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The cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index has plummeted into the extreme fear territory following the crash in Bitcoin and other assets. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Now Pointing At “Extreme Fear” The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that uses the data of several factors to determine the net sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The factors in question include volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The index makes use of a scale running from 0-100 for representing the investor mentality. All values above 53 imply the traders are greedy, while those below 47 suggest a fearful market. Values lying between the two cutoffs correspond to a net neutral sentiment. Besides these three main sentiments, there are also two “extreme” zones called the extreme fear (below 25) and extreme greed (above 75). Currently, the market is in the former of the two. As displayed above, the Fear & Greed Index has a value of 22 at the moment, which is just inside the extreme fear zone. This is a deterioration compared to the last few days, when the indicator held normal fear values. The reason behind the slide into the extreme fear territory naturally lies in the bearish action that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have faced recently. In particular, the market has suffered a sharp move down during the past day. Last week also ended with a rapid drawdown in BTC and company, and then too sentiment took a large hit, with the index registering a low of 24. This previous turnaround in sentiment was also much more drastic than the latest one, as it took the metric from greed values all the way down into the extreme fear zone in a flash. Historically, the extreme sentiments have held much importance for Bitcoin and other digital assets, as major tops and bottoms have often occurred in these regions. The relationship has been an inverse one, however, meaning that extreme fear can result in a bottom, while extreme greed can lead to a top. The plunge into extreme fear earlier also paved the way to a bottom, although it proved to be only a temporary one. With the Fear & Greed Index back in the zone, it will be interesting to see how the Bitcoin price will develop in the coming days. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $105,600, down 13% over the last week.

XRP is showing signs of hesitation after a strong rebound, struggling to push past key resistance levels. The recent price action fits neatly within an Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting the market may be entering its final consolidation phase before the next major move unfolds. Market Pauses After The Storm CasiTrades, in a recent market update, explained that following last Friday’s sharp wipeout, prices managed to rebound impressively, but that momentum now appears to be losing steam. According to the analyst, such pauses are natural after strong moves. In Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), this type of slowdown aligns with Wave 4, a stage where the market consolidates before preparing for the final impulsive wave. The analyst emphasized that markets rarely pivot directly after a major Wave 3 decline. Instead, they often complete an exhausted Wave 5 move to wrap up the impulse cycle before a fresh uptrend begins. However, CasiTrades noted that the market has not yet shown the kind of strength needed to invalidate the final dip. Price action is currently stalling around Wave 4 resistance levels. If the market were truly in a sharp V-shaped recovery, it should have already cleared the $2.82 resistance mark with strong momentum, but that has yet to happen. Given these conditions, the analyst believes that the market may still need one more wave down to fully exhaust selling pressure and reset sentiment. Market Data Chaos: No “Universal” XRP Chart CasiTrades went on to emphasize that market data across exchanges has become highly inconsistent, making accurate analysis challenging. The analyst pointed out that each trading platform displayed a different low during the recent crash, with some pairs dipping below $1, while others managed to hold at much higher levels. With this disparity, CasiTrades advised traders to focus on the exchange they are personally trading on to ensure precision, as there is no “universal” XRP chart. According to the analyst, on Binance USD, XRP’s price wicked as low as $0.77, marking a sharp 72% drop from local highs and falling below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. While CasiTrades believes such extreme lows are unlikely to repeat, the next potential retracement levels around $1.46 (0.618 Fib) and the golden pocket near $1.35 remain key areas of interest. These zones align with multiple technical factors, including Wave 5 extensions, macro Fibonacci retracements, and Wave 2 targets. The analyst explained that if XRP were to retest these deeper levels, it could trigger a powerful reversal, potentially setting the stage for the long-anticipated impulsive wave that targets the $6.50 to $10.00 range. Despite the chaos caused by the recent market crash, CasiTrades sees a potential silver lining. She noted that the crash might have shifted XRP’s structure from a shallow Wave 4 correction to a broader macro Wave 2 retracement, which may precede the strongest impulse waves in the cycle.

Bitcoin fell sharply this week as investors stepped away from risky bets and piled into gold, based on reports from market outlets. Bitcoin slipped more than 5% to about $105,105 on Friday, extending a slide that left it roughly 13% below an October 6 peak near $126,000. Reports show crypto liquidations were heavy, adding to selling pressure in the market. Safe Haven Bets Favor Gold Gold, by comparison, climbed to fresh records. Spot gold pushed above $4,300 an ounce and hit a session peak near $4,312, while US futures briefly traded around $4,328.70, figures that reflect a broad rush into traditional stores of value as investors weigh economic and geopolitical risks. Some reports say gold is on track for its biggest weekly gain since 2008. What Happened In Markets This Week Several forces combined to push prices. Forced selling in crypto derivatives amplified downward moves: one report put liquidations at about $1.23 billion in a 24-hour span, with roughly $453 million of that tied to bitcoin and another $277 million linked to Ethereum. At the same time, worries about regional US banks and a renewed debate over interest-rate timing helped lift demand for gold. Exchange-traded funds mattered. Gold ETFs posted strong inflows, and some funds hit long-term holding highs as money sought safety. Meanwhile, spot bitcoin ETFs showed net outflows in parts of the week, highlighting a shift in where big pools of money were parked. Analysts say that in times of market stress, the differences in liquidity and trade behavior between gold and crypto become more obvious. How Traders Are Talking About ‘Digital Gold’ Based on reports, the old debate about whether bitcoin behaves like “digital gold” got louder. A number of commentators pointed out that bitcoin’s large swings and its tendency to fall with other risky assets during selloffs weaken its case as a refuge. Still, other market participants argue bitcoin has functioned as an investment vehicle for some investors this year, even if it does not always match gold in crisis moments. Eyes On Central Banks And Lenders Investors will be watching Federal Reserve signals and any fresh news about US banks for clues on where money goes next. If rate-cut expectations firm up, gold could keep rising. If risk appetite returns, some of the flows back into crypto might reverse. For now, flows and prices show that a chunk of cash has chosen a traditional safe haven over crypto while markets absorb the recent wipeout. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Cardano (ADA) fell roughly 27% this week, slipping below the $0.66 support as risk-off flows hit crypto. Bitcoin’s slide toward $104,000 and softer altcoin liquidity magnified downside, and on-chain data shows large holders leaning defensive. Whale Flows Split as ADA Loses Support Santiment-tracked wallets holding 1–10 million ADA offloaded about 40 million ADA over seven days, while broader whale distribution reportedly reached 350 million ADA, pressuring price. other big wallets accumulated 140–200 million ADA, creating a split tape that’s fueling choppy consolidation between $0.65–$0.70. Derivatives add to the cautious tone. Cardano’s open interest slipped 2.12% to $669.9 million, and long liquidations ($1.13 million) dwarfed shorts ($187,000), signaling bulls bore the brunt of the latest flush. On the 4-hour chart, ADA is carving a falling wedge, but confirmation requires a breakout above $0.74. Until then, momentum indicators remain mixed: RSI 37 (approaching oversold) while CMF 0.12–0.15 hints at returning spot inflows that have yet to overpower supply from large holders. Downside Risk First, Rebound Later Technicians flag a “risk-first” path: losing $0.66 puts $0.65 in play; failure there opens $0.62–$0.60, then $0.57 (channel/structure confluence). A deeper shakeout could probe $0.53 if broader crypto weakness persists. On the upside, ADA must reclaim $0.66 and then clear $0.74–$0.80 (50-day EMA cluster) to flip trend strength. Above that range, bulls target $0.86, with a psychological $1.00 retest feasible into Q4 if risk appetite and flows improve. Several analysts still eye a path toward $1.20–$1.60 on a confirmed breakout, but most caution the market may dip before it rips given leverage resets and uneven liquidity. ETF headlines (including the Oct. 23 Grayscale ADA ETF decision window), stablecoin and ETF net flows, and whether whale selling cools. A rotation back into altcoins typically follows BTC stabilization; conversely, renewed BTC downside would likely extend ADA’s consolidation near the lows. Treasury, Staking, and Ecosystem Still Build Beyond price, Cardano’s community treasury has surpassed 1.6 billion ADA ($1 billion), funded by fees and staking rewards and governed via Project Catalyst, a war chest that supports tooling, DeFi, and infrastructure without VC overhang. New staking access (e.g., eToro U.S.) and ongoing initiatives like Midnight and Leios continue to broaden the roadmap, even as TVL ($288 million) lags larger chains. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview

