Todas Atividades

In the 1870’s in Colorado, the discovery of huge amounts of silver ore in the mountains triggered a massive silver boom. Silver mining expanded significantly in the state over the next decade, and Leadville became known as the “Silver Capital of America.” Colorado mountain towns saw explosive population growth and prosperity driven by mining. However, the silver boom period slid into a bust. Changes to the global international monetary systems relating to precious metals triggered a collapse in the price of silver, which directly impacted the Colorado silver mining towns. In the 1870s, many countries, including Holland, France, Belgium, Italy, Switzerland, and Greece, stopped minting silver coins. The United States, which had been minting silver dollars, joined those countries and went on the gold standard. The amount of silver coined internationally dropped 50% in just two years. This led to a silver price collapse at a time when production was increasingly dramatically in Colorado. Joseph Lesher, a successful Colorado miner turned mine owner, wanted to revive the local economy after the silver price decline dragged down growth. Lesher was a passionate advocate of the “Free Silver” movement, which advocated for the unlimited coinage of silver in America to expand the money supply and stimulate the economy. Lesher took action. He started a private mint and struck octagonal silver coins—known as Lesher Referendum dollars in 1900 and 1901. These coins were intended to circulate locally and stimulate demand for silver, thereby helping to reopen idle mines and restore prosperity to the region. Lesher’s minting operation was short-lived, running from late 1900 through 1901. During this period, he produced an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 pieces in total. The fascinating design of many Lesher dollars reveals their important connection to Colorado’s silver mining boom era. Some Lesher Dollars feature a magnificent depiction of Pikes Peak, the iconic Colorado Mountain. The mountain’s image symbolized the region’s mining heritage and the aspirations of those who sought fortune in its shadow. Alongside Pikes Peak, the coins often bore inscriptions such as “JOS. LESHERS REFERENDUM SILVER SOUVENIR MEDAL,” the year of issue, and the name of the merchant or town that accepted the coin as currency. Lesher Dollars are immediately recognizable by their distinctive octagonal shape and large size. The coins were hand-punched, resulting in unique variations and individual quirks for each piece. Today, Lesher Dollars are extremely rare, with just over 20 different types identified by PCGS. They are differentiated by the names of Colorado merchants and towns stamped on them. Some varieties are known by only a single surviving specimen. Their scarcity and historical importance make them highly sought after by collectors today. The post Lesher Colorado Dollars: An Intriguing Chapter in Private Mint History appeared first on Blanchard and Company.

In the 1870’s in Colorado, the discovery of huge amounts of silver ore in the mountains triggered a massive silver boom. Silver mining expanded significantly in the state over the next decade, and Leadville became known as the “Silver Capital of America.” Colorado mountain towns saw explosive population growth and prosperity driven by mining. However, the silver boom period slid into a bust. Changes to the global international monetary systems relating to precious metals triggered a collapse in the price of silver, which directly impacted the Colorado silver mining towns. In the 1870s, many countries, including Holland, France, Belgium, Italy, Switzerland, and Greece, stopped minting silver coins. The United States, which had been minting silver dollars, joined those countries and went on the gold standard. The amount of silver coined internationally dropped 50% in just two years. This led to a silver price collapse at a time when production was increasingly dramatically in Colorado. Joseph Lesher, a successful Colorado miner turned mine owner, wanted to revive the local economy after the silver price decline dragged down growth. Lesher was a passionate advocate of the “Free Silver” movement, which advocated for the unlimited coinage of silver in America to expand the money supply and stimulate the economy. Lesher took action. He started a private mint and struck octagonal silver coins—known as Lesher Referendum dollars in 1900 and 1901. These coins were intended to circulate locally and stimulate demand for silver, thereby helping to reopen idle mines and restore prosperity to the region. Lesher’s minting operation was short-lived, running from late 1900 through 1901. During this period, he produced an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 pieces in total. The fascinating design of many Lesher dollars reveals their important connection to Colorado’s silver mining boom era. Some Lesher Dollars feature a magnificent depiction of Pikes Peak, the iconic Colorado Mountain. The mountain’s image symbolized the region’s mining heritage and the aspirations of those who sought fortune in its shadow. Alongside Pikes Peak, the coins often bore inscriptions such as “JOS. LESHERS REFERENDUM SILVER SOUVENIR MEDAL,” the year of issue, and the name of the merchant or town that accepted the coin as currency. Lesher Dollars are immediately recognizable by their distinctive octagonal shape and large size. The coins were hand-punched, resulting in unique variations and individual quirks for each piece. Today, Lesher Dollars are extremely rare, with just over 20 different types identified by PCGS. They are differentiated by the names of Colorado merchants and towns stamped on them. Some varieties are known by only a single surviving specimen. Their scarcity and historical importance make them highly sought after by collectors today. The post Lesher Colorado Dollars: An Intriguing Chapter in Private Mint History appeared first on Blanchard and Company.

The XRP price could be preparing for a historical rally, as a prominent crypto analyst has boldly predicted that the cryptocurrency could reach a fresh cycle top between $20 and $30. The forecast, which presents a massive upside for the altcoin, is based on the Elliott Wave Theory—a key technical analysis tool. XRP Wave Map Signals Cycle Top Ahead Crypto analyst, XForceGlobal on X (formerly Twitter) has presented a bold new forecast for XRP, projecting a cycle high between $20 and $30. The analyst shared a chart that dissects XRP’s price action over the last several months, suggesting that the cryptocurrency is currently in the final stages of a corrective wave before beginning a powerful multi-leg impulsive rally. If this wave count plays out as the market expert says, XRP could be on the verge of its most aggressive breakout to date. The analysis focuses on XRP’s medium-term correction, which has taken the form of a complex WXY structure. According to the chart, XRP is nearing the completion of Wave 2, a corrective phase that began after the last upward impulse. XForceGlobal has pinpointed a key Fibonacci confluence zone between $1.60 and $1.90, where XRP’s pullback is expected to find support. The chart clearly marks this area as a potential springboard for the next bullish phase, as long as the price does not fall below the $1.618 level, which serves as the invalidation point for the current setup. Despite XRP’s historical track record of sluggish performance and ongoing skepticism within the crypto community about the bullish forecast, XForceGlobal maintains confidence that the cryptocurrency will reach the ambitious $20-$30 cycle top—a move he believes could unfold well into 2026. Intermediate Targets First, Cycle High Later According to XForceGlobal’s chart, once XRP completes its current corrective move, the analyst predicts that the first leg of this upcoming rally may take the cryptocurrency past the $5 mark in Wave 3, followed by a deeper Wave 4 pullback and a final thrust into Wave 5 toward $6 or more. While these targets represent an intermediate-term bullish setup, on a macro scale, the long-term wave map implies that the whole structure could later culminate in a parabolic cycle top rally that sends XRP between $20 and possibly even $30. This optimistic outlook gains further credibility, as the analyst notes that XRP’s internal wave count for the flat scenario has taken longer to resolve than initially expected. Beyond technicals, XForceGlobal highlights that market psychology plays a central role in its bullish forecast. He notes that the XRP community has weathered regulatory battles, market crashes, and years of stagnation, most notably the US SEC lawsuit. This prolonged adversity has turned XRP holders into “battle-tested veterans” who are largely immune to fear-driven selling. This resilience, according to the analyst, could be the key to the next bullish phase of XRP’s price action.

