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  2. After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days. He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 days. According to CryptoBirb, this final stage is characterized by a “textbook shakeout of weak hands,” a common pattern observed before market peaks. CryptoBirb emphasized that October 24 serves as a critical target date, just nine days away, and labeled the recent crash as “right on schedule.” He further explained that the market is deep within the peak zone, with 543 days elapsing since the last Bitcoin Halving, exceeding the historical peak window of 518 to 580 days. The sentiment in the market also appears to have shifted dramatically, with the Fear & Greed Index plummeting from 71 to 38, indicating a reset from fear to euphoria. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also dropped from 67 to 47, suggesting that this emotional washout may create an ideal launchpad for a final euphoric surge. However, technical indicators show mixed signals: while the Average True Range (ATR) has expanded to 4,040, indicating higher volatility, the RSI’s position at 47 suggests a reset momentum. What On-Chain Metrics Suggest Institutional investors have also begun to shift their strategies, as evidenced by recent Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) flows, which reversed from $627 million in inflows to $4.5 million in outflows. Ethereum ETF outflows reached $174.9 million, indicating that smart money is taking profits before retail investors potentially fear of missing out (FOMO) in. CryptoBirb asserts that this behavior aligns with a classic distribution-to-accumulation transition. On-chain metrics reflect a cooling market, with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) dropping to 0.522 from 0.556, and the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) declining to 2.15 from 2.45. These profit-taking actions may be creating the necessary space for a final euphoric push. When examining October’s performance, Bitcoin is down 2.09% month-to-date, contrasting sharply with its historical average of a 19.78% increase. This underperformance could actually be a bullish sign, suggesting that a significant move may still be on the horizon in the final weeks of the month. In summary, the current cycle appears to be 99.3% complete. It has already spent 25 days in the peak zone and experienced a reset in sentiment and institutional distribution, as well as weak performance in October. However, if the analyst’s thesis proves right, this blending could turn into a perfect storm for a final surge before entering a new crypto winter. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
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  4. According to market charts and comments from well-known traders, XRP’s price action is drawing fresh attention as some investors say it could challenge Ethereum’s spot in the rankings. A decade-long chart was shared that traces moves from 2013 through 2025, and one commentator went as far as to call the next leg a potential “Ethereum killer.” That claim has reignited debate across crypto circles. Technical Patterns Signal Repeats Crypto analyst Peter Brandt pointed to a repeating set of shapes on XRP’s chart — symmetrical triangles and long consolidations that ended in sharp rallies. The timeline covers a decade and breaks down into three phases. The first run, from 2013 to 2017, ended with an outsized surge that exceeded 70,000%. The second phase, roughly 2018 to 2024, produced a descending formation and then a dramatic breakout near the end of 2024, when price gains were about 600%. Now, price is being held inside a narrow range after a recent rejection at $3.66, with traders watching a band roughly between $2.60 and $2.80 for signs of a move. Community Voice Meets Hard Math Another crypto expert, Alex Cobb, comments that the next leg could topple Ethereum captured social media attention. “The next leg up on XRP will be the Ethereum killer,” he said. But market data shows a big gap. XRP’s market cap sits near $147 billion while Ethereum’s is about $480 billion. At a current XRP price of $2.49, a rise of over 230% would be needed for XRP to cross $8 and overtake Ethereum, assuming ETH stays flat. That path is made steeper if Ether rallies again; in August it hit an all-time high of $4,950 after climbing 239% from April lows of $1,385. Market Cap Gap Remains Large History gives headlines, yet it is not proof that patterns will repeat. XRP did briefly become the second-largest cryptocurrency in 2018, which feeds today’s hopes. Still, some technical analysts have publicly softened earlier bullish calls, urging caution and recommending investors hold both tokens rather than expect a flip. Market behavior is shaped by many moving parts — money flows, macro events, and network updates — none of which are guaranteed to follow past scripts. Sentiment And Structure Social momentum can push price quickly, and chart breaks can trigger big moves when liquidity is thin. At the same time, market caps are driven by supply and demand across many exchanges and large holders. A pattern that looks clean on a long-term chart may be paused by regulatory headlines, changing investor appetite, or simply by a stronger rally in the rival asset. Featured image from PBR Australia, chart from TradingView
  5. GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair spent most of the day in low-volatility consolidation but eventually initiated an entirely logical upward movement by evening. As previously stated, the current fundamental and macroeconomic background does not favor the U.S. dollar, and the recent period of dollar strength has appeared illogical. Both major currency pairs recently broke above their trendlines, shifting short-term sentiment to bullish. On Wednesday, neither the UK nor the U.S. released any important or even notable economic events, making the pound's rise even more telling. The fact that the market began buying GBP/USD without any accompanying news suggests that conditions are ripening for a new leg of the 2025 uptrend. From a technical perspective, the price now needs to confidently break above the Senkou Span B line, which should not pose major difficulty. From there, the British pound could set a course toward yearly and multi-year highs—and this could happen even without fresh dollar-negative news, given the abundant factors already weighing on USD. On the 5-minute chart, several valid trade signals formed throughout the day. During the European session, the price bounced off the 1.3369–1.3377 zone and reached the Kijun-sen line during the U.S. session. That bounce, with minimal slippage, provided a long entry opportunity. Just one hour later, the pair broke through the 1.3369–1.3377 zone. Those long positions could have been closed manually that evening in profit, or kept open with a Stop Loss moved to breakeven. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report Commitments of Traders (COT) reports on the British pound show that commercial traders' sentiment has fluctuated frequently in recent years. The red and blue lines—representing net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders—often cross each other and currently hover close to the zero line, indicating nearly balanced long and short positioning. The U.S. dollar is continuing to weaken due to Donald Trump's policies. Consequently, market makers' interest in the pound is less relevant at the moment. The trade war is likely to persist in one form or another for a long time. The Fed is expected to continue cutting rates over the next year. Thus, demand for the dollar is fundamentally declining. According to the latest COT report, non-commercial traders opened 3,700 long positions and closed 900 shorts, increasing their net position by 4,600 contracts. The British pound has risen strongly in 2025, mainly due to the impact of Trump's policy. Once that influence is removed, the dollar may rebound—but when that will happen remains unknown. Regardless of whether pound net positioning rises or falls, dollar positioning is weakening—and at a quicker pace. GBP/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair has completed its previous downtrend and initiated a fresh rally. The U.S. dollar still lacks any fundamental support for a sustained strengthening, which is why we expect the pair to retest the highs of 2025 eventually. Admittedly, the daily chart has remained rangebound in recent months, but that could change quickly. For now, the ongoing escalation of Trump's trade conflict, combined with a dovish Federal Reserve, forms a "toxic cocktail" for the dollar. On October 16, we highlight the following important levels: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3307, 1.3369-1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3533-1.3548, 1.3584, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. The Senkou Span B (1.3402) and Kijun-sen (1.3321) lines can also be sources of signals. Place a Stop Loss at breakeven after a 20-pip favorable price move. Note that Ichimoku lines may shift throughout the day. In the UK, GDP and industrial production data for August will be published today, though they are unlikely to carry major market weight. Quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year GDP data are typically more relevant. Moreover, the market has not been reacting strongly to production figures recently. Trading Recommendations: Today, traders can look to trade within the following zones: 1.3369–1.33771.3420Senkou Span B lineThere are numerous key levels to work