Todas Atividades
Atualizada automaticamente
- Recentemente
-
Bitcoin Weekly Preview: Trump’s Tariff Playbook Is Back — Here’s How To Trade It
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin heads into the new week with a clean catalyst: the White House’s tariff brinkmanship with China and a market structure that just absorbed the largest crypto liquidation on record. Markets have marched through the tariff cycle almost beat-for-beat, and as of Monday we are squarely at Step 8 of The Kobeissi Letter’s template: the post-open reassurance from Treasury. The sequence since late week ties cleanly to the blueprint Kobeissi published after “10 months analyzing EVERY single tariff development,” which it summarized as an “EXACT playbook for investors.” Bitcoin Weekly Preview In their words: “1) Trump puts out cryptic post… 2) Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash… 4) After the market closes on Friday, President Trump doubles down… 5) On Saturday, the target… responds… 6) On Sunday… Trump posts an announcement saying he is working on a solution… 7) Futures open… higher Sunday… 8) After the Monday open, Treasury Secretary Bessent appears on live TV and reassures investors… 9–10) over the next 2–4 weeks, officials tease a deal, then announce one, and stocks hit a record high. 11) Repeat.” The Friday crash is the fulcrum. After President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese imports by November 1, risk assets lurched lower into the US close, with the S&P 500 off 2.7% and the Nasdaq down 3.6% on the day; Bitcoin and the entire crypto suffered the largest single-day liquidation in its history, with roughly $19 billion in positions wiped out across venues. The trigger, size, and timing map precisely to Step 2’s “announce large tariff rate… and markets crash to shake out weak positions,” followed by Step 3’s failed bounce and fresh lows as forced selling cascaded through perps and basis. The weekend then advanced the script. Between late Friday and Saturday, the White House and Beijing traded barbs — the “double down” and counter-response embedded in Steps 4 and 5. Coverage detailed the 100%-tariff threat and China’s vow of “corresponding measures,” underscoring that the policy shock was real rather than rhetorical. On Sunday, Trump abruptly eased his tone, writing on Truth Social: “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!! Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Still Looks Intact, CryptoQuant Says: Here’s Why Futures duly bounced Sunday evening, consistent with Step 6’s “working on a solution” message and Step 7’s gap-higher open. “Bitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115,000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is 4% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th,” the analyst added via X on late Sunday. Today, the Bitcoin and financial markets will be watching the administration’s communications cadence shifting from escalation to stabilization, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doing the media rounds to frame risks, policy intent, and the negotiation path. Notably, this is not unprecedented: Bessent has repeatedly used live TV to pour oil on troubled waters during tariff flare-ups, a pattern documented across months of interviews and official transcripts, and consistent with Kobeissi’s “after the Monday open… [Bessent] appears on live TV and reassures investors.” The point for traders is not the theatrics; it is the systematic sequence of message-induced flows that tends to follow. The bottom line for this week is to let the tariff playbook dictate the rhythm. As The Kobeissi Letter put it, 2025 is a market where “Headlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes,” and where “the ability to remain objective and capitalize on emotional swings in the market is alpha in 2025.” Bitcoin’s structural bull drivers didn’t vanish in Friday’s flush, but the path from here will be written by policy posts. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $113,9979 -
At the start of the new week on Monday, the Japanese yen appears vulnerable amid a combination of negative factors. On Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1 in response to Beijing's plans to restrict exports of rare earth metals. Vice President J.D. Vance backed this stance, warning that any aggressive actions by China would trigger even tougher retaliatory measures from the United States. In response, China's Ministry of Commerce stated that it would defend national interests if the U.S. persisted with new tariff pressure. The escalation in rhetoric cast doubt on the possibility of a meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this year, increasing market uncertainty and temporarily strengthening the yen as a safe-haven asset. However, Trump later sought to ease concerns, posting on Truth Social that China's economy is doing fine and that the U.S. seeks cooperation, not harm. He stressed that both sides want to avoid economic casualties, which triggered a renewed wave of risk-on sentiment and led to a weakening of the yen on Monday. At the same time, Japan's Komeito party broke off its 26-year alliance with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), casting doubt on Sanae Takaichi's bid to become Japan's first female prime minister. This development further weighed on the yen, helping push the USD/JPY pair above the key psychological level of 152.00. Traders continue to price in the possibility of a Bank of Japan rate hike before the end of the year, while the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is attempting to recover from Friday's decline. The U.S. government shutdown, which began on October 1, remains unresolved. Due to the lack of a budget agreement, Trump has announced the first wave of federal employee layoffs. This adds to investor caution, prompting dollar bulls to adopt a more restrained stance and limiting optimism for the pair. From a technical standpoint, with positive oscillators on the daily chart, new long positions should be considered only after a breakout above 152.45. In this case, prices could advance toward the round level of 153.00, facing some resistance near 152.70. On the other hand, Friday's low around 151.15 serves as immediate support. A move below the 151.00 level could push the USD/JPY pair toward 150.70. A deeper corrective decline could extend to the psychological level of 150.00, which would act as a key reversal area. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for the EUR/USD pair has started to transform. It's still too early to conclude that the upward section of the trend has been canceled, but the recent decline in the euro has made it necessary to refine the wave count. Now we can see a series of three-wave structures a–b–c. It can be assumed that they are part of the larger wave 4 within the upward trend segment. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unnaturally extended form, but overall, the wave pattern remains coherent. The construction of the bullish trend segment continues, and the news background continues to support mostly everything but the U.S. dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Federal Reserve continues. The market's dovish expectations regarding the Fed's interest rate are rising. Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown is still in effect. The market evaluates Trump's first 7–8 months in office rather poorly, even though GDP growth in Q2 reached almost 4%. In my view, the formation of the upward trend is not yet complete. Its potential targets extend up to the 1.25 level. Based on this, the euro may continue to decline for some time, even without any strong fundamental reasons (as has been the case for the past two weeks). However, the wave count will still retain its internal logic. The EUR/USD pair declined by 50 basis points on Monday, and it became clear — the movement isn't over yet. As noted in my previous reviews, the news background and the wave structure have not been aligning well lately. Now that the wave pattern has changed slightly, this conflict is gone. We are observing the formation of a third consecutive corrective three-wave structure, so the decline may continue within wave c, which itself belongs to a larger wave c of the major wave 4. However, even in this case, the fundamental backdrop raises doubts about the dollar's ability to continue appreciating. What news came out on Monday? Essentially, none. Over the weekend, Donald Trump reassured markets, saying that "everything will be fine" with China. On Friday, the U.S. president announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports in response to Beijing tightening export controls on rare earth metals. Yet by Sunday, he claimed he had no intention of triggering a Great Depression for America's trading partner. Trump's statement can be interpreted in two ways. On the one hand, he is giving China a chance to reconsider its decision and trying to ease tensions. On the other hand, he is making it clear that if China doesn't change its stance, new tariffs will follow. Beijing officials have already warned the White House that tariffs are not the best solution in any dispute if the goal is long-term peace and trade stability. However, Trump knows no other negotiation tools. Therefore, in my view, the world has witnessed yet another Trump ultimatum, not an attempt at reconciliation. And how could reconciliation even be possible if Trump has been pressuring China for a second presidential term in a row? General ConclusionsBased on the EUR/USD analysis, I conclude that the pair continues building an upward trend segment. The wave pattern still depends heavily on the news background — particularly Trump's decisions and the foreign and domestic policies of the new White House administration. The targets of the current trend segment may extend up to the 1.25 level. At present, the market is forming a corrective wave 4, which is approaching completion, though it has taken on a complex shape. The bullish wave structure remains valid. Consequently, in the near term, I continue to focus only on long positions, even though the downward a–b–c pattern is not yet finished. By the end of the year, I expect the euro to rise toward 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci extension. On a smaller scale, the entire upward segment of the trend is visible. The wave pattern is not entirely standard, as corrective waves vary in size. For example, major wave 2 is smaller than internal wave 2 within wave 3 — though this occasionally happens. I remind you that it's best to identify clear, recognizable structures on charts rather than trying to label every single wave. The current upward formation looks quite solid overall. Core Principles of My Analysis: Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often undergo changes.If there is no confidence in what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.There is never 100% certainty about price direction — always use Stop Loss orders.Wave analysis can and should be combined with other analytical methods and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Today, gold set another all-time high, moving toward the next psychological level of $4,100, supported by a strong fundamental backdrop. Investor sentiment toward risk assets deteriorated sharply late last week after President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and tighten export controls on key software starting November 1. Beijing responded by criticizing Washington for its "double standards" and hinted at unspecified countermeasures should the U.S. threats be implemented, stressing that it is not afraid of a potential trade war. However, over the weekend, Trump softened his rhetoric, stating on Truth Social that the U.S. is not interested in harming China's economy, and that both sides aim to avoid economic losses. Despite this, the renewed tension raises doubts about the possibility of a Trump–Xi Jinping meeting later this year, which helped push gold prices to new record highs on Monday. Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown is likely to drag on, as Congress still fails to reach an agreement on a funding plan. A Senate vote is scheduled only for Tuesday, and House leaders have signaled no willingness to compromise with the opposition. Trump has blamed Democrats for the furlough of thousands of federal employees, who received formal notifications on Friday. While aboard Air Force One, President Trump also warned of the possible delivery of Tomahawk long-range missiles to Ukraine if Russia does not end the conflict, emphasizing that such a move would mark a new stage of aggression. Moscow, in turn, warned Kyiv against receiving the missiles. This situation further fuels geopolitical tensions and boosts gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of a 25 basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut in October and December is currently estimated at 96% and 87%, respectively. This strengthens the bullish outlook for gold, driven by reduced demand for the U.S. dollar and low liquidity due to a bank holiday in the U.S. From a technical perspective, Friday's rebound from the $3,944 level and the uptrend support line, which coincides with the 9-day EMA, favors the bulls. However, overbought oscillators on the daily chart suggest the potential for short-term consolidation or a minor pullback before the next leg higher. Any corrective decline below the $4,035–4,025 level is likely to attract new buyers near the $4,000 psychological level, helping to limit downward pressure toward the 9-day EMA, which aligns with the ascending channel support near $3,970. A decisive break below this line, however, would trigger technical selling, opening the way toward the $3,900 round level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
- Hoje
-
At the start of the new week, the AUD/JPY pair opened with a bullish gap, partially offsetting Friday's decline of more than 250 points. Domestic political instability in Japan is undermining the yen's status as a safe-haven asset and has become an important factor driving the pair higher. The Komeito Party has ended its 26-year coalition with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), jeopardizing Sanae Takaichi's ambitions to become Japan's first female prime minister. This adds uncertainty and could delay the Bank of Japan's plans to raise interest rates. Meanwhile, Donald Trump backed away from his threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1, stating on his Truth Social account that the U.S. does not want to harm China. He added that China's economy will be fine and that both countries seek to avoid serious losses. These comments helped ease fears of an escalation in the U.S.-China trade conflict, improving risk sentiment, weighing on the yen, and creating favorable conditions for the Australian dollar, which often serves as a proxy currency for China. Despite this, Chinese trade data had little impact on the pair's bullish momentum. In September, China's trade surplus fell to 645.47 billion yuan, down from 732.7 billion in the previous month. Meanwhile, imports rose 7.5% year-over-year, surpassing expectations of 1.7%, and exports increased 8.4% compared to 4.8% in July. The Australian dollar also received additional support from the hawkish tone of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The central bank indicated that inflation in the third quarter could exceed forecasts made during its August meeting. Furthermore, the RBA emphasized the need for additional time to assess the effects of the 75 basis-point rate cuts implemented in 2025. These statements strengthen expectations of further appreciation in the AUD/JPY pair, although speculation about a potential Bank of Japan rate hike in the coming months may limit the upside. From a technical standpoint, the oscillators on the daily chart remain positive, and the 9-day EMA is above the 14-day EMA, confirming a bullish outlook. However, for a stronger bullish confirmation, prices must break above the 99.00 psychological level, followed by resistance near 99.37, paving the way toward the key psychological level at 100.00. The pair has found support at the 14-day EMA, with the next support level seen around 98.45. A move below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook and could push prices down toward the 98.00 round level, below which bearish momentum would likely intensify. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Today, Monday, the pair is trading in a sideways consolidation with a slight bullish bias, supported by dovish expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates, which are keeping the U.S. dollar under pressure. Global risk appetite has increased notably after U.S. President Donald Trump backed away from his threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1. This comes amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut lending rates two more times this year, as well as concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, which negatively affects the dollar's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In addition, expectations that the Bank of England will keep interest rates unchanged until the end of the year are creating favorable conditions for the British pound, providing further support to the GBP/USD pair. From a technical perspective, Friday's break above the 1.3325 level confirms the likelihood of further intraday upside. However, the negative oscillators on the daily chart suggest that traders should wait for a stronger confirmation beyond the resistance level near 1.3370 before entering new long positions. Once that resistance is cleared, the GBP/USD pair could break through the psychological 1.3400 level and extend its rally toward the next resistance level at 1.3420–1.3425. On the other hand, the 1.3330–1.3325 level now acts as immediate support, shielding the pair from further decline ahead of the 1.3300 round level and the multi-month low near 1.3260 reached on Friday. A sustained move below Friday's low would pave the way for a continuation of the downtrend from the September high near 1.3725 toward the 1.3200 level. This would be followed closely by the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) located around 1.3180–1.3175, the decisive break of which would serve as a fresh bearish signal. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
The euro may once again come under pressure after French President Emmanuel Macron made yet another unsuccessful attempt late last week to urge the deeply divided French parliament to ensure stability in the country rather than provoke another government collapse. On Sunday, the French president announced the formation of a new cabinet. The new (and former) prime minister, Sebastien Lecornu, must now urgently resolve the protracted political crisis by passing the budget. However, he already failed to do so once before, and it is clear that Macron's refusal to make major concessions to his political opponents once again puts the prime minister's future at risk. Lecornu, who was appointed to the post in September, resigned last week, and was reappointed on Friday. Tomorrow, he will address the National Assembly for the first time as prime minister to present his budget and explain which parts of the president's program he is prepared to sacrifice in order to remain in power. The political crisis, which erupted after the summer elections, has paralyzed the legislative process. Without an approved budget, France risks procedural chaos — frozen expenditures, delayed social payments, and a loss of investor confidence. Lecornu, whose reputation is built on compromise, must now navigate between the austerity measures demanded by Brussels and the social concessions needed to appease labor unions. "It is everyone's duty to work for stability, not bet on instability," Macron said. "I ask everyone to pull themselves together and get to work — with both discipline and respect." It is clear that Lecornu must find a delicate balance among the warring opposition parties in order to withstand pressure from the far right and far left, both of which are calling for snap elections. To achieve this, the prime minister needs to convince both the Socialists and the Republicans to abstain from voting on a no-confidence motion. Senior figures from both factions expressed outrage over the weekend at Macron's unwillingness to recognize how precarious his position has become, or to abandon his most controversial policies. Socialist leader Olivier Faure said in an interview with La Tribune Dimanche over the weekend that the most likely outcome would be Lecornu's failure. Both of Lecornu's predecessors — Michel Barnier and Francois Bayrou — were forced to resign following no-confidence votes triggered by budget disputes. According to experts, the Socialist Party now demands a complete revision of Macron's economic program — including the suspension of the pension reform that raised the retirement age, higher taxes on the wealthy, and permission to increase deficit spending. Centrist and center-right lawmakers oppose such radical measures, although it remains unclear whether they are prepared to vote against the government. Another government collapse would likely trigger new sell-offs of risk assets, including the euro. Technical Outlook for EUR/USD As for the current technical picture of EUR/USD, buyers now need to focus on reclaiming the 1.1630 level. Only this would open the way for a test of 1.1660. From there, the pair could attempt a climb toward 1.1690, though doing so without support from major players will be quite difficult. The ultimate target stands at the 1.1720 level. In case of a decline, I expect significant buyer activity only near 1.1590. If no large buyers appear there, it would be better to wait for a retest of the 1.1545 low or consider opening long positions from around 1.1510. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
