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Gold Rotation Impact: Bitwise Warns Bitcoin Could Skyrocket To $242,000
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Following a significant rally, the valuation of gold has begun to decline. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be experiencing a slight capital rotation towards it, as evidenced by Tuesday’s price performance, which led to a recovery of the $112,000 mark. In this context, asset manager Bitwise has released a new report that outlines promising price prospects for the market’s leading cryptocurrency, despite the challenges it has faced over the past few weeks. How Gold’s Rise Fuels Bitcoin Opportunities Authored by Andre Dragosch, Max Shannon, and Aayush Tripathi from Bitwise Europe’s research and analysis department, the report highlights that crypto prices have been underperforming compared to traditional assets, largely due to a bearish market sentiment triggered by renewed weaknesses in US regional bank stocks. The report emphasizes the fluctuating relative performance of Bitcoin against gold, which tends to vary with changes in cross-asset risk appetite. A renewed risk-on environment could potentially reaffirm Bitcoin’s leadership in performance over gold. A key catalyst for Bitcoin’s recovery over the coming months could stem from this capital rotation. Gold has experienced a meteoric rise this year, driven by expectations of easier monetary policy and growing concerns regarding US fiscal debt. According to Bitwise, even a modest capital rotation of just 3% to 4% from gold to Bitcoin could significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s price, potentially doubling its value, as seen in the chart below. Interestingly, a 5% shift in investments from gold to Bitcoin could increase its price by over 126%, propelling it to $242,391. This is based on a baseline price of $107,240, which is Bitcoin’s price at the time of Bitwise’s publication. Why Is $118,000 Key For BTC’s Outlook? Historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin’s performance leadership may reassert itself during a risk-on phase. This potential shift is not merely speculative; the report points out that a similar trend occurred in 2020, when Bitcoin began its ascent to new all-time highs in October, coinciding with a stall in gold’s rally that began in July. The analysts believe this performance pattern could repeat itself, particularly if gold’s rally pauses. They highlight that sustaining gold’s rally typically requires a significantly larger capital influx compared to Bitcoin, which could create headwinds for gold’s continued performance. Lastly, on-chain analysis reveals a robust liquidity cluster between $93,000 and $118,000, forming a critical boundary between bull and bear market conditions. The report suggests that a decisive move above the upper end of this range at $118,000 could result in a new price rally. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com - Hoje
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[Silver] – [Wednesday, October 22, 2025] Although the RSI is in the Neutral-Bullish zone and a Bullish Divergence has formed, the ongoing Death Cross between the two EMAs suggests any strengthening is likely to be temporary, with Silver expected to return to its previous bearish bias. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 54.407 2. Resistance. 1 : 51,533 3. Pivot : 49,697 4. Support. 1 : 46,823 5. Support. 2 : 44,987 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 46,823, it will likely test the 44,987 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 44.987 is breached and closes below, Silver may continue weakening toward 42,113. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is invalidated if Silver strengthens and breaks out to close above 54,407. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 49,445 EMA(200): 51,166 RSI(14) : 51.58 + Bullish Divergent Economic News Release Agenda: At 21:30 WIB, the United States will release Crude Oil Inventories data. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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[Platinum] – [Wednesday, October 22, 2025] With the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone and the EMA(50) remains below the EMA(200), forming a Death Cross that signals strong bearish pressure, even though a Bullish Divergence has appeared. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1728.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1633.0 3. Pivot : 1570.0 4. Support. 1 : 1475.0 5. Support. 2 : 1412.0 Tactical Scenario:- Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1475.0, it has the potential to drop to 1412.0. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1412.0 is breached, Platinum may test the next support level at 1317.0. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is invalidated if #PLF strengthens and breaks out to close above 1728.0. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 1558.7 EMA(200): 1624.1 RSI(14) : 46.94. Economic News Release Agenda: At 21:30 WIB, the United States will release Crude Oil Inventories data. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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What to Watch on October 22: Fundamental Event Breakdown for Beginners
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Wednesday. Only in the United Kingdom will an inflation report for September be published in about an hour. Expert forecasts suggest that the Consumer Price Index will rise to 4.0%, which is double the Bank of England's target level. We believe that with such a level of inflation (or higher), which has also been rising for a whole year, there can be no talk of a new key rate cut. Thus, rising inflation may support the British currency. In Germany, the European Union, and the United States, no important reports are scheduled for today. Fundamental Event Analysis: Few fundamental events are scheduled for Wednesday, and virtually none of them are of interest. Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed numerous speeches from representatives of the European Central Bank, BOE, and the Federal Reserve, so the positions of all three central banks are thoroughly understood. A new speech by Christine Lagarde today is unlikely to provide the market with food for thought. Let us recall that inflation in the Eurozone rose more than expected in September, which does not imply a new easing of monetary policy. However, even without the latest inflation report, the ECB was not inclined to lower the key interest rate. Thus, with the release of the new inflation report, nothing has changed. General Conclusions: During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs may once again remain in a low-volatility flat. The European currency has a good trading zone at 1.1571–1.1584, from which both long and short positions can be considered. The British pound is located precisely between the areas of 1.3329–1.3331 and 1.3413–1.3421. However, let us remind that market volatility is currently low, and the macroeconomic background is practically absent. Only the pound has a chance to show significant movement today due to the inflation report. Core Trading System RulesThe strength of any signal is determined by how quickly it forms (breakout or rebound). The faster it forms, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades have occurred near a level, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.During flat markets, any pair may generate many false signals—or fail to generate any at all. In these scenarios, it's better to suspend trading when the flat is confirmed.Trades should be executed between the beginning of the European session and the midpoint of the U.S. session. All open positions should be manually closed afterward.On the 1-hour chart, MACD-based trades should only be executed when good volatility and a clear trend are present, preferably confirmed by a visible trendline or channel.If two levels are located too close together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance area rather than individual levels.Once a trade moves 15-20 pips in your favor, the Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven to protect capital.What's on the Chart?Support and resistance levels represent key price zones, often suitable for placing Take Profit orders.Red lines indicate trendlines or trend channels and denote the current market direction.The MACD (14,22,3) indicator and its histogram/signal line serve as a useful tool for confirming entries.Murray levels can help estimate the range or limits of trend and correction phases.Volatility levels (red horizontal lines) define the probable price range based on recent price action.The CCI indicator provides reversal signals when entering overbought (above +250) or oversold (below -250) zones.Important Note for Beginners Trading during major news events (as listed on the calendar) can significantly impact price movement. During such times, trade cautiously or step out of the market entirely to avoid a sharp reversal against your position. Beginners must remember that not every trade can be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex is maintaining a consistent strategy, reinforcing discipline, controlling risk, and following sound money management principles. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
How to Trade GBP/USD on October 22: Simple Tips and Trade Review for Beginners
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Trade Review for Tuesday: 1-Hour Chart of GBP/USD On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair continued its slow, downward drift for most of the day. While the British pound has been falling more moderately compared to the euro in recent sessions, both moves appear illogical and lack clear fundamental backing. The recent mild strengthening of the U.S. dollar can be explained only by technical factors. It's important to recall that both the euro and the pound are trading within well-defined sideways ranges on the daily timeframe, which allows for arbitrary, random price moves within those bounds. On the hourly chart, the pair appeared to initiate a new upward trend, which may now be undergoing a technical pullback. Starting today, traders will begin to receive impactful macroeconomic updates, which may affect market sentiment, although it remains difficult to predict how traders will respond in advance. Our view remains that global macro fundamentals continue to support the euro and the pound over the dollar. 5-Minute Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute chart, a single sell signal was generated on Tuesday, just like in EUR/USD—during the overnight session. Traders who acted on the signal had the opportunity to gain around 35 pips. However, movements in GBP/USD remain erratic and low in volatility, something that all traders should keep in mind. How to Trade on Wednesday: On the hourly chart, GBP/USD appears to be forming a new bullish trend, which may become the next upward leg in the broader 2025 rally. As noted before, there are currently no sustainable macroeconomic reasons supporting long-term strength in the U.S. dollar. Therefore, over the mid-term horizon, we expect continued gains toward the upside. Still, market volatility remains extremely low, and the pair has yet to show any momentum to the upside. On Wednesday, the pair may attempt to resume its upward movement, as the trend structure has shifted to bullish. However, to initiate long positions, the price must first consolidate above the 1.3413–1.3421 zone. Alternatively, bullish entries may follow a rebound from the 1.3329–1.3331 area, though this setup implies a continuation of current bearish pressure before potential reversal. On the 5-minute chart, you can now trade at levels 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3203-1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329-1.3331, 1.3413-1.3421, 1.3466-1.3475, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3574-1.3590, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3682, and 1.3763. On Wednesday, the UK will release its September consumer inflation report—one of the first meaningful economic releases of the week. This report could trigger sharp market reactions. Inflation in the United Kingdom has been rising steadily for a year now, and the Bank of England is unlikely to lower interest rates in the near term. This remains a fundamentally positive factor for the pound. Core Trading System RulesThe strength of any signal is determined by how quickly it forms (breakout or rebound). The faster it forms, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades have occurred near a level, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.During flat markets, any pair may generate many false signals—or fail to generate any at all. In these scenarios, it's better to suspend trading when the flat is confirmed.Trades should be executed between the beginning of the European session and the midpoint of the U.S. session. All open positions should be manually closed afterward.On the 1-hour chart, MACD-based trades should only be executed when good volatility and a clear trend are present, preferably confirmed by a visible trendline or channel.If two levels are located too close together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance area rather than individual levels.Once a trade moves 20 pips in your favor, the Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven to protect capital.What's on the Chart?Support and resistance levels represent key price zones, often suitable for placing Take Profit orders.Red lines indicate trendlines or trend channels and denote the current market direction.The MACD (14,22,3) indicator and its histogram/signal line serve as a useful tool for confirming entries.Murray levels can help estimate the range or limits of trend and correction phases.Volatility levels (red horizontal lines) define the probable price range based on recent price action.The CCI indicator provides reversal signals when entering overbought (above +250) or oversold (below -250) zones.Important Note for Beginners Trading during major news events (as listed on the calendar) can significantly impact price movement. During such times, trade cautiously or step out of the market entirely to avoid a sharp reversal against your position. Beginners must remember that not every trade can be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex is maintaining a consistent strategy, reinforcing discipline, controlling risk, and following sound money management principles. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
