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SUI Ready For $7 Price Target As Market Pressure Builds — Analyst
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Amid a new wave of economic tensions between the US and China, Sui (SUI), alongside other cryptocurrencies, has experienced a heavy price decline in the past few hours as investors move their capital into more stable assets. Despite this mayhem, prominent market analyst Ali Martinez is backing SUI’s bullish potential, projecting the altcoin to establish a new all-time high before 2025 ends. SUI’s Path To $7 In an X post on October 11, Ali Martinez shares an in-depth market analysis indicating that SUI may be on the verge of a major breakout. Notably, the daily SUI/USDT chart reveals a tightening price pattern, suggesting an impending significant price upswing provided the cryptocurrency can achieve a breakout from its current consolidation range. Based on Martinez’s analysis, SUI is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern that has been developing since early 2025. This structure is typically characterized by converging trendlines, representing lower highs and higher lows, which reflect a period of declining volatility preceding a decisive price move. According to the chart above, a confirmed breakout above the $3.59 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level) would trigger a sharp bullish wave. The projected path, based on Fibonacci extension targets, places potential resistance points around $4.25 (0.786 Fibonacci extension), $5.28 (1.0 Fibonacci extension), and ultimately $6.97 (1.272 Fibonacci extension) – $7.00. Therefore, this move could represent a 100% market gain on current SUI prices. However, investors should also note that a failed breakout or rejection near the upper boundary could lead to renewed weakness. A dip below the $3.18 (0.5 Fibonacci) level would invalidate the bullish setup and expose SUI to potential declines toward $2.82 or even $2.44. SUI Market Overview At the time of writing, SUI trades at $2.67, reflecting a steep 24.74% decline over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, daily trading volume has surged by 295%, signaling heightened market activity as traders react to the sharp selloff. On the broader time frame, SUI has lost 27.85% over the past week, extending its bearish momentum. The downturn in SUI mirrors the broader crypto market, which has reacted sharply to recent geopolitical developments. Markets tumbled after US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, a move framed as retaliation against China’s reported intentions to introduce sweeping export controls on a wide range of products. In the aftermath of the announcement, the global cryptocurrency market has dropped 9.75% in the past 24 hours, with total market cap now hovering around $3.75 trillion. -
Bitcoin Price Drops Toward $117,000: What Lies Ahead? Three Possible Scenarios
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The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable decline of 6% from its all-time highs, leading to significant liquidation events that approached $200 million on Friday, while sparking renewed speculation about the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. Analysts from The Bull Theory attribute the current slump to geopolitical developments, specifically President Donald Trump’s announcement of substantial tariffs and export controls on Chinese goods, particularly affecting key industrial and strategic materials. How Tariff Risks Are Impacting The Bitcoin Price The implications of these tariffs, according to the analysts, are multifaceted, introducing risks that could disrupt supply chains, accelerate inflation, and slow global trade. Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin’s sell-off at this time. First, there is a notable risk rotation occurring, with investors seeking refuge in safer assets such as cash and gold. Second, the looming tariff risks could lead to rising inflation, potentially delaying anticipated rate cuts. Third, the unwinding of short leverage positions is impacting alternative cryptocurrencies and leveraged Bitcoin holdings, exacerbating the downward trend. Lastly, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies has created an “uncertainty premium,” prompting markets to demand a discount until a clearer picture emerges. Drawing parallels to past market behavior, the analysts recall that threats of tariffs in 2025 precipitated a significant crash in the Bitcoin price and other cryptocurrencies. These recent moves appear to serve as liquidity probes, testing the market’s resilience and flushing out weaker hands before a potential recovery phase. Analysts Predict Positive Outlook For BTC Looking ahead, The Bull Theory suggests market participants should be vigilant about BTC’s nearest key support zone, particularly around the $116,000 mark, where buyers have historically returned. Additionally, they assert that the reaction of policymakers will be crucial; if the Federal Reserve (Fed) signals a willingness to ease monetary policy, a sharp rebound could follow. Conversely, if Trump’s rhetoric regarding tariffs diminishes or becomes more defined, it is expected that confidence in the market may be restored. In the short term, analysts anticipate continued downside volatility with potential retests of support levels. However, the medium-term outlook suggests that savvy investors may begin accumulating Bitcoin as the prevailing narrative weakens. Long-term, with anticipated rate cuts and the historically strong performance of markets in the fourth quarter, the prospects for the Bitcoin price appear promising. As liquidity returns and market momentum builds, the path forward for Bitcoin often trends upward. BTC At $130,000 By Month-End? Market expert Timothy Peterson has also weighed in, noting that half of Bitcoin’s gains for October may have already been realized, according to artificial intelligence (AI) simulations. The analysis presented earlier this week a 50% chance that the Bitcoin price will finish the month above $140,000, and a 43% probability it would end below $136,000. However, following the recent Bitcoin price drop, the updated AI forecast suggests an expected month-end value of around $130,000, representing an 11% increase from the current price of approximately $117,300. Despite this, there is now an 18% chance that ‘Uptober’ could conclude negatively, adding another layer of uncertainty to the market’s outlook. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com -
Crypto analyst Levi Rietveld has claimed that a $400 trillion XRP revolution is underway, driven by Ripple’s expanding efforts in Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization. With major partnerships reportedly forming between Ripple and some of the largest players in the financial sector, XRP’s role in bringing traditional assets onto the blockchain is gaining significant attention across the industry. XRP To Lead The $400 Trillion Tokenization Wave According to Rietveld, XRP is not just another digital asset but a cornerstone of a financial revolution worth more than $400 trillion. In a recent post on X social media, the analyst explained that XRP is breaking into a market defined by RWA tokenization—an emerging industry that could reshape how global value is exchanged, sold, and verified. Rietveld emphasized that some of the world’s most influential institutions are now aligning with Ripple to pursue this tokenization vision. He mentioned that BlackRock, VanEck, and Securitize have reportedly joined forces with Ripple to develop frameworks for RWA tokenization, which redefine asset management and exchange. Unlike Bitcoin, which lacks the Layer 2 flexibility and throughput needed for RWA settlements, Rietveld explains that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) boasts the scalability and speed required for global financial operations. He mentioned that XRPL can execute 40,000 transactions per second—a level of performance that makes it ideal for handling the vast volume of tokenized asset transactions expected to dominate the future of finance. XRPL’s architecture also enables instant settlements and interoperability, qualities that are essential for financial entities managing trillions in global assets. If the tokenization trend continues at its current trajectory, Rietveld suggests that the market could eventually reach a $400 trillion valuation. Additionally, XRP could play a pivotal role in bridging the gap between traditional markets and blockchain infrastructure. Moreover, the cryptocurrency‘s utility could evolve beyond a payment asset into a core component of global financial infrastructure. SWIFT’s ISO 20022 Shift To Fuel Another XRP Revolution Another key development that could shape XRP’s future comes from the global payments network, SWIFT. According to the team behind BeLaunch, a premier decentralized launchpad, SWIFT will retire its legacy MT messaging system and fully adopt ISO 20022 on November 22, 2025. This change is set to enhance how banks and financial institutions communicate, enabling better data exchange, stronger security, and faster automation across global transactions. The XRP Ledger is already compliant with ISO 20022, giving it a potential advantage in future banking integrations. This compatibility means XRP can easily fit into systems aligned with the new global messaging framework. However, as BeLaunch noted, readiness does not equal adoption. XRP must still navigate challenges related to regulation, liquidity, and competition from stablecoins and private blockchain networks. Even so, the ISO 20022 transition represents an important step toward global financial interoperability—the very principle on which Ripple has built its ecosystem.
