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  1. Hoje
  2. Cardano price started a fresh increase from the $0.5650 zone. ADA is now consolidating and might attempt a clear move above the $0.5925 zone. ADA price started a fresh increase from the $0.5650 support zone. The price is trading above $0.5750 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $0.5760 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase it clears the $0.600 zone. Cardano Price Eyes Upside Break In the past few sessions, Cardano saw a decent upward move from the $0.5650 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to recover above the $0.5750 and $0.580 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.6107 swing high to the $0.5630 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $0.5760 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair. Cardano price is now trading above $0.5750 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.5925 zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.6107 swing high to the $0.5630 low. The first resistance is near $0.60. The next key resistance might be $0.620. If there is a close above the $0.620 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.650 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.6650 in the near term. Another Decline In ADA? If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.5920 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.5850 level and the 100 hourly SMA. The next major support is near the $0.5650 level. A downside break below the $0.5650 level could open the doors for a test of $0.5450. The next major support is near the $0.5320 level where the bulls might emerge. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.5850 and $0.5650. Major Resistance Levels – $0.5920 and $0.6000.
  3. XRP price started a decent upward move from the $2.20 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $2.285 resistance. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.2320 zone. The price is now trading above $2.2320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2.280 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears the $2.280 zone. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $2.220 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.2320 resistance level. The bulls were able to push the price above the $2.250 level. Moreover, there was a clear move above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.3111 swing high to the $2.197 low. The price is now trading above $2.250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.280 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2.280 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $2.2850 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.3111 swing high to the $2.197 low. The next resistance is $2.320. A clear move above the $2.320 resistance might send the price toward the $2.350 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.40 resistance or even $2.420 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.50. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.2850 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.260 level. The next major support is near the $2.2320 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.2320 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.20 support. The next major support sits near the $2.150 zone. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.2320 and $2.20. Major Resistance Levels – $2.2850 and $2.320.
  4. 📊🇺🇸 Meio do Ano 2025 – Reflexão Estratégica e Alerta para os Investidores ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado, ExpertFX School Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE 📅 Chegamos à metade de 2025 É hora de refletir sobre as previsões feitas no início do ano aqui na ExpertFX School, confrontá-las com os dados atuais, e — acima de tudo — nos prepararmos para o que vem pela frente. 🌍 Tarifas, Comércio Global e os Ecos da História Com o retorno de Donald Trump à presidência dos EUA, o mercado inicialmente respondeu com otimismo: promessas de redução de gastos públicos e controle do déficit deram esperança a investidores. Mas a realidade se mostrou diferente. A política comercial rapidamente adotou um tom agressivo, com a reimplementação de tarifas generalizadas contra países como China, México, Canadá e União Europeia. 🚨 Previsão acertada: Alertamos aqui na ExpertFX School, que essas tarifas poderiam levar a uma queda acentuada dos mercados — o que de fato ocorreu (-25%). A reversão só foi evitada devido à rápida reação do Fed, com injeções de liquidez extraordinárias via repurchase agreements, discount window e operações overnight. 🏛️ Uma nova “Grande Depressão” à vista? O prazo final imposto por Trump para os acordos comerciais está próximo. Caso os acordos não avancem, os EUA podem aplicar tarifas superiores às da era Hoover em 1930, que contribuíram fortemente para a Grande Depressão. ❗Essas medidas não apenas prejudicam o comércio internacional, mas: Desorganizam cadeias globais de suprimento, Aumentam os custos para empresas e consumidores, Reduzem a competitividade das exportações, E podem levar a uma recessão global sincronizada. 📉 Indicadores Econômicos Já Estão Sinalizando Dano Desemprego em alta: 📈 Mais de 2 milhões de americanos estão recebendo seguro-desemprego — alta de 9% desde janeiro. A média móvel de pedidos iniciais também segue em trajetória ascendente. Setor industrial em retração: A perda de demanda externa reduziu o ritmo das fábricas. 📉 Desemprego no setor manufatureiro subiu 19% desde fevereiro – a maior alta setorial em um ano que prometia ser de recuperação. Déficit comercial em expansão: Em junho, o déficit saltou de US$ 60 bi para US$ 71 bi em um único mês. O principal fator? Exportações caíram -4% m/m, com represálias comerciais dos parceiros atingidos por tarifas. 🛡️ Como Proteger o Portfólio Agora ✅ Ouro: Nossa recomendação desde os US$ 2.070/$2.200/$2.600/$2.800/onça no Clube ExpertFX se provou acertada, "talvez" seja a hora de rever os estudos macroeconômicos com os países dos BRICS forçando ou não a desdolarização. Trump ganhará novamente? Hoje, o ouro supera os US$ 3.300, batendo o desempenho dos principais índices de ações. O movimento é sustentado por: Risco sistêmico elevado, Deficit comercial. Busca por proteção real contra inflação, Acúmulo silencioso por bancos centrais (como o PBoC). A situação de tarifas pode geopoliticamente mover em grande parte o ouro nos próximos 6 meses. 📈 Bolsa em bolha: O S&P 500 opera em 30x lucros, mais caro que: O pico da bolha da Nasdaq em 2000 (27x), O auge pré-crise de 1929 (19x). 📉 Historicamente, tais níveis resultam em retornos negativos nos 3-5 anos seguintes, por reversão à média. 🔮 Conclusão: Prepare-se para o cenário que se desenha O cenário geopolítico e econômico indica: Risco elevado de recessão caso tarifas avancem; Bolsa em patamares perigosos, com valuations insustentáveis; Setores industriais e exportadores pressionados por custos e queda na demanda; Ouro e ativos reais devem seguir como porto seguro, mesmo após uma correção descendente. 🧭 A estratégia agora deve ser baseada em ativos sólidos, leitura macroeconômica disciplinada e gestão ativa de risco. 📌 Acompanhe o Clube ExpertFX para alertas em tempo real sobre: Ações do Fed, Dados de emprego, Progresso nas negociações comerciais, Fluxos institucionais no ouro. Análises realistas.
