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Bank of America: Investidores estrangeiros detêm participação recorde de US$ 19 trilhões no mercado dos EUA Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro – ExpertFX School Desde 1991, investidores estrangeiros adquiriram coletivamente mais de US$ 128 trilhões em ativos financeiros dos Estados Unidos, segundo análise do Bank of America com base em dados oficiais da Reserva Federal (Fed). Apenas nos últimos 15 anos, as compras líquidas de ações, títulos públicos e privados, instrumentos de crédito, fundos do mercado monetário e outros ativos dobraram, refletindo um ciclo persistente de confiança internacional na economia americana. Atualmente, estrangeiros detêm aproximadamente 18% de todo o mercado acionário dos EUA, o equivalente a cerca de US$ 19 trilhões, configurando um patamar recorde de participação externa no capital financeiro norte-americano. Impactos no mercado financeiro Esse nível inédito de exposição internacional representa um divisor de águas para a estrutura do mercado financeiro dos EUA. A dominância estrangeira nos ativos americanos, especialmente em ações e títulos, reforça o status dos EUA como porto seguro global, mas também revela a crescente interdependência entre o capital internacional e a estabilidade de Wall Street. Do ponto de vista da liquidez, a entrada massiva de capital estrangeiro proporciona sustentação aos valuations, reduz custos de financiamento e amplia o apetite por risco em setores estratégicos da economia norte-americana. Em momentos de expansão global, isso tende a beneficiar o S&P 500 e o Nasdaq, fortalecendo o dólar como divisa de reserva. No entanto, o cenário também traz vulnerabilidades sistêmicas: em um ambiente de aumento de taxas nos EUA, desaceleração global ou tensões geopolíticas (como guerra comercial, conflitos militares ou desacordo cambial), esses mesmos fluxos podem se reverter de forma abrupta, gerando riscos de liquidez e instabilidade em múltiplos mercados – de ações a Treasuries. O que esperar Com os atuais níveis de dívida pública dos EUA superando US$ 34 trilhões e uma crescente fragilidade fiscal em Washington, a continuidade do apetite externo dependerá de uma confiança contínua no sistema institucional e na política monetária americana. Alterações na trajetória dos juros pelo Fed, ou decisões disruptivas do governo Trump em sua nova gestão, podem afetar diretamente esse fluxo internacional. No médio prazo, analistas esperam uma rotação gradual de ativos, com investidores estrangeiros migrando parcialmente para ouro, ativos asiáticos, criptomoedas e commodities, como forma de diversificação e proteção contra riscos fiscais e cambiais dos EUA. Opinião do analista Igor Pereira A concentração de capital estrangeiro em ativos americanos é ao mesmo tempo um reflexo do domínio global dos EUA e um alerta para riscos de reversão abrupta de fluxo, especialmente em contextos de tensões geopolíticas ou instabilidade interna. O fato de investidores internacionais controlarem quase um quinto do mercado acionário americano não é apenas simbólico — é estrutural. Como analista, vejo esse dado como um sinal de maturidade e risco: maturidade, pois os EUA continuam sendo o principal destino do capital global; risco, porque qualquer abalo na confiança pode gerar movimentos de correção agressivos em Wall Street, pressionando também moedas emergentes, como o real, e ativos sensíveis ao risco, como o ouro (XAU/USD). Para o trader institucional, esse é um momento de atenção redobrada: monitorar os fluxos internacionais se tornou tão essencial quanto acompanhar os dados macroeconômicos locais.

Butão acumula reservas em Bitcoin equivalentes a quase 40% do PIB nacional Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro - ExpertFX School Desde 2020, o Reino do Butão vem se destacando no cenário global ao implementar uma estratégia inovadora de mineração e acúmulo de Bitcoin (BTC) em suas reservas nacionais. Atualmente, estima-se que o país detenha cerca de US$ 1,3 bilhão em BTC, valor que corresponde a quase 40% do PIB do país, tornando-o o terceiro maior detentor de Bitcoin entre governos nacionais. Impactos no mercado financeiro Essa decisão do Butão representa um marco significativo para o mercado de criptomoedas, sobretudo pela participação direta de uma autoridade governamental na posse de um ativo digital de alta volatilidade e potencial disruptivo. A alocação expressiva em Bitcoin por parte de um governo soberano sinaliza maturidade crescente do ativo como reserva de valor alternativa, capaz de oferecer proteção contra pressões inflacionárias e instabilidades cambiais. Para o mercado financeiro global, essa iniciativa pode desencadear um movimento de maior aceitação institucional das criptomoedas, especialmente em países emergentes que buscam diversificação de reservas e maior autonomia monetária. A exposição governamental ao BTC tende a reduzir a percepção de risco e pode contribuir para a estabilização do preço da criptomoeda no médio prazo. No entanto, é importante considerar os riscos associados à concentração de ativos digitais em governos de pequeno porte, cuja liquidez pode impactar volatilidade caso ocorram vendas expressivas. Além disso, o ambiente regulatório e geopolítico pode influenciar decisivamente o comportamento desses ativos. O que esperar No horizonte dos próximos meses, espera-se que outras nações observem atentamente os resultados da estratégia do Butão e avaliem a possibilidade de incorporar ativos digitais em suas reservas soberanas, especialmente diante do contexto global de inflação elevada e incertezas econômicas. Para traders e investidores, a crescente institucionalização do Bitcoin pode significar um mercado mais sólido, com fluxos de capital mais estáveis, mas ainda sujeito a riscos típicos do ativo, como volatilidade e influências externas. Opinião do analista Igor Pereira A adoção do Bitcoin pelo Butão é um movimento estratégico que sinaliza a transição das criptomoedas de um ativo especulativo para uma ferramenta legítima de política econômica. Esse caso reforça a importância de se analisar o mercado cripto sob uma perspectiva macroeconômica e institucional, além dos tradicionais fatores técnicos. Vejo essa iniciativa como um indicativo claro de que o futuro das reservas soberanas pode ser híbrido, combinando moedas fiduciárias com ativos digitais para melhor proteção contra choques globais. No entanto, é fundamental que os investidores estejam atentos aos riscos de concentração e volatilidade, adotando uma gestão de risco robusta para navegar nesse novo cenário.