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Solana (SOL) Price Risks Drop Below $200 After Losing Key Support, Analyst Warns
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Amid the recent market volatility, Solana (SOL) has lost a crucial area for the first time in over a week, leading some analysts to forecast a potential drop toward the $200 support and below in the coming days. Solana Pullback Eyes $200 Retest Solana fell from the $225 area and recorded a 6.6% intraday retrace below the $210 level for the first time in two weeks. Notably, the cryptocurrency has been trading within the $210-$245 levels over the past month, briefly losing this range during the late September pullback. As “Uptober” arrived and the overall crypto market recovered, the altcoin bounced from the recent lows, reclaiming the mid-zone of its local price range. Over the past week, SOL traded within the $220-$235 area, retesting both the upper and lower boundaries of this zone throughout this week’s volatile market performance. Multiple market watchers warned that losing $215-$220 area could determine whether SOL’s short-term rally was at risk. On Friday morning, the altcoin lost this crucial zone, hitting a one-week low of $207. Analyst Crypto Batman forecasted that Solana would likely head lower before bouncing, highlighting two key support areas. He suggested that the altcoin’ could retrace deeper into its Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), between $210-$220, which previously served as a key resistance level. However, if the price continues to fall, he pointed out that a retest of SOL’s two-month ascending trendline, currently around the $200 mark, would be possible. This trendline was tested as support in late September, when the altcoin fell to the $190 level. Similarly, Crypto analyst Man of Bitcoin had affirmed that holding the $216 level was crucial to preserve a bullish scenario in which the cryptocurrency rallied toward the $270 without major pullbacks. The analyst cautioned that losing this area would invalidate the bullish setup and likely push the price down toward the local range lows, potentially risking a drop to the $200 barrier. SOL’s Make-Or-Break Level Meanwhile, market watcher Follis recently stated that SOL has “one of the cleanest” high timeframe charts in the market. He noted that Solana’s 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicator in the daily chart holds “the key.” Notably, this indicator, currently sitting around the $200 area, has been tested as support and bounced from each time the cryptocurrency has failed to break a major resistance level since August. Based on its recent performance, if the altcoin holding the EMA100 on the daily timeframe could see a rebound and target the range highs. On the contrary, if this level is lost, the cryptocurrency risks falling to the September lows. Despite the short-term correction, some analysts remain optimistic about SOL’s end-of-year rally, suggesting that it will continue its path to new highs after the retrace. “$320 remains the target,” Trader Koala affirmed, “Pullback first though.” As of this writing, Solana is trading at $205, a 12.1% decline in the weekly timeframe. -
Newsquawk Week Ahead Highlights: 13-17th October 2025
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Week Ahead:Highlights include Potential US CPI and Retail Sales data, start of earnings season, China inflation and trade, UK GDP earnings season, China inflation and trade, UK GDP UK GDP MON: US Columbus Day, Canadian Thanksgiving, Japanese Holiday (Sports Day), OPEC MOMR, Chinese Trade Balance (Oct) TUE: RBA Minutes (Sep), IEA OMR, UK Unemployment/Wages (Aug), German ZEW (Oct), US NFIB (Sep) WED: Chinese CPI/PPI (Sep), EZ Industrial Production (Aug), US CPI (Sep), NY Fed Manufacturing (Oct) THU: Australian Employment (Sep), UK GDP (Aug), EZ Trade Balance (Aug), US Weekly Claims, Philly Fed (Oct), PPI (Sep), Retail Sales (Sep) FRI: EZ HICP Final (Sep), US Building Permits/Housing Starts (Sep), Industrial Production (Sep) UK GDP on Thursday US EARNINGS SEASON: The Q3 reporting will pick up from next week; 68% of companies covering 72% of market capitalization expected to report by month-end. Goldman Sachs notes that the consensus expects S&P 500 earnings growth to slow to 6% Y/Y (vs 11% in Q2), though stronger sales and contributions from the Mag 7 could drive higher-than-expected results. GS says EPS growth is likely to moderate due to reduced FX benefits, higher tariffs, and one-time Q2 charges. But GS thinks sales growth will exceed the consensus projection of 4%. The bank points out that tariffs, up 33% from Q2 to USD 93bln, were a larger headwind, limiting potential margin expansion. The Magnificent 7 are projected to see EPS growth of 14%, half the pace of earlier quarters. AI- related capex remains a focal point, with hyperscaler capex expected to grow 75% Y/Y in Q3, although estimates anticipate slower growth in subsequent quarters. GS adds that, historically, AI capex has consistently exceeded expectations, highlighting the sectorʼs ongoing investment momentum. Meanwhile, major banks will report next week (JPM, WFC, C, GS all on October 14th); Barclays says that its recent conference, which was attended by 21 of 22 large-cap banks, suggested a generally constructive tone, pointing to solid Q3 results and outlook. Barclays says Barclays says net interest income, net interest margins (reflecting ~50% beta on the latest Fed cut), and fee income (supported by capital markets) appear in line or above expectations. Asset quality remains stable aside from a few one-offs, and share repurchases are expected to continue, with trends likely extending into Q4 and 2026. Outside of the US, TSMC (TSM) and Samsung (SSNLF) are set to report earnings next week, drawing attention amid the global AI boom; following heavy investment from US tech firms like NVIDIA (NVDA) and OpenAI, their results mayprovide insight into the potential for an AI-driven market bubble. CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON)CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON) : There are currently no expectations for Septemberʼs Chinese Trade Balance. ING forecasts exports to rebound 7.6% Y/Y, supported by resilient external demand, while imports are seen rising a modest 2.3% Y/Y, yielding a trade surplus of roughly USD 99.7bln. ING notes that while Golden Week travel figures were solid, weaker box office and retail spending point to continued softness in household demand, suggesting scope for further targeted policy support. RBA MINUTES: The RBA will release the minutes from its September 30th meeting next week, where it kept the Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected, with the decision made unanimously. While the statement noted that though inflation has fallen substantially from its 2022 peak, the decline in underlying inflation has slowed, and recent data suggest Q3 CPI may be higher than anticipated at the time of the August Statement on Monetary Policy. The Bank reiterated its focus on quarterly trimmed mean inflation as the primary guide, although Governor Bullock acknowledged that monthly CPI still provides some information. Furthermore, the Board judged that risks are now “broadly balanced,” noting both upside risks from stronger domestic demand and downside risks if households become more cautious in response to external developments. The statement underlined that the Bank remains “alert to the heightened level of uncertainty” and will continue to update its assessment as data evolves. ING suggested that the RBAʼs tone had turned less dovish, with the August CPI upside surprise diminishing the probability of a near term cut. The desk also argued that the Bank will require clearer evidence of inflation sustainably tracking toward the 2.5% midpoint before considering further easing, with the October 29th Q3 CPI release flagged as pivotal. Furthermore, ING saw the likelihood of a November cut as having “diminished meaningfully,” though it still expects that policy need not remain restrictive for an extended period. UK JOBS/WAGES (TUE): Augustʼs unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7%, average earnings are also seen at 4.7% once again, while the ex-bonus figure is forecast to moderate slightly to 4.7% from 4.8%. The last release came in broadly as expected, and while it showed a labour market that continues to weaken, the magnitude of the move did not at the time change the narrative for the BoE, particularly with wages still elevated. Within the most recent BoE statement, the MPC highlighted that there is less of an immediate risk that the labour market would loosen very rapidly. Overall, if the consensus proves correct, then the release is unlikely to have near-term implications for the BoE. The scenario of an acceleration in the ongoing labour market weakening is also unlikely to have much bearing on the November meeting, with a hold all but certain; however, it may factor in favour of the slim implied chance of a December cut, though on that we await the Autumn Budget and details on inflation. CHINESE INFLATION (WED): CPI Y/Y for September is forecast at -0.1% (prev. -0.4%), M/M expected at +0.2% (prev. 0.0%), and PPI Y/Y expected at -2.3% (prev. -2.9%). Using the RatingDog PMIs (formerly Caixin) as a proxy for the upcoming release, it suggested “cost pressures intensified for manufacturers in September, but firms opted to cut their selling prices amid intense competition”, whilst for services “input prices continued to rise moderately.” In terms of last monthʼs release, CPI fell more than expected while deflation in wholesale prices persisted, as Beijing faces mounting calls to ramp up measures to bolster domestic demand and weakening exports growth. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days US CPI (WED; LIKELY DELAYED): The BLS has recalled staff to finalise the September Consumer Price Index report, essential for calculating next yearʼs Social Security payments, Bloomberg reported. The White House Office of Management and Budget directed the move, aiming for publication by the end of October, vs the original release date of October 15th. The consensus looks for headline CPI to rise +0.3% M/M (prev. 0.4%), while the core rate is expected to rise by +0.3% M/M (prev. 0.3%). Citigroup is in line with the consensus and sees US core CPI rising 0.28% M/M in September (vs 0.35% M/M in August), as softer housing inflation offsets tariff-driven price pressures; the bank said weaker labour and housing markets are seen as reducing inflation risks, supporting expectations of further Fed easing. The FOMC meeting minutes released this week revealed that officials are split over monetary policy due to differing views on inflation and the labour market; most see employment weakening, justifying further rate cuts, but some have noted inflation risks. Still, officials generally see the inflation impact diminishing and expect a return to the 2% target. Analysts have said that the split reflects contrasting assessments on whether current policy is already accommodative or whether additional easing is needed to support jobs. External factors, such as tariffs and the government shutdown limiting economic data, add uncertainty, contributing to a cautious but generally easing stance. Money markets are currently pricing 44bpsof easing by the end of this year, signalling one fully discounted 25bps reduction, with a high chance of another (in line with the Fed’s updated projections). AUSTRALIAN EMPLOYMENT (THU): There are currently no median forecasts for the release. Westpac expects employment to rise by 15k in September (prev. –5.4k), which would keep the employment-to-population ratio broadly steady near 64%. The prior monthʼs decline brought annual jobs growth down to 1.8% Y/Y from 2.5% in February, reflecting a softening trend amid an industry rebalancing — with the “care economy” contribution halving while the market sector shows tentative improvement. The unemployment rate is forecast to edge up to 4.3% (prev. 4.2%), with participation seen holding at 66.8%. Westpac notes that easing cost-of-living pressures and cooling labour demand are contributing to a modest cyclical easing in participation, though longer-term structural factors are expected to keep participation elevated. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days UK GDP (THU): The July series was as expected for the headline M/M and 3M/3/M figures, though the Y/Y was slightly softer than consensus and remained at the prior level. Internals of the data showed particular pressure stemming from production, while services and construction saw growth; production was primarily hit by a decline in manufacturing output. For August, consensus looks for an uptick to 0.2% M/M from 0.0%. However, Pantheon Macroeconomics looks for another 0.0% M/M print with industrial production set to weigh once again. Pantheon attributes this to a sharp fall in North Sea oil flows. A narrative that offsets the upward skew presented by the monthʼs PMIs where services came in stronger than expected for August, lifting the composite measure and offsetting the larger contraction seen in manufacturing. Within that release, S&P wrote that “economic growth has continued to accelerate over the summer…”. However, Septemberʼs PMIs saw further manufacturing pressure and a pullback in both services and the composite components, with the outlook deteriorating ahead of the budget and deteriorating foreign trade. Overall, the August release should not have much bearing on the BoEʼs near-term trajectory, with just 5bps of easing implied by end-2025. However, if the hard data does deteriorate as the PMIs suggest it might into September and beyond, then, depending to a degree on the Autumn Budget, the odds of a cut at the December meeting could climb. UK GDP US RETAIL SALES (THU; LIKELY DELAYED): The data’s release is likely to be delayed. Still, the consensus looks for headline retail sales to rise +0.4% M/M in September (prev. +0.6%). Core retail sales are seen rising +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.7%). According to Bank of America’s monthly consumer checkpoint report, total credit and debit card spending per household +2.0% Y/Y in September (prev. +1.7% Y/Y); seasonally adjusted spending growth per household +0.2% M/M (prev. 0.4% M/M), the fourth straight monthly gain. Analysts are also beginning to look at projections for the holiday spending season; online sales are expected to grow more slowly in 2025 due to economic uncertainty, according to Adobe Analytics. Online sales (between November and December) are projected to rise 5.3% Y/Y to USD 253.4bln (vs 8.7% last year). Cyber Monday is forecast as the biggest day, with USD 14.2bln in sales. Mobile shopping is expected to account for 56.1% of online spending, and BNPL purchases are set to increase by USD 2bln. Elsewhere, Salesforce forecasts slower growth for US online holiday sales in 2025, as consumers tighten budgets amid rising living costs. It sees spending in November-December rising 2.1% Y/Y to USD 288bln (vs its data, which showed 4% last year); it added that AI-driven recommendations and agent-assisted shopping could drive USD 51bln, or 18% of total sales. Copyright © 2025 Newsquawk Voice Limited. All rights reserved. Registered Office One Love Lane, London, EC2V 7JN, United Kingdom · Registered Number 12020774 · Registered in England and Wales. newsquawk.com · +44 20 3582 2778 · info@newsquawk.com UK GDP What Does Data Dependent Central Bank Policy Mean for Trading? The post Newsquawk Week Ahead Highlights: 13-17th October 2025 appeared first on Forex Trading Forum. -
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Show Major Divergence In Inflows — What’s Happening?