Want to check on Bitcoin’s latest price moves? Just pop over to CoinMarketCap and… enter your wallet info? On June 20, 2025, visitors to a number of major crypto sites, including CoinTelegraph and CoinMarketCap, were prompted to connect their crypto wallets before accessing the site. The pop-up was a hack, a wallet-stealer designed to siphon information away from users. CoinMarketCap users can create accounts and connect wallets to track their portfolios, so the pop-up itself might not have seemed entirely out-of-place. Users quickly uncovered the hack, and affected sites moved rapidly to limit the damage. The incident highlights a new potential vulnerability in the growing crypto ecosystem. With such attacks, phishing can occur even on trusted platforms. What Wallet? Hacks Exploited Common Wallet Connectivity Features The incident involved the injection of malicious JavaScript code into CoinMarketCap’s homepage. When unsuspecting users visited the site, they were greeted with a realistic-looking ‘Connect Wallet to Verify’ popup, mimicking standard Web3 wallet connection prompts. Users who clicked the popup and approved the transaction gave attackers full access to their wallets. The CMC hack reportedly had 39 victims with over $18K in losses. The script was since removed, and CMC has patched the vulnerability. Cointelegraph Also Targeted Just days later, on June 23, Cointelegraph, another prominent crypto news outlet, faced a similar attack. In this case, attackers managed to compromise an ad-serving network, injecting code that produced a fake token airdrop popup promoting a nonexistent ‘Cointelegraph token’ or ‘CTG.’ The popup redirected users to a phishing site designed to harvest wallet signatures. Once again, users who interacted and signed the transaction lost access to their funds. Cointelegraph quickly issued a warning across its social media channels and disabled the malicious script. Both the CMC and CT hacks are part of a growing category of crypto hacks focused on compromising wallets. Per CertiK’s quarterly report, these attacks produce the largest losses (over $1.450M in Q1 2025 alone). Wallet compromises are not as successful as other attacks, ranking last by incident count. But when they work, hackers can make off with vast amounts quickly. Vigilance and Knowing the Warning Signs: Key to Avoid Losses Binance founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) took to X and warned users to ‘be careful when authorizing wallet connect.’ Both the CMC and CT hacks used pop-ups, one for a simple wallet connect prompt, and one for a purported crypto airdrop. Cointelegraph’s official account also posted a warning, urging users to not click the pop-ups, connect wallets, or provide their personal information. Crypto airdrops and crypto presales are often used by legitimate projects to develop early interest and generate buzz about new projects, making such phishing attacks more convincing. Scammers create fakes in order to encourage investors to give away wallet information. The supposed project or token – in this case ‘CTG’ – never existed. How do investors stay safe? Avoiding any unexpected or unusual pop-ups, even from trust sources, is a first step. And when it comes to the crypto ICOs and presales, it’s important to get your info from trusted sources. This is where a new solution, Best Wallet, stands out. This new app is the only Web3 wallet with a presale directory where you can browse only audited, secure presale tokens. The wallet also employs Multi-Party Computation technology, protecting your key from phishing attacks and hacks. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) – The World’s First and Only Crypto Presale Wallet The evolution of crypto hacks is unfortunately part of crypto’s growing market and popularity. New Web3 solutions, like Best Wallet, are evolving to tackle these security challenges, becoming a critical part of the crypto economy. And the Best Wallet Token ($BEST) is here to power-up the Best Wallet ecosystem and provide additional perks for holders. With $BEST, token holders can trade and swap tokens more easily, participate in community governance, and earn higher staking rewards. The token also allows early access to the best crypto presales, gathered and vetted by Best Wallet in their ‘Upcoming Tokens’ section. Here, investors can find upcoming crypto projects, as well as all the key information, such as whitepapers and tokenomic, needed to do research before investing. That makes Best Wallet’s platform and token some of the handiest tools for crypto investors who want to avoid shady pop-ups and still stay ahead of the markets. Most importantly, Best Wallet is non-custodial and privacy-focused; investors control all their wallet keys and can sign up and swap crypto without KYC. The Best Wallet token presale has raised $13.5M so far, with the coin currently priced at $0.025225. Note that, given its sought-after privacy-oriented wallet, the $BEST token could reach $0.05 by the end of 2026 after a successful launch, delivering 102% returns to current investors. If you’re interested in supporting the project, now’s the right opportunity to buy the Best Wallet Token at the lowest price. Visit Best Wallet’s Token presale today. Security in the Age of Web3 The recent front-end Cointelegraph and CoinMarketCap hacks mark a dangerous new phase in crypto security threats. Unlike traditional hacking methods that target backend systems or databases, these exploits weaponize the user interface, where trust is assumed but rarely verified. Secure Web3 wallets like Best Wallet can go a long way towards mitigating such growing risks. As always, do your own research before investing or choosing a crypto service provider. This article isn’t financial advice.

The market technician known on X as Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) has published a post that condenses years of his XRP/BTC work into one number—2,041 satoshis—and a set of time-stamped price targets that reach as high as $30 per XRP once Bitcoin hits $270,000. In the post, the analyst begins with a sharp rebuke of critics who, in his words, “pretend to be idiots just to troll” before pivoting to a rigorously structured roadmap. He breaks price action into five nested horizons—intraday, daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly—and assigns each its own decision-making role. XRP Moon Scenario: $30 Target Needs One Final Signal The crux of the argument is that monthly price candles must be read in isolation from what he calls the “noise” of the lower frames if traders want to understand where serious accumulation or distribution is taking place. “Bullish target: ~$4–4.5 (3.5 K sats on 120–130 K BTC). Very bullish target: ~$18–30 (7 K–12 K sats / 270 K BTC).” Those levels are not merely numeric goals; they are the by-product of a ratio he views as structural. A monthly close below 2,041 satoshis would, paradoxically, increase his confidence in the “very bullish” path—but only “very long term (2026+),” because such a breakdown would probably trigger what he calls a flush toward 1,800, 1,500 or even 700 sats first. Conversely, a defense of that shelf preserves a less spectacular—but cleaner—advance toward 3,500 sats (~$4–4.50 at current six-figure Bitcoin prices) and keeps alive the 7,000-to-12,000-satoshi objective for the extended cycle top. The thread’s most practical value may lie in its explanation of why no immediate weekly up-trend should be expected even in the “most bullish” scenario. Dr Cat points to classic Ichimoku conditions—Chikou Span under price, a downward-angled Kijun-sen and a bearish Tenkan/Kijun cross—arguing that history shows it can take “~26 weeks at least” for those signals to unwind. Any rally toward 2,700 sats in the next couple of months would therefore be viewed as a Kijun retest ripe for rejection rather than the start of a sustained breakout. The analyst also clarifies a point that has caused confusion among casual readers: his $270,000 Bitcoin estimate is a macro-cycle cap, not a near-term forecast. He explicitly states that he expects the current market cycle to “extend to 2026 and beyond,” which is why the loftiest XRP numbers sit at the far right of his timeline. Everything, he insists, flows from the ratio between the two assets, not from dollar-denominated targets considered in isolation. Context comes in the form of a brief exchange with a skeptic posting under the handle “Woo tard of Wall St”, who mocked the notion of a $7 XRP at 270,000 BTC. Dr Cat’s reply—delivered without diluting his language—underscores how strongly he views the time-horizon mismatch between traders who obsess over daily candles and those who plot quarterly swings. Technicians may quibble with the assumption that one static ratio can govern a three-year outlook, but the post offers a coherent, internally consistent playbook: watch the monthly close against 2,041 sats. Hold it, and the roadmap favors an eventual attack on 3,500 sats and, later, 7,000-plus. Lose it, and the pair probably capitulates before any “monster move” can emerge in the second half of the decade. Either outcome, Dr Cat argues, will resolve whether the XRP narrative of under-performance finally gives way to what would be its most spectacular out-performance against Bitcoin since 2017. For market participants seeking a single data point to anchor their risk management, 2,041 satoshis now functions as that fulcrum. Until the monthly candle prints, every tick above or below the line will feed the debate over whether XRP is coiling for a generational breakout—or simply rehearsing another round of disappointment. At press time, XRP traded at $2.01.

