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  2. The wait for altcoin season continues as the crypto market is still showing signs of bearish movement. Expectations are high that the altcoin market will begin to rally soon, but not everyone is optimistic that the altcoin season is coming. One of those is market analyst and expert Stockmoney Lizards, who has said that it is not happening soon. Altcoin Season Is Not Happening Soon In an X (formerly Twitter) post, Stockmoney Lizards informed their over 160,000 followers that the altcoin season could not be happening anytime soon. The analyst said that it is “not even remotely close”, pointing to the rising Bitcoin dominance as the reason why the altcoin season is still far off. Analyzing the chart, the market expert explains that despite the Bitcoin dominance having fallen by around 2%, it still doesn’t mean much. This is because the dominance is still very strong and continues to trade inside the channel. This channel also charts a possible increase in the Bitcoin dominance from here, which would be detrimental for altcoins. So far, the Bitcoin dominance has also managed to hold above 65%. While this is not the highest it has ever been, it is still incredibly high, with previous altcoin seasons not happening until the dominance had fallen toward 40%. The analyst doesn’t entirely rule out the possibility of an altcoin season, saying it will still come. However, for now, Bitcoin continues to dominate, as he explains that “BTC is the measure of all things.” Altcoin Dominance Reaches 2021 Levels As the Bitcoin dominance has risen and the altcoin dominance has fallen, they have gone toward levels not seen in years. For example, the last time the Bitcoin dominance was above 65% was back in 2021 before it crashed to usher in the altcoin season, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Even worse is the Ethereum dominance, which has dropped to 5-year lows. Sitting at only 8%, it is now at levels recorded back in 2020 before the market rebounded from the COVID-19 crash. This has greatly diminished Ethereum’s ability to pull the altcoin market up with it. In the same vein, the altcoin dominance, excluding Ethereum, has now dropped to 26%. The last time that the OTHERS dominance was this low was in 2021. However, this was right around when the altcoin season was starting, suggesting that the current market could be at the cusp of another altcoin run. Nevertheless, for there to be any sustainable altcoin season, the Bitcoin dominance must first crash. Going by what happened back in 2017 and 2021, at least a 40% crash in the Bitcoin dominance is required to usher in the altcoin season.
  3. Tether is making moves again, and this time, it is to mine green Bitcoin. In a bold move, they have partnered with South American agribusiness giant Adecoagro to create a BTC ▼-1.13% mining operation. But this time, the operation site will be powered solely on robust renewable energy in Brazil. The goal is to transform clean energy into digital gold. With Tether holding a 70% stake in Adecoagro and turning its eyes to global mining dominance, this initiative could reshape how the world views crypto sustainability and energy use. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.17T24h7d30d1yAll time Green Power for More Sustainable Bitcoin Mining Tether’s partnership with Adecoagro represents a strategic push towards more eco-Bitcoin mining. Adecoagro is a major agribusiness with more than 230 MW of renewable energy from solar, wind, and biomass production. The pilot project in Brazil aims to repurpose surplus power. Energy that would otherwise go unused now will be harnessed to mine Bitcoin. The company has set a goal to become the biggest Bitcoin miner in the world, and with Brazil set up, this will seal the deal. The social media response has been mostly positive, especially on X (Twitter), and crypto influencers applaud the focus on sustainability and financial innovations. Users highlighted Adecoagro’s potential Bitcoin exposure and the environmental upside of using surplus renewable power. But the question remains if this business model can scale globally and is the regulators are going to be happy with it. How will the market react to an energy-rich corporation entering the crypto-mining business? These uncertainties will be answered in the near future. What we know for sure is that Tether is not only a crypto heavyweight champion but also possibly a sustainable leader in the Web3 world. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in Today Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Tether partnering with Agrodeco in Bitcoin green mining. Tether owns a 70% share in Agrodeco. How is the new open-source Tether Mining OS going to change the crypto game? The post Tether Eyes South America’s Surplus Power for Green Bitcoin Mining appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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  5. Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,300 an ounce as short-term traders took profits on the recent double-digit rally in precious metals. The long-term trend remains positive for gold, and the metal remains well above its 200-day moving average, a technical signal that confirms the uptrend remains in place. Gold and Silver Remain the Best Performing Asset Class in 2025 Even with the light pullback in gold prices, the precious metal is still notching a 21% gain since the start of the year, with silver up 20%, both handily beating the 4.41% gain in the S&P 500 this year. Key Inflation Gauge Ticks Modestly Higher The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE), rose by 2.3% over the 12 months through May, the Commerce Department said. Excluding food and energy, core PCE inflation rose to 2.7% in May, from 2.6% in April. While the uptick in inflation is positive for the precious metals sector, gold and silver showed little reaction as the easing of the Middle East conflict, for now, has dampened fresh demand for precious metals. Consumer Spending Drops for the First Time in 2025 Americans spent less in May on both goods and services as consumer spending fell 0.1%. Economists had expected consumer spending to gain 0.1% last month. Consumers bought fewer cars and spent less at restaurants and hotels. Economists say that consumer worries about tariff hikes translated into weaker spending in the second quarter, which could have a broader impact throughout the year. Consumer spending is a major driver of the American economy, accounting for over two-thirds of all economic activity. The Bottom Line The price pullback in gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to accumulate precious metal at lower prices. Now is an opportune time to trade fewer of your dollars for more gold. A number of major Wall Street firms target gains to the $4,000 area and beyond in the months and years ahead. Today’s pricing on gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to increase their allocation to the safety and security of precious metals while they are effectively on sale. Use the summer complacency as your opportunity to make savvy market moves. Photo by Zlaťáky.cz on Unsplash The post Gold Briefly Dips As Risk Aversion Fades on Israel-Iran Ceasefire, China Trade Deal appeared first on Blanchard and Company.
  6. Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,300 an ounce as short-term traders took profits on the recent double-digit rally in precious metals. The long-term trend remains positive for gold, and the metal remains well above its 200-day moving average, a technical signal that confirms the uptrend remains in place. Gold and Silver Remain the Best Performing Asset Class in 2025 Even with the light pullback in gold prices, the precious metal is still notching a 21% gain since the start of the year, with silver up 20%, both handily beating the 4.41% gain in the S&P 500 this year. Key Inflation Gauge Ticks Modestly Higher The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE), rose by 2.3% over the 12 months through May, the Commerce Department said. Excluding food and energy, core PCE inflation rose to 2.7% in May, from 2.6% in April. While the uptick in inflation is positive for the precious metals sector, gold and silver showed little reaction as the easing of the Middle East conflict, for now, has dampened fresh demand for precious metals. Consumer Spending Drops for the First Time in 2025 Americans spent less in May on both goods and services as consumer spending fell 0.1%. Economists had expected consumer spending to gain 0.1% last month. Consumers bought fewer cars and spent less at restaurants and hotels. Economists say that consumer worries about tariff hikes translated into weaker spending in the second quarter, which could have a broader impact throughout the year. Consumer spending is a major driver of the American economy, accounting for over two-thirds of all economic activity. The Bottom Line The price pullback in gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to accumulate precious metal at lower prices. Now is an opportune time to trade fewer of your dollars for more gold. A number of major Wall Street firms target gains to the $4,000 area and beyond in the months and years ahead. Today’s pricing on gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to increase their allocation to the safety and security of precious metals while they are effectively on sale. Use the summer complacency as your opportunity to make savvy market moves. Photo by Zlaťáky.cz on Unsplash The post Gold Briefly Dips As Risk Aversion Fades on Israel-Iran Ceasefire, China Trade Deal appeared first on Blanchard and Company.