China's Foreign Ministry Responds to U.S. President Donald Trump's Threats on Friday
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
At a regular press conference on Monday, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian stated that if the United States continues on its current path, China will firmly take all necessary measures to protect its legitimate rights and interests. He emphasized that China strongly urges Washington to immediately cease its improper actions, and calls on the United States to adhere to the principles of equality, respect, and mutual benefit. This statement followed a threat made by U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1. The market reaction was not globally negative. Sentiment remains supported by easing concerns over an escalation in the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies — the U.S. and China. At the same time, the U.S. dollar has partially recovered from Friday's losses, while Dow Jones futures show a confident intraday gain of more than 1%. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
USD/JPY: Tips for Beginner Traders for October 13th (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The price test of 152.04 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose by 45 points. Since the second half of the day will not bring any significant U.S. economic releases, it's reasonable to assume that major market participants will act more cautiously. Market fluctuations will continue to be driven by news related to U.S.–China relations. In the current environment, even a minor report concerning trade relations could instantly affect financial markets. Therefore, traders and investors are expected to remain on high alert, ready to react quickly to the slightest changes in statements or policies from either side. It's also important to remember why the Japanese yen weakened throughout the previous week. If the new trade conflict is quickly resolved, pressure on the yen could soon return, reinforced by ongoing domestic political tensions in Japan. As for the intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on the implementation of Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today when the price reaches around 152.34 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 152.73 (thicker green line on the chart). Near 152.73, I intend to exit long positions and open shorts in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 point retracement from that level. You can expect further pair growth as part of the ongoing upward trend.Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY if the price tests 152.10 twice in a row while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a reversal upward. A rise to the opposite levels of 152.34 and 152.73 can then be expected. Sell Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell USD/JPY after the price breaks below 152.10 (red line on the chart), which could trigger a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 151.65, where I plan to exit shorts and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 20–25 point rebound from that level. Selling pressure on the pair could return if trade relations worsen.Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to move downward from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY if the price tests 152.34 twice in a row while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reversal downward. A decline toward 152.10 and 151.65 can then be expected. Chart Notes Thin green line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;Thick green line – approximate level for placing a Take Profit or manually locking in profit, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;Thick red line – approximate level for placing a Take Profit or manually locking in profit, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it's important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should be extremely cautious when making market entry decisions. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you choose to trade during news releases, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you ignore money management and trade with large volumes. And remember: to trade successfully, you must have a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on current market conditions is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders for October 13th (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3341 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in a decline of more than 25 points. The lack of U.K. economic data has brought pressure back on the GBP/USD pair. Investors are likely avoiding open long positions while waiting for new U.S. data — though such releases are unlikely today. Technical analysis points to a bearish trend, so traders should be extremely cautious with buying positions. Given that there are also no significant U.S. macroeconomic releases in the second half of the day, larger market participants are expected to act more cautiously. In the current environment, even minor headlines related to trade negotiations or geopolitical tensions can trigger an instant reaction in financial markets. This creates an atmosphere of uncertainty and anxiety, prompting many traders to remain on the sidelines. As for the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on the implementation of Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to buy the pound today when the price reaches around 1.3355 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.3381 (thicker green line on the chart). Near 1.3381, I plan to close long positions and open short ones in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 point pullback from that level. A strong rally in the pound today is unlikely. Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pound if the price tests 1.3315 twice in a row while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a reversal upward. A rise to the opposite levels of 1.3355 and 1.3381 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the pound after the price breaks below 1.3315 (red line on the chart), which could trigger a sharp drop in the pair. The sellers' key target will be 1.3284, where I plan to close short positions and open long ones in the opposite direction, expecting a 20–25 point rebound from that level. The pound could experience a significant decline later in the day. Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to move downward from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound if the price tests 1.3355 twice in a row while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decline toward 1.3315 and 1.3284 can be expected. Chart Notes Thin green line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;Thick green line – approximate price level for placing a Take Profit or manually locking in profit, as further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;Thick red line – approximate price level for placing a Take Profit or manually locking in profit, as further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it's important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner Forex traders should make market entry decisions with great caution. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid getting caught in sharp price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you ignore money management principles and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you must have a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Dogecoin To Take Another Shot At The Moon As Classic Pattern Reappears
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Dogecoin appears ready to reignite its bullish momentum as a classic chart pattern makes a comeback. The popular meme coin, often known for its dramatic price surges, is displaying technical signals that mirror previous breakout phases. With momentum quietly building, investors are wondering if Dogecoin’s next big rally is just around the corner. History Repeats: Dogecoin Flashes Familiar Pre-Rally Signals Crypto analyst EtherNasyonaL, in a recent post, highlighted that Dogecoin appears to be repeating one of its most reliable historical setups. Each of Dogecoin’s major rallies has been preceded by a familiar sequence of technical signals, persistence above the 25-day moving average (25MA), a breakout from a long-term descending trendline, and a subsequent retest phase that sets the stage for a new bullish cycle. According to the analyst, these structural markers have consistently acted as precursors to Dogecoin’s explosive moves. Whenever the price maintained strength above the 25MA after a prolonged downtrend, it often indicated that sellers had exhausted their momentum and buyers were quietly regaining control. This recurring pattern has served as a reliable indicator of an impending shift in market direction. Currently, the chart once again reflects the same behavior. Dogecoin’s price has moved above the 25MA, signaling renewed upward strength, while the downtrend has been decisively broken. The asset is now in the retest phase, a critical point where market confirmation typically occurs before momentum accelerates. This structural repetition suggests that Dogecoin may be preparing for its next major move. EtherNasyonaL also noted that this phase often coincides with widespread market doubt and bearish sentiment. Historically, the “NGMI” (Not Gonna Make It) feeling tends to dominate just before Dogecoin begins a parabolic rally. Such pessimism often reflects capitulation among retail traders, while larger players quietly accumulate positions in anticipation of the next breakout. If history repeats, the ongoing consolidation could mark the calm before the next significant surge, a reminder that market doubt often precedes Dogecoin’s most powerful upward moves. Bullish Pennant Emerges After Market Downturn Trader Tardigrade, in a recent 4-hour chart analysis shared on X, highlighted that Dogecoin is beginning to display a fresh bullish setup following the recent market downturn. Despite the crash, the memecoin is stabilizing and carving out a constructive structure that could signal renewed buyer interest. According to Trader Tardigrade, a Bullish Pennant pattern has emerged on the chart, a formation that typically develops after a sharp move upward, followed by a period of consolidation. If confirmed, this pattern could mark the start of a potential continuation phase, setting the stage for DOGE’s next upward move. -