How to Trade EUR/USD on October 22: Simple Tips and Trade Review for Beginners
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Trade Review for Tuesday: 1-Hour Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued drifting lower slowly and with low volatility. The euro has now declined for three straight days, despite having no fundamental or technical justification. We continue to view nearly any current growth in the U.S. dollar as illogical. Traders should keep in mind the clearly visible range-bound structure on the daily timeframe, which may be the main reason behind the unusual and erratic price movements. On both Monday and Tuesday, there were no noteworthy economic reports or events in either the Eurozone or the United States. As a result, traders had little to react to. The upward trend on the hourly chart remains in force after the recent breakout above another descending trendline. However, the pair continues falling despite the absence of a clear reason. 5-Minute Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute timeframe, only one valid trading signal was generated throughout Tuesday, and it formed during the Asian session. The price perfectly bounced off the 1.1655 level, then proceeded to decline by 40 pips. Those traders who managed to act on this signal may have booked solid short-term gains, especially considering the limited daily volatility. How to Trade on Wednesday: On the hourly chart, EUR/USD is starting to exhibit signs of a resumed upward trend. The descending trendline has once again been broken, and the overall fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. Therefore, we continue to anticipate further development of the 2025 bullish trend. However, traders should keep in mind that the broad sideways range on the daily timeframe continues to dictate price behavior. It is this very flat structure that leads to low volatility and irrational movements on lower timeframes. On Wednesday, EUR/USD may move in any direction, once again due to the absence of fundamentals. The next trading signals are likely to emerge near the 1.1571–1.1584 area, where the price was located at the time of writing. For intraday trading on the 5-minute chart, the following levels should be monitored: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1745–1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. On Wednesday, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to give another public speech, but market interest remains very low. Meanwhile, the U.S. economic calendar is empty. Core Trading System RulesThe strength of any signal is determined by how quickly it forms (breakout or rebound). The faster it forms, the stronger the signal.If two or more false trades have occurred near a level, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.During flat markets, any pair may generate many false signals—or fail to generate any at all. In these scenarios, it's better to suspend trading when the flat is confirmed.Trades should be executed between the beginning of the European session and the midpoint of the U.S. session. All open positions should be manually closed afterward.On the 1-hour chart, MACD-based trades should only be executed when good volatility and a clear trend are present, preferably confirmed by a visible trendline or channel.If two levels are located too close together (5–20 pips), treat them as a support/resistance area rather than individual levels.Once a trade moves 15 pips in your favor, the Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven to protect capital.What's on the Chart?Support and resistance levels represent key price zones, often suitable for placing Take Profit orders.Red lines indicate trendlines or trend channels and denote the current market direction.The MACD (14,22,3) indicator and its histogram/signal line serve as a useful tool for confirming entries.Murray levels can help estimate the range or limits of trend and correction phases.Volatility levels (red horizontal lines) define the probable price range based on recent price action.The CCI indicator provides reversal signals when entering overbought (above +250) or oversold (below -250) zones.Important Note for Beginners Trading during major news events (as listed on the calendar) can significantly impact price movement. During such times, trade cautiously or step out of the market entirely to avoid a sharp reversal against your position. Beginners must remember that not every trade can be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex is maintaining a consistent strategy, reinforcing discipline, controlling risk, and following sound money management principles. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Gold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish reversal triggered after 8% sell-off
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Key takeaways Gold’s sharp correction: XAU/USD plunged over 8% from its all-time high of US$4,381, marking its steepest drop since August 2020.Short-term bullish reversal signs: Technical indicators, including bullish “Hammer” candlestick formations and RSI divergence, signal potential rebound momentum.Medium-term uptrend intact: Gold remains supported by a sustained downtrend in the 10-year US Treasury real yield below 1.87%.Key levels to watch: Support sits at US$4,056/4,000; resistance zones at US$4,267, US$4,380, and US$4,424/4,455. Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a volatile movement in the past three sessions. The precious yellow metal has managed to reverse the 1.7% loss it incurred last Friday, 17 October 2025, and rallied by 2.4% on Monday, 22 October 2025, to print a fresh record high of US$4,381. Thereafter, gold (XAU/USD) recorded a swift decline on Tuesday, 21 October 2025, where it tumbled by 6.3% on an intraday basis, but it pared back some losses to close at US$4,125 with a daily loss of -5.3%, still a significant occurrence as yesterday’s loss was the worst since August 2020. Yesterday’s swift decline is likely due to stop-losses triggered on short-term leveraged long positions on gold (XAU/USD), where it has gained “attraction” after the bullish breakout triggered on 29 August 2025 from the prior 4-month of “Ascending Triangle” range configuration that led to a steep bullish impulsive up move sequences in the recent two months. Interestingly, longer-term technical elements and one key macro factor are still suggesting that the medium-term and major uptrend phases of gold (XAU/USD) remain intact. A lower long-term US real interest rate acts as a tailwind for gold zoom_out_map Fig. 1: 10-year US Treasury real yield with Gold (XAU/USD) medium-term & major trends as of 22 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) The 10-year US Treasury real yield (excluding 10-year breakeven inflation rate) medium-term downtrend remains intact as it remained below its 50-day moving average and 1.87% key medium-term resistance (see Fig. 1). Based on intermarket analysis, a cap on any further rebound in the 10-year US Treasury real yield below 1.87% and a break below 1.66% key intermediate support reduces the opportunity costs of holding gold (XAU/USD) as it is a non-income-bearing asset, in turn, creating a further positive feedback loop back into the price actions of gold (XAU/USD). Interestingly, the prior decline in the 10-year US Treasury real yield from 2.05% on 1 August 2025 to 1.79% on 28 August 2025 coincided with gold (XAU/USD)’s bullish breakout from its former 4-month “Ascending Triangle” range configuration in place since April 2025. Let’s now examine the latest short-term trajectory (1 to 3 days), relevant key elements, and key levels to watch for Gold (XAU/USD) from a technical analysis perspective Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) – Bullish reversal at US$4,056/4,000 key support zoom_out_map Fig. 2: Gold (XAU/USD) minor trend as of 22 Oct 2025 (Source: TradingView) Watch the US$4,056/4,000 key medium-term pivotal support, and a clearance above US$4,203 is likely for the bullish reversal scenario to gain traction for the next intermediate resistances to come in at US$4,267, US$4,380 (current all-time high area), and US$4,424/4,455 (see Fig. 2). Key elements Gold (XAU/USD) has staged a swift decline of 8.6% from its current all-time high of US$4,381 printed on Monday, 20 October 2025, to a current intraday low of US$4,004 on Wednesday, 22 October 2025, at the time of writing.The 8% plus rapid decline in the price actions of gold (XAU/USD) has led the hourly RSI momentum indicator of gold to hit an extreme oversold level of 19.61on Wednesday, 22 October 2025, and subsequently, flashed out a bullish divergence condition.The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) has formed an hourly bullish “Hammer” candlestick in today’s Asia session, right after a retest of its rising 20-day moving average. Also, it has formed an impending daily “Hammer” candlestick. These observations suggest a potential capitulation of bearish momentum.Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) Failure to hold at the US$4,056/4,000 key medium-term support invalidates the bullish reversal scenario for gold (XAU/USD), where a medium-term (multi-week) corrective decline may unfold to expose the next intermediate supports at US$3,943 and US$3,895/3,864 Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Chainlink To $100? Analyst Says This Breakout Could Be The Trigger
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An analyst has pointed out how Chainlink could see a major bullish breakout if its price can break past the resistance barrier of this technical analysis (TA) channel. Chainlink Is Currently Trading Inside A Triangle In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a level that could trigger a major bull rally for Chainlink. The level in question is the upper line of a Triangle from TA. This pattern appears whenever an asset’s price trades between two converging trendlines. Like any other consolidation channel in TA, the upper line of a Triangle is a source of resistance and lower one that of support. Triangles can be classified into different types depending on how the trendlines are oriented. The upper line being parallel to the time-axis results in what’s known as an “Ascending Triangle.” Similarly, the lower level being parallel forms a “Descending Triangle.” These two types correspond to consolidation periods in the asset where its range narrows to an upside and downside, respectively. When the range shrinks down with no bias, the resulting channel is called a “Symmetrical Triangle.” In this Triangle, the trendlines approach each other at a roughly equal and opposite slope. The Triangle that Chainlink has been following for the last few years doesn’t cleanly fit into any of these classes. Instead, its channel lies somewhere between an Ascending Triangle and a Symmetrical Triangle, as the chart shared by Martinez shows. As is visible in the above graph, the 1-day price of Chainlink retested the upper level of the Triangle earlier in the year and found rejection. The coin has since been on the way down. The chart also shows that LINK is slowly approaching the end of this multi-year channel. Generally, breakouts become more likely the smaller an asset’s range gets. As the coin is clearly trading inside a narrow region now, a breakout could be coming closer. A surge above a Triangle is usually a bullish sign, while a decline under the channel can lead to bearish action. As such, the next retest from Chainlink could be worth keeping an eye on, as a breakout could set the tone for the coin’s upcoming price action. It only remains to be seen, however, whether LINK would next retest the upper level or the lower one. In the scenario that the coin can break past the resistance line situated around $25, the analyst thinks its price could see a bull rally. For the target, Martinez has referred to the 1.272 Fibonacci Extension level. Fibonacci Extension levels drawn up from the top (considered as the 1 level), based on ratios from the famous Fibonacci series. The 1.272 level indicated by the analyst lies around $100. LINK Price At the time of writing, Chainlink is floating around $18, down over 2% in the last seven days. -
Bitcoin Weekly RSI Points To More Upside, But Can the Bulls Defend $107,000?
