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Brazil targets rare earth revival as mining council takes shape
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More than three years after it was announced, Brazil’s Mining Policy Council has officially been installed, with a renewed focus on critical minerals and rare earths. The Brazilian government formally launched the National Mining Policy Council (Conselho Nacional de Política Mineral – CNPM) last week in a ceremony attended by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The council was originally established under Decree No. 11,108 of June 29, 2022, but remained inactive until now. It is composed of 18 federal ministers, chaired by Minister of Mines and Energy Alexandre Silveira, along with the CEO of the Brazilian Geological Service (CPRM). Representatives from states, municipalities, civil society, and academic institutions with expertise in mining are also members. At its first meeting, the CNPM set out to update Brazil’s outdated National Mining Plan 2030, originally conceived in 2011. The new version will guide national mining policy and is expected to be released for public consultation in the coming months. President Lula also requested an updated survey of Brazil’s mineral resources, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive and structured national mining policy, something the country currently lacks. One of the meeting’s central topics was the creation of a working group on critical and strategic minerals, aimed at proposing public policies to develop domestic supply chains and craft a national strategy for these resources. The plan includes renewed attention to rare earth elements. Brazil once ranked among the world’s top producers, with output reaching 2,200 metric tons of rare-earth oxide (REO) in 2016, but production has since plummeted to around 20 metric tons in 2024. The decline has been driven by China’s dominant production capacity and pricing influence. The CNPM has formed four specialized working groups to address key challenges facing the mining sector: Inspection Fees and Financial Charges, Critical and Strategic Minerals, Mining and Sustainable Development, and Oversight of Mining Activities. The final group will analyze inspection mechanisms and the role of the National Mining Agency (ANM). -
USD/JPY: Tips for Beginner Traders for October 20th (U.S. Session)
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen The price test at 150.74 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the dollar — but a significant rally never materialized. During the U.S. session, only the Leading Economic Index will be released, so we are unlikely to see any major shifts in the USD/JPY pair. Therefore, it's better to focus on new Trump statements regarding the resolution of the U.S.–China trade conflict. However, it's also important to remember that the Leading Economic Index is essentially a barometer of the U.S. economy. It aggregates data from various sectors, providing insight into future trends. While there may not be a direct correlation with USD/JPY, the index indirectly influences expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy. If the index indicates a slowdown in economic growth, the Fed may be more inclined toward lowering interest rates, which would weaken the dollar. Conversely, strong data could reinforce the Fed's position and support the U.S. currency. The index's influence may be short-term, but even small bursts of volatility can be of interest to traders and scalpers. As for the intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today when the price reaches the 150.97 entry point (green line on the chart), with a target of 151.45 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 151.45, I will close buy positions and open sales in the opposite direction (expecting a 30–35 point move back from that level). The pair's growth may be possible as part of an upward correction.Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 150.56 level, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward reversal. Growth toward the opposite levels of 150.97 and 151.45 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today after the price breaks below 150.56 (red line on the chart), which should lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 150.02, where I will exit short positions and immediately open buys in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point rebound from that level). Downward pressure on the pair may return if U.S. statistics come out weak.Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to move downward from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 150.97 price level, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 150.56 and 150.02 can be expected. Chart Explanation Thin green line – entry price where the trading instrument can be bought.Thick green line – estimated price level for placing a Take Profit or manually fixing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.Thin red line – entry price where the trading instrument can be sold.Thick red line – estimated price level for placing a Take Profit or manually fixing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should be extremely cautious when making market entry decisions. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade with large volumes. And remember, for successful trading, you must have a clear trading plan, such as the one outlined above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders for October 20th (U.S. Session)
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3416 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of this price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was in the oversold zone, allowing Scenario #2 (buy) to play out, resulting in a 20-point rise. During the U.S. session, only the Leading Economic Index will be released, so we are unlikely to see any major changes in the balance of power in the GBP/USD pair. Nevertheless, it would be unwise to underestimate the impact of this macroeconomic release. The Leading Economic Index itself is a complex, aggregated measure that reflects a comprehensive picture of U.S. economic activity. It consolidates data from various sectors — from the labor market to construction and consumer sentiment. A careful analysis of the index's components can provide valuable insight into potential shifts in Federal Reserve economic policy. However, major movements in GBP/USD are unlikely, as traders remain focused on developments surrounding the U.S.–China trade dispute. As for the intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today when the price reaches the 1.3421 entry point (green line on the chart), targeting 1.3453 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3453, I will close buy positions and open sales in the opposite direction (expecting a 30–35 point move back from that level). A strong rise in the pound today is unlikely.Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3400 price level, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward market reversal. Growth toward the opposite levels of 1.3421 and 1.3453 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after the price breaks below 1.3400 (red line on the chart), which should lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 1.3371, where I will exit short positions and immediately open buys in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point rebound from that level). The pound could experience a significant drop in the second half of the day.Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to fall from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3421 price level, when the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.3400 and 1.3371 can be expected. Chart Explanation Thin green line – the entry price where the trading instrument can be bought.Thick green line – the estimated price level for placing a Take Profit or manually fixing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.Thin red line – the entry price where the trading instrument can be sold.Thick red line – the estimated price level for placing a Take Profit or manually fixing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should be extremely cautious when making market entry decisions. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't apply money management principles and trade with large volumes. And remember, for successful trading, you must have a clear trading plan, such as the one outlined above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
What to Know: There is a large concentration of liquidity above the current $BTC price, suggesting a short squeeze could be in the making. The “Coinbase premium” for Bitcoin (the premium or differential of Bitcoin’s price on the U.S. exchange Coinbase relative to global exchanges) is rising – signifying stronger U.S. institutional and retail demand. A $BTC short squeeze could make Bitcoin Hyper the best crypto to buy with its Layer 2 upgrade. With Bitcoin (BTC) hovering around $110K, a perfect storm of technical signals and macro tailwinds is building — potentially priming the world’s largest cryptocurrency for a powerful upward breakout. A significant short squeeze could be underway – and a key inflation reading from the United States this week could serve as the spark. Will both factors combine to send Bitcoin surging, and make the Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) Layer 2 the best crypto to buy now? What’s a Short Squeeze? Why Should Crypto Investors Care? A ‘short squeeze’ happens when a large number of market participants have bet on a price decline. If price instead rises, these traders may be forced to buy back their positions, adding further upward pressure. Fresh data from Coinglass reveals a heavy cluster of liquidity sitting above Bitcoin’s current price. With stop-losses and orders stacked at higher levels, the setup points to an upward move as the market hunts for that liquidity. Markets naturally gravitate toward areas with stacked liquidity. When heavy short positions sit above the price and momentum pushes higher, forced liquidations can trigger a cascade of buy orders — the textbook recipe for a rapid short squeeze. Institutional Accumulation: The Coinbase Premium Tells a Story Retail traders still matter, but one of the defining shifts in Bitcoin’s 2025 market has been the surge in institutional participation. A key gauge is the “Coinbase Premium” — the price gap between Bitcoin on U.S.