Data shows the Bitcoin Open Interest on the cryptocurrency exchange Binance has recently shot up. What could this mean for the asset’s price? Bitcoin Binance Open Interest Has Seen A Sharp Increase As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin Open Interest on Binance has spiked. The “Open Interest” refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of BTC positions that are currently open on a given derivatives platform. When the value of the metric goes up, it means the investors are opening up fresh positions on the market. As the total amount of leverage present in the sector rises when new positions appear, this kind of trend can lead to the asset’s price becoming more volatile. On the other hand, the indicator observing a decline suggests the holders are either closing up positions of their own volition or getting liquidated by their platform. Since leverage goes down with such a trend, the cryptocurrency can become more stable following it. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 24-hour percentage change of the Bitcoin Open Interest for the Binance exchange over the past month: As displayed in the above graph, the 24-hour change in the Binance Bitcoin Open Interest recently shot up to a notably positive value, implying the number of positions on the platform saw a significant jump. At the peak of this spike, the indicator hit a value of more than 6%. From the chart, it’s visible that there have been a couple of other occasions that the metric has breached this mark during the past month. Interestingly, each of these spikes coincided with points that preceded a period of consolidation/decline for Bitcoin. As the quant notes, This recurring pattern suggests that large inflows into leveraged positions often precede periods where short-term gains are realized, leading to potential price pullbacks or sideways movement as market participants de-risk. The analyst has also shared another chart, this one tracking the 7-day change in the Realized Cap of the short-term holders and long-term holders. The “Realized Cap” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the capital that the holders have invested into Bitcoin. Below is a chart that shows the change in this metric for two investor cohorts, short-term holders (holding time of 155 days or lesser) and long-term holders (holding time greater than 155 days). As is apparent from the graph, the 7-day change in the Realized Cap has recently been positive for long-term holders, which suggests capital has been maturing from the short-term holders into this cohort. That said, earlier in the month, the indicator hit a peak of $57 billion, but today it has come down to just $3.5 billion. So, while capital is still aging into long-term holders, it’s now happening at a much slower rate. BTC Price Bitcoin has been attempting to break past the $108,000 mark, but so far, it hasn’t found success as its price is still trading around $107,200.

Cardano price started a fresh decline below the $0.5750 zone. ADA is now consolidating and might struggle to stay above the $0.550 support. ADA price started a fresh decline below $0.580 and $0.5750. The price is trading below $0.570 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.570 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it dips below the $0.550 support zone. Cardano Price Dips Again In the past few sessions, Cardano saw a fresh decline below the $0.580, unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA even declined below the $0.5750 level to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.5102 swing low to the $0.5938 high. The price even spiked below the $0.5520 support. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.570 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair. Cardano price is now trading below $0.570 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.570 zone. The first resistance is near $0.5850. The next key resistance might be $0.5920. If there is a close above the $0.5920 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.620 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.6350 in the near term. Another Drop In ADA? If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.5850 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.5520 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.5102 swing low to the $0.5938 high. The next major support is near the $0.530 level. A downside break below the $0.530 level could open the doors for a test of $0.5120. The next major support is near the $0.50 level where the bulls might emerge. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.5520 and $0.5300. Major Resistance Levels – $0.5850 and $0.6000.

Bitcoin has regained some upward momentum, with its market price currently hovering around $107,155 at the time of writing. This marks a 0.4% decrease in the past 24 hours, and a 4.3% drop below its all-time high of $111,000, set in May. Despite the rebound, analysts are closely watching for potential shifts in momentum as a number of market indicators and macroeconomic signals suggest a more cautious short-term outlook. Among the recent developments drawing attention is a sharp rise in Net Taker Volume on Binance, along with significant stablecoin outflows from derivative platforms. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha noted in a recent market commentary that these changes could indicate increased speculative activity. While some traders interpret such surges as bullish signals, they often occur due to short liquidations or sudden retail buying rather than consistent organic demand. Derivatives Activity and Fed Commentary Fuel Market Caution On June 24, Binance’s Net Taker Volume crossed $100 million for the first time since early June. This level of activity, according to Taha, can sometimes signal buying momentum but may also point to forced closures of short positions, especially in high-leverage environments. Taha emphasized that without strong capital inflows to back the movement, these bursts tend to be short-lived. Simultaneously, more than $1.25 billion in stablecoin liquidity has exited derivative exchanges, marking the largest capital outflow from these platforms since May. These outflows reduce the base for opening new leveraged positions, potentially dampening future market momentum. Taha also pointed to external economic cues, particularly a recent statement by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. During his testimony before Congress, Powell signaled that rate cuts may be on the table depending on upcoming economic conditions. While looser monetary policy is often viewed as favorable for risk assets like Bitcoin, the shift also reflects underlying uncertainty. The analyst also mentioned that the Swiss Franc, traditionally seen as a safe-haven currency, has also surged against the US dollar, suggesting that some investors are leaning risk-off amid broader macroeconomic developments. Market Structure Remains Firm, But Momentum Is Slowing Separately, another CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Dan offered a different perspective using a bubble chart model that visualizes trading volume trends across exchanges. According to Dan, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a “cooling” phase. This implies reduced trading activity without dramatic spikes in volume, often seen as a sign that the market is consolidating rather than overheating. He noted that while BTC remains close to its all-time high, the path forward may depend on macroeconomic catalysts such as confirmed interest rate cuts or regulatory clarity. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

