Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair saw a minor pullback. Over the past week and a half, the euro has been slowly but steadily rising, recovering from the unjustified decline of the previous one-and-a-half months. Therefore, a minor correction within the local upward trend would not be detrimental. However, it is essential to note that the concept of trend is quite conditional, even on the hourly timeframe. The daily chart continues to show a global flat that has persisted for three months. Thus, any internal movement is a correction against a correction against a correction. The ascending trend on the hourly timeframe remains intact, as the pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Dogecoin multi-year recovery trend is under pressure as price slips below a key ascending support and rests on an historic horizontal level, according to a new chart from trader and analyst Rekt Capital. Dogecoin Is Inches Away From A Bear Market In an X post, Rekt Capital shared a 1-month DOGE/USDT chart from Binance, created on TradingView on Nov. 15, and warned: “Dogecoin needs to protect its multi-year technical uptrend heading into December to keep chances for macro upside alive.” The chart tracks Dogecoin from the 2021 blow-off top through the 2022–2023 bear market and the subsequent recovery. A rising trendline, built from the bear-market lows, currently runs…
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The crypto market remains under intense selling pressure, with sentiment turning increasingly bearish as Bitcoin trades below the $100,000 mark for the first time since May. Altcoins have fared even worse, extending a downtrend that began in early October. Despite this wave of uncertainty and fading bullish momentum, capital inflows into the market continue to grow — suggesting that investors may be preparing for the next phase of accumulation. Lookonchain reports that stablecoin issuance has surged in recent weeks, led by giants like Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC). Together, the two firms have minted over $14 billion in new stablecoins since the October 10 market cras…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Social Dominance has spiked to a 4-month high, something that has tended to be a reversal signal for the market. Social Media Is Shifting Attention To Bitcoin According to data from analytics firm Santiment, social media talk has recently become more concentrated on Bitcoin. The indicator of relevance here is the “Social Dominance,” which measures the percentage of cryptocurrency-related discussions on social media that a given asset accounts for. The metric gauges social media talk using the Social Volume indicator, which tracks the total number of posts/threads/comments that contain unique mentions of the coin. To give a relative measure, the S…
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Gold has now fallen below Friday's low, demonstrating its weakness. An increasing number of Federal Reserve officials are leaning towards caution, avoiding further steps to ease monetary policy. In particular, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid emphasized on Friday that inflation remains excessively high and that there is no reason for complacency regarding inflation forecasts and expectations. Jeffrey Schmid stated that the current monetary policy is moderately restrictive, which aligns with its essence, and should account for demand dynamics. By the end of last week, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December had fallen below 50%, which also contrib…
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Stephen Jen, head of the London investment fund Eurizon SLJ Capital and author of the "Dollar Smile Theory," believes that the U.S. currency will lose an additional 13.5% of its value on top of the 7% it has already lost. This pertains specifically to the dollar index. Against the euro, the dollar has declined by 13% in 2025. Consequently, the dollar's losses over the next three years could be much more pronounced. This economic theory explains the cycles of growth and decline of the U.S. dollar. Jen asserts that the U.S. dollar strengthens in two scenarios: when the U.S. economy is extremely strong or when it is in a deep recession. During periods of moderate economic gr…
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The U.S. dollar index fell by 7% in 2025 during Donald Trump's presidency. However, few doubt that the current market calm is merely a pause before a new decline in the American currency. The news backdrop in the U.S. can be described as both "bad" and "conducive to the dollar's decline," depending on one's perspective. It's worth noting that the dollar looks very weak against the euro. The European Central Bank is unlikely to cut interest rates again in the coming year, while the Bank of England may conduct a few more rounds of monetary easing, as it lags far behind the ECB. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is 100% likely to continue its easing policy. Whether quick…
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The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within the range of 1.1580–1.1650, which lies between the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the daily chart. Last week, buyers of EUR/USD attempted to break through the upper boundary of the range, but to no avail: sellers seized the initiative, and Friday's trading ended at the 1.1620 mark. As the new trading week begins, sellers are trying to build on their success, moving toward the lower boundary of the aforementioned range. However, fundamentally, the pair remains stuck in a sideways move, awaiting key macroeconomic reports due this week. On Monday, the price retreat is attributed to…