with, while high-impact events remain limited. However, the British pound has begun a new upward move, and in the short term, we expect this rally to continue. Chart Explanations:Thick red lines – key support/resistance levels; potential price targets, not trade signals by themselvesKijun-sen and Senkou Span B – Ichimoku lines transferred from the 4-hour to the 1-hour chart; considered strong technical markersThin red lines – local highs/lows that previously caused reversals; can be used for entry/exit pointsYellow lines – trendlines, channels, and other technical formationsIndicator 1 on COT charts – size of the net position for trader categoriesThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  6. EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair once again traded in a very lackluster fashion. The only notable event of the day was the Eurozone industrial production report, which—although still weak—came in slightly better than the most pessimistic market forecasts. As a result, the euro experienced a modest uptick. However, overall, we saw yet another day of extremely low volatility. In recent sessions, price action resembles a flat movement on both intraday and daily timeframes. It almost feels as though U.S. traders, along with government institutions shut down by the ongoing budget deadlock, have simply gone on vacation. Technically, the most recent downtrend has been invalidated, as the trendline has been broken. Even in the short term, EUR/USD continues to show technical potential for further gains. The Kijun-sen line has also been breached, suggesting a move toward the Senkou Span B line. At present, however, the Senkou Span B is advancing rapidly and may soon meet the price. On the 5-minute chart, two signals were generated on Wednesday. The first came overnight with a breakout above the 1.1604–1.1615 range, and the second came during the U.S. trading session with a bounce from that same zone. In both cases, the upward movement was modest—only 10 to 20 pips—making it difficult to extract meaningful profits in such low-volatility conditions. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report The latest COT report is dated September 23. As shown in the accompanying illustration, non-commercial traders (major market participants) have maintained a net long position in the euro for some time. Bears barely gained control at the end of 2024, only to lose it quickly. Since Donald Trump returned to the presidency, only the U.S. dollar has declined in value. Although we can't say with certainty that the dollar's drop will continue, current global developments suggest this is the likely scenario. There are still very few fundamental reasons to support the U.S. currency, while many downside factors remain. While the long-term downtrend in EUR/USD is not fully broken, the past 17 years of historical movement matter less now. Once Trump ends his trade wars—if he ever does—the dollar might recover. But recent events suggest the conflict will persist. Additionally, there's the rising risk of the Federal Reserve losing its independence, which could further undermine dollar strength. During the latest reporting week, non-commercial long positions decreased by 800 contracts, while shorts increased by 2,600. As a result, the net position declined by 3,400 contracts. EUR/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD pair likely completed its most recent downward correction last week. The trendline has been breached, the Kijun-sen line has been overcome, and the 1.1604–1.1615 zone has been cleared. As such, there is room for growth toward the Senkou Span B line. We believe the euro is long overdue for a recovery, though the market has been reluctant to price it in—despite ample justification. On October 16, we highlight the following levels for trading: 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604-1.1615, 1.1657-1.1666, 1.1750-1.1760, 1.1846-1.1857, 1.1922, 1.1971-1.1988, as well as the Senkou Span B (1.1661) and Kijun-sen (1.1595) lines. Keep in mind that Ichimoku lines can shift during the day, so traders should adjust accordingly when identifying valid signals. Remember to use a breakeven Stop Loss once the price moves 15 pips in your favor to safeguard against potential losses in case of false breakouts. On Thursday, ECB President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to speak—her tenth appearance in just over two weeks. Her message remains consistent: the ECB has no plans to change its policy stance in the near future. Macroeconomic calendars in the U.S. are empty for the day. Trading Recommendations: On Thursday, traders can continue working with the 1.1604–1.1615 zone. A bounce from this area can justify long entries targeting 1.1657–1.1666A break below this zone and the Kijun-sen line would validate short positions targeting 1.1534Chart Explanations: Thick red lines – key support/resistance levels; potential price targets, not trade signals by themselvesKijun-sen and Senkou Span B – Ichimoku lines transferred from the 4-hour to the 1-hour chart; considered strong technical markersThin red lines – local highs/lows that previously caused reversals; can be used for entry/exit pointsYellow lines – trendlines, channels, and other technical formationsIndicator 1 on COT charts – size of the net position for trader categoriesThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  7. Macroeconomic Report Review: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday. The most noteworthy will come from the United Kingdom, although even these are not expected to have a major impact. In roughly an hour, the UK will release data on industrial production and gross domestic product. However, the GDP figure will be monthly rather than quarterly. Markets tend to place more weight on quarterly and annual data. As for industrial production, it is not seen as a top-tier indicator among traders. Nevertheless, both reports could trigger a market reaction simply because no other significant data is scheduled for the day. In the Eurozone and the United States, no important macroeconomic reports are expected. Fundamental Event Review: A large number of fundamental events are scheduled for Thursday, but few of them are likely to attract meaningful attention from market participants. In Europe, speeches are expected from ECB President Christine Lagarde and Chief Economist Philip Lane. In the U.S., several FOMC members will speak, including Thomas Barkin, Michael Barr, Steven Mirran, Christopher Waller, and Michelle Bowman, among others. As noted in earlier reviews, both Lagarde and Powell have spoken frequently in recent weeks. As a result, the market has a relatively clear understanding of what to expect from both central banks in the near term. The ECB has no plans to lower rates, as there is presently no reason to do so, while the Fed is expected to continue easing monetary policy due to persistent weakness in the U.S. labor market. General Conclusions: During the second-to-last trading day of the week, both currency pairs may continue their upward movements, having broken above trendlines on their respective charts. The euro has established a favorable trading zone at 1.1655–1.1666, while the British pound has a similar range at 1.3413–1.3421. From these areas, both long and short positions can be considered depending on how the price behaves near these levels. Core Rules of the Trading System:Signal strength is judged by the time required for signal formation (bounce or breakout). The quicker the formation, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades were opened at a level, any subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.In flat markets, currency pairs may produce numerous false signals or none at all. It's best to stop trading at the first signs of a flat.Trades should be opened during the European session through the midpoint of the U.S. session. All trades should be manually closed afterward.On the hourly chart, MACD signals should only be used when good volatility and a clear trend are confirmed with a trendline or channel.If two levels are too close to each other (within 5 to 20 pips), they should be considered a support/resistance zone.After 15-20 pips of movement in the correct direction, set the Stop Loss at breakeven.Chart Annotations:Support/resistance levels: key targets for opening buy/sell trades. Take Profit levels can also be set near them.Red lines: trendlines or channels indicating the current trend and preferred trade direction.MACD (14,22,3): histogram and signal line, used as an auxiliary signal generator.Important Note: Key speeches and economic reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly affect currency pair movements. During such events, trade with extreme caution or exit the market to avoid sudden reversals against the prior trend. Reminder for Beginners: No trade is guaranteed to be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex trading is to develop a clear strategy and apply sound money management principles. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  8. Trade Review for Wednesday:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart The GBP/USD pair rose confidently throughout Wednesday, which is a very positive signal. