ANALISTA Igor Pereira Posted December 2, 2025 ANALISTA Report Share Posted December 2, 2025 Good afternoon, traders and members Premium. While the nominal price of gold records, many wonder if it is too late to enter. The answer, based on relative valuation, is a sound NO. By Igor Pereira, Financial Market Analyst, Junior Member WallStreet NYSEA crucial graph of Incrementum AG compares the total value of the gold market with the total value of the US stock market. The conclusion is shocking: in relation to stocks, gold is still cheap, and the real "reverse trade" has barely begun. 1. The Graph of Truth: Gold vs. US ActionsThe chart shows the proportion between the gold market capitalization and the US stock market capitalization since 1925. The Historical Median: The red dashed line marks the long-term median of 37.9%. The Current Level: We are. below the median, which means that gold is undervalued in relation to shares, even after the recent discharge. The Crisis Potential: In previous crises (Great Depression, 1970/80 Stagflation, 2008/11 Financial Crisis), this relationship not only returned to the median, but it shot to 160% or more. My Analysis (Igor Pereira): In order for this relationship to return to previous peaks of crisis (which is likely given the debt and Fed situation), gold would have to value massively in relation to the shares – potentially multiplying its value by 4x in relative terms. 2. The Thesis of Media ReversionMarkets are cyclical. After a long period of dominance of shares (impelled by QE and low interest), we are entering an era of dominance of real assets. Actions in the Bubble: As we saw in the Buffett Indicator, the shares are in a historical bubble. Gold at Start: Gold is just beginning to come out of a long period of relative undervalue. Conclusion of Igor Pereira: It's not too lateThis graph proves that the bull market gold is not a bubble; it is a standardisation. We're coming out of an extreme undervalue. If history serves as a guide, the "reversion to average" will lead gold to dramatically overcome actions in the coming years. Want to take your analysis to the institutional level?This analysis is just the tip of the iceberg. ExpertFX School Premium Members Receive daily insights, premium analysis in-depth and Direct access to our closed group on Telegram, where we discuss the market in real time. Don't operate on noise. Operate based on intelligence. Access your dashboard and become Premium now: https://expertfxschool.com/dashboard Perfect! Thanks! Love it! Haha Confused :/ Oush! Wow! Liked! × 💬 Did you like this content? Your feedback is very important! Liked! Perfect! Thanks! Love it! Haha Confused :/ Oush! Wow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.