Todas Atividades
Atualizada automaticamente
- Recentemente
-
Thumzup Leverages DOGE In Payments Push: A Boost To Dogecoin Price?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Thumzup Media Corp. is pushing ahead with plans to let creators receive payments in Dogecoin (DOGE), as new data shows the meme token has slipped in recent days even amid renewed institutional interest. Based on reports, the firm’s strategy includes a $2.5 million loan to DogeHash for mining expansion, and a treasury holding of 7.5 million DOGE, while regulatory and adoption challenges still loom. Thumzup Prepares DOGE Payouts According to company-adjacent sources, Thumzup intends to offer Dogecoin as an alternative payout option, alongside fiat or other crypto choices, once pilot testing and legal reviews are done. The $2.5 million infusion into DogeHash Technologies is framed as both a way to help scale mining capacity and to cement a tighter corporate alliance via a possible share swap. In public disclosures, Thumzup reports holding 7.5 million DOGE and some Bitcoin in its treasury as part of its broader crypto portfolio. DOGE Price Slides Amid Broader Weakness Reports have disclosed that Dogecoin has dropped by about 3% over the past 24 hours, putting its price near $0.197. Over the past week, DOGE has declined roughly 18%, making it among the worst performers in the top 10 cryptocurrencies. At the same time, trading volume and market cap show continued investor involvement, but sentiment is clearly under pressure. Some analysts warn that the volatility could discourage content creators from opting for DOGE payments unless stabilization tools or hedging mechanisms are put in place. Market And Share Reactions The announcement of DOGE integration and mining investments drew mixed reactions. Thumzup’s stock rallied modestly in after-hours trading, reflecting investor appetite for a more diversified asset base. Some crypto traders placed bids pushing DOGE higher on the news, though many remain skeptical of execution risks. The bears seem to have had their fill, an analyst said, suggesting some traders see recent downward moves as an opportunity. On the flip side, volatility and regulatory ambiguity may hold back broader adoption. Regulation, Execution, And Adoption Risks Based on reports, Thumzup faces steep hurdles. Money-transmission laws, tax rules, and anti-money-laundering checks must be cleared before payout functionality can roll out. Technical integration is also a challenge: wallets, custody solutions, conversion to fiat, and user protections all need building. Even if all that is done, creators may lean toward stablecoins or cash over a volatile token. Meanwhile, running and scaling a mining operation adds power expenses, supply chain risk, and dependency on favorable network conditions. Featured image from ICOBench, chart from TradingView -
Minaurum drills high-grade silver at Alamos project in Mexico
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Alamos project area in Sonora, Mexico. Image from Minaurum Gold. Minaurum Gold (TSXV:MGG) (OTCQX:MMRGF) announced Thursday the initial results of its 2025 resource-definition drill program targeting the Promontorio, Europa, and Travesia vein zones at its Alamos Silver project in Sonora, Mexico. Promontorio, along with the Europa vein zone, is one of the high-priority targets in which Minaurum said it will establish a maiden resource at Alamos. The 1 km-long Promontorio vein zone consists of multiple veins including the Veta Grande and Veta Las Guijas veins. These vein zones returned numerous high-grade intersections including 5.85 m of 476 g/t silver equivalent (AgEq) including 1.80 m of 1,339 g/t AgEq; 21.45 m of 220 g/t AgEq including 1.00 m of 497 g/t AgEq and 1.20 m of 1,377 g/t AgEq 2.40 m of 499 g/t AgEq including 0.85 m of 981 g/t AgEq and 1.75 m of 845 g/t AgEq including 0.50 m of 1,366 g/t AgEq. “Drilling at both Europa and Promontorio continues to confirm the continuation of strong, wide zones of high-grade silver mineralization at depth and along strike,” Minaurum CEO Darrell Rader said in a news release. “At Promontorio, drilling intersected over 21 metres of robust carbonate replacement-style lead-zinc-silver mineralization,” Rader said. “These drill results along with those pending assays, will be incorporated into and will complete the data set for our upcoming maiden resource estimate.” Drilling to date at Promontorio and Promontorio Sur show significant skarn/carbonate replacement mineralization hosted by limestone in the footwall of the vein zones, the company said, adding that Hole AL25-138 intersected a significant wide zone of skarn/CRD lead- and zinc-sulfide mineralization including silver and gold values: 21.45 m of 220 g/t AgEq including 1.00 m of 497 g/t AgEq and 1.20 m of 1,377 g/t AgEq (440 g/t Ag, 1.499 g/t Au, 9.089% Pb, 18.783% Zn). By market close in Toronto, Minaurum stock was trading down 6%. The company has a C$168.7 million ($120 million) market capitalization. -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has changed. It's still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has ended, but the latest decline in the euro required an adjustment of the wave count. We now see a series of three-wave structures (a-b-c), which can be assumed to form part of the larger wave 4 of the upward trend segment. In this case, wave 4 has taken an unnaturally extended form, but the overall wave structure remains coherent. The formation of the upward trend continues, while the news background still supports everything but the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump goes on. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for Fed rate cuts are increasing. The U.S. government shutdown is still ongoing. Overall, the market's assessment of Trump's first seven or eight months remains unimpressive, even though economic growth in the second quarter reached almost 4%. In my view, the upward trend is not yet complete. Its targets extend up to the 1.25 level. This means the euro could decline for a while longer without any fundamental justification (as it has over the past three weeks), yet the wave structure would still remain intact. The EUR/USD rate gained about 50 basis points over Wednesday evening and Thursday. That's not much, but demand for the euro is slowly increasing — or, more accurately, demand for the dollar is slowly declining. As I've noted in recent weeks, I see few convincing reasons for the dollar's continued strength. However, the market has seen fit to build another three-wave corrective structure, resulting in a lengthening and complication of the entire upward trend segment. This week has been relatively quiet in terms of economic data, though political headlines are abundant. Donald Trump continues to attack China on all fronts, trying to push it toward compliance with U.S. demands. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials have offered comments on the current economic situation. Yet, in both areas, nothing truly new or significant has been said. Notably, Fed official Steve Miran once again spoke of the urgent need to lower interest rates as soon as possible. Other policymakers also support monetary easing, though to a less aggressive degree. Some believe easing should be limited and moderate. The "doves" emphasize the weakness of the labor market and potential slowdown of the U.S. economy, while the "moderate hawks" point to inflation risks, which could spiral out of the Fed's control. As a result, the Fed faces a policy dilemma: Which is more important — the labor market or inflation? General ConclusionsBased on the EUR/USD analysis, I conclude that the pair continues to form an upward trend. The wave pattern remains closely tied to the news background, especially developments related to Trump's decisions, as well as domestic and foreign policy actions by the White House administration. The targets of the current trend segment may extend up to the 1.25 level. At present, we are likely observing the construction of corrective wave 4, which is nearing completion, though it remains complex and elongated. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to consider only long (buy) positions. By year's end, I expect the euro to rise to the 1.2245 level, corresponding to 200.0% Fibonacci expansion. On a smaller scale, the entire upward trend section is visible. The wave structure is not perfectly standard, as the corrective waves vary in size. For example, the larger wave 2 is smaller than the internal wave 2 within wave 3 — though such variations do occur. It's best to focus on clear, identifiable patterns rather than attempting to label every single wave. Currently, the upward structure appears consistent and logical. Key Principles of My Analysis: Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex formations are difficult to trade and often require revisions.If there is uncertainty about what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.There can never be 100% certainty about market direction — always use Stop Loss orders.Wave analysis can be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
The partial shutdown of the U.S. federal government has entered its third week, with no signs of resolution in sight. A Senate vote on the Republican-backed stopgap funding bill once again failed to gain the necessary number of votes on Wednesday — marking the ninth rejection of such an initiative. Investors are increasingly concerned about how a prolonged government shutdown might affect the nation's economic momentum. A Treasury Department spokesperson stated that another shutdown could cost the U.S. economy around $15 billion per week, contradicting earlier comments from Secretary Scott Bessent, who had downplayed the potential economic impact. On the international front, trade tensions between the U.S. and China have escalated further: both sides imposed mutual port tariffs, aggravating the already tense situation. Additionally, Donald Trump announced the possible ban on imports of vegetable oil from China as retaliation for Beijing's refusal to purchase U.S. soybeans. He also declared that, in his view, the U.S. is currently in a state of "total trade war" with China, further fueling market instability. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent proposed a three-month suspension of the tariffs previously imposed on Chinese goods, on the condition that China abandons its plans for tight control over rare earth element exports. This step could help ease trade tensions, though no final decision has yet been made. On the geopolitical front, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned Russia of possible consequences should it continue to escalate geopolitical tensions in Ukraine. At the same time, President Trump mentioned the possibility of supplying long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, further raising the level of regional tension. In the macroeconomic spotlight, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted on Tuesday that the labor market is likely to remain characterized by low employment levels and weak productivity. This comment strengthened market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at both the October and December meetings. The U.S. dollar has been declining for the third consecutive day, reaching its lowest level in more than a week — a development that supports the continued rise in gold prices and reinforces expectations of further strengthening of the precious metal in the near term. From a technical standpoint, oscillators on the daily chart are currently in overbought territory. Nevertheless, this has not prevented gold from climbing higher each day, continuously setting new all-time highs, as fundamental drivers and global geopolitical tensions remain stronger than the technical picture. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
