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Oil is known to be a volatile commodity, and hasn't failed to show some movement in the past few weeks. After consolidating in a two month $60.5 to $64 range, increasing tensions in US-Iran nuclear talk led to a breakout to $67 and shortly after, Israel attacked Iran which brought black gold 15% higher again, touching $78.40 – levels not seen since January 2025. There had been a theme of higher supply and fears of a slower global economic activity which had been holding prices down, but amid geopolitical turmoil (particularly in the Middle East), price dynamics have evolved. The question now is: What are the factors that will be moving Oil in the upcoming weeks? There has been a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which led to a tumble in prices – Is the ceasefire going to hold? How much will Iran be allowed to export to China? Any new tensions in producing countries that would lead to a rebound in prices? – The Ukraine-Russia conflict is still ongoing. Is economic activity going to hold despite a lack of concrete progress in US Trade talks? Stay in touch with the latest macroeconomic news to see any change to Oil fundamentals. In the meantime, let's take a look at an in-depth technical analysis to spot levels of interest for trading. Read More: Pound Surges to 3-year highs amid broad Dollar weakness Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Ethereum has bounced back sharply, reclaiming the $2,400 level after a volatile week marked by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Last weekend, ETH briefly dipped below the $2,200 mark as panic selling swept across global markets following US attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities. The sell-off triggered a sharp fakeout that briefly pushed ETH out of its multi-week trading range. However, bulls are regaining control, and Ethereum’s price action now signals the early stages of a potential recovery rally. Top analyst Ted Pillows shared a technical analysis highlighting that Ethereum is reclaiming the key $2,444 resistance level — a zone that previously acted as both support and resistance throughout May and June. If bulls maintain momentum above this threshold, it could open the door for a bullish continuation toward the higher end of the established range. While uncertainty remains due to lingering macroeconomic and geopolitical risks, Ethereum’s current structure shows renewed strength. Market participants are watching closely, as ETH often serves as a leading indicator for broader altcoin performance. Holding above $2,400 could become a catalyst for a broader rally, especially if Bitcoin continues to stabilize and approach new all-time highs. Ethereum Battles For Breakout As Market Awaits Direction Ethereum is trading at a critical juncture after a turbulent week of price action driven by geopolitical instability and macroeconomic uncertainty. Following a sharp drop below $2,200 amid panic selling over the Middle East conflict escalation, ETH has recovered significantly, now hovering around the $2,444 level. This price zone is key, not only as a technical resistance but also as a sentiment marker for traders watching for signs of a trend reversal or confirmation of a deeper pullback. Analysts remain divided on what comes next. Some believe Ethereum’s recent recovery could signal the beginning of a bullish continuation, especially if price action holds and pushes above the upper range levels near $2,600. A breakout from this zone would indicate renewed strength and could set the tone for a broader altcoin rally, particularly as Ethereum often leads sector momentum. Others, however, warn that the recovery might be short-lived, and a retreat to lower demand zones could occur if macro conditions worsen. Ted Pillows notes that Ethereum is currently reclaiming the $2,444 resistance level. He emphasizes that bullish continuation into the range highs is necessary to confirm breakout strength. Until then, traders are watching closely, as any rejection at this level could shift momentum back to the downside. With global tensions and monetary tightening from central banks continuing to influence markets, the coming weeks may determine whether ETH enters a new uptrend or retreats further into its long-standing consolidation range. ETH Faces Long-Term Resistance The weekly chart of Ethereum (ETH/USD) shows a strong recovery from the $2,189 low, with ETH currently trading at $2,463 — a 10.5% gain so far this week. This sharp bounce comes after a fakeout below the $2,200 level and suggests renewed buying pressure following recent geopolitical volatility. However, price is now testing a major confluence zone formed by the 50-week ($2,660), 100-week ($2,625), and 200-week ($2,437) simple moving averages. This cluster of moving averages is acting as resistance, capping ETH’s upside momentum. Historically, when Ethereum breaks through these long-term trend lines, a significant trend continuation follows. But for now, bulls must decisively clear this $2,450–$2,660 zone to confirm a breakout and open the door toward the $3,000 psychological level. Volume has slightly increased, indicating rising interest, but the rejection wicks from prior weekly candles suggest the market remains indecisive. As long as ETH holds above the 200-week SMA ($2,437), the structure remains constructive, but a breakdown below it would likely reintroduce bearish sentiment. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Platinum soared to its highest level since 2014 on Thursday, fueled by supply concerns and a wave of speculative buying. By midday, the precious metal had gained nearly 5% to trade at $1,406 an ounce, after hitting a fresh 11-year high of $1,416 earlier. Palladium also jumped by 4.8% to about $1,111 an ounce. Earlier this month, platinum surged past the $1,200-an-ounce mark for the first time in four years amid signs of growing market tightness. “The recent surge in Chinese investment and jewelry replacement is shining a spotlight on platinum’s supply deficit,” Justin Lin, an analyst at Global X ETFs, told Bloomberg. Commenting on palladium’s rally, Lin said the metals are “intrinsically linked” as they can be substituted for one another for use in autocatalysts depending on relative prices, so “we can expect some positive momentum in palladium off of platinum’s rally.” According to Bloomberg, the dominant platinum spot market in London and Zurich has shown signs of tightness for months, after approximately half a million ounces surged into US warehouses due to tariff concerns. Forward prices for platinum are now trading well below spot, a situation known as backwardation, which indicates tight market conditions. The implied cost of borrowing the metal is also still high, at an annualized rate of roughly 13% for a one-month lease, well above the usual rate of close to zero, Bloomberg reported. (With files from Bloomberg)

