Todas Atividades
Atualizada automaticamente
- Recentemente
-
Overview: The US dollar is firm. The only G10 currency that is stronger today is sterling, which is recovering from yesterday's sharp losses and the UK's drama eased following Prime Minister Starmer's support for Chancellor Reeves. Of note most of the final June PMI readings were revised higher from the initial estimates. The US struck a trade agreement with Vietnam, the third deal reached, and the clear intent is to deter it from re-exporting Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the US also lifted export requirement for chip design software sales to China, which would seem to imply that the administration is satisfied with the resumption of rare earth and magnet shipment to the US. Most emerging market currencies are firmer today, led again by the Taiwanese dollar (~0.65%). On the other hand, the South Korean won is the weakest (~-.45%). South Korea's Kospi, on the other hand, rose 1.3% today to lead the Asia Pacific bourses higher, while Taiwan gained slightly less than half as much. Hong Kong shares fell the most (~0.65%) in the region. Europe's Stoxx 600 is up about 0.25% to extend yesterday's gain but is still nursing a small loss for the week. US index futures are virtually flat. UK Gilts lead the European bond market recovery today. The 10-year Gilt yield is off around 8 bp to 4.52%, while the other regional bond yields are off around three basis points. The 10-year US Treasury yield is almost two basis points softer at 4.26% ahead of the US employment report. Gold edged up to almost $3366 before meeting sellers that knocked it back to $3343 before support was found. August WTI is consolidating yesterday's 3% rally. It reached nearly $67.60 yesterday and is almost a buck lower now. USD: Even after the disappointing ADP private sector jobs estimate (-33k vs. median forecast in Bloomberg's survey of a gain of 98k), the Dollar Index made a new session high yesterday near 97.15. Only after European markets close, it sulked back to almost 96.75. Ahead of the US employment report, it is trading in an exceptionally narrow range (~96.70-96.90). The Fed's forward guidance is that it is taking policy decisions meeting by meeting. Although two Fed governors seemed to be open to cutting later this month, most other officials and the markets appear skeptical. From Tuesday's low to Wednesday's high, DXY bounced about 0.80% and it was sufficient to bring in new sellers. Despite the ADP showing the first private sector job less since March 2023, the odds of a July rate cut barely increased. It is about a 1-in-4 chance rather than a 1-in-5 chance, according to the futures market. Ahead of tomorrow's US holiday, a slew of data will be reported today. Chief among these is the employment report. Weaker job growth is expected (~106k vs. 139k in May subject to revisions). The unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 4.3%, which would be a new cyclical high. President Trump's social media post late yesterday, saying Fed Chair Powell should resign immediately, after he may have been briefed on today's employment report, was seen as a possible confirmation of soft report today. It will overshadow the May trade deficit, which is expected to have widened, and the weekly initial jobless claims that will be reported at the same time as the nonfarm payroll report. Shortly afterwards, the final services and composite PMI, the services ISM, and factory orders will be reported. EURO: The euro recorded session lows yesterday slightly below $1.1750 in early North American trading before the ADP report. It was choppy for the rest of the North American morning and after European markets closed worked its way back to $1.1800 were it stalled. It settled fractionally lower on the day to post its first losing session since June 17. It is trading in around a 10-tick range so far today on both sides of $1.1800. The eurozone saw its final reading of the June services and composite PMI. The flash reading was 50.0 for the services PMI after slipping below the boom/bust level in May for the first time since last November. The composite PMI has held above 50 this year. 50.2 in June. It was revised to 50.6 from the flash reading of 50.2, with the help of the stronger services reading (50.5 vs. 50.0) and better French and Spanish readings. The composite PMI averaged 50.4 in Q1 and Q2 (49.3 in Q4 24). Tomorrow, the eurozone reports May PPI. Producer prices are expected to hall fallen for the third consecutive month. Eurozone producer prices declined on a year-over-year basis starting in May 2023 through late last year. The 0.3% anticipated June reading would be the lowest this year. Despite the mild price pressures and what appears to be slowing growth, the swaps market has around a 5% chance of a hike later this month, and about a 50% chance at the next meeting (September 11), but what some expect to be the last cut in the cycle is fully discounted at the last meeting of the year (December 18). CNY: The dollar edged higher against the offshore yuan for the second consecutive session. However, the gains were not impressive, and the downtrend appears to remain intact. It settled below the five-day average and has not closed above it this week. It is found near CNH7.1625 today. It is trading quietly in the range seen in the past two sessions. The PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at CNY7.1523, a new low (CNY7.1546 yesterday and CNY7.1620 last Thursday). The Caixin services and composite PMI were mixed. The services came in softer (50.6 vs. 51.1), a nine-month low, but the composite was firmer at 51.3 (from 49.6). It does not change the underlying views that the economy continues to struggle to sustain forward momentum. The PBOC appears to have pulled away from earlier pledges to cut interest rates and reserve requirements. Beijing's new initiative seems to be to try to curb the aggressive price competition that flows from excess capacity and competition for market share rather than short-run profitability. JPY: The dollar peaked yesterday near JPY144.25 before North America entered the fray. Alongside the pullback in US rates after the ADP report, the greenback fell to JPY143.50. It remains mostly in that range today (~JPY143.45-JPY143.95). The 10-year Treasury yield slipped 3-4 bp to 4.26% after the ADP data but recovered and set new session highs in early NY afternoon turnover a little above 4.30% but it did little to help the dollar. It is near 4.26% now. The final composite PMI stood at 51.5 in June, the highest since February and the second highest since last September, up from 51.4 preliminary estimate. The 51.0 Q2 average (50.7 average in Q1) was the best since Q3 24. Still, Japan's economy is stuck in a low gear. It contracted at an annualized pace of 0.2% in Q1 25 and the median forecast in Bloomberg's survey for Q2 is 0.3% annualized growth. Like Q1, it is little different from stagnation. Economists in Bloomberg's survey see growth picking up in Q4. The US tariffs, especially on Japanese autos, a sector that accounts for around 10% of GDP, is a serious threat. Separately, the largest union federation, Rengo, reported that annual wage negotiations produced an average wage gain of 5.25% for ~7 mln workers (~10% of the Japan's work force, at over 5100 companies. It is the largest increase in 34 years. GBP: No. The fact that sterling sold off at the same time that Gilt yields rose does not make the UK an emerging market. The 10-year Gilt yield rose almost 16 bp as the market prepared for more supply, even if the BOE stops or slows its sales. The yield is off almost 9 basis points today and sterling is firmer. Late yesterday, after the tears, Prime Minister Starmer gave a full throated endorsement of Chancellor Reeves. This was the first meaningful crisis for the year-old Labour government and intrigue at 10 Downing Street over the Reeves' tenure as Chancellor took an outsized toll on sterling. The pullback was sufficient to retrace more than half of sterling's gains from the June 23 low (~$1.3370) and briefly traded slightly below the 20-day moving average (~$1.3580). It recovered back to $1.3645 before stalling yesterday. The recovery was extended to about $1.3675 today. The final June services and composite reports were revised higher from the preliminary estimates. The services PMI is at 52.3, up from the initial estimate of 51.3 (50.9 in May). The composite improved to 52.0 from the 50.7 flash estimate and 50.3 in May. Still, the average in Q2 was 50.3 compared with 50.9 in Q1 25 and Q4 24. It is the lowest quarterly average since Q3 23. The UK economy appears to have gone from the top performer in the G7 in Q1 to one of the slowest in Q2, which exacerbates the fiscal challenge. CAD: The Canadian dollar was the strongest G10 currency yesterday, gaining about 0.40% against the greenback. The Canadian dollar's gains seemed to reflect a little catch-up in a firmer greenback environment. While several other major currencies made new highs for the year this week, the Canadian dollar was not one of them. The US dollar's low for the year was recorded on June 16 near CAD1.3540. Yesterday's low matched Tuesday's low near CAD1.3590. It edged down to about CAD1.3580 today. The June manufacturing PMI fell to 45.6 from 46.1 in May, which was the first gain of the year (45.3 in April, the cyclical low. The US tariffs, real and anticipated, are taking a toll. The Bank of Canada has front-loaded its rate cuts, but the Bank of Canada turned somewhat cautious as the perceived neutral rate is approached. While the market is warming up to a rate cut soon, the next cut is not fully discounted until Q4. Canada reports May merchandise trade balance today. There has been dramatic deterioration this year. Through April, the goods deficit was about C$8.3 bln. In the first four months of 2024, the trade deficit was almost C$3.6 bln. Canada's merchandise exports slid 10.8% in April, the largest drop since the end of 2008 and reached their lowest level since June 2023, as shipments to the US tumbled by 15.7%. Exports of light vehicles and parts fell by nearly a quarter. AUD: The Australian dollar was sold to almost $0.6540 as the greenback recovered broadly, but buyers re-emerged on the dip and lifted the Aussie to new session highs to almost $0.6590. It stalled near the upper Bollinger Band, which it has frayed in recent sessions (found ~$0.6600 today). It is trading with a softer bias today (~$0.6565-$0.6590). The final June services and composite PMI were also revised higher from the preliminary estimates. The composite was revised to 51.6 from 51.2 initially and 50.5 in May. It averaged 51.0 in Q2 and 51.1 in Q1. Separately, Australia's merchandise trade balance narrowed for the second consecutive month in May. The A$2.2 bln surplus was half of what was expected and compares with A$5.6 bln