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The crypto market continued to decline on Thursday and today, October 17, following renewed global uncertainty after former U.S. President Donald Trump’s comments about imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. The threat of trade disruption pushed investors toward defensive assets, weighing on both equities and digital currencies. With market sentiment sinking, traders are now questioning whether this correction could present the best crypto to buy opportunity before year-end. Total crypto market capitalization fell 4.67% to $3.61 trillion, while the CMC20 Index dropped 5.4%. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Bitcoin BTC $105,400.52 2.14% Bitcoin BTC Price $105,400.52 2.14% /24h Volume in 24h $73.97B Price 7d Learn more each declined between 7% and 9%. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to 28 (“Fear”), signaling weakened sentiment. The average crypto RSI of 35.88 also points to oversold conditions across major assets. EXPLORE: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Gold Extends Record Rally as Investors Shift to Safe-Haven Assets Gold prices continued their record-breaking climb for a fourth consecutive day on Thursday, October 16, as traders moved away from risk assets amid escalating U.S.–China trade tensions and growing fears of a U.S. government shutdown. Spot gold surged 3% to $4,380 per ounce. (Source: TradingView) Gold has now gained more than 60% in 2025, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, strong central bank demand, and a continued move toward de-dollarisation. Analysts attribute much of the rally to renewed safe-haven buying, with investors increasingly diversifying away from volatile equities and crypto assets. Meanwhile, Washington’s criticism of China’s rare-earth export restrictions and Trump’s plan for another summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin added to geopolitical uncertainty. The U.S. Federal Reserve is now widely expected to cut rates twice before year-end, with October and December probabilities at 98% and 95%, respectively. Reflecting the broad move into precious metals, silver rose 1.8% to US$54.04 per ounce, setting a new record at US$54.15, while platinum advanced 3.2% to US$1,706.65, and palladium jumped 4.6% to US$1,606.00. DISCOVER: Why Is Crypto Crashing? Did Robinhood Just Mark the End of the Cycle? ETF Outflows Raise Caution, Traders Ask: What’s the Best Crypto to Buy Now? On October 16, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs reported $536 million in net outflows, the largest single-day withdrawal since August. None of the twelve funds recorded inflows, while Grayscale’s GBTC and Fidelity’s FBTC led redemptions. Spot Ethereum ETFs saw $56.88 million in outflows, with BlackRock’s ETHA the only one to post a small inflow. (Source: Coinglass) Bitcoin is now testing key support near $104,000, a level that previously triggered $2.1 billion in liquidations. The ongoing correction reflects a combination of trade-related anxiety, institutional withdrawals, and derivatives pressure. While sentiment remains weak, analysts are watching whether ETF flows stabilize and if current prices could represent long-term accumulation zones. For investors assessing opportunities amid fear, upcoming sessions may help identify the best crypto to buy as market volatility settles. There are no live updates available yet. Please check back soon! The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, October 17 – After Trump’s Speech, Crypto Market Crashes Further: Gold Price Hits ATH, Bitcoin Falls to $104K, ETH Below $3.7K — Is This the Best Crypto to Buy Opportunity? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

While the U.S. dollar is actively losing ground against risk assets, the International Monetary Fund has stated that it sees significant risks to global growth due to renewed tensions between the United States and China. "If these risks materialize in the form of higher tariffs and disruptions to supply chains, global GDP growth could decrease by 0.3 percentage points," said Krishna Srinivasan, Director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, on Friday. According to the IMF, this geopolitical factor, paired with domestic economic problems in several countries, is putting pressure on global supply chains, undermining business confidence, and increasing uncertainty about future trade flows. The IMF warns that escalation of the conflict could lead to a significant slowdown in global trade, reduced investment, and weaker consumer demand. Under these conditions, investors are advised to exercise caution and diversify their assets, taking into account potential risks associated with geopolitical instability and economic turbulence. Alternative asset classes, such as gold and real estate, may serve as protection against inflation and currency fluctuations. It should be recalled that after several months of fragile stability in U.S.–China relations, tensions have flared up again in recent weeks. Problems began when Washington expanded technological restrictions and proposed imposing tariffs on Chinese ships entering U.S. ports. China responded with similar actions, suggesting tighter controls on the export of rare earth metals and other critical minerals. Many market participants are closely monitoring the renewed trade tensions between the world's two largest economies. This week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent criticized a senior Chinese trade official, accusing him of arriving in Washington uninvited and behaving inappropriately. The IMF expects Asia's economic growth to slow to 4.5% this year, compared with 4.6% in 2024, which is still 0.6 percentage points higher than the April forecast. Growth is projected to continue decelerating to 4.1% next year. Srinivasan highlighted three factors supporting Asia's growth: strong exports, a technology boom, and looser macroeconomic policy supported by favorable financial conditions. However, he warned that risks to the outlook remain tilted to the downside, noting that the impact of tariffs is still being felt and could intensify—along with risk premiums and interest rates—especially if uncertainty in trade policy or geopolitical tensions increase. For now, however, it is the U.S. dollar that is bearing the brunt, actively losing ground against risk assets throughout the week. As for the current technical picture of EUR/USD, buyers now need to reclaim the 1.1725 level; only this would allow them to target a test of 1.1750. From there, the pair could climb to 1.1780, although doing so without support from major players would be rather difficult. The ultimate target would be the 1.1820 high. In the event of a decline in the trading instrument, I expect significant buyer activity only around 1.1680. If no one steps in there, it would be prudent to wait for a renewal of the 1.1645 low or consider opening long positions from 1.1610. As for the current technical picture of GBP/USD, pound buyers need to break through the nearest resistance at 1.3465. Only then could they aim for 1.3490, above which it will be quite difficult to advance. The ultimate target would be around 1.3525. In the event of a decline, bears will try to regain control around 1.3410. If they succeed, a breakout of that range will deal a serious blow to the bulls' positions and push GBP/USD down to 1.3370, with a potential move toward 1.3333. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

BitMine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, has shared his perspective on the recent surge of crypto-focused treasury companies and the future of this multi-billion-dollar trend. Crypto DATs Bubble Already Burst On Thursday, BitMine’s Chairman Thomas “Tom” Lee joined Fortune’s Crypto Playbook Podcast to discuss the surge of Digital Assets Treasury (DAT) companies and why he thinks the bubble surrounding these vehicles may have already burst. Discussing the need for this alternative type to get exposure to crypto assets, Lee argued that DATS “are not just passive vehicles,” and properly executed companies will get capital and be supported by investors. He noted that companies like Strategy and BitMine, the two largest crypto treasuries in the world, both see several billion dollars of daily trading volume, adding that “the two companies combined are 86% of all trading volume for the DATs.” Lee was also asked about the argument that the trend is creating a potential bubble. Fortune’s senior crypto analysts questioned whether the bubble might burst and have a negative impact now that there are hundreds of DATs in the market. He affirmed that the bubble has likely already burst, at least to some capacity, and argued that around 80% of these firms are trading below the net value of their underlying assets. “If that’s not already a bubble burst (…), how would that bubble burst?” Nonetheless, BitMine’s chair explained that instead of questioning if a bubble has burst, he prefers asking if the market has become discerning, which he thinks it already has. BitMine, Not ‘Just’ A DAT? Lee argued that, while other crypto treasuries have not been creators of shareholder value, BitMine is “not just a DAT,” but also the largest holder of Ethereum (ETH) in the world. Notably, BitMine is a Bitcoin and Ethereum Network Company with a focus on accumulating crypto for long-term investment. The company aims to own 5% of Ethereum’s total supply, currently holding 3.03 million ETH tokens, or over 2.5% of the total supply. According to Lee, this gives BitMine multiple roles, including providing a significant amount of security to the Ethereum network. Based on these roles, he considers the company is “essentially a liaison between how Wall Street views future upgrades to Ethereum, to the community.” “So we’re not just a DAT. We’re becoming, you know, one of the important voices within Ethereum, and that really was our goal. You know, that’s why, when BitMine was created,” he said. Adding to his argument, Lee has previously asserted that the company is confident that the two “Supercycle investing narratives remain AI and crypto,” which will “play out over decades.” As a result, he considers that “Ethereum remains the premier choice given its high reliability and 100% uptime.” During the Podcast, BitMine’s chairman reaffirmed this stance, stating: “The tokenization of everything else, (…), is in the quadrillions. You know, especially as AI moves towards micro payments, which need to happen on the blockchain. That to me is a bigger opportunity, and (…) Ethereum is where a lot of this is going to be built. (…) So to me, there’s still an exponential opportunity in owning ETH over Bitcoin,” Lee concluded.

