Is It Time To Exchange Bitcoin For TRON? This Metric Says TRX Is About To Outperform BTC
BY
Ben Graham
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The price of Bitcoin has continued to impress investors in 2025 despite doubts after the top crypto hit a six-figure valuation at the tail end of 2024. As a result, the expectations of an altcoin season have seemed like a pipe dream so far this year.
Nevertheless, that is not to say the altcoin market has not seen outstanding performers in 2025 — one of them being TRON (TRX). According to data from CoinGecko, the price of TRX is up by about 25% year-to-date.
TRX In Underperformance Zone Relative To BTC
On Saturday, July 26, Alphractal CEO & founder Joao Wedson took to the social media platform X to analyze the dynamics between Bitcoin and TRON, two of the largest assets in the crypto market. According to the on-chain expert, the TRX token might outpace the premier cryptocurrency in the coming months.
This interesting prediction is based on the TRX Opportunity Score metric, which tracks when the TRON token is outperforming or underperforming Bitcoin. Typically, this metric combines various indicators, including the TRX/BTC ratio, daily returns, volatility, Beta, and correlation.
According to Wedson, the current TRX Opportunity Score suggests a potential turning point for the TRON price relative to the price of Bitcoin. The on-chain analyst revealed that the altcoin has once again entered a zone of underperformance relative to BTC — a phenomenon that has preceded strong reversals in the past.
Wedson explained that every time TRON dropped into the red or orange zones on the chart (indicating weakness), it often began strong relative upward trends and went on to outperform Bitcoin. “This pattern has repeated across several past cycles — and it seems to be forming once again,” the on-chain expert added.
With TRON seemingly bound to outpace Bitcoin in the coming weeks, Wedson suggested that investors might want to consider rotating some capital from BTC into TRX. “It may be strategically interesting to consider rotating a small portion of BTC into TRX, aiming to front-run a possible TRX outperformance in the coming months,” the Alphractal CEO said.
Bitcoin And TRON Price
As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just beneath $118,100, reflecting an over 10% increase in the past month. In comparison, TRON is valued at around $0.3197, with an almost 18% price growth in the past 30 days.