  5. Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,520 zone. ETH is now back above $2,550 and might soon aim for more gains. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,550 level. The price is trading above $2,565 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,520 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains supported above the $2,520 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,520 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above the $2,550 resistance zone and entered a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,636 swing high to the $2,475 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,520 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,565 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $2,600 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,636 swing high to the $2,475 low. The next key resistance is near the $2,620 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,650 level. A clear move above the $2,650 resistance might send the price toward the $2,720 resistance. An upside break above the $2,720 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,750 resistance zone or even $2,800 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,600 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,550 level. The first major support sits near the $2,520 zone. A clear move below the $2,520 support might push the price toward the $2,500 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,420 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,350. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,520 Major Resistance Level – $2,600
  6. 🛑🇺🇸 Trump ameaça tarifa extra de 10% a países que apoiarem políticas do BRICS ✍️ Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado, ExpertFX School - Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE 🗣️ Declaração Direta da Casa Branca: “Sem exceções” O presidente dos Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, elevou significativamente a retórica contra o bloco BRICS (Brasil, Rússia, Índia, China e África do Sul), ao anunciar nesta sexta-feira a ameaça de uma tarifa adicional de 10% sobre qualquer país que apoiar políticas consideradas “antiamericanas” oriundas do BRICS. 💣 Impacto Geopolítico e Econômico A fala do presidente ocorre justamente no mesmo dia do início da 17ª Cúpula do BRICS, sediada no Brasil, onde temas centrais são a desdolarização global, a integração comercial intra-BRICS, e a criação de uma rede de pagamentos alternativa ao SWIFT, usando moedas locais e ouro como reserva estratégica. Trump foi enfático ao dizer que: ⚠️ O que esperar nos mercados? 📉 Dólar (DXY): a fala pode reforçar demanda por dólar como proteção em meio à escalada de tensões comerciais, principalmente se houver risco de ruptura nos acordos com países como Índia, Turquia e Indonésia. 📈 Ouro (XAU/USD): a ameaça contra políticas pró-ouro dos BRICS pode impulsionar o ouro ainda mais, já que a retaliação pode incluir mais compras físicas por parte dos bancos centrais do bloco. Mas vale cautela se os BRICS não ameaçar tirar o dólar como fonte de moeda e investimentos, o ouro pode entrar em correção descendente. 📉 Ativos BRICS: moedas emergentes e bolsas dos países BRICS devem sofrer pressão vendedora temporária, especialmente se os EUA colocarem esses países como alvos tarifários. O real brasileiro, o rublo russo e o yuan chinês são os mais vulneráveis no curto prazo. 📌 Conclusão: Início de uma nova Guerra Comercial? A fala de Trump marca um ponto de inflexão na política externa dos EUA. O tom de retaliação e a vinculação direta de política comercial com alianças geopolíticas indicam que a próxima fase da guerra comercial global pode estar começando – agora com foco no BRICS. O mercado deve se preparar para: Mais sanções e tarifas unilaterais Reprecificação dos riscos nos ativos emergentes Aumento de compras de ouro por bancos centrais Potencial aceleração dos BRICS em criar alternativa ao dólar 📊 Análise completa sobre os impactos nas commodities, moedas emergentes e ouro será publicada ainda hoje no portal ExpertFX School.
  7. Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $108,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $110,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $108,500 zone. The price is trading above $108,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $109,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $108,350 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $107,500 resistance. BTC cleared many hurdles near $108,000 to start a decent increase. The bulls pushed the price in a positive zone above the $108,500 level. The price gained pace for a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $110,515 swing high to the $107,299 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $109,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $108,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $109,750 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $110,515 swing high to the $107,299 low. The first key resistance is near the $110,000 level. A close above the $110,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $112,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $113,200 level. The main target could be $115,000. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $108,800 level. The first major support is near the $108,350 level. The next support is now near the $107,250 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $106,400 support in the near term. The main support sits at $105,000, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,800, followed by $108,350. Major Resistance Levels – $110,000 and $110,500.
  8. 🧭 DXY Índice do Dólar, Risco Assimétrico de Reversão Técnica? ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE 🔍 Publicado em: www.expertfxschool.com 📊 Visão Geral O índice do dólar americano (DXY) se encontra atualmente testando uma zona de suporte técnico crítica entre 96.50 e 96.90, patamar que atuou como base estrutural nos ciclos de 2018, 2020 e 2023. A cotação atual é 96.97, refletindo um dólar fragilizado frente às majors (EUR, GBP, JPY), com crescente especulação de reversão. 🔍 Estrutura Técnica Atual - atualize seus valores Parâmetro Técnico Valor Preço Atual DXY 96.97 Suporte Crítico 96.50 – 96.60 Resistência-Chave 98.40 RSI (Diário) 33.2 (limite de sobrevendido) MACD (Semanal) Divergência de alta incipiente VIX 16.8 (nível complacente) 🧠 Interpretação Técnica Profunda 1. Suporte Estrutural em Zona de Confluência Técnica A região entre 96.50 e 96.60 coincide com: Fundo de março de 2023 Linha de tendência de longo prazo iniciada em 2014 Média móvel exponencial de 200 semanas Essa zona configura-se como suporte de múltiplas confluências, aumentando a probabilidade de resposta compradora institucional. 2. Divergência Técnica nos Osciladores O RSI diário está abaixo de 35, indicando condição de sobrevendido técnico. O MACD semanal apresenta divergência positiva em relação aos fundos anteriores, sugerindo fadiga vendedora e risco de inflexão bullish. 3. Posicionamento de Mercado Dados do Commitment of Traders (CFTC) mostram o maior volume de contratos vendidos (net short) em dólar desde o Q3 de 2020. Tal excesso de posição unilateral aumenta o risco de short squeeze técnico caso o DXY rejeite a zona de suporte. 🏦 Perspectiva Macroeconômica e Implicações 🔺 Cenário Bullish para o Dólar Riscos geopolíticos persistentes (Irã, China, BRICS) e incertezas fiscais nos EUA podem reacender a busca por liquidez em USD. Expectativas de corte de juros pelo Fed postergadas, diante de inflação persistente no núcleo (core PCE acima de 3.2%). 🔻 Riscos de Continuação Bearish Pressão estrutural por desdolarização (China, Índia, BRICS) Crescimento do déficit fiscal norte-americano e perda de confiança na dívida dos EUA (probabilidade de US$ 38 trilhões em dívida em 2025 segundo Polymarket: 93%) Adoção acelerada de comércio em moedas locais e menor uso do USD em contratos internacionais 📌 Impacto nos Principais Ativos Ativo Impacto se DXY Reverter EUR/USD Retração rumo a 1.15 ou 1.13 XAU/USD Correção até US$ 3.180 ou 3.050 USD/JPY Expansão técnica para 146.00 – 148.20 Criptomoedas Pressão vendedora em BTC e ETH no curto prazo 📌 Se romper o suporte e cair abaixo de 96.50 no diário (D1): Aceleração da desdolarização, especialmente entre países do BRICS. Continuação do rali em commodities precificadas em USD (ouro, petróleo, cobre). Alta de EUR/USD rumo a 1.20 e nova valorização da libra. 🎯 Conclusão Estratégica O DXY está posicionado em zona de suporte estrutural com alto potencial de inflexão técnica. O viés de curto prazo permanece neutro-negativo, porém com risco assimétrico de reversão bullish caso os níveis de 96.50–96.60 sejam defendidos com volume institucional. Traders devem monitorar: Rejeições com volume crescente nessa faixa Dados de payroll e inflação nos EUA Intervenções verbais do Fed ou da Casa Branca sobre política fiscal ou monetária A perda dos 96.50 abriria espaço para aceleração vendedora rumo a 95.10, enquanto uma reversão confirmada acima de 98.40 poderia iniciar novo ciclo de valorização do dólar. 📎 Esta análise faz parte do nosso pacote institucional de leitura macro em vídeos no clube ExpertFX. Para acessar atualizações diárias e relatórios completos, assine Clube ExpertFX.
