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Sanctioned cryptocurrency exchange Garantex’s alleged successor, Grinex, has processed over $9.3 billion of the Ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5. Speculations are rife about the nature of the token’s usage since the bulk of the transactions originated from only 124 wallets, as per a report by the Financial Times on 25 June 2025. Currently, users can only find the A7A5 stablecoin listed on Uniswap. It boasts a market cap of $151 million, with about 12 million tokens in circulation. According to Grinex’s telegram channel, traders can use the Ruble-backed stablecoin to trade against the Russian Ruble and also against the USDT and the US dollar. Elliptic analysts, cited by the Financial Times, suggest that rigid transfer patterns indicate internal fund movement rather than organic token adoption. Furthermore, the crypto-focused anti-money laundering (AML) compliance and blockchain analytics platform, Global Ledger, had suggested in March that Garantex had moved its liquidity and customer funds to Grinex. These findings further cement the likelihood of Grinex having absorbed some of Garantex’s clientele, although Grinex denies any direct links to the sanctioned crypto exchange. Elliptic‘s co-founder, Tom Robinson, said, “Garantex users with outstanding balances at the time it was shut down could have these balances credited to new accounts set up on Grinex.” According to on-chain data from Etherscan and Tronscan, the A7A5, since its launch a few months ago, has managed to gather around 24000 users. Promsvyazbank, a Moscow-based bank under sanctions for its role in financing the Russian military, backs the A7A5 stablecoin 1:1 with Ruble reserves. The Ruble-backed stablecoin’s circulating supply surpassed $140 million within a week of its launch, indicating a strong demand for the stablecoin from crypto users in Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Explore: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in June 2025 A7A5 Stablecoin Linked To Ilan Shor – Sanctioned Moldovan Businessman Analysts, however, remain sceptical of the Ruble-backed stablecoin’s broader adoption because of the token’s clustered activity and unclear fund origins. Additionally, the Centre for Information Resilience had unveiled linkages of the A7A5 stablecoin to Ilan Shor, a sanctioned Moldovan businessman, convicted of fraud. He was promoting the stablecoin at Russia’s St Petersburg International Economic Forum earlier this month. A7A5, however, has claimed to sever ties with Shor in May. Grinex has highlighted its aim to bring in more USDT alternatives rather than create vehicles to circumvent sanctions. Explore: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in June 2025 Their spokesperson was quoted by another publication stating, “We strongly condemn any form of illegal activity, including sanctions evasion, money laundering, etc. All suspicious transactions are automatically blocked.” On 7 March 2025, the US Department of Justice (DoJ) announced the disruption of Grarantex in coordination with authorities in Germany and Finland. In their joint operation, authorities seized Garantex’s domains in Germany and Finland. Prosecutors pressed criminal charges against Garantex’s administrators, Aleksej Besciokov and Aleksandr Mira Serda, who oversaw the laundering operations, and authorities froze over $26 million of illegal funds. Explore: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Key Takeaways Grinex, the controversial crypto exchange, has processed over $9.3 billion of the Ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5 The A7A5 stablecoin has a market cap of $151 million, with about 12 million tokens in circulation The Ruble-backed stablecoin’s circulating supply surpassed $140 million within a week of its launch The post Ruble-Backed A7A5 Stablecoin Sees $9.4B Volume on Grinex, Garantex’s Successor appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

News this week that the world’s second-biggest lithium miner – SQM – has begun laying off 5% of its Chilean workforce would not come as a surprise to those following the market for the battery raw material. Battery lithium prices have been decimated since reaching a peak less than three years ago with prices slumping to $8,450 a tonne in June from above $80,000 in November 2022. A wait and see approach on production cuts by lithium miners, particularly in China where government support keeps loss-making mines on life support, and slower than expected demand growth from the electric vehicle industry provides little prospect for a return to the boom years. The value of terminal lithium tonnes deployed in EVs, including plug-in and conventional hybrids, sold around the world from January through May totalled $2.15 billion. The extent of the slump is illustrated by the monthly EV battery nickel tally which is now higher than that of lithium, despite the significant move towards nickel-free batteries such as lithium iron phosphate chemistries and a cooling of nickel prices at the same time. The value of the lithium contained in the batteries of EVs sold in December 2022 alone reached $3.2 billion despite the fact that global unit sales were a fraction of what it is now and shipments skewed towards hybrids which have inherently smaller batteries and therefore contained metal than full electric cars. On a per EV basis the economics of lithium carbonate and hydroxide look even worse. From a peak of more than $1,900 per sales weighted average EV in December 2022, the installed lithium so far this year only averages just above $200 per vehicle. For a fuller analysis of the battery metals market check out the latest issue of the Northern Miner print and digital editions. * Frik Els is Editor at Large for MINING.COM and Head of Adamas Inside, providing news and analysis based on Adamas Intelligence data.

A popular crypto analyst has issued a stark cyclical warning that could define Bitcoin’s trajectory for the rest of the summer. Dr. Cat, known for his integrated use of Ichimoku Cloud analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and proprietary time-cycle forecasting, posted an intricate scenario on X suggesting Bitcoin now stands at a pivotal inflection point—one that may ultimately determine whether the next major move is to $179,000 or back down to $79,000. Bitcoin Faces Make-or-Break Moment “If we set a daily high between the 25th and 27th of June,” Dr. Cat began, referencing the window derived from his Time Theory model, “and it turns out to be a lower high per the Wave Theory, then a lower low should follow.” The implications, however, go far beyond near-term downside. “If a lower low comes, we invalidate the weekly cycle which implies no bottom before mid-July to mid-August.” According to the forecast timeline, the earliest potential bottom would fall between July 14 and August 17, with a primary target range from July 28 to August 3, incorporating a ±2 week deviation. That timing model dovetails with the chart’s behavior around critical Ichimoku levels. Dr. Cat emphasized that Bitcoin is currently “making a bearish retest of the weekly Tenkan Sen,” adding that yesterday’s attempt to reclaim that level failed: “Price touched Tenkan Sen yesterday but I saw that it would open below it today.” The Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen—two key lines in the Ichimoku system—are not just flat; they are structurally unconvincing despite a nominal 10% price advance. “This isn’t a real uptrend,” noted one user, to which Dr. Cat replied: “This is simply a neutral chart trying to flip bullish.” He elaborated that this neutrality means neither bullish nor bearish continuation is guaranteed, but warned that inaction or false optimism at this stage could expose traders to a cascading downside. One of the most significant technical levels lies just beneath current price. “The super key support of 93.2K (weekly Kijun Sen) is relatively close—and too close to hold if the time cycles play out,” Dr. Cat stated. A failure of that level would likely trigger a deeper reversion to the 3-week Kijun Sen, which remains unvisited and is currently positioned near $75K but rising. The entire bearish cascade remains “completely valid and with a very real chance of playing out,” unless Bitcoin manages to break above $110.6K after June 27. Such a move would invalidate both the time and wave-based lower-high structure and neutralize the scenario before it unfolds. But until then, Dr. Cat is urging traders to look beyond surface-level price movements. “Most people look at whether price goes up or down but don’t look at how it does it,” he said. Recalling his accurate bullish stance in April and May—when others were waiting for retracement—and his caution in early June, he emphasized the importance of reading the structure, not just the candles. “The weekly chart was one candle away from a bullish TK cross, which would’ve implied big bullish continuation. But I waited. Then the market dumped,” he reminded followers. “Now it is relatively similar… dramatic reversals happen as close to invalidation as possible so everyone is tested and trapped to the limit.” In summary, Dr. Cat’s outlook remains balanced—but volatile. “I’m not telling you I can read the future,” he said. “I’m telling you that you need to distinguish neutral from bullish charts, which many people can’t—and suffer the consequences.” With time cycles converging and Ichimoku structures flashing indecision, Bitcoin now stands at a binary junction. The next high or low could lock in a multi-week trend, with targets as distant as $179K—or as painful as $79K—hanging in the balance. “This is simply a neutral chart trying to flip bullish. Which can certainly flip bullish pretty soon but until that happens I discuss whether first comes 179K or 79K with pretty much equal probability and I’m warning about an absolutely valid scenario which is on the table unless the chart flips bullish,” Dr. Cat concludes. At press time, BTC traded at $107,356.