Switzerland’s gambling regulator Gespa has filed a criminal complaint against FIFA Collect, challenging the “right‑to‑buy” NFT vouchers tied to World Cup tickets. Gespa contends that the way these tokens are sold, via random draws or chance, makes them behave like gambling or lotteries, which are regulated under Swiss law. The investigation kicked off in early October after internal reviews flagged possible violations of the Swiss Federal Act on Gambling. At first, Gespa said it “could not rule out” that FIFA Collect’s model might be subject to gambling regulation. After a deeper review, the regulator confirmed that suspicions had gained enough traction to warrant legal action. The NFT Model That Sparked Controversy The heart of the dispute lies in NFTs that give holders access to a lottery‑style ticket purchase process. These “right‑to‑buy” tokens let some fans skip ahead in ticket queues if certain conditions are met. But users must buy the tokens upfront and hope that events unfold favorably, such as their team advancing or their token being selected. Gespa argues that since users pay for these tokens and the rewards are tied to chance, the system combines elements of lotteries and sports betting. Those kinds of offerings require explicit licensing in Switzerland, and Gespa states that FIFA Collect does not have those licenses. The prices on FIFA’s secondary marketplace already vary wildly. Some RTB tokens tied to group stage purchases start around $98, while others, granting access to marquee games like the opening match in Azteca Stadium, have fetched up to $6,000. How FIFA Built Its Token Ecosystem FIFA reports it has sold over 1 million tickets during its early Visa presale phase. The platform powering collectables was first built on Algorand, but FIFA recently migrated to its own Avalanche‑based layer‑1 network to better support token sales and scalability. The right‑to‑buy mechanism is operated in collaboration with Modex Tech Ltd., a blockchain infrastructure provider behind FIFA’s collectible systems. FIFA defends the model by arguing the tokens help manage overwhelming ticket demand and give fans a new way to engage. Some media outlets estimate that RTB token sales have already brought in roughly $15 million. However, FIFA has not publicly verified these totals. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Gespa’s Next Move and What FIFA Faces If Gespa’s review finds that these NFTs violate Swiss gambling laws, it must escalate the case to criminal prosecutors. The regulator has told the media that FIFA Collect may be functioning as an unlicensed gambling operator by Swiss standards. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Gespa’s director, Manuel Richard, told reporters that the regulator had validated its suspicions under gambling statutes and would refer the case to prosecuting authorities. Meanwhile, FIFA has yet to issue an official response. It now faces the challenge of defending whether its RTB system is a form of ticketing or an act of gambling under Swiss law. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Why This Case Could Reverberate Globally This legal confrontation could set a template for how governments treat tokenized access and NFT‑based ticketing around the world. If FIFA loses, other sports bodies, event organizers, and blockchain ticket platforms might find themselves in regulatory crosshairs. Blockchain ticketing was once seen as a way to reduce fraud, improve access, and modernize event systems. But when elements of chance, payment, and resale converge, the line between collectible and betting blurs. In Switzerland, courts will need to decide if these “tokens” are simply digital perks or if they cross the legal boundary into gambling. Everyone working at the intersection of blockchain and real-world events will closely watch the verdict. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Swiss regulator Gespa has filed a criminal complaint against FIFA Collect, claiming its NFT ticket vouchers function like gambling tools under national law. The complaint targets FIFA’s “right‑to‑buy” NFT model, where users pay upfront and hope to win access to World Cup tickets based on chance. Gespa says the NFTs combine elements of sports betting and lotteries, which would require licensing that FIFA Collect does not hold. FIFA’s system, built with Modex and recently migrated to Avalanche, has reportedly brought in around $15 million from token sales. This case could actively shape global rules for NFT-based ticketing, particularly those involving payments and elements of chance. The post FIFA Faces Legal Action Over NFT Ticket Vouchers in Switzerland appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. The Cycle Phase Score combines market trend and short-term momentum (Z-Score) to show Bitcoin’s current phase. Positive values indicate upward momentum, while negative values signal short-term weakness or a correction. The decline in the Cycle Phase Score shows that the BTC market has lost some of its upward momentum that benefited it during the first two weeks of October. The transition to negative territory shows the start of a structural correction phase, following weeks of consecutive gains. The analyst explained that a trend_signal of -1 confirms that BTC’s price has tumbled below the 200-day moving average. It is likely to trade below this metric until it can decisively break through the $106,780 level. Similarly, a negative Z-score shows that Bitcoin’s price is trading significantly below its short-term average, further confirming the dominance of short-term selling pressure. Arab Chain added: Analytically, this movement can be viewed as a rebalancing phase within the ongoing cycle, rather than the start of a long-term downtrend. The current pullback follows a strong period of price expansion, which is often followed by a temporary pause in momentum before the main trend resumes. Arab Chain concluded by saying that if BTC’s price finds stability above $105,000 in the coming days, then the Cycle Phase Score indicator may re-enter the positive region again. Such a development could signal the end of the ongoing price correction phase. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? As BTC trades close to the mid $100,000 level, fears are rising in the market that the digital asset may fall below the psychologically important $100,000 mark. Further, on-chain data is not particularly encouraging, as the Bitcoin network activity recently crashed below the 365-day average. In addition, crypto analyst CryptoBirb recently stated that the current BTC bull cycle is likely coming to an end. The analyst remarked that Bitcoin is almost 99.3% through its current cycle. That said, whale accumulation of BTC is showing no signs of slowing down. Companies added a total of 176,000 BTC to their treasuries during Q3 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $105,484, down 5.1% in the past 24 hours.

In the past 24 hours, Dogecoin (DOGE)’s price slipped another 10% to $0.17, extending a weekly drop of more than 27% as on-chain data showed whales unloading roughly 360 million DOGE ($74 million). The selloff arrived despite upbeat headlines around House of Doge’s plan to merge with a Nasdaq-listed company and Thumzup’s exploration of DOGE payouts for creators. Initial excitement faded quickly as traders framed both developments as early-stage rather than immediately revenue-impacting, prompting profit-taking into thin liquidity. Broader crypto weakness, Bitcoin and Ethereum also retreating, amplified pressure on higher-beta meme coins like DOGE. Dogecoin (DOGE) Levels Point to a $0.17 Support and $0.21–$0.23 Resistance Technically, DOGE is testing a make-or-break band near $0.17–$0.19, the lower boundary of a multi-week channel flagged by several analysts. Holding this area could fuel a rebound toward $0.21–$0.23, where a dense cluster of moving averages and prior supply capped every bounce this month. A daily close above $0.221–$0.23 would invalidate the short-term descending structure and open room toward $0.25–$0.26, while failure to defend $0.17 risks a slide to $0.16–$0.15. Momentum gauges are cautious as RSI hovers near 45, signaling waning buying strength, and derivatives show mixed positioning, futures volume up, but open interest and funding largely neutral, implying traders expect volatility without a clear directional conviction. What Could Flip the Trend For a durable recovery, DOGE needs follow-through catalysts, not just headlines. Clear timelines on the House of Doge–Nasdaq merger (treasury operations, treasury size, revenue model) and a formal launch of Thumzup’s DOGE payouts would help convert narrative into flows. On-chain, a slowdown in whale distribution and renewed exchange outflows would tighten circulating supply, while spot bid depth must improve around $0.18–$0.19 to absorb shocks. Macro still matters: easing U.S.–China tariff rhetoric, improving risk appetite, and steadier BTC dominance could re-ignite meme liquidity. If bulls defend $0.17 and reclaim $0.21–$0.23 on rising volume, a grind toward $0.25–$0.33 is back on the table. If not, the path of least resistance remains lower in the near term. For now, traders are treating rallies as tactical, and investors are watching confirmation signals before leaning back into the $1 long-term dream. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview

