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  2. Boa noite, traders e membros do ExpertFX. Assistimos hoje a uma queda abrupta e violenta (Short Squeeze) no preço do ouro (XAU/USD) em mais de $300 e da prata (XAG/USD) em $4, em total contraste com um cenário fundamentalista que grita por valorização: dívida dos EUA em $38T, governo fechado (shutdown), tensões geopolíticas e, crucialmente, uma escassez física gritante de metais preciosos confirmada (LBMA e varejo chinês). Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE Para o investidor comum, essa ação de preço é ilógica. Para nós, que operamos com a lente de Wyckoff, é a manualização perfeita de uma liquidez short squeeze que nós vinha comentando aqui na ExpertFX. A narrativa de de ruídos "melhor vender seu ouro e prata físico e manter fiduciários" é uma armadilha. É fundamental ressaltar que movimentos tão bruscos, na faixa de 4% a 6% em um dia para o ouro e a prata, são eventos raríssimos. Desde 1971, ocorreram apenas 13 vezes. Isso reforça a natureza extraordinária do "shakeout" atual. Vamos mergulhar no gráfico e decodificar o que realmente está acontecendo. Análise Wyckoff Detalhada do Gráfico XAU/USD (1h) Observando o gráfico de 1 hora, podemos identificar as seguintes fases e eventos: 1. Contexto Pré-Queda: Um CLÍMAX e Distribuição Sutil UTAD (UpThrust After Distribution): Vemos um UTAD claro no topo do range, indicando que os "Smart Money" (dinheiro inteligente) estavam vendendo para a euforia dos compradores atrasados. Linha de Tendência Quebrada e SOW (Sign of Weakness): A quebra da linha de tendência ascendente, seguida de um SOW (Sign of Weakness), sinalizou que a demanda estava diminuindo e a oferta estava começando a dominar. O mercado já estava em uma fase de distribuição de curto prazo, preparando o terreno para a queda. ChoCH (Change of Character): A primeira grande barra de venda, que quebrou a estrutura ascendente, foi um ChoCH, indicando uma mudança clara no comportamento do mercado de alta para baixa. 2. A Queda Violenta: O "Shakeout" Perfeito Movimento "ABCD" em Direção à Liquidez: A queda violenta de mais de $200 não é aleatória. Ela segue um padrão de venda forte que mira níveis de liquidez abaixo, atingindo stops e forçando a venda por pânico. O padrão "ABCD" marcado no gráfico sugere um movimento de correção direcionado. Alcançando o "Shakeout?": A flecha roxa apontando para "shakeout?" é perfeitamente descritiva. Essa queda brutal, em meio a notícias fundamentalmente bullish para o ouro e a prata, é o manual do "shakeout" (sacudida). Propósito: O "Smart Money" usa notícias e o momentum de venda para: Assustar: Fazer com que investidores do varejo, que não entendem a profundidade dos fundamentos, vendam suas posições por medo de mais perdas. Pegar Stops: Acionar stops de compra e liquidações forçadas, adicionando combustível à queda. Coletar: Acumular metal físico a preços mais baixos, enquanto os fundamentos de escassez (LBMA, China) permanecem inalterados ou pioram. 3. Níveis Críticos para Observar (Segundo o Gráfico): Neckline 4181.77: Este é um nível crucial. A quebra e teste dele foi um "breakdown" inicial. Suporte Major em 4051.57 (e abaixo): O gráfico aponta para uma zona de suporte em torno de 4051.57, e as zonas de demanda DEMAND M30 abaixo (4019.45 e 3995.74), aproximando-se da linha mediana. Se a queda for contida acima de 4000-4055 (como na nossa análise técnica anterior), podemos ver uma retomada. Linha de Tendência Inferior (Suporte Dinâmico): A linha de tendência ascendente azul que se estende desde o fundo da acumulação anterior, passando pela zona de 3952.70 (BREAKOUT... REJEIÇÃO), servirá como um suporte dinâmico crucial. O mercado provavelmente está buscando testar essa região. Atenção ao Nível de $4051: Uma quebra e fechamento significativo (H4 e D1) abaixo do shakeout em $4051,57 invalidaria o cenário de "sacudida" imediata. Nesse caso, o próximo suporte confiável seria em $3864. Fora dessa faixa, não existem suportes sólidos para conter uma queda maior. Conclusão de Igor Pereira Esta queda de $200 no ouro e $4 na prata, em face de um cenário fundamentalista incrivelmente bullish (dívida recorde, governo fechado, tensões geopolíticas, e escassez física confirmada pela LBMA e varejo chinês), não é um sinal de fraqueza intrínseca dos metais preciosos. É, na verdade, uma clássica operação de "shakeout" no Short Squeeze. O "Smart Money" está usando a volatilidade e o pânico para sacudir os detentores fracos e acumular mais metal físico a preços descontados, antes da próxima distribuição. Atenção aos Níveis: Monitorem de perto os níveis de suporte em 4051.57 e especialmente a zona de 4000-4055. Uma rejeição vigorosa nessas áreas, seguida de um volume significativo, indicará que a fase de "sacudida" está terminando e a acumulação para a próxima alta está em andamento. Lembrem-se: uma quebra H4/D1 abaixo de $4051 nos leva a $3864, sem suportes sólidos abaixo até a zona de $3500/oz. O Mercado Vai Acalmar: Esses "short squeezes" violentos, de 4 a 6%, são eventos raros e, historicamente, o mercado tende a se acalmar e apresentar novas oportunidades após tal volatilidade. Não Caia na Armadilha: Não se iludam com narrativas e ruídos. O dinheiro fiduciário não tem proteção contra a realidade que se desenrola. A escassez física é real. A desvalorização fiduciária é um fato. Pronto para navegar a volatilidade e lucrar com as grandes tendências? Junte-se ao ExpertFX Club e tenha acesso exclusivo a análises como esta, em tempo real, com estratégias acionáveis para Ouro, Prata e Bitcoin, tenha acesso aos níveis e o que está acontecendo de curto e médio prazo; Entre agora: https://expertfx.club/
  3. The concept of a price battleground in Bitcoin markets refers to a critical price range where the forces of buying and selling pressure are in a fierce and decisive contest. This is where the outcome is expected to determine BTC’s overall direction and confirm a continuation of a bull market or bear market correction. Why This Zone Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Expansion Phase In an X post, an institutional-grade reporter, Bitcoin Vector, has highlighted that BTC has entered its decisive battleground between $110,000 and $115,000, which could determine the trajectory of the entire cycle. In the past week, spot demand, which is the engine of sustained rallies, was notably weak and capped by the escalating US-China trade tensions. As those tensions eased, that spot demand showed signs of returning, allowing BTC to claw its way back above the critical $110,000 level. Despite recovery back into the battleground, momentum remains negative and flat. Without sustained inflow and spot demand, the bullish structure could fade fast, leaving BTC exposed to another pullback. However, if demand holds and momentum turns up, BTC advances deeper into the battleground. A failure to maintain this range and BTC may risk retreating again and raising the white flag. A full-time crypto trader, Sykodelic, has also offered a highly optimistic prediction that Bitcoin will be back to an All-Time High (ATH) by the end of the month. The market is still in uncertainty and fear, where BTC thrives for its next leg higher. This is the stage of the cycle where disbelief dominates. As a result, traders convince themselves the rally is over, and that’s when BTC starts to move again. By the time BTC approaches its previous highs, traders will finally believe again, which often happens when another long flush clears out late entrants. Technically, BTC price is moving back above the 4-hour 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Each time, Bitcoin successfully retests this level as support, the price continues to expand higher. “I think the worst is behind us,” Sykodelic noted. The Supply Battle That Shapes The Next Cycle The current Bitcoin market is in a supply tug-of-war between two powerful forces. According to the ambassador of MGBX_EN, BitBull, long-term holders (LTHs) have been constantly offloading their coins, while institutions are aggressively absorbing the supply through Spot ETFs and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs). Meanwhile, the treasury holdings have quietly surpassed $120 billion, with BTC still dominating the stack. Spot ETFs alone have absorbed tens of thousands of coins this quarter, proving that institutional demand remains strong. However, LTHs are still selling faster than ETFs, and DATs can absorb. Historically, when this kind of accelerated LTH distribution occurs, BTC tends to lose short-term momentum. This is not a bearish setup, but it does imply that the upside remains temporarily capped until the selling pressure fades. Thus, institutions are buying the strength, not the bottoms. Ultimately, the next major breakout hinges on when long-term holders stop distributing and return to accumulation mode.