📉📊 PIB dos EUA decepciona e indica contração no 1º trimestre de 2025, apesar de dados fortes de empregos e bens duráveis 📆 Publicado em 26 de junho de 2025 ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE O Departamento de Comércio dos Estados Unidos divulgou nesta quinta-feira (26) os resultados finais do PIB do 1º trimestre de 2025, e os números surpreenderam negativamente o mercado: a economia contraiu -0,5% no comparativo trimestral, contra uma previsão de -0,2% e um crescimento de 2,4% no trimestre anterior. Este dado representa a primeira leitura oficial de recessão técnica sob a nova gestão de Donald Trump. 📌 Resultados econômicos divulgados 🔻 Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) – 1T25 Atual: -0,5% Previsão: -0,2% Anterior: +2,4% 📉 Impacto: Negativo para o dólar (USD) ✅ Pedidos Iniciais de Seguro-Desemprego (Jobless Claims) Atual: 236 mil Previsão: 244 mil Anterior (revisado): 246 mil 📈 Impacto: Positivo para o dólar (queda inesperada nas solicitações) ✅ Pedidos de Bens Duráveis – Maio Atual: +16,4% Previsão: +8,6% Anterior: -6,3% 📈 Impacto: Extremamente positivo para o dólar, mostrando forte recuperação industrial 🧮 Interpretação dos dados Apesar da contração do PIB indicar enfraquecimento da atividade econômica, os indicadores de curto prazo como o mercado de trabalho e os pedidos de bens duráveis mostram resiliência. Isso cria uma ambiguidade nos dados macroeconômicos, dificultando o trabalho da política monetária do Federal Reserve. O crescimento expressivo dos bens duráveis (+16,4%) sinaliza aumento na confiança e nos investimentos da indústria. A queda inesperada nos pedidos de desemprego aponta para um mercado de trabalho ainda aquecido, sustentando o consumo. Já o PIB negativo pode refletir impactos das tarifas implementadas no início do ano, tensões geopolíticas e incertezas fiscais. 🏛️ O que esperar do Federal Reserve Em meio a uma campanha agressiva de Donald Trump por cortes de juros e à forte pressão política, o Federal Reserve encontra-se num impasse: A contração do PIB aumenta o argumento para uma política mais acomodatícia. Mas a resiliência no mercado de trabalho e o risco de inflação tarifária sustentam a necessidade de cautela. 📌 Jerome Powell, presidente do Fed, reforçou nesta semana que a instituição "ainda está em modo de observação", mas admitiu a possibilidade de cortar juros antes do previsto se a inflação tarifária não se concretizar e se o mercado de trabalho enfraquecer ainda mais. 💬 Declaração do Departamento de Defesa dos EUA Em paralelo, o Secretário de Defesa afirmou que Donald Trump conseguiu aumentar os gastos de defesa da OTAN — algo que presidentes anteriores não conseguiram. Essa afirmação sinaliza um possível aumento contínuo nos gastos militares, o que pode pressionar o orçamento e influenciar as expectativas de inflação de médio prazo. 🧭 Impacto nos mercados financeiros Dólar (USD): Reação mista. Caiu com o PIB, mas se sustentou com os dados de desemprego e bens duráveis. Ouro (XAU/USD): Tendência de alta pode se intensificar diante de incertezas econômicas e expectativas de corte de juros. S&P 500: Deve apresentar volatilidade. Recessão técnica pode trazer correções, mas cortes de juros futuros funcionariam como suporte. 📌 Conclusão e leitura institucional A combinação de um PIB negativo com dados positivos no mercado de trabalho e indústria cria um cenário altamente volátil e de difícil leitura para o investidor. A política monetária dos EUA está no limiar de um ponto de inflexão, com o Federal Reserve cada vez mais pressionado a agir, mas ainda hesitante diante dos riscos fiscais e inflacionários. 🔍 O investidor atento deve observar a evolução do núcleo da inflação, os próximos dados de folha de pagamento (payroll) e as declarações do Fed nas próximas semanas, com destaque para a reunião de política monetária marcada para o fim de julho. 📥 Acompanhe todas as análises em tempo real no Clube ExpertFX e receba relatórios exclusivos sobre os impactos macroeconômicos nos mercados globais. Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE ExpertFX School | www.expertfxschool.com

There have been many comparisons between Kaspa and Bitcoin on the internet lately. Is it real or just clout? The truth is that as a PoW network, Kaspa has better security than the PoS model and can be mined with moderate tech, which can provide greater decentralisation than Bitcoin. The GHOSTDAG protocol provides faster speed, similar to Visa’s transaction time. Institutional interest is growing; Marathon Digital Holdings (a Bitcoin miner) mined $16 million worth of Kaspa last year. As much as technical analysis for Kaspa, Sarosh noted a great indicator for a potential move up – a break of June’s downtrend channel. Will momentum sustain, and will price move further to the upside? Follow along as we uncover what the charts show. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Is Kaspa Price Prediction Bigger Than the Hype? KASPA Crypto Technical Analysis (KASUSD) Starting with the Weekly timeframe, I have identified a few bullish scenarios. All of them include holding, or, worst case, a sweep, or the liquidity zone. Though market makers love to sweep and hit stop losses, it is good to keep in mind. Whatever scenario plays out, it is clear that price needs to break out of the resistance dome before further upside. For investors, hopefully, this does not turn into a rounded top and follow a sell-off. This will happen if it moves decisively underneath the FVG zone. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 (KASUSD) On the Daily chart, we see that the RSI has reset all the way to the bottom. If price holds these levels, there is a chance it made a lower high, which could trigger a move to the $0.11 resistance. That resistance seemed reclaimed for a few days, though it turned out to be a deviation. What we want to see now is a reclaim of the moving averages. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 (KASUSD) Finally, we will analyse the 4-hour chart. Within the last 3 days, the price increased 34% and is above the MA50 and MA100. The MA200 is next, which aligns closely with the previous high. If we’re to see a move towards $0.11 again, we’d like to see that previous high broken. Though RSI looks a bit high, it might need to cool off before attempting MSB. Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Kaspa: The PoW Alternative to Bitcoin - Is It Still A Good Buy? Daily RSI is reset, while 4H RSI might need to cool off as well 2024 Weekly FVG might not be tested, though we keep it as plausible Price needs to close above 4H MA200 in order to test $0.11 The post Kaspa: The PoW Alternative to Bitcoin – Is It Still A Good Buy? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

As of 12:00 PM UTC today, 26 June 2025, Sahara AI (SAHARA) made its debut and started trading on top tier exchanges, including KuCoin, OKX, Bitget, MEXC, CoinW, Bitrue, XT.COM, and HTX. Sahara AI is a decentralized artificial intelligence project whose native token has surged by an astonishing 40,389% against the US Dollar following the announcement of its listing on Binance Alpha on 21 June 2025. SAHARA has a total of $51.5M raised, with significant backing from industry giants YZI Labs (ex-Binance Labs), Polychain Capital, and Pantera Capital. And now, the crypto world is buzzing with the meteoric rise of the token. The airdrop is now live. After listing, SAHARA will be available in multiple trading pairs, such as USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY. EXPLORE: 10 Best AI Crypto Coins to Invest in 2025 Key Takeaways Sahara AI’s explosive debut on Binance Alpha and other major exchanges has put it in the spotlight as one of the most hyped crypto projects of 2025. Unlike traditional AI platforms that often encrypt models and data, Sahara AI gives developers full control and ownership of their creations. The post Sahara AI Makes Debut On Top Tier Exchanges: SAHARA Price Prediction 2025 appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

