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Crypto Analyst Warns XRP Investors Amid Market Retrace
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Crypto analyst Steph has issued a warning to XRP investors regarding the current price action. He alluded to a multi-year resistance that the altcoin has struggled to break, noting that this should be the major focus as it eyes new highs. XRP Needs to Break Above the $3.6 Resistance In an X post, Steph shared a video in which he analysed the XRP monthly chart, dating back to the 2020 bull run. He highlighted an upward-sloping trendline for the altcoin, which showed that the altcoin has faced rejection at around the $3.6 level twice now. The first was in January of this year, when the altcoin surged to a yearly high. Meanwhile, the second has occurred again following the XRP’s latest rally to a new all-time high (ATH) around this $3.6 resistance. Steph declared that the altcoin needs to break above this multi-year trendline resistance, as it risks falling into “an ugly period of downward momentum” if it can’t flip this level into support. However, if XRP breaks above this resistance, Steph predicts that it could record a parabolic rally, which would send its price into double digits. The crypto analyst is more confident that the altcoin will break this resistance, noting that other bullish patterns support sustained bullish momentum. In the short term, Steph predicts that XRP could rally to as high as $4.42. He highlighted a double bottom breakout on the 4-day chart, which is still in play for the altcoin. He assured that XRP could still maintain this upward momentum despite the current pullback in the broader crypto market. However, if this bearish trend in the crypto market sustains for a while, he warned that the $3 support level is the one that XRP needs to stay above to avoid losing its bullish structure. The analyst expects a lot of buying pressure if the altcoin were to drop to this support level. What Next As The Altcoin Retests $3 In an X post, crypto analyst CasiTrades noted that XRP was unable to hold the $3.21 resistance and has now fallen back to test the $3 support. She stated that the altcoin appears to have completed a subwave wave 2 of a new trend, reaching a deep .854 retrace. If this new low holds as support, then she suggested that it could kickstart a large impulse to the upside. CasiTrades predicts that XRP could reach new highs if volume begins to rise and the price starts moving back above the $3.21 resistance. She noted that the first wave 3 sits near $3.82, which is the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Her accompanying chart showed that the altcoin could reach $3.8 on this next run-up. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $3.16, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. - Hoje
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TRON Drops Q2 Report: Revenue, USDT Dominance Lead Multi-Quarter Highs
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Tron Inc. (Nasdaq: TRON), the publicly listed company with the largest holdings of the TRON (TRX) token, marked a major milestone on Thursday with a ceremonial visit to the Nasdaq MarketSite in Times Square. Tron Founder and the company’s Global Advisor, Justin Sun, rang the opening bell, signaling a new chapter for the blockchain firm. Coinciding with the event, TRON released its Q2 2025 earnings report, revealing robust growth across key metrics. TRON’s market capitalization surged 17% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to $26.5 billion, while revenue jumped 20.5% QoQ to reach $915.9 million—both standing as multi-quarter highs. The report signals rising institutional interest and growing adoption of the TRON ecosystem at a time when broader crypto markets face mixed sentiment. As the blockchain sector matures, TRON’s blend of aggressive expansion and strong fundamentals appears to position the company favorably in the eyes of both retail and institutional investors. With this dual milestone—market debut and strong Q2 performance—TRON is sending a clear message: it’s here to lead. TRON Reports Deflationary TRX Supply, Record Stablecoin Growth In Q2 TRON’s Q2 report highlights a deflationary shift in TRX supply alongside strong network growth and stablecoin dominance. The circulating supply of TRX declined from 95.0 billion to 94.8 billion tokens, reflecting an annualized inflation rate of approximately -1.8%. While this marks a slightly higher inflation rate than Q1’s -1.6%, it still points to deflationary pressure on TRX, reinforcing its value proposition amid broader market uncertainty. Network activity also showed solid growth during the quarter. Daily average transactions rose 12.6% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ), increasing from 7.7 million to 8.6 million, while daily active addresses climbed 5.9% QoQ from 2.4 million to 2.5 million. These metrics suggest rising user engagement and expanding utility across the TRON ecosystem. Stablecoin activity remains a cornerstone of the network’s success. TRON’s stablecoin market cap surged 22.2% QoQ, rising from $66.2 billion to an all-time high of $80.9 billion. Tether (USDT) continues to dominate, accounting for 99.2% of the stablecoin supply on TRON. By the end of Q2, the USDT market cap on TRON reached $80.3 billion, a 22.2% increase from the previous quarter. Notably, TRON now hosts 50.6% of all USDT in circulation, underscoring its role as the leading blockchain for stablecoin activity. TRX Price Holds Above Key Support TRON (TRX) is showing resilience following its strong Q2 performance, holding steady above key support levels despite recent market volatility. As of the latest 8-hour chart, TRX is trading at $0.3163, up 0.48% on the day. After reaching a local high near $0.34 earlier this month, TRX experienced a mild pullback but has since stabilized and is now consolidating in a tight range. Price action remains bullish, with TRX trading above the 50-day ($0.3084), 100-day ($0.2935), and 200-day ($0.2840) moving averages—an indication of strong medium- and long-term momentum. The recent bounce from the 50-day MA suggests buyers are actively defending short-term support zones, reinforcing the overall uptrend. A breakout above the $0.32–$0.325 zone could signal a push toward retesting the $0.34 high. A failure to hold above the 50-day MA could open the door to a retest of the $0.30 psychological level. For now, the bias remains cautiously bullish. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView -
Wall Street’s Bold Bet: Bitcoin Could Hit $200K By December, Banking Giant Says
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Bitcoin has jumped more than 170% from its launch‑month price around $45,000 to about $123,000 earlier this month. Based on reports from Citi, the bank has laid out three scenarios for where the price might land by year‑end 2025. These range from a low of $64,000 in a weak market to a bull case of $199,000 if everything goes right. ETF Flows Take Center Stage In Bitcoin Uptrend According to Citi analysts, spot Bitcoin ETFs now explain over 40% of the recent price swings. Since their debut, US ETFs have snapped up about $54.66 billion worth of Bitcoin. That buying power helped drive BTC from roughly $45,000 to $123,000 in just a few months. The bank’s base case assumes another $15 billion in ETF inflows this year. At the ratio they’ve modeled—about $4 of price per $1 of flow—that would add around $63,000 to Bitcoin’s value. User Growth Fuels Network Effects Based on figures from trading desks and on‑chain metrics, Citi expects a 20% rise in active Bitcoin users over the next year. That jump in adoption would support roughly $75,000 of price strength on its own. The idea is simple. More users mean more hands holding and trading Bitcoin. That activity tends to make prices less prone to sudden drops. Still, forecasts like this rest on the assumption that new users stick around rather than flipping coins for quick gains. Macroeconomic Factors Cut Forecast Slightly Citi’s model also factors in weaker performance in equities and gold, trimming the price by about $3,200. That adjustment reflects a view that if stock and metal markets struggle, Bitcoin won’t fully decouple from broader risk assets. At the same time, growing regulatory approval and deeper links between crypto and traditional finance should offer some support. ETF Demand Could Lift Bitcoin By $63,000 In the base‑case scenario, Citi adds the $63,000 from ETF flows to the $75,000 from user growth, then subtracts $3,200 for macro headwinds. That math lands the price at about $135,000 in 2025. That figure is only $12,000 above the recent peak of $123,000. It suggests Citi sees more upside but not a runaway rally—at least not in the base case. A Bull Case Of $199,000 Remains On The Table If ETFs keep pouring in far more than $15 billion and user growth exceeds 20%, Bitcoin could climb to $199,000 under Citi’s bull case. Conversely, a drop to $64,000 is possible if macro conditions sour sharply. Globally, ETFs now hold around 1.48 million BTC, worth over $170 billion—about 7% of the total supply. That level of institutional backing is unprecedented. It shifts Bitcoin’s fate more toward big‑money flows than pure retail hype. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView -
We had adopted a working hypothesis that the after recording lows in early July that the greenback was going to retrace the last leg down that began around June 23. That appeared to run its course around July 17. We anticipated last week's pullback. However, the price action warns that the dollar's upside correction may not be over. The challenge is that next week is among the busiest of the year. Three G7 central banks meet--the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of Canada. The US and the eurozone release their first estimates of Q2 GDP. The eurozone also reports its preliminary estimate of July CPI and the US sees its PCE deflator. The week begins with US President Trump meeting with EC President von der Leyen on on Sunday to possible finalize a trade agreement and finishes on Friday, August 1, with the US July jobs report, and ostensibly the end of the postponement of the US "reciprocal tariffs." Top US and Chinese officials meet at the start of the new week in Stockholm and the US seems interested in extended the tariff truce for another 90-days (from August 12). A Federal Reserve that indicates it may be getting closer to resuming its easing cycle and the continued slowing of the US labor market may be difficult to reconcile with the constructive technical outlook. US Drivers: There is not a one-to-one correspondence between change in US interest rates and the dollar, and sometimes other factors overwhelm the interest rate impulse. However, currently we understand the greenback to be sensitive broadly to shifts in expectations for Fed policy, while the exchange rate against the yen appears more sensitive to movement of the 10-year US yield. Data: This is one of the busiest weeks of the year for US macro. The US reports June trade figures, and the H1 shortfall looks to about 30% larger than H1 24, partly flattered by trying to front-run US tariffs. The US also sees the first estimate of Q2 GDP, which may be the last where the annualized rate is above 2.0% for several quarters. Personal income and consumption data are due, and, given the recent CPI and PPI figures, the deflators are likely to have risen. However, the market will be more sensitive to the non-farm payroll figures at the end of the week, where job growth is expected to have slowed (~100k) and the risk is that the unemployment rate ticked up. The FOMC meets but is not going to do anything. Governor Waller, the former head of research at the St. Louis Fed, has suggested he may dissent in favor