The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) saw $275.2 million exit in a single trading session, making it the fund’s largest daily outflow since August. The drop was steep enough to catch the attention of analysts, who see this as a warning sign for institutional confidence in crypto ETFs. ARKB has long been one of the more active Bitcoin funds on the market. But this latest pullback shows that even the more established names are not immune when sentiment turns negative. Total Daily Outflows Top Half a Billion ARKB’s staggering outflow was only part of the bigger picture. Across all Bitcoin ETFs, the total net outflow for the day reached $530.9 million. That is one of the largest single-day drops the space has seen since late summer. Source: Farside Investors The selloff wasn’t limited to one or two funds either. Fidelity’s FBTC, for example, also lost about $132 million. That kind of coordinated movement suggests investors are not just repositioning within the sector but pulling back altogether. Big Liquidations and Fed Jitters May Be to Blame So what caused the sudden flight of capital? There are a few possible culprits. A massive $19 billion liquidation across crypto markets happened just a few days earlier. Events like that tend to shake investor confidence and trigger a chain reaction, especially among more cautious institutional players. Another factor could be the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Any hint of interest rate changes or new monetary policy could spook markets, and Bitcoin often reacts more violently than traditional assets. When uncertainty creeps in, some investors prefer to step aside rather than ride out the volatility. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 ARKB’s Volatile Nature Isn’t New ARKB has a reputation for being more reactive than its peers. That has to do with the kind of investors it attracts, many of whom are quicker to buy in and sell out based on short-term movements. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Sean Dawson, Head of Research at Derive, pointed out that ARKB usually holds around 40,000 to 50,000 BTC. With that much under management, any major redemptions can have ripple effects across the broader market. The way the ETF is structured means authorized participants can create and redeem shares on demand, which puts pressure on how the underlying bitcoin is managed behind the scenes. Why This Matters for Bitcoin’s Price When ETFs experience major outflows, it often leads to pressure on the spot market. That’s because those managing the funds may need to adjust their positions by selling real bitcoin to match redemptions. It doesn’t always happen instantly, but it adds to the downward momentum. This also calls into question how institutions are treating Bitcoin right now. Is it a long-term hedge, or is it still viewed as something to trade when things get choppy? If it’s the latter, more volatility could lie ahead. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Eyes on the Fed and Next Steps What happens next could hinge on what the Fed does and says at its upcoming meeting. If the rate policy stays stable, we might see ETF flows return. But if things remain uncertain, more investors may continue trimming their crypto exposure. ETF issuers will be watching closely. Share discounts to net asset value may need to be tightened, and liquidity management will become even more critical. If ARKB and its peers can stop the bleeding and rebuild inflows, they might restore trust. If not, this moment could mark a shift in how institutional players think about Bitcoin, not as a steady piece of a portfolio, but as a fast-moving asset that needs to be handled with caution. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways ARKB recorded $275.2 million in outflows, the fund’s largest one-day loss since August 2025. Bitcoin ETFs saw a combined $530.9 million in net outflows, pointing to wider institutional pullback. Large liquidations and uncertainty around the upcoming Fed meeting likely triggered investor exits. ARKB’s structure and investor base make it more sensitive to market sentiment and volatility. Heavy ETF redemptions may add pressure on Bitcoin’s spot price as funds rebalance holdings. The post ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF Sees Heavy $275M Outflows in One Day appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bitcoin is once again under heavy pressure, sliding toward the $103,000 level as the broader crypto market undergoes a sharp downturn. After days of volatility and failed recovery attempts, BTC has lost key support, triggering renewed fear and accelerating sell-offs across altcoins. Most major assets are showing deep losses, with traders and investors now questioning whether the market has entered a deeper corrective phase. According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s main support zone lies between $106,000 and $107,000, a range defined by the Short-Term Holder (STH) 1M–3M Realized Price and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA 200D). This critical area represents a confluence of both on-chain and technical support levels where previous corrections have historically found equilibrium. However, the current momentum shows mounting weakness. As panic spreads and liquidity dries up, all eyes are now on the $106K–107K range — a decisive battleground that could define Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory and set the tone for the rest of the crypto market. Bitcoin’s Market Structure Faces a Crucial Test Adler highlights that a loss of the $106K level would likely trigger a move toward $100,000, where the yearly moving average (SMA 365D) currently aligns — a level that has historically acted as a springboard for major reversals during previous market cycles. Despite the growing fear, Adler notes that the macro structure remains bullish as long as the $100K base holds. This region represents long-term buyer interest, and defending it could reset overheated leverage and pave the way for a more stable recovery. However, Bitcoin is already trading below the $106K mark, raising concerns that the market could be preparing for a deeper test of this critical floor. Analysts across the space are now closely watching the daily candle closes, which will determine whether the move below support is merely a liquidity sweep or confirmation of a bearish continuation. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $107K level soon, a broader shift in sentiment could unfold — one that may prolong the consolidation phase and test investor conviction. In contrast, a strong rebound from the $100K zone would reinforce the argument that the correction is part of a healthy reset within an ongoing bull market. The coming days will therefore be decisive: either Bitcoin holds this base and rebuilds momentum, or it breaks lower, signaling that the current cycle’s most aggressive phase of volatility is far from over. Bitcoin Tests Support Zone Amid Continued Weakness Bitcoin continues to slide, with the latest chart showing price action hovering around $106,000, now testing one of the most critical support zones in months. After failing to reclaim the $115,000 and $117,500 resistance levels earlier this week, BTC extended its losses, touching an intraday low near $103,500 before recovering slightly. The market remains tense as traders watch whether the 200-day moving average (SMA 200D) — currently around $107,500 — will hold. This level represents the Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price region and coincides with the area identified by analysts as a major structural base. A confirmed breakdown below it could open the door to a test of $100,000, where the yearly moving average (SMA 365D) aligns, serving as the next major support. Momentum indicators suggest that BTC is still under strong bearish pressure. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are trending downward, indicating a loss of short-term momentum. Unless Bitcoin can close daily candles back above $107K, market sentiment is likely to remain cautious. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

According to multiple reports, Ripple Labs is organizing an effort to raise about $1 billion to build a new XRP treasury intended to hold a large stock of the token. The effort would use a special purpose vehicle to gather outside capital and combine it with XRP that Ripple itself may put into the fund. The plan is still being negotiated and has not been finalized. Plans To Raise $1 Billion Reports have disclosed that the $1 billion target would be raised through a SPAC-style vehicle, with Ripple expected to contribute part of its existing holdings. Ripple has already moved into corporate treasury tools, having announced a roughly $1 billion acquisition of GTreasury, a company that provides treasury management software for large firms. That deal, and the new fund idea, suggest Ripple is aiming to create a more formal structure for holding and managing XRP on a larger scale. Market Response And Risks Some market watchers have reacted with caution. Based on reports, XRP’s price fell by about 8% around the time these stories circulated, showing that big corporate moves do not always calm market swings. Holding large sums of XRP raises questions about how purchases would be executed without causing heavy price moves, and how the new treasury would be governed. Regulators and investors will likely watch the governance rules closely, especially since Ripple already controls large amounts of XRP and releases tokens on a monthly schedule from escrow wallets. Why Ripple Might Do This Supporters say a centralized treasury could provide clearer management of token reserves, and it might let Ripple show how XRP can be used in corporate finance arrangements. Critics warn that concentrating a big reserve in one vehicle could concentrate risk and invite extra scrutiny from regulators. Based on reports, Ripple’s move to pair a treasury plan with GTreasury’s tech could be aimed at selling treasury services to other companies that want to hold or use digital assets. Structure And Transparency Questions Key details are still missing. Reports do not yet show how many XRP will be moved into the fund, what lockups or disclosure rules will apply, or who will control spending decisions. Those factors matter for investors and for how much trust the market will place in the new structure. Some sources in the coverage were anonymous, and terms can change before any formal announcement. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