The Japanese yen has started the week with sharp losses. In the European session, USD/JPY has jumped 1.2% on the day and is trading at 147.82. The yen has fallen to five-week lows against the US dollar. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

How Smart Trading Bots Adapt to Shifting Market Conditions EUR/USD in Transition: How Smart Trading Bots Adapt to Shifting Market Conditions Few currency pairs respond as sharply, or as inconsistently, to shifting global narratives as EUR/USD. Over the past two years, it’s moved through cycles of breakout rallies, grinding consolidations, and policy-fueled whiplash. Traders navigating uncertainty. What worked one quarter falls flat the next. Staying consistent in that environment means more than reacting quickly. It means reading structure, spotting transitions early, and executing without hesitation. That’s where modern trading systems, from AI-driven bots to rule-based automation, have stepped in to fill the gap. A Market in Flux Throughout recent quarters, EUR/USD has gone through several phases of sharp movement and confusing stasis. The dollar surged as the Fed stuck with a hawkish tone, but that momentum didn’t hold indefinitely. Markets began pricing in peak rate expectations, followed by speculation around cuts. Meanwhile, the ECB walked a fine line, raising rates slowly while trying to keep European growth from stalling. As a result, traders saw a mix of high-volatility spikes around data releases, interspersed with sluggish consolidation. That whipsaw between movement and indecision made it tough to stay consistent. Strategies based purely on breakout indicators or lagging averages often entered too late or exited too early. The market wasn’t giving clean signals, and that’s when structure matters most. What Smarter Systems Bring to the Table In these kinds of market conditions, traders face two main problems: hesitation and overreaction. Bots don’t suffer from either. They’re programmed to act based on the strategy. Trading systems are designed for exactly that. Some prioritize pattern recognition to anticipate shifts, others rely on momentum and rule-based logic to respond decisively in real time. The goal is consistency, even when the market isn’t offering much of it. Further down, we’ll look at two such tools, each taking a different approach to adapting in this kind of environment. Pattern Recognition for the Bigger Picture Some of today’s more advanced trading systems use pattern recognition to anticipate changes in market structure. Rather than reacting to what’s already happened, these tools analyze price behavior in real time and compare it to historical formations, looking for signs that a breakout, reversal, or continuation is starting to take shape. This kind of predictive logic can be especially effective in transitional periods. When a pair like EUR/USD moves from expansion to consolidation, or from range to trend. It helps traders align with price flow early, rather than jumping in after the move is already underway. ForexVIM is one such system. It applies AI-driven pattern recognition to evaluate narrowing price action, assess breakout potential, and provide structured trade entries with minimal delay. Its design encourages discipline and timing, two qualities that are often hardest to maintain when market direction isn’t obvious. Rule-Based Precision for the Active Trader Not all systems aim to predict market behavior. Some are designed to respond with speed and structure to what’s happening in the moment. These rule-based strategies focus on identifying key technical conditions and responding the moment they appear, making them effective in fast-moving environments like EUR/USD. Instead of relying on prediction, they operate on clearly defined logic: enter when conditions align, step back when they don’t. This helps filter out noise and avoid the kind of overtrading that often comes with uncertainty. ForexIGO follows this approach. Built for MetaTrader 4, it delivers real-time execution through structured, reactive logic. It’s designed to stay out of the way when the market’s unclear, and step in when the signals are solid. Structure Outperforms Emotion in Mixed Conditions One of the main advantages bots bring to uncertain markets is that they don’t hesitate. There’s no emotional baggage. They’re not afraid to take a trade after a loss or hold back because of what the ECB president might say. They simply follow the plan, whether that means entering a breakout or skipping a setup because the momentum doesn’t meet criteria. This is especially valuable in rangebound phases, where traders often get frustrated and start taking low-quality trades. Bots don’t force entries. They wait for alignment. More importantly, they execute at the speed the market demands. In a pair as active as EUR/USD, the delay between spotting a setup and acting on it can be the difference between a profit and a missed opportunity. The Best of Both Worlds: Human Judgment + Machine Discipline No system is perfect, and automation isn’t meant to replace traders entirely. Trading bots can’t interpret macro sentiment or react to a surprise headline. But they don’t need to. Their strength is in consistent execution, something even experienced traders can struggle with during volatile periods. That’s why many traders now lean on hybrid setups. They handle the bigger-picture thinking, like reading policy shifts or timing news risk, while leaving the technical entries and risk rules to automation. This blend of insight and structure helps remove the emotional pitfalls that come with fast markets. Final Thoughts EUR/USD isn’t offering clean signals these days. Between central bank noise, shifting sentiment, and choppy price action, the market keeps traders guessing. Staying consistent in that environment takes more than instinct. When the chart’s a mess and confidence slips, structure is what keeps you steady.

Bitcoin briefly slid to $98,974 late on Sunday after US airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities. That was its weakest point since early May. But by Monday morning in Asia, the leading cryptocurrency topped $101,000 again. Traders are weighing whether this was just a hiccup or the start of a fresh trend. Arthur Hayes Sees Temporary Weakness According to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, the fall is only a short pause. On X, he wrote that “weakness shall pass” and predicted Bitcoin will “leave no doubt as to its safe haven status.” He said fresh money printing by central banks will be the main force driving prices back up. His view suggests that big dips can turn into buying chances when broader liquidity is rising. Market Dips On Geopolitical News Based on reports, it was US strikes on Iran that triggered the initial slide. The price drop happened late Sunday, pushing Bitcoin below six figures for the first time since early May. Yet buyers stepped in quickly, snapping up coins and lifting the price back above $101,000 during the first hours of trading in Asia. That pattern shows how headline shocks can spark fast moves, but also how quickly sentiment can flip. Altcoins Take A Hit Meanwhile, over the past 12 hours, most altcoins fell about 1.4%, dragging total crypto market cap down by roughly $50 billion to $3.20 trillion, according to data. Experts expect that trend to reverse once major headlines calm down. Market analysts pointed out that altcoins might start to outperform if macro risks ease. They said smaller tokens are already showing signs of strength, even as Bitcoin stalls. Key Technical Levels Hold Traders are watching two key lines: the short-term realized price at $98,000 and the trend support at $102,000. The realized price reflects the average breakeven point for holders, so it often acts like a floor. The $102,000 has capped rallies over the past weeks. As long as Bitcoin stays in that $98,000–$102,000 range, there are chances for quick rallies. But a break below $98,000 could force more focus on cutting losses. Featured image from Imagen, chart from TradingView

