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  2. Northern Dynasty Minerals (TSX: NDM; NYSE-A: NAK) says it’s in talks with the Environmental Protection Agency regarding a potential settlement of ongoing litigation concerning the company’s flagship Pebble project in Alaska. Its shares soared on the update. In March, the Canadian mine developer filed two separate actions in the federal courts to challenge the EPA’s role in blocking the proposed Pebble mine, which, once built, would be the largest copper, gold and molybdenum extraction site in North America. In January 2023, the EPA dealt a fatal blow to the project by prohibiting Northern Dynasty’s Alaskan subsidiary from storing mine waste in the Bristol Bay watershed, where some of the world’s largest sockeye salmon fisheries reside. The agency argued that the mine waste could permanently destroy more than 2,000 acres of wetlands protected by the Clean Water Act. Northern Dynasty, meanwhile, had claimed that the EPA veto contradicts the environmental impact statement published by the United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) in July 2020. In a press release issued Friday, Northern Dynasty’s president and CEO Ron Thiessen said the discussion with the EPA presents “the fastest path forward” to withdraw the Pebble project veto, adding that the agency has “asked for additional information to assist in finalizing that decision.” The latest news sent Northern Dynasty Minerals’ shares soaring. The stock rose nearly 25% in Friday’s morning session to C$2.42 apiece, its highest over a tumultuous five-year period for its project. The company’s market capitalization is roughly C$1.25 billion ($920 million). EPA ‘reconsidering’ Thiessen went on to say that a decision to withdraw the EPA veto would help the US to secure a domestic supply of metals like copper, which is in high demand globally for its use in electrification, and rhenium, a key component in military applications. The project also holds substantial amounts of gold, molybdenum and silver. According to a 2023 economic study, the Pebble mine would produce 6.4 billion lb. of copper, 7.4 million oz. of gold, 300 million lb. of molybdenum, 37 million oz. of silver and 200,000 kg of rhenium over 20 years, according to the study. The EPA, in a July 3 filing, confirmed that it is “open to reconsideration” and welcomes further submissions by Northern Dynasty that may be used to reverse its decision. The parties “currently expect to reach agreement within the next two weeks about what that submission would entail,” the EPA stated. In a recent interview with The Northern Miner, Thiessen said that “there’s a good chance that the veto can get removed in the near term, maybe sometime this summer.” The veto’s removal would set the stage for the US Army Corps of Engineers, which has its own approvals process, to revisit its refusal. The corps had said the EPA veto blocked its path.
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  4. Bitcoin may be breaking out—but don’t celebrate yet. Crypto analyst Cristian Chifoi warns that the current move is a deceptive setup likely to trap bullish traders before Bitcoin eventually surges toward $160,000. In his latest YouTube video titled “Bitcoin is breaking out! But why is it bad?”, Chifoi dismantles the optimism surrounding Bitcoin’s recent price action, arguing that this rally is not the start of a true bull run, but a temporary fakeout designed to mislead. Don’t Trust The Bitcoin Pump “From a technical standpoint, this could mean a real breakout, retest, and then continuation,” Chifoi admits. “But in my opinion, this is a false breakout which can get to a new shallow all-time high, maybe $113,000, maybe $120,000 until something like July 10 to 12—then we come back in this channel before July 20.” His thesis hinges on Bitcoin seasonality, a pattern he has explored in earlier videos, which suggests the real macro pivot will only arrive later in the month. “I’m more bullish from July 20 into the start of September,” he says. Chifoi argues that retail traders are likely to pile in during the breakout retest phase, only to be shaken out as market makers use the liquidity to reverse the trend. “The majority of retail traders would go long here on a retest. The market makers will get their money,” he warns, predicting a trap that could drag Bitcoin down to levels near $97,000 before the real uptrend resumes. His analysis extends beyond simple technicals. Chifoi points to macroeconomic sentiment and Fed policy as crucial context, particularly emphasizing that rate cuts would actually be a bearish signal—not bullish as commonly believed. “Rate cuts this year would not be bullish at all,” he insists. “It’s not Powell who decides, it’s the bond market who decides when the rate cuts should come… and when that is happening, it’s because they need to panic cut.” Chifoi stresses that the best-case scenario for bulls is actually no rate cuts, at least for now. “Just keep the rates at 4.5% maybe until year end. If this happens, I’m 100% sure that the market will go higher and higher before this starts to happen.” Beyond Bitcoin, Chifoi forecasts a synchronized move across the broader crypto market once the July 20 pivot takes place. He highlights Ethereum, XRP, DeFi tokens like CRV, and ISO-compliant coins such as IOTA, ADA, and Quant as potential beneficiaries. “Bitcoin would drag all the crypto space with it,” he says, adding that older players like Filecoin and Polkadot could also catch a bid. Mid-Term Price Target Looking further ahead, Chifoi describes the coming period as a “stablecoin super cycle,” with DeFi projects and yield-generating protocols positioned to gain the most from Wall Street’s hunger for yield. “In crypto, only DeFi projects get you yields,” he explains. “Wall Street is boiling up for yields.” He also reaffirms his macro thesis that the current financial system is on track to be replaced, likening the transition to the 1930s move from gold to fiat. “After 100 years of this exact system, this should be replaced by another system with liquidity in it,” he says, envisioning a cryptographic banking future. Despite the short-term turbulence he expects, Chifoi remains long-term bullish. His price target of $160,000 for Bitcoin by early September reflects a belief in accelerated expansion—fueled by seasonality, delayed policy pivots, and broader adoption. In closing, Chifoi reminds his audience to zoom out and trust the high time frame signals. Referencing Bollinger Bands on the two-month chart, he notes the beginning of another expansion phase similar to late 2020. “After that, the bear market begins,” he cautions. But until then, the ride could be fast—and extremely volatile. “The next time we cut [rates], it is a big deal and something is wrong,” he concludes. “For now, we just want the cuts going higher for longer.” At press time, BTC traded at $108,848.
  5. Bolivia’s energy minister was drenched with water and pelted with garbage on Thursday as chaos erupted in congress during a heated debate over lithium contracts with Chinese and Russian firms, worth a potential $2 billion in investments. The deals, signed in 2023 and 2024, are with China’s CBC consortium, which includes battery giant CATL—and Russia’s Uranium One Group, a subsidiary of state nuclear company Rosatom. These contracts aim to establish direct lithium extraction (DLE) facilities in the Salar de Uyuni, part of the vast Lithium Triangle shared with Chile and Argentina. Parliamentary debate was suspended in February after mounting public outcry, followed by a court in the Potosí region, home to the country’s largest lithium reserves, ordering a halt to both agreements. Recently, the lower Chambre of Congress had resumed discussions amid deepening political divisions. Opposition lawmakers and allies of former president Evo Morales disrupted the session on Thursday, accusing the government of cutting an unfair deal and demanding greater guarantees that Bolivia will benefit before any lithium leaves the ground. “They are trying to swindle us,” said opposition legislator Daniel Rojas, speaking to mining outlet Rumbo Minero. Footage of the incident showed lawmakers clashing on the floor, with one deputy shielding himself with an umbrella. Congresswoman María Salazar was seen struggling with another parliamentarian. Outside the chamber, civic leaders from mineral-rich Potosí joined protests. Tensions escalated further when Socialist senator Hilarión Mamani declared that the contracts would be “thrown away” if they reached the Senate. Under Bolivian law, foreign companies must consult with local communities and complete environmental impact assessments before major industrial projects can proceed. Final approval rests with the legislature. Lithium dreams Government officials, speaking at recent public consultation meetings, have claimed Potosí alone could earn $800–$900 million in royalties over 30 years, or about $30–$35 million annually. They also insist the contracts are flexible. Despite holding an estimated 23 million tonnes of lithium, the largest reserves in the world, Bolivia has long struggled to launch a viable lithium industry. Political turmoil, a state-dominated extraction model and high magnesium levels in its brines have hampered production. Bolivia aims to develop plants in seven of its 28 salt flats. (Image courtesy of YLB.) While neighbouring Chile and Argentina are major global suppliers, Bolivia’s lithium remains mostly untapped. The state-run company YLB opened its first industrial-scale lithium plant in late 2023, but it operated at just 17% capacity last year and is projected to reach only 23% in 2025. The government argues that foreign partnerships are essential to jump-start the sector and promises Bolivia will retain 51% of profits.
