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The Pentagon has moved to acquire up to $1 billion worth of critical minerals as part of an accelerated stockpiling drive aimed at reducing US dependence on China, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing public filings from the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA). According to FT, the Trump administration directed the Defense Department to expand its national stockpile after Beijing tightened export controls on materials crucial to defence and high-tech industries. China dominates global supply chains for many of these metals, including those used in fighter jets, radar systems and smartphones. “They’re definitely looking for more, and they’re doing it in a deliberate and expansive way,” one former US defence official told the newspaper. The $1 billion procurement marks a sharp acceleration from earlier stockpiling efforts, the report said. Countering China Beijing last week announced sweeping new export restrictions on rare earths and related technologies, prompting US President Donald Trump to cancel a planned meeting with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, and to pledge a 100% tariff on Chinese imports. “There is no way that China should be allowed to hold the world ‘captive’,” Trump said on his Truth Social account. Within the US, these restrictions have fueled fears among those reliant on Chinese supply. Currently, China mines more than half of the world’s rare earths and controls over 90% of the minerals’ processing capacity, making it by far the most dominant player in the global supply chain. As such, a stockpile of these minerals would serve as a safeguard against potential supply disruptions, especially during geopolitically sensitive periods. The Pentagon’s broader push is backed by Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBA), which allocates $7.5 billion for critical minerals—$2 billion to expand the national stockpile by 2027, $5 billion for supply chain investments, and $500 million for a Pentagon credit program to spur private projects. Several defence offices are now “flush with cash,” one official told the FT. According to FT, the Pentagon’s new buying activity would involve not only rare earths but also metals not previously mentioned for a national stockpile. Recent filings seen by the paper showed that DLA intends to buy up to $500 million of cobalt, $245 million of antimony from US Antimony, $100 million of tantalum from an undisclosed American supplier, and a combined $45 million of scandium from Rio Tinto and Illinois-based APL Engineered Materials. “These moves show the government is conscious of how critical this stuff is and wants to support whatever domestic capacity they have,” a sector executive told the FT. The DLA, which already stockpiles dozens of metals and alloys valued at $1.3 billion as of 2023, can release them only in wartime or for national defence needs. In another move aimed at countering Chinese dominance, the Trump administration is also considering stockpiling minerals found on the Pacific Ocean seabed, which is rich in nickel, cobalt, copper and manganese, amongst others, FT reported earlier this year. Prices for several key minerals have surged amid tighter Chinese exports. Germanium prices have spiked this year, while antimony trioxide has nearly doubled over the past 12 months. Car makers have also faced shortages of rare earth elements following new Chinese curbs. Significant volumes However, the DLA’s proposed volumes have startled some market participants. Cristina Belda of Argus Media told the FT that requested quantities ,in many cases, exceed the US annual production and import levels. Fastmarkets analyst Solomon Cefai noted that the sought-after volumes of bismuth and indium were “significant” enough to potentially constrain non-China supply. According to the US Geological Survey, domestic consumption of refined indium in 2024 was around 250 tonnes, while the DLA is looking into buying 222 tonnes of indium ingots. The prices of some purchases also surprised the market. Analysts at Jefferies noted that the scandium deal with Rio Tinto—for roughly 6 tonnes of scandium oxide—was priced “higher than market expectations.” For antimony, the Pentagon stockpile would be “sufficient for industrial base mobilization in a national emergency” and enable the company to continue producing in what was a “volatile” sector, FT said. For instance, the agency is considering 3,000 tonnes of antimony, compared with total US consumption of 24,000 tonnes estimated by USGS.

The crypto market has erased more than $19.5 billion in leveraged positions in the past 24 hours, making it the most chaotic 24-hour period in crypto history. This crash, which saw 1.6 million traders forced out of positions, was caused by sudden US tariff announcements on China and amplified by risky leverage across exchanges. Bitcoin alone witnessed a $20,000 daily swing and erased $380 billion in market capitalization in a single day. This liquidation surpassed all previous records by nearly tenfold, surpassing records set during the FTX collapse and the March 2020 crash. Liquidations Ripple Through Entire Crypto Market The most recent crypto market crash took many crypto investors by surprise. Notably, data shared by The Kobeissi Letter on the social media platform X revealed that a total of $19.5 billion was liquidated between October 10 and 11, 2025, over nine times larger than any prior event. To put that into context, the February 2025 liquidation event saw only $2.2 billion erased, while the May 2021 crash cleared $1.2 billion. Data across major exchanges confirmed that the sell-off was heavily one-sided. Out of the $19.38 billion in total liquidations, $16.7 billion came from long positions, which is a 6.7-to-1 ratio compared to shorts. Nearly every exchange, from Binance to Bybit, saw over 90% of liquidations hitting longs, with Hyperliquid alone recording $10.3 billion. Crypto Exchange Liquidations. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X This quick downturn is quite notable, considering the crypto market’s greed index had climbed above 60 when Bitcoin’s price action broke above $126,000 for the first time. Crypto Fear and Greed Index. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X What Caused The Crash? The reason behind the crash can be attributed to a mix of extended market corrections following Bitcoin’s all-time high and rising tensions over new US tariffs on China. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the selloff unfolded through a series of perfectly timed events that tied geopolitical shocks to fragile market sentiment. At 9:40 AM ET, some large Bitcoin holders began selling off mysteriously, more than an hour before former U.S. President Donald Trump posted about a massive China tariff threat at 10:57 AM. Later in the day, at 4:30 PM, a large whale opened multi-million-dollar shorts, seemingly anticipating the coming drop. Just 20 minutes later, Trump officially announced a 100% tariff on China, and this delivered the final blow to bullish sentiment. Timeline Of Events. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X Trump’s tariff post dropped late on a Friday after US markets had closed, but the crypto market was wide open. As such, crypto prices fell into a vacuum as volume spiked, creating the perfect setup for one of the fastest collapses in crypto history. By 5:20 PM, total liquidations had reached $19.5 billion, and the whale closed positions for a $192 million profit. Despite the carnage, The Kobeissi Letter noted that this event was technical rather than fundamental. The crash is a necessary reset that does not have long-term implications. A trade deal between the US and China would put an end to the uncertainty, and according to the team, crypto remains strong. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X At the time of writing, Bitcoin has recovered a bit from its plunge and is now trading at $111,790. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Tokyo Japanese Politics Tokyo Japanese Politics The long-time junior coalition partner Komeito indicating it will leave the coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). It has thrown Japanese politics and prospects for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s next prime minister into a state of flux. How this plays out could have far-reaching political, legislative, and market implications for Japan. Immediate Political Impacts Loss of Majority in the Diet The LDP–Komeito coalition has governed Japan almost continuously since 1999. Without Komeito’s support, the LDP would lose its majority in both houses of the Diet. It will be creating a major obstacle to confirming a new prime minister and passing key legislation. Takaichi Faces New Challenges Without Komeito’s backing, Sanae Takaichi may struggle to gather enough votes to become prime minister. She would likely need support from opposition or smaller parties to form a new government, a difficult task given Japan’s fragmented political landscape. Even if successful, building a stable coalition that shares her policy agenda, including support for elements of Abenomics, may prove challenging. Legislative Challenges Ahead Difficulty Passing Laws Without Komeito, the LDP could find itself leading a minority government, forcing it to negotiate and compromise with smaller or opposition parties. This would make it harder to advance legislation quickly, while giving opposition parties greater leverage to amend or delay government proposals. Market and Economic Implications Rising Political Risk Premiums Financial markets typically dislike political uncertainty, and Japan is no exception. The sudden breakup of the ruling coalition could trigger volatility in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields and the yen (USDJPY) as investors price in higher political risk and uncertainty over fiscal discipline. Fiscal Discipline Under Pressure With a divided government, it may be difficult to pass structural reforms or fiscal restraint measures. As a result, fiscal stimulus could once again become the government’s go-to strategy, an approach that Takaichi has already signaled as part of her economic agenda. Monetary Policy Dilemma If fiscal stimulus expands without moderation from Komeito, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could face added complications. While the BoJ is legally independent, it often coordinates policy with the government. A large fiscal package could challenge the BoJ’s efforts to balance economic growth with its 2% inflation target, especially after recent hints of a shift toward tighter policy. Is the Bank of Japan Truly Independent? The Takaichi Era May Put That to the Test Tokyo Japanese Politics 10 year JGB yield (one year) Sourcxe: Investing.com Five Possible Scenarios New Coalition Without Komeito >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>The LDP could seek a partnership with smaller parties such as the Democratic Party for the People (DPP) to regain a majority. 2. Minority Government >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>If Takaichi manages to become prime minister, the LDP might attempt to govern without a coalition, relying on issue-by-issue support from other parties. 3. Snap Elections >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Prolonged gridlock could lead to a snap election, with the LDP hoping to secure a fresh mandate and restore political stability. 4.Revised Coalition Deal The most market-friendly outcome would be Komeito rejoining the coalition under new terms, signaling a return to moderate fiscal policy. 5. Long shot that opposition parties band together to form a government without the LDP Tokyo Japanese Politics Uncertainty Rules How Japan’s political landscape evolves from here will shape monetary policy, fiscal priorities, and market sentiment in the months ahead. If Takaichi forms a minority government, markets will focus on whether she can restrain fiscal spending or feel compelled to pursue aggressive stimulus instead. This political upheaval also comes at a time when Japan faces external pressures, including U.S. tariffs under President Trump’s administration, and the potential for repatriation flows back to Japan during global uncertainty. One thing is certain: Komeito’s exit has injected fresh volatility into Japan’s political and financial outlook. Tokyo Japanese Politics Asahi Shimbun English The post Komeito’s Exit From LDP Coalition Throws Japan Into Political and Market Uncertainty appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

