CRIPTO: The Greed Trap in Bitcoin ($94k) and the XRP IPO

[Igor Pereira]

The crypto market is exhibiting classic signs of dangerous euphoria. As the price rises, the psychological mass (Crowd Psychology) is screaming for more, and that's exactly where Smart Money usually distributes their positions.

By Igor Pereira Financial Market Analyst

Below, we analyzed the data on-chain of feeling that suggest an imminent correction and what is happening to Ripple (XRP).

Bitcoin ruptured the $94,400, and retail sentiment instantly changed from "guard" to "extreme greed".

• The Sign of Santiment: The social volume chart shows a massive peak of mentions "Bullish" (high red bars on the right).

• The Contrarian Reading: The crowd is convinced that the BTC goes to $100,000. straight. Historically, after these vertical peaks of optimism/gance, we observed price corrections to clean the late leverage.

• The Strategy: When the "High Expectation" indicator reaches this level, the market usually does the opposite in the short term. Get ready for one pullback (back) Healthy before any real attack on the $100k.

XRP is in the spotlight, being called by CNBC "the hottest trade in early 2026". But watch the rumors.

• No IPO (For now): Ripple confirmed again that does not plan to perform an IPO (Initial Public Offer) Now.

• The Reason: The company stated to have enough money for any activity and investment, remembering that in November 2025 it rose $500 million, achieving an evaluation of $40 Billions.

• Analysis: Basically, this is positive (the company has cash and does not need to dilute). Technically, media validation (CNBC) usually marks a short-term FOMO-moved site top.

To calm the spirits of those who think they've lost the tram:

• Jay Jacobs, head of ETFs BlackRock, stated categorically that for BTC and ETH, these are still the "early days" (early days) adoption.

• == sync, corrected by elderman == Current volatility is noise. The institutional migration of trillions of dollars has barely begun.

The market is emotionally stretched. My recommendation:

1. Bitcoin: CautionNot buying the $94,000 breakup with leverage now. The "gance" detected by Santiment suggests that a bull trap is armed. Wait for the correction.

2. XRP: The news that there will be no IPO may cool the immediate speculation, but the company's balance sheet is solid.

3. Focus: Keep BlackRock's long-term vision, but operate the short-term feeling with caution.

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If Bitcoin corrects as the feeling indicator suggests, there is a level of support where institutional liquidity is waiting to defend the trend.

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