Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12059 tópicos neste fórum
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Dogecoin is sitting at an inflection point where weakening market structure meets unusually compressed on-chain risk, according to new charts shared by analyst Cryptollica (@Cryptollica). The visuals juxtapose a multi-year DOGE/USDT price channel with Alphafractal’s Reserve Risk framework, raising the question of whether the move is a true breakdown or the formation of a long-term bottom. Dogecoin On-Chain Risk Hits Extreme Value Zone In an X post, Cryptollica explains that the Dogecoin model “combines Reserve Risk with VOCDD/MVOCDD-style activity measures to assess long-term holder conviction versus market pricing.” The key metric is Reserve Risk itself, defined as: “Re…
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The stock market has been shaken again: concerned investors are mass-selling technology stocks, the VIX (the so-called "fear index") is spiking, and traders hold their breath, waiting for another potential Black Tuesday. This Monday, the stock exchanges showcased far from technological progress; instead, it was more of an emotional regression. The S&P 500 lost 0.92%, closing at 6,672.41. The Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.84%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced an even sharper decline of 1.18%. If you felt a slight anxiety, you are not alone: the VIX volatility index surged by 12.86%, reaching 22.38 – its highest level since October. It became clear: the…
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Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) says it plans to restore large-scale production at Indonesia’s Grasberg minerals district from the second quarter of 2026, following a fatal incident that halted operations earlier this year. On Sept. 8, a catastrophic mudslide released 800,000 metric tons of wet material into Grasberg’s Block Cave underground mine, resulting in the death of seven workers. Since then, Freeport has declared force majeure and completed an investigation into the incident, the details of which are yet to be disclosed. Remediation activities are currently being advanced to prepare for a phased restart and ramp-up of the Grasberg Block Cave underground mine,…
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Gold is trading around 4,041 above the 200 EMA, rebounding after reaching a low of 3,996 during the European session. Gold managed to cover the gap left at about 4,001 on November 7. Now gold is trying to continue this technical rebound. If gold consolidates above 4,016 in the next few hours, any pullback will be seen as an opportunity to take long positions with targets at 6/8 Murray around 4,062. If gold breaks decisively in the coming hours and consolidates above 4,062, we could expect it to continue rising until it reaches the 21 SMA located at 4,103 and could even reach 4,200 in the coming days. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, so we will continue to…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1587, below the 200 EMA, and below the 21 SMA under bearish pressure. EUR/USD has attempted to break through 1.1600 on several occasions, but without success. In the coming hours, we could expect a technical correction, and the euro could reach 1.1542 or even the 6/8 Murray around 1.1474. If EUR/USD consolidates above 1.1606, we expect it to continue rising. So, the price could reach 1.1718 and could even rise above the gap left at about 1.1740 in September. A key point to keep in mind is 1.1606. Above this area, the outlook will remain positive, while below this area, the euro could find support around 1.1542 or 1.1474. The indicator is showi…
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Bitcoin reached $89,150 after a sharp technical correction following the break of the important support level of $93,750. Bitcoin is recovering some of its losses and is now trading around $91,344. It is likely to continue rising in the coming hours until the price reaches the top of the downtrend channel around $95,600. If Bitcoin makes a new technical correction, we could expect it to reach support at $89,000 or even reach -2/8 Murray around $87,500. The outlook remains negative for Bitcoin. Therefore, after a slight recovery, BTC is likely to resume its bearish cycle and could reach $87,500 or even $80,000 in the medium term. On the contrary, a sharp break above $96,00…
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US activist hedge fund Elliott Management has accumulated a large stake in Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B) amid speculation that the Canadian-based gold-copper miner may undergo major changes, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday. It follows a Reuters report last week which revealed the Barrick board is considering splitting the company into two separate entities, one focused on the “safer” North American assets and the other on mines across the “riskier” Africa and Asia regions. According to FT, citing its sources, those at Elliot are “encouraged” by this potential breakup of Barrick. The idea of a spinoff — along with possible asset sales — had been broug…
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According to on-chain data and market reports, XRP is under fresh selling pressure because a large share of holders are now showing losses. Glassnode reports that 41.5% of XRP supply — or close to 27 billion tokens — sits in loss, the lowest profitability level since November 2024 when XRP traded near $0.53. At today’s levels, about four times higher than that November figure, a big share of holders bought above current prices and are now exposed. Holder Concentration Raises Selling Risk Market analysts say this positioning has changed trader behavior. Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia, disclosed that many wallets likely picked up XRP when it was above $…
