Todas Atividades
Atualizada automaticamente
- Recentemente
-
XRP Price Rebounds Cautiously — Can Momentum Build From Here?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.40. The price is now facing resistance near $2.5350 and at risk of a fresh decline. XRP price is moving lower from the $2.5350 zone. The price is now trading above $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.420 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.5350 resistance. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price formed a base above $2.20 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.350 and $2.40 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $2.50, and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.647 swing high to the $2.190 low. However, the bears remained active near the $2.5350 level and prevented more gains. The price failed to clear the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.647 swing high to the $2.190 low. It is again moving below $2.50. The price is now trading above $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.420 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.480 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.50 level, above which the price could rise and test $2.5350. A clear move above the $2.5350 resistance might send the price toward the $2.580 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.650 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.720. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $2.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.420 level. The next major support is near the $2.40 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.40 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.350. The next major support sits near the $2.320 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.420 and $2.40. Major Resistance Levels – $2.50 and $2.5350. -
Bear Market Alert: Top Expert Claims Bitcoin Price Fate Hangs On $101,700 Support Level
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The Bitcoin price showed some signs of recovery at the start of the week, trading above the $110,000 mark. This uptick follows two consecutive Fridays of major drops, igniting fears and uncertainty among investors. These concerns have been compounded by predictions from experts about a potential bear market on the horizon. Looming Bear Market Threat Market analyst Doctor Profit, known for his accurate forecasts regarding the recent Bitcoin price trajectory, has recently cast doubt on whether market makers will allow both retail and institutional investors to exit at more favorable prices after incurring losses. In a social media post on X (previously Twitter), he suggested that the maximum bullish scenario for the Bitcoin price in the near-term could reach around $116,500, representing a 9% increase from its current levels. However, he emphasizes that a drop below $101,700 would breach what he terms the “magic bull market line,” effectively confirming a bear market. Profit advises caution, predicting a significant move that could push the Bitcoin price below this critical threshold, signaling the end of the bull run. Adding to the bearish sentiment, the Bitcoin price is currently hovering below the short-term holder realized price of $112,500. This figure represents the average entry point for short-term traders and buyers, many of whom are now facing losses. On-chain data compiled by the expert also indicates that these traders are likely to sell off their positions if the Bitcoin price dips between 5% and 10%, potentially intensifying short-term selling pressure. Challenging Times Ahead For Bitcoin Price Profit further elaborates on the market conditions, pointing out that current price movements are indicative of market makers liquidating both bullish and bearish positions. “Nothing goes down in a straight line,” he notes, suggesting that while the market could be in a bear market, it is essential to remain aware of short-term fluctuations. He argues that high-leverage traders must be wiped out on both sides before the market experiences its next significant downward movement. The expert also warns that every brief rally is designed to mislead bullish traders and liquidate late bearish positions. The market makers’ strategy appears to involve pushing Bitcoin toward the $116,500 region to eliminate late bears and generate sufficient liquidity for another downward price adjustment, potentially leading to new local lows. Looking ahead, Doctor Profit predicts that such price movements will continue to recur in the coming weeks and months, creating a challenging environment for investors in the volatile digital asset market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com -
What to Watch on October 21: Fundamental Event Breakdown for Beginners
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Macroeconomic Report Overview: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. As such, traders are once again left to monitor comments from Donald Trump. However, the market has recently been largely indifferent to the U.S. President's remarks. Even speeches by central bank officials are currently having little impact, as markets already have a clear understanding of what to expect from monetary policymakers in the near future. The only moderate area of uncertainty lies in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, but even that remains relatively limited. Fundamental Event Overview: Very few fundamental events are scheduled for Tuesday, and nearly all of them lack the potential to influence the market meaningfully. Over the past several weeks, the financial community has heard extensive commentary from the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE), and U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)—leaving little ambiguity around the stance of all three institutions. Today's speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde is unlikely to affect market sentiment. Remember that inflation in the eurozone rose more than expected in September, which implies that further monetary easing is off the table. However, the ECB was not inclined toward further rate cuts even before the latest inflation report. Therefore, the data didn't change anything in terms of policy expectations. Key Takeaways: On this second trading day of the week, both major currency pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD) may remain trapped in low-volatility, sideways ranges. For the euro (EUR/USD), the 1.1655–1.1666 zone remains a well-defined trading area, offering the potential for both long and short positions depending on price behavior.For the British pound (GBP/USD), the 1.3413–1.3421 zone has already been broken through to the downside, opening the path toward the next target at 1.3329–1.3331.However, it's important to keep in mind that overall market volatility is low, and the macroeconomic calendar is virtually empty. Therefore, significant price movements today are unlikely. Patience and disciplined risk management will be key for traders navigating this quiet period. Key Rules of the Trading System:Signal strength is determined by how quickly it forms (bounce or breakout). The faster it forms, the stronger the signal.If two or more false signals occurred near a level, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.In flat markets, pairs may produce many false signals or none at all. At the first sign of flat trading, it's best to step back.Trades should be opened between the start of the European session and the middle of the U.S. session. All trades must be manually closed afterward.On the 1H timeframe, MACD signals should only be traded if supported by good volatility and a visible trend confirmed by trendlines or channels.If two levels are too close together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance zone.After gaining 15-20 pips in the correct direction, set your Stop Loss to breakeven.What's on the Charts:Support and resistance levels – key targets for entry and exit; ideal for placing Take Profit orders.Red lines – trendlines or channels highlighting the current market trend and preferred trading direction.MACD (14,22,3) – histogram and signal line – used as an additional confirmation tool for entry and exit signals.Important Note for Beginners:Major news events (always shown on economic calendars) can significantly impact currency movements. During critical news releases, trade with extreme caution—or exit the market entirely—to avoid abrupt reversals. Remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a well-defined trading strategy and disciplined risk/money management are essential to achieving long-term success in forex trading. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
How to Trade GBP/USD on October 21: Simple Tips and Trade Review for Beginners