A crypto selloff triggered by macro tensions wiped out $19.37 billion in leveraged trades in just 24 hours. However, now that the storm has passed and the chips have fallen where they did, let’s look at how the two biggest cryptocurrencies are faring at the moment. But first, a precursor. On 10 October, 2025, US President Trump announced his trade war against China in a response to China restricting rate earth mineral exports. (Source: CoinGecko) He said, “Based on the fact that China has taken this unprecedented position, and speaking only for the U.S.A., and not other Nations who were similarly threatened, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner, depending on any further actions or changes taken by China), the United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any Tariff that they are currently paying.” EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 The post Can BTC And ETH Rebound After A $19B Liquidation Storm? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

As an aftermath of the October 10 market crash, where Bitcoin’s price reached levels as low as $101,500, the market is exhibiting a recognizable bearish on-chain structure. While the selling momentum seems to be slowing down, giving a sliver of hope to potential market participants, recent on-chain analysis seems to point towards caution as the more correct sentiment to have in the short term. Realized Profits Climb As High As $2.25 Billion In an October 11 post on social media platform X, technical and on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a lot of Bitcoin investors might still be taking profits from their last buys. In the post on X, Darkfost cited results obtained from the Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD] 7 Day MA indicator. This metric keeps tabs on the average daily difference between the total amount of realized profits and losses of transactions over the past seven days. For context, realized profits refer to the total amount in USD of Bitcoin sold at prices higher than the levels of purchase, showing that investors are selling in the green. On the other hand, realized losses reflect the total Dollar worth of Bitcoin sold below their cost of purchase. The analyst put it out that the 7-day moving average of the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric recently reached a peak of $2.25 billion, the fourth-highest level seen in the current market cycle. Meanwhile, the metric’s weekly average holds well above $1.6 billion, indicating that profit-taking is still at a high level. Darkfost noted that if the Bitcoin market continues to witness this magnitude of profit-taking, it might be a while before the premier cryptocurrency switches from its current bearish sentiment to a more optimistic one. $99,000-$104,000 May Be The Next Price Support In another post on X, cryptocurrency pundit Ted Pillows pointed out the $99,000-$104,000 region as the next possible support if the Bitcoin price were to keep sliding. According to the analyst’s post on X, this price range has a decent amount of spot bids sitting within it, enough to act as a support zone to keep the Bitcoin price afloat. The next market trajectory thus seems to depend on whether investor profit-taking would remain high. In the scenario where it does, the $99,000-$104,000 price range might be the next zone to keep an eye out for. In an upside scenario, Pillows explained that the $119,000 price level and other zones above hold most of the sell orders currently in the market. As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth approximately $111,772, reflecting an over 1% gain in the past 24 hours.

Uh, hm, I haven’t been keeping up and just noticed on CoinGecko that Zora crypto and Zcash are up 300 and 400 percent, respectively over the last few months. What was the news I missed? Should I be getting more? If you’re asking these questions, then this is the article for you: the Weekly Roundup. The upshot is that Crypto Twitter misses everything; Zora and Zcash weren’t discussed there or really anywhere! Here’s what you need to know about the two top tokens trending this week: #1: Is Zora Crypto The New TikTok? Creator Model Draws Major Capital (Source: CoinGecko) The ZORA token, launched in April 2025, remained relatively dormant until July, when its “creator token” ecosystem experienced a surge in popularity. The platform now allows artists and communities to mint, trade, and monetize their digital work through custom tokens, blending the meme economy with real creative utility. Zora’s Q3 revenue reached $5.57 million and has a bridged TVL of $14 million, according to DeFi Llama. “By integrating with Robinhood and Coinbase, Zora is bridging Web3 creators with traditional finance,” a company spokesperson said. (Source: Zora Income Statement – DeFiLlama) 99Bitcoins analysts noted that 50% of trading fees are redistributed to creators, giving the platform a sustainability model rarely seen in token ecosystems. The bigger idea is payroll. If Zora’s system takes off, teams could pay contractors and creators with performance-linked tokens rather than static salaries. Everything settles on-chain, slashing the usual overhead of payroll system. It’s pretty cool! #2: Zcash, Litecoin, and Others Ride Market Turbulence (Source: TradingView) Elsewhere, legacy altcoins showed surprising resilience. Zcash (ZEC) climbed above $225, extending its three-week rally to +35% despite a broader market pullback. Litecoin (LTC) also showed renewed network growth. According to Glassnode, over $630 million in liquidations hit the crypto market this week as leveraged longs unwound, sending Bitcoin (BTC) briefly below $122,000 before rebounding. Can Zcash (ZEC) Hit $1,000 Again? Zcash is making a run to be a Bitcoin minime. Litecoin, but with actual privacy! Its fundamentals, stronger privacy adoption, better UX through Zashi, and institutional curiosity, are all reason for it to continue higher. 99Bitcoins analysts think $300-$400 is the near-term ceiling, though a true privacy comeback could push much higher. Like Zora’s rise, Zcash’s rebound hints at a market turning pragmatic: substance over speculation. Altcoin season seems right around the corner. EXPLORE: Binance Japan Banks On PayPay’s Network Effect For Smoother Crypto Payments Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The upshot is that Crypto Twitter misses everything; Zora Crypto and Zcash weren’t discussed there or really anywhere until now. Like Zora’s rise, Zcash’s rebound hints at a market turning pragmatic: substance over speculation. Altcoin season seems right around the corner. The post Weekly Roundup: What Is Zora Crypto? And Did ZEC Crypto Do a 10x Last Month WTF? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