Tensions between the U.S. and China remain unresolved. "If we don't get a deal, there will be a trade war," said Donald Trump. And if it weren't for a 100% tariff, he added, "America would be treated like a doormat." The president, as usual, made his statements after market close—but even without aggressive rhetoric like this, the S&P 500 had enough reasons to turn lower. Any financial system relies not only on its largest players. While major institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America posted strong corporate earnings, mid-sized and smaller banks disappointed. Several regional institutions revealed issues with fraudulent lending activity, reawakening investor fears of bad loan losses and raising new questions about broader economic stability. To make matters worse, disappointing earnings from insurance companies triggered the sharpest two-day sector decline since April's Patriot Day selloff. Insurance Industry Index Performance The combined weakness in banking and insurance is signaling signs of a broader economic cooling. However, those signals remain difficult to confirm, as the U.S. government remains partially shut down. As a result, the Federal Reserve is essentially flying blind in its current cycle of monetary expansion. Even the most dovish members of the FOMC are beginning to call for caution. FOMC member Christopher Waller emphasized this concern, noting that after a federal funds rate cut in October, the central bank should think twice—maybe seven times—before making the next move. Waller pointed out the disconnect between strong economic growth and a softening labor market, a combination that "shouldn't coexist." He highlighted that either GDP will have to slow soon, or employment will pick up. The Fed, he stated, "must remain vigilant and be data dependent." But therein lies the fundamental problem: the necessary data isn't available. This is the ironic twist. While Donald Trump demands aggressive rate cuts, the Fed cannot proceed with further easing without hard labor market data to fully support such a decision. On the other hand, any signs of labor market recovery would altogether kill the case for another rate cut in December. The Fed finds itself in limbo—and markets can no longer rely on aggressive monetary stimulus in the near term. This undermines the S&P 500's ability to push higher. Add in persistent trade war uncertainty, and the result is understandable investor anxiety. Until the outcome of the latest round of negotiations between Washington and Beijing becomes clear, expect continued nervousness. Uncertainty is elevating volatility levels, and the recent VIX fear index rally is likely to result in either further correction or consolidation in the broader stock market. On the daily chart, the S&P 500 is clearly shifting from a trending phase to range-bound trading. As previously anticipated, the bulls' inability to sustain gains above the 6725 level is a sign of weakening buying power and a cue for sellers. A drop below the 6590 and 6570 support areas would open the door for further short positions and deepen the market correction. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Texas’s battle with Bulgaria is more than a headline; it’s a flashpoint in the evolving world of stablecoin crypto diplomacy. When Tether froze $44.7M in SDT at the behest of Bulgarian police, alleging illicit activity, Riverstone Consultancy (a Texas-based firm) responded with a U.S. lawsuit claiming procedural violation and loss of opportunities. The case puts stablecoin issuers, law enforcement, and cross-border jurisdictions into direct conflict, and it could reshape how global stablecoin freezes are handled going forward. What Triggered the Texas vs Bulgaria $44.7M Stablecoin Crypto Battle? The dispute began in April 2025, when Tether froze $44.7M USDT from eight wallets controlled by Riverstone, acting on a Bulgarian police request. Riverstone claims the freeze was improper and lacked sufficient legal basis under bilateral treaties, alleging Tether failed to validate the request through Bulgarian judicial authorities. If courts side with Riverstone, it could chill futures freezes, empower users to litigate asset access, and force stablecoin issuers to build better transparency around freeze protocols. This Texas vs Bulgaria crypto battle may mark a shift in how stablecoins, law, and sovereignty intersect – potentially turning “crypto freezes” into a regular diplomatic tool. DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Texas sues Tether over the Bulgarian police department asking to freeze $44.7M Is stablecoin crypto diplomacy going to change? The post Texas Firm Battles Bulgarian Police Over $44M USDT Freeze: Are Stablecoin Geopolitics the Next Frontier of Diplomacy? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Yesterday, US stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.45%. The industrial Dow Jones dropped by 0.55%. Indices continued to weaken as investors shifted toward safety in government bonds after shares of US regional banks fell amid concerns over lending standards. Gold is on track for a ninth consecutive week of gains. Futures on US stock indices dropped by 0.7%, pointing to further weakness after Thursday's regular session decline. Regional bank stocks came under pressure following the fallout from subprime auto lender Tricolor Holdings, which rippled beyond Wall Street. European indices also indicate a softer open. While investors sought safe havens, gold and silver reached new all-time highs, driven by mounting concerns over US creditworthiness and simmering trade tensions between the US and China. Treasuries continued their rally, with the two-year yield falling to its lowest level since 2022 and ten-year yields dipping below 4%. The US dollar index weakened, while the yen strengthened beyond the 150 mark against the greenback. The Swiss franc also appreciated. These moves underscore growing concerns around the US credit market and reflect the heightened nervousness prevailing on Wall Street. This adds to a list of investor worries, including the possibility of a US government shutdown, fears of an AI-driven bubble, and renewed US-China trade tensions. However, many analysts believe the current banking shock in the US is more closely tied to market sentiment and liquidity issues than to a systemic credit failure. While fundamentals remain sound, fear continues to dominate. Indices in Hong Kong and mainland China fell by more than 1.5% as US-China tensions weighed on sentiment. Hong Kong tech stocks slid by 3.1%, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. shares in Taipei fell by 2.4%. According to Morgan Stanley, rising US-China tensions are once again having a negative impact on equities, and the sell-off in Asia and emerging markets may exceed expectations, given their elevated valuations. Oil prices turned lower again, as investor focus shifted toward oversupply concerns and the repercussions of renewed US-China trade tension. Brent crude approached $61 per barrel following Trump's statement regarding a second meeting with Putin, raising the likelihood that increased output from OPEC+ could worsen the global supply glut. As for the technical picture of the S&P 500, the primary objective for buyers today will be to break through the nearest resistance level of $6,590. This would support upside momentum and open the way toward the next level at $6,603. No less of a priority for bulls will be maintaining control above the $6,616 mark, which would strengthen buyer positioning. In the event of a downward move amid declining risk appetite, buyers must assert themselves around the $6,577 area. A break below this level would quickly push the instrument back to $6,563 and open the path toward $6,552. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