  6. Chainlink (LINK) has been locked in a consolidation phase since early March, following a prolonged period of bearish price action that began to lose momentum. Since then, the token has ranged sideways with notable volatility, reflecting broader uncertainty across the altcoin market. However, as Bitcoin pushes toward its all-time high and market sentiment turns increasingly bullish, analysts believe a decisive move from LINK may be imminent. Top analyst Ali Martinez shared insights pointing to a key support level that could determine Chainlink’s short-term trajectory. According to Martinez, LINK holding above the $12 mark is crucial and could serve as the launchpad for a breakout toward the $18–$20 range. This level has acted as a major pivot in the past, and reclaiming it with strength would likely attract fresh buying pressure. With Bitcoin dominance remaining high and capital rotating selectively into altcoins, Chainlink’s upcoming moves could signal a higher altcoin market direction. Investors and traders are closely watching this consolidation, waiting for a breakout that could kickstart the next leg higher for LINK and potentially confirm the beginning of a stronger altcoin cycle. The coming days could be critical in determining whether Chainlink is ready to rejoin the uptrend. Chainlink Builds Momentum Chainlink has seen a strong resurgence over the past two weeks, gaining more than 22% in value since June 22. After months of consolidation and sideways action, the recent price movement suggests that bullish momentum is returning to the altcoin. The broader market environment is improving, with Bitcoin nearing its all-time high and risk appetite gradually increasing across crypto assets. For Chainlink, this has translated into renewed optimism and a growing expectation of a breakout. Fundamentally, Chainlink remains one of the most important infrastructure projects in the crypto space. Its partnerships with high-profile projects such as Ripple and Ondo Finance highlight its crucial role in powering real-world asset tokenization and secure on-chain data feeds. These integrations support long-term utility and demand, reinforcing investor confidence in the project’s future. Ali Martinez emphasized that holding above the $12 level is key for Chainlink. According to his analysis, sustained price action above this zone could pave the way for a breakout toward the $18–$20 range. Historically, LINK has shown strong impulsive moves after breaking major consolidation zones, and the current structure appears similar. LINK Consolidates Below Resistance Chainlink is currently trading at $13.32 after facing a minor rejection from the $14 zone. The chart shows that LINK remains in a consolidation range that began in early March, with price action confined between the $12.20 and $14.50 levels. The token has made multiple attempts to reclaim the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which now sit just above the current price action. These moving averages, along with horizontal resistance around $14, are acting as a strong ceiling for now. Despite the recent pullback, LINK remains structurally bullish on the mid-term as it prints higher lows since the June bottom near $11. Analysts remain optimistic that a decisive close above $14–$14.50 would invalidate this range and pave the way for a push toward the $16–$18 zone. The 200-day moving average near $16.77 remains a key target in the event of a breakout. However, failure to reclaim $14 could lead to another test of support around $12. Overall, the setup remains constructive but will require renewed bullish momentum—possibly led by Bitcoin strength or positive ecosystem news—for a breakout confirmation. Until then, LINK continues to oscillate in a tight range, with bulls watching closely. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
  7. The NA session kicks off quietly, with subdued volumes as American traders take the day off, giving markets a breather after yesterday’s upside surprise in the Non-Farm Payrolls and fresh diplomatic updates from the US – More is to come next week as we approach Trump's infamous July 9th deadline With little on the immediate calendar, Oil Traders' attention is turning to tomorrow’s OPEC+ meeting — delayed by a day due to the Ashura holiday. The timing shift may be behind some of today’s selling tone, as market participants hold off ahead of any supply-side headlines. From a price action perspective, crude has been consolidating in a narrow $2 range, showing signs it may be gearing up for a bullish breakout. While today's pullback remains orderly, the broader structure still favors the upside, especially if upcoming catalysts align with the underlying momentum. Read More: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns close US Oil 4H Chart, July 4, 2025 – Source: TradingView US Oil 4H Chart, July 4, 2025 – Source: TradingView The past two weeks of $65 to $67 consolidation led to a breakout on Wednesday 2nd of July – getting to highs of 68.34 after the US-Vietnam trade deal (notably allowing China to manoeuvre more trade) and Iran's announcement of non-cooperaton with UN Nuclear's supervision – Today's price action looks like a healthy pullback from Wednesday's small breakout. Momentum is still very calm, confirmed with the RSI on both the 4H and Daily timeframes hanging around neutral. One additional element to look is the mix of both the 4H 50 and 200 MAs in confluence with the Upward Trendline from 2025 lows that could be used by buyers to lift prices. Any failure to do so will give the hand back to sellers. Levels to check: Support Zones 66.50 4H MA 50, 200 and trendline$65 Support Zone$63 support at descending channelResistance Zones $70 Pivot ZoneIntermediate Resistance $72 to $73Main Resistance $75 to $76 Safe trades and Happy 4th of July for American readers! Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  8. The cryptocurrency landscape is always evolving, with new projects popping up to capture the attention of investors, whether they are utility or meme-based. Among the latest entrants, Snaky Way ($AKE) is quickly making headlines with its explosive presale, standing out as not just another meme coin. The token backs a meticulously designed ecosystem aiming to bridge the gap between Web2 and Web3. To do this, the project employs an innovative approach, combining AI, engaging blockchain gaming, and strategic partnerships with mainstream influencers. Today, the ICO has soared past the $160K fundraising mark. A New Approach to Web3 Adoption While many new meme coins primarily target the existing crypto audience, $AKE is targeting newcomers. It has a mission: to onboard mainstream users into the world of Web3. The project is doing its best to ensure its token is accessible, and uses familiar engagement models to promote a sense of comfort. At its heart is a charming green snake mascot that fronts the project, combining entertainment with practical utility. Snaky Way dismantles the traditional barriers to crypto adoption – complex interfaces, gatekeeping communities, and technical jargon. Instead of focusing on existing crypto circles for outreach, the team aims to collaborate with popular, mainstream influencers across social media platforms like Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube. The strategic partnerships are designed to bring new audiences to crypto through intuitive gaming experiences and tournaments. Furthermore, its multi-chain infrastructure, being across all Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) networks, and with plans to integrate with Solana, significantly lowers the technical hurdles sometimes faced by newcomers. The token will be compatible with a broad range of beginner-friendly crypto wallets, allowing anyone to interface with simplicity while learning about blockchain technology. Unpacking the Technological Edge Snaky Way ($AKE) uses an AI-Powered Market Maker System. This system will use AI algorithms to execute strategic buybacks, actively working to maintain the token’s price stability even during market volatility. By analyzing real-time trading patterns, volume data, and sentiment indicators, the AI picks the best time to buy, preventing sudden price crashes and supporting gradual value appreciation over time, thus providing a layer of confidence for investors. Beyond its AI, Snaky Way is growing a vibrant gaming platform complete with a tournament structure. Let’s face it, we all love good competition. The project developers are working on a dedicated game featuring the project’s snake mascot; it will be incorporating Play-to-Earn (P2E) mechanics that reward players with $AKE tokens. The regular tournament will offer substantial prizes and feature appearances from celebrities and crypto personalities. Top players will also see their names showcased on a leaderboard. The higher you score, the better the reward. Aiming for viral content opportunities, Snaky Way wants to foster genuine community engagement via competition and expand its reach beyond the normal crypto circles. How to Join the Trending Presale The Snaky Way ($AKE) presale is well underway, having already secured over $160K from early investors. Note the presale is set up over a tiered pricing system, meaning the earlier you get in, the more you potentially see in return over time. Right now, you can buy $AKE for $0.0000932 and stake your tokens for an APR of 15,840%. The early-stage pricing presents an attractive opportunity for initial investors, offering potential substantial returns before the token gets listed on CEXs and DEXs. As a presale member, you also get immediate access to the high-yield staking platform, allowing you to accumulate rewards before the official launch. This staking amplifies the potential return over time and adds value beyond what you’ve already bought during the presale. To join in, you can connect any Ethereum-compatible wallet, like Best Wallet, to the presale widget. You can then pay using either $ETH, $USDT, or fiat, and secure your tokens in just a couple of minutes. You’ll get to claim your crypto once the presale ends. Remember, this is not financial advice, and you should always do your own research before making any investments.