🟡 Ouro Ruma a US$ 4.000? Terceira Maior Quebra Histórica Pode Estar em Curso 📅 Publicado em 26 de junho de 2025 ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE Após dois meses desde nossa última análise, os dados confirmam o que alertamos anteriormente: o ouro está em fase de correção saudável e técnica, com potencial para destravar uma nova perna de alta acelerada. A consolidação atual vem se desenrolando de forma extremamente bullish, com o preço do ouro mantendo-se resiliente acima da faixa dos US$ 3.300/oz — mesmo em meio a correções pontuais de mercado e aumentos na aversão ao risco. Segundo projeções técnicas baseadas em comparações históricas, o preço do ouro pode alcançar entre US$ 4.800 e US$ 5.700 até o final de 2026, com cenários mais otimistas apontando para até US$ 9.200 em 2027, caso o movimento espelhe a magnitude do rompimento de 1972. 🏆 A Terceira Grande Quebra Histórica do Ouro O atual ciclo de valorização é considerado a terceira maior quebra técnica da história do ouro, sendo precedido por dois eventos históricos: 1972 – O Maior Rompimento de Todos os Tempos: Após mais de 100 anos de lateralização, o ouro iniciou um superciclo que culminou em ganhos exponenciais até o início dos anos 1980. 2005 – Rompimento do Canal de 24 Anos: O metal rompeu os US$ 500/oz, encerrando um longo ciclo de acumulação iniciado em 1980. Embora não tenha sido um novo topo histórico, foi tecnicamente poderoso. Março de 2024 – Rompimento da Xícara com Alça de 13 Anos: O ouro rompeu definitivamente o padrão de acumulação iniciado após o topo de 2011, projetando alvos técnicos entre US$ 4.800 e US$ 9.200 para os próximos ciclos. 📊 Projeções Técnicas com Base Histórica A análise comparativa entre os três grandes rompimentos indica: Projeção Técnica Alvo (2026-2027) Média ponderada (⅓ de 1972 + ⅔ de 2005) US$ 5.300 em 12 meses Média simples entre 1972 e 2005 US$ 5.700 em 16 meses Rompimento 1972 (máximo histórico) US$ 9.200 até início de 2027 Rompimento 2005 (mais conservador) US$ 4.800 em 16 meses Importante: mesmo no pior dos cinco cenários, o ouro ainda atingiria US$ 4.800 em 16 meses — o que representa uma valorização superior a 40% sobre os níveis atuais de US$ 3.349/oz. 🔁 Por que a Consolidação Atual é Saudável? Nos últimos dois meses, indicadores técnicos sinalizaram um setor extremamente sobrecomprado: Mais de 95% das ações de mineradoras e juniors (GDX, GDXJ, HUI) estavam acima das médias móveis de 20, 50 e 200 dias. O cesto de ações de prata junior monitorado por analistas institucionais subiu 82% em apenas nove semanas. Esse nível de sobrecompra justifica a atual pausa nos preços do ouro e da prata, e reforça a necessidade de uma consolidação técnica por mais 1 a 2 meses para que o mercado ganhe fôlego e liquidez suficiente para novas máximas. 🥇 Oportunidades no Setor de Mineração As principais mineradoras de ouro e prata já estão posicionadas para liderar a próxima onda de valorização. Entretanto, novas oportunidades vêm surgindo no segmento de exploradoras e juniors, com alto potencial de retorno — especialmente em um cenário de retomada global da liquidez e fraqueza do dólar. 🧠 O que esperar do mercado 📌 Com a fraqueza do Dólar Index, deterioração fiscal nos EUA, e incertezas sobre juros futuros, o ouro segue como um dos principais instrumentos de proteção institucional. 📌 Se a liquidez global (M2) mantiver sua tendência de expansão, e considerando o atraso histórico de 3 meses entre M2 e BTC/commodities, o cenário é fortemente altista para metais preciosos. 📌 Conclusão – A Hora do Ouro é Agora? Ouro e prata estão entrando em uma nova era. Se as projeções históricas e os fundamentos macroeconômicos se confirmarem, estamos diante de uma possível valorização de 40% a 70% até o final de 2026. Traders, investidores institucionais e fundos soberanos estão de olho. A pergunta que fica é: você está posicionado? 🔔 Continue acompanhando os desdobramentos no Clube ExpertFX, onde atualizamos as projeções semanalmente com foco técnico e institucional. Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE ExpertFX School | www.expertfxschool.com

📈 Bitcoin e a Liquidez Global: Atualização reforça correlação com M2 e sugere novos recordes 📅 Publicado em 26 de junho de 2025 ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE Em novo relatório divulgado por fontes de análise institucional, foi atualizada a relação entre a liquidez global (medida pelo agregado M2 global) e o comportamento do preço do Bitcoin (BTC). Até o momento, os dados confirmam a continuidade de uma correlação positiva histórica, com o BTC seguindo o fluxo de expansão monetária global com um defasagem média de três meses. 🔍 M2 global: o combustível silencioso do mercado cripto O agregado M2 representa a soma do dinheiro em circulação, depósitos à vista e poupanças — sendo uma métrica relevante para mensurar liquidez sistêmica nos mercados globais. Quando há expansão de M2, aumentam as condições para maior alocação em ativos de risco, como ações e, especialmente, criptomoedas. 📌 A atual retomada da liquidez é reflexo de: Estímulos monetários pontuais em economias emergentes; Injeções indiretas via recompras de títulos e rolagem de dívidas; Desaceleração do aperto monetário nos EUA, Europa e China. 💹 BTC continua seguindo o roteiro da liquidez A leitura atual dos gráficos mostra que o preço do Bitcoin está seguindo a tendência da liquidez global com um atraso médio de 3 meses. Essa defasagem técnica é conhecida pelos institucionais e costuma ser usada como ferramenta de projeção. 📈 Se a liquidez continuar aumentando no segundo semestre — como já indicam bancos centrais da Ásia e previsões de cortes nos EUA — o BTC pode estar a caminho de novos recordes históricos, com potencial para ultrapassar o patamar de US$ 110.000 ainda em 2025. 🧠 O que esperar e como o mercado deve reagir A manutenção dessa correlação fortalece a tese de que o Bitcoin já deixou de ser apenas um ativo especulativo, passando a responder cada vez mais a variáveis macroeconômicas tradicionais, como oferta de moeda, taxas de juros reais e fluxo institucional. 📍 Se a expansão do M2 global se mantiver nos próximos 90 dias, e considerando a defasagem observada, o cenário técnico e fundamentalista projeta: Maior entrada institucional no mercado cripto; Reaceleração da dominância do BTC no mercado total; Pressão altista para altcoins correlacionadas com o BTC e com setores como DeFi e infraestrutura. 📊 Gráfico de referência (não incluído na versão web) 📌 Conclusão: BTC está cada vez mais conectado ao ciclo global O investidor que acompanha apenas os gráficos do Bitcoin perde metade da história. A dinâmica macro de liquidez continua sendo o principal motor dos ciclos do criptoativo mais negociado do mundo. Enquanto os bancos centrais permanecem atentos à desaceleração econômica e à necessidade de estímulos — como já sinalizado por Jerome Powell e pelo Banco do Japão — a probabilidade de expansão monetária global aumenta, alimentando a tese de valorização do BTC a médio prazo. 🔔 Acompanhe as próximas atualizações no Clube ExpertFX e receba relatórios detalhados com indicadores de liquidez, ciclos institucionais e previsões de preços para os principais ativos do mercado cripto. Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE ExpertFX School | www.expertfxschool.com

The Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.14, down 0.55% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY fell as low as 143.75, its lowest level since June 13. Tokyo Core CPI expected to drop to 3.3% Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends, will be released early Thursday. Tokyo Core CPI hit 3.6% in May, its highest level in over two years. The market estimate for June stands at 3.3%. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Bitcoin is starting to inch closer toward $110,000 again, recently pushing to an intraday high of $108,116 and now steadily trading above $107,000. Despite the retracement below $99,000 in the past week, Bitcoin’s current price action shows that the broader market is still bullish. Notably, the recent price action in the past 24 hours is beginning to quiet questions about whether Bitcoin has already reached its top for this cycle. The MVRV Z-Score may be offering a clear answer, and it points in a very different direction from what some might expect. MVRV Z-Score Says Bitcoin Has Room To Run According to crypto analyst Doctor Profit, who initially posted an on-chain analysis of Bitcoin on the social media platform X, the MVRV Z-Score indicates that BTC is still far from its cycle top. The MVRV Z-Score is an established on-chain metric used to determine whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued. As pointed out by the analyst, the current level on the MVRV Z-Score metric is only slightly above 2, which has been a relatively neutral zone since Bitcoin’s creation. Bitcoin only reached its major tops in past cycles when this metric climbed into the red zone and above a value of around 8 and above. The overall Bitcoin price chart shared by Doctor Profit supports this claim. Peaks in the orange MVRV Z-Score line are shown with red shaded zones in the chart below. These red zones have aligned almost perfectly with Bitcoin’s price tops in 2011, 2013, 2017, and 2021. On the other hand, despite the recent surge to new all-time highs in May, the current cycle has yet to push BItcoin’s price into that overheated region. Instead, the chart shows the Z-Score still in a much lower band. This boils down to show that the Bitcoin price could have a very significant upside left. MVRV vs Price: What The Current Setup Means For Bitcoin One detail that stands out in the current cycle is the pattern of lower highs forming in the MVRV Z-Score, as seen in the chart. Unlike in old cycles, where the metric surged into extreme overvaluation zones above 10, the most recent peaks have been noticeably more subdued. This trend could be interpreted as a signal that the market is beginning to mature or that Bitcoin may even already be approaching the peak of its current cycle. However, although this pattern is worth keeping an eye on, it is far from conclusive. The only conclusive fact is that Bitcoin’s price has never reached a definitive cycle top until the MVRV Z-Score has pushed into the red zone, which it has yet to do this time around. Although there isn’t a set price peak from the metric, other analysts have offered a wide range of predictions for where it might land. Predictions of Bitcoin price peaks range anywhere from $150,000 to as high as $500,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $107,740, up by 1.4% in the past 24 hours.