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The spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) have been in solid form over the past two weeks, laying a foundation for the strong price action experienced by the premier cryptocurrency recently. According to market data, the crypto-linked investment products opened the week with a daily inflow record of over $1.21 billion. As of this writing, with data from Friday’s trading session yet to be included, the US-based Bitcoin ETFs are currently on a nine-day streak of positive inflows. However, a focused look into the inflows trend shows that this data point doesn’t fully tell the story. Do Bitcoin ETFs’ Performance Depend On BlackRock’s IBIT? In a recent post on the X platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain stated that the latest data shows a major divergence in the US-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund market. According to the on-chain pundit, the capital flow has been mostly positive because of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). Breaking down the trend with the Bitcoin ETFs, CryptoOnchain labeled BlackRock’s IBIT as the “market’s shock absorber,” mopping up the heavy sell-side liquidity. The largest Bitcoin exchange-traded fund by net assets has not posted an outflow day in October, with a $4.21 billion inflow so far. On the other hand, the second-largest BTC ETF Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) has had a mixed performance in recent days, signaling a trend of portfolio rebalancing amongst their investors. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s GBTC has struggled with muted capital performances, interspersed with some daily net outflows. CryptoOnchain also highlighted the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO), which witnessed a major one-day outflow, which precipitated significant market pressure. However, the net positive activity of BlackRock’s IBIT kept the BTC price afloat at the time. CryptoOnchain noted that any slowdown in capital inflows for the iShares Bitcoin Trust could significantly weaken the bullish momentum of the BTC price. However, it is worth mentioning that the Bitcoin price is currently under intense downward pressure due to the looming trade war between the United States and China. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at around $112,143, reflecting an over 7% downturn in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin Institutional Demand Remains Steady: Glassnode Before the market downturn triggered by US President Donald Trump’s tariff rumors and eventual announcement, the Bitcoin price had managed to stay above $120,000. In an earlier October 10 post on X, Glassnode shared that the Bitcoin ETFs might have helped keep the premier cryptocurrency afloat. According to the on-chain firm, the exchange-traded funds have continued to record capital inflows despite BTC’s mild pullback from its all-time high. “This suggests structural buying is still underpinning the market, helping to absorb volatility and stabilize price action,” Glassnode concluded. -
The combination of the policy mix advocated by the woman who is most likely to become the next prime minister of Japan and a series of disappointing German economic data amid a political crisis in France helped lift US dollar. Many trend followers and short-term market participants were caught the wrong way, and the short squeeze accelerated the dollar's advance. Significant technical damage had been inflicted on the euro, sterling, the yen, and Canadian dollar...until Friday. Since returning from its extended national holiday on Thursday, China announced three measures that escalated the tensions between Beijing and Washington. It tightened its export controls of rare earths and processing technology (effective December 1), imposed export restrictions on the export EV batteries and associated technology (effective November 8), and will being levying s special fee on American ships docking at its ports (effective October 14). To be clear, Washington thought it had established dominance of the semiconductor supply chain and had weaponized it for several years against China. Beijing, in effect, leap-frogged over the US and signaled that its control over rare earths gave it escalation dominance in semiconductors, and therefore AI, which require rare earths, An irate President Trump threatened "massive tariffs" (100%) on China and threatened to pull out of the APEC meeting later this month, where he and President Xi were going to talk. The fact that they were to meet at APEC instead of a holding a bilateral summit was already a sign of trouble. The US response triggered sharp equity losses, which will likely be felt in Asia on Monday. Europe's Stoxx 600 dropped 1.25% before the weekend. The dollar saw its weekly gains pared but it still settled higher against all the G10 currencies. Meanwhile, the US federal government remains closed. How and when it re-opens remains elusive. Politics, in Japan, Europe, and between the Washington and Beijing may eclipse usual drivers of the foreign exchange market, especially given the mostly light economic calendar in the week ahead. US Drivers: The rolling 30-day correlation between changes in the Dollar Index and changes in the US two- and 10-year yields is around 0.50, the upper end of this year's range. The two-year yield recorded five-month lows in September near 3.46% and is now hovering near 3.60%. The 10-year yield recorded its five-month low on September 17, when the Fed delivered its first rate cut of the year, near 3.99%. It has not settled below 4% since early April but has not been above 4.20% since early September. With the Fed funds futures market nearly fully pricing in a cut later this month and a little more than an 80% chance of another cut in December, the pendulum of expectations is unlikely to swing much further without more data. Data: With the federal government still shut, data will be limited to data from the Federal Reserve System. This includes the NY and Philadelphia Fed's monthly survey and the Fed's Beige Book prepared for the meeting later this month. Federal Reserve Chair Powell has often referred to the Beige Book. Prices: The Dollar Index reached 99.55 last week, its best level since August 1. We had frame it initially as a correction to the decline from the August 1 high through the marginal new multi-year low recorded when the Fed cut on September 17. However, the combination of the policy mix advocated by the woman who is likely to be Japan's next prime minister and a continued string of disappointing German economic data, amid continued concerns about developments in France, turned it into something larger. However, the escalation of the US-Chinese tensions rippled through the capital markets ahead of the weekend as President Trump threatened "massive" tariffs" on China and dampened expectations for a meeting with Xi later this month. The DXY was sold on the news and tested 98.85. Support is in the 98.25-50 area. Losses through there could see 97.50. EMU Drivers: Over the past 30 and 60 sessions, the changes in the euro are more correlated with changes in the US two-year yield than with changes in the spread against Germany. The 30-day and 60-day rolling correlations with the changes in the US two-year yield is near -0.50 and -0.62, respectively. The correlation with the changes in the differential is 0.45 and 0.55 for the 30-day and 60-day periods, respectively. Meanwhile, the speculative (non-commercial) in the futures market has one of the largest net long euro positions since last August, which itself was the most in three years. Data: The eurozone reports the aggregate industrial production and trade data for August. The four largest members reported a contraction in August industrial output. Outside of the preliminary aggregate CPI report, the aggregate data seems to rarely move the euro. The German ZEW survey (October) will likely show that the assessment of current conditions remains in the trough, while expectations remain near recent highs. The divergence is among the greatest since pandemic. In any event, the signal that market has understood from ECB officials is that the bar to another cut is remarkably high. The swaps market acknowledges this and has no more than a 1-in-3 chance of another cut discounted. Prices: The euro slid almost 1.1% last week, its largest weekly loss in two months. The losses were steeper, but the euro recovered from around $1.1555 and reached $1.1630 after President Trump threatened "massive tariffs" on China. The close above $1.16 helps stabilize the technical tone but a move above $1.1650-60 is needed to boost the chances a low is in place. PRC Drivers: While Beijing succeeds in keeping the yuan broadly stable against the US dollar, the rolling 60-day correlation between changes in the Dollar Index and the changes in the greenback against the offshore yuan has been above 0.60 since early August. Previously, from mid-May through late July the correlation was between 0.20 and 0.30. In a firm US dollar environment, the yuan tends to perform better. This was the case in July, the only month so far this year that the dollar rose, and last week, the offshore yuan was the strongest currency in the Asia Pacific region. Data: China will likely report its September lending data, direct investment (and recall that retained earnings are regarded as direct investment), and the politically sensitive trade figures. There has been much in the traditional and social media about China's trade surplus, and 40 years ago, it was Japan's surplus that spurred protectionism in the US and Europe. This helped topple GATT and reform it and the conflict-resolution mechanism in the creation of the World Trade Organization (for which US presidents of both parties have blocked the appointment of appellate judges and thereby helping weaken the institution). China reports September CPI and PPI figures in the middle of the week. The deflation is expected to moderate slightly. Producer prices may have fallen 2.3% year-over-year after a 2.9% decline was reported in August. If so, it would be the mildest deflation since February. CPI was positive in 2024 with the exception of January. This year, it has been in deflation territory in five of the first eight months. If anything, consumption has improved this year, but many observers frame the falling CPI in terms of weak consumption. Instead, we see food prices having greater impact than often acknowledged. In any event, the median forecast in Bloomberg's survey sees consumer price deflation narrowing to -0.2% from -0.4% in August. Prices: The dollar traded at its best level against the offshore yuan (~CNH7.1535) since late August in the middle of last week. When mainland markets re-opened last Thursday, the dollar retreated to around CNH7.1240. However, President's Trump's threat before the weekend saw the yuan weaken even as the dollar pulled back more broadly. The greenback surged to new session highs near CNH7.1485 before stabilizing. Japan Drivers: The policy mix that the new LDP president and soon-to-be prime minister advocates loose monetary and fiscal policy has eclipsed the impact of the change in US yields on the exchange rate. The Minister of Finance took the first step on the intervention escalation ladder with words of caution about excessive and one-way moves. It may have helped stabilize the yen ahead of the weekend after the yen fell apparently have not commented about the exchange rate developments that fueled a nearly 4% decline in the yen last week, the biggest weekly loss since early October 2024. The dollar has risen against the yen in six of the past seven weeks. Data: Japan's preliminary estimate was that industrial output fell 1.2% in August after falling the same percent in July. It will update its estimate on October 16. It underscores one of the two main reasons that explain the cautiousness of the BOJ under Governor Ueda to normalize monetary policy, even as it reduces its balance sheet (which now also includes the slow sales of equity ETFs). The economy is fragile. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is that the economy stagnated in Q3. The BOJ also may be hesitant to raise rates because inflation may be overstated by the role of food. In August food prices were 7.2% higher year-over-year. If food, not just fresh food, and energy were excluded, CPI would be very stable at 1.6% for the past six months. Prices: The dollar settled near JPY147.50 on October 3 and briefly pushed above JPY153.25 before the weekend. Some profit-taking after Finance Minister Kato's cautionary comments after the greenback reached an eight-month high saw the greenback sold to around JPY152.40. However, President Trump's new tariff threat on China saw the dollar drop to JPY151.50. The JPY150.70 area is the (38.2%) retracement of this month's gains. The (50%) retracement is slightly below JPY150. Last year, MOF’s Kanda suggested a 10-yen rule, which identifies the magnitude of a move in a month that could spur intervention. The dollar traded near JPY145.50 on September 17. The 10-yen rule suggests the market would turn more cautious if JPY155.50 was approached in the week ahead. UK Drivers: Sterling has rarely been more sensitive to the dollar's broad direction than it is now. The rolling 30-day correlation of changes in the sterling and the Dollar Index is near -0.90. The 60-day correlation is around -0.85. The rolling 60-day correlation of changes in the sterling and the US two-year yield is around -0.50, but the correlation with changes in the UK's two-year yield is around -0.30. Data: There are two highlights in the coming week. On Tuesday, the UK reports on the labor market. The labor market has generally been slowing. The ILO-measure of the UK unemployment rate has risen from 4.1% at the start of 2024 to 4.4% at the end of last year and 4.7% in three months through July. Wage growth has slowed, and it has slowed to less than 5% for the first time since mid-2022, but several BOE officials want to see more progress. On Thursday, August's monthly GDP will be reported, with the details. Recall that the economy stagnated in July. On a quarterly basis, the UK economy grew by 0.7% in Q1 and 0.3% in Q2 (the median forecast in Bloomberg's