US President Donald Trump’s namesake meme token has tumbled hard, slumping nearly 90% from its all-time high set six months ago. Today, TRUMP is trading at $8.80, down 6% in the last seven days. Traders are on edge after the project’s team yanked $4.4 million in USDC from liquidity pools and a single whale lined up a $2.5 million sell order. Team Pulls Millions From Liquidity According to a recent post on X by Lookonchain, the Trump Coin team withdrew $4.4 million worth of USDC and moved 347,438 TRUMP tokens—valued at $3.12 million—from the main liquidity pool into a fresh wallet. That move came without any heads-up or clear reason. Now, many investors worry that the team might be preparing to dump coins, which would add selling pressure to a coin already struggling with low demand. Whale Places Huge Sell Order Based on reports, a major wallet known as Kewh32 has put 275,672 TRUMP tokens on the market, roughly $2.5 million at current prices. This whale also sold 100,000 tokens earlier in June and still holds 369,400 coins. If those tokens ever hit exchanges, the added supply could push the price even lower. Price Pattern Offers Mixed Signal On the daily chart, TRUMP has traced out a falling wedge pattern. That setup often leads to a breakout, but only when buyers step in with strength. Here, trading volumes remain weak. The relative strength index (RSI) has sat below 50 for over a month, signaling that sellers are still in control. At the same time, the Awesome Oscillator just flipped green—albeit still below zero—which hints that bearish momentum may be fading. Investor Confidence Falters Many traders are watching the $8 to $9 range closely. A failure to hold above $8 could spell more losses and test deeper support. Right now, there’s no sign of a strong rally. Without fresh buying interest or positive news, the downtrend inside the wedge looks set to continue. It won’t take much to spark a short squeeze—maybe a burst of social media hype or a big buy from another whale. But trust in the token’s team is shaky after the recent liquidity pull. Until on-chain activity shows real demand, most market players expect more choppy trading and lower prices. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.220 zone. The price is consolidating and might decline further toward the $2.020 support. XRP price started a downside correction below the $2.20 zone. The price is now trading below $2.150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2.150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could find bids near the $2.020 zone and start a fresh increase. XRP Price Dips Below Support XRP price attempted more gains above the $2.150 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price spiked above the $2.20 and $2.220 levels, but the bulls failed to extend gains. A high was formed at $2.2294 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the $2.20 and $2.15 levels. The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.910 swing low to the $2.2294 high. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2.150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $2.180 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.150 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.20 level. The next resistance is $2.220. A clear move above the $2.220 resistance might send the price toward the $2.320 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.40 resistance or even $2.450 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.50. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $2.20 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.070 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.910 swing low to the $2.2294 high. The next major support is near the $2.020 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.020 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.00 support. The next major support sits near the $1.920 zone. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.070 and $2.020. Major Resistance Levels – $2.20 and $2.220.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,450 zone. ETH is now correcting gains from $2,520 and might slip to test the $2,320 zone. Ethereum started a fresh upward move above the $2,350 level. The price is trading above $2,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2,450 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains stable above the $2,320 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Dips Below Support Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,320 support level, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,350 and $2,450 resistance levels to move into a positive zone. The bulls even pushed the price above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,569 swing high to the $2,115 low. However, the bulls were active above the $2,500 level. A high was formed at $2,520 and the price is now correcting some gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,114 swing low to the $2,520 high. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2,450 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $2,500 level. The next key resistance is near the $2,520 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,550 level. A clear move above the $2,550 resistance might send the price toward the $2,600 resistance. An upside break above the $2,600 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,720 resistance zone or even $2,800 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,520 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,400 level. The first major support sits near the $2,320 zone. A clear move below the $2,320 support might push the price toward the $2,250 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,200 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,320 Major Resistance Level – $2,520

As Bitcoin pushes back toward the $108,000 level, on-chain data reveals the investor cohorts are still divided in their accumulation behavior. Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Shows Mixed Behavior From Holders In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how the BTC investor cohorts aren’t showing a unified behavior on the Accumulation Trend Score. The Accumulation Trend Score refers to an indicator that basically tells us whether Bitcoin holders are accumulating or not. The metric bases its value on two factors: the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors and the size of those wallets. When the value of the indicator is greater than 0.5, it means the large holders (or a large number of small hands) are leaning toward net accumulation. The closer the score is to 1.0, the stronger the buying. On the other hand, the metric being under the threshold suggests the investors are in a phase of distribution (or simply, that they aren’t accumulating). This behavior is the strongest at the zero mark. Now, here is the chart for the Accumulation Trend Score shared by Glassnode, showing the trend in the metric separately for the various holder groups: As displayed in the above graph, the Accumulation Trend Score has recently varied in value across these cohorts. Investors who hold between 1 to 10 BTC appear to be distributing, while those with 10 to 100 BTC are accumulating. Among the large holders, the trend leans more neutral, but the indicator still doesn’t show any clear uniformity. Members of the 1,000 to 10,000 coins group, popularly referred to as the whales, are currently tending toward accumulation, but those part of the 10,000+ cohort, the ‘mega whales,’ are showing slight distribution. According to the analytics firm, the Accumulation Trend Score of the network as a whole stands at 0.57. As such, it seems there is no majority behavior being followed by the traders at the moment. That said, while a unifying buying push hasn’t appeared alongside the latest price rally toward $108,000, there has still been an improvement that has occurred in the score. According to the analytics firm, the indicator dropped to a low of 0.25 earlier. It only remains to be seen, however, whether the Bitcoin investors would continue to move in this direction, or if indecision is here to stay for a while. BTC Price Bitcoin attempted to find a break above the $108,000 level earlier, but the asset has so far not been able to maintain a sustainable move, and its price has even seen rejection toward $107,100.

🇺🇸 Trump pode aplicar novas tarifas se acordos comerciais não forem fechados até 9 de julho 📅 Washington, 26 de junho de 2025 — A Casa Branca declarou nesta quinta-feira que o prazo de 9 de julho para a conclusão de acordos comerciais com parceiros estratégicos "não é considerado crítico", mas alertou que o presidente Donald Trump poderá adotar tarifas retaliatórias caso os entendimentos não avancem até essa data. Segundo fontes oficiais, Trump está avaliando uma nova rodada de tarifas direcionadas a países que não atenderem às demandas comerciais dos Estados Unidos. A medida incluiria ajustes estratégicos nas tarifas de importação sobre bens industriais, semicondutores, veículos e produtos agrícolas, com foco especialmente na União Europeia e Japão — parceiros comerciais atualmente em negociação com Washington. Essa postura reforça o atual ambiente de insegurança no comércio internacional, à medida que a administração Trump segue uma política econômica mais nacionalista, alinhada ao seu plano de "reindustrialização americana" e contenção de déficits comerciais bilaterais. 📈Impactos não relacionados ao mercado O retorno de uma agenda tarifária mais agressiva por parte dos EUA pode gerar impactos diretos nos seguintes setores: Dólar (USD): Tendência de fortalecimento pontual com fuga para ativos seguros, mas pressão negativa no médio prazo caso as tensões comerciais comprometam o crescimento global; Ouro (XAU/USD): Deve seguir sendo o principal beneficiado em momentos de escalada nas incertezas geopolíticas, especialmente em caso de retaliação por parte da China ou da Europa; Mercado de Ações: Setores industriais e empresas com forte exposição às exportações podem sofrer, especialmente no S&P 500; Criptomoedas: Ativos como o Bitcoin podem atrair fluxo especulativo em momentos de aversão ao risco. 📌 O que esperar? 🔹 Caso as negociações não avancem até o dia 9 de julho, espera-se volatilidade significativa nos mercados globais, principalmente em commodities, moedas emergentes e nos ativos considerados "porto seguro", como ouro e franco suíço. 🔹 O setor logístico, automotivo e de tecnologia nos EUA pode ser impactado diretamente com tarifas aplicadas a peças e componentes importados da Ásia e Europa. 🔹A política de Trump reforça o risco de "reglobalização seletiva" , com rearranjos comerciais e reprecificação de ativos atrelados à cadeia de suprimentos global. 📣 Para acompanhar essas atualizações em tempo real e entender os impactos macroeconômicos no dólar, no ouro e nos mercados financeiros, acesse diariamente o site: 🔗 www.expertfxschool.com