  7. After recovering from the recent pullbacks, SUI is attempting to reclaim a crucial resistance, which could trigger a breakout from its bullish formation. Some analysts believe that the cryptocurrency’s imminent rally could target significantly higher levels. SUI Eyes Key Area Reclaim On Thursday, SUI has surged more than 10% from its $2.70 support toward the crucial $3.00 barrier. The cryptocurrency has been attempting to reclaim this area throughout Thursday, hovering between the $2.95 and $3.08 levels. Notably, the altcoin ended its multi-month downtrend after breaking above its descending resistance at the end of March, fueling its rally toward the $4.29 high in May. Since the Q2 breakout, SUI has been trading within the $2.33-$4.10 range. Nonetheless, the June pullbacks, driven by the global geopolitical tensions, sent the token below the $3.00 mid-range support to its local low of $2.22 nearly two weeks ago, before reclaiming the $2.80-$2.90 area. Amid the start-of-month retracement, the altcoin briefly lost its local range, but the Wednesday pump reignited bullish sentiment and potentially set the stage for a rally continuation. Analyst Alex Clay noted that SUI is currently testing the confluence of the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) resistances alongside its bullish flag resistance. According to the chart, the cryptocurrency has been trading within a bullish flag formation since May, and lost the technical indicators throughout the June pullbacks. Now, the indicators and the patterns’ upper boundary sit as resistance around the $3.00-$3.10 area. If the altcoin reclaims these key levels, the analyst considers that a rally to the $5.00 resistance would be “an easy trade.” Is A Breakout To $10 Nearby? Analyst Marcus pointed out that SUI “just snapped back from the 0.786 Fib zone sharp, clean and confident.” He added that the cryptocurrency’s structure held despite the correction, which confirmed a “healthy pullback, not a breakdown.” To the analyst, the current bounce could be the higher low that sets the stage for SUI’s next major move, as “all signs point to a setup that’s not done yet.” Meanwhile, market Watcher Crypto Yhodda affirmed that SUI is “in a big accumulation right now,” pointing to an eight-month triangle formation. According to the analyst, a breakout from this pattern “can help it reach the dream target of $10.” Similarly, Kaleo highlighted SUI’s bounce on its trading pairs against Bitcoin (BTC) and USD. He explained that there are many similarities between the base the altcoin is currently building and the base from the April lows that propelled the token to its local high. The cryptocurrency bounced off the High timeframe (HTF) ascending support line on both occasions, suggesting a massive rally could be ahead. To the analyst, the $10 target is “a magnet.” Crypto Batman also highlighted this ascending support, noting that the recent pullback marks the third time the cryptocurrency has bounced from it since August. Following the previous two retests, the token rallied for weeks toward higher levels, signaling that a breakout could be nearby. Additionally, he considers that SUI displays a “solid-looking setup,” as it is trading above the key $2.30-$2.40 area that has served as resistance and support on the weekly chart. As of this writing, SUI trades at $3.09, a 15% increase in the weekly timeframe.
  8. 🧭 China está “Tornando o Ouro Público”: Análise Estrutural do Avanço Chinês no Mercado Global de Ouro 🖋️Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE 🧱 Por que isso importa agora? O movimento da China para internacionalizar o ouro e seu próprio sistema monetário está se tornando o eixo central de uma transformação no mercado financeiro global. Após mais de uma década de planejamento, Pequim está avançando silenciosamente com uma estratégia robusta de longo prazo para transformar o ouro em um pilar público e monetário da nova ordem multipolar, alavancando o yuan e consolidando sua independência em relação ao dólar americano. Esta é a transcrição técnica e comentada de uma prévia em formato de redação, antecipando o conteúdo premium completo que será lançado neste fim de semana no ExpertFX School. 🎯 Principais Temas Abordados 1.🧭 Migração da Cadeia de Suprimentos para o Oriente (Desde 2013) 📌 A demanda por ouro migrou para a Ásia, levando bancos ocidentais a abrir cofres em Cingapura e Hong Kong. 🔎 Insight: “A demanda dita a localização do poder de precificação.” 2.⚙️ Estrutura de Cadeia de Suprimentos (Ouro vs. Prata) 📌 Diferente da prata, o ouro atua tanto como insumo quanto produto final. Isso facilita seu uso como ativo de reserva. 🔍 Insight: o ouro circula mais no nível financeiro do que industrial, consolidando seu papel monetário. 3.💱 Fim do Dólar como Moeda Única de Precificação 📌 China e BRICS buscam romper com a precificação exclusiva em dólar. 🎯 Objetivo: criar mercados regionais de ouro precificados em yuan, reforçando a independência monetária. 4.💴 Ouro como Âncora para o Yuan 📌 A China está construindo uma ligação simbiótica entre o ouro e o yuan, espelhando o padrão dólar-ouro pós-Segunda Guerra. 📌 Finalidade: fortalecer a confiança no yuan como moeda de troca e reserva em economias satélites. 5.🏗️ Infraestrutura Chinesa vs. Demanda Explosiva 📌 A demanda doméstica pode estar superando a capacidade logística. ✔️ Porém, o planejamento antecipado da China e a durabilidade do ouro facilitam a estruturação. 6. 🧩 Transformação Estrutural do Mercado Interno Chinês 📌 Cinco áreas-chave da estratégia chinesa: Queda na produção doméstica Aumento da demanda de investimento Logística de importação e refino Reestruturação via SGE e SHFE Estratégia do PBoC (Banco Central da China) 7. ⛏️ Queda de Produção Interna e Aumento de Importações 📌 A China precisa importar mais ouro refinado de Suíça, África do Sul, Canadá e Austrália. 📌 O PBoC controla cotas de importação com rigidez. 8. 📈 Demanda por Investimento supera Joias 📌 A preferência do chinês médio mudou: ETFs e barras pequenas substituem a joalheria como forma de exposição ao ouro. 📌 Consequência: fluxo mais especulativo e agressivo. 9. 💸 Prêmio de Xangai e Restrições Cambiais 📌 Quando o preço em Xangai (SGE) supera Londres, o arbitrador físico entra em ação. 🔎 Mas, com o yuan enfraquecido e o mercado fechado, o prêmio só fecha via entrega física real. 10. 🌐 Dupla Estrutura de Mercado: Local e Global 📌 A China separa acesso entre: SGE/SHFE: para investidores locais SGE International (SGEI): para participantes estrangeiros e BRICS 📌 Bancos chineses promovem ouro físico ativamente ao varejo, o oposto dos EUA. 11. 🏦 Estratégia de Acumulação do PBoC 📌 Oficialmente, o ouro representa apenas 7% das reservas, mas a acumulação é constante e discreta. 📌 Objetivo: preservar a confiança internacional sem causar disrupção. 12. 🔍 Transparência Estratégica e Integração Global 📌 A China usa o ouro como ativo para ganhar respeito e confiança internacional (SDR, FMI, etc). 📌 Revelações são graduais e politicamente calculadas. 📌 Foco do Relatório Premium deste Final de Semana Em breve o analista Igor Pereira deverá publicar um relatório técnico detalhado com foco em: Estratégia de substituição do dólar pelo yuan Expectativa de valorização do ouro com apoio institucional chinês Como isso influencia o XAU/USD e a perda de hegemonia dos contratos da Comex A importância do SGEI na construção de um mercado de ouro multipolar O impacto direto no dólar e nos Treasuries 🎯 Conclusão ExpertFX School A China está "tornando o ouro público", não como um slogan político, mas como uma reengenharia estrutural dos mercados monetário e de reserva global. O avanço do PBoC, a sofisticação da infraestrutura local e a articulação com BRICS criam uma nova rota institucional para o ouro, ameaçando o domínio do dólar na precificação de ativos reais. 🚨 Para traders e investidores, isso representa um dos maiores fluxos de capital potencial da próxima década. A leitura institucional sobre o ouro deve incluir agora variáveis políticas, monetárias e geoestratégicas do Oriente.