-based Coinbase and other global exchanges — often used as a proxy for institutional demand. A climbing U.S. premium is a classic sign of growing demand from institutions and large investors. In recent weeks, that premium has spiked — pointing to steady accumulation beneath the surface. This hidden bid could provide a solid price floor for Bitcoin and potentially ignite the next leg higher. And there’s some demand for Bitcoin that never changes; Michael Saylor just announced Strategy’s latest $BTC acquisition. The Macro Wild Card: U.S. CPI Release Amid Government Shutdown The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) drops this Friday, even as the government shutdown drags on. A softer inflation print could strengthen the case for a dovish Fed, raising confidence in more rate cuts or at least a pause. But if inflation surprises higher, markets may quickly price in tighter policy — a potential headwind for risk assets. Traders are already betting big: futures markets show a 98% chance of at least a 25-basis-point cut in the near term. That makes this CPI release a critical catalyst, with the power to spark Bitcoin’s next breakout move. And when Bitcoin moves, keep an eye on Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) — momentum there often follows fast. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Critical Bitcoin Layer 2 Upgrade Sets Up Bitcoin’s Continued Growth Blockchain Layer 2 solutions – like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – aren’t intended to take away from the base layer’s utility. Typically, they add to it in some way. In Bitcoin Hyper’s case, that means adding lightning-fast transaction speeds and low-cost transactions for wrapped $BTC on the Hyper Layer 2, solving two problems that have plagued Bitcoin in recent years. The Bitcoin Hyper solution works by incorporating a Bitcoin Canonical Bridge on the Solana Virtual Machine, leveraging the SVM’s native speed and scalability. It’s a hybrid architecture that keeps final settlement on the native Bitcoin Layer 1, preserving Bitcoin’s stability and security. With Hyper, $BTC microtransactions are finally feasible, opening the door for Bitcoin to be used as more than just a store of value. Learn how to buy $HYPER and see why our price prediction shows the token could reach $0.08625 by 2026, setting up 556% gains from its current $0.013145. If the setup plays out, a successful short squeeze could propel Bitcoin higher, especially if driven by both institutional demand and a favorable macro shock. That would certainly boost $HYPER as well, setting it up for success in the next year. Do your own research, as always. This isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker on NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin-short-squeeze-bullish-hyper-best-crypto-buy
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Gold now a ‘momentum/meme’ asset, says bond veteran
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Despite gold’s record-breaking rally and widespread optimism about its outlook, one legendary bond investor has issued a warning for those seeking to own the metal amid concerns over US regional banks. In a post on X last Friday, PIMCO co-founder Bill Gross wrote that gold has become a “momentum/meme” asset. “If you want to own it, wait awhile,” he added, even if gold’s safe-haven appeal has never been stronger. Surging debt levels across major developed economies have shaken confidence in global currencies, in particular traditional safe havens like the US dollar. This has spurred a “debasement trade,” where investors flock to assets such as gold as opposed to depreciating fiat currencies to preserve their wealth. Gold has responded with a spectacular rally, climbing more than 60% this year and setting record highs nearly 50 times. Trading at approximately $4,350 per ounce, the metal has essentially doubled since the beginning of last year. Market veteran Ed Yardeni recently said that, at the current pace, gold could skyrocket to $10,000 per ounce by the end of the decade. Yields higher However, Gross believes that gold’s rally may have overextended, as yields should be shooting higher given the fresh debt the US government must issue to cover budget shortfalls. This, in turn, could cap gold’s appeal based on historic performances. According to Gross, the 10-year Treasury yield “has no business below 4%” and should be around 4.5% — with the US facing too much supply/deficits despite a “slowing, soon-to-be 1% growth economy.” One factor behind the yield movement, says the now-retired fund manager, is the pressure facing US regional banks after some of them had flagged bad loan and fraud issues. These banks, which Gross referred to as “cockroaches”, may continue to affect stocks and bonds, but the recent yield drop below 4% was overblown, he said. Some analysts do not regard these issues at regional lenders as becoming a systemic problem in the US banking system. Those at Deutsche Bank and Jefferies, for example, characterized the loan loss issues, including those at Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance, as specific and unconnected events. Sponsored: Secure your wealth today — buy gold bullion directly through our trusted partner, Sprott Money. -
Crypto Bulls Beware: Friday Could Be Crucial — Here’s Why
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A rare confluence of macro catalysts will put risk assets—and by extension crypto—on edge this Friday. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has confirmed it will publish the delayed September Consumer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, October 24, even as most federal data remain frozen by the ongoing government shutdown. In a short notice, the agency underscored the exceptionality of the move and added that “no other releases will be rescheduled or produced until the resumption of regular government services.” Crypto Bulls On Alert The timing is unusual on two counts. First, CPI is rarely a Friday print; The Kobeissi Letter noted via X that it would be the first Friday CPI since January 2018. Second, it lands five days before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on October 28–29, compressing the policy-reaction window for the only marquee data. As Adam Kobeissi framed it: “Something unusual is happening this week: On Friday, we are receiving CPI inflation data DURING the US government shutdown… Not only is it 5 days before the October 29th Fed meeting, but it is the first time CPI data will be reported on a Friday since January 2018.” Against that backdrop, crypto strategist Nik Patel captured prevailing risk-tone logic in a morning note via X: with scarce data in a “speech-heavy” week, any print that leans above survey “will be of significance.” He argued: “Would even expect a moderately above consensus inflation print to be welcomed by the markets — I would like to see inflation breakevens bottom out here and turn higher again (and make no mistake the Fed will still be cutting into this and this combination would be bullish risk). Growth, Inflation continues to be what I expect of the next 6 months but right now we’re chewing through a period of fears around both.” The Macro Backdrop To understand why this particular CPI matters for crypto assets, consider the near-term inflation trend and the state of the Fed debate. Headline CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in August after 0.2% in July; the year-over-year rate accelerated to 2.9% from 2.7%. Core CPI held at 3.1% YoY. Back-to-back prints earlier in the summer had suggested headline inflation was stabilizing in the high-2s: June CPI ran at 2.7% year-over-year with a 0.3% monthly gain, and July matched 2.7% YoY while core posted its largest monthly increase since January. The August re-acceleration nudged debate away from a straight-line disinflation narrative and toward a more nuanced view—one sensitive to tariffs. Related Reading: Crypto Bulls Smell Blood: SOFR–RRP Spread Hints QT Pivot By October The Fed preview is therefore unusually binary—even if the meeting dates themselves are conventional. The central bank’s October 28–29 gathering is live, with rates markets leaning toward another quarter-point cut, followed by a more contested December. But the data blackout has amplified CPI’s leverage over the policy narrative, which is why a single release can swing the perceived odds of both the October move’s size and the guidance for year-end. All of this collides with crypto’s macro-beta reality. When liquidity expectations improve—via easier financial conditions and falling real yields—large-cap tokens typically outperform; when policy turns cautious, crypto’s duration-like characteristics can cut the other way. That’s why the market is latched onto the shutdown-Friday CPI quirk. The bottom line for crypto participants is straightforward. Friday’s CPI is not just “another inflation print.” It is a rare Friday release, arriving in a data drought five days before an FOMC decision, with PMIs and sentiment hitting hours later. If it cools meaningfully, easing expectations could firm into month-end. If it surprises hot and re-validates August’s firmness, markets may still attempt to spin it as growth-positive—as Nik Patel suggested—so long as the Fed signals it will keep cutting. Either way, by compressing signal and policy into a single news cycle, the shutdown has turned one morning into the fulcrum for October’s crypto narrative. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.71 trillion. -
EUR/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders for October 20th (U.S. Session)