An analyst has pointed out how Dogecoin could see a strong surge if the support level of this technical analysis (TA) pattern holds. Dogecoin Is Retesting The Support Line Of An Ascending Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a pattern forming in Dogecoin’s 12-hour price chart. The pattern in question is an Ascending Channel from TA, a type of Parallel Channel. Parallel Channels form whenever an asset’s price observes consolidation between two parallel trendlines. The upper line of the pattern provides resistance, while the lower one acts as support. When these trendlines are sloped upward, the Parallel Channel is known as an Ascending Channel. As the asset moves through this channel, its price observes some net growth. Either trendline not holding up can naturally result in a breakout in that direction. This means that a surge above the channel can be a bullish signal, while a drop under it a bearish one. Like the Ascending Channel, there is also a Parallel Channel known as the Descending Channel, emerging when the price witnesses net consolidation to a downside. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the Ascending Channel that the 12-hour price of Dogecoin has been moving inside for the past few months: As displayed in the above graph, Dogecoin retested the upper level of the Ascending Channel in September and it ended up finding rejection. Since then, the memecoin has plummeted back toward the lower level situated around $0.19. “$0.19 is mission-critical for DOGE,” noted the analyst. As mentioned before, breakdown of an Ascending Channel support level can signal a bearish continuation. In the event that the support level does end up holding, Dogecoin could see a rebound. Martinez has said that the next stop for the memecoin in this scenario could be $0.33, corresponding to the resistance level of the Ascending Channel. It now remains to be seen how the DOGE price will develop in the coming days. Earlier, the analyst also shared a chart for another altcoin trading inside a Parallel Channel: XRP. In this case, the 12-hour price of the cryptocurrency is following a Parallel Channel with trendlines parallel to the time-axis. From the graph, it’s visible that XRP has been plunging inside the channel recently and could be heading toward a retest of the lower level, which is situated at $2. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is floating around $0.187, down 24% in the last seven days.

Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to lose ground. It now appears likely that the scenario involving a move down to $106,000 for Bitcoin will play out in the coming days. All focus is now on this level. A breakout below $106,000 could lead to a decline toward the $100,000 area—a critical test for the long-term bullish trend. Ethereum has fallen below the $4,000 mark and could easily retreat to $3,500. Meanwhile, Florida has withdrawn two state-level bills aimed at creating a strategic BTC reserve. With this, Florida joins other states such as Wyoming, Pennsylvania, and Oklahoma, where similar initiatives related to Bitcoin investment failed to pass legislative approval. The reasons behind Florida's decision remain disputed. Some experts point to the inherent volatility in the crypto market, making such investments too risky for public funds. Others believe lawmakers failed to agree on the required legal framework for managing and securing digital assets. Despite Florida's move, crypto advocates continue to actively promote the creation of state-level BTC reserves, arguing that such reserves would diversify portfolios, hedge against inflation, and demonstrate a commitment to innovation. Regarding intraday strategy, the focus remains on major dips in Bitcoin and Ethereum with the view that the medium-term bullish trend is still intact. Below are scenarios for short-term trading: BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I will buy Bitcoin today upon reaching an entry point near $108,800, targeting a rise to $110,100. Around the $110,100 level, I will exit long trades and open short positions on the rebound. Before buying a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in positive territory. Scenario 2: I will also consider buying Bitcoin from the lower boundary at $108,100, provided there is no bearish market reaction to a breakout below this level. The targets will be $108,800 and $110,100. Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I will sell Bitcoin upon reaching the $108,100 level, targeting a decline to $107,000. Around $107,000, I will exit shorts and consider buying on a bounce. Before selling the breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in negative territory. Scenario 2: I will also consider selling Bitcoin from the upper boundary at $108,800, provided there is no bullish reaction to the breakout. The downside targets will be $108,100 and $107,000. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I will buy Ethereum at the entry zone around $3,922 with an upward target at $3,988. At $3,988, I'll exit the long trade and look to sell on a rebound. Before entering a breakout buy, verify that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is positive. Scenario 2: Buying is also possible from the lower range at $3,877, provided no market reaction confirms a bearish breakout. The targets will be $3,922 and $3,988. Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I will sell Ethereum at an entry point near $3,877, aiming for a decline to $3,809. At $3,809, I'll exit short positions and consider buying on a rebound. Before selling, confirm that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the negative zone. Scenario 2: I will also consider selling from the upper level of $3,922 if no bullish reaction confirms a breakout. Downside targets: $3,877 and $3,809. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[Litecoin] – [Friday, October 17, 2025] With all technical conditions supporting weakness in the Litecoin cryptocurrency, today #LTC has the potential to move lower. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.53 2. Resistance. 1 : 94.82 3. Pivot : 92.19 4. Support. 1 : 87.48 5. Support. 2 : 84.85 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If 87.48 is broken and closes below, this cryptocurrency is likely to test the 84.85 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 84.85 is reached, Litecoin has the opportunity to move further down to test 80.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias reverses if Litecoin suddenly strengthens and reaches 99.53. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 93.07 EMA(200): 96.54 RSI(14) : 48.66 + Hidden Bearish Divergent Economic News Release Agenda: There are no economic data releases from the United States tonight. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[Ripple] – [Monday, October 1, 2025] Seeing the two EMAs intersecting the Death Cross has given an indication that Ripple has the potential to weaken today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 2.5295 2. Resistance. 1 : 2.4118 3. Pivot : 2.3481 4. Support. 1 : 2.2304 5. Support. 2 : 2.1667 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 2.2304, Ripple has the potential to move toward 2.1667. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.1667 is breached and closes below, this cryptocurrency is likely to test 2.0490. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is held as long as Ripple does not strengthen and break above 2.5295. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 2.3748 EMA(200): 2.4606 RSI(14) : 50.95 Economic News Release Agenda: There are no economic data releases from the United States tonight. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The U.S. dollar continues to lose ground against a range of risk-sensitive assets, and this comes as no surprise. Yesterday, Federal Reserve officials once again delivered coordinated messages, preparing the market for upcoming interest rate cuts. It's clear that lowering rates would be a logical step in response to slowing global growth and persistent uncertainty surrounding international trade relations among major powers. The Fed's goal is to stimulate investment, boost consumer demand, and support the U.S. labor market. Further growth of the euro remains in question as markets await eurozone inflation data. Economists expect a modest increase in consumer prices. If inflation holds around 2.2%, it would likely satisfy the European Central Bank for now. However, a higher-than-expected reading could signal the need for the ECB to maintain its tight policy stance, which would lend support to the euro. Additionally, a speech from Joachim Nagel, President of the Bundesbank, could influence euro dynamics. His comments regarding inflation expectations, economic growth, and future ECB policy actions will be closely watched by the market. As for the pound, no economic reports are scheduled for the U.K. today. Only speeches from MPC member Huw Pill and Financial Policy Committee member Sarah Breeden are expected. The market will pay close attention to their remarks, especially regarding the central bank's future monetary policy direction. Investors hope to gain insight into how the Bank of England assesses current inflation trends, weak economic growth, and the labor market, as well as what steps might be taken to return inflation to the 2% target. If the data meets economists' expectations, the suggested approach is to use the Mean Reversion strategy. If the data deviates significantly—either positively or negatively—the Momentum strategy is more appropriate. Momentum Strategy (Breakout Trading)EUR/USD Buy breakout above 1.1715, targeting 1.1746 and 1.1777 Sell breakout below 1.1700, targeting 1.1675 