  9. The Bitcoin market now appears to be seeing a notable surge in its momentum, with the asset finally breaching the $110,000 mark to inch really close to its all-time high. The asset has so far registered a 24-hour high of $110,117, less than 3% increase away from its all-time high of $111,814 registered in May. At the time of writing, BTC trades back at $109,000 levels, marking a 1.3% increase in the past day. While the price action alone has fueled speculation of an imminent breakout, several analysts suggest that deeper structural shifts within the market are at play. On-chain data particularly reveals changes in whale activity, exchange flows, and stablecoin dynamics that could offer clues about the market’s next move. Signs of Reduced Bitcoin Selling Pressure and Upward Bias CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan shared a detailed view of the current state of Bitcoin’s price structure, emphasizing a broader directional change in the market that began in April. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s recent price resilience can be attributed to a noticeable decline in selling pressure from US-based institutional investors and whales. These large players, who were previously offloading significant holdings, have shifted into accumulation mode in recent months. Dan explained that Bitcoin appears to be in a transitional phase. He observed a gradual fade in sell-side activity from major US wallets since April, and that drop has been met with stable buying pressure. This suggests that institutions are no longer offloading positions but are maintaining or adding to their holdings. Dan added that the current consolidation, marked by Bitcoin’s price hovering above the $100,000 range, is allowing short-term overheated indicators to cool down. Dan noted: While the possibility of a correction remains, the broader market direction continues to be upward, so I will maintain my perspective and look forward to the second half of 2025. Overall, this could mean that the ongoing price action in the market may be the calm before a longer-term move upward, assuming macro conditions remain supportive. Exchange Outflows and Liquidity Trends Paint a Risk-On Picture Adding further context, another CryptoQuant contributor, Novaque Research, pointed to recent shifts in on-chain flows and broader liquidity conditions. According to their data, exchange outflows have picked up notably since late June, with some days seeing over 10,000 BTC withdrawn. Such behavior typically signals long-term investor confidence and a reduced likelihood of near-term sell pressure. Additionally, the report noted that miners have remained largely inactive in terms of selling despite BTC trading above $100,000. This suggests confidence in price sustainability and possible anticipation of more favorable financial conditions. Meanwhile, stablecoin activity has also shown key changes. Both USDC and USDT supply ratios on exchanges have been trending downward since mid-June, indicating capital is sitting idle rather than flowing into spot markets. Novaque noted that investors may be on the sidelines waiting for confirmation, but the structural behavior is leaning toward accumulation. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
  10. Data of the Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio suggests investors have stronger purchasing power today than during the previous bull rally. Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio Showing Neutral Purchasing Power In its latest weekly report, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) of Bitcoin. This indicator measures the ratio between the Bitcoin supply and the supply of stablecoins. Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that have their price tied to a fiat currency. The SSR specifically measures the supply of the stablecoins tied to the US Dollar (USD). As for the role that these assets play in the sector, Glassnode explains: Stablecoins have become a critical component of the digital asset ecosystem, serving as the primary quote asset for trading across both centralized and decentralized venues. Functionally, they represent readily available capital, or “dry powder”, available for digital asset purchases. As such, the SSR compares the Bitcoin supply against this available dry powder. In other words, it tells us about how the cryptocurrency compares against the investor’s purchasing power. When the value of the metric is high, it means the BTC supply is high compared to the stablecoin supply. In other words, the trader’s purchasing power is weak. On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests there is high dry powder available relative to the BTC supply. In the context of the current discussion, the SSR itself isn’t of focus, but rather a modified indicator called the SSR Oscillator. According to the analytics firm, the metric measures “how the 200d SMA of the SSR moves within the Bollinger Bands BB(200, 2).” Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin SSR Oscillator over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin SSR Oscillator has been close to the zero mark during the last couple of months, indicating the investor purchasing power is more or less neutral compared to the size of the BTC supply. From the chart, it’s visible that the trend was different during the rally beyond $100,000 that occurred late last year. Back then, the SSR Oscillator took on a highly positive value, suggesting the stablecoin supply was low relative to BTC. The cryptocurrency is currently also trading around the same levels as then, yet the SSR is showing a different story. “Despite similar price levels, this shift suggests that investor purchasing power has improved markedly, reflecting stronger underlying demand conditions,” notes the report. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $109,500, up over 2% in the last seven days.
  11. 🔶 Bitcoin domina redes sociais e mineradora MARA atinge 50 mil BTC em balanço 📰 Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE 📅 04 de Julho de 2025 📌 Resumo Executivo O Bitcoin (BTC) volta a liderar o centro das atenções do mercado com dois eventos que reforçam sua força institucional e o interesse global por ativos escassos: O BTC é, segundo dados da Santiment, o ativo mais mencionado nas redes sociais em julho. A mineradora pública Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) confirmou que atingiu 50.000 BTC sob custódia, consolidando uma estratégia corporativa de longo prazo (HODL). Com o BTC cotado em US$ 109.011, os sinais técnicos e fundamentais apontam para um novo ciclo de valorização, sustentado por uma combinação entre acúmulo institucional, escassez líquida no mercado spot e o novo plano fiscal de Donald Trump, baseado em gastos estratégicos e reconstrução industrial. 🧭 BTC lidera engajamento global nas redes sociais 📊 Dado técnico: Segundo a Santiment, o Bitcoin superou todas as altcoins em menções, engajamento e alcance nas redes sociais, retomando sua posição como o principal foco de atenção do mercado cripto globalmente. Este movimento coincide com o avanço de políticas monetárias inflacionárias nos EUA, instabilidade geopolítica e crescente desconfiança sobre moedas fiduciárias. O BTC, nesse cenário, volta a ser visto como ativo não soberano e resistente à manipulação governamental. 🏢 MARA acumula 50.000 BTC e transforma mineração em tesouraria A Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) revelou ter atingido 50.000 BTC em seu balanço patrimonial, após 12 meses de execução de sua estratégia "HODL Corporativo". 🔎 Destaques institucionais: A MARA acumula BTC em vez de vender, reduzindo a oferta circulante e ajudando na sustentação dos preços. Esse movimento sinaliza que mineradoras agora operam como instituições de custódia de BTC, e não apenas como fornecedoras de liquidez ao mercado. A estratégia é análoga à da MicroStrategy, reforçando a visão de longo prazo. 📊 Análise Técnica e Sentimento Atual Indicador Situação Atual Interpretação Estratégica Preço atual do BTC US$ 109.011 Forte tendência de alta, sem resistências imediatas Sentimento social BTC domina redes Potencial de novo fluxo especulativo e institucional Acúmulo institucional (MARA) 50.000 BTC em custódia Pressão compradora estrutural Derivativos Aumento de open interest e calls Expectativa de extensão da alta até US$ 120k ETFs de Bitcoin Reentrada líquida nas últimas 3 semanas Reforço de demanda spot institucional 🔮 Projeções ExpertFX para o BTC Com base na análise fundamental e no comportamento dos grandes players, os próximos níveis técnicos a observar são: 📈 Resistências potenciais: US$ 112.500 – primeiro alvo de curto prazo US$ 120.000 – resistência psicológica forte US$ 129.000 – alvo de extensão institucional (baseado em Fibonacci e projeções de fluxo) 📉 Suportes relevantes: US$ 101.300 – zona de liquidez spot (ex-breakout) US$ 98.000 – suporte psicológico de ciclo 🧠 Conclusão ExpertFX School A ascensão do Bitcoin para mais de US$ 109 mil não é resultado de euforia, mas de um movimento silencioso de reestruturação macroeconômica, fiscal e monetária nos EUA e em outras grandes economias. O papel do BTC como reserva estratégica, hedge contra inflação e instrumento de independência patrimonial está mais claro do que nunca. A entrada de mineradoras como MARA, com atuação ativa no mercado institucional, consolida uma nova estrutura de oferta. Já o domínio do BTC nas redes sociais prepara o terreno para nova entrada de investidores de varejo e reforço dos volumes em derivativos. 📢 Mantenha-se atualizado com nossas análises diárias na ExpertFX School. Aqui você encontra cobertura completa de BTC, ouro, geopolítica, macroeconomia e estratégias operacionais com leitura institucional.