EUR/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders for October 13th (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the European Currency The price test of 1.1626 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro. However, the pair failed to grow afterward, resulting in a loss. The euro then moved downward, updating the 1.1611 level. This update happened as the MACD began moving down from the zero line, leading to a sell scenario with a normal 30-point move. The interest in the euro seen at the end of last week has not recovered. The easing of U.S. pressure on China has increased the chances of a new trade agreement, which has positively affected the dollar's position. Since it's far from certain that the Federal Reserve will continue its policy of gradually lowering interest rates, the popularity of the U.S. dollar remains strong. This factor, in turn, continues to put pressure on the European currency. There are no major macroeconomic data releases from the U.S. scheduled for the second half of today. Therefore, the foreign exchange market is expected to experience a relatively calm period, with currency movements determined mainly by news about U.S.–China relations. Most market participants prefer to stay on the sidelines, analyzing the sustainability of the current dollar rally and the potential for a trend reversal. As for the intraday strategy, I'll mainly rely on the implementation of Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2. Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: Today, you can buy the euro when the price reaches around 1.1599 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.1624. At 1.1624, I plan to exit the market and open a short position, expecting a 30–35 point movement from the entry point. You can count on euro growth today only if tensions escalate. Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the euro if the price tests 1.1584 twice in a row, while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a market reversal upward. A rise to the opposite levels of 1.1599 and 1.1624 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the euro after the price reaches 1.1584 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1562, where I intend to exit the market and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point reversal from that level). Pressure on the pair may return at any moment today. Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the euro if the price tests 1.1599 twice in a row, while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.1584 and 1.1562 can be expected. Chart Notes Thin green line – entry price for buying the trading instrument;Thick green line – expected price level for placing Take Profit or manually locking in profit, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price for selling the trading instrument;Thick red line – expected price level for placing Take Profit or manually locking in profit, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it's important to consider overbought and oversold zones.Important Note Beginner traders in the Forex market should make entry decisions with great caution. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid getting caught in sharp price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you ignore money management and trade large volumes. And remember: to trade successfully, you must have a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on current market movements is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Silver price hits new peak as short squeeze deepens
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Silver set a new record above $52 an ounce on Monday, as rising demand for precious metals worldwide deepened a historic short squeeze in the London market. Spot silver jumped 2.4% to a high of $52.07 per ounce, surpassing last week’s peak, during which it traded at levels last seen in 1980. Click on chart for live prices. Behind silver’s rally were concerns over a depleting silver inventory in London, which drove prices to a premium over those seen in New York and prompted traders to ship metals across the Atlantic for a profit. As of Monday, the premium was at about $1.60 an ounce. Silver lease rates — which represent the annualized cost of borrowing metal in the London market — surged to more than 30% on a one-month basis on Friday, creating eye-watering costs for those looking to roll over short positions. The silver market “is less liquid and roughly nine times smaller than gold’s, amplifying price moves,” Goldman Sachs Group analysts wrote in a note on Sunday. “Without a central bank bid to anchor silver prices, even a temporary pullback in investment flows could trigger a disproportionate correction, as it would also unwind the London tightness that drove much of the recent rally.” Precious metals rally Precious metals as a whole commodity class have risen sharply this year amid global trade uncertainties that have fueled safe-haven demand. The four main metals (gold, silver, platinum and palladium) have all surged somewhere between 55% and 82% year to date. For silver, its gains stand at nearly 74%, surpassing that of gold, which has also set a new record. The recent rally has been driven by recurrent US-China trade tensions, threats to the Federal Reserve’s independence and a US government shutdown. These narratives have further boosted the prospects of silver and other precious metals. Goldman Sachs said that it expects silver prices to rise further in the medium term, driven by private investment flows, but warned of heightened near-term volatility. Bank of America, meanwhile, lifted its end-of-2026 price target significantly from around $44 an ounce to $65, citing persistent market deficits, elevated fiscal gaps and lower interest rates. Traders remain on edge ahead of the conclusion of the US administration’s so-called Section 232 probe into critical minerals — which includes silver. Fears that the metals could be swept up in new levies have exacerbated market tightness, partly laying the foundations for the squeeze in silver after a major drawdown of freely available supplies in London. (With files from Bloomberg) Sponsored: Take advantage of silver’s timeless value — explore silver bullion options with Sprott Money. -
Bitcoin Price Crash Not Over? Analyst Predicts Another 30% Crash As Longs Pile Up Again
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Top crypto analyst Capo has indicated that the Bitcoin price crash is not over. This comes amid a rebound in the flagship crypto, which has climbed from the lows recorded during the recent crypto market crash. Analyst Predicts 30% Drop For The Bitcoin Price In his latest market update, Capo predicted that the Bitcoin price could still drop another 30%. This came as he noted that the flagship crypto remains above $100,000, far from the $60,000 to $70,000 range that would align with a complete market correction. He added that until then, the downside potential remains significant. This market update comes amid the crypto market crash last Friday, when Bitcoin fell to as low as $104,000 following Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China. $19 billion was wiped out from the crypto market, marking the largest liquidation event ever. Capo opined that the event was likely the ‘pre-Black Swan event’ and the first phase of something larger. The analyst noted that altcoins have already seen historic capitulation, but that several major coins still haven’t fully flushed. Capo asserted that the wicks should eventually be filled and that lower levels may still be ahead for the Bitcoin price and the broader crypto market. Meanwhile, he mentioned that a brief consolidation over the weekend was likely but that more downside should follow this week as the global markets open. The Bitcoin price bounced over the weekend, reaching as high as $116,000, as long positions piled up again following the wipeout. Crypto analyst The King Fisher highlighted upside liquidity of up to $118,000, noting that “weekends are for BTC range liquidations fishing.” It is worth mentioning that BTC had also rebounded thanks to Trump’s statement on Sunday, in which he allayed fears of a full-blown trade war with China. Bull Market Is Not Done Yet Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto assured that the bull market is not yet, indicating more upside for the Bitcoin price. The analyst explained that the bull market starts when BTC reclaims its 50 SMA and that the bear market starts when it loses it. The flagship crypto also achieved a weekly candle close above $112,000, which confirmed Titan of Crypto’s thesis. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Jelle noted that the Bitcoin price is back at the $115,000 resistance area. He further remarked that a successful reclaim of this level could send the flagship crypto to a new all-time high (ATH). BTC had hit a new all-time high above $126,000 before last week’s crash, which erased its October gains. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $115,100, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. -
Gold prices notched another all-time high on Monday, crossing the $4,100-an-ounce mark for the first time, as renewed US-China trade tensions sent investors flocking to safe-haven assets. Spot gold rose as much as 2% to $4,103.05 per ounce, a sizeable rebound from last Friday’s pullback. Meanwhile, US gold futures jumped by nearly 2.9% to a high of $4,124.30 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. Monday’s move takes bullion’s year-to-date gains to above 54%, as geopolitical and economic uncertainties around the world continued to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. Fresh tensions between the US and China reignited fears of a trade war between the world’s two largest economies, serving as a catalyst for the latest rally. The rise in gold prices happens when investors are concerned about the state of the world, either economically or politically, said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner of CPM Group, in a note to Reuters. Christian added that expectations of US interest rate cuts are also supporting prices. Since August, the month leading up to the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut, gold prices have gained about 24%, accounting for nearly half of the year’s gains. Investors are currently pricing in a 97% probability of another 25-basis-point Fed rate cut at the end of this month and a 100% chance for a third cut in December. Against the backdrop of rate cut expectations as well as strong central bank buying of gold, most major banks have lifted their forecast for the metal for 2025 and beyond. Recently, Bank of America and Société Générale both said they expect gold to reach $5,000 an ounce in 2026. “Given the carousel of drivers, and how short-lived dips have been, this rally has legs in our view, but a near-term correction would be healthier for a longer-term uptrend,” said Suki Cooper, global head, commodities research at Standard Chartered Bank. (With files from Reuters) Sponsored: Secure your wealth today — buy gold bullion directly through our trusted partner, Sprott Money.