Overview: The US struck Iran amid subterfuge and misdirection and while damage was inflicted, it is not clear the extent to which is nuclear capability was destroyed. Now, the world waits for Tehran's retaliation. Still, gold is slightly softer and August WTI is slightly firmer. Having given up its earlier gains (to ~$78.40) it is near $74. The dollar's upside correction seen last week has extended today. The greenback is broadly higher against the G10 currencies today, led by the antipodean currencies and the yen, which are off more than 1%. The Swiss franc is faring the best (~-0.10), followed by the Canadian dollar (~-0.45%). The greenback is also firmer against nearly all the emerging market currencies. Six Fed officials speak today and another five tomorrow, including Chair Powell's semiannual testimony before Congress. Equities are mixed. In Asia Pacific nearly all the bourses fell, but Hong Kong and China. The MSCI regional index fell (~0.3%) last week, its first decline in three weeks. Europe's Stoxx 600 is off fractionally. It fell for the second consecutive week last week. US index futures are firmer. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have a two-week decline in tow. Benchmark 10-year yields are mostly firmer today. In Japan and Europe, the 10-year rates are mostly around 1 bp higher, though Gilts are flat. The 10-year US yield is slightly firmer, near 4.38%. USD: The Dollar Index recovered from slightly below 97.70 last Monday to about 99.15 on Thursday before consolidating ahead of the weekend. It is trading firmer today near 99.30-40 in late European morning turnover. Meanwhile, the five-day average is poised to rise above the 20-day moving average. The Federal Reserve continues to downplay survey data, and that would seem to minimize the market's reaction to the preliminary June PMI due shortly. Half of a dozen Fed officials speak today, and the market will be keen to hear insight into how they are thinking about an oil shock. Chair Powell's semiannual congressional testimony begins tomorrow. At the same time, the hard data being reported has mostly surprised on the downside. The labor market continues to slow. The four-week moving average of weekly jobs claims rose to 245.5k in the week through June 13, the highest since mid-August 2023. Tariffs, anxiety about household finances, and the cooling labor market appears to be taking a toll on consumption. Retail sales fell in May to post their first back-to-back decline since the end of 2023. Industrial output declined in two of the past three months. EURO: The euro approached the 20-day moving average last Thursday (~$1.1430) and recovered to trade a cent higher before the weekend. A break of (now $~$1.1440) would signal a deeper correction that could extend another cent (or two). So far today, it has found support today near $1.1455. European central bankers seem to put more weight on the PMI. The composite rose from 48.3 last November to 50.9 in March. It fell for the past two months before steadying in June at 50.2, with a small gain in services (50.0 vs. 49.7) and an unchanged manufacturing reading (49.4). The composite seems broadly consistent with expectations that the eurozone economy likely stagnated in Q2 after a 0.6% expansion in Q1. The main drags appear to be coming from slower government spending and weaker net exports. Growth is expected to be subdued in H2 25. CNY: The PBOC has been setting the dollar's reference rate lower, but the greenback remains its trough against the offshore yuan. The 20-day moving average was near CNH7.3060 at the end of April and is now below CNH7.1885. The greenback has chopped mostly between CNH7.1650 and CNH7.2000 since earlier this month and is now near CNH7.19. The PBOC set the dollar's fix at CNY7.1695 before the weekend, the lowest in three months. By doing so, officials limit the pace at which the yuan is rising. It was raised slightly to CNY7.1710. JPY: The dollar rose through the previous day’s high every session last week and set a new high for the month ahead of the weekend JPY146.20. It soared to nearly JPY147.95 today, its highest level since mid-May when it reached roughly JPY148.65. As one would expect, the intraday momentum indicators are stretched. Japanese economy contracted by 0.2% at an annualized pace in Q1and growth in Q2 does not look like it will recoup it in full. April industrial output fell by 1.1% after rising by 1.4% in Q1. Exports rose by 0.1% in May after falling 2.7% in April. Exports fell by about 1.8% in Q1. The economic weakness and uncertainty over US tariff policy, where Japan's auto sector is bracing for a substantial blow, was sufficient to keep the Bank of Japan on the sidelines last week. The preliminary June PMI composite rose (51.4 from 50.2), the highest since February. It averaged 50.6 in Q1 and 50.9 in Q2. Of note, the manufacturing PMI rose above 50 for the first time since last May. Tensions with the US are set to rise as it apparently rebuffed US pressure to boost domestic spending to 3.5% of GDP. Japan sees to spend 2% by 2027. GBP: Sterling recovered from the pullback below $1.34 on June 19 to poke above $1.35 before the weekend. It stalled in front of the 20-day moving average (~$1.3515) and was sold to session lows near $1.3440 ahead of the weekend. It has been sold to test support near $1.3370, and a break could spur another half-cent loss initially and possibly $1.3170-$1.3200. The UK economy is weakening after it led the G7 with 0.7% quarter-over-quarter growth in Q1. The Bank of England did not cut rates last week (no surprise), but the swaps market has a nearly 80% chance of a cut at its next meeting on August 7. The UK manufacturing PMI rose for a third consecutive month to 47.7 (from 46.4). It has not been above 50 since last September. The services PMI rose to 51.3 (from 50.9). The composite edged up to 50.7 (from 50.3), its best in Q2. It averaged 50.9 in Q1 25 and Q4 24. CAD: The Canadian dollar rose to a ten-month high a week ago (~$0.7850 or CAD1.3540). Still, the Canadian dollar fell after the start of last week and begins this week with a four-day decline in tow. The settlement before the weekend was the highest since the end of May for the greenback and it settled above the 20-day moving average for the first time since May 20. The five-day moving average is crossing above the 20-day move moving average time in a month today. The US dollar is testing CAD1.3800 area. The next target is the late May have near CAD!.3865. Canada reports May CPI tomorrow. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey anticipates a 0.5% increase, which, given the base effect, would leave the year-over-year rate at 1.7%, depending on the rounding. However, when leaving the overnight lending rate at 2.75% earlier this month, the Bank of Canada noted the firm underlying measures. That will likely draw the market's attention tomorrow. The median and trimmed core reading average a little more than 3.1% in April, the highest since Q1 24. The Bank of Canada's easing cycle began last June with the overnight lending rate at 5.0%. The swaps market has one more cut in the cycle discounted toward the end of the year. AUD: Before the weekend, the Australian dollar was turned back from almost $0.6500 and like the Canadian dollar, posted a new closing low for the month. It settled near the session loans recorded in the waning hours of last week's activity. It has been sold below $0.6400 today and reached near $0.6380 in European turnover. Nearby support is seen near last month's low (~$0.6355). Australia's composite PMI rose for the first time in three months (51.2 vs. 50.5). It has held above 50 since the end of Q3 24. The highlight of the week is the May CPI on Wednesday. The futures market has around 80% chance that the central bank will deliver its next cut at the July 8 meeting. It has two more cuts nearly fully discounted for this year. That would bring the overnight cash rate to 3.10%. The swaps market has around a 40% chance of a cut early next year to finish the easing cycle. MXN: The dollar settled (~MXN19.1745) above its 20-day moving average against the Mexican peso for the first time this month as the correction unfolds. It has extended its recovery today to about MXN19.3430 but is near MXN19.23-MXN19.25 in late European morning turnover. Mexico has a busy week of economic data, culminating with the central bank meeting on Thursday, at which many expect another half-point cut despite inflation being above the target range. April retail sales will be reported shortly, alongside the IGAE economic activity report that is similar to a monthly GDP. Retail sales rose by an average of 0.5% a month in Q1, which is the strongest quarterly performance since Q2 23. However, the economy seems fragile. The IGAE averaged a 0.29% gain in Q1 25 and fell by almost 0.50% a month in Q4 24. A 50 bp cut this week will bring the overnight cash target rate to 8.0%. The swaps market expects the terminal rate to be near 7.50%. Disclaimer

With Bitcoin precariously recovering above the $100,000 mark and altcoins bleeding momentum, traders are asking the obvious: Is the crypto bull run over? According to systematic trader Adam Bakay (@abetrade), the answer is not so clear-cut. In a detailed market breakdown posted June 22, Bakay offered a technically grounded, cautiously defensive assessment—one that acknowledges geopolitical risks but stays rooted in positioning and price structure. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? “Looking at the monthly and weekly timeframes, we are still technically in an uptrend,” Bakay wrote, noting that “no key swing low was broken, and the 365-day rolling VWAP has been respected during the pullback in April.” Despite this, he admits that “the failure to make new all-time highs similar to the top in 2021” is a concern—especially given the accumulation by players like BlackRock, which now holds around 3.5% of Bitcoin’s total supply. It’s that divergence—between strong institutional interest and a market struggling to break higher—that has made Bakay more cautious in recent weeks. “This is why I have been very defensive and kept most of my trades short-term,” he said. His trading view focuses on two potential technical scenarios: either a reclaim of the $100,000 support area—“likely if the conflict in the Middle East does not further escalate”—or a dip into the $97,000–$95,000 range, where strong technical support resides in the form of the 200-day moving average, local price structure, and the 90-day rolling VWAP. Still, Bakay made it clear he’s not shorting the market. “I am not currently considering any short trades due to my current positioning,” he emphasized, adding that open interest is dropping and that we are starting to see the “first signs of clear spot bid interest since the April lows.” The options market, meanwhile, is flashing early caution: the 25-delta risk reversal skew sits around -5, not yet at panic levels, but trending more negative. Crypto Bull Run In Jeopardy On Ethereum, Bakay was notably blunt. “ETH almost had its moment, but of course had to become a disappointment,” he said. He attributes the failed breakout in part to how quickly the “DeFi Summer 2025” narrative went viral. “People are getting too horny, and market made sure to punish them,” he noted, referencing his own tweet from a few days earlier. The technical picture on ETH doesn’t inspire confidence either. “During significant market moves, like we had at the beginning of May, the last thing you want to see is price retracing throughout that area,” he explained, saying the next meaningful support lies near $1,800. On the daily chart, Ethereum is sitting right at a confluence of support—both the 90-day rolling VWAP and what he calls a “pivotal level.” Still, much like Bitcoin, Bakay sees Ethereum’s short-term fate as largely dependent on developments in the Middle East. On positioning, ETH also shows signs of an oversold environment, though Bakay believes high volatility in ETH options has caused traders to use spreads instead of outright directional bets. “Positioning is now very clearly pointing towards the possible upside reversal in both perpetual and spot,” he said. Altcoins received no reprieve. “Altcoins have not been having fun for quite a while,” Bakay wrote, pointing out that “every time it starts to look better, it will almost immediately get worse.” He notes that the expected rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins hasn’t materialized, and the real rotation now seems to be into crypto-related equities, which better reflect the ETF-driven macro trade. Even strong names like Solana are fading. “SOL has almost retraced the entire rally from April,” he warned. The key level to watch is $100. “There is not much of a technical support sub-$100,” and if “shit hits the fan,” Bakay would look to bid around that round number. Bakay also briefly touched on two newer altcoins—Hype and Fartcoin—saying one offers a solid product and the other draws interest through volatility and liquidity. “Fartcoin would become attractive if it could reclaim the $1 or $0.50 area. Hype could find a bounce sub-$30.” His closing thoughts were pragmatic: “We are not in easy market conditions, with a lot of geopolitical uncertainty, and markets can be significantly affected by a single news release.” While he believes the market may be “getting too short at the moment,” he remains highly conscious of the possibility that a multi-month correction is already in play. “I don’t think there is a need to be a hero and try to catch a falling knife,” he concluded. “I would much rather wait for some positive news and signs of lower timeframe reversals.” In essence, Bakay doesn’t call the top. But his post makes one thing clear: this is not a market for bravado. It’s a time for restraint, tight risk management, and respect for volatility—especially when the bullish case no longer has momentum on its side. At press time, BTC traded at $101,847.

