JAPÃO PREPARA NOVA VENDA MASSIVA DE TÍTULOS ESTRANGEIROS — ESTIMATIVAS APONTAM PARA MAIS DE US$ 750 BILHÕES

[Igor Pereira]

The global financial market is in a state of high alert. Recent reports indicate that Japan, one of the largest foreign debt holders in the world, is preparing for a new round of sale of assets (Bonds), scheduled for today at 6:50 a.m. PM in Eastern US Time (20h50m in Brasilia Time)

Exclusive Analysis by Igor Pereira – Financial Market Analyst and Junior Member WallStreet NYSE

This time, estimates are even more aggressive than in the recent past, suggesting a capital repatriation movement that can shake the liquidity structures of Western markets.

In the last similar operation, Japanese institutions sold about $356 billion in foreign bonds, with the vast majority being Treasures of the United States (American public debt).

That movement had already caused income tremors (Yields) and pressured the Dollar, but the current scenario is significantly different — and potentially more volatile.

After the recent increase in the interest rate by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) — leaving decades of ultra-low policy — the dynamics changed. The Japanese investor now has a real incentive to bring the money back home.

• The Shock Estimation: Analysts project that sales volume this time may exceed the brand of $750 billion.

• The Reason: With the Japanese bond yields (JGBs) finally rising, the need to seek return abroad decreases, and the cost of hedge Exchange rate makes American bonds less attractive.

If this massive sale is confirmed, the effects will be immediate and cascaded:

• US Treasury (US10Y, US30Y): The sale of securities knocks down the price and Raises the Yields (income) Expect a rise in market interest in the US, which pressures the stock market (S&P 500, Nasdaq).

• Dollar (USD): Ironically, higher incomes in the US usually strengthen the Dollar in the short term, but selling the assets themselves creates a selling pressure on the currency for conversion to Yen. The volatility in the pair USD/JPY It'll be extreme.

• Gold (XAU/USD): Here's the opportunity for the trader. If the Yields fire without control, fear of financial instability can increase demand for Gold as a royal refuge, despite the traditional reverse correlation with real interest.

To the traders of ExpertFX School, the recommendation is to extreme caution and monitoring critical schedules.

• Stay tuned:At the post-Christmas opening, sudden movements in the U.S. Yields without direct economic news (such as payroll or CPI) will be the sign that the "Japanese whale" is moving.

• Capital Flow: We are witnessing a reconfiguration of global liquidity. Japan is no longer the "funder of the world" and changes the rules of the game to the next decade.

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Japan is rewriting its national portfolio strategy. Selling $750 billion in bonds is not just an adjustment; it is a paradigm shift. Prepare for volatility in interest and exchange.

Igor Pereira Financial analyst Junior WallStreet NYSE ExpertFX School - Forming the Market Elite since 2017