  9. Yesterday
  10. Despite its choppy price action in the past seven days, the mood in the XRP camp is increasingly bullish. Particularly, XRP is witnessing a wave of bold predictions from several top crypto analysts. This comes just as a major real-world asset tokenization project promises to increase demand and utility for XRP on a global scale by tokenizing $200 million worth of assets on the XRP Ledger. Not Bullish Enough On XRP? Crypto analyst CrediBULL is pushing a bold message to the XRP community: the market is still underestimating the altcoin’s bullish setup. In a post on social media platform X, he noted that XRP is currently going on its eighth month of consolidation above its previous all-time high monthly close, which is a feat that few assets in the market can match. He pointed to this extended sideways movement, especially after a strong impulse off the $0.50 level in late 2024, as evidence that XRP is preparing for a continuation of the breakout. Notably, its monthly candlestick chart shows a tight cluster of monthly candles hovering above the $2.00 range. According to CrediBULL, this structure is one of the cleanest in the crypto space, second only to Bitcoin. Image From X: CrediBULL Another major contributor to the current bullish narrative is an analyst known as Ripple Pundit, who projected a 35,000% price surge for XRP the moment Ripple announces a banking license. In his post on the social media platform, he predicted that a regulatory greenlight and the final resolution of XRP’s regulatory overhang with the SEC could trigger a significant increase in price. Similarly, market commentator SMQKE drew attention to the explosive XRP price surge in late 2017 and early 2018, during which Ripple cofounder Chris Larsen briefly became one of the wealthiest individuals in the world due to XRP’s quick rally from $0.00065 to $2.5. SMQKE noted that the last cycle was merely a glimpse of what’s coming. The next wave of adoption will be global, fully regulated, and built for scale. In his words, “2018 was just a warm-up.” Technical analyst Ali Martinez added further credibility to the bullish case by pointing out the $2.38 level as the next major resistance. This is based on on-chain data from Glassnode’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD), which shows a significant XRP volume concentrated at this price level. If XRP manages to clear this area with strong volume, it would not only overcome heavy resistance but also trigger a cascade of buying interest and a major rally. Image From X: @ali_charts Mercado Bitcoin Tokenization Deal On XRPL XRP’s underlying utility is also gaining traction beyond price charts and predictions. Mercado Bitcoin, one of Latin America’s largest digital asset platforms, recently announced plans to tokenize over $200 million worth of real-world assets (including fixed income and equity instruments) directly on the XRP Ledger. This initiative supports the bullish thesis for XRP’s price action. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.25, up by 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
  11. Ethereum’s price action is gearing up for a surge of epic proportions, according to crypto technical analyst MasterAnanda on the TradingView platform. Ethereum has spent a majority of the past two months consolidating above the $2,425 support zone, in what might be an accumulation phase before a major breakout. Nonetheless, MasterAnanda’s analysis suggests that Ethereum is on the verge of entering its strongest bullish wave in years, with a breakout target that starts at $5,791. Ethereum To Break Out To At Least $5,791 MasterAnanda’s weekly candlestick chart shows a large ETH wedge pattern with consistently rising lows from June 2022 to April 2025. On the other hand, price highs have been relatively flat, specifically around the March and December 2024 peaks. Ethereum’s behavior since April has been marked by low volatility and sideways movement, which often precedes large market moves. The most interesting move was when its price dropped to as low as $1,470 on April 9 before quickly rebounding and establishing a rounded bottom formation. Nonetheless, the analyst noted that Ethereum is due a major, major bullish wave. The question is not whether it will happen, but when it will. Now that the current consolidation is sitting right above trendline support, MasterAnanda argues that this formation will soon give way to a powerful bullish wave. The target is a minimum of $5,791, which is based on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Interestingly, the analyst noted that it is possible for the Ethereum price to reach $8,500 or higher in the longer term if it breaks above the resistance trendline, which is currently at $4,000. This prediction is backed by improving fundamentals and current on-chain data showing accumulation through Spot Ethereum ETFs. Wyckoff Accumulation Says It’s Ethereum’s Turn Crypto analyst Ted Pillows shared a separate but related analysis on the social platform X that’s based on a Wyckoff accumulation pattern playing out on ETH’s weekly chart. Pillows called the selloff to the $1,470 low in April as the “Spring” phase of Wyckoff accumulation, followed by a successful “Test” of a September 2024 support around $2,145, and the gradual move back to resistance now. According to his projection, Ethereum’s breakout will unfold in stages. The first stage is a push to $3,000, then a correction, followed by a rise to $4,000 in Q3. Only after these steps will the parabolic leg truly begin. The parabolic leg, in this case, should take Ethereum above $5,700, if the price action plays out as predicted. His analysis closely aligns with MasterAnanda’s call for a minimum $5,791 target. Just as the Wyckoff accumulation pattern pumped Bitcoin to its most recent all-time high, Ethereum may be on the verge of its own spotlight moment in this ongoing 2025 bull cycle. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,516. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
  12. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has not been particularly impressive over the weekend, which has been a somewhat consistent theme of the cryptocurrency market so far in the year 2025. The premier cryptocurrency continues to hover around the $108,000 mark, showing signs of indecision amongst the investors. With the coin’s indecisive price action, the conversation has been about when the Bitcoin price will return to its all-time high. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data shows that investors are becoming increasingly confident in the long-term promise of the flagship cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Exchange Inflow/Outflow Ratio Below 1: On-Chain Analyst In a July 5 post on the X platform, an on-chain analyst with the pseudonym Darkfost revealed that Bitcoin has continued to flow out of centralized exchanges over the past few months. The online crypto pundit mentioned that this trend reflects the growing confidence of investors in the long term. This on-chain observation is based on the Bitcoin Exchange Inflow/Outflow Ratio 30DMA, a metric that measures the volume of BTC flowing in and out of centralized exchanges over a period of 30 days. A high ratio (>1) indicates more inflows than outflows into exchanges, signaling increased selling pressure for the premier cryptocurrency. On the other hand, a low ratio (<1) implies that more coins are flowing out of rather than into centralized exchanges. When the Exchange Inflow/Outflow Ratio has a low value, it suggests that investors are accumulating and holding their coins in the long term. According to Darkfost, the Bitcoin monthly outflow/inflow ratio recently fell to around 0.9, its lowest level since the bear market of 2023. With the metric now beneath the 1 threshold, it means that Bitcoin exchange outflows are dominant, reflecting a strong and sustained demand on the spot market. The on-chain analyst said: As of today, demand remains present as outflows continue to dominate, with a growing number of long-term holders stepping in. Ultimately, Darkfost believes that the confidence being shown in Bitcoin’s long-term promise is expected, considering the growing adoption by major corporations and governments, most notably in the United States. “BTC is gradually evolving into a store of value, increasingly used to strengthen treasury strategies,” the crypto analyst added. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $108,103, reflecting a mere 0.3% increase in the past 24 hours.