surplus in May 2024 and $A5.4 bln in April 2025. Exports fell (2.7% month-over-month), while imports jumped (3.8%). In the first five months of the year, the trade surplus averaged about A$4.1 bln compared with an average of A$5.6 bln in Jan-May 2024. The futures market lifted the chances of a rate cut next week to more than 100% from about 65% on Tuesday. Tomorrow, Australia reports May household spending. The softer than expected retail sales (0.2% vs. 0.5% median forecast in Bloomberg's survey) warn of downside risks, the median forecast for a 0.5% increase in household spending. MXN: The dollar posted an inside day against the Mexican peso yesterday. Still the greenback eked out a minor gain (<0.0.3%) and settled higher for the first time in eight sessions. It has held below MXN18.82 today and is near MXN18.77 in European turnover. Tuesday low was slightly above MXN18.66. The week's high was set on Monday slightly below MXN18.90. Yesterday, Mexico reported domestic auto sales slowed by 3.25% in June after the nearly 10.8% surge in May. It is a volatile series, but the sales in H1 25 (~118.2k monthly average) were slightly higher than in H1 24 (~117.7k monthly average). Today, Mexico reports April fixed investment and private consumption. It rose on a year-over-year basis in March (1.16%) after contracting for the previous three months. The base effect makes for a difficult comparison this year, and the median forecast is for a 3.6% year-over-year decline, which would be the largest since early 2021. The swaps market expected Banxico to pause its easing course with the overnight cash rate target at 8%. The terminal rate is seen between 7.25% and 7.50% a year from now. Disclaimer
- Hoje
-
Echoes Of 2020: Ethereum Signals Possible Bullish Rally After Reclaiming $2,600
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum (ETH) has recently experienced a significant resurgence, reaching a three-week high of $2,600 after a notable spike on Wednesday. This uptick comes at a time when a key company is considering ETH as a potential treasury reserve asset, underscoring renewed interest in the cryptocurrency. Forecasting $7,000 Potential Despite being one of the poorer performers among the top ten cryptocurrencies, with a year-to-date decline of 24%, Ethereum’s recent 6% surge has allowed it to outpace competitors, including Bitcoin (BTC), which is close to its all-time high. Crypto analyst Alek Carter has also expressed a bullish outlook on Ethereum (ETH), drawing parallels between the current price patterns and those observed in 2020. He describes the recent movements in ETH’s chart as reminiscent of the “dead cat bounce” phenomenon—a term used to describe a temporary recovery in price after a significant decline—followed by a final retest before a substantial upward trend. Carter points out that Ethereum underwent a similar trajectory in 2020, where it initially experienced a dip before rebounding sharply to reach a peak of over $3,500. He believes that the recent completion of what he terms the “final retest” suggests that Ethereum is poised for another significant rally. If the current setup mirrors the previous cycle, Carter anticipates that ETH could potentially reach a new high of $7,000. Bullish Sentiment For Ethereum The bullish sentiment surrounding ETH is further reflected in the performance of stocks associated with the cryptocurrency. BitMine, a Bitcoin mining company that recently announced plans to make ETH its primary treasury reserve, saw its stock soar by about 20%, with an increase of over 1,000% since the announcement. Similarly, SharpLink Gaming, which has adopted an ETH treasury strategy, experienced an 11% rise, while Bit Digital, which shifted its focus from Bitcoin mining to Ethereum treasury and staking, gained more than 6%. Moreover, the recent interest in ETH is evident in the performance of Ethereum ETFs, which saw inflows of $40 million on Tuesday, led by BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust. A Experts also highlight that ETH’s smart contract capabilities have established it as a leading platform for the tokenization of traditional assets, including US dollar-pegged stablecoins. The ‘Backbone’ Of Stablecoins? Fundstrat’s Tom Lee characterized Ethereum as “the backbone and architecture” of stablecoins, given that issuers like Tether (USDT) and Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) operate on its network. Additionally, BlackRock’s tokenized money market fund, known as BUIDL, launched on Ethereum last year. Tokenization itself represents a transformative process, allowing digital representations of publicly traded securities and real-world assets to be issued on blockchain networks. While holders of tokenized assets do not possess outright ownership, the mechanism opens up new avenues for investment and asset management. The latest wave of interest in Ethereum and related assets follows Robinhood’s announcement to enable trading of tokenized US stocks and ETFs across Europe. This development comes on the heels of a growing interest in stablecoins, spurred by Circle’s IPO and the Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Act, a proposed stablecoin bill that aims to provide a new framework for these assets to integrate in the broader financial landscape. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com -
XRP Crypto on Course to Break $3 as Ripple Applies for a National Banking License
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
XRP crypto bulls are targeting $3. Ripple, the issuer of RLUSD stablecoin, has submitted an application to the OCC for a national banking license. Yesterday, XRP crypto surged, closing above $2.20 and extending gains initiated on June 23. At this pace, XRP ▲4.02% not only solidified its position as one of the best cryptos to buy, adding a solid 5% in the last day, but also erased losses from the past week, returning to positive territory. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 XRP Crypto Bulls Targeting $3 Based on the XRPUSDT price formation on the daily chart, there is a high probability that the coin will break above its June 2025 highs of around $2.5. If this happens, XRP could race toward $3 in a bullish trend that might set the stage for the coin to flip Ethereum. XRPPriceMarket CapXRP$134.57B24h7d30d1yAll time While technical candlestick formations may influence momentum and provide direction, fundamental developments play a key role in determining the pace of this expansion and whether bulls will breach $3, outperforming some of the best Solana meme coins. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Crypto Firms Rushing for Banking Licenses Ripple’s move is part of a broader trend among crypto firms to secure banking licenses as Congress and the Senate push for clearer industry regulations in a market valued at over $3.4 trillion. This shift is unexpected, given crypto’s anti-establishment roots. Ripple now joins Circle, which applied for a national trust bank charter with the OCC in late June. If approved as a national bank complying with Federal Reserve laws, Circle could act as a reserve custodian and directly offer institutional crypto asset custody. In 2021, Paxos received preliminary approval to operate as a federal bank but continues to navigate the regulatory process to expand its custodial and payment services. Anchorage Digital remains the only crypto firm to secure a national banking license, acquired in 2021. The rush for banking licenses is driven by the need for stability. Following the collapse of Silvergate and Signature Bank, crypto firms reliant on USD infrastructure faced significant challenges. At one point, USDC depegged because Circle couldn’t access cash over a weekend. If leading stablecoin issuers gain direct access to financial infrastructure, their operations would be more robust, avoiding challenges faced in March 2023. This also aligns with Donald Trump’s push to make the United States a hub for crypto operations. DISCOVER: Next 1000x Crypto – 11 Coins That Could 1000x in 2025 XRP Crypto Bulls Target $3, Ripple Applies for National Banking License XRP crypto steady, aims for new July 2025 highs XRP bulls targeting $3 in H2 2025 Ripple applies with the OCC for a national banking license Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple, thinks the approval will significantly boost trust in crypto The post XRP Crypto on Course to Break $3 as Ripple Applies for a National Banking License appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Ethereum Eyes Key Resistance As Price Reclaims $2,550 – Here Are The Levels To Watch
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum (ETH) has surged 7.5% in the daily timeframe to break above a key resistance level for the first time in weeks. Following its breakout, some analysts forecasted that a retest of the range highs could be around the corner. Ethereum Reclaims Crucial Area On Wednesday, Ethereum jumped over 7% from its local low to the $2,550 mark, setting the stage to reclaim another crucial resistance. The King of Altcoins climbed from the $2,380 support to the $2,585 area, hitting a two-week high. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $2,400-$2,800 price range since the early May breakout, but briefly lost this area after failing to hold the $2,550 support two weeks ago. After recovering its local range, ETH struggled to break past the $2,500 barrier, trading between the range low and this resistance for a week. Nonetheless, today’s market recovery, which also saw Bitcoin jump to the $109,600 mark, has sparked bullish sentiment among investors. Amid today’s performance, Daan Crypto Trades called ETH’s price action a “nice move out of the local range.” However, he suggested that bulls must hold the $2,520 area to confirm it isn’t another deviation or liquidity grab in a “bigger chop.” To the trader, failing to hold this area would send the cryptocurrency to the range lows again. As a result, the major levels to watch remain the $2,310 support and $2,735 resistance. Market watcher Merlijn The Trader noted that Ethereum has “respected support every single time,” forming “one of the cleanest breakouts we’ve ever seen.” He highlighted a three-month ascending triangle in ETH’s chart, pointing out that the King of Altcoins bounced from the rising support line during the recent price deviation and now targets the next key resistance around the $2,700 mark. Ethereum is charging up. Higher lows, strong base, bullish MACD crossover. A clean break of $2,700… and ETH will fly. $3,000 is just the beginning. The real move comes after that. ETH To Repeat ATH Set Up? Merlijn also affirmed that ETH’s two-year setup is repeating, which could signal that a massive breakout is coming. According to the chart, the Ethereum price has moved in stages that last about two years since 2018. During the first stage, the cryptocurrency’s price forms a base, which later leads to the second stage, where the price rejects and retests the base lows. Lastly, Ethereum experiences the liftoff phase, where the price breaks out to new highs. The last liftoff phase, between 2020 and 2022, saw ETH surge from the $100 mark to its $4,878 all-time high (ATH). To the trader, “This time we start from $1,500. Not a dip. A launchpad.” Similarly, analyst Kaleo pointed out the structural resemblance between ETH’s performance this cycle and last cycle. He noted that, while BTC hit a new ATH in December 2020, Ethereum was 60% down from its previous cycle highs, leading many investors to suggest it was “dead.” Nonetheless, ETH climbed over 800% from there, outperforming Bitcoin’s 250% increase in the following months. This time, the cryptocurrency has also seen up to a 68% retrace from its previous ATH, while BTC soared to new highs. If history repeats, “The bottom for ETH is in. Up only from here,” the analyst concluded. As of this writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,568, a 6.1% increase in the weekly timeframe. -