- Hoje
-
Paxos Mints 300 Trillion PYUSD By Error – Here’s What Happened
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
In an unexpected and almost surreal incident, Paxos, the issuer behind PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin, mistakenly minted 300 trillion PYUSD — yes, with a “T” — earlier today after adding six extra zeros to the intended transaction. The blunder was swiftly corrected as Paxos burned the excess tokens and reissued the correct amount of 300 million PYUSD, but not before the crypto community noticed the jaw-dropping figure. To put the scale of the mistake into perspective, 300 trillion PYUSD would have exceeded the entire US money supply (M2) — currently around $21 trillion — by nearly 14 times. In global terms, it would represent almost three times the total estimated global M2, roughly $100 trillion. In other words, for a brief moment, Paxos had “created” enough digital dollars to buy nearly every publicly traded company in the world. The situation sparked a wave of disbelief and humor across social media, with traders and analysts mocking what could have been the largest minting error in crypto history. While Paxos acted quickly to reverse the error and confirmed that no funds were affected, the event has reignited discussions about smart contract precision, stablecoin risk management, and the potential consequences of such errors in large-scale financial systems. Paxos Responds to Minting Error, Sparks Debate on Stablecoin Oversight On Wednesday afternoon, Paxos addressed the situation directly on X, confirming that the minting of 300 trillion PYUSD was the result of an internal mistake during a routine transfer. The company stated: “At 3:12 PM EST, Paxos mistakenly minted excess PYUSD as part of an internal transfer. Paxos immediately identified the error and burned the excess PYUSD. This was an internal technical error. There is no security breach. Customer funds are safe. We have addressed the root cause.” The acknowledgment calmed immediate fears of a security breach or loss of funds, but the incident quickly became the subject of widespread jokes and criticism across the crypto community. Traders and developers mocked the idea that a few misplaced zeros could momentarily inflate global liquidity by trillions of dollars — a stark reminder of how even the most regulated issuers can make human or technical errors. While the issue was resolved within minutes, it reignited debate over stablecoin minting procedures and the need for real-time transparency and safeguards. Some industry observers argued that such incidents underscore why stablecoin issuance should face stricter regulatory standards, especially when tied to large institutions like PayPal. Others countered that blockchain’s transparency worked as intended — the mistake was instantly visible, verifiable, and corrected without harm. Ultimately, the event highlights a deeper tension within the stablecoin sector: how to balance innovation and automation with the level of oversight and accountability expected from entities that effectively issue digital representations of real-world money. Stablecoin Dominance Shows Growing Market Caution The chart shows that stablecoin market dominance has climbed back to 8.49%, signaling a notable shift toward risk aversion following the sharp market correction last Friday. Historically, rising stablecoin dominance reflects traders rotating capital into safety — holding stablecoins like USDT, USDC, or DAI rather than volatile assets like Bitcoin or altcoins. After dipping below 7.5% in late September, dominance rebounded sharply during last week’s crash, even briefly spiking near 9.5%, the highest level since early June. This surge aligns with the massive minting activity reported by Tether and Circle, which together issued over $4.5 billion in new stablecoins after the sell-off. The move suggests that large players and institutions are preparing liquidity reserves for potential market re-entry or risk management amid ongoing uncertainty. If dominance continues to consolidate around 8–9%, it may indicate that investors are still hesitant to redeploy capital into crypto assets, waiting for confirmation of a market bottom. Conversely, a sustained decline below 8% could mark renewed confidence and inflows into Bitcoin and altcoins. For now, the chart points to a cautious but liquid market, where participants are ready to act once volatility stabilizes. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com -
The Bitcoin price continues to face challenges as the cryptocurrency has resumed its downtrend, struggling to maintain momentum above the $115,000 mark. This price point has proven to be a significant resistance level in the short term. Amid these fluctuations, Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to declare, “Gold is eating Bitcoin’s lunch.” Schiff Calls For HODLers To Sell ‘Fool’s Gold In his post, Schiff highlighted that Bitcoin has experienced a 32% decline when priced in gold since its peak in August, predicting a “brutal” bear market ahead. Schiff urged HODLers to reconsider their investments, suggesting they sell their “fool’s gold” and invest in the tangible asset of gold instead, or risk financial ruin. In response to Schiff’s assertions, Changpeng Zhao, the former CEO of Binance, offered a sarcastic retort. He noted, “ We should have listened to him, two months ago, out of the 16 years in bitcoin’s existence. About 1% of the time.” Zhao reminded followers that Bitcoin has surged from a mere $0.004 to approximately $110,000 USD over the years, underscoring the cryptocurrency’s long-term potential despite current challenges. Expert Predicts Positive October For Bitcoin Schiff has continued to voice his skepticism about Bitcoin’s viability as a substitute for the US dollar or as “digital gold.” He argues that many HODLers are in denial about the realities of the market, a mindset he believes will lead to significant losses. Contrasting Schiff’s bearish outlook, experts like Timothy Peterson have offered a more optimistic perspective. Peterson’s updated AI forecast for Bitcoin, suggests there is still a 75% probability that October could be a positive month for Bitcoin, with the potential for prices to close above $114,000. As of this writing, the market’s leading cryptocurrency is trading at approximately $108,280, having dipped toward $107,500 earlier on Thursday. It currently stands 13% below all-time high levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
-
In a recent discussion on the Bankless YouTube podcast hosted by David Hoffman, two of the crypto industry’s most respected figures—Tom Lee, the Chairman of BitMine, and Arthur Hayes, founder and former CEO of BitMEX—shared remarkably bullish outlooks for the Ethereum price. Both executives forecasted that Ethereum could soar to $10,000 or higher by year’s end, driven by fundamental growth and shifting market dynamics. Their comments, made after BTC reached new all-time highs above $126,000, have added fresh momentum and optimism that the upcoming Q4 bull rally could center on ETGH. Ethereum Price Breakout And Roadmap To $10,000 During the Bankless podcast, Hayes was the first to respond when asked for his End of the Year (EOY) price expectations for both Ethereum and Bitcoin. Without hesitation, the BitMEX founder projected that ETH could climb to $10,000 and BTC to $250,000 before the year closes. When pressed on whether Ethereum could realistically more than double in just over two months, Hayes answered confidently that it could, emphasizing the strength of the current market momentum. Lee’s response to the same question was even more optimistic. Despite the recent crypto market flash crash, the BitMine Chairman placed his Ethereum target between $10,000 and $12,000 and shared a similarly bullish view for Bitcoin, predicting a range between $200,000 and $250,000. When asked why he believes Ethereum could reach such a high valuation in the short term and if such rapid price appreciation might be unsustainable, Lee dismissed concerns, noting that ETH has been consolidating since its 2021 peak. He argued that the market would not become overheated once it reaches $10,000, but rather could enter a new phase of price discovery, underpinned by strong fundamentals and innovative developments within the ecosystem. He also stated $10,000 is not the cycle top for Ethereum, and forthcoming developments in 2026 could create room for further price growth. Ethereum’s Growing Role Beyond Bitcoin’s Shadow As the interview progressed, the discussion turned toward the evolving dynamics between Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader crypto market. Turning his attention to Hayes, Hoffman asked whether Ethereum should be compared to Bitcoin or other smart contracts within the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) space. The BitMEX founder replied that he sees Bitcoin as money and Ethereum as “compute.” He described ETH as the “computing reference asset” of the crypto space, noting that the altcoin is positioned above the rest of the crypto landscape in terms of technology. Lee agreed, but added that he views Ethereum as both money and a computing asset. He defined Bitcoin as digital gold and ETH as an architectural foundation for innovation, particularly in areas such as Wall Street and Artificial Intelligence (AI). The BitMine Chairman underscored that Ethereum’s growth trajectory is not dependent on competing with Bitcoin but rather on expanding its own utility and adoption.