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $106,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for a move above the $108,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $106,500 zone. The price is trading above $106,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $107,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $105,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $104,200 zone. BTC gained pace and was able to climb above the $105,000 and $105,500 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls pushed the price above the $106,500 resistance and the price tested the $108,150 zone. A high was formed at $108,165 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $107,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. However, the price stayed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $98,272 swing low to the $108,165 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $106,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $107,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $108,150 level or the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,276 low. A close above the $108,150 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,000 level. Bearish Reaction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $108,150 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $105,800 level. The first major support is near the $105,000 level. The next support is now near the $103,200 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $98,272 swing low to the $108,165 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $102,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $101,200, below which BTC might gain bearish momentum. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $105,800, followed by $105,500. Major Resistance Levels – $107,800 and $108,150.

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues its steady climb toward its all-time high (ATH) of $111,814 recorded in May 2025, the cryptocurrency is witnessing a notable shift in its holder composition. New on-chain data suggests that BTC “weak hands” are selling their holdings to larger investors. Bitcoin Moving Upstream From Weak Hands To Big Money According to a recent Cryptoquant Quicktake post by contributor IT Tech, Bitcoin’s supply is moving upstream from retail investors to larger holders. This movement denotes a fundamental shift in the investor sentiment toward the largest digital asset. Retail investors – those holding less than one BTC – have seen a significant reduction in their holdings, with total balances dropping by 54,500 BTC year-over-year (YoY), to 1.69 million BTC. On average, this cohort has experienced outflows of approximately 220 BTC per day. In contrast, large holders – wallets with 1,000 BTC or more – have expanded their total BTC exposure by 507,700 BTC over the same period, bringing their combined holdings to 16.57 million BTC. This group is now seeing average inflows of around 1,460 BTC per day. Institutional interest in Bitcoin also continues to rise at a historic pace. Notably, institutions are currently absorbing about seven times more BTC than retail investors are selling. At the same time, the post-halving issuance of BTC is currently hovering around 450 BTC a day, raising the possibility of a true “supply squeeze” amid strong buying pressure. To recall, BTC underwent its latest halving in April 2024, when the mining reward for each block on the chain was slashed from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. In their commentary, IT Tech noted that meaningful retail interest has yet to kick in during this cycle. Unlike previous market tops – where retail investors aggressively accumulated BTC – current data shows them exiting the market, suggesting that the bull run may still have more room to grow. Another metric that points toward the market top being far from the current price level is the Bitcoin 30-day MA Binary CDD. In a recent analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado_onchain noted that the BTC market is “far from overheating.” BTC Short-Term Holder Floor Approaching $100,000 As BTC remains range-bound between $100,000 and $110,000, the short-term holder (STH) realized price – a key psychological support level – is steadily climbing. It currently sits near $98,000, reflecting rising investor conviction. Further on-chain data also shows that both retail and institutional holders are reducing exchange deposits, signalling reluctance to sell at current levels. This behavior supports the idea that many are positioning for further upside. At press time, BTC trades at $107,012, down 0.5% in the past 24 hours.

Dogecoin showed a sudden rebound this week, sparking fresh talk of a major rally in the weeks ahead. After dipping to $0.142 on Sunday, the meme coin has climbed back above $0.16. According to market watchers, this bounce off long-term support could set the stage for a much bigger move, possibly as soon as July. Chart Pattern Points To Support Analysts have noted that Dogecoin’s slide to $0.142 fits neatly into a rising pattern of higher lows. Based on analysis, the dip hit a multi-year trendline that first showed up in October 2023. At that time, prices fell to a similar zone before reversing. Once Dogecoin found footing, it moved into an ascending channel, forming a steady string of higher highs and higher lows on the weekly chart. July Could Be The Launchpad Meanwhile, crypto analyst WIZZ have predicted that Dogecoin’s next leg up could begin in July. If the current support holds, they argue, DOGE may pick up speed and push toward the wedge’s tip and hit $1. The analyst’s chart shows a potential rally to $1.40, which would mark a 740% jump from today’s levels and blow past the $1 mark that many have eyed for years. Multiple Forecasts Add Fuel To The Debate This isn’t the first time experts have set sights on $1 for Dogecoin. Galaxy Research put the $1 target on its radar before the end of 2025. Javon Marks, in his own analysis, sees DOGE breaching $1.25 by riding a bullish continuation pattern. Other analysts have called for a 500% surge after a falling-wedge breakout in March. Short-Term Gains Vs. Long-Term Risks Dogecoin’s recent turn higher adds about 10% to its weekly lows, and it’s up roughly 5% over the last weekly session, trading near $0.166. But critics point out that DOGE lacks the fundamental backing of tokens that power major networks. Its price moves largely on community enthusiasm and hype. If Bitcoin or the broader crypto market cools off, Dogecoin could see sharper drops than more established assets. What Traders Should Keep In Mind For those thinking of jumping in, this setup is a double-edged sword. A 500% move in one month would be historic—even by meme-coin standards. But that kind of rally demands perfect market conditions and lots of buying momentum. If support breaks again, losses could come just as fast. Traders who choose to play this rebound may want to set clear profit targets and tight stops. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin changed hands near $0.162 in late-European trading on June 26, little changed on the day but still more than 13% above last Sunday’s swing low. Yet beneath that placid price action, the market is balancing on what YouTube analyst More Crypto Online calls “a wait-and-see situation” that could ignite either a decisive upside impulse or a slide back toward $0.14. Dogecoin Teeters On The Edge In a video published yesterday under the headline “Is DOGE About to CRASH or SOAR? Price Analysis & Scenarios,” the Elliott-wave commentator argues that the advance from the June 22 bottom remains incomplete. “The Doge chart is currently still, yeah, trying to reverse here to the upside from the swing low that formed on the 22nd of June,” he says at the outset, stressing that the rise so far is “only a three-wave move.” Because the structure has not yet printed the full five-wave sequence that typically inaugurates a new bullish trend, he cautions traders against assuming the worst is over. The technician locates that June 22 low inside a demand band between $0.15 and $0.14, a zone that also includes the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of the May–June rally and sits just above April’s cycle through—his hard “invalidation point.” From there, Dogecoin bounced in what he labels an a-b-c recovery, with the third wave peaking at $0.169, exactly the 1.618 Fibonacci extension he looks for in a “healthy third wave.” If price can now carve a fourth-wave higher low and extend to a fifth-wave high near $0.174–$0.177, the analyst says, “we actually get five waves up and then we can add support … and we have a setup.” Until that confirmation, the move remains a “chameleon-like” B-wave—prone to deeper pullbacks than the more bullish wave-two alternative. The line in the sand is $0.158. “Any break now below $0.158 cents would indicate the upside-reversal attempt is failed and we fall back into the support region, maybe we’ll even test the $0.14 level,” he warns. Conversely, holding that micro-support and punching through the $0.17 handle would provide the first “evidence” that a durable bottom has formed. The stakes are high because, as the analyst points out, confirmation of a five-wave impulse would force subsequent corrections to respect a higher-low framework, allowing traders to reposition with clearer risk parameters. Failure would likely drag Dogecoin back into the wide consolidation range that has dominated June and risk flipping sentiment toward a protracted downside grind. For now, the memecoin’s near-term fate rests on whether buyers can engineer that final fifth-wave pop without first violating $0.158. “At the moment,” he concludes, “we’re in a wait-and-see situation to see if we actually get five waves up.” Until the chart resolves, Dogecoin remains suspended between a technical breakout and another leg down—boom or bust hinging on a single intraday signal. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.161.

