Fibonacci Maps Dogecoin Path To $23—Is It Too Far-Fetched?

[Ben Graham]

The Dogecoin weekly structure is once again the talk of Crypto-Twitter after pseudonymous technician Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) published a logarithmic Fibonacci road-map for the meme-coin’s fourth bull cycle. The chart, built on TradingView and shared on 13 July, anchors the entire 2021–2022 range and projects both horizontal retracement levels and upward-sloping Fib-channels, offering a granular set of targets.

Dogecoin To $23?

At Friday’s close DOGE changed hands near $0.20, almost exactly against the 0.5 retracement line, highlighted on the graphic at $0.19049. The overlay shows price compressing inside a three-year ascending channel whose lower rail has provided support since the June 2022 capitulation. Volatility has been fading inside that corridor, shaping a broadening wedge that has so far respected every golden-ratio diagonal printed on the chart.

Cantonese Cat’s horizontal grid begins with the cycle floor—Fib 0 at $0.04909—and climbs through a dense cluster of intermediate resistances: 0.618 at $0.26232, 0.707 at roughly $0.33, 0.786 at $0.41368 and 0.886 at $0.54253. The 1.0 line—Dogecoin’s May 2021 macro-top—is fixed at $0.73905 and forms the upper boundary of what the analyst calls “the first liquidity wall.”

Above it, blue extensions extend far beyond previous cycle extremes: 1.272 at $1.54518, 1.414 at $2.27089 and 1.618 at $3.94842. Super-cycle projections appear at 2.0 ($11.12397) and the headline-grabbing 2.272 extension at $23.25744—levels the trader himself stresses are “purely imaginative unless unprecedented liquidity flows in.”

Golden channels running diagonally across the whole canvas translate the same ratios into time-adjusted dynamic support and resistance. Internal rails marked 0.236 and 0.382 have repeatedly capped minor rallies since mid-2022, while the 0.5 diagonal is now acting as an inflection point underneath spot price.

The current weekly candle is probing that rail from above, echoing the analyst’s separate Ichimoku view that DOGE is “still under Tenkan resistance” and “will probably close the week right around 20 cents, then fight another day to push through resistance later. I don’t think we’ll get past this level on its first try.”

The longer-term backdrop that keeps the feline strategist constructive is visible on the two-month chart. There, DOGE has printed what fellow technician @ManehattanStonk labels a “rising three methods” formation—a bullish continuation pattern that Cantonese Cat notes is “playing out alongside XLM.”

Volume dynamics appear to support the thesis: in another post the analyst calls recent selling “pathetic” and argues: “Who’s selling DOGE? Nobody important. Sell volume’s pathetic. All it takes is just some volume to come in and this thing will pump to the moon.”

Whether that pump can realistically reach the 2.272 extension—and thus the meme-laden target of $23—is the question that triggered the thread. Cantonese Cat’s answer is blunt: “I don’t think it’s going to $23 this cycle.” The comment underscores his broader point that Fibonacci projections, while mathematically neat, are ultimately hostage to liquidity conditions no one can forecast.

The $3.94 region—marked by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension—stands out as a credible upside target. Analyst Kevin notes that in every previous bull cycle, Dogecoin ultimately advanced to this very extension.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.20575.