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Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows promising signs of strength as the RSI continues to climb, hinting at the potential for further upside. However, the battle isn’t over yet. With price hovering near the critical $107,000 support, bulls must defend this level to prevent deeper downside pressure. RSI And Price Alignment: A Textbook Case Of Momentum Confirmation In a recent market update, EGRAG CRYPTO questioned whether the bulls and bears are even analyzing the same chart, as the current macro weekly structure of Bitcoin shows no signs of bearishness. The broader setup remains firmly bullish, suggesting that the ongoing price movements are part of a healthy uptrend. The analyst emphasized that when Bitcoin’s price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rise simultaneously on the weekly timeframe, it serves as a confirmation of momentum rather than a warning sign. This alignment often signals strong buying interest and market conviction, supporting the argument for continued bullish pressure in the near to mid-term. EGRAG CRYPTO further highlighted that the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ribbon remains supportive, reinforcing the trend’s strength. In the expert’s view, the current setup is a clear indication of macro confirmation, not mere market noise. Such alignment between indicators typically precedes significant continuation phases, showing that the trend remains well-structured and sustainable. However, the expert added a note of caution, stating that traders should only be wary if the RSI climbs into overbought territory above 70, which could suggest a temporary cooldown. For now, with RSI hovering around 50, Bitcoin still has plenty of room to run. This leaves the market with a strong technical foundation and considerable potential for further upside momentum. Bitcoin Faces Rejection At $111,000: Bulls Lose Grip On Momentum According to Crypto VIP Signal’s latest analysis, Bitcoin is currently facing challenges after failing to sustain its upward momentum above $111,000. The rejection from this point suggests that selling pressure remains strong, keeping bullish momentum temporarily in check. Crypto VIP explained that Bitcoin is now retesting the $107,000 support zone, a critical area that could determine the next possible move. Holding this level is essential to prevent a deeper pullback, as it has served as a key foundation during previous consolidation phases. However, a decisive break below the $107,000 support would likely trigger additional selling pressure, potentially extending the ongoing correction. Monitoring this level closely now appears important, since a bounce from here could reignite bullish sentiment, while a breakdown might expose Bitcoin to further downside risks in the short term. -
Analyst Says 55% Chance Bitcoin Bull Run Isn’t Over Yet – Here’s Why
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While Bitcoin (BTC) has declined more than 13% from its fresh all-time high (ATH) of $126,199 recorded earlier this month on October 6, CryptoQuant contributor PelinayPA is confident that there is a 55% chance that the BTC top for this market cycle is not in yet. Bitcoin Top Not In Yet – More Upside Ahead? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, there is a 55% probability that the Bitcoin top for the ongoing market cycle is not in yet. The analyst highlighted BTC’s recent on-chain flows to support their claim. In their analysis, PelinayPA noted that although BTC’s price has tumbled from more than $126,000 to around $109,000 in the second half of 2025, there has been a noticeable increase in 0-1 day BTC inflows to exchanges. A rise in 0-1 days BTC inflows to exchange typically has two implications – short-term traders are taking profits, and there is a temporary phase of repositioning of liquidity as traders transfer their holdings to exchanges, anticipating price volatility. The analyst added that BTC held for more than six months is largely inactive, indicating that long-term holders are likely not selling despite the recent market crash. This signals market confidence among long-term holders, minimizing the possibility of another major sell-off in the near term. PelinayPA remarked that such behavior typically occurs in the mid or maturing stages of a bull cycle, where any dip in price is seen as an opportunity to accumulate instead of a trend reversal. Currently, the Bitcoin market is in a natural consolidation phase within an ongoing uptrend. The analyst added: In the short term, Bitcoin could revisit the $102K region as short term traders continue to take profits. However, since this selling pressure originates mainly from newer holders, it is unlikely to disrupt the broader bullish structure. These dips may offer attractive entry opportunities. Concluding, Pelinay commented that the lack of selling activity among BTC holders in the 6-months to 10-year time-band range shows that there is a 55% probability that the bull market top has not yet formed. BTC Could Dip To $102,000 The CryptoQuant contributor noted that, although it is likely that the BTC bull market top is not in yet, it does not mean that the top cryptocurrency would not see further temporary decline. If selling persists, BTC could once again test the $102,000 support level. Similarly, crypto analyst Elliot Waves Academy remarked that BTC has likely finished the bullish leg of the ongoing market cycle. The analyst added that BTC is likely to consolidate around its current levels. That said, a fellow CryptoQuant contributor noted that BTC has entered the ‘disbelief phase,’ and may take the bears by surprise with a sharp surge in price. At press time, BTC trades at $108,472, down 2% in the past 24 hours. -
Dogecoin Slams Into $2.22 Billion Wall At $0.21 But Targets Above Are Explosive
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Dogecoin is confronting a dense supply overhang at the $0.21 neighborhood, where on-chain data show a striking concentration of realized cost. Market analyst Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) highlighted a Glassnode cost-basis distribution heatmap showing a heavy band at that level Dogecoin Bulls Face $2.2 Billion Wall “10.50 billion $DOGE were accumulated at $0.21. That’s a big resistance zone forming. Keep this level on your radar!” he wrote. The underlying tooltip on Ali’s chart (timestamped Oct. 19, 2025, UTC) pinpoints a Cost Basis Range: $0.21062334–$0.21144839 with Supply: 10,575,420,761.332544 DOGE clustered there. At $0.21, that cohort represents roughly $2.22 billion in supply. The technical context around that same band adds weight to the on-chain reading. In a separate TradingView chart shared Oct. 20, Ali noted that Dogecoin “just bounced off the channel support and looks set to climb. Eyes on $0.29 first, then $0.45 and $0.86.” Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Sees Echoes Of 2021 His channel overlay tracks price respecting an ascending structure across multiple tests since 2023, with intermediate waypoints aligning closely to classical retracement and extension levels. Notably, the $0.21 area intersects the 0.618 retracement at ~$0.21205 on his plot—an overlap of technical and realized-price resistance that helps explain the current stall and the importance of clearing this shelf with convincing volume. DOGE Whales Continue To Accumulate A separate on-chain lens from Cryptollica (@Cryptollica) focuses on holder concentration dynamics. Sharing a long-horizon chart titled “Percent of Supply Held by Top 1% Addresses,” the analyst observed, “The supply held %1 data downward trend has not yet been seen as the price moves toward a new all-time high. To the moon > Target: $1.30.” The graphic shows the top-1% cohort maintaining an elevated—and recently rising—share of supply as price has recovered from the cycle lows. While such concentration is often interpreted as a proxy for large-holder conviction or tighter float, it can simultaneously amplify directional moves when those balances rotate; for now, the absence of a downtrend in the metric suggests no broad distribution from the largest addresses has materialized. Read together, the three signals sketch a coherent near-term battleground. First, the cost-basis heatmap identifies a thick realized-supply node precisely where spot is grappling—$0.21—implying latent sell pressure from holders looking to exit at break-even and equally strong validation if price can flip the level into support. Second, Ali’s price structure marks that same zone as Fibonacci resistance within an established rising channel, sharpening the inflection. Third, top-holder concentration has not rolled over, reducing evidence (so far) of heavy distribution into strength. If bulls absorb the ~$2.2 billion equivalent sitting at $0.21 and reclaim the 0.618 band, Ali’s stepped upside $0.29 (0.786 Fib), $0.46 (1.0 Fib) and $0.86 (1.272 Fib extension) path provides a clear roadmap of overhead targets; if they fail, the confluence argues for a renewed retest of channel support before any larger move. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.195. -
On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair once again traded with low volatility and continued to drift lower. This isn't surprising, as the week has not yet delivered a single significant event or report that could motivate traders to become more active. There's little for the market to respond to. Many factors continue to be overlooked, U.S. economic data has been halved due to the government shutdown, and the daily chart clearly shows a flat market. In such an environment, expecting strong moves, meaningful signals, and profits becomes difficult. In yesterday's EUR/USD analysis, we discussed the flat formation. GBP/USD shows the same structure on the daily chart: since July 1, the pair has been trading between 1.3140 and 1.3780. That gives us a sideways range over 600 pips wide—but this is a daily timeframe, and the scale is appropriate. At the moment, the British pound has all the advantages on its side. If we were observing a continuation of the uptrend instead of the current flat, that scenario would seem entirely logical. Therefore, we believe that the market is simply preparing for the next trend—more specifically, a new leg of the 2025 bullish trend. However, it's worth emphasizing that flat markets rarely end quietly or easily. While the forex market is less prone to manipulation than cryptocurrencies, such activity still occurs here. In the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) trading theory, there's a concept known as "deviation." This refers to a false breakout—when the price appears to break a range boundary, triggering orders and pulling liquidity before sharply reversing. Retail traders believe the range has broken, only to be caught on the wrong side by market makers who intentionally move prices in the opposite direction to harvest liquidity. We consider it entirely possible that the current flat on the daily GBP/USD chart could conclude similarly. There are two clearly defined lows—August 1 and October 14. One of these may be falsely breached for liquidity purposes, after which the pound could begin its new ascent. Such liquidity grabs are not guaranteed, but they are common enough to plan for. At this time, however, there is no clear motivation in the market to push the pair higher. By all indications, the sideways movement continues. There will be a few key events this week for both the dollar and the pound, but these are unlikely to be strong enough to break the flat structure. Historically, flat markets tend to end suddenly. The market may ignore important headlines for days or weeks, only to start a major move seemingly "out of nowhere." Therefore, readiness is critical. As of October 22, average volatility for GBP/USD over the past five trading days stands at 67 pips, classified as "average." For Wednesday, expected price action is likely to remain within the 1.3314 to 1.3448 range. The upper linear regression channel remains pointed upward, signaling a clear long-term uptrend. The CCI indicator has entered oversold territory three times recently, increasing the likelihood of trend resumption. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.3367 S2 – 1.3306 S3 – 1.3245 Nearest Resistance Levels:R1 – 1.3428 R2 – 1.3489 R3 – 1.3550 Trading Recommendations:GBP/USD continues to attempt a resumption of the 2025 uptrend, and its long-term outlook remains intact. Donald Trump's policy agenda continues to pressure the dollar, so we do not expect sustained strength from the U.S. currency. Long positions targeting 1.3672 and 1.3733 remain preferable if the price is above the moving average. If the price falls below the MA line, short positions may be considered based on technical conditions, targeting 1.3314 and 1.3306. The U.S. dollar does occasionally show technical rebounds, but another leg higher is unlikely without a resolution to ongoing trade tensions or other strong, market-friendly developments. Explanation of Chart Components:Linear regression channels help identify the current trend. If both channels are aligned in the same direction, the trend is considered strong.The smoothed moving average (settings: 20,0) indicates the short-term trend and the direction in which trading should currently be conducted.Murray levels act as targets for trending and corrective moves.Volatility levels (red lines) define the probable trading range for the day based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator signals impending trend reversals when it enters oversold (below -250) or overbought (above +250) zones.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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EUR/USD Overview for October 22. When a Boring Monday Ends, a Boring Tuesday Begins
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade with low volatility in the complete absence of fundamental or macroeconomic events. The U.S. dollar managed to gain several dozen pips throughout the session, but one can hardly call this move justified. The dollar is once again strengthening for unclear reasons, even after a shift toward an upward trend. That said, the answers to all the questions can be found easily by simply switching to the daily timeframe. On the daily chart, it's clearly visible that since around July 1, EUR/USD has been trading in a flat. The sideways range is limited by the 1.1400 and 1.1825 levels. This gives the range a breadth of 425 pips, which may seem wide for a flat market. However, given that this is the daily timeframe, the width is proportionate. Yes, flat markets can indeed occur on higher timeframes, and in such cases, questions about the apparent randomness in price behavior become irrelevant. Another critical point to highlight is that this flat is unfolding at the top of the chart. The euro had rallied for about six months without a significant correction and then entered a sideways phase. In the medium term, the dollar has demonstrated no growth at all. It has merely posted a minor pullback and has now been waiting for several months for the market to begin the next wave of dollar selling. Meanwhile, on the 4-hour and lower timeframes, we observe alternating trends or directional movements. Since most traders are used to explaining every market move, many are now resorting to creative rationalizations for the dollar's growth. Among the reasons cited are the political crisis in France (which occurs every few months), the supposedly insufficiently dovish stance of the Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell (even though they are now far more dovish than they were earlier this year), and the classic narrative of growing risk-off sentiment. In short, many in the market are doing their best to retroactively justify the dollar's strength. However, few are actually forecasting a rally in the dollar beforehand. From our perspective, the recent movements are entirely explained by the flat on the daily timeframe. Price action within a flat structure has always been highly random, and that's why much of the recent dollar-negative narrative has been overlooked. We believe that market makers are still forming positions for the next trend. In our view, it is obvious that this next trend will be another bullish wave driven by Donald Trump's second term as U.S. president. As of October 22, the average volatility of the EUR/USD pair over the past five trading days stands at 55 pips, which is considered "average." We expect Wednesday's trading range to fall between 1.1561 and 1.1671. The upper linear regression channel is still pointing upward, indicating that the longer-term uptrend is intact. The CCI indicator has once again dipped into oversold territory, which could provoke a new wave of upward movement. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.1597 S2 – 1.1536 S3 – 1.1475 Nearest Resistance Levels:R1 – 1.1658 R2 – 1.1719 R3 – 1.1780 Trading Recommendations:The EUR/USD pair is attempting to resume an upward trend on the 4-hour timeframe, and on all higher timeframes, the bullish trend remains intact. The U.S. dollar continues to be heavily influenced by Donald Trump's policies, which show no sign of slowing. While the dollar has recently strengthened, the local reasons behind it remain, at best, ambiguous. The flat on the daily chart explains this indecision. When the price is below the moving average, minor short positions can be considered with targets at 1.1561 and 1.1536 on purely technical grounds. When the price is above the moving average, long positions remain relevant, with targets at 1.1841 and 1.1902, continuing the trend. Explanation of Chart Components:Linear regression channels help identify the current trend. If both channels are aligned in the same direction, the trend is considered strong.The smoothed moving average (settings: 20,0) indicates the short-term trend and the direction in which trading should currently be conducted.Murray levels act as targets for trending and corrective moves.Volatility levels (red lines) define the probable trading range for the day based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator signals impending trend reversals when it enters oversold (below -250) or overbought (above +250) zones.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD 5M Analysis On Tuesday, GBP/USD spent the entire day in a clear flat, which was visible on any timeframe. Unlike EUR/USD, which has been falling for two consecutive days, this behavior seemed logical, considering that there were no significant events or macroeconomic reports out of the UK or the U.S. on that day. From a technical standpoint, everything remains consistent as well. The pair initiated a new bullish trend structure, followed by a modest correction. At the time of writing, the price remains above the Senkou Span B line, which supports a continuation of the bullish sentiment. In our view, the rise of the British pound should resume regardless, as the global fundamental backdrop does not suggest a reversal. Today, the UK is set to release one of the most important reports of the week—consumer inflation data. It's difficult to predict how the market will react, given that inflation in the UK is already well above the target level. A further rise in inflation would likely eliminate any possibility of the Bank of England easing monetary policy through the end of the year, which could support the pound. On the 5-minute chart, trading signals were irrelevant on Tuesday. The pair moved in a narrow sideways channel between the Senkou Span B and Kijun-sen lines, with the levels 1.3369 and 1.3377 squeezed in between. As soon as the price moved away from one level, it immediately collided with another, leaving no room for clean entries. COT Report COT data for the British pound shows that the sentiment among commercial traders has been constantly changing in recent years. The red and blue lines, which display the net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders, frequently intersect and mostly hover near the zero line. Currently, they are close to equal, reflecting a balanced number of long and short positions. The U.S. dollar continues to weaken due to Donald Trump's policies, so demand for the British pound among market makers is not currently a major factor driving the market. The trade war is expected to continue in one form or another for an extended period. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates further in the coming year. Dollar demand is likely to keep decreasing as a result. According to the latest report on the pound, the "Non-commercial" group opened 3,700 long contracts and closed 900 short ones, increasing their net long position by 4,600 contracts for the week. In 2025, the pound has posted significant gains—entirely due to Trump's economic and trade policies. Once that influence fades, a dollar rebound may begin, but no one knows precisely when that might happen. It no longer matters how quickly net positions for the pound are rising or falling—what matters is that net dollar positioning continues to decline, often at a faster rate. GBP/USD 1H Analysis On the hourly chart, GBP/USD has finally ended its downtrend and started a new upward cycle. The U.S. dollar still lacks any meaningful global support for strengthening, so we expect the pair to continue growing toward its 2025 highs under most scenarios. The only issue remains the long-running flat trend still visible on the daily chart. However, it's already clear that Trump's trade war is escalating again, market tensions are rising, and the Fed remains firmly in easing mode—a toxic combination for the USD. For October 22, the following key levels are noted for trading: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3307, 1.3369–1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3533–1.3548, 1.3584, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. The Senkou Span B line (1.3368) and the Kijun-sen line (1.3404) can also generate signals during the day. It is recommended to move the Stop Loss to breakeven once the price moves 20 pips in the correct direction. Ichimoku lines may shift throughout the day, so they should be monitored in real time for accurate signal confirmation. On Wednesday, the UK will publish one of this week's few key macroeconomic reports—inflation data—which could stir a significant market reaction. The U.S. calendar again remains empty. Trading Recommendations: Today, traders may initiate trades from the 1.3369–1.3377 area or from the Senkou Span B line. The British pound has started an upward trend, so we expect that momentum to continue in the near term with targets at 1.3533–1.3548. A consolidation below the Senkou Span B line could open the way for small, short-term short positions.Explanation of Chart Elements:Support and resistance levels – thick red lines where price movement may pause or reverse; not direct trade signalsKijun-sen and Senkou Span B – Ichimoku indicator lines transferred from the 4H to the 1H timeframe; they are considered strong levelsExtremes – thin red lines where price has previously reversed; they may act as trade triggersYellow lines – trendlines, channels, or other technical formationsCOT Indicator 1 – net position size of each trader categoryThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Trading Recommendations and Trade Review for EUR/USD on October 22: The Paradox Remains