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Monday Trade Review:1-Hour Chart of GBP/USD On Monday, GBP/USD also traded with minimal volatility and slowly declined throughout the session. In fact, this kind of movement is not surprising—and we'd even say it was expected. There were no macroeconomic or fundamental events at all on Monday. The pair had been rising for about three days as part of a new uptrend, so a minor downward correction was completely logical. On the daily timeframe, a flat range remains firmly in place, so strong volatility and clear trend-based movements are not to be expected right now. It's also worth noting that the market has been ignoring many news events—especially those that are negative for the U.S. dollar—for about three weeks now. From our perspective, current market movements do not reflect the nature of recent news nor the broader fundamental picture in the U.S or globally. 5-Minute Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute chart, several trading signals were generated throughout Monday. However, none were marked on the chart as volatility barely reached 40 pips. In reality, there were hardly any meaningful movements. As we've stated before, in such low-volatility conditions, trading signals generally fail to yield profit. How to Trade on Tuesday: On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD has finally started forming a new uptrend, which may become the next leg of the broader bullish trend. As previously mentioned, there are no strong reasons to expect sustained U.S. dollar strength, so in the medium term, we look for continuation to the upside. However, at the moment, volatility in the market has sunk to nearly zero, and the price is still showing reluctance to rise. On Tuesday, the pair may attempt to extend its upward momentum, as the trend has shifted to bullish. However, to open long positions, confirmation is required via a breakout and consolidation above the 1.3413–1.3421 zone. If that occurs, the target for long trades will be the 1.3466–1.3475 area. If the price fails to break above 1.3413–1.3421 and consolidates below it instead, traders may consider short positions. Still, overall volatility is expected to remain very low once again. On the 5-minute timeframe, the following levels should be monitored for Tuesday: 1.3102–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329–1.3331, 1.3413–1.3421, 1.3466–1.3475, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. Tuesday's economic calendar is empty for both the UK and the U.S., meaning there is unlikely to be any impactful news to trade on during the day. Key Rules of the Trading System:Signal strength is determined by how quickly it forms (bounce or breakout). The faster it forms, the stronger the signal.If two or more false signals occurred near a level, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.In flat markets, pairs may produce many false signals or none at all. At the first sign of flat trading, it's best to step back.Trades should be opened between the start of the European session and the middle of the U.S. session. All trades must be manually closed afterward.On the 1H timeframe, MACD signals should only be traded if supported by good volatility and a visible trend confirmed by trendlines or channels.If two levels are too close together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance zone.After gaining 20 pips in the correct direction, set your Stop Loss to breakeven.What's on the Charts:Support and resistance levels – key targets for entry and exit; ideal for placing Take Profit orders.Red lines – trendlines or channels highlighting the current market trend and preferred trading direction.MACD (14,22,3) – histogram and signal line – used as an additional confirmation tool for entry and exit signals.Important Note for Beginners:Major news events (always shown on economic calendars) can significantly impact currency movements. During critical news releases, trade with extreme caution—or exit the market entirely—to avoid abrupt reversals. Remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a well-defined trading strategy and disciplined risk/money management are essential to achieving long-term success in forex trading. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
How to Trade EUR/USD on October 21: Simple Tips and Trade Review for Beginners
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Monday Trade Review: 1-Hour Chart of EUR/USD On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair posted 37 pips of volatility. In short, there is little to analyze from the previous session. There were no significant or even mildly interesting macroeconomic or fundamental events throughout the day. As such, price movement was also limited. The uptrend on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact after breaking through another descending trendline, but once again, we observe a lack of enthusiasm from traders to buy the euro or take any decisive action. This suggests that while the upward movement may continue, it is likely to be extremely sluggish. On the daily timeframe, price remains locked in a flat (sideways) structure, which appears to be the root cause of ongoing market stagnation. Volatility has been declining for several weeks, and even important events now offer limited market impact. 5-Minute Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute chart, only one clear trading signal was generated on Monday. During the U.S. session, the price barely managed to consolidate below the 1.1655–1.1666 area, allowing novice traders to open short positions. Eight hours after the signal formed, the price had moved lower by just 10 pips. Further downside may occur today, but strong momentum is unlikely. How to Trade on TuesdayOn the 1-hour chart, EUR/USD continues to show signs of an upward trend. A descending trendline has been breached, and the fundamental and macroeconomic background remains heavily unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. Therefore, we continue to expect the resumption of the broader 2025 uptrend. However, traders must remain cautious due to the persistent flat on the daily timeframe. This flat is causing low volatility and erratic behavior on shorter timeframes. EUR/USD may move in either direction on Tuesday due to the continued lack of macro and fundamental catalysts. A short signal has already formed in the 1.1655–1.1666 area, so a moderate decline remains possible. Nonetheless, market movements are likely to remain muted—similar to Monday. On the 5-minute timeframe, the following levels should be monitored for Tuesday: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1745–1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. In the eurozone, a speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is scheduled today, but market interest in her comments is minimal. The U.S. economic calendar is empty. Key Rules of the Trading System:Signal strength is determined by how quickly it forms (bounce or breakout). The faster it forms, the stronger the signal.If two or more false signals occurred near a level, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.In flat markets, pairs may produce many false signals or none at all. At the first sign of flat trading, it's best to step back.Trades should be opened between the start of the European session and the middle of the U.S. session. All trades must be manually closed afterward.On the 1H timeframe, MACD signals should only be traded if supported by good volatility and a visible trend confirmed by trendlines or channels.If two levels are too close together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance zone.After gaining 15 pips in the correct direction, set your Stop Loss to breakeven.What's on the Charts:Support and resistance levels – key targets for entry and exit; ideal for placing Take Profit orders.Red lines – trendlines or channels highlighting the current market trend and preferred trading direction.MACD (14,22,3) – histogram and signal line – used as an additional confirmation tool for entry and exit signals.Important Note for Beginners:Major news events (always shown on economic calendars) can significantly impact currency movements. During critical news releases, trade with extreme caution—or exit the market entirely—to avoid abrupt reversals. Remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a well-defined trading strategy and disciplined risk/money management are essential to achieving long-term success in forex trading. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com - Hoje
-
Ethereum Price Faces Rejection Near Resistance Zone — Risk Of Deeper Correction Rises
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $3,950. ETH failed to clear $4,050 and recently started a fresh decline below $4,000. Ethereum started a fresh recovery above $3,880 and $3,980. The price is trading below $3,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,840. Ethereum Price Fails Again Ethereum price started a decent recovery wave above the $3,800 resistance, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $3,880 and $3,980 levels to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even cleared the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,292 swing high to the $3,677 low. However, the bears remained active near the $4,080 resistance zone and prevented an upside continuation. The price failed to settle above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,292 swing high to the $3,677 low. There was a fresh decline below $4,000. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $3,960 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $3,980 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,050 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,080 level. A clear move above the $4,080 resistance might send the price toward the $4,120 resistance. An upside break above the $4,120 region might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,220 resistance zone or even $4,250 in the near term. Downside Break In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,980 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,860 level. The first major support sits near the $3,840 zone. A clear move below the $3,840 support might push the price toward the $3,820 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,680 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,620. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,840 Major Resistance Level – $4,050 -
Bitcoin Price Stabilizes After Drop — Early Signs Of Recovery Emerge