a rate. He has expressed concern that the labor market is deteriorating more than it may appear, but after initial jobless claims fell for the fifth week in a row, his concern may not rise to the level of dissent. Still, a dissent by another governor (Bowman) is also possible, and while one governor dissent is rare, two would make the decision appear as a dovish hold. Note that the appellate arguments to the international trade court finding that the tariffs implemented under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977 are illegal. Regardless of the outcome, the we imagine it will be appealed up to the Supreme Court. The US Treasury will announce its quarterly refunding plans as it sells $183 bln in coupons (not counting the two-year floating rate note) and a greater amount of bills. Prices: We correctly anticipated the bounce in the Dollar Index in the first half of July and caught the recent pullback. However, after trending lower since mid-January, the dollar's upside correction may be more complicated than we initially assumed. A move above the 98.00-98.25 band would suggest a retest on the month's high near 99.00, and possibly the 99.40-60 area. This would likely be accompanied by rising US rates. EMU Drivers: The European Central Bank stood pat last week and gave the market no encouragement to anticipate another cut any time soon. In fact, the swaps market does not have another cut fully discounted for this year but still sees around 64% probability of a cut in December. Europe seemed willing to accept some universal tariff from the US, but like appeasement of Russia, its acquiescence seems to have encouraged the Washington harden its demands. Data: Two data points stand out, and they may send conflicting signals. Wednesday sees the first estimate of the aggregate eurozone Q2 GDP. After expanding by 0.6% quarter-over-quarter in Q1, the median forecast in Bloomberg's monthly survey anticipates a small contraction in Q2, while the weekly survey sees a flat quarter. On the other hand, at the end of the week, the preliminary July CPI is reported and given the base effect (flat in July 2024), the risk is the year-over-year rate increased for the second consecutive month and resurfaced above 2.0% for the first time since April. Prices: The euro stalled last week near $1.1790, stopping short of the nearly four-year high set July 1 (~$1.1830). The risk is that the downside correction is not over. A break of $1.1650 would support such a view, and warn of risk toward $1.1540-50, and possibly $1.1450. PRC Drivers: The key driver of the yuan's exchange rate is the broad direction of the dollar. Beijing will not allow the US to depreciate the dollar and gain competitive advantage the way it thinks the US did to Europe and Japan in the 1980s. Still, the PBOC has introduced a modicum of more flexibility in setting the dollar's daily reference rate. Note the Sino-American trade truce is currently set to end on August 12, though negotiations at the beginning of next week in Stockholm may result in a 90-day extension. Data: Owing to the close management of the exchange rate, the economic data tends not to have much impact. Still, on July 31, Chinese reports the July PMI. The composite has edged up for the past two months and stood at 50.7 in June. It has not risen for three consecutive months since Q1 23. Beijing estimated that the economy expanded by 1.1% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 and 1.2% in Q1. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey sees growth slipping below 1.0% here in Q3. Prices: Last Thursday's dollar slump to a new low for the year near CNH7.1440, likely marks the near-term extreme. The recovery ahead of the weekend reached a little through CNH7.17. Above CNH7.1730 there is little to stand in the way of CNH7.19, provide the dollar remains firm. The greenback has not traded above CNH7.20 since June 11. The absolute value of the changes in the PBOC dollar fix was 0.27% last week. Small beer, but most in a week since late May. Critics of China's exchange rate policy seem concerned about the pace of the yuan's appreciation not the direction. Since the end of April, the yuan has risen in all but three weeks against the dollar. Japan Drivers: We continue to track the robust rolling 30-day correlation of changes in the exchange rate and the 10-year US yield. The correlation with the exchange rate is stronger than Japanese yields or even the interest rate differentials. Data: Japan reports June retail sales and industrial production figures. Both fell in May, and industrial output also fell in April. Japan reports June housing starts and employment, which typically have little market impact. The highlight of the week is the Bank of Japan meeting that concludes Thursday. There is practically no chance of a change instance. It will update its economic forecasts. The Japanese economy contracted in Q1, and the uncertainty around US tariffs is palpable, but the direction of impact is unfavorable. The swaps market is pricing in more than 20 bp of tightening by year end for the first time since April. Details of the US trade deal with Japan have not been published especially about the most innovative feature, the $550 bln direct investment pledge, which is equivalent to around 14% of Japan's GDP. Direct investment last year from Japan, including retained earnings was about $54 bln. Prices: The dollar recovered from the July 1 low near JPY142.70 and reached nearly JPY149.20 on July 16. Last week's pullback overshot slightly the (50%) retracement of the recovery (~JPY145.95). However, helped, we would argue, by the rise in the US 10-year yield, the greenback reached almost JPY148 ahead of the weekend to meet the (61.8%) retracement of the pullback. With an eye toward higher US rates, we suspect there may be potential for the US dollar to test its recent highs. The 200-day moving average is near JPY149.65, and the dollar has not traded above it since mid-February. UK Drivers: Sterling remains sensitive to the broad direction of the dollar. The rolling 30-day correlation between changes in sterling and the Dollar Index is around -0.75. This is slightly more than correlation with the euro (0.73), the largest component of the Dollar Index. It is roughly as sensitive to the changes in the US two-year yield as it is to changes to the UK two-year Gilt yield (~0.36). The Labour government faces difficult fiscal choices, but it does not seem like an immediate market driver. Data: The market is not typically sensitive to the upcoming data, which consists of consumer credit and mortgage lending data. The UK economy grew by 0.7% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 to lead the G7, but growth evaporated in Q2. The monthly GDP contracted in April and May. Prices: The string of disappointing UK data revealed sterling's vulnerability. It was the weakest of the G10 currencies last week, with a nearly flat performance. Recall that fell from the multi-year high on July 1 around $1.3790 to a two-month low on July 16 near $1.3365. The subsequent recovery hit a wall on July 24 by $1.3590, which was slightly more than the (50%) retracement of the leg down from July 1. The $1.3365-70 area may be the neckline of a possible head and shoulders top pattern. A convincing break of the neckline has a measuring objective is around $1.2940. The (50%) retracement of this year’s rally is near there and the 200-day moving average is a little above there (~ $1.2970). Canada Drivers: The broad movement of the US dollar, reflected in the Dollar Index continues to be the single most important driver of the Canadian dollar's exchange rate. The rolling 30-day correlation of changes in the USD-CAD exchange rate and the Dollar Index is slightly below 0.77. Many observers insist that the Canadian dollar is a petro-currency, but the 30-day correlation is around 0.20. The sign is important here: Over the last couple of months, the US dollar tends to appreciate against the Canadian dollar when oil rises. Data: The Bank of Canada meets on July 30, and the May GDP will be reported the following day. There is little doubt that the Bank of Canada will stand pat with its overnight interest rate target at 2.75%. The swaps market is discounting a little more than 50% chance of another cut later this year. The economy contracted by 0.1% in April and economists expect a gain of a similar magnitude in May. That said, the median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 0.5% annualized contraction in Q2 before stagnating in Q3. Prices: The US dollar bottomed last Wednesday near CAD1.3575. It held above the year's low in mid-June (~~CAD1.3540) and the low seen early this month (~CAD1.3555). It reached almost CAD1.3515 before the weekend to overshot (61.8%) of the recent decline from ~CAD1.3775 on July 17. A move above CAD1.3780 could spur a move to CAD1.3835-65. Australia Drivers: The rolling 30-day correlation of changes in the Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar is around 0.77 and is slightly more than the correlation with the Dollar Index (-0.68). However, over the rolling 60-day correlation is a little stronger with the Dollar Index than the Canadian dollar (-0.71 vs 0.67). Many refer to the Aussie as a commodity currency, but the correlation with different commodities, and the CRB Index is less robust than one might suspect. Consider that the rolling 30-day correlation between changes in the Australian dollar and the CRB index has been inverse since late June (~-0.30). It was also slightly inverse from late January through late February. Data: Two data points stand out in the coming week. On Wednesday, Australia report June monthly CPI and Q2 quarterly print. The central bank puts more weight on the quarterly reading, which looks to have softened from the 2.4% year-over-year pace in Q1. The trimmed mean and weighted median underlying measures were a bit firmer at 2.4% and 3.0% respective but also look to have eased. The other economic report of note is the following day's release of June retail sales. Retail sales rose by an average of 0.3% a month in Q1, but the average in April and May slowed to 0.1%. The central bank meets on August 12, and the futures market has nearly a quarter-point cut discounted (~93%) and 57 bp between now the end of year. That implies two cuts are fully discounted and a little more than 25% of a third in the last four meetings of the year. Prices: The Australian dollar reached a new high for the year on July 24 near $0.6625. It was unable to sustain the momentum and retreated to the 20-day moving average before the weekend near $0.6550. Nearby support is seen in the $0.6520-40. The trendline connecting the June and July lows is found near $0.6500 at the end of the coming week. This month's low was set on July 17, near $0.6455. Mexico Drivers: We have suggested that Mexico's yield pick-up over the US, the modest volatility of the peso, and its near 24-hour a day liquidity makes the peso an attractive long against the greenback. Still, the peso is sensitive to the broader dollar direction. The rolling 30-day correlation of changes in the dollar against the peso and the Dollar Index is almost 0.50. Recall that as recently as early March, the correlation was inverse. The year's high was set around June 20 near 0.66. The 60-day correlation is slightly above 0.50, the most since the end of May 2024. Data: It is an important week for Mexican data. The week starts with the June unemployment rate, which has been trending gradually higher this year after softening in the last part of 2024 to end the year at 2.43%. It was 2.75% in May. It also reported June's trade balance the day. In the first five months of 2025, Mexico recorded $2.04 bln surplus, compared with a $4.46 bln deficit in the Jan-May 2024 period, and a $6.56 bln deficit in the same 2023 period. Exports are up about 3.4% year-over through May, while imports have risen by almost 0.8%. In the middle of the week, Mexico provides the first estimate of Q2 GDP. The economy grew by 0.2% in Q2, quarter-over-quarter, but it struggled in Q2 and the median forecast in Bloomberg's survey anticipates a 0.1% decline. Consumption is seen contracting for the second consecutive quarter, and business investment falling for the third straight quarter. Government spending also looks softer. Worker remittances have been a key source of hard currency revenue for Mexico but has moderated slightly. Through May, Mexico received about $24.4 bln of worker remittance compared with $25.1 bln the first five months of 2024 and $24.7 bln in the same period in 2023. The week ends with the IMEF PMI, where the manufacturing and non-manufacturing surveys have held below the 50 boom/bust level this year. The central bank meets on August 7, and the swap market favors an unchanged outcome after four half-point cuts have been delivered this year. Prices: The US dollar fell to a new low for the year near MXN18.5250 in the middle of last week and saw it again before the weekend as a near-term base was forged. Since the low was recorded, the greenback has held below MXN18.60. There may be potential toward the MXN18.66-MXN18.70 area. Our next downside target is the MXN18.35-40 area. Disclaimer