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the European Currency The price test at 1.1653 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The Producer Price Index (PPI) in Germany fell by 0.1%, which was worse than economists' forecasts, prompting a decline in the euro. This seemingly minor figure conceals a complex set of problems, signaling a slowdown in economic activity in Europe's largest economy. A drop in producer prices, though potentially beneficial for consumers in the short term, may indicate weaker demand and fewer production orders—heralding a period of economic stagnation. The euro's fall in response to this data reflects traders' concerns about the outlook for the German economy and, by extension, the broader European economy. In the second half of the day, attention will shift to the publication of the U.S. Leading Economic Index, though sharp market movements are not expected. Nevertheless, the details should not be ignored. The market reacts subtly to even the smallest changes, building complex strategies based on seemingly insignificant data. It's important to understand that the Leading Indicators Index is a composite of various metrics—from durable goods demand to consumer sentiment. Therefore, a superficial analysis of the final index value can lead to erroneous conclusions. If the data come out strong, pressure on the euro will likely persist. Also, the easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China makes the dollar a more attractive asset. As for the intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: Buy the euro today if the price reaches around 1.1664 (green line on the chart), with a target of 1.1696. At 1.1696, I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 point move from the entry point. Expect euro growth today only if U.S. data come out weak.Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the euro if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1645 price level at a moment when the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward reversal. Growth toward the opposite levels of 1.1664 and 1.1696 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after the price reaches 1.1645 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1618, where I intend to exit the market and buy in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point move from that level). Downward pressure on the pair may increase significantly today, as trade risks have eased considerably, restoring demand for the dollar. Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to move downward from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the euro if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1664 price level, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.1645 and 1.1618 can be expected. Chart Explanation Thin green line – entry price where buying the instrument is possibleThick green line – estimated price where Take Profit can be set, or profits can be taken manually, since further growth above this level is unlikelyThin red line – entry price where selling the instrument is possibleThick red line – estimated price where Take Profit can be set, or profits can be taken manually, since further decline below this level is unlikelyMACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to consider the overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should be extremely cautious when making market entry decisions. Before the release of key fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade with large volumes. And remember, for successful trading, you must have a clear trading plan, like the one outlined above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com - Hoje
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - Tesla, Netflix Earnings, US CPI and China's Five-Year Plan in Focus as US-China Tensions Simmer Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is scheduled to release its third-quarter 2025 earnings report after the market close on October 21, 2025. This reporting period is widely regarded as a key marker in the company’s strategic shift from a volume-based (subscriber count) growth model to a profitability-based model driven by Average Revenue Per Member (ARM) acceleration. Market participants attention has fundamentally transitioned away from the headline subscriber figures which Netflix is ceasing to report quarterly in 2025 toward metrics detailing the efficiency of monetization efforts. What to Expect? Market experts believe that Netflix will meet or slightly beat its own financial goals, showing it is running its business very well. Revenue: The company expects to bring in $11.526 billion in revenue, which would be about 17% more than last year. Profit (EPS): Netflix's official forecast for profit per share ($6.87) is slightly lower than what analysts expect (who predict between $6.89 and $6.97). However, even the company's own target represents a very strong 27.6% jump in profit compared to last year. The expectation of such strong EPS growth is predicated on improved operating leverage. Consensus predicts the operating margin will climb to 31.5% in Q3 , fueled by high-margin revenue streams. zoom_out_map Source: LSEG, TradingKey Key Focus Areas: Monetization Over Membership The primary narrative for Q3 2025 centers on the effectiveness of three core catalysts that accelerate ARM: paid sharing conversion, the expansion of the advertising tier, and selective price increases. The success of these initiatives establishes a durable competitive advantage, as they generate revenue at very high incremental margins. The Paid Sharing Dividend and Ad-Tier GrowthThe crackdown on password sharing proved super successful, therefore it’s become a funnel that boosts paid‑sharing dividend and lifts ad‑tier growth. Since it began, Netflix added roughly 50 million new users: way beyond its own forecasts. Therefore, many price‑sensitive former password sharers opted for the Ad‑Tier service. How do Netflix do it? Turn the no‑pay users into paying ones, that brings the numbers needed to grow the ad business. By 2025, ad tier revenue's expected to double; therefore full‑year outlook hits about $1.1 billion. The expansion of the in-house ad-tech platform earlier in 2025 is vital, as internal management of advertising inventory and capabilities enables greater price realization (CPM) and better control over targeting, maximizing the incremental margins derived from this new revenue source. Therefore investors must keep tabs on profit within the well‑established market. It’s a market that covers both the US and Canada, which they call UCAN. Since price hikes began and paid sharing kicked in early this year, UCAN revenue must report a 15 % rise to definitively confirm the efficacy of Netflix's pricing power and monetization strategy in its highest-value region. Content and Margin Volatility Although financial results (like revenue) look good, the key to Netflix's future success lies in its content and how it manages costs. The third quarter was packed with huge hits, like "Squid Game" Season 3 and the strategically released "Wednesday" Season 2, which are crucial for keeping subscribers. The move into live events, such as big boxing matches, is also key to attracting advertisers with content that viewers cannot skip. However, funding all this major new content in the second half of 2025 creates a financial risk. Management has warned that operating margins (profitability) will be lower in the second half of the year because of high spending on content and advertising. Therefore, market participants will be focused intensely on Netflix's forecast for the next quarter (Q4 2025), specifically looking at how the company discusses the timing of those costs, as this could cause the stock price to become volatile, even if the Q3 profits look strong. Potential Implications for Netflix Share Price For Netflix, the stock is currently valued so high that its earnings report has to be perfect to avoid a selloff. The company's stock is trading at a very expensive level (a P/E ratio of 47.2x), meaning investors have already priced in the expected strong profit growth (over 31% this year). The major risk is that analysts disagree sharply: some are very optimistic, but others warn the price is far too high (as low as $750 per share) unless the company can deliver unbelievably fast sales growth. To go up (Upside Rally): Netflix must do two things: beat the profit forecast (above $6.97 per share) and, more importantly, give a highly convincing forecast for the next quarter (Q4) that removes the worries about lower profit margins in the second half of the year. Showing a clear, fast path to reaching its long-term ad revenue goal is also critical. To go down (Downside Correction): Because the stock is priced for perfection, even a small profit beat, if paired with a vague or cautious forecast about future margins, will likely cause investors to sell their shares and take profits. Investors are focused entirely on getting qualitative assurance about the company’s implied profitability for 2026. In short, even though the company has strong momentum from its new strategies (paid sharing and the ad tier), many new investors are holding back because the stock is too expensive and the risk of failure is too high. Netflix Daily Chart, October 20, 2025 zoom_out_map Source: TradingView Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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Iamgold signs deals to triple Quebec district footprint
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Canadian miner Iamgold (TSX: IMG; NYSE: IAG) announced a pair of acquisitions that would more than triple its footprint in northern Quebec’s Chibougamau region. Iamgold agreed to buy Northern Superior Resources (TSXV: SUP) for C$2.05 in cash and stock per Northern Superior share in a transaction valued at about C$267.4 million, according to a statement issued Monday. The Toronto-based company also said it’s reached a C$17.2 million deal to acquire Mines D’Or Orbec (TSXV: BLUE) for C$0.125 a share. Both transactions would consolidate land ownership around Iamgold’s Nelligan and Monster Lake projects, which together hold 3.21 million indicated oz. gold and 5.65 million inferred ounces. The two properties sit close to Northern Superior’s Philibert, Chevrier and Croteau deposits, which Iamgold said “supports the conceptual vision” of a central processing facility being fed by multiple mining areas within a 17-km radius. “Consolidating the district, tripling the land position and adding more than 3 million oz. of resources should flag potential longer-term upside to investors,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Michael Siperco said Monday in a note to investors. Canadian focus News of the deals comes as Iamgold sharpens its focus on Canadian gold production. Together, Ontario’s Côté open-pit operation and Quebec’s Westwood underground mine account for 87% of the company’s mineral resources and 82% of net asset value. Nelligan “represents a key potential organic growth option” for Iamgold, Siperco added. “Substantive exploration at the district has only resumed in 2025, with strong potential for resource growth and attractive project economics at spot prices, or higher.” Combined, the Northern Superior and Iamgold assets near the town of Chibougamau would form one of Canada’s largest pre-production gold camps, with 3.75 million oz. gold of measured and indicated resources and 8.65 million oz. of inferred resources. Adding Northern Superior would more than double Iamgold’s landholding in the district to 1,090 sq. km with the addition of 706 sq. km of claims. Philibert is located 9 km northeast of Nelligan and 12 km southeast of Monster Lake. Nelligan is located 45 km southwest of Chibougamau, while Monster Lake is 