-
New Wallets Move Over $160M In Bitcoin From Binance And FalconX – Details
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin is navigating a critical test as it trades slightly above the $110,000 mark, with bulls working to defend key support after last Friday’s sharp crash. The market remains tense, and sentiment is split between hopes of recovery and fears of another leg down. After one of the most volatile weeks of the year, BTC is showing signs of consolidation, but uncertainty dominates as traders assess whether this is the start of a stabilization phase or a temporary pause before another sell-off. Analysts note that price structure remains fragile, and momentum indicators suggest the market needs stronger demand inflows to sustain current levels. Meanwhile, onchain data points to notable whale activity. Several newly created wallets have been observed withdrawing large amounts of Bitcoin from major exchanges, signaling that some large investors may be moving assets to cold storage — a move often interpreted as a sign of accumulation or strategic repositioning. These flows highlight the ongoing tug-of-war between market fear and institutional interest. As the market seeks direction, traders are closely watching whale behavior for clues about whether this consolidation will turn into a rebound — or another wave of volatility. Whale Activity Signals Strategic Accumulation Data from Lookonchain shows renewed whale activity as Bitcoin consolidates near the $110K mark. A newly created wallet, bc1q0q, withdrew 1,000 BTC ($110.65 million) from Binance, while another wallet, bc1qxm, pulled 465 BTC ($51.47 million) from FalconX over the past five hours. These two withdrawals — totaling more than $160 million in Bitcoin — have caught the attention of analysts tracking institutional and large-scale investor flows. Historically, such movements of newly created wallets withdrawing significant sums from exchanges tend to indicate accumulation behavior rather than short-term speculation. When large players move funds off exchanges, it typically signals reduced selling intent and a preference for holding BTC in self-custody — a bullish long-term sign, even amid short-term market weakness. However, this doesn’t mean volatility is over. The market remains fragile after last week’s sharp drop, and many traders expect a period of sideways consolidation before any clear directional move. Bitcoin may continue to hover within the $108K–$115K range as it absorbs recent liquidations and rebuilds structure. Bitcoin Bulls Defend $110K Support Amid Consolidation Bitcoin continues to hover around $111,300, showing resilience after last week’s sharp crash that briefly sent prices near $103,000. The chart reveals that BTC is currently consolidating just above the $110K support zone, a key area that has repeatedly acted as a short-term floor during past corrections. Price action shows limited momentum, with the 50-day moving average (blue line) sloping downward and acting as resistance near $115K, while the 200-day moving average (red line) sits around $107K, providing a broader structural base. This setup suggests that Bitcoin remains in a neutral-to-bearish short-term phase, as buyers and sellers continue to battle for control within a tightening range. For now, the $117,500 level remains the key resistance to reclaim if BTC wants to confirm a recovery trend. A decisive breakout above this zone could trigger renewed momentum toward $120K–$122K. Conversely, a drop below $109K would likely extend the correction toward $106K. Market sentiment remains cautious but stable. Consolidation at these levels could allow BTC to rebuild support and reset indicators before attempting another move, making the current phase critical for determining the next major direction in price action. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com -
Dogecoin Price Eyes Major Breakout, Is A Rally To $0.7 All-Time Highs Possible?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The Dogecoin price is showing new strength after a recent shakeout in the market. According to crypto analyst Baarut, the popular meme coin could be preparing for a significant breakout move after recovering from its latest drop, forming a solid market structure. Baarut believes that with patience and proper planning, traders may soon see the next big push that could bring Dogecoin closer to its past highs. Analyst Baarut Identifies Key Setup For Dogecoin Price Next Move In his post on X, analyst Baarut provided a detailed analysis of how Dogecoin is behaving following the recent significant liquidation event. Despite the heavy sell-offs, the analyst says the Dogecoin price recovered strongly and showed real resilience in the market. After this recovery, the price expanded upward before moving into a phase of consolidation. This period, according to Baarut, is not random. It is where the market is gathering strength, forming structure, and creating what he calls a “liquidity zone” around $0.19319. The liquidity zone, he explained, is crucial because it shows where weak traders have exited the market and where smart traders might be setting up for the next big move. Baarut said he plans to enter his trade around the four-hour order block at $0.19065, setting a stop loss at $0.18606 and a take profit target at $0.21823. He believes this Dogecoin price structure gives him a clear entry area and helps control risk. The analyst added that the zone around $0.19319 could act as a magnet for price movements, meaning that the market might sweep this area before reacting upward. Market Structure And Risk Plan Point To Potential Upside For Dogecoin Price Baarut also emphasized that understanding structure, liquidity, and risk is key to trading Dogecoin right now. He explained that his setup has a high reward-to-risk ratio, meaning the potential profit is strong compared to the limited downside. Instead of rushing into trades, Baarut said he is observing the chart and waiting for price confirmation. In his view, the current crypto market is not ideal for long-term holding, so it makes more sense to focus on short-to-medium term moves with clear setups. By keeping a tight stop loss and waiting for the market to show its direction, Baarut aims to trade safely while still taking advantage of possible gains. If the trade works out as he expects, Dogecoin’s price could move toward $0.21823, which might then open the door for a larger rally toward its $0.7 all-time high. Baarut’s Dogecoin price analysis reflects growing optimism among analysts who see the meme token building the base for a potential breakout. His emphasis on patience and having a clear structure shows how strategic planning could make the next Dogecoin price move one to watch closely. -
Most investors don’t have direct exposure to the currency mix that makes up the Dollar Index (DXY), but that doesn’t mean it’s irrelevant. Far from it. DXY offers a useful lens through which to view the broader forces shaping the dollar’s direction. And because it’s an index, it tends to trend more clearly than the individual currencies it comprises. So far in 2025, the Dollar Index has been on a rollercoaster. It is having its worst year in more than 20 years. The Dollar Index fell roughly 12.5% in the first three quarters of the year, dropping from around 110 in mid-January to a low near 96.35 by July 1. It made a marginal new low on September 17, coinciding with the Fed’s rate cut, but since then, it’s mostly traded in a range up to about 100. The bounce may have ended. Interest rates remain an important driver. The 60-day correlation between changes in DXY and the two-year Treasury yield is currently around 0.55. That’s decent, but not overwhelming. It hasn’t been much above 0.60 since early 2023, and there have been periods of notable divergence. In late March, for example, the rolling correlation slipped below 0.10—the weakest since mid-2022. That kind of breakdown suggests the dollar isn’t always dancing to the Fed’s tune. Long-term rates tell a similar story. The 60-day correlation between DXY and the 10-year yield is also hovering near 0.55. The high for the year—just above 0.60—came about a week before the September FOMC meeting. But in May, the correlation briefly inverted, the first time since the March–May 2022 stretch. Before that, the relationship was inverse throughout 2020 and the first quarter of 2021, during the pandemic’s peak dislocations. Gold offers another angle. With talk of dollar debasement bubbling up in the media, it’s worth noting that the 60-day rolling correlation between gold and DXY is about -0.45. That inverse relationship has held since mid-May 2022, with only a brief exception in early February. But this year, the correlation has been more volatile than in the past two years, swinging from -0.72 to just above zero. It’s now sitting a little below -0.44, suggesting gold is still moving in opposition to the dollar, but not in lockstep. Valuation models add another layer. If we take the DXY’s component weights and adjust them using the OECD’s purchasing power parity (PPP) model, the index appears overvalued by about 43%. That’s a hefty premium. A more grounded approach might be to look at long-term averages. The 10-year moving average is around 98.50, while the 20-year average is closer to 90.35. That puts today’s levels in a historically elevated zone. Zooming out, the bigger picture may be the unwinding of the dollar’s super-cycle. These are multi-year swings in the foreign exchange market, and the DXY has already come a long way. It hit a record low near 70.70 during the Great Financial Crisis, then peaked in September 2022 just shy of 114.80. Since then, it’s retraced to the 38.2% Fibonacci level around 98.00. The 50% retracement sits at 92.75, and the 61.8% level is near 87.50. In my view, the 50% retracement is too close—only about 6% away—given the scale of Fed easing expected over the next 14 months. The 61.8% retracement, roughly 11.5% below current levels, seems a more reasonable target. DXY hasn’t traded below 88.00 in a decade. It held above 88.25 in February 2018 and found support near 89.20 in early 2021. The takeaway? The dollar may be entering a new phase. The bounce off the lows may have already run its course, and the broader downtrend may be resuming. With monetary policy shifting, correlations wobbling, and valuation metrics flashing red, the Dollar Index is worth watching—not for its composition, but for what it tells us about the broad trends. Disclaimer
-