  9. Researchers at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow and Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, have launched a project to treat contaminated mine water in Canada. They plan to develop a low-cost system combining microalgae and calcium silicate to remove and recover cobalt, nickel and copper for reuse. Low-cost biotechnical cleanup The process uses microalgae to capture dissolved metals over extended periods, while calcium silicate chemically sequesters heavy elements. This integrated approach promises a scalable solution for mine water remediation in regions affected by legacy and active mining operations. Researchers at Strathclyde’s Civil and Environmental Engineering department will work closely with colleagues at Laurentian University to refine the system under field conditions. Transatlantic research partnership The initiative is funded through a share of a £1 million grant from UK Research and Innovation’s Natural Environment Research Council, allocated via its International Science Partnerships Fund. Canadian partners have also secured roughly C$250,000 from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, forming part of a broader C$4 million investment.
  10. Japan will begin test mining rare earth rich mud from the deep seabed near Minamitori Island in 2026, aiming to secure a domestic supply of critical minerals amid tightening global exports. The government-backed project, led by Shoichi Ishii of the Cabinet Office’s ocean innovation platform and using pipes deployed by a Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) vessel, marks the world’s first attempt to extract and refine rare earths from abyssal mud. The project will collect mud at depths of 5,000–6,000 m near Minamitori Island, with trial operations set to begin in January 2026, as reported by Reuters. If fully successful, the system could process up to 350 tonnes of mud per day by January 2027, enabling separation of elements such as dysprosium, neodymium, gadolinium and terbium for use in EV motors and high-tech devices. In 2024, researchers from the University of Tokyo and the Nippon Foundation had already identified over 200 million tonnes of manganese nodules rich in battery metals in the Pacific Ocean, highlighting vast resource potential at depths around 5,500 meters. A separate survey by the University of Tokyo and the Nippon Foundation estimated the seabed nodules contain approximately 610,000 tonnes of cobalt—enough for 75 years of Japan’s consumption—and 740,000 tonnes of nickel, covering 11 years of domestic demand. Complex operation Analysts caution that deep sea mining at such extreme depths poses technical and environmental challenges, with BMO Capital Markets’ Colin Hamilton noting the complexity and urging further impact studies before buyers commit to seafloor-sourced materials. Several major banks, including Credit Suisse, Lloyds and NatWest, have already introduced policies restricting financing for deep sea exploration until comprehensive environmental assessments are completed. Meanwhile, the International Seabed Authority (ISA) is finalizing regulations by 2025, potentially paving the way for regulated commercial operations in international waters. Since 2014, the ISA has been under increasing pressure to develop a mining code. The organization will continue its general meetings at the end of this month, with the full Assembly in Kingston, Jamaica, scheduled from 21 to 25 July.
  11. Markets remain very much in limbo when it comes to US tariffs and trade negotiations. However, looking at risk assets and US equities in particular, one would none the wiser as to the bevy of risks that lie ahead. Let us take a look at what we can expect from Q3. S&P 500 Prints Fresh All-Time Highs, Can the Rally Continue? The S&P 500 finished Q2 with a flourish as optimism has continued to grow that trade deals will be reached between the US and a host of trading partners. The S&P rallied to print fresh all-time highs in the last week of June with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently remarking that about 100 countries will get a minimum 10% reciprocal tariff. close Source: TradingView Source: TradingView Final Thoughts The outlook for equities remains filled with optimism, at least that is what is being reflected in the price and recovery we have seen in Q2. Moving forward further gains remain possible especially if geopolitical risk subsides and the tariff saga finally reaches a conclusion. Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  12. According to on‑chain tracker Whale Alert, an unknown wallet just received 1,000,000 SOL in a single move worth over $152 million. It all happened in a flash. The report set off alarms across the Solana network and sent traders scrambling. Activity shot up almost immediately as everyone tried to figure out who was behind the transfer and why it mattered. Massive Transfer Caught On Chain Based on reports, the one‑million‑SOL transfer lifted 24‑hour trading volume to $4.11 billion, a nearly 28% rise. Large moves of this size—more than $152 million at current prices—often reshape order‑book depth and liquidity as traders adjust their positions in response. Price Rally Tops $150 Barrier Traders watched SOL climb from about $146 to $151, up 6.10% in the last week. Some snapped up coins at $150, betting that the whale’s shift in assets hinted at a larger play. Others took profits as the price crossed that round number, locking in gains. Either way, breaking above $150 marked a clear sign that short‑term momentum was back. It even pulled in fresh players looking for quick wins. US‑Listed Solana ETF Gains Traction On the same day, a new staking‑enabled Solana ETF went live on Cboe BZX. It started with $33 million in trades on its very first session. That outpaced many earlier crypto futures products, pushing more faith into SOL as an investment option. Based on reports, traditional investors who were on the fence now had a regulated path to add Solana to their portfolios without jumping through extra hoops. This double whammy—whale wallet shuffle and a fresh ETF—did more than bake a rally; it gave the market two clear signals. First, smart money still moves big chunks behind the scenes. Second, regulated products keep gaining ground in the crypto space. It’s too early to say which event will have the longer‑lasting impact. But for now, SOL traders have some solid numbers to chew on. With on‑chain indicators flashing and institutional tools coming online, Solana’s path could get a lot more interesting in the weeks ahead. Featured image from Meta AI, chart from TradingView
  13. Swiss crypto-focused financial institution AMINA Bank announced providing custody and trading services for Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin. On 3 July 2025, the Swiss FINMA (Financial Market Supervisory Authority) regulated crypto bank said in a press release, “Custody and trading services will be available to AMINA clients holding RLUSD, establishing a foundation for expanded services in the coming months.” Commenting on the development, Myles Harrison, Chief Product Officer of AMINA Bank said, “We are proud to be the first bank to support RLUSD and to provide our clients with access to one of the most anticipated digital assets in the market.” Notably, the company behind XRP has applied for a national banking charter in the US, aiming to bring its RLUSD stablecoin under direct federal oversight. This isn’t just about checking boxes. It’s a strategic attempt to give RLUSD a stronger foundation. It could also open the door to a deeper role in the financial system. If approved, the Ripple banking license would allow the company to hold RLUSD reserves directly with the Federal Reserve. Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, confirmed the application publicly, pointing out that RLUSD already operates under New York’s financial regulators. Getting a national charter through the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) would expand that coverage, blending state-level approval with federal credibility. It’s also a signal to investors, regulators, and institutions that Ripple wants RLUSD to be taken seriously. Read more: Ripple Files for US Banking License for XRP and RLUSD Key Takeaways AMINA Bank, headquartered in Zug and licensed by Switzerland’s FINMA, is the first global bank to support RLUSD, Ripple’s new stablecoin pegged to the US dollar. The bank is starting with custody and trading services for RLUSD. It is targeting institutional clients and professional investors seeking compliant, regulated stablecoins. The post Swiss Bank AMINA Becomes First to Offer Custody, Trading for Ripple’s RLUSD Stablecoin appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  14. 