survey for Q3 is 0.2%). The cumulative monthly figures were 0.9% in Q1 and 0.2% in Q2. Prices: Sterling's price action last week inflicted serious technical damage. Sterling was sold through the September lows (~$1.3325-35), which could mark the neckline of a topping pattern. After falling to almost $1.3260 before the weekend it recovered smartly as the greenback was sold broadly following the escalation of US-China trade conflict. Sterling recovered to $1.3370. The close above the September lows help stabilize the technical tone. Overcoming resistance in the $1.3400-25 area would boost the chances a low is in place. Canada Drivers: The Canadian dollar has not been as sensitive to the broad US dollar movement in over a year. The 60-day rolling correlation of changes in the Dollar Index and US dollar-Canadian dollar exchange rate is near 0.75. It has not been below 0.60 since the end of April. The 30-day correlation is around 0.60. The year's low was recorded in early February slightly below 0.20. The exchange rate has become less sensitive to the changes in the US two-year yield. The 30-day correlation has fallen to almost 0.30 from 0.60 at the end of September. The 30-day correlation with the two-year spread is slightly below the year's high near 0.50. Data: Canada reports September housing starts and existing home sales. Neither these nor wholesale sales capture the market's attention. The international securities transactions draw some attention. Foreign investor interest in Canada's bonds and stocks has fallen off this year. Through July, foreign investors have bought about a net of C$4.4 bln of Canadian financial assets. In the first seven months of 2024, they invested nearly C$103 bln. Prices: Canada created 106k full-time jobs last month, the most since June 2023 and to barely was able to halt the Canadian dollar's recent slide that took it to lows not seen since late April. The US dollar rose to almost CAD1.4035 before the Canadian employment data sent it CAD1.3975, unable to fall back below the 200-day moving average. The odds of a rate later this month were pared to about 38% from 57% the previous day and 60% a week ago. A convincing break of the CAD1.4040 area could target the CAD1.4150-65 area. Support may be found in the CAD1.3935-50 area, but a break of CAD1.3900 is needed to suggest a top may be in place. Australia Drivers: The Australian dollar is the most sensitive to the US dollar's broad direction since the middle of last year. The rolling 60-day correlation of the changes in the Australian dollar and the Dollar Index is around -0.80 and the rolling 30-day correlation is about -0.78. The Aussie is also sensitive to changes in the US two-year yield. The inverse correlation over the past 30 days is about a little more than - 0.40 and the 60-day correlation is a little less than -0.50. The correlation with changes in the US-Australia two-year interest rate differential is less robust, near 0.25 and 0.40 for the 30- and 60-day periods, respectively. Data: Thursday Australia reports its September jobs data. Through August, Australia has created a little more than 103k jobs (~276k in comparable 2024 period), of which less than 80k have been full-time positions (216k in the same 2024 period). At 4.2% in August, the unemployment rate is in the middle of this year's range. It was at 4.0% at the end of last year. The futures market sees the November meeting as nearly a coin toss but given the robust growth of private sector credit (7.2% year-over-year in August) and household spending (5% year-over-year in August), we see the odds as somewhat lower. Prices: The Australian dollar was crushed before the weekend as US-Chinese tensions mounted. China is by far Australia's largest trading partner, but it is deeply anchored in the US-led military alliance. Rising tensions between Washington and Beijing aggravates Australia's seemingly untenable position. Its 1% loss before the weekend made the Aussie the worst performer in the G10. It marginally took out the September low near $0.6485. The downside risk may extend toward the late August lows near $0.6415. The 200-day moving average is near $0.6420 and the (38.2%) retracement of this year's rally is slightly above $0.6400. Mexico Drivers: The rolling 30- and 60-day correlation between the changes in the US dollar-Mexican peso exchange rate and the Dollar Index is near 0.75. They have not been higher in most that a decade. The correlation of changes in the exchange rate and the US two-year yield is somewhat less robust at around 0.30 and 0.25 over the past 30- and 60-days, respectively. The exchange rate is more sensitive to the performance of the Mexican stock market than US rates. The 30-day correlation is near 0.50 and the 60-day correlation is around 0.36. Data: Mexico has a light economic calendar in the week ahead. The most important data point is September nominal wages (August 7.3% year-over-year), but the market impact tends to be minor. Prices: The slide in US equities before the weekend amid the escalation of US-Chinese tensions sent the peso to its lowest level since September 11. The dollar recorded the low for the week on Thursday near MXN18.30 but the surge on Friday took it to almost MXN18.59. The (50%) retracement of the dollar in September is slightly above MXN18.53. The next retracement (61.8%) is near MXN18.61. The unexpected weakness in Mexico's August industrial output did it no favor. Rather than increase by 0.4%, which was projected by the median forecast in Bloomberg's survey, August industrial output fell by 0.3%, bringing the year-over-year contraction to 3.6% from 2.7%. Disclaimer
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PepperFest Hits 1 Year Anniversary: How High Will CHZ Price Climb in Q4
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Chiliz turns up the heat: PepperFest’s first birthday brings rewards, contests, and a major community burn as CHZ price trades near weekly lows. Chiliz, the sports blockchain behind CHZ and Socios.com, launched PepperFest on Friday, October 10, marking the first digital anniversary of its community token, PEPPER. The two-week campaign runs through October 24 across the project’s social and community platforms. It features a surprise airdrop for stakers, a “raid-to-earn” event, creator bounties paid in CHZ, and a community-driven burn that could remove up to one trillion PEPPER from circulation. The launch comes as CHZ trades between $0.039 and $0.042, hovering near its weekly lows in a choppy crypto market. According to Coingecko data, CHZ is trading around $0.0393, with a 24-hour range of $0.0391-$0.0421 and trading volume near $88M. (Source: Coingecko) DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 Bitcoin Shaky: Will it Recover? Broader market conditions remain shaky after Bitcoin’s late-week pullback, weighing on altcoins across the board. According to campaign details, PepperFest opened with a 4 trillion-token airdrop for users already staking PEPPER. Over the next two weeks, the event will reward community engagement through “raids” and creator challenges. One hundred creators will each earn 500 CHZ for their content, while engagement on official PepperFest posts, likes, reposts, and comments will fuel a rolling token burn capped at 1 trillion PEPPER through October 24. The idea is simple: reward activity, strengthen community participation, and reduce token supply during the celebration period. Meanwhile, the next Chiliz Chain upgrade, called Snake8, is scheduled for Tuesday, October 14 (11:00 CEST). The update alters the mechanism of selecting the validators, which is a randomized block-producer mechanism with a minimum participation rate. This could help to enhance fairness and competition among legitimate holders of Bitcoin, which could enhance the overall performance of the network. In September, the group stated that Socios Europe Services was allowed in the MiCA framework of the EU. Another regulatory measure that Chiliz launched is a MiCA-compliant CHZ white paper, which is a regulatory step that may reinforce partner and distribution in Europe in Q4. Whether CHZ benefits in the long run will depend on three things: the final burn count by October 24, how many users join the raids and bounties, and whether the Snake8 upgrade on October 14 improves network performance for builders and validators. Broader market trends still matter too; Bitcoin’s swings and global headlines continue to shape risk sentiment across the crypto market. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 CHZ Price Prediction: What Does the Current CHZ Price Range Reveal About Market Sentiment? A recent chart shared by a crypto analyst on X suggests that Chiliz (CHZ) could be nearing a breakout after nearly seven months of tight consolidation. The analyst noted that the sideways movement “will soon end,” hinting at a possible upside move ahead. The daily chart shows CHZ moving within a defined accumulation zone between $0.033 and $0.049 since March 2025. This range has been repeatedly tested by the token and has been made a classic horizontal, which preeminently anticipates sharp movements. CHZ is currently trading between $0.039 and $0.04, which is marginally higher than the important support levels. (Source: X) Momentum indicators are in favor of a bullish inclination. Since May, the LWTI (momentum indicator) started on an upswing trend with a bullish divergence as the price was flat, indicating a buildup in buying power. The green line in the indicator remaining above the 50 line is an indication of a positive momentum under the surface. In case CHZ can break above the resistance of $0.049, the next potential upside will be around the area of $0.066 and $0.088, which will correspond with the highs at the beginning of the year 2025. On the other hand, any failure below $0.033 would undermine the formation, although the analyst ruled out the possibility of a complete turnaround. Instead, they described the coming breakout as potentially “mind-blowing,” suggesting strong confidence that the months-long consolidation phase is close to ending. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post PepperFest Hits 1 Year Anniversary: How High Will CHZ Price Climb in Q4 appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Crypto Down But Solana Treasuries Expanding: 3 Best Solana Meme Coins to Buy
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Institutional money keeps building in Solana even as the broader crypto market cools, putting fresh focus on the chain’s most liquid meme-coin trades. A newly rebranded public company focused on Solana (ticker: HSDT) said Friday it added Coinbase, BitGo, and Anchorage Digital as custodians while continuing to build a SOL-denominated corporate treasury. The move, announced at 8 a.m. ET release, highlights how institutional infrastructure around Solana is expanding at a time when crypto prices have softened over the past 24 hours. DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 How Is Solana Expanding Its Treasury and Core Infrastructure? Bitcoin eased to the low $117,559, while Solana hovered near $210-215 as of Oct. 10. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Bitcoin and large-cap tokens were mostly lower heading into the US session on Friday. Headlines pointed to a late-week dip after Bitcoin’s record high earlier in the week. “Bitcoin volatility is poised for a breakout,” said Nick Forster of Derive, pointing to rising implied volatility across expiries. Even so, Solana’s core infrastructure keeps expanding. The new HSDT update adds multi-custody support, a feature institutions often need, and coincides with the company’s continued buildup of SOL on its balance sheet. The firm points to on-chain metrics from Solscan and Messari showing high throughput and a steady base of active users, all reinforcing Solana’s case to treasury allocators. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Why Do BONK, WIF, and BOME Dominate Solana Meme Coins Market? Bonk (BONK) is Solana’s leading “dog coin,” listed widely across major exchanges. It holds a market cap near $1.36 billion with $275 million in 24-hour volume, down roughly 6-7% over the past day, per CoinGecko. (Source: Coingecko) BONK earns its place as Solana’s liquidity benchmark. Deep order books and strong visibility make it easier to trade even when markets get rough. Dogwifhat (WIF) remains a crowd favorite with heavy derivatives action. It’s valued at around $667 million with over $200 million in daily trading volume. (Source: Coingecko) Prices have swung this week, but activity stays high. That consistent turnover and depth across exchanges keep WIF among the most actively traded Solana memes, especially for short-term and momentum traders. BOOK OF MEME (BOME) is an artist-driven project that’s widely listed across exchanges. The token trades near $0.0015, with around $36 million in daily volume and a market value between $800 million and $900 million. (Source: Coingecko) Its weekly performance has been uneven, but consistent activity and a strong community keep liquidity steady compared to newer Solana meme coins. That stability helps maintain clearer price discovery, especially when markets turn cautious. The broader market tone remains muted. Bitcoin is consolidating, and altcoins are showing mixed moves. In this scenario, the latest custody expansion by HSDT stands out because it highlights who’s buying Solana now, mainly institutional allocators and public-market investors through listed funds, not just crypto-native players. These investors usually think in longer time frames and are less focused on short-term price swings. That’s a good fit for Solana, whose core strength still lies in its on-chain activity, high throughput, and steady user engagement. For traders seeking exposure to Solana’s more volatile side, liquidity is still concentrated in a few names: BONK, WIF, and BOME. These tokens remain the most active entry points for those willing to trade higher-risk Solana assets while the major cryptocurrencies hold steady. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Crypto Down But Solana Treasuries Expanding: 3 Best Solana Meme Coins to Buy appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Will STBL USDY Pick Trigger Major ONDO Crypto Price Breakout?