The SEC’s filing cabinet has to be pretty full these days, and their ‘paperwork pending’ stack is getting perilously high. Invesco Ltd and Galaxy Digital LP combined forces to offer another Solana-based exchange-traded fund (ETF). They filed the appropriate paperwork with the SEC and joined at least 12 other potential spot and future ETFs on the SEC to rule on their status. The competition for the leading $SOL ETF takes place at the most visible end of the crypto ecosystem. Far lower down, there’s a different race on, with Snorter poised to corner the market in the fast-paced world of Solana meme coins on Telegram. It’s two ends of the same spectrum and speaks to the growing strength and versatility of the Solana ecosystem. Invesco Galaxy Solana ETF Ready to List Why the race for a Solana ETF? Partly because of the tremendous success of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs: $IBIT: iShares Bitcoin Trust, $70.6B Assets Under Management (AUM) $FBTC: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, $20.4B AUM $GBTC: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, $19.6B AUM $ETHA: iShares Ethereum Trust, $3.9B AUM $ETHE: Grayscale Ethereum Trust, $2.8B AUM It’s no surprise that more players are ready to enter the game, particularly as the realms of traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) move ever-closer together. Only $BTC and $ETH currently have single-asset crypto ETFs, but the pile of pending filings includes everything from $XRP to $SOL to the first-ever NFT ETF, with Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU). And with single-asset crypto ETFs rolling along, institutions aren’t waiting around for the SEC. They’ve already started to move towards multi-asset ETFs. Converting Existing Funds to Multi-Asset ETFs One of the holdups so far has been that the SEC lacks a clear set of rules around crypto ETFs, even after the $BTC and $ETH approvals went ahead. The question now is, will the SEC hold approvals until they draw up new rules? Or will they approve first and develop the rule set as they go? There is some time pressure at work here. Grayscale wants to convert its Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) to an ETF, and the deadline for that is July 2. That fund already holds a number of crypto assets, including $XRP, $SOL, and $ADA. If the conversion is approved, look for others to follow. Investment managers from Bitwise to Hasdex have plans to convert other funds to multi-asset ETFs that include cryptos. The funds sit at the top of the financial and investment world, and every one that gets approved boosts Solana’s long-term outlook just slightly. But much, much farther down, there’s another reason to be excited for Solana. The frenetic, fast-paced world of Solana meme coin trading just got a tool that could bring much-needed clarity and make finding those 10x or 100x opportunities much easier. Snorter Token ($SNORT) – One Bot to Rule Them All for Meme Coin Trading on Telegram What do you need to find and trade memes on Telegram? You need: Lightning-fast transactions and swaps Automated sniping, to get in and out at the right time Protection from rug pulls, honeypots, and front-running trades Thankfully, traders now have Snorter Bot, the meme coin-styled trading bot designed specifically for trading low-cap Solana memes on Telegram. The $SNORT token powers the bot, providing for rapid trade execution and the lowest fees possible. The project’s presale has already raised nearly $1.3M in a few weeks, indicating broad support. The roadmap includes launching the bot on Solana but expanding to EVM-compatible chains post-launch. In the meantime, the plans feature a token bridge and a built-in Telegram dashboard. No more avoiding Telegram tokens; traders can dive in with confidence with Snorter. Visit the Snorter website to learn more. Solana ETFs Mark the Next Stage of Crypto Adoption As plans proceed, even the rate of ETF filings indicates just how fast crypto adoption is moving. From Wall Street boardrooms to Telegram chats, Solana is becoming increasingly accessible to investors of every stripe. Keep an eye on Snorter, and another on the broader Solana ecosystem. But remember – always do your own research. This isn’t financial advice.

You’re sipping coffee, barely awake, while trading wizards trade for you, banking profit. That’s crypto copy trading in a nutshell. It lets seasoned traders trade while copy traders piggyback on their moves. Many crypto platforms are going this route, with one gearing up for a new copy trading platform promising speed and clarity. BitMEX is coming with a copy trading platform, a feature scheduled to launch in July 2025. Their CEO, Stephan Lutz, is pushing a copy trading system built on low latency. BitMEX’s “social Trust” will also let users follow trusted players known to read the market well. Copy trading levels the field, and Lutz knows this. BitMEX’s feature is not just for the pros; it aims to give a lifeline for rookies who’d otherwise drown in jargon. By shadowing top dogs, copy traders get to win with the same P&L as whoever they clone. Lutz’s vision at BitMEX leans into this, with a “social-trust layer” connecting users to legit talent. BitMEX’s feature aims to make this smooth and reliable. Pick a winner, and let accounts grow. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy This Year Lutz’s Low Latency? Lutz’s “social-trust layer” sounds fancy, but it’s genius. With it, BitMEX is blending trading with community, letting you align with personalities you best go along with. It’s less lonely, more profitable, and way more fun. BitMEX’s promise of low latency means users’ copied trades will hit the market before the opportunity vanishes. Every second counts, and Lutz hopes this edge will make BitMEX the go-to for copy trading, leaving competitors behind. BitMEX could make crypto copy trading a staple in the industry. Stephan Lutz is steering this ship with a focus on what works: speed, trust, and ease. “Copy trading is common, but we want to fix key issues. One is latency – your copied trade must execute within milliseconds of the original. Otherwise, you’re chasing shadows. The issue is to offer a service and the server infrastructure to match. Second is the human element. Traders don’t just want top-performers; they want transparency. They want to follow people they trust—streamers, analysts, personalities they know. We’re building that social-trust layer, so copy trading becomes a confident, informed choice, not just an algorithmic click. The AI reports are for pros trying to fine-tune their edge. Copy trading is for newer or time-poor traders who want to trust someone else’s strategy. It’s more community-driven and social in design.” DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways You’re sipping coffee, barely awake, while trading wizards trade for you, banking profit. That’s crypto copy trading. BitMEX is coming with a copy trading platform, a feature scheduled to launch in July 2025. The post Bitmex CEO Targets Crypto Copy Trading: Is This Best Way to Get Rich in Crypto? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Overview: The US dollar was weak yesterday, but it has been pummeled today. It is down against the G10 currencies and all but the Russian ruble and Turkish lira among emerging market currencies. The proximate trigger of today's sell-off were news reports that a successor to Fed Chair Powell could be announced in a few months. The attempt to influence the Fed so directly does not set well with investors. In the Fed funds futures market, the odds of a July cut have crept up, but are around a 1-in-4 chance. However, there are now almost 63 bp of easing discounted before the end of the year. That is the most since early May. This, combined with the month/quarter end flows and the looming end of the respite from the so-called reciprocal tariffs (July 9) takes a toll. Most equity markets are higher. In the Asia Pacific area, China, Hong Kong, Australia, and South Korea were notable exceptions. Europe's Stoxx 600 is up about 0.25% near midday, after falling by nearly 0.75% yesterday. US index futures are 0.2%-0.4% higher. Benchmark 10-year yields are softer, though the two basis point rise in the Japanese government bond yield is the outlier. European rates are mostly 1-2 bp lower and the 10-year US Treasury yield is off a basis point to 4.28%. The expected year-end effective average for Fed funds is now 3.70%. This is the fifth session it is falling. It is 11 bp lower than at the end of last week. The US 10-year yield is also lower for the fifth consecutive session and is about 10 bp lower on the week. Gold prices are firmer, but the yellow metal continues to trade in Tuesday's range, as it did yesterday (~$3295-$3370). Similarly, August WTI also remains inside Tuesday's $64.0-$67.85 range. It was inside yesterday's range (~$64.50-$66.00), as well. USD: For the second time this week, the Dollar Index gapped lower today. Yesterday's low was about 97.65 and today's high is 97.60. The earlier gap (~98.27-98.35) created by Tuesday's low. DXY is fraying 97.00 in Europe, a new three-year low. Technically, there seems to be little to hang one's hat on until closer to 95.00. However, the intraday momentum indicators are stretched, and the lower Bollinger Band is near 97.40 now. The US has a busy economic diary today, and after yesterday's poor reception to the five-year note auction, the Treasury comes back today with a $44 bln of seven-year notes. May's goods trade report will draw interest. The postpone of the so-called reciprocal tariffs appears to have seen a surge in US imports, the mirror image of the strong exports reported by several Asian countries. May durable goods order were likely flattered by a surge in Boeing orders, but excluding aircraft and defense, orders are expected to have fallen for the second consecutive month. And more importantly for capex, shipment of those core durable goods also expected to have decline for the second consecutive month. With Q2 winding down, revisions to Q1 GDP will barely be noticed. After two days of Chair Powell's testimony, the Fed funds futures imply a little more than a 15% chance of a July cut, which is virtually unchanged since the US jobs report, though a smidgeon more than the day after the FOMC meeting concluded. September seems a more realistic time frame. EURO: The euro reached a marginal new three-year high of$1.1665 yesterday and fray the upper Bollinger Band. It has cut through $1.17 today like a hot knife in butter and reached almost $1.1745 in early European turnover. The upper Bollinger Band is slightly above $1.1690 now. There is little meaningful on the weekly charts until $1.19-$1.20. Meanwhile, with little fanfare, the US two-year premium over Germany from 213 bp at the start of last week to 193 now, the least since the end of April. It is narrowing for the fifth consecutive session. Similarly, the US 10-year premium has been whittled down to around 173 bp from 195 bp two weeks ago. It also has not been less since the end of April. After narrowing for the past five sessions, it has steadied today. CNY: The dollar fell to a new low since last November today near CNH7.1525. Its recovery began in the local session and reached CNH7.1660 in Europe. It would not be surprising to hear of state bank purchases of dollars. Nevertheless, the PBOC set the dollar's reference rate lower today (CNY7.1620 vs. CNY7.1668 yesterday). It has not set the dollar's reference higher for two consecutive sessions for three weeks. Separately, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervened to sell dollar and by Hong Kong dollars to defend the band. The Hong Kong dollar has been used as a funding currency and the intervention will also impact liquidity and firm HIBOR. JPY: While the euro and sterling rose to new three-year highs yesterday, the yen was the weakest among the G10 currencies, falling slightly against the US dollar. The greenback held above the 20-day moving average near JPY144.55 yesterday and recovered to almost JPY146. But the weaker greenback overwhelmed today and is reached JPY143.75, an eight-day low. Trendline support may be near JPY143.35 and the mid-June low was about JPY142.80, with the lower Bollinger Band around JPY142.65 today. Resistance is seen near JPY144.50. After buying the fourth most foreign bonds this year in the week through June 13 (~JPY1.57 trillion, or ~$10.9 bln), Japanese investors continued to buy foreign bonds last week. The MOF's weekly report showed they bought another JPY615.5 bln foreign bonds. Tomorrow Japan reports Tokyo CPI and retail sales. GBP: Sterling barely traded below $1.3600 yesterday and worked its way above $1.3670, setting a new three-year high. It also frayed the upper Bollinger Band, which comes in near $1.3700 today. Its gains have been extended to $1.3765 today. The next chart area of note is near $1.3830. Unlike the euro, sterling took out last week's low on Monday and has now risen above last week's highs. A close tomorrow above last week's high (~$1.3620) would be a bullish technical development. Some tried to link sterling's strength to reports that Shell was in "active talks" to acquire BP, but sterling's highs were recorded after Shell issued a denial. The euro-sterling cross was in a narrow range and settled little changed yesterday and remains subdued today. CAD: The greenback's session high yesterday was recorded as European markets were closing near CAD1.3755. It spent the North American afternoon mostly consolidating above CAD1.3720 in choppy turnover. It has backed off today and tested Tuesday's low near CAD1.3680. As is often the case in the falling US dollar environment, the Canadian dollar lags behind the other G10 currencies. The year's low was set on June 16 near CAD1.3540. Canada reports April GDP tomorrow. It is difficult to extrapolate the monthly GDP into the quarterly estimates. In Q1, the sum of the monthly GDP was 0.3% but the quarterly estimate of 2.2% annualized was about 0.55% quarter-over-quarter. A flat April would mean that the monthly prints showed a 0.1% contraction over the past three months. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 1% annualized contraction in Q2. Monetary policy was front-loaded. The Bank of Canada has signaled its monetary easing cycle is nearly over. The swaps market is pricing in another cut late this year. AUD: The Australian dollar has a three-day rally in tow, matching the longest in two months. It traded firmly in the upper end of Tuesday's range yesterday and reached the session high in late dealings to $0.6515. It has tested the more formidable resistance near $.06550 area. While the $0.6600 area may offer psychological resistance, the next important chart area is closer to $0.6700. Meanwhile, the Australia's two-year discount to the US is recovering after falling to a new 12-month low slightly more than 70 bp earlier this month. The discount now is slightly less than 60 bp. But the differential story does not appear to be critical now. The rolling 60-day correlation between changes in the Australian dollar and the Dollar Index has been hovering around 0.55 for the past two months. The 30-day correlation has been fairly stable around 0.70-0.75 since late last month. MXN: For at least the third time this year, peso demand emerged on knee-jerk dollar spikes higher. On Monday, the greenback spiked above MXN19.34. It reversed lower and fell slightly below MXN18.95 on Tuesday and below MXN18.90 yesterday. It is edged now toward MXN18.8665 today. The low since last August was seen 10 days ago near MXN18.8250. Below there, nearby support is around MXN18.80, and a break could target MXN18.60. It is an important day for Mexico. The May trade balance is due shortly and the outcome of the central bank meeting will be known later in session. Although Mexico reported two monthly trade deficits in the first four months of the year, it recorded a surplus of a little more than $1 bln compared with a deficit of $6.44 bln in the January-April 2024 period. Exports have risen by about 3.8% year-over-year through April, while imports have risen a little more than 0.5%. Chinese data shows it exported about 188k vehicles to Mexico between January-April 2025, making it the largest destination after auto exports to Russia dried up. The mostly small, energy efficient cars Mexico is buying from China do not face US competition. Nor are the cars Mexico exports to the US, Chinese made. To put the figures in perspective, note that Mexico exported 1.11 mln vehicles (mostly to the US) in the first four months of this year, which is little changed from the same period in 2024. Domestic Mexican car purchases were about 475k in the Jan-Apr period, giving China about a 40% market share. Meanwhile, Mexico CPI through the first half of June remains above the upper end of the 2-4% target range. Still, officials are more concerned about the faltering growth, and the central bank is widely expected to deliver another 50 bp cut today, which would being the overnight rate target to 8%. We expect it to signal a moderation of the easing pace going forward after four half-point cuts. The swaps market anticipates a terminal rate near 7.5%. Disclaimer

