Ethereum Price Enters Critical Channel Test: Analysts Mark $3,100 as Lifeline Target as Bhutan Bids Dip

[Ben Graham]

The Ethereum price is entering a decisive stage as bulls attempt to defend crucial support while global institutions quietly accumulate ETH behind the scenes. After weeks of turbulence, Ethereum now trades near $3000, still far from its ATH, but showing fresh signs of life as crypto technical indicators flip from extreme oversold conditions.

With countries like Bhutan increasing their exposure to Ethereum, analysts say the next move could determine whether ETH regains its long-term uptrend or risks another corrective slide into the high $2000 range.

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Ethereum Price Technical Analysis: Critical Channel in Play

The daily chart shows the Ethereum price sitting directly on top of a crucial multi-week support zone – one that recently delivered a 10% bounce last week. That rebound pushed ETH price straight into its natural resistance cluster formed by the 200 EMA and 200 SMA bands, where the rally stalled.  This band now serves as the primary ceiling to beat, sitting between $3,200 and $3,300.

(Source – TradingView)

Momentum signals, however, are improving. The RSI has climbed back to 40, breaking above its moving average after tapping heavily oversold levels earlier in the month. This RSI structure often precedes trend reversals, especially when combined with a positive MACD indicator shift.

The MACD is flashing green, signaling that bearish momentum is weakening and that bullish strength may be returning. These conditions place Ethereum in a very tight spot and a vital price channel.

(Source – TradingView)

This channel will decide the next significant move:

• Bullish scenario: Breakout above $3200, reclaiming the long-term trend and targeting $3500+.
• Bearish scenario: Failure to hold support at $3000-$3100, resulting in a drop back to $2700, retesting the lower channel boundary.

This puts the Ethereum price at a crossroads: either the trend reverses from here, or another corrective wave hits before recovery.

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Institutional and National Accumulation is Becoming Critical

Institutional inflows have become one of the few forces keeping Ethereum crypto from falling further amid market volatility. With macro pressure, rising yields, and liquidity drains affecting all risk assets, the role of corporate and national buyers has become increasingly important.

(Source – CoinGecko)

Companies such as BitMine Immersion, SharpLink Gaming, and Coinbase Global have all added significantly to their digital asset holdings this year. Their accumulation helps stabilize prices during periods of heavy leverage wipeouts and exchange outflows.

Institutions stepping in as structural supports reduce downside probability and provide the type of long-term holder base that shrinks circulating supply. And now, one of the most surprising Ethereum supporters isn’t a giant fund or multinational corporation – it’s a nation state.

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Bhutan Expands Its Ethereum Position and Deepens On-Chain Adoption

Fresh blockchain data shows that the Royal Government of Bhutan has staked 320 ETH (worth roughly $970,000) through Figment, a major institutional staking provider. This marks Bhutan’s latest expansion into Ethereum after years of quietly advancing its digital-asset strategy.

Royal Government of #Bhutan staked 320 $ETH($971K) 2 hours ago.https://t.co/hiNf1ySism pic.twitter.com/1A6bhsaRSM

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) November 27, 2025

The stake adds to a bigger pattern:

• In October, Bhutan began migrating its national digital ID system from Polygon to  Ethereum.
• The system is already live, with complete migration expected by early 2026.
• Ethereum Foundation president Aya Miyaguchi and Vitalik Buterin both attended the launch event alongside Bhutan’s prime minister.

But Ethereum isn’t Bhutan’s first crypto endeavor. The country has mined Bitcoin since 2019 using hydropower, and now holds around 13,000 BTC, worth more than $1Bn today.

FACT: BHUTAN'S STRATEGIC #BITCOIN RESERVE IS NOW WORTH 40% OF ITS NATIONAL GDP

TRUE LEADERSHIP pic.twitter.com/QrjAEIqHZD

— The Bitcoin Historian (@pete_rizzo_) September 19, 2025

Bhutan also integrated crypto payments for tourism this year, onboarding nearly 1,000 merchants nationwide with help from Binance to modernize international payments.

This expansion mirrors a major global trend: nations and corporations increasing their crypto footprint while accumulation from whales and institutional treasuries strengthens core network demand.

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Key Takeaways

Ethereum price at a crossroads. What is next?

Bhutan stake almost $1M in ETH.

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