  12. 📘 Estados Unidos e alternativa de Trump: Gastar ou Morrer Tentando Análise Profissional por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado e Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE 🧭 Resumo Executivo A nova diretriz econômica da presidência Trump está clara: “gastar para crescer”. Após o fracasso da estratégia de contenção fiscal e entraves na política monetária, os EUA entram em uma nova fase: gasto agressivo, dólar mais fraco e estímulo industrial em larga escala. Este movimento está redesenhando a paisagem macroeconômica global — e prepara o terreno para uma nova perna de alta no ouro, na indústria militar, no petróleo e até em criptoativos lastreados em infraestrutura monetária. 📌 Tópicos-Chave: 1. 🇺🇸 “Gastar para Crescer” é o novo Plano B de Trump O antigo Plano A — acordos bilaterais, corte de impostos, contenção fiscal — esbarrou em dois obstáculos: O Fed se recusa a cortar juros rapidamente; O Congresso é hostil a cortes profundos de gastos. Resultado? Entra em cena o Plano B: estímulo via gasto público e desvalorização do dólar: 2. 💥 Guerra Fria Econômica e Corrida Global por Gastos A promessa da OTAN de gastar 5% do PIB em defesa reforça a corrida armamentista fiscal. Gastos militares, reconstrução energética e estímulos industriais estão substituindo a austeridade. A guerra econômica agora é quem gasta mais, cresce mais — e domina os fluxos globais de capital. 3. 📈 Ouro não sobe mais por medo. Sobe por certeza de reconstrução monetária A alta do ouro em 2025 já não está mais ligada ao caos, mas sim ao fim da frugalidade global. 95% dos bancos centrais esperam elevar suas reservas em ouro. O gasto público irrestrito, a reconstrução monetária via infraestrutura de pagamentos (incluindo criptoativos) e a perda de confiança no dólar aceleram a demanda pelo ouro como reserva estratégica. XAU/USD pode projetar-se para US$ 3.600–4.200/oz com base nos fluxos institucionais e expansão de balanço dos governos. 4. 🏭 Guerra Industrial: petróleo iraniano, acordos com China e Europa recua Trump bombardeia instalações nucleares do Irã e, dias depois, anuncia cessar-fogo e possibilidade de reinserção do petróleo iraniano ao mercado global. Vietnam, China e Reino Unido já fecharam acordos comerciais, enquanto Japão e UE correm contra o tempo para evitar tarifas que podem chegar a 30% ou mais. A UE, inclusive, abandonou temporariamente o plano de taxar big techs americanas — uma vitória comercial estratégica para os EUA. 5. 🧱 Infraestrutura de Pagamentos: o Novo Ouro Digital? Uma nova forma de Keynesianismo digital e militar está surgindo: Gastos em infraestrutura física (pontes, energia); Investimentos em infraestrutura monetária (stablecoins, CBDCs, rails de pagamento descentralizado); Construção de redes paralelas ao SWIFT; O crescimento de stablecoins colateralizadas por ouro e petróleo tende a acelerar. 6. 📉 Impacto no Mercado Financeiro ✔️ O que esperar: Ativo Direção Esperada Motivo XAU/USD (Ouro) 📈 Alta forte Demanda institucional + reconstrução monetária USD/JPY, DXY (Dólar) 📉 Queda gradual Política explícita de enfraquecimento cambial para estímulo Ações Industriais 📈 Alta Gastos militares e acordos comerciais Criptoativos 📈 Alta seletiva Relevância de stablecoins e rails de pagamento Treasuries 📉 Pressão vendedora Expectativa de déficits prolongados e inflação estrutural 🧭 Conclusão ExpertFX School: O Novo Normal é Gastar Estamos vivendo o início de uma corrida armamentista econômica, onde o que define liderança global é a capacidade de gastar sem colapsar. O ouro será o principal beneficiário, não como refúgio de caos, mas como âncora de credibilidade num sistema global que busca reconstrução monetária. 📌 A frase que resume o cenário atual:
  13. Bitcoin’s upward momentum has returned, with the asset briefly crossing the $110,000 threshold before pulling back slightly. After hitting a 24-hour high of $110,117, Bitcoin now trades at $109,386, reflecting a 1.8% increase in the past day. This recent push places the asset about $2,000 surge away from its all-time high of $111,814, recorded in May 2025, prompting renewed attention from traders and analysts. While price movements often attract headlines, on-chain data has started signaling deeper market activity. Binance Sees 3,400 Bitcoin in Outflows as Spot Volume Surges According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, a substantial volume of BTC has recently been moved off Binance, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges. The shift aligns with anticipation around a series of US macroeconomic indicators, which historically tend to influence risk-on assets like Bitcoin. Taha highlighted that Binance recorded a net outflow of over 3,400 BTC in a single day. This occurred shortly after Bitcoin’s price breached the $109,000 mark. Large-scale withdrawals from exchanges such as Binance are often interpreted as a sign that holders may be preparing to hold their assets longer-term, or shielding their positions from potential short-term volatility. Simultaneously, Binance’s share of the global Bitcoin spot volume surged significantly, from 41% to 56% in just one session. Taha noted that this spike indicates increased reliance on Binance’s liquidity by traders seeking exposure to Bitcoin ahead of anticipated market-moving economic data. The outflow trend, paired with rising spot volume, suggests that traders are actively responding to broader market signals, especially from traditional finance. US Jobs Report Drives Market Positioning The current surge in Bitcoin activity coincides with heightened market focus on US labor market data, including the Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings figures. These indicators are closely watched by investors as they influence inflation expectations and the Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rate adjustments. Shifts in rate expectations often have direct consequences for risk assets like Bitcoin, as changes in the cost of capital affect liquidity and investor appetite. Taha suggests that the recent Binance outflows may reflect investor positioning ahead of potential macro-driven market volatility. “Bitcoin outflows from Binance alongside the sharp rise in spot trading activity… appear to show that investors are positioning for potential upside volatility,” he wrote. A favorable labor report could amplify bullish sentiment across both equity and crypto markets if it strengthens expectations of a rate cut or an extended pause in rate hikes. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
  14. 📊 Análise Técnica e Institucional: ETF de Ouro pode impulsionar nova perna de alta no XAU/USD? Por Igor Pereira – ExpertFX School | Análise Profissional com Viés Institucional 🟡 Contexto Atual: Fluxos para ETFs e Alta do Ouro O gráfico acima compara dois elementos cruciais para a dinâmica do ouro: 📉 ETP Holdings (em azul, escala da esquerda): Representa o volume de ouro físico detido por ETFs (Exchange-Traded Products). 📈 Preço do ouro ($/oz, linha amarela, escala da direita): Evolução do preço spot do metal desde 2019. 📌 O que o gráfico mostra? Descorrelação recente entre preço e fluxos de ETFs: Os preços do ouro atingiram máximas históricas acima de US$ 3.300/oz em 2025, mesmo com os ETFs ainda longe de seus picos de 2020–2021. O gráfico destaca que existe “ground to cover”, ou seja, espaço para recuperação dos fluxos institucionais via ETFs, caso o apetite por proteção aumente. Reversão nos fluxos: A partir de meados de 2024, os holdings dos ETFs voltaram a subir. Em junho de 2025, os fluxos atingiram o maior nível desde 2023, sugerindo que instituições estão retornando ao ouro físico via ETFs. 🧠 O "Bull Case" para o Ouro: Por que ainda há espaço para subir? Historicamente, quando os ETFs retornaram a seus picos anteriores (~130Moz), o preço do ouro respondeu com movimentos de US$ 300 a US$ 900 por onça troy. Se esse comportamento se repetir e os ETFs voltarem ao pico de 2020-2021, o XAU/USD pode projetar novos patamares entre US$ 3.600 a US$ 4.200/oz. 📌 Fatores Técnicos e Fundamentais que suportam essa visão 🏦 1. Compras por Bancos Centrais Em maio de 2025, bancos centrais adicionaram 20 toneladas líquidas ao estoque global, mantendo a tendência de acumulação iniciada em 2022. 95% dos bancos centrais esperam aumentar ou manter suas reservas em ouro em 2025, reforçando o valor do metal como hedge contra crise e inflação. 📉 2. Desdolarização e Saída do USD das Reservas Globais 73% dos bancos centrais esperam reduzir a proporção do dólar em suas reservas nos próximos 5 anos. O ouro é visto como alternativa neutra e não soberana, ideal para realocação de portfólio. 🌐 3. Tarifas Trump e Aversão ao Risco O novo pacote tarifário anunciado por Donald Trump pode elevar a aversão ao risco sistêmico, impulsionando os fluxos para ouro físico e ETFs. O ambiente geopolítico hostil cria pressão compradora institucional no ouro. 🔮 Cenários Possíveis para o Preço do Ouro Cenário ETP Holdings XAU/USD Estimado Conservador Retorna a 115Moz US$ 3.500/oz Moderado Retorna a 125Moz US$ 3.800/oz Otimista Retorna ao pico de 135Moz US$ 4.200/oz 🧭 O Que Monitorar nos Próximos Meses 🔎 Dados semanais de fluxos nos ETFs de ouro (SPDR Gold Trust, iShares, etc.) 📆 Decisões de bancos centrais (Fed, ECB, PBoC) e aumento das reservas em ouro 💬 Retórica geopolítica (Trump, China, Irã, Rússia) que possa alimentar demanda por hedge 📉 Correlação entre taxas de juros reais e fluxos para ouro físico ✅ Conclusão ExpertFX School Com preço do ouro em alta histórica, mas fluxos institucionais via ETFs ainda com “espaço a recuperar”, o mercado de ouro possui um potencial latente de alta, que poderá ser destravado com: Nova onda de desdolarização Crise de confiança no sistema financeiro Avanço das tensões geopolíticas Reaceleração da inflação global O investidor atento ao XAU/USD deve estar preparado para um possível movimento explosivo se os ETFs voltarem a níveis históricos. 📣 “O ouro pode estar apenas começando uma nova perna de alta – e os ETFs serão o combustível.” Não perca as próximas atualizações aqui na ExpertFX School!