Mali’s government plans to restart operations at the Loulo‑Gounkoto gold complex under a court-appointed temporary administrator after seizing control earlier this month, according to a report by Bloomberg News on Thursday. The move follows a Malian court decision to suspend Barrick Mining Corp.’s management amid an escalating dispute over new mining code and unpaid taxes. Mali’s Tribunal de Commerce ordered on June 16, 2025, that the Loulo‑Gounkoto complex be placed under provisional state administration for six months, appointing former health minister Soumana Makadji as administrator. Barrick had suspended operations in mid‑January after authorities blocked gold exports, detained staff, and seized three tonnes of bullion. On Monday, Malian tax authorities reopened Barrick’s Bamako office under Makadji’s oversight. “The situation cannot remain as it is, because we need to protect the workers, we need to protect the factories,” Mines Minister Amadou Keita said on state-owned broadcaster ORTM. The administrator will “restart operations, produce, pay the workers’ wages, but also produce gold for the national economy,” he said. Dispute drags on Negotiations have been ongoing since Mali implemented a new mining code in 2023, raising royalties and increasing state participation in mines. Barrick disputes these terms, claiming existing agreements protect its rights, and has initiated arbitration through the World Bank’s ICSID. The company also removed the Loulo‑Gounkoto complex from its 2025 production guidance after halting output in January; the asset represented about 14% of its anticipated gold output and was expected to produce around 250,000 ounces. Permits are due for renewal by February 2026. Loulo‑Gounkoto is Barrick’s largest operation in Mali, accounting for over 720,000 ounces of gold in 2024. Barrick’s New York-listed shares rose 0.7% to $21.01 in early Thursday trade, valuing the company at about $36.1 billion.

The Pound wasn't the best performer in the beginning to this month, amid a weakening UK Economy and a still too-high inflation which is forcing the Bank of England to hold higher rates – Cuts are not expected until the end of Summer. Unemployment Rate in the UK ticked up, GDP and Retail Sales ticked down – Only PMIs released last week surprised to the upside. Markets are forward looking, and players are looking ahead at better prospects for the Country which separated from the European Union in 2016. Effectively, British Trade is expected to meet less barriers ahead with historic deals reached between the EU and the US. On the other hand, the US Dollar has found some more weakness as markets are turning the page on the Israel-Iran conflict. Nothing new from the FOMC and a still erratic US President have done enough to give more reasons from market players to shift their positions out of the US compared to the past 20 years, hurting the USD (not even mentioning the recent Credit Downgrades) – Despite the US Economy still largely beating expectations. Let's take a look at the most recent up-move in the Cable and spot levels of interest in the pair. Read More: EUR/USD extends gains to 45-month highs, market eyes US labour data Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Sanctioned cryptocurrency exchange Garantex’s alleged successor, Grinex, has processed over $9.3 billion of the Ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5. Speculations are rife about the nature of the token’s usage since the bulk of the transactions originated from only 124 wallets, as per a report by the Financial Times on 25 June 2025. Currently, users can only find the A7A5 stablecoin listed on Uniswap. It boasts a market cap of $151 million, with about 12 million tokens in circulation. According to Grinex’s telegram channel, traders can use the Ruble-backed stablecoin to trade against the Russian Ruble and also against the USDT and the US dollar. Elliptic analysts, cited by the Financial Times, suggest that rigid transfer patterns indicate internal fund movement rather than organic token adoption. Furthermore, the crypto-focused anti-money laundering (AML) compliance and blockchain analytics platform, Global Ledger, had suggested in March that Garantex had moved its liquidity and customer funds to Grinex. These findings further cement the likelihood of Grinex having absorbed some of Garantex’s clientele, although Grinex denies any direct links to the sanctioned crypto exchange. Elliptic‘s co-founder, Tom Robinson, said, “Garantex users with outstanding balances at the time it was shut down could have these balances credited to new accounts set up on Grinex.” According to on-chain data from Etherscan and Tronscan, the A7A5, since its launch a few months ago, has managed to gather around 24000 users. Promsvyazbank, a Moscow-based bank under sanctions for its role in financing the Russian military, backs the A7A5 stablecoin 1:1 with Ruble reserves. The Ruble-backed stablecoin’s circulating supply surpassed $140 million within a week of its launch, indicating a strong demand for the stablecoin from crypto users in Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Explore: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in June 2025 A7A5 Stablecoin Linked To Ilan Shor – Sanctioned Moldovan Businessman Analysts, however, remain sceptical of the Ruble-backed stablecoin’s broader adoption because of the token’s clustered activity and unclear fund origins. Additionally, the Centre for Information Resilience had unveiled linkages of the A7A5 stablecoin to Ilan Shor, a sanctioned Moldovan businessman, convicted of fraud. He was promoting the stablecoin at Russia’s St Petersburg International Economic Forum earlier this month. A7A5, however, has claimed to sever ties with Shor in May. Grinex has highlighted its aim to bring in more USDT alternatives rather than create vehicles to circumvent sanctions. Explore: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in June 2025 Their spokesperson was quoted by another publication stating, “We strongly condemn any form of illegal activity, including sanctions evasion, money laundering, etc. All suspicious transactions are automatically blocked.” On 7 March 2025, the US Department of Justice (DoJ) announced the disruption of Grarantex in coordination with authorities in Germany and Finland. In their joint operation, authorities seized Garantex’s domains in Germany and Finland. Prosecutors pressed criminal charges against Garantex’s administrators, Aleksej Besciokov and Aleksandr Mira Serda, who oversaw the laundering operations, and authorities froze over $26 million of illegal funds. Explore: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Key Takeaways Grinex, the controversial crypto exchange, has processed over $9.3 billion of the Ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5 The A7A5 stablecoin has a market cap of $151 million, with about 12 million tokens in circulation The Ruble-backed stablecoin’s circulating supply surpassed $140 million within a week of its launch The post Ruble-Backed A7A5 Stablecoin Sees $9.4B Volume on Grinex, Garantex’s Successor appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

News this week that the world’s second-biggest lithium miner – SQM – has begun laying off 5% of its Chilean workforce would not come as a surprise to those following the market for the battery raw material. Battery lithium prices have been decimated since reaching a peak less than three years ago with prices slumping to $8,450 a tonne in June from above $80,000 in November 2022. A wait and see approach on production cuts by lithium miners, particularly in China where government support keeps loss-making mines on life support, and slower than expected demand growth from the electric vehicle industry provides little prospect for a return to the boom years. The value of terminal lithium tonnes deployed in EVs, including plug-in and conventional hybrids, sold around the world from January through May totalled $2.15 billion. The extent of the slump is illustrated by the monthly EV battery nickel tally which is now higher than that of lithium, despite the significant move towards nickel-free batteries such as lithium iron phosphate chemistries and a cooling of nickel prices at the same time. The value of the lithium contained in the batteries of EVs sold in December 2022 alone reached $3.2 billion despite the fact that global unit sales were a fraction of what it is now and shipments skewed towards hybrids which have inherently smaller batteries and therefore contained metal than full electric cars. On a per EV basis the economics of lithium carbonate and hydroxide look even worse. From a peak of more than $1,900 per sales weighted average EV in December 2022, the installed lithium so far this year only averages just above $200 per vehicle. For a fuller analysis of the battery metals market check out the latest issue of the Northern Miner print and digital editions. * Frik Els is Editor at Large for MINING.COM and Head of Adamas Inside, providing news and analysis based on Adamas Intelligence data.