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As the saying goes, "man proposes, but God disposes." Expectations often do not align with reality. It was previously thought that Donald Trump's extensive tariffs would significantly slow economic growth in the Eurozone. However, the currency bloc's economy has shown remarkable resilience. As a result, growth forecasts are being raised, which plays in favor of EUR/USD. On the other hand, markets are driven by expectations, and for the euro, things are not as good as one might assume. The European Commission has recently upgraded its GDP estimates for 2025, following similar moves from the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank. The Brussels forecasts a…
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Ethereum (ETH) is flashing a rare technical warning sign for bears. According to the analysis, the daily chart has hit a historically oversold MACD reading not seen in years, aligning with a deeply oversold RSI. This confluence of extreme momentum signals suggests that the price has entered a major demand zone, dramatically increasing the likelihood of a powerful relief rally and setting the stage for a significant short-term rebound. MACD Hits Rare Historical Lows — A Zone Linked To Major ETH Bottoms According to a recent post from More Crypto Online, Ethereum is currently flashing one of its most extreme MACD readings seen in years on the daily timeframe. While the MAC…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 17 Markets opened the week on some fragile risk-sentiment to continue what has been going on since the end-October price peaks. Cryptocurrencies have led the risk-unwinding. Bitcoin plunged to its lowest level since early May, trading around $92,000 at the close. This action, marking a multi-month low, is starting to scare investors, particularly the most leveraged ones. Today's drop was not just surrounded by Tech and AI names. The Dow Jones also took a severe hit, shedding 550 points, closing down 1.2%. Sectors that had performed solidly last week, like Financials, Consumer Defensive, and Energy, got…
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Dogecoin has spent the past few days struggling to regain momentum after a series of pullbacks dragged the price back toward the mid-$0.16 region. The broader market has also been unstable, adding pressure to Dogecoin. Despite this stretch of bearish price action, a deeper look at the higher-timeframe chart shows a structure that has not been invalidated by the recent decline. This is where a technical analysis from XForceGlobal comes in, as he argues that Dogecoin is sitting inside an “insanely bullish” long-term formation that is unfolding beneath the surface. The 5-Wave Structure Behind Dogecoin’s Bullish Setup A detailed technical analysis shared by XForceGlobal on …
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The world of coin collecting extends far beyond familiar U.S. mintages. Collectors and investors alike are often fascinated by the rarity, history, and intrinsic metal content found in valuable foreign coins. These pieces not only showcase global artistry and heritage but also demonstrate why tangible assets with real scarcity continue to appeal to those seeking stability in an uncertain financial climate. For Americans approaching retirement, foreign coins can offer important lessons about the enduring value of physical gold and other precious metals, especially within a well diversified Gold IRA. Valuable Foreign Coins: Notable Examples from Around the World The followi…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed, but overall remains quite clear. There is no indication that the upward trend segment that began in January 2025 has been canceled, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex since July 1 and has taken on a more extended form. In my view, the instrument is currently forming corrective wave 4, which has taken an unconventional shape. Within this wave, we observe only corrective structures, leaving no doubt that the decline is corrective in nature. The construction of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background mostly does not support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Dona…
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The USD/CAD pair is trading near the confluence of the 9- and 14-day EMAs just below the 1.4027 level. The technical setup on the daily chart shows a stable bullish bias. The RSI (14-day Relative Strength Index) is holding slightly above 50, confirming moderate bullish sentiment. However, short-term momentum is weak, as evidenced by the pair trading below the nine-day exponential moving average (EMA). A breakout above the confluence of the nine-day and 14-day EMAs around 1.4027 will strengthen short-term price momentum and support the USD/CAD pair. After that, prices may retest the new seven-month high near 1.4140, reached on November 5. Continued upward movement would op…
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On Monday, for the second consecutive day, the EUR/USD pair is trading in the red amid decreasing expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Bears are awaiting a sustained breakout and consolidation below the round 1.1600 level before preparing for more significant losses. From a technical standpoint, last week's breakdown near the confluence of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day simple moving average around 1.1666, followed by subsequent declines, favors the EUR/USD bears. However, neutral oscillators on the daily chart call for caution, as there is a possibility that the European Central Bank will keep the deposit rate at its current level until the en…
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Today, Monday during the European session, as well as on Friday, the XAU/USD pair demonstrated some stability below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the absence of further growth calls for caution from the bulls. Moreover, the oscillators on the same chart are negative, warning that before opening long positions and preparing for further growth toward the $4150–4145 resistance, it is advisable to wait for the price to strengthen above the round $4100 level. This momentum could continue, allowing the precious metal to attempt another break above the round $4200 level. On the other hand, weakness below the 200-period simple moving ave…