USD/JPY: Tips for Beginner Traders on October 16th (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The price test at 151.23 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For that reason, I did not buy the dollar. A little later, there was another test of 151.23, this time under the right conditions — the MACD had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for a long position. As a result, the pair rose by 20 points. In the second half of the day, focus will shift to the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, as well as speeches by FOMC members Christopher Waller and Michael S. Barr. A dovish tone from policymakers could trigger another wave of decline in USD/JPY. The Philadelphia Fed Index, a barometer of industrial activity, will be the first key indicator of sentiment. A reading above forecasts will strengthen the dollar's position, while a weaker result will signal potential decline. However, the key drivers will be the speeches by Waller and Barr. Their comments regarding inflation and the future trajectory of interest rates will carry exceptional weight. The market will react sharply to any hints that shed light on the Fed's next moves. A "dovish tone" will be the decisive signal for another wave of USD/JPY weakness. If policymakers express readiness to cut rates, it will further undermine the dollar's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Investors will begin to reassess their positions, likely leading to a broad sell-off of USD in favor of JPY. As for intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: Today, I plan to buy USD/JPY when the price reaches the 151.37 entry point (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 151.86 (thicker green line). Around 151.86, I plan to close buy positions and open sell positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 point retracement. A rise in the pair can be expected as part of the continuing upward trend. Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY if there are two consecutive tests of the 151.06 level while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and trigger an upward reversal. A rise toward 151.37 and 151.86 can then be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: Today, I plan to sell USD/JPY after it breaks below the 151.06 level (red line on the chart), which should lead to a rapid decline in the pair. The main target for sellers will be 150.61, where I plan to close short positions and open long positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 20–25 point rebound. Downward pressure on the pair may return if the Fed members adopt a dovish stance. Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to move downward from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY if there are two consecutive tests of the 151.37 level while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward 151.06 and 150.61 can be expected. Chart Legend Thin green line – Entry price for buying the instrumentThick green line – Suggested Take Profit or manual profit-taking level, as further growth above this point is unlikelyThin red line – Entry price for selling the instrumentThick red line – Suggested Take Profit or manual profit-taking level, as further decline below this point is unlikelyMACD indicator – When entering the market, focus on overbought and oversold zonesImportant Note for Beginners Forex beginners should be very cautious when deciding when to enter the market. Before major fundamental reports are released, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid getting caught in sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during news events, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: to trade successfully, you must have a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions, based on the current market situation, are an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders on October 16th (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test at 1.3408 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For that reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of this level, with the MACD in the oversold zone, triggered Scenario #2 (buy setup), resulting in a rise of more than 40 points in the pair. Data released by the UK Office for National Statistics indicate fragile yet noticeable economic growth. After a period of stagnation and recession fears, the August figures inspire cautious optimism. The increase in industrial production, in particular, points to a recovery in demand and strengthening of the manufacturing sector. This growth was largely driven by higher output in the automotive and food industries. The impact on the currency market was immediate: the British pound strengthened against the U.S. dollar. Investors, encouraged by signs of at least modest stability in the UK economy, reduced their risk aversion and began shifting assets into pounds. In the second half of the day, attention will turn to the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, as well as speeches by FOMC members Christopher Waller and Michael S. Barr. A dovish tone from policymakers could spark another wave of GBP/USD strengthening. A reading above expectations may indicate the resilience of the U.S. economy, while a decline in the index could raise concerns about its future outlook. The impact on the GBP/USD rate will be indirect, driven by changes in risk appetite and expectations regarding further Fed policy. Equally important will be the speeches of Christopher Waller and Michael S. Barr, members of the Federal Open Market Committee. Markets will carefully analyze their remarks for any signs of a shift in the Fed's stance on interest rates. A soft tone, suggesting readiness to cut rates, would serve as a catalyst for dollar weakness. As for intraday strategy, I will focus primarily on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the pound upon reaching the 1.3442 entry point (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.3489 (thicker green line). Around 1.3489, I plan to exit long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 point retracement from that level. A strong rise in the pound today is possible as part of the ongoing upward trend. Important: Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3419 level, while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward market reversal. Growth toward the 1.3442 and 1.3489 levels can then be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: Today, I plan to sell the pound after it breaks below 1.3419 (red line on the chart), which should trigger a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 1.3371, where I plan to exit shorts and open longs in the opposite direction, aiming for a 20–25 point retracement upward. The pound is unlikely to drop sharply in the second half of the day. Important: Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to fall from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3442 level, while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward the 1.3419 and 1.3371 levels can be expected. Chart Legend Thin green line – Entry price for buying the instrumentThick green line – Suggested Take Profit or manual profit-taking level, as further growth above this level is unlikelyThin red line – Entry price for selling the instrumentThick red line – Suggested Take Profit or manual profit-taking level, as further decline below this level is unlikelyMACD indicator – When entering the market, focus on overbought and oversold zonesImportant Note for Beginners Forex beginners should be very careful when deciding when to enter the market. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid getting caught in sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. Remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
XRP’s Road to $5 Starts With a Dive to $2: $SNORT Presale Ends in 4 Days
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
What to Know: $XRP is down 20% in the past month, but analysis reveals a path forward to $5. Ripple’s expansion in South Africa could bolster institutional adoption of $XRP. With 4 days left in the presale, $SNORT could follow $ XRP’s upward trend. Ripple’s $XRP hasn’t had a great month, dropping 20%. The downturn comes as the rest of the crypto market fares little better; Bitcoin currently trades near $110,000, down 10% for the week. But there’s every chance $XRP could drop further still, with one analyst seeing a plunge down to $2 even as major whales sell $XRP. So why be optimistic about $XRP’s chances? That’s because, despite the poor recent performance, technical indicators point to a favorable long position for savvy investors. The path upward won’t be easy. However, recent presale success stories – such as Snorter Token ($SNORT) – indicate underlying strength in the broader cryptocurrency economy. That strength could send $XRP sharply upwards in the near future. Recent Market Conditions and Price Action After a sharp correction, $XRP has managed to tread water, down only slightly in the past 24 hours. The token is testing resistance zones, though it has a ways to go before breaking through the $3 threshold. This behavior occurs against the backdrop of a broader weakness in the cryptocurrency market, where volatility and macroeconomic headwinds have dampened investor appetite. But that appetite hasn’t completely vanished: leading analysts remain strongly bullish on $XRP’s prospects long-term. Recent moves by Ripple itself bolster that outlook. Ripple’s Custody Expansion in Africa Ripple’s newly announced partnership with Absa, one of South Africa’s leading financial institutions, underscores the growing global adoption of cryptocurrencies. Under this collaboration, Ripple will broaden its institutional-grade custody services in Africa. The move could help bridge the gap between large capital holders and the $XRP ecosystem, another major win for the token’s long-term viability. In the meantime, the technical outlook for $XRP includes key price points: Resistance: $2.75 Upper support: $3.15 and $3.75 Downturn: Below $1.00 Upside: $5.20 Only time will tell with Ripple – but there’s another token that’s nearly ready to launch, which could increase in value by 100x overnight. Snorter Token ($SNORT) – Presale Ends in 4 Days for Meme Coin Trading Mastery With tens of thousands of meme coins launched every day on Solana alone, sorting the winners from the losers can feel like a game of random chance. Snorter Token ($SNORT) takes the guesswork out of it, giving investors a chance to sniff out tomorrow’s winners today – long before they launch and reach mainstream exchanges. That’s because Snorter Bot operates on Solana and Telegram, where low-cap meme coins launch underground and opportunities for major gains are easily overlooked. Snorter provides: Fast swaps Automated sniping Honeypot and rugpull protection Limit orders Copy trading In short, Snorter provides everything an investor needs to sort through the junk and find the low-cap gems with the best chance to go 10x, 100x, or even 1000x. There’s not much time left on the Snorter presale. $SNORT will only be around at its final presale price of $0.1081 for the next 4 days. That price could rise to $1.02 by the end of the year and even reach $1.50 by the end of the decade, providing gains of 843% and 1287% to investors who get in before it’s all over. Don’t delay – learn how to buy $SNORT and see what the $4.8M presale is all about. Visit the presale website for Snorter today. The idea of XRP reaching $5 is compelling – and not without merit, given Ripple’s custody expansion and the optimistic technical analysis. Both $XRP and $SNORT could defy the doubters and surge to new heights in the back half of the year. As always, do your own research – this isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/xrp-predicted-to-hit-5-as-snorter-token-presale-ends-in-4-days -