A popular crypto analyst has issued a stark cyclical warning that could define Bitcoin’s trajectory for the rest of the summer. Dr. Cat, known for his integrated use of Ichimoku Cloud analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and proprietary time-cycle forecasting, posted an intricate scenario on X suggesting Bitcoin now stands at a pivotal inflection point—one that may ultimately determine whether the next major move is to $179,000 or back down to $79,000. Bitcoin Faces Make-or-Break Moment “If we set a daily high between the 25th and 27th of June,” Dr. Cat began, referencing the window derived from his Time Theory model, “and it turns out to be a lower high per the Wave Theory, then a lower low should follow.” The implications, however, go far beyond near-term downside. “If a lower low comes, we invalidate the weekly cycle which implies no bottom before mid-July to mid-August.” According to the forecast timeline, the earliest potential bottom would fall between July 14 and August 17, with a primary target range from July 28 to August 3, incorporating a ±2 week deviation. That timing model dovetails with the chart’s behavior around critical Ichimoku levels. Dr. Cat emphasized that Bitcoin is currently “making a bearish retest of the weekly Tenkan Sen,” adding that yesterday’s attempt to reclaim that level failed: “Price touched Tenkan Sen yesterday but I saw that it would open below it today.” The Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen—two key lines in the Ichimoku system—are not just flat; they are structurally unconvincing despite a nominal 10% price advance. “This isn’t a real uptrend,” noted one user, to which Dr. Cat replied: “This is simply a neutral chart trying to flip bullish.” He elaborated that this neutrality means neither bullish nor bearish continuation is guaranteed, but warned that inaction or false optimism at this stage could expose traders to a cascading downside. One of the most significant technical levels lies just beneath current price. “The super key support of 93.2K (weekly Kijun Sen) is relatively close—and too close to hold if the time cycles play out,” Dr. Cat stated. A failure of that level would likely trigger a deeper reversion to the 3-week Kijun Sen, which remains unvisited and is currently positioned near $75K but rising. The entire bearish cascade remains “completely valid and with a very real chance of playing out,” unless Bitcoin manages to break above $110.6K after June 27. Such a move would invalidate both the time and wave-based lower-high structure and neutralize the scenario before it unfolds. But until then, Dr. Cat is urging traders to look beyond surface-level price movements. “Most people look at whether price goes up or down but don’t look at how it does it,” he said. Recalling his accurate bullish stance in April and May—when others were waiting for retracement—and his caution in early June, he emphasized the importance of reading the structure, not just the candles. “The weekly chart was one candle away from a bullish TK cross, which would’ve implied big bullish continuation. But I waited. Then the market dumped,” he reminded followers. “Now it is relatively similar… dramatic reversals happen as close to invalidation as possible so everyone is tested and trapped to the limit.” In summary, Dr. Cat’s outlook remains balanced—but volatile. “I’m not telling you I can read the future,” he said. “I’m telling you that you need to distinguish neutral from bullish charts, which many people can’t—and suffer the consequences.” With time cycles converging and Ichimoku structures flashing indecision, Bitcoin now stands at a binary junction. The next high or low could lock in a multi-week trend, with targets as distant as $179K—or as painful as $79K—hanging in the balance. “This is simply a neutral chart trying to flip bullish. Which can certainly flip bullish pretty soon but until that happens I discuss whether first comes 179K or 79K with pretty much equal probability and I’m warning about an absolutely valid scenario which is on the table unless the chart flips bullish,” Dr. Cat concludes. At press time, BTC traded at $107,356.

📉📊 PIB dos EUA decepciona e indica contração no 1º trimestre de 2025, apesar de dados fortes de empregos e bens duráveis 📆 Publicado em 26 de junho de 2025 ✍️ Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado Financeiro | Membro WallStreet NYSE O Departamento de Comércio dos Estados Unidos divulgou nesta quinta-feira (26) os resultados finais do PIB do 1º trimestre de 2025, e os números surpreenderam negativamente o mercado: a economia contraiu -0,5% no comparativo trimestral, contra uma previsão de -0,2% e um crescimento de 2,4% no trimestre anterior. Este dado representa a primeira leitura oficial de recessão técnica sob a nova gestão de Donald Trump. 📌 Resultados econômicos divulgados 🔻 Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) – 1T25 Atual: -0,5% Previsão: -0,2% Anterior: +2,4% 📉 Impacto: Negativo para o dólar (USD) ✅ Pedidos Iniciais de Seguro-Desemprego (Jobless Claims) Atual: 236 mil Previsão: 244 mil Anterior (revisado): 246 mil 📈 Impacto: Positivo para o dólar (queda inesperada nas solicitações) ✅ Pedidos de Bens Duráveis – Maio Atual: +16,4% Previsão: +8,6% Anterior: -6,3% 📈 Impacto: Extremamente positivo para o dólar, mostrando forte recuperação industrial 🧮 Interpretação dos dados Apesar da contração do PIB indicar enfraquecimento da atividade econômica, os indicadores de curto prazo como o mercado de trabalho e os pedidos de bens duráveis mostram resiliência. Isso cria uma ambiguidade nos dados macroeconômicos, dificultando o trabalho da política monetária do Federal Reserve. O crescimento expressivo dos bens duráveis (+16,4%) sinaliza aumento na confiança e nos investimentos da indústria. A queda inesperada nos pedidos de desemprego aponta para um mercado de trabalho ainda aquecido, sustentando o consumo. Já o PIB negativo pode refletir impactos das tarifas implementadas no início do ano, tensões geopolíticas e incertezas fiscais. 🏛️ O que esperar do Federal Reserve Em meio a uma campanha agressiva de Donald Trump por cortes de juros e à forte pressão política, o Federal Reserve encontra-se num impasse: A contração do PIB aumenta o argumento para uma política mais acomodatícia. Mas a resiliência no mercado de trabalho e o risco de inflação tarifária sustentam a necessidade de cautela. 📌 Jerome Powell, presidente do Fed, reforçou nesta semana que a instituição "ainda está em modo de observação", mas admitiu a possibilidade de cortar juros antes do previsto se a inflação tarifária não se concretizar e se o mercado de trabalho enfraquecer ainda mais. 💬 Declaração do Departamento de Defesa dos EUA Em paralelo, o Secretário de Defesa afirmou que Donald Trump conseguiu aumentar os gastos de defesa da OTAN — algo que presidentes anteriores não conseguiram. Essa afirmação sinaliza um possível aumento contínuo nos gastos militares, o que pode pressionar o orçamento e influenciar as expectativas de inflação de médio prazo. 🧭 Impacto nos mercados financeiros Dólar (USD): Reação mista. Caiu com o PIB, mas se sustentou com os dados de desemprego e bens duráveis. Ouro (XAU/USD): Tendência de alta pode se intensificar diante de incertezas econômicas e expectativas de corte de juros. S&P 500: Deve apresentar volatilidade. Recessão técnica pode trazer correções, mas cortes de juros futuros funcionariam como suporte. 📌 Conclusão e leitura institucional A combinação de um PIB negativo com dados positivos no mercado de trabalho e indústria cria um cenário altamente volátil e de difícil leitura para o investidor. A política monetária dos EUA está no limiar de um ponto de inflexão, com o Federal Reserve cada vez mais pressionado a agir, mas ainda hesitante diante dos riscos fiscais e inflacionários. 🔍 O investidor atento deve observar a evolução do núcleo da inflação, os próximos dados de folha de pagamento (payroll) e as declarações do Fed nas próximas semanas, com destaque para a reunião de política monetária marcada para o fim de julho. 📥 Acompanhe todas as análises em tempo real no Clube ExpertFX e receba relatórios exclusivos sobre os impactos macroeconômicos nos mercados globais. Igor Pereira Analista de Mercado Financeiro Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE ExpertFX School | www.expertfxschool.com

