Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7047 tópicos neste fórum
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Dogecoin is cooling off after its recent rejection near $0.307, with price action now consolidating between $0.220 and $0.240. Despite the pullback, bullish momentum remains intact, and market signals suggest a retest of the $0.32 level could be only a matter of time. Critical Support Validated, Bulls Eye $0.32 Retest Master Kenobi, in a fresh DOGE chart update, pointed out that the red dashed line has once again acted as a strong support level. This confirmation aligns with the point earlier highlighted by the yellow arrow, showing that the level was accurately identified as a realistic and critical zone for price stabilization. According to his analysis, this support…
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Hedera (HBAR) is gaining momentum as “ETF season” heats up and technical patterns align for a potential upward move. After bouncing from a September low near $0.205, HBAR has formed constructive patterns, an Elliott Wave advance, a double bottom, and a 10-week descending wedge, that together suggest a bullish turn. With a final decision on a proposed HBAR spot ETF expected in November, traders are wondering if a clear break above $0.23–$0.24 could lead to the $0.30 level. ETF Season Puts HBAR in the Spotlight Macro tailwinds are strengthening, with the SEC expected to make decisions on numerous crypto ETF applications in October–November. Analysts believe that current…
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- 16 👀 Traders
Central banks are usually less agile than hedge funds or asset managers. However, they control enormous reserves of $12 trillion. If they begin diversifying by selling one currency and buying another, the consequences for Forex could be massive. In this regard, the reduction of the U.S. dollar's share in foreign exchange reserves to 56.3%—the lowest level since 1995—has seriously alarmed EUR/USD bears. Could the process of offloading the greenback already be underway? Dynamics of the U.S. Dollar's Share in Central Bank Reserves There are plenty of reasons for concern. The highest tariffs since the 1930s, along with attempts by the White House to undermine the Fed's…
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The EUR/USD pair continues to test resistance at 1.1750. At this price point, the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart coincides with the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. For the past three days, traders have been pressing against this barrier but repeatedly pulling back to the 1.1730 area, reflecting indecision on both sides of the market. On the one hand, bullish sentiment dominates (bears cannot even approach the 1.16 area), while on the other, most buyers lock in profits above 1.1750, after which sellers regain control. As a result, EUR/USD has been stuck in a 1.1710–1.1770 range despite the broader weakening of the dollar. Notably, nearl…
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- 14 👀 Traders
1.20 per euro is the minimum projected exchange rate for EUR/USD by year-end. Most banks and economists agree with this forecast. The news background for the dollar in 2025 is not just poor—it keeps worsening. Just a couple of weeks ago, the market was still digesting Donald Trump's new import tariffs (covering all medicines, trucks, and furniture) and the FOMC rate cut, when a government shutdown had already begun in the U.S., while the labor market continued to cool. Currently, demand for the U.S. currency has not declined significantly, but I believe the market will factor these considerations in later. The Federal Reserve has not just carried out one round of monetary…
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Although this week has already brought a number of important events and economic data, the amplitude of price movements remains extremely low, and trader activity is subdued. If we had seen a four-day strengthening of the euro by now, I would not have considered such a move unusual. However, instead of a logical rise in the euro, we are witnessing sideways choppiness in a very narrow range. The market is in no hurry to trade, despite all the conditions for active trading being present. In fact, this week has delivered just one report that outweighs all others – the ADP employment data. Inflation in the eurozone or the U.S. manufacturing PMI are important releases, but the…
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- 19 👀 Traders
Fan tokens get fresh momentum as Chiliz launches official merch auctions and Alpine’s ALPINE token whipsaws on heavy volume. On Wednesday, Chiliz rolled out limited-edition merchandise bundles inside the Socios.com app, aiming to reward active fans and spark more activity across its sports-token network. The bundles containing a T-shirt, hoodie, socks, hat, stickers, and a linked NFT are up for grabs from Oct. 1 through Oct. 18. Access is restricted to “Reward Points Auctions,” which require users to bid with points earned by staking fan tokens purchased with CHZ. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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- 19 👀 Traders
As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-…
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- 18 👀 Traders
Metallium Limited (ASX: MTM; OTCQX: MTMCF) announced Thursday that its subsidiary, Flash Metals USA has executed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with a division of Swiss commodities giant Glencore (LON: GLEN). The MOU, which is effective immediately, creates a framework for a potential long-term collaboration in electronic scrap supply and metal offtake in the United States. It’s subject to negotiation and execution of final definitive agreements, and runs until the end of the year, Metallium said. The company’s patented Flash Joule Heating (FJH) technology was developed at Rice University and enables the extraction of materials including gallium, germanium,…