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Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000
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Bitcoin looks to be on the verge of a breakdown after rallying to $123,000 all-time highs earlier in the month. This reversal has taken the market by surprise, with the altcoin market, once again, bearing the brunt of the losses. Now, as the Bitcoin price reaches an important level, the questions of whether this is the start of a bear trend or if there will be a bounce in price have become more urgent. Bitcoin Trends Low After New Highs After the reversal back into the $117,000 levels, crypto analyst TehThomas has published an analysis outlining the current Bitcoin price trend and where it could be headed next. So far, the analyst explains that Bitcoin is still trading in a well-defined trend after being rejected from the upper resistance zone at $120,000 multiple times. However, there is still a lot of bite from its support levels below, which could be its saving grace. As the analyst explains, the fact that the support continues to hold shows that there is still a lot of buying going on for Bitcoin. This puts the support very tight around this area, but also makes it a dangerous territory for the bulls. It is possible that there is a sweep back to these lows, and Thomas explains that such a move would engineer sell-side liquidity. There is also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $121,000 level, which continues to be defended. This is where most of the resistance has come from, pushing the price back below $118,000 multiple times already. Thus, this FVG is the next level to reclaim in the campaign for new highs. Bouncing Back From Lows If the sweep back toward the lows is completed, it is not entirely bearish for the Bitcoin price and could, in fact, be the move that helps to trigger the next wave of uptrend. The analyst explains that buyers would have to step back in at this level, with support sitting firmly at $116,000. This accumulation during consolidation would be inherently bullish. Looking back at the FVG, the analyst explains that it could act as a magnet if the price begins to rise again. Nevertheless, all of this depends on the Bitcoin price dipping back to support and then bouncing off again. The sweep of liquidity at the lows and the bounce would offer confirmation that the price is going to keep trending upward. However, there is still the possibility of a price breakdown from here. Thomas points to an invalidation of the bullish thesis if support at $116,000 fails to hold and there is no immediate recovery. “Bitcoin remains locked in a clear range, and until the breakout happens, the edges of that range offer the best trading opportunities,” the analyst explained. -
Shiba Inu Price Crash: Massive Coinbase Transfer Sparks Speculation
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The Shiba Inu price is back in the spotlight after a massive Coinbase transfer of 5 trillion SHIB shakes the broader market and sparks speculation across the crypto community. With uncertainty surrounding the intent of the large-scale SHIB transfer, the transaction has drawn significant attention and comments from crypto watchers, especially as it comes on the heels of a recent crash in the meme coin’s price. Whale Moves Fuel Shiba Inu Price Speculation A new report from Whale Alert on X social media has confirmed a jaw-dropping transfer of 5 trillion SHIB, worth approximately $69.98 million from crypto exchange Coinbase to an unknown wallet. The move has reignited market discussions, closely following a significant crash in the meme coin’s price that erased weeks of gains. CoinMarketCap’s data shows that Shiba Inu is now trading at $0.000014, down by more than 7% in just a few days. Notably, the 5 trillion SHIB transfer by the anonymous whale has raised eyebrows across the crypto community, with many expressing their astonishment over the sheer size of the transaction and others viewing it as a calculated move. The timing and size of the transfer have also led some to interpret it as a bearish signal, potentially indicating an upcoming sell-off, which could lead to further declines in the meme coin’s price. Others assert that the tokens have been deliberately taken off the active trading market and put into a vault, hinting at a strategic supply reduction. If conditions remain optimal, this could set the stage for a possible liquidity squeeze. In addition, as demand returns to the market, the crypto member states that Shiba Inu could face a thin wall of available supply, potentially triggering a price rebound. What’s more, the lack of clear information regarding the receiving wallet has only added to the speculation, with a community member suggesting that the entity, the 5,000,000,000,000 SHIB transfer, may have been driven by insider knowledge. Typically, whale moves of this magnitude tend to influence market sentiment, potentially triggering sharp price reactions and raising questions about possible coordinated activity. Market Eyes Possible Price Revival Beyond the initial shock of the 5 trillion SHIB transfer and its potential implications on price action and whale activity, many in the crypto space are beginning to draw connections to a broader bullish trend or possible price resurgence. Some crypto members believe that the reemergence of high-value whale entities could be a potential precursor of big price moves. Others suggest that this move could trigger the start of a meme coin season, where speculative assets like Shiba Inu or Dogecoin experience renewed investor interest and dramatic price surges. Historically, large and sudden whale movements often precede market-wide interest and price rallies in meme tokens, particularly when those moves significantly shrink supply and hint at potential future accumulation. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView -
It’s the weekend again, and it is the time again to reflect back what the week has brought to the market and time to find the best crypto to buy now, or next week for non weekend traders. After the weekdays chops, ETH ▲1.48%, SOL ▲4.64%, and BNB ▲1.87% have led with notable gains, conversely, BTC ▲1.47% and XRP ▲2.18%have trailed, with Bitcoin slightly down and XRP seeing a steeper decline after breaching ATH earlier in the week. Looking back, it might be time to read between the lines. Is the alt season coming, or is it already happening? Will market keeps pumping or it is time to sell all? As Benjamin Franklin says “By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail,” so it is the time to prepare for the best crypto has to offer, what to buy, now, or next week. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d30d1yAll time EXPLORE: Best New Crypto to Buy Now in 2025 Is Bitcoin Still The One, Or Is Ethereum The Best Crypto To Buy Now? After a dip from $3.8k to $3.5k, Ethereum ended up posting a 4.2% gain, especially with its ties to huge ETF inflows and the passage of the GENIUS bill. Ethereum has spurred altcoin momentum, with over $533 million inflow reported in a single day. It is no brainer not to think of ETH as the best crypto to buy now. Bitcoin’s modest 0.44% drop this week could just be due to it experiencing a consolidation phase. This could be driven by macroeconomic uncertainties or reduced momentum. Despite its historical dominance, Bitcoin has lagged behind altcoins this week, with its dominance level dropping to 60%. EthereumPriceMarket CapETH$453.44B24h7d30d1yAll time Solana, on the other hand, has recorded a 5.45% rise. This shows its dominance and technical strengths in the meme coin market. Its high speed and cheap transactions boost its user base growth and adoption. Solana, although still struggling to breach the top three cryptos, is still one of the best altcoins to buy. BNB and XRP are displaying a tale of two cities. Both have breached their ATH this week, although XRP failed to maintain momentum and dropped by 8%. BNB, though, rose by 7%, outpacing the crypto market. The Binance coin is undoubtedly one of the top performers this week. It has capitalized on favorable market sentiment and solidified its competitive edge. So… which crypto is the best one to buy now? Remember: “By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail.” DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 7 minutes ago By Akiyama Felix Meanwhile, ETH is looking stronger against BTC, and BTC Dominance level is still dropping. Altseason coming as CZ says. (ETH/BTC) (BTC.D) 36 minutes ago By Akiyama Felix Finding the best crypto to buy now. Loading…. However, this could play out. The post [LIVE] Ethereum, Solana, BNB Outperforming The Crypto Market: Best Crypto To Buy Now As BTC and XRP Stall appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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XRP To $10? Basketball Legend’s Poll Puts Crypto On Center Court
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Scottie Pippen, the six‑time NBA champion, stirred up the crypto community this week. He put out a poll on X asking his 728,000 followers whether XRP will hit $10 by 2026. Alongside that question, he also threw out bold targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana. The move sent traders and fans buzzing. Pippen’s Viral Crypto Poll According to his post, Bitcoin could climb to $233,000, Ethereum to $10,000 and Solana to $1,000. Pippen gave people four choices for each token and let them vote. Travis Turnbull and others in the comments threw their support behind XRP reaching $10, while some thought even 2026 might be too soon. Polls like this tend to draw big crowds, and Pippen’s name carries weight well beyond sports. XRP is trading around $3.18 right now. That price is down 2.2% in the past day, though it’s still up 45% for the month. At that level, the token’s market cap sits near $156 billion. To hit $10, XRP would need to swell to about $500 billion based on its roughly 50 billion coins in circulation. That jump would rank it among the world’s biggest assets. Bullish Forecasts From Other Analysts Based on reports, an NFT project founder predicted XRP could top $10 by next year if Bitcoin rockets toward $250,000. A well‑known crypto analyst updated his earlier $4–$5 call to $10 after a surge in bullish momentum. Aaron Arnold, host of Altcoin Daily, went even further with an $11 target by 2025. He called that figure “realistic,” pointing to growing demand and fresh capital flows. If XRP ever hit $11, its market cap would soar past $650 billion. That would put it ahead of big names like Mastercard and Tencent on the value charts. Such a move would reshape how people see cross‑border payments and tokenized banking rails. What It Takes To Hit $10 Reaching $10 won’t happen on hype alone. XRP still faces legal hurdles in the US. Banks need clear rules before they can embrace it at scale. On‑chain activity must keep rising, and fresh partnerships with payment firms or tech players are a must. At the same time, rival tokens and layer‑2 solutions compete for investor money. Timing is key, too. Crypto often moves in waves, and a bull run can last months or years—but corrections can come fast. Featured image from NBA, chart from TradingView -
