Solana Pauses After 20% Drop — This Key Level Could Decide What’s Next

[Ben Graham]

Solana has taken a breather after a sharp 20% sell-off, with the price now stabilizing at a technically significant zone. As volatility cools and consolidation sets in, the market is watching closely to see whether this level acts as a launchpad for a recovery or opens the door to further downside. The next move from here could define SOL’s short-term direction.

VAH Rejection Sends SOL Back Into Range

Market expert Umair Crypto explained that Solana’s rejection at the Value Area High (VAH) near $141 set the tone for the recent move. After briefly extending to $148, SOL once again failed to flip the psychological $150 level into support, and ultimately triggered a sharp downside reaction, resulting in a nearly 20% decline toward the $117 area.

Following the sell-off, price rotated back into the same two-month consolidation range, suggesting that the move lower was more of a range continuation than the start of a new trend. SOL is now retesting the Value Area Low flip zone around $128, a level that has repeatedly acted as a short-term pivot between buyers and sellers.

If $128 holds and buyers manage to defend this zone, the analyst sees room for a bounce toward $132. Further acceptance above that level could open a path toward the range Point of Control near $138. However, even a move into that region would still reflect range-bound conditions rather than a confirmed bullish breakout.

Umair Crypto stressed that SOL remains stuck inside a broad $30 range, offering little directional edge in the middle. An acceptance below $120 would shift the bias firmly bearish. On the other hand, a strong reclaim above $150 would flip the market structure bullish. Until either scenario plays out, the higher-probability outcome continues to lean toward lower prices within the range.

SOL Enters A Compression Phase Above Key Support

According to a recent market update from BitGuru, Solana has experienced a significant pullback and is now entering a phase of consolidation just above a critical support zone. This type of price compression is a classic technical indicator that the market is preparing for a sharp reaction move.

As volatility narrows and the trading range tightens, the build-up of market energy typically precedes a breakout. The path forward remains binary based on Solana’s interaction with its immediate boundaries. 

A clean reclaim of the nearby resistance level would signal a return of buyer confidence and a potential shift in momentum. Conversely, a failure to defend this established base would keep significant downside risk active, potentially leading to a deeper correction if the support zone is breached.