Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Dados on-chain mostra Bitcoin de longo prazo titulares têm aumentado sua venda recentemente, uma razão potencial atrás da queda da BTC abaixo de US $ 100.000. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders foram lucros de reservaNuma nova post em X, a empresa de análise on-chain Glassnode discutiu sobre a última tendência no fornecimento do Bitcoin Detentores de longo prazo (LTHs)São referidos como os investidores que mantêm as suas moedas durante um período superior a 155 dias, sem as vender ou envolver numa transacção na cadeia de bloqueio. Estatisticamente, quanto mais um investidor se apega às suas moedas, menos provável será que as venda no futuro. Como tal, os LTHs com seus longos tempo…
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[Uniswap] Embora a EMA ainda não tenha formado uma Cruz da Morte, mas com a posição de LER no nível neutro-bearish, a Uniswap tem o potencial de enfraquecer e cair para o seu nível de suporte mais próximo. Níveis de Chave: 1. Resistência. 2 : 8.446 2. Resistência. 1 : 7.998 3. Pivô : 7.726 4. Suporte. 1 : 8.446 5. Suporte. 2 : 7.006 Cenário Tático: Zona de pressão: Se o preço da Uniswap quebra e fecha abaixo de 8.446, ele pode continuar seu declínio para 7.006. Bias de Extensão Momentum: Se 7.006 for violada, Uniswap pode continuar enfraquecendo para 6.558. Nível de Invalidação / Revisão Bias: O viés de desvantagem é contido se Uniswap fortalece e quebra acima de 8.44…
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[Polkadot] Com a LER na zona neutra e ambas as EMA formando uma Cruz Mortal, Polkadot provavelmente irá enfraquecer para o nível de suporte mais próximo hoje. Níveis de Chave: 1. Resistência. 2 : 3.1364 2. Resistência. 1 : 2.9587 3. Pivô : 2.8575 4. Suporte. 1 : 26798 5. Suporte. 2 : 2.5786 Cenário Tático: Zona de pressão: Se o preço de Polkadot quebra e fecha abaixo de 2.6798, ele pode continuar o seu declínio para 2.5786. Momentum Extension Bias: Se 2.5786 for violada, Polkadot testará 2.4009. Nível de Invalidação / Revisão Bias: O viés de desvantagem é contido se Polkadot fortalece e quebra acima de 3.1364. Resumo técnico: EMA(50) : 2.8938 EMA( 200): 3.0093 RSI(1…
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ER/USD está negociando por volta de 1.1639, acima do 200 EMA, e acima do 21 SMA, dentro de um canal de tendência descendente. Nas próximas horas, o euro poderia atingir a forte resistência em 1.1650. Se este nível for quebrado nos próximos dias, pode chegar a 1,1718 em torno do nível 8/8 de Murray, e finalmente, poderíamos esperar que chegasse a 1,1740. Se o euro cair abaixo do 200 EMA em 1.1609 e abaixo do 21 SMA em 1.1592, o ciclo de urso poderia retomar, e nós poderíamos esperar EUR / USD para chegar ao nível 6/8 de Murray em 1.1474. O indicador Eagle atingiu níveis sobrecomprados, então o curso de ação mais prudente é esperar até que o EUR/USD chegue a uma zona de res…
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Cash App, the payment platform created by Jack Dorsey’s Block Inc., is stepping things up. A fresh update is now live that lets users send Bitcoin through the Lightning Network and also move around stablecoins inside the app. This means faster payments, more choices for users, and a broader range of ways to handle money, all without needing to leave the platform. Instant Payments with Lightning and Stablecoins With the new Lightning feature, eligible users can make Bitcoin payments that settle in seconds. No fees are added, and you can pay using either your Bitcoin balance or your regular U.S. dollars. The app supports Lightning Network QR codes, so transactions ar…
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XAU/USD está negociando cerca de 4.203, acima do 21-SMA e dentro do canal de tendência ascendente formado desde o início de novembro. Ontem, durante a sessão norte-americana, o ouro passou por uma aguda correção técnica de sua alta de 4.246 para uma baixa de 4.145. A partir deste nível, que coincidiu com o 21-SMA, o ouro está saltando e poderia tentar alcançar uma nova alta, potencialmente atingindo o topo do canal de tendência ascendente em torno de 4.275. Por outro lado, se o ouro continua sua correção técnica, poderíamos esperar que ele atinja o nível chave de suporte de 4.160. Este nível poderia desencadear um salto técnico significativo e poderia ser visto como uma o…
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Solana começou um novo declínio abaixo da zona de 150 dólares. O preço SOL está agora consolidando perdas abaixo de $150 e pode diminuir ainda mais abaixo de $142. O preço de SOL começou um declínio fresco abaixo de $155 e $150 contra o dólar americano.O preço está agora negociando abaixo de $150 e da média móvel simples de 100 horas.Há uma linha de tendência ursa chave formando-se com resistência em $148 no gráfico por hora do par SOL/USD (fonte de dados de Kraken).O preço poderia começar uma onda de recuperação se os touros defender $142 ou $140.Solana preço mergulha novamenteO preço Solana falhou em permanecer estável acima de $162 e iniciou um novo declínio, como Bitc…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, and the market has been reacting very rarely to local news and macroeconomic reports in recent weeks. Thus, the Eurozone GDP report for the third quarter has a "loud" headline but may actually be ignored by traders. Economic growth is expected to be 0.2%, which is very low in any case. As we can see, the European Central Bank's monetary policy easing has not yet led to an acceleration in the economy. The euro is unlikely to gain support from this report, but it may continue to rise on technical factors. Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are quite a few fund…