Cobalt futures prices in China surged to levels last seen mid-March on Monday after the Democratic Republic of Congo extended its concentrate export ban first instituted in February. In a surprise move Congo, responsible for more than 80% of global output, stretched the export restrictions for the electric vehicle battery material by another three months taking more than 100,000 tonnes off the market over the seven month period by some estimates. The most active cobalt futures on China’s Wuxi Stainless Steel Exchange surged over 9% to 254 yuan or $35.34 per kilogram, the highest since March 14. A surge in supply from the Congo, where cobalt is a byproduct of copper mining, coupled with tepid demand from the EV market which overtook aviation and aerospace as the number one source of demand several years ago, saw cobalt prices fall to record lows in January this year on an inflation adjusted basis. CMOC Group (SHA: 603993), the top cobalt miner, told Reuters the ban won’t significantly affect operations at its Tenke Fungurume and Kisanfu mines in Congo. Earlier in June, Cobalt Holdings dropped plans for an initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange, dashing investor hopes of what would’ve been the exchange’s biggest mining IPO since 2022. The company previously aimed to raise as much as $230 million through the offering and use most of the funds to buy 6,000 tonnes of physical cobalt from Glencore (LON: GLEN) at a discount. Glencore, the world’s second largest cobalt producer, declared force majeure on some cobalt deliveries days after the export suspension. Cobalt sulphate entering the EV battery supply chain in China fall to an average of just $3,556 per tonne in January, but shot up by 80% after the ban to average $6,394 in May. When Monday’s gap higher filters through to the physical sulphate market cobalt would still be trading nowhere near its peak of $19,000 a tonne in 2022. Cobalt byproduct output is also increasing in Indonesia as its nickel shipments ballooned and the DRC was said to be in talks with the Asian nation to collaborate on managing supply of cobalt including the use of quotas.

With the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, many keen investors have turned to investing in crude oil, hoping for a surge due to the Strait of Hormuz being on the brink of closure. However, 30 minutes into trading, oil prices were only up by 3%. Over 20% of the world’s oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and if it is indeed closed at any point, oil prices would likely spike. Many investors are eyeing $100 per barrel, a level that hasn’t been seen since July 2022. Oil Prices Slow To React To The Ongoing Conflict In The Middle East While many were expecting oil prices to spike on opening at 6 pm ET, just 30 minutes into trading, oil was up by barely 3%, following the US military’s overnight strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities on Sunday. This type of attack, coupled with the continuous threat that the Strait of Hormuz will close at any time, has led many investors to buy crude oil stocks in anticipation of a huge upside move. However, at 6:27 p.m. ET on June 22, Brent crude was trading up 3.17% at $79.45 per barrel, while the US crude benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), was trading up $3.18 at $76.19 per barrel during the early New York trading session. Previous incidents of this level have triggered far bigger moves in crude markets. A few examples include when Iran-linked militants struck Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq facility in September 2019, temporarily halting 5% of global oil output, Brent futures spiked nearly 20% in a single day, marking the largest one-day price jump in history. DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now Another such event came following the US drone strike on Iranian Military Officer Qassem Soleimani in early 2020, prices surged a around 4% amid fears of regional retaliation. Today’s lukewarm response further highlights how much more insulated markets have become from geopolitical events. The coordinated US airstrikes hit Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan overnight, inflicting visible damage on enrichment and research infrastructure. Tehran has promised retaliation, but energy markets are betting that escalation remains limited. President Trump had announced that all three nuclear sites had been completely wiped out; however, it has since come out that Fordow wasn’t destroyed, and the Iranians may have even moved the Uranium deposits before the attack. No significant move in oil prices will likely come until the Iranians decide on the Strait of Hormuz. If they decide to disrupt or close the Strait, barrels of crude oil could run toward $100, a price not seen since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began in 2022. Oil Not Spiking Like Many Believed As Bitcoin Reclaims $100,000 – Is BTC The WW3 Hedge? (COINGECKO) Late yesterday, Bitcoin dropped to $98,500, leading many to believe that a slide toward $80,000-85,000 was coming. However, less than two hours later, BTC quickly reclaimed $100,000, and is now trading at $101,900. This continued strength from Bitcoin, compared to Oil prices not reacting reasonably as market participants had assumed they would, is making the leading digital asset stand out as a go-to investment during this period of conflict in the Middle East. Previously, Iran and Israel entering heavy conflict against one another, with the added caveat of the US getting involved, would’ve acted as a black swan event in crypto, and Bitcoin would have crashed, dragging the rest of the market with it. However, BTC’s refusal to settle below $100,000 is incredibly bullish, which is also buoyed by BlackRock’s continuing to post positive net inflows into its Bitcoin ETF. Other asset managers, such as Fidelity, have also been experiencing healthy inflows into their own BTC ETF. Another signal that Bitcoin is the leading investment asset right now is the continued rise of BTC dominance (BTC.D), which measures its share of the total crypto market cap. As most altcoins continue to bleed and Bitcoin holds steady, BTC.D has risen from 64.8% to 65.8% in the last three days alone. (TRADINGVIEW) While the rise of BTC.D highlights the weakness in altcoins right now, it also demonstrates the strength of Bitcoin and its newfound status as a hedge on the pending war. All eyes will now be on the US TradFi markets opening today and any fresh announcement from President Trump on the US’s plans regarding the Israel/Iran conflict. There is optimism that the conflict could be drawing to a close after no reported missile attacks from Iran overnight and Israel stating they do not wish to be drawn into a war of attrition. Any news of a ceasefire or outright end to this bloody conflict in the Middle East will likely see a huge surge across the crypto market, which could catapult Bitcoin to fresh highs, finally turning the $110,000 level into support before beginning the long-awaited run toward $150,000. EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Are Oil Prices Set to Skyrocket Over Iran-Israel Conflict: What Does This Mean For Bitcoin Price in June? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

✴️ CZ: "Tudo antes do próximo topo histórico do Bitcoin é, por definição, uma correção" Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | ExpertFX School Atualizado em 23 de junho de 2025 💬 Declaração do ex-CEO da Binance reforça otimismo de longo prazo Changpeng Zhao, conhecido como CZ — ex-CEO da Binance e uma das figuras mais influentes do setor cripto — voltou a fortalecer a narrativa de longo prazo para o Bitcoin ao afirmar: Em um momento onde o Bitcoin já ultrapassa a marca dos US$ 101.996,00, a declaração visa normalizar movimentos de consolidação e volatilidade como parte natural do ciclo de alta — especialmente num contexto de crescente adoção institucional. 📊 Bitcoin em nova estrutura de preço: o que esperar? Com o BTC sendo negociado acima de US$ 100 mil, o mercado entra em uma nova zona técnica e psicológica de precificação. O rompimento definitivo da barreira dos US$ 100.000 representa mais que um número simbólico — ele confirma a maturação do ativo como reserva de valor global. Aspectos técnicos e fundamentais relevantes: 🟢 Novo suporte técnico consolidado entre US$ 95.500 e US$ 97.800. 📈 Zona de resistência está agora em torno de US$ 104.200 a US$ 106.500. 🔄 Correções naturais são esperadas, mas o sentimento estrutural de alta permanece intacto. ⚠️ Contexto macro reforça o papel do BTC como ativo antifrágil A atual valorização ocorre num cenário de: 🌍 Conflito geopolítico agudo entre EUA e Irã, com riscos sistêmicos para energia e segurança internacional. 🏦 Desconfiança crescente em relação ao sistema bancário tradicional e à política monetária dos EUA. 📉 Vendas contínuas de Treasuries por países como China e Rússia, favorecendo o ouro e o Bitcoin como reservas alternativas. Com isso, o BTC segue se consolidando como instrumento de proteção contra riscos políticos, monetários e sistêmicos globais. 🔮 Perspectivas futuras para traders e investidores Mesmo em patamares elevados, o BTC ainda não entrou em "modo eufórico". A estrutura institucional atual sugere espaço para movimentos adicionais no médio prazo: 📌 Próximo alvo técnico em US$ 112.800, com potencial extensão até US$ 120.000. 🔁 Correções podem ocorrer até a faixa de US$ 96.000, sem alterar o viés estrutural. 🔎 O fluxo de stablecoins e o comportamento on-chain sugerem que grandes players ainda não realizaram posições significativas. 💬 Opinião do analista – Igor Pereira 📡 Acompanhe a ExpertFX School para atualizações diárias sobre o Bitcoin, o ouro, os principais mercados e o impacto dos eventos geopolíticos no comportamento dos ativos. Autor: Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Desde 2017