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
EUR/USD 5M Analysis On Tuesday, EUR/USD once again traded with low volatility, though the movement was clearly downward—continuing the pattern seen on Monday. As a result, the beginning of the new week continues to favor the U.S. dollar. As for the reasons behind this move, are they still relevant? For three weeks in a row, we've been repeating the same point: there are no valid reasons for the dollar's growth. Still, on the daily timeframe, the price remains within a flat structure, and within this range (spanning over 400 pips), movements can be entirely random—which is precisely what we're witnessing. There were no significant events or data releases on Tuesday from either the Eurozone or the United States. Not even Donald Trump made any notable comments. Thus, the market had nothing to react to, and yet once again the U.S. dollar strengthened "out of nowhere." At this point, the 1.1604–1.1615 area is offering some support to the euro, but that's not the crucial issue. What truly matters is how easily and effortlessly the price passes through Ichimoku indicator lines, which, in our view, makes the daily timeframe the most relevant for analysis at the moment. On the 5-minute chart, the intraday movements can be clearly observed. The pair descended from the 1.1657–1.1666 area, smoothly passed through the Senkou Span B and Kijun-sen lines, and paused near 1.1604–1.1615. There were no viable entry points, as the price encountered new levels and lines every 10 to 15 pips, leaving no space for unconflicted positions. COT Report The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report is dated September 23. No new data has been released since then due to the U.S. government shutdown. The chart above shows that non-commercial traders' net positions remained bullish for a long time. Bears briefly gained control in late 2024, but quickly lost it again. Since Trump returned to office for a second term, the dollar has been consistently losing value. While we can't say with certainty that this decline will continue, recent global developments suggest that the likely scenario is further U.S. dollar weakness. Once Trump's trade wars eventually conclude, a dollar rebound is possible. However, recent trends suggest that trade tensions will persist in some form. The potential loss of Federal Reserve independence is another major source of pressure on the greenback. The positioning of the red and blue lines on the indicator still suggests a persistent bullish sentiment. During the last reporting week, the number of long positions among non-commercial traders declined by 800 contracts, while shorts increased by 2,600, leading to a net reduction of 3,400 contracts. However, this data is now outdated and largely irrelevant. EUR/USD 1H Analysis On the hourly timeframe, EUR/USD may have ended its bearish trend two weeks ago. Still, the euro has been falling confidently in recent days—a move that's increasingly difficult to explain without venturing into science fiction. We believe the underlying cause of these illogical movements is the flat range on the daily timeframe. If the 1.1604–1.1615 area is breached, the decline is likely to continue regardless of fundamental justification. For October 22, the following levels are relevant for trading: 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604–1.1615, 1.1657–1.1666, 1.1750–1.1760, 1.1846–1.1857, 1.1922, 1.1971–1.1988, as well as the Senkou Span B line at 1.1651 and the Kijun-sen line at 1.1667. Note: the lines of the Ichimoku indicator may shift throughout the day, and this should be accounted for when identifying signals. Also, when the price moves 15 pips in the intended direction, set the Stop Loss to breakeven. This will protect against losses from false breakouts. On Wednesday, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will speak once again in the Eurozone. However, she has spoken at least ten times over the last few weeks, and none of those appearances provided the market with meaningful information. In the U.S., the economic calendar is empty once again. Trading Recommendations: On Wednesday, traders may look to trade from the 1.1604–1.1615 area. To open long positions targeting 1.1651, wait for a clear rebound from this area. Short positions may be considered if the price consolidates below 1.1604–1.1615, with a bearish target at 1.1534. Explanation of Chart Elements: Support and resistance levels – thick red lines where price movement may pause or reverse; not direct trade signalsKijun-sen and Senkou Span B – Ichimoku indicator lines transferred from the 4H to the 1H timeframe; they are considered strong levelsExtremes – thin red lines where price has previously reversed; they may act as trade triggersYellow lines – trendlines, channels, or other technical formationsCOT Indicator 1 – net position size of each trader categoryThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Boa noite, traders e membros do ExpertFX. Assistimos hoje a uma queda abrupta e violenta (Short Squeeze) no preço do ouro (XAU/USD) em mais de $300 e da prata (XAG/USD) em $4, em total contraste com um cenário fundamentalista que grita por valorização: dívida dos EUA em $38T, governo fechado (shutdown), tensões geopolíticas e, crucialmente, uma escassez física gritante de metais preciosos confirmada (LBMA e varejo chinês). Por Igor Pereira, Analista de Mercado Financeiro, Membro Junior WallStreet NYSE Para o investidor comum, essa ação de preço é ilógica. Para nós, que operamos com a lente de Wyckoff, é a manualização perfeita de uma liquidez short squeeze que nós vinha comentando aqui na ExpertFX. A narrativa de de ruídos "melhor vender seu ouro e prata físico e manter fiduciários" é uma armadilha. É fundamental ressaltar que movimentos tão bruscos, na faixa de 4% a 6% em um dia para o ouro e a prata, são eventos raríssimos. Desde 1971, ocorreram apenas 13 vezes. Isso reforça a natureza extraordinária do "shakeout" atual. Vamos mergulhar no gráfico e decodificar o que realmente está acontecendo. Análise Wyckoff Detalhada do Gráfico XAU/USD (1h) Observando o gráfico de 1 hora, podemos identificar as seguintes fases e eventos: 1. Contexto Pré-Queda: Um CLÍMAX e Distribuição Sutil UTAD (UpThrust After Distribution): Vemos um UTAD claro no topo do range, indicando que os "Smart Money" (dinheiro inteligente) estavam vendendo para a euforia dos compradores atrasados. Linha de Tendência Quebrada e SOW (Sign of Weakness): A quebra da linha de tendência ascendente, seguida de um SOW (Sign of Weakness), sinalizou que a demanda estava diminuindo e a oferta estava começando a dominar. O mercado já estava em uma fase de distribuição de curto prazo, preparando o terreno para a queda. ChoCH (Change of Character): A primeira grande barra de venda, que quebrou a estrutura ascendente, foi um ChoCH, indicando uma mudança clara no comportamento do mercado de alta para baixa. 2. A Queda Violenta: O "Shakeout" Perfeito Movimento "ABCD" em Direção à Liquidez: A queda violenta de mais de $200 não é aleatória. Ela segue um padrão de venda forte que mira níveis de liquidez abaixo, atingindo stops e forçando a venda por pânico. O padrão "ABCD" marcado no gráfico sugere um movimento de correção direcionado. Alcançando o "Shakeout?": A flecha roxa apontando para "shakeout?" é perfeitamente descritiva. Essa queda brutal, em meio a notícias fundamentalmente bullish para o ouro e a prata, é o manual do "shakeout" (sacudida). Propósito: O "Smart Money" usa notícias e o momentum de venda para: Assustar: Fazer com que investidores do varejo, que não entendem a profundidade dos fundamentos, vendam suas posições por medo de mais perdas. Pegar Stops: Acionar stops de compra e liquidações forçadas, adicionando combustível à queda. Coletar: Acumular metal físico a preços mais baixos, enquanto os fundamentos de escassez (LBMA, China) permanecem inalterados ou pioram. 3. Níveis Críticos para Observar (Segundo o Gráfico): Neckline 4181.77: Este é um nível crucial. A quebra e teste dele foi um "breakdown" inicial. Suporte Major em 4051.57 (e abaixo): O gráfico aponta para uma zona de suporte em torno de 4051.57, e as zonas de demanda DEMAND M30 abaixo (4019.45 e 3995.74), aproximando-se da linha mediana. Se a queda for contida acima de 4000-4055 (como na nossa análise técnica anterior), podemos ver uma retomada. Linha de Tendência Inferior (Suporte Dinâmico): A linha de tendência ascendente azul que se estende desde o fundo da acumulação anterior, passando pela zona de 3952.70 (BREAKOUT... REJEIÇÃO), servirá como um suporte dinâmico crucial. O mercado provavelmente está buscando testar essa região. Atenção ao Nível de $4051: Uma quebra e fechamento significativo (H4 e D1) abaixo do shakeout em $4051,57 invalidaria o cenário de "sacudida" imediata. Nesse caso, o próximo suporte confiável seria em $3864. Fora dessa faixa, não existem suportes sólidos para conter uma queda maior. Conclusão de Igor Pereira Esta queda de $200 no ouro e $4 na prata, em face de um cenário fundamentalista incrivelmente bullish (dívida recorde, governo fechado, tensões geopolíticas, e escassez física confirmada pela LBMA e varejo chinês), não é um sinal de fraqueza intrínseca dos metais preciosos. É, na verdade, uma clássica operação de "shakeout" no Short Squeeze. O "Smart Money" está usando a volatilidade e o pânico para sacudir os detentores fracos e acumular mais metal físico a preços descontados, antes da próxima distribuição. Atenção aos Níveis: Monitorem de perto os níveis de suporte em 4051.57 e especialmente a zona de 4000-4055. Uma rejeição vigorosa nessas áreas, seguida de um volume significativo, indicará que a fase de "sacudida" está terminando e a acumulação para a próxima alta está em andamento. Lembrem-se: uma quebra H4/D1 abaixo de $4051 nos leva a $3864, sem suportes sólidos abaixo até a zona de $3500/oz. O Mercado Vai Acalmar: Esses "short squeezes" violentos, de 4 a 6%, são eventos raros e, historicamente, o mercado tende a se acalmar e apresentar novas oportunidades após tal volatilidade. Não Caia na Armadilha: Não se iludam com narrativas e ruídos. O dinheiro fiduciário não tem proteção contra a realidade que se desenrola. A escassez física é real. A desvalorização fiduciária é um fato. Pronto para navegar a volatilidade e lucrar com as grandes tendências? Junte-se ao ExpertFX Club e tenha acesso exclusivo a análises como esta, em tempo real, com estratégias acionáveis para Ouro, Prata e Bitcoin, tenha acesso aos níveis e o que está acontecendo de curto e médio prazo; Entre agora: https://expertfx.club/