-
US-China trade war scare: What happened Friday and where things stand now
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
It is a US bank holiday today for Columbus Day (with Canada and Japan also off) but markets that are open were still subject to quite the volatile weekly open. The final quarter volatility is never something to beckon with, particularly after an already volatile beginning of 2025. At the close of last week, markets were rocked by a massive trade war scare initiated by some more aggressive Chinese stance. VIX - Equity (Options) Volatility with Heikin-Ashi candles – October 13, 2025 – Source: TradingView Beijing put up the pressure regarding its rare earth exports, announcing new export controls on rare earth elements and tightening its grip on critical materials essential for semiconductors, defense, and electric vehicles. For now, China has a considerable advantage in this market and is expanding its dominance through key ties with African nations (which have many rare earth resources), for example. Following this aggressive tightening, Donald Trump took to Truth Social on Friday, posting a statement that immediately triggered a significant wave of selling across risk assets. Reactions in Cryptocurrencies Friday reactions to the Trump post – October 13, 2025 – Source: TradingView Read More: Markets Today: Gold Up 1.4%, Chinese Exports Soar as Trade War Fears Return, DAX Bounces but Risks RemainMarkets Weekly Outlook – Geopolitical peace and turmoil ; Third week of shutdown In addition to the existing tariffs (that started to be put in place since 2015), Trump threatened to impose an additional 100% tariff on all Chinese goods, effective November 1. The President stated that China had taken an “extraordinarily aggressive position on Trade in sending an extremely hostile letter to the World,” and accused them of holding the world “captive” with their control over “Magnets” and other Elements. Market reactions were immediate: the S&P 500 plummeted 2.7%, the Nasdaq 100 closed down 3.5%, and the crypto market saw a record wipeout with Bitcoin tumbling over 8% and over $19 billion in leveraged positions liquidated. Overview on the S&P 500, BTC and ETH Friday moves – Source: TradingView The most significant moves happened in major altcoins like Cardano going from $0.82 in the morning to $0.28 lows (67%!!) on a wick. A similar move happened in XRP going from $2.83 highs in the Friday morning to a $1.32 wick (-52%!) These crazy moves happened around 16:30 Friday during the liquidation. So why are things so green to start the week This marks another classic TACO trade—or Trump Always Chickens Out—came into play over the weekend, leading to a sharp reversal for stock future and cryptos. Nasdaq 15m Chart with the extent of the Friday Moves – Source: TradingView Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the US had “aggressively pushed back” against China's export controls and confirmed the 100% tariff “does not have to happen,” indicating that President Trump was still on track to meet President Xi Jinping later in the month. Trump himself tempered his tone on Truth Social on Sunday, saying, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!” and that the US “wants to help China, not hurt it!!!”. In response to this rapid U-turn, US stock futures surged higher at the Sunday Globex open, reversing the huge losses seen on Friday. The US Dollar had initially corrected from the higher tariffs and overall deleveraging from the Friday scare, but recovered the entire move since. Metals on the other hand just loved everything about the news yet again, with both Gold ($4,107 and Silver ($52) trading to new record highs. Moves since Thursday in the Dollar Index (left) and Gold (right) – Source: TradingView Looking at the current picture, China urged the US to "promptly correct its erroneous practices" regarding tariffs and to act with "equality, respect and mutual benefit", though they maintained they were “not afraid of a tariff war”. For now, the latest flashpoint has cooled, but the underlying trade tensions remain a significant risk for investors and traders as Markets approach the November 1 deadline for Chinese tariffs. Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
BTC USD Holding Support: What Can Traders Expect?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
What a wild ride for BTC USD and crypto investors! The largest ever liquidation cascade in crypto history, wiping out 1,600,000 traders with a total loss of $20 billion. What hopes are there left to hold onto for the future of BTC? Will price continue it’s ATH exploration or is the bullrun over? Follow along as we uncover what insights are hidden in the charts. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time In the meantime, Strategy continues to slowly DCA into Bitcoin, buying another$22.7 million worth. Michael Saylor seems to never loose conviction, which might be a beam of hope for some. As Wyckoff liked to use the “Composite man theory” (the Composite man being market makers) and I would add “the collective mind,” it is good to remember that price is dictated also by what most investors consider low or high. Thus causing volatility. Has the collective mind decided one Bitcoin is rather expensive at the moment? What does the chart say – ring-ding ding… DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now BTC USD At Support: What Comes Next? (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) Before you read today’s analysis, please read last week’s analysis, if you haven’t. Today we begin with the weekly timeframe, as usual. Even though we looked at it 3 days ago – we just had a weekly close! And it matters. We have a wick that dipped below the trend-line and touched MA50. RSI is showing hidden bearish divergence against a growing price. Not great. Though the Weekly FVG is not filled yet and the candle closed above the trend-line. BTC USD is holding support so far! DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) On the daily timeframe we are adding another trend-line to observe a lower-timeframe support than the weekly. Still, it is good to keep in mind that diagonal lines can be deceptive. That said, we also see price broke below MA50 and MA100, and wicked through MA200. Currently BTC is sitting on the 1D trend-line and above MA200, but below MA50 and MA100. A preferred scenario for bulls is those MAs to be reclaimed – only then we can see a new ATH. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 So I Should Sit On My Hands? (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) Well, this is not a financial advise kind of article. We can only discuss what experienced traders would do. And they would probably wait to see how the next few days move the market. For that purpose, we will finish with a 4H timeframe chart. A lot of heavy buying absorbed the sell pressure from the liquidation cascade. Price wick’d down to weekly trend-line and managed to close above the $107,000-$110,000 orderblock. So far so good. But we are also below all MAs on this LTF. A reclaim of the $117,000 – $118,000 level is critical. If not – we can expect for the Weekly FVG to get filled. Stay safe out there! DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates BTC USD Holding Support: What Can Traders Expect? First Key level to hold ($117,000) broke. Next is $110,000 1D chart shows bearish factors, yet structure still remains bullish Weekly FVG at $86,000-$92,000 zone. Will it get filled? Key level to break for upward continuation is $117,000-$118,000 orderblock. The post BTC USD Holding Support: What Can Traders Expect? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Indian Tax Authority Investigates 400 High-Net-Worth Binance Traders
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