BNB has been one of the strongest performers in recent weeks, standing out even as the broader crypto market struggles to find stability. During this market downturn, key metrics continue to validate BNB’s sustained momentum and network expansion. According to data shared by analyst CryptoOnchain, the BNB Smart Chain (BSC) reached a historic milestone on October 13th, recording 3.62 million daily active addresses — the highest in its history. This surge in on-chain activity comes after months of steady price appreciation that began in June and accelerated rapidly after mid-September. The timing is notable: the spike in active addresses closely followed BNB’s price peak at $1,311 on October 8th, revealing a powerful correlation between network growth and market valuation. The data suggests that as BNB’s price rose, it sparked heightened user engagement across the BSC ecosystem — possibly driven by increased trading activity, DeFi interactions, and retail FOMO. With the network now showing record participation, analysts are watching to see if this momentum can hold through the current correction. Sustained activity above these levels could reinforce market confidence and establish stronger structural support for BNB’s long-term trend. BNB Network Data Shows Tight Correlation Between Price And On-Chain Activity According to CryptoOnchain, recent data shows that since September 2025, the relationship between BNB’s active addresses and its price has entered a new and more synchronized phase. Historically, these two indicators fluctuated independently — price rallies often occurred without a matching rise in network activity, and vice versa. However, over the past month, this pattern has shifted dramatically. The chart now shows the active addresses (green area) and the BNB price (yellow dashed line) moving almost in perfect tandem. Interestingly, the BNB price peaked a few days before network activity, suggesting that the rally likely triggered a surge of user participation — a classic case of FOMO driving engagement across the BNB Smart Chain. This behavioral pattern often signals growing retail involvement and can reinforce bullish sentiment in the short term. That said, recent data shows a modest cooldown. The BNB price has corrected to around $1,212, while daily active addresses have dropped slightly below 3 million. This pullback raises a key question: can the network sustain this elevated level of activity? Maintaining user engagement above the 3 million threshold could help establish a strong support zone for BNB’s price. Conversely, a significant drop in active addresses might indicate a local top and the beginning of a deeper correction. BNB Price Tests Key Support After Sharp Correction BNB is undergoing a significant pullback after weeks of strong performance. As shown in the chart, the price has dropped roughly 8.4%, closing near $1,049, marking one of the steepest single-day declines since early August. The correction follows a parabolic rally that peaked at $1,311, with current price action suggesting that the market is entering a consolidation phase. Despite the short-term drop, BNB remains structurally bullish as long as it holds above its 50-day moving average (currently near $1,018). This dynamic support aligns closely with the prior breakout zone from September, making it a crucial area to monitor. A decisive loss of this level could open the door for a deeper retracement toward $900, where the 100-day moving average sits. The rapid ascent over the past two months likely triggered profit-taking among traders, as momentum indicators hinted at overextension. However, the longer-term trend remains intact, supported by the 200-day moving average rising steadily near $768. If BNB stabilizes above $1,000 and recovers momentum, the bulls could attempt another push toward the $1,200–$1,250 range. For now, maintaining the $1,000 psychological level is key to sustaining market confidence. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

As the week draws to a close, Bitcoin continues to show signs of resilience following its dramatic flash crash to the $101,000 price level last weekend. After days of intense volatility and heavy liquidations across the market, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has managed to stabilize above this level, even reaching as high as $113,400 during the week. In this context, crypto analyst Tyrex shared a bullish outlook on X, stating that the worst of the downturn is behind and that Bitcoin could soon be gearing up for an upward surge back to $117,000. Bitcoin’s Price Action Reinforces Bottoming Thesis Tyrex believes Bitcoin’s repeated defense of the $108,000 to $105,000 zone is a strong indication that the market has already bottomed out. Throughout the week, price action remained around this critical area despite continued selling pressure. This means there is the presence of a firm support at this level. The analyst explained that if the correction were still unfolding, Bitcoin would have already slipped below $108,000. Instead, the consistent retest and hold of this range suggests exhaustion of the bearish trend and a setup for a rebound. Such resilience after major drawdowns has often preceded powerful recovery rallies in previous Bitcoin market cycles. According to Tyrex, Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase is forming a base for the next leg higher. He projected that the price could climb toward $117,000 in the coming sessions once short-term resistance levels are cleared. The broader technical structure still favors the bulls, with many traders viewing last weekend’s crash as a reset that flushed out excessive leverage rather than a signal of long-term weakness. Momentum indicators have also begun to flatten out, and we could see renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional traders into the next week. Altcoins To Benefit From Bitcoin’s Strength Tyrex also suggested that the broader crypto market will follow Bitcoin’s lead once it begins to move decisively upward. The majority of altcoins followed Bitcoin’s crash last weekend and plunged massively. Ethereum, Solana, and XRP all fell below support levels as market sentiment soured. However, smaller assets are beginning to stabilize alongside Bitcoin, due to confidence among traders expecting the worst to be over. Tyrex warned investors not to misinterpret the ongoing sideways movement as a sign of further decline, noting that “the market already crashed, let it rest.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $105,300. Heading into the new weekend, Bitcoin’s ability to close the week above $105,000 could set the stage for a breakout to $111,000 and $117,000. If this scenario unfolds, Tyrex’s projection that the crash has concluded and a new uptrend is forming could soon prove accurate. However, failure to hold above $105,000 could lead to a further downtrend.

