Gold Miners – Why the High of 151% in 2025 is Just Heating

[Igor Pereira]

Traders, if you think "lost the trolley" because mining stock went up 151% by 2025, this graph will change your perspective.

By Igor Pereira Financial Market Analyst

The historical analysis of Incrementum It shows we're living in a statistical anomaly. Unlike the large high races of the 1970s and 2000, the 2020s began "dead". Now the market is chasing the damage with revenge.

Below is the autopsy of the Styling Effect at stake.

Look at the yellow/brown line (2020s) in the graph compared to the other decades.

• 1970sThe first half of the decade saw a massive gain in 363%.

• 2000sThe first half delivered solids 191%.

• 2020sWe had a pathetic performance of just 17% in the first half.

• Reading: The sector was artificially suppressed for 5 years. This has created an accumulated potential energy (the "stling") that is now being released at once.

The text confirms what the graph shows: " A weak first phase can certainly offer scope for a catch-up."

• The explosion of 2025: The increase in 151.8% in 2025 it is not a bubble; it is the average reversal . The mining companies were so cheap and forgotten that they had to double the price just to return to a fair appreciation of gold.

• The Comparison: Note how the line of the years 2020 (yellow) was "bottom down" and now shot vertically to try to achieve the trajectory of previous decades.

If the story rhymes, the main show is still coming.

• The Potential: If the 2020s follow the catch-up pattern to compensate for the slow start, we can see performance in the second half (2nd Half) above even the 89% the 2000s or an extension of the explosive volatility of the 1970s.

• The High Risk: We are entering the manic phase where the fear of staying out (FOMO) institutional begins. They've lost their first 151% leg and now they're chasing the market.

The graph proves that we are not at the end of the cycle, but at the beginning of the acceleration phase.

My Vision: The discharge of 2025 was only the market "taking the delay".

1. The Perspective: With gold seeking $5,000 (Citi forecast), mining companies have to rise much more than 151% to reflect these profit margins. We're far from the secular top.

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While the majors have risen, there is a group of juniors with proven deposits that have not yet made their catch-up movement. They're next to double.

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