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $108,000 and $108,500. BTC tested $111,800 and is currently trimming recent gains. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $108,000 resistance level. The price is trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line with support at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $110,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Trims Some Gains Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $105,500 resistance. BTC was able to surpass the $107,500 and $108,500 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above $110,500. There was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $103,582 low. However, the bulls struggled to keep the price above the $111,500 level. The price is slowly moving lower from the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $103,582 low. Besides, there is a bullish trend line with support at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $110,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $111,200 level. The next resistance could be $111,500. A close above the $111,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $112,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $113,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,000. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $108,800 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $108,000 level. The next support is now near the $107,550 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $106,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $105,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,800, followed by $108,000. Major Resistance Levels – $110,500 and $111,500. -
Bitcoin Enters ‘Disbelief Phase’ – Could Short Sellers Face The Next Squeeze?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
After the massive crash on October 10 – which saw Bitcoin (BTC) touch $102,000 before recovering some losses – some analysts now predict that the top cryptocurrency may be on the verge of another bullish rally as it enters the ‘disbelief phase.’ Bitcoin In Disbelief Phase – Trouble For Bears? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin appears to be entering the disbelief phase, which increases the possibility of a rebound to the upside. The contributor emphasized the slightly negative funding rate to support their analysis. For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin disbelief phase occurs when a new uptrend begins, but most investors remain skeptical after a recent correction, doubting that the recovery is real. During this phase, lingering bearish sentiment and short positions often act as fuel for a stronger rally once confidence returns. Darkfost stated that investors’ skepticism toward BTC returning to bullish mode can be gauged through BTC funding rates in the derivatives market. Funding rates remained negative at -0.004% on the exchange for six out of seven days over the past week, indicating traders are still slightly bearish. The likely reason behind traders’ short bias is the October 10 crypto market crash that led to a liquidation worth $19 billion. Since then, traders have consistently chosen to short the market instead of getting trapped in another price pullback. However, the longer BTC remains in the disbelief phase, the stronger the potential for an explosive upside move becomes. Darkfost added: If the current uptrend continues to establish itself, the growing pile of short positions against it could become a powerful fuel for the next leg higher. As these shorts get liquidated, it would drive prices upward, triggering a short squeeze. If a short squeeze happens, then BTC could quickly rally to major liquidity zones around $113,000 level, and even as high as $126,000 region, where significant short orders liquidations are clustered. The analyst shared two previous instance where such a pattern played out. In September 2024, BTC fell to $54,000 before surging to a new all-time high beyond $100,000. Similarly, in April 2025, the flagship digital asset rallied from $85,000 to $111,000, before climbing even higher to $123,000. To conclude, the Bitcoin market may be on the verge of another short squeeze, fueled by investors’ skepticism. BTC Investors Need To Be Cautious Although BTC is giving hints of a looming short squeeze, investors should still exercise some caution before entering the market in hopes of an instant turnaround in sentiment. For example, Bitcoin activity recently slumped below its 365-day average, raising fears of a loss of momentum. That said, some crypto analysts forecast that BTC is likely done with the price correction and is set to surge in the coming days. At press time, BTC trades at $110,814, up 2.8% in the past 24 hours. -
Ethereum Death Cross That Last Preceded A 60% Drop Just Returned
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
On-chain data shows the Ethereum MVRV Ratio has just given a signal that last took the cryptocurrency’s price from $3,300 to $1,400. Ethereum MVRV Ratio Has Formed A Death Cross In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has appeared for Ethereum in the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. This on-chain indicator measures the ratio between the ETH Market Cap and Realized Cap. The Realized Cap here is a capitalization model for the cryptocurrency that calculates its total value by assuming the ‘real’ value of each token in circulation is equal to the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. Since the last transaction of any token is likely to represent the last time it changed hands, the price at its time would denote its current cost basis. As such, the Realized Cap is a measure of the total cost basis of the ETH circulating supply. In other words, the model represents the amount of capital the investors as a whole have put into the asset. The Market Cap, on the other hand, signifies the value that the investors are carrying in the present. Thus, its comparison with the Realized Cap in the MVRV Ratio tells us about the profit-loss situation of the holders. When the value of the indicator is greater than 1, it means the investors are holding more value than they put in. On the other hand, it being under the cutoff suggests the overall market is underwater. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the Ethereum MVRV Ratio and its 160-day moving average (MA) over the past year: As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum MVRV Ratio has witnessed a decline recently as ETH’s price has gone down, implying holder profitability has been dropping. With the latest drawdown, the indicator’s daily value has plunged below the 160-day MA. In the chart, Martinez has highlighted the previous instances of this crossover taking place. It would appear that the MVRV Ratio’s fall under this line in February led into a significant decrease in the ETH price from $3,300 to $1,400, a swing of almost 60%. Other instances of the crossover, however, didn’t mean much for Ethereum. It should be noted, though, that in these instances, including the one from earlier in the month, the metric was swift to recover back above the line, essentially canceling out the death cross. It now remains to be seen whether the latest break below the line is going to be a sustainable one like in February, or if it will be another quick dip. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $4,000, down 2% over the last week. -
On Monday, the euro failed to hold above the MACD line—the day closed with a black candlestick below this line, although there has been no firm consolidation yet. Tuesday began with upward momentum. The Marlin oscillator is rising, reflecting the current state of uncertainty. If the price starts to drift along the indicator line, the sideways uncertainty may persist up until the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. To avoid a confirmed consolidation below the MACD line—which would reinforce the bearish scenario—the price must close today above this line. Such price action would support a continuation of the neutral sideways trend, with the price caught between the MACD line and the balance line. On the four-hour chart, the price is clearly coiling around the key level of 1.1650. The Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, but with the MACD line well below the current price (1.1607), Marlin is free to oscillate near the zero axis. Both timeframes show clear signs of consolidation and sideways movement. Market participants now await the Federal Reserve's meeting on October 29. Tomorrow, a batch of U.K. inflation data will be released, which may bring a brief uptick in market activity. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
On Monday, trading volume in the British pound was below average. While the price did not rise, it also showed no eagerness to decline. It is clear that the market is awaiting Wednesday's release of the U.K. inflation data before making any decisive moves. On the daily timeframe, the MACD line has moved even closer to the key support level at 1.3369, thereby reinforcing it. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has been moving sideways for four days. If the price tests the support at 1.3369, there is a high probability of a rebound upward within the ongoing consolidation. On the four-hour timeframe, the 1.3369 level is also reinforced by the MACD line, this time from below. The Marlin oscillator remains in a neutral position at the zero line. A continuation of sideways movement is likely. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Following a three-day upward correction, Bitcoin failed to reach the target resistance at 111,904—likely due to the increase in strength of this level provided by the daily MACD indicator line. Today began with a confident decline. The Marlin oscillator, remaining in negative territory, has turned downward. This likely marks the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the nearest target at 102,698. A consolidation below this level would further extend the decline toward the second target at 98,124. On the four-hour chart, the MACD line prevented the price from fulfilling the target level. Now, the price is attempting to move further away from it to the downside. The Marlin oscillator is aggressively approaching the boundary with bearish territory. The target at 102,698 is open. If, however, the price consolidates above the 111,904 level, it would activate an alternative scenario with potential growth into the target range of 115,679–117,418. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