Winklevoss Calls Out JPMorgan Over Banking Backlash
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Tyler Winklevoss says JPMorgan hit pause on Gemini’s attempt to restore banking access after he publicly criticized the bank. According to him, the decision came shortly after he posted a tweet calling out major banks for fighting against open banking reforms. He believes the timing wasn’t a coincidence. A Tweet That Changed Everything On July 19, Winklevoss accused the banking industry of trying to gut the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s Open Banking Rule. He argued that banks were attempting to block consumers from sharing their own data through platforms like Plaid. Shortly after airing his views, Gemini’s re-onboarding talks with JPMorgan reportedly stalled. Winklevoss saw it as punishment for speaking out. Source: Shutterstock What’s at Stake for Users and Fintechs The open banking rule in question falls under Section 1033 of the Consumer Financial Protection Act. It aims to give consumers control over their financial data and allow them to share it with apps and services they choose. Winklevoss argues that banks are trying to turn this into a pay-to-play model by adding fees, which would hurt smaller fintechs and crypto platforms that depend on smooth fiat-to-crypto transfers. Is This About Money or Power? Winklevoss didn’t hold back. He framed the banks’ resistance as a way to protect their gatekeeper role in the financial system. In his view, it’s less about covering costs and more about keeping control over data. He warned that banks are pushing back not just through lobbying but through legal action aimed at delaying or weakening the rule entirely. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in July2025 Others in the Industry Back Him Up He’s not the only one sounding the alarm. Arjun Sethi, Kraken’s co-CEO, weighed in with his own criticism. He said banks are treating access to user data like a product to be sold, which could lock people into walled gardens. Nic Carter also chimed in, tying the whole situation to what’s often called Operation Choke Point 2.0, where crypto companies lose banking access without a clear explanation. Gemini’s Banking History and Workarounds Gemini had a relationship with JPMorgan before regulators began pressing banks to distance themselves from crypto firms in 2023 and early 2024. Since then, the company has been seeking alternative banking partners. This wouldn’t be the first time the Winklevoss twins had to pivot. They’ve dealt with debanking issues before and responded by expanding internationally and building out different payment rails. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 JPMorgan’s Silence Says a Lot The bank hasn’t commented publicly on Winklevoss’s claim. In the past, JPMorgan has defended charging fees for access to its data infrastructure, and CEO Jamie Dimon hasn’t exactly been shy about his distrust of crypto. Whether the pause in discussions was personal, political, or procedural, JPMorgan is keeping quiet for now. This is part of a wider fight over who gets to control financial data. If fees become the norm, it could make it harder for new players to compete, and for users to freely connect their bank accounts to the services they want. The outcome of this conflict could shape the future of open banking in the U.S. for years to come. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Tyler Winklevoss says JPMorgan halted Gemini’s banking talks after he criticized banks for opposing open banking rules. The dispute centers on Section 1033, which gives consumers control over their financial data and lets them share it with apps. Winklevoss and others claim banks want to charge fees for data access, locking out fintechs and crypto platforms. Industry voices like Arjun Sethi and Nic Carter say this reflects a wider push to limit crypto access to banking services. JPMorgan hasn’t responded publicly, but the standoff highlights growing tension between traditional finance and crypto firms. The post Winklevoss Calls Out JPMorgan Over Banking Backlash appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Dragonfly Investor Might Face DOJ Charges Over Tornado Cash Bet
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Dragonfly Capital could be in serious trouble. A federal prosecutor told a New York court that the Department of Justice is weighing criminal charges against one of the firm’s general partners in connection with their investment in Tornado Cash. It’s a surprising twist in the trial of Tornado Cash developer Roman Storm and raises a bigger question: can investors be held legally responsible for what their portfolio projects do? Legal Spotlight Shines on Tom Schmidt Tom Schmidt, a partner at Dragonfly, found himself mentioned in court when the prosecutor casually noted that charges against him were still on the table. That comment was quickly sealed from the record, but the message was clear. For now, he hasn’t been charged, but he’s under serious scrutiny. This kind of attention on a VC investor is rare, especially when they weren’t directly involved in day-to-day operations. Source: Shutterstock Emails from Dragonfly Surface in Court One reason the DOJ is taking this angle may be the internal emails now in evidence. Messages from 2020 show Dragonfly discussing compliance features with Tornado Cash’s developers, including things like KYC. That might cut both ways. On one hand, it shows Dragonfly was aware of regulatory concerns. On the other hand, it could be used to argue they knew the risks and went ahead anyway. Schmidt, for his part, refused to testify, invoking the Fifth Amendment. Dragonfly Isn’t Backing Down Haseeb Qureshi, another managing partner at Dragonfly, has already responded publicly. He called the idea of criminal charges against an investor absurd. According to him, Dragonfly got legal advice before investing, didn’t run the company, and certainly didn’t help anyone launder money. He also stressed the firm’s commitment to privacy tech and said they’ve been cooperating with authorities since last year. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 If a VC Can Be Charged, What Next? This could set a new bar for legal risk in the crypto space. Charging a venture capitalist for putting money into a project that later becomes the focus of sanctions or enforcement could scare other investors off. There’s already hesitance around privacy tech, but this might take it further. Investors may start avoiding anything remotely controversial, even if the tech itself is neutral. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Schmidt Stays Silent, Defense Takes the Hit With Schmidt refusing to testify, the defense team loses a key opportunity to explain Dragonfly’s side of the story. His testimony could have helped Storm show that the developers were working with partners who took compliance seriously. But since the government didn’t grant immunity, Schmidt kept quiet. That decision could impact how the rest of the case unfolds. Big Picture for Crypto and DeFi Roman Storm and his co-defendant are facing charges related to money laundering and alleged ties to sanctioned groups, including North Korea’s Lazarus Group. Regulators are clearly widening the net. It’s no longer just about developers. Now, backers and investors may be dragged into court as well. Precedent or Warning Shot? So far, Schmidt hasn’t been charged. But if the DOJ moves ahead, this could set a major precedent. If not, it still sends a signal that no one in crypto is off-limits. Investors may need to think twice about what they fund and how closely they stay involved. This case is no longer just about Tornado Cash. It’s about where the government draws the line. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The DOJ is considering criminal charges against Dragonfly partner Tom Schmidt over the firm’s investment in Tornado Cash. Internal emails from 2020 show Dragonfly discussing KYC and compliance features with Tornado Cash developers. Schmidt invoked the Fifth Amendment and refused to testify, limiting the defense’s ability to present Dragonfly’s role. Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi called the idea of charging a VC absurd and said they followed legal guidance. This case could set a new precedent, with investors facing legal exposure for the actions of crypto projects they back. The post Dragonfly Investor Might Face DOJ Charges Over Tornado Cash Bet appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Ethereum has been gaining ground in recent times, especially among institutional investors, as they believe that the leading altcoin is set to outperform Bitcoin. This is evidenced by the large buys that have dominated ETH as Ethereum treasury companies become a major player in the space. Amid this, billionaire and CEO of Galaxy Digital Investments, Mike Novogratz, has revealed the important level for Ethereum to beat to enter price discovery. Ethereum Price Needs To Cross $4,000 În an interview with SquawkBox, Novogratz points to the recent strength of Ethereum amid rapid accumulation as a reason for it being a better bet than Bitcoin. The major reason outlined for why ETH was a better bet than BTC at this point is the fact that Ethereum treasury companies are now becoming a staple, with two ETH treasury companies, such as SharpLink and GameSquare Holdings, among others, already established and more on the way. As these companies continue to accumulate ETH, the billionaire explains that with not much supply, the Ethereum price is likely to rise. He also brings up the fact that Ethereum has a very powerful narrative, and the market reaching record short levels has also aided its bullishness. Given these, Novogratz explained that the Ethereum price is at least destined to knock on the $4,000 level a few times. Also, once the altcoin is able to take out $4,000, then the billionaire believes that the ETH price will enter into price discovery, which could drive it higher. As Ethereum continues to look like the better bet, he also believes that the altcoin could end up outperforming the Bitcoin price over the next 3-6 months. This gives a short timeframe, especially as Bitcoin has already hit multiple new all-time highs over the past year, and Ethereum is yet to beat its highs from 2021. ETH Is Already Outperforming Bitcoin So far, in the month of July, the Ethereum price has greatly outperformed that of Bitcoin in terms of gains, lending credence to Novogratz’s expectations that the altcoin will outperform the pioneer cryptocurrency. According to data from CryptoRank, ETH is up more than 45% this month already compared to the less than 8% on record for Bitcoin. Over the last 90 days, as well, the Ethereum price has doubled to put in more than 100% in gains. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s gains still sit just above 22% for the same time period. Nevertheless, Bitcoin continues to dominate the market, with BTC dominance sitting above 61% and holding altcoin season at bay.