Cardano Price Struggling Against Bitcoin: Will ADA Reach a New ATH?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Cardano price used to have better days in the past, while it currently struggles to stay above $1. Nevertheless, its 2018 and 2021 runs were both impressive, granting investors 50-100x returns. Is there a chance for a third run? Always. How big though – that is a key question. Follow along and find out what technical analysis says. Is $5-8 realistic? With fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $30 billion, total supply of 45 billion tokens and current tokens in circulation of 36 billion, such an increase would mean FDV of $300 bullion. As a top L1 coin, attracting $270 billion, especially if the ETF gets approved, it seems realistic. What do the ADA charts show? DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Is Cardano Price Bottomed: The Road To New ATH (Source – Tradingview, ADAUSD) The monthly chart looks promising with the last candle keeping the body above MA50. Still half a month left before it closes – good to keep an eye on. Another key level seems to be $1.13 – previous support and current resistance. Once this level is taken, then previous ATH, at $3 becomes the next target. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 (Source – Tradingview, ADABTC) A chart to consider when it comes to alt season is ADA against BTC. 2018 and 2021 are a good example why. Cardano price should see a similar move soon for its holders to be happy. Currently sitting at range lows, it makes sense that it can run to the top of the range again in a month or two. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 (Source – Tradingview, ADAUSD) Next, we will look and analyse the Daily chart. There isn’t very much going on on this timeframe, except ranging for almost 1 year and the long wick down from last week’s liquidation cascade. Cardano price is beneath all Moving averages at this point and until it goes back above, there is a chance $0.52 gets tested again. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 What Is Next For ADA: Concluding Thoughts (Source – Tradingview, ADAUSD) Lastly, we will analyse the 4H timeframe. This long wick looks a bit ridiculous next to the small range ADA used to be in. Although the drop occurred after Cardano price fell below all MAs. Now there is a support level at $0.63 being formed. The question is will it hold and eventually regain the Moving Averages, or will it retest $0.52? It is a waiting game at this point. Happy trading and stay safe out there! DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Update Cardano Price Struggling Against Bitcoin: Will ADA Reach a New ATH? ADA USD price still ranging between 0.50 and $1. ADA BTC pair looks bottomed and can be expected to move up soon Decision date for Cardano ETF – October 23rd Reclaim of all MAs on 4H is key in order to test $1 again The post Cardano Price Struggling Against Bitcoin: Will ADA Reach a New ATH? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
EUR/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders on October 16th (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro The price test at 1.1653 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For that reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1653 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold zone, which triggered Scenario #2 (buy setup) and led to a 14-point increase in the pair. Eurostat's data for August show a trade surplus in the eurozone of €9.7 billion, which significantly exceeded analysts' expectations of around €6.9 billion. The improvement in the trade balance is due to rising exports of goods and services from the euro area, combined with restrained import growth. Exports of machinery, chemical products, and food increased noticeably. This was supported by easing trade tensions with the U.S. and the global economic recovery. In the second half of the day, data will be released on the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, and FOMC members Christopher Waller and Michael Barr are scheduled to speak publicly. These events provide an important set of information for investors and traders seeking to assess the current health of the U.S. economy and forecast the direction of monetary policy. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index serves as a leading indicator of the industrial sector in an important U.S. region. Its value can reflect nationwide trends in manufacturing, including new orders, employment levels, and overall business sentiment. Close attention will be paid to the speeches by Christopher Waller and Michael Barr, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Their remarks on the macroeconomic situation, inflation, and interest rate forecasts could significantly influence market expectations. Investors will closely analyze their statements for any hints of further interest rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar even more. As for intraday strategy, I will rely mainly on the implementation of Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: Today, it is possible to buy the euro when the price reaches around 1.1666 (green line on the chart), targeting growth to 1.1705. At 1.1705, I plan to exit the market and open a sell position in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 point retracement from the entry point. Expecting euro growth today is reasonable only if Fed representatives adopt a dovish stance. Important: Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the euro if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1650 price level while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a market reversal upward. Growth toward 1.1666 and 1.1705 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after it reaches the 1.1650 level (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1615, where I intend to exit and buy in the opposite direction, aiming for a 20–25 point retracement from the level. Downward pressure on the pair is unlikely to return today. Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the euro if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1666 level while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward 1.1650 and 1.1615 can be expected. Chart Legend Thin green line – Entry price for buying the instrumentThick green line – Suggested level for placing Take Profit or manually fixing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikelyThin red line – Entry price for selling the instrumentThick red line – Suggested level for Take Profit or manual profit-taking, as further decline below this level is unlikelyMACD indicator – When entering the market, use overbought/oversold zones as a guideImportant Note for Beginners Forex beginners should be very cautious when making entry decisions. Before major fundamental reports are released, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during news releases, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Analyst Reveals The Chances Of The XRP Price Rallying 300% To $9 This Bull Run
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has revealed the chances of the XRP price rallying to $9 in this market cycle. He alluded to performances in previous cycles to explain why he believes this $9 target is the minimum for this cycle, with the possibility that XRP could reach higher prices. Chances Of The XRP Price Rallying to $9 In an X post, Egrag Crypto revealed a 57% chance that the XRP price will rally to $9. This came as he highlighted a descending broadening wedge, which he claimed has a 57% chance of breaking to the upside and a 43% chance of breaking to the downside. He advised those betting on an upside to consider selling XRP when the price hits the $9 range, as that is also a measured move. Egrag Crypto is also betting on the XRP price rallying to new highs based on the altcoin’s historic performance in past cycles. He noted that during the 2021 cycle, XRP increased by about 1,700% from its cycle low to its cycle high. Meanwhile, the altcoin has seen about a 1,160% increase so far in this cycle. The analyst further remarked that he can’t accept the idea that the XRP price in this cycle will underperform the 2021 cycle by 540%, especially considering the existing narratives in this cycle. This likely includes narratives such as the XRP ETFs, which have drawn institutional inflows into the XRP ecosystem. In line with this, Egrag Crypto predicts that the XRP price will mimic the 2021 cycle percentage gains, which would mean that the altcoin could rally to a top of $5.20. He revealed that he might sell a small portion at $5 to assess the market, but that he is aiming for bigger gains, especially given his projection that XRP could hit $9. No Plans To Sell Right Now Egrag Crypto stated that he has no plans to sell now, despite the recent XRP price crash, which has sparked speculation about a market top. The analyst said that he will hold even if it means riding out his portfolio through a bear market. He reiterated his belief that XRP will head towards a minimum of $9, with an average target of $20 and a high-end target of $27. Egrag Crypto also mentioned that if this is the market top, it would mean that they are being “rugged” for the second cycle. He alluded to how the Solana price rose from $8 to around $300, representing an increase of around 3,600%, while Bitcoin rose from $15,000 to $126,000, an increase of around 840%. As such, he believes the XRP price should be recording greater gains than it has so far. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.40, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. -
Crypto market shows weak conviction after Friday’s sharp drop