The Bitcoin price could be entering the final and most explosive phase of its current market cycle, as an analyst maps out the cryptocurrency’s next movements onto a parabolic step-like structure. Reinforcing this bullish outlook is the Elliott Wave 5 count, which points to an epic price rally that could propel Bitcoin above $300,000, eclipsing its previous all-time high and current market value by a substantial margin. Bitcoin Price Ultimate Parabolic Push Unveiled A newly released Bitcoin price forecast by X (formerly Twitter) crypto analyst Gert van Lagen boldly suggests that the leading cryptocurrency may be on the verge of its most aggressive bull run this cycle. Lagen’s price chart indicates that BTC is firmly locked into a parabolic step-like growth structure, potentially eyeing an extended Wave 5 breakout that could drive prices well beyond $345,000. The trajectory of the analyst’s chart illustrates a clear parabolic growth curve anchored by four distinct formations, labeled Base 1 through Base 4. Each of these bases represents a phase of accumulation and consolidation that preceded a Bitcoin price breakout. This structure also mirrors a textbook parabolic setup, where each new base sets the stage for steeper upward moves. Most notably, after the completion of Base 3, marked by the inflection point on the chart, Bitcoin launched into a sharp rally, confirming the expected parabolic behavior. Lagen’s analysis now indicates that BTC’s current Base 4 has been completed, followed by a corrective A-B-C structure that appears to have reached its bottom, positioning the cryptocurrency for the anticipated final leg of its cycle. Using Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin’s price action is still unfolding within the fifth wave, which is the final advance in the five-wave impulsive cycle. The price chart identifies Wave 1 as beginning shortly after the 2022 lows. This was followed by a powerful breakout in 2023, which defined Wave 3, while Wave 4 concluded more recently with a classic corrective pattern. Notably, the upcoming Wave 5 could see Bitcoin skyrocket anywhere between $300,000 and $425,000, depending on the timing and strength of its bullish momentum. Timeline For Game-Changing Rally A key element in Lagen’s analysis is the dynamic “sell line” drawn near the upper end of the parabolic arc that runs underneath the Bitcoin price movement on the chart. According to the analyst, the longer it takes for Bitcoin to hit this projected vertical trajectory, the higher the price at which the potential market top might occur. This is due to the upward curvature of the parabolic trend line itself, which steepens over time. Currently, Lagen forecasts an early breakout by July 7, 2025, if momentum resumes immediately. However, if Bitcoin continues consolidating through the summer, the projected peak could rise further, as the sell line would continue climbing over time.

After months of muted price action, XRP appears to be quietly building pressure within a textbook falling wedge formation. With over seven months of consolidation and recent price activity pressing up against the wedge’s resistance, subtle bullish signs are beginning to emerge. As momentum coils tighter, this silent accumulation phase could be setting the stage for a significant breakout. XRP Chart Indicators Echo Uncertainty In a recent X post, GemXBT highlighted that XRP is currently exhibiting a sideways market structure. The price has been hovering around the $2.19 mark, showing signs of consolidation rather than a clear trend. This range-bound movement suggests that neither bulls nor bears are in control at the moment. GemXBT further pointed out that the short-term moving averages — specifically the 5MA, 10MA, and 20MA- are beginning to converge. This alignment typically signals market indecision, and when combined with a neutral RSI reading near 50, it reinforces the lack of directional bias. Such conditions often precede a significant price move, though the direction remains uncertain. Adding to the neutral outlook, GemXBT noted that the MACD is flat, reflecting a lack of momentum in either direction. Volume is also relatively low, suggesting reduced trader participation and a possible wait-and-see approach by the market. This quiet environment could persist until a breakout or breakdown confirms the next move for XRP. A Bullish Break May Be Brewing According to XRPunkie in a post on X, XRP has been stuck in a falling wedge structure on the weekly chart for the past seven months. This prolonged consolidation phase reflects a period of tight price movement, with XRP gradually coiling within narrowing boundaries. Such a pattern often signals a potential breakout in the making, especially when observed over an extended timeframe. XRPunkie further highlighted that the past seven weeks of price action have occurred just beneath the wedge’s resistance line. This consistent pressure near resistance indicates growing strength on the buyers’ side. Additionally, XRP has formed a hidden bullish divergence, a signal that often hints at a continuation of the prevailing trend, in this case, pointing toward a possible upward move. The analyst emphasized that repeated testing of a resistance zone tends to weaken it over time. With XRP continuously knocking on the upper boundary of the wedge, XRPunkie believes a breakout may be imminent. He concluded with a clear stance: “Overall Bullish Soon,” suggesting that market conditions could soon favor the bulls if current momentum holds. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.17 with a $128.61 billion market capitalization and $2.59 billion in 24-hour trading volume, reflecting ongoing consolidation in the market.