The GBP/USD currency pair showed no meaningful movements on Monday. In this article, we focus on upcoming events that could (theoretically) influence the pair's direction. "Theoretically," because for the past three weeks, the market has been actively ignoring many factors that typically work against the U.S. dollar. Simply put, if the dollar had been falling these last three weeks, we would consider it entirely justified. However, the British pound, like the euro, remains stuck in a flat range on the daily timeframe. From its current levels, GBP/USD could still fall another 250 pips and stay within the bounds of this flat market. And once the flat range is over, a new trend will eventually follow. While the dollar could technically gain several hundred points in the medium term based on technical factors alone, it's unclear what fundamental reason might support it starting a full-scale uptrend. Two significant events this week will be the consumer inflation reports from both the United Kingdom and the United States. In both cases, an acceleration in prices is expected. However, the implications for the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve will differ. For the BoE, the pace of inflation is less critical. Inflation has been running above target for over a year now—almost double the official target—so it's becoming increasingly clear that the BoE is unlikely to lower interest rates any time soon. For the Fed, inflation is also not a key factor—at least not in the short term. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates twice more before the end of the year, as failure to do so could result in severe labor market strain. However, entering 2026, inflation will regain importance. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and most members of the FOMC have reiterated their commitment to both mandates—employment and price stability—stating clearly that persistently high inflation would make further policy easing unlikely. For now, the labor market takes priority, but once it stabilizes, inflation concerns will come to the forefront again. In essence, while inflation may rise on both sides, the Fed is expected to continue easing, whereas the BoE is likely to hold steady. This asymmetry supports a stronger British pound and gives little support to the U.S. dollar. We still believe that most dips in the pair are either technically-driven or simply flat corrections. The market may still need time to stabilize as market makers build large, long-term positions—after which a new trend may emerge. We don't expect that trend to be bearish unless Donald Trump dramatically reverses his policy approach, which, while not impossible, seems unlikely at the moment. The average daily volatility for GBP/USD over the past five trading days stands at 77 pips—a level characterized as "average." On Tuesday, October 21, we expect the pair to move within the range defined by the levels of 1.3342 and 1.3496. The upper linear regression channel remains upward-sloping, confirming a bullish tendency. The CCI indicator has entered oversold territory three times, which suggests a resumption of the uptrend may be near. Nearest Support levels:S1 – 1.3367 S2 – 1.3306 S3 – 1.3245 Nearest Resistance levels:R1 – 1.3428 R2 – 1.3489 R3 – 1.3550 Trading Recommendations:The GBP/USD pair is attempting to resume the 2025 bullish trend, and its long-term outlook remains intact. Trump's policy continues to exert pressure on the dollar, so we see limited upside potential for the U.S. currency. Long positions remain relevant above the moving average, targeting levels of 1.3672 and 1.3733. If the price moves below the moving average, short positions may be considered with technical targets of 1.3342 and 1.3306. The dollar occasionally experiences technical corrections, but for a sustained upward trend, it would require a fundamental shift—such as a dramatic resolution in trade negotiations or other significant global economic catalysts. Explanation of Chart Tools:Linear Regression Channels: Help identify the current trend. If both channels are pointing in the same direction, it indicates a strong, directional trend.Moving Average Line (settings 20,0, smoothed): Identifies short-term momentum and the recommended trading direction.Murray Levels: Serve as target zones for both expansion and correction phases.Volatility Levels (Red Lines): Represent the expected price range over the next 24 hours based on current volatility data.CCI Indicator: Values above +250 or below -250 suggest overbought or oversold conditions, signaling a potential trend reversal.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
EUR/USD Overview for October 21: Another Boring Monday
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The EUR/USD currency pair traded with weak volatility on Monday, which came as no surprise given the complete absence of macroeconomic and fundamental events throughout the day. As forecasted, volatility was low. Therefore, there is essentially nothing new to add to previously published analyses. Any kind of U.S. dollar strength at this point seems illogical—especially on a Monday lacking any justification for USD gains, with ongoing protests and unrest across the United States aimed at Donald Trump. Given this, the only logical step today is to look ahead at upcoming events for the rest of the week and attempt to assess what to expect. First, let's clarify our technical stance: we expect upward movement above the moving average and consider any decline below it as illogical and corrective in nature. While this may sound too simplistic, what it means is: as long as the price is above the moving average, long positions remain valid. If the price dips below, any sell trades should be entered with the understanding they are against the broader trend. The daily timeframe remains the most informative. On it, we clearly see not a correction (i.e. dollar growth), but a flat market that has persisted for several months. Therefore, it cannot currently be said that the U.S. currency is strengthening. The main event this week is undoubtedly the U.S. inflation report—not because of its influence on the Fed's monetary policy, but simply because it is nearly the only important report scheduled for the entire month. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, key labor market and unemployment data remain unavailable until Democrats and Republicans reach a consensus. Another event to monitor is European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's speech—though she has already spoken at least ten times in recent weeks without delivering any market-moving news. The latest inflation report in the eurozone showed slightly stronger-than-expected numbers, but it does little to change the ECB's stance. If inflation is rising, it means rates cannot be cut further, yet tightening policy is not an option either. On Friday, PMI data for the eurozone's services and manufacturing sectors will be released for October, but these are generally not high-impact reports and rarely trigger strong market reactions. Overall, this week traders should focus on Donald Trump's commentary on China and the U.S. inflation report. That's essentially the entire fundamental calendar. From a technical perspective, a new drop in the EUR/USD pair is not impossible. The daily chart still allows for a 150-pip decline within the flat structure. However, until we see a confirmed downward trend, selling the pair comes with increased risk and is not currently advisable. The average volatility of the EUR/USD pair over the last five trading days (as of October 21) is 57 pips, which is considered "average." On Tuesday, we expect movement between the levels of 1.1599 and 1.1713. The upper linear regression channel is pointing upwards, which confirms the ongoing bullish trend. The CCI has recently entered the oversold zone, which may spark a new wave of upward momentum. Nearest Support levels:S1 – 1.1658 S2 – 1.1597 S3 – 1.1536 Nearest Resistance levels:R1 – 1.1719 R2 – 1.1780 R3 – 1.1841 Trading Recommendations:EUR/USD is attempting to start a new uptrend on the H4 chart, while the uptrend remains intact across higher timeframes. The U.S. dollar remains under heavy pressure due to Donald Trump's unpredictable policies, which show no signs of slowing down. While the dollar has strengthened locally in recent sessions, its fundamental basis is weak. The ongoing flat structure on the daily timeframe continues to explain much of the sideways movement. If the price moves above the moving average line, buying remains relevant, with targets at 1.1841 and 1.1902 in line with the trend. If the price drops below the moving average, short positions can be considered on a technical basis, with downside targets at 1.1536. However, these should be treated as corrective rather than trend-continuation trades. Explanation of Chart Tools:Linear Regression Channels: Help identify the current trend. If both channels are pointing in the same direction, it indicates a strong, directional trend.Moving Average Line (settings 20,0, smoothed): Identifies short-term momentum and the recommended trading direction.Murray Levels: Serve as target zones for both expansion and correction phases.Volatility Levels (Red Lines): Represent the expected price range over the next 24 hours based on current volatility data.CCI Indicator: Values above +250 or below -250 suggest overbought or oversold conditions, signaling a potential trend reversal.