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Global Allocation in Gold is only 2.8% – A Change to 5% Double Demand and Break the Market

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Igor Pereira
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A lot of people think that gold has gone too high. But when we look at real capital allocation in global portfolios, the truth is shocking: gold is an asset neglected.

By Igor Pereira, Financial Market Analyst, Junior Member WallStreet NYSE

Recent data shows that gold represents only 2.8% of Assets under Management (AUM) Global. In comparison, during the 1980 peak, this allocation was higher than 8%, and in 2011, it reached almost 5%.

Global Allocation in Gold is only 2.8% – A Change to 5% Double Demand and Break the Market - ExpertFX School

It's the beginning, not the end.


1. The Mathematics of Demand Shock

Let's do a simple capital flow exercise:

  • Base scenario: Current allocation of 2.8%. The market is balanced (or tight) at these levels.

  • The Standardization Scenario (4-5%): If fund managers, concerned with debt and inflation, decide to increase their allocation to just 4% or 5% (still below the historical crisis average), this would mean an influx of trillion dollars for the gold market.

My Analysis (Igor Pereira): The physical gold market is too small to absorb this capital. If demand in dollars doubles (from 2.8% to 5.6%), the price does not rise only 50% or 100%. It has to rise exponentially to balance the new money with the same amount of metal.

2. Smart Money. It's already started.

As we saw with Tether, Central Banks and Family Offices, the 5% movement has already begun among the most sophisticated. The "blind institutional money" (pension funds, 60/40) will be the last to enter, and it is their flow that will take the price to stratosphere.


The structural sub-allocation in gold is the guarantee that this bull market He's got long legs. Fear of loss of purchasing power will force the hands of managers. They'll have to buy gold, and they'll have to pay the price that the physical market requires.

Imagine 5% and get ready.


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