Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Ethereum has fallen below the $4,000 level for the first time since early August, marking a significant shift in market sentiment. After weeks of strong performance, ETH has now lost nearly 20% of its value since September 13, leaving many traders concerned about the next move. The broader market correction has fueled uncertainty, but some analysts argue this is a necessary reset that could prepare the ground for renewed growth. Top analyst Darkfost highlights that Ethereum’s Open Interest is experiencing one of its biggest resets. He notes that after an extended period of bullish momentum, excess leverage has been punished, leading to a sharp contraction in positions. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On September 25, 2025, nine European banks formed a consortium to develop a euro-backed stablecoin, set to launch in the second half of 2026. The consortium has created a new Netherlands-based company to issue the token. The central European banks forming the consortium include UniCredit (Italy), ING (Netherlands), DekaBank (Germany), Banca Sella (Italy), KBC Group (Belgium), Danske Bank (Denmark), SEB (Sweden), CaixaBank (Spain), and Raiffeisen Bank International (Austria). The goal is to challenge dollar dominance in stablecoins. The current stablecoin market is almost entirely dominated by the US dollar via $USDT ($173B market cap) and $USDC ($74B). Thus, most global …
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From a technical standpoint, repeated bounces from the key support zone of 1.3725–1.3720 and yesterday's breakout above the psychological level of 1.3900 can be viewed as a new catalyst for the bulls in the USD/CAD pair. Oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory and are far from the overbought zone. A break above the resistance level at 1.3850 would confirm the likelihood of continued upward momentum toward the psychological level of 1.4000. This level also coincides with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), and a successful breakout above it would open the path for further continuation of the bullish trend observed over the past two weeks. In the ev…
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As of yesterday's close, major US stock indices ended lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.50%, while the Nasdaq 100 lost 0.50%. The industrial Dow Jones retreated by 0.38%. Global equities continue to slide for the fourth straight day, as concerns over high valuations and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rates have dampened investor sentiment. Traders are digesting the latest economic data and Fed commentary as they try to gauge the future course of monetary policy. Uncertainty is mounting due to diverging opinions within the Fed about the timing and scope of future rate cuts. Some officials emphasize the importance of further data analysis b…
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Overview: The dollar rallied in North America yesterday and the foreign exchange market seems to be waiting for its leadership again today. Against the G10 currencies, the greenback is consolidating in narrow ranges near yesterday's best levels without advancing. The dollar is mixed against the major currencies but is not much more than +/- 0.15%. Emerging market currencies are mixed with most of Asia Pacific currencies a little lower and central Europe slightly firmer. The news stream is light. Besides the unexpected flat Tokyo September CPI, the market is digesting a rash of new tariff announcements by the US. They include 100% on non-generic pharma (with an exemption f…
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If you’re a TRX holder, it’s time to start worrying. Get ready to wrap your head around major changes unfolding in the multi-billion-dollar stablecoin space, a court Tron has dominated for years. Yesterday, the Plasma mainnet launched, and contributors, even those who supplied just $1, received over 9,300 XPL tokens for free. It was a classic airdrop, the kind designed to spark FOMO, of which Plasma delivered in spades. At press time, those 9,300 XPL tokens are worth more than $10,000, with the XPL USD price defying gravity and climbing higher. Patient HODLers could emerge as big winners in the weeks ahead. For the less patient, selling might be the path of least res…
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XRP contracts by 6% in a week after failing to break the psychological barrier at $2.80. The bearish performance erased over $18B in value as a result of heavy selling, much of which took place yesterday. A failure to maintain the $2.75 support level could cause a crash to $2.70, further fueling the bear sentiment. The dire performance comes despite the recent inclusion of XRP, alongside Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and Stellar, in the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF, the ‘first multi-asset spot crypto ETP in the United States’. However, this bearish sentiment may be misplaced and a strong correction may arrive this coming October, which could set $XRP on track to a new …
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XRP fell about 8% since last week and dropped below the $3 psychological mark, trading near $2.74 after a sell-off that followed rejection at $2.95. According to Sistine Research, a pattern of tightening price action — known as a compression phase — is forming again, and that pattern could set the stage for a sharp move once buyers or sellers push price out of the narrow range. Compression Phase Returning Based on reports from Sistine Research, XRP has entered its third major compression phase since the US election last November. In plain terms, price swings have grown smaller as trading has concentrated into a tighter band. That shrinking range can build pressure. Wh…
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Today, Friday, during the European session, the GBP/JPY cross is attempting to recover from yesterday's losses, rising above the psychological level of 200.00 amid conflicting market forces. A decline in the U.S. dollar from a three-week high is providing support to the British pound sterling (GBP). Today's data from Japan showed that consumer price growth in Tokyo for September came in below expectations. Amid domestic political uncertainty and concerns over the economic consequences of U.S. tariffs, there is a growing likelihood that the Bank of Japan may postpone its planned interest rate hike. Nonetheless, investors are still pricing in the potential for a rate hike b…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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The crypto market is under close watch as traders prepare for Friday’s $22 billion Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiry. With just a few days left in this bearish September, bears are calling for another possible drop to $107K before October, which has historically been a more bullish month for BTC. The main question is whether the recent downturn has run its course, or if more volatility is still ahead. For investors, finding the best crypto to buy during this uncertain phase is a key focus. Read The Full Article Here The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, September 26 – Is The Crypto Market Done Crashing? $22 Billion Bitcoin And Ethereum Options Expiring – B…