XRP spent the past forty-eight hours coiling into a textbook inflection zone, and the 15-minute chart published by independent analyst Casi makes it hard to miss where the battle lines now stand. Price is hovering at $2.18, clinging to a steeply rising trendline that has underpinned every impulsive thrust since the local swing low near the 0.618 retracement at $1.9824 on 23 June. That trendline intersects a horizontal shelf of former resistance-turned-support at the 1.618 extension measured from the same base move, labelled on the chart at $2.186. The confluence forms the geometric “apex of consolidation” Casi has been highlighting on X. XRP Price At Breaking Point “This trendline is everything right now,” Casi wrote. “We just got a clean reaction off it. This correction already reached the .382 retracement at $2.145, which also happens to be the apex of consolidation… that’s the most critical level on the chart, short-term.” The most recent corrective pullback already tagged the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the advance, exactly at $2.145, before bulls forced a reaction. As long as candles continue to close above that retracement—effectively the floor of the micro-range—Casi argues that the underlying market structure remains constructive. A decisive break beneath $2.145, by contrast, would represent both a loss of the diagonal trendline and a surrender of the consolidation base, signalling short-term weakness and, in his words, “opening the door to a deeper flush.” Overhead, XRP must still reckon with layered resistance. The first ceiling sits at $2.20, but the level called out as “the next big test” is the thicker pink band at $2.25. That mark capped price repeatedly during yesterday’s U.S. session and coincides with a prior 1.272 extension of the late-May corrective leg. “If we can flip that level, we’ll likely open the path toward the $2.69 retrace test,” Casi noted, “and from there, the breakout potential increases dramatically!” If price can reclaim $2.25 on expanding volume and then retest it as support, the chart leaves an unobstructed lane toward the 2.618 extension at $2.296—effectively $2.30—and, by projection, the $2.69 Fibonacci target that would complete the measured-move roadmap Casi is tracking. Momentum, however, is not yet offering a clean green light. The lower pane shows a 14-period RSI capped by its own descending trendline that has compressed every rally since 24 June. With the oscillator printing 46.24 (signal) versus 43.59 (base line) at the time of the screenshot, the gauge is climbing but still mid-range. A marginal higher high in price paired with a lower high in RSI would etch a textbook bearish divergence—an outcome Casi told one follower he is “expecting to set up” if XRP pierces $2.25 before consolidating anew. “I think this next high will form a bearish div,” he added. “The RSI is telling me it’s about to set that up.” In short, the token is balanced on a knife-edge: the bull case hinges on the integrity of the $2.145–$2.186 support complex and a breakout through $2.25, while the bear case rests on trendline failure and an RSI divergence confirming upside exhaustion. With liquidity thinning into the weekend, the resolution of this narrow consolidation could shape the next wave—whether that proves to be the ignition of a larger third impulse or the start of a deeper corrective detour. As Casi put it, “This is the kind of price action you want to see if XRP is serious about continuing this new trend to the upside.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.19.