  4. Hoje
  5. A pro-XRP software developer sparked fresh debate this week by saying it takes “serious conviction” to hold volatile coins like XRP through long, wild swings. Vincent Van Code said holding XRP all the way to $1,000 — let alone $10,000 — would take “mental illness.” His comments have drawn attention not just for the blunt wording but for the story they tell about the human side of crypto risk. Holder Psychology Under Stress According to Van Code, the real test begins long before a coin hits big numbers. He pointed to Bitcoin as an example: Bitcoin traded under $1 in 2010 and now sits above $110,000. Many claim they would have held from those early days, but Van Code argued most people would have sold around $100. Reports have also noted whales who were inactive for more than a decade recently moving coins bought for under $1,000 and cashing out millions or billions. The famous case of the French buyer who spent 10,000 BTC on pizza remains a blunt reminder that people do sell, sometimes at huge regret. XRP Near Key Demand Zone Technical calls are mixed. Ether Nasyonal, a crypto analyst, told followers that XRP is “cooking something” on the 1-month chart and highlighted an important demand zone. Following the sharp drop and quick bounce on Oct. 10, XRP failed to break past $2.5 and is still short of the $3 level. The token is down 14% this month. Past movements add weight to caution: XRP plunged more than 90% after peaking above $3 back in 2018, a crash that punished holders who sold in panic and then watched prices recover later. Personal Stories And Public Bets Some holders frame their approach as a long-term plan. One user, TheXFactor33, said he has held XRP for over eight years and has weathered multiple crashes. Van Code has said he mentally removed the money from his balance sheet and intends not to sell even if prices head far higher. He told followers his aim is to convert the stake into something concrete for his family, such as buying a home for his children. Long-Term Bets Face Real Tests Views on how high XRP could go differ widely. Some analysts project a bullish scenario that sees XRP at $1,000 by 2040, a forecast that would require years of patience — roughly a 15-year hold from today’s levels under $3 — and a lot of market resilience. Meanwhile, a good number of investors say they would cash gains early to pay for cars, houses, or other goals, making multiyear holds rare. Surviving repeated crashes and strong rallies takes more than luck; it takes steady nerves and a plan. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
  6. Yesterday
  7. In recent analyses, I've repeatedly mentioned that the market's main challenge right now is uncertainty. Both major instruments—EUR/USD and GBP/USD—have been trading within relatively narrow ranges for several months now. It feels as if the market is frozen, not in anticipation of a holiday miracle, but simply awaiting data and facts. What have we learned during the first two days of this week? Virtually nothing. Negotiations between China and the United States seem to be ongoing, but could collapse at any moment. Donald Trump continues to make new demands, and China's patience is not unlimited. On Monday, Trump demanded that China resume soybean purchases. Previously, he had threatened to ban the purchase of soybean oil. One of the key sticking points remains China's new export restrictions on rare earth minerals. In short, there are many "sharp edges" between the two powers, and there's no guarantee they'll reach the long-awaited agreement. As for the next Federal Reserve meeting, things appear straightforward on the surface—but a "surprise" could still catch traders off guard. The market's currently dovish expectations rest almost entirely on the perceived weakness in the U.S. labor market. Market participants are not only expecting an interest rate cut in October but also in December and January. In essence, medium-term dovish expectations have formed without any real economic data. But what if the U.S. labor market is already recovering and that recovery is simply going unreported due to the government shutdown? It's very possible that the FOMC might lower rates again in October, but then pause in December. It seems we understand the labor market situation—but if it was experiencing a slowdown this summer, that doesn't guarantee it is still slowing this fall. So drawing any definitive conclusions about the health of the labor market would be premature. Based on all of the above, the market is standing still, waiting for concrete developments. These could come in the form of long-delayed U.S. data releases, direct statements from Jerome Powell, or a final outcome in the China–Trump negotiations. However, in my view, such clarity may remain scarce through the end of the year. The "clash of titans" will likely continue. Trump will keep imposing tariffs on new sectors and countries. Pressure on the Fed will resume the moment interest rate cuts stop. And the shutdown could very well break a new record in duration, despite forecasts to the contrary. Until these issues are resolved, we will likely continue to observe sluggish, directionless price movement. Wave Pattern for EUR/USD:Based on my current analysis, EUR/USD is still developing an upward wave segment. The wave structure continues to depend entirely on current news—especially Trump's actions and both domestic and foreign policy developments out of the White House. The current wave may extend to the 1.25 zone. Currently, we appear to be completing corrective wave 4, which has taken on a complex and drawn-out form. Therefore, I continue to expect only purchasing opportunities in the near term. By year-end, I anticipate that the euro will rise toward the 1.2245 level, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci. Wave Pattern for GBP/USD:GBP/USD's wave picture has evolved. We remain within the bounds of a bullish impulsive segment, but the internal structure is becoming more complicated. Wave 4 has formed into a three-wave correction, which is significantly more extended than wave 2. The latest three-wave downward correction appears to have ended. If this assumption proves accurate, the pair's growth may continue in alignment with the broader wave structure. The initial targets of this potential bullish extension lie near the 1.38 and 1.40 zones. Key Principles of My Analysis:Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex formations are difficult to trade and often require adjustment.If you're uncertain about what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.Absolute certainty in market direction does not exist. Always use stop-loss orders to protect capital.Wave analysis can and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  8. The euro-dollar pair is once again approaching the lower boundary of the broad price range between 1.1560 and 1.1730, where it has traded for three consecutive weeks. This lower bound coincides with the bottom line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart, while the upper boundary aligns with the Kijun-sen line on the same timeframe. On one hand, the bearish momentum appears convincing: the pair has been falling almost uninterrupted since Friday, with three straight sessions of decline. On the other hand, the market has seen similarly sharp price moves in both directions over the past two weeks, only for them to be quickly erased. Last Friday, EUR/USD closed at 1.1653. The Friday before that, it ended at 1.1622. Such price behavior suggests that it is far too early to declare the start of a new bearish trend, despite the pair's recent softness. Notably, the dollar's strength continues to grow, even amid rising dovish expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policy moves. Market participants are now highly confident that the Fed will cut rates twice before the end of the year—once at the October meeting and again in December, for a total of 50 basis points. This scenario is currently priced in with over 90% probability, according to a recent Reuters poll. Out of 117 economists surveyed, 115 expect a 25-point cut in October, and 83 foresee another in December. In addition, CME's FedWatch tool shows that the probability of another cut in January has risen to 54%. These dovish expectations are grounded in recent Fed commentary: Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other officials (including Christopher Waller, Stephen Miran, and Michelle Bowman) emphasized concerns about labor market softness, de-emphasizing inflation concerns. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, the September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report has not been released, so markets are relying on the ADP jobs report, which showed a decline of 30,000 in private-sector employment. Likewise, inflation data has been withheld—except for one key report: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September, scheduled for release Friday (October 24). If the CPI misses expectations (lands in the "red zone"), markets will become even more certain that the Fed will cut rates by 75 basis points over the next four months. So why is the U.S. dollar rallying under such an aggressively dovish macro backdrop? The answer lies in two words: Trump and China. Last week saw yet another escalation in the ongoing trade conflict between the U.S. and China. President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese exports in response to Beijing's newly announced export restrictions. Both countries imposed additional port fees and exchanged increasingly hawkish rhetoric, marking a clear return to confrontation. However, this initial pressure on the dollar quickly reversed when Trump abruptly changed his tone—this change acted like a spring uncoiling. The president expressed optimism about reaching a deal, praising China's "respectful" behavior and emphasizing the "massive" tariff revenue. He also stated that he intends to meet President Xi Jinping at the upcoming APEC summit in South Korea and may follow with a visit to China. In other words, Trump once again shifted from confrontation to conciliation, reviving hopes for a deal—and that was all the dollar needed to regain strength. But can this dollar rally be trusted under current conditions? Arguably not. The Dollar Index (DXY) is rising on shaky ground. After all, reaching a trade deal requires more than Trump's goodwill—it also takes commitment on China's side. As the saying goes, it takes two to tango. So far, this is a one-sided political performance, with Beijing merely confirming its willingness to talk—no concrete actions yet. It's also important to note that this time, it was China that initiated the latest controversy by imposing large-scale export restrictions on rare earth metals—key inputs in high-tech manufacturing. Given that China holds 90% of global rare earth reserves and dominates their extraction and processing, it's uncertain whether Beijing will accept a compromise in exchange for the repeal of tariffs that haven't even come into effect yet. Taken together, these conditions suggest that the current downward momentum in EUR/USD rests on a fragile foundation. From a technical standpoint, two major signals imply caution: The pair is nearing the lower boundary of the broad 1.1560–1.1730 price channel.The current decline lacks meaningful fundamental backing, as it is driven more by market optimism dependent on diplomacy rather than firm policy shifts or confirmed economic developments.If the southern impulse fades within this range, long positions may once again become relevant. Potential upside targets in case of reversal: 1.1660 – the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart1.1710 – the upper Bollinger Band on the H4 timeframeThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  9. Making a 6% weekly uptick, FLOKI recently ripped higher after Elon Musk posted an AI-generated video of his Shiba Inu “Floki” sitting at a CEO desk, reigniting meme-coin risk appetite even as the broader crypto market slipped 3%. Within hours, FLOKI’s price jumped nearly 30% and 24-hour volume exploded 780–817% to roughly $656–$662 million, lifting the token to an intraday high near $0.000088, its best level in almost two weeks. Related Reading: All It Took Was A Tweet: FLOKI Jumps 27% After Musk Mentions It Mentions across X, Reddit, and Telegram climbed 65%, while crypto’s Fear & Greed Index nudged from Fear (37) to Neutral (52), signaling fresh retail participation. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) logged modest gains, but FLOKI led meme coins by a wide margin. Breakout Case vs. Bull-Trap Warnings Technicians say FLOKI is retesting a pivotal demand band around $0.00008. A daily close and hold above $0.000075 keeps the breakout thesis alive toward $0.00009, with $0.00010 on the table if momentum and volumes persist. Open Interest surged 162% to about $37.5 million, and long-side liquidations wiped out $275K in shorts during the squeeze. On Binance, negative funding suggests crowded shorts paying to stay positioned, fuel for further upside if price grinds higher. Still, some analysts flag bull-trap risk. The RSI tipped into overbought (>70) during the spike, a zone that historically invites cooling moves; a quick reset back into the 50–70 band would be a healthier springboard. Liquidity “heatmaps” show dense clusters both above and below spot, implying two-way volatility as the price hunts orders before choosing direction. If FLOKI fails to reclaim/hold $0.00009, technicians eye pullbacks toward $0.000072, with a deeper bear case pointing to $0.00004 if risk aversion returns. Key FLOKI Levels as the Market Slips 3% Currently, FLOKI hovers around $0.0000737, down 12% on the day, mirroring the broader market downturnwith Bitcoin near $107,000 and Ethereum around $3,800. In the near term, traders are watching key technical levels that could dictate FLOKI’s next move. Immediate support sits between $0.000072 and $0.000070, with a deeper downside risk toward $0.00004 if momentum fails to hold. Related Reading: CryptoQuant’s Moreno Eyes Bitcoin At $195,000 If This Happens The $0.000080 level acts as the crucial pivot point, a decisive close above it would strengthen the bullish trend and open the path toward higher targets. On the upside, resistance lies at $0.00009, followed by $0.00011 if buying volume expands. With liquidity thin and sentiment still fragile after recent liquidations, celebrity-driven spikes can overextend quickly. However, if flows remain constructive, negative funding persists, open interest stays elevated, and spot demand confirms, FLOKI’s rally could reignite, potentially surpassing the psychological $0.00009 level. Cover image from ChatGPT, FLOKIUSD chart from Tradingview
  10. It is no secret that several critical factors drove the recent rally in gold prices. The gradual removal of these conditions could trigger a significant price decline. Gold's upward movement has been supported by rising geopolitical tensions globally, particularly in the Middle East and in Europe, amid the ongoing crisis in Ukraine. This has been accompanied by a shift in U.S. foreign and trade policy aimed at reinforcing its global dominance through trade and tariff conflicts, which diminished the appeal of the dollar as a reserve and safe-haven currency. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's return to cutting interest rates made U.S. government bonds less attractive by comparison, increasing demand for non-yielding assets like gold. More recently, signs of stabilization have emerged. The United States has managed—at least for now—to de-escalate tensions in the Israel–Palestine conflict. Dialogues between President Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin have resumed. These developments have shifted the broader geopolitical landscape, dampening safe-haven demand and halting gold's surge. Markets understand that price growth driven by fear and uncertainty cannot be sustained indefinitely. As diplomatic relations begin to normalize, risk appetite is likely to recover, causing capital to flow back into riskier assets. This transition reduces the relative attractiveness of defensive assets like gold, increasing the likelihood of a correction or consolidation. Although prices have shown extreme highs in recent months, the possibility of a decline or sideways range is growing. However, the exact timing of this shift remains uncertain, and as long as ambiguity persists around geopolitical issues, residual upward momentum in gold may intermittently return. Looking at the market landscape, activity is expected to be subdued. Investors await U.S. consumer inflation data, scheduled for release later in the week, which may provide clarity on future Federal Reserve policy moves. Additionally, attention is focused on the renewed diplomatic negotiations between Russia and the United States concerning the Ukraine crisis. Market participants are likely to remain cautious, holding positions within previously established ranges until these narratives unfold. Forecast for the DayIn gold, prices remain below the resistance level of 4,273.60. The continued easing of geopolitical tension could weaken demand for gold, pushing prices down to the support level at 4,185.40. The level at 4,237.17 may serve as a technical entry point for short positions. Silver is trading below its current resistance at 50.40. A further decline may lead to a correction toward 48.45, with 46.65 acting as a viable level for initiating sell trades. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  11. In financial markets, everything is accounted for—even when data is scarce, investors turn to leading corporate earnings as signals. In this context, the optimistic outlooks shared by General Electric, Philip Morris, and Coca-Cola speak louder than recent U.S. labor market concerns. For these manufacturers, the glass is half full, casting doubt on the likelihood of aggressive Fed rate cuts and lending support to EUR/USD bears. Many are citing France's S&P Global rating downgrade and the looming budget battle between Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and the French parliament as the primary reasons for the euro's weakness. However, the CAC 40 index reaching a record high and stable spreads between French and German government bond yields suggest that political risk has already been factored into asset prices. CAC 40 Performance vs. Rating Downgrade The prospect of a downgrade by S&P Global had been widely discussed in advance, as had the upcoming Moody's review scheduled for October 24. In theory, downgrades should trigger forced selling by investment funds with strict mandates. In reality, many of these funds are waiving those restrictions to hold onto assets they still deem valuable. The weakness in the euro is clearly being driven by factors extraneous to French domestic politics. Indeed, Lecornu's initial proposal to reduce the fiscal deficit from 5.4% of GDP to 4.7% may struggle to gain traction in parliament. However, the prime minister retains some flexibility—he has previously suggested a figure slightly below 5%, while S&P Global referenced 5.3%. That level could gain cross-party approval among both left- and right-wing lawmakers. The real bearish momentum in EUR/USD is being fueled by strong Q3 earnings from U.S. corporations and fading hopes for peace in Ukraine. A statement from Donald Trump regarding a potential meeting with the Russian president in Hungary briefly boosted the euro amid speculation over a peace deal. Trump voiced strong intentions to pursue a resolution, but Moscow responded with a clear signal that it is not ready to negotiate an end to the conflict. Had peace talks shown real promise, a reduction in geopolitical risk would have supported eurozone currencies. Dynamics of France's credit ratings The Kremlin demands territorial concessions it cannot currently capture, while Kyiv appears willing to freeze the conflict along the current front lines. The gulf between both parties remains vast, so a breakthrough at a Trump–Russia summit seems unlikely. The euro remains under pressure, while upbeat U.S. corporate earnings embolden EUR/USD bears. Technically, the daily EUR/USD chart shows a rejection from dynamic resistance levels represented by key moving averages. This increases the likelihood of a corrective phase forming against the prevailing long-term bullish trend. Short positions initiated from the 1.1640 region are justified and might be strengthened if support at 1.1600 is broken. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  12. The past week brought a wealth of macroeconomic data from the United Kingdom, which, at first glance, seemed supportive of a renewed rally in the pound. The labor market report revealed some signs of weakness, particularly a slower pace of job creation compared to the previous month. However, the fact that wage growth remains stubbornly high is a strong inflationary factor. Elevated inflation, in turn, signals that the Bank of England will not be in a hurry to cut interest rates, allowing UK yields to remain relatively attractive. August GDP figures met expectations, and industrial production outperformed forecasts. Still, the third quarter outlook from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) remains weak, with only modest GDP growth of 0.3% expected. On Tuesday, the UK's consumer inflation report for September will be released. Last month, NIESR noted a very high probability that inflation would remain above 3% for the next 12 months. Current projections anticipate that core inflation will rise from 3.6% to 3.7% year-over-year, and headline inflation from 3.8% to 4.0%. In the past, such expectations alone would have been enough to support sterling strength, but broader market dynamics have shifted. Other global factors now suggest that the U.S. dollar is poised for renewed appreciation, and the pound is likely to weaken in line with broader risk sentiment. Another underappreciated but significant pressure point for the pound lies in the UK bond market. While the yield on 10-year Gilts stands around 4.5%, a large portion of that yield reflects the "term premium"—the additional return investors demand for holding long-term debt, which is directly linked to fiscal sustainability risks. With UK public debt hovering near 100% of GDP and interest payments totaling approximately £90 billion per year, public finances are under clear strain. Under current inflation expectations, the government would need to find an additional 2% of GDP just to stabilize debt levels, according to NIESR. With a budget deficit of about 5% of GDP and weak economic growth, this appears nearly unachievable—driving risk premia even higher. As a result, the pound is under significant, albeit less obvious, pressure, and demand for sterling is unlikely to grow meaningfully until a clear economic strategy emerges. That clarity depends on a marked improvement in economic activity—something that is improbable at current interest rate levels. Yet, lowering interest rates is off the table as long as inflation expectations remain high. This self-reinforcing dynamic severely limits foreign investment inflows, so demand for the pound, even amid higher interest rates, is likely to remain weak. The fair value estimate for GBP is now trending downward away from its long-term average. Last week, we identified the 1.3140 level as key short-term support, and that target remains valid. The corrective rebound seen in recent days has been shallow and unconvincing. We expect another wave of downward momentum. More clarity will come following the release of the UK and U.S. inflation reports. Until then, the outlook for the pound remains constrained by fiscal concerns, limited growth potential, and deteriorating sentiment. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  13. British Columbia has officially decided to slam the door on new crypto mining projects looking to tap into the province’s power supply. The permanent ban means no new mining operations will be allowed to connect to the public electricity grid. The government says this is about protecting the province’s energy for industries that actually contribute jobs and long-term revenue. Power utility BC Hydro, which delivers electricity to most of the region, is now off-limits for future miners. This decision follows a moratorium that was first put in place back in 2022 and later extended in 2024. Now, the temporary freeze has become permanent. Lawmakers are making it clear that energy-hungry mining operations are no longer part of the province’s future vision. Who Gets the Power Now? Not the Miners Instead of supporting crypto miners, British Columbia is turning its attention to sectors it believes have a stronger economic impact. That includes traditional industries like natural gas and mining, as well as newer ones like liquefied natural gas and data centres. The government sees these as more dependable sources of jobs and growth. Source: Shutterstock Starting in 2026, even AI firms and data centres will face electricity caps. The province wants to ensure there’s enough clean energy to go around without letting any single industry soak it all up. Premier David Eby and Energy Minister Adrian Dix both backed the shift, pointing to big projects like the North Coast Transmission Line as part of a long-term plan to keep the grid stable and future-ready. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 Why Crypto Mining Got Singled Out Crypto mining has been under scrutiny for a while due to its massive electricity demands and limited local economic returns. These operations often set up shop, plug into the grid, and burn through energy without adding much in the way of jobs or taxes. The new law is meant to keep those kinds of setups from piling pressure on the system. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Charlotte Mitha, who leads BC Hydro, said demand across the board is rising fast. That includes both legacy industries and newer tech-driven sectors. Given that reality, she said new rules are needed to keep power rates manageable and supply secure for everyone else. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What Happens to the Miners Already There? If you’re already running a mining operation in British Columbia, you’re not being cut off overnight. Companies that are already connected to the grid under valid agreements can keep going. But any hopes of scaling up or starting fresh are now blocked by law. That may push some miners to relocate or rethink their strategies. This decision may ripple beyond the province. Other regions are watching closely and could take similar steps if they see this as a way to manage power responsibly while keeping high-consumption industries in check. Drawing the Line Between Speculation and Stability British Columbia seems to be making a statement about where it wants to go. Clean electricity is a limited resource, and the province has decided it should be spent on sectors that deliver solid, predictable returns. New crypto mining operations didn’t make the cut. With this new policy, the government is choosing to back industries that offer tangible local benefits instead of speculative ventures that leave little behind. As the new rules take hold, the global energy and tech landscape may begin to shift in response. This isn’t just about crypto anymore; it’s about how we decide to power the future. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways British Columbia has made its crypto mining ban permanent, blocking new operations from accessing the public power grid. The province is prioritizing industries like LNG, natural gas, and data centres that offer more stable jobs and revenue. Crypto mining was singled out due to high electricity use and minimal economic benefit for local communities. Existing crypto miners can continue operating if already connected, but expansion is now off the table. This move may influence other regions to restrict high-consumption industries as power demands increase. The post British Columbia Locks Out New Crypto Miners from the Grid appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  14. Europol has joined forces with law enforcement in Latvia and other European countries to dismantle a massive cyber-fraud network that had been operating out of Latvia. The takedown led to the seizure of around $330,000 in cryptocurrency from the suspects. Authorities also froze roughly $500,000 across various bank accounts linked to the operation. The raid happened around October 10, 2025, and resulted in the arrest of seven people connected to the group. What investigators uncovered was a full-blown fraud-as-a-service operation that leveraged telecom tech to carry out thousands of scams across Europe. Inside the Network: SIM Boxes and Fake Accounts The group’s entire setup revolved around SIM-box devices, which are pieces of hardware that hold dozens of SIM cards at once. This allows criminals to mask who they are and where they’re operating from. Investigators discovered an estimated 1,200 SIM boxes and around 40,000 active SIM cards in use. With those tools, the network managed to create more than 49 million fake online accounts. These accounts used phone numbers from over 80 countries and were linked to a wide range of scams, including phishing, smishing, fraudulent investment schemes, and bogus marketplaces. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 The Cost of Chaos: Millions Lost Across Borders The financial toll has been severe. Austria reported total losses of more than $5.2 million as a result of scams tied to this group. Latvia, where the ring was headquartered, saw damages reaching about €420,000, which works out to roughly $460,000. And that’s just what has been uncovered so far. Investigations are still ongoing to track the full extent of the damage and locate additional victims. Europol didn’t hold back in describing the scale of the operation. The agency called it “technically highly sophisticated,” pointing out that it wasn’t limited to small-time cons. The network also supported extortion, migrant smuggling, and fraudulent banking and e-commerce platforms. When Crypto Meets Old-School Fraud The fact that the takedown involved both crypto and traditional bank seizures shows how organized crime is blending modern finance with old fraud tricks. As digital assets like crypto become more common in illicit operations, enforcement agencies are having to evolve quickly. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What makes this case stand out is that authorities didn’t just go after the money. They went after the infrastructure that made the scams possible. That includes the SIM boxes, the cards, and the fake accounts that kept the whole system running. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 What Happens From Here This might only be the beginning. Authorities could uncover more crypto stashes, make additional arrests, and trace even more fake accounts as they dig deeper. People are now watching closely to see if the same infrastructure shows up in scams across other parts of Europe or even globally. Regulators and security experts will also be paying attention. The mix of telecom-based fraud tools and crypto is a new kind of threat, and it’s forcing everyone to rethink how these crimes are tackled. At the very least, this case sends a clear message. Whether it’s physical hardware or digital currency, if it enables large-scale fraud, it’s on the radar now. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Europol and Latvian authorities dismantled a major cybercrime ring, arresting seven suspects and seizing $330,000 in crypto. The group used over 1,200 SIM boxes and 40,000 SIM cards to create 49 million fake accounts for phishing, smishing, and scam campaigns. Austria alone reported $5.2 million in losses linked to the operation, with Latvia seeing about $460,000 in damages. This case highlights how crypto is increasingly blended with traditional fraud tactics, making operations harder to track and disrupt. Authorities seized both money and infrastructure, demonstrating a more aggressive approach to dismantling fraud networks at their core. The post Europol Cracks Latvian Cybercrime Ring, Bags $330,000 in Crypto appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  15. Kadena (KDA) Crypto just shocked the market and its investors by announcing that it is shutting down operations completely. In an official post on its X account, the team wrote, “Kadena organization is no longer able to continue business operations and will be ceasing all business activity and active maintenance of the Kadena blockchain immediately.” According to the post, all employees have already been notified, and only a small group will stay on to manage the transition and wind-down. In a strange twist, they even left an email open for people to vent their frustrations. The statement also added, “As for the KDA token and protocol, it will also continue in our absence, as noted in the latest token economic update.” Despite that reassurance, the token tanked more than 60%, crashing from a $120 million market cap to under $28 million. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Even though the team is stepping away, Kadena’s chain and token are fully decentralized, so the network itself will keep running without direct involvement from the organization. Was the Kadena (KDA) Crypto Account Actually Hacked? A lot of people bought the dip at first, thinking the X account was hacked, but the truth came out after the team confirmed on their Discord that the shutdown was official. Interestingly, Kadena was one of the projects backed by Binance Labs. It is also listed on Binance. During this chaos, the exchange handled over $24 million of the $70 million total trading volume. That means most of the selling pressure came from Binance users. Back in 2021, Kadena was one of the hottest projects in crypto, hitting a $3 billion market cap. Some even called it the “Solana killer.” Well, turns out it just killed itself instead. Some community members are still holding faith. They say the Kadena team did its job by delivering the tech and open-sourcing it, just like Bitcoin. They claim it is now in the hands of miners and truly decentralized. Sure, that part is true. Kadena is technically owned by its miners now, but let’s be real, it will never be another Bitcoin. This whole situation just shows how hard it really is to build something lasting in crypto. Even a project with solid tech and big backing like Kadena can end up fading out when the pressure hits. EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Kadena officially confirmed it is shutting down all operations, causing its token to crash by over 60%. Despite being decentralized, the shutdown highlights how even well-funded crypto projects can collapse under pressure. The post Kadena (KDA) Crypto SHUT DOWN Operations, Investors Shocked appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  16. The broader crypto market is currently navigating a phase of uncertainty, with concerns mounting over the possibility of a new bear market. A recent analysis by Barchart analyst Rob Isbitts highlights three significant signals suggesting that a deeper retreat in crypto prices may be on the horizon. Emerging Correlations Among Crypto Prices The report points to notable trends observed in April of last year, when a 50% increase followed the launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs_. Specifically, BlackRock’s IBIT fund which boasts over $85 billion in assets under management, subsequently experienced a decline of approximately 25%. A similar pattern was evident in the early months of this year, where fluctuations were mirrored in the market as increased outflows in these investment vehicles began to rise. Currently, the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)—a key indicator used by Isbitts—signals increasing chances of a decline in Bitcoin’s price as the weeks progress. Ethereum (ETH) appears to be following a comparable trajectory. Isbitts notes that while Bitcoin remains the leading cryptocurrency, the correlation among various coins is strengthening over time. This heightened correlation implies that Ethereum may also experience declines in tandem with Bitcoin. However, for cryptocurrencies that are further removed from the Bitcoin core, such as Solana (SOL), additional risks emerge. In these cases, not only does correlation impact prices, but a higher “beta” can lead to even steeper declines, reflecting increased volatility. For instance, when Bitcoin recently dropped about 15% from its peak, the futures -based Solana ETF (SOLZ), which has attracted over $220 million in assets in less than seven months, fell by double that percentage. Has Gold Regained Its Safe Haven Status Against Bitcoin? A common thread among the charts shared by Isbitts, is the recent formation of lower lows, indicating a pressing need for a rebound. If this does not occur soon, the expert highlights that the likelihood of further declines in crypto prices increases. The report also discusses a shift in the perception of gold, which has traditionally been viewed as an “anti-US dollar asset.” The expert asserts that as global central banks increase their gold reserves, the dynamics of the market may be changing. Recently, gold has exhibited price movements akin to those seen in cryptos, suggesting a potential resurgence in its role as a safe haven. This shift has impacted crypto stocks and ETFs, with certain funds showing signs of vulnerability as indicated by the PPO nearing a one-year high. A longer-term analysis of Bitcoin by Isbitts illustrates its inherent volatility, yet it has consistently managed to achieve higher highs over time. While this trend may continue, the current market conditions suggest that any future rallies are likely to start from lower price levels. As of this writing, however, Bitcoin, the market’s leading crypto, has regained the $112,900 mark, rising 3% in the last hour of Tuesday morning’s trading session. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
  17. The Dogecoin price may be preparing for a powerful breakout after a long period of sideways trading and consolidation. A recent market outlook suggests that DOGE is forming a bullish structure that could lead to a strong upward move. However, analysts warn that the best buying opportunities remain limited to specific lower price levels before the next major rally begins. Chart Pattern Signals Dogecoin Price Breakout Toward $0.5 Market analyst Elite Crypto noted in a recent post on X social media that the Dogecoin price appears to be forming a major breakout pattern, signaling a potential upward move ahead. The analyst’s chart shows a textbook Cup and Handle pattern, a formation that is typically associated with long-term bullish reversals. Dogecoin’s chart setup indicates that the meme coin has completed the “Cup” phase, where prices gradually curved upwards after a long period of accumulation. Now, price action is in the “handle” stage, which, upon completion, usually precedes a breakout to higher levels. In Elite Crypto’s chart, the cup’s base extends from early 2022 through 2024, with Dogecoin consolidating steadily before beginning a rebound into 2025. The market analyst has indicated that if history repeats, the DOGE price could experience a strong rally toward the $0.50 mark, a potential gain of over 160% from its current levels around $0.19. The chart also illustrates a crucial accumulation zone highlighted in green, where the price has been coiling. According to Elite Crypto, this range represents an ideal accumulation area before a larger move unfolds. He emphasized that any price action below the $0.155 level should be considered a solid buying opportunity for spot investors. Reversal Structure Confirms New DOGE Buying Zone In a separate X analysis, crypto market expert Vexe also pointed out a key buying zone for the Dogecoin price. He highlighted that DOGE has cleared all downside liquidity and is not holding firmly above its weekly support range. The analyst’s chart shows that the Dogecoin price action recently rebounded from a key demand area after testing lower levels. The price has stabilized near $0.20, suggesting that sellers may be exhausted, and a potential reversal is taking shape. The green shaded area on the chart highlights the reversal zone, which Vexe calls an ideal buying zone. His chart also features a descending trendline connecting multiple swing highs from the previous cycle. Dogecoin has already tested the resistance line and shows early signs of breaking out. Above the resistance line, Vexe projects a price target of $0.49, representing a potential upside of roughly 327.67% from the lower support zone. Notably, this $0.49 target would also reflect a 157% increase from DOGE’s price of $0.19. According to CoinMarketCap’s data, the meme coin is currently down by approximately 4% in just one day and 28% over the past month.
  18. Somnia crypto aims to make blockchain data function like a live feed, rather than a slow database. The company introduced Data Streams, a new infrastructure layer, on Tuesday, which lets applications subscribe to on-chain state and receive live updates as transactions occur. But what does it mean for SOMI price prediction in Q4 2025? The feature, announced on October 21, is designed for developers working on fast-moving applications, such as trading, gaming, and prediction markets, areas where traditional RPC systems often struggle to keep up. A public waitlist opened the same day, with phased rollouts expected in the coming months. Today, most apps rely on indexers or APIs that constantly query the blockchain. Somnia’s approach flips that model. Instead of pulling data repeatedly, Data Streams will push updates directly to clients the moment state changes occur. The company says this can lower costs and simplify infrastructure for builders. What Is Somnia’s Data Streams and How Does It Work? The first rollout will introduce subscription-based RPCs, followed by what Somnia calls “full on-chain reactivity” early next year. In its technical documentation, Somnia claims its Layer-1 network offers sub-second finality and has achieved seven-figure transaction throughput in tests, setting the stage for real-time consumer use cases. Mainnet is already live, and the team describes Data Streams as the next step toward a faster, web2-like developer experience in Web3. Early marketing for Somnia’s new product focuses on simplicity. The product page says Data Streams “turns on-chain state into live application data,” offering straightforward APIs that let developers read, write, and subscribe to updates. The site invites builders to “join the waitlist” as public access rolls out. Somnia is also outlining where the tool could make a difference. In prediction markets, event feeds could adjust odds and settle results instantly. In insurance, payouts can be triggered automatically once verified data meets preset thresholds. These examples were included in the company’s launch materials, released on Tuesday. In a recent post on X, Somnia stated that Data Streams aims to “bring web2 database performance to web3” and to remove “delays and complexity” from blockchain app development. The message is consistent: Somnia wants developers to think of blockchain data as live, responsive, and easy to work with, not something trapped behind technical friction. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 SOMI Price Prediction: Is SOMI/USDT Showing Signs of Accumulation After Weeks of Decline? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time According to Tradingview, the SOMI/USDT 4-hour chart shows a bearish trend with slight accumulation traces remaining stretched. The decline of SOMI accelerated in early October, following a fall outside the range of $1.30 that it had left at the end of September, cutting across several areas of support. The fall reached its lowest point of approximately $0.40 on October 11, and following that, there was a temporary recovery, resulting in some sideways action between $0.50 and $0.54. The 50-period EMA is close to $0.54, whereas the 100-period EMA is close to $0.62. The price is also lower than that of both, which confirms that the sellers are still in control of the market. (Source: SOMI USDT, Tradingview) These levels have been responsive to resistance, and each recovery attempt has been rejected. For momentum to shift upward, SOMI would need to close and hold above the $0.55–$0.60 area, backed by rising volume and stronger buying pressure. A brief volume spike on October 3 signaled speculative entries, although sellers quickly regained control once the move faded. Technically, SOMI still sits near the end of a markdown cycle but may be preparing for early accumulation if buyers continue to defend current levels. A daily close above $0.55 could clear space for a move toward $0.62–$0.68. Failure to hold would likely send the price back to test support near $0.48–$0.50. At press time, SOMI trades at $0.523, up about +2% on the day. The pair remains locked in a narrow range, waiting for either side to break the stalemate. The next few sessions should indicate whether it can finally break out of this tight zone and establish a clear trend. DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Will Somnia Data Streams Kill Chainlink Market Share? SOMI Price Prediction Q4? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  19. Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 21 US stock markets closed with mixed results on Tuesday, despite a flow of positive corporate earnings. The Dow Jones index finished with a gain, driven by solid earnings from industrial companies like General Motors, GE Aerospace, and 3M. However, the S&P 500 index ended the day mostly unchanged, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed slightly lower due to weakness in major growth and microchip stocks. General Motors GM.N lifted its forecast and tempered its anticipated tariff hit. The automaker's shares jumped 14.9%. Coca-ColaKO.N shares gained 4.1% after solid consumer demand drove its better-than-expected results, while diversified manufacturer 3M MMM.N advanced 7.7% after hiking its full-year forecast, bolstered by its focus on higher margin products and cost controls. After the market closed, Netflix stock dropped 5.8% in after-hours trading because the streaming company announced profits that were lower than analysts had expected. Overall, the third-quarter earnings season has started well, with 87% of reporting S&P 500 companies beating Wall Street profit forecasts. Yet, because stock prices are already near record highs and are valued expensively, investors are highly selective. Read More: Gold (XAU/USD) Price Down 5.7%, Biggest Daily Drop Since 2020. What Next for Gold Prices?Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Why Record Deliveries Still Mean a Profit Margin SqueezeUSD/CAD Price Outlook: Consolidation Above Key 1.4000 Handle. What Next for the Loonie?Cross-Assets Daily Performance zoom_out_map Cross-Asset Daily Performance, October 21, 2025 – Source: TradingView A massive selloff occurred in precious metals, with gold and silver experiencing their sharpest one-day price drop in years, as investors worried that the recent record rally was unsustainable. This sharp decline was caused by several converging factors such as profit taking, easing haven-demand and US Dollar strength. As investors moved money back to safer, non-commodity assets, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.96%. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin also saw its value fluctuate during this period of renewed risk aversion. A picture of today's performance for major currencies zoom_out_map Currency Performance, October 21 – Source: OANDA Labs The US dollar gained strength on Tuesday, hitting a six-day high, as the Japanese yen weakened significantly following its change in political leadership. he yen slid by 0.76% against the dollar, reaching its lowest level since October 14th. This decline was driven by the election of the pro-stimulus Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, as investors expect her government to prioritize high spending and loose monetary policy, which is negative for the currency. The yen also fell against the euro and the British pound. The US dollar index rose 0.312% because of the yen’s weakness. The euro fell slightly by 0.3% against the stronger dollar, despite recent easing of political tensions in France. The British pound (sterling) was down against the dollar, even though new data showed that the UK's government borrowing for the first half of the financial year was the highest since the pandemic. Investors believe this bad news is already factored into the price, expecting a tough budget next month. A look at Economic data releasing through tonight and tomorrow's session zoom_out_map For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. The Asian session will be a quiet one in terms of data releases. We do have some medium impact data releases from Japan with import and export numbers being released. Attention will be on the European session tomorrow where we will get UK CPI and PPI data. This will be followed by speeches from ECB policymaker De Guindos and President Christine Lagarde. The US session remains light with earnings releases and a few Fed policymakers speaking. Tesla will be the main earnings release after the market close tomorrow and could have implications for Nasdaq 100 as well. Safe Trades! Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  20. Aave has established itself as the most significant money market in the Ethereum ecosystem, without naming itself, with approximately $ 25 billion in loans in its active portfolio. By October 21, the decentralized lending protocol had almost 1,000 daily distinct borrowers and had over $ 25 billion in outstanding positions, significantly surpassing other competitors, such as SparkLend and Morpho. According to DeFiLlama data, the value of Aave alone as the provider of borrowed funds is nearly $26Bn, which serves to indicate the unprecedented dominance of the company in the industry. (Source: DeFiLlama) Its increase represents a more general trend of DeFi lending towards larger, safer pools following the acute deleveraging of 2022-2023. Capital is concentrating on well-audited protocols with deep liquidity and conservative parameters, areas where Aave continues to lead. Developers are also preparing the launch of Aave v4, a major upgrade designed to connect liquidity across multiple chains. That move could further strengthen its position as the backbone of Ethereum-based credit markets. Currently, Aave dominates in terms of scale and stability. Whether this strength will be reflected in the AAVE token as the larger market seeks its second leg up is the next question. The recent trend of Aave is correlated with the gradual increase of its GHO stablecoin and the anticipation of the next v4 upgrade. The new version will enable liquidity chain linkage and streamline the liquidation process, an action perceived as pivotal to the scaling of decentralized lending. Founder Stani Kulechov described v4 as a path to “deep liquidity for DeFi.” Industry analysts say the upgrade will introduce a hub-and-spoke structure that links multiple networks through a shared liquidity layer, potentially reducing fragmentation across Aave’s markets. The AAVE token traded near $236 in the past 24 hours, gaining about +2.5%. Its market value stood at around $ 3.6 billion, with prices ranging between $219 and $236. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Still, the token remains far below its previous cycle highs, reflecting investor caution about how protocol earnings translate into token value ahead of the v4 rollout. According to Aave’s dashboard, the protocol generated roughly $370,700 in revenue over the past 24 hours, with annualized earnings of about $95 million. (Source: DeFiLlama) Those figures are closely tracked by stakers and safety module participants, who view them as indicators of future yield and long-term sustainability. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 AAVE Price Prediction: Why Is AAVE Struggling to Break Above the $260-$280 Resistance Zone? The AAVE/USDT chart shared by crypto analyst Popeye points to a textbook Wyckoff-style distribution pattern. Having experienced a significant surge, the token has since stabilized between approximately $220 and $340, with low highs in between. This pattern typically indicates declining demand and the onset of a market peak. Failures to overcome the resistance, despite several attempts, followed by a more recent dismissal at approximately $260, indicate that sellers rule the day. Further statement of increasing supply pressure is a sharp fall to below $200. Price has since been moving off the low-end range but is being held on the lower end against the resistance of end levels, with little power to buy. According to the Wyckoff scheme, AAVE may be in the markdown phase, where distribution would shift to extensive declines. Analysts say a strong recovery above the $260–$280 area, accompanied by increased volume, would be needed to shift sentiment. Without that, the setup favors continued weakness and the risk of a sustained downtrend. DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Aave Quietly Dominated Ethereum Money Lending This Bull Run: When Will AAVE Price Pump? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  21. SharpLink Gaming’s (NASDAQ: SBET) recent $75M Ether purchase hasn’t halted the stock’s decline, leaving investors to wonder if a larger crypto treasury can stabilize sentiment. According to the Globe News Wire, the company stated that it added approximately $75M worth of ether this week, bringing its total holdings to nearly 859,853 ETH following a recent capital raise of $ 76.5M. The move marks a more profound shift toward an Ethereum-focused treasury strategy, positioning the firm among the most active corporate buyers of ETH in 2025. Can Ethereum Exposure Help SBET Recover From Its Sharp Decline? SharpLink disclosed it bought 19,271 ETH at an average price of $3,892, following a registered direct offering completed on Oct. 17. However, SBET is still below its short-term moving averages, maintaining the larger structure’s tilt towards the bearish side. The reduction in volumes indicates the caution on the part of investors after high selling in the previous quarter. Following the acquisition of Ethereum by SharpLink for $75M in ETH, market sentiment may now be influenced by the direction of Ethereum. Any break above $18 may attract a push to $30, and losing support at $14 may lead to a decline all the way to $10. It appears that traders are waiting for stronger signals from the overall crypto market before making new investments. EXPLORE: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post SBET Stock Continues to Tumble: Will SharpBet’s $75M ETH Bid Boost SBET Price? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  22. The Responsible Minerals Initiative (RMI), an initiative of the Responsible Business Alliance (RBA), has announced its Responsible Minerals Assurance Process (RMAP) is the first supply chain due diligence scheme to be officially recognized by the European Commission for EU importers’ Conflict Minerals Regulation compliance. The Conflict Minerals Regulation (CMR) is designed to ensure the supply chain practices of EU importers and of smelters and refiners sourcing from conflict-affected and high-risk areas are transparent and responsible. The CMR is built on the concept of risk-based due diligence as described in the OECD Due Diligence Guidance for Minerals from Conflict-Affected and High-Risk areas. The European Commission found the RMI’s RMAP standards and implementation to be fully aligned with the requirements of the CMR and OECD Guidance. While EU importers are ultimately responsible for their individual compliance with CMR due diligence obligations, a supply chain due diligence scheme that is recognized by the European Commission, such as the RMI’s RMAP, can help enable importers to comply with their obligations under the CMR. Those obligations include management system, risk management, third-party audit, and disclosure obligations. EU recognition of the RMI’s RMAP covers the RMAP Tin and Tantalum Standard, the RMAP Tungsten Standard, and the RMAP Gold Standard. The recognition only applies to the RMAP scheme and to smelters/refiners conformant with the RMAP standards, not to other schemes the RMI may cross-recognize. “RMI RMAP recognition supports the fundamental due diligence objectives in the CMR and OECD Guidance, expands the value of RMAP participation for smelters and refiners, and provides a practical compliance tool for EU importers,” RMI executive director Jennifer Peyser said in a news release. “The RMI valued the recognition process for its independent program review, and we commit to advancing CMR implementation and industry uptake of meaningful due diligence practices and reporting.” The European Commission is planning to create a “List of global responsible smelters and refiners” based on smelters and refiners covered by recognized supply chain due diligence schemes and information submitted by Member States as part of their annual report on the implementation of the CMR.