Atlantic Strategic Minerals (ASM) announced Thursday it has reached commercial production at its commissioned mining and mineral processing facilities in Virginia. ASM said historical and current investment in the project and its related facilities exceeds $200 million, including initial construction and the recent refurbishment. ASM is majority owned by Appian Capital Advisory and its Virginia operations represent the 12th mining project that Appian has brought into production since 2016. The company said the project comprises high-grade mining assets and processing facilities, including a concentrator plant and the largest mineral separation plant in North America. ASM said its opening of its Virginia mining and processing facilities marks a significant milestone for US economic security with the production of critical minerals ilmenite, which is a feedstock for titanium and pigment industries, and zircon, essential resources for industries ranging from consumer goods to advanced manufacturing and defense. Titanium and zirconium have been designated by the U.S. Government as critical minerals with domestic industries currently heavily relying on international imports to meet demand. ASM said the operation offers capacity to process domestic and imported critical minerals – building more secure US supply chains. The company said it has already delivered its first shipments of ilmenite and zircon, as part of long-term offtake agreements, to US industrial customers. In the next phase of development at its Virginia operations, ASM said it plans to produce monazite, a key mineral feedstock used in the production of rare earth oxides. Studies indicate that ASM’s monazite has significant concentrations of praseodymium (Pr) and neodymium (Nd), key materials for magnets used in electric vehicles (EVs), wind turbines and defense applications. With China currently processing approximately 90% of rare earths, the company said the project’s monazite production has the potential to significantly diversify and strengthen the US’ critical supply chains. “We are proud to officially commence production in Virginia, a project that not only strengthens the domestic supply of critical minerals but also plays a vital role in bolstering US economic and national security,” ASM CEO Chris Wyatt said in a news release. “It is a case study of how to responsibly and successfully bring a strategically important project into production, while also ensuring lasting benefits to local communities.”

According to Bitwise’s Jeff Park, Bitcoin has gone from a risky experiment to a six-figure asset over three New York mayoral terms. It started near $754 when Michael Bloomberg left office in December 2013. Now, as the city prepares for its next election, it’s trading above $107,000. These numbers show a rise of about 14,590% in just over a decade. Mayoral Timeline Marks Bitcoin Growth Bill de Blasio took over in January 2014. At first, Bitcoin barely budged. But by December 2021, it hit roughly $47,000. That climb happened while de Blasio’s two terms played out on City Hall’s stage. The crypto market had its ups and downs, yet the overall trend pointed skyward under his watch. Bitcoin’s Surge Through Political Change When Eric Adams stepped in as mayor in January 2022, he made headlines by taking his first paychecks in Bitcoin. The move sent a clear message that New York was open to crypto. The market then endured a tough 2022 bear phase. Still, Bitcoin bounced back strong in 2023 and kept going. This month, it’s up about 3% and sits at $107,567, according to figures by Coingecko. Separate Money From State Park used the mayor count as a storytelling tool. He’s calling for a break between money and government. His view: people should choose how they handle their own cash. Political shifts come and go, but Bitcoin keeps growing on its own terms. That steady rise speaks to the idea of financial freedom outside state control. New Leadership And Future Trends Zohran Mamdani has surged ahead in the Democratic primary after Adams declared an Independent bid. Since Democrats usually win in New York, many see Mamdani as the likely next mayor. Park even joked that Bitcoin’s journey has moved “from Bloomberg to Mamdani.” That line underlines how the asset climbed, even as the city’s politics reshuffled itself. It’s easy to draw lines between mayoral posters and price charts. But Bitcoin’s real drivers go beyond City Hall. Global demand, big investors, shifts in mining, and moves by the Federal Reserve have all shaped its path. New York’s mayors provide handy markers on the timeline, not the engine of growth. On Crypto & Politics As New York eyes November 2025, Bitcoin stands as proof that financial tools can live beyond politics. The question now isn’t whether the next mayor will back crypto. It’s how far Bitcoin will go when its story isn’t tied to any single office. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 26, 2025 Today was once again about broad US Dollar weakness, with all majors and indexes profiting from the flash sale. US Indices are loving this with the S&P 500 coming real closing at its record highs! The Dollar index broke new lows and pretty much all asset classes except for cryptocurrencies had a positive day – Cryptos seem to still be consolidating, waiting for news to breakout on any side. The fact that Bitcoin is staying above the $100,000 mark still shows strength in the market, however crypto aficionados are still waiting for an ETH and altcoin rally. In commodities, even despite de positive mood, gold is unchanged and trading above its $3,300 key pivot, Oil found some relief after consecutive correction days and most less commonly traded commodities are up on the session except for Orange Juice and Wheat. Alternative precious metals are finding continuous demand with Palladium and Platinum performing well in the past few weeks, with both metals up more than 6% on the session, and even Silver and Copper appreciating beyond 1.5%. Read More: What’s next for Oil after War-induced volatility fades? Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Ethereum is back in focus after reclaiming the critical $2,444 resistance, following a sharp recovery from its breakdown below the $2,200 mark. The move has revived bullish sentiment, with many analysts calling for Ethereum to lead the long-anticipated altseason. The swift rebound caught traders off guard, reinforcing the view that the recent drop was nothing more than a fakeout. Top analyst M-log1 commented on the reversal, stating that ETH is back in range. His analysis points to the idea that Ethereum’s price action has successfully shaken out weak hands while setting the stage for a bullish continuation. If momentum holds, ETH could attempt a move toward the higher range around $2,600–$2,800, a zone that has consistently acted as a battleground in previous cycles. Ethereum’s role as the leading altcoin makes its performance critical for broader market direction. A confirmed breakout here could trigger renewed confidence across the altcoin market and open the door for the long-awaited altseason. For now, bulls are in control—but Ethereum must hold current levels and push higher to keep the momentum alive and avoid another retracement into bearish territory. Ethereum Holds the Line: The Key to Unlocking Altseason? Ethereum surged following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing geopolitical tensions and triggering a sharp rebound across the crypto market. ETH, which had briefly broken down below the $2,200 mark, has since reclaimed key resistance near $2,444—indicating growing strength among bulls. While buyers initially lost control during the wave of uncertainty, they are now regaining momentum as the entire market braces for the next decisive move. Despite rising optimism, the macroeconomic backdrop remains fragile. Recession fears in the U.S. continue to build as leading indicators flash warning signs, and tightening global financial conditions may pressure risk assets in the coming months. Yet in the crypto space, focus is shifting toward Ethereum’s performance as the likely spark for the long-awaited altseason. M-log1 shared his view, saying, “ETH is back in range. Nice fake out after all.” His technical analysis suggests that Ethereum has reentered its consolidation zone, a move that could signal strength if followed by continued upward momentum. “If we want alts to do well,” he added, “we want ETH to move towards the higher range here and break out as soon as Uncle Bitcoin makes a new ATH.” With Bitcoin hovering just 4% below its all-time high, Ethereum is now in a critical position. A sustained breakout from current levels could trigger renewed risk appetite across the altcoin market, creating the perfect setup for a rotation. For now, Ethereum is holding the line—but it must maintain this bullish structure and break above resistance to lead the next phase of growth. All eyes remain locked on ETH as it charts the course for what comes next. ETH Regains Strength Near Key Resistance Levels Ethereum is showing signs of renewed momentum, trading at $2,451 after bouncing back strongly from a brief breakdown below the $2,200 level. The chart shows ETH has reclaimed the short-term descending trendline and is now testing major moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $2,254, the 100-day at $2,639, and the 200-day just overhead at $2,780. This confluence of resistance above makes the $2,500–$2,800 zone a key battleground. Volume appears to be picking up alongside the price, signaling increased interest as ETH reclaims structure. This rally was partly fueled by the broader market response to geopolitical easing in the Middle East, but the technical setup now holds independent bullish potential. The recent price action forms what could be a classic “fakeout” and re-entry into range — a pattern that often precedes strong breakouts. To confirm a trend reversal, Ethereum needs to push and hold above the $2,650–$2,800 resistance band. If bulls can sustain this pressure, a run toward the March highs near $3,200 becomes increasingly likely. However, failure to build momentum here could see ETH range-bound or even revisit support near $2,200. For now, the trend is shifting in the bulls’ favor, with a breakout scenario back on the table. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Kodiak Copper (TSXV: KDK) released its first resource figures for the MPD copper-gold project in southern British Columbia. The new estimate, released late Wednesday, covers four of seven zones – Gate, Ketchan Man and Dillard. These deposits underpin 56.4 million tonnes indicated at 0.31% copper, 0.14 gram gold and 1.18 grams silver per tonne for a copper-equivalent grade of 0.42%. That accounts for 385 million lb. of contained copper, 250,000 oz. gold and 2.14 million oz. silver, or 522 million lb. of copper-equivalent. Kodiak estimates MPD’s inferred resources at 240.7 million tonnes grading 0.24% copper, 0.12 gram gold and 0.91 gram silver, or 0.33% copper-equivalent. This would represent 1.3 million lb. copper, 960,000 oz. gold and 7.05 million oz. silver for 1.75 million lb. of copper-equivalent metals, the company said. “I’ve had the vision right from the start that MPD’s rich mineral endowment holds the potential for a major mine in BC and our initial resource estimate clearly demonstrates this,” Kodiak chairman Chris Taylor said in a news release. “We expect to grow this resource substantially with the inclusion of the remaining zones later this year.” Kodiak shares gained about 4.6% to C$0.68 apiece Thursday in Toronto, boosting the stock’s 12-month gain to 55%. Peer valuation Management presented the numbers as proof-point one that MPD deserves to be compared with established BC porphyries. It also offers clear ways to take the asset to a feasibility case. These include cut-off flexibility, zone expansion and step-out drilling. Analysts predict a copper supply shortage by 2027. This is due to limited project pipelines and growing demand from electrification and renewables. Projects of MPD’s size will enter a tight market, positioning Kodiak to capture premium valuations once it converts resources to reserves and advances to economic studies. With a C$58 million ($52.5 million) market capitalization as of Thursday, Kodiak sits well below peers with similar resources. Before Newmont (TSX: NGT; NYSE: NEM) acquired the preliminary economic assessment-stage Tatogga gold-copper project in 2021 for about C$400 million, GT Gold had a market cap of roughly C$304 million. Goldshore Resources (TSXV: GSHR), which is developing the resource-stage Moss Lake gold project in Ontario and has a market cap of C$174 million, is another peer. MPD’s emerging scale could potentially help Kodiak close that valuation gap. Resource flexibility According to Kodiak, even a modest cut-off reduction to 0.12% copper-equivalent would lift indicated tonnage to 82.4 million tonnes and in-situ copper-equivalent to 600 million lb., with inferred tonnage up to 435.6 million tonnes for 2.4 billion lb. copper-equivalent. That sensitivity underlines how incremental drilling can unlock metal with little extra effort, the company said. Confirmation and infill drilling is underway at the West, Adit and South zones as part of the current exploration program. Results are expected later this year for inclusion in the full resource estimate before year-end, the company said. “I consider this initial resource estimate a starting point for future growth, as most of our zones remain open to extension and our work to date has identified more than 20 additional copper and gold occurrences and targets,” Taylor said.