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Analysis of GBP/USD – 5M Timeframe On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair remained stagnant throughout the day. There were absolutely no macroeconomic or fundamental events, and, even under such quiet conditions, volatility remained extremely low. Over recent months, volatility has been steadily declining, signaling reduced trader activity—something quite typical during flat market phases. It's worth noting that both the euro and the pound are in a sideways trend on the daily timeframes. Within such a flat range, price movements can be completely unpredictable. This week may bring notable events for both the pound and the dollar, but traders will have to wait. While inflation reports are usually significant, in the current context they are having a modest impact on the market. As such, the uptrend on the hourly timeframe remains technically valid but still lacks momentum. Realistically, no one will be thrilled if the pair continues inching upward at 20 pips per day with constant corrections. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price broke through the 1.3420 level roughly seven times during the day, with overall daily volatility totaling around 45 pips. Traders may have attempted to open positions early in the session, but we had warned that the likelihood of low volatility was very high. COT Report (Commitment of Traders) COT data for the British pound shows that commercial traders have been shifting their sentiment frequently in recent years. The red and blue lines, representing net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders, often cross and tend to hover near the zero line. Currently, they are nearly equal, indicating a balanced number of long and short positions. The U.S. dollar continues to weaken due to the policies of Donald Trump, which makes market makers' interest in the pound Sterling less relevant in the current phase. The ongoing trade war is expected to persist in some form for an extended period. The Federal Reserve is also projected to continue cutting rates over the next year. Demand for the dollar is bound to diminish. According to the latest COT report for the pound, non-commercial traders opened 3,700 BUY contracts and closed 900 SELL contracts. Thus, the net position among this group increased by 4,600 contracts. In 2025, the pound has posted significant gains, but the catalyst is clear—Trump's policies. Once that factor dissipates, the dollar may rebound. When that happens, however, remains highly uncertain. Regardless of how the pound's net positions evolve, the U.S. dollar's net position continues to decline—often at a faster pace. Analysis of GBP/USD – 1H Timeframe On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair has finally completed its downward trend and has begun forming a new bullish structure. The U.S. dollar still lacks fundamental reasons to strengthen, so we expect the pair to continue rising toward its 2025 highs in almost any scenario. The primary concern is whether the flat trading on the daily timeframe will continue for several more weeks. Nonetheless, it's already evident that the Trump-driven trade war continues to escalate, tensions are rising, and the Federal Reserve remains committed to monetary easing. This is a toxic cocktail for the U.S. dollar. Key levels for October 21: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3307, 1.3369–1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3533–1.3548, 1.3584, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. Additionally, the Senkou Span B line (1.3393) and the Kijun-sen line (1.3358) may generate signals during the trading day. A Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven after a 20-pip favorable movement. Note: Ichimoku indicator lines may shift throughout the day and should be monitored accordingly for accurate signal generation. For Tuesday, no major events are scheduled in either the U.S. or the United Kingdom, meaning another flat, low-volatility market day is likely. Trading Recommendations:Today, traders may initiate trades from the 1.3420 level or from the Senkou Span B line. There are multiple support levels located below the market, while incoming news remains limited. The British pound has started to rise, so in the short term, continued upward movement is expected toward the 1.3533–1.3548 area. However, the likelihood of a flat session with minimal price movement remains high. Explanation of Chart Elements:Resistance/Support Levels – thick red lines: These are zones where price movement may pause or reverse; they do not generate trading signals by themselves.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B – key lines from the Ichimoku indicator, transferred to the hourly chart from the 4-hour timeframe; they serve as major points of support/resistance.Extremes – thin red lines: Previous swing highs or lows from which price historically bounced. They can generate trading signals.Yellow lines – include trendlines, channels, and other technical chart patterns.COT Indicator 1 (on charts): Shows the net position count by trader category.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Analysis of EUR/USD – 5M Timeframe The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited virtually no trading activity on Monday—literally. There are days when the market is sideways, and then there are days when the market is completely inert. Yesterday was one of those days. No macroeconomic reports were published, no fundamental events occurred, and even the latest rhetorical jabs from Donald Trump directed at China failed to revive trading activity. Traders have become increasingly indifferent to statements from the U.S. President, having realized that Trump changes his stance as often as the wind. As a result, there was no reason for traders to enter the market. Technically, the new uptrend remains intact and could resume at any moment. Several important macroeconomic reports are scheduled this week, so traders can reasonably expect a trending phase. The pair continues to trade above the Ichimoku indicator lines and previously broke through a descending trendline. Therefore, we continue to anticipate growth in the pair. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price moved within a narrow range between the Kijun-sen line and the 1.1666 level throughout the day. Volatility did not exceed 40 pips. No valid trading signals were generated. COT Report (Commitment of Traders) The latest COT report is dated September 23. No newer reports have been published due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. As shown in the chart above, non-commercial traders' net positions had remained bullish for an extended period. Bears only briefly took control in late 2024 but lost their advantage quickly. Since Donald Trump began his second presidential term, the U.S. dollar has been in decline. Although we can't say with 100% certainty that this decline will continue, current global developments suggest that scenario is quite plausible. We still see no fundamental factors supporting euro strength; however, there are plenty of reasons for continued weakness in the U.S. dollar. The long-term downtrend in the USD is still relevant, but in the current geopolitical context, historical trends spanning the last 17 years aren't as helpful. If and when Trump ends his trade wars, the dollar may strengthen again, but recent developments indicate these conflicts are far from over. One of the most concerning factors for the USD remains the potential erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence, which adds additional downward pressure on the greenback. The red and blue lines on the indicator still point to the continuation of a bullish trend. During the last reporting week, the number of long positions held by the "Non-commercial" group fell by 800 contracts, while short positions increased by 2,600. Therefore, the net position declined by 3,400. However, these figures are significantly outdated and currently hold little weight. Analysis of EUR/USD – 1H Timeframe On the hourly chart, EUR/USD may have completed its downtrend as early as two weeks ago. The trendline, Kijun-sen, the 1.1604–1.1615 area, the 1.1657–1.1666 zone, and the Senkou Span B line have all been surpassed. Thus, we can now expect movement only to the upside. We believe that the euro has long been overdue for an upward move, especially now that all the necessary technical criteria have been met. Still, the market is slow to act on this, despite having enough justification. Trading levels for Tuesday, October 21: 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604–1.1615, 1.1657–1.1666, 1.1750–1.1760, 1.1846–1.1857, 1.1922, 1.1971–1.1988, as well as the Senkou Span B level (1.1651) and the Kijun-sen line (1.1635). Note that Ichimoku lines can shift during the day and should be monitored in real time when identifying signals. Also, if the price moves at least 15 pips in the correct direction, make sure to set Stop Loss at breakeven to protect against potential false signals. On Tuesday, the only notable event in the eurozone is another speech from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. This will be her 10th or so appearance in the past few weeks. As of yet, she has not communicated anything market-moving. The U.S. economic calendar remains empty. Trading Recommendations:On Tuesday, traders can continue to focus on the 1.1651–1.1666 zone. To open long positions targeting 1.1750–1.1760, wait for confirmation of a breakout above this area. We do not recommend shorting the pair, as the trend has clearly shifted upwards and there are numerous support levels below that may prevent further declines. Explanation of Chart Elements:Resistance/Support Levels – thick red lines: These are zones where price movement may pause or reverse; they do not generate trading signals by themselves.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B – key lines from the Ichimoku indicator, transferred to the hourly chart from the 4-hour timeframe; they serve as major points of support/resistance.Extremes – thin red lines: Previous swing highs or lows from which price historically bounced. They can generate trading signals.Yellow lines – include trendlines, channels, and other technical chart patterns.COT Indicator 1 (on charts): Shows the net position count by trader category.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Ethereum’s Open Framework Is A Playground For Grifters — Here’s Why