SUI price has been rather slow in June, though some people are patiently waiting for another move up. The network seems to be healthy and usage growing. Is this enough to drive price higher? Does more usage mean more buyers of the coin? Usage is definitely an important metric, as well as stablecoin movements. Interestingly the 14 million SUI monthly stablecoin transactions is nearing Ethereum’s 16 million. More usage probably does mean more demand for the native coin SUI. At least what can be for sure is that fees are being paid. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Is SUI Price Getting Ready For a Massive Run? (SUIUSD) We will first look at the Weekly timeframe at the beginning of our analysis. What jumps out first is that the trend is bullish – higher highs and higher lows. It looks like the rejection at Yearly Open can be a lower high, though a lower one that keeps the structure could be within the FVG or a bit lower, then the price would be considered ranging or choppy. MA100 here could be a support level. Or another scenario, if we don’t go up after 5 consecutive red(blue on my chart) candles, is a test or sweep of the Yearly Low. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 (SUIUSD) Next, we take a look at the Daily timeframe. So far, there is a Daily FVG that got filled a few days ago with a bullish engulfing candle, taking the price above the zone. A potential sign of strength. As we see from April, prices can increase significantly in just a few days. There was a break in the structure during that pump. The drop below the moving averages is not pretty, and we’d like these to be reclaimed ASAP! DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Hourly Chart Exercise: Looking For Trade Setups (SUIUSD) Last, we will study the 1H (hourly) chart for entry setups, using price action and volume. Here, the price has dropped by tens of %, and we’re seeing some early buyer pressure. RSI is in an oversold area on the 21st of June, but the price makes another low. On that low (Monthly low), the RSI is a bit higher; there’s a small body and large wick underneath, followed by a Bullish Engulfing candle. Price moves slightly, followed by another 3 sell candles and clear buyer pressure again. Long entry triggered after the 2nd Bullish Engulfing candle, providing a 2R profit. See how buyer pressure sustains over the next few days/weeks. Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates SUI Price Movements: Is It A Good Trade For 2025? Daily FVG from April filled, followed by Bullish Engulfing candle 2024 Weekly FVG might not be tested, though we keep it as plausible Price needs to move above 1D Moving Averages Demand visible on 1H timeframe The post SUI Price Teases Ethereum Kill Shot: Is SUI Crypto The Best Trade For 2025? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

EUR/USD is rallying today early in the London session and trades around the ~1.17173 level, up ~0.47%. As a new wave of dollar weakness sweeps the markets, EUR/USD hopes to continue a 5-day winning streak in today’s session. EUR/USD: Key takeaways from today’s session A recent renewal of dollar weakness is allowing EUR/USD to extend gains, and currently trades at 45-month highsFollowing recent Fed commentary suggesting inflation is becoming a secondary issue compared to labour market stability, markets keenly await US jobless claims data later today close EUR/USD, OANDA, TradingView, 26/06/2025 EUR/USD, OANDA, TradingView, 26/06/2025 Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

US prices jump more than 3%, opening up massive $1,600 per tonne gap between US and LME copper prices with Goldman Sachs predicting more gains to come. Copper for delivery in September rose more than 3% to a high of $5.1650 per pound or $11,367 per tonne in overnight trading on the Comex market on Thursday as US markets pull in buyers ahead of likely tariffs. In February, the White House directed the US Commerce Department to investigate the need for import tariffs on the bellwether metal, with a report due within 270 days. That triggered a surge in US-bound shipments. Pre-emptive buying in the US opened up a massive gap between US and London Metal Exchange prices. Copper rose a more modest 0.6% to $9,767 per tonne on the LME in early trading in London on Thursday. CLICK ON CHART FOR LIVE PRICES In a note quoted by Bloomberg, investment bank Goldman Sachs said it expected LME prices to rise to a 2025 peak of roughly $10,050 a tonne in August, as supplies outside the US continue to tighten. “The ex-US copper market has tightened, causing fears of a regional copper shortage despite the global market currently being in surplus,” Goldman said, adding that once the expected 25% import levies are implemented in September, copper prices should retreat to under $10,000 again. Ready to ship inventories on the LME have declined about 80% this year to less than a day of global usage, prompting steep backwardation and a surge in exports by Chinese smelters. The premium for the cash copper contract over the three-month forward dropped to $94 a tonne on Wednesday from $280 on Monday as news of the exports filtered through to the market. Like other markets, the copper price has been on a wild ride in 2025, hitting all-time highs at the end of March only to come dangerously close to crashing through $4.00 barely a fortnight later. Year to date the orange metal remains up just over 25%.

After suffering a major price crash back during the weekend, the Ethereum price has enjoyed an over 10% bounce that has put it back above major support levels. However, even with the recovery, the altcoin sits on shaky ground with geopolitical and macroeconomic factors still unstable. On the charts, there is also uncertainty as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has failed to make any definitive moves from here, showing inconsistencies in movement. Ethereum Price Struggling At EMA Crypto analyst Swallow Academy noted that the Ethereum price has returned to trading at its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) earlier in the week after bouncing from its weekend lows. This has been referred to as the level of interest and sits around the $2,400 level, which has served as major support in the past. The harsh drop from the weekend that pushed ETH from $2,500 to $2,150 has no doubt dented sentiment and sparked caution among investors. But the retest of the EMA at $2,400 suggests that buyers are still exerting their force and have been pushing up the price. Given these recent developments, the crypto analyst explains that it is currently a waiting game for the Ethereum price. From here, it could go either way, as confirmation is needed for which direction it is headed next. A breakout from here could move it back above the $2,800 resistance. However, a crash could be confirmation of rejection, sending Ethereum spiraling back toward lows at $2,000. Mapping Out Next Steps As the Ethereum price continues to show signs of continuation, crypto analysts have begun to map out where the altcoin might be headed next. Mister Spread pointed to the fact that Ethereum had actually shown a bullish Power of 3 (PO3), consisting of accumulation, deviation, and expansion. The accumulation phase has been completed, and is now in the phase of deviation, explaining the price crash. Now, the price seems to already be breaking out of the deviation box, suggesting that the expansion phase will be coming sooner than expected. Once the expansion phase is in motion, the crypto analyst expects the Ethereum price to move back into the supply area of $2,800-$3,000. However, if the price fails to climb and falls back below $2,100, then this bullish thesis would be invalidated.

MicroStrategy is closing in on S&P 500 inclusion, but there’s a catch. The Bitcoin price has to stay above $95,240 through the end of June. Six days left. One price target. So… will it be WW3 that kills the price? Or maybe an unforeseen asteroid? Everything rides on BTC holding the line. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.14T24h7d30d1yAll time Bitcoin Price is Key to MicroStrategy’s S&P 500 Aspirations Financial analyst Jeff Walton pegs MicroStrategy’s chances of joining the S&P 500 at a staggering 91%, a prediction tightly linked to Bitcoin’s price resilience. For the company to qualify, it needs four consecutive quarters of positive earnings, which is influenced by its massive 592,345 BTC stash. …dang, that’s a lot of Bitcoin. Even so, the $95,240 support remains a dangerous cliff edge. Walton states, “To be considered for the S&P 500, a company must report cumulative positive earnings across the past four quarters.” This year, MicroStrategy embraced Accounting Standards Update (ASU 2023-08), and with it, Bitcoin’s role in the company’s financial health skyrocketed. The update lets unrealized BTC gains and losses impact net income, linking the cryptocurrency’s price directly to MicroStrategy’s earnings narrative. For a company with S&P 500 ambitions, Bitcoin is MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor’s lifeline. Broader Market Dynamics in Play For Bitcoin Price The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 1.54% this month, a surprising slip when global crises usually boost its safe-haven appeal. This time it’s BTC ▲0.88% showing that strength. “The dollar index is dabbling in new cycle lows… fiat is fading,” macroeconomist Lyn Alden pointed out. (DXY) Bitcoin’s recovery after the latest conflict cements its reputation as a robust hedge, holding firm during this wave of risk-off sentiment and keeping crypto bulls in control. MicroStrategy Could Redefine Crypto in the S&P 500 A stable Bitcoin through June 30 could clear the way for MicroStrategy to become the second crypto-tied firm in the S&P 500 this year, after Coinbase. Such a move could spark a trend, with other companies adopting similar crypto-forward strategies. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways MicroStrategy is closing in on S&P 500 inclusion, but there’s a catch. The Bitcoin price has to stay above $95,240 through the end of June. If Bitcoin stays steady through the end of June, MicroStrategy is poised to join Coinbase as the second crypto-linked company in the S&P. The post Is Bitcoin Price Set to Land on the S&P500 This Year: Is BTC About To Be Indexed? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Melania coin is going to the moon. Oh, wait, scratch that and reverse it. We’re now seeing a Melania scandal with her own crypto coin. MELANIA coin has shed 39% of its value in record time, a downfall linked to LookOnChain’s discovery that its executives offloaded 8.22% of the supply for a hefty $35.7 million in Solana (SOL). Now, doubts around transparency and trust have left investors in the lurch, adding to the growing skepticism surrounding celebrity-fronted cryptocurrency projects. Melania MemePriceMarket CapMELANIA$33.92M24h7d30d1yAll time Melania Scandal: Insider Sell-offs Tank MELANIA Coin Why is the first lady rugging her investors? The data shows 82.18 million MELANIA tokens were offloaded across 44 wallets. This coordinated selling flooded the market, pushing the price down by 69% over three months. Notably, MELANIA is now 98.35% below its all-time high of $13.05, reached on January 20, 2025. Sell pressure from insiders was compounded by the token’s ongoing unlock schedule. With 620 million tokens circulating out of nearly 1 billion total, unlocks of the remaining 379 million could only worsen the price action. Can MELANIA Recover? The dramatic collapse of Donald Trump’s meme coin serves as a perfect parallel here, with its value down almost 90% from its glory days. Hype has always been the lifeblood of celebrity-affiliated tokens, but without tangible utility, they seem destined for the same volatile end. MELANIA’s meltdown has spotlighted the uneasy marriage between celebrities and cryptocurrency. Moreover, without tangible use cases, MELANIA leaves investors exposed to the volatility of hype-driven markets and insider meddling. Celebrity Meme Coins and a Troubling Pattern After Melania Scandal (CoinGecko) MELANIA’s downfall mirrors Donald Trump’s ill-fated crypto experiment, proving that even the POTUS and FLOTUS can rug the American people. It’s such a sadness. Celebrity-endorsed meme tokens tend to crash as quickly as they gain traction, leaving most backers financially ruined when sell-offs inevitably kick in. For anyone still eyeing MELANIA, its price nosedive and insider-selling accusations are glaring red flags. Meme coins with no real utility are magnets for manipulation. 99Bitcoin’s analysts are urging caution that research is essential, and only disposable income should be risked. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways MELANIA coin has shed 39% of its value in record time, a downfall linked to LookOnChain’s discovery that its executives offloaded 8.22% of the supply for a hefty $35.7 million in Solana (SOL). Trump and Melania’s coins are looking like dying coins. It’s such a sadness.. The post Melania Scandal: 39% Drop Hits Melania Trump Coin as Big Holders Exit appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