💥 S&P 500 apaga completamente “gap iraniano” e volta ao patamar pré-ataque dos EUA ao Irã Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | ExpertFX School Atualizado em 23 de junho de 2025 📈 Futuros do S&P 500 ignoram risco geopolítico e recuperam nível pré-bombardeio Os contratos futuros do índice S&P 500 — principal termômetro do mercado acionário norte-americano — fecharam completamente o gap de baixa provocado pelos bombardeios norte-americanos contra as instalações nucleares iranianas, recuperando-se até o nível de fechamento da sexta-feira anterior ao ataque. 🕊 O que isso indica? Reação técnica ou confiança no controle da narrativa? A rápida reversão nos preços pode ser explicada por três pilares: Alívio tático – Após a confirmação de que o ataque foi "limitado" e direcionado, sem vítimas civis, o mercado reavaliou o cenário como conflito pontual e não regional. Narrativa de força – A fala de Trump, ao afirmar que “a missão foi um sucesso total” e que o Irã deve escolher entre paz ou retaliação devastadora, reforçou a ideia de "paz através da força", absorvida como controle geopolítico. Dados macro resilientes – A economia dos EUA segue mostrando força no mercado de trabalho, enquanto os lucros corporativos permanecem sólidos, sustentando a compra institucional. 📌 Impactos no curto prazo: o que observar nos próximos dias? Apesar da recuperação, o cenário segue volátil. Eis os fatores-chave: Retórica iraniana: Ayatollah Khamenei prometeu “danos sem precedentes” aos EUA. Um revide poderia reverter a alta. Eleições e política interna dos EUA: A ala MAGA está dividida sobre o ataque. Críticas internas podem impactar o sentimento de risco. Fluxo para ativos de proteção: Ouro e petróleo ainda apresentam resiliência, sinalizando hedge parcial ainda presente. Volatilidade implícita (VIX): Apesar do alívio, o VIX segue elevado, sugerindo que a complacência ainda não é generalizada. 💬 Opinião do analista – Igor Pereira 📉 Conclusão: a recuperação é real, mas o risco ainda existe O S&P 500 mostra fôlego técnico e otimismo de curto prazo, mas o contexto continua extremamente delicado. Os traders devem: Monitorar falas oficiais do Irã e dos EUA; Avaliar o comportamento dos ativos de refúgio (ouro, dólar, petróleo); Analisar o posicionamento institucional em opções e futuros; Evitar complacência diante de uma possível nova escalada. 📡 Continue acompanhando as atualizações da ExpertFX School para cobertura diária dos mercados, com foco em geopolítica, ouro (XAU/USD), e ações americanas, com leitura técnica, emocional e institucional. Autor: Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Desde 2017

🧠 Comportamento de manada: Santiment alerta para inversão de preços baseada em sentimento de varejo nas criptomoedas Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | ExpertFX School Atualizado em 23 de junho de 2025 🔍 Análise de Sentimento: o que o varejo está dizendo… e o que o mercado está realmente fazendo A renomada plataforma de análise blockchain Santiment publicou um novo alerta técnico sobre a dinâmica comportamental no mercado de criptoativos. De acordo com o relatório, em meio a um ambiente carregado de incertezas macroeconômicas, geopolíticas e dúvidas sobre a sustentabilidade dos ciclos de alta, os preços das criptomoedas seguem inversamente proporcionais ao sentimento majoritário do varejo. Este padrão é consistente com estratégias institucionais baseadas em "contrarian trading" — onde grandes players operam contra a multidão, utilizando dados de sentimento extraídos de redes sociais, Telegram, Twitter (X) e fóruns. 💬 Contexto atual: medo, desinformação e manipulação emocional Com as criptomoedas enfrentando: Incerteza regulatória nos EUA, Fluxo cambial restrito na Ásia, E preocupações com liquidez em exchanges regionais, o comportamento dos investidores de varejo tem sido extremamente reativo, criando zonas de falsa euforia ou pânico que grandes players exploram para capturar liquidez e gerar armadilhas psicológicas no mercado. 📊 Expectativas para a semana: o que esperar? Com base na leitura da Santiment, o trader deve adotar uma postura contrária ao consenso popular não técnico. Eis o que observar: 📉 Se o sentimento dominante nas redes for de colapso → atenção para possível reversão altista de curto prazo. 📈 Se houver euforia e previsões generalizadas de alta forte → elevação de risco para quedas abruptas. 🔁 Expectativa de volatilidade acentuada e manipulação de zonas-chave de suporte e resistência. 🧠 Opinião do Analista – Igor Pereira: 🚨 Conclusão: Estratégia com base em sentimento é vital O investidor inteligente, diante desse cenário, deve monitorar atentamente: ✅ Volume e direção de fluxo em stablecoins; ✅ Análises contrárias de grandes wallets e fundos (on-chain); ✅ Áreas de liquidez institucional (níveis psicológicos de stop loss do varejo). 🔒 Acompanhe diariamente as atualizações da ExpertFX School para relatórios sobre criptomoedas, ouro e moedas fortes com leitura institucional, emocional e macroeconômica integrada. Autor: Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Desde 2017

The Bitcoin price crash has been spurred on by looming war events as Iran and Israel continue to go head-to-head. Naturally, the financial markets have responded negatively to this news, and the crypto market has not been left out. Interestingly, the Bitcoin price had sat above the $100,000 psychological level for the longest. However, it was only a matter of time before it lost this support and crashed further, especially as the digital asset seems to only have major support in the 5-digit territory. Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $90,000 In a TradingView post, crypto analyst Master Ananda has revealed major bearish formations for the Bitcoin price. With the $100,000 support having held so far through the last week, it suggested there is still some buying going on for the cryptocurrency. However, the chart does not show enough strength to hold this level. Since the market has been rocked by over $1 billion in liquidations in the last week, it has transferred some weakness to the BTC price, putting the bears in charge once again. Pointing this out, Master Ananda explains that the weekly chart, in particular, is not showing any good signs. The current Bitcoin price action seems to only be a continuation of the bearish price action that began after it hit a peak of $111,900 back on May 19, 2025. Since then, the decline has been consistent, and the crypto analyst says the market looks “terrible” right now. Given the crash, the major support for Bitcoin is no longer above $100,000, but over 10% below it. As the price has previously broken below $100,000, the first support the market could see would be at $88,888. Failure to hold at this point would trigger another 5% decline toward $82,500 before bulls are able to put up any fight. What Happens If BTC Stays Above $100,000? While the bearish trend is the most dominant at this point, there is still the possibility that the Bitcoin price could stay back above $100,000 and hold the fort there. In this case, it is likely that the bullish trend would continue. The crypto analyst highlights this in another post, forecasting a very sharp upward move if this happens. In the case of a recovery, then Bitcoin could retest the upper trendline that sits right above $108,000. And as for how long all of this could take to play out, the crypto analyst believes that the entire thing shouldn’t take more than two weeks to actually unfold and pick a direction. “Do not be afraid if the market shakes, Bitcoin is going up; Crypto will grow, regardless of the short-term,” the analyst said in closing.