15 km north of Nelligan. Organic pipeline “This acquisition aligns with our strategy to become a leading Canadian-focused mid-tier gold producer, bolstering our organic pipeline in Quebec where we have maintained a longstanding presence,” Iamgold CEO Renaud Adams said in the statement. “The combined assets begin to define a conceptual project that complements both the scale and timing of our Côté gold mine and its forthcoming expansion.” Also close to Nelligan and Monster Lake is Orbec’s Muus project, which would contribute about 250 sq. km of mineral rights. Muus sits at the intersection of the northeast trending Fancamp deformation zone, which hosts Monster Lake, and the East-West trending Guercheville deformation zone, which hosts Nelligan. “The Chibougamau region is quickly advancing to become one of the most exciting gold mining districts in Canada,” Adams added. Offer premium Iamgold’s offer calls for Orbec stockholders to receive C$0.0625 per share held and 0.003466 of an Iamgold common share. It represents a premium of about 25% to Orbec’s closing price Friday on the TSX Venture Exchange. Iamgold already owns 7.14 million Orbec shares, or 6.7% of the company’s shares outstanding. Northern Superior shareholders, meanwhile, would receive 0.0991 of an Iamgold common share and C$0.19 in cash for each common share held. This would represent a premium of 27% based on the 20-day volume-weighted average prices of Iamgold on the Toronto Stock Exchange and Northern Superior on the TSX Venture Exchange as of Friday. Shares of all three companies gained ground Monday morning. Iamgold rose 3.3% to C$19.37 in Toronto trading, boosting the company’s market value to about C$11.1 billion. Northern Superior soared 56% to C$2.21, while Orbec added 20% to C$0.12. -
United States Antimony offers $470M to buy Australian miner
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United States Antimony Corp. (NYSE-American: UAMY) is planning to acquire Australia’s Larvotto Resources (ASX: LRV), a move that it says would make the combined company one of the world’s largest antimony producers outside China. Under a non-binding proposal submitted earlier on Monday, US Antimony would acquire the 90% of Larvotto’s shares that it does not own by issuing six of its own shares for every 100 Larvotto share. The offer implies a value of A$1.40 per Larvotto share, valuing the Australian miner at about A$722 million ($470 million). Days prior to the offer, USAC had already purchased 10% of Larvotto’s shares in the open market with cash, making it the largest shareholder. In a press release issued on Monday, USAC chairman and CEO Gary Evans said the proposal to combine with Larvotto reflects the company’s “deep commitment to build a world-class industry player in the critical minerals space.” “We see this as a compelling opportunity for Larvotto shareholders to participate in the upside of a larger, more diversified group – one with financial strength, global reach and top-tier technical capabilities,” he added. USAC aims to develop a fully integrated antimony supply chain for Western economies and owns the only two smelters in North America with a long-standing capacity to process the critical mineral into various forms of commercial products. While its feedstock has come from third parties, the company recently began mining activities in Montana, a milestone it says would make it the world’s first mine-to-market antimony operation. Shares of USAC soared during overnight trading following its announcement and opened the Monday session 19% higher at $13.30 a share. By 10:30 a.m. ET, it has pulled back to around $11.36 for an intraday gain of 1.3%. The company has a market capitalization of roughly $1.6 billion. Australia’s largest antimony resource In a separate press release, Larvotto said its board will “carefully consider” the offer and provide shareholders with their advice in due course. Its shares closed the trading session 4% higher at A$1.29 apiece, with a market capitalization of A$666 million. The Australian miner is currently advancing the Hillgrove project in New South Wales, a development-stage gold project that also holds the largest antimony resource in the country. A definitive feasibility study published in May 2025 envisaged a combined open-pit and underground operation capable of producing as much as 102,000 oz. of gold-equivalent per year. Subject to a final investment decision, Larvotto said it aims to bring the Hillgrove project into production in 2026, by which point it would be Australia’s largest producer of antimony, accounting for 7% of global supply requirements. -
Cleveland-Cliffs eyes rare earths production in the US
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Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) announced plans to enter the rare earth mining business after discovering two potential deposits in Michigan and Minnesota, which would allow the Ohio-based company to expand beyond iron ore and steel. The move, chief executive Lourenco Goncalves said, could strengthen the United States’ supply of critical minerals essential for electronics and clean energy technologies. Goncalves said the company is working with geologists to determine whether the deposits are commercially viable. “We are a mining company; this isn’t new territory for us,” he told analysts during the company’s earnings call on Monday. Cleveland-Cliffs’ shares surged 23% to $16.68 on Monday, the biggest gain since June, after the company also reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings. The rally lifted its market value to about $8.2 billion. Strategic shift Goncalves said the new discoveries could “align Cleveland-Cliffs with the broader national strategy for critical material independence, similar to what we achieved in steel.” He added that American manufacturing “shouldn’t rely on China or any foreign nation for essential minerals,” emphasizing the company’s intent to contribute to domestic resource security. The company’s quarterly revenue rose from a year earlier, and adjusted earnings topped analysts’ forecasts, despite President Donald Trump’s tariffs on foreign steel, which have weighed on Cliffs’ Canadian operations. Cleveland-Cliffs also signed a memorandum of understanding with an undisclosed steel producer to leverage its “unmatched US footprint and trade-compliant operations”. It did not release further details. The US currently has only one commercial rare earth mine, owned by MP Materials (NYSE: MP). In July, the Defence Department took an equity stake in MP Materials and agreed to a price floor and an offtake deal. Investors have speculated that Washington may pursue similar arrangements with other domestic companies developing rare earth mines and processing plants. -
Kodal begins lithium exports from Mali’s Bougouni mine
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Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has dispatched the first truckloads of lithium spodumene concentrate from its Bougouni mine in southern Mali to the port of San Pedro in Côte d’Ivoire, marking the start of its exports. The team at Bougouni mine, which began production in February, has sent 30,000 tonnes of spodumene concentrate from its stockpile for shipment to Hainan, China. The full 45,000-tonne stockpile will be gradually moved over the next four to six weeks to maintain supply at the San Pedro port for future exports. “This is a major milestone for the Bougouni project,” chief executive Bernard Aylward said. “With the first truckloads of spodumene concentrate departing site for export (…), the construction of the dense media separation plant and processing of ore from the Ngoualana openpit, we are now in a position to consistently manage the exporting of spodumene concentrate”. The company expects to generate its first revenue once loading of the initial 30,000-tonne shipment is complete, in line with its offtake agreement. Kodal plans to provide further updates as operations progress. Bougouni is located 170 km south of Mali’s capital, Bamako, in a region home to several active mines, including Hummingbird Resources’ Yanfolila gold mine and B2Gold’s Fekola operation. -
XRP DEX Volumes Surge As Price Plunges: Smart Money Accumulating?
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XRP is trading at a critical juncture, struggling to hold support below the $2.5 mark after weeks of heavy selling pressure. Bulls are finding it increasingly difficult to regain control, and overall sentiment across the market remains weak following sharp declines in major altcoins. Yet, some analysts argue that this exhaustion phase could represent a local bottom — a setup that historically precedes strong rebounds in XRP’s price. According to data shared by CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain, the XRP Ledger’s decentralized exchange (DEX) has shown a striking divergence between price and activity. Between October 8th and 17th, as XRP’s price plunged from around $3.0 to $2.3, DEX trading volume spiked to a multi-month high. This surge in activity, highlighted in the greyed-out region of the chart, signals that despite price weakness, on-chain engagement remains robust. This type of divergence often sparks debate among traders — it can either indicate capitulation, where sellers are finally giving up, or accumulation, where larger players quietly enter the market. With DEX activity heating up while price stagnates, the coming days could be decisive for XRP’s next move, as traders watch closely for signs of a potential reversal. Price-Volume Divergence Signals a Market Turning Point CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain highlights that the recent divergence between XRP’s price and DEX volume can be interpreted in two opposite but crucial ways. The first is Capitulation and Selling Pressure, a bearish scenario where the surge in trading volume during a price decline reflects panic selling. In this case, the spike in activity represents a rush to exit — the capitulation of short-term holders and traders unwilling to hold through further losses. Historically, such events confirm strong bearish momentum as sellers dominate the market, often leading to temporary breakdowns before stabilization. On the other hand, the second possibility points to Accumulation by Smart Money. Here, the sharp increase in volume may not signal panic, but rather strategic positioning by large investors or whales taking advantage of discounted prices. While retail participants sell out of fear, long-term players could be absorbing supply, positioning for a potential recovery. This dynamic — the transfer of XRP from “weak hands” to “strong hands” — has historically preceded major reversals. Ultimately, this period underscores a fierce battle between buyers and sellers. Despite the drop in price, the presence of heavy buying interest suggests underlying strength. If demand continues to absorb selling pressure, XRP could be forming a foundation for its next bullish impulse. The $2.3–$2.5 zone now stands as a critical area to watch for signs of accumulation and a potential market rebound. XRP Attempts to Stabilize After Sharp Sell-Off XRP is showing early signs of stabilization after one of its sharpest corrections of the year. The chart shows that the token rebounded from lows near $2.3, a level that aligns closely with the 100-day moving average — now acting as short-term support. Despite the recovery to around $2.47, the structure remains fragile, with the 50-day moving average trending downward and the price still below the key $2.6–$2.7 resistance zone. This area previously served as strong support before being broken during the recent sell-off, suggesting that it could now act as a barrier for bullish continuation. The broader trend also highlights a significant increase in volatility, reflecting uncertainty among traders. The long lower wick on recent candles indicates that buyers are defending the $2.3 level, but without a clear volume expansion, a sustained reversal remains uncertain. If XRP holds above $2.3, a short-term consolidation phase could follow, potentially leading to a retest of $2.6. However, if selling pressure returns and price slips below $2.3, a deeper pullback toward the 200-day moving average near $1.8 cannot be ruled out. For now, XRP’s outlook depends on whether bulls can turn this temporary bounce into a confirmed recovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com -
Friedland’s copper crisis forecast proves true as historic supply crunch nears
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Global demand for copper is accelerating toward levels that could outstrip supply within two decades, creating what industry veteran Robert Friedland calls a once-in-history challenge for the world economy. Over the next 18 years, he warns, humanity will need to mine as much copper as it has over the past 10,000 years combined to sustain even modest economic growth. Friedland’s message, repeated over years of public appearances, has proven prescient. “This is the revenge of the old economy,” he said in 2021. “For two decades, not enough capital has gone into finding the metals we need for the energy transformation.” Copper, he argues, lies at the centre of both economic growth and national security. Used in everything from electric grids to military hardware, it has become the lifeblood of modern industry. As of October 2025, copper trades at over $5.00 per pound — roughly $11,000 per tonne — marking a 55% increase from just five years ago. The economics of scarcity Despite the rally, current prices remain far below what the industry needs to stimulate new production. Friedland predicts copper must reach $15,000 per tonne to justify the immense capital costs of building new mines. “Nine thousand dollars a ton is not enough to take the risk,” he said in late 2023. The gap between rising demand and limited supply poses an existential challenge. At today’s consumption rates, roughly 700 million metric tonnes of copper mined throughout history will need to be matched again by 2043 just to sustain 3% annual GDP growth. Strategic imperatives Copper’s importance extends far beyond economics. Friedland highlights its strategic role in national defense, pointing to US military concerns over shortages of 155-millimetre howitzer (type of artillery weapon) shells. “If somebody’s pointing a gun at you, you need that copper to shoot back,” he said earlier this year. That urgency is driving calls for a renaissance in US copper mining, an industry that has seen virtually no new development in generations. Dependence on foreign sources now threatens both supply stability and security. Policy and political shifts Friedland credits recent US administrations, particularly under current President Donald Trump, for recognizing the need to secure raw materials domestically. “Speaking as a miner, we see a lot more government support,” he noted. “The new administration is correctly focused on making sure the world’s largest economy has stable access to raw materials at the scale of that economy.” Click here to see live copper prices. As copper prices climb toward his long-term projections, investors and policymakers are watching closely. The metal that once symbolized industrial might is again at the heart of a global transformation. This time at the centre of one defined by scarcity, strategy and survival. -
6 AI Models Trading $10K Each: Deepseek Winning, Gemini Liquidated? Alpha Arena
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I know, I know, you are probably tired of hearing about AI since it is everywhere and now even taking over trading. But this one is actually interesting. Jay Azhang, a New York–based engineer, founded an AI research lab dedicated to the markets called Alpha Arena. It is basically the ultimate test to see how smart these billion-dollar AI models really are. Claude Sonnet, DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, and Qwen are all participants, and each model gets $10,000 of real capital on Hyperliquid with one goal, make as much money as possible through perpetuals trading. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Unsurprisingly, Deepseek Is Winning The Nof1.ai platform is tracking every open position from these chatbots in real time, and surprisingly, or maybe not, DeepSeek is leading the pack. Both Grok and DeepSeek went all in on long positions, and when the market rallied over the last 24 hours, it pushed them straight to the top. DeepSeek is getting close to $14,000, marking a 40% profit in just two days, which is quietly impressive. Maybe I would “trust” my funds with DeepSeek, not Gemini which is down 35% and clearly panicking. Gemini started the event as the bearish one, shorting everything, but it has now flipped and gone all-in on long positions. GPT-5 is starting to do the same, learning from Gemini the hard way that the crypto market might actually be the future. Grok is performing really well too. According to Jay, the contest founder, “it has better contextual awareness of market microstructure,” and the results prove it, as Grok has made profits in 100% of the last five rounds, including the testing phase, showing impressive consistency. Claude currently has the fewest open positions, and just like the app, it trades in a calm and steady way. Qwen, on the other hand, seems to be giving up according to Azhang, with only one open position left. So, Who To Trust My Money With? Well, no clear winner yet, but this whole experiment gives a glimpse of what the future of trading might look like. The contest will run for a few more weeks, and it will be interesting to see which AI stays consistent and actually keeps winning. The event is already turning into a big deal, even catching the attention of CZ from Binance. He commented, “There will probably be a lot of people researching AI for trading after this,” and he expects trading volumes to rise because of it. As for me, I’ll stick to trusting myself with my own money for now. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways DeepSeek is leading the Alpha Arena AI trading challenge with a 40% profit, showing real skill in crypto market prediction. . The experiment is turning heads, even drawing comments from CZ Binance, hinting at a future where AI dominates trading. The post 6 AI Models Trading $10K Each: Deepseek Winning, Gemini Liquidated? Alpha Arena appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Dogecoin Price Moves: Can It Repeat The 36,000% Rally ‘Anomaly’ From Last Cycle?
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Crypto analyst Cantonese Cat has drawn attention to the current Dogecoin price action, making comparisons with the 36,000% rally recorded in the last cycle. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ghost has also provided a bullish outlook for the meme coin, predicting it could still rally to $1. How The Current Dogecoin Price Action Differs From Last Cycle In an X post, Cantonese Cat highlighted some differences between the current Dogecoin price action and that from the last cycle, when it recorded a 36,000% rally. The analyst noted that the last cycle was an anomaly because DOGE punched through the ‘Superlchi’ cloud without ever back-testing it that cycle and just went on its massive run. Cantonese Cat then went on to mention that the Dogecoin price has punched through this Superlchi cloud in this cycle and claimed it from resistance to support. However, unlike in the previous cycle, DOGE has back-tested this level for more than half a year and has established it as good support. The analyst revealed that the most recent back-test happened this month, with a huge wick showing demand. Cantonese Cat explained that this is more consistent with what generally happens during a bull market and asserted that DOGE still has its bullish market structure. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that $0.18 is the key level that DOGE needs to stay above to maintain this structure. Crypto analyst Ghost also indicated that the bull market structure was still intact for the Dogecoin price. This came as the analyst highlighted a ‘Parabolic Arc,’ which they noted is still intact and predicted that the target for DOGE in this cycle is the psychological $1 level. A Rebound For DOGE May Be On The Horizon Crypto analyst Ali Martinez stated that the Dogecoin price wants to rebound and that the key targets are $0.29, $0.45, and $0.86. This follows DOGE’s recent crash below the $0.2 level amid the broader crypto market decline. This has occurred due to rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China with the Trump tariffs. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade stated that a double bottom is on the way for the Dogecoin price. He added that a catalyst is needed to ignite this next move up for DOGE. A potential catalyst could be the imminent rate cut, with the Fed expected to lower rates at next week’s FOMC meeting. Trump is also set to meet China’s President Xi Jinping, which could ease trade tensions and potentially lead to a trade deal between the two countries. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.2, up over 5% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. -
Helium Crypto To Buy HNT Direct From Open Market: HNT USDT To 10X By December 2025?
