, there was ample reason for the market to sell the dollar: labor market and business activity data in the U.S. remained weak, and a government shutdown is not a routine event without economic consequences. Now, a fresh deterioration in U.S.-China relations gets added to the "October list of reasons" to weaken the greenback. Wave Structure for EUR/USD:According to the analysis of EUR/USD, the instrument continues to form an upward segment of the trend. The wave structure still entirely depends on the news background, particularly the decisions made by Trump, as well as the domestic and foreign policy of the new White House administration. The targets of the current segment of the trend could reach the 1.2500 range. At present, a complex corrective wave 4 is forming and approaching completion. The bullish wave structure remains intact. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to consider only long positions. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to the level of 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave formation is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking the form of a complicated three-wave correction, and its length is significantly greater than that of wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed wave within another corrective three-wave pattern, it may soon be completed. If this is confirmed, the upward movement of the instrument within the global wave framework could resume, with initial targets around the 1.3800 and 1.4000 levels.. Core Principles of My Analysis:1.Wave structures should be simple and easy to understand. Complex structures are difficult to trade and are prone to change. 2.If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter the market. 3.One can never have complete certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders. 4.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The upcoming week promises to be quite eventful for the British pound. It is important to note that the bulk of the United Kingdom's key economic data is traditionally released around the middle of each month. The wave count for GBP/USD has also become more complex due to the recent decline in price, and now shows a pattern of three consecutive three-wave structures. In this regard, the wave configurations of the pound and the euro currently align fully, which is a positive development. We are now observing the third wave taking shape in the current structure. At the same time, recent developments in macroeconomic news have not provided a reason for the broad strengthening of the U.S. dollar, or the market may have ignored them. Therefore, I believe market participants have gathered sufficient rationale to start increasing demand for the pound. Looking ahead slightly, on Friday, Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff hike on Chinese goods, giving the market another reason to resume flight from the dollar. But returning to British events and data. Upcoming Economic Events in the UK In the new week, the UK will publish data on the following: Unemployment rateWage growthJobless claimsGross Domestic Product (GDP)Industrial productionIn addition, a speech is expected from Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill. Each of these events carries market relevance. However, GDP and industrial production will be the most critical, both of which are again expected to show weak results. The unemployment rate may also continue to rise. Thus, from a data standpoint, the chances of fundamental support for the pound appear limited. Huw Pill's remarks may hint at the next round of monetary policy easing from the BoE. Initially, the British central bank planned four rounds of interest rate cuts in 2025, and three have already been implemented. One remains. However, inflation in the UK is rising rapidly and has already doubled the BoE's target level. Therefore, I believe the fourth round may not happen at all, and both Governor Andrew Bailey and Huw Pill will have to clarify whether the central bank intends to continue easing despite elevated inflation. The American news backdrop will once again take priority in influencing market direction. However, economic data from the U.S. will be limited because the government shutdown is causing delays in major statistical releases until operations officially resume. Wave Structure for EUR/USD:According to the analysis of EUR/USD, the instrument continues to form an upward segment of the trend. The wave structure still entirely depends on the news background, particularly the decisions made by Trump, as well as the domestic and foreign policy of the new White House administration. The targets of the current segment of the trend could reach the 1.2500 range. At present, a complex corrective wave 4 is forming and approaching completion. The bullish wave structure remains intact. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to consider only long positions. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to the level of 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave formation is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking the form of a complicated three-wave correction, and its length is significantly greater than that of wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed wave within another corrective three-wave pattern, it may soon be completed. If this is confirmed, the upward movement of the instrument within the global wave framework could resume, with initial targets around the 1.3800 and 1.4000 levels.. Core Principles of My Analysis:1.Wave structures should be simple and easy to understand. Complex structures are difficult to trade and are prone to change. 2.If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter the market. 3.One can never have complete certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders. 4.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The euro continues to develop a third consecutive three-wave structure, suggesting that the instrument's decline may be nearing completion. Of course, any corrective structure can become more complex at any moment, because it is the market participants—not wave theory—that ultimately determine the direction of movement. However, if we consider only the simplest wave patterns (as I always emphasize), we are already observing the absence of a clear trend and the presence of a three-wave correction. Consequently, a resumption of the upward trend may begin as early as next week. The news backdrop also favors continued strengthening of the euro. It is worth noting that for most of 2025, the market has been reacting primarily to U.S. news, with European developments fading into the background. For example, the market showed little to no reaction to the European Central Bank's easing of monetary policy. Over the past two weeks, the market has either been preoccupied with forming a wave-based correction or has been ignoring news from the U.S.—and most likely, both. To be fair, the U.S. dollar could have weakened over the last two weeks. However, the decline in the euro has complicated the wave structure, which is never a favorable scenario for traders. Upcoming Economic Reports in Europe In the new week, the following reports are expected from Europe: Final inflation data for Germany (September)ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for GermanyIndustrial production for the EurozoneFinal Eurozone inflation data (September)From this relatively short list, only industrial production may generate any notable market reaction. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is also scheduled to speak. However, she has already delivered six speeches over the past two weeks. Her core message—that further monetary policy easing is not needed—has been fully conveyed to the market. Thus, the European news background will be weak. The U.S. side, meanwhile (looking ahead), remains limited due to the ongoing government shutdown. Nonetheless, the market will continue to monitor American developments closely, as there will still be key events worth paying attention to. Wave Structure for EUR/USDAccording to the analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument continues to develop an upward segment of the trend. The wave layout still entirely depends on the news background—particularly Trump's decisions—and the foreign and domestic policies of the new White House administration. The targets of the current trend segment may extend up to the 1.2500 mark. At present, a correctional wave 4 is forming and approaching its completion, although it is taking on a complex form. The bullish wave structure remains valid. Therefore, I am continuing to consider only buy opportunities in the near term. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise toward the 1.2245 level, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci extension. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave formation is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking the form of a complicated three-wave correction, and its length is significantly greater than that of wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed wave within another corrective three-wave pattern, it may soon be completed. If this is confirmed, the upward movement of the instrument within the global wave framework could resume, with initial targets around the 1.3800 and 1.4000 levels.. Core Principles of My Analysis:1.Wave structures should be simple and easy to understand. Complex structures are difficult to trade and are prone to change. 2.If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter the market. 3.One can never have complete certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders. 4.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

On Friday, gold attracted buyers amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs two more times this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not provide any new policy signals, but the minutes of the FOMC's September meeting, released Wednesday, confirmed ongoing concerns about inflation. Despite this, traders still largely expect two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year. The U.S. government shutdown continues into its second week, with no progress on a funding agreement. On Thursday, the Senate rejected competing budget proposals for the seventh time and does not plan further votes until next week, when the upper chamber is expected to resume work on Tuesday. Also on Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that Washington and its NATO allies are increasing pressure on Russia in an effort to end the conflict in Ukraine. Early Friday morning and into Saturday, Ukraine reported a large-scale Russian attack on Kyiv involving ballistic missiles and drones targeting critical infrastructure, causing significant power outages. These developments sustain a high level of geopolitical risk and largely offset any optimism stemming from the first phase of the peace plan between Israel and Hamas regarding Gaza. Additionally, moderate weakening of the U.S. dollar contributes to strengthening prices for precious metals, which appear poised for an eighth consecutive week of gains driven by favorable fundamental factors. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, the current rise above the psychological level of $4000 faces initial resistance near $4035, ahead of the historical high in the $4059–4060 range reached on Wednesday. Continued buying above the historic high can be interpreted as a new catalyst for bulls, potentially pushing gold prices toward the round level of $4100. On the downside, bears would need to wait for sustained selling pressure below the $3944 level before preparing for a more pronounced decline. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

It is also worth noting that on November 1, a meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping was scheduled to take place in the United Arab Emirates. The offended U.S. president stated that, following recent events, he was unsure whether meeting with the Chinese leader was necessary. However, he later added that "he will be there anyway." Therefore, I am inclined to believe that the two leaders will hold a personal conversation after all, but the results may not meet the expectations of many optimistic market participants. Everything Trump is doing in 2025 is aimed solely at generating additional profit and dividends. Trump is willing to cut costs at the expense of his own population and "skin every last dollar" from all trade partners in the form of tariffs—tariffs ultimately paid by Americans themselves. The U.S. president does not care where the money comes from, what means are used to obtain it, or who ends up paying. America is losing its global dominance, and China is rapidly closing in. Russia, as another U.S. adversary, also shows no willingness to "dance to Washington's tune." It is enough to recall that in one interview, Trump calls Vladimir Putin a friend, while in another, he urges Brussels to join the U.S. in imposing tariffs on India and China for refusing to end oil and gas purchases from Russia. I am convinced that we are about to witness many more Trump-related developments that will repeatedly shake the entire world. The trade war is not just unresolved—it is intensifying. The world is entering a phase of global confrontation: "everyone against everyone." Even within the European Union, serious disagreements persist on many issues. For example, Germany, France, and other major nations profess their intention to end purchases of Russian energy resources but continue doing so through third-country hubs. Slovakia and Hungary openly reject proposals to buy oil elsewhere. Hungary consistently blocks various forms of aid to Ukraine, yet has no intention of leaving the EU. In essence, even among allies, mutual understanding is scarce. And the number of true allies is dwindling rapidly. Wave Structure for EUR/USD:According to the analysis of EUR/USD, the instrument continues to form an upward segment of the trend. The wave structure still entirely depends on the news background, particularly the decisions made by Trump, as well as the domestic and foreign policy of the new White House administration. The targets of the current segment of the trend could reach the 1.2500 range. At present, a complex corrective wave 4 is forming and approaching completion. The bullish wave structure remains intact. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to consider only long positions. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to the level of 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave formation is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking the form of a complicated three-wave correction, and its length is significantly greater than that of wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed wave within another corrective three-wave pattern, it may soon be completed. If this is confirmed, the upward movement of the instrument within the global wave framework could resume, with initial targets around the 1.3800 and 1.4000 levels.. Core Principles of My Analysis:1.Wave structures should be simple and easy to understand. Complex structures are difficult to trade and are prone to change. 2.If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter the market. 3.One can never have complete certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders. 4.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