After months of debate, Kenya’s parliament has passed the country’s first comprehensive crypto legislation. VASP will be key in driving adoption and creating a regulatory framework for crypto businesses in the country. In Uganda, an initiative to launch the country’s first Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is going into effect. CBDC continues to lose momentum as stablecoins, like the USDC and USDT, take over Meanwhile, approximately 650,000 crypto merchants in South Africa can now accept Bitcoin payments following the integration of the Lightning Network (LN). The LN scales the Bitcoin mainnet, enabling low-fee transactions. Presently, the Bitcoin Lightning Network has a capacity of over $471M worth of BTC. (Source: 1ml) DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Other than the Floki crypto funding of the WWFA in Malawi, let’s look at stories making continental headlines this week: Kenya Crypto News: Parliament Passes VASP Bill The Kenyan parliament has passed the Virtual Asset Providers Bill (VASP), which is the country’s first comprehensive crypto legislation. This bill creates a licensing and supervisory framework for crypto service providers in the country. One of the most critical introductions is the multi-agency regulation of the crypto sector. Kenya’s Central Bank and the Communications Authority of Kenya have a role rather than having a single regulator for the sector. One notable requirement for service providers is having a physical office in the country and at least three natural persons on their board of directors. These measures ensure Kenya better complies with international requirements in AML/KYC. Binance-linked lobby group, Virtual Assets Chamber of Commerce, played a role in changes to the bill. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Uganda Crypto News: Central Bank Launches CBDC Pilot Uganda has launched a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) pilot programme. This CBDC will entail a digital Ugandan shilling backed by treasury bonds and will run on a blockchain. It will feature a $5.5Bn real-world asset tokenization project led by Global Settlement Network (GSN) and Diacente Group. GSN co-founder Ryan Kirkley explained the initiative as follows: “We’re building infrastructure that goes beyond theory — a programmable economy grounded in real assets, regulatory collaboration, and mass accessibility,” Some target assets for the new portfolio are food production, mining, renewable energy, and trade. Uganda has a broad range of possible tokenized assets, and this project intends to leverage these possibilities. However, it is still unclear whether the country’s government will enact any regulatory changes to promote the success of this initiative. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 South Africa Crypto News: Bitcoin Lightning Network Users Reach 650,000 South African merchant crypto acceptance has soared to 650,000 after Scan to Go integrated the Lightning Network for Bitcoin payments. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Presently, the Africa’s economic powerhouse already boasts the best numbers on the continent in crypto payments, and this move raises that number even higher. The total number of merchants now accepting crypto payments is approximately 650,000. This increased rate is a strong representation of South African business. Crypto continues to achieve impressive integration into the real economy and will continue to grow if current trends hold. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Africa crypto news: Kenya VASP, Uganda CBDC Kenya crypto news: VASP bill enacted Uganda crypto news: Central bank launches CBDC pilot South Africa crypto news: Over 650,000 merchants use the Bitcoin Lightning Network The post Africa Crypto News Week in Review: Kenya Passes VASP Bill, Uganda CBDC Pilot, Bitcoin Lightning Network Adoption in South Africa appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bitcoin prices are consolidating around $111,000 following the heavy market losses on October 10, due to a trade war between the US and China. The asset’s price is presently down by 9.45% on its weekly chart and also 12.16% away from its all-time high amidst this corrective phase. Bitcoin Logs First Negative Apparent Demand Flip Since July In an X post on October 11, popular market analyst Ali Martinez shares on-chain data that shows that Bitcoin’s apparent demand has recently flipped into negative territory for the first time in three months, suggesting a short-term cooling in investors’ appetite. For context, the apparent demand measures the net amount of Bitcoin being accumulated by active holders. In simpler terms, it reflects how much of the Bitcoin supply is being reactivated or moved relative to how much is newly created. A positive reading generally indicates growing market demand and accumulation, while a negative value suggests reduced appetite or selling pressure. Data from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant shows that as of October 8, Bitcoin’s 30-day apparent demand has dropped to -13,707 BTC. This development marks the first negative reading since July, when the metric last turned red before rebounding strongly alongside Bitcoin’s summer rally. Throughout August and September, Bitcoin’s apparent demand remained firmly positive, even as prices moved between $108,000 and $122,000, suggesting steady accumulation. However, the latest data shows a sharp reversal. The drop into negative territory could mean that long-term holders have started realizing profits or that buying momentum has temporarily slowed as traders assess the macro environment. Interestingly, the macro environment has also become a growing concern for investors, as the United States and China appear poised for a renewed tariff standoff. Notably, US President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports, following China’s proposal to introduce a sweeping export tax on several key goods. Given the historical reaction of market price to tariff news seen during the early days of Trump’s administration, investor sentiment may remain subdued if this trade showdown persists, with many likely adopting a cautious stance until a clearer policy direction emerges. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $111,800, reflecting a 0.47% decline over the past 24 hours. On a monthly basis, the asset is down 3.06%, underscoring the intensity of the current corrective phase in the market. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Taps IMB Zone – What This Means And Where The Price Is Headed

XRP has been through a rollercoaster over the past few days, tumbling in a crash alongside the rest of the crypto market. The crash drove XRP’s price to a flash low of $1.64 before it recovered to $2.36, with volumes surging 164% above the 30-day average. This flash crash created a notable downside wick on XRP’s price chart, which, according to a technical analyst, is reminiscent of a 2017 price structure that suggests that the cryptocurrency is about to enter into a massive rally. XRP 2017 And 2025 Setup Shows Striking Similarities XRP’s recent flash crash has grabbed the attention of a crypto analyst known as ChartNerd on the social media platform X. The analyst drew parallels between XRP’s 2017 price structure and its current 2025 setup. The post included two charts that show similar pre-euphoria wicks that previously led to XRP’s most explosive bull run in 2017. Back in 2017, XRP’s price action saw a sharp pre-euphoria wick to the downside that wiped out 58% of its value. This wipeout was very short, however, as the coin eventually went on a 5,361% surge to new all-time highs. The rally played out over months and saw the XRP price go from around $0.007 to its then all-time high of $3.40 in 2018. It would seem the most recent price crash has led to the creation of a downside wick that mirrors the 2017 one exactly. After the marketwide crash, the token rebounded from lows around $1.60 to trade above $2.30, pointing to a possible recovery phase that might resemble the start of its 2017 exponential rise. XRP 2017 vs. XRP 2025. Source: @ChartNerdTA on X What Does This Mean For XRP? The similarity between 2017 and the current setup provides a bullish outlook for the altcoin within a landscape that’s currently full of bearish momentum. The analyst noted that the $2.40 and $2.00 zones now act as XRP’s important support lifeline, and holding this range could pave the way for an upward trajectory to new price highs. If XRP repeats the 2017 rally, the price target based on current price levels would be around $13.5. Replicating such a move in 2025 would require more inflows than the 2017 rally. These inflows can only come through participation from institutional investors, which will be slowly rebuilding after recent marketwide volatility. An important factor that could fast-track this process is the approval and launch of Spot XRP ETFs. The approval of such ETFs has already been widely speculated within the XRP community, and their introduction will undoubtedly open up the cryptocurrency to institutional investors. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.38, down by 22% in a seven-day timeframe. If it follows the 2017 playout to the core, XRP might spend some weeks consolidating around its current price levels before it embarks on this projected rally. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

In our Crypto Asia News roundup for the week, we see how Asia’s crypto landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. There is now state-backed innovation happening, strategic partnerships are being made and there is a rising institutional momentum at play. From CBDCs to AI-powered platforms and payment integrations, there is something new happening everyday. Here’s are the big hitters from this week. Crypto News Asia: India Doubles Down On CBDCs India is doubling down on its CBDC program and has maintained its tough stance on private cryptocurrencies. According to a local publication, Union Minister Piyush Goyal announced that the Indian government will intensify its efforts around the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Digital Rupee. He cited benefits like faster transactions, reduced paper usage and enhanced traceability for the government’s push for CBDCs in the country. It also aligns with Japan’s broader push to become a regional crypto leader, especially as institutional interest and regulatory clarity improve. EXPORE: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways India intensifies CBDC rollout, maintaining high taxes on private cryptocurrencies China Financial Leasing raises $11M to build a Crypto-AI investment platform PayPay acquires 40% of Binance Japan to expand crypto payments across Japan The post This Week In Crypto Asia: India Pushes CBDC, China Bets on AI, Japan Eyes Payments Boom appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