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly pointed to the illogical nature of the pair's decline, so this latest rise appears to be a "debt repaid" to the British currency. While there have indeed been negative headlines for the pound in recent weeks, they pale in comparison to the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop weighing on the U.S. dollar. Yesterday, there were no significant events or economic releases in either the UK or the U.S. that could justify a rise in GBP/USD. This move is even more noteworthy, as it strongly suggests that the long-term bullish trend of 2025 is resuming. On the daily timeframe, the price has been consolidating in a range for months. Every flat market eventually ends, and there are still no solid reasons to expect sustained dollar strength in the medium term. 5-Minute GBP/USD Chart On the 5-minute chart, a single valid trade signal was formed on Wednesday, albeit with a minor deviation. During the U.S. trading session, the price bounced off the 1.3329–1.3331 area and then climbed toward 1.3413–1.3421. This provided beginner traders with one potential long trade, which would have resulted in profit, even if closed manually by the end of the session. How to Trade on Thursday: On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair has finally begun forming a new upward trend, which could mark the beginning of a new phase in the global bullish movement. As previously mentioned, there are no convincing reasons for a prolonged U.S. dollar rally; thus, the medium-term outlook remains bullish for the pound. Donald Trump's resurgence in tariff-related actions over recent weeks will likely discourage investors from holding the dollar. On Thursday, GBP/USD may attempt to extend its upward movement, as market sentiment has turned bullish. A confirmed breakout above the 1.3413–1.3421 area would allow traders to open long positions targeting 1.3466–1.3475. Conversely, if the price fails to hold above this zone and falls back beneath it, a corrective pullback could begin within the context of the new trend. On the 5-minute TF, you can now trade at levels 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3203-1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329-1.3331, 1.3413-1.3421, 1.3466-1.3475, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3574-1.3590, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. Note that UK GDP and industrial production data will be published on Thursday. These are relatively low-impact releases in the current context, but given the lack of other major drivers, the market may still react moderately to these figures. Core Rules of the Trading System:Signal strength is judged by the time required for signal formation (bounce or breakout). The quicker the formation, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades were opened at a level, any subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.In flat markets, currency pairs may produce numerous false signals or none at all. It's best to stop trading at the first signs of a flat.Trades should be opened during the European session through the midpoint of the U.S. session. All trades should be manually closed afterward.On the hourly chart, MACD signals should only be used when good volatility and a clear trend are confirmed with a trendline or channel.If two levels are too close to each other (within 5 to 20 pips), they should be considered a support/resistance zone.After 20 pips of movement in the correct direction, set the Stop Loss at breakeven.Chart Annotations:Support/resistance levels: key targets for opening buy/sell trades. Take Profit levels can also be set near them.Red lines: trendlines or channels indicating the current trend and preferred trade direction.MACD (14,22,3): histogram and signal line, used as an auxiliary signal generator.Important Note: Key speeches and economic reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly affect currency pair movements. During such events, trade with extreme caution or exit the market to avoid sudden reversals against the prior trend. Reminder for Beginners: No trade is guaranteed to be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex trading is to develop a clear strategy and apply sound money management principles. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  9. Trade Review for Wednesday: 1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement. Among notable events that day were the ongoing deterioration in U.S.–China relations and the Eurozone's industrial production report, which, despite coming in weak, still exceeded expectations—possibly contributing to minor euro strength. Overall, the market finally began buying the euro, which is a positive development. The descending trendline was breached again, suggesting the formation of at least a short-term bullish trend. As mentioned previously, we continue to expect the EUR/USD pair to rise and believe the 2025 uptrend will ultimately resume. Over the past several weeks, the market has ignored numerous bearish signals concerning the U.S. dollar. Now, it's time for them to be priced in. 5-Minute EUR/USD Chart The 5-minute timeframe did not generate any new trading signals on Wednesday. However, a strong buy signal—breaking through the 1.1571–1.1584 zone—was formed Tuesday evening. It was previously suggested to move the Stop Loss to breakeven and keep the trade open. As seen, the target was eventually reached. How to Trade on Thursday: On the hourly chart, the EUR/USD pair is now showing signs of a reversal to the upside. The descending trendline has been broken once again, and the overall fundamental and macroeconomic outlook remains weak for the U.S. dollar. Therefore, we continue to anticipate a resumption of the 2025 uptrend. On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair may move in either direction, as fundamental and macroeconomic events are limited. However, beginner traders now have a new decision zone—1.1655–1.1666. A consolidation above this area allows for long positions with a target at 1.1745, while a drop below it opens the door for short positions targeting 1.1584. On the 5-minute TF, consider the levels 1.1354-1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571-1.1584, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988. For Thursday, the only event listed on the Eurozone calendar is a speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde. Apart from that, no other significant events are expected. Therefore, volatility may remain low, and the euro could continue rising on technical grounds. Core Rules of the Trading System: Signal strength is judged by the time required for signal formation (bounce or breakout). The quicker the formation, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades were opened at a level, any subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.In flat markets, currency pairs may produce numerous false signals or none at all. It's best to stop trading at the first signs of a flat.Trades should be opened during the European session through the midpoint of the U.S. session. All trades should be manually closed afterward.On the hourly chart, MACD signals should only be used when good volatility and a clear trend are confirmed with a trendline or channel.If two levels are too close to each other (within 5 to 20 pips), they should be considered a support/resistance zone.After 15 pips of movement in the correct direction, set the Stop Loss at breakeven.Chart Annotations: Support/resistance levels: key targets for opening buy/sell trades. Take Profit levels can also be set near them.Red lines: trendlines or channels indicating the current trend and preferred trade direction.MACD (14,22,3): histogram and signal line, used as an auxiliary signal generator.Important Note: Key speeches and economic reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly affect currency pair movements. During such events, trade with extreme caution or exit the market to avoid sudden reversals against the prior trend. Reminder for Beginners: No trade is guaranteed to be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex trading is to develop a clear strategy and apply sound money management principles. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  10. Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.2180 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1920. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2050. The price is trading below the $0.240 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2025 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1880. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.2050 resistance to enter a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above $0.2120 and $0.2150. A high was formed at $0.2182 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1788 swing low to the $0.2182 high. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.2050 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2025 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. If there is another increase, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.2025 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.2085 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.2120 level. A close above the $0.2120 resistance might send the price toward $0.2180. Any more gains might send the price toward $0.2250. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.2320. More Losses In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.2085 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1930 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1788 swing low to the $0.2182 high. The next major support is near the $0.1880 level. The main support sits at $0.1800. If there is a downside break below the $0.1800 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.1665 level or even $0.1650 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1930 and $0.1880. Major Resistance Levels – $0.2085 and $0.2180.