Crypto analyst Crypto Wave has indicated that Ethereum could witness another significant price crash, presenting a bearish outlook for the altcoin. This price crash is expected to mark Wave C of a corrective move, with ETH dropping to as low as $1,800. Why Ethereum Could Still Drop To As Low As $1,800 In an X post, Crypto Wave declared that the primary expectation remains that Ethereum will see one more leg down in wave c of wave 2, targeting the zone between $1,950 and $1,700. Specifically, his accompanying chart showed that the largest altcoin by market cap could drop to around $1,800. The crypto analyst revealed that Ethereum has already hit the 0.5 fib retracement at $2,100, which is the minimum target for a Wave 2 correction. However, structurally, he claimed that this drop still looks like wave A only. Crypto Wave further explained that these ABC corrections are always three-part moves, and that is what he sees forming now for ETH. The broader crypto market, led by Bitcoin, has bounced back following the ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Ethereum has also rebounded, having dropped to as low as $2,100 last week. However, Crypto Wave suggested that the current market sentiment doesn’t invalidate this bearish setup for ETH and that it could still witness a deeper sell-off. The crypto analyst alluded to the fourth quarter of last year when Ethereum was underperforming heavily while many altcoins rallied. In line with this, he remarked that there could be a repeat of this scenario. However, on the other hand, Crypto Wave claimed that if ETH breaks above $2,880 impulsively, especially in one clean wave, then the correction could be over. He added that this would also put the altcoin in the early stages of a new bull cycle. 2021 Pattern Playing Out For ETH In an X post, crypto analyst Merlijn drew similarities between the current Ethereum price action and that of 2021. He stated that the 2021 playbook is repeating, with ETH having a dead count bounce, then a final retest before the parabolic leg. The analyst expects the altcoin to retest the $2,000 level before the massive move to the upside. His accompanying chart showed that Ethereum could rally to as high as $11,000 on this uptrend. Merlijn had remarked that ETH has more firepower this time around than in 2021, which is why the altcoin could witness such a parabolic move to the upside. Interestingly, based on the chart, this rally is expected to happen between now and year-end. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $2,480, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