🇨🇳🏦 Shanghai Gold Exchange amplia atuação global com novos contratos de ouro e depósito internacional em Hong Kong 📅 Publicado em 26 de junho de 2025 ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE A Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) anunciou, nesta quinta-feira (26), uma nova etapa em sua internacionalização com a listagem de dois contratos de ouro em Hong Kong — os iPAu99.99HK e iPAu99.5HK — e a abertura de um depósito internacional designado nas instalações do Bank of China (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd.. A medida reforça a ambição da China em consolidar sua influência no mercado global de ouro, com implicações diretas para o mercado físico e o par XAU/USD. 📌 Detalhes principais dos contratos listados A partir de 26 de junho de 2025 , os dois novos contratos de ouro — iPAu99. 99HK e iPAu99. 5HK — estarão disponíveis para negociação. As regras de negociação e liquidação seguirão o modelo de "negociação por consulta" já vigente na bolsa. Além disso, a SGE também implementou isenção de taxas logísticas e de armazenagem até dezembro de 2025 para clientes e membros internacionais que operarem a partir do novo depósito em Hong Kong. Isso inclui: 💰 Isenção de taxas de entrada, saída e armazenagem 📦 Entregas físicas permitidas diretamente no novo depósito ✅ Adoção do manual específico: "Diretrizes para Entrega de Ouro no Depósito Designado em Hong Kong" 🧭 O que esperar dessa iniciativa A expansão da infraestrutura da SGE fora da China continental representa um passo estratégico para transformar Hong Kong em um hub internacional de liquidação física de ouro, rivalizando com Londres e Nova York — os centros ocidentais tradicionais do metal precioso. O movimento também pode atrair compradores institucionais da Ásia, Oriente Médio e BRICS, que buscam alternativas à custódia ocidental, especialmente em meio às crescentes tensões geopolíticas envolvendo os EUA, Irã, Rússia e o enfraquecimento da confiança nas instituições financeiras ocidentais. 💥Impacto do ouro no mercado (XAU/USD) Essa abertura da SGE em Hong Kong pode produzir implicações estruturais para o preço do ouro, com foco em: Desdolarização do comércio de ouro físico – O aumento do uso do yuan como moeda de liquidação em contratos fora dos EUA fortalece o papel da China no sistema monetário global. Aumento da demanda física por ouro na Ásia – A nova facilidade de entrega pode gerar aumento na procura por contratos com liquidação física, com impacto sobre os estoques de Comex e LBMA. Pressão sobre o XAU/USD em médio e longo prazo – A consolidação de um polo asiático de liquidação física tende a reduzir a dominância do preço papel (derivativos) no controle do preço à vista, possivelmente levando o XAU/USD a patamares mais elevados com base na escassez real. 📊 Contexto estratégico da China Essa iniciativa faz parte de uma agenda mais ampla de repatriação de ouro, acúmulo por bancos centrais e criação de infraestrutura paralela ao sistema financeiro dominado por Washington. É uma resposta direta aos riscos geopolíticos crescentes e à utilização do dólar como ferramenta de sanções. Desde 2022, a China tem aumentado agressivamente suas compras de ouro via PBoC, além de incentivar o comércio em moedas locais com parceiros do Sul Global. Essa movimentação da SGE é a institucionalização desse processo. 🔎 Conclusão e leitura institucional A listagem dos novos contratos iPAu99. 99HK e iPAu99. 5HK , aliada à instalação de um depósito físico internacional em Hong Kong, é mais do que uma inovação logística: trata-se de uma movimentação estratégica da China para solidificar seu papel como árbitro de preço físico global do ouro . ❗️Para traders de XAU/USD e investidores institucionais, é fundamental acompanhar os fluxos futuros de entrega física via SGE Hong Kong e possíveis distorções entre os preços futuros (COMEX) e o preço físico asiático. 🔁 Retorne ao nosso site para análises contínuas e insights exclusivos sobre ouro, geopolítica e fluxo institucional. 📥 Inscreva-se no Clube ExpertFX para acessar relatórios premium em tempo real. Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE ExpertFX School | www.expertfxschool.com 📎 Fontes: Bolsa de Ouro de Xangai (26/06/2025), Banco da China (HK), Conselho Mundial do Ouro ( ARQUIVOS EM ANEXO ) 📈 Impactos baseados em leitura institucional e análise do fluxo macroeconômico global 691e9182039d4a8887ba7ad6ee58a838.docx b1d82737c87640ab9a090e3ce64e61d8.docx

📊 EUA: Projeções de Alta do S&P 500 Ganham Atualização após Alvo de 6.116 ser Alcançado Montana revisa cenário de mercado e avalia novos riscos para a bolsa americana Por Igor Pereira | Analista de Mercado – ExpertFX School Em 27 de março de 2024, analistas da Montana Asset Management projetaram que o índice S&P 500 poderia atingir 6.116 pontos – uma previsão considerada otimista à época, dada a instabilidade inflacionária, os juros elevados e a pressão geopolítica. Agora, com o índice oscilando próximo a essa marca, a mesma equipe volta a atualizar sua visão sobre o mercado americano. Segundo o relatório mais recente publicado pela Montana o cenário para o S&P 500 passou por uma inflexão importante, e a gestora adota tom mais cauteloso, apontando que: 🧭 Pontos-chave da análise da Montana S&P 500 alcançou projeção-alvo de 6.116 pontos, sugerida em março de 2024; A atual precificação reflete expectativas mais do que fundamentos concretos; O avanço pode ter sido impulsionado pela antecipação de cortes de juros pelo Federal Reserve, mas a inflação ainda persiste; Valuation elevado e enfraquecimento de surpresas econômicas positivas aumentam o risco de correção; Setores como tecnologia e consumo lideraram a alta, mas já demonstram sinais de exaustão técnica. 📉 O que esperar do mercado? Com a aproximação do segundo semestre de 2025, os riscos macroeconômicos para os EUA incluem: Fator Impacto Potencial Atraso nos cortes de juros pelo Fed Pressão sobre múltiplos elevados Reaceleração da inflação Redução na confiança do mercado Tensões geopolíticas (Irã, China) Aumento da aversão ao risco Forte valorização do dólar Pressão sobre lucros corporativos exportadores Segundo Montana AM, "o mercado precifica perfeição", mas qualquer desvio – seja em inflação, crescimento ou política monetária – pode gerar realocação agressiva de portfólios, elevando volatilidade. 📌 Avaliação Técnica e Fundamental A estrutura técnica do S&P 500 mostra sinais de esgotamento de curto prazo, com divergências negativas nos principais indicadores de momentum, como RSI e MACD. Por outro lado, do ponto de vista fundamental, a revisão para baixo nos lucros por ação (EPS) em alguns setores-chave levanta preocupações quanto à sustentabilidade dos preços. 🧠 Análise do especialista 🔎 Conclusão A visão da Montana AM representa uma transição clara do otimismo técnico para uma abordagem mais defensiva e baseada em fundamentos, especialmente com os riscos de desaceleração global e incertezas sobre a trajetória dos juros nos EUA. 👉 Traders devem observar com atenção sinais de reversão técnica e ajustes nos forward earnings. Um pullback pode gerar oportunidades pontuais de hedge e realocação setorial. Para mais análises sobre o S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq e índices globais, continue acompanhando o portal ExpertFX School.