  11. Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer coins are moving to sell and that distribution is easing. Price-wise, ADA continues to defend the $0.70–$0.80 band many traders view as pivotal for basing. A sustained hold keeps the recovery structure intact and positions the token for attempts at prior resistance. Staking Access Expands, Berlin Summit In Focus Adding fuel to the thesis, eToro launched ADA staking in the U.S., potentially opening rewards access to over 40 million users and reducing liquid supply as holders lock tokens. Beyond flows, the community is eyeing the Berlin Summit, where ecosystem teams are expected to showcase progress across Midnight, Leios, and dApp growth, events that historically boost sentiment and developer visibility. Strategists argue these catalysts, paired with bargain hunting from whales, can help stabilize spot liquidity after the broader market shake-out. Cardano Price Outlook: Levels That Matter Now Technically, Cardano rebounded from the $0.61 swing low and is attempting to reclaim short-term signals. Bulls first want a clean move through $0.73 (recent pivot / 0.236 Fib area). Above that, chart watchers flag $0.86 as a major resistance repeatedly capping rallies; a breakout there exposes $1.01 and $1.12 as subsequent targets, aligning with an ascending-channel upper bound on higher time frames. On the downside, $0.61 remains the must-hold support; a daily close below would risk a deeper revisit toward $0.50–$0.60 and delay any trend resumption. A decisive push through $0.73, and especially $0.86, would strengthen the case for a broader recovery leg, while failure to hold $0.61 puts ADA back in consolidation. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
  12. [Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 16, 2025] Technical indicators condition show strengthening momentum, including a Golden Cross between EMA(50) & EMA(200) and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone. Therefore, #NDX has the potential to move higher today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 25180.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 24976.1 3. Pivot : 24730.3 4. Support. 1 : 24526.0 5. Support. 2 : 24280.2 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NDX rises and breaks above 24976.1, it may continue its upward momentum toward 25180.4. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25,180.4 is breached, #NDX could continue higher to test 25426.2. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if #NDX breaks and closes below 24280.2. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 24736.0 EMA(200): 24749.3 RSI(14) : 47.33 Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight from the United States, the following economic data will be released: US - NAHB Housing Market Index - 21:00 WIB US - Business Inventories m/m - Tentative US - Natural Gas Storage - 21:30 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 23:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  13. [#USDX] – [Thursday, October 16, 2025] With all technical indicators showing the weakening trend, meaning that the #USDX is likely to come under pressure today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.19 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.92 3. Pivot : 98.77 4. Support. 1 : 98.50 5. Support. 2 : 98.35 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.77, there is potential to test the 98.50 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.50 is broken, #USDX may fall further to 98.35. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if #USDX strengthens and breaks above 99.19. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.78 EMA(200): 98.92 RSI(14) : 21.54 Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight from the United States, the following economic data will be released: US - NAHB Housing Market Index - 21:00 WIB US - Business Inventories m/m - Tentative US - Natural Gas Storage - 21:30 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 23:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  14. Key takeaways Euro weakness stabilizes: EUR/USD’s recent 3.25% drop from its September high has stalled at the key 1.1530 medium-term support level.French political uncertainty eases: The reappointment of Prime Minister Lecornu and reduced sovereign risk premiums have helped calm Eurozone markets.Technical setup remains bullish: Price action forms an “Ascending Triangle” pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the medium-term uptrend.Short-term breakout confirmed: A minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout above 1.1625 suggests upward momentum toward 1.1690 and 1.1760. The euro has suddenly lost its sparkle ex-post September’s FOMC, after it hit a four-year high of 1.1919 against the US dollar on 17 September 2025. The EUR/USD dropped by 3.25% (high to low) to print an intraday low of 1.1542 on 9 October 2025. This article will look at several key technical/momentum factors to argue that the recent weakness of the EUR/USD is likely a bullish consolidation phase within a medium-term uptrend phase that is still intact since 13 January 2025. Before we jump straight into the technical analysis portion, let’s briefly highlight the main macro drivers that reinforced the recent softness seen in the EUR/USD. Recent rise in Eurozone sovereign risk premium capped the euro's strength zoom_out_map Fig. 1: 10-year yield spread of France sovereign bond/Germany Bund with EUR/USD as of 16 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Political uncertainties in France, the second-largest economy in the Eurozone, triggered higher sovereign risk premia in the Eurozone. The newly appointed French Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, resigned within hours of forming a cabinet, making it the shortest-lived government in modern French history. Also, the French government faces ongoing no-confidence threats and an inability to pass a credible budget. An increase in sovereign risk premia in the Eurozone can be gauged by using the yield spread of the 10-year French sovereign bond over the 10-year Germany Bund. The yield spread has spiked from 0.80% to 0.86% during the period of 16 September 2025 to 7 October 2025, in turn, triggering a slide in the EUR/USD over the same period (see Fig. 1). Interestingly, the 10-year yield spread between the French sovereign bond and the Germany Bund has started to compress to 0.77% as of 16 October 2025 at this time of writing, which suggests that sovereign risk premia in the Eurozone have been reduced as compared to two weeks ago, reinforced by the reappointment of the French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu proposed suspending a law to raise the retirement age in a bid to bring political stability to the country. Let’s now focus on the medium-term technical outlook of the EUR/USD Evolving within an “Ascending Triangle” range configuration since 1 July 2025 zoom_out_map Fig. 2: EUR/USD medium-term & major trends as of 16 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Since hitting its 1 July 2025 high of 1.1830, the price actions of the EUR/USD have traced out “similar swing highs” and “higher swing lows” (depicted by the four grey shaded boxes on the chart). These observations represent a potential bullish consolidation configuration called “Ascending Triangle” that represents a pause in EUR/USD’s impulsive up move sequences within its ongoing medium-term uptrend phase in place since 13 January 2025 low of 1.0178 (see Fig. 2). Also, the daily RSI momentum indicator of the EUR/USD has managed to stage a rebound after a retest of its key ascending support on 9 October 2025, which supports the ongoing medium-term uptrend phase of the EUR/USD. We will now examine its latest short-term (1 to 3 days) trajectory and key technical levels to watch on the EUR/USD. Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) – Minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout zoom_out_map Fig. 3: EUR/USD minor trend as of 16 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Bullish bias with key short-term pivotal support at 1.1590 for the EUR/USD. A clearance above 1.1690 sees the next intermediate resistance coming in at 1.1760 (see Fig. 3). Key elements The price actions of the EUR/USD have staged a bullish breakout on Wednesday, 15 October 2025, from the neckline resistance of a minor “Double Bottom” (depicted in the two green boxes shown in Fig. 3), now turns into an intermediate pull-back support at 1.1625The 1.1690 intermediate resistance confluences closely with the intersection point of the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.The hourly RSI momentum indicator of the EUR/USD has reached its overbought region, but no bearish divergence condition has been flashed out. These observations suggest a minor pull-back in the EUR/USD rather than a bearish reversal scenario.Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A break below the 1.1590 key short-term support invalidates the minor bullish breakout scenario on the EUR/USD for a retest on the 1.1530 key medium-term pivotal support. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  15. EUR/USD The euro continues following a corrective upward path. This morning, the price reached resistance at the MACD line. However, one obstacle stands in the way—the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, slowing the euro's ability to decisively break through this resistance. If the market waits for the oscillator to turn upward, the breakout above 1.1663 is more likely to occur tomorrow. Overall, we expect the euro to continue rising toward the target level of 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the price has secured its position above both the balance line and the MACD. The Marlin oscillator is signaling a release of tension, which likely precedes a consolidation phase within a narrow range (highlighted by the gray rectangle). Afterward, the upward trend is expected to resume. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  16. AUD/USD As expected in the previous analysis on October 13, the Australian dollar managed to close the Monday gap and move toward the target support at 0.6450. Now, the price has returned to its initial position and faces the same dilemma: either continue rising toward the MACD line at 0.6555 or attempt to break below the 0.6450 level with firm settlement. At the moment, the overall trend remains bearish, but price and the oscillator are visually trying to break free from downward pressure. For this, support from correlated markets is needed—namely, a weakening of the U.S. dollar index and a rise in commodity prices. Oil, in particular, has remained in a range for four consecutive days—meaning it has not declined, which is already a positive sign for the "Aussie." On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator is trying to hold above zero, suggesting the pair is battling toward the immediate target of 0.6532—the MACD line. Growth in AUD/USD appears likely but will come with challenges. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  17. GBP/USD The British pound rose by 82 pips yesterday, reaching the MACD line. Today, the market opened above this line, and the upward movement continued. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has not yet crossed into positive territory, suggesting the price may pause temporarily to gather momentum for the next push toward the target level at 1.3525 (the high from October 1). Today, the UK releases a broad set of economic reports. Forecasts are moderately pessimistic: GDP (YoY) for August may decline from 1.4% to 1.3%.Construction output is expected at -0.1% (MoM).Industrial production may fall by -0.6% (YoY).The trade balance may slightly improve from -22.24 billion to -21.8 billion pounds.The MACD line (today's opening level) provides initial support should a correction begin. On the H4 chart, the price has entered a strong resistance zone from September 29 to October 7. The Marlin oscillator remains high but not yet overbought—meaning a pullback may still occur. Therefore, it is advised to wait for the release of economic data to determine whether the pound can continue its ascent or enter a corrective phase toward 1.3369. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  18. XRP price started a consolidation phase below $2.60. The price is now showing positive signs but faces a major resistance near $2.50 and $2.60. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.420 zone. The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.50 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2.60 resistance. XRP Price Faces Key Resistance XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.30, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.350 and $2.40 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $3.05 swing high to the $1.40 swing low. However, the bears are still active near the $2.550 and $2.60 levels. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.50 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.50 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $2.60 level, above which the price could rise and test the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $3.05 swing high to the $1.40 swing low at $2.660. A clear move above the $2.660 resistance might send the price toward the $2.750 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.780 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.820. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $2.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.40 level. The next major support is near the $2.30 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.30 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.2420. The next major support sits near the $2.220 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.120. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.40 and $2.30. Major Resistance Levels – $2.50 and $2.60.