India’s Income Tax department has launched an investigation into more than 400 high-net-worth Binance traders. The Indian tax authorities, headed by the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT), suspect tax evasion despite the country’s stringent crypto tax rules. The investigation appears to be targeting offshore trading activities. According a 11 October 2025 Economic Times report, “the persons identified had evaded tax on their crypto profits, with many not disclosing the digital coins parked in wallets with the overseas exchange.” Interestingly, the investigation focuses on crypto transactions conducted between the financial years 2022-2023 and 2024-2025. Both direct trades and peep-to-peer (P2P) transactions are being examined. According to the department, the transactions may have been used to circumvent tax obligations. An updated report on this investigation is expected by 17 October 2025. EXPLORE: India Announces RBI-Backed, Traceable Digital Currency: Union Minister Says “We Are Taxing Crypto Very Heavily” Indian Union Minister Says “We Are Taxing Crypto Very Heavily” Indian Union Minister Piyush Goyal recently said that the country will not be encouraging cryptocurrency, “which does not have sovereign backing or which is not backed by assets, say it on the federal bank or local currency.” Goyal also threw light on the country’s stance on cryptocurrency. He said, “As far as cryptocurrency, which is not backed by the Central Government, while there is no ban as such, we are taxing it very heavily. We don’t encourage it because we don’t want anybody to be stuck at some point with a cryptocurrency that has no backing and nobody at the backend.” Currently, India’s stance is that it neither encourages nor outright bans crypto. But it imposes heavy taxes on digital assets. The tax includes 30% capital gains tax and 1% Tax Deducted at source (TDS). These heavy taxes have been in place since July 2022. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Binance’s Turbulent Record In India The world’s largest exchange was banned from India in 2023. At the time, it was found that Binance had failed to comply with India’s Money Laundering Act. After meeting the country’s legal requirements and paying hefty fine of $2.25 million, the exchange re-entered the Indian market in 2024. Vishal Sacheendran, Head of Regional Markets at Binance, revealed that the company was not allowed to add more users in India after the ban that lasted till August 2024. Once the company tweaked their KYC structure in accordance with India’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), operations became smoother. In an interview with a local media outlet on 10 February 2025, Sacheendran said that India is a key market in Binance’s gameplan. The company said that it has no intention of leaving the country. In December 2023, authorities in India found the company to be unregistered with the FIU. This eventually led to the blocking of Binance URL and apps on Android and Apple store. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways Indian Tax officials have identified numerous wealthy traders who failed to disclose their cryptocurrency holdings stored in Binance wallets or report profits generated from trading activities on the offshore platform. Binance’s operating status in India has experienced significant turbulence over the past two years. The post Indian Tax Authority Investigates 400 High-Net-Worth Binance Traders appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Gold sailed toward $4100/oz on Monday with the precious metal trading up around 2% on the day. The precious metal saw a significant selloff last week which looked like it could be the start of a significant retracement before renewed tension between the US-China sent market participants fleeing toward safe havens once more. Trade tensions between the US and China escalated when US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose massive 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports starting November 1st, a move that caught market participants by surprise. This dramatic announcement followed China's own recent decision to control the export of rare earth elements, which are vital materials, raising fears about disruptions to global supply chains. President Trump claimed on social media that China was becoming "very hostile" by outlining these export controls to multiple countries. However, over the weekend, Trump softened his stance, reassuring the public that everything would "be fine" and that the US wanted to "help China, not hurt it." This slight shift in tone offered some relief to nervous markets. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed on Monday that despite the high tensions, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are still scheduled to meet later this month. Bessent called China's export controls "provocative" but stressed that the proposed 100% tariffs "doesn't have to happen" if China takes steps to ease the situation and remains open to talks. China's Commerce Ministry responded by warning that if the US continues its aggressive approach, Beijing will take strong countermeasures to protect its interests. Today's rally also comes as the US Dollar Index rose as well despite US markets closed for a holiday. Gold continued a recent trend which has seen the precious metal shrug off USD strength to continue its advance. For more on this, read Who said that the USD and Gold can't rally together? Of course there has been a lot of discussion around the Gold rally in 2025 and the possible factors contributing to the rise of the precious metal. Many of those factors remain in play, but today's move appears to be largely driven by the US-China trade war question and its implications for global growth. Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Looking Ahead Looking ahead to the rest of the week, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday may well be the most important event for market participants. This will be his last chance to speak before the central bank enters its "blackout period." This "blackout" is a quiet time before the Fed's October 29-30 meeting when officials stop making public comments to avoid confusing the market about their upcoming interest rate decisions. Meanwhile, the crucial Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, a key measure of inflation will be delayed due to the recent government shutdown but is now scheduled to be released on October 24th, giving the Fed just enough time to review the inflation data before their meeting. Several other Fed officials are also scheduled to give speeches throughout the week, adding to the information the market will receive before the official silence begins. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Technical Analysis - Gold (XAU/USD) From a technical standpoint, it is very difficult to pick a top at the moment. Not to mention that the lack of historical price action makes it near impossible. Usually market participants would hope for some form of pullback after such a move. The RSI period-14 is back in overbought territory after last week's foray below the neutral 50 level. Such a move is likely to depend on how trade talks develop between the US-China in the coming days. Any signs of escalation will see Gold continue tor rise, while signs of a deal is likely to lead to a pullback and some profit taking. Immediate support rests at 4050 before 4025 and 4000 come into focus. On the upside I will be watching the 4150 and 4250 handle closely. Gold (XAU/USD) Four-Hour Chart, October 13, 2025 Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
-
GROK Is Back With 3 AI Crypto Predictions Post-Meltdown – You’ll Want to See These
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
With the recent volatile market action wiping out $19 billion from the market, many people are understandably flustered about the future of crypto. Moreover, with key data coming in, the fears of today being a Black Monday are very much palpable. In search of clarity, many traders are turning to AI crypto predictions. (Source: Investing.com) At its heart AI in crypto trading is all about finding patterns. AI agents don’t sleep and scan massive amounts of data including price charts, trading volumes, social media posts and even blockchain activity 24/7 getting better in their accuracy and output. As participants in the crypto sphere are still picking through the wreckage, the market has moved on. BTC is up from its low of $110k and ETH has stabilized above . Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time “As of October 13, the market has staged a sharp V-shaped recovery, with total cap rebounding +10% from lows to $3.85 trillion, trading volume surging to $387 billion, and Bitcoin climbing back to $115,000-$117,000 (+1.9%). Ethereum is up 8.2%, Solana +6.3%, and even meme coins like Dogecoin +7.6%, fueled by whale accumulation of USDT into WBTC and WETH on DEXs, signaling confidence from big players.” (Source: CoinMarketCap) The community’s everyday reliance on AI crypto predictions is growing, and as the market matures, AI agents like Grok are expected to play an even bigger role, not as a crystal ball, looking into the future. But as a compass to navigate the storms that arise time to time within the crypto landscape. EXPLORE: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Grok AI Crypto Predictions: The Liquidation Was Necessary To Flush Out Weak Hands “This liquidation was a necessary purge of overleveraged positions—mostly from retail and airdrop farmers—resetting the market for healthier growth without derailing the bull cycle. Short-term (next 1-2 weeks), expect continued volatility with a possible 5-10% dip for Bitcoin toward $105,000-$110,000 if trade rhetoric escalates further, as RSI readings around 43-49 indicate fading buyer momentum and potential retests of key supports.” The liquidations hit retail traders the hardest as most of the liquidated positions came from smaller accounts of under $10k in exposure, leveraged up to 50x on altcoin perpetuals. Many were chasing airdrop hype from protocols such as LayerZero and EigenLayer. When the market turned, these positions were the first to go. Geopolitical tensions are adding to the uncertainty. US President Trump has announced plans for 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1, 2025, calling it a national security measure. In response, China has imposed restrictions