  15. A fresh banking venture is taking shape in Silicon Valley. This time, it’s coming from some of the most recognizable names in tech. Palmer Luckey, Peter Thiel, and Joe Lonsdale are backing Erebor Bank, a new institution aimed at serving crypto firms, AI startups, defense tech, and advanced manufacturing, the types of companies that were left in limbo after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023. Filling SVB’s Gap Before its downfall, SVB played a major role in financing early-stage tech. Its absence created a vacuum that traditional banks were not exactly eager to fill. Erebor Bank wants to step into that space. It’s a digital-first operation with its main office in Columbus, Ohio, and a presence in New York. The goal is to build a modern institution that understands the speed and complexity of the startup world, especially in crypto. A Stablecoin-Backed Blueprint One thing that sets Erebor apart is its intention to actively support stablecoins. The bank has already applied for a national banking charter and plans to hold stablecoins on its balance sheet. That move could give it an edge when it comes to serving companies working with tokenized assets or global payments. Co-CEOs Owen Rapaport and Jacob Hirshman, both with experience in crypto infrastructure, are driving this plan forward. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Founders and Mission Palmer Luckey, known for Oculus and defense firm Anduril, is financially backing the project but will stay out of day-to-day operations. Peter Thiel and Joe Lonsdale bring deep ties to venture capital through Founders Fund and 8VC. The leadership team, including Rapaport, who previously worked at Circle, sees Erebor as a lifeline for tech sectors that have been underserved since SVB went under. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.18T24h7d30d1yAll time The aim is to create a bank that doesn’t flinch at innovation. Where others see risk, Erebor sees potential. It’s pitching itself as the first real banking option designed from the ground up to support the tools and trends defining the next decade. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Why Now May Be the Right Time The timing is no accident. The startup ecosystem has not fully recovered from SVB’s implosion. Founders still struggle to find banking partners that truly get their business models. On top of that, stablecoin regulation is finally starting to take shape, and several crypto firms like Circle and Anchorage are moving toward regulated banking models. Erebor wants to get ahead of that curve. The bank says it plans to become one of the most tightly regulated institutions working with stablecoins. If that happens, it could offer a blend of security and speed that few others can match. What Lies Ahead Even with strong backing, Erebor has a long regulatory road ahead. Getting a national charter means meeting standards set by the OCC, Federal Reserve, and other agencies. And since crypto is still a sensitive topic for many regulators, the bank’s digital asset strategy is likely to face heavy scrutiny. But Erebor is entering the space at a moment when the rules are clearer and the demand is higher. Circle’s expansion and Anchorage’s foothold have already proven there’s a real appetite for crypto-native banking options that play by the rules. Looking Forward Erebor is not trying to recreate the past. It’s stepping into the future with a clear focus on stablecoins, secure custody, and smarter lending. Whether it becomes the go-to bank for tech startups or just helps push the conversation forward, it’s already part of the next chapter in the crypto and fintech story. The gap left by SVB is still there. Erebor thinks it has the blueprint to finally close it. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Erebor Bank is being launched by tech figures like Palmer Luckey, Peter Thiel, and Joe Lonsdale to serve crypto, AI, and defense startups left behind after SVB’s collapse. The bank plans to support stablecoins directly on its balance sheet and has applied for a national banking charter to operate as a federally regulated institution. Erebor Bank’s leadership includes former Circle staff and crypto veterans aiming to create a regulated, digital-first bank tailored to startup needs. The project is designed to fill the startup banking gap with tools for fast-moving sectors like tokenized assets, global payments, and advanced manufacturing. If successful, Erebor Bank could become a major player in crypto banking by combining innovation with full regulatory compliance. The post Tech Titans Launch Erebor Bank to Fill SVB’s Void for Crypto and AI Startups appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  16. Binance Pay is making crypto spending a real-world experience on the French Riviera. In a new push to bring stablecoins into daily life, Binance has partnered with payments app Lyzi to enable crypto transactions at more than 80 merchants across southern France. From small boutiques in Nice to beachfront shops in Cannes, users can now pay in stablecoins like USDT or FDUSD with the tap of a phone. Crypto Meets Everyday Spending This expansion is more than a novelty. It’s part of Binance’s broader effort to demonstrate that crypto can do more than just sit in a wallet or trade on exchanges. The French Riviera rollout allows users to spend stablecoins on food, fashion, wellness, and entertainment, categories that tourists and locals regularly engage with. With the summer travel season underway, it’s a timely move. Source: Shutterstock Binance Pay works like any other QR-based mobile wallet, but with one difference: the funds come directly from a crypto balance, and payments are settled in seconds. Users can choose from a list of supported stablecoins and pay in-store without converting to euros first. That simplicity is key to making digital assets usable beyond speculation. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Why France? France has quietly positioned itself as one of Europe’s more crypto-friendly countries. Regulatory clarity and growing fintech support have helped projects like this one move forward faster than they might elsewhere. Binance’s local team, operating under full registration with French regulators, is using the region to pilot new consumer payment flows before bringing them to bigger cities or international markets. Binance CoinPriceMarket CapBNB$97.86B24h7d30d1yAll time The choice of the Riviera is strategic. The area pulls in millions of visitors each year, many of whom are already familiar with crypto. By launching here, Binance gets real-time feedback from a global audience without needing a massive nationwide rollout. It’s a contained but high-impact setting that gives the company room to iterate. Stablecoins in the Spotlight The payment method here is intentional. Unlike volatile cryptocurrencies, stablecoins offer price predictability. That matters when you’re selling a product with a fixed euro price. The system currently supports major stablecoins like USDT and FDUSD, both of which are pegged to the U.S. dollar and widely used for transactions in crypto markets. Binance Pay and Lyzi are using this as a proof of concept: if users are comfortable paying in stablecoins and merchants are happy with fast, low-fee settlement, there’s no reason the model can’t expand across Europe. That said, adoption still depends on ease of use, education, and a sense of trust in both the technology and the coins themselves. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in July2025 Looking Ahead More regions could follow if this pilot succeeds. Binance has hinted at plans to broaden merchant support, add more stablecoin options, and expand into other European cities. As stablecoin regulation tightens across the EU, early rollouts like this could give Binance an advantage in understanding what users want from crypto payments. This is not a flashy PR campaign or tech demo. It’s a quiet, steady step toward mainstream utility. On the Riviera, paying in crypto is no longer an idea. It’s just part of the checkout process. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Binance Pay is now live at over 80 merchants across the French Riviera, enabling real-world crypto payments in USDT and FDUSD. Users can spend stablecoins in categories like food, fashion, and wellness, making crypto part of everyday transactions. France’s clear crypto regulations and tech-friendly ecosystem made it an ideal testing ground for this stablecoin payment rollout. Stablecoins provide price stability, allowing merchants to accept crypto payments without worrying about volatility. If the pilot succeeds, Binance may expand stablecoin payments to other parts of Europe with broader merchant support. The post Stablecoins Hit the Riviera: Binance Pay Now Live at Dozens of French Merchants appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  17. Solana started a recovery wave above the $150 zone. SOL price is now correcting gains and might struggle to rise above the $155 resistance. SOL price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear $155 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading near $152 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $151 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $156 resistance zone. Solana Price Trims Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it cleared the $150 resistance, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $152 level to enter a short-term positive zone. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $160 swing high to the $144 low. However, the bears were active near the $156 resistance. They protected a move above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $160 swing high to the $144 low. The price is now moving lower and trading below the $154 level. Solana is now trading near $152 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $151 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $155 level. The next major resistance is near the $156 level. The main resistance could be $160. A successful close above the $160 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $162. Any more gains might send the price toward the $165 level. Another Decline in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $155 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $150 zone. The first major support is near the $146 level. A break below the $146 level might send the price toward the $142 zone. If there is a close below the $142 support, the price could decline toward the $136 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $150 and $146. Major Resistance Levels – $155 and $160.
