Is The Bitcoin Price Bottom In? Here’s What Social Sentiment Says

[Ben Graham]

On-chain analytics platform Santiment has weighed in on whether the Bitcoin price has reached its bottom, following its drop to the $108,000 range. The platform alluded to the current social sentiment, suggesting that a further drawdown may be looming. 

Bitcoin Price Bottom Not Yet In Amid Spike In Social Dominance

In a research report, Santiment indicated that the Bitcoin price bottom may not yet be in, considering the surge in the social dominance of ‘buy the dip’ mentions. The platform explained that a true bottom is often marked not by price but by a shift in social narrative from ‘buy the dip’ optimism to widespread fear. This creates a strong bearish case that discourages buying. 

Santiment suggested that the Bitcoin price typically rebounds when the sentiment is bearish and when investors least expect an uptrend. However, for now, market participants are still getting “antsy and trying to find some entry spots now that prices have cooled down a bit, Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan explained. 

The analyst opined that the cooldown in the Bitcoin price so far is not a huge one, while noting that BTC has detached from the S&P 500. Quinlivan predicted that BTC and other crypto assets could play catch-up to the stock market when the crowd stops getting too optimistic about buying the dip. He added that the true ‘buy the dip’ opportunities happen when the crowd stops believing there is an opportunity. 

In the research report, Santiment noted that the current ‘buy the dip’ chatter needs to be suddenly replaced by discussion of the narrative that supports the bearish case. In line with this, the platform advised market participants to pay close attention to the dominant social narrative. According to the report, when the conversation shifts from hopeful buying to widespread fear, it can be a stronger bottom signal than the Bitcoin price alone.

Another Metric To Keep An Eye On

The Santiment report indicated that BTC whale transfers are another key metric to watch for, as they can help determine if the Bitcoin price has reached its bottom. These whales, wallets holding 10 to 10,000 BTC, have not been selling off in any significant way despite the market dip. 

According to Maksim, who joined Santiment analyst Brian on the podcast, whenever these wallets do decrease their holdings, it can lead to “postponed price suppression weeks thereafter.” Therefore, Santiment advised market participants to monitor the holdings of large Bitcoin wallets. A lack of selling from whales could indicate underlying strength, while a significant drop can be a warning of future price weakness. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $107,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.