On Friday, the Bitcoin price experienced another flash crash, dipping toward $103,000 from $109,300. While not as alarming as the sharp decline seen on October 10, this latest downturn has ignited fresh speculation regarding the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. A Temporary Setback? Comparisons are being made to past market crash events, such as the COVID crash in 2020 and the downturn in May 2021. However, market expert VirtualBacon emphasizes that the current situation is fundamentally different. The expert noted that in 2020, a widespread collapse affected various assets, including stocks, gold, and Bitcoin. By 2021, Bitcoin was already in a downtrend. In contrast, today, while the Bitcoin price has faced challenges, stocks and gold are holding steady or even rising. He believes that the recent struggles in the crypto market appear to stem from a unique credit event rather than a broader macroeconomic meltdown, as excessive leverage was wiped out in the process. Despite the recent volatility, VirtualBacon highlights that Bitcoin’s underlying structure remains healthy. The cryptocurrency recently touched the 20-week moving average and bounced back. Moreover, the 50-week simple moving average, which resides around $102,000, has yet to be breached, even amidst this latest drop. According to VirtualBacon’s analysis, until the Bitcoin price closes below the $100,000 mark, this downturn should be viewed as a correction within an ongoing bull market rather than a definitive top. Is The Bitcoin Price Poised For A Recovery? Seasonality also plays a role in these trends: October typically sees chop, with altcoins lagging behind Bitcoin, while November and December are often characterized by altcoin rallies. Despite the recent flush, VirtualBacon asserted that the market dynamics have not fundamentally changed; it may have even accelerated a reset in sentiment, clearing out leverage to return to cycle lows. Meanwhile, macroeconomic factors are quietly turning bullish. Recent forecasts indicate that two rate cuts are now priced in at 96% for the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings on October 28-29 and December 9-10. VirtualBacon outlines a clear plan moving forward: Bitcoin is expected to consolidate between $110,000 and $125,000. A break above the $125,000 to $130,000 range could signal the start of a new altcoin season. Contrastingly, some experts, such as Doctor Profit, express a more pessimistic outlook for the Bitcoin price. He has consistently argued that the crypto prices are merely in the early stages of a bear market, which often begins with a series of false pumps followed by sharp declines, a pattern that aligns with the events of last week. It remains to be seen which direction the Bitcoin price will take next. For now, the cryptocurrency has recovered slightly from Friday’s drop to around $106,620. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Week in review Another week has passed by and the US government shutdown continues. Despite this the week was still full of volatility as markets grappled with the ongoing US-China stalemate as well as concerns around the US banking sector later in the week. As a result safe havens continued to thrive with Gold prices soaring to near $4400/oz before falling around 2.7% on Friday. The drop in Gold came about as President Trump provided a sliver of hope on US-China relations saying "not sustainable" and that he would meet with Xi Jinping in South Korea in a few weeks. US equities enjoyed a mixed week and struggled on Thursday weighed down by Banking Stocks. US banks borrowed nearly $15 billion from the Federal Reserve's Standing Repo Facility (SRF) on Wednesday and Thursday, the largest borrowing over a two-day period since the Covid-19 pandemic. Market participants were concerned about US credit markets as a result and whether that could affect valuations across markets. The selloff on Thursday rippled through Asia overnight and weighed on European stocks on Friday wiping out weekly gains. These concerns came about after major US banks reported stellar earnings earlier in the week. Despite the mixed week for US and global equity markets, equity funds attracted inflows for a fourth straight week through October 15, as dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reinforced expectations that the central bank will cut interest rates at its meeting later this month. Across the globe, investors bought about $2.17 billion worth of stock funds this past week, a figure similar to the week before. This money mainly flowed into U.S. and Asian stock funds, which saw nearly $1 billion in inflows each. Conversely, European stock funds saw a significant outflow of $1.62 billion, ending a ten-week period of continuous buying. Within the market, interest in funds focused on specific sectors surged by nearly 50%, with the Technology and Healthcare sectors leading all investments. zoom_out_map Source: LSEG Next week the US reporting season heats up and could set the tone for global equity markets. After major banks reported this past week, next week will feature results from several major household names, including Tesla and Netflix which are among the most closely watched reports. We will also get reports from other big names like Procter & Gamble (P&G), Coca-Cola and aerospace giant RTX and tech veteran IBM. How has the US Dollar Performed? The U.S. dollar is finishing the week with losses against major global currencies. The overall dollar index, which tracks the US currency's value, is on track for a 0.44% weekly slide, its largest drop since late July despite a small gain of 0.26% on Friday. The dollar weakened against the safe-haven Swiss franc, falling 0.1% to its lowest level since mid-September. Meanwhile, the euro was set for its best weekly gain against the dollar in nine weeks, even though it dipped slightly by 0.22% on Friday. Finally, the dollar was flat against the Japanese yen, which is also on track to notch a weekly gain, and the British pound (sterling) was down slightly by 0.2% but still poised for a weekly gain. This week also saw rate cut expectations rise with market participants now pricing in around 51 bps of rate cuts through December 2025, up from around 44 bps earlier in the week.This is based on the LSEG data. The Week Ahead Next week will definitely be a busier one as we did have a bit of a data break this week. Obviously the US Government shutdown has hampered US data releases but there was also a lack of high impact data from around the world. . The week ahead brings a host of high impact data releases from around the globe including inflation data from the US, China and Canada. While we also have a host of Central Bank policymakers speaking. Let us take a look at some of the key data releases which could shake markets next week. Asia Pacific Markets China is facing a pivotal week that will set its economic direction for the next five years, even as new data is expected to confirm a recent slowdown. From Monday to Wednesday, the Fourth Plenum meetings will be held, with the main goal of discussing China's important 15th Five-Year Plan for the years 2026 to 2030. Key priorities that are expected to be highlighted include boosting consumer spending, driving technological innovation (especially in areas like AI and semiconductors to achieve self-reliance), and generally shifting toward "high-quality development" to secure long-term growth. Separately, critical economic data is due on Monday: Loan Prime Rates: The central bank is expected to keep these key interest rates unchanged. GDP and Property: Official data is likely to show China's third-quarter economic growth slowed substantially to around 4.5% for the year. Key monthly data on retail sales and factory output are also expected to show a deceleration. Additionally, data on property prices is expected to confirm the market is still weak, as the government has not yet announced any major new stimulus to turn the sector around. With the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision coming up on October 30th, two key pieces of economic data are highly important this week: trade and inflation figures. Japan's exports are expected to rebound and grow by 4.0% compared to a year ago, mainly because shipments of goods like cars and chip-making machinery are returning to normal following the recent 15% tariff deal with the US At the same time, imports are likely to decrease slightly by 0.5%, largely because global commodity prices are lower. Analysts expect exports to continue normalizing in the coming months due to the September trade agreement. The overall inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.9% for September, with core prices likely remaining above 3.0%. The main reason inflation has slowed down recently is due to temporary factors, specifically government subsidies for energy and social welfare programs. Tariffs, Tariffs and More Tariffs Due to the ongoing US government shutdown, there is a serious lack of clear information on how the economy is actually performing. The government's statistical agencies are closed, meaning key reports are delayed, and even when the government reopens, it will take weeks to properly collect and process the missing data. However, one important piece of information, the September inflation report (CPI) has been confirmed for release. This is not for the Federal Reserve's benefit (even though they need it for their October 29th meeting), but because the number is legally required to calculate the Social Security cost-of-living increase for 2026. Experts still expect the report to show a small rise in overall prices (0.4% for the month) and a modest increase in core prices (0.3%). Even if tariffs start making inflation more obvious, the Fed's biggest concern right now is the weakening job market, meaning a small rise in inflation will not stop them from making a planned quarter-point interest rate cut later this month. zoom_out_map For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Week - US Dollar Index This week's Chart of the week is the US Dollar Index (DXY) From a technical perspective, the DXY has broken a three-day losing streak finding support at the 100-day MA on Friday. The daily candle closed as a hammer candle setting up the potential for further upside on Monday. If this level holds on Monday the DXY could continue its rise in the early part of next week. This will also depend on US-China developments. CPI data will be due on Friday though and market participants may be slightly hesitant to commit to any major moves ahead of the data release. This could potentially lead to some choppy price action in the early part of the week, something to consider. Immediate resistance rests at 99.57 before the psychological 100.00 handle comes into focus. Looking at support and a break below the 100-day MA could lead to a retest of the 97.70 or 96.90 support levels. US Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Chart - October 17, 2025 zoom_out_map Source:TradingView.Com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Solana meme economy has evolved into one of the most explosive forces in crypto, and the community is now moving billions in daily trading volume. The culture surrounding SOL’s meme coins has become a foundational driver of its network activity, liquidity, and overall market dominance in decentralized exchange (DEX) trading. How Meme Liquidity Fuels Solana’s Growth Crypto analyst known as BagCalls on X has pointed out that the memecoin menia and Degen energy culture of Solana is what defines the project. This is where the project SolsticeFi steps in, and it’s building a native stablecoin and yield infrastructure designed to anchor the ecosystem. By offering institutional-grade yields through delta-neutral strategies and its YieldVault, the project is positioning itself as a cornerstone of maturity in SOL’s DeFi landscape. BagCalls noted that this kind of innovation transcends the customary hype cycle. It also generates a lasting and underpinning aspect in the SOL decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem, which marks an impressive move toward the maturation of the on-chain financial environment of the network. The Founder of BITMEN, BitmanTW, has also offered a compelling vision for Solana’s trajectory, that the SOL network is turning the internet’s capital market. SOL has already decisively scaled transactions, proving its capacity for high throughput and low-cost operations, while scaling its yield. At the center of this evolution is SolsticeFi, the project that’s building a baseline yield layer for SOL’s DeFi ecosystem, which Bitman calls the missing piece. Powered by USX and YieldVault, SolsticeFi delivers institutional-grade performance with a native-first design. The core of this new infrastructure is USX, a Solana-native synthetic stablecoin, which has seen explosive adoption, surpassing $210 million in Total Value Locked (TVL). By attracting over 18,000 holders, USX has become the 5th largest stablecoin on SOL in just four days. Meanwhile, YieldVault provides access to tokenized delta-neutral strategies, currently delivering around 8% APY and boasting 100% positive months over the past three years. With eUSX, users can earn a baseline yield while remaining fully flexible to move liquidity into any DeFi opportunity. Solana’s Continued Functionality As A Core Strength According to the first Korean certified Elliott wave analyst, XForceGlobal, Solana remains one of the few assets that still works correctly within its broader market structure, even after posting an impressive 150% bounce from recent lows. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Price Risks Drop Below $200 After Losing Key Support, Analyst Warns XForceGlobal emphasized that SOL appears to be nearing the conclusion of its B wave, a phase in Elliott Wave theory often characterized by retracement and correction before the next impulsive move. The analyst suggests this B wave has either already completed near the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement level, or could still be working toward a final all-time high (ATH) fake-out into an expanded B pocket.

Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 17 US stocks finished a nervous week on a high note, gaining ground as President Donald Trump's comments suggested trade tensions with China were easing and regional bank stocks bounced back. The S&P 500 index saw its best weekly gain since August after Trump said he was optimistic about reaching a deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping at their upcoming meeting, calming fears of an escalating trade war. This positive sentiment was boosted by a rebound in regional bank stocks, which had plunged earlier in the week due to loan quality fears. Both Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp, the banks at the heart of the worry, rallied over 3.1% as bank executives quickly reassured investors and reported lower-than-expected provisions for loan losses in their latest earnings. As market confidence returned, traders moved money out of safe-haven assets: bonds, gold, and silver all fell, while bond yields rose from their recent lows. Despite the week's high volatility, investors poured $28.1 billion back into stock funds, pulling money out of cash funds. Separately, with the US government shutdown still blocking official data, one unofficial measure showed that applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, suggesting the job market may still be stable despite other signs of economic weakness. Oracle Corp. was a notable exception to the rally, dropping about 7% due to renewed concerns about its ability to meet the massive demand for its AI cloud services. Read More: Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Outlook: Silver Price Consolidates Ahead of Next Move. Where to Next? A New Trade War Begun? U.S.–China Tensions Back in the Spotlight US: Lack of Labor Market Data Due to Government Shutdown – Investors Seek Alternative Indicators Cross-Assets Daily Performance zoom_out_map Cross-Asset Daily Performance, October 16, 2025 – Source: TradingView US stocks recovered with the Nasdaq 100 leading the way. The surprise of the day came from Gold which retreated to a daily low around $4190/oz before recovering to $4250/oz before the market close. The question now is whether the precious metal will be able to continue its rally next week? Bitcoin continues to edge its way lower as it struggles to regain bullish traction despite increasing rate cut bets. A picture of today's performance for major currencies zoom_out_map Currency Performance, October 15 – Source: OANDA Labs The U.S. dollar is set to record a weekly loss against major currencies. The dollar weakened against the safe-haven Swiss franc, falling to its lowest level since mid-September and heading for its biggest weekly decline since June. The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of others, is on track for a 0.43% weekly slide. Meanwhile, the euro is set for its strongest weekly performance against the dollar in nine weeks, despite a small drop on Friday. The Japanese yen saw its earlier gains fade after the Bank of Japan's Governor, Kazuo Ueda, discussed the factors that could lead to an interest rate increase this month. A look at Economic data releasing early next week zoom_out_map For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. The start of next week will be a busy one in terms of data. Sunday night we have CPI data from New Zealand which could lead to some volatility in NZD pairs. This will be followed by a Chinese data dump with GDP, Industrial Production and Retail Sales data. All of which could have wider implications for currencies like the Australian Dollar and provide more insight into the Chinese economy. For more information on data releases next week, read Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Dogecoin’s next inflection could arrive as soon as October 22–23, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed, who argues that the memecoin’s multi-month rising channel will either confirm with a higher low in the $0.16–$0.18 region or give way to another full “round trip” into year-end. In an October 16 video analysis, he frames the coming week as a binary checkpoint: “This next week is going to be your do or die… if this breaks down, it’s over. GG. If it holds, then we could say, ‘All right, rally is coming and maybe we’ll get another chance.’” Why October 23 Could Be Crucial For Dogecoin The case rests on a recurring confluence he has been tracking for months: Dogecoin tagging a channel support trendline while the daily RSI presses into oversold, followed by improvement in his macro read on M2 turning bullish into month-end. “Every time we come to the trend line the RSI hits oversold,” he said, pointing to prior tests in March–April and June. “We just hit the trend line again in October… and the M2 turns bullish at the end of October.” He stops short of calling a “bull run,” describing the next upside attempt as a “bullish push” contingent on holding that support into October 23. VisionPulsed places an unusual emphasis on timing. He sees confirmation if Dogecoin establishes a higher low before October 22–23, with the precise price print less important than preserving the structure. “If it ends up being a higher low, which could technically be either 18 cents or 16 cents… it doesn’t matter. We would be holding the trend line,” he said. A failure to do so would, in his view, push any durable reversal beyond the horizon: “If we end up crashing into November anyway, then we’re not going up. It’s that simple. There’s no more time left.” Seasonality and sentiment are critical to his diagnosis. October, he insists, has been a persistent headwind for Dogecoin and broader risk, while November often marks the inflection. “October is not really that bullish… the S&P 500 is bearish in October,” he noted. “November is actually historically when the market does turn bullish.” The week-to-week whipsaw through mid-year underscores the point, he argues: “In June, it was over and then by July we’re back. Then in August, it was over. And then in September we were back. In October it’s over. And November we’re probably back.” Still, the analysis is framed against a candid acknowledgement of Dogecoin’s stalled cycle. “We’ve been making Dogecoin videos for almost two… it’s been two years now and the price has done nothing,” he said. “Three years ago Dogecoin was 16 cents and now it’s 18 cents… the price of Dogecoin has not moved in almost three years.” The stagnation is why he views this fourth year of the four-year cycle as make-or-break. If the channel fails or, conversely, if the market rallies but cannot break out by December, he expects another “round trip”: “If we make it to December and we still didn’t get out of the channel, then it’s going to be bearish again and we’re going to round trip again.” Tactically, he anticipates one more test of support into the weekend before any reversal attempt. “We’re probably going to back test it this weekend. We’re probably going to see another sell-off,” he said. “If we can form a higher low, then that would confirm that the bottom is in and we could see a reversal higher.” He pins the key checkpoint to October 23 with unusual clarity—“X marks the spot”—and maintains that until then “we’re bearish.” The upside roadmap, if support holds, would be a grind back to the top of the channel by late November, consistent with prior month-to-month recoveries: “I wouldn’t be surprised if by the end of November, we’re back at the top of the channel.” He concluded: “It doesn’t really take that long for Dogecoin to really recover,” stressing the coin’s capacity for sharp mean-reversions once structure is respected. “But we have to hold the bottom of the channel first before we can start talking about a reversal point.” At press time, DOGE traded at $0.183.

The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure, but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has declined too sharply, and therefore, the trend section that began on August 1 now looks uncertain. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three waves. In this case, a decline of the instrument toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels can be expected. However, the current downward wave structure has already taken on a three-wave form. From here, it could either develop into a five-wave structure or begin forming a new upward wave series. Naturally, I expect only an increase in quotes regardless of the trend structure. In my view, the news background is now so unambiguous that no other outcome should be expected. Nevertheless, in recent weeks, buyers have been performing very poorly. At present, much in the currency market depends on Donald Trump's policies. The market fears that the Federal Reserve may ease its policy under pressure from the U.S. president, while Trump himself continues to introduce new tariff packages, signaling the continuation of the trade war. Consequently, the news background remains unfavorable for the dollar. The GBP/USD pair fell by 15 basis points on Friday, which is an insignificant change. There was no economic news today, but the flow of political headlines remains relentless. Trump continues to exert all kinds of pressure on China — one day announcing astronomical new tariffs, and the next calling China a "friend" and promising to reach an agreement. The entire currency market continues to swing along on these emotional "roller coasters." I get the impression that market participants no longer react to 80% of Trump's statements, fully aware that tomorrow he may use completely different rhetoric. Therefore, it makes more sense to react to actual events and decisions rather than to new promises and threats. In recent weeks, the market had grounds for renewed purchases of the euro and the pound, but it has been in no hurry to make decisions. Virtually all key issues concerning the U.S. economy remain in complete uncertainty. How the new round of trade war escalation between China and the U.S. will end is unknown. Whether negotiations between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will take place is unknown. How the Federal Reserve will act at upcoming meetings is unclear. When the government "shutdown" will end is unknown. The true state of the labor market and inflation in the U.S. remains a mystery. Based on all this, the market remains suspended in uncertainty and prefers to trade within a limited range rather than make rash moves. As a result, in recent months we have seen only alternating corrective structures. General ConclusionsThe wave picture for GBP/USD has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive section of the trend, but its internal wave structure has become more complex. Wave 4 is taking on a three-wave form, and its structure is several times longer than that of wave 2. The latest downward three-wave structure is presumably complete. If this is indeed the case, then the instrument's rise within the broader wave structure may continue, with initial targets around the 1.38 and 1.40 levels. The larger-scale wave pattern looks nearly perfect, even though wave 4 went slightly above the top of wave 1. However, I should remind you that perfect wave patterns exist only in textbooks — in practice, everything is much more complicated. At the moment, I see no reason to consider alternative scenarios to the upward trend section. Key Principles of My Analysis: Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often imply changes.If you are not confident about what is happening in the market, it's better not to enter it.There is never and can never be 100% certainty about market direction. Don't forget to use protective Stop Loss orders.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD instrument has been updated. It is still too early to draw conclusions about the cancellation of the upward trend section, but the recent decline in the euro has made it necessary to clarify the wave pattern. Thus, we now see a series of three-wave structures a-b-c. It can be assumed that these are part of the larger wave 4 of the upward trend section. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unnaturally extended form, but overall the wave structure remains coherent. The formation of the upward trend section continues, and the news background continues to support, for the most part, not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump goes on. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for Fed rates are increasing. The U.S. government "shutdown" continues. The market's assessment of Donald Trump's performance in the first 7–8 months remains quite low, even though economic growth in the second quarter was nearly 4%. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend section is not yet complete. Its targets extend up to the 1.25 level. Based on this, the euro may continue to decline for some time without any real justification (as in the past three weeks). However, the wave pattern will still remain intact. The EUR/USD pair fell by 20 basis points on Friday, which cannot be considered a major change. Today, the news background was entirely political — and entirely about the United States. The government "shutdown" continues, and many analysts have started talking about a new record duration of the government and public sector closure, even though just a week ago they were confident it would last "a couple of weeks." However, Donald Trump continues to stand his ground, and the Democrats theirs. Voting on the budget in the U.S. Senate is beginning to resemble a casino, where a player bets on a certain number hoping that this time luck will be on their side. Similarly, Republicans keep initiating new votes, hoping that luck will eventually favor them. The Democrats continue to insist on preserving all healthcare and social programs for low-income Americans, which Donald Trump has significantly cut under his "One Big, Beautiful Law." Trump and his team continue to hold their position — first the budget must be approved, then negotiations on subsidies can begin. However, trusting Trump is like believing in the arrival of extraterrestrials. Time and again, the world witnesses new promises from the U.S. president that are never fulfilled — and then Trump simply says he was misunderstood or that he was joking. By the end of the week, the dollar slightly improved its position, but at this point, a new upward wave series may already be forming. General ConclusionsBased on the EUR/USD analysis, I conclude that the instrument continues to form an upward trend section. The wave pattern still entirely depends on the news background — specifically, decisions made by Trump and the domestic and foreign policies of the new White House administration. The targets for the current trend section may extend up to the 1.25 level. At this time, we can observe the formation of corrective wave 4, which is nearing completion but has taken a very complex and extended form. Therefore, in the near term, I still only consider buying positions. By the end of the year, I expect the euro to rise to 1.2245, which corresponds to 200.0% on the Fibonacci scale. At a smaller scale, the entire upward trend section is visible. The wave pattern is not the most standard, since the corrective waves vary in size. For example, the larger wave 2 is smaller than the internal wave 2 within wave 3. However, this also happens. I would remind you that it is best to identify clear and understandable structures on the charts, rather than try to account for every wave. At present, the upward structure leaves little room for doubt. Key Principles of My Analysis: Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often signal changes.If you are not confident in what is happening in the market, it's better not to enter it.There is never and can never be 100% certainty about market direction. Don't forget to use protective Stop Loss orders.Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