The Ethereum price has struggled to mount any significant bullish pressure since hitting the all-time high of $4,946 in August. The bullish momentum of the second-largest cryptocurrency has mostly waxed and waned, reaching the $4,750 high twice in the past few weeks. After running up to this local peak on Tuesday, October 7, the Ethereum price has been on a steady descent in recent days. This bearish pressure intensified on the close of the week, with the ETH price falling towards $3,700 due to United States President Donald Trump’s tariff imposition on China. Interestingly, a recent technical outlook still points to a possible journey to the $5,000 mark for the altcoin. Major Technical Resistance Levels To Watch In a new post on the X platform, pseudonymous crypto analyst Darkfost revealed that the Ethereum price might be looking to enter a new phase—that could see it touch $5,000— over the coming weeks. According to the analyst, the altcoin’s value might have reached a bottom of its current phase (wave 4) after the Trump Tariff-induced market downturn. Darkfost highlighted that the price of Ethereum found support at the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) around the $3,500 level on the daily timeframe. This exact region had once been identified as an attractive Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry area, the analyst added. Furthermore, Darkfost emphasized the strong bearish sentiment across the market, as shown by the relative strength index dropping below the 50 threshold. However, the crypto pundit believes that investors can watch for a positive reaction and whether the bullish momentum can kickstart the “wave 5,” despite the potential resistance at the 50 RSI mark. Darkfost also noted that the 21-day and 50-day EMAs will act as a significant resistance zone for the Ethereum price around the $4,250 zone on the daily timeframe. Evaluating the position of these exponential moving averages aligns perfectly with ETH’s potential RSI recovery above the 50-mark threshold. According to the crypto analyst, the Ethereum price could finally make its way to the widely anticipated $5,000 level if it manages to overcome these significant barriers. Ethereum Price Overview According to data from CoinGecko, the price of ETH is currently adrift the all-time high of $4,946 (attained about 2 months ago) by more than 24%. This gives a picture of the journey the second-largest cryptocurrency would need to travel to reach the highly coveted $5,000 level. As of this writing, the price of Ethereum stands around $3,741, reflecting an over 4% decline in the past 24 hours. The altcoin’s record is even worse on the weekly timeframe, having lost more than 16% of its value in the last seven days.

The Bitcoin market suffered a heavy crash on Friday after US President Donald Trump confirmed plans to place a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. The planned order, which was in response to an initial export tax order by the Asian superpower, shook financial markets globally, resulting in total crypto liquidations of $19 billion. However, the market has stabilized in the past few hours with Bitcoin prices now consolidating around $111,000. While investors await the next price movement, a prominent analyst with the X username PlanD has shared two important conditions for the next bullish wave. 2 Important Bitcoin Levels To Watch – Analyst In a recent X post on Saturday, PlanD shares an updated technical analysis of the Bitcoin market following recent volatility in the market. The analyst explains that the macro-induced crash on Friday resulted in a heavier market correction than expected, pulling prices to around $109,600. Notably, this region, which is the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart, acted as an effective price support, confirming the technical bottom of the price crash. Importantly, PlanD notes that the recent price drop does not signify a break in Bitcoin’s broader bullish trend, but rather serves to flush out excessive altcoin leverage in the futures market. In addition to the symmetrical triangle pattern, the Bitcoin chart also presents a bull flag pattern, both of which are bullish formations that remain valid. With excessive leverage cleared and funding rates normalizing, Bitcoin could regain stability and attract buying interest that could launch another upswing. However, the crypto analyst explains that one critical condition to maintaining this bullish structure is that Bitcoin bulls must maintain price above the psychological support level of $109,600. Thereafter, the premier cryptocurrency must also reclaim a key resistance zone $115,900 – $117,000, thereby reinforcing its bullish intent and the viability of both bullish formations. In this case, PlanD tips Bitcoin to race to the symmetrical triangle price target at $134,000 and the bull flag target at $160,000, respectively, representing a potential price gain of 21% – 45%. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $111,700 following a 0.31% price fall in the last day, following the recent flash crash. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume is down by 49.75% and valued at $88.74 billion. PlanD is backing Bitcoin’s long-term bullish potential, having described the macro-induced crash as a “precursor” to a major price takeoff, as seen in March 2020. With a market cap of $2.21 trillion, Bitcoin retains its rank as the largest cryptocurrency with a market dominance of 58.2%.

According to CRYPTOWZRD in a recent post, both Ethereum and ETH/BTC closed the session on a bearish note but quickly recovered, showcasing ETH’s resilience and renewed buyer confidence. He noted that a move above $4,000 would be a crucial development, potentially marking a key turning point for Ethereum’s momentum. Bearish Daily Close Mirrors Bitcoin’s Market Direction CRYPTOWZRD further explained that Ethereum and ETH/BTC’s daily candle bearish close followed Bitcoin’s lead. Despite the negative close, Ethereum displayed relative strength compared to most other cryptocurrencies, maintaining a more resilient structure amid the decline. This reflects the asset’s continued dominance in the altcoin market. He noted that ETH/BTC has now reached its key support target zone. The market’s behavior around this level will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum is preparing for a rebound or remains at risk of deeper consolidation. A recovery toward $4,170 remains possible if Ethereum can hold this support region and sustain its current stability. The analyst highlighted that a move back above $4,000 would serve as an encouraging signal, validating a successful retest of the lower support area. Such a move could reignite bullish sentiment and set the stage for renewed upside momentum in the short to mid-term. However, CRYPTOWZRD cautioned that Bitcoin’s price movement will continue to dictate the broader market trend. Heading into the weekend, the analyst acknowledged that the market remains unpredictable, with both bullish and bearish scenarios still in play. His current focus, he stated, will remain on monitoring lower time frame chart formations to identify potential scalp opportunities. Extreme Volatility Hits As Market Faces Major Liquidation Event In his conclusion, CRYPTOWZRD noted that the intraday chart for Ethereum showed extreme volatility as the market experienced one of the most intense liquidation events in its history. Despite the turbulence, he emphasized that reclaiming the $4,000 level places Ethereum back in positive territory. He explained that a retest of the $4,260 intraday resistance could serve as a key turning point in the short term. This zone will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can sustain its recovery or faces renewed downward pressure. If price action shows weakness after testing this level, it may open the door for short opportunities as momentum begins to fade. CRYPTOWZRD added that he remains open to both bullish and bearish scenarios, acknowledging that weekend trading often brings slower volatility and unpredictable market behavior. With that in mind, he stated that he will continue to monitor price movements, waiting for the next clear trade setup to emerge before making any decisive moves.

Dogecoin has plunged violently over the past 24 hours, shedding a large chunk of its value in a brutal correction across the entire crypto market. What looked like a hold above $0.25 turned into a fast breakdown that dragged the Dogecoin price to as low as $0.148 within 24 hours. However, technical analysis from crypto analyst Kaleo shows Dogecoin is ready to hit new all-time highs. In a post on X, he doubled down on a remarkably bullish prediction, stating that $6.90 is a “magnet” for Dogecoin. Dogecoin Chart Tells The Story In his post on the social media platform X, Kaleo noted how members of the crypto community are increasingly waking up to see how primed Dogecoin is to reach higher levels. The chart accompanying Kaleo’s post shows the historical pattern that Dogecoin has followed after previous Bitcoin halvings. Each halving has always been followed by years of massive upside moves in Dogecoin’s price, with the meme coin breaking out of long-term descending resistance lines to record exponential gains. Examples shown in this chart are the 2017 and 2021 explosive price surges. Kaleo suggested that the current market phase mirrors the same structure seen just before the 2021 bull run, when Dogecoin broke above a key lower-high resistance from its previous all-time high. This moment is illustrated on the chart with the label “We are here.” Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoKaleo on X The $6.90 Magnet: Kaleo’s Logic Behind The Forecast Kaleo acknowledged that the projection of a $6.9 Dogecoin price target might sound a little too bullish, but his logic is based on the logic of market cap math. In his post, he explained that his projection for Bitcoin this cycle is to surpass $500,000. If Bitcoin surpasses $500,000 as expected, it would translate to a $10 trillion market capitalization. This sheer amount of inflow would flow into the rest of the crypto market, and Dogecoin could theoretically reach 10% of Bitcoin’s valuation, just as it did during the 2021 mania. That ratio implies a $1 trillion market cap for Dogecoin, which is equivalent to a $6.94 price per token based on the current circulating supply. Dogecoin’s recent price crash has complicated this bullish narrative. Instead of confirming an imminent breakout, the meme coin has fallen below the $0.25 support level. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1971, down by 21.4% in the past 24 hours and having reached an intraday low of $0.1489. The breakdown looks like the kind of market-wide liquidity flushes often seen before major reversals. Yet, it also risks extending Dogecoin’s bearish structure and delaying any breakout if the price fails to recover quickly. Right now, recovery above $0.25 is important for bulls to rebuild bullish momentum. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Public Investment Corporation (PIC), South Africa’s state-owned asset management firm, has raised its shareholding in Sibanye-Stillwater (JSE: SSW, NYSE: SBSW) to above 20%, further cementing its states as the miner’s largest investor. In a press release issued Friday, the Johannesburg-based mining group disclosed PIC’s purchase of an additional 2.35% of equity, bringing its total holding to 20.42%. Established in 2013 through the spin-off of a Gold Fields subsidiary, Sibanye-Stillwater currently operates mines across five continents. In addition to precious metals, it also produces nickel, chrome, copper and cobalt. PIC, which has over R3 trillion (approximately $165.62 billion) in assets under management as of September 2025, has invested heavily in South Africa’s resource sector and gradually built its stake in Sibanye, one of the nation’s largest by market capitalization. In the 2024/25 financial year, PIC’s precious metals and mining investment gained 42.5% as geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Last week, the firm unveiled plans to invest R1.35 billion in early stage mining companies. At least half of those investments would be in South Africa, with a focus on energy transition minerals such as copper and lithium, it said.