  18. 🗞️ TRUMP AVANÇA COM TARIFAS UNILATERAIS: COMEÇA A IMPOSIÇÃO GLOBAL A PARTIR DE 1º DE AGOSTO Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado e Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School | Análises Geopolíticas e Impactos Macroeconômicos 📌 Resumo Executivo O presidente dos Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, confirmou que começará a enviar cartas formais com tarifas unilaterais a partir desta sexta-feira, impondo novas alíquotas de importação sobre produtos estrangeiros com vigência a partir de 1º de agosto de 2025. Essa medida marca uma escalada na política comercial protecionista da atual administração, com tarifas que variam de 10% a até 70% sobre importações de diversos países. 📦 O Que Está em Jogo: Novas Tarifas em Escala Global Entre 10 e 12 países receberão as primeiras cartas nesta sexta-feira (4 de julho) Até o dia 9 de julho, todos os parceiros comerciais deverão estar notificados As tarifas poderão chegar a 70% em alguns casos, superando os 50% anunciados em abril no chamado pacote “Dia da Libertação Comercial” Os países que não fecharem acordos bilaterais até 9 de julho estarão automaticamente sujeitos aos novos impostos de importação 🤝 Situação dos Acordos Comerciais ✅ Acordos Confirmados: 🇬🇧 Reino Unido 🇻🇳 Vietnã: 20% sobre exportações gerais e 40% sobre produtos “transshipment” (redirecionados da China via Vietnã) ⚠️ Em negociação: 🇨🇳 China: Trégua parcial estabelecida 🇪🇺 União Europeia 🇯🇵 Japão: Considerado "difícil" por Trump, podendo enfrentar tarifas de até 35% 🇮🇳 Índia: Negociações avançadas, mas sem confirmação oficial 🇰🇷 Coreia do Sul: Em tratativas 🔍 Análise Técnica e Institucional – Impacto nos Mercados 📈 1. Impacto sobre o Dólar (USD): A política tarifária pode fortalecer o dólar no curto prazo, pela repatriação de receitas e inflação importada. No entanto, o risco de retaliações comerciais, queda no volume de comércio global e incerteza institucional tende a enfraquecer o USD no médio/longo prazo, especialmente contra moedas de países emergentes exportadores de commodities. 🟡 2. Reflexos no Ouro (XAU/USD): Alta volatilidade esperada no XAU/USD, com possível valorização do ouro diante do aumento do risco geopolítico e comercial A continuidade da política de Trump em retaliar parceiros pode elevar a aversão global ao risco, impulsionando fluxos para ativos de proteção, como ouro e franco suíço (CHF) A imposição de tarifas a partir de agosto pode coincidir com os cortes esperados pelo Fed, reforçando a tese de valorização do ouro no segundo semestre 🏭 3. Mercado de Ações e Cadeias Globais: Empresas com cadeias de produção expostas a Ásia e Europa podem sofrer desvalorização Fabricantes com operações no Vietnã chegaram a subir após o anúncio do acordo parcial com os EUA Setores afetados: tecnologia, automóveis, semicondutores, farmacêutico e bens industriais 🚢 4. Comércio Global: Risco crescente de guerra comercial em múltiplas frentes, com possível efeito dominó: Aumento do custo de insumos e bens intermediários Redução da competitividade das exportações Elevação da inflação via canais de importação Países como Japão, Alemanha, França e Coreia do Sul podem retaliar com medidas semelhantes 🔮 O Que Esperar Cenário Base (sem acordo com UE e Japão): Tarifa média de 30% aplicada sobre importações de grandes economias Redução no comércio bilateral Reforço da tendência global de regionalização da produção Cenário Alternativo (acordos até 9 de julho): Acordos bilaterais com Japão e UE aliviariam os mercados Trump pode usar a imposição como ferramenta de negociação, recuando após concessões estratégicas Riscos Adicionais: Volatilidade no mercado de commodities industriais Pressão sobre inflação global, especialmente em economias dependentes de importações dos EUA Potencial ação retaliatória da Organização Mundial do Comércio (OMC) e blocos como UE e ASEAN 💬 Conclusão ExpertFX School A política comercial unilateral de Trump representa uma inflexão relevante nas relações econômicas globais. A imposição de tarifas entre 10% e 70% cria um ambiente de incerteza que afeta diretamente: A volatilidade cambial A dinâmica do XAU/USD O fluxo de capitais para ativos de segurança E o desempenho macroeconômico global A decisão de iniciar as tarifas em 1º de agosto marca um novo capítulo na guerra comercial sob a doutrina do “America First” com efeito direto sobre cadeias produtivas globais e potencial realocação de reservas cambiais em ouro. 📣 Fique atento aos próximos dias aqui na ExpertFX School: O envio das cartas tarifárias entre 5 e 9 de julho será o gatilho para um possível realinhamento global nos mercados.