According to chart work shared by market analyst Mikybull, XRP is sitting inside what he calls a tight bullish structure that could lead to a sharp rise. Reports have disclosed the setup on a three-week chart and suggested the corrective phase may be ending. The analyst flagged several price levels that traders are now watching closely. Technical Setup And Key Levels Mikybull pointed to an ABC correction pattern that looks close to finishing. He showed XRP hovering around $2.50 and sitting just above a long-term moving average, a zone that has acted as support in prior cycles. On his chart the 1.00 Fibonacci level is pegged to $1.94, while the 1.272 extension comes in at $3.25. The next major upside target, the 1.618 extension, is marked at about $6.28. A move past $3.25, according to this view, could clear the way toward $6.28 and possibly beyond. ‘Explosive’ Setup Based on reports, the 1.272 level at $3.25 is the first real line of resistance to overcome. If XRP breaks that, momentum traders may push price toward the 1.618 level at $6.28. The analyst described the setup as “explosive,” pointing to how tightly price has been squeezed inside a narrow range. Past patterns of similar squeeze-and-break setups have produced quick runs, and that is the parallel he drew on the chart. He also flagged the idea that a journey into double digits could follow a decisive breakout, though that would require several big moves to align. Bitcoin’s Recent Strength And Timelines Bitcoin’s recent activity was used as context for the altcoin case. Reports note Bitcoin reached $125,725 on Oct. 5 after bouncing from a low near $108,650 on Sept. 25. Between Sept. 25 and Oct. 5 there were seven green days out of nine. A market commentator, writing under the name Nathaniel Rothschild, suggested that if that $125,725 mark was a true peak for Bitcoin, then some altcoins — including XRP — could test their own highs within about three weeks. That would place possible new highs in the week starting Oct. 26, according to his projection. Risks, Sentiment, And Timing Market sentiment toward XRP has been weak recently, with the token down about 14% over the last seven days. That bruise has left some holders cautious. The technical case rests largely on pattern recognition and Fibonacci math rather than fresh on-chain data or new adoption headlines. Price action and trading volume will be the real tell. Projections tied to Bitcoin’s path are time-sensitive and could miss if broader crypto flows change. In short, the outlook offered by Mikybull is optimistic and clear in its targets: $3.25 then $6.28, with higher levels possible after that. Traders will likely watch whether XRP can hold support above the long-term average and whether a break above $3.25 is confirmed by strong buying. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView

Gold prices have stabilized. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts between the United States and China in recent weeks, concerns about a potential full-scale trade war have intensified. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100% in response to tighter restrictions on rare earth metal exports. In addition, both countries announced the introduction of reciprocal port fees for vessels linked to each other's fleets, further fueling fears of a continued deterioration in trade relations. At the same time, concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown have supported gold, which continues its record rally as a safe-haven asset. On Thursday, the U.S. Senate rejected a short-term funding bill from House Republicans for the tenth time, underscoring the deadlock in Congress. On the geopolitical front: the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, strengthening demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention to meet with Vladimir Putin in Budapest to discuss ending the conflict in Ukraine, which has been ongoing for more than three and a half years. On the financial front, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell earlier stated that the labor market remains stagnant, with low hiring and firing rates. Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted that inflation continues to approach the 2% target, which does not prevent further rate cuts. Likewise, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasized that the labor market is slowing and that it is too early to draw conclusions about the impact of tariffs on inflation. As a result, traders have fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut at the October and December meetings, which continues to put pressure on the U.S. dollar. From a technical standpoint, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 70 mark. This prompted bulls to take some profits before the weekend, triggering a sharp pullback. However, the corrective decline found support at the $4,181 level. A drop below this level—and further below the next support area around $4,140, as well as the round $4,100 level—would open the way for more significant losses. On the other hand, momentum breaking above the $4,380 level, or the historical high, could reach the round level of $4,400. A steady consolidation above it would provide a new boost for the bulls. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Odds, Not Predictions Risk Game No one can predict the market. What traders can do is take high-odds trades that have a strong chance of success, rather than chasing risky setups with poor risk/reward ratios. Trading is a game of probabilities. You win not by being right all the time, but by putting the odds on your side you have a better chance pf being successful.. The first step? Identifying the strong side of the market. Risk Game The Power of Trading on the Strong Side Finding the strong side is more than half the battle in putting on winning trades. The strong side is the side least likely to have stops triggered against your position, the side where you can afford to let your trade breathe and give it time to work. The weak side, on the other hand, is where odds favor getting stopped out by being forced to exit losing trades quickly when the market moves against them. The goal is simple: trade on the strong side, where momentum and positioning are in your favor. Why the Market Lives to Run Stops Here’s a truth that experienced traders know: Markets, especially forex and gold, exist in a constant quest to run stops. In the old days, bank traders controlled the order flow and could see where stops were. Now, algorithms are designed to hunt these same stop levels. Think of them like heat-seeking missiles zeroing in on clusters of stop orders. Risk Game GBPUSD 1 HOUR CHARTT October 14, 2025 (stops run below the prior day’s low) XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR CHART October 14, 2025 (stops run below low of the day — Hint: note large wick) Common price feed: Forex (and gold to a lesser extent) have a common price feed so easier to identify potential stop levels when all market participants are looking at the same chart levels. Other markets, especially CFDs, do not have a common price feed so key levels can vary between broker price feeds. The Key Levels Every Trader Should Watch There are only two levels that every intraday trader agrees on: The high of the day The low of the day These are the levels where stops often cluster, making them prime targets for algos and big players. When the market probes these levels, it’s not random, it’s a test for liquidity. Once the stops above a high or below a low are cleared (or there were no stops to run but offers or bids instead), momentum tends to fade, and the market often shifts direction. When no more stops are left to run on one side, the market loses interest and either consolidates or reverses, looking nfor stops on the other side. How to Identify the Strong Side in Real Time Once you recognize as a fact that the markets hunt stops, you can use that behavior to your advantage. If the market has cleared stops on one side (say the day’s low), and there’s no incentive to push lower, that side becomes less risky. You can then: Buy dips when stops below have been cleared, or Sell blips when stops above have been cleared. This gives you time for your trade to work instead of constantly worrying about being on the wrong side of the next stop run. Always Align With the Bigger Picture No matter your trading timeframe, always check higher timeframes. Mastering Retracements in Trading This helps you determine whether you’re trading with the trend or against it, and where key reversal or continuation levels lie. Markets move in layers, understanding the longer-term context can help confirm whether a move is a correction or part of the main trend. Trading doesn’t require a Ph.D. in physics. It requires discipline, observation, and logic. By understanding how markets move, why stops are hunted, where stops are more likely to be lying and how to identify the strong side, you can approach trading with clarity and confidence. Remember: success in trading isn’t about predicting. It’s about stacking the odds in your favor. Risk Game Take a FREE Trial of The Amazing Trader – Charting Algo System The post Why Trading Is About Odds, Not Predictions appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