To understand the essence of this renewed conflict, it is essential to note that China leads globally in the production of various rare-earth metals and materials, which are widely used in the automotive, aerospace, and technology industries. Previously, China conducted an antitrust investigation against Qualcomm, a U.S. technology firm, and also expressed intentions to impose port fees on American vessels. China, which was previously forced to return to the negotiating table with Trump in an attempt to restore trade blocked by triple-digit tariffs introduced by both sides, continues to push back, refusing to become a second European Union or Japan. It is worth recalling that both of those regions signed trade deals with Trump that were, in reality, highly unfavorable to them. Under those deals, Tokyo and Brussels committed to investing hundreds of billions of dollars into the U.S. economy, without gaining any substantial benefit in return. As we can see, Beijing does not consider it acceptable to blindly follow instructions from the White House. Donald Trump immediately posted on Truth Social, stating that "strange things are happening in China," and that "China is becoming hostile." The statement is ironic, considering that it is Trump himself who has started two trade wars with China. However, wars initiated by Trump are framed as justified, designed to eliminate the unfair treatment of the U.S. by other countries. But if another country imposes restrictions, sanctions, or tariffs, they are automatically considered hostile. It also must be mentioned that a military conflict initiated by Trump—the so-called "peacemaker"—with Venezuela may erupt in the near future. The man who this very week claimed candidacy for a Nobel Peace Prize, and who claimed to have ended seven or eight wars, has now sent U.S. warships to the shores of Venezuela. But of course, that's considered "entirely different." Economists point out that Beijing seeks equal relations with the U.S. and thus aims for reciprocal responses—an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth. It's simply that the trump cards held by Trump and Xi Jinping differ. Each plays the hand they are dealt, and China holds dominance in rare-earth materials. Why wouldn't they play that card if Trump is playing his? Wave Structure for EUR/USD:According to the analysis of EUR/USD, the instrument continues to form an upward segment of the trend. The wave structure still entirely depends on the news background, particularly the decisions made by Trump, as well as the domestic and foreign policy of the new White House administration. The targets of the current segment of the trend could reach the 1.2500 range. At present, a complex corrective wave 4 is forming and approaching completion. The bullish wave structure remains intact. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to consider only long positions. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to the level of 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave formation is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking the form of a complicated three-wave correction, and its length is significantly greater than that of wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed wave within another corrective three-wave pattern, it may soon be completed. If this is confirmed, the upward movement of the instrument within the global wave framework could resume, with initial targets around the 1.3800 and 1.4000 levels.. Core Principles of My Analysis:1.Wave structures should be simple and easy to understand. Complex structures are difficult to trade and are prone to change. 2.If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter the market. 3.One can never have complete certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders. 4.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

It is quite possible that demand for the U.S. dollar would have continued to grow modestly without any strong justification. But on Friday evening, Donald Trump announced on his social media platform, TruthSocial, the introduction of additional tariffs on all imports from China. All market participants know that the trade standoff between China and the U.S. began during Donald Trump's first presidential term. It was then that Washington first imposed tariffs on Chinese imports, sparking a year-and-a-half-long negotiation over a trade deal. Trump began his second term with another trade war—this time targeting the entire world—since it's now hard to find a country on the political map that hasn't faced some form of Trump-imposed punishment. However, many in the market also believed that the goal of Trump's trade war with each country was to secure a trade agreement on terms favorable to him. In simple terms, the scheme was as follows: Trump imposes tariffs, the opposing side gets frightened, negotiations begin, and Trump obtains a trade deal, which, in his view, is better than free trade. The European Union, the United Kingdom, and several other countries followed this path. But I warned that a trade agreement does not guarantee that the U.S. president won't randomly impose more tariffs the next day. In other words, trade deals do not include a clause preventing the introduction of new duties. Trump's mood this week is not good. The conflict between Ukraine and Russia remains unresolved. An effort to pressure Moscow by imposing tariffs against India and China alongside the EU has failed. The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to the Venezuelan opposition leader, not Trump. To top it off, "unfriendly" China decided to restrict its export of rare-earth metals, which pushed Trump over the edge. As a result, Trump's first move on Friday was to announce a 100% tariff increase on all Chinese goods and services. Quite frankly, it's unclear whether negotiations between Beijing and Washington will take place this time—or if Beijing will finally understand that, for Trump, agreements mean nothing. He will continue to play every card he has. The global wildcard remains the same: the vast and wealthy American market, which is highly attractive for cheap Chinese products. Wave Structure for EUR/USD:According to the analysis of EUR/USD, the instrument continues to form an upward segment of the trend. The wave structure still entirely depends on the news background, particularly the decisions made by Trump, as well as the domestic and foreign policy of the new White House administration. The targets of the current segment of the trend could reach the 1.2500 range. At present, a complex corrective wave 4 is forming and approaching completion. The bullish wave structure remains intact. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to consider only long positions. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to the level of 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. Wave Structure for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave formation is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking the form of a complicated three-wave correction, and its length is significantly greater than that of wave 2. As we are currently observing the formation of a presumed wave within another corrective three-wave pattern, it may soon be completed. If this is confirmed, the upward movement of the instrument within the global wave framework could resume, with initial targets around the 1.3800 and 1.4000 levels.. Core Principles of My Analysis: 1.Wave structures should be simple and easy to understand. Complex structures are difficult to trade and are prone to change. 2.If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter the market. 3.One can never have complete certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders. 4.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Binance said it will compensate a group of users affected by Friday’s extreme market swings that caused three major tokens to lose their peg and trigger forced liquidations. The exchange confirmed on Saturday, Oct. 11, that users who held Ethena’s USDe, BNSOL, or WBETH as collateral on its platform between 21:36 and 22:16 UTC on Oct. 10 will receive compensation. During that 40-minute window, prices for those assets briefly diverged from their benchmarks, prompting automatic liquidations. What Triggered the $19 Billion Liquidation Across Global Exchanges? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Binance said the incident was linked to unusual volatility and internal platform issues. Impacted users across Futures, Margin, and Loan products will have their accounts reviewed automatically, with payouts processed within 72 hours. The compensation will match the gap between a trader’s liquidation price and the market price at 00:00 UTC on Oct. 11. Binance will also refund any liquidation fees charged during the event. Users whose cases fall outside this scope can contact customer support for review, though the company clarified that normal trading losses and unrealized gains will not qualify. The move follows what analysts described as one of crypto’s largest liquidation events on record. As per Bloomberg’s report, roughly $19 billion in positions were wiped out across global exchanges within 24 hours, affecting about 1.6 million traders after news of fresh US tariffs rattled markets late Friday. On Binance, USDe momentarily plummeted to a low of about $0.65, then upsurged to indicating that liquidity is extremely weak when volatility is extremely elevated. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 What Steps Is Binance Taking to Prevent Another Liquidation Event? The exchange indicated that it is undertaking a comprehensive review to avoid similar reoccurrences since users still desired more effective protection following one of the most turbulent trade periods in 2025. As a means of preventing such incidents, Binance is modifying its price index calculations and risk parameters. The exchange shall now have redemption prices based on the index weights of BNSOL, WBETH, and USDE, establish a price floor for USDE, and review the risk settings more frequently. In 2023, Binance CEO Richard Teng replaced the co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao and apologized to users of the platform who suffered during the market storm. “I’m truly sorry to everyone who was impacted,” Teng said in a post on X. “We don’t make excuses, we listen, learn, and are committed to doing better.” He made the statement in a post on X, echoing industry concerns over the chain reaction caused by automated liquidations across multiple trading platforms. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Are You Eligible For CZ Crypto Compensation After Mass Liquidation Event? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

The recent crypto market crash stunned investors across the globe, but one analyst saw it coming long before it happened. Bitcoin plunged from above $125,000 to briefly below $102,000, and Ethereum dropped to below $3,800, exactly as predicted by popular market commentator Ash Crypto earlier this month. His October 1 post on X warned of a sharp correction meant to liquidate all the bulls before a major rebound in Q4. Now that the dip has played out exactly as he forecasted, Ash Crypto’s outlook for the coming weeks is a powerful rebound phase. The Crash Prediction That Shook ‘Uptober’ The sell-off that sent shockwaves through the industry is a quick change in sentiment after Bitcoin’s recent all-time high on October 6. Bitcoin’s decline from above $125,000 to below $110,000 caused widespread panic that flowed into other cryptocurrencies, while Ethereum followed with a sharp drop below $3,800. More than $19 billion in leveraged trades were liquidated across different exchanges in under a day, making it one of the largest wipeouts in crypto history. However, the timing of the crash aligned almost perfectly with a projection on the social media platform X by Ash Crypto. On October 1, Ash Crypto outlined what he called a “pump-then-dump setup” designed to trap overconfident bulls. In his post, he warned that early-month gains would bait retail traders into believing PUMPtober was real before the market reversed violently to shake them out. Notably, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin would dip to around $106,000 and Ethereum to $3,800 or lower before rebounding later in the month. According to him, this correction phase would run until mid-October, sometime around the 15th to 20th of October, before transitioning into a powerful recovery in the last ten days of the month. What Comes Next After The Drop? Ash Crypto’s call has proven accurate, especially against the backdrop of widespread ‘Uptober’ optimism that clouded judgment for many crypto traders. However, despite the predicted bearish move, the prediction post also carried a long-term sentiment that aligns with a bullish Uptober. He explained that once market sentiment turns overwhelmingly bearish and traders begin to assume PUMPtober is canceled, short positions will pile up. It is at this point that a reversal will begin in the final ten days of October, leading to what he described as Q4 parabolic candles. Ash Crypto projected Bitcoin will reach between $150,000 and $180,000 by the end of the fourth quarter, while Ethereum will be trading anywhere in the $8,000 to $12,000 range. Following that move, he expects a full-fledged altcoin season that will cause the price of many altcoins to grow 10x to 50x in just a few months. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $114,049, and Ethereum is trading at $4,087. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The Pentagon has moved to acquire up to $1 billion worth of critical minerals as part of an accelerated stockpiling drive aimed at reducing US dependence on China, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing public filings from the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA). According to FT, the Trump administration directed the Defense Department to expand its national stockpile after Beijing tightened export controls on materials crucial to defence and high-tech industries. China dominates global supply chains for many of these metals, including those used in fighter jets, radar systems and smartphones. “They’re definitely looking for more, and they’re doing it in a deliberate and expansive way,” one former US defence official told the newspaper. The $1 billion procurement marks a sharp acceleration from earlier stockpiling efforts, the report said. Countering China Beijing last week announced sweeping new export restrictions on rare earths and related technologies, prompting US President Donald Trump to cancel a planned meeting