on its export of rare earth minerals. If this back-and-forth intensifies, markets could shift into risk-off mode and potentially drag BTC down another 5-10% towards the $105k-110k range. This zone is essential because it lines up with the 50-day moving averages and previous liquidity pockets. On the flipside, if Trump softens his tone and opens up to possible talks with Xi Jinping, the downsides could be limited and might even spark a rally. (Source: CoinGlass) Liquidity below $105,000 is thinning, so any drop into that area might be quick but short-lived, likely absorbed by institutional buyers. However, if open interest climbs back above $55 billion too quickly, it could signal premature re-leveraging and raise the risk of another flush. EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 “Expect 10-20% More Downside In XRP And DOGE If BTC Dips” “While Bitcoin’s resilience stems from its “digital gold” status, altcoins like XRP and Dogecoin—more tied to speculative narratives—have shown “weaker follow-through” on the post-liquidation bounce, exposing their vulnerability to retail-driven flows.” BTC held up well thanks to its reputation as digital gold, but altcoins like XRP and Dogecoin have struggled to keep pace after the recent liquidation wave since these coins are more dependent on speculative hype. Both XRP and DOGE slipped sharply, between 30-50% in a single day before bouncing back by 15-20%. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time This is due to their higher sensitivity to BTC’s price action and reliance on momentum-driven traders. If BTC drops again, XRP could fall another 10-20% and test the $1.60 level, which lines up with its 200-day moving average. Moreover, Ripple’s scheduled token unlocks could add to the selling pressure. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Meanwhile, Doge is hovering around its $0.20 support, where whales have reportedly added over 30 million tokens. That buying may stabilize the price, but without fresh meme momentum, it is unlikely to outperform. EXPLORE: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Key Takeaways Institutions bought the dip while retail traders faced heavy liquidations and fading momentum Altcoins remain fragile as Bitcoin and Ethereum lead recovery amid geopolitical tensions Retail traders were hit hardest, with overleveraged altcoin positions fueling the liquidation cascade The post GROK Is Back With 3 AI Crypto Predictions Post-Meltdown – You’ll Want to See These appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Crypto Whale Opens Another BTC $163M Short After Pocketing $192M In Profits
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
A crypto whale who was in the news last week for netting $192 million in profits with an impossibly well timed short has retuned with another short position on .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Bitcoin BTC $114,496.51 2.94% Bitcoin BTC Price $114,496.51 2.94% /24h Volume in 24h $80.90B Price 7d At the same time, Trump’s pro-crypto position is facing scrutiny, with Senator Elizabeth Warren warning that his involvement in crypto could raise ethical concerns if he profits from related ventures while holding office. EXPLORE: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Key Takeaways BTC Whale’s $163M short follows $192M win, sparking insider trading accusations Binance glitch and token depegs triggered forced liquidations and user panic Trump’s approval drops amid shutdown, law enforcement backlash, and crypto ethics concerns The post Crypto Whale Opens Another BTC $163M Short After Pocketing $192M In Profits appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
The Dogecoin price is back in the spotlight after a sharp price drop that has caught the attention of traders and analysts over the weekend. According to DOGECAPITAL’s analysis, the recent decline brought Dogecoin back to a key support level that has been important in the past. The Dogecoin price study compares the current situation to a time when the coin also dropped to this same level years ago and then began a strong recovery. DOGECAPITAL says this could again be a turning point for Dogecoin if the same pattern repeats. Dogecoin Price Drops To Historic Support After Weekend Liquidation Event DOGECAPITAL reports that a major liquidation event over the weekend pushed Dogecoin ($DOGE) sharply lower. DOGECAPITAL notes that the Dogecoin price fall brought it right down to the lower green line shown on its chart, a level that has a special place in the coin’s history. According to DOGECAPITAL, this same level was last seen on March 13th, 2020, during the COVID crash, a time when fear gripped the entire financial market. That moment marked what the analysis calls the Cycle 2 bottom, the point from which Dogecoin began one of its biggest rallies ever recorded. Because of this history, the analyst views the current price level as more than just another dip. For now, the analyst’s focus is on how the Dogecoin price reacts around this zone. If the coin can stay above this support area, it could build strength again and prepare for a new run upward. DOGECAPITAL Sees Potential For A Major Upside If History Repeats Itself DOGECAPITAL points out that the last time Dogecoin reached this same support level, the results were extraordinary. After hitting that low in 2020, Dogecoin went on to surge roughly 540 times over the next 420 days. The rally took the coin from that lower green line all the way up to the upper green line, where it peaked for that cycle. In its current view, DOGECAPITAL believes that a similar setup could be forming again for the Dogecoin price. According to DOGECAPITAL’s study, the coin might be entering a new recovery phase, building momentum before making a more decisive move upward later on. Although the current Dogecoin price action may seem weak on the surface, DOGECAPITAL’s study suggests it could actually be preparing for another strong upward push. DOGECAPITAL suggests that traders across the market are now closely watching for signs of strength that could confirm this theory. The analyst remembers how quickly Dogecoin moved from being undervalued to becoming one of the top-performing coins in past cycles. If the Dogecoin price can turn this drop into a base for growth, it might be the start of another big bullish cycle that brings new excitement back to the Dogecoin market.
-
Atenção, traders. O Bank of America (BofA) acaba de emitir uma das previsões mais otimistas e alarmantes para a prata em anos, elevando seu preço-alvo para $65 por onça . A razão para esta revisão dramática? Segundo o banco, a explosão de preços recentes, impulsionada por uma demanda que supera massivamente a oferta, reduziu o mercado físico de Londres a um "estado de convulsão" (state of seizure). Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School, membro Junior WallStreet NYSE Este anúncio de um dos maiores bancos de Wall Street é a validação final e mais poderosa dos alertas de "short squeeze" e crise de oferta que temos emitido na ExpertFX School nas últimas semanas, conectando os pontos entre a alta taxa de aluguel do ETF SLV, as entregas massivas na COMEX e o caos nos mercados físicos da China. 1. O Que Significa um Mercado em "Estado de Convulsão"? Na minha análise, a linguagem usada pelo BofA é a mais forte possível e não deve ser subestimada. Um mercado "em convulsão" é um mercado que deixou de funcionar de forma eficiente. Isso significa que a demanda por prata física é tão intensa que os vendedores nos cofres de Londres (o centro do mercado global) estão com extrema dificuldade para encontrar barras de metal para entregar contra as obrigações do mercado de papel (futuros, ETFs, etc.). É o momento em que a realidade física se impõe sobre a financeira, causando uma desconexão e uma busca desesperada pelo metal real. Os sinais que apontamos — a explosão na taxa de aluguel do SLV, os resgates massivos de prata física da COMEX — não eram isolados; eram os tremores que antecederam o terremoto que o BofA agora confirma. 2. Análise de Igor Pereira: O Potencial Explosivo da Prata A previsão do BofA é a confirmação institucional da nossa tese. A combinação de fatores criou a "tempestade perfeita" para a prata: Demanda Monetária: A prata se beneficia de todos os mesmos fatores que impulsionam o ouro (crise fiscal, impressão de dinheiro, busca por refúgio). Demanda Industrial: A prata é um componente essencial na transição energética (painéis solares) e na tecnologia, uma demanda que não para de crescer. Aperto na Oferta: A oferta de mineração tem dificuldade em acompanhar essa dupla demanda, e os estoques visíveis, como em Londres, estão sendo drenados. O rompimento da máxima histórica na semana passada (acima dos $50) foi o gatilho técnico. O alerta do Bank of America agora fornece o combustível fundamental e psicológico para a próxima grande pernada de alta. A meta de US$ 65 do Bank of America pode, na minha opinião, ser até conservadora se o "estado de convulsão" em Londres se aprofundar. A prata está se reafirmando não apenas como um metal precioso, mas como um ativo estratégico crítico com uma dinâmica de oferta/demanda das mais explosivas que já vimos. O "short squeeze" que previmos não é mais uma possibilidade; está acontecendo agora. A volatilidade será extrema, mas a direção do movimento de longo prazo nunca esteve tão clara. A ANÁLISE... O gráfico de curto prazo da prata (XAG/USD) nos oferece uma aula sobre a metodologia Wyckoff. Após um período de consolidação complexa, a estrutura de preços se resolveu de forma explosiva para cima, confirmando que o período anterior foi uma fase de Reacumulação, onde o "dinheiro inteligente" absorveu as ordens de venda. Agora, o preço entrou claramente na fase de "Markup" (alta impulsiva). O controle está firmemente com os compradores, e nosso trabalho como traders é identificar as zonas de suporte para nos alinharmos com essa força dominante. 