A potential XRP supply squeeze may be brewing, and new insights from leading market watchers suggest that the impact on price could be significant. Crypto analyst Zach Rector has warned that the long-dismissed ”XRP supply shock” narrative is no longer just talk. As more XRP is locked, tokenized, and deployed in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystems, the available supply continues to tighten. XRP Supply Shock To Evolve From Meme To Market Reality Crypto analyst Zach Rector ignited discussions about XRP’s circulating supply this week after posting on X social media that the “XRP supply shock is not just a meme anymore.” Rector explained that while the concept once seemed exaggerated, developments within the Flare ecosystem are now turning it into a measurable market trend, where on-chain demand could limit liquidity over time. Rector revealed that he recently minted 100 FXRP, adding to the 90 FXRP he created the previous week, to explore how XRP could generate yield with the Flare ecosystem without leaving the XRP Ledger. He emphasized that the altcoin’s growing role in DeFi is one of the key dynamics investors should watch as more assets are bridged and locked. Supporting this, Rector shared a Whale Alert report showing that 4,000,000 XRP, worth more than $11.21 million, had been locked in escrow in a Flare core vault linked to the XRP Ledger. He revealed that once XRP is locked, it is minted and represented as FXRP on the FlareNetworks, effectively removing it from active circulation while enabling yield generation. Rector disclosed that Flare’s Chief Executive Officer, Hugo Philion, previously stated that the company’s long-term target is to tokenize up to 5% of the total XRP supply within its network. Such a move could significantly impact liquidity and potentially create upward price pressure if demand for the cryptocurrency continues to climb. Following the analyst’s post, the Flare community on X responded positively, emphasizing that the network is creating new yield opportunities for XRP holders and driving ecosystem growth. Flare’s Expanding DeFi Role Through XRP In a separate update, FlareNetworks released a performance chart on X showing that FXRP activity and Total Value Locked (TVL) have been rising sharply since early September 2025. The chart indicates sustained growth in FXRP minting and redemption, signaling an accelerating participation across the network’s DeFi infrastructure. Flare stated that each FXRP cap increase has triggered new waves of on-chain financial activity, gradually establishing the network as a significant influence in XRP’s DeFi adoption within the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) ecosystem. Further analysis from MessariCrypto’s Pulse Report supports this trend. The report found that FXRP minting has surpassed 30 million tokens, with TVL climbing by more than 25% in recent weeks. Messari also highlighted how key features within the Flare ecosystem, including “FAssets incentives, USDT0_to liquidity, and the upcoming Firelightfi staking layer,” are transforming XRP from a non-productive asset into one capable of generating returns.

Gold and gold mining stocks have not only surged past the S&P 500 this year but have also quietly outperformed over the past three, five and even ten years—a remarkable run that has unfolded with limited investor participation. Yet despite their impressive returns, the sector remains deeply undervalued, according to those at Sprott, with analysts anticipating further gains and making a case for gold to be included in core strategic holdings, much like during the 1960s and 1970s. Risk diversification In a note published this week, Sprott’s senior portfolio manager John Hathaway wrote that a short-term correction in precious metals — which is inevitable given their recent performance — should not deter investors from making a long-term play. According to Hathaway, investing in gold nowadays is almost synonymous with risk diversification. He cited Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson’s recent recommendation of replacing the traditional 60/40 risk mitigation model portfolio with a 60/20/20 portfolio consisting of 60% equities, 20% fixed income and 20% gold. Earlier this year, Goldman Sachs also suggested that replacing bond exposure with gold could enhance a portfolio’s return over a five-year horizon. Equities underappreciated To that end, Sprott’s Hathaway believes that capital allocation to the gold sector is still in its early stages. Specifically, he sees substantial growth upside in gold-related equities, as they remain underappreciated despite outperforming both the metal itself and the S&P 500 index. In the nine months to Sept. 30, gold mining stocks have risen by over 122%, versus 47% in bullion and 14% in the S&P. “In our opinion, mining stocks are transitioning from pariah status to momentum plays as leverage to a bullish outlook for gold prices. Despite strong gains this year, precious metals equities remain modestly valued,” Hathaway wrote. However, investor participation in these assets remains tepid, with the Sprott analyst pointing out that the largest gold mining ETF, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), has seen net outflows in outstanding shares over the past two years. Hathaway also noted that the gold mining stocks currently have an aggregate market capitalization of approximately $550 billion, which is only 0.43% of the global total. Mining stocks (of which gold mining equities are a small subset) are now at their smallest share of global equities since 1900, he added. Silver catching up In addition to mining stocks, Sprott is backing silver as another “catch-up play”, noting that the metal has lagged gold over the past decade. In his note, Hathaway said that years of deficits in silver have led to extreme market tightness, and silver has been outperforming strongly, with year-to-date gains surpassing that of gold. Despite this recent catch-up performance with respect to gold, the gold-to-silver ratio at 83x still sits above its historic average of 67x, he wrote, highlighting silver’s potential upside. A breakout to new highs (to compensate for the improved gold price), along with a re-rate of the silver equities to long-term averages (and a catch-up to their gold-producing peers), would be in keeping with the latter half of previous precious metal bull markets, he added. Sponsored: Secure your wealth today — buy gold bullion directly through our trusted partner, Sprott Money.

Renewed U.S.–China tensions: Escalating sanctions and trade restrictions spark fears of a new wave of economic confrontationChina’s economy under pressure: Weak domestic indicators and limited government stimulus highlight mounting internal challengesGlobal implications: Rising risk of supply chain disruptions, resource shortages, and deeper geopolitical fragmentation In recent weeks, trade tensions between the United States and China have visibly intensified, raising fears of a new wave of economic conflict between the world’s two largest economies. Rhetoric on both sides has become increasingly confrontational, and the growing risk of decoupling and disruptions to supply chains could have far-reaching consequences for the global economy. China Responds with Sanctions – Tensions After Madrid TalksThe immediate catalyst for the escalation was the round of talks in Madrid, after which the United States expanded sanctions against companies linked to Chinese entities on the so-called “blacklist.” In response, Beijing announced sanctions against American firms cooperating with South Korean company Hanwha — including Philly Shipyard, which fulfills contracts for the U.S. Navy. Chinese authorities justified the move as a countermeasure to the deepening defense cooperation between the U.S. and South Korea. zoom_out_map Daily chart USDCNH, source: TradingView Negotiation Climate Weakens, But Formal Frameworks RemainChina’s Minister of Commerce, Wang Wentao, accused the U.S. of “destroying the constructive atmosphere for negotiations” and called for an immediate withdrawal from what he termed “erroneous trade practices.” At the same time, China announced it would release a report within the WTO evaluating U.S. actions in 11 areas of international trade. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that China’s restrictions on the export of rare earth metals could accelerate the global process of economic decoupling — the effort to reduce dependency on Chinese supply chains. Trump: 100% Tariffs Possible, But UndesirablePresident Donald Trump signaled that 100% tariffs on Chinese goods were possible if tensions continue to escalate, though he sought to calm markets by noting that “both leaders do not want a global recession.” The planned Trump–Xi meeting during the upcoming APEC summit in South Korea could prove decisive for the future of bilateral relations. Trade Dispute Deepens China’s Economic TroublesThe escalation comes at a difficult moment for China’s economy. Despite record exports (trade surplus: USD 875 billion), GDP growth in Q3 is projected at just 4.7% year-on-year — potentially the weakest result in a year. zoom_out_map Chinese quarterly GDP (annualized), source: TradingView Domestic indicators are also disappointing: Retail sales (September): +3% y/y – the weakest result in 2025Industrial production: +5%, with slowing momentumFixed-asset investment: near zero growthForeign direct investment: down 13% over the past eight monthsReal estate sector: still in recession, with deflation for the ninth consecutive quarterGovernment Support Falls ShortThe Chinese government has launched a 500-billion-yuan investment package, focused mainly on infrastructure. However, a large share of the funds has gone toward repaying previous obligations, limiting the actual stimulus effect. Ahead of the upcoming plenum of the Chinese Communist Party, new measures to boost consumption are expected. Household consumption currently accounts for only 40% of GDP — well below the global average of 56% and the roughly 60% level typical for developed economies. A New Wave of Trade War?Analysts warn that further escalation could trigger a new round of trade warfare, hitting global supply chains, access to strategic resources, and financial market stability. Although the formal negotiation framework established in London remains in place, sentiment on both sides is increasingly confrontational. While a full-scale trade war is not yet inevitable, the current escalation signals that U.S.–China relations are entering a new phase of uncertainty. High-level meetings and potential decisions on further restrictions remain at the center of global attention. For the world economy, this is a test of resilience in a new geopolitical reality — one in which trade is no longer just about economics. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.