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Trade Analysis of Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, and volatility and strength of the growth even... increased. Novice traders need to remember that the pair's growth indicates a rise in the euro and a fall in the dollar. Thus, the dollar continued its decline yesterday on the news of the end of the US government shutdown. One doesn't need to be an analyst or an expert to see the lack of logic in this movement. Simply put, another important yet local piece of news had no impact on the pair's movement. The market continues to trade as it sees fit, ignoring local macroeconomic and fundamental f…
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Trade Analysis of Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 1.3107 level on Thursday, which we identified as strong support, showing new growth and breaking the trend line, only to pull back immediately after. We believe the downward trend is over, but, as often happens, the pair may first correct before resuming its growth. Despite the British currency falling again overnight, it was in an upward trend for most of the previous day. Were there local reasons for this? No, there were not. If the pair had dropped by 100 pips yesterday, it would have been reasonable given the news and events throughout the day. Recall that the official co…
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OKX has rolled out a major update to its mobile app, allowing users to trade directly on decentralized exchanges within the same interface. This new feature supports trading across Base, Solana, and OKX’s own X Layer network. By introducing in-app access to self-custody DEX trades, OKX is removing a lot of the friction that normally comes with juggling different wallets or apps. What’s Included in the New Trading Feature When users activate the DEX trading option, the app creates a passkey-protected wallet automatically. From there, it connects to over 100 liquidity pools to ensure trades get routed through the best available prices. Everything happens inside the a…
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Canary’s spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has surpassed most of the experts’ predictions, and it is currently on track to see a record-breaking debut after registering strong institutional demand on its first day. First Spot XRP ETF Begins Trading On Thursday, the first single-token XRP spot ETF began trading on Nasdaq, smashing the initial performance expectations of multiple experts after clearing the last regulatory hurdles this week. Following the launch of Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF (XRPC), the investment management firm asserted its conviction that “XRP Ledger represents a leading framework for global payments — purpose-built for interoperability and real-w…
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O preço XRP iniciou uma nova queda de US $ 2,550. O preço está agora mostrando sinais de urso e pode estender as perdas se ele mergulha abaixo de $2.250. O preço XRP começou uma nova queda abaixo da zona de $2.450.O preço agora está negociando abaixo de US $ 2,40 ea média de movimento simples 100 horas.Há um triângulo de contração de curto prazo formando-se com resistência em $2.235 na tabela horária do par XRP/USD (fonte de dados de Kraken).O par poderia continuar a se mover para baixo se ele se estabelece abaixo de $2.250.XRP preço mergulha maisXRP preço tentou mais ganhos acima de US $ 2,50, mas não conseguiu continuar mais alto, como Bitcoin e EthereumO preço começou …
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Como Bitcoin continua a mostrar uma trajetória de urso, o índice de medo & ganância de criptomoeda caiu para o seu nível mais baixo de medo extremo desde março. Bitcoin medo & índice de ganância sugere que os investidores são extremamente temíveisA “Índice de Medo e Ganância” refere-se a um indicador criado por Alternativa que nos fala sobre o sentimento médio que está presente entre os comerciantes no Bitcoin e mercados de criptomoeda mais amplos. O índice utiliza os dados dos seguintes cinco fatores para determinar a mentalidade do investidor: volume de negociação, volatilidade, dominância do limite de mercado, sentimento social e tendências do Google. Então representa …
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In yesterday’s crypto update, the market was consolidating, waiting for a catalyst to drive a change in price action. Today, the catalyst has manifested, and not for the better. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::b…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,350 and extended losses. ETH is down over 5% and might struggle to recover above $3,450 in the near term. Ethereum started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above $3,500. The price is trading below $3,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,500 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,150 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Sharply Ethereum price failed to continue higher above $3,550 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,500 and entered a short-term bearish …
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Bitcoin is no longer the speculative playground it once was. What began as a retail-driven movement powered by early adopters and crypto enthusiasts has evolved into a market increasingly shaped by institutional capital, from BTC ETFs absorbing billions in inflows to corporations and hedge funds adding BTC to their balance sheets. Why Institutional Accumulation Has Changed Bitcoin Volatility The narrative around Bitcoin has undergone a fundamental transaction. According to the Arch Network post on X, the institutional participant in Bitcoin is no longer emerging; it’s already established. Spot Bitcoin ETF now holds over 1 million BTC, which is roughly 5% of the total sup…