  13. Grammy‑winning artist Drake has just put out a new track called What Did I Miss? that makes a clear link between his rocky love life and Bitcoin’s wild swings. According to reports, he raps, “I look at this shit like a BTC, could be down this week, then I’m up next week.” That line isn’t just catchy—it’s another sign of how Bitcoin references are moving past finance blogs into hit songs. Adoption Numbers And Hype Based on reports from River, nearly 5% of the world’s population has used or owns Bitcoin so far. That’s a long way from Blockware’s forecast that 10% could be on board by 2030. Those numbers show that while the buzz is loud, real wallets holding Bitcoin remain few. For many, Bitcoin is still a headline rather than a habit. State Level Moves Shift Policy Last month, Texas became the first US state to set up a public Bitcoin stockpile. Governor Greg Abbott signed Senate Bill 21, creating a standalone fund run by state’s comptroller. That setup keeps the reserve out of the normal state treasury, so it can’t be raided for other expenses. A follow‑up bill, HB 4488, cements its legal protection, making sure the fund stays intact no matter what. Not every state has pushed ahead. In May, Florida dropped its crypto legislation, joining Wyoming, South Dakota, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Montana and Oklahoma in pulling back. Arizona’s House Bill 1025, despite getting farther than any similar measure, was vetoed by US President Donald Trump on May 3. Bitcoin Lyrics Hit Home Drake’s new verse isn’t his first high‑stakes play with crypto. Back in 2022, he put $1 million worth of Bitcoin bet on the Super Bowl. That bold wager grabbed headlines and showed he takes crypto chances seriously. Now, by weaving Bitcoin into his music, he’s giving millions of listeners a taste of what traders already know: prices can swing hard, fast, and without warning. Looking ahead, Drake’s new song and Texas’s reserve show two sides of crypto’s rise. The pop‑culture nods pull attention, while real‑world policies test whether Bitcoin can move from hype into everyday use. If both trends keep climbing, Bitcoin could win more hearts—and wallets—in the years to come. Featured image from Chris Delmas/AFP/Getty, chart from TradingView
  14. Bitcoin started the month of July with a convincing rally to the upside, suggesting a sustained bullish sentiment amongst investors from its performance by the end of June. The upward rally, however, cooled off following the release of positive employment data by the United States. Traders might have expected this data to be typically bullish, but that has hardly been the reality for the Bitcoin price. Nevertheless, a certain investor cohort, as shown by on-chain revelation, has decided to return to the market and bet on the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Retail Investors In, Long-Term Holders Out? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, on-chain analyst Amr Taha highlighted the increasing divergence between retail and institutional behavior in the BTC market. Taha started by pointing out that Binance Bitcoin futures Open Interest (OI) has remained below $11.5 billion. The crypto pundit explained that this price level has been acting as strong resistance, as Bitcoin traders have repeatedly closed positions near this price threshold. Interestingly, these levels are very close to the same price region around which resistance was observed on June 10th. Taha stated that this could mean the bullish momentum is beginning to wane for the flagship cryptocurrency. On another hand, short-term holders (STH), who are typically the retail traders, have increased their exposure to the market by about 382,000 BTC. This can only mean that there has been renewed retail interest in the flagship cryptocurrency. Contrary to the short-term holders’ actions, the long-term holders (LTH) reduced their holdings by an amount similar to the STH exposure. Taha explained that this could be a result of profit taking or risk management within this investor class. In essence, the retail investors are “buying the dip,” while the more experienced are seemingly reducing their risks. Bitcoin Whales Enter Distribution Phase Also supporting the conceived idea of caution in institutions and whales, Taha reported that large holders (holders with over 10,000 BTC) offloaded about 12,000 BTC on the 3rd of July. This kind of move, according to the analyst, signals potential profit taking or perhaps strategic reallocation. Besides what they might signify, large transactions tend to have a substantial impact on market dynamics, as significant amounts of BTC are involved in each trade. However, the large holders were not the only profit takers. According to Taha, mid-sized whales (those holding 1,000-10,000 BTC) also shed some of their holdings. From June 30th, approximately 14,000 BTC were sold by this class. Deducible from these transactions is the idea that the whales seem to be in their distribution phase, either because they anticipate further bearish momentum or await better positioning opportunities. If macro conditions remain favorable, the Bitcoin market could resume its bullish rally, but this ultimately falls on the renewal of larger players’ confidence. For now, the road ahead remains uncertain. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at $108,152, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours.
  15. The European Commission is preparing to boost emergency stockpiles of critical minerals amid heightened concern over supply chain disruptions caused by geopolitical conflicts, the Financial Times reported on Saturday. According to a draft EU document seen by FT, the measure presents a safeguard for the 27-nation bloc in “an increasingly complex and deteriorating risk landscape marked by rising geopolitical tensions.” These include conflict, climate change and cyber threats, the document shows. In response, the Commission is advising member states to accelerate work on stockpiling commodities such as rare earth minerals and permanent magnets, which are crucial for energy and defence systems, as well as key items such as cable repair modules. According to an EU executive, nations should also co-ordinate backup supplies of food, medicines and even nuclear fuel. The EU document, which is scheduled for publication next week, cites an ‘‘increased activity from hacktivists, cybercriminals and state-sponsored groups” as the main driver of this high-risk environment, pointing to the potential sabotage of its underwater communication systems and gas pipelines in recent years. There is “limited common understanding of which essential goods are needed for crisis preparedness against the backdrop of a rapidly evolving risk landscape,” the document adds. The initiative marks a shift in Brussels’s approach to strategic resource resilience, targeting vulnerabilities exposed by war in eastern Europe. Last month, the German chief of defence warned that Russia could attack an EU member state within the next four years, Financial Times said in its report. In March, the European Commission unveiled its EU Preparedness Union Strategy, urging member states to build up their supply of critical equipment and encouraging citizens to keep at least 72 hours’ worth of essential supplies in case of emergencies.
  16. Spanish Mountain Gold’s (TSXV: SPA) rescoped preliminary economic assessment (PEA) for its eponymous project in British Columbia’s Cariboo region boosts early cash flows but doubles upfront costs. Based on a 5% discount rate and a $2,450 per oz. gold price, the Spanish Mountain project now has an after-tax net present value (NPV) of C$1.03 billion ($756.5 million) and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 18.2%, according to a statement issued late Thursday. At the spot gold price of $3,300 per oz., the NPV increases to C$2.32 billion with an IRR of 32% and payback of two years. That compares with the 2021 prefeasibility study that pegged the after-tax NPV at C$655 million, the IRR at 22% and capex at C$607 million. The Vancouver-based company estimates it now needs about C$1.25 billion to fund construction of the mine with a 3.4-year payback at the base-case gold price. The updated assessment is a critical step in the company’s transition from exploration to development, president and CEO Peter Mah said Friday. “With over 235,000 metres of drill information, our confidence in the resource quality and proposed mine confirm our strategy to advance the project towards feasibility and ultimately a build decision by 2027,” Mah said in a press release. The project is in the Cariboo region, 70 km northeast of Williams Lake, with existing infrastructure, including the nearby Gibraltar and Mount Polley base metals mines. Osisko Development (TSXV, NYSE: ODV) late last year secured permits for its Cariboo gold project in the same region. Although they dropped 5.6% to C$0.17 apiece Friday in Toronto, giving the company a market capitalization of C$76 million ($55.8 million), Spanish Mountain shares have still gained 55% since early January. Sizeable operation The open-pit mine would produce 3 million oz. gold over a 24.5-year mine life, averaging 203,265 oz. annually in the first five years at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,024 per ounce. The life-of-mine annual production averages 122,041 oz. at AISC of $1,338 per ounce. The deposit hosts measured and indicated resources making up 98.4% of the mill feed, totaling 292.1 million tonnes grading 0.44 gram gold per tonne for 4.2 million oz. gold. Inferred resources add 14.8 million tonnes grading 0.33 gram gold per tonne for 155,000 oz. of metal. Spanish Mountain adopted dry-stack tailings with coarse free-draining tailings to reduce environmental impacts. This approach addresses feedback from local communities and First Nations, reducing disturbance near Cedar Point Provincial Park and fish-bearing waters, the company said. Recent exploration identified gold mineralization extending over 3 km, indicating potential for resource expansion at targets like Phoenix, the company said.