Bitcoin Short-Term Upper Bound Is $117,000, Glassnode Says
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed Bitcoin has recently been trading within a short-term band that has its upper level currently located at $117,000. Bitcoin Is Trading Between These Two Short-Term Holder Price Bands In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the short-term price band that Bitcoin has been trading inside lately. The band in question is based on two levels relevant to the short-term holders (STHs), investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The indicator related to the STHs that’s of interest here is the Realized Price, which keeps track of the average cost basis or acquisition level of the BTC addresses belonging to the group. When the value of this metric is greater than the asset’s spot price, it means the STHs as a whole can be considered to be in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the coin’s value suggests the dominance of loss among this cohort. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode, which shows the trend in the STH Realized Price and a few lines corresponding to different standard deviations (SDs) from it: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin price has interestingly traded in a range defined by two of these lines over the last six months. The lower bound of the range has been the -1 SD and the upper one the +1 SD. The STHs are made up of the new entrants into the sector and fickle-minded traders, so the group tends to easily react to happenings in the market. As such, the cryptocurrency’s price can have some interactions with the STH Realized Price, due to the cohort’s panic buying/selling. From the chart, it’s apparent that the same has been true in this period of consolidation as well. While the indicator has certainly not acted as an absolute support or resistance, the asset has still seen such effects around it in the short term. Currently, Bitcoin is trading above the metric after finding a rebound at it last month. The level ahead of the asset now is the +1 SD. In this period of sideways movement, it has so far only been able to test this line once. “This level can be seen as the upper band of the short-term price action,” notes the analytics firm. The +1 SD is located at around $117,000 right now. It only remains to be seen whether Bitcoin will test this level in the near future or not. BTC Price Bitcoin has enjoyed a surge of more than 3% over the past day that has taken its price to $109,500. -
Asia mid-session: Asia Pacific stocks dip on China PMI, Aussie dollar underperforms
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
US equities delivered another strong session, with the S&P 500 rising 0.5% to close at a fresh record of 6,227. Small‑caps led the charge, as the Russell 2000 jumped 1.31%, clearing its 200-day moving average for a second straight day, evidence that the post “Liberation Day” rebound has broadened beyond mega‑cap tech. close Fig 2: AUD/USD minor trend as of 3 July 2025 (Source: TradingView) Fig 2: AUD/USD minor trend as of 3 July 2025 (Source: TradingView) The recent 3.4% rally seen on the AUD/USD from the 23 June 2025 swing low of 0.6373 is coming close to an inflection level of 0.6600, where it faces the risk of a minor corrective setback before a new bullish up move sequence materialises. In addition, the hourly RSI momentum oscillator remains capped by a parallel descending resistance at around the 63 level since Wednesday, 2 July, US session, which suggests a lack of bullish momentum. Watch the 0.6600 key short-term pivotal resistance on the AUD/USD with the next intermediate supports coming in at 0.6530 and 0.6510 (also the 20-day moving average and the pull-back of the former 8-week range resistance) (see Fig 2). On the other hand, a clearance above 0.6600 invalidates the corrective setback scenario for the continuation of the bullish impulsive movement to expose the intermediate resistances at 0.6630/6645 and 0.6690. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Whales Are Quietly Repositioning, Here’s What Bitcoin’s $107K Price Isn’t Telling You
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin continues to show little upward momentum as it trades below the $110,000 mark. As of the time of writing, the asset is priced at $108,071 after recording a modest 2% gain in the past 24 hours. Despite nearing its all-time high in recent weeks, Bitcoin appears to be caught in a holding pattern as institutional rebalancing and on-chain dynamics take center stage. Recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi has drawn attention to unusual on-chain activity during the final days of June. Institutional Rebalancing and Local Exhaustion Signals In a post titled “Whale Profit-Taking and Loss Realizations: Was Late June a Local Pivot Point?” the analyst noted conflicting behaviors among Bitcoin whales. A notable $641 million in realized profits was recorded alongside more than $1.24 billion in realized losses, a combination that suggests a potential inflection point in market sentiment. Mevsimi emphasized that this mixed realization trend came at the close of the second quarter, a period often associated with institutional portfolio adjustments. “Structurally, late June is also the end of H1, when ETFs and institutional funds often rebalance portfolios,” he wrote. Mevsimi added: “That timing adds weight: this wasn’t just noise — it may have been a deliberate repositioning.” Notably, these large movements in realized profit and loss did not extend into early July, which may imply either a temporary stabilization or the beginning of a new market phase. The report also detailed divergent whale behavior. Newer whales, likely short-term participants entering in Q2, showed signs of capitulation, realizing both profits and significant losses. In contrast, older whales locked in $91 million in profits with negligible losses. This division may indicate a shift in control, with experienced holders offloading risk while short-term players exited amid market uncertainty. According to Mevsimi, the convergence of these trends hints at a local exhaustion phase rather than a continued rally. Bitcoin LTH Unrealized Profits and Historical Context In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant’s Darkfost explored the unrealized profit profile of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs), revealing a downward trend despite BTC’s proximity to record highs. Citing the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, Darkfost noted that average unrealized profits have fallen to around 220%. This is well below the peaks recorded during market tops in March and December 2024, which reached 300% and 350%, respectively. “Although these profits may seem substantial, we’re still far from the levels observed during the tops of this cycle,” Darkfost stated. The realized price for LTHs now stands at approximately $39,000, suggesting a strong cushion but also reinforcing that speculative excess has yet to return in full force. The analyst added that a return to top-cycle unrealized profit levels would require BTC to rise to around $140,000, a target echoed by several bullish forecasts. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from Tradingview -
Dogecoin (DOGE) Bounces Off Lows, But $0.180 Cap Remains A Challenge
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Dogecoin started a fresh increase above the $0.1650 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for a move above $0.1720. DOGE price started a fresh increase above the $0.1620 and $0.1650 levels. The price is trading above the $0.1650 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $0.1640 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $0.1720 zone and $0.1800. Dogecoin Price Faces Hurdles Dogecoin price started a fresh increase from the $0.1565 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE was able to climb above the $0.1600 and $0.1620 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above the $0.170 resistance. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $0.1640 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. A high was formed at $0.1726 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1565 swing low to the $0.1726 high. Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.1650 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1710 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1720 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.1750 level. A close above the $0.1750 resistance might send the price toward the $0.180 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.200 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.2120. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1720 level, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1650 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1565 swing low to the $0.1726 high. The next major support is near the $0.1620 level. The main support sits at $0.1560. If there is a downside break below the $0.1560 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might decline toward the $0.150 level or even $0.1450 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1650 and $0.1620. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1720 and $0.1800. -
Bitcoin Realized Dominance Signals Weak Hands Capitulating, Strong Hands Rising
