Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11713 tópicos neste fórum
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EUR/USD The euro continues following a corrective upward path. This morning, the price reached resistance at the MACD line. However, one obstacle stands in the way—the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, slowing the euro's ability to decisively break through this resistance. If the market waits for the oscillator to turn upward, the breakout above 1.1663 is more likely to occur tomorrow. Overall, we expect the euro to continue rising toward the target level of 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the price has secured its position above both the balance line and the MACD. The Marlin oscillator is signaling a release of tension, which likely precedes a consolida…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key takeaways Euro weakness stabilizes: EUR/USD’s recent 3.25% drop from its September high has stalled at the key 1.1530 medium-term support level.French political uncertainty eases: The reappointment of Prime Minister Lecornu and reduced sovereign risk premiums have helped calm Eurozone markets.Technical setup remains bullish: Price action forms an “Ascending Triangle” pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the medium-term uptrend.Short-term breakout confirmed: A minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout above 1.1625 suggests upward momentum toward 1.1690 and 1.1760. The euro has suddenly lost its sparkle ex-post September’s FOMC, after it hit a four-year hig…
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[#USDX] – [Thursday, October 16, 2025] With all technical indicators showing the weakening trend, meaning that the #USDX is likely to come under pressure today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.19 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.92 3. Pivot : 98.77 4. Support. 1 : 98.50 5. Support. 2 : 98.35 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.77, there is potential to test the 98.50 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.50 is broken, #USDX may fall further to 98.35. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if #USDX strengthens and breaks above 99.19. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.78 EMA(200): 98.92 RSI(14…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 16, 2025] Technical indicators condition show strengthening momentum, including a Golden Cross between EMA(50) & EMA(200) and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone. Therefore, #NDX has the potential to move higher today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 25180.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 24976.1 3. Pivot : 24730.3 4. Support. 1 : 24526.0 5. Support. 2 : 24280.2 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NDX rises and breaks above 24976.1, it may continue its upward momentum toward 25180.4. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25,180.4 is breached, #NDX could continue higher to test 25426.2. Invalidation…
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Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer c…
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Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.2180 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1920. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2050. The price is trading below the $0.240 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2025 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1880. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.2050 resistance to ent…
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Trade Review for Wednesday: 1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement. Among notable events that day were the ongoing deterioration in U.S.–China relations and the Eurozone's industrial production report, which, despite coming in weak, still exceeded expectations—possibly contributing to minor euro strength. Overall, the market finally began buying the euro, which is a positive development. The descending trendline was breached again, suggesting the formation of at least a short-term bullish trend. As mentioned previously, we continue to expect the EUR/USD pair to rise and believe the 2025 uptrend will ultimately resu…
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Trade Review for Wednesday:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart The GBP/USD pair rose confidently throughout Wednesday, which is a very positive signal. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly pointed to the illogical nature of the pair's decline, so this latest rise appears to be a "debt repaid" to the British currency. While there have indeed been negative headlines for the pound in recent weeks, they pale in comparison to the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop weighing on the U.S. dollar. Yesterday, there were no significant events or economic releases in either the UK or the U.S. that could justify a rise in GBP/USD. This move is even more noteworthy, as it strongly suggests that…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday. The most noteworthy will come from the United Kingdom, although even these are not expected to have a major impact. In roughly an hour, the UK will release data on industrial production and gross domestic product. However, the GDP figure will be monthly rather than quarterly. Markets tend to place more weight on quarterly and annual data. As for industrial production, it is not seen as a top-tier indicator among traders. Nevertheless, both reports could trigger a market reaction simply because no other significant data is scheduled for the day. In the Eurozone and the United St…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair once again traded in a very lackluster fashion. The only notable event of the day was the Eurozone industrial production report, which—although still weak—came in slightly better than the most pessimistic market forecasts. As a result, the euro experienced a modest uptick. However, overall, we saw yet another day of extremely low volatility. In recent sessions, price action resembles a flat movement on both intraday and daily timeframes. It almost feels as though U.S. traders, along with government institutions shut down by the ongoing budget deadlock, have simply gone on vacation. Technically, the most re…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair spent most of the day in low-volatility consolidation but eventually initiated an entirely logical upward movement by evening. As previously stated, the current fundamental and macroeconomic background does not favor the U.S. dollar, and the recent period of dollar strength has appeared illogical. Both major currency pairs recently broke above their trendlines, shifting short-term sentiment to bullish. On Wednesday, neither the UK nor the U.S. released any important or even notable economic events, making the pound's rise even more telling. The fact that the market began buying GBP/USD without any accompan…
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The EUR/USD currency pair began a new upward attempt on Tuesday and continued it with moderate success on Wednesday. It's difficult to definitively state whether Jerome Powell's remarks or Donald Trump's latest escalation toward China were the precise catalysts for the dollar's decline—but it's likely. Over recent weeks, the market has been deliberately ignoring virtually all fundamental and macroeconomic pressure weighing on the dollar. We've repeatedly highlighted how illogical the greenback's resilience has been, so it's not guaranteed that the market has suddenly started reacting to bearish U.S. data. This shift actually began back in the first week of October, when m…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, which began Tuesday evening when Donald Trump issued new threats toward China and Jerome Powell subtly hinted at a possible easing of monetary policy at the end of October. In reality, Powell made no such hints, but the market likely interpreted his statements that way. It is worth remembering that faith and expectations often influence market participants' trading decisions. Powell may state there is no expected monetary policy easing in the near future, yet the market may choose not to believe him. Thus, traders most likely read between the lines and found the desired phrase about lowering the key int…