💥 FED sob pressão histórica: Ray Dalio alerta para risco cambial dos EUA com juros mais baixos Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro – Membro Wall Street NYSE Publicado em 23 de junho de 2025 – ExpertFX School 🏦 “O Federal Reserve está diante de um impasse crítico” O renomado gestor de fundos Ray Dalio, fundador da Bridgewater Associates, emitiu um alerta contundente sobre o cenário atual da economia norte-americana: A declaração evidencia o que muitos investidores institucionais já identificaram: a política monetária dos EUA chegou a um ponto estrutural de saturação. O dilema central do Fed agora é simples e brutal: Cortar juros para estimular a economia → Pressiona o dólar, aumenta inflação e gera perda de confiança internacional. Manter juros altos para defender a moeda → Enfraquece o consumo, destrói o crédito e eleva o risco de recessão. 📊 Impactos visíveis: fuga de Treasuries, corrida para o ouro Diversos sinais recentes reforçam o alerta de Dalio. A China, por exemplo, vendeu mais de US$ 314 bilhões em títulos do Tesouro norte-americano, conforme dados atualizados do TIC SLT. Ao mesmo tempo, os fluxos para fundos de ouro devem atingir um recorde histórico de US$ 80 bilhões em 2025, de acordo com relatório da Bank of America. ![Chart: Inflows recorde em fundos de ouro – BofA Global Research] Além disso, a própria COMEX registrou um aumento explosivo nas entregas físicas de ouro neste ano, refletindo a busca por ativos reais como proteção contra incertezas monetárias. O índice EPU (Economic Policy Uncertainty), que mede a incerteza política e econômica nos EUA, disparou para níveis não vistos desde 2020, aumentando ainda mais a pressão sobre o Fed. 💣 Tensão geopolítica e déficit histórico agravam a crise Em paralelo à política monetária, os EUA enfrentam a maior deterioração fiscal de sua história moderna, com déficits anuais ultrapassando os US$ 2 trilhões. O conflito aberto com o Irã, os riscos de retaliação e o aumento nos gastos com defesa empurram os mercados para o modo de aversão a risco. Um relatório recente da Fortune destaca que o Bank of America projeta o ouro a US$ 4.000, com o argumento de que os déficits norte-americanos podem ofuscar até mesmo a escalada entre Israel e Irã. 🧠 Análise técnica e institucional – O que esperar? Para o investidor institucional e o trader profissional, o cenário é claro: 🔹 O ouro (XAU/USD) deve continuar sendo o principal beneficiário da crise cambial e monetária. 🔹 O dólar pode sofrer desvalorização estrutural caso os cortes de juros avancem em meio à perda de credibilidade do Fed. 🔹 A estrutura de mercado indica forte acúmulo institucional via ETFs, derivativos e entregas físicas na COMEX. 📌 Fique atento: Decisão do FOMC e atualização da taxa de juros (próxima reunião); Crescimento dos ETFs de ouro e saída de fundos de Treasuries; Declarações da Casa Branca e pressão política sobre Jerome Powell; Intensificação da instabilidade no Oriente Médio. 🔒 A era do dinheiro fácil acabou. Agora, é a vez da disciplina, proteção patrimonial e inteligência macroeconômica. Acompanhe as análises diárias do mercado financeiro aqui na ExpertFX School! Autor: Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Desde 2017

Risk-off sentiment returned in today’s Asian session following a renewed spike in geopolitical risk premiums. This was driven by US President Trump’s reversal over the weekend, abandoning his earlier “two-week grace period” and authorizing airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear enrichment facilities. close Fig 2: US Nasdaq 100 CFD Index minor trend as of 23 June 2025 (Source: TradingView) Fig 2: US Nasdaq 100 CFD Index minor trend as of 23 June 2025 (Source: TradingView) The US Nasdaq 100 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures) has staged a gap-down decline of -1% in today’s Asian opening session before it pared back its intraday losses to -0.3% at this time of writing. The current intraday rebound on the US Nasdaq 100 has occurred for the third time right at the 21,500 key near-term support, now a likely downside trigger level for the bears. Overall, the short-term technical structure is skewing towards a bearish bias as price actions of the US Nasdaq 100 CFD Index have traded below its 20-day moving average, and the hourly RSI momentum indicator remains below a parallel descending resistance at around the 62 level. Watch the 22,050 key pivotal resistance, and a break below 21,500 may kickstart of minor downtrend phase in the first step, exposing the next intermediate support zone at 21,180/21,030 (see Fig 2). On the flip side, a clearance above 22,050 invalidates the bearish scenario for a retest on its current all-time area of 22,200/22,250. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

🇩🇪🇮🇹 Europa debate repatriação de ouro armazenado em Nova York diante de riscos geopolíticos sob Trump 📌 Em meio ao agravamento da crise no Oriente Médio e ataques liderados por Trump ao Irã, a preocupação com o risco sistêmico global levou líderes políticos e analistas econômicos na Europa a exigirem a repatriação imediata de reservas nacionais de ouro atualmente armazenadas no Federal Reserve Bank de Nova York. Segundo dados do World Gold Council, Alemanha e Itália detêm as segundas e terceiras maiores reservas oficiais de ouro do mundo, com 3.352 toneladas e 2.452 toneladas, respectivamente. No entanto, mais de um terço desses volumes está armazenado fora da Europa, principalmente nos cofres da Fed em Manhattan — totalizando mais de US$ 245 bilhões em reservas sob custódia estrangeira. O que era historicamente considerado seguro agora passou a ser alvo de questionamentos intensos diante: da escalada bélica entre EUA, Israel e Irã; da ameaça de Trump à independência do Federal Reserve; e de mudanças nas prioridades de segurança nacional americana. 🛑 Críticas à dependência europeia da custódia norte-americana O ex-eurodeputado alemão Fabio De Masi afirmou ao Financial Times que existem “argumentos fortes” para repatriar o ouro europeu em tempos de turbulência geopolítica, alegando que os riscos de um possível confisco, bloqueio ou uso político dessas reservas aumentaram. A Associação dos Contribuintes da Europa (TAE) também emitiu um alerta formal aos bancos centrais da Alemanha e da Itália: Já o economista Enrico Grazzini publicou um editorial contundente antes da visita de Meloni à Casa Branca: ⚠️ Implicações financeiras e estratégicas A possível quebra de confiança no sistema de custódia monetária internacional, especialmente no dólar, pode acelerar: 💰 O movimento global de desdolarização, com China, Rússia, BRICS e agora Europa questionando a hegemonia do USD; 🪙 A demanda por ouro físico em custódia própria, como forma de proteção contra sanções, expropriação ou falhas institucionais; 📉 O esvaziamento gradual da função do Federal Reserve como “guarda universal de reservas estrangeiras”, abrindo espaço para novas estruturas multipolares. 🧭 O que esperar no mercado financeiro? Valorização do XAU/USD: Repatriações em larga escala fortalecem o ouro como ativo estratégico e soberano, impulsionando a demanda física e retirando liquidez do sistema derivativo (COMEX). Pressão sobre o dólar: O aumento da percepção de risco institucional e o enfraquecimento da confiança no Fed como custodiante pode ampliar a correção estrutural do USD. Aumento do fluxo de fundos e ETFs para ouro: A projeção de longo prazo do BofA de US$ 4.000/onça se torna cada vez mais embasada diante do cenário global. 🔒 Considerações finais A pressão política para a repatriação de ouro europeu armazenado nos EUA simboliza o fim de uma era de confiança inabalável no sistema monetário americano. Trump, ao colocar a independência do Fed em xeque e ao conduzir ações militares unilaterais, acelera a reestruturação do sistema financeiro global. 💡 O ouro volta a ocupar o papel central como ativo final de soberania e proteção nacional — não apenas para países emergentes, mas também para potências ocidentais. Por Igor Pereira — Analista de Mercado Financeiro, Membro Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Estratégia, Soberania e Inteligência Geopolítica para o Trader Consciente

Dogecoin started a fresh decline from the $0.1720 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might recover if it clears $0.1580. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.170 and $0.160 levels. The price is trading below the $0.160 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1510 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $0.1580 zone. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $0.1720 zone, underperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1600 and $0.1580 levels. The bears even pushed the price below the $0.1450 level. A low was formed at $0.1427 and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a minor move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1718 swing high to the $0.1427 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1510 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1580 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1550 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1580 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1718 swing high to the $0.1427 low. The next major resistance is near the $0.1610 level. A close above the $0.1610 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1720 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.200 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.2120. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1580 level, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1480 level. The next major support is near the $0.1440 level. The main support sits at $0.1420. If there is a downside break below the $0.1420 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might decline toward the $0.1350 level or even $0.1280 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1440 and $0.1420. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1580 and $0.1610.

XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.00 zone. The price is now correcting losses and faces resistance near the $2.050 level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair might start a fresh increase if there is a close above the $2.050 resistance zone. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price reacted to the downside below the $2.120 support zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below the $2.050 and $2.020 support levels. The pair tested the $1.920 support A low was formed at $1.910 and the price started to recover losses. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.178 swing high to the $1.910 low. The price is now trading below $2.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.020 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $2.050 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.178 swing high to the $1.910 low. The next resistance is $2.080. A clear move above the $2.080 resistance might send the price toward the $2.120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.150 resistance or even $2.20 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.250. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $2.050 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.950 level. The next major support is near the $1.920 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.920 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $1.880 support. The next major support sits near the $1.840 zone. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.950 and $1.920. Major Resistance Levels – $2.020 and $2.050.

The market’s leading crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), dipped below the $100,000 mark for the first time in over a month on Sunday, following US airstrikes on Iran as conflicts in the middle east continue to escalate. This decline, which saw the Bitcoin price drop approximately 4% to around $99,300, coincided with a broader market sell-off, with Ethereum (ETH) experiencing an even sharper decline of nearly 10%. Overall, the total cryptocurrency market took a significant hit, falling about 7% in just 24 hours. Geopolitical Unrest And Tariff Troubles The timing of this downturn was particularly notable, occurring just hours after the US targeted three key nuclear sites in Iran. Tensions had escalated following a United Nations report that indicated Iran was not adhering to international prohibitions against developing a military nuclear program. In response to these revelations, Israel conducted strikes against Iran, leading to further retaliation from the Islamic Republic. On Saturday, President Donald Trump declared on social media: This is an HISTORIC MOMENT FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, ISRAEL, AND THE WORLD. IRAN MUST NOW AGREE TO END THIS WAR. THANK YOU! This recent plummet below the psychologically significant $100,000 threshold follows a year of substantial gains for Bitcoin. After Trump took office in January, Bitcoin reached all-time highs above $100,000 in February, buoyed by executive orders aimed at supporting the cryptocurrency sector. However, the cryptocurrency’s price soon mirrored the broader declines in financial markets, particularly after Trump announced severe tariffs in April, which saw Bitcoin fall to nearly $75,000, its lowest point in 2025. Despite this volatility, Bitcoin had seen a resurgence, particularly in May when it reached new highs as Wall Street investors returned to the cryptocurrency through US exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, by late Sunday, there were signs of recovery, with Bitcoin trading approximately at $101,300, down only 1% over the previous day, while ETH managed to pare its losses to around $2,200. Forced Liquidations Exacerbate Bitcoin Sell-Off According to CNBC, Iran has also threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping route responsible for approximately 20% of the global oil supply, further adding to the broader financial uncertainty. JPMorgan warned that such a blockade could drive oil prices up to $130 per barrel, which would have significant implications for US inflation, potentially pushing it back toward 5%—a level not seen since March 2023. While Bitcoin has often been promoted as an inflation hedge, its recent behavior aligns more closely with that of high-beta tech stocks. Data from crypto provider Kaiko indicates that Bitcoin’s correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq has increased sharply in recent weeks, particularly following the surge in inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. Institutional investment patterns have also shifted. More than $1.04 billion flowed into spot Bitcoin ETFs from Monday to Wednesday last week, but this momentum dissipated as the weekend approached, with minimal net movement on Thursday and only $6.4 million on Friday. The technical aspects of the market further exacerbated the sell-off. Research from CoinGlass revealed that Bitcoin’s drop below $99,000 triggered forced liquidations across offshore derivatives platforms, including Binance and Bybit. During this period, over $1 billion in crypto positions were liquidated within 24 hours, with more than 95% of these coming from long positions, highlighting the market’s overexposure. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum price started a fresh decline below the $2,500 zone. ETH is now consolidating losses and might attempt to recover above the $2,250 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $2,350 level. The price is trading below $2,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,280 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above the $2,320 resistance zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes Recovery Ethereum price started a fresh decline below the $2,500 support level, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $2,350 and $2,250 levels. The bears even pushed the price below the $2,200 level. The pair tested the $2,120 zone and started a consolidation phase. There was a minor move above the $2,200 level. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,568 swing high to the $2,114 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $2,250 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,280 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next key resistance is near the $2,340 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,568 swing high to the $2,114 low. The first major resistance is near the $2,400 level. A clear move above the $2,400 resistance might send the price toward the $2,500 resistance. An upside break above the $2,500 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,550 resistance zone or even $2,620 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,340 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,200 level. The first major support sits near the $2,150 zone. A clear move below the $2,150 support might push the price toward the $2,120 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,050 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,000. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,150 Major Resistance Level – $2,340

🌍 Alerta Global dos EUA reforça escalada de risco geopolítico e sustenta tese do ouro como proteção sistêmica 📌 23 de junho de 2025 — O Departamento de Estado dos EUA emitiu um alerta de “Worldwide Caution” para todos os cidadãos norte-americanos, em resposta direta aos ataques contra instalações nucleares do Irã realizados pelo governo Trump. O comunicado alerta sobre: Potencial para protestos e represálias em larga escala contra interesses e cidadãos norte-americanos; Interrupções em viagens internacionais e fechamento do espaço aéreo no Oriente Médio; Aumento da instabilidade regional, com efeitos colaterais globais. O Departamento de Estado afirma que "os cidadãos dos EUA devem exercer cautela em todo o mundo", reconhecendo o cenário de alta imprevisibilidade estratégica, algo não observado desde o 11 de setembro. 💣 Impactos esperados no mercado financeiro: Alta sustentada no ouro (XAU/USD): O alerta reforça o deslocamento de capital para ativos de reserva, justificando os fluxos recordes para fundos de ouro e contratos físicos. A previsão do Bank of America de U$3.700-US$ 4.000/onça torna-se ainda mais plausível. Aversão a risco em moedas emergentes e bolsas: A expectativa é de forte impacto negativo sobre o apetite por risco, elevando a volatilidade no forex e pressionando moedas como BRL, TRY, ZAR, MXN. Disfunção logística e inflação de commodities: Com interrupções aéreas e marítimas, principalmente no Estreito de Hormuz, o risco inflacionário para petróleo, gás natural e metais industriais sobe fortemente. Fluxo defensivo para Treasuries de curto prazo e ouro físico: O alerta amplia a busca por proteção. Entretanto, com a China liquidando US$ 314 bilhões em Treasuries (conforme dados TIC), o ouro tende a captar uma parcela crescente desse fluxo de realocação institucional. 📉 Considerações finais: O alerta global de segurança emitido pelos EUA consolida a percepção de que o conflito Israel-Irã não será contido diplomaticamente no curto prazo. A consequência direta nos mercados é um fortalecimento da narrativa de proteção — com o ouro no epicentro dessa transição geopolítica e financeira. 💡 Investidores institucionais e varejo devem monitorar atentamente os níveis de suporte técnico do XAU/USD, spreads entre ouro físico e derivativos e variações nos estoques da COMEX, que seguem em forte declínio. Por Igor Pereira — Analista de Mercado Financeiro, Membro Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Inteligência estratégica para o trader institucional e consciente.

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below the $103,000 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to recover above the $103,500 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $103,000 zone. The price is trading below $102,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $101,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $100,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below the $105,500 zone. BTC gained pace and dipped below the $104,200 and $103,000 levels. There was a clear move below the $102,000 support level. Finally, the price tested the $98,250 zone. A low was formed at $98,277 and the price started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,277 low. However, the bears were active below the $101,200 zone. Bitcoin is now trading below $102,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $101,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $101,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $102,500 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,277 low. The next key resistance could be $103,500. A close above the $103,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $105,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $106,200 level. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $102,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $100,150 level. The first major support is near the $98,500 level. The next support is now near the $96,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $95,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $95,000, below which BTC might struggle to find bids. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $100,150, followed by $100,000. Major Resistance Levels – $101,250 and $103,500.