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within striking distance of its all-time high (ATH), a noticeable shift is underway in the cryptocurrency’s Realized Dominance metric, reflecting changes in behavior between short-term holders (STH) and long-term holders (LTH). Bitcoin Realized Dominance Shows Shift In Market Sentiment According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the latest trend in BTC’s Realized Dominance metric highlights a significant shift in overall market structure and sentiment. For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Realized Dominance metric tracks how much of the realized cap is held by STH vs LTH. A rising LTH cohort share signals strong conviction and maturing supply, while a falling STH share suggests reduced speculation or loss-taking. The latest on-chain data shows that STH Realized Cap has dropped to around 45%, signalling reduced activity from recent buyers. This implies that new BTC entering the market is either being sold at a loss or maturing into long-term holdings – easing short-term speculative pressure. Conversely, the LTH Realized Cap has risen, suggesting long-held coins are being moved at a profit – typically seen during late-stage bull markets. This increase also indicates aging supply, as coins held by short-term investors transition into the LTH category, reflecting strong holder conviction. The analyst added: The divergence between falling STH Realized Cap and rising LTH Realized Cap highlights a supply transfer dynamic: recent entrants struggle with profitability amid lackluster price action, while long-term participants maintain control of an increasing share of network value. Such transitions often precede bullish reversals. As short-term realized cap shrinks, selling pressure typically declines, paving the way for more sustainable upside, provided fresh demand returns. In conclusion, Crazzyblockk noted that the Bitcoin market is currently in a consolidation phase, with weaker hands exiting and stronger holders gaining dominance. If this trend continues, it could establish a more resilient price base for BTC and potentially pave the way for a new ATH. BTC Apparent Demand Has Declined Despite the rise in LTH Realized Dominance, some on-chain signals point to weakening demand. This has raised concerns of a potential short-term drawdown, which could be as severe as the April 2025 pullback to almost $75,000. Notably, Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand – a metric that assesses whether new buyer demand is sufficient to offset selling from miners and LTHs – has dropped to -37,000 BTC. This sharp decline suggests fading buying interest. That said, one positive indicator remains. The STH floor price has been steadily rising over the past few months and is now nearing the psychologically important $100,000 level. At press time, BTC trades at $107,796, up 1.2% in the past 24 hours. -
Ripple Files for U.S. Banking License for XRP and RLUSD
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ripple is making a serious move into traditional finance. The company behind XRP has applied for a national banking charter in the United States, aiming to bring its RLUSD stablecoin under direct federal oversight. This isn’t just about checking boxes. It’s a strategic attempt to give RLUSD a stronger foundation and open the door to a deeper role in the financial system. If approved, the Ripple banking license would allow the company to hold RLUSD reserves directly with the Federal Reserve. Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, confirmed the application publicly, pointing out that RLUSD already operates under New York’s financial regulators. Getting a national charter through the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) would expand that coverage, blending state-level approval with federal credibility. It’s also a signal to investors, regulators, and institutions that Ripple wants RLUSD to be taken seriously. The Bigger Picture Behind the Charter So what does this actually mean? A bank charter gives Ripple a way to hold reserves directly with the Federal Reserve. That cuts out third-party banks, simplifies operations, and improves transparency. It also means RLUSD could be settled faster and more reliably, especially during nights or weekends when traditional systems shut down. Ripple would use its subsidiary, Standard Custody & Trust Company, to apply for the necessary Fed master account. If granted, the RLUSD reserves would move from commercial banks to the central bank, offering stronger protection and oversight. For a stablecoin trying to compete with the likes of USDC and Tether, this could be a major advantage. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Ripple Is Not Alone The timing is no coincidence. Earlier this week, Circle—the company behind USDC—also filed for a national trust bank license. Circle wants to create a fully regulated institution focused on digital dollars and tokenized assets. Both Ripple and Circle are reading the same playbook: take the stablecoin game into regulated territory before the rules get even tougher. XRPPriceMarket CapXRP$132.19B24h7d30d1yAll time So far, Anchorage Digital is the only crypto firm with a federal charter. Ripple’s move puts it in the race to be next. And with the GENIUS Act gaining traction in the Senate, regulation for stablecoins is no longer hypothetical. Standards around reserves, disclosures, and investor protection are already being written. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in July2025 RLUSD’s Position and What Comes Next RLUSD launched in late 2024 and has already grown to a market cap of around $470 million. That’s not enough to challenge the top stablecoins, but it puts Ripple in the conversation. A federal charter could give RLUSD the edge it needs to appeal to banks, payment processors, and institutional investors. Source: Shutterstock Ripple also has plans beyond RLUSD. The charter would let it expand into cross-border payments and digital asset custody services, all under federal supervision. If the OCC and Fed approve the application, Ripple would be able to offer these services on the same regulatory footing as traditional banks. What to Watch Approval is not guaranteed. Getting the charter and a Fed account involves multiple agencies and months of review. Ripple also faces ongoing legal challenges tied to XRP, which could influence regulators’ decision-making. But if the license is granted, Ripple will have one of the strongest compliance setups in the stablecoin market. This is more than a regulatory milestone. It’s a sign that the stablecoin space is evolving fast, and only those who are ready to play by the rules will be able to scale. Ripple’s banking play is a bet that RLUSD is ready for that next step. The industry is watching closely to see whether the potential Ripple banking license opens the door to broader adoption of RLUSD. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Ripple has applied for a U.S. national banking charter to bring its RLUSD stablecoin under federal oversight. The move would allow Ripple to hold reserves directly with the Federal Reserve, improving transparency and settlement speed. Ripple’s charter bid comes alongside similar moves from Circle, as both aim to meet stricter stablecoin regulations early. If approved, Ripple could expand into digital asset custody and cross-border payments under full federal supervision. RLUSD currently has a $470 million market cap, and this banking move could make it more competitive with top stablecoins. The post Ripple Files for U.S. Banking License for XRP and RLUSD appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Trump Family Linked to Over $620 Million in Crypto, Memecoins, and Bitcoin Holdings
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The Trump family appears to have a much bigger stake in the crypto world than most people realized. New data from Arkham Intelligence shows that wallets linked to Donald Trump, his son Barron, and several associated tokens hold more than $620 million in crypto assets. Trump’s $620 million in crypto covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, and memecoins, making it one of the biggest political wallets on record. Barron’s Alleged Role Behind the Scenes One of the most surprising parts of the report is the alleged connection between Barron Trump and the Solana-based memecoin $DJT. The top wallet holding the token, currently worth around $170 million, is linked to other wallets previously tied to Donald Trump. Arkham Intelligence suggests this is no coincidence. Rumors have been swirling that Barron played a key role in the creation or launch of the coin. While nothing has been confirmed by the Trump team, on-chain behavior and overlapping wallet histories have fueled speculation. It would not be the first time the Trump family mixed branding with finance, but if Barron was involved directly, it signals a more active role in the crypto space than expected. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Breaking Down the Holdings The full breakdown reveals a wide net. Roughly $320 million is held in Ethereum, $180 million in Bitcoin, and the rest in memecoins like $TRUMP and $DJT. These numbers come from wallet analysis linked to past projects such as Trump’s NFT collection and recent token activity. The timeline of acquisitions and token launches lines up with public appearances and business initiatives tied to the campaign trail. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.17T24h7d30d1yAll time Trump has made millions from NFT royalties alone, despite previously dismissing crypto. His recent tone has softened, likely in response to the growing support for digital assets among younger voters. The wallets connected to him and his brand suggest that behind the scenes, the former president and his circle are paying very close attention. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Memecoins, Politics, and Influence Memecoins tied to political figures have exploded over the last year, becoming a strange intersection of financial speculation and political tribalism. While coins like $TRUMP and $BODEN have been seen as jokes or campaign side-shows, $DJT is shaping up differently. Source: Shutterstock If Barron was indeed involved, this would be the first time a direct family member of a major presidential candidate helped create or advise a token that reached nine-figure territory. That’s a development with real financial and political consequences. Even without formal confirmation, the market is watching closely. What This Means The Trump family’s presence in crypto is no longer just about NFTs or fan-driven tokens. It now includes serious money, strategic wallets, and questions about where politics meets blockchain. If Donald Trump moves forward with a crypto-friendly agenda, these holdings could play a role in shaping public policy. At the same time, the $DJT story adds fuel to ongoing debates about transparency and influence in the digital asset world. Whether the coin remains a speculative bubble or becomes a campaign war chest, it puts the Trumps firmly in the crypto spotlight. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Trump-linked wallets now hold over $620 million in crypto, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and high-value memecoins like $DJT. Arkham Intelligence suggests Barron Trump may be involved in the creation or launch of the Solana-based $DJT token. Ethereum makes up the largest share of the family’s holdings at roughly $320 million, followed by Bitcoin and several memecoins. These wallets tie into Trump’s past NFT ventures and show growing alignment between his public image and digital asset strategies. If confirmed, Barron’s role in $DJT would mark an unprecedented blend of political influence and memecoin development. The post Trump Family Linked to Over $620 Million in Crypto, Memecoins, and Bitcoin Holdings appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