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The Ethereum network was built to democratize a finance platform where anyone, anywhere, could deploy code and create value. With no centralized oversight, ETH has become a stage where builders and grifters coexist, each leveraging the same tools of decentralization to vastly different ends. Can Ethereum Evolve Beyond Its Culture Of Exploitation? Ethereum has always been more than just a cryptocurrency. It’s a programmable, open finance framework that allows anyone to build and exploit ETH. According to AdrianoFeria’s post on X, this openness has enabled innovation and also allowed countless grifters to accumulate vast amounts of ETH by selling low-quality tokens and NFTs to retail investors. The mechanism of extraction was simple yet profound, so that retail investors, ironically seeking to gain more ETH exposure through higher beta plays, ended up parting with the very asset they sought to accumulate. These grifters effectively extracted ETH that might have otherwise remained in the hands of long-term holders. However, one of the earliest and most glaring examples was EOS. At its peak, it held about 7.2 million ETH, which is roughly 6% of the total supply, marking the largest single treasury in existence. A subsequent wave of Initial Coin Offering (ICO) and NFTs is believed to have extracted more ETH from the hands of long-term retail holders. This continuous speculative excess transferred wealth, creating selling pressure that ultimately slowed down ETH’s long-term appreciation. Furthermore, Adriano Feria asserts that ETH has finally moved beyond that phase and will be reflected in price action (PA) with steadier growth and much stronger relative strength during market corrections. Institutions are actively embracing ETH, and even hardcore BTC maximalists have been forced to acknowledge ETH’s technological strengths and the undeniable institutional traction it has attracted. These expectations are for a boring supercycle, and with crypto commentators (CT folks) still trying to call the top. Still, this very stability and institutional foundation is precisely what the ETH supercycle is meant to look like. Why Ethereum Legacy Belongs To Everyone A digital artist, ArtvisionNFT, from Ukraine, who specializes in NFTs, has revealed that in the fast-moving world of blockchain, history is at risk of being forgotten. As a result, the Covalent_HQ Ethereum Wayback Machine (EWM) was built to ensure the full history remains intact and accessible to everyone, anywhere, to access the verified blockchain data. However, EWM acts as a digital time capture, collecting, verifying, and storing old block using a decentralized system. Those process ensures that developers can use EWM to audit smart contracts, build analytics, and trace blockchain activity. EWM protects the transparency, accountability, and innovation in the broader Web3 ecosystem. At its core, Covalent_HQ’s mission is to make sure ETH’s story is never lost. -
Bitcoin Whale Goes Big — $255M Longs Opened Before Trump–China Summit
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after US President Donald Trump confirmed a meeting with China’s leader during the APEC summit on October 31. Based on reports, Bitcoin climbed nearly 4% while Ethereum gained about 5% and traded around $4,030. The whole market added roughly $100 billion in value in a short window, according to market watchers. Insider Whale Bets And Mixed Positions Reports have disclosed that an insider whale opened $255 million in long positions across Bitcoin and Ethereum. At the same time, the same trader put on a $76 million short on Bitcoin with 10x leverage. The moves look like a bet on swings in price rather than a single directional stake. Observers note the trader has a history of large, well-timed trades, including a prior $730 million short that paid off. There is no clear public ID for this whale, and the motives are being examined by analysts. Political Shift Sends Prices Higher Based on reports, comments by US President Donald Trump helped calm markets. He reportedly said “it will all be fine” when speaking about China’s economy, and the tone toward Beijing softened after a week where he had announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. That tariff claim had sparked a big sell-off across traditional and crypto markets just days earlier. Market players reacted quickly to the latest signals of a thaw, viewing the upcoming meeting as a chance for reduced tension. On-Chain Activity And Institutional Moves According to on-chain data and exchange records, large-scale activity continued across spot markets. BitMine was reported to have picked up about $1.5 billion worth of Ether, a move that market participants say shows faith in Ethereum’s long-term outlook. Meanwhile, El Salvador quietly added eight BTC to its reserves, bringing its total holdings to 6,355.18 BTC. Exchange Flows Show Withdrawals Based on exchange records, major centralized platforms recorded a net outflow of roughly 21,000 BTC over the past week. Coinbase Pro and Binance were named among those with the biggest withdrawals, showing about 15,000 BTC and 12,000 BTC moved off exchanges, respectively. Traders interpret such flows in different ways: some see accumulation into private wallets, others see funds repositioned by large traders. The Implications Of This Moving Forward Reports indicate that the market is reacting to both political signals and positions being adjusted by big hands. If the rhetoric between the US and China continues to show friendly signals, prices may push higher and retest monthly highs. But the presence of a sizeable short position alongside large long positions suggests that volatility will stay. Presently, data points are being watched closely and traders are establishing balances between advancing positions and hedging. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView -
Analysts See $250 Rally Ahead as Solana Holds Key Support and Trading Volume Surges
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Solana (SOL) is back on the front foot after a choppy week, trading near $194 and holding a critical support band at $175–$186 that has repeatedly attracted dip buyers since August. Price reclaimed the $190–$193 area after a sharp bounce from trendline support, with traders now eyeing a clean break over $200 to flip momentum. On the charts, Solana remains inside a descending channel of lower highs and lows, but a sustained move above $202–$211 (a confluence of the 20/50-day EMAs and key Fibonacci levels) would mark a structure shift and open upside targets at $221–$222, then $235 and $250. Volume Pops, Open Interest Climbs, Institutions Accumulate Bullish undercurrents are building beneath the price. On-chain and market data show trading volumes surging to multi-month highs, while futures open interest has pushed above $8billion, signaling stronger participation and the potential for a larger directional move when volatility expands. Spot flows turned positive, with close to $31.7million in net inflows recently pointing to accumulation at mid-range levels. Institutional and corporate interest remains a durable pillar for Solana. A recent Grayscale analysis highlights the network’s high throughput, low fees, and expanding developer base. Meanwhile, ARK Invest reported $223 million in Q3 network revenue, ranking among the highest in the blockchain industry. Additionally, corporate treasuries across digital-asset firms collectively hold over 20 million SOL, underscoring long-term institutional commitment. Staking yields of around 7% annually continue to attract holders, while scaling initiatives like Firedancer aim to improve throughput and network resilience. Catalyst Watch: $200 Reclaim, Solana ETF Headlines, and Network Growth Near term, the market wants confirmation. A daily close above $202–$211 would validate a trend reversal and strengthen the case for a measured grind toward $235–$250. Analysts also flag ETF progress and regulatory headlines as potential catalysts, alongside macro risk appetite driven by rates and liquidity. Fundamentally, Solana’s momentum is buoyed by DeFi/NFT activity, rising DEX volumes, and enterprise experiments in payments and DePIN. With support defended, volume rising, and institutional demand re-emerging, SOL’s setup skews constructive. If bulls reclaim the EMA cluster and hold over $190 with growing volume, a push to the $221–$222 zone, and ultimately a $250 extension, enters play. Cover image from ChatgGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview - Yesterday
-
Amazon Outage Rocks The Internet: Can Crypto Breakthrough as Web3 Stands Strong?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