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Pilot Mountain tungsten project in Nevada gets $6M Department of Defense funding
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The Department of Defense announced this week a $6.2 million award to a subsidiary of Guardian Metal Resources (LON: GMET) to advance its Pilot Mountain tungsten project in Nevada. The funds will enable London-listed Guardian Metal’s wholly-owned US- based subsidiary Golden Metal Resources to deliver a pre-feasibility study for Pilot Mountain, located southeast of Hawthorne. Guardian is the only company with US based tungsten assets to receive an award, and is also advancing another tungsten project in Nevada – Tempiute. The tungsten market had an estimated value of around $5 billion in 2023. It is the material of choice for a key defense application – penetrators – which are high-density, armour-piercing projectiles. It’s also required in US Department of Defence (DoD) contracts. European tungsten prices surged to their highest in 12 years in May, driven by China’s tightening grip on critical mineral exports, including tungsten. Tungsten production in the US ceased in 2015, when it was no longer commercially viable due to low prices and competition from China. China dominates global tungsten production, accounting for over 80% of last year’s total output of 81,000 tons, according to the USGS. Another company exploring tungsten deposits in the US is American Tungsten, which started construction and building work in May for the mine plan at its Ima project in Idaho. Between 1945 and 1957, the property produced approximately 199,449 metric ton units of tungsten trioxide (WO3). Excitement brewing in tungsten space While Guardian Metals CEO Oliver Friesen is fairly new to the tungsten space, he is an exploration veteran in the state of Nevada, and worked as a geologist for Barrick on numerous drill campaigns. “Pilot Mountain came across my desk and it just so happened to have the largest tungsten deposit in the entire USA in Nevada,” Friesen told MINING.com in an interview in June. “I realized that there was something really exciting brewing in the tungsten space.” “[It was] contrarian to acquire a tungsten deposit when no one wanted it in the US,” Friesen said. “And now obviously it’s become incredibly valuable and we’ve positioned ourselves very strategically in the US to lead the reshoring efforts here in the country.” “Our plans are to continue to de-risk our two main assets in Nevada and get them into production. What we have is really important for US national security and we can supply a very meaningful amount of tungsten to the US market.” The company is working towards expanding its mineral resource estimate (MRE) which was established in 2017 and 2018 that outlined 12.53Mt at 0.27% W03 with significant copper-silver-zinc credits. Drilling to support the updated resource for the PFS is all now complete, Friesen said, adding high grade gallium has also been intersected at both the Pilot Mountain and Tempiute projects. In June, the company released assay results and announced newly staked exploration targets at Tempiute. In July, Guardian Metals Resources acquired additional mining claims in the Walker Lane Mineral Belt, about 15km northwest of Pilot Mountain to form what is to be known as the Pilot North tungsten project. “On the permitting side, we’re seeing tailwinds from the new administration and the DOI,” Friesen said. “Given our position in US tungsten, we’re getting chased to get [applications] submitted. The government is serious about fast tracking defense metal projects. US investors want American mines…here’s a very viable solution for domestic mined tungsten.” -
DigitalX Limited, an Australian digital Investment manager, has made headlines with a new Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition, signaling renewed institutional confidence in the market. The ASX-listed crypto fund manager has expanded its Bitcoin treasury by a whopping 74.7 BTC, marking a significant addition to its already existing holdings. DigitalX Buys 74.7 BTC In a recent X social media post on July 23, DigitalX confirmed the addition of 74.7 BTC to its treasury. The acquisition, completed at an average price of $117,293 per BTC, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to its Bitcoin-led strategy. This latest purchase has raised the crypto fund manager’s total Bitcoin holdings to 499.8 BTC, valued at approximately $91.3 million. Notably, the company also announced and expanded on the details of this large-scale Bitcoin purchase in an official statement on Investorhub. Of its total 499.8 BTC holdings, 306.8 BTC are held directly by DigitalX, while the remaining 193 coins are held indirectly through 881,000 units in its ASX-listed Bitcoin ETF, BTXX. The recent addition of 74.7 Bitcoin follows an earlier acquisition of 57.5 BTC disclosed by the company on July 18, 2025. These back-to-back purchases demonstrate a continued reallocation of DigitalX’s digital asset treasury toward Bitcoin. The firm’s total treasury, excluding cash, now exceeds $104.4 million. As part of its long-term crypto strategy, DigitalX’s targeted portfolio adjustment reinforces its role as a leading institutional-grade Bitcoin investment vehicle on the Australian Securities Exchange. The crypto fund manager highlights its latest acquisition as a key step in its ongoing effort to establish Bitcoin as its core treasury reserve asset. Shareholder Focus Sharpens As Bitcoin Treasury Value Rises According to its official statement, DigitalX’s strategy goes beyond simply growing its BTC reserve. It also aims to enhance shareholder value through consistent and transparent reporting. The crypto fund manager now tracks its Bitcoin holdings per share in Satoshis (Sats), the smallest unit of BTC. As of the latest update, DigitalX’s BTC per share stands at 33.88 Sats, marking a 58% increase in its Bitcoin treasury value since June 30, 2025. This figure reflects the impact of recent acquisitions and provides a somewhat measurable benchmark for investors assessing exposure to the company’s considerable portfolio. By prioritizing Bitcoin accumulation and optimizing its treasury structure, DigitalX continues to position itself as a prominent crypto-centric firm—one that views shareholder value as directly tied to the strength and growth of its BTC holdings. The company is also doubling down on its long-term vision of leveraging the flagship cryptocurrency as a strategic financial foundation. Leigh Travers, former CEO and present Non-Executive Chairman of DigitalX, reaffirmed the company’s commitment to its digital asset goals, stating that it aims to steadily grow its BTC portfolio throughout the year and well into the future.
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Trade Deal talks ongoing – Market wrap for the North American session - July 25
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Log in to today's North American session recap for July 25, 2025. Today marked another day of a lack of North American data releases that could shift markets towards more volatility. Instead, we received a session of relatively mixed sentiment. Market were attentive to Trump's ongoing speeches where he for once mentioned decent things about Jerome Powell, and once again mention the Deals and letters that will be sent on August 1st. FYI, the EU Trade talks are ongoing and Trump announced that we may get results towards the latter part of the weekend. The US Dollar is up in the session but has given up some ground in a retracement after almost 48 hours of only bull momentum – you can check our latest US Dollar analysis right here. Energy commodities and metals took quite a hit today amid some profit taking, with Silver getting hit strongly, down around 2.25% on the session. Altcoins have retraced back up decently after also getting hammered in the past sessions, the ongoing trading is very volatile in digital assets. Read More: Bitcoin pulls back, leaving a mixed sentiment in Crypto Markets Daily Cross-Asset performance Cross-Asset Daily Performance, July 25, 2025 – Source: TradingView Gold and US Oil are the outstanding losers of the session, with ETH that had started a rough session but is racing higher towards the daily close. A picture of today's performance for major currencies Currency Performance, July 25 – Source: OANDA Labs Earnings Season: Who is releasing their numbers on Monday Earnings Calendar for July 28th – Source: Nasdaq.com Not much in terms of key Earnings on Monday A look at Economic Data releasing on Monday There is no planned events for the upcoming Monday, but we can't exactly say the same for the rest of the week! Get ready for the Month-end volatility in addition to the flurry of key Economic events approaching, particularly Wednesday and Thursday. I invite you to check our Week Ahead to get ready for the wave of key events! Safe Trades and Good Weekend to you all! Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Bitcoin pulls back, leaving a mixed sentiment in Crypto Markets
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Cryptocurrencies are coming off a spectacular run, and despite taking time, Ethereum did grab some of the market share that Bitcoin had amassed. The most popular cryptocurrencies had taken a Lance Armstrong, all-by-himself run throughout the beginning of 2025. Consistent ETF inflows, leading to strong Institutional demand, created a stream of support to push up prices for BTC. Then, progressively, the same thing spread to ETH, which had been lagging considerably—touching lows at $1,363 in April for those who were not watching. There are some ongoing signs of profit taking, however, with the Whales (between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC) securing some profits at the all-time highs. Some funds and exchanges are doing the same, but not in a panic fashion. Profit taking is standard in such a market, particularly with cryptos, notably altcoins, attaining unseen highs in this cycle. For those who did not know, July 30 will mark the six months of the 180-day executive order to make a report on Cryptocurrencies from the President’s Working Group on Digital Assets. This is generally good news for the adoption of Crypto but impairs its independence. The Blockchain will, anyway, keep its integrity. Let’s look at Bitcoin charts amid this retracement and other major altcoins. Read More: Dollar regains footing as long-term Reversal carves out a Bottom Daily Crypto Market overview Cryptocurrencies Performance Board – Source: Finviz Altcoins are recovering from their past few harsh sessions – Cardano is a surprise laggard. Bitcoin 8H Chart Bitcoin 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Bitcoin has retraced back towards the $115,000 Pivot Zone mentioned in our past analysis and despite being just above 5% from its $123,200, sentiment is still mostly positive. Retracements are healthy in any trends and price action still does not show signs of a longer-run top – The situation stays the same as long as BTC holds above the $110,000 to $112,000 previous ATH support. Consolidating around these levels would be still be more bullish than bearish, however watch the $115,300 8H-MA 50 that would need to hold for bulls to keep their hands on the ongoing short-term trend. The triangle formation is interesting but does not infer much in terms of direction, so monitor potential breakouts both to the upside and the downside Ethereum 8H Chart Ethereum 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView ETH is consolidating close to its $3,860 highs, currently also above 5.70% from its recent top but the lack of strong selling momentum within the correction shows that bulls are not ready to give up their hand yet. The rebound right above $3,500 was a bullish wick, and with the 20-period MA ($3,650) catching up, there might be a strong move cooking in the markets. Watch for any break below on strong volume for a retracement, also spot if the newfound bull momentum is stocks from today's session brings up some buying flows in the Ether. Solana 8H Chart Solana 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Solana saw a more thorough, 15% retracement from its local top ($206.5), but looking out to the bigger picture, buyers are stepping in at the middle of the longer-run upwards channel formed from the April lows to the May preceding highs. From here, look at $175 as a key barometer for bulls to hold – Prices crossing above the $185 momentum pivot would recreate strong immediate momentum – The altcoins are doing nicely today so bulls would want the lows from today to be the intermediate lows. Any break from here would leave bears in relative strength. XRP 8H Chart XRP 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Ripple has gone through a rough 17% correction after marking new all-time highs at $3.66 – Nevertheless, price action staying above the $3.00 Major Pivot region will prompt further bullish action. Keep that zone (+/- $0.30) in check for imminent bull/bear strength – The RSI is showing a rounding higher which would give bulls a slightly higher probability of winning the battle, as long as momentum stays positive for the global market. Safe Trades! Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Bitcoin Open Interest Sets New Record As Price Plunges To $115,000