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It has been a rough year for Helium crypto. Much was expected after the explosion late last year. For a brief moment, HNT USDT spiked to nearly $10 before collapsing. Since then, bears have had the upper hand despite the team’s efforts to prop up prices and improve sentiment. Falling crypto prices, especially some of the best coins to buy, like Solana and Cardano, have not helped. The good news is that this could all change in Q4 2025. On Coingecko, there are hints of strength. On the last day of trading, HNT crypto rose +3%, reducing losses. Over the past month, HNT USDT has remained in red, dropping -23%. Meanwhile, sellers have been pushing hard over the last year, explaining the near -70% contraction. (Source: Coingecko) DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 What is Helium Crypto? Is It The Next 1000X Token? Overall, Helium crypto traders are upbeat, finding confidence in the project’s vision and mission. Eventually, Helium developers believe their network will be the preferred rail for users who prefer cheap communication and superior benefits. If the future of IoT, HNT diamond holders say, then buying Helium crypto now could be a 1000X opportunity in the next few years. It is easy to see why: While the Helium network is a decentralized layer designed for IoT devices, the platform also automatically connects nodes to enable smooth communication and data sharing across users. On Coingecko, the DePIN sector, of which Helium forms a core part of, already commands nearly $16Bn in market cap, up 4.7% in 24 hours. While Bittensor TAO crypto leads, Helium is in the top 15, commanding a market cap of over $365M. (Source: Coingecko) Helium could post a strong close to the year, shaking off the weakness of late Q3 2025. In early August, they halved their HNT emissions from 15M to 7.5M, reducing inflation and rewarding diamond hands. Crucially, during the third halving event, Helium phased out sub-network tokens, opting for simpler economics and unifying IoT and mobile rewards. They were building on strong growth posted in Q2 2025 when they offloaded over 2,700 TB of mobile data and integrated with major carriers in the United States, including T-Mobile. It is likely that Helium’s coverage, especially in the United States, will grow after it transitions to low-cost light Hotspots, that is, nodes, replacing older hardware. The lower barriers will open the doors for new deployers, effectively increasing the number of Helium node operators. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Big Money Holding HNT Crypto? Helium Buying From Spot Markets Those who run nodes are set up for big gains now that Helium plans to buy HNT directly from the open market. In a post on X, Helium said it now plans to buy HNT tokens directly from the open markets based on its subscriber revenue. As with any other direct buys from the market, HNT prices ticked higher, as more tokens will be bought as revenue increases. HNT USDT found a floor at around $1.77, and a build-up from yesterday’s gains could see HNT USDT gradually reverse losses from early this month, climbing above $3 by the end of the year. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time In addition to direct buys, Helium plans to set up a community-governed DAT that will proactively buy HNT from the market and via OTCs. The DAT will convert network yields, that is, data credits and mobile subscribers, into HNT per-share growth. More yields will also be generated from staking and liquidity provision on Solana. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Helium Crypto: Buy HNT From Market, HNT USDT to 10X? HNT crypto has been selling off in 2025 HNT USDT finds support at $1.77 Will HNT USDT rally 10X to over $10? Helium crypto to buy HNT and set up DAT The post Helium Crypto To Buy HNT Direct From Open Market: HNT USDT To 10X By December 2025? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Dogecoin 3rd Cycle Explosion: Analyst Revels The Only Difference From Last Two Cycles
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Dogecoin is once again in the spotlight after analyst ETHERNASYONAL shared a new post on X about the coin’s next move. In his post, he shows that Dogecoin is now in its 3rd market cycle, and the pattern looks a lot like what happened before the last two big rallies. He says Dogecoin is moving in the same rhythm as before, showing signs that it could be getting ready for another substantial rise. But this time, he points out one big difference, the timing. According to him, history doesn’t really repeat itself; it just continues in rhythm. The setup looks the same, but the next move might happen at a different pace. Analysts are now watching closely to see if this familiar pattern will lead to another big explosion in price. His chart shows Dogecoin slowly building strength again, much like it did before its earlier breakouts. ETHERNASYONAL Spots Familiar Pattern In Dogecoin’s 3rd Cycle In his post on X, ETHERNASYONAL shared a chart that shows Dogecoin entering what he calls its 3rd cycle. The chart compares the current market setup with the 1st and 2nd cycles, both of which ended in upward moves. The same kind of shape is forming again, a slow and steady climb that could lead to another sharp breakout. He explains that Dogecoin’s behavior does not copy the past in exact detail. Instead, it keeps the same rhythm. Each time the pattern builds, the market seems to prepare for a new run. The chart shows how in both past cycles, Dogecoin spent months moving in a tight range before a big surge started. The same look is now forming again. ETHERNASYONAL says this shows that Dogecoin is following a cyclical path. The rhythm stays the same, even if each cycle has its own pace The Only Difference Now Is Timing, Says Analyst While the setup looks almost the same as before, ETHERNASYONAL says that this time, the timing will be different. In his words, “History doesn’t repeat itself. It just continues its rhythm. This time, the difference will be timing.” He explains that the market may not move as fast as it did in past cycles, but it is still preparing for something big. His post on X says Dogecoin is preparing the 3rd cycle, meaning Dogecoin’s next phase is forming step by step. Traders should watch for when the market starts to show stronger signs of a breakout. According to him, the main thing to focus on now is not the chart’s shape, which already looks bullish — but how long this setup will take to play out. ETHERNASYONAL believes that timing is now the key factor that will decide how big Dogecoin’s next rally becomes. The same rhythm is there, and the structure remains strong. What changes now is when the move will happen. -
$3M In Stolen XRP Tracked — But Victim May Never See It Again: Investigator
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A US investor says he lost $3 million in XRP after hackers emptied his wallet, and blockchain tracking suggests the funds moved fast through shadowy over-the-counter networks tied to Southeast Asia. Funds Traced To OTC Networks According to blockchain sleuth ZachXBT, the stolen coins were first pooled into a single Tron address and then pushed through OTC services linked to an illicit marketplace known as Huione Guarantee. Reports have disclosed that Huione Guarantee is tied to a range of criminal activity, and that once funds enter those channels they are very hard to recover. The trace provides a clear record of movement on public ledgers, but it does not guarantee that law enforcement can follow the money to its final holders. Victim Says He Followed Best Practices Brandon LaRoque, the investor at the center of the case, told viewers that he had built his position over eight years and held about 1.2 million XRP. He posted a video this week explaining the loss, which has drawn wide attention online. “I thought I did all the things right,” he said, after describing how his Ellipal device turned out to be connected to the internet. The device maker, Ellipal, acknowledged that the seed phrase was imported into an app and said it was doing everything possible to help. Based on reports, the company suggested the theft followed a misuse of the seed rather than a flaw in a strictly offline product. A Human Cost LaRoque said he and his wife retired about a year ago and were planning to buy a house in Las Vegas. Now they say they may need to return to work. The loss is a stark example of how long-term small investors can be swept away by a single security lapse. The emotional impact is real. Many viewers on social platforms have offered help, but experts warn that public attention does not equal recovery. Experts Urge Caution On Recovery Firms According to ZachXBT, victims who want to pursue recovery must move quickly and seek competent private investigators, while avoiding predatory firms that promise guaranteed returns. Tracing on the blockchain can show where funds went next, and it can expose links to mixing services or OTC desks, but converting that trace into arrests or asset returns is complex. In the US, access to specialized crypto law enforcement is limited, which reduces the odds of successful recovery in many cross-border theft cases. Institutional Activity Rises As Retail Losses Persist Meanwhile, XRP has seen notable activity in regulated markets. Reports show more than 476,000 XRP futures contracts traded since May 2025, totaling $23.7 billion. Open interest has reached $1.4 billion, and the number of large institutional investors hit a record of 29. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView -
When Michael Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, now Strategy, started buying Bitcoin and building a Bitcoin Treasury from scratch, the first for a public company trading on the Nasdaq, many people thought he was going crazy. Yet, over five years after his first Bitcoin buy, not only is Strategy dominating Bitcoin news, but the public firm is neck-deep in money. While BTC USDT prices fell last week, the average price for each Bitcoin crypto under Strategy’s hold is $74,000. Of course, as long as the Bitcoin price stays above $74,000 and ideally $100,000, Strategy will continue floating in profits. According to Coingecko, each BTC in circulation is currently trading above $111,000, a refreshing bounce considering last week’s capitulation and fears. At some point, BTC USDT fell to as close as $102,000, just inches away from the mega support at $100,000. (Source: BTC USDT, TradingView) Even so, the Bitcoin price is now firm, and sentiment is improving. Will Strategy continue to accumulate and build up its BTC stash? DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Bitcoin News: Saylor and Michael Strategy Owns 2.5% of Bitcoin Supply According to BitcoinTreasuries, Strategy controls over 640,000 BTC, or roughly 2.5% of the total supply. It remains the world’s largest holder of Bitcoin, controlling over 2.5X the amount held by Satoshi Nakamoto. (Source: Bitcoin Treasuries) It is assumed that a significant portion of the 21M Bitcoin ever minted is lost. Some estimates place it at around +4%, while others think it is even larger. This loss effectively reduces the total supply to around 20.16M BTC. The problem is that there are doubts about whether this plan will work out. Reflecting on this pessimism is Microstrategy’s falling net asset value (NAV). MicroStrategy’s stock to Bitcoin NAV fell to 1.3X as of October 20, meaning the company’s shares are, historically, trading at a slight discount to its huge Bitcoin stash. (Source: SaylorTracker) For years and months, especially when Bitcoin and some of the top Solana meme coins are trending higher, MicroStrategy’s shares tend to trade at a premium, often over 2X of the Bitcoin NAV. Several factors could explain this drop. One is the contraction of Bitcoin and prices of some of the best cryptos to buy, and waning institutional optimism, possibly because of market saturation and availability of other crypto treasuries, including firms holding coins that can be staked for a passive yield on top of capital gains. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Bitcoin Price Above $111,000: Will The Rally Continue? However, if Bitcoin prices tick higher, surging above $115,000 as losses of October 10 are reversed, MicroStrategy’s NAV could float above one and begin trading at a premium. Analysts are confident that the BTC USDT price will shake off weakness and break above $130,000. Others think there is room for a breakout to new all-time highs of over $200,000, though the odds remain slim. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The local support is currently at $103,700, but if the Bitcoin price breaks $118,000, there could be more room for growth. Earlier, Cathie Wood of Ark Invest said BTC USD could reach $1.5M by 2030, a more than 10X from spot rates. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Bitcoin News: Saylor Holds 2.5% of All BTC, BTC USD Above $111,000 Bitcoin news: MicroStrategy controls over 2.5% of all BTC in supply Saylor and team own over 640,000 BTC MicroStrategy’s NAV is falling Will BTC USD soar to over $1.5M by 2030? The post Saylor Now Controls 2.5% Of BTC Supply: Latest Bitcoin News as BTC USD Price Surges For $110K Retest appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Coinbase Down? Now That Altcoins Are Back, Here Is a New 5X (Golden Cross Forms)
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Coinbase down, Canva down, and we’ve all learned that we’re at gunpoint from Amazon AWS. If that goes down, we’re all screwed. Lesson learned! Meanwhile, altcoins are making a comeback and the SEI Crypto (SEI/USDT) chart is flashing early bullish signals again. After weeks of quiet trading, the Layer-1 blockchain built for high-speed decentralized finance and Web3 apps may be coiling for its next move. Here’s why SEI is making moves: Coinbase Down? Technical Setup For SEI Crypto: Golden Cross Meets Tight Squeeze (Source: TradingView) According to CoinGecko, SEI’s chart is caught between pressure and potential. Resistance at $0.203-$0.204 has stalled every bounce so far, while tightening Bollinger Bands signals the calm before another move. With RSI drifting near 45, momentum is cooling but far from dead. A push above $0.203 could spark a quick rally to $0.25–$0.28, but a slip under $0.197 could collapse the price fast. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 (Source: X) Immediate support sits at $0.200, with significant backing at $0.197, where buyers absorbed every sell-off last week. Resistance remains firm at $0.203-$0.204, the ceiling short-term traders have repeatedly defended. Moreover, Bollinger Bands are tightening, a classic precursor to volatility expansion, while RSI hovers around 45, signaling cooling momentum but not capitulation. Singapore Becomes SEI’s Launchpad for the Next Crypto Cycle In a recent Blockcast interview at Token2049 Singapore, Jeff Feng, co-founder of Sei Labs, described the city as a “vital hub” for both development and expansion across Asia. “The density of talent in Singapore is unbelievable,” Feng said. “It’s the perfect base for building across China, Korea, and the broader APAC region.” Feng’s thesis for SEI is straightforward: the core use case of blockchain is trading digital assets, and whoever solves that problem best wins. According to him, SEI’s architecture borrows .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Ethereum ETH $4,043.23 1.97% Ethereum ETH Price $4,043.23 1.97% /24h Volume in 24h $31.07B Price 7d Learn more developer network effects and Solana’s hardware throughput. Guess we’ll see if that’s enough to grow it. Beyond DeFi: Gaming, Social, and the Next Asset Class SEI’s network is stretching past finance and trying to break into unproven Web3 sectors like gaming, social apps, even tokenized DNA. Additionally, the chain’s pending acquisition of a 23andMe business unit would let users trade and stake their own genetic data, turning personal biology into an on-chain asset. It’s a radical experiment in ownership. “The goal is to give power back to users who generated the data,” Feng said, calling it “the next wave of real adoption.” Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time DeFi Llama data shows total value locked (TVL) on SEI exceeding $469 Mn, making it one of 2025’s fastest-growing L1s. With a tightening Bollinger setup and institutional expansion in Asia, SEI may be positioning for an L1 rotation trade if altcoins regain momentum later this year. EXPLORE: SUI Crypto Beats BNB in Developer Growth but Dumps 30%: Price Prediction Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Coinbase down, Canva down, and we’re all learning that the internet is at gunpoint from Amazon AWS. If that goes down we’re all screwed. SEI may be positioning for an L1 rotation trade if altcoins regain momentum later this year. The post Coinbase Down? Now That Altcoins Are Back, Here Is a New 5X (Golden Cross Forms) appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Anglo American, Arc Minerals end Zambia copper venture
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Anglo American (LON: AAL) and junior partner Arc Minerals (LON: ARCMA) have ended their copper and cobalt exploration joint venture in Zambia by mutual agreement, marking the close of Anglo’s first new investment in the country in nearly 20 years. The partnership, launched in 2022, stalled after a year marked by no drilling activity. As part of the separation terms, about $800,000 will remain in the account of Handa Resources, which is the company holding Anglo’s interests. Anglo will relinquish its shares, and Arc will regain full control. Arc Minerals shares plunged on the news, dropping as much as 55% in early London trading before settling 48% lower at 0.55p. The stock is now down 58% in 2025, with a market capitalization of £8 million ($11 million). “While we are sorry to part company with Anglo American, I am pleased that we revert to a controlling position in what is widely regarded as one of the most prospective copper tenements in Africa with only a fraction having been drilled to date,” Arc Minerals executive chairperson Nick von Schirnding said. “We will explore our options for these assets, which may include a new JV partner”. Von Schirnding also addressed ongoing legal issues in Zambia, accusing an unnamed individual of attempting to “hold the company to ransom” and reaffirming Arc’s commitment to resolving the matter through the courts. Despite the setback, Arc Minerals stated that, with its current cash reserves and funds left in Handa, it does not expect to raise new equity in the near term to maintain operations. -
The GBP/USD pair began the new week with a moderate tone following last week's gains and is currently holding confidently above the key psychological level of 1.3400. At the same time, the mixed fundamental backdrop calls for caution among bullish traders. The U.S. dollar is struggling to build on its Friday rebound amid expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year. In addition, economic risks — linked to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown, ongoing global trade tensions, and signs of weakness in the U.S. economy — are forcing dollar bulls to adopt a defensive stance. Meanwhile, disappointing UK labor market data, published last week, have reinforced speculation that the Bank of England may continue its gradual rate-cutting cycle. Furthermore, concerns over the UK's fiscal situation, ahead of the important autumn budget announcement in November, are weighing on the British pound, and consequently, on the GBP/USD pair. This environment calls for caution among traders positioned for further pound strength, as well as readiness for potential volatility. From a technical standpoint, oscillators on the daily chart have not yet entered positive territory, suggesting traders should be careful when opening new long positions. However, on the 4-hour chart, oscillators are in positive territory, and prices are trading above both the 100-SMA and the 9-EMA, confirming a bullish outlook in the near term. On Monday, no significant economic publications are expected from either the UK or the U.S., leaving the GBP/USD pair mainly influenced by the dollar's overall market dynamics. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Overview: The foreign exchange market is quiet, and the US dollar is slightly softer against most of the G10 currencies, though the Australian and Canadian dollar are struggling. Most emerging market currencies are also firmer. The market seems optimistic that the US-China trade tensions can de-escalate with Beijing re-assigning Li Chenggang who apparently annoyed the US and was called out by US Treasury Secretary Bessent. China's Q3 GDP was broadly in line with expectations with a 1.1% quarterly advance that saw the first decline in non-property investment since the pandemic. Benchmark 10-year yields are mostly higher today. France was downgraded by S&P before the weekend and its 10-year yield is up 2-3 bp today, while the rest of the eurozone yields are half as much, including Italy, which was upgraded. The 10-year US Treasury yield is firmer but around 4.01% is still its trough. Equities are in rally-mode. A new alliance in Japan means that the LDP's Takaichi will be the next prime minister. The Nikkei rally nearly 3.4%. Mainland companies that trade in Hong Kong saw their shares jump 2.45%. Taiwan and South Korea indices rally 1.4%-1.7%. Europe's Stoxx 600, which lost nearly 1% before the weekend, is up nearly 0.65% in later morning turnover. US index futures are extending their pre-weekend gains. Gold stabilized. After dumping nearly 1.75% before the weekend, it is up about 0.25% to around $4262, having been up to $4275 earlier today. December WTI is little changed in about a $0.40 range on either side of $57. USD: The Dollar Index recovered from a push to almost 98.00 before the weekend to 98.55 and slightly above 98.65 today. The (50%) retracement of last week's losses is around 98.75. President Trump has made three demands as talks with China continue ahead of the 100% tariff he threatened ahead of the November 10 end of the current "trade truce". These include not using its rare earths leverage against the US, for Beijing to buy US soybeans, and to stop fentanyl. Meanwhile, the absence of government data