Bitcoin appears to be quietly gathering strength beneath the surface. After a healthy pullback that shook out weak hands, the market is showing signs of renewed momentum. Key technical signals suggest this correction may have been a setup for the next major rally, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high. Healthy Correction Within A Dominant Uptrend EtherNasyonaL, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory despite recent market fluctuations. The analyst described the latest movement as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend, emphasizing that such retracements are natural in a sustained rally. Following a rejection from the supply zone, Bitcoin found strong support at a key demand area, where buyers quickly stepped in to defend the price. This rebound underscores the underlying strength of market participants and reaffirms that bullish sentiment remains dominant. EtherNasyonaL noted that short-term volatility, for traders not involved in leveraged positions, often appears as noise in the bigger picture. BTC’s macro trend is still positive, and the ongoing correction may simply serve as fuel for the next leg higher. Overall, Bitcoin’s structure remains solid, with its trend intact and momentum still alive. Bullish Spring Formation Points To Possible Breakout Setup Crypto analyst Christopher Inks, in an X post, noted that Bitcoin’s latest price action has refined its trading range, offering a clearer market structure. He suggested that the asset may have just formed a heavy spring or bullish Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), a setup that often precedes strong upward movement. If this bullish setup holds, the analyst expects a validation phase, where Bitcoin could form a higher low on lower volume, a classic sign of successful testing. Such a move would confirm the spring’s strength and potentially trigger momentum toward a new all-time high (ATH). This phase is critical in determining whether the next major rally is about to begin. Inks also pointed to Open Interest (OI) as a key confirmation tool. A decline in open interest as price consolidates would suggest short covering and validate the bullish test. On the other hand, rising OI on lower closes would imply continued distribution, signaling that the market may need more time before reversing decisively. From an Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) perspective, Inks identified a three-wave structure from the swing low while printing a new swing high that fits a flat correction pattern. Since flat corrections often occur before the continuation of a larger uptrend, this analysis aligns with the Wyckoff interpretation, suggesting Bitcoin’s structure remains strong and poised for another upward leg.

The Dogecoin price has reached a key point on the charts, tapping into the Imbalance Zone (IMB) around $0.24. This area now stands as a potential pivot point that could determine whether the popular meme coin rebounds toward $0.27 or continues its decline. Analysts are watching the zone closely, suggesting it could be a make-or-break moment for Dogecoin’s short-term structure. Dogecoin Price Holds IMB Zone As Bulls Eye $0.27 Crypto analyst ‘Blockchain Baller’ disclosed on X social media on Thursday that Dogecoin has “tapped the IMB zone after a clean manipulation and structure break,” signaling the potential end of a corrective phase. At the time, the analyst’s 4-hour chart showed DOGE hovering around the $0.235 – $0.245 region—an area that historically acts as a liquidity zone where price inefficiencies often get filled before a move higher. Blockchain Baller asserts that manipulation and structural breaks are both classic signs that the market may be preparing for a reversal. The analyst notes that price has reacted multiple times in the same region, showing that buyers are stepping in to defend the zone. The chart analysis also highlights the zone between $0.235 and $0.245 as the critical decision point for DOGE bulls. If price climbs back to this level and holds it as support, Blockchain Baller predicts a short-term rebound toward the $0.26 – $0.27 range. For a bullish confirmation, the analyst suggests that the price would need to break above “short-term resistance“ with increasing momentum. For now, Dogecoin’s immediate path seems to depend on how it reacts to the IMB zone. Blockchain Baller has indicated that a strong bounce could mark the beginning of a new impulsive leg, while a breakdown below $0.235 could temporarily delay recovery. Dogecoin Price Targets $6 Amid Market Decline On a broader timeframe, crypto market expert Kaleo has pointed out that Dogecoin’s market structure is gradually positioning itself for a major upward move. His long-term chart analysis draws striking parallels between DOGE’s current price action and the previous cycles observed before each Bitcoin halving event. In the past, Dogecoin has consistently broken out from long-term descending triangles shortly after a Bitcoin halving, leading to explosive price rallies. Kaleo’s chart shows DOGE’s past rallies from similar formations produced gains of over 20,000% in 2021 and 30,000% in 2027. Dogecoin’s price action currently mirrors these exact setups, suggesting that its price could be preparing for a historic move again. If history repeats, Kaleo has set DOGE’s long-term target at $6.9, representing a 3,530% increase from current levels around $0.19. Interestingly, the analyst’s forecast comes just after a sharp daily crash saw Dogecoin drop about 60% at its lowest point. Market expert Kevin noted that the fall was too extreme to be retail-driven, hinting at systemic exchange failures across Binance, Coinbase, and Robinhood, which temporarily restricted buying during the dip. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin began October on a strong bullish note, gaining by over 12% to establish a new all-time-high price around $126,100. However, the recent days have presented a troubling amount of selling pressure, especially in the last few hours due to tariff threats from the United States’ President Donald Trump. Amidst this highly volatile environment, on-chain data has also surfaced, highlighting market whales’ confidence in the market. Bitcoin Whales Are Holding Their Ground In a QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, a market analyst with the username PelinayPA revealed that there is very little exchange activity among the Bitcoin whales despite the recent fall in Bitcoin’s price. The premier cryptocurrency initially fell below $120,000 on Friday to find support around $116,000 before US President Donald Trump’s statement on tariffs forced a flash crash to around $101,000. Notably, PelinayPA’s report was based on the Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR), a Binance metric, which tracks the proportion of BTC inflows to the exchanges originating from the top 10 largest addresses. This metric is useful, as it helps analysts assess if large investors are creating increased sell pressure or easing off on the bearish momentum. A high EWR reading, of values above 0.5, typically indicates high whale inflow to exchanges, either to sell their holdings or exchange for other crypto assets. By extension, increasing exchange activity reflects on price as a boost to its bearish momentum. On the flip side, when the EWR is low, less than 0.3, it usually means that there is low whale activity across exchanges and less of the cryptocurrency is being traded by its top holders. Interestingly, this conjecture is backed by historical occurrences. Before the 2021 bull market top, PelinayPA notes that EWR spikes were indicating that whales were preparing to sell their holdings. Nearing the end of the 2022 bear market, it is also worth noting that EWR levels were sustained beneath 0.3, showing accumulation and preparation for a bullish run. The analyst also pointed to the EWR levels from 2024 to 2025. From 2024, “as Bitcoin’s price climbed above $100,000, EWR stabilized around 0.3 and showed fewer sharp surges,” indicating that whales might have been maintaining their positions rather than selling off their holdings. Currently, the EWR levels still stand at 0.3, amidst recent price drops reflecting the Bitcoin whales’ holding a “neutral to supportive” stance with no indication of heavy scale distribution. What Next For Bitcoin? Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s next move will likely hinge on how traders respond to shifting macroeconomic conditions and key technical levels. If the EWR rises toward the 0.5 zone, it could indicate growing distribution pressure, meaning that whales may begin transferring holdings to exchanges in anticipation of a market top. However, if EWR trends lower instead, it would reinforce the current bullish structure, showing that major holders are keeping coins off exchanges and maintaining confidence in the rally. PelinayPA predicts this sustained low EWR would push Bitcoin toward the $163,000 range. Nevertheless, investors may commence profit-taking around $150,000, which represents a psychological resistance. As of press time, Bitcoin is worth $110,517, with a significant loss of nearly 8.36% in value in just 24 hours.