There have been many comparisons between Kaspa and Bitcoin on the internet lately. Is it real or just clout? The truth is that as a PoW network, Kaspa has better security than the PoS model and can be mined with moderate tech, which can provide greater decentralisation than Bitcoin. The GHOSTDAG protocol provides faster speed, similar to Visa’s transaction time. Institutional interest is growing; Marathon Digital Holdings (a Bitcoin miner) mined $16 million worth of Kaspa last year. As much as technical analysis for Kaspa, Sarosh noted a great indicator for a potential move up – a break of June’s downtrend channel. Will momentum sustain, and will price move further to the upside? Follow along as we uncover what the charts show. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Is Kaspa Price Prediction Bigger Than the Hype? KASPA Crypto Technical Analysis (KASUSD) Starting with the Weekly timeframe, I have identified a few bullish scenarios. All of them include holding, or, worst case, a sweep, or the liquidity zone. Though market makers love to sweep and hit stop losses, it is good to keep in mind. Whatever scenario plays out, it is clear that price needs to break out of the resistance dome before further upside. For investors, hopefully, this does not turn into a rounded top and follow a sell-off. This will happen if it moves decisively underneath the FVG zone. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 (KASUSD) On the Daily chart, we see that the RSI has reset all the way to the bottom. If price holds these levels, there is a chance it made a lower high, which could trigger a move to the $0.11 resistance. That resistance seemed reclaimed for a few days, though it turned out to be a deviation. What we want to see now is a reclaim of the moving averages. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 (KASUSD) Finally, we will analyse the 4-hour chart. Within the last 3 days, the price increased 34% and is above the MA50 and MA100. The MA200 is next, which aligns closely with the previous high. If we’re to see a move towards $0.11 again, we’d like to see that previous high broken. Though RSI looks a bit high, it might need to cool off before attempting MSB. Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Kaspa: The PoW Alternative to Bitcoin - Is It Still A Good Buy? Daily RSI is reset, while 4H RSI might need to cool off as well 2024 Weekly FVG might not be tested, though we keep it as plausible Price needs to close above 4H MA200 in order to test $0.11 The post Kaspa: The PoW Alternative to Bitcoin – Is It Still A Good Buy? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

As of 12:00 PM UTC today, 26 June 2025, Sahara AI (SAHARA) made its debut and started trading on top tier exchanges, including KuCoin, OKX, Bitget, MEXC, CoinW, Bitrue, XT.COM, and HTX. Sahara AI is a decentralized artificial intelligence project whose native token has surged by an astonishing 40,389% against the US Dollar following the announcement of its listing on Binance Alpha on 21 June 2025. SAHARA has a total of $51.5M raised, with significant backing from industry giants YZI Labs (ex-Binance Labs), Polychain Capital, and Pantera Capital. And now, the crypto world is buzzing with the meteoric rise of the token. The airdrop is now live. After listing, SAHARA will be available in multiple trading pairs, such as USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY. EXPLORE: 10 Best AI Crypto Coins to Invest in 2025 Key Takeaways Sahara AI’s explosive debut on Binance Alpha and other major exchanges has put it in the spotlight as one of the most hyped crypto projects of 2025. Unlike traditional AI platforms that often encrypt models and data, Sahara AI gives developers full control and ownership of their creations. The post Sahara AI Makes Debut On Top Tier Exchanges: SAHARA Price Prediction 2025 appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

The SEC’s filing cabinet has to be pretty full these days, and their ‘paperwork pending’ stack is getting perilously high. Invesco Ltd and Galaxy Digital LP combined forces to offer another Solana-based exchange-traded fund (ETF). They filed the appropriate paperwork with the SEC and joined at least 12 other potential spot and future ETFs on the SEC to rule on their status. The competition for the leading $SOL ETF takes place at the most visible end of the crypto ecosystem. Far lower down, there’s a different race on, with Snorter poised to corner the market in the fast-paced world of Solana meme coins on Telegram. It’s two ends of the same spectrum and speaks to the growing strength and versatility of the Solana ecosystem. Invesco Galaxy Solana ETF Ready to List Why the race for a Solana ETF? Partly because of the tremendous success of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs: $IBIT: iShares Bitcoin Trust, $70.6B Assets Under Management (AUM) $FBTC: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, $20.4B AUM $GBTC: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, $19.6B AUM $ETHA: iShares Ethereum Trust, $3.9B AUM $ETHE: Grayscale Ethereum Trust, $2.8B AUM It’s no surprise that more players are ready to enter the game, particularly as the realms of traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) move ever-closer together. Only $BTC and $ETH currently have single-asset crypto ETFs, but the pile of pending filings includes everything from $XRP to $SOL to the first-ever NFT ETF, with Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU). And with single-asset crypto ETFs rolling along, institutions aren’t waiting around for the SEC. They’ve already started to move towards multi-asset ETFs. Converting Existing Funds to Multi-Asset ETFs One of the holdups so far has been that the SEC lacks a clear set of rules around crypto ETFs, even after the $BTC and $ETH approvals went ahead. The question now is, will the SEC hold approvals until they draw up new rules? Or will they approve first and develop the rule set as they go? There is some time pressure at work here. Grayscale wants to convert its Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) to an ETF, and the deadline for that is July 2. That fund already holds a number of crypto assets, including $XRP, $SOL, and $ADA. If the conversion is approved, look for others to follow. Investment managers from Bitwise to Hasdex have plans to convert other funds to multi-asset ETFs that include cryptos. The funds sit at the top of the financial and investment world, and every one that gets approved boosts Solana’s long-term outlook just slightly. But much, much farther down, there’s another reason to be excited for Solana. The frenetic, fast-paced world of Solana meme coin trading just got a tool that could bring much-needed clarity and make finding those 10x or 100x opportunities much easier. Snorter Token ($SNORT) – One Bot to Rule Them All for Meme Coin Trading on Telegram What do you need to find and trade memes on Telegram? You need: Lightning-fast transactions and swaps Automated sniping, to get in and out at the right time Protection from rug pulls, honeypots, and front-running trades Thankfully, traders now have Snorter Bot, the meme coin-styled trading bot designed specifically for trading low-cap Solana memes on Telegram. The $SNORT token powers the bot, providing for rapid trade execution and the lowest fees possible. The project’s presale has already raised nearly $1.3M in a few weeks, indicating broad support. The roadmap includes launching the bot on Solana but expanding to EVM-compatible chains post-launch. In the meantime, the plans feature a token bridge and a built-in Telegram dashboard. No more avoiding Telegram tokens; traders can dive in with confidence with Snorter. Visit the Snorter website to learn more. Solana ETFs Mark the Next Stage of Crypto Adoption As plans proceed, even the rate of ETF filings indicates just how fast crypto adoption is moving. From Wall Street boardrooms to Telegram chats, Solana is becoming increasingly accessible to investors of every stripe. Keep an eye on Snorter, and another on the broader Solana ecosystem. But remember – always do your own research. This isn’t financial advice.