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The US-China trade scare has sent a wave of anxiety across all risk-assets, and digital assets rarely avoid such. Cryptocurrencies got sold off violently at the past week close. It isn't the first time that such flows happen on a Friday late afternoon, but this one was particularly brutal: The Crypto total market cap lost close to $1 trillion in value in about an hour and some altcoins printed down about 70% of their value with cascading liquidations. Since, much of the moves have recovered with conciliatory tones from both US and China, but the overall tone still seems passive/aggressive. zoom_out_map Total Crypto Market Cap, October 16, 2025 – Source: TradingView One could point to the fact that after marking a new $4.27 trillion record three days prior, the profit-taking had already started a selling wave. Some parties might have been informed of the Trump tweet before the bigger move happened? It would not be the first time – Markets are like that despite regulations trying their best to prevent such practices, but all of this is for now just a theory. Some suspicious flows had been demarcated before the selloff started however... Volumes have been holding pretty low since despite the decent recovery, proving how such movement errode market confidence. We'll look at the charts to see if they provide more details right ahead. zoom_out_map Daily overview of the Crypto Market, October 16, 2025 – Source: Finviz Cryptos were up small to start the day but have since started to see some small-scale selling with Ethereum hanging right around $4,000. Other risk assets like Stocks are up for now – tracking sentiment (and any sudden change to it) will be key once again for daily trading, and expect the same for the time to come! Let's explore levels for the Crypto Market leaders: BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP. Read More: Markets Today: UK GDP Up 0.1% in August, Gold & Oil Advance, FTSE Breaks Below 100-Day MA. Fed Speakers In FocusEUR/USD: Recent euro weakness stalled at 1.1530 key medium-term support with a minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakoutCrypto intraday chart analysisBitcoin (BTC) 8H Chart zoom_out_map Bitcoin 8H Chart, October 16, 2025 – Source: TradingView When looking at the chart, one thing stands out: The Friday afternoon wick at $102,000. The move was significant and so rapid that prices just printed at these lows before coming right back higher and closing at $114,000. One thing to notice however is how the June upward trendline has since been broken, with sellers attempting to take control of the price action; an asymmetric double top has formed. Buyers are protecting the $108,000 to $110,000 support, coming into play as we speak. Levels of interest for BTC trading: Support Levels: $108,000 to $110,000 previous ATH support zone (testing)$106,000 mini-support$102,000 Friday afternoon wick$100,000 main support at the psychological levelResistance Levels: Current ATH Resistance $124,000 to $126,000Current all-time high $126,250$120,000 psychological levelPivot Zone $115,000 to $117,000Ethereum (ETH) 8H Chart zoom_out_map Ethereum 8H Chart, October 16, 2025 – Source: TradingView Ethereum has been left out of the most recent crypto inflows since reaching a new record high of $4,950 in end-August. However, the second largest crypto is still holding the $4,000 level and staying there marks volume at 5-year highs, essential for marking its "value" around elevated levels. Momentum is also stabilizing, as showing in the triangle formation. Looking back, Ethereum really had been struggling throughout the past few years – Keep track of its ETF inflows to spot incoming demand (or lack thereof) from retail investors as more and more venues are created for traditional money. Levels to place on your ETH Charts: Support Levels: $4,200 to $4,300 consolidation Zone$4,000 to $4,095 Main Long-run Pivot$3,900 8H MA 200$3,433 Friday lows$3,500 Main Support ZoneResistance Levels: $4,200 to $4,300 consolidation Zone$4,500 mini-resistance$4,700 to $4,950 All-time high resistance zone$4,950 Current new All-time highsA parenthesis on ETH/BTC zoom_out_map ETH/BTC 8H Chart, October 16, 2025 – Source: TradingView The ETH/BTC ratio, a proxy for altcoin appetite has corrected since August 22. Nonetheless, the Friday move and particularly its recovery have marked a decent rebound for bulls. The most positive outcome for the Crypto market would be a break above the corrective channel. On the other hand, the bearish case takes further probability on a channel breakdown. Solana (SOL) 8H Chart zoom_out_map Solana 8H Chart, October 16, 2025 – Source: TradingView Solana is selling off quite aggressively after retesting the $210 levels post-crash. Still evolving within an ascending channel, the key will be to spot if buyers defend the $185 Support to pursue the higher continuation. The lower bound of the channel is at around $170, after which the price action would be entering a bearish territory. Levels to keep on your SOL Charts: Support Levels: $185 Momentum Support (testing)$170 Friday lows$160 August Support$150 Psychological SupportResistance Levels: Pivot Zone $200 to $205Resistance level $218 to $220$235 to $240 mini-resistance and Higher bound of channel$250 to $255 main resistance$290 to $300 all-time high resistance ($295 ATH)Ripple (XRP) 8H Chart zoom_out_map XRP 8H Chart, October 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView XRP broke the range mentioned in our previous altcoin analysis, providing a less bullish outlook for the 4th largest altcoin – Currently neutral. Nonethless, buyers are defending the $2.20 to $2.30 support and the pace at which the selloff occurs has slowed down: Prices have consolidated above the descending trendline. Levels to keep on your XRP Charts: Support Levels: Key support between $2.20 to $2.30 (immediately testing)$2.00 psychological level$1.60 April 2025 support$1.37 Friday wick$1.30 to $1.40 Resistance Levels: Main Support now Pivot - $2.60 to $2.70$3.00 Major Pivot Zone$3.10 to $3.20 resistancePrevious all-time Highs - $3.39Current ATH resistance around $3.66 Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Vale scraps plans to build Quebec nickel sulphate facility
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Brazilian miner Vale (NYSE: VALE) has scrapped plans to build a $231 million nickel sulphate facility in Quebec after its sole client put an expansion project on ice. General Motors won’t immediately need nickel sulphate in Quebec because it has changed the timing of its Ultium Cam electric-vehicle battery venture in Bécancour, a spokesperson for Vale’s base metals unit said Thursday via email. “As a result, Vale Base Metals is cancelling its nickel sulphate plant project,” he added. Canadian public broadcaster Radio-Canada reported Thursday that GM and its partner, South Korean steelmaker Posco, have put the second stage of Ultium Cam on hold indefinitely. An Ultium Cam spokesperson couldn’t immediately be reached for comment on this story. Vale’s project in Bécancour would have been the first-of-its-kind fully domestic nickel sulphate facility for the North American market. It was planned to process contained nickel into nickel sulphate, the chemical compound used in the production of pre-cathode active materials for nickel-based lithium-ion batteries. Supply partnership Despite the project’s cancellation, Vale said it will continue to work with GM on their partnership to supply Canadian nickel into the automaker’s North American supply chain. The Brazilian company has nickel mines in Ontario, Manitoba and Newfoundland and Labrador, as well as processing facilities. Vale and GM in November 2022 signed a “long-term” agreement for the supply of battery grade nickel sulphate produced in Bécancour. The deal would have seen Vale sell battery grade nickel sulphate, equivalent to 25,000 tonnes a year of contained nickel, for use in GM’s Ultium battery cathodes. The project’s halt marks another setback in Quebec’s attempts to build an electric battery industry following the bankruptcy of Swedish battery maker Northvolt and the collapse of its C$7-billion plan to build a factory in suburban Montreal. Quebec economy minister Christine Fréchette said last month that the provincial government had lost C$270 million as she officially pulled the plug on financing the venture. -
Hugo Pinheiro reagiu a uma resposta no tópico: Veterano de Wall Street Projeta Nova Escala para o Ouro (XAU/USD) em Meio a Sinais de Crise
-
SNX Price Plummets 15% After Rebound: Why is SNX Price Down and Will SNX Recover?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
SNX, the token that powers Synthetix, a DeFi platform built on Ethereum (ETH) is facing a downward price movement. The token is used as a collateral to mint synthetic assets i.e. digital versions of real-world currencies, commodities and stocks. At the same time, users can stake SNX to earn rewards and participate in governance decisions. Since last month, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.negative svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #A90C0C !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.negative { border: 1px solid #A90C0C; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative { color: #A90C0C !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.negative::before { border-top: 4px solid #A90C0C !important; } Synthetix Network SNX $1.62 18.80% Synthetix Network SNX Price $1.62 18.80% /24h Volume in 24h $272.11M Price 7d EXPLORE: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Key Takeaways SNX dropped 15% after a sharp rally and broader crypto market liquidation Profit-taking, weak technicals, and sUSD instability added pressure to SNX’s price Recovery depends on DEX launch success, trading competition, and holding key support levels The post SNX Price Plummets 15% After Rebound: Why is SNX Price Down and Will SNX Recover? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Stock market today: Dow Jones 30 (DJIA) edges higher to $46428, erasing Friday’s losses
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Recently suffering a loss of 2.50% only six days ago, the Dow Jones 30 edges 0.22% in today’s session, erasing losses from Friday’s trading. Trading around ~$46,428, the Dow Jones now looks for support to continue the recent rally, albeit currently lagging behind its US equity counterparts. What’s next? zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (green), S&P 500 (blue) & Nasdaq-100 (yellow) OANDA, TradingView, 16/10/2025 Dow Jones 30 (DJIA): Key takeaways 16/10/2025 Suffering the worst loss since April on Friday, the blue-chip heavy Dow Jones is recovering more slowly than the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500, as markets look to pare lossesWhile banking earnings topped analyst estimates on Tuesday, forward guidance from JPMorgan & Chase had dampened expectations of growth in Q4, hurting banking stocks and weighing heavily on the price-weighted Dow JonesResponsible in no small part for Friday’s sell-off, a worsening US-China trade war looks set to continue, with Trump accusing China of being “economically hostile” Read more on today’s session: Markets Today: UK GDP Up 0.1% in August, Gold & Oil Advance, FTSE Breaks Below 100-Day MA. Fed Speakers In Focus Dow pares losses from Friday, edging higher to $46,428 With US equity trading this week being relatively tame, let’s round up a few macroeconomic themes at play: Trump accuses China of being “economically hostile” over soybean spat: Safe to say I didn’t expect to be writing about soybeans this week, but here we are. With Friday’s sell-off still fresh in the memory, with trade tensions inspiring a risk-off move that seriously hurt US equities, Trump has again renewed a moral offensive on China, with soybean exports his next point of contention. zoom_out_map @realDonaldTrump, Truth Social, 14/10/2025 While most are unfamiliar with the logistics of US legume exports, Trump’s comments are significant in two ways: They further Trump’s narrative of prioritising domestic industryThey signify a breakdown in relative cordiality between the two biggest world economies As for Dow pricing, with Friday being a case in point, a worsening US-China trade war is likely to hurt US equity pricing, with markets becoming more risk-averse. This holds especially true for US tech stocks, such as NVIDIA, a key Dow constituent. Highly sensitive