  17. Bitcoin is currently holding just above the $108,000 level and bulls are maintaining momentum after a volatile start to July. However, a closer look at on-chain data shows how fragile that position might be. Interestingly, two support levels, $106,738 and $98,566, are now the most important zones for bulls to defend. These levels represent clusters of addresses holding large amounts of Bitcoin, and losing them could trigger a deeper correction. Bitcoin’s Support Clusters Around $106,000 And $98,000 Taking to the social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed to two major support levels based on data showing Bitcoin’s purchase clusters. This data is based on Sentora’s (previously IntoTheBlock) In/Out of the Money Around Price metric among addresses that bought Bitcoin close to the current price. As shown by the metric, the most important current zones of purchase are at $106,738 and $98,566. These two zones are where massive buying activity has occurred in the past few weeks, and they could act as support in case of a Bitcoin price crash. The first zone, between $104,982 and $108,190, contains 1.68 million addresses with a total volume of 1.28 million BTC at an average price of $106,738. Below the first zone, a larger group of 1.71 million addresses holds a greater volume of 1.25 million BTC within the price range of $95,248 to $98,566, with an average price of $98,566. As long as Bitcoin continues to trade above these levels, the ongoing rally could continue to push upward. However, if these pockets of demand are broken with enough selling pressure, the leading cryptocurrency could enter into an uncertain price zone with little buying interest to provide support. Speaking of selling pressure, on-chain data shows a slowing sell pressure among large holders. According to data from on-chain analytics platform Sentora, Bitcoin recorded its fifth straight week of net outflows from centralized exchanges. The past week alone saw more than $920 million worth of BTC moved into self-custody or institutional products, mostly Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin Needs To Break Weekly Resistance For New Highs Even with solid demand zones beneath, Bitcoin’s path to new highs is not yet confirmed. Analyst Rekt Capital weighed in with his analysis, noting that Bitcoin is currently facing a strong weekly resistance band just under $109,000. Particularly, Bitcoin is at risk of a lower high structure on the weekly candlestick timeframe chart. Rekt Capital noted that a weekly close above the red horizontal resistance line must be achieved in order for Bitcoin to reclaim a more bullish stance. That resistance, which is currently around $108,890, is acting as a ceiling for Bitcoin’s upward rally. As such, Bitcoin would need to make a weekly close above $108,890 to position itself for new all-time highs. Unless there is a convincing break of that level, the price action of Bitcoin could be erratic and susceptible to a retracement to $106,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $108,160. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
  18. Bitcoin’s climb past $110,000 this week has reignited a fresh round of bullish calls. Prices hit $110,150 on July 3 and traded a little past $108,000 level at last check, showing a small 0.41% dip in 24 hours but a 1.20% rise over seven days. This steady move higher has drawn voices from social media, stirring debate on whether Bitcoin is truly underpriced or in danger of slipping back below key levels. Undervalued At $110K According to Altcoin Daily, Bitcoin at $110,000 is “undervalued,” with the analysts arguing there’s plenty of room to run. That bold claim has fans cheering, and some even dream of $1,000,000 down the road. Other users have pushed back, asking what on‑chain data or metrics back up this view. They point out that until Bitcoin clears resistance at $110,500, a real breakout isn’t confirmed. Based on reports from market trackers, global liquidity is on the rise. Market observers picked up on that, saying more cash floating around can push Bitcoin higher. Rising liquidity often fuels big moves in risk assets. Still, traders keep an eye on futures funding rates and miner sell‑pressure, looking for clues if a pullback is brewing. Mixed Views Online Some followers argue that inflation and new tariffs could dampen Bitcoin’s rally. Others note that central banks are still buying time before any rate hikes, which may give crypto another boost. The back‑and‑forth on social media reads like a mini war room, with short comments and deep threads floating around. Plenty of voices, but few hard answers. Past Bull Runs Altcoin Daily wasn’t shy about past calls either. Just days earlier, they said that once Bitcoin tops $150,000, investors would wish they’d bought more at lower prices. That kind of hindsight talk can be stirring, but it doesn’t change the here‑and‑now charts or the macro calendar. Exec Calls For Hedge Based on remarks by Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, now could be a good time to buy Bitcoin. Hougan pointed to Ray Dalio’s warnings about US debt, which has swelled past $7 trillion in annual spending against $5 trillion in revenue. With each household on the hook for roughly $230,000, Dalio says holding Bitcoin can act as a hedge against future money‑print risks. Price Action On Crosshair Investors will be watching both price action and big‑picture events. A solid break above $110,500 might pull in more buyers. But if inflation surprises on the upside or tariffs hit harder, odds could shift quickly. For now, Bitcoin’s story is still unfolding—and the next few days could tell us a lot about where it’s headed. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
  19. Bitcoin (BTC) prices showed a sideways movement in the past day producing no significant changes. Following the recent rejection at the $110,000 price range, the maiden cryptocurrency failed to break out of a descending consolidatory channel; therefore, fears on the current status of the bull market remain intact. Amidst the current mood of uncertainty, prominent market analyst Ali Martinez has identified two important support levels in the advent of a price downturn. On-Chain Data Reveals Strong Bitcoin Support At $106,500 And $98,500 In an X post on July 5, Ali Martinez shares a potentially impactful on-chain insight on the Bitcoin market. Using data from the In/Out Money Around Price (IOMAP) Chart from Sentora, the analyst shares that major support zones have emerged that could play a crucial role in shaping the BTC’s short-term price direction. The IOMAP chart analyzes Bitcoin wallet addresses and the average prices at which they acquired BTC, giving insights into potential zones of buying or selling pressure. Essentially, it shows where holders are currently in profit i.e. in the money” or at a loss i.e. out of the money. From the chart, it is observed that 1.68 million addresses bought 1.28 million BTC between $104,982 and $108,190, with an average acquisition price of $106,738. Historically, such large concentrations of buying activity tend to form strong support zones, as holders may defend their positions from slipping into loss. Therefore, this development makes the $106,700 range a formidable near-term support level. A second significant support level is identified in the $95,247 to $98,566 range, where 1.7 million addresses acquired 1.25 million BTC at an average price of $96,901. Should Bitcoin lose its footing above $106,000, this lower range would act as the next major cushion, potentially absorbing downward momentum. However, a decisive price close below $96,901 would confirm significant bearish intent by the Bitcoin market. Bitcoin Market Overview According to data from the IOMAP chart, around 89.36% of all BTC addresses are “in the money,” meaning their holdings were purchased at a lower price than the current market value. This is generally considered a bullish signal, suggesting the majority of market participants are in profit and thus less pressured to sell. Meanwhile, only 10.36% of addresses are “out of the money,” highlighting the relatively low risk of widespread panic selling, unless Bitcoin were to break below these critical levels highlighted above. At press time, the premier cryptocurrency continues to trade at $108,154 reflecting a 0.24% gain in the past day. Meanwhile, it’s daily trading volume is down by 27.09% and valued at $31.04 billion.