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A $50 million mint window just opened for a new dollar-pegged stablecoin, and traders wonder if that’s the push ONDO crypto needs. STBL.com, the platform behind the USST dollar token, said Friday it picked Ondo Finance’s USDY as its main collateral, allowing up to $50 million in new USST issuance. The partnership, announced Oct. 10 across hubs in Dubai, London, and New York, shows STBL’s plan to expand its dollar liquidity using tokenized US Treasuries as backing. DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 Why Is the USDY-USST Integration Important for Stablecoin Design? USDY is a yield-bearing, tokenized cash product backed by short-term US Treasuries and bank deposits, built for non-US users. USST, issued by STBL, is a payment stablecoin pegged 1:1 to the dollar and backed by real-world assets. Its design separates daily liquidity (USST) from the yield stream through a separate claim, helping the peg stay firm while letting issuers keep the yield. USDY, Ondo’s “yieldcoin,” gains value from underlying interest. Ondo reinvests the interest, updates USDY’s rate monthly, earns the spread, and charges a 0.2% redemption fee. STBL has now picked USDY as the main collateral for up to $50 million in new USST issuance. The move aims to combine overcollateralization, on-chain governance of fees and haircuts, and institutional-grade asset backing. STBL CEO Avtar Sehra said, “Stablecoin design has to catch up with reality: the world is moving to tokenized reserves.” The integration could boost demand for USDY through STBL’s minting process, expanding its role as real-world asset collateral and strengthening Ondo’s reach across total value locked, integrations, and on-chain activity. ONDO mainly governs the Ondo ecosystem, but growth in USDY use, along with product fees and network effects, has been a key driver for the token’s narrative. Any real price move depends on mint volumes, DeFi listings that expand USDY’s utility, and new partnerships. The STBL update emphasizes the on-chain control of the collateral regulations, as well as the fee routes, and mentions the system as being multi-layered and overcollateralized. According to Ondo, the treasuries and bank deposits support USDY, which is issued outside the US. The combination of them seeks to demonstrate that institutional-grade collateral can scale the supply of stablecoins without liquidity loss. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 ONDO Price Prediction: Is ONDO Crypto Preparing for a Major Breakout After the USDY Collateral News? According to Coingecko, ONDO was trading at a silent level of approximately $0.90 in the last 24 hours, with an approximate volume of around $180-$186 million transactions per day. (Source: Coingecko) Ondo USDY, a stable money-generating asset, had an active supply of about 620-625 million tokens and was worth between $675-$690 million. The subdued reaction indicates that traders did not receive the new news on STBL collateral with significant changes in market sentiment. According to a chart that analyst DonOfCharts has posted, ONDO/USDT is developing a symmetrical triangle setup that tends to lead to explosions. The token is currently trading around the area of $0.89, and it is based on the lower support trendline in the triangle, which has been maintained since July. (Source: X) The upper boundary lies around $1.05-$1.10, marked by past swing highs. A decisive breakout above that zone could push ONDO toward the projected target near $1.59, implying a 70% upside from current levels. For now, ONDO appears to be in a consolidation phase within its broader bullish structure. Traders are watching the $0.83 support area closely. A drop below that level could weaken the current bullish setup and expose the token to short-term downside pressure. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Will STBL USDY Pick Trigger Major ONDO Crypto Price Breakout? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Crypto news today reflects a sharp downturn triggered by rising global tensions and unexpected policy moves. The Bitcoin price plunged below $101,000 for a moment, and ETH USD sank under $3,300 before slowly climbing back to $3,800 amid a wave of liquidations. This came right after a dramatic announcement of new China tariffs from the one and only US President, the big Donald Trump. The US requires 100% duties on Chinese tech imports, which intensified risk-off behavior across both crypto and equities. DefiLlama reports $47 billion in daily perpetuals volume and $33 billion in DEX trading as another sign that crypto interest hasn’t vanished. With ETH USD climbing and Bitcoin price stabilizing, the market could be setting up for a rotation phase. Most crypto news today may look grim, but deeper analysis proves this is a macro shakeout, not a structural failure. As China tariffs shake global sentiment, crypto’s next leg higher may only be a dust settling away. Stay strong, hold spot, and chill. Leveraged trading is easily manipulated. Exchanges won’t give their money for free. Today might be the time for shopping. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 14 minutes ago PepperFest Hits 1 Year Anniversary: How High Will CHZ Price Climb in Q4 By Akiyama Felix Chiliz turns up the heat: PepperFest’s first birthday brings rewards, contests, and a major community burn as CHZ price trades near weekly lows. Chiliz, the sports blockchain behind CHZ and Socios.com, launched PepperFest on Friday, October 10, marking the first digital anniversary of its community token, PEPPER. The two-week campaign runs through October 24 across the project’s social and community platforms. It features a surprise airdrop for stakers, a “raid-to-earn” event, creator bounties paid in CHZ, and a community-driven burn that could remove up to one trillion PEPPER from circulation. The launch comes as CHZ trades between $0.039 and $0.042, hovering near its weekly lows in a choppy crypto market. According to Coingecko data, CHZ is trading around $0.0393, with a 24-hour range of $0.0391-$0.0421 and trading volume near $88M. (Source: Coingecko) Read the full story here. 23 minutes ago Crypto Down But Solana Treasuries Expanding: 3 Best Solana Meme Coins to Buy By Akiyama Felix Institutional money keeps building in Solana even as the broader crypto market cools, putting fresh focus on the chain’s most liquid meme-coin trades. A newly rebranded public company focused on Solana (ticker: HSDT) said Friday it added Coinbase, BitGo, and Anchorage Digital as custodians while continuing to build a SOL-denominated corporate treasury. The move, announced at 8 a.m. ET release, highlights how institutional infrastructure around Solana is expanding at a time when crypto prices have softened over the past 24 hours. Read the full story here. 35 minutes ago Will STBL USDY Pick Trigger Major ONDO Crypto Price Breakout? By Akiyama Felix A $50 million mint window just opened for a new dollar-pegged stablecoin, and traders wonder if that’s the push ONDO crypto needs. STBL.com, the platform behind the USST dollar token, said Friday it picked Ondo Finance’s USDY as its main collateral, allowing up to $50 million in new USST issuance. The partnership, announced Oct. 10 across hubs in Dubai, London, and New York, shows STBL’s plan to expand its dollar liquidity using tokenized US Treasuries as backing. Read the full story here. The post Crypto Market News Today, October 11: What Just Happened to Crypto? Bitcoin Price Tanking, ETH USD Under $4K, More Pain Coming? More China Tariffs? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Are Crashing
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The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices are crashing today, sparking bearish sentiment in the crypto market. This followed the U.S. President Donald Trump’s move, which has ignited fears of a full-blown trade war with China. Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin Prices Are Crashing The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices are down today, according to CoinMarketCap data. The flagship crypto has dropped to as low as $104,000 over the last 24 hours, wiping out its early October gains that led to a new all-time high (ATH) above $126,000. Ethereum dropped to as low as $3,400, while Dogecoin broke below the psychological $0.2 level and fell to $0.11. This massive crash in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin followed Trump’s Truth Social post, in which he announced that the U.S. will impose a 100% tariff on China, over and above any tariffs they are currently paying, starting on November 1. He added that they will also impose Export Controls on any and all crucial software from China starting on November 1. Notably, Trump had earlier in the day threatened to massively increase tariffs on China, while stating that the country was becoming hostile. This initial threat caused Bitcoin to sharply drop below $120,000 from a high of around $122,000. Meanwhile, the Ethereum and Dogecoin prices also faced sharp declines. Bitcoin was trading around $116,000 when Trump announced a 100% tariff on China, which sent the crypto market into a spiral. BTC’s further decline also pushed Ethereum and Dogecoin to intraday lows of $3,400 and $0.11, respectively, extending their market losses. Meanwhile, these massive declines for the crypto assets contributed to the largest liquidation event in crypto’s history. CoinGlass data shows that $20 billion has been wiped out from the crypto market in the last 24 hours, driven by crashes in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices. This liquidation event was larger than the COVID-19 crash and the FTX bankruptcy crash. Exchanges May Have Contributed To The Crash BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes suggested that crypto exchanges may have contributed to the crash in the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices. In an X post, he stated that the word on the street is that big CEX’s auto liquidation of collateral ties to cross-margined positions is why many altcoins “got smoked on the move down.” He congratulated those who bought the dip, stating that market participants are unlikely to see those levels again anytime soon on many high-quality altcoins. Crypto analyst Kevin Capital opined that the drop in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices was caused by serious issues across top exchanges like Robinhood, Coinbase, and Binance. He added that what makes it even worse is that these exchanges didn’t let people buy the dip at the lowest point. -
A 5% Bitcoin Drop In October? History Shows That’s Rare
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According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin’s recent slide could be a short-lived wobble if October’s history repeats itself. He pointed out that drops larger than 5% in October are rare — they have occurred just four times in the past 10 years — and when they happened, Bitcoin often bounced back quickly. Historical October Bounces Reports show the four October setbacks came in 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2021. In the week after each fall, recoveries ranged from modest to sharp: gains of 16% in 2017, 4% in 2018, and a big 21% in 2019, while 2021 was the lone outlier when prices slipped another 3%. Based on those past moves, Peterson suggested a rebound of up to 21% over seven days is possible after a large October drop. CoinGlass and market outlets have long flagged October as one of Bitcoin’s strongest months historically. Markets moved fast this week after a tariff shock. United States President Donald Trump’s announcement of steep tariffs on China coincided with a sudden sell-off that briefly pushed Bitcoin down to about $102,000. Prices then staged a partial recovery to roughly $112,100. Traders noted the pullback came soon after Bitcoin hit fresh highs earlier in the week, above $126,000. Short-Term Upside Scenarios If Bitcoin were to mirror its strongest October rebound — the 21% surge seen in 2019 — a move from the low near $102,000 would place the token just under its recent peak, around $124,000, within days. That math is straightforward and is being quoted by analysts running many simulations. Some say there’s even a range of odds that the month could finish well above current levels. Other market voices pushed different views. Proponents argued that the current dip is a reset during an overall uptrend; some called it the bottom of the current cycle. Others warned that policy shocks or tariff escalations could keep selling pressure in place for longer. Social metrics and sentiment gauges moved sharply during the sell-off, and certain altcoins saw deeper losses amid the flight to safety. Possible Triggers For A Rebound Meanwhile, traders are watching a few clear triggers. Headlines that dial down trade tensions between the US and China would likely calm markets. Any sign the US Federal Reserve will quicken interest rate cuts could also lift risk assets, including crypto. History suggests panic sell-offs often end before a strong recovery begins, but nothing is guaranteed. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView -
Satoshi-Era Bitcoin Whale Shorted $1.1B Before Tariff News — Insider Tip?