XRP Price Moves Up — Hurdles Ahead Could Limit Gains
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
XRP price started a decent upward move from the $2.150 zone. The price is now consolidating gains and might face hurdles near the $2.285 zone. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.220 zone. The price is now trading above $2.220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.20 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another decline if it fails to clear the $2.2850 resistance zone. XRP Price Restarts Increase XRP price found support near the $2.150 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to recover losses and climbed above the $2.220 resistance level. The bulls were able to push the price above the $2.250 level. There was a spike above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.327 swing high to the $2.148 low. However, the bears were active near the $2.2850 level. The price failed to surpass the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.327 swing high to the $2.148 low. The price is now trading above $2.220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.20 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.2580 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.2850 level. The next resistance is $2.320. A clear move above the $2.320 resistance might send the price toward the $2.350 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.40 resistance or even $2.420 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.50. Fresh Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.2850 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.220 level. The next major support is near the $2.20 level and the trend line. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.20 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.150 support. The next major support sits near the $2.120 zone. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.220 and $2.20. Major Resistance Levels – $2.2850 and $2.320. -
Ethereum Price Stagnates as On-Chain Data Shows Whale Accumulation
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum continues to exhibit limited upward price movement despite earlier gains last week. Over the past seven days, the asset has gained only 0.3%, while it declined 0.2% in the past 24 hours. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,436. Notably, the ongoing lack of momentum reflects broader hesitation in the crypto market, even as institutional activity and whale behaviors provide structural support for price levels. Ethereum Whales Accumulate, Retail Traders Remain Inactive In a recent market insight shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, on-chain analyst Banker described Ethereum’s current phase as a “deadlock.” According to him, the market is witnessing steady accumulation from large holders, particularly visible through consistent ~60,000 ETH in weekly staking inflows and significant negative exchange netflows, which point to withdrawal activity exceeding deposits. However, these developments are being met with little to no increased activity from retail investors, creating a state of stagnation rather than bullish momentum. Banker noted that exchange data shows over 200,000 ETH being withdrawn in recent spikes, likely absorbed by institutional players. On the other hand, retail-driven deposits, which have reached around 100,000 ETH since 2023, are not enough to create breakout pressure. Daily active addresses remain flat at 300,000–400,000 levels, far below what has historically coincided with strong upward moves in Ethereum’s price. The neutral funding rate of 0.004% further reflects a lack of directional conviction among leveraged traders. According to Banker, the continued withdrawal activity by whales, combined with stable leverage usage, is creating a kind of supply squeeze that prevents significant downside pressure. However, without renewed participation from retail investors or a rise in daily address activity above 400,000, Ethereum is likely to remain within a narrow range. The report concludes that while downside is being contained by large holders, a meaningful breakout would require broader market engagement or a clear external catalyst. Exchange Activity, Divergences, and Macro Factors Add Headwinds Meanwhile, in a separate post, CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha examined Ethereum’s exchange inflows and derivatives data, suggesting the market may be on the verge of short-term volatility. Taha reported that on July 1, over 100,000 ETH, worth around $250 million, were sent to Binance in two separate transactions. Such large inflows typically indicate selling intentions or a preparation for trades, especially when they coincide with other bearish signals. Taha also highlighted a divergence between Ethereum’s spot price and Binance Open Interest. While ETH recently printed three local highs above $2,500, Open Interest has continued to decline, forming three lower highs. This lack of confirmation by derivatives traders suggests hesitation to commit to long positions. At the same time, US Federal Reserve net liquidity has dropped from roughly $6.2 trillion to $5.84 trillion, tightening financial conditions and reducing capital flows into risk assets like crypto. According to Taha, unless macro conditions improve or Ethereum-specific demand surges, the asset could face downward pressure in the short term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView -
Ethereum Price Pops Above $2,550 — Can It Avoid a Quick Reversal?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum price started a fresh increase from the $2,375 zone. ETH is now back above $2,550 and struggling to clear the $2,620 barrier. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,550 level. The price is trading above $2,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $2,560 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains stable above the $2,550 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Regains Traction Ethereum price started a fresh increase from the $2,375 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above the $2,500 resistance zone and entered a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,523 swing high to the $2,372 low. It even cleared the $2,550 resistance zone and spiked above the $2,600 level. A high was formed at $2,614 and the price is now consolidating gains. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $2,560 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $2,615 level. It is near the 1.618 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $2,523 swing high to the $2,372 low. The next key resistance is near the $2,650 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,665 level. A clear move above the $2,665 resistance might send the price toward the $2,720 resistance. An upside break above the $2,720 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,750 resistance zone or even $2,800 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,615 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,560 level. The first major support sits near the $2,550 zone. A clear move below the $2,550 support might push the price toward the $2,520 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,450 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,350. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,550 Major Resistance Level – $2,615 -
A growing number of technical signals suggest that XRP may be on the verge of a short squeeze, according to prominent crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK. In a post on X, the analyst highlighted key on-chain and derivatives data, painting a picture of dense liquidity stacked above current price levels, rising open interest, and a structure that resembles previous pre-squeeze conditions. XRP Short Squeeze Incoming? “Liquidity on the hourly is interesting,” CryptoInsightUK wrote, emphasizing what he described as “SUPER dense liquidity above us,” adding that in his view, “it’s inevitable this gets taken, probably sooner rather than later.” Accompanying images shared by the analyst indicate that the lower liquidity cluster sits around $1.90, while the upper zone—where a potential short squeeze could be triggered—concentrates around $2.40. The implication is clear: shorts are vulnerable to a cascade of forced liquidations if price begins to accelerate upward. The analysis drew on data from @velo_xyz, showing that open interest has been steadily climbing since an unexplained spike on June 24. Notably, during this time, premium remained heavily negative, and funding rates oscillated between positive and negative. “This suggests to me there have been a net addition of short positions to the Open Interest for $XRP,” the analyst wrote, implying that a crowded short trade could now be structurally exposed. Layering this with TradingDiff’s liquidity heatmap, CryptoInsightUK inferred that “we are at some point looking for a short squeeze here for XRP.” While the timing remains uncertain, the combination of rising open interest, negative premium, and dense liquidity above suggests growing asymmetry in risk for short sellers. Still, the analyst added a critical note of caution. “Both ETH and XRP on the daily do have some liquidity below us,” he said, acknowledging the possibility of a fakeout or liquidity sweep downward before any aggressive upside movement. “As you guys know, it is possible to leave some liquidity behind as some people win their trades. BUT, we cannot count this out.” A final observation focused on Ethereum’s changing liquidity landscape, which may have broader implications for the market as a whole. “Something has changed on ETH,” CryptoInsightUK wrote. “If we look to the liquidity above us we can see the Red has turned Yellow.” He interpreted this shift as a possible signal that shorts are being closed, or that new longs are building below the current price, thereby visually reducing the intensity of liquidity above. Whether XRP can reach the $2.40 liquidity pocket remains to be seen, but the fuse may already be lit. At press time, XRP traded at $2.18.