  20. Altcoins have spent the past few years under the shadow of Bitcoin’s dominance, struggling to reclaim relevance as capital and attention largely concentrated on BTC. But the tide may be turning. Since April, the Total 2 — a metric representing the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin — has climbed 35%, signaling a potential shift in momentum toward altcoins. This recovery marks one of the strongest altcoin performances in recent years and has reignited hopes of a broader market expansion beyond Bitcoin. Top analyst Daan has weighed in on this development, highlighting a key technical formation: a higher low on the Total 2 chart during the recent market bounce. This structure is often seen as a bullish signal, suggesting that investors are stepping in to accumulate altcoins at increasingly higher price levels. If confirmed with a higher high in the coming days or weeks, this could mark the start of a sustainable altseason. As macroeconomic conditions stabilize and risk appetite returns, altcoins could see renewed interest from traders and investors. The next key test will be whether bulls can reclaim higher levels and flip the broader altcoin market structure definitively back to bullish. Altcoins Prepare For A Breakout Altcoins remain about 50% below their all-time highs, but bulls are setting the stage for what could be an expansive move in the coming weeks. After months of underperformance, the broader altcoin market is beginning to show early signs of structural recovery. Ethereum — the market’s leader among altcoins — has been consolidating between $2,400 and $2,700 since early May, and many analysts believe that a breakout in ETH could serve as the catalyst for a broader altcoin rally. Daan recently highlighted a key technical development: the Total 2 Altcoin Market Cap has made a higher low during the latest bounce, a structure that often precedes bullish continuation. This higher low suggests growing demand and reduced downside pressure, both of which are critical to establishing a sustainable uptrend. The key area to watch is the 2024 high setback in May. If bulls can push Total 2 above that level, it would confirm a higher high — the final piece needed to flip the high timeframe structure decisively back to bullish. That breakout would likely usher in renewed momentum across mid- and small-cap tokens, fueling what many hope will be the long-awaited altseason. For now, the market remains in a holding pattern, but signs of accumulation are growing stronger. If Ethereum can break out of its multi-month range, the altcoin market could rapidly reprice, erasing months of losses and opening the door to a new wave of capital rotation out of Bitcoin dominance. As long as key levels hold and risk appetite improves, the foundation is in place for altcoins to make a significant move higher. ETH/BTC Chart Signals Turning Point The ETH/BTC chart reveals a critical moment for the altcoin market. After a prolonged downtrend that began in late 2022, Ethereum has stabilized near the 0.023 BTC level, forming a potential bottom. While the pair remains well below the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week moving averages—indicating continued bearish pressure—momentum appears to be shifting. Since bottoming out in mid-June, ETH/BTC has held its ground and is attempting to build a base, with early signs of accumulation. However, without a clear breakout above resistance zones, particularly around the 0.025–0.027 BTC range, bulls will struggle to confirm a trend reversal. A decisive move above these levels would be the first major confirmation of strength for Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. This breakout is essential for altseason. Historically, altcoin rallies are triggered when ETH outperforms BTC, drawing capital into mid- and small-cap tokens. Without ETH leading, altcoins tend to lag as Bitcoin dominance remains high. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
  21. Africa crypto news in review: MoMint is shutting down in South Africa as Tether expands crypto education to Zanzibar. Aptos and Yellow Card partner to push stablecoin adoption. Tether has expanded its blockchain initiative to Zanzibar after signing a memorandum of understanding with local authorities. In South Africa, NFT issuer MoMint is shutting down, signaling the end of an era. Meanwhile, Yellowcard has partnered with Aptos Labs to provide zero-fee stablecoin transactions across Africa. Let’s explore these continental headlines below: DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in Today Tanzania Crypto News: Tether Expands Education Initiative To Zanzibar USDT issuer Tether has expanded its blockchain education initiative to Zanzibar. This announcement came together with news of a partnership with local payments startup, Zanmalipo. Tether has signed a memorandum of understanding with local authorities to advance blockchain education and promote crypto adoption. Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, said they hope to create a digital economy leveraging the blockchain to empower lives. “By combining clarity with educational investment and digital asset integration, we will be laying the foundation for a compliant, scalable, and inclusive digital economy. By working together, we hope to create a digital economy that leverages the power of blockchain to improve lives and support economic development across Zanzibar.” Zanzibar is one of the most popular tourist destinations in Africa. Tether looks to grow its presence in this hub and benefit from the local and international payments in this market. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 South Africa Crypto News: NFT Marketplace Closing Shop South African NFT marketplace MoMint shut down this week after four years of operation. MoMint was the first local NFT marketplace and launched amid a historic NFT boom globally. MoMint sought to pivot from NFTs to the tokenization of real-world assets, joining some of the best cryptos to buy, like Ondo Finance. Things seemed to be going well for a while, with over $2 million in transaction volumes by 2024. However, a combination of liquidity challenges and local regulations ultimately made the company’s operation untenable. Africa Crypto News: Aptos and Yellow Card Join Hands Crypto service provider Yellow Card is partnering with APT ▲0.52% to provide instant, zero-fee transactions across Africa. Aptos provides excellent transaction infrastructure on its robust blockchain, out of which there have been multiple 1000X cryptos. Yellow Card is looking to grow its user base by leveraging the tens of millions of potential crypto users in Sub-Saharan Africa. “We’re excited to support Yellow Card in bringing millions of users seamless access to USDT and USDC across 20 countries,” said Alex Heuer, Head of Payments at Aptos Labs. “Africa is leading the way in stablecoin adoption for practical use cases, and our zero-fee, instant settlement capabilities are perfectly suited to meet this demand.” Low-cost transactions are a crucial component of this vision. Current mobile money providers and traditional banking systems have significant transaction fees for users across the continent. Yellow Card looks to benefit from this partnership and carve a niche in this growing and competitive market. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 – Top New Crypto Coins Africa Crypto News: MoMint Shuts Down, Tether Education Zanzibar South Africa Crypto News: NFT platform MoMint closing shop Africa crypto news: Aptos and Yellow Card partner for stablecoin adoption Tanzania crypto news: Tether expands crypto education initiative to Zanzibar The post Africa Crypto News Week in Review: Tether Crypto Education Reaches Zanzibar, NFT Platform Shutting Down in South Africa As Aptos And Yellow Card Partner appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  22. Dogecoin (DOGE) prices have crashed by over 4% in the past month indicating a slightly dominant bearish influence in recent weeks. Similar to the crypto market leader (Bitcoin), the prominent altcoin and memecoin has registered significant market corrections since attaining a local peak of $0.249 on May 22. However, recent revelations by top analyst Ali Martinez has shown a bullish market condition that supports a price rebound for the DOGE market. DOGE Bulls Eye Return To $0.22 In an X post on July 5, Martinez provides some technical insights into the DOGE market highlighting an important requisite for the altcoin to rediscover its bullish form. Using the daily trading DOGEUSDT chart, the renowned analyst identifies an ascending trendline that stretches to 2023. At multiple instances of a retest, this trendline has acted as an efficient support consistently rejecting a further price decline. According to Martinez’s analysis, Dogecoin is trading around this trendline which presently runs through the $0.150 price level. The analyst explains market bulls must defend this price zone which not only fuels the chances of a price rebound, but essentially prevents a breakdown and complete transition to a bearish market. Interestingly, all retest of the highlighted trendline has always produced a price bounce resulting in a parabolic rally. This event is seen in price surges of $0.059 to $0.210 (≈255% gain) between 2023-2024, and $0.095 to $0.470 (≈395%) in 2024. However, Ali Martinez presents a conservative price target, stating a defence of $0.15 support level supports a quick bullish return to at least $0.220. Nevertheless, in the presence of a strong bullish pressure as seen in previous rallies, DOGE investors may expect a further rise to around $0.24 with a potential to return to the local market peak of $0.47. DOGE Price Overview At the time of writing, DOGE trades at $0.164 reflecting a modest price gain of 0.91% and 0.56% on the daily chart and weekly chart, respectively. Meanwhile, the memecoin has recorded a 56.81% crash in its daily trading volume indicating a significant fall in market interest. According to data from price prediction site Coincodex, general sentiment in the DOGE market is bearish. However, investors retain an healthy market demand as evidenced by a Fear & Greed Index of 67 i.e. significant amount of greed. For the short-term, Coincodex analysts expects DOGE to still maintain a price around $0.160 in the next five days while projecting a price gain to $0.193 in a month. Meanwhile, their long-term forecasts show little expected price growth in the far future as indicated by price targets of $0.197 in three months, and $0.169 in six months.
