It isn't typical to see as much FX volatility ahead of such a key FOMC.
Currency Markets had been particularly slow throughout August after some post-NFP correction in the US Dollar – Despite having reasons to sell the USD further, particularly after Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, end-summer slow trading largely contained volatility for fiat majors.
To catch up with the volatility seen in Equities (which kept flying higher throughout that entire period), the US Dollar took a two-day downward train to start this week.
The greenback sawclose to 1% moves in Monday and yesterday's consecutive sessions against European currencies particularly – The widest range throughout the whole FX Market between the 12th of August to last Friday had been ~0.50%.
As explained in our previous piece, except for a huge switch of fundamentals and/or a leak to an upcoming decision, it is rare that players accelerate such volatility ahead of the FOMC.
Anyways, let's have a look at technical levels for all FX major pairs as the market gets ready for the FOMC decision (and the Bank of Canada rate decision, releasing very soon – we will update the levels on a new piece).
DXY 4H Chart, September 17, 2025 – Source: TradingView
Main resistance 0.8150 to 0.82 (last highs 0.8165)
May 2025 highs 0.8475 Resistance Zone
Support Levels
0.78575 2025 lows Support
0.77 to 0.7735 August 2011 lows
0.76 Psychological level
The Pound is back on track – GBPUSD
GBPUSD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView
Levels to watch for GBPUSD:
Resistance Levels
2025 precise high 1.3788
2025 Highs resistance 1.3760 to 1.38
Resistance 1.37 Zone (immediate resistance)
Support Levels
Resistance turned pivot at the 1.36 zone
Support Zone 1.35
1.34 Support Zone
USDCAD (Subject to change with ongoing Bank of Canada decision, Cut by 25 bps)
USDCAD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView
An update to the chart will be presented in an upcoming piece: Mid-Week NA Markets update with a detailed USDCAD analysis inside.Here is the BoC statement.
Levels to watch for USDCAD:
Resistance Levels
1.38 Handle +/- 150 pips
1.3850 to 1.3860 Main resistance
1.3925 Aug 22 highs
Support Levels
Key longer-term pivot turned support 1.3750 (currently testing)
1.3660 intermediate support
1.3550 Main 2025 Support
Safe Trades as the FOMC approaches!
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It isn't typical to see as much FX volatility ahead of such a key FOMC.
Currency Markets had been particularly slow throughout August after some post-NFP correction in the US Dollar – Despite having reasons to sell the USD further, particularly after Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, end-summer slow trading largely contained volatility for fiat majors.
To catch up with the volatility seen in Equities (which kept flying higher throughout that entire period), the US Dollar took a two-day downward train to start this week.
The greenback saw close to 1% moves in Monday and yesterday's consecutive sessions against European currencies particularly – The widest range throughout the whole FX Market between the 12th of August to last Friday had been ~0.50%.
As explained in our previous piece, except for a huge switch of fundamentals and/or a leak to an upcoming decision, it is rare that players accelerate such volatility ahead of the FOMC.
The only reasoning would be strong and sudden hedging that corroborates with Miran entering the FOMC meeting right before its start.
Anyways, let's have a look at technical levels for all FX major pairs as the market gets ready for the FOMC decision (and the Bank of Canada rate decision, releasing very soon – we will update the levels on a new piece).
Watch how the Dollar broke lower this Monday after resisting in a range throughout the entire past month – You can check out our most recent DXY analysis right here.
Read More:
All FX Majors Charts with the key levels in play for the September FOMC
NZDUSD 8H Chart and levels
Trading Levels for NZDUSD:
Resistance Levels
Support Levels
USDJPY 8H Chart and levels (testing support)
You can access an in-depth USDJPY analysis right here, released earlier today!
Levels to watch for USDJPY:
Resistance Levels
Support Levels
AUDUSD – A sharp rebound from the prior week selloff
You can access one of our most recent analysis for AUDUSD right here (chart is from Monday) – Watch the RSI which is starting to shape downwards.
AUDUSD Trading Levels:
Resistance Levels
Support Levels
EURUSD 8H Chart and levels
You can check out our Monday EURUSD Analysis which preceded a huge breakout to new highs – The fundamentals are still valid despite the new levels.
Levels to watch for EURUSD:
Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
The Swissie regains some strength – USDCHF
Here is our latest in-depth analysis of the USDCHF (from yesterday) that was published as things were moving aggressively. Despite new lows being reached, the analysis is still valid!
Levels to watch for USDCHF:
Resistance Levels
Support Levels
The Pound is back on track – GBPUSD
Levels to watch for GBPUSD:
Resistance Levels
Support Levels
USDCAD (Subject to change with ongoing Bank of Canada decision, Cut by 25 bps)
An update to the chart will be presented in an upcoming piece: Mid-Week NA Markets update with a detailed USDCAD analysis inside. Here is the BoC statement.
Levels to watch for USDCAD:
Resistance Levels
Support Levels
Safe Trades as the FOMC approaches!
Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier
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