with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, and to pledge a 100% tariff on Chinese imports. “There is no way that China should be allowed to hold the world ‘captive’,” Trump said on his Truth Social account. Within the US, these restrictions have fueled fears among those reliant on Chinese supply. Currently, China mines more than half of the world’s rare earths and controls over 90% of the minerals’ processing capacity, making it by far the most dominant player in the global supply chain. As such, a stockpile of these minerals would serve as a safeguard against potential supply disruptions, especially during geopolitically sensitive periods. The Pentagon’s broader push is backed by Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBA), which allocates $7.5 billion for critical minerals—$2 billion to expand the national stockpile by 2027, $5 billion for supply chain investments, and $500 million for a Pentagon credit program to spur private projects. Several defence offices are now “flush with cash,” one official told the FT. According to FT, the Pentagon’s new buying activity would involve not only rare earths but also metals not previously mentioned for a national stockpile. Recent filings seen by the paper showed that DLA intends to buy up to $500 million of cobalt, $245 million of antimony from US Antimony, $100 million of tantalum from an undisclosed American supplier, and a combined $45 million of scandium from Rio Tinto and Illinois-based APL Engineered Materials. “These moves show the government is conscious of how critical this stuff is and wants to support whatever domestic capacity they have,” a sector executive told the FT. The DLA, which already stockpiles dozens of metals and alloys valued at $1.3 billion as of 2023, can release them only in wartime or for national defence needs. In another move aimed at countering Chinese dominance, the Trump administration is also considering stockpiling minerals found on the Pacific Ocean seabed, which is rich in nickel, cobalt, copper and manganese, amongst others, FT reported earlier this year. Prices for several key minerals have surged amid tighter Chinese exports. Germanium prices have spiked this year, while antimony trioxide has nearly doubled over the past 12 months. Car makers have also faced shortages of rare earth elements following new Chinese curbs. Significant volumes However, the DLA’s proposed volumes have startled some market participants. Cristina Belda of Argus Media told the FT that requested quantities ,in many cases, exceed the US annual production and import levels. Fastmarkets analyst Solomon Cefai noted that the sought-after volumes of bismuth and indium were “significant” enough to potentially constrain non-China supply. According to the US Geological Survey, domestic consumption of refined indium in 2024 was around 250 tonnes, while the DLA is looking into buying 222 tonnes of indium ingots. The prices of some purchases also surprised the market. Analysts at Jefferies noted that the scandium deal with Rio Tinto—for roughly 6 tonnes of scandium oxide—was priced “higher than market expectations.” For antimony, the Pentagon stockpile would be “sufficient for industrial base mobilization in a national emergency” and enable the company to continue producing in what was a “volatile” sector, FT said. For instance, the agency is considering 3,000 tonnes of antimony, compared with total US consumption of 24,000 tonnes estimated by USGS.

The crypto market has erased more than $19.5 billion in leveraged positions in the past 24 hours, making it the most chaotic 24-hour period in crypto history. This crash, which saw 1.6 million traders forced out of positions, was caused by sudden US tariff announcements on China and amplified by risky leverage across exchanges. Bitcoin alone witnessed a $20,000 daily swing and erased $380 billion in market capitalization in a single day. This liquidation surpassed all previous records by nearly tenfold, surpassing records set during the FTX collapse and the March 2020 crash. Liquidations Ripple Through Entire Crypto Market The most recent crypto market crash took many crypto investors by surprise. Notably, data shared by The Kobeissi Letter on the social media platform X revealed that a total of $19.5 billion was liquidated between October 10 and 11, 2025, over nine times larger than any prior event. To put that into context, the February 2025 liquidation event saw only $2.2 billion erased, while the May 2021 crash cleared $1.2 billion. Data across major exchanges confirmed that the sell-off was heavily one-sided. Out of the $19.38 billion in total liquidations, $16.7 billion came from long positions, which is a 6.7-to-1 ratio compared to shorts. Nearly every exchange, from Binance to Bybit, saw over 90% of liquidations hitting longs, with Hyperliquid alone recording $10.3 billion. Crypto Exchange Liquidations. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X This quick downturn is quite notable, considering the crypto market’s greed index had climbed above 60 when Bitcoin’s price action broke above $126,000 for the first time. Crypto Fear and Greed Index. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X What Caused The Crash? The reason behind the crash can be attributed to a mix of extended market corrections following Bitcoin’s all-time high and rising tensions over new US tariffs on China. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the selloff unfolded through a series of perfectly timed events that tied geopolitical shocks to fragile market sentiment. At 9:40 AM ET, some large Bitcoin holders began selling off mysteriously, more than an hour before former U.S. President Donald Trump posted about a massive China tariff threat at 10:57 AM. Later in the day, at 4:30 PM, a large whale opened multi-million-dollar shorts, seemingly anticipating the coming drop. Just 20 minutes later, Trump officially announced a 100% tariff on China, and this delivered the final blow to bullish sentiment. Timeline Of Events. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X Trump’s tariff post dropped late on a Friday after US markets had closed, but the crypto market was wide open. As such, crypto prices fell into a vacuum as volume spiked, creating the perfect setup for one of the fastest collapses in crypto history. By 5:20 PM, total liquidations had reached $19.5 billion, and the whale closed positions for a $192 million profit. Despite the carnage, The Kobeissi Letter noted that this event was technical rather than fundamental. The crash is a necessary reset that does not have long-term implications. A trade deal between the US and China would put an end to the uncertainty, and according to the team, crypto remains strong. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X At the time of writing, Bitcoin has recovered a bit from its plunge and is now trading at $111,790. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Tokyo Japanese Politics Tokyo Japanese Politics The long-time junior coalition partner Komeito indicating it will leave the coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). It has thrown Japanese politics and prospects for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s next prime minister into a state of flux. How this plays out could have far-reaching political, legislative, and market implications for Japan. Immediate Political Impacts Loss of Majority in the Diet The LDP–Komeito coalition has governed Japan almost continuously since 1999. Without Komeito’s support, the LDP would lose its majority in both houses of the Diet. It will be creating a major obstacle to confirming a new prime minister and passing key legislation. Takaichi Faces New Challenges Without Komeito’s backing, Sanae Takaichi may struggle to gather enough votes to become prime minister. She would likely need support from opposition or smaller parties to form a new government, a difficult task given Japan’s fragmented political landscape. Even if successful, building a stable coalition that shares her policy agenda, including support for elements of Abenomics, may prove challenging. Legislative Challenges Ahead Difficulty Passing Laws Without Komeito, the LDP could find itself leading a minority government, forcing it to negotiate and compromise with smaller or opposition parties. This would make it harder to advance legislation quickly, while giving opposition parties greater leverage to amend or delay government proposals. Market and Economic Implications Rising Political Risk Premiums Financial markets typically dislike political uncertainty, and Japan is no exception. The sudden breakup of the ruling coalition could trigger volatility in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields and the yen (USDJPY) as investors price in higher political risk and uncertainty over fiscal discipline. Fiscal Discipline Under Pressure With a divided government, it may be difficult to pass structural reforms or fiscal restraint measures. As a result, fiscal stimulus could once again become the government’s go-to strategy, an approach that Takaichi has already signaled as part of her economic agenda. Monetary Policy Dilemma If fiscal stimulus expands without moderation from Komeito, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could face added complications. While the BoJ is legally independent, it often coordinates policy with the government. A large fiscal package could challenge the BoJ’s efforts to balance economic growth with its 2% inflation target, especially after recent hints of a shift toward tighter policy. Is the Bank of Japan Truly Independent? The Takaichi Era May Put That to the Test Tokyo Japanese Politics 10 year JGB yield (one year) Sourcxe: Investing.com Five Possible Scenarios New Coalition Without Komeito >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>The LDP could seek a partnership with smaller parties such as the Democratic Party for the People (DPP) to regain a majority. 2. Minority Government >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>If Takaichi manages to become prime minister, the LDP might attempt to govern without a coalition, relying on issue-by-issue support from other parties. 3. Snap Elections >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Prolonged gridlock could lead to a snap election, with the LDP hoping to secure a fresh mandate and restore political stability. 4.Revised Coalition Deal The most market-friendly outcome would be Komeito rejoining the coalition under new terms, signaling a return to moderate fiscal policy. 5. Long shot that opposition parties band together to form a government without the LDP Tokyo Japanese Politics Uncertainty Rules How Japan’s political landscape evolves from here will shape monetary policy, fiscal priorities, and market sentiment in the months ahead. If Takaichi forms a minority government, markets will focus on whether she can restrain fiscal spending or feel compelled to pursue aggressive stimulus instead. This political upheaval also comes at a time when Japan faces external pressures, including U.S. tariffs under President Trump’s administration, and the potential for repatriation flows back to Japan during global uncertainty. One thing is certain: Komeito’s exit has injected fresh volatility into Japan’s political and financial outlook. Tokyo Japanese Politics Asahi Shimbun English The post Komeito’s Exit From LDP Coalition Throws Japan Into Political and Market Uncertainty appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

A crypto selloff triggered by macro tensions wiped out $19.37 billion in leveraged trades in just 24 hours. However, now that the storm has passed and the chips have fallen where they did, let’s look at how the two biggest cryptocurrencies are faring at the moment. But first, a precursor. On 10 October, 2025, US President Trump announced his trade war against China in a response to China restricting rate earth mineral exports. (Source: CoinGecko) He said, “Based on the fact that China has taken this unprecedented position, and speaking only for the U.S.A., and not other Nations who were similarly threatened, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner, depending on any further actions or changes taken by China), the United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any Tariff that they are currently paying.” EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 The post Can BTC And ETH Rebound After A $19B Liquidation Storm? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

As an aftermath of the October 10 market crash, where Bitcoin’s price reached levels as low as $101,500, the market is exhibiting a recognizable bearish on-chain structure. While the selling momentum seems to be slowing down, giving a sliver of hope to potential market participants, recent on-chain analysis seems to point towards caution as the more correct sentiment to have in the short term. Realized Profits Climb As High As $2.25 Billion In an October 11 post on social media platform X, technical and on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a lot of Bitcoin investors might still be taking profits from their last buys. In the post on X, Darkfost cited results obtained from the Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD] 7 Day MA indicator. This metric keeps tabs on the average daily difference between the total amount of realized profits and losses of transactions over the past seven days. For context, realized profits refer to the total amount in USD of Bitcoin sold at prices higher than the levels of purchase, showing that investors are selling in the green. On the other hand, realized losses reflect the total Dollar worth of Bitcoin sold below their cost of purchase. The analyst put it out that the 7-day moving average of the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric recently reached a peak of $2.25 billion, the fourth-highest level seen in the current market cycle. Meanwhile, the metric’s weekly average holds well above $1.6 billion, indicating that profit-taking is still at a high level. Darkfost noted that if the Bitcoin market continues to witness this magnitude of profit-taking, it might be a while before the premier cryptocurrency switches from its current bearish sentiment to a more optimistic one. $99,000-$104,000 May Be The Next Price Support In another post on X, cryptocurrency pundit Ted Pillows pointed out the $99,000-$104,000 region as the next possible support if the Bitcoin price were to keep sliding. According to the analyst’s post on X, this price range has a decent amount of spot bids sitting within it, enough to act as a support zone to keep the Bitcoin price afloat. The next market trajectory thus seems to depend on whether investor profit-taking would remain high. In the scenario where it does, the $99,000-$104,000 price range might be the next zone to keep an eye out for. In an upside scenario, Pillows explained that the $119,000 price level and other zones above hold most of the sell orders currently in the market. As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth approximately $111,772, reflecting an over 1% gain in the past 24 hours.