XRP is under renewed selling pressure after data showed big holders are moving large sums out of the market. According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, on average whales have been net moving about $50 million per day away from XRP holdings. That flow has coincided with renewed price weakness and sharper swings than seen in recent weeks. Price Slips After Early October Rally After pushing above $3.00 on October 3, XRP slid back sharply. Reports show the token fell below $2.50 roughly a week later. Since that dip the highest print has been $2.83, while XRP is trading near $2.40 at the time of reporting. Price action has been mixed over different horizons — XRP is down about 20% over the last seven days but remains in the green on the 14-day chart. Whale Flows Turned Negative After Accumulation According to on-chain data shared by Maartunn, whale flow measured on a 30-day moving average swung from positive to negative across the past year. During 2022 and into early 2023, large transfers suggested accumulation, a period that tracked with relative price calm. Mid-2023 through the first three quarters of 2024 showed a clear negative trend in whale flow, and that pattern returned in force after a later surge in inflows. Reports have disclosed that the most extreme negative reading on the chart appeared during a price spike in mid-January, when XRP reached as high as $3.4 on January 16, 2025, and large holders took profits. Accumulation On Dips, Profit-Taking On Rallies The on-chain picture is not uniform. There was a brief window of accumulation in April when XRP slid toward the $2 support level. That buying continued into late June as the token recovered above $2. Following that recovery, selling pressure resumed as holders locked in gains. The current 30DMA reading sits near negative $50 million per day, a sustained net outflow that signals distribution by some big accounts. Market Reaction And Possible Paths What this means for price is not set in stone. Continued heavy selling into thin bids could push XRP lower toward nearby supports around $2.20 to $2.50. On the other hand, if buyers step in and absorb the outflows, XRP could trade sideways with sharp intraday swings. Based on reports, veteran investor Patrick L. Riley added a conditional bullish note: a weekly close at $3.11 would produce a very strong weekly candle and could attract fresh demand. That scenario would require meaningful buying to overcome current selling by large holders. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Amid a new wave of economic tensions between the US and China, Sui (SUI), alongside other cryptocurrencies, has experienced a heavy price decline in the past few hours as investors move their capital into more stable assets. Despite this mayhem, prominent market analyst Ali Martinez is backing SUI’s bullish potential, projecting the altcoin to establish a new all-time high before 2025 ends. SUI’s Path To $7 In an X post on October 11, Ali Martinez shares an in-depth market analysis indicating that SUI may be on the verge of a major breakout. Notably, the daily SUI/USDT chart reveals a tightening price pattern, suggesting an impending significant price upswing provided the cryptocurrency can achieve a breakout from its current consolidation range. Based on Martinez’s analysis, SUI is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern that has been developing since early 2025. This structure is typically characterized by converging trendlines, representing lower highs and higher lows, which reflect a period of declining volatility preceding a decisive price move. According to the chart above, a confirmed breakout above the $3.59 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level) would trigger a sharp bullish wave. The projected path, based on Fibonacci extension targets, places potential resistance points around $4.25 (0.786 Fibonacci extension), $5.28 (1.0 Fibonacci extension), and ultimately $6.97 (1.272 Fibonacci extension) – $7.00. Therefore, this move could represent a 100% market gain on current SUI prices. However, investors should also note that a failed breakout or rejection near the upper boundary could lead to renewed weakness. A dip below the $3.18 (0.5 Fibonacci) level would invalidate the bullish setup and expose SUI to potential declines toward $2.82 or even $2.44. SUI Market Overview At the time of writing, SUI trades at $2.67, reflecting a steep 24.74% decline over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, daily trading volume has surged by 295%, signaling heightened market activity as traders react to the sharp selloff. On the broader time frame, SUI has lost 27.85% over the past week, extending its bearish momentum. The downturn in SUI mirrors the broader crypto market, which has reacted sharply to recent geopolitical developments. Markets tumbled after US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, a move framed as retaliation against China’s reported intentions to introduce sweeping export controls on a wide range of products. In the aftermath of the announcement, the global cryptocurrency market has dropped 9.75% in the past 24 hours, with total market cap now hovering around $3.75 trillion.

The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable decline of 6% from its all-time highs, leading to significant liquidation events that approached $200 million on Friday, while sparking renewed speculation about the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. Analysts from The Bull Theory attribute the current slump to geopolitical developments, specifically President Donald Trump’s announcement of substantial tariffs and export controls on Chinese goods, particularly affecting key industrial and strategic materials. How Tariff Risks Are Impacting The Bitcoin Price The implications of these tariffs, according to the analysts, are multifaceted, introducing risks that could disrupt supply chains, accelerate inflation, and slow global trade. Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin’s sell-off at this time. First, there is a notable risk rotation occurring, with investors seeking refuge in safer assets such as cash and gold. Second, the looming tariff risks could lead to rising inflation, potentially delaying anticipated rate cuts. Third, the unwinding of short leverage positions is impacting alternative cryptocurrencies and leveraged Bitcoin holdings, exacerbating the downward trend. Lastly, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies has created an “uncertainty premium,” prompting markets to demand a discount until a clearer picture emerges. Drawing parallels to past market behavior, the analysts recall that threats of tariffs in 2025 precipitated a significant crash in the Bitcoin price and other cryptocurrencies. These recent moves appear to serve as liquidity probes, testing the market’s resilience and flushing out weaker hands before a potential recovery phase. Analysts Predict Positive Outlook For BTC Looking ahead, The Bull Theory suggests market participants should be vigilant about BTC’s nearest key support zone, particularly around the $116,000 mark, where buyers have historically returned. Additionally, they assert that the reaction of policymakers will be crucial; if the Federal Reserve (Fed) signals a willingness to ease monetary policy, a sharp rebound could follow. Conversely, if Trump’s rhetoric regarding tariffs diminishes or becomes more defined, it is expected that confidence in the market may be restored. In the short term, analysts anticipate continued downside volatility with potential retests of support levels. However, the medium-term outlook suggests that savvy investors may begin accumulating Bitcoin as the prevailing narrative weakens. Long-term, with anticipated rate cuts and the historically strong performance of markets in the fourth quarter, the prospects for the Bitcoin price appear promising. As liquidity returns and market momentum builds, the path forward for Bitcoin often trends upward. BTC At $130,000 By Month-End? Market expert Timothy Peterson has also weighed in, noting that half of Bitcoin’s gains for October may have already been realized, according to artificial intelligence (AI) simulations. The analysis presented earlier this week a 50% chance that the Bitcoin price will finish the month above $140,000, and a 43% probability it would end below $136,000. However, following the recent Bitcoin price drop, the updated AI forecast suggests an expected month-end value of around $130,000, representing an 11% increase from the current price of approximately $117,300. Despite this, there is now an 18% chance that ‘Uptober’ could conclude negatively, adding another layer of uncertainty to the market’s outlook. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Levi Rietveld has claimed that a $400 trillion XRP revolution is underway, driven by Ripple’s expanding efforts in Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization. With major partnerships reportedly forming between Ripple and some of the largest players in the financial sector, XRP’s role in bringing traditional assets onto the blockchain is gaining significant attention across the industry. XRP To Lead The $400 Trillion Tokenization Wave According to Rietveld, XRP is not just another digital asset but a cornerstone of a financial revolution worth more than $400 trillion. In a recent post on X social media, the analyst explained that XRP is breaking into a market defined by RWA tokenization—an emerging industry that could reshape how global value is exchanged, sold, and verified. Rietveld emphasized that some of the world’s most influential institutions are now aligning with Ripple to pursue this tokenization vision. He mentioned that BlackRock, VanEck, and Securitize have reportedly joined forces with Ripple to develop frameworks for RWA tokenization, which redefine asset management and exchange. Unlike Bitcoin, which lacks the Layer 2 flexibility and throughput needed for RWA settlements, Rietveld explains that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) boasts the scalability and speed required for global financial operations. He mentioned that XRPL can execute 40,000 transactions per second—a level of performance that makes it ideal for handling the vast volume of tokenized asset transactions expected to dominate the future of finance. XRPL’s architecture also enables instant settlements and interoperability, qualities that are essential for financial entities managing trillions in global assets. If the tokenization trend continues at its current trajectory, Rietveld suggests that the market could eventually reach a $400 trillion valuation. Additionally, XRP could play a pivotal role in bridging the gap between traditional markets and blockchain infrastructure. Moreover, the cryptocurrency‘s utility could evolve beyond a payment asset into a core component of global financial infrastructure. SWIFT’s ISO 20022 Shift To Fuel Another XRP Revolution Another key development that could shape XRP’s future comes from the global payments network, SWIFT. According to the team behind BeLaunch, a premier decentralized launchpad, SWIFT will retire its legacy MT messaging system and fully adopt ISO 20022 on November 22, 2025. This change is set to enhance how banks and financial institutions communicate, enabling better data exchange, stronger security, and faster automation across global transactions. The XRP Ledger is already compliant with ISO 20022, giving it a potential advantage in future banking integrations. This compatibility means XRP can easily fit into systems aligned with the new global messaging framework. However, as BeLaunch noted, readiness does not equal adoption. XRP must still navigate challenges related to regulation, liquidity, and competition from stablecoins and private blockchain networks. Even so, the ISO 20022 transition represents an important step toward global financial interoperability—the very principle on which Ripple has built its ecosystem.