A single glitch in Amazon’s cloud sent shock waves across the internet and reignited questions about whether decentralized Web3 systems could hold up better. Amazon Web Services (AWS) suffered a major outage on Monday, knocking offline a wide range of apps and websites around the world. The disruption hit platforms such as Reddit, Roblox, and Coinbase, as well as several UK government and banking services. According to Amazon’s service update, the problem began in AWS’s US-East-1 region in Northern Virginia and was linked to a Domain Name System (DNS) issue affecting DynamoDB endpoints. AWS said engineers fixed the core problem early Monday morning Pacific time but continued working to clear remaining errors. What Caused the Amazon Web Services Outage in the US-East-1 Region? According to Reuters report, the scale of the outage showed how dependent the internet has become on a few cloud giants. Social media, gaming, payments, and media platforms were all affected, with widespread reports of downtime through the day. Reddit, Roblox, Signal, Venmo, and others gradually came back online as AWS restored services. On the crypto side, platforms that rely on cloud systems struggled. Coinbase said core functions were affected during the outage but later restored. The company also confirmed that some transfers were delayed but assured users their funds were safe. In contrast, major blockchains kept working as usual. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Amazon’s investigation traced the problem to DNS issues affecting DynamoDB API endpoints in the us-east-1 region. That glitch also blocked new EC2 instances from launching, slowing recovery for several customers. Because that region handles a large share of global cloud traffic, the failure had wide effects. The event renewed debate about overreliance on big cloud providers. Regulators and infrastructure experts warned that outages at a few hyperscalers could disrupt entire economies. In the UK, the incident added weight to calls for treating large cloud operators as “critical third parties” under stricter supervision. DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now How Did Amazon and Bitcoin React After the AWS Outage? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time In late trading, Amazon and Coinbase ticked higher, while Bitcoin hovered near $110,700. According to stock trader’s post on X, Amazon’s daily chart is finishing a pullback near the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $207.66. Price trades around $216, holding support at $211. (Source: X) Resistance sits at $224.50, then $227 and $236. A bounce from this zone could start wave (v) in the Elliott Wave count, if price holds above the retracement band. Momentum is neutral but stabilizing, which points to buyers trying to regain control before earnings. Crypto Tony, a notable crypto analyst, posted the Bitcoin price update on X. Bitcoin price hit the $110,600 resistance after a rebound off $108,000. On the 4-hour chart, a descending trendline still caps rallies and has been tested several times. (Source: X) Without a clear break above $111K–$112K, BTC likely chops between $100K and $110K. The pattern shows lower highs, with possible retests of $102K–$104K on rejection. A sustained move over $110,600 would put the broader uptrend back in focus unlike Amazon’s still-corrective setup after the outage headlines. EXPLORE: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Amazon Outage Rocks The Internet: Can Crypto Breakthrough as Web3 Stands Strong? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
TradFi just put a $110M bet on Berachain putting BERA crypto squarely on institutional radar. Greenlane Holdings (Nasdaq: GNLN) has announced a $110M private placement to launch “BeraStrategy,” a new digital-asset treasury that will make BERA the native token of the Berachain network its main reserve asset. The PIPE deal, led by Polychain Capital and joined by Blockchain.com, Kraken, North Rock Digital, CitizenX, and dao5, is expected to close around October 23. Once complete, it will mark the first time a US public company establishes a Berachain-backed treasury. The structure includes about $50M in cash and another $60M in BERA tokens, contributed by investors through pre-funded warrants. Shares and warrants are priced close to $3.84 and $3.83, respectively. What Is Greenlane’s $110M BERA Investment Plan About? Greenlane said the funds will go toward acquiring BERA from both open markets and over-the-counter channels, as well as supporting general working capital. The company also named new leadership for the initiative: Ben Isenberg as Chief Investment Officer, Bruce Linton as Board Chair, and Billy Levy as Director. According to Coingecko data, BERA price traded between $1.98 and $2.05 over the past 24 hours, showing a +6% daily gain with trading volume between $95M and $115M. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Berachain is a Layer-1 blockchain that uses Proof of Liquidity (PoL). The idea is simple: link validator security with real on-chain liquidity and dApp activity. Under PoL, staking rewards come from application usage, not just base-layer issuance. Supporters say this can create steadier incentives for builders, users, and validators. Greenlane’s incoming CIO, Ben Isenberg, says BERA’s edge is that its yield comes from PoL-driven block-reward monetization. Jonathan Ip, general counsel at the Berachain Foundation, called Greenlane’s move “a key step” toward engaging capital markets and bringing in more institutions. Board chair Bruce Linton said BERA offers “a compelling opportunity in the capital markets,” according to the company. In the near term, traders are watching whether treasury-related inflows can keep BERA above $2 area that has acted like a magnet in recent sessions. External, model-based forecasts are mixed and can swing with momentum. One widely cited tracker flags downside risk into November if broader markets cool. Treat these models with care and cross-check them with order-book depth and liquidity. DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now BERA Price Prediction: How Strong Is the Bullish Reversal in BERA’s Price Trend? BERA’s price chart shows a strong rebound after a deep correction, signaling that traders are back in action following the “Unmanned Princess” narrative trending on X. On the 4-hour chart, BERA/USDT.P has moved above a short-term consolidation range, confirming renewed bullish momentum. After the sharp drop, the token found solid support near the lower end of that range and bounced with a series of strong green candles. (Source: X) The recovery now faces two key resistance zones $2.27 and $2.70. Both levels align with previous supply areas where heavy selling took place. The recent uptick suggests an early breakout attempt, supported by rising volume and a move above the short-term moving average. If buyers keep control above $2.00, a retest of $2.27 seems likely. A clear move beyond that could open the way toward $2.70. Still, traders are cautious about possible rejection near resistance because of earlier volatility and long upper wicks on the chart. The short-term trend is now bullish, but a lasting recovery depends on whether BERA can hold above the reclaimed support band in the coming sessions. EXPLORE: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post BERA Crypto Treasuries Are Coming: BERA Price Prediction Amid $110m Berachain TradFi Treasury Move appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
-
A rare signal from a legendary market analyst has caught traders’ attention as the Ethereum and Solana price begins to show potential reversal signs. With the broader crypto market still in a slump, a subtle alert from the inventor of one of the most respected technical indicators has analysts wondering whether a major shift is about to unfold in ETH and SOL. Bollinger Inventor Signals Ethereum And Solana Price Explosion John Bollinger, technical analyst and inventor of the world-famous Bollinger Bands indicator, has shocked the broader crypto community after identifying potential “W” bottoms forming on the Ethereum and Solana charts. In his market commentary on X social media, Bollinger noted that while Bitcoin has yet to exhibit similar signals, the ETHUSD and SOLUSD pairs are shaping up in a way that demands attention. Notably, Bollinger’s cautious but bullish statement immediately drew attention from fellow market analysts. Satoshi Flipper, a well-known crypto expert, revealed that Bollinger typically makes only one such market call each year and has not issued one for Ethereum in three years. He disclosed that the last time the Bollinger Bands inventor made a similar statement was in September 2022, just before the ETH price surged from around $1,290 to nearly $4,000. Due to Bollinger’s selective and historically accurate calls, analysts see it as an early sign of a potential reversal of a downtrend or consolidation into an explosive breakout. If the inventors’ analysis proves accurate once again, both Ethereum and Solana could be sitting at the foundation of one of their strongest bull rallies Analysts Predict Bullish Targets For ETH And SOL Two separate technical analyses also highlight an optimistic outlook for the Ethereum and Solana prices. Crypto analyst Lark Davis highlighted that Solana’s chart structure appears “very constructive,” with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching a momentum breakout and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) gearing up for a bullish cross. Davis noted that Solana’s price action is forming a clear Double Bottom, a classic reversal pattern. Should the neckline break, he projects a potential price target near $250, provided bulls can defend the 200-day EMA. With Solana trading around $192, a rally to that target would mark roughly a 30% gain. Ethereum’s technical outlook is even more dramatic. Analyst Merlijn the Trader stated on X that ETH has been developing the most explosive setup since the 2017 bull cycle, pointing to a textbook Bullish Pennant pattern on the monthly chart. Historically, such formations precede massive continuation once the price breaks above the upper boundary of the pattern. Merlijn’s chart analysis projects an eventual breakout target around $8,500, suggesting that Ethereum could set a new all-time high soon. Considering that the ETH price is sitting above $4,000, a surge to this bullish target would more than double its value, marking an impressive 110% increase.