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Bitcoin and the general crypto market have witnessed another significant downturn this year, with prices falling by double digits in the late hours of Friday, October 10. This bearish pressure started when rumors of a trade war between the United States and China emerged in the early hours of Friday. The downward pressure intensified after US President Donald Trump declared that the US would impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. As a result of this announcement, over $5.5 billion was liquidated from the crypto market in less than an hour, with the Bitcoin price briefly falling to as low as $101,500. Is This BTC Whale Linked To The US Government? In a recent post on X, on-chain analyst Maartunn highlighted a specific Satoshi-era Bitcoin investor who might have expected this downturn way before it happened. A look at the trader’s market moves suggests that the large BTC holder almost always knows something the market doesn’t. While the price of Bitcoin steadily dropped towards $117,00 during the day, blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that this Bitcoin OG kept piling up their short positions up to $1.1 billion. Following the BTC crash below $110,000, this large investor made a profit of over $160 million, leading to speculations about them having insider information. Maartunn went further to highlight the large holder’s activities in the past few months. According to the analyst’s post on the social media platform X, this Bitcoin OG started selling part of their 86,000 Satoshi-era BTC stash when prices peaked around August 2025. Similarly, the BTC whale took to shaving off their holdings again when the Bitcoin price ran up to new highs in early October. What’s more interesting is that the Satoshi-era investor soon opened leveraged short positions on both Bitcoin and Ethereum on the Hyperliquid platform. Maartunn thought that the timing of these trades might be interesting, especially as the general crypto market soon witnessed a downturn due to President Trump’s tariff announcement. The on-chain analyst then concluded that the “Satoshi-era OG have insider ties to the US government.” Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $113,250, recovering swiftly from the plunge to around $101,500. However, the premier cryptocurrency is still down by nearly 7% in the past 24 hours. -
Global Banking Powerhouses Plan Issuing New Stablecoins Tied To G7 Currencies
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A consortium of major banks, including Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, announced on Friday that they will collaborate to explore the development of stablecoins pegged to G7 currencies. A New Era For Crypto In Mainstream Finance The renewed interest in stablecoins comes in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of the sector, which has reignited discussions about integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance. Currently, the stablecoin market is heavily dominated by Tether (USDT), based in El Salvador, which accounts for approximately $179 billion of the total $310 billion in stablecoins circulating, according to data from CoinGecko. The banks involved in this new initiative, which also includes Santander, Barclays, BNP Paribas, MUFG, TD Bank Group, and others, have stated that the goal is to assess whether a collaborative industry offering could enhance competition and bring the benefits of digital assets to the market, all while ensuring compliance. Notably, France’s Societe Generale recently became the first major bank to issue a dollar-backed stablecoin through its digital asset subsidiary, although it has seen limited adoption, with only $30.6 million currently in circulation. In addition to this consortium, a separate group of nine European banks, including prominent names like ING and UniCredit, is also in the process of launching a euro-denominated stablecoin. Meanwhile, Citi has made strides in the stablecoin space by investing in BVNK, a company focused on stablecoin infrastructure. Demand For Stablecoin Solutions Grows Although Citi has not disclosed the amount of its investment, the co-founder of BVNK, Chris Harmse, told during an interview with CNBC, that the company’s valuation has surpassed $750 million, as reported in its latest funding round. Harmse remarked on the increasing demand for stablecoin infrastructure, particularly with the emergence of regulatory clarity through the passage of the GENIUS Act in the US. This has prompted major US banks to strategically position themselves in the crypto ecosystem. Citi’s CEO, Jane Fraser, has indicated that the bank is contemplating the issuance of its own stablecoin while also exploring custodian services for digital assets. However, Citi is not alone in its pursuit of digital asset integration; JPMorgan Chase has already launched its own stablecoin-like token, JPMD. Banks are increasingly investigating how blockchain technology—originally developed to support Bitcoin—can reduce transaction costs and enhance processing speeds across various financial operations. This exploration includes the concept of tokenization, which involves creating digital tokens that represent traditional assets, such as deposits. For instance, Bank of New York Mellon is currently looking into tokenized deposits, while HSBC has already rolled out a tokenized deposit service. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com -
Following a new all-time high (ATH) of $126,199 on Binance, Bitcoin (BTC) is now consolidating in the low $120,000 range. Latest exchange data – such as Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Confirmation Score – suggests that BTC is benefitting from strong underlying demand. CVD Confirmation Shows Strong Demand For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s CVD Confirmation Score – a 30-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin’s price and the CVD – is suggesting a strong resynchronization of the trend. For the uninitiated, the CVD Confirmation Score measures the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin’s price and the CVD, which tracks the net difference between taker buy and sell volumes on exchanges. A high score (above 0.7) indicates that price increases are backed by real buying pressure, while a low or negative score suggests weak or speculative momentum. Latest data from Binance shows that the CVD Confirmation Score currently hovers around 0.8 to 0.9, indicating that the current price surge is largely driven by genuine taker buying rather than a technical bounce or a short squeeze. Past data also suggests that whenever this data point has remained about 0.7 for an extended period, price corrections tend to be relatively shallow and short-lived. This is because new liquidity in the market quickly absorbs any incoming supply of BTC. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that if the CVD Confirmation Score continues to hover above 0.7 – coupled with a decisive breakout above the $124,000 – $126,000 resistance zone – then it could be on its way to a potential target of as high as $135,000. However, any negative divergence with BTC price rising and CVD Confirmation Score dropping below 0.4 should be seen as a warning sign, as it increases the likelihood of distribution or liquidation pressure. Conversely, the $112,000 – $115,000 and $108,000 – $110,000 stand out as strong support levels for BTC. At these price levels, the CVD Confirmation Score should remain steady to ensure the uptrend remains intact. Arab Chain added: The underlying trend is bullish and supported by real inflows on Binance, the highest-volume exchange globally. Monitor three confirmation signals: CVD Confirmation stays high, open interest remains moderate, and funding does not become excessive. Any clear imbalance across these metrics will be the first warning of a momentum shift. Is BTC Due For A Correction? While bulls are hoping for an extended rally for BTC, some analysts aren’t quite convinced about the digital asset surging to new highs in the near term. For instance, crypto analyst ZVN recently stated that BTC may witness a pullback before its next surge to $150,000. Similarly, fellow crypto analyst Dick Dandy recently predicted that BTC may witness a massive 60% price correction, falling all the way down to $43,900. At press time, BTC trades at $118,791, down 1.8% in the past 24 hours.