1. A Anatomia da Reacumulação (O Movimento Anterior) Para entender o presente, olhamos para o passado recente. O gráfico mostra: Uma fase inicial de distribuição com um PSY (Preliminary Supply) e um UT (Upthrust). No entanto, a queda foi contida por um padrão harmônico de alta, que encontrou um fundo. A confirmação da força compradora veio com uma Mudança de Caráter (CHoCH) e uma subsequente Quebra de Estrutura (BOS) para o lado de cima, invalidando a tese de distribuição e confirmando a Reacumulação. 2. A Fase de "Markup": Níveis-Chave para a Sessão Atual Com o controle firmemente nas mãos dos compradores, estes são os níveis que definirão a próxima movimentação. Suporte Crítico (Zona de Demanda M15): A "linha na areia" para os compradores de curto prazo é o "Order Block" de 15 minutos (OB 15M), localizado entre $51.657 e $51.454. Minha Análise: Enquanto o preço se mantiver acima desta zona, qualquer recuo deve ser considerado uma oportunidade de compra. Esta é a região onde se espera que os compradores institucionais que impulsionaram o rompimento defendam suas posições. Alvos de Alta (Upside Targets) 📈: O primeiro objetivo é romper a máxima recente em $51.996. Um rompimento bem-sucedido abriria caminho para o principal alvo de alta visível no gráfico: o "Pool de Liquidez" em $53.413. Na minha visão, este nível é um "ímã" para o preço, representando uma área com muitas ordens de stop que o mercado tende a buscar. 3. O Cenário de Invalidação (Gatilho Baixista) Mesmo em uma forte tendência de alta, precisamos definir nosso ponto de invalidação para gerenciar o risco. Gatilho Baixista: A estrutura de alta de curto prazo seria questionada se os vendedores conseguirem forçar um fechamento de vela M15 abaixo da zona de suporte de $51.454. Confirmação de Correção: Uma confirmação de uma correção mais profunda viria com a perda do nível do BOS em $51.020. Alvos de Baixa 📉: Nesse cenário, os próximos suportes a serem observados seriam $50.288 e a zona do FVG de 1 Hora em $49.803. Estes níveis seriam, então, as próximas grandes oportunidades de reentrada para compras. Conclusão e Estratégia de Igor Pereira A análise Wyckoff confirma o forte momentum comprador. O caminho de menor resistência é para cima. A estratégia de maior probabilidade é buscar por compras em recuos para a zona de suporte de $51.657 – $51.454, ou em um rompimento confirmado da máxima em $51.996. As vendas são de altíssimo risco e contra a tendência principal. Só devem ser consideradas se o suporte crítico em $51.454 for perdido de forma decisiva. A volatilidade será alta, mas a direção está clara. Operem com disciplina.
-
XRP Reclaims Market Momentum With $30 Billion In Fresh Inflows, A Rally Underway?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
XRP is back in motion. After weeks of consolidation and uncertainty, the digital asset has seen billions flow back into the market. The scale of inflows underscores a sharp turnaround in sentiment from hesitation to conviction as market participants rotate capital back into one of crypto’s most established names. With liquidity deepening and momentum rebuilding, XRP is once again showing why it remains a cornerstone of the digital finance narrative. How Confidence Returned To The XRP Market According to an analysis posted by the popular cryptocurrency commentary channel, CryptosRus, confidence is returning to the market, and XRP is leading the rebound. More than $30 billion has flowed back into the altcoin as investors buy the dip. The surge of capital directly counters the massive market contraction that occurred during Thursday’s violent sell-off, which wiped out over $400 billion in total crypto market value, marking one of the largest liquidation events of 2025. However, where many digital assets struggled to find a floor, XRP was among the first major altcoins to flash signs of strength, signaling that investors view the previous crash as a temporary rather than a structural breakdown. This renewed appetite for the leading altcoin also comes as speculation grows around a potential Spot XRP ETF approval, a catalyst that could reshape institutional exposure to the asset class. Monstrous Liquidation Event Clears The Board For XRP’s Next Leg In a technical charge, following a violent market-cleansing event that shattered over-leveraged positions, a popular crypto commentator, DustyBC Crypto, has noted that XRP has officially completed its Elliott wave (E) formation on the 12-hour chart. The monstrous liquidation event occurred after the geopolitical saber-rattling from US President Donald Trump sent a shocking wave through the entire crypto market, especially on the XRP chart, which led the price to extreme lows before a violent recovery. Dusty stated that the cascading liquidations wiped out overleveraged players. Although for those trading 1:1 without leverage, it was a shock, not a knockout. The event effectively flushed out excess leverage, leaving behind a cleaner market structure and a more stable foundation for the next leg upward. Despite the liquidation flush out, XRP has now swept through multiple historical zones, areas that would typically take months to revisit, clearing out resistance and resetting bullish sentiment. With the Wave E formed and D yet to be punctured, the commentator suggests that patience remains key, but the dip has already played out, and the next major target remains $4.00. -
Did Ethereum Crypto Bottom At $3,500? This Smart $944M ETH Whale Heavily Bought The Dip
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
When crypto prices are unusually volatile and falling, two things can happen: Either you cave in and lose, or you HODL and win. The choices are binary. Being a weak hand may sometimes look safe, but crypto has its lessons. When Ethereum prices, for instance, flash crash, the drawdown tends to flush out speculators, and the diamond hands scoop up ETH crypto at low prices. It has happened before, and happened last week, and, as long as long ETH USDT is a tradable asset, it sure will print out in the future. In 2017, ETH crypto ballooned to $1,400 before collapsing below $80. A few years later, in 2021, it rallied to over $4,900 before dipping below $1,000 in 2022. Last week, there was a deleveraging event that wiped out gains from mid-September. ETH USDT flash-crashed from $4,400 to as low as $3,500, in minutes, before recovering. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time On Coinglass, ETH USDT is pushing higher, quite impressively. It is trading above $4,000, and the long/short ratio stands above two in Binance. Tables are also quickly shifting: shorts, not longs, are getting liquidated. In the past 24 hours, over $159M of ETH USDT shorts were forcefully closed across major perpetual exchanges, mostly Binance and OKX. (Source: Coinglass) DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 ETH USDT Price Analysis: Time To Buy? The rapid shift is unexpected. If the sellers of October 9 were genuine, there could have been a spillover over the weekend, forcing ETH USDT towards $3,000. Instead, ETH crypto is funding support above September lows and firm above $4,000. Notably, ETH crypto bulls have reversed over +60% of October 9 losses and are bidding higher. A complete reversal may be the solid foundation for a close above $4,800 and $5,000 in a refreshing buy trend continuation formation. On X, the recovery of Ethereum over the weekend is why investors are confident. In a post, one said that if ETH USDT reclaims $4,250, buyers will be back in control. From late February to March 2025, this entity bought over 12,000 ETH when ETH USDT slid to as low as $2,382. Later, in April 2025, they added another $24,817 ETH when ETH USDT slid to $1,700. On October 9, when ETH dumped again, they bought some more. When writing, Seven Sisters currently holds over $944M of various Ethereum tokens, cumulatively up +7% in the past 24 hours. (Source: DeBank) DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now Ethereum Crypto Bottom At $3,500? S $944M ETH Whale Buying Ethereum crypto recovering Ethereum price crashed below $3,500 on October 11 ETH USDT trading above $4,100 at press time Seven Sisters, a known whale entity, bought more ETH during the dip The post Did Ethereum Crypto Bottom At $3,500? This Smart $944M ETH Whale Heavily Bought The Dip appeared first on 99Bitcoins.