and 1.1644 GBP/USD Buy breakout above 1.3465, targeting 1.3490 and 1.3515 Sell breakout below 1.3435, targeting 1.3400 and 1.3371 USD/JPY Buy breakout above 150.10, targeting 150.35 and 150.63 Sell breakout below 149.80, targeting 149.50 and 149.20 Mean Reversion Strategy (Reversal) EUR/USD Look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.1718 on a return below this level Look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.1695 on a return above this level GBP/USD Look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.3461 on a return below this level Look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.3431 on a return above this level AUD/USD Look to sell after a failed breakout above 0.6498 on a return below this level Look to buy after a failed breakout below 0.6456 on a return above this level USD/CAD Look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.4052 on a return below this level Look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.4033 on a return above this level The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.06 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in oversold territory, which triggered Buy Scenario No. 2; however, the pair ultimately failed to rise from that level. The Japanese yen continues to show stable strength. However, the decline in the USD/JPY pair is due more to weakness in the U.S. dollar than to inherent strength in the yen. The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, and during periods of global economic instability—such as that caused by the ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions—demand for the yen tends to rise. That said, in the current situation, expectations of a dovish shift in Federal Reserve policy hold a more powerful influence over USD/JPY dynamics. Fundamentally, Japan's economic data offers mixed signals. While exports remain relatively resilient, domestic demand remains weak. Under such conditions, the Bank of Japan is unlikely to adopt a hawkish stance or tighten monetary policy in the near future. As for today's intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on executing Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy ScenariosScenario No. 1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today if the price reaches the entry point near 150.06, targeting a rise to 150.47. Around the 150.47 level, I plan to exit the long position and open a short trade in the opposite direction, targeting a move of 30–35 pips down from that level. Buying the pair is most effective after corrections or significant pullbacks. Note: Before entering a buy trade, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to turn upward. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pair if there are two consecutive tests of the 149.78 level while the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This would limit bearish potential and hint at a potential reversal upward. In that case, growth toward the 150.06 and 150.47 levels can be expected. Sell ScenariosScenario No. 1: I plan to sell USD/JPY only after a confirmed breakdown below the 149.78 level, which could lead to a swift decline. The primary target for sellers in this case is the 149.30 level. I plan to exit short positions there and immediately open long positions on a rebound, targeting a 20–25 pip recovery. It is preferable to sell from as high a level as possible. Note: Before entering a sell trade, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline. Scenario No. 2: I will also consider a sell position if the 150.06 level is tested twice consecutively while the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This would limit the pair's upward potential and likely cause a reversal downward. A drop toward 149.78 and then 149.30 is expected in that case. What the Chart Shows:Thin green line: the entry price for opening long (buy) positionsThick green line: the anticipated price level where Take Profit can be set, or profit manually fixed, as further growth above this level is unlikelyThin red line: the entry price for opening short (sell) positionsThick red line: the anticipated level where Take Profit can be set, or profit manually fixed, as further decline below this area is improbableMACD Indicator: zone-based entry logic using overbought and oversold areasImportant Note for Beginners:Beginner traders in the Forex market must be especially cautious when entering trades. It is best to stay out of the market during the release of important economic reports to avoid getting caught in sharp and unpredictable price swings. If you choose to trade around news announcements, always place stop-loss orders to manage risk. Without a stop-loss, your entire account could be wiped out quickly—especially if you ignore money management principles and trade with oversized positions. And remember: for successful trading, a clear plan—such as the one presented above—is essential. Spontaneous decision-making based on market noise is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3419 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound continues to show steady growth. However, this rise is more a consequence of U.S. dollar weakness than pound strength. The dollar is under significant pressure due to the Federal Reserve's rhetoric. Dovish remarks from Fed officials suggest further interest rate cuts, which negatively affect the dollar's position. There are no major economic releases scheduled for the U.K. today, so market attention will be focused on speeches from Huw Pill, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, and Sarah Breeden from the Bank's Financial Policy Committee. Market participants will listen closely, especially regarding the future course of the BoE's monetary policy. Given the overall hawkish tone from other BoE officials recently, Breeden and Pill may also adopt a restrictive stance, supporting the pound. Their comments might shed light on internal divisions within the MPC and help shape a more defined outlook on future interest rate changes. Signals related to the Bank's strategy for achieving its 2% inflation target will also carry weight. As for the intraday strategy, I will rely primarily on the execution of scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy ScenariosScenario No. 1: I plan to buy the pound at the entry point near 1.3467 (thin green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.3514 (thick green line). Around 1.3514, I plan to exit long trades and open short positions on a pullback, expecting a 30–35 pip retracement. Long trades should be considered only after hawkish commentary from Bank of England officials. Note: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pound following two consecutive tests of the 1.3442 level, provided the MACD indicator is located in the oversold zone. This would limit downside pressure and indicate a potential upward reversal. A rise toward 1.3467 and 1.3514 can be expected. Sell ScenariosScenario No. 1: I plan to sell the pound if the 1.3442 level (thin red line) is broken, which could lead to a swift move down. My exit target is 1.3407 (thick red line), where I will close the short position and open a long trade on the rebound, expecting a 20–25 pip upward move. Sellers are expected to act cautiously. Note: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning its downward move. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3467 level while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This setup would signal that the pair's upside potential is limited and could lead to a downward reversal. A decline toward 1.3442 and then 1.3407 is expected. What the Chart Shows:Thin green line: the entry price for opening long (buy) positionsThick green line: the anticipated price level where Take Profit can be set, or profit manually fixed, as further growth above this level is unlikelyThin red line: the entry price for opening short (sell) positionsThick red line: the anticipated level where Take Profit can be set, or profit manually fixed, as further decline below this area is improbableMACD Indicator: zone-based entry logic using overbought and oversold areasImportant Note for Beginners:Beginner traders in the Forex market must be especially cautious when entering trades. It is best to stay out of the market during the release of important economic reports to avoid getting caught in sharp and unpredictable price swings. If you choose to trade around news announcements, always place stop-loss orders to manage risk. Without a stop-loss, your entire account could be wiped out quickly—especially if you ignore money management principles and trade with oversized positions. And remember: for successful trading, a clear plan—such as the one presented above—is essential. Spontaneous decision-making based on market noise is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the 1.1666 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already climbed significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not open long positions on the euro. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve officials confirmed market expectations of a key rate cut at the end of the month. Most analysts agree that such a move by the Fed is justified against the backdrop of slowing economic growth and continued labor market weakness. Today's upward momentum in the euro may face resistance due to the release of eurozone inflation data. Forecasts suggest the annual inflation rate will remain at around 2.0%, matching ECB expectations. If inflation rises too quickly, it may signal the need for the ECB to maintain its restrictive stance, which would support the euro's value. The euro will also be influenced by a speech from Joachim Nagel, President of the Bundesbank. His commentary on inflation expectations, economic growth prospects, and the ECB's policy outlook will be closely analyzed by market participants. A hawkish tone emphasizing strict inflation control could strengthen the euro. Conversely, unexpectedly low inflation figures or dovish remarks from Nagel may reduce market interest in the euro. As for intraday trading, I will mainly rely on the execution of scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy ScenariosScenario No. 1: I plan to buy the euro today if the price reaches the 1.1727 level (thin green line on the chart), targeting a rise toward 1.1758. Around 1.1758 (thick green line), I plan to exit long positions and possibly open a short position on the pullback, expecting a 30–35 pip move in the opposite direction. Buying is recommended only if the economic data is favorable. Note: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the euro in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.1703 level, provided that the MACD indicator is located in the oversold zone. This would limit the downside potential and could trigger an upward reversal. In this case, a move toward 1.1727 and 1.1758 can be expected. Sell ScenariosScenario No. 1: I plan to sell the euro upon reaching the 1.1703 level (thin red line on the chart), targeting a decline toward 1.1666 (thick red line). I plan to exit the position there and open a long position on the rebound, aiming for a 20–25 pip reverse move. Selling would be justified in response to dovish comments from Nagel. Note: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting its descent. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the euro if 1.1727 is tested twice while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This would limit the upward potential and could lead to a reversal to the downside. A decline toward 1.1703 and 1.1666 is likely in this case. What the Chart Shows:Thin green line: the entry price for opening long (buy) positionsThick green line: the anticipated price level where Take Profit can be set, or profit manually fixed, as further growth above this level is unlikelyThin red line: the entry price for opening short (sell) positionsThick red line: the anticipated level where Take Profit can be set, or profit manually fixed, as further decline below this area is improbableMACD Indicator: zone-based entry logic using overbought and oversold areasImportant Note for Beginners:Beginner traders in the Forex market must be especially cautious when entering trades. It is best to stay out of the market during the release of important economic reports to avoid getting caught in sharp and unpredictable price swings. If you choose to trade around news announcements, always place stop-loss orders to manage risk. Without a stop-loss, your entire account could be wiped out quickly—especially if you ignore money management principles and trade with oversized positions. And remember: for successful trading, a clear plan—such as the one presented above—is essential. Spontaneous decision-making based on market noise is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Ethereum (ETH) may be nearing the end of its price correction, as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap continues to trade slightly above $4,000, following a strong sell-off last week when it almost crashed to $3,400. Ethereum Price Correction May Be Over According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum funding rates on Binance crypto exchange have remained positive, despite being in a narrow range. This shows that long positions on ETH still dominate the market. ETH funding rates fluctuating normally on Binance – despite the digital asset’s recent extraordinary price appreciation – implies that futures traders are not exhibiting greed or euphoria, typically associated with the mid-phase of a healthy uptrend. For example, during the 2021-22 bull cycle, ETH funding rates often surged to 0.1% to 0.2%, aligning with local market tops. At present, these funding rates are hovering around 0.01% to 0.03%, implying that the market has not reached overheated levels just yet. In addition, the absence of negative funding rates confirms a decline in short positioning, and elevated risk appetite among investors. The CryptoQuant analyst added: The overall trend remains upward. Low funding rates combined with strong price momentum suggest that the correction is likely complete. In the short term, minor profit-taking or sideways consolidation between $3,600–$3,800 would be natural. If funding rates gradually rise above 0.05%, it could signal overcrowded longs and trigger a short term pullback. The current combination of moderate levels of leverage and gradually rising spot demand hints toward a potential ETH rally, eyeing the $4,500 to $5,000 range in the long term. The price target could be even higher with a favorable derivatives structure and funding dynamics. That said, a sharp increase in funding rates could be seen as an early warning of another price pullback for the cryptocurrency. However, ETH’s market structure still supports a potential surge to $6,800 by the end of 2025, the analyst concluded. ETH Ready For New Highs? Several indicators point toward ETH looking to resume its bullish momentum. For instance, ETH’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) trend recently hinted toward the digital asset rising to $5,000 in the near term. Further, ETH exchange reserves continue to tumble at a rapid pace. Recent exchange data shows that ETH reserves on exchanges have hit a multi-year low, raising the possibility of an impending “supply crunch” for the cryptocurrency. That said, there are several other factors that may fuel another sell-off in ETH, pushing its price again below $4,000. At press time, ETH trades at $4,053, up 0.2% in the past 24 hours.

BNB price is consolidating losses below the $1,200 zone. The price is now facing hurdles near $1,250 and might start another decline in the near term. BNB price is correcting gains and traded below the $1,200 support zone. The price is now trading below $1,180 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,180 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $1,120 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Dips Below Support After a steady increase, BNB price failed to clear the $1,375 zone. There was a downside correction below the $1,300 and $1,250 levels, like Ethereum and Bitcoin. The price even dipped below $1,200 and tested $1,125. A low was formed at $1,124, and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,375 swing high to the $1,124 low. The price is now trading below $1,180 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,180 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $1,180 level. The next resistance sits near the $1,200 level. A clear move above the $1,200 zone could send the price higher. In the stated case, BNB price could test $1,250 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,375 swing high to the $1,124 low. A close above the $1,250 resistance might set the pace for a larger move toward the $1,320 resistance. Any more gains might call for a test of the $1,350 level in the near term. Another Decline? If BNB fails to clear the $1,200 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,125 level. The next major support is near the $1,100 level. The main support sits at $1,065. If there is a downside break below the $1,065 support, the price could drop toward the $1,000 support. Any more losses could initiate a larger decline toward the $950 level. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for BNB/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BNB/USD is currently below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1,120 and $1,100. Major Resistance Levels – $1,200 and $1,250.