  23. The 4-hour wave pattern for EUR/USD has changed — unfortunately, not for the better. It's still too early to conclude that the upward phase of the trend is over, but the latest decline in the euro has made it necessary to adjust the wave count. We now see a series of three-wave structures (a-b-c), which can be assumed to be part of the larger wave 4 within the broader uptrend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unnaturally extended form, but overall, the wave structure remains coherent. The upward trend continues to form, while the fundamental background still largely fails to support the U.S. dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Federal Reserve continues as well. The market's dovish expectations regarding Fed rate cuts are increasing. Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown persists. The market remains unimpressed with the results of Trump's first nine months in office, despite the fact that economic growth reached nearly 4% in the second quarter. In my view, the formation of the upward section of the trend is not yet complete, with potential targets extending as high as the 1.25 level. Based on this, the euro may continue to decline for a while longer — even without any fundamental justification (as has been the case over the past three weeks) — while the wave structure will still maintain its overall integrity. The EUR/USD rate fell by 30 basis points on Tuesday morning, once again raising some questions. Let me remind you that there are still plenty of reasons to expect growth in this pair. First, the wave pattern suggests the formation of a new upward sequence following another three-wave corrective structure. Second, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where the FOMC is almost certain to cut interest rates, supports this outlook. Third, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which shows no signs of ending anytime soon. Fourth, the continued trade tensions between the U.S. and China. And fifth, the protests and rallies against Donald Trump, which over the weekend spread across half of America. Although we have not yet seen the expected decline in the U.S. dollar, we also haven't observed any strong appreciation in recent months. The last trading peak of 2025 was recorded at 1.1917, while the current rate is hovering around the 1.16 area. Thus, from its 2025 high, the dollar has regained about 3 cents, having lost roughly 16–17 cents over the course of the year. From this, we can conclude that the market is in no hurry to buy or sell, but rather waiting for direction. General ConclusionsBased on the current EUR/USD analysis, I conclude that the pair is still building its upward trend segment. The wave structure remains highly dependent on the news background, particularly on Trump's policy decisions and the foreign and domestic agenda of the new U.S. administration. The targets of the current trend may extend up to the 1.25 level. At the moment, we are likely witnessing the formation of a corrective wave 4, which is nearing completion but has taken on a complex and extended shape. Therefore, in the near term, I continue to focus only on buy positions. By the end of the year, I expect the euro to rise toward 1.2245, corresponding to 200% on the Fibonacci scale. At a smaller scale, the entire upward section of the trend is clearly visible. The wave pattern is not perfectly standard, as the corrective waves vary in length — for example, the larger wave 2 is smaller than the inner wave 2 within wave 3. However, such cases are not uncommon. I remind traders that it's best to identify clear and simple structures on the chart rather than trying to label every single sub-wave. Currently, the upward structure looks almost flawless. Key Principles of My Analysis Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often lead to revisions.If you're uncertain about market conditions, it's better to stay out.There can never be 100% certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.Wave analysis can and should be combined with other analytical methods and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  24. The wave pattern for GBP/USD still indicates the formation of an upward wave pattern, although in recent weeks it has become complex and ambiguous. The pound has fallen too sharply, making the uptrend that began on August 1 look unclear. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also subdividing into three smaller waves. In this case, a decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels could be expected. However, the downward wave pattern that began on September 17 has already taken the shape of a three-wave structure. From here, it could either evolve into a five-wave formation or transition into the start of a new upward wave sequence. In any case, I expect only growth in quotes, regardless of the wave structure. In my opinion, the fundamental background is now so one-sided that no other outcome seems likely. However, in recent weeks, buyers have shown no initiative. At the moment, much on the currency market depends on Donald Trump's policies. The market fears potential Fed policy easing due to labor market weakness and Trump's pressure on the central bank. At the same time, Trump continues to introduce new tariff packages, indicating the continuation of the global trade war. As a result, the news background remains unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. The GBP/USD rate declined slightly on Tuesday, but once again with extremely low volatility. Similar to EUR/USD, we observed another three-wave corrective structure, suggesting that the market may now be building a new upward sequence. Presumably, the first wave of this sequence has already formed, and the second wave is currently unfolding. Tomorrow morning, the U.K. inflation report will be released — data that could wake the market up. Economists expect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise to 4%, confirming the overall trend of acceleration that the Bank of England (BoE) continues to downplay. It's worth recalling that some BoE policymakers believe inflation will neither increase further nor remain persistently high. However, the actual figures show quite a different picture. At the beginning of the year, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey warned of the possibility of faster price growth. As we can now see, Mr. Bailey was right. The question is — what to do with this level of inflation? Tomorrow's data could show inflation hitting 4%, which is twice the Bank of England's target. In my view, such a figure will prevent the BoE from launching another round of monetary easing before the end of this year. If this assumption proves correct, the market gains another strong reason to buy the pound, especially since next week the Federal Reserve is 99% likely to cut interest rates for the second consecutive time. General ConclusionsThe wave picture for GBP/USD has evolved. We are still dealing with an upward impulsive segment of the trend, but its internal wave structure is becoming more complex. Wave 4 is taking on a three-wave form, and its structure is much longer than that of wave 2. The latest three-wave decline appears to be complete. If that is indeed the case, then the pair's upward movement within the global wave structure could continue, with initial targets near 1.38 and 1.40. The larger-scale wave pattern looks almost perfect, even though wave 4 slightly exceeded the top of wave 1. However, let's remember that perfect wave structures exist only in textbooks—in practice, things are far more complex. At the moment, I see no reason to consider alternative scenarios to the bullish segment of the trend. Key Principles of My Analysis Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex patterns are difficult to trade and often lead to changes.If you are uncertain about market behavior, it's better to stay out.There can never be 100% certainty about the direction of movement. Always use Stop Loss orders for protection.Wave analysis can and should be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  25. Most Read: Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Why Record Deliveries Still Mean a Profit Margin Squeeze Gold prices saw a sharp decline on Tuesday, on track for their steepest daily drop in five years, as investors sold the precious metal. A stronger US dollar and the decision by traders to take profits caused the price to fall significantly. This was compounded by US President Trump who softened his stance regarding a deal with China, reassuring the public that everything would "be fine" and that the US wanted to "help China, not hurt it." This slight shift in tone offered some relief to nervous markets and weighed on safe haven appeal. Prices scaled an all-time peak of $4,381.21 on Monday with dips being bought aggressively over the past week. We have seen some volatile pullbacks in that timeframe whenever a fresh high has been printed which could have been a sign of some nerves given the precious metals impressive rally in 2025. Some of the hesitation and the pullback today may be attributed to profit taking coupled with optimism around a US-China deal. There is also a possibility that market participants may want to unwind some positions ahead of the US inflation data release on Friday. Analysts at Citi said in a note they expect an end to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, as well as US-China trade deal announcements, which could further lead to improved sentiment and potentially weigh on Gold prices. Technical Analysis - Gold (XAU/USD) From a technical standpoint, Gold did print a double top this morning on the four-hour timeframe with a break below the neckline occurring as well. Now looking at the potential target prices based on the rules of a double top pattern and the price would be around the $4020/oz mark. This suggests that Gold's fall may not be over and further downside could materialize in the days ahead. We could get two scenarios for Gold prices next move. The first one could be a move higher after today's fall which could retest the neckline break around the $4220/oz mark. Now a rejection at this level could be the start of the next leg to the downside which could see price reach the pattern completion around the $4020 mark. The second scenario may see Gold bulls fail to push prices higher and thus we could see prices continue to decline immediately toward the $4020/oz target without any pullback. At this stage both scenarios remain viable and price action on the one-hour and 15-minute charts may be monitored for clues. Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart, October 21, 2025 zoom_out_map Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) Client Sentiment Data - XAU/USD Looking at OANDA client sentiment data and market participants are Long on Gold with 76% of traders net-long. I prefer to take a contrarian view toward crowd sentiment and thus the fact that the majority of traders are net-long suggests that Gold prices could continue to slide in the near-term. Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  26. Binance Coin (BNB) has fallen sharply this week, sliding 5% in the past 24 hours and over 12% in the last seven days, as new scam alerts and a high-profile memecoin rug pull shake confidence in the BNB Chain ecosystem. The token currently trades around $1,060, marking its lowest level in nearly a month. The downturn comes as Binance co-founders Changpeng “CZ” Zhao and Yi He warn investors about a wave of phishing scams and fake memecoin airdrops spreading through social media. In one of the most damaging incidents, the official X (formerly Twitter) account of BNB Chain, followed by nearly four million users, was hijacked to promote a fraudulent token campaign linked to a fake airdrop. CZ and Yi He Sound the Alarm CZ took to X to issue a direct warning, “Official accounts do not endorse any particular memecoin.” He cautioned users against interacting with suspicious contract addresses or promotional posts, noting that scammers increasingly exploit verified profiles to appear legitimate. Yi He echoed these concerns, reminding traders that responsibility also lies with users. “Please, while everyone is doing on-chain investments, also take responsibility for your own actions,” she stated. The recent “Sir Pancake” scam, a fake token that generated $20 million in volume before collapsing, shows the scale of the problem. Data suggests that roughly 2.5% of new tokens launched on BNB Chain since 2022 have exhibited scam-like behavior, often disappearing within hours of launch. Meme-Coin Frenzy Tests Binance Coin (BNB) Investors BNB Chain has become a hub for meme coin speculation, but with enthusiasm comes risk. The latest wave of exploits shows that even platforms with strong security reputations remain vulnerable when hype outpaces due diligence. Tokens launched on the BNB Chain have produced massive gains, one trader converted $3,500 into nearly $7.9 million in just days. That frenzy has fueled ecosystem activity and attracted speculative capital, but it has also exposed Binance Coin (BNB) and its holders to heightened risk. Binance Coin (BNB) saw its bullish momentum reach new heights earlier this cycle, with some analysts projecting a run toward $1,500 and beyond. A recent forecast suggested BNB could hit up to $1,610.44 at its peak. BNB did indeed register a fresh all-time high above $1,200 in early October 2025. However, the euphoria has cooled as broader market conditions turned sour and infrastructure issues crept in. Binance Coin has slipped back toward $1,100 as the crypto market pulled back, and the BNB Chain faced multiple disruptions, including scam projects that have significantly exposed BNB investors. Cover image from ChatGPT, BNBUSD chart from Tradingview
  27. In a market update on Oct. 10, technical analyst Nik Patel (@OstiumLabs) argued that Ethereum is approaching a make-or-break zone where the next few sessions could define whether the advance resumes or a deeper unwind unfolds. With spot ETH quoted around $4,000, Patel anchored his thesis to a tight cluster of reclaim and invalidation levels on both ETH/USD and ETH/BTC, emphasizing that lower-timeframe behavior must align with higher-timeframe structure to keep the bullish path open. Key Price Levels For Ethereum Now On the weekly ETH/USD chart, Patel said the market “wicked lower into the August open last week but held above the previous weekly low and trendline support,” resulting in an inside week that nevertheless closed “marginally below that major pivot.” The pivot is explicit: “We want to see this pivot at $4,093 reclaimed immediately and not flipped into resistance here on the lower timeframes, or else we could expect another flush of the lows towards that 2025 open.” If buyers do force the reclaim, Patel expects last week’s action to stand as a quarterly low: “If we do reclaim $4,093 here, which is what I expect, we should have our quarterly low now in and I would want to see $4,400 flipped into support for the move higher into all-time highs and beyond.” He framed the weekly invalidation at $3,700, warning that a close below would put the yearly open on watch as “last-stand support” for the bullish structure; failure there risks “a much bigger unwind back into $2,850.” Patel’s base case remained constructive: “acceptance back above $4,093 into next week and then a close above $4,400 for October, leading to new highs through $5,000 in early November and a very strong month for ETH.” The daily ETH/USD read connects that high-timeframe blueprint to momentum and market structure. Patel noted “momentum exhaustion into the lows” followed by a higher-low last week, a formation that now must be defended. He wants to see the sequence reassert itself with a drive above the mid-range and a subsequent higher-low above the weekly pivot: “we absolutely want to see this structure now protected and price to form a higher-high above the mid-range at $4,352 and then another higher-low above $4,093 before a breakout higher and a push towards fresh highs.” For confirmation of an impulsive leg, he flagged a trendline break, a flip of the ATH-anchored VWAP into support, and an RSI regime shift: “If we get a trendline breakout and price flips that ATH VWAP into support with daily RSI above 50, I’d expect a move into $4,950 very swiftly, followed by price discovery in November.” The daily invalidation mirrors the weekly logic: if $4,093 acts as resistance and the market pushes below $3,700—then closes beneath it—“we’re absolutely retesting the yearly open,” in his view. ETH Vs. BTC Against Bitcoin, Patel contends that the relative pair has likely printed its Q4 low. On the weekly ETH/BTC chart, price was rejected at trendline resistance, then retraced to the yearly open and held, closing “marginally green” while respecting trendline support off the 2025 lows. “It is my view that the Q4 low for the pair has formed here,” he wrote, adding that a retest and break above the descending boundary into early November would set the stage for a measured expansion: “acceptance above 0.0417 opens up the next leg higher into 0.055.” He placed weekly invalidation at 0.0319. The daily ETH/BTC map refines those signals into actionable levels. Price “marked out that low between 0.0319 and the yearly open before bouncing hard and reclaiming 0.036 as support.” Ideally, 0.036 now acts as a springboard; if not, Patel allows for a higher-low “above the 0.0319 level before continuation higher.” The tactical tell would be a flip of nearby supply: “If we can flip 0.0379 as reclaimed support here, that would be promising for the view that a trendline breakout is imminent, following which I would expect 0.0417 to be taken out and price to head higher, with minor resistance above that at 0.049 before 0.055.” He also identified a confluence band below: “We have a confluence of support between 0.0293 and 0.0319, so flipping that range into resistance would be very bearish ETH/BTC.” Taken together, Patel’s Oct. 10 blueprint hinges on three synchronizations: ETH/USD must swiftly reclaim and defend $4,093; $4,400 must convert from ceiling to floor to clear the runway toward prior highs and a potential $4,950 extension; and ETH/BTC should drive through 0.0379 and then 0.0417 to confirm relative-strength breadth beneath any dollar-denominated breakout. The downside is equally crisp: failure to reclaim $4,093, a weekly close below $3,700, and a subsequent loss of the yearly open would validate the risk that, in Patel’s words, Ethereum could “unwind back into $2,850.” At press time, ETH traded at $3,872.
  28. Most Read: USD/CAD Price Outlook: Consolidation Above Key 1.4000 Handle. What Next for the Loonie? Tesla’s TSLA third-quarter 2025 financial results presents a challenging picture for market participants. On the one hand the company sold a record number of cars but it likely came at the expense of profit. What to Expect? Tesla achieved its highest-ever vehicle deliveries and energy sales in the third quarter. However, analysts expect that to show a drop in profit per share (EPS) of about 25% (from $0.72 last year down to around $0.53-$0.55 this year), despite a small increase in revenue (around 4% to 6%). This means sales grew through aggressively cutting prices, which hurt the company's profit quality. Looking at the earnings release, the stock's current price is very high and trades well above the average analyst price target of around $365. This means the stock's value may depend less on these actual car sales and profit numbers and much more on investor belief in the company's ambitious, long-term plans for AI, self-driving cars, and robotics. zoom_out_map Source: LSEG, TradingKey Q3 2025 Operational Performance: The Baseline and the Cliff Edge Vehicle Volume Tesla delivered a record 497,099 vehicles in the third quarter, which was more than it produced. This means the company used up its stored inventory to hit that number. This record was largely due to a short-term boost: many buyers rushed to finalize purchases before the $7,500 federal electric vehicle (EV) tax credit expired at the end of September. This created a temporary surge by pulling sales forward, which almost guarantees a noticeable slowdown in vehicle demand during the fourth quarter of 2025 and into 2026. Therefore, what management says about future sales targets is more important than the past record numbers. Energy Segment Strength The good news comes from Tesla's Energy segment, which acts as a stable counter-balance. This segment also hit a record, deploying 12.5 GWh of battery storage, driven by high demand from the booming AI industry and its need for power-hungry data centers. This growing, high-margin energy business is expected to slightly increase the company's overall profit margin, helping to lessen the negative effect of the price cuts in the car business. Financial Consensus and Sensitivity Analysis: The Margin Squeeze The most critical figure investors will scrutinize is the Automotive Gross Margin (excluding regulatory credits). Analysts expect the profit margin on cars (Automotive Gross Margin) to be around 16.5% to 17.0%, which is less than half of what it was at its peak in 2021. This shows that the record number of cars sold were achieved through aggressive price cuts. Furthermore, the small amount of high-profit revenue Tesla gets from selling regulatory credits to other automakers is expected to disappear completely, making strong core car profitability even more critical. If the margin falls below 16.5%, it suggests that the cost of making the cars is dangerously high. One of the main reasons Tesla’s stock price is so high is because market participants are betting heavily on its future in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and robotics, not its current car profits. Market participants need to see concrete, believable updates on the launch of Full Self-Driving (FSD) and the Robotaxi/Cybercab service. If management fails to give solid timelines for these AI initiatives, the stock's high price premium could quickly collapse, as market participants have already priced in a lot of success in this area. A major non-business risk is the controversial $1 trillion pay package proposed for CEO Elon Musk. Influential shareholder advisors have asked investors to reject the "astronomical" package. This is a problem because Musk has warned he might take key AI projects outside of Tesla if his ownership stake isn't increased. This creates a risk that the essential AI strategy, the primary reason the stock is valued so highly, could be compromised by a failure in corporate leadership. Potential Implications for the Tesla Share Price The Q3 2025 earnings report is expected to be a major catalyst, with options pricing implying high volatility: a potential stock move of around 7.44% to 8.53%. If the news is good: meaning profits (margins) are better than expected, or there are convincing updates on the Robotaxi plans, the stock price could jump and challenge its previous record high of $488. If the news is bad: meaning profits or the forecast for the next quarter are disappointing (especially due to the expired tax credit), the stock is likely to fall quickly. Given that the stock is currently trading about 17% higher than what most analysts think it's actually worth (the $365 consensus), any bad news could rapidly push the price down to that lower, more realistic value. Tesla TSLA Daily Chart, October 21, 2025 zoom_out_map Source: TradingView Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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