-
📉 Payroll de Junho nos EUA: A Última Cartada Antes do Corte de Juros? "Qualquer leitura abaixo de 60 mil pode ser o gatilho de uma recessão estagflacionária", alerta Wall Street Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado, Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Análises Institucionais e Macroeconômicas Profundas 📆 Quando será divulgado? O relatório de emprego não-agrícola (Payroll) referente a junho será publicado amanhã, quinta-feira (03/07), às 9h30 (horário de Brasília). Por conta do feriado de 4 de julho nos EUA, a divulgação foi excepcionalmente adiada. 📊 Expectativas do mercado: Indicador Estimativa de Consenso Anterior Comentários Criação de Empregos (NFP) +106 mil +139 mil Projeções variam de 70k a 160k Taxa de Desemprego 4,3% 4,2% Risco de alta para 4,4% Salário médio por hora (MoM) +0,3% +0,4% A suavização sustenta o argumento dovish Salário médio (YoY) 3,9% 3,9% Estável, mas ainda elevado frente ao core PCE 📊 Expectativas de WallStreet 📉 Contexto e Sinais Antecipados de Fraqueza Os indicadores antecedentes do mercado de trabalho em junho acenderam o alerta vermelho: 📉 ADP Employment: -33 mil (pior leitura desde 2020) 🔻 Pedidos iniciais de auxílio-desemprego: 246k (vs 226k mês anterior) 🛑 PMI Industrial (Emprego): caiu para 45,0 — zona de contração 📉 ISMs e regionais do Fed: todos com subcomponentes de emprego em queda 🟢 JOLTS (vagas abertas): aumento para 7,8 milhões — porém já defasado 🗣️ Confiança do Consumidor: percepção de que "empregos são abundantes" caiu para 29,2% ⚠️ Cenários de Impacto e Expectativas de Wall Street 🔵 Cenário "Goldilocks" (entre 125k e 145k) Impacto: Positivo para ações, leve alta nos yields. Interpretação: Crescimento resiliente com inflação contida. Probabilidade (JPM): 25% 🟡 Cenário Base (entre 105k e 125k) Impacto: Neutro a positivo para ativos de risco. Narrativa: Suporte contínuo ao crescimento, sem pânico. Probabilidade (JPM): 40% 🟠 Cenário de Alerta (entre 85k e 105k) Impacto: Alta volatilidade; sinaliza fraqueza latente. Mercado precifica corte já em julho com mais convicção. Probabilidade (JPM): 25% 🔴 Cenário Recessivo (< 85k, especialmente < 60k) Impacto: Risco de estagflação → queda nos yields, alta no ouro, venda em ações. Trump e Tesouro devem pressionar o Fed abertamente. Probabilidade (JPM): 5% 🧠 Comentário Estratégico de Traders e Bancos 🗣️ Goldman Sachs: projeta 85k, com risco de impacto da revogação do TPS de migrantes venezuelanos (-25k empregos). 🧮 Morgan Stanley: prevê 140k, puxado por contratações no setor público. ⚠️ Fed’s Barkin: mercado de trabalho "breakeven" agora é de 80k-100k empregos/mês. 📉 Fed’s Bostic: ainda quer esperar por mais dados antes de cortar. 💣 Waller e Bowman: abertos a cortar já em julho — caso dados confirmem desaceleração. 💥 Impactos no Mercado Esperados por Ativo Ativo Cenário Base (100k-125k) Abaixo de 60k Dólar (DXY) Estável a levemente fraco Forte queda, especialmente frente ao ouro e CHF Ouro (XAU/USD) Lateral a levemente positivo Forte alta, pode romper US$ 3.380 S&P 500 Otimismo moderado Alta volatilidade, possível realização Treasuries (10Y) Yields levemente estáveis ou +5bps Queda agressiva nos yields Bitcoin Alta com cenário dovish Forte rompimento de máximas, ETF flows continuam ETH/USD Acompanhando BTC Alta acima de US$ 2.570 provável 📝 Considerações Finais ExpertFX Se o Payroll vier abaixo de 85k, e principalmente abaixo de 60k, estaremos diante de um "choque de crescimento" com risco estagflacionário, forçando o Fed a se posicionar antes de setembro, mesmo com o impacto das tarifas ainda sendo incerto. O relatório de amanhã é decisivo para a trajetória dos juros, do ouro e do dólar — e, por consequência, para a reprecificação de risco global. 🔔 Fique ligado nas atualizações em tempo real no canal ExpertFX School. Nossa cobertura institucional e projeções atualizadas estarão disponíveis logo após a divulgação do Payroll.
-
🇺🇸 Secretário do Tesouro Pressiona o Fed: "Corte de Juros Deveria Vir Até Setembro" Scott Bessent critica projeções da instituição e diz que Fed está paralisado por "síndrome tarifária" Por Igor Pereira – Analista de Mercado, Membro Junior Wall Street NYSE ExpertFX School – Cobertura Macroeconômica Avançada 💬 Bessent: "Se os critérios do Fed forem mantidos, corte de juros deve ocorrer até setembro" O Secretário do Tesouro dos EUA, Scott Bessent, voltou a criticar a postura do Federal Reserve nesta terça-feira, durante entrevista à FOX, ao afirmar que o Fed poderia cortar juros até setembro, com base em seus próprios critérios atuais — que relacionam a decisão à influência inflacionária das tarifas de importação. A fala ecoa os modelos da Goldman Sachs, que passaram a prever cortes já no terceiro trimestre, à medida que os efeitos das tarifas impostas por Trump mostram-se menos persistentes sobre os preços e mais impactantes sobre o crescimento. 📉 Bessent critica projeções do Fed: "Se estão reduzindo a projeção de crescimento, por que não cortar juros?" O secretário destacou um ponto sensível nas recentes Projeções Econômicas do Fed (SEP), divulgadas na última reunião: a instituição elevou suas expectativas de inflação, mas rebaixou a projeção de crescimento econômico dos EUA para o segundo semestre. A crítica reflete a frustração crescente na Casa Branca com a hesitação do presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, em agir rapidamente frente aos riscos de desaceleração. 🧭 Contexto Macroeconômico O pano de fundo das declarações de Bessent é o seguinte: 📉 ADP Employment Change de junho: -33 mil (esperado +105 mil) — o pior dado desde setembro de 2024. 📊 Resumo das Projeções Econômicas do Fed (junho/25): PIB para 2025 revisto para baixo Inflação (PCE core) mantida acima de 2,5% 🔻 Índice de Surpresa Econômica dos EUA: no menor patamar desde 2024. 📉 Consumo desacelera, inclusive em bens discricionários. ⚠️ O que esperar agora? O mercado já precifica quase 70% de probabilidade de um corte na reunião do FOMC de setembro, com possibilidade crescente de adiantamento para julho, caso o Payroll desta sexta (5) confirme o cenário de fraqueza. As declarações de Bessent aumentam a pressão política sobre Powell, num momento em que o Fed também enfrenta: Críticas diretas da administração Trump Um pedido de investigação no Congresso sobre a gestão da sede do Fed Possível substituição precoce do presidente, conforme rumores políticos de nomeação antecipada 🎯 Impactos no Mercado Financeiro Ativo Expectativa com Corte de Juros Comentário Técnico Dólar (DXY) Negativo Potencial correção abaixo dos 98.5 pts Ouro (XAU/USD) Positivo Pode retomar acima de US$ 3.400 com queda de yields Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Positivo Liquidez global favorece ativos alternativos Treasuries Positivo (queda nos yields) 10Y pode testar 3,90% novamente S&P 500 Misto (bom a curto prazo) Mas crescimento fraco pode limitar upside estrutural ✅ Conclusão ExpertFX O Fed parece dividido entre credibilidade inflacionária e risco de recessão técnica. A pressão do Tesouro e da Casa Branca se intensifica, enquanto o mercado interpreta cada dado macro com extrema sensibilidade. Se o Payroll vier abaixo do esperado, um corte de juros em julho entra fortemente no radar — o que pode impulsionar ouro, criptoativos e ações de tecnologia, mas também sinaliza um alerta vermelho para a saúde da economia norte-americana. 🔔 Fique atento às atualizações da ExpertFX School nesta sexta-feira. A divulgação do Payroll pode mudar o rumo dos mercados globais.