You’re sipping coffee, barely awake, while trading wizards trade for you, banking profit. That’s crypto copy trading in a nutshell. It lets seasoned traders trade while copy traders piggyback on their moves. Many crypto platforms are going this route, with one gearing up for a new copy trading platform promising speed and clarity. BitMEX is coming with a copy trading platform, a feature scheduled to launch in July 2025. Their CEO, Stephan Lutz, is pushing a copy trading system built on low latency. BitMEX’s “social Trust” will also let users follow trusted players known to read the market well. Copy trading levels the field, and Lutz knows this. BitMEX’s feature is not just for the pros; it aims to give a lifeline for rookies who’d otherwise drown in jargon. By shadowing top dogs, copy traders get to win with the same P&L as whoever they clone. Lutz’s vision at BitMEX leans into this, with a “social-trust layer” connecting users to legit talent. BitMEX’s feature aims to make this smooth and reliable. Pick a winner, and let accounts grow. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy This Year Lutz’s Low Latency? Lutz’s “social-trust layer” sounds fancy, but it’s genius. With it, BitMEX is blending trading with community, letting you align with personalities you best go along with. It’s less lonely, more profitable, and way more fun. BitMEX’s promise of low latency means users’ copied trades will hit the market before the opportunity vanishes. Every second counts, and Lutz hopes this edge will make BitMEX the go-to for copy trading, leaving competitors behind. BitMEX could make crypto copy trading a staple in the industry. Stephan Lutz is steering this ship with a focus on what works: speed, trust, and ease. “Copy trading is common, but we want to fix key issues. One is latency – your copied trade must execute within milliseconds of the original. Otherwise, you’re chasing shadows. The issue is to offer a service and the server infrastructure to match. Second is the human element. Traders don’t just want top-performers; they want transparency. They want to follow people they trust—streamers, analysts, personalities they know. We’re building that social-trust layer, so copy trading becomes a confident, informed choice, not just an algorithmic click. The AI reports are for pros trying to fine-tune their edge. Copy trading is for newer or time-poor traders who want to trust someone else’s strategy. It’s more community-driven and social in design.” DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways You’re sipping coffee, barely awake, while trading wizards trade for you, banking profit. That’s crypto copy trading. BitMEX is coming with a copy trading platform, a feature scheduled to launch in July 2025. The post Bitmex CEO Targets Crypto Copy Trading: Is This Best Way to Get Rich in Crypto? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Overview: The US dollar was weak yesterday, but it has been pummeled today. It is down against the G10 currencies and all but the Russian ruble and Turkish lira among emerging market currencies. The proximate trigger of today's sell-off were news reports that a successor to Fed Chair Powell could be announced in a few months. The attempt to influence the Fed so directly does not set well with investors. In the Fed funds futures market, the odds of a July cut have crept up, but are around a 1-in-4 chance. However, there are now almost 63 bp of easing discounted before the end of the year. That is the most since early May. This, combined with the month/quarter end flows and the looming end of the respite from the so-called reciprocal tariffs (July 9) takes a toll. Most equity markets are higher. In the Asia Pacific area, China, Hong Kong, Australia, and South Korea were notable exceptions. Europe's Stoxx 600 is up about 0.25% near midday, after falling by nearly 0.75% yesterday. US index futures are 0.2%-0.4% higher. Benchmark 10-year yields are softer, though the two basis point rise in the Japanese government bond yield is the outlier. European rates are mostly 1-2 bp lower and the 10-year US Treasury yield is off a basis point to 4.28%. The expected year-end effective average for Fed funds is now 3.70%. This is the fifth session it is falling. It is 11 bp lower than at the end of last week. The US 10-year yield is also lower for the fifth consecutive session and is about 10 bp lower on the week. Gold prices are firmer, but the yellow metal continues to trade in Tuesday's range, as it did yesterday (~$3295-$3370). Similarly, August WTI also remains inside Tuesday's $64.0-$67.85 range. It was inside yesterday's range (~$64.50-$66.00), as well. USD: For the second time this week, the Dollar Index gapped lower today. Yesterday's low was about 97.65 and today's high is 97.60. The earlier gap (~98.27-98.35) created by Tuesday's low. DXY is fraying 97.00 in Europe, a new three-year low. Technically, there seems to be little to hang one's hat on until closer to 95.00. However, the intraday momentum indicators are stretched, and the lower Bollinger Band is near 97.40 now. The US has a busy economic diary today, and after yesterday's poor reception to the five-year note auction, the Treasury comes back today with a $44 bln of seven-year notes. May's goods trade report will draw interest. The postpone of the so-called reciprocal tariffs appears to have seen a surge in US imports, the mirror image of the strong exports reported by several Asian countries. May durable goods order were likely flattered by a surge in Boeing orders, but excluding aircraft and defense, orders are expected to have fallen for the second consecutive month. And more importantly for capex, shipment of those core durable goods also expected to have decline for the second consecutive month. With Q2 winding down, revisions to Q1 GDP will barely be noticed. After two days of Chair Powell's testimony, the Fed funds futures imply a little more than a 15% chance of a July cut, which is virtually unchanged since the US jobs report, though a smidgeon more than the day after the FOMC meeting concluded. September seems a more realistic time frame. EURO: The euro reached a marginal new three-year high of$1.1665 yesterday and fray the upper Bollinger Band. It has cut through $1.17 today like a hot knife in butter and reached almost $1.1745 in early European turnover. The upper Bollinger Band is slightly above $1.1690 now. There is little meaningful on the weekly charts until $1.19-$1.20. Meanwhile, with little fanfare, the US two-year premium over Germany from 213 bp at the start of last week to 193 now, the least since the end of April. It is narrowing for the fifth consecutive session. Similarly, the US 10-year premium has been whittled down to around 173 bp from 195 bp two weeks ago. It also has not been less since the end of April. After narrowing for the past five sessions, it has steadied today. CNY: The dollar fell to a new low since last November today near CNH7.1525. Its recovery began in the local session and reached CNH7.1660 in Europe. It would not be surprising to hear of state bank purchases of dollars. Nevertheless, the PBOC set the dollar's reference rate lower today (CNY7.1620 vs. CNY7.1668 yesterday). It has not set the dollar's reference higher for two consecutive sessions for three weeks. Separately, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervened to sell dollar and by Hong Kong dollars to defend the band. The Hong Kong dollar has been used as a funding currency and the intervention will also impact liquidity and firm HIBOR. JPY: While the euro and sterling rose to new three-year highs yesterday, the yen was the weakest among the G10 currencies, falling slightly against the US dollar. The greenback held above the 20-day moving average near JPY144.55 yesterday and recovered to almost JPY146. But the weaker greenback overwhelmed today and is reached JPY143.75, an eight-day low. Trendline support may be near JPY143.35 and the mid-June low was about JPY142.80, with the lower Bollinger Band around JPY142.65 today. Resistance is seen near JPY144.50. After buying the fourth most foreign bonds this year in the week through June 13 (~JPY1.57 trillion, or ~$10.9 bln), Japanese investors continued to buy foreign bonds last week. The MOF's weekly report showed they bought another JPY615.5 bln foreign bonds. Tomorrow Japan reports Tokyo CPI and retail sales. GBP: Sterling barely traded below $1.3600 yesterday and worked its way above $1.3670, setting a new three-year high. It also frayed the upper Bollinger Band, which comes in near $1.3700 today. Its gains have been extended to $1.3765 today. The next chart area of note is near $1.3830. Unlike the euro, sterling took out last week's low on Monday and has now risen above last week's highs. A close tomorrow above last week's high (~$1.3620) would be a bullish technical development. Some tried to link sterling's strength to reports that Shell was in "active talks" to acquire BP, but sterling's highs were recorded after Shell issued a denial. The euro-sterling cross was in a narrow range and settled little changed yesterday and remains subdued today. CAD: The greenback's session high yesterday was recorded as European markets were closing near CAD1.3755. It spent the North American afternoon mostly consolidating above CAD1.3720 in choppy turnover. It has backed off today and tested Tuesday's low near CAD1.3680. As is often the case in the falling US dollar environment, the Canadian dollar lags behind the other G10 currencies. The year's low was set on June 16 near CAD1.3540. Canada reports April GDP tomorrow. It is difficult to extrapolate the monthly GDP into the quarterly estimates. In Q1, the sum of the monthly GDP was 0.3% but the quarterly estimate of 2.2% annualized was about 0.55% quarter-over-quarter. A flat April would mean that the monthly prints showed a 0.1% contraction over the past three months. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 1% annualized contraction in Q2. Monetary policy was front-loaded. The Bank of Canada has signaled its monetary easing cycle is nearly over. The swaps market is pricing in another cut late this year. AUD: The Australian dollar has a three-day rally in tow, matching the longest in two months. It traded firmly in the upper end of Tuesday's range yesterday and reached the session high in late dealings to $0.6515. It has tested the more formidable resistance near $.06550 area. While the $0.6600 area may offer psychological resistance, the next important chart area is closer to $0.6700. Meanwhile, the Australia's two-year discount to the US is recovering after falling to a new 12-month low slightly more than 70 bp earlier this month. The discount now is slightly less than 60 bp. But the differential story does not appear to be critical now. The rolling 60-day correlation between changes in the Australian dollar and the Dollar Index has been hovering around 0.55 for the past two months. The 30-day correlation has been fairly stable around 0.70-0.75 since late last month. MXN: For at least the third time this year, peso demand emerged on knee-jerk dollar spikes higher. On Monday, the greenback spiked above MXN19.34. It reversed lower and fell slightly below MXN18.95 on Tuesday and below MXN18.90 yesterday. It is edged now toward MXN18.8665 today. The low since last August was seen 10 days ago near MXN18.8250. Below there, nearby support is around MXN18.80, and a break could target MXN18.60. It is an important day for Mexico. The May trade balance is due shortly and the outcome of the central bank meeting will be known later in session. Although Mexico reported two monthly trade deficits in the first four months of the year, it recorded a surplus of a little more than $1 bln compared with a deficit of $6.44 bln in the January-April 2024 period. Exports have risen by about 3.8% year-over-year through April, while imports have risen a little more than 0.5%. Chinese data shows it exported about 188k vehicles to Mexico between January-April 2025, making it the largest destination after auto exports to Russia dried up. The mostly small, energy efficient cars Mexico is buying from China do not face US competition. Nor are the cars Mexico exports to the US, Chinese made. To put the figures in perspective, note that Mexico exported 1.11 mln vehicles (mostly to the US) in the first four months of this year, which is little changed from the same period in 2024. Domestic Mexican car purchases were about 475k in the Jan-Apr period, giving China about a 40% market share. Meanwhile, Mexico CPI through the first half of June remains above the upper end of the 2-4% target range. Still, officials are more concerned about the faltering growth, and the central bank is widely expected to deliver another 50 bp cut today, which would being the overnight rate target to 8%. We expect it to signal a moderation of the easing pace going forward after four half-point cuts. The swaps market anticipates a terminal rate near 7.5%. Disclaimer