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The first significant sign that US inflation continues to rise proved to be a cold shower for market participants, causing a sharp rise in the dollar and a decline in demand for equities. According to the latest data, in Q2 the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose slightly more than expected, to 2.1% versus a forecast of 2.0%—still noticeably lower than the previous period's 3.7%. The core PCE also rose slightly to 2.6% from 2.5%, compared with the last 3.5%. There was good news as well—a strong upward revision to Q2 GDP, which shot up to 3.8% from -0.5% with a forecast of 3.3%. In addition, durable goods orders rose sharply, up 2.9% in August versus a…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair made another reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling to the support level of 1.1637–1.1645. A rebound from this zone worked in favor of the euro and the beginning of growth toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. A rebound from this level would favor the U.S. currency and a renewed decline toward the 1.1637–1.1645 level. A firm move above the 1.1695 level would increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the most recent downward wave easily broke the …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued to decline on Thursday and ended the day within the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. A rebound of quotes from this zone would work in favor of the pound and lead to some growth toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. A consolidation of the pair below the 1.3332–1.3357 level would increase the likelihood of continued decline toward the next corrective level of 127.2% at 1.3226. The wave pattern has shifted to a bearish outlook. This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The latest completed upward wave broke the previous peak, but the most recent downward wave easily broke the last low. The information background last week…
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Key takeaways Gold hit a fresh all-time high at US$3,791 on 23 September before consolidating in a short-term uptrend.Current price action forms an “Ascending Triangle”, signalling potential for a bullish continuation if resistance at US$3,785 is cleared.Key short-term support is at US$3,688; holding above this level keeps the bullish bias intact.US 10-year Treasury real yield remains capped below 1.87%, supporting Gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish acceleration intact towards new all-time highs above US$3,660 key support”, published on 22 September 202…
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Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) told viewers late on September 25 that Bitcoin’s pullback is tracking a familiar seasonal and structural script—and that the market’s next major impulse hinges on a clearly defined support range. “Hold $107k to $98K,” he said, calling the zone the fulcrum for the bull cycle’s next leg. “That’s it. It’s that simple.” Opening his stream amid a rush of bearish sentiment as BTC price dipped to $108,651, Kevin argued the drawdown should not surprise disciplined traders. He framed the current move in the context of months of caution dating back to early August, when he began highlighting weekly bearish divergences across Bitcoin, Ethereum …
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Yesterday, the U.S. stock market experienced a major sell-off, and the American dollar strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new package of tariffs on pharmaceutical products, heavy trucks, and furniture, including a 100% tariff on patented drugs—unless the drug manufacturer builds a production facility in the United States. This decision sparked a wave of criticism from pharmaceutical companies and trade partners, who called it a protectionist measure that could cause significant harm to global trade and make it harder for patients to access essential medications. Industry representatives voiced concerns about the potential increase in drug prices a…
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Yesterday's U.S. GDP report triggered a surge in demand for the U.S. dollar and a sell-off in risk assets — and it comes as no surprise. According to the data, the U.S. economy grew in the second quarter at its fastest pace in nearly two years, after the government revised its previous estimate of consumer spending. According to the report released Thursday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) rose at an annual rate of 3.8%, based on revised data. This is higher than the preliminary estimate of 3.3%, and clearly much stronger than the 0.5% contraction in the first quarter. The acceleration in economic growth was primarily dr…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3293 – a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: The price from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close) may c…
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Bitcoin just broke key resistance and crashed, right after the $1.7 billion total crypto liquidation four days ago, followed by another crypto liquidation clocking at $1.12 billion. However, ETH is leading the liquidation numbers with $425M long liquidations over the $272M BTC. More than 250.000 traders were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation happening on Hyperliquid, an ETH-USD pair with a value of $29.12 million. Is this going to be the bottom that traders are looking for in October, or is this the start of the bear market? Let’s find out. (Source – Coinglass) Bitcoin Crash or Generational Entry? Bitcoin was rejected from the $114K level, baiting ma…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue its downward movement from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 3, 2025). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.1645 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, the price from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's da…
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For a long time, markets have operated in a tug-of-war mode: signs of US economic weakness have pulled the S&P 500 down, but expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and faith in artificial intelligence technology have tipped the balance in the other direction. The broad equity index repeatedly hit record highs. However, by the end of September, everything seemed to turn upside down. A three-day decline became its longest losing streak in a month. S&P 500 Dynamics It's as if the actors switched roles. Impressive data on GDP, jobless claims, and durable goods orders did not help the S&P 500 "bulls." Meanwhile, the odds of a Fed rate cut in October only fell sl…
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Dogecoin (DOGE), the leading memecoin in the cryptocurrency space, has faced significant challenges this week, experiencing a 22% decline. According to data from CoinGecko, DOGE is nearly 70% lower than its all-time high of $0.73. Despite these setbacks, analysts remain optimistic about Dogecoin’s future price performance. Dogecoin On Track For Major Rally The anticipated onset of an altcoin season in the last quarter of the year, combined with critical support levels, has contributed to a bullish sentiment among market watchers. Analysts at Bitcoinsensus have boldly asserted on social media site X (formerly Twitter), that Dogecoin is on the cusp of a significant up…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of the 148.95 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the upside potential for the pair. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed the entire upward move. The upward revision of US Q2 GDP to 3.8% from 3.0% acted as a catalyst not only for dollar strength but also triggered a real storm across currency markets—most notably seen in the sharp sell-off of the Japanese yen. This unexpected acceleration in the US economy has given the dollar's sails a boost, propelling it confidently forward, while the yen has suffered the brunt of the move. Investors, b…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundTesting the 1.3441 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by more than 100 pips. The pace of US economic growth, revised upward to 3.8%, delivered a strong boost to the US dollar and, as a result, triggered a weakening in the British pound. This unexpected GDP growth for Q2 signals more resilience in the American economy than previously expected. The strengthening of the dollar, driven by favorable economic data, inevitably put pressure on other currencies, particular…
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