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Bitcoin At A Battleground — This Price Range Will Decide the Next Cycle Phase
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The concept of a price battleground in Bitcoin markets refers to a critical price range where the forces of buying and selling pressure are in a fierce and decisive contest. This is where the outcome is expected to determine BTC’s overall direction and confirm a continuation of a bull market or bear market correction. Why This Zone Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Expansion Phase In an X post, an institutional-grade reporter, Bitcoin Vector, has highlighted that BTC has entered its decisive battleground between $110,000 and $115,000, which could determine the trajectory of the entire cycle. In the past week, spot demand, which is the engine of sustained rallies, was notably weak and capped by the escalating US-China trade tensions. As those tensions eased, that spot demand showed signs of returning, allowing BTC to claw its way back above the critical $110,000 level. Despite recovery back into the battleground, momentum remains negative and flat. Without sustained inflow and spot demand, the bullish structure could fade fast, leaving BTC exposed to another pullback. However, if demand holds and momentum turns up, BTC advances deeper into the battleground. A failure to maintain this range and BTC may risk retreating again and raising the white flag. A full-time crypto trader, Sykodelic, has also offered a highly optimistic prediction that Bitcoin will be back to an All-Time High (ATH) by the end of the month. The market is still in uncertainty and fear, where BTC thrives for its next leg higher. This is the stage of the cycle where disbelief dominates. As a result, traders convince themselves the rally is over, and that’s when BTC starts to move again. By the time BTC approaches its previous highs, traders will finally believe again, which often happens when another long flush clears out late entrants. Technically, BTC price is moving back above the 4-hour 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Each time, Bitcoin successfully retests this level as support, the price continues to expand higher. “I think the worst is behind us,” Sykodelic noted. The Supply Battle That Shapes The Next Cycle The current Bitcoin market is in a supply tug-of-war between two powerful forces. According to the ambassador of MGBX_EN, BitBull, long-term holders (LTHs) have been constantly offloading their coins, while institutions are aggressively absorbing the supply through Spot ETFs and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs). Meanwhile, the treasury holdings have quietly surpassed $120 billion, with BTC still dominating the stack. Spot ETFs alone have absorbed tens of thousands of coins this quarter, proving that institutional demand remains strong. However, LTHs are still selling faster than ETFs, and DATs can absorb. Historically, when this kind of accelerated LTH distribution occurs, BTC tends to lose short-term momentum. This is not a bearish setup, but it does imply that the upside remains temporarily capped until the selling pressure fades. Thus, institutions are buying the strength, not the bottoms. Ultimately, the next major breakout hinges on when long-term holders stop distributing and return to accumulation mode. -
You Want $1K XRP? You’ll Need Iron Nerves — Or ‘Mental Illness’, Analyst Says
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A pro-XRP software developer sparked fresh debate this week by saying it takes “serious conviction” to hold volatile coins like XRP through long, wild swings. Vincent Van Code said holding XRP all the way to $1,000 — let alone $10,000 — would take “mental illness.” His comments have drawn attention not just for the blunt wording but for the story they tell about the human side of crypto risk. Holder Psychology Under Stress According to Van Code, the real test begins long before a coin hits big numbers. He pointed to Bitcoin as an example: Bitcoin traded under $1 in 2010 and now sits above $110,000. Many claim they would have held from those early days, but Van Code argued most people would have sold around $100. Reports have also noted whales who were inactive for more than a decade recently moving coins bought for under $1,000 and cashing out millions or billions. The famous case of the French buyer who spent 10,000 BTC on pizza remains a blunt reminder that people do sell, sometimes at huge regret. XRP Near Key Demand Zone Technical calls are mixed. Ether Nasyonal, a crypto analyst, told followers that XRP is “cooking something” on the 1-month chart and highlighted an important demand zone. Following the sharp drop and quick bounce on Oct. 10, XRP failed to break past $2.5 and is still short of the $3 level. The token is down 14% this month. Past movements add weight to caution: XRP plunged more than 90% after peaking above $3 back in 2018, a crash that punished holders who sold in panic and then watched prices recover later. Personal Stories And Public Bets Some holders frame their approach as a long-term plan. One user, TheXFactor33, said he has held XRP for over eight years and has weathered multiple crashes. Van Code has said he mentally removed the money from his balance sheet and intends not to sell even if prices head far higher. He told followers his aim is to convert the stake into something concrete for his family, such as buying a home for his children. Long-Term Bets Face Real Tests Views on how high XRP could go differ widely. Some analysts project a bullish scenario that sees XRP at $1,000 by 2040, a forecast that would require years of patience — roughly a 15-year hold from today’s levels under $3 — and a lot of market resilience. Meanwhile, a good number of investors say they would cash gains early to pay for cars, houses, or other goals, making multiyear holds rare. Surviving repeated crashes and strong rallies takes more than luck; it takes steady nerves and a plan. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView - Yesterday
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In recent analyses, I've repeatedly mentioned that the market's main challenge right now is uncertainty. Both major instruments—EUR/USD and GBP/USD—have been trading within relatively narrow ranges for several months now. It feels as if the market is frozen, not in anticipation of a holiday miracle, but simply awaiting data and facts. What have we learned during the first two days of this week? Virtually nothing. Negotiations between China and the United States seem to be ongoing, but could collapse at any moment. Donald Trump continues to make new demands, and China's patience is not unlimited. On Monday, Trump demanded that China resume soybean purchases. Previously, he had threatened to ban the purchase of soybean oil. One of the key sticking points remains China's new export restrictions on rare earth minerals. In short, there are many "sharp edges" between the two powers, and there's no guarantee they'll reach the long-awaited agreement. As for the next Federal Reserve meeting, things appear straightforward on the surface—but a "surprise" could still catch traders off guard. The market's currently dovish expectations rest almost entirely on the perceived weakness in the U.S. labor market. Market participants are not only expecting an interest rate cut in October but also in December and January. In essence, medium-term dovish expectations have formed without any real economic data. But what if the U.S. labor market is already recovering and that recovery is simply going unreported due to the government shutdown? It's very possible that the FOMC might lower rates again in October, but then pause in December. It seems we understand the labor market situation—but if it was experiencing a slowdown this summer, that doesn't guarantee it is still slowing this fall. So drawing any definitive conclusions about the health of the labor market would be premature. Based on all of the above, the market is standing still, waiting for concrete developments. These could come in the form of long-delayed U.S. data releases, direct statements from Jerome Powell, or a final outcome in the China–Trump negotiations. However, in my view, such clarity may remain scarce through the end of the year. The "clash of titans" will likely continue. Trump will keep imposing tariffs on new sectors and countries. Pressure on the Fed will resume the moment interest rate cuts stop. And the shutdown could very well break a new record in duration, despite forecasts to the contrary. Until these issues are resolved, we will likely continue to observe sluggish, directionless price movement. Wave Pattern for EUR/USD:Based on my current analysis, EUR/USD is still developing an upward wave segment. The wave structure continues to depend entirely on current news—especially Trump's actions and both domestic and foreign policy developments out of the White House. The current wave may extend to the 1.25 zone. Currently, we appear to be completing corrective wave 4, which has taken on a complex and drawn-out form. Therefore, I continue to expect only purchasing opportunities in the near term. By year-end, I anticipate that the euro will rise toward the 1.2245 level, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci. Wave Pattern for GBP/USD:GBP/USD's wave picture has evolved. We remain within the bounds of a bullish impulsive segment, but the internal structure is becoming more complicated. Wave 4 has formed into a three-wave correction, which is significantly more extended than wave 2. The latest three-wave downward correction appears to have ended. If this assumption proves accurate, the pair's growth may continue in alignment with the broader wave structure. The initial targets of this potential bullish extension lie near the 1.38 and 1.40 zones. Key Principles of My Analysis:Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex formations are difficult to trade and often require adjustment.If you're uncertain about what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.Absolute certainty in market direction does not exist. Always use stop-loss orders to protect capital.Wave analysis can and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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EUR/USD: It Takes Two to Tango – Can the Greenback's Strength Be Trusted?