  19. Ethereum’s high-timeframe structure exposes the fallout from the leverage massacre. Open Interest has cratered, reflecting widespread liquidation across futures markets. With leverage drained and traders shaken out, the path forward depends on whether spot demand can fill the vacuum left by the OI collapse. The recent market volatility has presented a critical opportunity to assess the underlying health of various crypto assets. In an X post, Daan Crypto Trades, a full-time crypto trader and investor, has offered a compelling analysis of Ethereum’s high-timeframe chart, specifically focusing on Open Interest (OI), which shows exactly how much speculative excess has been washed out. Particularly, ETH got hit hard in the process. Why This Flush Could Be The Foundation For Ethereum’s Next Move According to Daan, what’s encouraging is that ETH’s Open Interest is now sitting at levels comparable to when ETH traded at $3,000. Meanwhile, the price now hovers around $4,000. For Daan, a simple rule of thumb to determine whether a healthy reset has occurred is if open interest is lower than it was previously at a specific price. Typically, as price increases, Open Interest tends to rise as more capital flows into derivative markets, and vice versa. This relative comparison of OI and price is crucial because an increase or decrease in price will generally make OI trend in both directions. There are also coins used as margin, which can inflate OI figures in a rising market. Thus, the relative levels to watch out for are between OI and price, which carry more weight than the absolute numbers. In the meantime, leverage is making a comeback in the Ethereum market. As the Master of Crypto, an observer of market dynamics, has highlighted, the Open Interest on ETH has surged 8.2% within 24 hours, fueling the ongoing price move. The surge in Open Interest suggests that traders are once again opening aggressive long positions after the recent flush, a familiar pattern that often carries more risk than reward. Master of Crypto advises caution, framing this leverage-driven rally within a historical context, that approximately 75% of rallies aggressively fueled by such a rapid build-up in leverage tend to reverse, while only 25% sustain their momentum upward. The Calm Phase Before The Next Expansion The Ethereum macro trend remains upward despite the short-term move. Analyst EtherNasyonaL has emphasized that after breaking free from its long-standing downtrend, ETH is currently only retesting the demand zone and trendline, a healthy bullish move retest that is typical of a strong market structure. However, the analyst pointed out that the fluctuation on the short timeframes doesn’t define the trend, but it’s the longer timeframes that hold the true directional signal. Currently, “ETH macrotrend is still upward, and the bigger picture hasn’t yet spoken.”
  20. Ethereum price is still struggling to settle above $4,220. ETH is now consolidating in a range and might decline sharply if there is a move below $3,880. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,075. Ethereum Price Dips To Support Ethereum price struggled to settle above $4,200 and corrected most gains, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,050 and $4,000 levels. It even tested the $3,940 zone. A low was formed at $3,932 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,216 swing high to the $3,932 low. Besides, there is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,075 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,150 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,216 swing high to the $3,932 low. The first major resistance is near the $4,200 level. A clear move above the $4,200 resistance might send the price toward the $4,250 resistance. An upside break above the $4,250 region might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,350 resistance zone or even $4,420 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,150 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,950 level and the triangle’s trend line. The first major support sits near the $3,880 zone. A clear move below the $3,880 support might push the price toward the $3,820 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,750 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,640. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,950 Major Resistance Level – $4,150
  21. Ethereum (ETH) is back in the spotlight after Fidelity clients purchased roughly 36,460 ETH ($154.6 million), signaling renewed institutional demand even as spot ETH ETFs logged heavy redemptions. Before stabilizing around $4,100, the second-largest cryptocurrency briefly dipped below $4,000 this week, but several analysts argue the pullback places ETH in a key “buy zone” ahead of a potential push toward new highs. Fidelity Steps In as ETFs See Redemptions Fidelity’s reported buy spotlights a growing trend as traditional finance is steadily increasing exposure to Ethereum’s smart-contract ecosystem, staking yields, and tokenization upside. The move contrasts with the latest ETF flow picture, where spot ETH products saw about $428 million in outflows in a single day, led by $310 million from BlackRock’s fund. While redemptions weighed on price near term, primary-market creations like Fidelity’s purchase can tighten available supply and stabilize spot liquidity. Outflows and Liquidations Test Nerves Macro jitters and tariff headlines helped trigger a sharp selloff, sending ETH down 6.5% on Oct. 14 and sparking $145 million in liquidations in 24 hours, per derivatives trackers. That forced unwinding pushed price through the $4,000 handle, but technicians note ETH is retesting prior resistance-turned-support and still carving a bullish flag structure on higher time frames. Popular trader Michael van de Poppe argues ETH likely just needs a higher low to reassert momentum, eyeing a recovery toward $5,000 first and then $6,250 if buyers reclaim control. Ethereum Price Outlook: Key Levels to Watch Near term, bulls want to see an Ethereum price balance back above $4,000–$4,211, followed by a decisive break of the $5,000 psychological level to unlock the $6,250 target many chartists flag via tools like Murrey Math and measured-move projections. On the downside, traders are watching $3,626 as interim support; a daily close below $3,425 would dent the bullish structure and argue for deeper consolidation. Despite headline outflows, the Fidelity inflow highlights sticky institutional interest in Ethereum’s role across DeFi, NFTs, and real-world asset tokenization, plus the structural tailwind from staking yields. If ETF redemptions cool and spot demand returns, ETH’s recent dip could prove a buy-the-pullback setup on the path toward new cycle highs. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD on Tradingview
  22. Boa noite, traders. Menos de 24 horas após o Presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, sinalizar o fim iminente do Quantitative Tightening (QT), o mercado recebeu a prova contundente do porquê: o sistema bancário está sob estresse de liquidez. Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School Dados do Federal Reserve (FRED) divulgados hoje mostram um pico alarmante no uso da facilidade de Repo overnight, que atingiu $6,75 bilhões. Este movimento, vindo de níveis próximos a zero, é um sinal de alerta de que a pressão no "encanamento" do sistema financeiro está se intensificando dramaticamente. 1. Desvendando o Sinal de Alerta: O Que é a Facilidade de Repo? É crucial entender o que este indicador significa. Ao contrário do Repo Reverso (RRP), que serve para o Fed drenar o excesso de liquidez, a facilidade de Repo regular é uma injeção de emergência de caixa no sistema bancário. É a "janela de desconto" para onde os bancos correm quando não conseguem ou não querem buscar financiamento de curto prazo no mercado interbancário privado. Minha Análise: Um pico no uso desta ferramenta, que estava praticamente dormente, é um dos sinais mais claros de que um ou mais bancos estão enfrentando uma crise de liquidez aguda e precisam de caixa imediato do banco central para fechar suas operações diárias. 2. Conectando os Pontos: O Fim do QT Não é uma Escolha, é uma Reação A fala de Powell ontem não foi uma previsão; foi uma antecipação. Ele sabia que o sistema estava chegando ao seu limite. O pico no uso do Repo de hoje é a confirmação. A razão pela qual os bancos precisam de caixa pode ser variada, mas, como alguns analistas apontam, provavelmente se deve ao estresse em seus balanços — seja por "ativos tóxicos", perdas não realizadas em suas vastas carteiras de títulos, ou uma simples desconfiança entre as próprias instituições. Minha Análise (Igor Pereira): Isso valida completamente nossa tese: o fim do QT não será um pivô "dovish" voluntário para estimular a economia. Será uma reação forçada para evitar que o sistema financeiro se rompa. Powell está sinalizando o fim do aperto não porque a inflação foi derrotada, mas porque o sistema não aguenta mais. Conclusão e Implicações de Mercado Este evento reforça massivamente a tese de alta para o ouro (XAU/USD) e outros ativos de refúgio. Ele prova que o sistema financeiro é frágil e que o Fed não terá outra escolha a não ser reverter o aperto monetário para garantir a estabilidade. A era da liquidez, que o Fed tentou encerrar, está voltando por necessidade, não por desejo. O alerta de liquidez de hoje é um dos sinais mais importantes que recebemos este mês. Ele nos diz que, por trás da fachada dos mercados, a pressão está se acumulando. Para o ouro, que prospera com a instabilidade do sistema e a inevitabilidade da impressão de dinheiro, este é um dos sinais mais otimistas que poderíamos ver.