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XRP Whales Are Selling: $50 Million Exiting Wallets Every Day
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On-chain data shows the 30-day netflow of the XRP whales has remained deep negative recently, a sign that the asset is under persistent selling pressure. XRP Whale Flow Is At A Negative $50 Million Per Day At The Moment As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, XRP whales have been offloading coins recently. “Whales” refer to the big-money investors who hold significant amounts in their wallets and carry some influence in the market. The behavior of these key investors can often be worth keeping an eye on, as even if it may not always directly correlate with the asset’s trajectory, it can still be revealing about how the influential entities are feeling about the cryptocurrency. There are many ways to track the behavior of the XRP whales, with one such being the metric cited by Maartunn: the Whale Flow. This indicator measures the net amount of coins that’s entering into or exiting out of the wallets of this cohort. Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the 30-day moving average (MA) of the XRP Whale Flow over the last few years: As is visible in the above graph, the 30-day MA XRP Whale Flow plunged to a highly negative value in July as the coin reached its top above $3.6. This suggests that the large holders took the opportunity of the rally to participate in profit-taking. Interestingly, since this plummet in the indicator, its value has remained at a similarly red value until today, meaning that the whales have only continued to apply selling pressure. At present, the metric is sitting at a negative value of $50 million per day, meaning that whales have been withdrawing an average of $50 million every day for the past month. This could be a reason why the cryptocurrency hasn’t seen any big rally recently, while Bitcoin and other coins have been flying. In some other news, analyst Ali Martinez has identified a price level that could help turn XRP around. As the below chart shared by Martinez in an X post shows, the coin has seemingly been trading inside a Parallel Channel over the last couple of months. A Parallel Channel is a technical analysis (TA) consolidation pattern that forms when an asset trades between two parallel trendlines. The lower level of the pattern acts as a support line. From the chart, it’s visible that in the case of this XRP Parallel Channel, it’s situated at $2.73. The analyst has noted that if this support level holds, the coin could see a rebound to the upper level at $3.10. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $0.745, down more than 11% over the last week. -
LTC Price Soars 11% to $129: Analysts Eye $135 Breakout as ETF Approval Buzz Grows
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Litecoin (LTC) ripped as much as 11% to $129–$131, outpacing Bitcoin and Ethereum during a market pullback as fresh spot ETF momentum stoked bids. Trading volume exploded 143% to $1.66B, while futures open interest jumped 25% to $1.21B, signaling new leverage and renewed directional conviction. The catalyst is linked to the growing confidence that a U.S.-listed spot Litecoin ETF could be near the finish line. Canary Capital’s updated S-1 now includes ticker LTCC and a 0.95% fee, the kind of last-mile filing detail ETF watchers say typically appears “before go-time.” With Grayscale and CoinShares also in the hunt, analysts argue LTC’s commodity-like profile and long proof-of-work history make it one of the cleaner alt candidates for regulated fund access once the SEC resumes normal operations. Litecoin Technical setup: $130 reclaim tees up $135–$138 On the charts, Litecoin blasted through the $127.45 swing high and reclaimed stacked moving averages (7- and 30-day SMAs), turning the multi-month range from ceiling to potential floor. RSI (68) shows strong momentum without a blow-off, and MACD remains firmly positive. Immediate resistance sits at $130–$131; a daily close above opens a path to $134–$135, then $138 and $150. Should FOMO follow an ETF headline, bulls point to a broader vacuum up to the $150–$160 zone, Litecoin’s highest region since early 2022. On higher time frames, some technicians note a breakout from a year-long diagonal that, if confirmed, preserves a stretch target toward $275 over the coming months; that scenario likely requires sustained ETF-driven inflows. LTC Levels That Matter, And What Could Invalidate For momentum traders, the line in the sand is $125: lose it decisively and swift profit-taking could drag LTC back into $122–$125 support, with $115–$118 as a deeper retest. Hold above $125 and reclaim $130 with volume, and bulls keep control into $135–$138. Macro remains a swing factor; government shutdown timing, SEC throughput, and broader crypto risk appetite can still inject volatility. As long as $125 holds and $130 flips to support, the $135–$138 breakout looks within reach, while a green light for LTCC could be the spark that extends the move toward $150–$160 next. For searchers tracking the Litecoin price, keep your eyes on $130: it’s the path to the next leg. Cover image from ChatGPT, LTCUSD chart from Tradingview -
UK Finally Opens Crypto ETPs to the Public After Long Ban
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The UK has officially lifted its ban on crypto exchange-traded products for retail investors, opening access to a global market estimated at around $800 billion. These products, which were previously restricted to professional investors, will now be available to everyday users under regulated conditions. The change comes after years of limited access and growing frustration from individuals who wanted regulated exposure to crypto. Until now, retail investors were forced to either stay out or use less regulated exchanges. This update gives them a route through familiar financial channels, which could significantly shift how crypto fits into mainstream portfolios. Bitcoin, Ether, and ISAs Now Share the Same Conversation With the new rules in place, crypto ETPs can soon be held within tax-efficient wrappers like ISAs and pensions. That means investors will be able to gain exposure to Bitcoin, Ether, and other digital assets while staying inside accounts that offer tax benefits and regulatory protections. This doesn’t mean every crypto ETP will be widely available right away. Platforms are expected to take a cautious approach, deciding which products to list and how to assess whether retail users truly understand the risks involved. Some investment firms are already warning that crypto should only make up a small portion of any balanced portfolio. Suitability tests and tiered access could slow down adoption in the early phases. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 Unlocking an $800 Billion Global Market The scale of the market now opening to UK retail investors is significant. Globally, crypto ETPs represent approximately $800 billion in exposure across derivatives, funds, and structured products. Giving retail participants access to that slice changes the size and shape of the playing field. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Until now, institutions have had the upper hand, both in terms of access and product range. Direct trading has been available to retail for years, but it came with higher risks, technical friction, and fewer protections. Allowing crypto exposure through ETPs removes many of those barriers and gives users a regulated entry point that fits more comfortably within traditional investment habits. Warnings From Platforms Signal a Cautious Start Despite the new access, platforms, and analysts are warning that retail investors should proceed carefully. Crypto prices remain highly volatile, and products linked to digital assets carry risks that differ from typical stocks or bonds. A sudden drawdown in price could wipe out gains and cause long-term damage to an unprepared portfolio. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Transparency and investor education will be key. If platforms rush to list products without setting clear terms or limits, users could face losses they weren’t equipped to handle. There’s also uncertainty around liquidity, product quality, and how quickly platforms can implement the necessary oversight to prevent abuse or hidden risk. Early Access Could Shape Long-Term Adoption Now that the door is open, execution matters. Regulators have opened the opportunity, but platforms and users must now prove they can adopt crypto ETPs responsibly. That means putting proper controls in place, offering the right information, and avoiding the hype that often surrounds new asset classes. If this goes well, retail investors in the UK will finally be able to participate in a market they’ve been locked out of for years. But if rollout is rushed or trust is lost, it could push adoption back instead of moving it forward. What happens next will likely define how crypto fits into retail investment in the UK for years to come. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The UK has lifted its retail ban on crypto ETPs, giving everyday investors access to a regulated market worth around $800 billion. Investors can now hold crypto ETPs in ISAs and pensions, gaining exposure to assets like Bitcoin and Ether within familiar, tax-efficient accounts. Platforms will carefully roll out access, using suitability checks, limited product listings, and clear risk warnings for new retail users. The change removes major barriers for retail investors and gives them regulated access to crypto markets once dominated by institutions. Responsible execution will be key, as poor oversight or rushed rollouts could damage trust and slow long-term crypto adoption among UK retail investors. The post UK Finally Opens Crypto ETPs to the Public After Long Ban appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Bitmine Receives 23,823 Ethereum From BitGo As Institutional Accumulation Continues
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Ethereum is trading at critical price levels after a sharp 10% decline from the $4,750 mark, reflecting growing uncertainty across the broader crypto market. The recent correction has pushed ETH toward the $4,300 support zone, a level that bulls are now fiercely defending to prevent a deeper retracement. Despite the pullback, on-chain data suggests that large holders remain confident, signaling that this dip may be part of a healthy market reset rather than the start of a downtrend. According to recent data, Bitmine continues its aggressive accumulation of ETH, adding to its holdings even as prices fluctuate. This steady inflow from institutional players highlights strong conviction in Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals, particularly as the network maintains dominance in DeFi and smart contract activity. Still, sentiment among retail traders remains mixed. Some fear that sustained weakness below $4,300 could trigger another wave of selling pressure, while others see this as a potential accumulation opportunity before the next major move. As Ethereum stabilizes at these levels, the coming days will be crucial to determine whether the market resumes its bullish momentum or enters a prolonged consolidation phase amid heightened volatility. Ethereum Accumulation Continues As Bitmine Strengthens Its Position According to data shared by Lookonchain, institutional accumulation around Ethereum remains strong despite recent market volatility. Just a few hours ago, Bitmine received another 23,823 ETH (worth $103.68 million) from BitGo, marking yet another significant inflow of capital. This move comes only two days after Bitmine acquired 20,020 ETH ($89.7 million) via FalconX, underscoring their consistent strategy of building exposure during price dips rather than chasing rallies. Such accumulation patterns are often seen as a sign of confidence in Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals, particularly from institutional investors who view ETH as a core asset within the broader digital economy. While short-term sentiment remains cautious after the recent correction, these inflows suggest that smart money continues to see value around current prices. The coming days will be critical for Ethereum’s technical structure. Bulls must defend the $4,300 support zone to maintain momentum and set up a potential recovery toward the $4,600–$4,750 resistance area. A strong defense here could pave the way for a new all-time high, confirming renewed investor confidence and establishing $4,300 as a key accumulation level. Bulls Defend $4,300 Support Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading near $4,325, showing signs of consolidation after a 10% decline from its recent high of $4,750. The 12-hour chart reveals that ETH has fallen below the 50-day moving average (blue line), signaling short-term weakness, while the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) moving averages are still trending upward — a sign that the broader uptrend remains intact. The $4,300 level now acts as a key support zone, with bulls attempting to establish a base and prevent further downside pressure. If this level holds, the next target would be a retest of $4,500–$4,600, where sellers are likely to reappear. However, a break below $4,250 could expose Ethereum to a deeper pullback toward the $4,000 psychological level, an area that previously served as a strong accumulation zone in late September. Momentum indicators suggest that selling pressure is easing, aligning with the recent on-chain data showing continued accumulation from large entities such as Bitmine. This reinforces the idea that institutional confidence remains strong, even amid volatility. For now, holding above $4,300 is critical — a successful defense could mark the foundation for Ethereum’s next push toward new highs. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com -