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Data shows the Bitcoin Open Interest shot up to a new all-time high (ATH) even as the cryptocurrency’s price saw a retrace to $115,000. Bitcoin Open Interest Has Gone Against The Price Trend As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin Open Interest has witnessed a sharp surge alongside the latest decline in the price. The “Open Interest” here refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of positions related to BTC (in USD) that are currently open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are opening up fresh positions on the market. Generally, the total leverage in the sector goes up when new positions appear, so this kind of trend can lead to more volatility for the cryptocurrency. On the other hand, the indicator going down suggests the holders are either closing up positions of their own volition or getting liquidated by their platform. Whatever the case be, the asset’s price can behave in a more stable manner after such a trend. Now, here is a chart that shows how the value of the Bitcoin Open Interest has changed over the last month: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Open Interest rose to a high value earlier in the month when the asset’s rally to the new all-time high (ATH) took place. This wasn’t anything unusual, as speculation tends to flood in during periods of exciting price action. As BTC retraced from its peak and settled into a phase of boring consolidation, the metric’s value calmed down a bit. Now, the coin has finally diverged from this sideways movement, showing a downwards move. Interestingly, the Open Interest has rocketed up alongside this price plunge and set a new record around $44.5 billion. From the chart, it’s visible that price declines usually accompany drawdowns in the indicator, as longs find liquidation. “It’s unusual for BTC price direction and open interest to move in a negative correlation,” notes the quant. The spike in the metric could suggest some longs have decided to double down on their bets and some speculators have jumped in to get their shorts in, expecting the downtrend to continue. As mentioned before, an increase in the metric can amplify price volatility. This happens because the chances of a mass liquidation event taking place go up during such conditions. It now remains to be seen how this Open Interest increase would unwind this time around and whether a long squeeze or a short one would take place. BTC Price Bitcoin saw a brief dip under $115,000 earlier, but its price has since retraced a bit as it’s back at $116,000. -
Dogecoin Price Enters Bullish Livermore Cylinder That Could Catapult Price To $1.5
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Crypto analyst TradingShot has revealed that the Dogecoin price has entered a bullish pattern, which could spark a parabolic rally to $1.5. Interestingly, the analyst also raised the possibility of the foremost meme coin reaching double digits. Dogecoin Price Eyes $1.5 With Bullish Livermore Cylinder Pattern In a TradingView post, TradingShot revealed that the Dogecoin price is inside a Livermore’s Cylinder, which suggests that the meme coin could soon rally to as high as $1.5. The analyst noted that DOGE has been trading within a bullish megaphone for the majority of its Bull Cycle since the October 9, 2023, low. In line with this, TradingShot declared that this may technically have been so far one massive accumulation phase along with the rest of the altcoin market. This is where the Livermore Accumulation Cylinder comes in, as it draws comparisons with the Megaphone pattern. Based on this Livermore model, the analyst stated that the Dogecoin price is starting the aggressive breakout phase above the Cylinder. With the accumulation technically over, TradingShot predicts that the Dogecoin price may pursue levels 8 and 9, which give price targets of $1.50 and $12, respectively. These price levels will mark new all-time highs (ATH) for DOGE, with its current ATH at around $0.73. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the meme coin could reach this $1.5 target between now and year-end. Meanwhile, the Dogecoin price could reach $12 by July next year. In line with this, TradingShot admitted that the $12 target is not expected to happen in this current Bull Cycle, which he predicts would end in the next six months or thereabout. However, he added that the $1.50 target is well within reach in this cycle and exactly double the price of the previous cycle high. Therefore, the analyst declared that this target is a “very attractive top candidate.” Bullish Engulfing Candle About To Form For DOGE In an X post, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade stated that the DOGE monthly candle will close in just one week and that a Bullish Engulfing Candle is likely to be established. In line with this, he declared that a big moment is coming for the Dogecoin price. His accompanying chart showed that the meme coin could reach as high as $7.5 on this run. In another analysis, he declared that a rally to $1 is incoming for the Dogecoin price, echoing TradingShot’s prediction. His accompanying chart showed that the foremost meme coin could reach this psychological level between now and September. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.22, up over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. -
Markets Weekly Outlook - US Data Dump, Earnings Season and Trade Deals
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Week in review: Trade Deals Materialize The August 1 tariff deadline approaches and with it we have had a few trade deal announcements which came out this week. Market sentiment seemed to get a boost, with Gold in particular feeling the heat of a stronger US Dollar. Market participants remain at least partially on the edge of their seats as we have not seen any details of agreements as yet. This led to early signs of cracks in potential trade deals with the US announcing a Japan trade deal which included significant investments in the US. However, Japanese officials and US officials seem to have differing views of the deal with Japanese officials stating that the US will secure only 90 per cent of profits from joint investments with Japan if it takes on a proportional amount of risk and financing. This seems to suggest that cracks may be present in the two allies’ interpretation of their hastily agreed trade deal. Japanese officials further stressed there was no written agreement with Washington & no legally binding one would be drawn up after Trump administration officials claimed Tokyo would back investments in the US from which American taxpayers would reap nine-tenths of the profits. Wall Street and the dollar strengthened on Friday as investors prepared for the upcoming week. All three major indexes were slightly up in early trading and set to end the week with gains. The week also saw global investors snap up a net $8.71 billion worth of equity funds during the week, reversing a $4.4 billion net withdrawal in the prior week, data from LSEG Lipper showed. Source: LSEG With just a week left before Trump's trade deadline, the US and its partners are rushing to finalize deals. European negotiators are optimistic after the trade agreement with Japan earlier this week. The dollar strengthened but is still set for its biggest monthly drop as investors focus on upcoming trade talks and central bank meetings. The dollar index rose 0.28% to 97.72, while the euro fell 0.2% to $1.173. Against the yen, the dollar gained 0.4%, reaching 147.57. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin dropped 3.08% to $115,133.22, and Ethereum fell 2.63% to $3,641.43. Oil prices dipped as investors considered global demand and a possible supply increase from Venezuela. US crude fell 0.56% to $65.63 per barrel, and Brent dropped 0.39% to $68.91. Gold prices also declined as the stronger dollar and optimism over US-EU trade talks reduced demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold fell 0.93% to $3,336.52 an ounce. Earnings Season Over a third of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 80% beating expectations, according to LSEG data. Analysts now predict second-quarter earnings will grow 7.7% compared to the 5.8% estimate from July 1. Next week, four big tech companies Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft will release their earnings. Investors will closely watch their updates to see if spending on AI is delivering results and if trade tariffs are still affecting their future plans. The Week Ahead: US Very Much in Focus, Fed Decision, Trade Deals and Earnings The week ahead has several important data releases lined up. The US and UK will release inflation data with key GDP data from China and manufacturing data from Japan. Asia Pacific Markets - US/China Trade Talks The key focus this week is the US-China trade talks in Sweden. A 90-day tariff ceasefire, which started in May, is set to end on August 12. Markets are watching closely to see if the ceasefire will be extended or if there will be changes to current tariffs. An agreement is expected, but uncertainty remains despite President Trump's claims that a framework is in place. On the data front, China's official July PMI (out Thursday) is expected to stay in contraction at 49.6. The S&P PMI (focused on private and export-driven firms) will follow on Friday. Over the weekend, June industrial profits data will be released. After a sharp drop in May, markets are eager to see if profits recover due to eased trade tensions or if the decline continues. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is not expected to make any changes at its meeting on July 30-31. However, markets will pay attention to the BoJ's updated economic outlook. The recent US-Japan trade deal has reduced uncertainty, which may ease pressure on the BoJ. If inflation forecasts are raised, it could give clues about future interest rates. On the downside, weak industrial production data for June may hurt growth, but this could be balanced by a rebound in retail sales. Economic Data from Europe, UK and the US The US will be a key focus next week thanks to a data dump and of course trade deal announcements. On Wednesday, we will get 2nd quarter GDP data which I expect to grow 3.3% (above the 2.5% forecast), driven by strong trade and investment. However, consumer spending, a key growth driver, has slowed since late 2024 due to tariff concerns and economic uncertainty. This will be followed by the Fed rate decision later in the day. We obviously have the ongoing attacks at Fed Chair Jerome Powell by US President Trump and his administration. However, this is unlikely to sway the Fed at this stage as they are likely to adopt a wait and see approach. The economy is slowing but stable. The Fed is unlikely to cut rates now though I could see a 50bp cut in December if inflation eases. The US data week will end with focus on Jobs data and PCE. The Fed's preferred inflation measure, the core PCE deflator, is expected to rise 0.3% in June, slightly higher than CPI's 0.2%. NFP data on Friday is expected at 100-120k, with unemployment ticking up to 4.2%. Read More: Ripple (XRP/USD) Arrests 19% Slide, Trades Back Above the $3.10 Handle. What Next? As Europe heads into summer, key eurozone data is due. GDP is expected to slow after a strong 1Q boosted by U.S. trade activity. April saw drops in production and exports, though May had a rebound, especially in pharmaceuticals. Overall, U.S. developments likely hurt eurozone GDP, and weak service sector performance may add to the slowdown. On Friday we will get Euro Area inflation data. ECB President Lagarde has highlighted stable inflation and steady growth as positives. July's inflation data is expected to stay calm, but the focus will be on the U.S.-EU trade relationship as the August 1 deadline nears. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Week - Gold (XAU/USD) This week's Chart of the week is Gold (XAU/USD). Gold has shrugged off its early week gains and dropped over a $100 from the weekly highs around the $3440/oz mark. Looking at the chart below and we have the triangle pattern which appeared to experience a upside breakout earlier in the week before reversing now to test the lower band of the triangle pattern. Gold has been mixed since making fresh all-time highs in April of $3500/oz with higher highs followed by lower lows. However, the failure this week to take out the most recent swing high at $3451/oz on June 16 may warrant caution for bulls. A break below the lower end of the triangle pattern would usually be a sign of further downside, however following the false breakout this week, market participants may rightly be slight confused. If the trendline holds, bulls may return, however if it does give way then the door may be opening for a larger retracement and the $3300 level is the next key spot of support i will pay attention to. Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart - July 25, 2025 Source:TradingView.Com (click to enlarge) Key Levels to Consider: Support 330032783251 (100-day MA)Resistance 335034003425Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
USD/CHF: Dollar-franc finds support at monthly low on US-EU trade optimism