🚨 93% de Chance de a Dívida Nacional dos EUA Superar US$38 Trilhões em 2025, Segundo a Plataforma Polymarket 💣 Projeção Eleva Alertas sobre Sustentabilidade Fiscal, Inflação e Demanda por Ativos de Refúgio Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado e Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE A plataforma descentralizada de previsão de eventos Polymarket, baseada em tecnologia blockchain, aponta 93% de probabilidade de que a dívida nacional dos Estados Unidos ultrapasse a marca de US$38 trilhões até o fim de 2025. A aposta reflete a percepção crescente entre participantes institucionais e digitais de que a trajetória fiscal americana é insustentável no cenário atual. Essa estimativa se soma à crescente preocupação com a dinâmica explosiva da dívida pública americana, especialmente diante do novo plano econômico de Donald Trump — “gastar para crescer” — revelado recentemente, que substitui a contenção fiscal por estímulos massivos à indústria, infraestrutura e defesa. 📉 Por que isso importa? O crescimento acelerado da dívida americana tem impacto direto no valor do dólar, nos rendimentos dos Treasuries e na cotação do ouro (XAU/USD). A perspectiva de déficits contínuos, com emissão maciça de dívida, tende a pressionar: O dólar para baixo, em meio à desconfiança global sobre sua sustentabilidade como reserva Os rendimentos dos Treasuries para cima, exigindo maiores prêmios de risco O preço do ouro para cima, como hedge contra inflação, colapso da moeda e risco soberano 🧮 A Dívida em Números Dívida atual (julho/2025): US$ 36,8 trilhões Projeção Polymarket: 93% de chance de ultrapassar US$ 38 trilhões até 31 de dezembro de 2025 Projeção do Escritório de Orçamento do Congresso (CBO): dívida poderá ultrapassar US$ 50 trilhões até 2030, sem reformas estruturais 🔥 O Que Está Acelerando o Endividamento? Novo ciclo de gastos do governo Trump Estímulo a indústrias estratégicas, defesa e infraestrutura Subsídios e incentivos fiscais para reindustrialização Juros elevados por mais tempo O custo da dívida federal aumentou exponencialmente com os Fed Funds acima de 5% Em 2025, os pagamentos de juros já superam US$ 1 trilhão/ano Guerra e geopolítica A recente ofensiva militar dos EUA contra o Irã e o aumento dos gastos da OTAN intensificam o custo fiscal Ausência de reformas estruturais no Congresso A polarização política impede medidas de controle de gastos ou aumento de arrecadação 🏦 Impactos para o Mercado Financeiro Ativo Expectativa de Impacto Observação Técnica Dólar (DXY) Baixa estrutural Perda de confiança global e menor demanda por Treasuries Ouro (XAU/USD) Alta estrutural Proteção contra desvalorização do dólar e colapso fiscal Treasuries 10Y Volatilidade e alta nos juros reais Exigência de prêmios de risco maiores Criptomoedas Alta (especialmente BTC) Apostas em colapso do sistema fiduciário tradicional 🛡️ Conclusão ExpertFX School A previsão de 93% de chance da dívida americana ultrapassar US$ 38 trilhões em 2025 deve ser lida como um sinal de alarme estrutural para investidores institucionais e varejo. O mercado já começa a precificar a insustentabilidade do atual modelo fiscal dos EUA, com reflexos diretos no preço do ouro, do dólar e nos mercados globais de risco. A longo prazo, essa realidade pode acelerar movimentos de desdolarização e a busca por ativos reais como ouro, commodities e até criptoativos. O ouro, em especial, tende a se beneficiar como ativo de reserva neutro frente à erosão da confiança na dívida soberana americana. 📈 Acompanhe no ExpertFX School análise completa da curva de rendimentos dos EUA, fluxo de ouro físico e alocações de bancos centrais em resposta ao descontrole fiscal global.
  15. As the adoption of stablecoins slowly takes over, stewardship and proper regulation become a priority to maintain economic harmony. Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey seems to think the same. Bailey has cautioned that the adoption of digital currencies, including stablecoins, could upset the economic applecart if proper regulation isn’t implemented. Per remarks given during his speech at the Andrew Crockett Memorial Lecture on 3 July 2025, the nature of reserve currency has evolved. The monetary world has moved on from the earlier definition of a reserve currency as a fixed monetary anchor to an increasing reliance on secure, liquid assets such as the US Treasuries, and the central bank’s supply of liquidity as and when needed. “First, at least for the large economies, it could be asked today, what is the point of official reserves?” he said. In addition to this, Bailey also put forth the notion of the changing role of reserve currency, explaining how it has moved from backing currency convertibility to preserving financial stability as capital circulates in and out of a country. Bailey cautioned, “Central banks need to carefully examine payment innovation based on stablecoins.” Bailey, soon to lead the Financial Stability Board, has previously flagged potential threats regarding stablecoins and plans to address them soon. Explore: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in July 2025 Adoption of Stablecoins Could Cause Digital Dollarisation In the wake of the landmark legislation passed by the US Senate normalising the use of stablecoins, Bailey’s warnings come amidst growing concerns related to the wide adoption of the US dollar-backed stablecoin, which could cause digital dollarisation. A striking contrast to this is the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant, hailing the stablecoin legislation as a step towards cementing the dollar’s reserve currency status worldwide, amidst concerns regarding the erosion of trust in the greenback’s reserve currency status. “We need to watch carefully the evolution of payment forms and whether innovation here introduces fragility into what I would call the ‘money system,” said Bailey. He went on to point out during his lecture the need for authorities to carefully monitor any changes made to the structure of money, such as the introduction of privately issued stablecoins, that help mitigate any detrimental effects on monetary trust. “If, for instance, stablecoins emerge as a new form of money, we have to decide how to ensure the singleness of money and therefore trust in money in this world, and what role the notion of reserve currency should play here,” he said. He added, “The rise of stablecoins could raise questions about the purpose of official foreign reserves in major advanced economies today.” Explore: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 “Central banks could face the heat if stablecoins become a widely used form of payment without proper regulations” Bailey mentioned that authorities should make efforts to clarify the role of reserve currencies since advancements in payment technologies might avoid traditional oversight. Some analysts are of the opinion that the adoption of stablecoins without global coordination could split the financial system. Without regulations in place, privately issued tokens might circulate outside central control, making it harder to manage economies and keep cross-border finance stable. Authorities are currently reviewing how stablecoins can remain reliable and legally compliant as questions arise regarding the inclusion of stablecoins into the financial monetary system or their existence outside of it. Explore: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in July 2025 Key Takeaways The role of a reserve currency has changed from backing currency convertibility to preserving financial stability Authorities should carefully monitor any changes made to the structure of money to mitigate any detrimental effects on monetary trust Some regulators think that stablecoins could potentially split the financial system The post BoE Governor Andrew Bailey Warns Adoption of Stablecoins Threatens Central Bank appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  16. The improbable $1 price target for Dogecoin has returned to the spotlight after independent crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) shared a