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The phenomenal +150% run that saw Ethereum dramatically outperform Bitcoin has officially hit the brakes. After fueling the recent altcoin mini-season, the crucial ratio has stalled out completely, exhibiting 40 days of stagnation. With the main engine of the altcoin market now idling, the initial euphoria is fading, raising serious concerns about the stability and short-term future of nearly every asset outside of BTC. Is Ethereum Entering A Healthy Accumulation Phase? The powerful momentum behind altcoins has evaporated following the stagnation of the ETH/BTC ratio. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades has highlighted that after a monumental +150%…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) has started October with renewed strength, riding a wave of bullish technical patterns and increasing global adoption that continue to boost optimism among traders and long-term holders alike. As momentum grows, analysts are closely monitoring key resistance levels around $0.33 and higher as DOGE shows signs of consolidating for its next big move. The technical outlook is supported by on-chain signals and open interest inflows, indicating that market participants are gearing up for further upside. Golden Cross Formation and Technical Strength On multiple timeframes, Dogecoin is completing a Golden Cross pattern, a bullish signal that occurs when a sh…
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EUR/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair unexpectedly declined. Over the past couple of weeks, the dollar has accumulated several new factors that weaken its position against its competitors. Yet instead of a natural rise in the pair, we see either flat movement or even declines. From our perspective, the dollar should already be plunging into another downturn, so these "twitches" can hardly be called movement—nor are they particularly logical. The formal reason for the euro's decline on Thursday was the unemployment report in the euro area, which showed that the rate unexpectedly rose to 6.3%. This could have triggered pressure on the euro. However…
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GBP/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, GBP/USD also traded lower, although the British pound had absolutely no grounds for decline. One might assume that the euro pulled the pound down with it, but even the euro's fall raises questions—particularly since it started two hours after the weak unemployment report was published. The technical picture on the hourly timeframe remains unchanged. Despite Wednesday's and Thursday's declines, the new uptrend is still valid, though it remains very weak and uncertain as long as the Senkou Span B line is not broken. Friday may not provide clarity either and could create even more confusion. For starters, it is still unclear whether U.S.…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued to trade very calmly, without sharp moves or significant volatility. Once again, the first week of the new month is proving to be dreadfully dull. As a reminder, the first week of each month usually brings important U.S. macroeconomic data. However, in recent months, despite genuinely interesting and high-impact releases—particularly labor market reports—we increasingly observe extremely low market interest in immediately pricing in this information. This week also seems quiet on the surface, although its events are far from ordinary. The U.S. ADP employment report turned out to be "below the floor," quite literally—if we consider t…
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- 21 👀 Traders
On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued to trade very calmly. Still, it is worth recalling that the U.S. dollar has recently accumulated several fresh factors of weakness. Whether the U.S. NonFarm Payrolls and unemployment reports will be released today remains unclear, with contradictory news circulating. However, even without these releases, the situation looks obvious. We have often noted that ADP and NonFarm Payrolls figures for the same month rarely align closely. The market, therefore, tends to focus more on Nonfarm Payrolls for assessing the labor market. What the two reports do share, however, is the trend: both show different numbers but a consistent deterioratio…
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- 18 👀 Traders
A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model. Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap. The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents th…
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The Ethereum price has once again crossed the $4,500 threshold, trading just 9% below its all-time high of $4,946, prompting a surge of bullish predictions for the leading altcoin. Bullish Reversal For Ethereum Price Market expert Gert van Lagen took to X (formerly Twitter) to share his insights, suggesting that the Ethereum price is currently following a “textbook” expanding diagonal pattern on its biweekly chart. As seen in the expert’s chart below, this expanding diagonal pattern is characterized by a series of rising trend lines, indicating a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Over the past month and a half, the Ethereum price has consolidated bet…