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The euro-dollar pair is once again approaching the lower boundary of the broad price range between 1.1560 and 1.1730, where it has traded for three consecutive weeks. This lower bound coincides with the bottom line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart, while the upper boundary aligns with the Kijun-sen line on the same timeframe. On one hand, the bearish momentum appears convincing: the pair has been falling almost uninterrupted since Friday, with three straight sessions of decline. On the other hand, the market has seen similarly sharp price moves in both directions over the past two weeks, only for them to be quickly erased. Last Friday, EUR/USD closed at 1.1653. The Friday before that, it ended at 1.1622. Such price behavior suggests that it is far too early to declare the start of a new bearish trend, despite the pair's recent softness. Notably, the dollar's strength continues to grow, even amid rising dovish expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policy moves. Market participants are now highly confident that the Fed will cut rates twice before the end of the year—once at the October meeting and again in December, for a total of 50 basis points. This scenario is currently priced in with over 90% probability, according to a recent Reuters poll. Out of 117 economists surveyed, 115 expect a 25-point cut in October, and 83 foresee another in December. In addition, CME's FedWatch tool shows that the probability of another cut in January has risen to 54%. These dovish expectations are grounded in recent Fed commentary: Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other officials (including Christopher Waller, Stephen Miran, and Michelle Bowman) emphasized concerns about labor market softness, de-emphasizing inflation concerns. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, the September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report has not been released, so markets are relying on the ADP jobs report, which showed a decline of 30,000 in private-sector employment. Likewise, inflation data has been withheld—except for one key report: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September, scheduled for release Friday (October 24). If the CPI misses expectations (lands in the "red zone"), markets will become even more certain that the Fed will cut rates by 75 basis points over the next four months. So why is the U.S. dollar rallying under such an aggressively dovish macro backdrop? The answer lies in two words: Trump and China. Last week saw yet another escalation in the ongoing trade conflict between the U.S. and China. President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese exports in response to Beijing's newly announced export restrictions. Both countries imposed additional port fees and exchanged increasingly hawkish rhetoric, marking a clear return to confrontation. However, this initial pressure on the dollar quickly reversed when Trump abruptly changed his tone—this change acted like a spring uncoiling. The president expressed optimism about reaching a deal, praising China's "respectful" behavior and emphasizing the "massive" tariff revenue. He also stated that he intends to meet President Xi Jinping at the upcoming APEC summit in South Korea and may follow with a visit to China. In other words, Trump once again shifted from confrontation to conciliation, reviving hopes for a deal—and that was all the dollar needed to regain strength. But can this dollar rally be trusted under current conditions? Arguably not. The Dollar Index (DXY) is rising on shaky ground. After all, reaching a trade deal requires more than Trump's goodwill—it also takes commitment on China's side. As the saying goes, it takes two to tango. So far, this is a one-sided political performance, with Beijing merely confirming its willingness to talk—no concrete actions yet. It's also important to note that this time, it was China that initiated the latest controversy by imposing large-scale export restrictions on rare earth metals—key inputs in high-tech manufacturing. Given that China holds 90% of global rare earth reserves and dominates their extraction and processing, it's uncertain whether Beijing will accept a compromise in exchange for the repeal of tariffs that haven't even come into effect yet. Taken together, these conditions suggest that the current downward momentum in EUR/USD rests on a fragile foundation. From a technical standpoint, two major signals imply caution: The pair is nearing the lower boundary of the broad 1.1560–1.1730 price channel.The current decline lacks meaningful fundamental backing, as it is driven more by market optimism dependent on diplomacy rather than firm policy shifts or confirmed economic developments.If the southern impulse fades within this range, long positions may once again become relevant. Potential upside targets in case of reversal: 1.1660 – the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart1.1710 – the upper Bollinger Band on the H4 timeframeThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Elon Musk Reignites Floki Frenzy, Can FLOKI Hold Gains as Crypto Market Falls 3%?
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Making a 6% weekly uptick, FLOKI recently ripped higher after Elon Musk posted an AI-generated video of his Shiba Inu “Floki” sitting at a CEO desk, reigniting meme-coin risk appetite even as the broader crypto market slipped 3%. Within hours, FLOKI’s price jumped nearly 30% and 24-hour volume exploded 780–817% to roughly $656–$662 million, lifting the token to an intraday high near $0.000088, its best level in almost two weeks. Related Reading: All It Took Was A Tweet: FLOKI Jumps 27% After Musk Mentions It Mentions across X, Reddit, and Telegram climbed 65%, while crypto’s Fear & Greed Index nudged from Fear (37) to Neutral (52), signaling fresh retail participation. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) logged modest gains, but FLOKI led meme coins by a wide margin. Breakout Case vs. Bull-Trap Warnings Technicians say FLOKI is retesting a pivotal demand band around $0.00008. A daily close and hold above $0.000075 keeps the breakout thesis alive toward $0.00009, with $0.00010 on the table if momentum and volumes persist. Open Interest surged 162% to about $37.5 million, and long-side liquidations wiped out $275K in shorts during the squeeze. On Binance, negative funding suggests crowded shorts paying to stay positioned, fuel for further upside if price grinds higher. Still, some analysts flag bull-trap risk. The RSI tipped into overbought (>70) during the spike, a zone that historically invites cooling moves; a quick reset back into the 50–70 band would be a healthier springboard. Liquidity “heatmaps” show dense clusters both above and below spot, implying two-way volatility as the price hunts orders before choosing direction. If FLOKI fails to reclaim/hold $0.00009, technicians eye pullbacks toward $0.000072, with a deeper bear case pointing to $0.00004 if risk aversion returns. Key FLOKI Levels as the Market Slips 3% Currently, FLOKI hovers around $0.0000737, down 12% on the day, mirroring the broader market downturnwith Bitcoin near $107,000 and Ethereum around $3,800. In the near term, traders are watching key technical levels that could dictate FLOKI’s next move. Immediate support sits between $0.000072 and $0.000070, with a deeper downside risk toward $0.00004 if momentum fails to hold. Related Reading: CryptoQuant’s Moreno Eyes Bitcoin At $195,000 If This Happens The $0.000080 level acts as the crucial pivot point, a decisive close above it would strengthen the bullish trend and open the path toward higher targets. On the upside, resistance lies at $0.00009, followed by $0.00011 if buying volume expands. With liquidity thin and sentiment still fragile after recent liquidations, celebrity-driven spikes can overextend quickly. However, if flows remain constructive, negative funding persists, open interest stays elevated, and spot demand confirms, FLOKI’s rally could reignite, potentially surpassing the psychological $0.00009 level. Cover image from ChatGPT, FLOKIUSD chart from Tradingview -
Will the Price of Gold Fall? A Probable Continuation of the Correction in Gold and Silver
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It is no secret that several critical factors drove the recent rally in gold prices. The gradual removal of these conditions could trigger a significant price decline. Gold's upward movement has been supported by rising geopolitical tensions globally, particularly in the Middle East and in Europe, amid the ongoing crisis in Ukraine. This has been accompanied by a shift in U.S. foreign and trade policy aimed at reinforcing its global dominance through trade and tariff conflicts, which diminished the appeal of the dollar as a reserve and safe-haven currency. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's return to cutting interest rates made U.S. government bonds less attractive by comparison, increasing demand for non-yielding assets like gold. More recently, signs of stabilization have emerged. The United States has managed—at least for now—to de-escalate tensions in the Israel–Palestine conflict. Dialogues between President Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin have resumed. These developments have shifted the broader geopolitical landscape, dampening safe-haven demand and halting gold's surge. Markets understand that price growth driven by fear and uncertainty cannot be sustained indefinitely. As diplomatic relations begin to normalize, risk appetite is likely to recover, causing capital to flow back into riskier assets. This transition reduces the relative attractiveness of defensive assets like gold, increasing the likelihood of a correction or consolidation. Although prices have shown extreme highs in recent months, the possibility of a decline or sideways range is growing. However, the exact timing of this shift remains uncertain, and as long as ambiguity persists around geopolitical issues, residual upward momentum in gold may intermittently return. Looking at the market landscape, activity is expected to be subdued. Investors await U.S. consumer inflation data, scheduled for release later in the week, which may provide clarity on future Federal Reserve policy moves. Additionally, attention is focused on the renewed diplomatic negotiations between Russia and the United States concerning the Ukraine crisis. Market participants are likely to remain cautious, holding positions within previously established ranges until these narratives unfold. Forecast for the DayIn gold, prices remain below the resistance level of 4,273.60. The continued easing of geopolitical tension could weaken demand for gold, pushing prices down to the support level at 4,185.40. The level at 4,237.17 may serve as a technical entry point for short positions. Silver is trading below its current resistance at 50.40. A further decline may lead to a correction toward 48.45, with 46.65 acting as a viable level for initiating sell trades. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