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According to market charts and comments from well-known traders, XRP’s price action is drawing fresh attention as some investors say it could challenge Ethereum’s spot in the rankings. A decade-long chart was shared that traces moves from 2013 through 2025, and one commentator went as far as to call the next leg a potential “Ethereum killer.” That claim has reignited debate across crypto circles. Technical Patterns Signal Repeats Crypto analyst Peter Brandt pointed to a repeating set of shapes on XRP’s chart — symmetrical triangles and long consolidations that ended in sharp rallies. The timeline covers a decade and breaks down into three phases. The first run, from 2…
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The U.S. dollar continued to decline actively against the euro, the pound, and other assets. Statements from Federal Reserve representatives advocating for interest rate cuts led to a dollar sell-off. Traders interpreted these signals as confirmation of a likely shift toward more accommodative monetary policy in the near future, which traditionally puts pressure on the American currency. The euro, the pound, and other assets gained support as rate cuts in the U.S. reduced the attractiveness of American assets. However, it is worth noting that long-term prospects remain uncertain. Economic growth in Europe and the United Kingdom still lags behind that of the United States,…
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Bitcoin remains in the $110,000–$111,000 range—an area that is technically very significant. A breakout below this level could trigger a more active sell-off of the cryptocurrency down toward $106,000, bringing it dangerously close to the $100,000 range. A test of that range would represent a critical moment for the entire cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has also declined sharply, barely holding above the $4,000 level. A move below this mark could result in a significantly more aggressive sell-off. While traders continue to battle for direction, news has emerged that the Bank of England plans to introduce temporary limits on the size of holdings and transactions in stabl…
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Trade Analysis and Euro Trading TipsThe test of the 1.1615 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly lower from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The euro then rose, but at the moment the price reached 1.1641, MACD had also climbed well above the zero mark. Therefore, I opted not to buy and instead waited for the realization of Sell Scenario No. 2, which helped to extract about 10 pips of profit from the market. Hints from Federal Reserve officials about the need to ease interest rates triggered a wave of dollar selling, strengthening the euro's position. Market participants interpreted these signals as a sign …
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Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3342 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD entering the oversold zone, which led to the realization of Buy Scenario No. 2. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The U.S. dollar continues to steadily lose ground against the British pound, and it seems unlikely that any events in the near future could reverse this trend. The lack of key macroeconomic data, due to the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S., has created an informational vacuum a…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.52 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. A similar situation unfolded in reverse later in the day near the 151.30 level. As a result, I did not execute any trades. The dollar continues to lose ground against the yen, and there appear to be few, if any, drivers that could reverse this negative trend in the near future. The lack of meaningful macroeconomic data capable of supporting the U.S. currency, combined with dovish commentary from Federal Reserve officials, continues to put pressure on …
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After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days. He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 day…
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Upbeat corporate earnings from U.S. banks and Washington's attempts to de-escalate the trade conflict with China allowed the S&P 500 to extend its rally. The broad market index has recovered most of the losses suffered during the sell-off triggered by the White House's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. The current pullback looks more like a rational recalibration than a reversal. The six largest U.S. banks earned $41 billion in profit in the third quarter, 19% more than during the same period in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley and Bank of America jumped by 4.4% and 4.7%, respectively. A positive signal for the S&P 500 came from banking executives' stat…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.40%, and the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.46%. The industrial Dow Jones edged down by 0.04%. Asian indices advanced as investors shifted their attention back to technology sector plays following a week largely dominated by the threat of a US-China trade war. The MSCI regional index climbed by 1.1%, supported by solid gains in South Korea, Japan, and Australia. This was partly driven by renewed interest in tech stocks after Dutch chipmaker ASML Holding NV reported earnings on Wednesday. The report added optimism that the artificial intelligence boom can still have a lasting impact on corporate profitability. Gol…
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Quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s encryption and send the digital asset to zero far sooner than many people believe, according to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards. Speaking at TOKEN2049 earlier this month, Edwards shocked crypto enthusiasts by stating that he believes Bitcoin is under a huge threat from quantum computing, and that developers have a limited amount of time to address quantum concerns. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #…
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The crypto crash continued on Wednesday as selling pressure intensified across most sectors. The total crypto market cap fell another 1.2% to $3.78 trillion, with fear levels climbing as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to 32 (Fear). Amid growing uncertainty, traders are already looking for the next crypto to explode once the market stabilizes. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } …
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On-chain data shows the short-term holder Bitcoin whales have recently increased their Realized Cap share to the highest level ever. Bitcoin Is Currently Being Dominated By New Capital In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the share of the Bitcoin whale Realized Cap held by the short-term holders. The Realized Cap here is an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the BTC investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. Changes in this metric reflect the incoming or outgoing of capital. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Cap of only a portion of holders …
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