🇺🇸 SEC sinaliza liberação de resgates "in-kind" para ETFs de Criptomoedas Comissão pode autorizar resgate direto em criptoativos, o que pode transformar o mercado de ETFs nos EUA Por Igor Pereira | Analista de Mercado – ExpertFX School A comissária da Comissão de Valores Mobiliários dos Estados Unidos (SEC), Hester Peirce, conhecida por seu posicionamento pró-inovação, declarou nesta terça-feira (25) que “não está longe” o momento em que os ETFs de criptomoedas nos EUA permitirão resgates em espécie, ou seja, resgates feitos diretamente em criptoativos, como Bitcoin ou Ethereum, em vez de dólares. A fala ocorreu durante um painel regulatório, e sinaliza uma possível mudança estrutural no funcionamento dos ETFs de cripto, que atualmente são obrigados a operar apenas com resgates em dinheiro (cash redemption), limitando o envolvimento direto com o ativo subjacente. ✅ O que são resgates "in-kind"? Nos ETFs tradicionais, como os de ações ou ouro, resgates "in-kind" permitem que investidores institucionais recebam o ativo físico ou equivalente — por exemplo, barras de ouro ou ações — ao invés de dinheiro. No caso dos cripto-ETFs, essa possibilidade abriria espaço para o investidor receber criptoativos reais ao sair do fundo, reduzindo fricções e custos operacionais. 🧩 Impactos para o mercado A possível liberação de resgates em criptoativos (in-kind) pode representar: Maior liquidez institucional para o mercado spot de Bitcoin e Ethereum; Menor pressão de venda sobre os próprios ETFs em momentos de grandes saídas; Redução de custos operacionais e spreads, aumentando a eficiência dos fundos; Possível reprecificação dos ETFs de cripto, dado o valor adicional do acesso direto ao ativo; Aumento do interesse de arbitradores e market makers, que poderão operar com mais liberdade. 📈 Oportunidades e riscos Oportunidades Riscos Potenciais Ampliação do uso institucional de cripto Complexidade regulatória e tributária Desintermediação e menor fricção Volatilidade no resgate direto em ativos voláteis Redução de tracking error dos ETFs Preocupações com custódia e segurança dos ativos 💬 Análise do especialista 🔎 O que esperar? A expectativa do mercado agora se volta para: Uma consulta pública formal da SEC ou atualização das diretrizes regulatórias para ETFs cripto; Reações de emissores como BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale e Ark Invest, que podem adaptar seus fundos; Possível aumento de capital e captação para ETFs com suporte técnico ao modelo in-kind; Efeitos indiretos sobre a liquidez global de criptoativos, em especial Bitcoin e Ethereum. 📡 Continue acompanhando a ExpertFX School para atualizações sobre regulamentações cripto, ETFs e inovações financeiras nos Estados Unidos.

Despite recovering from the weekend retrace, Solana (SOL) is trading between two levels that could make or break the altcoin’s rally. Nonetheless, some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency could be gearing up for a massive breakout beyond the local highs. Solana Sits At Decisive Level On Wednesday, Solana fell to the $143 mark after failing to reclaim a crucial area lost over a week ago. Following the May breakout, the cryptocurrency hovered between the $148-$184 price range, hitting a four-month high of $187 at the end of last month. However, the June market pullback saw SOL lose its range and move toward the $144-$148 levels. This area was briefly lost during the weekend retrace, with Solana falling to the $125 support level before recovering. Over the past three days, the altcoin has surged nearly 15%, touching the $148 barrier on Wednesday morning, which has been one of the key levels since May. After recovering from the recent drop, SOL has attempted to reclaim this level, but was rejected once again. Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted that Solana “just completed a very nice V-shaped recovery from the low,” but noted that the cryptocurrency is at a “very delicate level” as it trades within the $144-$148 zone. He suggested that investors should pay attention to this area, as a reclaim of the $148 resistance could propel the price to a “quick move to the upside.” On the contrary, rejection from this level and losing the $144 range low could signal that the recent price action was a bearish retest. Analyst Man of Bitcoin affirmed that a “sustained break above the resistance zone would be the first signal that the chart has formed a low. He detailed that a confirmed break above the $148 resistance would support the case for a reversal. Nonetheless, he warned that a potential scenario “with one more low in wave-5.” SOL Ready For A Rally Continuation? As price hovers between the $143-$144 levels, market watcher Altcoin Hunter considers that SOL is “dancing with the devil.” He pointed out that the cryptocurrency has been trading within a one-month falling wedge, with the $148-$150 rejection zone “coming in HOT.” Per the post, failing to break out will send Solana “back to the shadow realm,” but “given how easily market sentiment shot up, Valhalla is likely.” Meanwhile, trader Rose Premium Signals stated that the cryptocurrency is “preparing for a strong breakout” from its one-month falling wedge pattern. The market watcher that Solana bounced from the crucial $125-$130 demand zone, which is in confluence with the 0.618 Fib level. Notably, the altcoin held above this area on the weekly timeframe despite the pullback. According to the trader, a breakout from the formation could trigger a “sharp move upward” toward the initial $204 target, potentially followed by a surge toward the $229 and $258 areas. As of this writing, Solana is trading at $143, a 1.3% decline in the daily timeframe.

📉 Dólar em queda: Índice DXY atinge menor nível desde março de 2022 Enfraquecimento do dólar reflete expectativas de corte de juros, tensões geopolíticas e mudanças no fluxo global de capitais Por Igor Pereira | Analista de Mercado – ExpertFX School O Índice Dólar (DXY) — que mede o valor do dólar americano frente a uma cesta de moedas fortes (euro, iene, libra, franco suíço, dólar canadense e coroa sueca) — despencou para o nível mais baixo desde março de 2022, gerando alerta entre investidores globais e analistas macroeconômicos. Este movimento acende discussões importantes sobre os fundamentos do dólar, o comportamento dos bancos centrais, e os possíveis impactos sobre ativos como ouro (XAU/USD), commodities, moedas emergentes e Bitcoin. 📊 Causas da Queda do DXY A desvalorização recente do dólar é impulsionada por três vetores principais: 1. 🏦 Expectativa de Corte de Juros pelo Federal Reserve As declarações recentes do presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, indicam que o banco central está em modo de espera e observação, mas pode cortar juros antes do esperado caso a inflação tarifária não se materialize. Com o mercado precificando dois cortes até dezembro, os rendimentos dos Treasuries vêm caindo, o que reduz a atratividade do dólar frente a outras moedas. 2. 🌍 Tensões Geopolíticas e Fiscal Dominance Com os conflitos no Oriente Médio se intensificando e os EUA enfrentando crescentes pressões fiscais, cresce o receio de que o país esteja caminhando para um regime de "dominância fiscal", no qual o Fed se vê forçado a manter juros baixos para viabilizar o financiamento da dívida pública. A campanha pública de Donald Trump contra Jerome Powell e os recentes comentários agressivos sobre a independência do Fed também contribuem para aumentar o prêmio de risco político embutido no dólar. 3. 🪙 Desdolarização e Fluxos Internacionais Movimentos recentes de venda de Treasuries por China e Japão, além de apelos na Europa para repatriar reservas de ouro armazenadas nos EUA, reforçam a tendência estrutural de diversificação cambial. A correlação entre o enfraquecimento do dólar e a alta do ouro (atualmente em $3.349) mostra que investidores institucionais estão buscando hedges contra a deterioração da moeda americana. 💥 Impactos nos Mercados Ativo Impacto Esperado Ouro (XAU/USD) Forte impulso altista devido à fuga do dólar Euro (EUR/USD) Ganha força relativa com a fraqueza do DXY Moedas emergentes Valorização temporária frente ao USD Commodities (petróleo, cobre) Alta devido ao efeito dólar fraco Bitcoin (BTC) Beneficiado como hedge não soberano 📌 O que esperar? O dólar pode continuar em trajetória de enfraquecimento caso: A inflação tarifária não se materialize nos próximos meses; O mercado de trabalho continue desacelerando; O Fed confirme cortes na taxa básica já no segundo semestre; A instabilidade geopolítica siga elevando a demanda por ativos reais. Entretanto, um eventual choque de oferta de petróleo, escalada militar no Oriente Médio ou reversão hawkish do Fed poderiam reverter parte desse movimento. 🧠 Conclusão do analista 📲 Para mais atualizações sobre política monetária, macroeconomia e mercados globais, continue acompanhando o site ExpertFX School e o Clube ExpertFX.