bold new Ichimoku-based projection on July 3. In a chart posted to X, the analyst outlined a parabolic price trajectory for DOGE using 2-week candles, suggesting that the memecoin could begin an explosive ascent in late 2025, eventually reaching the symbolic one-dollar mark. The $1 Dogecoin Dream The projection rests on DOGE’s ability to maintain current bullish structure above the Ichimoku cloud, with a brief retest later this year during liftoff. “DOGE 2-week candles, Ichimoku cloud shown. Why am I buying doge? Because I’m delusional and this is what I’m thinking,” the trader wrote, pairing tongue-in-cheek self-awareness with conviction in a longer-term breakout scenario. At the time of the chart’s publication, Dogecoin was trading at $0.172, up nearly 14% on the fortnight. The price action shows a clean bounce off the top of the green Ichimoku cloud, suggesting that DOGE is holding bullish structure on a high timeframe, a key technical criterion in Ichimoku trend-following theory. The Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) on the 2-week timeframe, calculated with the traditional 9/26/52/26 settings, shows the Leading Span A (Senkou A) currently above Leading Span B (Senkou B), forming a green cloud—indicative of a bullish trend outlook. DOGE’s price is above the cloud, which acts as dynamic support. This is critical: Ichimoku practitioners consider price above the cloud to be in a bullish regime, especially on higher timeframes. The analyst’s hand-drawn black curve on the chart begins near $0.17 and initially curves downward, touching the upper boundary of the Kumo in the near future, likely near the $0.15–0.16 zone. This suggests an expected retest of the cloud support, a common setup in trend continuation trades. Rather than projecting a breakdown, the curve depicts this contact as a springboard for a rapid vertical rally. Once the price completes its cloud retest, the trajectory steepens dramatically, punching through overhead resistance near $0.29—the approximate flat Kijun-sen level—then continuing past prior 2024 highs. The final stretch of the curve accelerates toward the $1 level sometime in 2026, consistent with the behavior seen in prior memecoin mania phases. Interestingly, Cantonese Cat’s conviction comes despite several bearish near-term signals. Just two days prior to publishing the chart, the analyst wrote: “DOGE closed the month below the 20-month SMA, with a bearish engulfing candle! I would care if the volume wasn’t so pathetic…” That statement acknowledged structural weakness but dismissed it on the basis of low participation, hinting that sellers lacked conviction. The same day, the trader disclosed renewed entries into DOGE and Avalanche, stating, “I don’t know if I’m doing it right, but I bought AVAX and DOGE again this morning.” Broader Context DOGE’s memetic status makes it particularly susceptible to sentiment shifts, and it remains uncorrelated to fundamentals in the traditional sense. Still, in the 2021 and 2024 bull markets, DOGE served as a proxy for retail risk appetite, often outperforming once attention rotated from majors like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The green cloud forecast and the rising trajectory into 2026 may reflect not just technical setups, but a broader cyclical expectation: that another wave of liquidity, speculative mania, or cultural relevance could return DOGE to the spotlight. For now, however, the price must hold the cloud before the market can validate this roadmap. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.1678.
  17. RON crypto jumped 35% on July 3 before cooling off. P2E games like Lumiterra, Pixel, and Axie Infinity on the Ronin Network are driving demand. Is the RONUSDT bear run over? The Ronin Network has been in the shadows for too long. After a disastrous hack, activity plummeted, and the crypto winter of 2022 slowed inflows to crypto gaming tokens and NFTs. However, this does not mean Ronin “died” or that crypto gaming and NFTs had no place in the market. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 RON Crypto Jumps 35%: Is the Bear Run Over? True, bears still have the upper hand as far as RON (No data) crypto price action is concerned. According to Coingecko, RON, the native coin of the Ronin Network, is down nearly 90% from its all-time high. Holders who believed in the project and held through the crypto winter of 2022 are up a respectable 150% at current rates. RON sank to a low of $0.19 in November 2022, trailing some of the top Solana meme coins. From the daily chart, it’s clear that the path of least resistance has been downward. RON is down 80% from December 2024 highs, with sellers maintaining pressure throughout 2025. Despite a brief surge in early May, prices turned lower, and at current rates, RON is trending near 2025 lows of around $0.35. The good news is that bears are losing steam. Yesterday, RON crypto surged over 35% before cooling off, lifting the coin above local liquidation levels and setting the stage for it to be the next crypto to explode. If this momentum continues, RON could reclaim May 2025 highs, break $0.80, and even reach $1 in the coming weeks. As expected, the surge is driven by trader interest. RONPriceRON24h7d30d1yAll time When RON rallied, its trading volume spiked, exceeding the daily average volume recorded in December 2024. From this, it is evident that RON traders and investors are back, convinced the coin may be undervalued. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 Why is the Ronin Network Trending? What’s Happening? While Axie Infinity remains the flagship play-to-earn (P2E) game on the Ronin Network, the Ethereum-compatible platform has evolved to support a growing ecosystem of games. In recent days, the explosion of Lumiterra, an open-world mobile game with over 200,000 daily active users, has led the charge. Presently, Lumiterra is conducting its MegaDrop Part 1 campaign on Kaito, rewarding asset holders and content creators with LUMI tokens. This airdrop explains the surge in Ronin activity, propelling the network to rank among the top gaming platforms as of July 3, 2025. Then there’s Pixels, a farming game that’s slowly gaining traction. In the past month, Pixels recorded over 30,000 daily active users. The game recently updated its staking mechanics and adjusted the PIXEL token emission schedule, solidifying its popularity. Earlier on, in March 2025, they integrated OpenSea, an NFT marketplace, boosting the liquidity of Ronin-based NFTs. DISCOVER: Next 1000x Crypto – 11 Coins That Could 1000x in 2025 RON Crypto Jumps 35%: Ronin Network P2E Games Driving Demand RON crypto jumps 35% before cooling off RON crypto bulls now target $0.80 and $1 P2E games like Lumiterra, Pixels, and Axie Infinity are pumping demand Ronin Network developers are also actively building The post The Ronin is Back: RON Crypto Jumps 35%, Here’s What’s Driving the Mega Pump appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  18. Canadian private equity firm Kinterra Capital has secured a small but significant victory in its takeover bid for Australian copper miner New World Resources (ASX: NWC), with the Takeovers Panel accepting an undertaking that New World will not issue shares to Central Asia Metals (LON: CAML) without prior approval. The restriction applies to any issuance under the terms of a June 20 announcement and remains in effect for two months or until the panel concludes its investigation. The move follows Kinterra’s application to the panel earlier this week, seeking interim and final orders to block the CAML placement. Kinterra alleges that CAML’s share purchases — from 5% to more than 12% between June 20 and June 27— were made using inside information, raising concerns about timing and disclosure practices. CAML first agreed to acquire New World for A$0.053 per share in May. The offer was raised to A$0.055 after Kinterra tabled a non-binding A$0.057 per share bid on June 23. CAML later matched Kinterra’s price, lifting its offer to A$0.062 per share. New World Resources holds three copper projects in the southwestern of the United States. Its flagship Antler project in Arizona contains 11.4 million tonnes at 4.1% copper equivalent. A 2024 prefeasibility study forecasts a 12-year mine life with total production of 341,100 tonnes of copper equivalent. The company also owns the early-stage Javelin project in Arizona and the Tererro VMS project in New Mexico.