  19. Vincent Van Code, a software engineer and long-time XRP advocate, ignited fresh debate across the crypto community by outlining what he believes to be the transformative implications of Ripple’s bid for a US banking charter and a Federal Reserve master account. The developments, which Ripple confirmed 2 July, would position the company at the epicenter of both crypto innovation and traditional financial infrastructure. According to Van Code, the impact of such regulatory approvals would go far beyond Ripple’s current operations. “With Ripple announcing they are seeking a banking charter as well as a Fed master account, this means they will be the very first crypto bank,” he posted via X. He detailed that the move could allow Ripple to hold reserves directly with the Federal Reserve, bypassing commercial banks, and operate as a full-service financial institution offering both fiat and crypto products. This would include the ability to provide FDIC-insured deposit accounts—potentially even for certain crypto assets—up to the $250,000 limit, and lend against crypto collateral such as XRP. “That’s going to be nuts. And XRP is flying it all together,” he wrote, calling the possible integration of insured crypto banking and core cross-border remittances a paradigm shift. “2025 to 2026 will be marked in history as the era which the 100 year banking cartel began to crumble.” A master account would allow Ripple to interact directly with the Fed’s payment rails, including Fedwire and FedNow, giving it full access to the US financial system as a settlement counterparty. Combined with its push into stablecoins through RLUSD and its remittance infrastructure RippleNet, such a regulatory leap could fully embed Ripple into both domestic and international payment flows. Impact On XRP Price In a follow-up post, Van Code did something he says he rarely does: offer a specific XRP price prediction. “I usually don’t predict XRP price but often get asked, so here it is FINALLY,” he wrote. “My opinion is $30–$50. And this is no shill, I don’t expect anyone to agree with me. I am not prophet or time traveller. But my investment in XRP is based on this opinion.” While he didn’t commit to a timeframe, he emphasized that such targets are not arbitrary, but grounded in a set of unfolding macro and market catalysts. Among those catalysts, Van Code cited potential XRP spot ETF approval and an estimated $20–$50 billion in institutional capital inflows. He also pointed to a potential master account approval coupled with RippleNet capturing 20–30% of the $1 trillion cross-border payments market, and global adoption of XRP as a bridge asset for central bank digital currency (CBDC) corridors in over 50 countries. Van Code further noted the rising use case for Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD, arguing that demand for a Fed-backed digital dollar would reinforce XRP’s utility as a bridge currency. He also floated the idea that XRP could be used in Saudi oil settlements, citing Ripple’s confirmed 2024 collaboration with the Saudi central bank as a possible foundation for that evolution. His posts have struck a chord in the XRP community. “People weighed in on XRP price… Lots of interesting opinions. But common across all is everyone expecting price to at least 5x. This is a great sign,” he said. The idea that XRP could rise to $30–$50 implies a market cap in the trillions, something skeptics will call out as unrealistic. But for XRP holders, especially those who see Ripple’s regulatory path as a backdoor to institutional legitimacy, the confluence of a Fed master account, bank charter, ETF inflows, and global adoption isn’t merely theoretical. It’s a roadmap. At press time, XRP traded at $2.27.
  20. XRP price started a decent upward move from the $2.20 zone. The price is now correcting some gains and might find bids near the $2.220 zone. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.220 zone. The price is now trading above $2.220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.2250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another decline if it fails to stay above the $2.220 zone. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $2.20 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.220 resistance level. The bulls were able to push the price above the $2.250 level. However, the bears were active near the $2.320 level. A high was formed at $2.310 and the price is now correcting some gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.148 swing low to the $2.310 high. The price is now trading above $2.220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.2250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.2720 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.30 level. The next resistance is $2.320. A clear move above the $2.320 resistance might send the price toward the $2.350 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.40 resistance or even $2.420 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.50. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $2.30 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.2250 level and the trend line. The next major support is near the $2.20 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.148 swing low to the $2.310 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.20 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.150 support. The next major support sits near the $2.120 zone. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.2250 and $2.20. Major Resistance Levels – $2.30 and $2.320.
  21. TRON’s token TRX has barely budged despite a flurry of on‑chain action. Traders saw a 5% gain over the past week and a measly 0.50% uptick in the last 24 hours. But behind those mild price moves, there’s a storm of activity that could shape how TRX fares in the days ahead. Surge In On‑Chain Activity According to data from Artemis, daily transaction counts shot up to over 9 million, up from 7.5 million the day before. That jump in numbers sent active addresses soaring. On‑chain participants climbed to 2.7 million, marking the highest level since June 6. Based on reports, much of this traffic appears tied to stablecoin transfers rather than new users or fresh investment. The spike in transaction volume doesn’t match TRX’s price action. That gap hints at wallets moving funds out of exchanges, routing payments, or chasing yield elsewhere. Users aren’t rushing to hold TRX for its own sake. They’re using the network as a highway and then driving off into other chains. Stablecoin Outflows Hit Record High According to Artemis, TRON’s stablecoin supply hit $80 billion in June, setting a new milestone for the network. Since then, about $185 million worth of stablecoins have fled the chain. That outflow marks a sharp reversal in user habits. People who once parked their USDT and other tokens on TRON look to be shifting them to new destinations. The pullback follows a broader rotation in crypto markets where investors chase better rates or lower fees. TRON once drew crowds for its low transaction costs. Now, competing chains and Layer 2 platforms are undercutting its edge. That has cut into TRX’s role as the network’s workhorse token. Revenue And TVL Take A Hit Artemis figures show that TRX’s total revenue plunged to just $114,000 in a single day. That number sits at a four‑year low. Network fees in TRON come from “bandwidth” and “energy,” so when users batch transfers or switch to zero‑fee bridges, fee income collapses fast. Based on data from DeFiLlama, total value locked on TRON protocols fell by 0.50% in 24 hours, a drop from $4.80 billion to $4.85 billion. That’s about $26 million walking out the door. While a half‑percent move might look small, it underlines a trend. Every million dollars that leaves makes it tougher for lending pools and yield farms to keep their rates up. Despite the outflows, TRX hasn’t broken key support levels yet. It still trades above areas that buyers defended in late spring. But if TVL keeps sliding and stablecoins continue to exit, we could see more pressure on the token’s price. Featured image from P2P.org, chart from TradingView
  22. Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,450 zone. ETH is now back above $2,550 and might soon aim for more gains. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,550 level. The price is trading above $2,575 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $2,570 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains supported above the $2,520 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,450 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above the $2,550 resistance zone and entered a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above the $2,620 resistance. However, there was no upside extension. A high was formed near $2,636 and the price corrected some gains. There was a move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,373 swing low to the $2,636 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,560 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $2,570 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $2,625 level. The next key resistance is near the $2,640 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,650 level. A clear move above the $2,650 resistance might send the price toward the $2,720 resistance. An upside break above the $2,720 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,750 resistance zone or even $2,800 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,620 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,570 level. The first major support sits near the $2,520 zone. A clear move below the $2,520 support might push the price toward the $2,500 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,420 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,350. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,520 Major Resistance Level – $2,620
  23. Dogecoin has observed a rebound from the support line of a Parallel Channel. Here’s where the next target could lie, according to an analyst. Dogecoin Found Support At Lower Level Of This Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how the daily Dogecoin price is currently looking from the perspective of a technical analysis (TA) pattern. The pattern in question is a Parallel Channel, which forms whenever an asset’s price witnesses consolidation between two parallel trendlines. The upper line of the channel tracks successive highs, and the lower one lows. The cryptocurrency breaking out of either of these levels implies a continuation of the trend in that direction. A surge above the channel is a bullish signal, while a fall under it is a bearish one. There are three different types of Parallel Channels. The Ascending variation occurs when the trendlines are sloped upwards. That is, it represents a phase of consolidation to the upside. Similarly, the Descending type involves the asset going down with time. In the context of the current topic, the third and most common variant is of interest. This type signifies a phase of true sideways movement, with the channel being parallel to the time-axis. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the Parallel Channel that the 1-day price of Dogecoin has been moving inside for the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Dogecoin daily price recently saw a brief retest of the lower level of the Parallel Channel. This line of the pattern is generally considered a level of support, and indeed, it played this role during the recent retest as well by helping the memecoin to turn around. DOGE has since been on the way up. According to the analyst, the cryptocurrency is now targeting the $0.19 level, situated at the midway point of the Parallel Channel. In the event that Dogecoin can clear this level, it’s possible that the coin may set its sights on the $0.26 mark next. This price corresponds to the upper level of the pattern, which provided resistance to the memecoin on a couple of occasions in May. From the current exchange rate, a surge to this line would imply an increase of more than 50%. It now remains to be seen how the asset’s trajectory would look in the near future and whether the lines of the Parallel Channel would play any part. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is floating around $0.172, up over 7% in the last week.
  24. Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $107,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to continue higher above the $110,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $108,500 zone. The price is trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $109,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $107,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $105,500 resistance. BTC cleared many hurdles near $107,000 to start a decent increase. The bulls pushed the price in a positive zone above the $108,000 level. The price even spiked above the $110,000 level before the bears appeared. A high was formed near $110,578 and the price is now consolidating gains near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $105,116 swing low to the $110,578 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $109,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $110,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $110,500 level. A close above the $110,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $112,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $113,200 level. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $109,500 level and the channel’s trend line. The first major support is near the $108,800 level. The next support is now near the $107,850 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $105,116 swing low to the $110,578 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $106,400 support in the near term. The main support sits at $105,000, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,800, followed by $107,850. Major Resistance Levels – $110,000 and $110,500.