Amid the recent market volatility, Solana (SOL) has lost a crucial area for the first time in over a week, leading some analysts to forecast a potential drop toward the $200 support and below in the coming days. Solana Pullback Eyes $200 Retest Solana fell from the $225 area and recorded a 6.6% intraday retrace below the $210 level for the first time in two weeks. Notably, the cryptocurrency has been trading within the $210-$245 levels over the past month, briefly losing this range during the late September pullback. As “Uptober” arrived and the overall crypto market recovered, the altcoin bounced from the recent lows, reclaiming the mid-zone of its local price range. Over the past week, SOL traded within the $220-$235 area, retesting both the upper and lower boundaries of this zone throughout this week’s volatile market performance. Multiple market watchers warned that losing $215-$220 area could determine whether SOL’s short-term rally was at risk. On Friday morning, the altcoin lost this crucial zone, hitting a one-week low of $207. Analyst Crypto Batman forecasted that Solana would likely head lower before bouncing, highlighting two key support areas. He suggested that the altcoin’ could retrace deeper into its Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), between $210-$220, which previously served as a key resistance level. However, if the price continues to fall, he pointed out that a retest of SOL’s two-month ascending trendline, currently around the $200 mark, would be possible. This trendline was tested as support in late September, when the altcoin fell to the $190 level. Similarly, Crypto analyst Man of Bitcoin had affirmed that holding the $216 level was crucial to preserve a bullish scenario in which the cryptocurrency rallied toward the $270 without major pullbacks. The analyst cautioned that losing this area would invalidate the bullish setup and likely push the price down toward the local range lows, potentially risking a drop to the $200 barrier. SOL’s Make-Or-Break Level Meanwhile, market watcher Follis recently stated that SOL has “one of the cleanest” high timeframe charts in the market. He noted that Solana’s 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicator in the daily chart holds “the key.” Notably, this indicator, currently sitting around the $200 area, has been tested as support and bounced from each time the cryptocurrency has failed to break a major resistance level since August. Based on its recent performance, if the altcoin holding the EMA100 on the daily timeframe could see a rebound and target the range highs. On the contrary, if this level is lost, the cryptocurrency risks falling to the September lows. Despite the short-term correction, some analysts remain optimistic about SOL’s end-of-year rally, suggesting that it will continue its path to new highs after the retrace. “$320 remains the target,” Trader Koala affirmed, “Pullback first though.” As of this writing, Solana is trading at $205, a 12.1% decline in the weekly timeframe.