A Coinbase-linked wallet sent 140,033,123 Shiba Inu tokens to a burn address on October 15, removing those coins from circulation in a single on-chain move. According to records published by community burn tracker Shibburn, the wallet that carried out the transfer was newly created and had only that one visible SHIB transaction. Etherscan data shows the address was funded by a wallet tied to Coinbase, and it currently holds 0.002 ETH, worth roughly $9. Largest Single Burn In Months The 140 million SHIB moved on Wednesday stands out as the largest one-off burn in nearly three months. Reports show the last big single send happened on July 28, when an anonymous actor destroyed 600 million SHIB. Since that July event, most individual burns stayed below 100 million until this Coinbase-linked transfer. Daily Burn Rate Jumps Based on reports from Shibburn, nine transactions that day totaled about 140 million SHIB destroyed, pushing the daily burn figure up by 222%. The tracker’s data also records a cumulative 410 trillion SHIB that have been sent to dead addresses over time. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin’s past transfers of around 410 trillion SHIB to a burn contract remain the largest single move toward deflation on record. Supply Still Vast Shiba Inu’s total supply remains enormous at roughly 589 trillion tokens. That scale means even large-sounding burns have only a tiny impact on the overall available supply. Market watchers point out that unless burn activity becomes sustained and much larger in scale, the supply math will not shift meaningfully. Wallet Details And Transparency Etherscan shows the burner address executed only that one outgoing SHIB transfer and nothing else. The funding trace to a Coinbase-associated wallet suggests a user on the exchange initiated the action, but the identity behind the address has not been disclosed. The post-burn balance for SHIB is zero, and the tiny ETH holding left behind makes the move appear deliberate and final. Price Action And Technical Levels Even after the large token send to the burn address, SHIB barely moved — it was trading around $0.00001049 when the burn happened, and it slipped only 0.15% over the prior 24 hours. The bigger picture hasn’t changed: roughly 589 trillion SHIB remain in circulation, so even headline-grabbing burns make only a tiny dent. This latest action is part of a string of deflation efforts, including Shibarium Layer-2 burns handled through Bone ShibaSwap, which together have removed billions of SHIB from circulation. Market Impact Remains Limited This event looks significant in headline terms but small when compared with the huge SHIB supply. The transfer adds to an ongoing narrative of community-led burns that keep holders engaged, yet it is unlikely to change the market trend on its own. Traders and observers will watch whether similar, larger burns follow, or if this remains a one-off action tied to a single Coinbase-funded address. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

On October 10, the crypto market experienced its largest liquidation event in history, prompting experts like MartyParty to predict a surge in lawsuits and class action claims against what he describes as “market manipulators.” Expert Claims Manipulation Led To October 10 Crypto Crash The aftermath of this crash has seen Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies continue their downward trend this week, with BTC recently falling below the critical $110,000 threshold. Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Binance Coin (BNB), the largest altcoins, recorded losses of 10%, 17%, and 7%, respectively, in the weekly time frame. The events of October 10 led to total crypto liquidations exceeding $20 billion, with an alarming 208,864 traders liquidated in just the past 24 hours, amounting to approximately $691.63 million in losses as a result of the ongoing correction. In a social media post on X (formerly Twitter), MartyParty warned that the ramifications of this event would include lawsuits targeting the alleged manipulators behind the crash. He criticized the centralized exchange (CEX) systems, stating: The manipulators cleared all the longs to 1.8x illegally. This had nothing to do with crypto. This is centralized exchange and casino systems that are opaque and easily manipulated with no regulation. Despite the turmoil, MartyParty expressed some optimism, noting that the crypto liquidations have cleared out long positions, which he believes could pave the way for future price increases. He also added that those responsible for this alleged manipulation would face scrutiny, predicting that this incident could evolve into one of the most significant fraud cases in financial history. Binance’s Role Adding to the concerns, another expert, Crypto Emre, highlighted the ease with which crashes can be orchestrated on platforms like Binance. He explained that the tokens visible in a user’s wallet are essentially held in Binance’s wallets behind the scenes. Emre asserts that the exchange can open short positions on multiple trading pairs simultaneously using private trading bots, which can then quickly sell the tokens held by users. After closing the short positions at a lower price, the expert alleges that the exchange replaces the sold tokens with their own at a significantly reduced cost. Emre argued that as long as Binance remains operational, the potential for such manipulation will hinder the emergence of a robust crypto bull market. As the dust settles from the October 10 crypto crash, it remains uncertain whether regulatory bodies or individuals will take action against these alleged practices in the near future, as predicted by MartyParty. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.50. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses below $2.280. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.40 zone. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.40 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.50 resistance. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price remained below the $2.60 barrier and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below $2.420 and $2.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spiked below $2.30. A low was formed at $2.287, and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery, and the price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.647 swing high to the $2.287 low. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.40 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.40 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $2.450 level, above which the price could rise and test the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.647 swing high to the $2.287 low at $2.467. A clear move above the $2.4670 resistance might send the price toward the $2.50 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.550 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.60. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $2.40 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.30 level. The next major support is near the $2.280 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.280 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.250. The next major support sits near the $2.220 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.120. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.30 and $2.280. Major Resistance Levels – $2.40 and $2.450.