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Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD): 9% dead cat bounce rally at risk of reversal, watch US$4,036 downside trigger The chip giant, NVIDIA (NVDA), will report its third-quarter earnings on November 19th after the market closes. This report is viewed as a crucial test for the entire AI market, since NVIDIA is seen as a key leader in the industry. Expectations for the company are extremely high leaving very little room for error; NVIDIA must deliver strong results, particularly in its future sales forecast and provide assurance that companies will continue to spend heavily on AI. Due to these high stakes, the stock market is preparing for significant volatility, with predictions that …
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After years in the wilderness, Zcash (ZEC) has staged a roughly 740% price “pump” this year, with analysts linking the move to surging demand for on-chain privacy and a cluster of high-profile endorsements. The speed and timing of the rally have ignited a heated debate on X: is Zcash’s resurgence driven by coordinated paid promotion, or by genuine improvements in its technology and monetary design? The flashpoint came from infrastructure founder Mert Mumtaz (@0xMert_), who mocked the idea that a single “mega-whale” is paying off every visible supporter. “There’s a person in crypto so rich that they are simultaneously paying off Cobie, Naval Ravikant, Balaji Srinivasan, m…
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Skyharbour Resources has struck a game-changing deal with Denison Mines, reshaping the landscape of uranium exploration in Canada’s Athabasca Basin in northern Saskatchewan. The companies have agreed to create four joint ventures at the Russell Lake uranium project, with Denison set to invest up to C$61.5 million ($43.7 million) for various ownership stakes. This partnership brings together Skyharbour’s promising Russell Lake project and Denison’s expertise as a leading uranium mining company. The deal allows Denison to acquire between 20% and 70% ownership in different parts of Russell Lake over seven years, while Skyharbour retains significant interests and continue…
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The speculation surrounding a potential BlackRock XRP ETF has surged to new heights. This surge is a direct consequence of the astonishing market debut of the Canary XRPC ETF. Canary XRP ETF’s launch has painted a clear picture of robust institutional and retail demand for a regulated XRP investment product. Why XRPC’s Success Fuels BlackRock Rumors As the speculation around a potential BlackRock XRP ETF is heating up again, the Canary XRPC ETF has delivered one of the strongest launches of the year. An analyst known as Skipper_xrp has noted on X that the newly listed fund stunned the market with over $58 million in first-day trading volume and $245 million in net inflow…
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Gold prices edged lower on Monday, as reduced expectations of a US interest rate cut next month continue to weigh on the safe-haven metal. Spot gold was around $4,069 an ounce, down 0.3% on the day, after briefly rising above the $4,100 level earlier. US gold futures saw similar moves, trading near $4,071 an ounce for a 0.5% loss. Click on chart for live prices. Meanwhile, the US dollar index inched higher, making bullion expensive for holders of other currencies. Investors are still seeking clarity over the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy following the end of the longest government shutdown in US history, which had delayed the release of official economic…
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The week has started with wiggly trading, leaving traders firmly on the fence when it comes to risk-sentiment. Despite the broader market indecision, a few specific names are holding the major indices together, notably Alphabet (Google), which trades higher by 4% after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $4.3 billion stake in the company. Names like Tesla and the semiconductor giant Micron (MU) are also providing support. However, most stocks are trading close to unchanged or slightly in the red at the open. zoom…
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Gold Fields has announced a significant increase in its investment for the Windfall gold project in Quebec. The company has revised its capital expenditure estimate to C$1.7-C$1.9 billion, up from the initial C$790 million projection from 2022. This new estimate reflects a more comprehensive development plan for both surface and underground operations. The company made the announcement during a Capital Markets Day media conference call, on November 13. Gold Fields plans to steadily increase its production over the coming five years. The company aims to boost its annual output to approximately three million ounces by 2030. Following this growth phase, Gold Fields inten…
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A debate over the XRP Ledger’s (XRPL) economy model has ignited after Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer (CTO), David Schwartz, directly addressed questions about taxation on the blockchain. Critics have suggested that if XRP holders do not earn from the ecosystem, someone must be collecting a tax. Schwartz’s response challenges this assumption, framing the XRP Ledger as a public utility rather than a profit-generating mechanism for token holders. The debate has since sparked broader conversations about real-world use cases, passive income expectations, and the underlying purpose of the XRPL blockchain. Ripple CTO Says No Tax On The XRP Ledger In a post on X social medi…
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