continues to be felt, and especially now as Fed officials enter a communications blackout period ahead of next week's FOMC meeting. The market, judging by the pricing in the Fed funds futures, is confident of a rate cut and one more before the end of the year. Tomorrow, the Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing survey is due. Recall that its manufacturing survey jumped to 10.7 from -8.7. The highlight of the week is the September CPI. An exception had been made for its importance in setting the cost-of-living adjustments, including Social Security. The headline rate is expected to rise to 3.1% (from 2.9%). The last time the year-over-year rate fell was April. The core rate is expected to be steady at 3.1%. EURO: The euro was turned back from almost $1.1725, its best level in more than a week, before the weekend as US stocks stabilized and a few regional banks’ earnings were embraced by the market. It is pinned in a narrow range, a little less than a quarter of a cent below $1.1675 and holding (albeit barely) above last Friday's lows. Initial support may be in the $1.1630-40 area. EMU reported an11.9 bln euro current account surplus in August, the smallest since April 2023. It was 23.3 bln euros in August 2024. The year-to-date current account surplus is a little less than 200 bln euros. In the year-ago period, it was almost 295 bln euros. Even if one knew the direction of the current account balance would move, it would not have helped anticipate the euro's appreciation this year. The ECB expects the euro area's current account surplus to edge down to 2.4% of GDP this year from 2.7% in 2024. It forecasts a 2.5% surplus in 2026 and 2027. CNY: The dollar traded on both sides of Thursday's range against the offshore yuan ahead of the weekend but settled well within its range. The CNH7.12-CNH7.15 range was frayed a little at the ne end of the week on an intraday basis but still remained intact on a settlement basis. The greenback has been confined to a narrow range between about CNH7.1225-CNH7.1290 today. The PBOC set the dollar's reference rate lower in the last three sessions last week and Friday's was set at a new low for the year (CNY7.0949). Today's was set at CNY7.0973. Today is an important political and economic day in China. The Fourth Plenary Session of the Chinese Communist Party began. Discussions about the next five-year plan and personnel decisions are announced. It takes place with a backdrop of a reported purge of senior military officials and, of course, the elevated Sino-American trade tensions. In what seems to be a move meant to appease American critics, China has replaced Li Changgang, the international trade representative who Treasury Secretary Bessent called out and said was "unhinged". Coming out of the meetings, Xi may feel especially ready to meet President Trump on the sidelines of the upcoming APEC meeting that is held October 31-November 1. The highlight of the economic news is that China reported its economy grew by 1.1% in Q3 quarter-over-quarter for 4.8% year-over-year. The details were not inspiring. Retail sales slowed sequentially on both a year-over-year and year-to-date basis. Industrial output from 6.5% year-over-year (5.2% in August). New and used home prices continued to grind lower. Property investment and residential property sales continue to contract. Fixed asset investment fell by 0.5%, the first decline since the pandemic. JPY: The dollar was initially sold to a nine-day low near JPY149.40 before the weekend. It recovered to post new session highs near JPY150.60, aided, arguably, by the backing up of US interest rates. The dollar may have recorded a bullish hammer Japanese candlestick, and follow-through buying lifted it to JPY151.20 today before sellers reemerged and drove the greenback slightly through JPY150.30 in the European morning. Japan's LDP formed an alliance with Japan's Innovation Party (Ishin) and that assures that Takaichi Sanae will become the first woman prime minister. Ishin sought a temporary holiday for the sales tax on food, stricter rules on political fundings, and a smaller Diet. GBP: Sterling posted an outside day before the weekend but the close was little changed, ostensibly neutralizing the technical tone. Still, the price action looks mildly constructive, provided the $1.3380 area remains intact. Sterling stalled at the end of last week near $1.3470. The $1.3485-90 area capped sterling on October 3, and 6-7. It also holds the (50%) retracement of the sell-off since the Fed's cut on September 17. Sterling is in a narrow range of less than half-of-a-cent above $1.3400. With a light calendar today, the Gilt-sensitive government's budget balance tomorrow poses headline risk. The September CPI is due in the middle of the week and retail sales and the flash PMI at the end of the week. As this week begins, the market is pricing in around a 12% chance of a rate cut next week and about a 40% chance of a cut by the end of the year. The current base rate target is 4%. The implied rate in the swaps market for the middle of next year is almost 3.50%, the lowest since early August. CAD: The US dollar recorded an outside down day against the Canadian dollar before the weekend and fell below CAD1.4020 for the first time in four sessions. It made a marginal new five-day low today, slightly above CAD1.40, where options for almost $720 mln expire today. While the price action is encouraging, it may take a break of CAD1.3960 to boost confidence that a high is in place. The Bank of Canada's Q3 business survey will be released today. The markets typically do not respond much to it. This may be especially true now, ahead of tomorrow's CPI, and in market that leans slightly toward another rate cut despite the strong jobs report at the start of the month. By playing down the significance of the underlying core inflation readings and suggesting it is really lower, the central bank has signaled the inflation report will not stand in the way of its decision. AUD: Ahead of the weekend, the Australian dollar successfully tested last week's low (~$0.6640), which was the low since August 22. It recovered to poke above $0.6500 in the waning hours of last week's activity and saw $0.6515 earlier today. Options for about A$340 mln at $0.6500 expire today. It must overcome the $0.6535 to boost the technical tone. Despite trading below the October 10 low ($0.6475) in three sessions, it settled above it without fail last week. Australia's economic diary is practically non-existent until the preliminary PMI at the end of the week. Last week's disappointing jobs report and the heightened US-Chinese tensions the Australian dollar no favors. The futures market has a little more than 50% chance of a cut is discounted next month. It was slightly less than 33% at the end of September but reached 70% after the employment data. MXN: When it looked like a risk-off day before the weekend, the dollar rose to a three-day high against the Mexican peso, a little above MXN18.55. As the US equity market found firmer footing, risk appetites were rekindled, the dollar was sold to around MXN18.3650. It made a marginal new low today near XN18.3620. Last week’s low was recorded on October 16 near MXN18.3565. The US dollar's broad direction and risk-appetites may drive the peso in the first part the week. This week's data is concentrated on Wednesday (IGAE surveys) and Thursday (retail sales and first half of October CPI). Disclaimer
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Ethereum And Solana Flash ‘W Bottoms’: Bollinger Returns With Legendary Call
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John Bollinger, the inventor of Bollinger Bands and a figure whose occasional crypto market calls carry outsized weight, says Ethereum and Solana are tracing potential “W” bottoms—while Bitcoin is not. In a post on X on October 18, Bollinger wrote: “Potential ‘W’ bottoms in Bollinger Band terms in ETHUSD and SOLUSD, but not in BTCUSD. Gonna be time to pay attention soon I think.” Ethereum And Solana Price: What To Watch Now The emphasis on “Bollinger Band terms” is doing heavy lifting here. In classic Bollinger taxonomy, a W bottom is a two-trough reversal with the second low holding above the first, often accompanied by a volatility signature that includes a prior band expansion, subsequent contraction, and a failure to register a lower low at the bands on the second leg. The more robust versions see the second low forming inside the bands or with a positive divergence against the lower band, followed by a band “pinch” and a move through the middle band that transitions into an upper-band walk. Bollinger’s phrasing—“potential” and “time to pay attention”—signals that, in his framework, pattern recognition precedes confirmation, and that the validation trigger lies in subsequent price interaction with the middle and upper bands rather than in the raw shape of the price lows alone. The rarity of Bollinger’s crypto commentary layered urgency onto the signal. As crypto trader Satoshi Flipper (@SatoshiFlipper) stressed, “John Bollinger, creator of Bollinger Bands, makes barely 1 crypto call per year and hasn’t made one for ETH in 3 years until yesterday. And each call he makes goes on to mark generational bottoms. He just told us SOL + ETH have bottomed, now imagine fading this legend.” The same account detailed that Bollinger’s last notable Ethereum call dates to September 9, 2022, noting that ETH “went on to pump from $1,290 to $4,000.” That historical reference captures the prevailing market psychology: Bollinger’s infrequent, technically disciplined alerts are perceived by many traders as cycle-defining. Context from earlier this year also helps frame the setup. On April 10, Bollinger publicly flagged a similar structure in Bitcoin, saying: “Classic Bollinger Band W bottom setting up in BTCUSD. Still needs confirmation.” In the exact same week, BTC carved out a bottom at $74,508 and proceeded to log seven straight green weekly candles, advancing roughly 55%. From Bollinger’s call into the first week of October, BTC rallied more than 70%. The market nuance in Bollinger’s latest readout is the explicit exclusion of Bitcoin. If ETHUSD and SOLUSD are printing W-like structures in Bollinger terms while BTCUSD is not, it implies a temporary decoupling in volatility structure and relative strength. In practical terms, a non-confirming Bitcoin can either lag into a later confirmation, remain range-bound in a mid-band churn, or fail its own setup if lower-band interactions persist without recapture of the middle band. For Ethereum and Solana, confirmation would typically look like sustained closes above the 20-period moving average (the Bollinger middle band), followed by a disciplined advance that converts the upper band from resistance into a guide. A healthy W bottom sequence tends not to produce immediate, vertical band overthrows; rather, it builds a stair-step profile with periodic mid-band checks that hold. Failure would involve another lower-band excursion that undercuts the second trough or a volatility bloom that widens the bands without directional follow-through—both signatures of an incomplete base. At press time, ETH traded at $4,037.