-
Buyers fully absorbed Thursday's modest correction, reversing the previous pullback and resuming the upward trend. Persistent uncertainty surrounding global trade, rising geopolitical risks, and growing concerns over the prolonged U.S. government shutdown—which may impact key economic indicators—are all providing a bullish foundation for gold. Additionally, market participants have fully priced in two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, which has limited the U.S. dollar's ability to capitalize on Friday's modest gains. This, along with global fiscal concerns, central bank gold purchases, and strong inflows into gold-backed ETFs, continues to support the metal's rally. On Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump tried to ease concerns over the threat of an all-out trade war between China and the U.S., which temporarily capped gold's upside and triggered some mild profit-taking into the weekend. However, the correction was shallow and lacked follow-through. Investors remain wary of broader economic risks, driven by increased geopolitical tensions and the ongoing government shutdown. Equally important are concerns about fiscal discipline and the rapidly expanding national debt, particularly in the U.S.—factors which continue to fuel demand for gold as a risk-hedging tool. Geopolitical tensions have escalated further, with Ukrainian drones striking a Gazprom gas processing facility in southern Russia and a separate attack targeting a Russian oil refinery in the Samara region near Orenburg. These developments amplify the risk of further escalation in the Russia–Ukraine conflict. Domestically, the political situation in the U.S. remains tense as well. The federal government shutdown has entered its third week, with Republicans and Democrats clashing over healthcare funding. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets now fully price in consecutive 25 basis point rate cuts at both the October and December Federal Reserve meetings. These expectations are limiting U.S. dollar recovery and providing additional support for gold. Given the upcoming FOMC meeting and Friday's U.S. inflation data, it may be prudent to refrain from entering active positions in the near term. Technical Outlook From a technical standpoint, the XAU/USD pair has shown resilience below the $4,240 level. However, the rally encountered resistance near the historic high at approximately $4,380. On the downside, initial support is seen near the Asian session low of $4,219–$4,218, followed by key psychological support at $4,200 and Friday's low around $4,186. A sustained break below the $4,140 area would increase the risk of a steeper decline, exposing the pair to a potential drop toward the key support zone around $4,100. Below that, gold may enter a deeper corrective phase. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
USD/JPY: Price Analysis and Forecast. Japanese Yen Lacks Clear Direction
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Throughout the day, the yen failed to meet expectations for intraday gains relative to a softer U.S. dollar, as market participants focused on Japan's evolving political landscape. According to the Kyodo news agency, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party (Ishin) are planning to form a coalition. As part of this new alliance, a parliamentary vote will be held on Tuesday to confirm Sanae Takaichi as Japan's first female prime minister. Takaichi supports the economic policies of her predecessor, Shinzo Abe, which include large-scale fiscal spending and monetary stimulus to support economic growth. She is expected to oppose further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which is weighing on the yen. In addition, global trade uncertainties may encourage the BoJ to maintain its current stance at the upcoming policy meeting. However, BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated on Friday that the central bank will continue to raise interest rates if economic and inflation indicators align with forecasts. Meanwhile, inflation in Japan has remained at or above the BoJ's 2% target for over three years, and the economy has shown growth for five consecutive quarters, the latest ending in June. This backdrop gives the central bank room to consider another rate hike in December or January. At the same time, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that traders have fully priced in two 25 basis point rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve—one in October and another in December. This hasn't provided much support for the U.S. dollar and continues to favor the lower-yielding yen. The U.S. government shutdown has now extended to 20 days, and the Senate is preparing for its 11th vote on a stopgap funding bill. The unresolved deadlock between Democrats and Republicans is limiting upside potential in the USD/JPY pair. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, bullish oscillators on the daily chart support a positive bias for the pair. Immediate resistance lies at 151.40 and 151.75, with the psychological level of 152.00 in sight. On the downside, support near 150.30 protects against a slide toward another key level at 150.00. A firm break below this mark could lead to a test of Friday's low near 149.40. A continuation of bearish pressure would pave the way toward the next psychological support at 149.00 and potentially lower. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
The topic of a fresh round of confrontation between China and the United States has been discussed endlessly—yet there's simply no other issue commanding more attention in the market at the moment. As I've said numerous times before, the biggest problem is the lack of clarity. Market participants have no idea what kind of developments to expect. The "trade truce" between China and the U.S. is set to expire on November 10. I use quotation marks intentionally, because in reality, there is no truce. Journalists were quick to label the reciprocal reduction in tariffs a "ceasefire." But by late October, can anyone honestly speak of peace between Beijing and Washington? This trade war was initiated by Donald Trump, likely under the assumption that all countries would obediently follow the White House's lead. Some did. But not China. Beijing speaks little, but acts decisively. Washington talks plenty, but does little. Both global heavyweights hold an ace up their sleeve: for the U.S., it's a massive and wealthy consumer market; for China, it's rare-earth metals. The U.S. market is well understood. Chinese rare-earth metals, however, are a far more complex and sensitive subject. While China is not the only country in the world with reserves of these critical metals—used in electronics, defense systems, and space exploration—it is by far the largest producer. Thus, Beijing can, in fact, use its position to pressure the global supply chain, as virtually every technologically advanced nation depends on them. Until recently, China had avoided weaponizing this advantage, refraining from threatening export restrictions. But Trump's tariffs poked the sleeping bear. Either his team underestimated China's resolve, or they acted with undue arrogance. What did the U.S. President expect? That China wouldn't respond? That China had no means of retaliation? That it wouldn't dare? And yet—it did! Notably, Chinese officials rarely speak about the European Union or other countries. Their focus remains firmly on the United States. And rightly so. Given all of this, I personally doubt the negotiations in Malaysia will end in success. In any case, Beijing has played its trump card, and now it's Washington's turn to show more flexibility. Wave Outlook for EUR/USD:Based on my analysis, the EUR/USD pair continues forming an upward segment of the trend. The wave structure remains entirely dependent on the news background—especially decisions by Trump and the external and internal policies of the new White House administration. The current wave could extend to the 1.25 area. At present, we appear to be witnessing the formation of corrective wave 4, which is nearing completion, though it is taking on a complex and extended form. Therefore, I continue to consider only buying opportunities. By year-end, I expect the euro to rise to 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. Wave Outlook for GBP/USD:The wave structure of GBP/USD has evolved. We are still dealing with a bullish, impulsive phase of the trend, but its internal wave makeup is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking on a three-wave form, with a structure that is significantly more extended than wave 2. Another bearish three-wave pattern appears to have completed. If this is confirmed, then upward movement may resume in the context of the global wave structure, with initial targets near the 1.38 and 1.40 levels. Core Principles of My Analysis:Wave structures should be straightforward and easy to interpret. Complex formations are more difficult to trade and often shift unpredictably.If you're uncertain about market conditions, it's better to stay out.Absolute certainty in the market direction is never possible. Always use protective orders, such as Stop Loss.Wave analysis can—and should—be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com