XRP Price Is Performing As Expected; Analyst Reveals What Comes Next

[Ben Graham]

The XRP price has staged a strong rebound in recent days, rising from early-December weakness and climbing back above $2. The recovery comes just after crypto analyst CasiTrades published a detailed technical outlook on the social media platform X, where she outlined a scenario that anticipated both the initial decline and the current bounce.  Now that XRP has begun moving upward towards $2.2, the focus is on what the next phase of this pattern could bring next.

Subwave 3 Targets Hit As Structure Plays Out

CasiTrades explained that XRP’s early-December drop was part of a subwave 2 setup that had been discussed during her previous livestream. When XRP fell to $2.03 in early December, it confirmed the transition into a subwave 3 extension, and the next projected target sat near $1.90. That level was important not only as a Fibonacci extension but also because it corresponded with Bitcoin reaching its macro 0.382 level around the $79,000 region.

The chart attached to her analysis illustrated this path clearly. A sequence of orange, pink, and black wave structures converged toward the same support region, all pointing toward $1.90 as the initial landing zone. As shown in the chart image below, there’s another green accumulation block between $1.80 and $1.64 as the deeper support level that could still come into play. 

XRP Chart Analysis. Source: @CasiTrades On X

At the time of her analysis, selling pressure was already slowing down, and momentum indicators like the RSI were building a bullish divergence. Since then, XRP’s price action has turned bullish, and this supports the idea that a reaction was always likely to occur in the $1.90 zone.

CasiTrades noted that once the price reached this level, she expected a bounce back toward $2.04 to retest resistance for a new Wave 4 formation. Over the past few days, XRP has done exactly that, rising from its lows and reclaiming momentum as buyers returned.

Two Final Scenarios Still In Play For XRP

According to CasiTrades, there are two possible outcomes for the XRP price against the backdrop of retesting $2.04. The first outcome is a double bottom forming around the $1.80 to $1.88 region, depending on the exchange. The chart she shared includes a mid-range support box that captures this possibility, with wave markings showing how price could rotate downward before a larger breakout.

The second potential outcome is a deeper sweep to $1.64, which is based on the macro 0.618 support. This zone forms the lower boundary of the green accumulation block on her chart, representing the final area where a full Wave 2 or Wave C completion could occur before XRP attempts a larger impulsive breakout.