  19. The wait for altcoin season continues as the crypto market is still showing signs of bearish movement. Expectations are high that the altcoin market will begin to rally soon, but not everyone is optimistic that the altcoin season is coming. One of those is market analyst and expert Stockmoney Lizards, who has said that it is not happening soon. Altcoin Season Is Not Happening Soon In an X (formerly Twitter) post, Stockmoney Lizards informed their over 160,000 followers that the altcoin season could not be happening anytime soon. The analyst said that it is “not even remotely close”, pointing to the rising Bitcoin dominance as the reason why the altcoin season is still far off. Analyzing the chart, the market expert explains that despite the Bitcoin dominance having fallen by around 2%, it still doesn’t mean much. This is because the dominance is still very strong and continues to trade inside the channel. This channel also charts a possible increase in the Bitcoin dominance from here, which would be detrimental for altcoins. So far, the Bitcoin dominance has also managed to hold above 65%. While this is not the highest it has ever been, it is still incredibly high, with previous altcoin seasons not happening until the dominance had fallen toward 40%. The analyst doesn’t entirely rule out the possibility of an altcoin season, saying it will still come. However, for now, Bitcoin continues to dominate, as he explains that “BTC is the measure of all things.” Altcoin Dominance Reaches 2021 Levels As the Bitcoin dominance has risen and the altcoin dominance has fallen, they have gone toward levels not seen in years. For example, the last time the Bitcoin dominance was above 65% was back in 2021 before it crashed to usher in the altcoin season, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Even worse is the Ethereum dominance, which has dropped to 5-year lows. Sitting at only 8%, it is now at levels recorded back in 2020 before the market rebounded from the COVID-19 crash. This has greatly diminished Ethereum’s ability to pull the altcoin market up with it. In the same vein, the altcoin dominance, excluding Ethereum, has now dropped to 26%. The last time that the OTHERS dominance was this low was in 2021. However, this was right around when the altcoin season was starting, suggesting that the current market could be at the cusp of another altcoin run. Nevertheless, for there to be any sustainable altcoin season, the Bitcoin dominance must first crash. Going by what happened back in 2017 and 2021, at least a 40% crash in the Bitcoin dominance is required to usher in the altcoin season.
  20. Tether is making moves again, and this time, it is to mine green Bitcoin. In a bold move, they have partnered with South American agribusiness giant Adecoagro to create a BTC ▼-1.13% mining operation. But this time, the operation site will be powered solely on robust renewable energy in Brazil. The goal is to transform clean energy into digital gold. With Tether holding a 70% stake in Adecoagro and turning its eyes to global mining dominance, this initiative could reshape how the world views crypto sustainability and energy use. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.17T24h7d30d1yAll time Green Power for More Sustainable Bitcoin Mining Tether’s partnership with Adecoagro represents a strategic push towards more eco-Bitcoin mining. Adecoagro is a major agribusiness with more than 230 MW of renewable energy from solar, wind, and biomass production. The pilot project in Brazil aims to repurpose surplus power. Energy that would otherwise go unused now will be harnessed to mine Bitcoin. The company has set a goal to become the biggest Bitcoin miner in the world, and with Brazil set up, this will seal the deal. The social media response has been mostly positive, especially on X (Twitter), and crypto influencers applaud the focus on sustainability and financial innovations. Users highlighted Adecoagro’s potential Bitcoin exposure and the environmental upside of using surplus renewable power. But the question remains if this business model can scale globally and is the regulators are going to be happy with it. How will the market react to an energy-rich corporation entering the crypto-mining business? These uncertainties will be answered in the near future. What we know for sure is that Tether is not only a crypto heavyweight champion but also possibly a sustainable leader in the Web3 world. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in Today Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Tether partnering with Agrodeco in Bitcoin green mining. Tether owns a 70% share in Agrodeco. How is the new open-source Tether Mining OS going to change the crypto game? The post Tether Eyes South America’s Surplus Power for Green Bitcoin Mining appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  21. Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,300 an ounce as short-term traders took profits on the recent double-digit rally in precious metals. The long-term trend remains positive for gold, and the metal remains well above its 200-day moving average, a technical signal that confirms the uptrend remains in place. Gold and Silver Remain the Best Performing Asset Class in 2025 Even with the light pullback in gold prices, the precious metal is still notching a 21% gain since the start of the year, with silver up 20%, both handily beating the 4.41% gain in the S&P 500 this year. Key Inflation Gauge Ticks Modestly Higher The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE), rose by 2.3% over the 12 months through May, the Commerce Department said. Excluding food and energy, core PCE inflation rose to 2.7% in May, from 2.6% in April. While the uptick in inflation is positive for the precious metals sector, gold and silver showed little reaction as the easing of the Middle East conflict, for now, has dampened fresh demand for precious metals. Consumer Spending Drops for the First Time in 2025 Americans spent less in May on both goods and services as consumer spending fell 0.1%. Economists had expected consumer spending to gain 0.1% last month. Consumers bought fewer cars and spent less at restaurants and hotels. Economists say that consumer worries about tariff hikes translated into weaker spending in the second quarter, which could have a broader impact throughout the year. Consumer spending is a major driver of the American economy, accounting for over two-thirds of all economic activity. The Bottom Line The price pullback in gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to accumulate precious metal at lower prices. Now is an opportune time to trade fewer of your dollars for more gold. A number of major Wall Street firms target gains to the $4,000 area and beyond in the months and years ahead. Today’s pricing on gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to increase their allocation to the safety and security of precious metals while they are effectively on sale. Use the summer complacency as your opportunity to make savvy market moves. Photo by Zlaťáky.cz on Unsplash The post Gold Briefly Dips As Risk Aversion Fades on Israel-Iran Ceasefire, China Trade Deal appeared first on Blanchard and Company.
  22. Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,300 an ounce as short-term traders took profits on the recent double-digit rally in precious metals. The long-term trend remains positive for gold, and the metal remains well above its 200-day moving average, a technical signal that confirms the uptrend remains in place. Gold and Silver Remain the Best Performing Asset Class in 2025 Even with the light pullback in gold prices, the precious metal is still notching a 21% gain since the start of the year, with silver up 20%, both handily beating the 4.41% gain in the S&P 500 this year. Key Inflation Gauge Ticks Modestly Higher The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE), rose by 2.3% over the 12 months through May, the Commerce Department said. Excluding food and energy, core PCE inflation rose to 2.7% in May, from 2.6% in April. While the uptick in inflation is positive for the precious metals sector, gold and silver showed little reaction as the easing of the Middle East conflict, for now, has dampened fresh demand for precious metals. Consumer Spending Drops for the First Time in 2025 Americans spent less in May on both goods and services as consumer spending fell 0.1%. Economists had expected consumer spending to gain 0.1% last month. Consumers bought fewer cars and spent less at restaurants and hotels. Economists say that consumer worries about tariff hikes translated into weaker spending in the second quarter, which could have a broader impact throughout the year. Consumer spending is a major driver of the American economy, accounting for over two-thirds of all economic activity. The Bottom Line The price pullback in gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to accumulate precious metal at lower prices. Now is an opportune time to trade fewer of your dollars for more gold. A number of major Wall Street firms target gains to the $4,000 area and beyond in the months and years ahead. Today’s pricing on gold offers long-term investors an opportunity to increase their allocation to the safety and security of precious metals while they are effectively on sale. Use the summer complacency as your opportunity to make savvy market moves. Photo by Zlaťáky.cz on Unsplash The post Gold Briefly Dips As Risk Aversion Fades on Israel-Iran Ceasefire, China Trade Deal appeared first on Blanchard and Company.