  25. Ethereum (ETH) is up more than 8% over the past 48 hours, climbing from around $2,400 on July 1 to nearly $2,600 at the time of writing. The latest on-chain analysis reveals that both accumulation addresses and liquid staking volume are approaching all-time highs (ATH), fueling optimism that ETH’s price may soon follow. Ethereum Liquid Staking, Accumulation Addresses Nearing Historic Highs According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Carmelo_Aleman, Ethereum’s liquid staking activity has seen a notable increase since June 1. The total amount of ETH staked rose from 34.54 million to 35.52 million by June 30 – an increase of nearly one million ETH in just one month. As of July 1, ETH set a new record in liquid staking, reaching 35.56 million ETH. A closer look suggests that most accumulation addresses are linked to institutional investors, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and other large holders. Many of these investors choose to earn yield through liquid staking while waiting for substantial price appreciation. Among the biggest beneficiaries of this trend are decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols like Lido and Binance Liquid Staking, known for their scale and investor-friendly features. In addition to the rise in liquid staking, ETH accumulation addresses are also nearing record highs. As shown in the following ETH Cohort Study chart, these addresses grew 35.97% – from 16.72 million on June 1 to 22.74 million by June 30. For the uninitiated, Ethereum accumulation addresses are wallets that acquire and hold ETH without significant outgoing transactions, often excluding known exchange, miner, or smart contract addresses. These addresses typically signal long-term investor confidence, as they represent entities accumulating ETH without actively selling. Also worth highlighting is that the Realized Price of these accumulation addresses – their average acquisition cost – stood at $2,114 on July 1. As ETH trades at $2,593 at the time of writing, these accumulation addresses are sitting on a healthy profit of approximately 22.65%. ETH Primed For A Breakout? Technical analysis suggests that ETH could be poised for a breakout in the near term. In a recent post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto pointed out that ETH appears ready to break out of a broadening wedge pattern on the weekly chart, with a potential upside target of $4,200. Institutional interest in Ethereum also appears to be strengthening. Notably, ETH may have found its own “MicroStrategy moment,” with Tom Lee and Joe Lubin revealing plans to accumulate significant ETH positions. That said, ETH must maintain support above the $2,200 level. A breakdown below this threshold could open the door for a drop to as low as $1,160. At press time, ETH is trading at $2,593, up 1.7% in the past 24 hours.
  26. Litecoin (LTC) is back in the spotlight as bullish momentum sweeps across the crypto market. After months of volatility and sideways action, Litecoin is showing signs of strength, pushing above key technical levels and attracting fresh investor interest. The broader market recovery, fueled by optimism in Bitcoin and Ethereum, has created favorable conditions for altcoins to regain traction, and Litecoin could be one of the biggest beneficiaries. Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently shared a technical analysis highlighting a major development: Litecoin has broken above a key level on the daily chart. This breakout is a critical technical signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal after weeks of consolidation and indecision. While resistance remains overhead, analysts believe that a confirmed reclaim of this level as support could trigger an expansive phase for LTC, opening the door to strong upside moves. As institutional interest in crypto grows and macroeconomic conditions stabilize, assets like Litecoin—known for speed, low fees, and high liquidity—may attract attention from traders and investors seeking asymmetric returns. With momentum on its side and market sentiment shifting, the coming days will be crucial to determine whether Litecoin can turn this breakout into a full-scale rally. Litecoin Bullish Momentum And ETF Hopes Fuel Rally Litecoin (LTC) is gaining bullish traction as price action strengthens and investor sentiment improves across the crypto market. Currently trading above $90, Litecoin has broken out of its downward trend, signaling renewed buying interest and technical strength. This move is particularly significant, given months of sideways consolidation and the broader market’s gradual recovery. According to Carl Runefelt, Litecoin has decisively broken above its descending resistance on the daily chart—a bullish technical setup that could pave the way for further gains. Runefelt believes the next target is $97.10, a level that, if reached and held, could mark the start of a new upward leg for LTC. The recent breakout has reignited interest in Litecoin’s medium-term prospects, especially as traders look for altcoins with momentum and untapped upside. Adding to the optimism is speculation surrounding a potential Litecoin spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). According to Bloomberg, the probability of approval for a Litecoin spot ETF by October 2 (local time) has risen to an impressive 95%. Such a product would offer institutional investors a new and regulated vehicle to gain exposure to LTC, potentially unlocking significant inflows. With favorable technicals and strong fundamentals aligning, Litecoin appears poised for a breakout. The coming days will be critical as bulls aim to confirm support above $90 and push toward the $97.10 resistance. If ETF approval expectations continue to build alongside broader market momentum, Litecoin could emerge as one of the top-performing altcoins of the current cycle. LTC Price Action: Key Levels To Reclaim Litecoin (LTC) is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking above a key descending resistance level on the daily chart. As seen in the chart, LTC surged over 4% in the last session, closing at $91.23. This breakout follows weeks of tight consolidation near the $85 zone and signals growing interest as market sentiment improves across the board. Price has now moved decisively above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which have acted as resistance in recent weeks. The next challenge lies at the 200-day moving average, currently near $98.50, which aligns closely with the analyst-projected target of $97.10. Reclaiming that level would confirm a full trend reversal and open the door to testing the $100 psychological level. Volume has also picked up, supporting the breakout and suggesting that buyers are stepping in. If bulls maintain momentum and consolidate above $90, Litecoin could confirm a shift in market structure and set the stage for a broader rally. On the downside, any rejection at the 200-day MA could trigger a retest of the $87–$89 support area. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
  27. The Dogecoin price may be setting up for a significant rally as a technical analyst identifies a bullish breakout above the 50-day trendline. After months of compressed price action, the meme coin now appears poised to conclude its downtrend, igniting fresh optimism within the crypto community. Dogecoin Price Set For Game-Changing Rally Trader Tardigrade, a crypto market analyst, announced in an X (formerly Twitter) post on July 1 that the Dogecoin price has just broken above a critical 50-day descending trendline on its daily chart. With this new development, the analyst anticipates the potential start of a powerful upward price movement soon. Notably, the trendline breakout marks a significant shift in momentum for Dogecoin, which had been locked in a consistent downtrend over several weeks. The leading meme coin is currently trading at $0.17, having declined by almost 10% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. With the potential end of this market downturn in sight, Trader Tardigrade suggests that DOGE’s microstructure is now beginning to show early signs of a bullish reversal pattern. In his price chart, the analyst notes that Dogecoin established a higher low, followed by a higher high after its breakout above the long-standing trendline. More recently, a second higher low has formed, reinforcing the possibility that a new uptrend is underway. This structure, characterized by successively higher highs and lows, is often seen as the earliest confirmation that buyers could be regaining control of the market. The breakout is also especially significant because it follows an extended period of lower lows and lower highs, with the 50-day trendline acting as a strong resistance barrier throughout. With that resistance now breached and early signs of a bullish market structure developing, Trader Tardigrade is increasingly optimistic about Dogecoin’s near-term prospects. If the current trend persists, it could signal the start of a sustained rally for the meme coin. Analyst Says Dogecoin Below $0.2 Is Free In a separate analysis, market expert Kaleo disclosed that Dogecoin’s current price below $0.20 presents a strong accumulation opportunity, implying that the meme coin is significantly undervalued when compared to its potential upside. Backing his view with a chart, the analyst projected that the Dogecoin price may be on the verge of a major breakout, with possible upside targets indicating a surge toward $1.5 and possibly beyond $ 3.50. Kaleo’s chart analysis highlights strong similarities between Dogecoin’s current market structure, following the April 2024 Bitcoin halving, and the 2020 breakout that preceded the meme coin’s historic bull run. In 2020, Dogecoin traded sideways within a Falling Wedge pattern for months before a breakout triggered a parabolic surge to fresh ATHs. The current price action exhibits a nearly identical setup, with the meme coin now emerging from a similar multi-year Falling Wedge, potentially setting the stage for another historic bull rally.
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