Uh, hm, I haven’t been keeping up and just noticed on CoinGecko that Zora crypto and Zcash are up 300 and 400 percent, respectively over the last few months. What was the news I missed? Should I be getting more? If you’re asking these questions, then this is the article for you: the Weekly Roundup. The upshot is that Crypto Twitter misses everything; Zora and Zcash weren’t discussed there or really anywhere! Here’s what you need to know about the two top tokens trending this week: #1: Is Zora Crypto The New TikTok? Creator Model Draws Major Capital (Source: CoinGecko) The ZORA token, launched in April 2025, remained relatively dormant until July, when its “creator token” ecosystem experienced a surge in popularity. The platform now allows artists and communities to mint, trade, and monetize their digital work through custom tokens, blending the meme economy with real creative utility. Zora’s Q3 revenue reached $5.57 million and has a bridged TVL of $14 million, according to DeFi Llama. “By integrating with Robinhood and Coinbase, Zora is bridging Web3 creators with traditional finance,” a company spokesperson said. (Source: Zora Income Statement – DeFiLlama) 99Bitcoins analysts noted that 50% of trading fees are redistributed to creators, giving the platform a sustainability model rarely seen in token ecosystems. The bigger idea is payroll. If Zora’s system takes off, teams could pay contractors and creators with performance-linked tokens rather than static salaries. Everything settles on-chain, slashing the usual overhead of payroll system. It’s pretty cool! #2: Zcash, Litecoin, and Others Ride Market Turbulence (Source: TradingView) Elsewhere, legacy altcoins showed surprising resilience. Zcash (ZEC) climbed above $225, extending its three-week rally to +35% despite a broader market pullback. Litecoin (LTC) also showed renewed network growth. According to Glassnode, over $630 million in liquidations hit the crypto market this week as leveraged longs unwound, sending Bitcoin (BTC) briefly below $122,000 before rebounding. Can Zcash (ZEC) Hit $1,000 Again? Zcash is making a run to be a Bitcoin minime. Litecoin, but with actual privacy! Its fundamentals, stronger privacy adoption, better UX through Zashi, and institutional curiosity, are all reason for it to continue higher. 99Bitcoins analysts think $300-$400 is the near-term ceiling, though a true privacy comeback could push much higher. Like Zora’s rise, Zcash’s rebound hints at a market turning pragmatic: substance over speculation. Altcoin season seems right around the corner. EXPLORE: Binance Japan Banks On PayPay’s Network Effect For Smoother Crypto Payments Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The upshot is that Crypto Twitter misses everything; Zora Crypto and Zcash weren’t discussed there or really anywhere until now. Like Zora’s rise, Zcash’s rebound hints at a market turning pragmatic: substance over speculation. Altcoin season seems right around the corner. The post Weekly Roundup: What Is Zora Crypto? And Did ZEC Crypto Do a 10x Last Month WTF? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

After months of debate, Kenya’s parliament has passed the country’s first comprehensive crypto legislation. VASP will be key in driving adoption and creating a regulatory framework for crypto businesses in the country. In Uganda, an initiative to launch the country’s first Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is going into effect. CBDC continues to lose momentum as stablecoins, like the USDC and USDT, take over Meanwhile, approximately 650,000 crypto merchants in South Africa can now accept Bitcoin payments following the integration of the Lightning Network (LN). The LN scales the Bitcoin mainnet, enabling low-fee transactions. Presently, the Bitcoin Lightning Network has a capacity of over $471M worth of BTC. (Source: 1ml) DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Other than the Floki crypto funding of the WWFA in Malawi, let’s look at stories making continental headlines this week: Kenya Crypto News: Parliament Passes VASP Bill The Kenyan parliament has passed the Virtual Asset Providers Bill (VASP), which is the country’s first comprehensive crypto legislation. This bill creates a licensing and supervisory framework for crypto service providers in the country. One of the most critical introductions is the multi-agency regulation of the crypto sector. Kenya’s Central Bank and the Communications Authority of Kenya have a role rather than having a single regulator for the sector. One notable requirement for service providers is having a physical office in the country and at least three natural persons on their board of directors. These measures ensure Kenya better complies with international requirements in AML/KYC. Binance-linked lobby group, Virtual Assets Chamber of Commerce, played a role in changes to the bill. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Uganda Crypto News: Central Bank Launches CBDC Pilot Uganda has launched a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) pilot programme. This CBDC will entail a digital Ugandan shilling backed by treasury bonds and will run on a blockchain. It will feature a $5.5Bn real-world asset tokenization project led by Global Settlement Network (GSN) and Diacente Group. GSN co-founder Ryan Kirkley explained the initiative as follows: “We’re building infrastructure that goes beyond theory — a programmable economy grounded in real assets, regulatory collaboration, and mass accessibility,” Some target assets for the new portfolio are food production, mining, renewable energy, and trade. Uganda has a broad range of possible tokenized assets, and this project intends to leverage these possibilities. However, it is still unclear whether the country’s government will enact any regulatory changes to promote the success of this initiative. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 South Africa Crypto News: Bitcoin Lightning Network Users Reach 650,000 South African merchant crypto acceptance has soared to 650,000 after Scan to Go integrated the Lightning Network for Bitcoin payments. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Presently, the Africa’s economic powerhouse already boasts the best numbers on the continent in crypto payments, and this move raises that number even higher. The total number of merchants now accepting crypto payments is approximately 650,000. This increased rate is a strong representation of South African business. Crypto continues to achieve impressive integration into the real economy and will continue to grow if current trends hold. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Africa crypto news: Kenya VASP, Uganda CBDC Kenya crypto news: VASP bill enacted Uganda crypto news: Central bank launches CBDC pilot South Africa crypto news: Over 650,000 merchants use the Bitcoin Lightning Network The post Africa Crypto News Week in Review: Kenya Passes VASP Bill, Uganda CBDC Pilot, Bitcoin Lightning Network Adoption in South Africa appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bitcoin prices are consolidating around $111,000 following the heavy market losses on October 10, due to a trade war between the US and China. The asset’s price is presently down by 9.45% on its weekly chart and also 12.16% away from its all-time high amidst this corrective phase. Bitcoin Logs First Negative Apparent Demand Flip Since July In an X post on October 11, popular market analyst Ali Martinez shares on-chain data that shows that Bitcoin’s apparent demand has recently flipped into negative territory for the first time in three months, suggesting a short-term cooling in investors’ appetite. For context, the apparent demand measures the net amount of Bitcoin being accumulated by active holders. In simpler terms, it reflects how much of the Bitcoin supply is being reactivated or moved relative to how much is newly created. A positive reading generally indicates growing market demand and accumulation, while a negative value suggests reduced appetite or selling pressure. Data from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant shows that as of October 8, Bitcoin’s 30-day apparent demand has dropped to -13,707 BTC. This development marks the first negative reading since July, when the metric last turned red before rebounding strongly alongside Bitcoin’s summer rally. Throughout August and September, Bitcoin’s apparent demand remained firmly positive, even as prices moved between $108,000 and $122,000, suggesting steady accumulation. However, the latest data shows a sharp reversal. The drop into negative territory could mean that long-term holders have started realizing profits or that buying momentum has temporarily slowed as traders assess the macro environment. Interestingly, the macro environment has also become a growing concern for investors, as the United States and China appear poised for a renewed tariff standoff. Notably, US President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports, following China’s proposal to introduce a sweeping export tax on several key goods. Given the historical reaction of market price to tariff news seen during the early days of Trump’s administration, investor sentiment may remain subdued if this trade showdown persists, with many likely adopting a cautious stance until a clearer policy direction emerges. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $111,800, reflecting a 0.47% decline over the past 24 hours. On a monthly basis, the asset is down 3.06%, underscoring the intensity of the current corrective phase in the market. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Taps IMB Zone – What This Means And Where The Price Is Headed

XRP has been through a rollercoaster over the past few days, tumbling in a crash alongside the rest of the crypto market. The crash drove XRP’s price to a flash low of $1.64 before it recovered to $2.36, with volumes surging 164% above the 30-day average. This flash crash created a notable downside wick on XRP’s price chart, which, according to a technical analyst, is reminiscent of a 2017 price structure that suggests that the cryptocurrency is about to enter into a massive rally. XRP 2017 And 2025 Setup Shows Striking Similarities XRP’s recent flash crash has grabbed the attention of a crypto analyst known as ChartNerd on the social media platform X. The analyst drew parallels between XRP’s 2017 price structure and its current 2025 setup. The post included two charts that show similar pre-euphoria wicks that previously led to XRP’s most explosive bull run in 2017. Back in 2017, XRP’s price action saw a sharp pre-euphoria wick to the downside that wiped out 58% of its value. This wipeout was very short, however, as the coin eventually went on a 5,361% surge to new all-time highs. The rally played out over months and saw the XRP price go from around $0.007 to its then all-time high of $3.40 in 2018. It would seem the most recent price crash has led to the creation of a downside wick that mirrors the 2017 one exactly. After the marketwide crash, the token rebounded from lows around $1.60 to trade above $2.30, pointing to a possible recovery phase that might resemble the start of its 2017 exponential rise. XRP 2017 vs. XRP 2025. Source: @ChartNerdTA on X What Does This Mean For XRP? The similarity between 2017 and the current setup provides a bullish outlook for the altcoin within a landscape that’s currently full of bearish momentum. The analyst noted that the $2.40 and $2.00 zones now act as XRP’s important support lifeline, and holding this range could pave the way for an upward trajectory to new price highs. If XRP repeats the 2017 rally, the price target based on current price levels would be around $13.5. Replicating such a move in 2025 would require more inflows than the 2017 rally. These inflows can only come through participation from institutional investors, which will be slowly rebuilding after recent marketwide volatility. An important factor that could fast-track this process is the approval and launch of Spot XRP ETFs. The approval of such ETFs has already been widely speculated within the XRP community, and their introduction will undoubtedly open up the cryptocurrency to institutional investors. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.38, down by 22% in a seven-day timeframe. If it follows the 2017 playout to the core, XRP might spend some weeks consolidating around its current price levels before it embarks on this projected rally. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

In our Crypto Asia News roundup for the week, we see how Asia’s crypto landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. There is now state-backed innovation happening, strategic partnerships are being made and there is a rising institutional momentum at play. From CBDCs to AI-powered platforms and payment integrations, there is something new happening everyday. Here’s are the big hitters from this week. Crypto News Asia: India Doubles Down On CBDCs India is doubling down on its CBDC program and has maintained its tough stance on private cryptocurrencies. According to a local publication, Union Minister Piyush Goyal announced that the Indian government will intensify its efforts around the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Digital Rupee. He cited benefits like faster transactions, reduced paper usage and enhanced traceability for the government’s push for CBDCs in the country. It also aligns with Japan’s broader push to become a regional crypto leader, especially as institutional interest and regulatory clarity improve. EXPORE: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways India intensifies CBDC rollout, maintaining high taxes on private cryptocurrencies China Financial Leasing raises $11M to build a Crypto-AI investment platform PayPay acquires 40% of Binance Japan to expand crypto payments across Japan The post This Week In Crypto Asia: India Pushes CBDC, China Bets on AI, Japan Eyes Payments Boom appeared first on 99Bitcoins.