  23. After recovering from the recent pullbacks, SUI is attempting to reclaim a crucial resistance, which could trigger a breakout from its bullish formation. Some analysts believe that the cryptocurrency’s imminent rally could target significantly higher levels. SUI Eyes Key Area Reclaim On Thursday, SUI has surged more than 10% from its $2.70 support toward the crucial $3.00 barrier. The cryptocurrency has been attempting to reclaim this area throughout Thursday, hovering between the $2.95 and $3.08 levels. Notably, the altcoin ended its multi-month downtrend after breaking above its descending resistance at the end of March, fueling its rally toward the $4.29 high in May. Since the Q2 breakout, SUI has been trading within the $2.33-$4.10 range. Nonetheless, the June pullbacks, driven by the global geopolitical tensions, sent the token below the $3.00 mid-range support to its local low of $2.22 nearly two weeks ago, before reclaiming the $2.80-$2.90 area. Amid the start-of-month retracement, the altcoin briefly lost its local range, but the Wednesday pump reignited bullish sentiment and potentially set the stage for a rally continuation. Analyst Alex Clay noted that SUI is currently testing the confluence of the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) resistances alongside its bullish flag resistance. According to the chart, the cryptocurrency has been trading within a bullish flag formation since May, and lost the technical indicators throughout the June pullbacks. Now, the indicators and the patterns’ upper boundary sit as resistance around the $3.00-$3.10 area. If the altcoin reclaims these key levels, the analyst considers that a rally to the $5.00 resistance would be “an easy trade.” Is A Breakout To $10 Nearby? Analyst Marcus pointed out that SUI “just snapped back from the 0.786 Fib zone sharp, clean and confident.” He added that the cryptocurrency’s structure held despite the correction, which confirmed a “healthy pullback, not a breakdown.” To the analyst, the current bounce could be the higher low that sets the stage for SUI’s next major move, as “all signs point to a setup that’s not done yet.” Meanwhile, market Watcher Crypto Yhodda affirmed that SUI is “in a big accumulation right now,” pointing to an eight-month triangle formation. According to the analyst, a breakout from this pattern “can help it reach the dream target of $10.” Similarly, Kaleo highlighted SUI’s bounce on its trading pairs against Bitcoin (BTC) and USD. He explained that there are many similarities between the base the altcoin is currently building and the base from the April lows that propelled the token to its local high. The cryptocurrency bounced off the High timeframe (HTF) ascending support line on both occasions, suggesting a massive rally could be ahead. To the analyst, the $10 target is “a magnet.” Crypto Batman also highlighted this ascending support, noting that the recent pullback marks the third time the cryptocurrency has bounced from it since August. Following the previous two retests, the token rallied for weeks toward higher levels, signaling that a breakout could be nearby. Additionally, he considers that SUI displays a “solid-looking setup,” as it is trading above the key $2.30-$2.40 area that has served as resistance and support on the weekly chart. As of this writing, SUI trades at $3.09, a 15% increase in the weekly timeframe.
  24. 🧭 China está “Tornando o Ouro Público”: Análise Estrutural do Avanço Chinês no Mercado Global de Ouro 🖋️Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE 🧱 Por que isso importa agora? O movimento da China para internacionalizar o ouro e seu próprio sistema monetário está se tornando o eixo central de uma transformação no mercado financeiro global. Após mais de uma década de planejamento, Pequim está avançando silenciosamente com uma estratégia robusta de longo prazo para transformar o ouro em um pilar público e monetário da nova ordem multipolar, alavancando o yuan e consolidando sua independência em relação ao dólar americano. Esta é a transcrição técnica e comentada de uma prévia em formato de redação, antecipando o conteúdo premium completo que será lançado neste fim de semana no ExpertFX School. 🎯 Principais Temas Abordados 1.🧭 Migração da Cadeia de Suprimentos para o Oriente (Desde 2013) 📌 A demanda por ouro migrou para a Ásia, levando bancos ocidentais a abrir cofres em Cingapura e Hong Kong. 🔎 Insight: “A demanda dita a localização do poder de precificação.” 2.⚙️ Estrutura de Cadeia de Suprimentos (Ouro vs. Prata) 📌 Diferente da prata, o ouro atua tanto como insumo quanto produto final. Isso facilita seu uso como ativo de reserva. 🔍 Insight: o ouro circula mais no nível financeiro do que industrial, consolidando seu papel monetário. 3.💱 Fim do Dólar como Moeda Única de Precificação 📌 China e BRICS buscam romper com a precificação exclusiva em dólar. 🎯 Objetivo: criar mercados regionais de ouro precificados em yuan, reforçando a independência monetária. 4.💴 Ouro como Âncora para o Yuan 📌 A China está construindo uma ligação simbiótica entre o ouro e o yuan, espelhando o padrão dólar-ouro pós-Segunda Guerra. 📌 Finalidade: fortalecer a confiança no yuan como moeda de troca e reserva em economias satélites. 5.🏗️ Infraestrutura Chinesa vs. Demanda Explosiva 📌 A demanda doméstica pode estar superando a capacidade logística. ✔️ Porém, o planejamento antecipado da China e a durabilidade do ouro facilitam a estruturação. 6. 🧩 Transformação Estrutural do Mercado Interno Chinês 📌 Cinco áreas-chave da estratégia chinesa: Queda na produção doméstica Aumento da demanda de investimento Logística de importação e refino Reestruturação via SGE e SHFE Estratégia do PBoC (Banco Central da China) 7. ⛏️ Queda de Produção Interna e Aumento de Importações 📌 A China precisa importar mais ouro refinado de Suíça, África do Sul, Canadá e Austrália. 📌 O PBoC controla cotas de importação com rigidez. 8. 📈 Demanda por Investimento supera Joias 📌 A preferência do chinês médio mudou: ETFs e barras pequenas substituem a joalheria como forma de exposição ao ouro. 📌 Consequência: fluxo mais especulativo e agressivo. 9. 💸 Prêmio de Xangai e Restrições Cambiais 📌 Quando o preço em Xangai (SGE) supera Londres, o arbitrador físico entra em ação. 🔎 Mas, com o yuan enfraquecido e o mercado fechado, o prêmio só fecha via entrega física real. 10. 🌐 Dupla Estrutura de Mercado: Local e Global 📌 A China separa acesso entre: SGE/SHFE: para investidores locais SGE International (SGEI): para participantes estrangeiros e BRICS 📌 Bancos chineses promovem ouro físico ativamente ao varejo, o oposto dos EUA. 11. 🏦 Estratégia de Acumulação do PBoC 📌 Oficialmente, o ouro representa apenas 7% das reservas, mas a acumulação é constante e discreta. 📌 Objetivo: preservar a confiança internacional sem causar disrupção. 12. 🔍 Transparência Estratégica e Integração Global 📌 A China usa o ouro como ativo para ganhar respeito e confiança internacional (SDR, FMI, etc). 📌 Revelações são graduais e politicamente calculadas. 📌 Foco do Relatório Premium deste Final de Semana Em breve o analista Igor Pereira deverá publicar um relatório técnico detalhado com foco em: Estratégia de substituição do dólar pelo yuan Expectativa de valorização do ouro com apoio institucional chinês Como isso influencia o XAU/USD e a perda de hegemonia dos contratos da Comex A importância do SGEI na construção de um mercado de ouro multipolar O impacto direto no dólar e nos Treasuries 🎯 Conclusão ExpertFX School A China está "tornando o ouro público", não como um slogan político, mas como uma reengenharia estrutural dos mercados monetário e de reserva global. O avanço do PBoC, a sofisticação da infraestrutura local e a articulação com BRICS criam uma nova rota institucional para o ouro, ameaçando o domínio do dólar na precificação de ativos reais. 🚨 Para traders e investidores, isso representa um dos maiores fluxos de capital potencial da próxima década. A leitura institucional sobre o ouro deve incluir agora variáveis políticas, monetárias e geoestratégicas do Oriente.