Atenção, traders. No fechamento dos mercados de hoje, a CME Group, a maior bolsa de derivativos do mundo e que opera a COMEX, anunciou um movimento técnico de grande impacto: a partir de amanhã, 17 de outubro, os requisitos de margem para os futuros de ouro serão aumentados em 5,5% e para os futuros de prata em 8,5%. Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School, membro Junior WallStreet NYSE. Muitos traders iniciantes interpretam este movimento como um sinal de baixa. Na minha análise, a realidade é o exato oposto: este é um dos sinais mais fortes de confirmação de que estamos em um poderoso e volátil mercado de alta. Vamos dissecar o porquê. 1. O que é um Aumento de Margem? Em termos simples, a margem é o "depósito de boa-fé" que um trader precisa ter em sua conta para abrir ou manter uma posição em um contrato futuro. Ao aumentar a margem, a CME está tornando mais caro manter posições, especialmente para traders alavancados. Exemplo da Prata: Para manter um contrato futuro de prata, a margem de manutenção subirá de $17.500 para $19.000. Isso significa que, para cada contrato que um trader possui (comprado ou vendido), ele precisará ter $1.500 a mais em sua conta. 2. Por Que a CME Faz Isso? O Efeito de Curto Prazo A CME aumenta as margens por uma razão principal: para controlar a volatilidade e reduzir o risco sistêmico. Quando um ativo sobe ou desce de forma muito rápida e violenta, o risco de inadimplência (calote) aumenta. A bolsa então age para "esfriar" o mercado. O efeito imediato é frequentemente uma correção de curto prazo ou uma "sacudida" (shakeout) no preço. Minha Análise: Traders altamente alavancados, que não têm capital extra para atender à nova exigência de margem, são forçados a liquidar suas posições. Como a tendência atual é de alta, a maioria dessas posições são de compra. A liquidação forçada dessas posições de compra cria uma pressão de venda temporária, o que pode causar uma queda no preço. Este é um movimento deliberado da bolsa para "limpar" a especulação excessiva e a alavancagem do mercado. 3. A Mensagem de Longo Prazo: A Confirmação do Bull Market Aqui está o ponto mais crucial para o investidor estratégico. As bolsas não aumentam as margens em mercados laterais ou fracos. Elas só usam essa ferramenta poderosa quando um mercado de alta se torna tão forte e volátil que começa a representar um risco para a própria estabilidade da bolsa. Na minha visão, o aumento da margem é o reconhecimento oficial da CME de que a tendência de alta dos metais preciosos é real, poderosa e potencialmente "desgovernada". É a admissão de que as forças fundamentais que impulsionam o ouro e a prata — a demanda física, a crise de oferta, a fuga da moeda fiduciária — são tão intensas que estão criando uma volatilidade sem precedentes. É um sinal de força, não de fraqueza. Conclusão de Igor Pereira: A Estratégia Correta A notícia de hoje se alinha perfeitamente com nossa análise da "febre do ouro" no Japão e da crise de oferta. O aperto no mercado físico está agora forçando a mão da bolsa no mercado de papel. Curto Prazo: Estejam preparados para uma alta volatilidade e uma potencial queda de curto prazo, à medida que os traders alavancados são forçados a liquidar. Longo Prazo: Vejam este movimento como uma confirmação massiva da tese de alta. A estratégia inteligente é usar qualquer fraqueza de preço causada por este ajuste de margem como uma oportunidade de compra estratégica. A bolsa pode tentar frear o trem, mas não pode parar a locomotiva dos fundamentos que o impulsiona.

Macroeconomic Report Overview: Once again, Friday's calendar contains very few macroeconomic reports. In earlier reports, we mentioned that there were no releases scheduled at all, but that isn't entirely accurate. Today, the eurozone will publish its second estimate for September inflation. However, this is a secondary report: second estimates almost always match the initial reading and are not marked as "high-impact." Beyond that, there are no notable releases scheduled in the U.K., Germany, or the U.S. Fundamental Event Overview: A number of fundamental events are scheduled again for Friday, but nearly all of them are insignificant in terms of market impact. This week saw at least 20 speeches from officials representing the European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve—but none of them delivered any market-shaking news. As previously discussed, both Christine Lagarde and Jerome Powell have spoken regularly in recent weeks, giving the market a fairly clear understanding of where central bank policy is heading. The ECB has no intention of cutting rates, as there's currently no need for it. The Fed, meanwhile, appears likely to continue its easing path, as U.S. labor market indicators remain weak. It's also clear that the BoE will not pursue monetary easing in the near future, as inflation in the U.K. has been rising for over a year and currently exceeds the target level by nearly twofold. Key Takeaways:As we head into the final trading day of the week, both major currency pairs—EUR/USD and GBP/USD—may continue their upward movements, following recent breakouts above key trendlines. EUR/USD has completed a successful breakout above the 1.1655–1.1666 zone, making long positions still relevant, with room for further upward movement. In the case of GBP/USD, price action has also moved above the 1.3413–1.3421 zone, which opens the door for a rally toward the 1.3466–1.3475 area. With low-impact news expected and technical trends shifting upward, the focus remains on trend continuation for both pairs throughout Friday's session. Basic Trading System Rules:The strength of a signal is determined by how quickly it forms (rejection or breakthrough). The quicker the reaction, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades occur from the same level, any new signals from that level should be ignored.In flat conditions, many false signals may appear—or none at all. At the first signs of a flat market, consider pausing trading.Trade between the start of the European session and the midpoint of the U.S. session. All trades should be closed manually before the end of the session.On the hourly chart, use MACD signals only when the price is moving within an active trend, supported by a trendline or channel.If two levels are spaced closely together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance zone.After a 15-20-pip move in the right direction, move the Stop Loss to breakeven.What the Charts Show:Support and resistance price levels: Targets for long and short trades. Consider these points for setting Take Profit levels.Red lines: Trendlines and trend channels used to identify current direction and preferred trading bias.MACD (14,22,3): Histogram and signal line used as an auxiliary indicator for generating trade signals.Important speeches and key reports (always listed on the economic calendar) can strongly influence price direction. During these events, trading should be done with extreme caution or avoided altogether to reduce the risk of sharp price reversals.Beginner traders should remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and using sound money management principles are the foundations of long-term success in forex trading.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued moving upward after breaking through the descending trendline. As we can see, the market is now in an upward trend, and we continue to expect further growth in the British pound. Yesterday, the U.K. published reports on industrial production and GDP for August, both of which returned better-than-forecast results. However, as before, British data had little impact on traders. Market attention remains focused on the U.S. dollar, U.S. politics, Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve, and the escalating trade war. From our perspective, none of the major global fundamental factors favor the U.S. dollar. In recent months, the pair has been moving in a wide-ranging sideways channel on the daily timeframe. After such consolidation, a new trend usually emerges—either upward or downward. At this point, there is no reason to expect a downtrend, meaning a bullish breakout may soon follow. 5-Minute GBP/USD Chart On the 5-minute timeframe, at least five buy signals were generated on Thursday within a narrow range. The price bounced five times from the 1.3413–1.3421 zone, which provided multiple entry opportunities for beginners. As of now, the pound has not yet shown decisive growth, but we believe the next target zone of 1.3466–1.3475 could be reached during today's session. How to Trade on Friday:On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD has finally begun forming a potential new bullish trend, which could mark the start of a broader upward move. As previously noted, there is no basis for sustained U.S. dollar strength. Therefore, we expect medium-term movement to the upside. Donald Trump's recent surge in tariff-related actions will likely keep the market under pressure to move away from the dollar. On Friday, the pair may attempt to continue its ascent, as the trend has turned bullish. A confirmed breakout above the 1.3413–1.3421 range would reinforce long positions targeting the 1.3466–1.3475 zone. Conversely, a close below this area would indicate the potential for a downward correction. On the 5-minute TF, you can now trade at levels 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3203-1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329-1.3331, 1.3413-1.3421, 1.3466-1.3475, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3574-1.3590, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3682, and 1.3763. There are no major news events scheduled in either the U.K. or the U.S. on Friday. As a result, traders should not expect any significant headline-driven market movements and must rely primarily on technical signals. Basic Trading System Rules:The strength of a signal is determined by how quickly it forms (rejection or breakthrough). The quicker