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Currently trading at ~0.79632, USD/CHF has found support at previous monthly lows of around ~0.78309. Having recently suffered its worst 6-monthly performance since 2010, losing over 12% in value, ongoing negotiations to suggest the US and the EU are ‘edging closer’ to a trade deal have offered some short-term USD/CHF buying pressure. USD/CHF: Key takeaways from today’s session Signifying a welcome episode of co-operation between the two economies, recent commentary from both the White House and the EU suggests negotiations on trade are proving fruitful, with US officials ‘optimistic’ that a deal is to be struckOtherwise, markets are adjusting expectations on SNB monetary policy, owing to recent Swiss CPI data showing that inflation is hotter than expectedUSD/CHF: Swiss franc remains the best-performing major currency of 2025 If asked which currency has benefited most from the current cocktail of macroeconomic themes on offer in 2025, the answer would undeniably be the Swiss franc - at least so far. While at least some of the recent CHF strength can be explained by safe-haven inflows seen in the first half of the year, the complete answer lies in comparing the Swiss franc to other typical ‘safe-haven’ currencies. JXY, DXY & SXY, TVC, 24/07/2025 In the case of the U.S. dollar, it would be fair to say that its status as ‘world currency’ has come under pressure in recent months. Owing to snowballing U.S. debt and polarising policy changes courtesy of 47th POTUS Donald Trump, it would appear that the root cause of the aforementioned safe-haven inflows comes predominantly from the United States itself, whether from the White House or otherwise. The most significant of these is trade tariffs, synonymous with the Trump campaign, which boosts market risk aversion, especially when agreements between the US and other key nations appear unlikely to be met. Whereas the dollar typically benefits from safe-haven demand, it seems that this time, it can only watch from the sidelines as investors choose to look elsewhere for a more secure, reliable, and dependable store of wealth. In comparison, the Japanese yen has benefited much more than the dollar in terms of safe-haven demand, but still, for the most part, has played second fiddle to the Swiss franc for much of 2025. Put simply, the reasons are threefold: Making a significant U-turn from ultra-loose monetary policy in recent years, the use of the Japanese yen as a ‘funding’ currency for carry trades is changing. Whereas previously, in times of low market risk appetite, traders would often liquidate yen carry trades, driving yen strength, changes made by the BoJ to raise interest rates have severely disincentivised such strategies. As such, at least one outcome is that the yen does not strengthen as much as the franc in times of high safe-haven demand, as seen in recent months Unlike the SNB, the Bank of Japan’s decision to raise rates in recent years signifies broader changes to the yen’s standing amongst other major currencies. As such, and while the yen finds its footing, investors are less likely to prefer the yen as a store of wealth in times of economic uncertainty While the Swiss economy boasts one of the lowest debt-to-GDP levels in the developed world, at around 38%, the same cannot be said for the Japanese economy, which exceeds 250%. With government debt a hot topic courtesy of recent developments in the United States, markets are understandably somewhat nervous to use the yen as a store of wealth, especially in times of economic hardship While the Swiss economy admittedly has much to boast about, the recent strengthening of the franc has much to do with the appeal, or lack thereof, of other safe-haven currencies in comparison. USD/CHF: Imminent US-EU trade deal to offer support to USD/CHF Put simply, lessened tensions between key trading partners, like the United States and European Union, are not only positive for the dollar but also help lessen safe-haven demand, causing some CHF downside. The outcome, at least for now, has been some USD/CHF buying support around monthly lows, as the EU looks set to avoid a 30% tariff on all US-bound exports in favour of a more tame 15%. It should also be noted that recent dollar downside has been caused in large part by nervousness about tariffs, and any change in perceptions, especially regarding likely agreements between key US trading partners, will likely offer significant dollar support. "The sooner this trade uncertainty is resolved, the less uncertainty we’ll have to deal with" Christine Lagarde, ECB President, Monetary Policy Statement Press Conference 24/07/2025 USD/CHF: MoM inflation at 0.1% readjusts market expectations of SNB rate cuts Keen to avoid deflationary pressures for the first half of the year, recent inflation figures from the Swiss economy are not only economically encouraging, but also have markets readjusting SNB rate cut expectations. Previously thought to be considering a return to negative interest rates to raise inflation closer to the target of 2%, recent CPI data shows that inflation is rising faster than expected, reining in market expectations for further rate cuts. While expectations of a higher SNB base interest rate are typically CHF-positive, a growing sense of uncertainty surrounding Swiss monetary policy has led to some short-term downside, especially after an extended period of rally. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
NexGen consolidates interest in Athabasca land package from Rio Tinto
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NexGen Energy (TSX, NYSE: NXE) (ASX: NXG) is now the 100% owner of its portfolio of exploration assets in the southwestern Athabasca Basin after consolidating a minority interest held by Rio Tinto on certain projects. On Thursday, the Vancouver-headquartered uranium miner announced it has acquired Rio’s 10% production carried interest over 39 mineral claims in the region, including those hosting the PCE discovery, by exercising its right of first refusal on these assets. Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed by the company. As set out in the parties’ initial arrangement, Rio is entitled to a 10% undivided interest in future production from the mineral claims, carried through to the commencement of commercial production. This was put in place before NexGen acquired the land package in 2012. The centrepiece of the claims package is PCE — or Patterson Corridor East — an uranium occurrence situated 3.5 km east of the world-class Arrow deposit that the NexGen team discovered in 2014. Part of the larger, 100%-owned Rook I property, the Arrow deposit is host to one of the largest uranium resources in the world, containing 256.7 million lb. of U3O8 (uranium oxide) in the measured and indicated categories and another 80.7 million lb. in inferred. Anchored by this resource, NexGen considers Rook I to be the largest development-stage uranium project in all of Canada. A feasibility study in 2021 estimated an after-tax net present value (at 8% discount) of C$3.47 billion with a 52.4% internal rate of return. The proposed mine, which is now in the engineering phase, could produce nearly 29 million lb. of U3O8 per year over the first half of its approximate 10.7-year life. The PCE discovery, according to the company, could mirror that of Arrow due to their similarities in geology. Initial drilling results at PCE have indicated an expansive footprint with remarkable continuity of mineralization, it said. In a press release, NexGen CEO Leigh Curyer said that the two deposits could help meet the “ever-growing need for a safe, secure supply of uranium,” citing that the market is currently in a deficit and the massive spending required to build AI data centres, which would be powered by nuclear energy. “Given the world class extent, high grade and superior technical setting of mineralization discovered to date at our two projects, consolidating our portfolio at PCE and surrounding area to match our 100% ownership in our world-class Arrow deposit, is entirely in line with our strategic objective of becoming the future leader in uranium production worldwide,” he said. Shares of NexGen Energy surged more than 5% on Thursday in New York, closing at a near six-month high of $7.43 with a market capitalization of $4.4 billion. By Friday, the stock had pulled back to around $7.10. -
Is $1 Dogecoin ‚Inevitable‘? Analyst Cites Perfect Storm Of Factors
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Dogecoin could be approaching a structural breakout that carries it to the long-discussed $1 threshold, according to crypto analyst Stephan Burns, who in a July 24 livestream described a “perfect storm” of monetary design, market structure and what he characterizes as rare astrological alignments. Burns framed the move as an “inevitability,” while acknowledging timing uncertainty, arguing that the next parabolic advance could emerge within months. Is $1 Dogecoin Inevitable? Burns built his case first on tokenomics. Dogecoin’s fixed issuance of 10,000 DOGE per one-minute block—approximately 5.2 billion DOGE annually—translates today into an inflation rate of roughly 3.3% against a circulating supply he placed at 150 billion. With that supply base, he said, the network simultaneously sustains miner incentives, gradually replaces lost coins and avoids the periodic “supply shocks” embedded in Bitcoin’s quadrennial halving schedule. “It’s beautiful because of this inflation rate,” he said, calling Dogecoin “better as a currency than Bitcoin” precisely because of its predictability. By contrast, he argued, Bitcoin’s declining issuance—on track to fall below half a percent after the 2028 halving—forces a future reliance on transaction fees. “Eventually Bitcoin will be completely mined… the network has to be maintained by transaction fees. That’s probably not enough to incentivize miners at the end of the day,” Burns claims. He also asserted that Dogecoin’s governance surface is harder to co-opt than Bitcoin’s as large institutional and governmental actors accumulate BTC exposure. In his view, Dogecoin remains “the people’s currency,” with economic dilution limited by social and technical difficulty of altering code. The flat nominal issuance, he added, produces a declining percentage inflation rate over time without rendering the asset strictly deflationary or, in his words, vulnerable to miner attrition. Beyond economics, Burns devoted extensive time to what he calls “crypto astrology,” arguing that Dogecoin’s natal chart—anchored to its genesis block—now sits under exceptionally favorable transits. He highlighted Pluto’s conjunction with Dogecoin’s natal Moon, describing it as “a once in a roughly 250-year transit,” and an impending Jupiter return with the planet “exalted” near the project’s midheaven point. These, he claimed, historically correspond to phases of visibility, capital inflow and wealth symbolism. “Dogecoin is being activated… more than any other cryptocurrency this year,” he said, labeling the configuration a catalyst for renewed global attention. Burns linked those internal transits to a broader macro cycle, citing the approaching Saturn–Neptune conjunction at the first degrees of Aries in early 2026, which he associated—through earlier historical recurrences—with milestones such as the emergence of coinage and trade networks. In his view, that backdrop reinforces the plausibility of another speculative wave. A logarithmic review of Dogecoin’s price history, he said, shows three prior “parabolic” expansions separated by lengthening consolidation phases; the current basing structure, including what he described as an ascending W-pattern supported by long-term moving averages, could precede a fourth. “Just based off of that it looks like we may be due for another one of these parabolic moves up in the next few months,” he said, while conceding that “just because I think it doesn’t mean it’s going to happen.” He further projected that a Dogecoin exchange-traded fund “will get approved” and place the asset “in the spotlight,” though he did not provide documentation beyond his expectation. Burns also contrasted Dogecoin’s relative resilience on its Bitcoin ratio with altcoins that have reverted to prior ranges, arguing that structural holding above pre-2020 levels supports his thesis. Summarizing his outlook, Burns reiterated what he called the “inevitability of Dogecoin going to $1,” framing that level as the maximal target in his public analysis for the forthcoming cycle. The timing, he implied, hinges on the interplay between tokenomics-driven accumulation and the unfolding of the transits he tracks. “I do think it’s going to moon,” he concluded. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.23. -
Dollar regains footing as long-term Reversal carves out a Bottom
