EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

[Ben Graham]

Today, the pair interrupted a two-day decline and is moving higher, heading toward the December high. At the same time, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has exited the overbought zone, supporting a positive bias for EUR/JPY.

Prices are holding above the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), with the 9-day EMA positioned above the 14-day EMA, confirming a positive outlook for the pair. Both moving averages are rising, reinforcing the bullish structure.

The EUR/JPY pair may rebound toward the all-time high of 184.95, recorded on December 22, coming close to the round 185.00 level.

Immediate support is located at the 9-day EMA around 183.35, followed by the round 183.00 level. A break below this level would find support at the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), with the next stop near 182.20. Failure to hold this level could accelerate the decline toward 181.50, on the way to the next round level at 181.00, below which lies the 50-day SMA.

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