The crypto market has been in the red today with Bitcoin taking altcoins down with it. The main reason could be the Trump and China thing on tariffs and taxes. It is also affecting the S&P500, Nasdaq (US100) and DJI indexes. Actually all three are having their biggest red day in a while. In the meantime, Gold and Silver are doing well. This shows us that Bitcoin is more tied to the indexes rather than safe-haven assets like Silver and Gold. Partially meaning we are still early with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $112,512.17 7.43% Bitcoin BTC Price $112,512.17 7.43% /24h Volume in 24h $142.85B Price 7d Interesting takes both from Ponzi and Mayne. It is good to hear thoughts from both seasoned traders. Mayne gave very broad but clear levels to look at how price reacts from very large boxes, though there is not much to change because it all depends on volatility. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Bitcoin Dead? Is The Cycle Over Or Not Yet? (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) Well, it is hard to say “Bitcoin is dead” when one looks at the Weekly chart. One would rather say that Bitcoin has been on a nearly 3-year-long uptrend. Very impressive if you think about it! There are three RSI hidden bearish divergences, where price went sideways, or on the last one, a little higher, but RSI dropped. Other than that, in this timeframe, we have all the Moving Averages in an uptrend formation and the blue 2-year uptrend line. There is also an FVG gap that might get filled after all, if price dips so low. It’s a bid area if it does! DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) Next, we analyse the 1D timeframe. We have another uptrend line (orange) that started in June this year. Also, we have two order blocks that had reactions from. And in August, we had a strong Bearish Engulfing candle. And a couple of days ago, we had an SFP. If you look at each candle and its volume, it is fair to say that there has been selling pressure all throughout late July until today. RSI is moving down quickly, but it does not tell us how far price will drop. Low Timeframe Insights And Concluding Thoughts (Source – Tradingview, BTCUSD) The last chart for this article is on the 4H timeframe. The $117,000-$118,000 order block could be a potential support here. RSI is almost at oversold, though the trendline is still another $7,000 down. Will that be our next support? Or maybe another liquidity grab at $107,000-$110,000 order block? One bullish thing here is that we have a higher high. As long as the next low is above $110,000, bulls can breathe. If it drops below, bears are taking control. Not much to do right now except stand on the side and watch. It makes sense that people are taking profit after BTC pulled an almost 700% increase over the past 3 years. It would be foolish not to. Not the top for now. This can be the time when capital starts to rotate into major alts like ETH, SOL, etc… Good to keep an eye out for how they perform against BTC. Stay safe out there! DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Why Is Crypto Dropping: Is The Bitcoin Run Over? First Key level to hold is $117,000, and Second $110,000 1D chart shows bearish factors, yet structure remains bullish Weekly FVG at $86,000-$92,000 zone. Will it get filled? Key level to break for upward continuation is $124,000. The post Why Crypto Is Dropping: Is The Bitcoin Run Over? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) Holds Key $0.25 Level as New ETF and Whale Activity Spark Breakout Hopes
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The Dogecoin price is battling to keep the crucial $0.25 support as a fresh wave of institutional interest builds. The newly listed 21Shares Dogecoin ETF (TDOG) gives traditional investors regulated exposure to DOGE without managing wallets or private keys, a milestone that could expand liquidity and improve price discovery. TDOG’s appearance on mainstream market rails (via DTCC listing support and brokerage access) signals growing acceptance of meme-coin ETFs, echoing earlier adoption trends seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum funds. For portfolio managers, an ETF wrapper simplifies compliance, custody, and rebalancing, key hurdles that have historically sidelined DOGE from institutional mandates. Dogecoin Whales Accumulate As Exchange Supply Thins On-chain flows are aligning with the ETF narrative. Data show roughly $23 million in DOGE left centralized exchanges recently, classic whale accumulation that reduces immediate sell pressure and can tighten supply when demand rises. At the same time, the technical structure remains constructive as DOGE has respected an ascending channel since the summer, and this week marked a fourth successful bounce off rising trendline support. Momentum gauges have stabilized, with hourly RSI hovering above neutral and OBV trending higher, signs that dip-buying persists even as broader crypto volatility ticks up. Together, shrinking exchange reserves and steady whale bids build a supportive backdrop into Q4, historically a seasonally strong stretch for DOGE. Doge Price Outlook: Key Levels To Watch Near term, bulls need to reclaim $0.254–$0.255 to break a short-term downtrend cap; a close above $0.260 would strengthen a push toward $0.278–$0.284, with the channel top near $0.33 as the next stretch target. Failure to clear $0.255 keeps price range-bound between $0.24–$0.26. On the downside, Dogecoin’s initial support sits at $0.2475, then $0.240 (channel lower bound). A decisive break below $0.232 would invalidate the constructive setup and expose $0.212–$0.205. With TDOG lowering barriers for institutional capital and whales quietly holding, Dogecoin holds a favorable risk-reward above $0.25. A clean reclaim of $0.26 could unlock momentum toward $0.28–$0.33 in the weeks ahead, while ETF inflows and shrinking exchange supply keep the longer-term $1.00 narrative alive. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview -
Here’s How High The XRP Price Would Be With The Market Cap Of Bitcoin
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Among all the cryptocurrencies in the industry, few have seen as many comments and predictions as XRP. Once trapped under legal uncertainty, XRP has begun to reclaim attention thanks to favorable legal developments and the anticipated launch of Spot XRP ETFs. However, XRP’s current valuation is significantly below that of the largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. But what if XRP were to rise to the same market capitalization as Bitcoin? Data from MarketCapOf offers a glimpse into how much each XRP token would be worth if it reached Bitcoin’s current market cap. Linking XRP’s Price With Bitcoin’s Market Cap Bitcoin’s market capitalization has reached heights that rival and even surpass some of the world’s largest multinational corporations. Notably, Bitcoin’s current market cap of $2.415 trillion places it shoulder to shoulder with tech giants like Apple and Microsoft. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is the eighth-biggest asset by market cap, just behind Silver and Amazon, and well ahead of Meta Platforms, Broadcom, and Saudi Aramco. XRP is currently the third biggest cryptocurrency in terms of market cap, but its market cap is far below Bitcoin’s lead. However, many analysts and market commentators believe XRP stands out as one of the few assets capable of challenging Bitcoin’s dominance. This belief originates from XRP’s alignment with traditional finance. Its established partnerships with banks and payment providers give it a practical use case that most cryptocurrencies do not have. At the time of writing, XRP has a market cap of $168 billion, not even up to one-tenth of Bitcoin’s market cap. According to MarketCapOf, if XRP were to reach Bitcoin’s current market cap, each token would be worth approximately $40.68. Given XRP’s circulating supply of about 53.4 billion tokens, this price prediction represents an increase of over 14,000% or 14.35x, from its current level of around $2.8. In practical terms, an early investor holding just 1,000 XRP today would see their holdings valued at more than $40,000 under this scenario. What This Means For XRP Holders The comparison provides a valuable perspective on XRP’s long-term potential and the scale of value transfer possible within the crypto market. It also shows how far XRP needs to go in order to reach Bitcoin’s current level. Bitcoin’s dominance today is due to its first-mover advantage and its acceptance as a store of value. However, XRP is growing in remittances and real-world asset tokenization, and Ripple’s stakeholders are working to challenge SWIFT. This gives the cryptocurrency a utility foundation that could cause the growth of its market share. If Ripple continues to secure partnerships with central banks, payment providers, and institutional investors, as Ripple has increasingly done in regions like the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, then the idea of XRP closing even a fraction of the gap with Bitcoin becomes less far-fetched. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.83. Another factor that could contribute to this projected price growth is if Spot XRP ETFs are launched in the US and they perform well. - Yesterday
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Nuclear startup Hadron Energy to go public in $1.2B deal
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Nuclear startup Hadron Energy has announced it will go public on the Nasdaq via a $1.2 billion business combination with GigCapital7 Corp, a Private-to-Public Equity firm. The deal will provide approximately $200 million in net proceeds, which will be used to accelerate product development and commercial deployment of Hadron’s technology, it said. The deal is expected to close in Q1 2026. The Redwood City, California-based company said it has designed a micro modular reactor (MMR) built on light water reactor technology with an operationally efficient 10-year fueling cycle. MMRs are miniaturized nuclear power plants being increasingly used in AI data center infrastructure, and can power mining operations by providing a low-carbon source of electricity and heat, replacing diesel generators and reducing emissions. MMRs produce between 1 and 20 megawatts of electric power per 1 module. “We’re at a $1.2 billion dollar valuation. We’re excited about the opportunity to service not only data center customers, but also more remote industrial applications,” Sam Gibson, founder and CEO of Hadron Energy, told MINING.com in an interview. “In the mining industry, there is a lot of interest and very high demand for our product.” There are currently 94 nuclear reactors operating in the United States across 54 power plants at full scale, variations of light water designs. Gibson said the company’s focus is miniaturizing reactors in a mass manufacturable package that can then be distributed to remote applications or data centers. “We don’t have to have an external water supply,” Gibson said. “And ultimately, we have demand ranging anywhere from 10 megawatts, which is one unit, all the way up to even gigawatt scale deployments, which is 1,000 megawatts plus.” Hadron’s MMR design. Image supplied. “Plenty of uranium supply” Uranium is a crucial source of reliable baseload power as nuclear energy, and the US requires an estimated 32 million pounds of uranium annually for its current nuclear reactors. Energy Fuels’ White Mesa Mill in Utah is the only producing mill in the US. In 2024, the US purchased 50 million pounds of uranium, but only produced 677,000 pounds, according to the Energy Information Administration. But Gibson said uranium supply is not currently an issue for the company. “One of our uranium suppliers has about 1.7 million pounds of uranium ore right now. So the supply is there.” Gibson said it comes down to the energy density of uranium and the enrichment, pointing out that typically 5% enriched and below is what’s used in the commercial industry today. “Our reactor is using slightly higher enrichment, which enables us to have a smaller core. We are primarily focused on reactor development.” Hadron is working on the engineering and licensing side to begin producing the reactors at scale, and Gibson said what puts Hadron at the forefront is that there’s still not a licensed microreactor on the market today. “When it came to incorporating, we had a lot of the groundwork already worked out. So that’s why we’ve been able to make such rapid progress on the regulatory side, on the engineering design side,” he said. “Historically, you’ll have reactors that have fueling cycles of about two years, but since we’re using a higher enrichment, that gives our core life a longer life and it enables us to have even a more compact design. Those are really the key innovations we’re working on here. That’s the entire goal – a 24-7 energy producing source.” -
Is The Dogecoin Low In? Analyst Charts Path To $0.60
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Dogecoin’s structure “is still trying to turn around,” according to a market technician More Crypto Online who argues that both the higher-time-frame and intraday counts now permit a constructive path toward $0.60—provided a handful of support and breakout thresholds hold. In a new video, the analyst describes a market that is “printing higher highs and higher lows,” but cautions that the advance is “choppy, slow… boring and very fragile,” language that underscores how conditional the bullish setup remains. Dogecoin Breakout Loading On the daily chart, the crux of the thesis is the integrity of August’s corrective low, labeled as the wave-2 pivot. “From a daily chart point of view [price] should really… ideally hold above the wave 2 low that formed here in August,” the analyst says, calling that local invalidation line at $0.189. A decisive violation would force a re-marking of the larger structure: “If we break below this red line, the idea that a B-wave bottomed in June will have to be revised.” Even so, the commentator preserves a secondary bullish path, noting that an extended B-wave could still be in play as “a broader A-B-C structure,” with the market attempting another reversal “from the lower support area” thereafter. Upside conviction rotates around September’s swing high. “Once we break above the last swing high from September, we might be on our way to $0.49+,” the analyst says. That level functions as the first high-time-frame gateway: a clean breach would confirm that the move out of the September trough has transitioned from corrective to impulsive character, validating the notion that June’s B-wave low has already printed. The lower-time-frame evidence is doing some heavy lifting. On the one-hour chart, price action out of the late-September base is described as a motive sequence: “The move to the upside from the September low appears to be a five-wave move up. This allows for the interpretation that we have already bottomed in the B-wave.” The decline from the September 13 local high is, in contrast, framed as a completed three-leg retracement. If that count holds, the present pullback should remain corrective and terminate above clearly defined micro levels: “Upper micro support is between $0.23 and $0.245 with an additional key level… at $0.233,” the analyst notes. The condition is crisp: “Ideally we’re holding above $0.23 in this pullback. If we see an impulsive reaction from here to the upside, then this could be the beginning of a third-wave rally up.” Risk management and location remain central. The broader support shelf that cushioned September’s local bottom sits above the daily invalidation line and is expected to remain active on any deeper shakeout: “This support area is still relevant… we might get another test… probably in the area around $0.21 to $0.20,” the analyst says, adding that this band nests within the larger $0.227–$0.20 zone. Lose $0.23 decisively and “it increases the probabilities that we are still caught in this B-wave,” he warns—a shift that would postpone, not nullify, the bullish roadmap so long as $0.189 endures. What would carry Dogecoin beyond $0.49 toward the headline target of $0.60? The blueprint the analyst lays out implies an impulsive third-wave advance once micro support holds and September’s swing high gives way. In classical Elliott terms, a confirmed third wave often stretches beyond the initial motive leg, and the technician explicitly flags the setup: “If we see an impulsive reaction… this could be the beginning of a third-wave rally up.” Moreover, the $0.49 handle—identified as the first destination after a breakout—would be a staging area rather than a terminus. After a fourth wave correction, DOGE could start a fifth wave which the analyst places in the $0.60 region. The message, however, is emphatically conditional rather than euphoric. “It’s always important to zoom out,” the analyst reminds viewers, stressing that while Dogecoin is “moving up step by step slowly,” the advance is not yet an emphatic impulse. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.25.