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After failing to trade above the 99.00 psychological handle last Thursday, the Dollar Index had retracted strongly in the beginning of the week – Is the ongoing retracement over? Other majors have enjoyed from the close to 2% correction in the Index, particularly USDJPY which had been struggling since the onset of July. Markets tend to move chaotically on the small picture but the bigger picture sometimes offers some great insights. The US Dollar just marked what is for now an intermediate bottom on its index and this marked the end of the weekly run in European and Asia-Pacific currencies. Let's take a look at the DXY and a few other major charts to prepare for the month-end to next month trading. Read More: Is the S&P 500 losing steam? Taking a look at the US Dollar Dollar Index Daily Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView The US Dollar had marked a bad looking intermediate-top for its higher prospects amid the past month of selling positions closing. The path of the Greenback, always in the middle of many crosscurrents of macroeconomic and financial micmacs, tends to be complex to forecast on the longer-run. The ongoing theme in 2025 is one of US Exceptionalism that is scaring financial flows to exit American Markets or at least, strongly diversify from them. SInce 2008, the United States have captured a huge part of big bank investments. The outflows of such have had a strong impact, but they can't just happen in one shot as it has been the case this month. The speed at which that happened actually might have been a reason for the now-underweight US Equities asset managers to rush back to American markets on their strong fundamentals, leading to some strong moves to their new all-time highs. A lot of these reasons have led to the USD still marking a strong bottom at a weekly Head and Shoulders target – 96.50 is the level to keep in mind, the lowest point hit since the beginning of the 2022 hike cycle. But looking closer, what do we see? Dollar Index 8H Chart Dollar Index 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView The USD is bouncing sharply after retesting both the 2025 Lows Key support zone which coincides perfectly with a retest of the 2025 Channel which had been broken upwards. The 8H MA 50 is acting as immediate resistance for the Dollar, so this weekly close should be very interesting. Marking a strong rejection here will point to a consolidation between Wednesday's 97.00 Lows and today's 97.90 Highs. Staying at the current levels or clsoing above will point to a higher path to the Dollar and a confirmation that the lows of the next few months might have already been attained. So, what are other major pairs showing?Potential double top for the EURUSD EUR/USD 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Watch the 1.17 Handle, acting as key immediate pivot. USDCAD – Still ranging but strong rally off the lows USD/CAD 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Price action is still within the range but the ongoing rally is very strong – Watch for reactions around the 1.3750 range resistance. Next key resistance is one full handle above (1.3850). GBPUSD breaking below its 2025 Channel GBP/USD 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Sellers still have to break below the 1.34 support zone but the rejection at the 1.36 Resistance is a bit nasty. July 2025 lows are at 1.33650 USDCHF – Potential double bottom USD/CHF 8H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Buyers will still have to break the strong downward trendline but a double bottom may have freshly formed. Concluding note The US Dollar is one of the most complex financial instrument to analyze, but looking at these current charts, there are some signs of a strong change to the ongoing 2025 flows. If price action for the major pairs stays rangebound from here, it would invalidate the US Dollar strength scenario which is always still a possibility. Trading is about taking a step back to spot the higher timeframe trends that big participants carve out, and displaying all the potential scenarios while highlighting the ones with the highest probabilities. Safe Trades! Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Who Pays the Real Cost of Tariffs? Who Ultimately Pays the Cost of U.S. Tariffs? I recently watched an interview where Treasury Secretary Bessent downplayed the inflationary impact of President Trump’s tariffs. According to him, the burden of these import taxes will mostly fall on exporters trying to maintain U.S. market share and on retailers who will trim their profit margins to keep prices stable. He even cited Toyota’s decision not to raise prices as an example of a company working to absorb costs rather than pass them on to consumers. Maybe Secretary Bessent sees something I don’t or maybe he’s painting a rosy picture of a complex economic reality. Because here’s the truth: tariffs may be imposed on foreign goods, but Americans foot the bill. Let’s break down how U.S. tariffs work and who actually pays. What Are Tariffs? • A tariff is a tax imposed on imported goods. • When a U.S. company imports foreign products, it pays the tariff directly to U.S. Customs and Border Protection at the border. • The foreign exporter does not pay the tariff directly. Who Pays the Real Cost of Tariffs? Although the importer pays the tariff at the border, that cost doesn’t disappear. It gets passed along in the economic chain. Here’s how it affects different players: 1. U.S. Businesses • Importers may absorb part of the tariff, cutting into their profit margins. • Alternatively, they may pass the cost to consumers via higher prices. • Some companies may switch to domestic suppliers, often at a higher cost. 2. U.S. Consumers • When tariffs raise the price of goods, retailers often pass the increase to consumers. • This acts as a hidden tax on the American public, especially on items like electronics, appliances, and automobiles. • The degree to which consumers feel the pinch depends on how much of the cost is passed on. 3. U.S. Manufacturers • Tariffs on raw materials raise input costs. • This makes manufacturing more expensive, especially for small-to-midsize businesses. • Domestic producers may also raise prices in response to pricier imports, capitalizing on the pricing gap to increase profit margins.. 4. Foreign Exporters • While they don’t pay tariffs directly, foreign sellers may or may not lower prices to stay competitive. • This may means taking a hit on profits, effectively sharing some of the cost burden or risk staying competitive. • Exporters must decide whether to protect market share or preserve margins. So, Who Really Pays for U.S. Tariffs? In reality, tariffs are paid by U.S. importers and ultimately affect everyone, businesses, consumers, and even global suppliers. The impact depends on how much of the burden is shared and how much is passed on to the consumer. What happens next depends on: • How much of the cost is absorbed vs. passed on • Whether inflation reignites as prices rise • How the Federal Reserve responds with monetary policy Market Impact: A Disconnect? Interestingly, equity markets remain near record highs, suggesting the fallout from tariffs may not be as damaging as initially feared when Trump announced his reciprocal tariff plan on Liberation Day. Still, this is uncharted territory. Secretary Bessent may be betting on a “best-case” outcome where foreign exporters and U.S. businesses absorb the impact, shielding consumers from inflation. That may be like pulling an inside straight flush, whih is 0possible, but unlikely. The bottom line is that tariffs are paid by American importers and often passed on to consumers. While some costs may be absorbed along the supply chain, the inflationary effect is real and the ultimate impact remains uncertain. Join Our GTA for FREE – Click HERE Take a FREE Trial of The Amazing Trader – Click HERE The post Who Ultimately Pays the Cost of U.S. Tariffs? appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.
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Crypto Founder Reveals What Will Drive Ethereum Price To $10,000
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BitMEX co-founder and crypto investor, Arthur Hayes, has outlined the key catalysts that could drive the Ethereum price to a $10,000 all-time high by year-end. In a detailed market analysis, Hayes explains how expanding US credit policies, growing institutional interests, and a shift toward wartime economic strategies could create the ideal conditions for a major ETH price rally. Ethereum Price Set To Hit $10,000 By Year End On July 23, Hayes published an in-depth report on Substack, analyzing geopolitical trends and how they could create the ideal conditions for a major Ethereum price surge. The crypto founder has set a bold target of $10,000 for ETH by the end of 2025, attributing the future rally to macroeconomic shifts and increasing institutional appetite. Hayes believes that as the US leans further into wartime economic policies under President Donald Trump’s reign, a wave of credit expansion could be unleashed—fueling “asset bubbles,” particularly in crypto. According to the BitMEX co-founder, Ethereum could benefit most from this environment. While Bitcoin remains the crypto reserve asset, Hayes notes that ETH has been largely overlooked since Solana’s explosive rebound post-FTX. However, he asserts that the tides are turning, especially among Western institutional investors who are starting to favor Ethereum-based assets. The crypto founder pointed to growing confidence in Ethereum from financial influencers like Tom Lee and a renewed interest in DeFi ecosystems as early signs of a potential breakout. Hayes’ venture capital firm, Maelstrom, is now also fully committed to ETH and the broader ERC-20 ecosystem. He has declared that the next ”Ether bull run” is imminent, forecasting a 176.3% rise from ETH’s current price of $3,619. Alongside his $10,000 Ethereum target, the crypto founder projected that Bitcoin could skyrocket to $250,000 before the end of the year. ETH Rally Tied To US Economic And Wartime Developments In his report, Hayes seemingly connects Ethereum’s upside potential to a broader macroeconomic narrative rooted in fiscal policy and geopolitical conflict. He argues that the US is shifting toward a form of state-sponsored capitalism or economic fascism designed to fuel wartime production. According to the crypto founder, this strategy encourages banks to lend freely to companies without government-guaranteed profits. He noted that when the fiat supply increases without a corresponding rise in raw materials or labor, inflation becomes unavoidable. To manage this, he suggests the government may need to blow bubbles in non-essential assets like crypto, to absorb excess credit without destabilizing essentials like food or housing. Furthermore, Hayes believes that just as Ethereum stands to benefit from this environment, stablecoins may play a key role in building it. As the crypto market cap grows, so does the amount stored in stablecoins, most of which are reinvested into US Treasury bills. For instance, if the market cap of crypto hits $100 trillion by 2026, the BitMEX co-founder predicts that stablecoins could indirectly fund trillions in government debt, ultimately making crypto an integral player in sustaining wartime fiscal policies. -
This week saw one of the most mixed price action towards the newly formed all-time highs for the 500 best US Companies – The ongoing opening bell is not showing much juice to retest the overnight highs and other global indices are also correcting on the session. The Earnings season has been more than decent but looking at the price action, buyers seem to have come to an exhaustion point. Despite a Daily Golden Cross leading to 11 consecutive new highs, the price discovery for the S&P looks to be stalling at a key zone of interest, coming short of the 6,400 psychological level for both the CFD and actual Index. Many of the best performing assets in the year have started to form local tops: looking at the strong retracement in Gold, Bitcoin, the freshly formed Double top in the Nasdaq that sellers are starting to lean up on and the Dow Jones just retesting its ATH just yesterday without breaching the level. This week had some decently positive news that could have boosted momentum for equities further such as Trump confirming he won't fire Jerome Powell and the finalized US-Japan Trade Deal. Read More: UK Retail Sales Gets Summer Boost, Trade Deal Optimism Wanes & FTSE 100 Steady Positioning and Sentiment at an extreme S&P 500 and CBOE Put/Call Ratio – July 24 2025 – Source: MacroMicro Wherever you look, Market participants mention how strong the ongoing US Trend is and how such strong momentum cannot be faded – This is far from an invitation to sell highs but to trade with more caution looking ahead. The S&P 500 Put/Call Ratio is coming at a trough and such positive & negative spikes tend to coincide with some tops, particularly amid extreme Fear/Greed levels. I remember the 2022 Bear Market concluding on an extreme put ratio against calls – The trough isn't forming such a spike today but the extremes are close. S&P 500 Technical Analysis from the Daily to intraday chartsS&P 500 Daily S&P 500 Daily Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView The S&P 500 has been flying upwards particularly since the end of the Israel-Iran conflict after forming lows at 5,930. There hasn't been much selling, with almost no daily candle closing below the prior with this pushing Daily RSI to overbought levels. Overbought RSI is by definition a standard in such strong trends – Such technical signs don't always traduce with a correction but at least an exhaustion in the move. You may also take a peek at the Potential Supply trendline that is not too far from current trading – But a closer look is more than required for further analysis. S&P 500 4H S&P 500 4H Chart, July 24 2025 – Source: TradingView Looking closer, we can spot candles that are looking less strong particularly as buyers are stepping against the 1.272 Fib-Extension from the War lows to the July 3 Local top. Momentum is currently retracting from overbought and momentum is starting to become slightly more neutral. Buyers will want to re-enter above the longer-run upwards Channel formed with the April 2025 bottom and will need to breach the current highs on strong momentum – Local CFD Highs at 6,391, Index at 6,381. S&P 500 1H Chart Looking even closer, buyers haven't given up just yet, especially with RSI momentum not breaching the neutral line. Except for the higher timeframe warning signs, holding above the 1H-MA 50 still give the short-term hand to the bulls, but they will have to break the last swing highs to gain further traction. Levels of interest to place on your charts: Support Levels: Mini-Support and 50-H MA 6,370200-H MA 6,315Key Support 6,300Past week lows 6,230Resistance Levels: 6,390 to 6,400 Current highs resistancePotential Resistance at Fib extension 6,420Level to breach for new ATH 6,391 Safe Trades! Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.