Barclays is putting a stop to crypto purchases made with credit cards, and the change kicks in this Friday on June 27th. Customers will no longer be able to use their Barclays credit cards to buy digital assets like Bitcoin or Ethereum, either directly or through apps that offer crypto services. It’s a notable move from one of the UK’s biggest banks and adds to a growing list of restrictions being placed on how everyday users can access crypto. The Thinking Behind the Ban Barclays says the decision comes down to customer safety. With crypto prices swinging sharply and scams still a concern, the bank has decided that using borrowed money to chase volatile digital assets just doesn’t make sense. While the bank hasn’t shut down crypto access entirely, it’s drawing a clear line between spending cash you have and taking on debt to make a speculative bet. This change also brings Barclays in line with what other UK banks have already done. Santander, NatWest, Halifax, and Lloyds have all blocked crypto purchases via credit cards over the past year. For banks, it’s less about opposing crypto and more about limiting the financial risk tied to unsecured borrowing in a market that remains unpredictable. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What Customers Can Expect If you’re a Barclays customer and you’ve used your credit card to buy crypto, that option will be off the table by the end of the week. The bank is notifying users through its app and online banking services so that no one is caught by surprise. Debit card purchases and bank transfers will still work as usual, so customers aren’t being locked out of crypto entirely. But they will need to use funds they already have, not borrowed ones. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.13T24h7d30d1yAll time The ban also applies to cash advances used to fund crypto purchases on third-party platforms. So even if the purchase isn’t directly made through a crypto exchange, if the bank sees that credit is being used for crypto-related activity, it will likely block the transaction. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in June2025 Part of a Bigger Picture This decision is not happening in isolation. UK regulators, especially the Financial Conduct Authority, have been vocal about the risks of crypto investing, particularly when people use borrowed money. Reports have shown a rise in crypto-related debt complaints, with consumers falling into financial trouble after betting on price moves that didn’t work out. Source: Shutterstock The FCA has been urging financial institutions to take a closer look at how customers are exposed to crypto. Some of that pressure is now translating into real policy shifts. Barclays’ new restriction is just the latest example of that trend. Where This Could Lead It wouldn’t be surprising if more banks in the UK follow suit in the coming weeks. Some already have similar policies in place, and others are reviewing their stance. Outside the UK, banks in Europe are also starting to reconsider how credit card products interact with digital assets. In the United States, the conversation is more fragmented, but the regulatory attention is growing there too. As crypto continues to move into the mainstream, financial institutions are trying to figure out where they stand. For now, Barclays is drawing a clear boundary. Borrowing to buy crypto is off the table. If you want to invest, you’ll have to do it with your own money. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Barclays will block all credit card crypto purchases starting June 27, affecting both direct buys and transactions through third-party apps. The bank cites customer safety and market volatility as the main reasons for banning crypto purchases made with borrowed funds. Debit card and bank transfer options will still be available for crypto buys, but customers must use their own funds. Barclays joins other UK banks like Santander and NatWest in restricting crypto buys via credit, in line with regulator pressure. This move reflects a growing trend of banks limiting credit-based exposure to crypto due to rising concerns about risk and debt. The post Barclays Bans Credit Card Crypto Buys Starting June 27th appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

A group of South Korea’s top commercial banks is taking a major step toward launching a stablecoin tied to the Korean won. A consortium including KB Kookmin, Shinhan, Woori, Nonghyup, Industrial Bank of Korea, Suhyup, Citi Korea, and Standard Chartered Korea is leading the plan. Their goal is to bring a bank-issued digital won to market by the end of 2025 or early 2026. The idea behind this collaboration is to offer an alternative to the rising dominance of dollar-based stablecoins like USDT and USDC. Traders and users across South Korea’s crypto ecosystem have widely used these foreign assets, often to fill gaps in payments and trading. But with nearly 57 trillion won worth of dollar stablecoin trade volume moving through the country in the first quarter of 2025, local banks are clearly looking to take back control. Domestic Push for Monetary Control This stablecoin initiative is closely tied to growing concerns about monetary sovereignty. Financial authorities and lawmakers are becoming uneasy about how much influence foreign-denominated digital assets now have on local transactions. Some view it as a gradual loss of national control, especially since private firms outside Korea issue and manage the currency used by Korean traders and consumers. Banks working on the won-backed stablecoin are being supported by the Open Blockchain and DID Association, along with the Korea Financial Telecommunications and Clearings Institute. These institutions are handling technical development and potential regulatory models. Two structures are being considered. One would involve holding user funds in trust, while the other would issue tokens directly against customer deposits. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Central Bank Reactions The Bank of Korea has responded cautiously. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai said any rollout should begin with licensed commercial banks and only later expand to other firms. Governor Rhee Chang-yong acknowledged the potential upside of a domestic stablecoin but also flagged possible side effects. One concern is that making it easier to exchange between stablecoins might actually increase demand for dollar-backed assets, not reduce it. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.13T24h7d30d1yAll time The central bank is already working on its own wholesale CBDC model for institutions. However, it appears willing to let commercial banks take the lead on a retail-facing stablecoin, as long as the rules are clear and the process is gradual. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Laying the Ground for Regulation The stablecoin rollout also aligns with a broader legislative effort. The Democratic Party is advancing the Digital Asset Basic Act to define and regulate digital assets, including stablecoins. Lawmakers expect this law to set the foundation for how these tokens can be issued, who can manage them, and what level of transparency is required. Source: Shutterstock At the same time, some banks like KB Kookmin have already filed trademarks for names such as KBKRW and KRWST, indicating that development is well underway. Legal reviews and compliance checks are still in progress, but if everything stays on schedule, pilots could begin in late 2025. Looking Ahead South Korea is not the only country exploring this route. Japan is rolling out bank-backed stablecoins under its own regulatory framework, and Europe is moving forward under MiCA. What sets South Korea apart is the scale and speed of coordination between major banks. By moving together, they hope to launch something trusted, regulated, and fully backed by Korean financial institutions. Whether this stablecoin ends up reshaping local payments or simply coexists with dollar tokens will depend on how it’s received by users and how effectively regulators and banks handle its launch. What is clear is that South Korea is preparing to take a more active role in how digital money works inside its borders. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates South Korea’s top banks plan to launch a won-backed stablecoin by late 2025 or early 2026, aiming to reduce reliance on dollar-based tokens like USDT and USDC. Regulators are pushing the move to curb foreign digital assets and protect monetary sovereignty. The Bank of Korea supports a gradual rollout starting with licensed banks, while continuing to develop its own wholesale CBDC model. The project aligns with the upcoming Digital Asset Basic Act, which will define stablecoin rules, issuance rights, and transparency requirements. Companies have already filed trademarks like KBKRW and KRWST. This suggests that the technical and legal groundwork for South Korea’s first major bank-issued stablecoin is well underway. The post South Korea’s Biggest Banks Join Forces on Won-Backed Stablecoin appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

The recent two-day risk-on rally in the US stock market showed signs of fatigue as attention turns to upcoming economic data, Fed policy guidance, and tariff-related developments. Market participants are now eyeing the expiration of the White House’s 90-day pause on reciprocal global tariffs (excluding China), set for 9 July. close Fig 2: Japan 225 CFD Index minor trend as of 26 June 2025 (Source: TradingView) Fig 2: Japan 225 CFD Index minor trend as of 26 June 2025 (Source: TradingView) The price actions of the Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy for the Nikkei 225 futures) have staged a bullish breakout from a 7-week “Ascending Triangle” range configuration, previously in place since 13 May 2025 that indicates the start of a potential multi-week impulsive up move sequence within its medium-term uptrend phase in place since 7 April 2025 low. The hourly RSI momentum indicator has reached an extreme overbought level of 81.20, the highest since 28 May 2025, which suggests that the Japan 225 CFD Index may stage a minor pull-back at this juncture before resuming its bullish impulsive up move. Watch the intermediate support at 39,145 and the 38,850 key short-term pivotal support to hold the minor pull-back movements with the next intermediate resistances coming in at 39,830, and 40,280 (15 October/30 December 2024 swing high areas (see Fig 2). On the flip side, failure to hold above 38,850 invalidates the bullish breakout scenario for the continuation of the choppy corrective decline sequence to expose the next intermediate supports at 38,600 and 38,150/38,035 (also the 20-day and 200-day moving averages). Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.