  23. Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $113,500 and $114,000. BTC is now consolidating and might start another decline below $110,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $110,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $112,500 resistance level. BTC recovered above the $112,800 and $113,000 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $110,000 low. The bulls even pushed the price above the $113,500 resistance level. However, there are many hurdles on the upside. Bitcoin is now trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $112,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $113,000 level. The next resistance could be $113,700 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $110,000 low. A close above the $113,700 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $114,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $115,250 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $113,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $110,200 level. The first major support is near the $110,000 level. The next support is now near the $109,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $108,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $107,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $110,200, followed by $110,000. Major Resistance Levels – $112,000 and $113,000.
  24. Elon Musk’s one-word reply on X has put Bitcoin back in the headlines, even if the comment was brief. His simple response — “True” — came after a widely shared post linking recent gains in gold, silver and Bitcoin to heavy government spending and currency debasement. Markets and crypto fans noticed fast. Musk’s Brief Reply Signals Interest According to the post by ZeroHedge, which has more than 2 million followers, the rallies were tied to what the author called an AI “arms race” between the US and China and to large-scale fiscal outlays. Musk agreed with the thread. He added a view that echoes a common pro-Bitcoin line: fiat can be printed, while Bitcoin’s tie to energy gives it a different kind of backing. That single-word answer reopened a conversation many thought had cooled. Tesla’s Past Moves And Holdings Based on reports, Tesla bought $1.5 billion of Bitcoin in early 2021 and said it would take the coin as payment for cars. But the deal was short-lived. The company soon stopped accepting Bitcoin because of concerns about mining’s heavy energy use and said it might resume payments only after a major move toward renewable mining practices. By mid-2022, Tesla sold about 75% of its holdings, a move that happened near a market low and drew wide notice. According to Arkham Intelligence, Tesla still holds roughly 11,509 BTC, which is worth about $1.25 billion at current prices. What The Market Might Be Watching Traders read signals. A single public endorsement from a high-profile executive used to move prices more. That was the case in 2021 when Tesla’s investment and payment plan helped lift sentiment. Now, the context is different. Crypto markets are bigger and more diverse, and a one-word message does not equal a corporate decision. No official change at Tesla has been reported, and company spokespeople have not confirmed any shift in strategy. Featured image from ET Edge Insights, chart from TradingView
  25. The Dogecoin weekly chart structure may be setting up for a classic Elliott Wave “third wave” advance, according to trader and market commentator Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), who argued that DOGE has reclaimed a critical Fibonacci level and could be transitioning from corrective price action into a new impulsive leg. Dogecoin Set For Takeoff As Wave 3 Kicks In Sharing a weekly chart, the analyst wrote: “Initially I thought DOGE wave 2 retraced to 0.5 of wave 1, which is valid, but it decided to get to 0.382 which is also possible for a wave 2 retracement. Now it’s reclaiming 0.618 and wave 3 could be starting… and wave 3 is the most bullish and most powerful of them all.” The chart posted by Cantonese Cat applies a Fibonacci grid to Dogecoin’s 2022–December 2024 advance (“Wave 1” on the graphic), with the 0.618 retracement anchored around ~$0.20088 on the weekly timeframe and the mid-range levels marked at 0.5 (~$0.15350) and 0.382 (~$0.11729). On the left axis, historical weekly candles show DOGE’s earlier cycle blow-off followed by a lengthy basing period near the ~$0.05–$0.10 zone (the 0.0 line sits at ~$0.04909), from which the advance began in mid-2022. Elliott Wave analysis proposes that markets trend in a five-wave impulse where the third wave is typically the strongest by both breadth and momentum. Within that framework, a “Wave 2” pullback frequently terminates in the 0.382–0.618 retracement band of Wave 1, while a decisive reclaim of the 0.618 level on higher timeframes is often treated by technicians as a structural pivot back in favor of the prevailing uptrend. The chart Cantonese Cat shared labels the recent decline as “Wave 2,” with wicks probing toward the 0.382 band and subsequent weekly closes gravitating back toward the 0.618 level. The current weekly candle plotted on the image sits almost exactly on that 0.618 line, indicating the market is testing whether buyers can convert it into support. The analyst’s emphasis on the 0.618 reclaim is consistent with how many systematic traders translate Fibonacci confluence into risk frameworks: closes and acceptance above the golden-ratio band raise the probability that the prior impulse has resumed, whereas sustained rejection there often keeps a market locked in a range. DOGE Price Targets The chart also visualizes potential topside waypoints should momentum expand. The Fibonacci projections drawn beyond the “Wave 1” peak display the 1.0 band at roughly $0.48 and classical extensions at 1.272 (~$0.89), 1.414 (~$1.23), and 1.618 (~$1.96). Elliott practitioners frequently monitor these zones for acceleration targets or distribution risk if a third wave unfolds. For now, the operative claim is straightforward and testable on chart: “Now it’s reclaiming 0.618 and wave 3 could be starting,” with the reminder that “wave 3 is the most bullish and most powerful of them all.” Whether price can hold above the ~$0.20088 pivot into weekly close and then demonstrate impulsive breadth—rising range, expanding volume, and leadership versus peers—will determine if this setup matures into the kind of third-wave advance Elliott theorists anticipate or fades back into consolidation. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.20.