the reaction, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades occur from the same level, any new signals from that level should be ignored.In flat conditions, many false signals may appear—or none at all. At the first signs of a flat market, consider pausing trading.Trade between the start of the European session and the midpoint of the U.S. session. All trades should be closed manually before the end of the session.On the hourly chart, use MACD signals only when the price is moving within an active trend, supported by a trendline or channel.If two levels are spaced closely together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance zone.After a 20-pip move in the right direction, move the Stop Loss to breakeven.What the Charts Show:Support and resistance price levels: Targets for long and short trades. Consider these points for setting Take Profit levels.Red lines: Trendlines and trend channels used to identify current direction and preferred trading bias.MACD (14,22,3): Histogram and signal line used as an auxiliary indicator for generating trade signals.Important speeches and key reports (always listed on the economic calendar) can strongly influence price direction. During these events, trading should be done with extreme caution or avoided altogether to reduce the risk of sharp price reversals.Beginner traders should remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and using sound money management principles are the foundations of long-term success in forex trading.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Thursday, EUR/USD continued its upward movement, which was clearly visible on the hourly timeframe. On the 5-minute chart, however, the pair was completely flat. It was a tranquil day in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental events. More accurately, the pair has entered a stagnation phase that requires major catalysts to spur renewed volatility. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, many key October reports were never released. As a result, traders still don't fully understand how the Federal Reserve will approach its rate decision at the end of the month. The market is pricing in a near-100% probability of another rate cut, yet skepticism remains—a paradox in itself. Additionally, U.S.–China trade tensions are escalating again. Therefore, there are already more than enough reasons to pressure the dollar. From a technical perspective, the pair broke through a descending trendline, so further upward movement is to be expected. 5-Minute EUR/USD Chart On the 5-minute timeframe, only in the evening was the first valid buy signal formed. The rest of the day, the price moved sideways within the 1.1655–1.1666 range. Since it eventually broke away from this zone, beginner traders had every reason to open long positions with a target around the 1.1745 area. At this point, stop-loss orders can be set at breakeven, and traders can continue holding for potential gains. How to Trade on Friday:On the hourly chart, EUR/USD finally shows signs of a confirmed upward reversal. The descending trendline has been broken once again, and the overall fundamental and macroeconomic background for the U.S. dollar remains overwhelmingly negative. Therefore, a continuation of the 2025 uptrend seems likely. Friday may again be a low-volatility session, as there are no major events scheduled in either the Eurozone or the U.S. A buy signal was formed on Thursday in the 1.1655–1.1666 range, so long positions remain valid with the target near the 1.1745–1.1754 zone. On the 5-minute TF, consider the levels 1.1354-1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571-1.1584, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988. With no impactful news today, volatility may again remain low. However, the euro can continue inching higher, as all necessary conditions are present for further growth. Basic Trading System Rules:The strength of a signal is determined by how quickly it forms (rejection or breakthrough). The quicker the reaction, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades occur from the same level, any new signals from that level should be ignored.In flat conditions, many false signals may appear—or none at all. At the first signs of a flat market, consider pausing trading.Trade between the start of the European session and the midpoint of the U.S. session. All trades should be closed manually before the end of the session.On the hourly chart, use MACD signals only when the price is moving within an active trend, supported by a trendline or channel.If two levels are spaced closely together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance zone.After a 15-pip move in the right direction, move the Stop Loss to breakeven.What the Charts Show:Support and resistance price levels: Targets for long and short trades. Consider these points for setting Take Profit levels.Red lines: Trendlines and trend channels used to identify current direction and preferred trading bias.MACD (14,22,3): Histogram and signal line used as an auxiliary indicator for generating trade signals.Important speeches and key reports (always listed on the economic calendar) can strongly influence price direction. During these events, trading should be done with extreme caution or avoided altogether to reduce the risk of sharp price reversals.Beginner traders should remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and using sound money management principles are the foundations of long-term success in forex trading.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is once again testing critical support above $111,000, with traders debating whether the recent pullback marks the start of a deeper correction or a healthy consolidation before the next leg higher. After touching an all-time high above $126,000, the world’s largest crypto asset has shed nearly 9% on the weekly charts, reflecting waning momentum amid broader market uncertainty and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Momentum Fades Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $111,300, down roughly 1% in 24 hours, after briefly dipping to an intraday low of $110,292. Technical indicators show the asset under pressure, with the 20-day and 50-day moving averages turning lower and a bearish crossover emerging on the MACD. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to the mid-40s, signaling cooling buying strength and the potential for further downside if support fails. Analysts are eyeing $107,000–$110,000 as the crucial short-term demand zone. A decisive break below this area could open the path toward $100,000, while a bounce above $115,000–$123,000 would be needed to restore bullish sentiment. “Bitcoin’s structure suggests fatigue at the top, with a potential double-top formation visible around $126,000,” one market analyst noted. “A weekly close below $110K would likely trigger broader profit-taking.” Whales Turn Cautious, Bitcoin ETF Inflows Slow On-chain data indicates that BTC whales have increased short exposure, signaling caution among large holders. This aligns with reports of falling ETF inflows, which declined by over $223 million this week after surging more than $2.7 billion the week before. Analysts suggest this cooldown reflects a pause in institutional demand following months of aggressive accumulation. Meanwhile, traders are closely watching macro developments, as gold’s rally to a record $4,200 has drawn some capital away from Bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative. Weak U.S. data and tariff-related volatility have added pressure, pushing some investors back toward traditional safe havens. Analysts Warn of Rising Wedge Breakdown Technically, Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows a rising wedge pattern, often a bearish setup. If BTC closes the week below $110,000, the structure projects a potential downside target around $74,000, representing a 34% correction. However, long-term metrics such as hash rate and network activity remain strong, suggesting that any deep retracement could offer a buying opportunity for patient investors. For now, Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether bulls can defend the $110K floor. A strong rebound from here could set the stage for another attempt toward $126K, but failure to hold support risks ushering in a much sharper correction before the next major rally begins. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart on Tradingview

EUR/USD The euro is rising for the fourth consecutive day. The gap at 1.1741 is close to being filled, and slightly above it lies the key target level at 1.1779. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator's signal line is breaking into the territory of an uptrend. The current outlook appears optimistic, but correlated markets are signaling a possible reversal: yesterday, the S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, oil dropped by 1.48%, and the yield on 5-year U.S. Treasuries fell from 3.61% to 3.53%. If this trend continues, even at a slower pace, the euro is unlikely to reach 1.1908 (the upper boundary of the price channel). Today, eurozone inflation data for September will be released. The forecast for the CPI is an increase from 2.0% y/y to 2.2% y/y. If this forecast proves accurate, the euro could reach the 1.1779 target within two to three days. However, if the price falls back below the MACD line (1.1660), the euro might become stuck in a sideways range—similar to the pattern observed in August ahead of the September Fed meeting. Now, markets look ahead to the next Federal Reserve meeting, which is just over a week away. On the four-hour chart, the price continues rising above the indicator lines. The MACD line is beginning to curve upward, while the Marlin oscillator shows a downward bias. These mixed signals—especially on a Friday and on the day of a major CPI release—create ideal conditions for closing long positions. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com