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CME Group plans to open the door to round-the-clock trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting in early 2026. This move still needs the green light from regulators, but if it goes through, it would mean no more waiting for market open. Instead of being locked into specific hours, users will be able to access these products any time on CME’s Globex platform. It’s a clear response to the growing call for nonstop trading access in a market that never really shuts down. What the New Schedule Will Look Like Once it’s live, crypto futures and options will trade 24 hours a day, every day of the week. The only pause will be a two-hour maintenance break each week. If…
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The U.S. government is partially shut down, and that’s thrown a wrench into the SEC’s regular activity. One of the biggest consequences right now is the halt on reviewing applications for spot altcoin ETFs. For investors hoping to see new crypto funds approved soon, especially ones linked to Solana and other popular tokens, the wait just got longer. SEC Freezes Review During Budget Impasse The SEC has a contingency plan for situations like this, and it clearly states that only emergency cases will be reviewed during a shutdown. Everything else, including new financial product applications, is off the table for now. That leaves crypto ETF filings stuck in limbo. …
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Bitcoin edged higher today, breaching the key $119,000 mark, after a string of steady sessions, lifting prices above recent ranges and drawing fresh attention from big investors. According to Coinglass data, BTC rose about 2.50% in the last 24 hours, and is up 8% over the last seven days. Trading activity and inflows are being watched closely as traders size up the next move. Institutional Flows Drive Momentum Data shows the top crypto asset registered a second straight day of strong inflows, putting $430 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs. That kind of demand helps explain why Bitcoin’s market value has jumped from $870 billion to $2.34 trillion this year. Analysts say t…
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- 15 👀 Traders
GBP/USD By the end of Thursday, the price returned below the balance and MACD indicator lines. The daily close occurred 23 pips below the MACD line, marking a conditional consolidation under it and significantly increasing the likelihood of further decline. Support at 1.3364 is formally open. The Marlin oscillator turned downward while remaining in bearish territory. A close above the MACD line on Friday near 1.3475 would indicate conditional consolidation above it, opening the path to 1.3525. For now, the base scenario remains bearish. On the H4 chart, the price attempted conditional consolidation twice above the MACD line, but each time it closed firmly below it. Toda…
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- 17 👀 Traders
Today's labor data from Japan showed a jump in the August unemployment rate from 2.3% to 2.6% (forecast: 2.4%). According to market participants, such figures will slow the Bank of Japan's monetary tightening. Considering that the yen has spent 2.5 months in the 146.29–149.38 range precisely in anticipation of tightening signals, after a signal pointing to easing, the pair may break out of the range upward. On the daily chart, we see that the upper boundary of the range at 149.38 will soon align with the MACD line, so their overlap may provoke another strong price surge, continuing the uptrend. The target is the 151.70–152.10 range. The Marlin oscillator is close to ente…
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EUR/USD On Thursday, for the fourth time since Monday, the pair attempted to rise but were pushed back down. This time, the pressure was stronger, with the lower shadow piercing both indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has moved into negative territory. For the target level of 1.1605 to open, the price must consolidate below the MACD line (1.1700). Even if today's daily candle closes under it, such confirmation won't come until later. Despite mounting pressure on the euro, an upward move remains possible, as the price is still technically above the indicator lines. Sideways movement and uncertainty continue. On the H4 chart, the price continues to fluctuate between t…
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The time for optimistic predictions about the Bitcoin price reaching a new record is swiftly running out. Many analysts initially predicted that the market’s leading cryptocurrency would achieve a milestone of $200,000 this year. However, as time progresses, these forecasts are being adjusted, with some traders on crypto prediction platforms lowering their price targets. Despite this, the potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) still lingers for the remainder of the year. Historical Data Points To New Records In Q4 Recently, the Bitcoin price once again surged past the significant $120,000 threshold, a level that has acted as a major resistance barrier over the past mo…
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Trade Review for Thursday:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD also showed a downward move, despite the British pound having no real reason to fall. As mentioned earlier, this week's movements in the FX market have been very strange and illogical. Such moves are not rare, and when they do not align with the fundamental or macroeconomic background, the best approach is to acknowledge their illogicality rather than trying to force-fit news or data to explain them. There were no significant events in the UK or the U.S. yesterday, although earlier this week, at least two events could have triggered a major dollar sell-off—but didn't. That's the main "strangeness" …
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