XRP is showing all the signs of a move brewing, and the chart doesn’t lie. After a period of consolidation, price action is tightening, and technical indicators are flashing signals of an impending move. Whether it’s a surge to the upside or a sharp reversal, the setup is in place, and momentum is building. XRP looks loaded and ready to make its next move. Volume Remains Subdued — Calm Before The Storm? XRP price remains trapped inside a long-standing triangle, a pattern known for building pressure before sharp directional moves. The chart shows that sellers continue to push lower highs, compressing price action toward a support level. Parshwa Turakhiya pointed out on X that the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cluster between $2.17 and $2.23 is the key breakout zone capping any upward momentum. A clean break above this range could trigger a bullish reversal. On the other hand, $2.09 is the last line of defense for the bulls. If this level fails, the structure breaks down, and XRP could swiftly drop to $1.85. Despite the building tension, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains neutral, which Parshwa Turakhiya describes as “the calm before the volatility storm.” The chart structure suggests that a move is imminent. With early July just ahead, Parshwa Turakhiya warns that a breakout or breakdown is coming, and it won’t be subtle. XRP is on the edge of eruption. Fabio Zuccara stated that Dr. Profit, known for his sharp and historically accurate calls on XRP at $0.15, $0.38, and $0.50, has now projected a new mid-term target of $4.00. In a weekly chart shared via social media, XRP is forming a bullish structure, with a green arrow projecting a continuation move to the upside. Zuccara outlined a crucial level for maintaining the bullish trajectory. This rebound adds strength to the outlook, suggesting that momentum is building in favor of the bulls. In the same vein, SquirtleCharts revealed that XRP’s 4-hour chart has mapped out a precise path toward $3.00 target, with several resistance levels standing in the way, and each level varies in difficulty. The first is $2.22, the easy one, a weak resistance point that XRP could clear without much effort. Next is $2.33, which SquirtleCharts labels as “a lot harder,” signaling a barrier that may require volume and conviction to break. The $2.48 level is “not too bad,” a moderate resistance area that might slow the rally but not be a roadblock. Finally, the $2.65 is the “pretty hard,” a zone where bulls may face challenges. Perfect Technical Structure Sets Stage For Explosive Breakout Massive move incoming for XRP. After a clean bounce off the $2.00 support level, the setup is aligning perfectly on the daily chart. Sara emphasizes that the chart structure looks flawless, with price action respecting critical zones and now coiling for an explosive breakout, with momentum building and bulls defending the support zone. The next target is $3.50; a breakout might happen fast.

Energy Fuels (NYSE-A: UUUU; TSX: EFR) has received final regulatory clearance to develop the Donald rare earth elements (REE) and mineral sand project in the Wimmera region of Victoria, southeast Australia. In a press release dated June 25, the Colorado-based uranium-critical minerals developer confirmed that the government of Victoria has approved its work plan for the project’s construction and operation. “The work plan approval for the Donald project is significant as it moves us one step closer to creating an important link between the United States and Australia on rare earths and critical minerals,” Energy Fuels CEO Mark Chalmers commented. Donald is part of a joint venture with Australia-based mineral sands miner Astron Corp., under which Energy Fuels has the right to earn a 49% interest in the project by investing a total of A$183 million ($119 million) and issuing $17.5 million worth of shares. The work plan approval now clears the way for the JV partners to make a final investment decision, which, according to Energy Fuels, could be made as early as 2025. Shares of Energy Fuels rose 5.1% by 1:20 p.m. in Toronto for a market capitalization of C$1.7 billion. Near-term REE source Energy Fuels regards the Donald project to be one of the world’s “best near-term sources” of rare earth minerals, which it plans to process into “light”, “mid” and “heavy” rare earth oxides at its White Mesa mill in Utah. The Donald orebody is estimated to hold 37 million tonnes of heavy minerals, including approximately 724,000 tonnes of rare earths. The deposit has an estimated mine life of 58 years. White Mesa, one of the largest REE processing facilities outside China, achieved commercial production a year ago, beginning with “on-spec” neodymium-praseodymium — a light rare earth used in magnets. Currently in its first phase, the facility has the capacity to produce 850 to 1,000 tonnes of NdPr per year. The Energy Fuels team is also piloting the production of heavy rare earths dysprosium and terbium. 2026 production According to Energy Fuels, the Donald project would feed the White Mesa mill with approximately 7,000 to 8,000 tonnes of rare earth concentrates per year in its initial phase, commencing as early as 2026. By company estimates, 8,000 tonnes of concentrates from the Donald project would contain approximately 4,700 tonnes of total rare earth oxides, including roughly 990 tonnes of separated NdPr, 84 tonnes of Dy oxide, and 14 tonnes of Tb oxide. Energy Fuels said the White Mesa mill is expected to process the Donald feed into separated NdPr, along with a samarium-plus concentrate that would be stockpiled at the mill for future processing into separated mid and heavy REE oxides. Once the Donald project begins Phase 1 commercial production, the JV partners are expected to evaluate a Phase 2 expansion, which would be expected to increase its REE concentrate production to approximately 13,000 to 14,000 tonnes annually. As previously detailed, Energy Fuels is contemplating a Phase 2 expansion of the White Mesa mill that would increase its processing capacity to 60,000 tonnes, outputting roughly 6,000 tonnes of separated NdPr, along with significant quantities of Tb, Dy and potentially Sm and other REE oxides. The increased production at Donald, it says, would provide the White Mesa mill with “a consistent and significant source of REE feedstock” for decades to come.

Oil is known to be a volatile commodity, and hasn't failed to show some movement in the past few weeks. After consolidating in a two month $60.5 to $64 range, increasing tensions in US-Iran nuclear talk led to a breakout to $67 and shortly after, Israel attacked Iran which brought black gold 15% higher again, touching $78.40 – levels not seen since January 2025. There had been a theme of higher supply and fears of a slower global economic activity which had been holding prices down, but amid geopolitical turmoil (particularly in the Middle East), price dynamics have evolved. The question now is: What are the factors that will be moving Oil in the upcoming weeks? There has been a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which led to a tumble in prices – Is the ceasefire going to hold? How much will Iran be allowed to export to China? Any new tensions in producing countries that would lead to a rebound in prices? – The Ukraine-Russia conflict is still ongoing. Is economic activity going to hold despite a lack of concrete progress in US Trade talks? Stay in touch with the latest macroeconomic news to see any change to Oil fundamentals. In the meantime, let's take a look at an in-depth technical analysis to spot levels of interest for trading. Read More: Pound Surges to 3-year highs amid broad Dollar weakness Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.