  25. The Bitcoin market now appears to be seeing a notable surge in its momentum, with the asset finally breaching the $110,000 mark to inch really close to its all-time high. The asset has so far registered a 24-hour high of $110,117, less than 3% increase away from its all-time high of $111,814 registered in May. At the time of writing, BTC trades back at $109,000 levels, marking a 1.3% increase in the past day. While the price action alone has fueled speculation of an imminent breakout, several analysts suggest that deeper structural shifts within the market are at play. On-chain data particularly reveals changes in whale activity, exchange flows, and stablecoin dynamics that could offer clues about the market’s next move. Signs of Reduced Bitcoin Selling Pressure and Upward Bias CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan shared a detailed view of the current state of Bitcoin’s price structure, emphasizing a broader directional change in the market that began in April. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s recent price resilience can be attributed to a noticeable decline in selling pressure from US-based institutional investors and whales. These large players, who were previously offloading significant holdings, have shifted into accumulation mode in recent months. Dan explained that Bitcoin appears to be in a transitional phase. He observed a gradual fade in sell-side activity from major US wallets since April, and that drop has been met with stable buying pressure. This suggests that institutions are no longer offloading positions but are maintaining or adding to their holdings. Dan added that the current consolidation, marked by Bitcoin’s price hovering above the $100,000 range, is allowing short-term overheated indicators to cool down. Dan noted: While the possibility of a correction remains, the broader market direction continues to be upward, so I will maintain my perspective and look forward to the second half of 2025. Overall, this could mean that the ongoing price action in the market may be the calm before a longer-term move upward, assuming macro conditions remain supportive. Exchange Outflows and Liquidity Trends Paint a Risk-On Picture Adding further context, another CryptoQuant contributor, Novaque Research, pointed to recent shifts in on-chain flows and broader liquidity conditions. According to their data, exchange outflows have picked up notably since late June, with some days seeing over 10,000 BTC withdrawn. Such behavior typically signals long-term investor confidence and a reduced likelihood of near-term sell pressure. Additionally, the report noted that miners have remained largely inactive in terms of selling despite BTC trading above $100,000. This suggests confidence in price sustainability and possible anticipation of more favorable financial conditions. Meanwhile, stablecoin activity has also shown key changes. Both USDC and USDT supply ratios on exchanges have been trending downward since mid-June, indicating capital is sitting idle rather than flowing into spot markets. Novaque noted that investors may be on the sidelines waiting for confirmation, but the structural behavior is leaning toward accumulation. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
  26. Data of the Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio suggests investors have stronger purchasing power today than during the previous bull rally. Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio Showing Neutral Purchasing Power In its latest weekly report, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) of Bitcoin. This indicator measures the ratio between the Bitcoin supply and the supply of stablecoins. Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that have their price tied to a fiat currency. The SSR specifically measures the supply of the stablecoins tied to the US Dollar (USD). As for the role that these assets play in the sector, Glassnode explains: Stablecoins have become a critical component of the digital asset ecosystem, serving as the primary quote asset for trading across both centralized and decentralized venues. Functionally, they represent readily available capital, or “dry powder”, available for digital asset purchases. As such, the SSR compares the Bitcoin supply against this available dry powder. In other words, it tells us about how the cryptocurrency compares against the investor’s purchasing power. When the value of the metric is high, it means the BTC supply is high compared to the stablecoin supply. In other words, the trader’s purchasing power is weak. On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests there is high dry powder available relative to the BTC supply. In the context of the current discussion, the SSR itself isn’t of focus, but rather a modified indicator called the SSR Oscillator. According to the analytics firm, the metric measures “how the 200d SMA of the SSR moves within the Bollinger Bands BB(200, 2).” Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin SSR Oscillator over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin SSR Oscillator has been close to the zero mark during the last couple of months, indicating the investor purchasing power is more or less neutral compared to the size of the BTC supply. From the chart, it’s visible that the trend was different during the rally beyond $100,000 that occurred late last year. Back then, the SSR Oscillator took on a highly positive value, suggesting the stablecoin supply was low relative to BTC. The cryptocurrency is currently also trading around the same levels as then, yet the SSR is showing a different story. “Despite similar price levels, this shift suggests that investor purchasing power has improved markedly, reflecting stronger underlying demand conditions,” notes the report. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $109,500, up over 2% in the last seven days.
  27. 🔶 Bitcoin domina redes sociais e mineradora MARA atinge 50 mil BTC em balanço 📰 Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado | Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE 📅 04 de Julho de 2025 📌 Resumo Executivo O Bitcoin (BTC) volta a liderar o centro das atenções do mercado com dois eventos que reforçam sua força institucional e o interesse global por ativos escassos: O BTC é, segundo dados da Santiment, o ativo mais mencionado nas redes sociais em julho. A mineradora pública Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) confirmou que atingiu 50.000 BTC sob custódia, consolidando uma estratégia corporativa de longo prazo (HODL). Com o BTC cotado em US$ 109.011, os sinais técnicos e fundamentais apontam para um novo ciclo de valorização, sustentado por uma combinação entre acúmulo institucional, escassez líquida no mercado spot e o novo plano fiscal de Donald Trump, baseado em gastos estratégicos e reconstrução industrial. 🧭 BTC lidera engajamento global nas redes sociais 📊 Dado técnico: Segundo a Santiment, o Bitcoin superou todas as altcoins em menções, engajamento e alcance nas redes sociais, retomando sua posição como o principal foco de atenção do mercado cripto globalmente. Este movimento coincide com o avanço de políticas monetárias inflacionárias nos EUA, instabilidade geopolítica e crescente desconfiança sobre moedas fiduciárias. O BTC, nesse cenário, volta a ser visto como ativo não soberano e resistente à manipulação governamental. 🏢 MARA acumula 50.000 BTC e transforma mineração em tesouraria A Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) revelou ter atingido 50.000 BTC em seu balanço patrimonial, após 12 meses de execução de sua estratégia "HODL Corporativo". 🔎 Destaques institucionais: A MARA acumula BTC em vez de vender, reduzindo a oferta circulante e ajudando na sustentação dos preços. Esse movimento sinaliza que mineradoras agora operam como instituições de custódia de BTC, e não apenas como fornecedoras de liquidez ao mercado. A estratégia é análoga à da MicroStrategy, reforçando a visão de longo prazo. 📊 Análise Técnica e Sentimento Atual Indicador Situação Atual Interpretação Estratégica Preço atual do BTC US$ 109.011 Forte tendência de alta, sem resistências imediatas Sentimento social BTC domina redes Potencial de novo fluxo especulativo e institucional Acúmulo institucional (MARA) 50.000 BTC em custódia Pressão compradora estrutural Derivativos Aumento de open interest e calls Expectativa de extensão da alta até US$ 120k ETFs de Bitcoin Reentrada líquida nas últimas 3 semanas Reforço de demanda spot institucional 🔮 Projeções ExpertFX para o BTC Com base na análise fundamental e no comportamento dos grandes players, os próximos níveis técnicos a observar são: 📈 Resistências potenciais: US$ 112.500 – primeiro alvo de curto prazo US$ 120.000 – resistência psicológica forte US$ 129.000 – alvo de extensão institucional (baseado em Fibonacci e projeções de fluxo) 📉 Suportes relevantes: US$ 101.300 – zona de liquidez spot (ex-breakout) US$ 98.000 – suporte psicológico de ciclo 🧠 Conclusão ExpertFX School A ascensão do Bitcoin para mais de US$ 109 mil não é resultado de euforia, mas de um movimento silencioso de reestruturação macroeconômica, fiscal e monetária nos EUA e em outras grandes economias. O papel do BTC como reserva estratégica, hedge contra inflação e instrumento de independência patrimonial está mais claro do que nunca. A entrada de mineradoras como MARA, com atuação ativa no mercado institucional, consolida uma nova estrutura de oferta. Já o domínio do BTC nas redes sociais prepara o terreno para nova entrada de investidores de varejo e reforço dos volumes em derivativos. 📢 Mantenha-se atualizado com nossas análises diárias na ExpertFX School. Aqui você encontra cobertura completa de BTC, ouro, geopolítica, macroeconomia e estratégias operacionais com leitura institucional.
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