Week Ahead:Highlights include Potential US CPI and Retail Sales data, start of earnings season, China inflation and trade, UK GDP earnings season, China inflation and trade, UK GDP UK GDP MON: US Columbus Day, Canadian Thanksgiving, Japanese Holiday (Sports Day), OPEC MOMR, Chinese Trade Balance (Oct) TUE: RBA Minutes (Sep), IEA OMR, UK Unemployment/Wages (Aug), German ZEW (Oct), US NFIB (Sep) WED: Chinese CPI/PPI (Sep), EZ Industrial Production (Aug), US CPI (Sep), NY Fed Manufacturing (Oct) THU: Australian Employment (Sep), UK GDP (Aug), EZ Trade Balance (Aug), US Weekly Claims, Philly Fed (Oct), PPI (Sep), Retail Sales (Sep) FRI: EZ HICP Final (Sep), US Building Permits/Housing Starts (Sep), Industrial Production (Sep) UK GDP on Thursday US EARNINGS SEASON: The Q3 reporting will pick up from next week; 68% of companies covering 72% of market capitalization expected to report by month-end. Goldman Sachs notes that the consensus expects S&P 500 earnings growth to slow to 6% Y/Y (vs 11% in Q2), though stronger sales and contributions from the Mag 7 could drive higher-than-expected results. GS says EPS growth is likely to moderate due to reduced FX benefits, higher tariffs, and one-time Q2 charges. But GS thinks sales growth will exceed the consensus projection of 4%. The bank points out that tariffs, up 33% from Q2 to USD 93bln, were a larger headwind, limiting potential margin expansion. The Magnificent 7 are projected to see EPS growth of 14%, half the pace of earlier quarters. AI- related capex remains a focal point, with hyperscaler capex expected to grow 75% Y/Y in Q3, although estimates anticipate slower growth in subsequent quarters. GS adds that, historically, AI capex has consistently exceeded expectations, highlighting the sectorʼs ongoing investment momentum. Meanwhile, major banks will report next week (JPM, WFC, C, GS all on October 14th); Barclays says that its recent conference, which was attended by 21 of 22 large-cap banks, suggested a generally constructive tone, pointing to solid Q3 results and outlook. Barclays says Barclays says net interest income, net interest margins (reflecting ~50% beta on the latest Fed cut), and fee income (supported by capital markets) appear in line or above expectations. Asset quality remains stable aside from a few one-offs, and share repurchases are expected to continue, with trends likely extending into Q4 and 2026. Outside of the US, TSMC (TSM) and Samsung (SSNLF) are set to report earnings next week, drawing attention amid the global AI boom; following heavy investment from US tech firms like NVIDIA (NVDA) and OpenAI, their results mayprovide insight into the potential for an AI-driven market bubble. CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON)CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON) : There are currently no expectations for Septemberʼs Chinese Trade Balance. ING forecasts exports to rebound 7.6% Y/Y, supported by resilient external demand, while imports are seen rising a modest 2.3% Y/Y, yielding a trade surplus of roughly USD 99.7bln. ING notes that while Golden Week travel figures were solid, weaker box office and retail spending point to continued softness in household demand, suggesting scope for further targeted policy support. RBA MINUTES: The RBA will release the minutes from its September 30th meeting next week, where it kept the Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected, with the decision made unanimously. While the statement noted that though inflation has fallen substantially from its 2022 peak, the decline in underlying inflation has slowed, and recent data suggest Q3 CPI may be higher than anticipated at the time of the August Statement on Monetary Policy. The Bank reiterated its focus on quarterly trimmed mean inflation as the primary guide, although Governor Bullock acknowledged that monthly CPI still provides some information. Furthermore, the Board judged that risks are now “broadly balanced,” noting both upside risks from stronger domestic demand and downside risks if households become more cautious in response to external developments. The statement underlined that the Bank remains “alert to the heightened level of uncertainty” and will continue to update its assessment as data evolves. ING suggested that the RBAʼs tone had turned less dovish, with the August CPI upside surprise diminishing the probability of a near term cut. The desk also argued that the Bank will require clearer evidence of inflation sustainably tracking toward the 2.5% midpoint before considering further easing, with the October 29th Q3 CPI release flagged as pivotal. Furthermore, ING saw the likelihood of a November cut as having “diminished meaningfully,” though it still expects that policy need not remain restrictive for an extended period. UK JOBS/WAGES (TUE): Augustʼs unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7%, average earnings are also seen at 4.7% once again, while the ex-bonus figure is forecast to moderate slightly to 4.7% from 4.8%. The last release came in broadly as expected, and while it showed a labour market that continues to weaken, the magnitude of the move did not at the time change the narrative for the BoE, particularly with wages still elevated. Within the most recent BoE statement, the MPC highlighted that there is less of an immediate risk that the labour market would loosen very rapidly. Overall, if the consensus proves correct, then the release is unlikely to have near-term implications for the BoE. The scenario of an acceleration in the ongoing labour market weakening is also unlikely to have much bearing on the November meeting, with a hold all but certain; however, it may factor in favour of the slim implied chance of a December cut, though on that we await the Autumn Budget and details on inflation. CHINESE INFLATION (WED): CPI Y/Y for September is forecast at -0.1% (prev. -0.4%), M/M expected at +0.2% (prev. 0.0%), and PPI Y/Y expected at -2.3% (prev. -2.9%). Using the RatingDog PMIs (formerly Caixin) as a proxy for the upcoming release, it suggested “cost pressures intensified for manufacturers in September, but firms opted to cut their selling prices amid intense competition”, whilst for services “input prices continued to rise moderately.” In terms of last monthʼs release, CPI fell more than expected while deflation in wholesale prices persisted, as Beijing faces mounting calls to ramp up measures to bolster domestic demand and weakening exports growth. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days US CPI (WED; LIKELY DELAYED): The BLS has recalled staff to finalise the September Consumer Price Index report, essential for calculating next yearʼs Social Security payments, Bloomberg reported. The White House Office of Management and Budget directed the move, aiming for publication by the end of October, vs the original release date of October 15th. The consensus looks for headline CPI to rise +0.3% M/M (prev. 0.4%), while the core rate is expected to rise by +0.3% M/M (prev. 0.3%). Citigroup is in line with the consensus and sees US core CPI rising 0.28% M/M in September (vs 0.35% M/M in August), as softer housing inflation offsets tariff-driven price pressures; the bank said weaker labour and housing markets are seen as reducing inflation risks, supporting expectations of further Fed easing. The FOMC meeting minutes released this week revealed that officials are split over monetary policy due to differing views on inflation and the labour market; most see employment weakening, justifying further rate cuts, but some have noted inflation risks. Still, officials generally see the inflation impact diminishing and expect a return to the 2% target. Analysts have said that the split reflects contrasting assessments on whether current policy is already accommodative or whether additional easing is needed to support jobs. External factors, such as tariffs and the government shutdown limiting economic data, add uncertainty, contributing to a cautious but generally easing stance. Money markets are currently pricing 44bpsof easing by the end of this year, signalling one fully discounted 25bps reduction, with a high chance of another (in line with the Fed’s updated projections). AUSTRALIAN EMPLOYMENT (THU): There are currently no median forecasts for the release. Westpac expects employment to rise by 15k in September (prev. –5.4k), which would keep the employment-to-population ratio broadly steady near 64%. The prior monthʼs decline brought annual jobs growth down to 1.8% Y/Y from 2.5% in February, reflecting a softening trend amid an industry rebalancing — with the “care economy” contribution halving while the market sector shows tentative improvement. The unemployment rate is forecast to edge up to 4.3% (prev. 4.2%), with participation seen holding at 66.8%. Westpac notes that easing cost-of-living pressures and cooling labour demand are contributing to a modest cyclical easing in participation, though longer-term structural factors are expected to keep participation elevated. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days UK GDP (THU): The July series was as expected for the headline M/M and 3M/3/M figures, though the Y/Y was slightly softer than consensus and remained at the prior level. Internals of the data showed particular pressure stemming from production, while services and construction saw growth; production was primarily hit by a decline in manufacturing output. For August, consensus looks for an uptick to 0.2% M/M from 0.0%. However, Pantheon Macroeconomics looks for another 0.0% M/M print with industrial production set to weigh once again. Pantheon attributes this to a sharp fall in North Sea oil flows. A narrative that offsets the upward skew presented by the monthʼs PMIs where services came in stronger than expected for August, lifting the composite measure and offsetting the larger contraction seen in manufacturing. Within that release, S&P wrote that “economic growth has continued to accelerate over the summer…”. However, Septemberʼs PMIs saw further manufacturing pressure and a pullback in both services and the composite components, with the outlook deteriorating ahead of the budget and deteriorating foreign trade. Overall, the August release should not have much bearing on the BoEʼs near-term trajectory, with just 5bps of easing implied by end-2025. However, if the hard data does deteriorate as the PMIs suggest it might into September and beyond, then, depending to a degree on the Autumn Budget, the odds of a cut at the December meeting could climb. UK GDP US RETAIL SALES (THU; LIKELY DELAYED): The data’s release is likely to be delayed. Still, the consensus looks for headline retail sales to rise +0.4% M/M in September (prev. +0.6%). Core retail sales are seen rising +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.7%). According to Bank of America’s monthly consumer checkpoint report, total credit and debit card spending per household +2.0% Y/Y in September (prev. +1.7% Y/Y); seasonally adjusted spending growth per household +0.2% M/M (prev. 0.4% M/M), the fourth straight monthly gain. Analysts are also beginning to look at projections for the holiday spending season; online sales are expected to grow more slowly in 2025 due to economic uncertainty, according to Adobe Analytics. Online sales (between November and December) are projected to rise 5.3% Y/Y to USD 253.4bln (vs 8.7% last year). Cyber Monday is forecast as the biggest day, with USD 14.2bln in sales. Mobile shopping is expected to account for 56.1% of online spending, and BNPL purchases are set to increase by USD 2bln. Elsewhere, Salesforce forecasts slower growth for US online holiday sales in 2025, as consumers tighten budgets amid rising living costs. It sees spending in November-December rising 2.1% Y/Y to USD 288bln (vs its data, which showed 4% last year); it added that AI-driven recommendations and agent-assisted shopping could drive USD 51bln, or 18% of total sales. Copyright © 2025 Newsquawk Voice Limited. All rights reserved. Registered Office One Love Lane, London, EC2V 7JN, United Kingdom · Registered Number 12020774 · Registered in England and Wales. newsquawk.com · +44 20 3582 2778 · info@newsquawk.com UK GDP What Does Data Dependent Central Bank Policy Mean for Trading? The post Newsquawk Week Ahead Highlights: 13-17th October 2025 appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

The spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) have been in solid form over the past two weeks, laying a foundation for the strong price action experienced by the premier cryptocurrency recently. According to market data, the crypto-linked investment products opened the week with a daily inflow record of over $1.21 billion. As of this writing, with data from Friday’s trading session yet to be included, the US-based Bitcoin ETFs are currently on a nine-day streak of positive inflows. However, a focused look into the inflows trend shows that this data point doesn’t fully tell the story. Do Bitcoin ETFs’ Performance Depend On BlackRock’s IBIT? In a recent post on the X platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain stated that the latest data shows a major divergence in the US-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund market. According to the on-chain pundit, the capital flow has been mostly positive because of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). Breaking down the trend with the Bitcoin ETFs, CryptoOnchain labeled BlackRock’s IBIT as the “market’s shock absorber,” mopping up the heavy sell-side liquidity. The largest Bitcoin exchange-traded fund by net assets has not posted an outflow day in October, with a $4.21 billion inflow so far. On the other hand, the second-largest BTC ETF Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) has had a mixed performance in recent days, signaling a trend of portfolio rebalancing amongst their investors. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s GBTC has struggled with muted capital performances, interspersed with some daily net outflows. CryptoOnchain also highlighted the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO), which witnessed a major one-day outflow, which precipitated significant market pressure. However, the net positive activity of BlackRock’s IBIT kept the BTC price afloat at the time. CryptoOnchain noted that any slowdown in capital inflows for the iShares Bitcoin Trust could significantly weaken the bullish momentum of the BTC price. However, it is worth mentioning that the Bitcoin price is currently under intense downward pressure due to the looming trade war between the United States and China. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at around $112,143, reflecting an over 7% downturn in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin Institutional Demand Remains Steady: Glassnode Before the market downturn triggered by US President Donald Trump’s tariff rumors and eventual announcement, the Bitcoin price had managed to stay above $120,000. In an earlier October 10 post on X, Glassnode shared that the Bitcoin ETFs might have helped keep the premier cryptocurrency afloat. According to the on-chain firm, the exchange-traded funds have continued to record capital inflows despite BTC’s mild pullback from its all-time high. “This suggests structural buying is still underpinning the market, helping to absorb volatility and stabilize price action,” Glassnode concluded.