-
Bitcoin Price Surges Toward $110K — Will It Finally Stick the Landing?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase from the $105,200 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to continue higher above the $110,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $108,000 zone. The price is trading above $107,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $106,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $107,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Regains Traction Bitcoin price remained supported above the $105,000 level and started a fresh increase. BTC cleared many hurdles near $106,200 to start a decent increase. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $106,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair pumped above the $107,500 resistance level. It cleared the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $108,792 swing high to the $105,116 low. Finally, the price surged toward the $110,000 level. It tested the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $108,792 swing high to the $105,116 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $109,400 level. The first key resistance is near the $110,000 level. A close above the $110,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $112,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $113,200 level. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $108,750 level. The first major support is near the $108,000 level. The next support is now near the $107,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $106,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $105,000, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,000, followed by $107,200. Major Resistance Levels – $110,000 and $112,000. -
This Altcoin Looks Like PEPE Before It Exploded, Analyst Says
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) is starting to look similar to Pepe (PEPE) did before its explosion. Pudgy Penguins May Be Following A Similar Path As PEPE In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how PENGU is showing to the memecoin PEPE in its price chart. Below are the graphs shared by Martinez comparing the trends of the two side-by-side. In both charts, the analyst has marked the Fibonacci Retracement levels for the assets, lines that are based on ratios from the famous Fibonacci series. The analyst has set the 1.0 level to a price top for both assets. For PEPE, it’s the high from 2023, and for PENGU, it’s the peak from the start of 2025. Similarly, the zero mark is taken at the bottom point. More specifically, the low that followed the aforementioned top in the coins. Martinez then drew the Fibonacci Retracement levels between the two end points, with each line corresponding to some percentage retracement from top to bottom. It would appear that in PEPE’s case, the price bottom was followed by a recovery surge that topped above 0.5, the midway point of the Fibonacci scale. This high led into a retrace, but bullish momentum returned for the coin in 2024, resulting in a sharp explosion where its price far surpassed the 2023 top. From Pudgy Penguins’ chart, it’s apparent that something similar has been developing for it, as its price, too, has seen the pattern of a top above the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement line, followed by a dip and now a rebound. The rebound in question corresponds to the altcoin’s impressive 50% rally over the past week. Even with this surge, however, the asset has only managed to return to the May high. While there has been some similarity between the two price charts, it should be noted that it’s not an exact mirror. For instance, the dip extended to 0.236 for PEPE, but the rebound came for PENGU before such a retracement could occur. With the rebound also not being as strong as PEPE’s so far, it only remains to be seen whether Pudgy Penguins’ surge would end up evolving into anything like the memecoin’s takeoff. As the analyst notes, “a daily close above $0.015–$0.017, and this train could be unstoppable.” Something that could also point toward a potential breakout for PENGU is this chart shared by Martinez earlier, showcasing that the altcoin has been traveling inside an Ascending Triangle over the last few months. Pudgy Penguins has recently climbed to the upper line of the pattern, situated around $0.015. Generally, breaks above the resistance line of an Ascending Triangle are considered to be bullish signals. So far, the coin hasn’t been able to surge past the line. PENGU Price At the time of writing, Pudgy Penguins is trading around $0.0148, up over 4% in the last 24 hours. -
Bitcoin Holds Steady Above $107K As US Senate Clears $4.5T Spending Bill
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin held its ground as US President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” passed the Senate late Monday narrowly by 51–50 votes. Vice President J.D. Vance provided the tie‑breaking vote that sealed the deal for the $4.5 trillion package. The package contains major tax reductions, deeper border security funding, and substantial cuts to programs such as Medicaid and SNAP. No crypto‑specific language was included, but lawmakers attempted to insert a tax benefit for digital currencies during last minute wrangling. Bitcoin Dips Before Quick Rebound Based on reports from crypto exchanges, Bitcoin slid to about $106,344 just before the vote as traders held off on big bets. Once the Senate approved the bill, BTC jumped back above $107,800. That’s a swing of roughly $1,400 in a single session, or about 1.3%. Some traders said they sold into the dip and bought back in once the outcome was clear. Others just shook their heads and waited for the next news headline. Altcoins And Liquidations Take A Hit Ethereum barely moved, dipping 0.3%, while XRP fell about 0.7% on the day. Solana saw the biggest wobble, dropping as much as 6% during trading. In total, more than $219 million in liquidations hit the broader crypto market. Bitcoin alone accounted for roughly $60 million of that, as leveraged positions got squeezed when prices spiked back up. Crypto Stocks See Gains Stocks tied to digital assets also rallied on the bill’s passage. MicroStrategy (now Strategy) shares climbed around 3.2%, and Coinbase jumped 2.3% in early trading on Tuesday. Those moves outpaced the Nasdaq’s modest gains. Final Look The bill now goes back to the House for a final sign‑off, with Speaker Mike Johnson aiming to send it to the president’s desk before July 4. The traders will be watching closely for the next inflation reading and for any signals from the Federal Reserve. If a rise in prices drives the Fed to more increases, crypto markets may come under new strain. However, others view the Senate vote as another reminder that Bitcoin and its cousins can move on significant political news—sometimes in ways not necessarily expected. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView - Yesterday
-
ATMY reports “massive”antimony bearing stibnite mineralization at Bald Hill project
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Mineralization at Bald Hill project in New Brunswick, Canada. Image: Antimony Resources. Antimony Resources (CSE: ATMY) (FSE: K8J0) reported Wednesday that the first assays have been received from drilling at its Bald Hill antimony project, including sections of “massive antimony stibnite and stibnite bearing breccia-filling” intersected. The Bald Hill project is located in Canada’s New Brunswick province. The company reported drilling 4.17% Sb over 7.40 meters including three zones which returned 28.8% Sb, 21.9% Sb, and 17.9% Sb, respectively. Ten additional drillholes have been completed to date and sections of massive antimony stibnite and stibnite bearing breccia-filling have been intersected in the drill holes, the company said. The antimony bearing mineralization has been outlined in surface outcroppings over a distance of at least 300 meters to the southeast beyond the original drilling. Stibnite is commonly mined for its antimony content. The recent cancellation of antimony exports by China, combined with a substantial price increase, have driven efforts to locate and extract this critical metal in Canada and the US. Assays are pending and are expected for the next set of drill holes in two to three weeks, the company said. Drill holes BH-25-01 and BH-25-02 did not reach the target before the holes were abandoned. It was determined that the drilling did not reach the target mineralization, it added. Additional drilling and information gathered by prospecting and mapping the newly discovered surface occurrences indicated that these drillholes had ended short of the mineralized zone. “I am very pleased with the assays returned for drillholes BH-25-03 and BH-25-04,” Antimony Resources CEO Jim Atkinson said in a news release. “The shortfall of the first two drillholes was disappointing but we have better identified the location of the mineralization with each successive drill hole and the surface mapping and have retargeted the area of drillholes 1 and 2 with additional drill holes to intersect the Zone. “The results obtained in these first samples have increased our confidence in the validity of the previous drilling results and will assist in establishing the drill hole density we will need for a Resource,” Atkinson said. By market close in Toronto, Antimony Resources’ stock had been traded 1,640,408 times, closing the day down 21%. Average daily trading volume is 173,350. The company has a C$6 million ($4.4m) market capitalization. -
Analyst Says Cycle Is Not Finished Amid 2 Years Of Bitcoin Sideways Movement