XRP spent the past forty-eight hours coiling into a textbook inflection zone, and the 15-minute chart published by independent analyst Casi makes it hard to miss where the battle lines now stand. Price is hovering at $2.18, clinging to a steeply rising trendline that has underpinned every impulsive thrust since the local swing low near the 0.618 retracement at $1.9824 on 23 June. That trendline intersects a horizontal shelf of former resistance-turned-support at the 1.618 extension measured from the same base move, labelled on the chart at $2.186. The confluence forms the geometric “apex of consolidation” Casi has been highlighting on X. XRP Price At Breaking Point “This trendline is everything right now,” Casi wrote. “We just got a clean reaction off it. This correction already reached the .382 retracement at $2.145, which also happens to be the apex of consolidation… that’s the most critical level on the chart, short-term.” The most recent corrective pullback already tagged the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the advance, exactly at $2.145, before bulls forced a reaction. As long as candles continue to close above that retracement—effectively the floor of the micro-range—Casi argues that the underlying market structure remains constructive. A decisive break beneath $2.145, by contrast, would represent both a loss of the diagonal trendline and a surrender of the consolidation base, signalling short-term weakness and, in his words, “opening the door to a deeper flush.” Overhead, XRP must still reckon with layered resistance. The first ceiling sits at $2.20, but the level called out as “the next big test” is the thicker pink band at $2.25. That mark capped price repeatedly during yesterday’s U.S. session and coincides with a prior 1.272 extension of the late-May corrective leg. “If we can flip that level, we’ll likely open the path toward the $2.69 retrace test,” Casi noted, “and from there, the breakout potential increases dramatically!” If price can reclaim $2.25 on expanding volume and then retest it as support, the chart leaves an unobstructed lane toward the 2.618 extension at $2.296—effectively $2.30—and, by projection, the $2.69 Fibonacci target that would complete the measured-move roadmap Casi is tracking. Momentum, however, is not yet offering a clean green light. The lower pane shows a 14-period RSI capped by its own descending trendline that has compressed every rally since 24 June. With the oscillator printing 46.24 (signal) versus 43.59 (base line) at the time of the screenshot, the gauge is climbing but still mid-range. A marginal higher high in price paired with a lower high in RSI would etch a textbook bearish divergence—an outcome Casi told one follower he is “expecting to set up” if XRP pierces $2.25 before consolidating anew. “I think this next high will form a bearish div,” he added. “The RSI is telling me it’s about to set that up.” In short, the token is balanced on a knife-edge: the bull case hinges on the integrity of the $2.145–$2.186 support complex and a breakout through $2.25, while the bear case rests on trendline failure and an RSI divergence confirming upside exhaustion. With liquidity thinning into the weekend, the resolution of this narrow consolidation could shape the next wave—whether that proves to be the ignition of a larger third impulse or the start of a deeper corrective detour. As Casi put it, “This is the kind of price action you want to see if XRP is serious about continuing this new trend to the upside.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.19.