In financial markets, everything is accounted for—even when data is scarce, investors turn to leading corporate earnings as signals. In this context, the optimistic outlooks shared by General Electric, Philip Morris, and Coca-Cola speak louder than recent U.S. labor market concerns. For these manufacturers, the glass is half full, casting doubt on the likelihood of aggressive Fed rate cuts and lending support to EUR/USD bears. Many are citing France's S&P Global rating downgrade and the looming budget battle between Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and the French parliament as the primary reasons for the euro's weakness. However, the CAC 40 index reaching a record high and stable spreads between French and German government bond yields suggest that political risk has already been factored into asset prices. CAC 40 Performance vs. Rating Downgrade The prospect of a downgrade by S&P Global had been widely discussed in advance, as had the upcoming Moody's review scheduled for October 24. In theory, downgrades should trigger forced selling by investment funds with strict mandates. In reality, many of these funds are waiving those restrictions to hold onto assets they still deem valuable. The weakness in the euro is clearly being driven by factors extraneous to French domestic politics. Indeed, Lecornu's initial proposal to reduce the fiscal deficit from 5.4% of GDP to 4.7% may struggle to gain traction in parliament. However, the prime minister retains some flexibility—he has previously suggested a figure slightly below 5%, while S&P Global referenced 5.3%. That level could gain cross-party approval among both left- and right-wing lawmakers. The real bearish momentum in EUR/USD is being fueled by strong Q3 earnings from U.S. corporations and fading hopes for peace in Ukraine. A statement from Donald Trump regarding a potential meeting with the Russian president in Hungary briefly boosted the euro amid speculation over a peace deal. Trump voiced strong intentions to pursue a resolution, but Moscow responded with a clear signal that it is not ready to negotiate an end to the conflict. Had peace talks shown real promise, a reduction in geopolitical risk would have supported eurozone currencies. Dynamics of France's credit ratings The Kremlin demands territorial concessions it cannot currently capture, while Kyiv appears willing to freeze the conflict along the current front lines. The gulf between both parties remains vast, so a breakthrough at a Trump–Russia summit seems unlikely. The euro remains under pressure, while upbeat U.S. corporate earnings embolden EUR/USD bears. Technically, the daily EUR/USD chart shows a rejection from dynamic resistance levels represented by key moving averages. This increases the likelihood of a corrective phase forming against the prevailing long-term bullish trend. Short positions initiated from the 1.1640 region are justified and might be strengthened if support at 1.1600 is broken. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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The past week brought a wealth of macroeconomic data from the United Kingdom, which, at first glance, seemed supportive of a renewed rally in the pound. The labor market report revealed some signs of weakness, particularly a slower pace of job creation compared to the previous month. However, the fact that wage growth remains stubbornly high is a strong inflationary factor. Elevated inflation, in turn, signals that the Bank of England will not be in a hurry to cut interest rates, allowing UK yields to remain relatively attractive. August GDP figures met expectations, and industrial production outperformed forecasts. Still, the third quarter outlook from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) remains weak, with only modest GDP growth of 0.3% expected. On Tuesday, the UK's consumer inflation report for September will be released. Last month, NIESR noted a very high probability that inflation would remain above 3% for the next 12 months. Current projections anticipate that core inflation will rise from 3.6% to 3.7% year-over-year, and headline inflation from 3.8% to 4.0%. In the past, such expectations alone would have been enough to support sterling strength, but broader market dynamics have shifted. Other global factors now suggest that the U.S. dollar is poised for renewed appreciation, and the pound is likely to weaken in line with broader risk sentiment. Another underappreciated but significant pressure point for the pound lies in the UK bond market. While the yield on 10-year Gilts stands around 4.5%, a large portion of that yield reflects the "term premium"—the additional return investors demand for holding long-term debt, which is directly linked to fiscal sustainability risks. With UK public debt hovering near 100% of GDP and interest payments totaling approximately £90 billion per year, public finances are under clear strain. Under current inflation expectations, the government would need to find an additional 2% of GDP just to stabilize debt levels, according to NIESR. With a budget deficit of about 5% of GDP and weak economic growth, this appears nearly unachievable—driving risk premia even higher. As a result, the pound is under significant, albeit less obvious, pressure, and demand for sterling is unlikely to grow meaningfully until a clear economic strategy emerges. That clarity depends on a marked improvement in economic activity—something that is improbable at current interest rate levels. Yet, lowering interest rates is off the table as long as inflation expectations remain high. This self-reinforcing dynamic severely limits foreign investment inflows, so demand for the pound, even amid higher interest rates, is likely to remain weak. The fair value estimate for GBP is now trending downward away from its long-term average. Last week, we identified the 1.3140 level as key short-term support, and that target remains valid. The corrective rebound seen in recent days has been shallow and unconvincing. We expect another wave of downward momentum. More clarity will come following the release of the UK and U.S. inflation reports. Until then, the outlook for the pound remains constrained by fiscal concerns, limited growth potential, and deteriorating sentiment. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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British Columbia Locks Out New Crypto Miners from the Grid
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British Columbia has officially decided to slam the door on new crypto mining projects looking to tap into the province’s power supply. The permanent ban means no new mining operations will be allowed to connect to the public electricity grid. The government says this is about protecting the province’s energy for industries that actually contribute jobs and long-term revenue. Power utility BC Hydro, which delivers electricity to most of the region, is now off-limits for future miners. This decision follows a moratorium that was first put in place back in 2022 and later extended in 2024. Now, the temporary freeze has become permanent. Lawmakers are making it clear that energy-hungry mining operations are no longer part of the province’s future vision. Who Gets the Power Now? Not the Miners Instead of supporting crypto miners, British Columbia is turning its attention to sectors it believes have a stronger economic impact. That includes traditional industries like natural gas and mining, as well as newer ones like liquefied natural gas and data centres. The government sees these as more dependable sources of jobs and growth. Source: Shutterstock Starting in 2026, even AI firms and data centres will face electricity caps. The province wants to ensure there’s enough clean energy to go around without letting any single industry soak it all up. Premier David Eby and Energy Minister Adrian Dix both backed the shift, pointing to big projects like the North Coast Transmission Line as part of a long-term plan to keep the grid stable and future-ready. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 Why Crypto Mining Got Singled Out Crypto mining has been under scrutiny for a while due to its massive electricity demands and limited local economic returns. These operations often set up shop, plug into the grid, and burn through energy without adding much in the way of jobs or taxes. The new law is meant to keep those kinds of setups from piling pressure on the system. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Charlotte Mitha, who leads BC Hydro, said demand across the board is rising fast. That includes both legacy industries and newer tech-driven sectors. Given that reality, she said new rules are needed to keep power rates manageable and supply secure for everyone else. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What Happens to the Miners Already There? If you’re already running a mining operation in British Columbia, you’re not being cut off overnight. Companies that are already connected to the grid under valid agreements can keep going. But any hopes of scaling up or starting fresh are now blocked by law. That may push some miners to relocate or rethink their strategies. This decision may ripple beyond the province. Other regions are watching closely and could take similar steps if they see this as a way to manage power responsibly while keeping high-consumption industries in check. Drawing the Line Between Speculation and Stability British Columbia seems to be making a statement about where it wants to go. Clean electricity is a limited resource, and the province has decided it should be spent on sectors that deliver solid, predictable returns. New crypto mining operations didn’t make the cut. With this new policy, the government is choosing to back industries that offer tangible local benefits instead of speculative ventures that leave little behind. As the new rules take hold, the global energy and tech landscape may begin to shift in response. This isn’t just about crypto anymore; it’s about how we decide to power the future. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways British Columbia has made its crypto mining ban permanent, blocking new operations from accessing the public power grid. The province is prioritizing industries like LNG, natural gas, and data centres that offer more stable jobs and revenue. Crypto mining was singled out due to high electricity use and minimal economic benefit for local communities. Existing crypto miners can continue operating if already connected, but expansion is now off the table. This move may influence other regions to restrict high-consumption industries as power demands increase. The post British Columbia Locks Out New Crypto Miners from the Grid appeared first on 99Bitcoins.