to US-China trade tension, the semiconductor manufacturer lags behind the Dow in terms of recovery since Friday’s sell-off, trading around $182.65 per share. zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (green) & NVIDIA (pink) OANDA/Nasdaq, TradingView, 16/10/2025 Forward guidance from US banking sector to disappoint: Despite the best efforts of stellar Q3, topping almost all analyst predictions, markets were quick to sell US banking stocks following comments from JPMorgan & Chase CEO Jamie Dimon. "My antenna goes up when things like that happen. I probably shouldn’t say this but when you see one cockroach, there’s probably more. And so everyone should be forewarned at this point " JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, speaking during Q3 earnings call Dimon, known for his rescue of failed investment bank Bear Stearns, warned of ‘cockroaches’ in the private credit sector, following the collapse of subprime automobile lender Tricolor and car part supplier First Brands. While admittedly somewhat niche to broader Dow Jones commentary, the comments cast further shadows on US private credit, of which banks like JPMorgan are exposed. In the case of Goldman Sachs, at #1 in terms of DJIA weighting, recent performance would go some way in explaining the somewhat hampered recovery of the Dow Jones compared to other US equity indexes. zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (green) & Nasdaq BANK index (pink), OANDA, TradingView, 16/10/2025 As a personal aside: perhaps the first and last time I’ll use the word ‘cockroaches’ as part of financial market commentary. Dow Jones 30 (DJIA): Technical Analysis 16/10/2025 To conclude, let’s break down some technicals: Dow Jones 30 (DJIA): Daily (D1) chart analysis: zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (US30USD), D1, OANDA, TradingView, 16/10/2025 Let me start by apologising for a cluttered chart - it just so happens that many key levels are close to current price action. With moral obligations out of the way, let me draw your attention to the 14-period RSI, which has been erring on the side of overbought lately. If nothing else, Friday’s sell-off will be eyed by markets as a potential entry point, assuming price finds support at the 20-period SMA. Should price meet resistance and fall, we can also expect some technical buying at the 50 SMA, although, as things stand, a fall to this level is unlikely. Price targets and support/resistance levels: Price target #1: Previous high: $46,434Price target #2: Previous high: $46,843Support #1: 20-Period SMA: $46,346 Read about the precious metals in today’s session: Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Outlook: Silver Price Consolidates Ahead of Next Move. Where to Next? Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Early in the American session, gold is trading around 4,254, reaching a new all-time high and approaching daily resistance at around 4,266. In the coming hours, gold could continue its rise to reach 4,270, a strong resistance level where the weekly resistance level 3 and the daily resistance level 2 are located. If gold encounters a barrier in this area, it could be seen as an opportunity to enter short positions, as we could expect a technical correction to reach the 21SMA, located at 4,223. If gold falls and sharply breaks the uptrend channel, which has been underway on the H1 chart since October 10, and consolidates below the 7/8 Murray and below the 21SMA, we could expect a strong technical correction. The instrument could reach the 200EMA around 4,070. Gold has bullish potential. Hence, we could expect it to reach the top of the trend channel around 4,331. If it continues to rise, we could expect it to reach the 8/8 Murray around 4,375 in the coming days. Technically, gold is overbought on the H4 and daily charts, so a significant technical correction is expected in the coming days. Gold is likely to fall to the psychological level of $4,000. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Bitcoin is trading around 111,188, above the 3/8 Murray level and rebounding after reaching the psychological level of 110,000 during the European session. The price is even nearly reaching the 3/8 Murray level around 109,375. Given that we are seeing a technical rebound, we can expect Bitcoin to continue rising in the coming hours, reaching the 4/8 Murray level at 112,500 and possibly even reaching the top of the downtrend channel around 114,200. If there is a sharp breakout of the channel and consolidation above the 200 EMA and above the 5/8 Murray level, we could expect Bitcoin to reach the 6/8 Murray level around 118,750 and possibly even return to the 125,000 level. Conversely, a consolidation below the 3/8 Murray line at 109.375 could encourage the bearish pressure, and Bitcoin could reach the October 11 low around $103,000 and even reach the psychological level of $100,000. Our outlook is bullish as long as the Bitcoin price consolidates above the 3/8 Murray line. If this scenario comes true, we can look for buying opportunities with a target at 115,700. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Trading Signals for EUR/USD for October 16-19, 2025: buy above 1.1600 (GAP - 200 EMA)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The euro is trading around 1.1656 within the downtrend channel formed since September 12 and reaching resistance levels near the 200 EMA. EUR/USD is likely to encounter a strong rejection zone around 1.1675. If the euro consolidates above the 200 EMA and sharply breaks the downtrend channel, we could expect it to reach the Murray 8/8 level at 1.1718 and could even cover the gap it left in early October around 1.1740. Our outlook remains bullish for the euro, so any pullback and technical rebound around the 21 SMA at 1.1610 or around the Murray 7/8 level at 1.1596 could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions with a target at 1.1740. If the euro falls below 1.1596, we could expect a continuation of the bearish cycle, and in the short term, it could reach the Murray 6/8 level at 1.1476. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, so any pullback in EUR/USD could be seen as an opportunity to enter long positions. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Best Altcoins to Buy as XRP ETF Nears Approval and Institutional Buys Peak
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
What to Know: $XRP has hit a recent low of $1.8 after the October 10 flash crash Institutional investment could be responsible for the recovery to $2.45 and beyond Several $XRP ETFs are scheduled for approval by the SEC this month The US shutdown has delayed these approvals, so they’ll be closer together $XRP has long been hyped as a crypto with the potential to transform the banking industry, and it might finally be taking off. The REX-Osprey XRP ETF has launched successfully, with the $XRPR fund trading over $37.7M on its first day on the market. Now, several other $XRP ETFs, which are awaiting approval decisions, have been scheduled for decision windows throughout October, including: Grayscale VanEck 21Shares WisdomTree However, due to the US government shutdown, it’s more likely that these rulings will all be issued closer together once the SEC resumes operations. It’s rumored that SBI Holdings is also increasing its investment in Ripple. It is currently one of the largest $XRP accounts in Japan, reportedly holding over $10B in $XRP, which significantly exceeds SBI Holdings’ market cap of $14.7B. Greater institutional investment, along with the release of several ETFs, could potentially spark a surge of excitement for $XRP, pushing the token price beyond the $2.4-$2.6 range and back above $3. In turn, this could lead to the transfer of capital into smaller crypto projects poised for growth. We’ve identified three projects that we believe will benefit from the rise in $XRP’s price, so keep reading as we explain why Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), Snorter Bot ($SNORT), and Ripple ($XRP) are our top picks for the best crypto to buy. 1. Snorter ($SNORT) – Find the Hottest Altcoins First with this Telegram-Powered Sniper Bot. Snorter Token ($SNORT) is the presale token for Snorter Bot, a sniping bot that finds the top-performing Solana meme coins and presents them to you through an easy-to-use mobile interface on Telegram. Trading meme coins might seem simple on the surface, but it’s a fast-moving market. By the time you’ve had a chance to evaluate a new coin manually, all of the liquidity might already be snatched up by whales and bots. Solana accelerates the process with a honeypot detection engine that automatically evaluates new coins for rug-pull indicators. During beta testing, the Snorter bot achieved an 85% success rate in detecting rug pulls, a rate that the Snorter developers hope to further improve in future releases. As soon as you find the coin you want to snipe, simply provide Snorter with your buy and sell orders along with your preferred price points. The bot handles everything else, executing your orders automatically. Naturally, the Snorter bot will work with Solana at launch. There are also additional modules in development for Ethereum, BNB, Polygon, and Base, which are planned for release after launch. The $SNORT token is what takes Snorter to the next level. It unlocks a bunch of features for the Snorter bot, including: An unlimited daily cap on trades Trading fees of just 0.85% Mirror trading against other wallets A private high-speed RPC node for quick trade execution However, if you want to acquire $SNORT at a low price before the token goes live, you’ll need to act quickly. It’s currently in presale at $0.1081, but there are only four days left before your chance to buy $SNORT at this price ends – check out price predictions for $SNORT for more. Join the Snorter Token presale for staking rewards of up to 107% per year. 2. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – A Solana-Based Layer-2 for Bitcoin that Adds Smart Contract Capabilities. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is taking Bitcoin to the next level with a Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) using zK rollups. The project’s goal is to make Bitcoin a worthy competitor to Web3 cryptos like Ethereum and Solana by adding increased scalability and smart contract support. While $BTC is an ideal asset for institutions like ETFs to hold in the long term because it serves as a store of value, the way the Bitcoin network operates makes it difficult for retail customers to use it as an alternative to fiat. Waiting at least ten minutes for a Bitcoin block to be added to the blockchain is simply too slow for most customer transactions, so Bitcoin Hyper is implementing an SVM-based Layer 2 solution to speed up clearing times. This also benefits the introduction of dApps into the Bitcoin ecosystem. The Bitcoin Hyper network can support crypto swaps, NFT trades, and other DeFi services, all using $BTC as the main store of value. It’s $HYPER that keeps the Bitcoin Hyper network running. When you hold this official utility token, you get lower fees when trading crypto and executing smart contracts on the Layer-2. You also get access to the Bitcoin Hyper Decentralized Autonomous Organizations ( DAO), where you can vote on the future of the project. The presale for $HYPER has raised over $23.8M in token sales ahead of the network’s launch. Buying in today means you can purchase $HYPER for only $0.013125, but you’ll have to act fast. Check out our ‘How to Buy Bitcoin Hyper‘ guide if you need more information. Get your $HYPER tokens today and earn up to 49% in staking rewards. 