SUI price has been rather slow in June, though some people are patiently waiting for another move up. The network seems to be healthy and usage growing. Is this enough to drive price higher? Does more usage mean more buyers of the coin? Usage is definitely an important metric, as well as stablecoin movements. Interestingly the 14 million SUI monthly stablecoin transactions is nearing Ethereum’s 16 million. More usage probably does mean more demand for the native coin SUI. At least what can be for sure is that fees are being paid. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Is SUI Price Getting Ready For a Massive Run? (SUIUSD) We will first look at the Weekly timeframe at the beginning of our analysis. What jumps out first is that the trend is bullish – higher highs and higher lows. It looks like the rejection at Yearly Open can be a lower high, though a lower one that keeps the structure could be within the FVG or a bit lower, then the price would be considered ranging or choppy. MA100 here could be a support level. Or another scenario, if we don’t go up after 5 consecutive red(blue on my chart) candles, is a test or sweep of the Yearly Low. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 (SUIUSD) Next, we take a look at the Daily timeframe. So far, there is a Daily FVG that got filled a few days ago with a bullish engulfing candle, taking the price above the zone. A potential sign of strength. As we see from April, prices can increase significantly in just a few days. There was a break in the structure during that pump. The drop below the moving averages is not pretty, and we’d like these to be reclaimed ASAP! DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Hourly Chart Exercise: Looking For Trade Setups (SUIUSD) Last, we will study the 1H (hourly) chart for entry setups, using price action and volume. Here, the price has dropped by tens of %, and we’re seeing some early buyer pressure. RSI is in an oversold area on the 21st of June, but the price makes another low. On that low (Monthly low), the RSI is a bit higher; there’s a small body and large wick underneath, followed by a Bullish Engulfing candle. Price moves slightly, followed by another 3 sell candles and clear buyer pressure again. Long entry triggered after the 2nd Bullish Engulfing candle, providing a 2R profit. See how buyer pressure sustains over the next few days/weeks. Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates SUI Price Movements: Is It A Good Trade For 2025? Daily FVG from April filled, followed by Bullish Engulfing candle 2024 Weekly FVG might not be tested, though we keep it as plausible Price needs to move above 1D Moving Averages Demand visible on 1H timeframe The post SUI Price Teases Ethereum Kill Shot: Is SUI Crypto The Best Trade For 2025? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

EUR/USD is rallying today early in the London session and trades around the ~1.17173 level, up ~0.47%. As a new wave of dollar weakness sweeps the markets, EUR/USD hopes to continue a 5-day winning streak in today’s session. EUR/USD: Key takeaways from today’s session A recent renewal of dollar weakness is allowing EUR/USD to extend gains, and currently trades at 45-month highsFollowing recent Fed commentary suggesting inflation is becoming a secondary issue compared to labour market stability, markets keenly await US jobless claims data later today close EUR/USD, OANDA, TradingView, 26/06/2025 EUR/USD, OANDA, TradingView, 26/06/2025 Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

US prices jump more than 3%, opening up massive $1,600 per tonne gap between US and LME copper prices with Goldman Sachs predicting more gains to come. Copper for delivery in September rose more than 3% to a high of $5.1650 per pound or $11,367 per tonne in overnight trading on the Comex market on Thursday as US markets pull in buyers ahead of likely tariffs. In February, the White House directed the US Commerce Department to investigate the need for import tariffs on the bellwether metal, with a report due within 270 days. That triggered a surge in US-bound shipments. Pre-emptive buying in the US opened up a massive gap between US and London Metal Exchange prices. Copper rose a more modest 0.6% to $9,767 per tonne on the LME in early trading in London on Thursday. CLICK ON CHART FOR LIVE PRICES In a note quoted by Bloomberg, investment bank Goldman Sachs said it expected LME prices to rise to a 2025 peak of roughly $10,050 a tonne in August, as supplies outside the US continue to tighten. “The ex-US copper market has tightened, causing fears of a regional copper shortage despite the global market currently being in surplus,” Goldman said, adding that once the expected 25% import levies are implemented in September, copper prices should retreat to under $10,000 again. Ready to ship inventories on the LME have declined about 80% this year to less than a day of global usage, prompting steep backwardation and a surge in exports by Chinese smelters. The premium for the cash copper contract over the three-month forward dropped to $94 a tonne on Wednesday from $280 on Monday as news of the exports filtered through to the market. Like other markets, the copper price has been on a wild ride in 2025, hitting all-time highs at the end of March only to come dangerously close to crashing through $4.00 barely a fortnight later. Year to date the orange metal remains up just over 25%.

After suffering a major price crash back during the weekend, the Ethereum price has enjoyed an over 10% bounce that has put it back above major support levels. However, even with the recovery, the altcoin sits on shaky ground with geopolitical and macroeconomic factors still unstable. On the charts, there is also uncertainty as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has failed to make any definitive moves from here, showing inconsistencies in movement. Ethereum Price Struggling At EMA Crypto analyst Swallow Academy noted that the Ethereum price has returned to trading at its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) earlier in the week after bouncing from its weekend lows. This has been referred to as the level of interest and sits around the $2,400 level, which has served as major support in the past. The harsh drop from the weekend that pushed ETH from $2,500 to $2,150 has no doubt dented sentiment and sparked caution among investors. But the retest of the EMA at $2,400 suggests that buyers are still exerting their force and have been pushing up the price. Given these recent developments, the crypto analyst explains that it is currently a waiting game for the Ethereum price. From here, it could go either way, as confirmation is needed for which direction it is headed next. A breakout from here could move it back above the $2,800 resistance. However, a crash could be confirmation of rejection, sending Ethereum spiraling back toward lows at $2,000. Mapping Out Next Steps As the Ethereum price continues to show signs of continuation, crypto analysts have begun to map out where the altcoin might be headed next. Mister Spread pointed to the fact that Ethereum had actually shown a bullish Power of 3 (PO3), consisting of accumulation, deviation, and expansion. The accumulation phase has been completed, and is now in the phase of deviation, explaining the price crash. Now, the price seems to already be breaking out of the deviation box, suggesting that the expansion phase will be coming sooner than expected. Once the expansion phase is in motion, the crypto analyst expects the Ethereum price to move back into the supply area of $2,800-$3,000. However, if the price fails to climb and falls back below $2,100, then this bullish thesis would be invalidated.

MicroStrategy is closing in on S&P 500 inclusion, but there’s a catch. The Bitcoin price has to stay above $95,240 through the end of June. Six days left. One price target. So… will it be WW3 that kills the price? Or maybe an unforeseen asteroid? Everything rides on BTC holding the line. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.14T24h7d30d1yAll time Bitcoin Price is Key to MicroStrategy’s S&P 500 Aspirations Financial analyst Jeff Walton pegs MicroStrategy’s chances of joining the S&P 500 at a staggering 91%, a prediction tightly linked to Bitcoin’s price resilience. For the company to qualify, it needs four consecutive quarters of positive earnings, which is influenced by its massive 592,345 BTC stash. …dang, that’s a lot of Bitcoin. Even so, the $95,240 support remains a dangerous cliff edge. Walton states, “To be considered for the S&P 500, a company must report cumulative positive earnings across the past four quarters.” This year, MicroStrategy embraced Accounting Standards Update (ASU 2023-08), and with it, Bitcoin’s role in the company’s financial health skyrocketed. The update lets unrealized BTC gains and losses impact net income, linking the cryptocurrency’s price directly to MicroStrategy’s earnings narrative. For a company with S&P 500 ambitions, Bitcoin is MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor’s lifeline. Broader Market Dynamics in Play For Bitcoin Price The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 1.54% this month, a surprising slip when global crises usually boost its safe-haven appeal. This time it’s BTC ▲0.88% showing that strength. “The dollar index is dabbling in new cycle lows… fiat is fading,” macroeconomist Lyn Alden pointed out. (DXY) Bitcoin’s recovery after the latest conflict cements its reputation as a robust hedge, holding firm during this wave of risk-off sentiment and keeping crypto bulls in control. MicroStrategy Could Redefine Crypto in the S&P 500 A stable Bitcoin through June 30 could clear the way for MicroStrategy to become the second crypto-tied firm in the S&P 500 this year, after Coinbase. Such a move could spark a trend, with other companies adopting similar crypto-forward strategies. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways MicroStrategy is closing in on S&P 500 inclusion, but there’s a catch. The Bitcoin price has to stay above $95,240 through the end of June. If Bitcoin stays steady through the end of June, MicroStrategy is poised to join Coinbase as the second crypto-linked company in the S&P. The post Is Bitcoin Price Set to Land on the S&P500 This Year: Is BTC About To Be Indexed? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.