  26. The Ethereum Foundation has deposited 2,400 ETH into Morpho’s lending vaults, along with roughly $6 million in stablecoins. This marks a notable shift in how the foundation is handling its treasury. It looks like they’re getting more comfortable with using DeFi protocols directly. On-chain analysts say this might be the largest single exposure the foundation has taken on in a permissionless lending system. Morpho is an open DeFi platform designed to improve capital efficiency. It matches borrowers and lenders more directly, reducing the gap between borrowing and lending rates. By using Morpho, the Ethereum Foundation is putting serious trust in the protocol’s infrastructure, security, and stability. Splitting Risk Between ETH and Dollars The numbers behind this move are hard to ignore. At current prices, the 2,400 ETH alone is worth well into eight figures. Add the $6 million in stablecoins, and you’ve got a sizable allocation being actively put to work. By using both ETH and stablecoins, the foundation is diversifying its yield sources. If ETH performs well, they benefit from the upside. If the market turns sideways or down, the stablecoins should still generate relatively steady returns. This strategy also shows that the foundation sees Morpho as capable of handling large volumes without breaking under pressure. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Eyes on Risk, Even With the Best Intentions As with any DeFi strategy, this move comes with complications. The foundation will need to closely monitor yield, track smart contract risks, and remain ready to pull funds out or rebalance if needed. There’s also the public angle. Everyone is watching. If something goes wrong with Morpho, it won’t just affect the Ethereum Foundation—it could reflect poorly on Ethereum’s broader ecosystem. More Foundations Are Warming Up to DeFi The Ethereum Foundation is not alone in this. More crypto-native organizations are moving past cold storage and passive holding strategies. There’s growing interest in making treasuries productive without compromising on safety. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What makes this case different is the visibility. When a project like Ethereum makes a move, the rest of the industry tends to pay attention. For some, it’s a sign that DeFi protocols are ready for prime time. For others, it’s still too early to say. What This Means for Morpho and ETH’s Treasury For Morpho, having the Ethereum Foundation on board is a milestone. It shows serious validation. If nothing breaks and the yield looks good, this could attract more institutional users. But with that comes pressure. The team behind Morpho now has to deliver on uptime, transparency, and smart contract security. For Ethereum, this is a shift from passive holding to active treasury management. Rather than letting funds sit idle, the foundation is trying to generate yield that could support new grants, development, or ecosystem incentives. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 High Stakes, High Standards Nothing in DeFi is risk-free. Even the best-audited protocols can run into problems. The foundation will need to stay on top of smart contract reviews, insurance options, and backup plans if things go sideways. And beyond security, there’s performance. If the returns fall short or look inconsistent, the decision to step into Morpho might be questioned by observers. Right now, 2,400 ETH and $6 million in stablecoins are live in Morpho’s system. The results of this experiment could shape how other major players in crypto approach treasury management from here on out. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The Ethereum Foundation has deployed 2,400 ETH and $6 million in stablecoins into Morpho, marking its biggest known DeFi exposure to date. By combining ETH and stablecoins, the Foundation is balancing yield potential with risk management across different market conditions. This is not just a financial move—it’s a reputational one that puts Ethereum’s name behind a permissionless lending protocol. Morpho now carries the weight of institutional-grade expectations, with its performance likely to influence other large DeFi participants. This step reflects a broader trend of crypto foundations shifting toward active treasury management using DeFi tools. The post Ethereum Foundation Deploys 2,400 ETH in Morpho to Boost Treasury Yield appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  27. Tether has expanded its reach to Solana by launching two omnichain tokens, USDT0 and XAUT0, built using LayerZero technology. These tokens are managed by Everdawn Labs and are designed to move seamlessly across blockchains while staying fully backed. USDT0 connects Solana to a broader liquidity network that includes Ethereum, Tron, TON, and others. According to Lorenzo R., co-founder of USDT0, the system now taps into more than $175 billion worth of Tether liquidity across chains. Circulating Supply Still in the Early Stages Right now, USDT0 has a circulating supply of roughly 7.5 billion tokens. XAUT0, the gold-backed counterpart, sits at around 7,355 tokens. For context, standard USDT currently exceeds 180 billion tokens, while the original version of XAUT has a supply of about 375,572 tokens. These figures show that USDT0 and XAUT0 are still small compared to their mainline versions. But the idea is not to replace them; instead, it’s to make them usable in more places, with less friction. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 Solana Taps Into Cross-Chain Liquidity With this integration, Solana becomes directly connected to Tether’s native ecosystem without relying on wrapped tokens or bridges. That means fewer risks, faster transfers, and smoother movement of capital. Tamar Menteshashvili, Head of Stablecoins at the Solana Foundation, said the update brings more efficiency to both ecosystems. She pointed out that it benefits institutional payments, DeFi platforms, and general fund movement. For Solana, having gold-backed XAUT0 on-chain adds another tool for builders. Programmable gold can now be used in lending, hedging, or even as treasury collateral across decentralized protocols. Legacy Mesh Makes the Whole Thing Work Behind the scenes, the system runs on Legacy Mesh, a stablecoin-native interoperability framework built using LayerZero. It is designed specifically for stablecoins and tokenized assets like gold, avoiding traditional wrapped asset setups. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Unlike synthetic tokens, every transfer through Legacy Mesh is backed by real assets. The system charges a 0.03 percent fee per transaction, paid in USDT. Since its launch, USDT0 has moved through nine different chain pathways, processed more than 320,000 transactions, and moved over $25 billion in total bridge volume. That’s a significant footprint for a product that remains relatively under the radar. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What Happens Next Will Be Key This rollout shows that cross-chain finance is moving into a more connected phase. Solana now has direct access to the largest stablecoin liquidity pool and one of the only tokenized gold products with meaningful usage. For developers, the opportunity is wide open. With native access to USDT0 and XAUT0, they can create applications without relying on fragile bridge infrastructure. This could include lending platforms, cross-border remittance tools, or treasury systems using real-world value. Still, the big question is growth. The numbers are small right now, and adoption will take time. If the system proves stable and efficient, though, it could put Solana in a strong position as the go-to chain for seamless, cross-chain financial operations. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Tether launched two new omnichain tokens—USDT0 and XAUT0—on Solana using LayerZero tech, linking Solana directly to over $175 billion in cross-chain Tether liquidity. USDT0 and XAUT0 are still small in supply but aim to boost usability across blockchains rather than replace existing stablecoins. The rollout removes the need for wrapped assets or bridges, making cross-chain transfers faster, safer, and more capital-efficient. Legacy Mesh, a framework tailored for stablecoins and tokenized assets, powers the system and has already processed over $25 billion in volume. Developers on Solana can now build with native programmable gold (XAUT0) and stablecoin access, unlocking use cases in DeFi, payments, and treasury tools. The post Tether Expands to Solana With USDT0 and XAUT0 for Cross-Chain Use appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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