3. Ripple ($XRP) – Allowing Institutions to Trade Currency Across Borders Faster Than SWIFT $XRP is the native token of Ripple, created to enable faster and cheaper global money transfers as an alternative to the SWIFT network. Thanks to a recent sidechain upgrade, the Ripple blockchain now also supports Ethereum-compatible smart contracts on-chain. Ripple enables real-time cross-border transfers through its On-Demand Liquidity service, which uses $XRP as a common source of liquidity between countries. By using $XRP as an intermediary currency, it eliminates the need for institutions to tie up capital in currency pairs. Adoption of Ripple is growing throughout the global financial services industry, with clients including Travelex Bank, SBI Holdings, and Santander. SWIFT has also held live trials using the Ripple network to facilitate payments. While $XRP hit highs of above $3.6 this year, the price of the token dropped briefly to $1.8 on October 10th after a brutal industry-wide flash crash that wiped out over $19 billion of leveraged crypto positions. However, $XRP has since recovered and is now trading sideways between $2.3 $2.6 per token. Even at its current price of $2.45, the price of $XRP is up almost 350% in the last year. $XRP can be purchased through any major CEX or DEX. All crypto products are volatile. Be sure to always do your own research before investing – and only invest what you’re prepared to lose. This article is not financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/best-altcoins-to-buy-xrp-etf-nears-approval/ -
Bom dia, traders. A tese de alta para o ouro acaba de ser elevada a uma nova dimensão. O "veterano de Wall Street" e renomado estrategista, Ed Yardeni, emitiu uma de suas previsões mais audaciosas, projetando que o ouro atingirá $5.000 em 2026 e potencialmente $10.000 até o final da década. Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, ExpertFX School Esta não é uma previsão isolada; é o reflexo de um mercado que está enviando sinais inequívocos de crise, mesmo que não sejam óbvios para todos. Nesta análise, vamos conectar os pontos entre as previsões dos especialistas, o comportamento anômalo do mercado e as tendências globais que sustentam esta visão de longo prazo. 1. O Sinal de Alerta da CNBC: Ouro vs. Ações A CNBC destacou uma anomalia histórica que, na minha visão, é o sinal mais importante do momento: "O ouro nunca superou as ações por uma margem tão grande, a menos que houvesse uma crise ou um mercado de baixa." Minha Análise (Igor Pereira): O mercado de ações pode estar em níveis elevados, mas o desempenho relativo do ouro está nos dizendo que, sob a superfície, o "dinheiro inteligente" já está operando em "modo de crise". A fuga para a segurança não está esperando por uma queda nas ações; ela está se antecipando a ela. O ouro não está apenas subindo; está superando os ativos de risco a um ritmo que historicamente só acontece quando algo está fundamentalmente errado. 2. O Catalisador da Crise: A Paralisia em Washington E o que está errado? A disfunção política e econômica nos EUA está se aprofundando. A plataforma de previsões Kalshi agora mostra que os participantes do mercado estão apostando que a paralisação ("shutdown") do governo dos EUA durará no mínimo 40 dias. Minha Análise: Uma paralisação prolongada não é mais um risco; está se tornando o cenário base. Isso significa um impacto direto e negativo no crescimento econômico, mais incerteza para as empresas e um Federal Reserve forçado a ser ainda mais brando em sua política monetária para compensar o caos fiscal. É um dos combustíveis mais potentes para a tese de alta do ouro. 3. A Adoção se Torna Global e Acessível Enquanto a crise se desenrola no Ocidente, a adoção dos metais preciosos como proteção se expande globalmente e se torna mais acessível. A gestora de ativos russa "Pervaya" acaba de lançar um fundo de investimento para o varejo focado em ouro, prata, platina e paládio, com um valor de entrada extremamente baixo (equivalente a 100 rublos). Minha Análise: Este é um sinal crucial da democratização do investimento em metais preciosos. Mostra que a demanda não está restrita a Wall Street ou a bancos centrais, mas está se tornando um movimento de base, global. Facilitar o acesso para milhões de pequenos investidores cria uma nova e massiva fonte de demanda potencial para o setor. Conclusão de Igor Pereira: Conectando os Pontos para os $10.000 A previsão de Ed Yardeni de um ouro a US$ 10.000 não é uma fantasia. É a conclusão lógica de todos os sinais que estamos observando: O mercado já está se comportando como se estivesse em uma crise (Ouro > Ações). A causa dessa crise, a instabilidade fiscal e política nos EUA, está se agravando (Shutdown prolongado). A resposta global a essa crise é uma crescente fuga para os metais preciosos, que agora está se tornando acessível para o varejo em todo o mundo (Novos fundos). Não estamos testemunhando uma bolha especulativa. Estamos testemunhando o início de uma reavaliação estrutural do ouro como o principal ativo de refúgio em um mundo cada vez mais instável e endividado. A jornada para os $5.000 e, eventualmente, para os $10.000, está sendo pavimentada pelos eventos de hoje. Níveis de Exaustão? A Análise dos Níveis-Chave para uma Correção Saudável O ouro (XAU/USD) continua sua trajetória de alta, operando em território de máximas históricas e demonstrando uma força inquestionável. No entanto, após um movimento tão parabólico, a análise da microestrutura do mercado e dos ciclos de preço nos leva a uma conclusão importante: uma correção técnica não é apenas possível, mas seria extremamente saudável para a sustentabilidade da tendência de alta de longo prazo. Como Igor Pereira, acredito que, embora a tendência de fundo seja inabalavelmente de alta, o mercado pode estar atingindo um ponto de exaustão de curto a médio prazo, possivelmente relacionado a um movimento impulsivo mensal. Esta análise se aprofunda nos níveis técnicos e no fluxo de ordens para identificar as zonas onde essa correção pode ocorrer e onde as novas oportunidades de compra podem surgir. 1. Análise Técnica H1: O Mapa para a Correção O gráfico de 1 hora nos mostra a anatomia da alta e os pontos críticos para uma potencial reversão de curto prazo. Zonas de Resistência (Onde a Venda Pode Entrar): Linha de Tendência Superior (Canal de Alta - Linha 2): O preço está atualmente tocando a linha superior de um canal de alta íngreme. Esta área naturalmente atrai vendedores e realizadores de lucro. Máxima Recente e Níveis-Chave: A região entre $4281 e a máxima em $4288 é o principal obstáculo. Um "falso rompimento" acima desta área, seguido de uma rápida reversão para dentro do canal, seria um forte sinal de fraqueza e o gatilho para o início da correção. Zonas de Suporte (Onde Comprar a Queda): A estratégia principal em um bull market é comprar nas correções. As seguintes zonas representam os pontos de maior probabilidade para a reentrada de compradores. Primeiro Suporte: A linha horizontal em $4227,53 e a linha de tendência inferior (Linha 1) formam a primeira zona de defesa. Primeira Zona de Demanda (Amarela): A região entre $4181 - $4170 é a primeira área de suporte mais significativa. Ela representa uma zona de consolidação anterior e deve atrair interesse comprador. Segunda Zona de Demanda (Amarela - Ponto de Origem): Na minha análise, a zona mais importante para uma compra estratégica em uma correção mais profunda é a área em torno de $4141. Este é o ponto de origem do último grande impulso ("breakout") e representa uma zona de forte confluência de ordens. Suporte Final (Pivô de Longo Prazo): O nível em RANGE $4103 - $404x é o último grande suporte visível no gráfico antes de uma potencial reavaliação da estrutura de alta. 2. Análise do Terminal de Fluxo de Ordens: A Batalha na Microestrutura O terminal de fluxo de ordens nos dá uma visão microscópica da batalha atual entre compradores e vendedores. CVD (Delta de Volume Cumulativo): O CVD mostra uma clara dominância dos compradores agressivos a mercado (1442.8k de compra vs. 977.7k de venda). Isso confirma a força que impulsionou o preço até os níveis atuais. No entanto, a agressão compradora parece estar diminuindo perto das máximas, um sinal de possível exaustão. COB (Livro de Ordens Central): O livro de ordens revela a realidade. Acima do preço, vemos uma grande "muralha" de ordens de venda limitada (liquidez passiva) se formando na região de $4300 (mais de 109k de oferta). Abaixo, as ordens de compra estão mais dispersas, com uma concentração notável na zona de $4235 - $4220. Minha Análise: A mensagem do terminal é clara. Embora os compradores tenham sido agressivos para chegar até aqui, eles agora enfrentam uma parede de vendedores passivos que estão realizando lucros ou iniciando posições de venda. Essa dinâmica aumenta a probabilidade de uma absorção e subsequente correção. Estratégia de Igor Pereira A confluência da análise técnica e do fluxo de ordens apoia a tese de que uma correção é o cenário de maior probabilidade no curto prazo. Estratégia Recomendada: Cenário de Correção (Principal): Aguardar por sinais de fraqueza perto da resistência de $4281 - $4288. Se a correção se iniciar, as zonas de demanda em $4181 e, principalmente, em $4141 > $406x, são os pontos ideais para procurar por sinais de reversão e iniciar novas posições de compra, alinhadas com a tendência principal. Cenário de Continuidade (Invalidação): Se, contra as probabilidades, os compradores mostrarem força para romper e se sustentar acima de $4288, a tese de correção é invalidada, e o mercado buscará alvos mais altos. A paciência será a maior virtude do trader nesta fase. Não se deve lutar contra a tendência macro de alta, mas sim esperar disciplinadamente pela oportunidade que uma correção saudável irá oferecer. A análise que você acabou de ler mostra que, mesmo em um forte bull market, existem riscos e pontos de inflexão cruciais. Navegar a exaustão do preço, os recuos e as zonas de reentrada é o que separa os amadores dos profissionais. Enquanto a maioria se perde na euforia ou no pânico, no ExpertFX Club nós operamos com um mapa. Lá dentro, eu, Igor Pereira, forneço diariamente: Análises Detalhadas: Como esta, mas focada nos movimentos do dia e da semana. Planos de Trade: Níveis de entrada, alvos e o racional por trás de cada cenário. Visão de Nível Institucional: Acesso direto à minha interpretação do fluxo de ordens e do sentimento do mercado. O mercado não espera. As maiores oportunidades surgem em momentos de incerteza como agora. Você não precisa enfrentá-los sozinho. Clique no link e junte-se a um círculo exclusivo de traders que estão um passo à frente. ➡️ https://expertfx.club/