  23. Ethereum is trading just above the $2,500 mark following days of volatility, choppy price action, and uncertainty across crypto markets. Despite the hesitation, bulls have held critical support, and the coming days are shaping up to be a defining moment for Ethereum and the broader altcoin space. Momentum is slowly shifting as investors look for confirmation that ETH will lead the next wave of upside action. Top analyst Ted Pillows has shared a bullish technical outlook, suggesting that a Wyckoff accumulation pattern is currently unfolding. According to Pillows, this structure resembles the early stages of major breakouts seen in past cycles and signals strong smart money positioning. He argues that Ethereum already played a key role in Bitcoin’s latest rally to new all-time highs, and now it’s Ethereum’s turn to shine. A sustained breakout above the $2,600–$2,700 range could trigger the next phase of the cycle, with $3,000 in sight as the initial target. With market sentiment recovering and BTC consolidating near highs, traders and investors are closely watching Ethereum’s next move to gauge whether an altseason is around the corner. The setup is in place — but ETH must deliver. Ethereum Builds Strength Ethereum is up 82% from its April lows, demonstrating strong bullish control as the price holds firmly above key demand zones. Despite recent volatility, ETH continues to trade within a well-defined range between $2,400 and $2,700, a structure that has persisted since early May. This tight consolidation suggests the market is preparing for a decisive breakout, one that could define Ethereum’s trajectory for the remainder of the year. Ted Pillows reveals that Ethereum is now undergoing a classic Wyckoff accumulation pattern. According to his analysis, this phase marks the transfer of ETH from weak hands to strong hands, and it mirrors past cycle setups that led to explosive rallies. Pillows argues that Ethereum helped push Bitcoin to new all-time highs, and now it’s Ethereum’s turn to take the spotlight. If this pattern plays out, Pillows sees a clear path: first a breakout to $3,000, followed by a healthy correction, and then a push to $4,000 sometime in Q3. Beyond that, the real parabolic move may begin, driven by renewed confidence, broader altcoin participation, and sustained demand for ETH as a core asset in the crypto ecosystem. ETH Holds Above Key Support Amid Tight Range Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $2,520, maintaining its position above critical support levels despite recent volatility. As shown in the 12-hour chart, ETH has acknowledged the $2,480–$2,500 zone multiple times since late May, signaling strong buyer interest at these levels. The price remains trapped within a tight consolidation range between $2,400 and $2,700, with no clear breakout yet in either direction. ETH is currently trading near its 50- and 100-period SMAs, which are converging around the current price, indicating equilibrium and a potential inflection point. The 200-period SMA sits below $2,200 and continues to trend upward, supporting the longer-term bullish structure. Volume has remained relatively stable, with no spike suggesting institutional accumulation or mass distribution. For bulls to regain full momentum, ETH must reclaim the $2,600–$2,700 resistance and flip it into support. On the downside, a clean break below $2,480 could expose the $2,300 zone once again. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
  24. 🌐 17ª Cúpula do BRICS Começa hoje com Tensão: EUA Ameaçam Tarifas de 100% contra Países que Abandonarem o Dólar Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado e Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE 🗞️ Destaques: A 17ª Cúpula do BRICS terá início hoje em Brasília, Brasil. Presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, ameaça impor tarifas de até 100% contra países que abandonarem o uso do dólar americano em suas transações. Membros do BRICS foram diretamente nomeados como alvos potenciais da nova política tarifária. A desdolarização deixou de ser retórica diplomática e passou a ser um ponto de conflito geoeconômico real. 🇧🇷 BRICS Reunido em Território Brasileiro Com representantes de Brasil, Rússia, Índia, China, África do Sul, e novos membros como Irã e Egito, a 17ª Cúpula do BRICS se dá em meio a uma nova fase da ordem monetária global. O tema principal gira em torno de integração comercial sem dólar, fortalecimento de moedas locais, ouro como reserva estratégica e o avanço no desenvolvimento de um sistema de pagamentos alternativo ao SWIFT. 🇺🇸 Trump Escala Conflito Monetário com Retórica Agressiva Durante um pronunciamento oficial na Casa Branca, o presidente Donald Trump declarou que qualquer país que "buscar eliminar o dólar de seus fluxos comerciais estratégicos sofrerá tarifas de 60% a 100% sobre exportações aos EUA". Fontes próximas ao Tesouro americano indicam que Brasil, China, Índia e Rússia foram nominalmente citados em comunicados internos, o que marca uma escalada significativa na tensão entre os EUA e os BRICS. 💱 A Desdolarização Agora é Levada a Sério O que antes era visto como um projeto simbólico ou improvável de "desdolarização" agora se converteu em ameaça geoeconômica concreta. Países como China e Rússia já conduzem mais de 60% de suas trocas bilaterais em yuan, rublos e ouro. A cúpula do BRICS deste ano prevê: Avanço do Banco de Desenvolvimento dos BRICS com emissão de dívida em moedas locais Criação de um Consórcio de Compensação em Ouro Assinatura de memorandos para pagamentos bilaterais sem dólar 🪙 Impacto no Mercado: Ouro (XAU/USD) em Foco O anúncio das tarifas e o clima de guerra monetária geram forte impacto nos mercados globais: Ativo Impacto Esperado XAU/USD (Ouro) Busca por reservas não dolarizadas e proteção contra riscos sistêmicos Dólar (DXY) Volatilidade, com possível desvalorização frente a moedas de países não alinhados Mercados Emergentes Pressão cambial e aumento nos custos de exportação para os EUA Renda Fixa Global Aumento na demanda por ativos seguros, pressão sobre Treasuries e CDS de risco soberano 📊 O Que Esperar a Partir de Agora 💣 Escalada Geopolítica: Tarifas e retaliações comerciais podem se intensificar rapidamente. 💰 Aumento da Demanda por Ouro Físico: Bancos centrais e fundos soberanos devem acelerar compras. 🏦 Ataques ao Sistema SWIFT e ao Dólar: Novos acordos de liquidação direta (ouro ou moeda local). 📉 Pressão Sobre Ativos Americanos: Especialmente em setores exportadores e títulos públicos. 🎯 Conclusão ExpertFX A ameaça de tarifas de 100% contra países que abandonarem o dólar é mais que uma retórica de campanha – trata-se de uma declaração de guerra monetária. O movimento dos BRICS em direção à desdolarização agora encontra resistência aberta dos EUA, o que pode provocar uma fragmentação irreversível da arquitetura financeira global.