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin (BTC) is now 195 days into its latest sideways movement, which is part of a broader two-year stretch marked by sluggish price action and short-lived rallies. According to a crypto analyst, just 36 days of meaningful gains have defined this cycle, while the rest have been a relentless grind. Still, despite the clear market fatigue and repeated new lows, the analyst insists that the cycle isn’t over yet. Bitcoin Cycle Sees Only 36 Days Of Real Gains The current Bitcoin market cycle is being closely examined, as a new analysis by expert analyst Crypto Con delves deep into the cryptocurrency’s past movements, revealing two full years of sideways price action with only brief periods of upward momentum. The analyst’s chart, titled “Cycle 4 Ranges and Expansions,” highlights a pattern of prolonged range-bound activity interrupted by short bursts of expansion. As of now, Crypto Con notes that Bitcoin has been consolidating for 195 consecutive days since December 18, 2024, without setting a new local high. The chart analysis shows that the total time spent in actual upward expansion in the entire cycle is just 5.76 months. Even more interesting is the fact that when isolating the days in which Bitcoin recorded new local highs, the number shrinks to just 36 days. According to the market expert, these expansion bursts are responsible for all of Bitcoin’s significant price increases during its current cycle. Every expansion phase has also occurred within extremely narrow windows—typically just two to five days long. The rest of the cycle after this has been characterized by a consistent sluggish grind and long stretches of price consolidation, where momentum fades and the market struggles to advance. Flattened Price Action Hides Cycles’ Underlying Strength A closer look at the bottom section of Crypto Con’s chart, which removes the expansion bursts, shows how Bitcoin’s price has essentially remained flat or trended lower throughout the cycle. Major sideways phases in 2023 and 2024 lasted 192 days and 238 days, respectively, offering minimum sustained upside. The current 2025 range has now extended close to 200 days, continuing the trend of market inactivity. Despite the drawn-out stagnation, Crypto Con maintains that this cycle is not over yet. He implies that Bitcoin’s prolonged accumulation and consolidation could be building pressure for a significant breakout. The chart also shows Bitcoin’s next potential upside target between $165,000 and $180,000. Currently the leading cryptocurrency is trading at $106,990, meaning a jump anywhere between these targets would represent price increase of over 54%. If previous patterns hold, BTC’s next major move may arrive swiftly, as past expansions have delivered their impact in just a few trading sessions. Until that moment arrives, Bitcoin remains locked in what is shaping up to be the slowest and possibly the most patient-testing cycle to date. -
Bitcoin Consolidates Below Resistance — Can It Seal A Weekly Close Over $107,720?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin is at a pivotal point, and the weekly close could define its next move. To confirm bullish continuation and strengthen market confidence, BTC needs to secure a solid weekly close above $107,720. Bitcoin Weekly Candle Could Set The Stage For A Run Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break moment, but if BTC can secure a strong weekly close above $107,720, it could trigger a move toward the $130,000 to $135,000 range in Q3. This key level is acting as a resistance zone, and breaking it could unlock a new wave of bullish momentum. SatheMeme_Expert revealed on X that a similar setup had appeared in Q4 2024, when BTC posted its biggest weekly close of the year. The result was an unstoppable rally that shattered resistance and fueled one of the strongest bullish legs of the cycle. The weekly chart shows Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined historical parallel channel. As mentioned by Pinnacle_Crypto, this channel has previously marked a breakout point in October 2023 and October 2024, which fueled upward moves. If this pattern continues, BTC could be on track to reach the $150,916 target in October 2025. The channel provides a roadmap, with key breakouts that signal the start of rallies. Alongside, price dips will serve as accumulation zones. Crypto analyst Gemxbt also highlighted that Bitcoin’s 1-hour chart is currently in a downward trend, but the price is attempting to bounce off a support zone near $106.500. So far, this area is holding firm, providing a foundation for buyers to step in, and technical indicators support this potential shift. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is recovering from oversold levels, hinting that selling momentum is waning, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is nearing a bullish crossover, which could signal the start of upward momentum. However, for a meaningful reversal to hold, BTC must overcome the critical resistance near $108,500. A breakout above with sustained volume will be crucial to confirm the trend and bullish momentum. Consolidation Phase Matures — Breakout May Be Imminent BTC is consolidating inside a descending channel formation on the daily chart, a pattern that typically reflects a phase with a broader trend. Dynamite Trader emphasized that BTC is currently trading above the 50-day moving average (MA 50), a technical level that is now solid for the bulls. A breakout above the descending channel would mark a shift in sentiment and momentum, potentially triggering a bullish continuation toward the $120,000 region, the next psychosocial target on the macro chart. According to MiraCrypto, Bitcoin has shown a strong breakout from the descending channel on the 1-day chart, signaling a shift in momentum. BTC is now consolidating above the resistance, which has turned into support. This consolidation above the breakout levels is a bullish continuation signal seen before the next leg higher. MiraCrypto noted that as long as BTC holds this zone, the path remains open for a move toward $135,000. -
Faraday Copper jumps on BLM exploration plan approval
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Drilling at Copper Creek, Arizona. Credit: Faraday Copper Faraday Copper (TSX: FDY) got the go-ahead from the Bureau of Land Management for the next phase of exploration at its Copper Creek project in Arizona. That pushed the stock to a 12-month high. The approval unlocks 67 drill pads for testing open-pit and oxide targets, the company said in a press release. This comes from a ‘finding of no significant impact’ on the record of decision dated June 30. The Copper Creek approval was expedited under the current administration, Canaccord Genuity analyst Dalton Baretto said in a note. “[It’s] reflective of momentum building in the US to secure domestic critical metal supplies,” a dynamic that “bodes well for future permitting efforts at Copper Creek as well,” Baretto said. Faraday plans to design its next drill phase around these newly approved pads and target both sulphide and oxide mineralization in a program now free of permitting hold-ups, the company said. Other critical-metal projects have won similar fast-track reviews under the Trump administration. On Jan. 15, 2021, five days before President Biden took office, the BLM issued a record of decision for Lithium Americas’ (TSX: LAC; NYSE: LAC) Thacker Pass lithium mine in Nevada. This followed Executive Order 13817, which directed agencies in December 2017 to streamline permitting for critical minerals. Earlier this year, Trump used emergency powers to increase domestic lithium and nickel processing. He also ordered agencies to find US mines and lands for fast-tracked approval. Last month, the US Forest Service posted a final environmental impact statement and draft record of decision for the in-state Resolution Copper mine, a joint venture between Rio Tinto (ASX, LON, NYSE: RIO) and BHP (NYSE, LSE, ASX: BHP). The move, dated June 16, advances the 2015 land-exchange mandate. Drilling flexibility The Copper Creek approval includes 48 pads in the American Eagle area and 19 in other locations. This gives management flexibility in planning future exploration programs, the company said. Faraday aims to define near-surface resources and explore potential oxide zones. “This approval enables the drilling of numerous untested breccias within the American Eagle area, where recent drilling intersected many mineralized breccias and highlighted the potential for a large, near-surface resource to be defined,” Faraday president and CEO Paul Harbidge said. Faraday expects to release an updated resource estimate and preliminary economic assessment by September. It will incorporate about 40,000 metres of drilling completed during earlier exploration phases. Shares of Faraday jumped about 10% in Toronto Wednesday to a fresh 12-month high of C$1.00, taking their climb since January to more than 32%. The company has a market capitalization of C$203.5 million. Big resource Copper Creek holds a measured and indicated resource of 421.9 million tonnes grading 0.45% copper, 0.008% molybdenum and 1.1 grams silver per tonne for 4.2 billion lb. copper, 74.6 million lb. molybdenum and 15.5 million oz. silver. On a copper‐equivalent basis, the grade is 0.48% representing 4.5 billion lb. of combined metals. Faraday holds 100% interest and controls a 78 sq. km land package that includes patented claims, unpatented claims, state prospecting permits and a 105.2 sq. km ranch with surface rights. The project lies within Arizona copper country and links to road, rail and power infrastructure, including a 40 km rail link to Asarco’s Hayden Smelter. Asarco is a subsidiary of Grupo México. Discovery upside Copper Creek also holds discovery potential. Faraday discovered the Area 51 breccia in January last year and the Banjo breccia at American Eagle in August. Exploration upside includes over 320 breccias at surface, of which fewer than 15% have been drilled. Only 17 are defined in the current resource model. -
Market Wrap for the North American Session - July 2
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Log in to today’s North American session Recap for July 2, 2025 Today's session wasn't as quiet as yesterday – Between a major Miss in ADP which initially sent markets lower (-33K vs 95K expected) and another turmoil in UK Politics sending GBPUSD down close to 1%, markets got some action. The Dow was leading in the pre-morning session as the private employment report released this morning at 8:15 sent markets lower, however sentiment got lifted from the announcements of more US Trade deals – Since, the Nasdaq took back the lead on the session and left the US 30 lagging behind. By the way, the S&P just hit new All-time highs towards the end of the session. The Russell 2000 is the leader of the day, up 1.40% on the session. Commodities and Cryptocurrencies also appreciated quite well from the most recent trade deal headlines with all energy commodities up above 1%, with WTI up close to 3%. Metals also rallied quite strongly with Platinum and Palladium continuing their uptrends along with Cryptocurrencies doing some heavy lifting – Bitcoin just breached the $110,000 mark again for the first time since June 11. Read More: July Non-Farm Payrolls preview Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © {CURRENT_YEAR} OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.