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $104,000. BTC is down over 4% and there are chances of more downsides below $98,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $102,000 and $100,000. The price is trading below $100,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $102,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $98,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Sharply Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $103,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $102,500 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and we…
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Visible buying from spot bitcoin ETPs and corporates has not translated into decisive upside, leaving traders to ask a blunt question: who is supplying the market? For Chris Kuiper, CFA, vice president of research at Fidelity Digital Assets, the answer is clear. “ ‘Who is selling?’ is the number one question I’ve been getting regarding bitcoin’s continued price pressure against a backdrop of visible buying,” he wrote on X on November 12. “I’m not unique in suggesting it’s the long-term holders (or HODLers).” Kuiper points to a simple but powerful on-chain gauge: the percentage of outstanding bitcoin that has not moved for at least one year. Glassnode’s “Percent of Suppl…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded up throughout Thursday. Most traders likely wonder why. However, for those who regularly read our reviews, this question should not arise. Let's look at the situation from yesterday in general. In the morning, news broke that the US government had finished the longest shutdown in history after 43 days. Is this a positive factor for the American economy and currency? Undoubtedly. So why did the dollar fall during the day? Also in the morning, the UK published reports on GDP and industrial production. Both reports were a dismal failure. If the British economy grew by even a meager 0.1%, industrial production fell by 2% in September. Is this …
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, which aligns perfectly with the overall fundamental backdrop but does not correspond to the news of the day. Let's clarify once again. The overall fundamental background (global) has been and continues to work against the US dollar. Therefore, any increase in the pair is logical, while any decrease is purely technical, corrective, and illogical. Yesterday, the US shutdown officially ended —what did we see? A decline in the American currency. Where is the logic? There is none. Many experts continue to devise various explanations for market movements, failing to understand a simple truth: illogical movemen…
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GBP/USD Analysis on 5M On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement throughout the day, following British data that significantly disappointed and the end of the US government shutdown. If anyone is unclear about these events, the end of the shutdown is a positive event for the dollar and should have prompted an appreciation of the US currency (i.e., a decline in the pair). However, weak (below-expected) GDP growth and a contraction in UK industrial production are negative factors that should have weighed on the British pound (i.e., a decline in the pair). In fact, we observed the exact opposite movement, which intensified sharply. As we've noted…
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EUR/USD Analysis on 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, which has intensified. So what happened yesterday that caused the euro to accelerate its growth while the dollar declined? The answer is simple: the US shutdown has officially ended. Wait a minute! Shouldn't such an event provide support for the US currency? Yes, it should, if the dollar hadn't been rising for a month and a half for unknown reasons. Although we have often mentioned the reasons, they are purely technical. The daily timeframe is currently flat, with the price declining from the upper to the lower boundary. When the pair approached the lower line of the sideways c…
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The Czech National Bank (CNB) said on Thursday that it has bought $1M in cryptocurrencies for the first time. The move is a small test meant to see how a digital asset reserve might work and to give the bank hands-on experience with managing crypto. The pilot reserve will hold Bitcoin, a US dollar-linked stablecoin, and a tokenized bank deposit. CNB officials described the step as a controlled experiment. They said the goal is to understand how these assets behave in real conditions and to prepare for a future where digital assets may play a larger role in global finance. The CNB said it has no plans to move toward a full digital asset reserve anytime soon. DISC…
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A large, dormant Bitcoin wallet moved a massive amount of coins to an exchange on Thursday, rattling traders and reigniting debate about where big holders stand. According to on-chain data, a Satoshi-era wallet that had not moved funds for 13 years transferred roughly 12,000 BTC — about $1.4 billion at current prices — in a set of transactions that landed on an exchange ledger. Whale Moves Stir Markets Reports have disclosed that the transfers came as Bitcoin hovered near a key price band. The coin fell about 2% after the activity, a quick reaction as traders guessed the funds might be put up for sale. Some market watchers warned that if larger sell orders hit exc…
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