  25. Última semana
  26. Bitcoin has held steady around the $108,000 price level in recent days. After bouncing back from a brief pullback near $105,500 on Wednesday, Bitcoin recently tested $109,000 again in the past 24 hours. A popular crypto analyst has shared a long-term “Bitcoin Bull Run Cheat Sheet” that claims that the cryptocurrency has now entered into the final phase that will lead to massive price gains. Bitcoin Cheat Sheet Declares Start Of Final Bull Phase In a recent post on X, Merlijn The Trader released what he dubbed the “Bitcoin Bull Run Cheat Sheet.” This cheat sheet is a breakdown of Bitcoin’s past market movements that shows the distinct phases of bear markets, accumulation zones, and subsequent parabolic bull runs. The cheat sheet divides each of Bitcoin’s two previous cycles from 2014 into three colored boxes: red for bear markets, orange for accumulation, and green for bull runs. Merlijn’s chart traces this repeating structure over the past decade, showing how each bull market followed a similar rhythm that began after a lengthy consolidation period and ended with a strong price explosion. The first full cycle began with Bitcoin’s peak around $1,000 in December 2013. Following that top, the price entered a long, painful bear market that spanned into 2015. This red-box phase eventually transitioned into accumulation, where Bitcoin traded sideways between $80 and $500 for a prolonged period. The green bull run box on the chart began around early 2017, and eventually ended with a peak just below $20,000 in late 2017. According to the cheat sheet, this entire cycle from peak to new peak lasted 1500 days. Bitcoin’s second cycle kicked off after its December 2017 top. A long drawdown followed, and the bear market phase dragged Bitcoin down to $3,000 by the end of 2018. The chart marks this point with another red box, followed by the orange accumulation zone that stretched well into 2020. The cheat sheet’s green box reappeared in late 2020 right as Bitcoin broke above its previous highs. The price shot up throughout 2021 and eventually reached a new all-time high around $69,000 in November of that year. This second full cycle was shorter than the first and spanned around 1400 days from the previous top. When Will The Next Bull Run Begin? The current cycle began with Bitcoin’s all-time high in November 2021. Since then, the market has gone through its familiar sequence. A sharp decline into 2022 which bottomed around $15,000 represents the bear market phase. The decline was followed by nearly a year of sideways movement and slow recovery up until early 2025. This is represented as the orange accumulation box on the cheat sheet above. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is now in the next bull phase, and possibly the largest one yet. The chart projects a continuation along the long-term growth curve, possibly toward the $250,000 to $300,000 range over the coming year. Notably, the timeline for the entire cycle this time should take about 1,300 days from late 2021 to complete. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $108,260. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
  27. 🧧 PBoC Pode Estar Comprando 3x Mais Ouro do que Reporta Oficialmente 💰 Divergência entre Dados do FMI e Estimativas Reais Aumenta desde 2022 Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado e Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE Desde 2022, uma crescente discrepância entre as compras oficiais de ouro registradas pelo Fundo Monetário Internacional (FMI) e as estimativas independentes feitas por especialistas de mercado tem gerado alertas importantes. Um dos principais pontos de atenção é a possibilidade de que o Banco Popular da China (PBoC) esteja adquirindo ouro de forma não declarada — um movimento estratégico que visa fortalecer sua posição monetária global sem atrair volatilidade ou especulação excessiva. 📊 A Divergência nos Dados Compras oficiais declaradas pelo PBoC (FMI): cerca de 10-12 toneladas por mês Estimativas de mercado (ajustadas por fluxo físico e refinarias): entre 30 e 40 toneladas mensais Estimativa de Igor Pereira, analista da ExpertFX School: 🧠 Por Que o PBoC Faria Isso? Evitar pressões no mercado internacional de ouro Compras declaradas em grande escala poderiam disparar o preço do ouro e atrair sanções ou restrições políticas Consolidar sua posição de reserva com discrição A China deseja aumentar o peso do ouro em suas reservas sem sinalizar um movimento abrupto de desdolarização Apoiar o yuan como moeda internacional O ouro serve como ativo neutro que fortalece a credibilidade do yuan digital nas relações comerciais com países emergentes e BRICS Diversificar frente ao risco geopolítico Com tensões crescentes com os EUA e sanções sendo utilizadas como arma financeira, o ouro representa uma proteção estratégica contra o congelamento de ativos em dólares 🏦 Onde o Ouro Chinês Está Entrando? SGE Internacional (Shanghai Gold Exchange International) Permite que compras sejam feitas por bancos comerciais e não entrem diretamente nas reservas oficiais Importações via Hong Kong e refinarias suíças Operações fragmentadas permitem mascarar o destino final dos metais Swaps com bancos estatais chineses Ouro pode ser mantido fora do balanço oficial do PBoC, mas ainda sob controle estatal 🧩 Implicações para o Mercado Variável Impacto Esperado XAU/USD Pressão estrutural de alta Dólar (DXY) Enfraquecimento gradual frente a ativos reais Confiança nos Treasuries Redução da demanda asiática Geopolítica monetária Avanço da desdolarização nos blocos BRICS e emergentes 📌 Conclusão ExpertFX A hipótese de que o Banco Popular da China esteja comprando três vezes mais ouro do que reporta representa uma transformação silenciosa, porém profunda, na arquitetura monetária global. Este movimento alinha-se com a estratégia da China de promover o yuan como alternativa ao dólar em sistemas de pagamento internacionais — e consolida o ouro como o ativo neutro preferido diante de incertezas fiscais, geopolíticas e cambiais. Traders de ouro devem monitorar fluxos físicos, prêmios de arbitragem entre XAU/USD e Shanghai Gold Benchmark, além dos balanços semanais de importação via Hong Kong e refinarias suíças. 📈 Acompanhe no ExpertFX School relatórios técnicos semanais sobre liquidez institucional no ouro, zonas de acúmulo e atuação dos bancos centrais.
  28. Bitcoin prices dipped by 0.93% in the last day after the premier cryptocurrency suffered another price rejection in the $110,000 range. This latest price pullback forces Bitcoin to maintain a consolidatory movement that has dominated the majority of last month drawing speculations about a potential market top. Interestingly, prominent market analyst Ted Pillows has weighed in on this discourse stating that historical data shows that Bitcoin is yet to achieve a peak price for the current market cycle. Bitcoin’s Consolidation: A Preparation For Final Bull Leg In an X post on July 4, Ted Pillows shares a bullish market insight following another Bitcoin price dip. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency seemed on course to resume its market uptrend after a significant price rebound from $99,000 in late June following weeks of downward consolidatory movement. However, another decisive rejection in the $110,000 indicates Bitcoin’s prices remain range-bound thereby worsening investors’ concern across the market. In interpreting this situation, Pillows has called for calm stating the recent price dip is merely a “leverage flush” that requires no panic. Using a visual study on the BTC weekly chart, the renowned analyst shows that the current and previous price pullbacks are part of a predictable pattern that has played out across previous Bitcoin cycles. The chart shows that after each halving event, Bitcoin tends to peak approximately 18 months (518 days) later. With the most recent halving occurring in mid April 2024, the expected peak for this cycle would fall somewhere around Q4 2025, specifically on October 13, 2025, consistent with historical performance. Furthermore, a recurring 140-day rally window is also depicted in the chart, usually forming the final leg of the bull run. In each previous cycle, this 10-bar stretch delivered parabolic price movements. If history is rhyming once again, Bitcoin is now within range of initiating this 10-week bull run, suggesting the equivalent rally seen in previous could soon kick in. How High Can Bitcoin Price Go? Based on Pillows’ recent analysis, Bitcoin may be gathering momentum for its final rally of the present market cycle. The extent of this anticipated uptrend remains unknown; however, the presence of bullish factors most notably the high influx of institutional investment and the US pro-crypto policies supports a range of sky scraping targets. For example, Pillows has previously shared that the popular stock-to-flow model which uses Bitcoin’s scarcity to project long-term price trajectory has predicted a potential price target of $368,925 by 2025 end. If this prediction holds true, Bitcoin investors are eyeing an estimated 242% from current market prices. At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $108,299 reflecting a 0.83% gain in the past week.
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