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Equinox Gold (TSX: EQX; NYSE-AM: EQX) has achieved commercial production at its Valentine mine in central Newfoundland, the company announced on Tuesday. The achievement follows 60 days of Valentine operating at 80% of its nameplate capacity of 6,850 tonnes per day. Valentine is about 450 km west of St. John’s. “Achieving commercial production at Valentine marks an important milestone as we expand our Canadian operations,” CEO Darren Hall said in a release. “The operation is performing well, with plant availability, throughput, and recoveries exceeding commissioning period expectations. I’m incredibly proud of the team for responsibly and efficiently ramping up pr…
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Price action has been sending dark foreshadowing signs since mid-October, evident in the rapid but inconsistent manner recent all-time highs were reached. As explained in preceding crypto analysis from our blog, the $100,000 level for BTC not only served as a key milestone but was also a pivotal sign of progress in the crypto landscape. Having decisively breached it and extending losses to multi-month lows below $90,000, leveraged investors, late buyers, and trend followers are all scratching their heads. The price action hasn't formed a complete U-turn from the highs yet, but the question is now arising: Is it time for fear and prolonged profit-taking in the crypto ma…
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Bitcoin Price has come down nearly -29% from its ATH in October. Compared to the S&P’s just over -4% and Nasdaq’s -7% drops, we can easily say that the BTC volatility is still a lot to take for traditional investors. Such a drop for the indexes can be observed at the COVID crash in 2020 and earlier this year, around the tariff wars. In the meantime, over the past 24 hours, there have been +$400 million worth of Bitcoin long positions liquidated. YoY Bitcoin ETFs have an inflow of $60 billion, and over the past two weeks, we’ve seen an outflow of $1.8 billion, which is nothing close to 29%. That should be telling. FVG gap. Will t…
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Today, on Tuesday, the British pound is showing gains against the Japanese yen, which continues to face pressure due to Japan's ambitious fiscal initiatives and the Bank of Japan's restrained approach to monetary tightening. At the moment, the GBP/JPY pair is trading near 204.25, hovering around the five-week high reached on Monday. Even so, the atmosphere surrounding the pound sterling remains fragile, as market participants await the UK's budget on November 26 amid uncertainties over the government's tax and spending plans. Recent reports indicate that the Treasury is considering additional revenue options after rejecting an income tax increase, including the potential …
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From a technical standpoint, yesterday's close above the psychological level of 155.00 has given the USD/JPY pair new upward momentum. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are positive and have not yet entered overbought territory, indicating that spot prices are still oriented toward further gains. Consequently, additional strengthening of the pair beyond the intermediate resistance at 155.60 on the way back toward the round level of 156.00 appears quite likely. On the other hand, a corrective pullback below the round level of 155.00 will encounter strong support, attracting new buyers in the 154.50 level. This level serves as a key support point; a break below it wo…
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A new pricing model from Diana, a crypto analyst on X, projects that XRP could climb into the $7–$24 range within 60 days of the ETF launch, driven strictly by inflow pressure and the asset’s constrained liquid supply. The model reportedly relies on supply-absorption math, revealing how ETF-driven demand could shift XRP’s market pricing once XRP ETFs go live. New XRP ETF Inflow Model Maps A Direct Route To $24 Diana’s newly released “XRP ETF Launch Impact Model” outlines a clear, data-driven view on how ETF inflows alone could reprice XRP. Her framework tests multiple launch scenarios involving five to twenty ETFs, each seeded with $10 million to $45 million. Depending o…
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Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B) has entered into an option agreement with Canadian gold junior Midland Exploration (TSXV: MD) for its Lewis property in Quebec. Under the terms, Barrick can acquire up to 75% of the project by making C$750,000 in staged cash payments and spending C$12 million on exploration by the end of 2032. During the option period, the Canadian gold miner will serve as the project’s operator. An initial 51% interest can be earned by paying C$250,000 cash to Midland and funding exploration work of at least C$3 million by 2028. Following the initial earn-in, the companies will form a joint venture. Barrick will then have the option to earn…
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The Japanese yen is under pressure. On Monday, Nikkei Asia reported that Japan's Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, plans to begin discussions on tax reform this week. The main goal is to reduce certain taxes to stimulate investment and consumer demand, while increasing other tax rates and eliminating exemptions to offset the budget deficit. The report notes that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), together with its coalition partners, will discuss the tax package for the coming year, including the cancellation of gasoline and diesel fuel surcharges, which may reduce budget revenues by about 1.5 trillion yen. On Monday, government data showed that Japan's economy cont…
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Currently trading at 0.79952, having recovered losses from earlier in today’s session, USD/CHF is up +0.42% in today’s session. Having recently suffered its worst weekly performance since June, falling by 1.38% in week 46, dollar-franc now looks for support near the key level of 0.8000, having recently formed a triple bottom on the daily timeframe. Otherwise, markets now eye an all-important FOMC Minutes release tomorrow. What’s next for USD/CHF? USD/CHF: Key takeaways 18/11/2025 Succumbing to bearish pressure in last week's trading, USD/CHF has found some support in the past few sessions and is currently looks to secure a three-day winning streak While changing expect…
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Bitcoin has officially slipped into dangerous territory after losing the $90,000 level for the first time since early spring, triggering widespread fear across the market. The drop has intensified concerns that BTC may be transitioning into a full bear market, as momentum weakens and buyers struggle to absorb the aggressive waves of sell pressure. According to top analyst Darkfost, one of the driving forces behind the latest downturn is persistent selling from major institutional players. Data shows that Galaxy Digital has been offloading significant amounts of BTC. This steady stream of institutional selling has added weight to an already fragile market structure, like…
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Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, is staging a surprisingly strong recovery just hours after the platform recorded one of the largest liquidation events in crypto history. According to CoinGlass data, a massive $96.5 million BTC-USD perpetual contract liquidation hit Hyperliquid late Monday, part of a broader market washout that wiped out over 164,000 traders and triggered $814 million in total liquidations across exchanges. Despite the carnage, Hyperliquid price has surged by 6% in the past 24 hours, climbing back above $41 on Tuesday and extending the rebound that began after defending the critical $36.51 support level last week. Whale Accumulation, Rising OI, an…
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Most Read: NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Navigating the AI Stress Test Gold prices have had a topsy turvy start to the week but the $4000/oz handle has held firm. Bulls have returned and price has bounced off the confluence area at $4000 but needs acceptance above the $4100/oz handle for the rally to gather steam. The question on the minds of market participants is whether or not Gold bulls will remain in control after the Fed minutes release and Labor data on Thursday? Technical Outlook - Gold (XAU/USD) Looking at the four-hour chart below, the technical picture is interesting. Having bounced off the ascending trendline which lined up with the $4000/oz handl…
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Markets are getting rocked up and down across asset classes lately. Cryptos are getting sold off aggressively (Is the selling done or is it only a first wave?).Equities are seeing some record volatility compared to the past few years in frantic +1% up and down moves, as can be seen today. Even Metals are failing to gather traction after reaching some new records towards the end of last month. They are holding relatively well compared to the other asset classes that performed great throughout 2025, but the fact that they can't seem to attract inflows during high-range risk-off profit-taking points to a deeply confused market. The dominant 2025 trend of Stocks, Cryptos,…
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Is forex trading profitable? Is forex trading profitable? Most retail traders dive into the forex market searching for the “perfect setup” or the next big winning trade. But during my years as a bank trader, I learned a very different and far more sustainable approach from a colleague who ran a forex dealing room. His philosophy became the foundation of what I now call the professional trader’s game plan, and it’s a strategy that retail traders can successfully use today. The Professional Trader’s Profit-Building Strategy The trader’s philosophy was simple but powerful: Trade daily, build consistent profits, and save your biggest bets for the few times each year when t…
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A senior executive at DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) has delivered one of the most aggressive long-term forecasts for the Solana price yet. According to him, Solana could see its value catapult to $10,000, leaving much of the market in the dust. This outlook, shaped by recent market turbulence and years of crypto experience, has drawn attention from industry experts as the DFDV executive outlines how SOL can reach this target by capturing a significant share of the global digital value. Solana Price To Reach $10,000 In 10 Years DFDV COO and CIO Parker White recently shared his long-term thesis on Solana following a rough week for risk assets in the market. White argued t…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 18 As the title says, Markets are roller coasters. Volatility fiends are loving the action, particularly when looking at how much back and forth action all asset classes are seeing. As was mentioned in one of our Market Wraps from a few days prior, such flows resemble those that can be seen at the end of huge Quarters. However, we are still far even for Month-end. November is known to be a volatile month (although usually one for upside in stocks). Crypto veterans can only confirm as the two past Market cycle tops (2018 and 2021) have happened between November and December. Seasonals are always a big th…
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Gold bugs have been riding a scorching rally in 2025. With a gain of over 50%, gold is one of the best-performing assets year to date, buoyed by strong buying pressure from central banks and retail investors. Gold shot up to a record high close to $4,400 an ounce last month before succumbing to profit taking. After spending time below the $4,000 level, expected US interest rate cuts and persistent fears about inflation saw bullion climb again this month. While some of the 20 largest properties ranked by measured and indicated gold resources including reserves face an uphill battle to go into production and many greenfield properties have been stalled for years, th…
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