Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12129 tópicos neste fórum
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Most Read: US Dollar (DXY) Jumps Past 100.00: Fed Rate Cut Bets Fall & Strong US Data. Will this Continue Throughout Q4? The Bank of England's committee decided to keep their main interest rate (Bank Rate) at 4%, which is what most people expected. However, the vote was close (5 members for keeping it, 4 members wanted to cut it by a small amount), showing that more people on the committee are leaning towards lowering rates. zoom_out_map For all market-movi…
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The British pound is up for a fifth consecutive day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3370, up 0.17% on the day. The pound has climbed 1.2% in the current rally. BoE expected to cut, split vote likely The Bank of England is widely expected to lower the cash rate by a quarter-point at today's meeting. This would bring the rate down to 4.0%, its lowest level since March 2023. The BoE finds itself between a rock and a hard place, and that will likely be reflected in a split decision by MPC members. The UK economy is struggling, which supports the case for a rate cut. The economy contracted in April and May and wage growth is slowing. There are signs that …
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The British pound is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3500, up 0.09% on the day. A day earlier, the pound jumped 0.60% and hit a high of 1.3510, its highest level since July 11. Bailey warns government not to ease financial rules Bank of England Governor Bailey testified before the Treasury Committee today and warned the UK government not to tamper with the structure of the banking system. Bailey defended the "ring-fencing regime" which separates retail and investment operations. Bailey said the current system reduces risk and protects consumers, businesses and households in the event of bank failures. Bailey was …
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The British pound has edged lower on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3177, down 0.19% on the day. The pound has been busy and moved higher on Wednesday, with gains of 0.42%. This followed massive losses of 1.1% a day earlier, after UK gilts surged to a 27-year high. Bank of England Governor Bailey testified before the Treasury Committee hearings on Wednesday. Bailey said that he expected interest rates would continue to move "downwards gradually over time" but that there was "considerably more doubt" as to when the BoE would lower rates. Members of the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee are split over monetary policy. MPC member Alan Ta…
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Analysts at the Bank of America see gold prices reaching $4,000 an ounce — an 18% jump above current levels — within the next year due to a ballooning US fiscal debt. Gold — traditionally viewed as a safe haven during times of uncertainty — has risen by nearly 30% this year, driven by high global trade tensions and rising geopolitical risks. In April, the yellow metal soared to an all-time high of $3,500 as an unprecedented tariff war ignited by the US rocked the global markets. A dragged-out US-Ukraine deal also did little to assuage investor concerns. Contrary to popular opinion, another potential rally to $4,000 may have less to do with these factors…
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The Japanese yen is slightly higher on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading quietly at 144.58, down 0.08% on the day. The Bank of Japan held interest rates, while US retails sales were lower than expected at -0.9%. close USDJPY 4-Hour Chart, June 17, 2025 …
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The Japanese yen climbed 0.50% earlier against the US dollar but was unable to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.92, down 0.04% on the day. Bank of Japan delivers hawkish holdThe Bank of Japan maintained its key interest rate at 0.50% at today's meeting. The non-move was widely expected by the markets. What was a surprise was the split vote, as two of the nine members voted in favor of a rate hike, indicating some support for a more hawkish montary policy. Governor Ueda has been cautious and has the markets guessing as to when the BoJ will raise rates. The markets have priced in a 59% chance of a rate hike before the end of the ye…
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The Japanese yen is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.74, up 0.45% on the day. BoJ minutes: BoJ will hike as inflation, growth increase The Bank of Japan minutes from the June policy meeting were somewhat dovish, but the yen has still headed lower today. The minutes indicated that most BoJ members favored keeping interest rates unchanged, since there were downside risks to Japan's economy due to US tariffs. Still, Governor Ueda and most members support further rate hikes down the road, provided that inflation and growth continue to increase in line with the BoJ projections. This stance was reiterated at last week's …
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The Japanese yen is lower on Friday. USD/JPY is trading at 147.66 in the North American session, up 0.38% on the day. BoJ minutes show support for rate hikesThe Bank of Japan minutes from the July 31 meeting signaled that the BoJ remains committed to further rate hikes. This reiterates comments from BOJ President Ueda that he will raise rates, provided that growth and inflation are in line with the BoJs forecasts. At the same time, members expressed concern about the uncetainty due to tariffs. Members acknowledged that the recent trade agreement between the US and Japan had reduced uncertainty and had made it more likely that inflation would be sustainable at the 2% targe…
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Key elements BoJ hike is fully priced, normalization to continue: Markets assign a ~94% probability to a 25bp BoJ hike to 0.75%, backed by firm wage growth, improving consumer confidence, and strong Tankan sentiment—pointing to further gradual tightening into 2026. Policy divergence favours JPY structurally: A December hike would underscore the BoJ as the lone major central bank tightening while the Fed eases, reinforcing medium-term appreciation bias for the yen. USD/JPY near-term bias turns bearish: Technicals signal fading upside momentum; below 156.10, risks skew toward a pullback toward 154.40 and lower, with rallies vulnerable unless resistance is decisively clea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key elements BoJ hike is fully priced, normalization to continue: Markets assign a ~94% probability to a 25bp BoJ hike to 0.75%, backed by firm wage growth, improving consumer confidence, and strong Tankan sentiment—pointing to further gradual tightening into 2026. Policy divergence favours JPY structurally: A December hike would underscore the BoJ as the lone major central bank tightening while the Fed eases, reinforcing medium-term appreciation bias for the yen. USD/JPY near-term bias turns bearish: Technicals signal fading upside momentum; below 156.10, risks skew toward a pullback toward 154.40 and lower, with rallies vulnerable unless resistance is decisively clea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The yen continues to lose ground against the US dollar. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.51, up 0.69% on the day. This is the first time that the yen has weakened past 150 since March 31. The US dollar has strengthened this week against the majors and is up about 2% against the yen. BoJ holds rates, raises inflation forecastThe Bank of Japan maintained its policy settings at today's rate meeting. The vote to hold rates at 0.5% which was unanimous, was widely expected. The central bank revised its inflation forecast and provided a less pessimistic outlook on Japan's economy than in the previous growth forecast in April. The BoJ revised its core …
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The Japanese yen has posted small gains on Tuesday. In the European sesssion, USD/JPY is trading at 147.51, up 0.10% on the day. Earlier, the yen weakened as much as 0.4% before paring these losses. Will Ishiba cling to power? The fallout continues from the coalition's stinging election defeat on Sunday. The coalition lost its majority in parliament after failing to hold onto a majority in the upper house. The immediate question is whether Prime Minister Ishiba will keep his job after the election debacle. Ishiba has declared he will remain in office, there have already been calls for his resignation and his days as prime minister may be numbered. …
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The world’s deepest marathon will take part this October in an unprecedented challenging environment: 1,120 metres below sea level in one of Europe’s deepest mines. The event, set inside Boliden’s Garpenberg zinc mine in Sweden, will see 60 amateur runners from around the world gather underground with the aim of breaking two world records and raise over £1 million ($1.34m) for charity. The mine, which goes as deep as 1,302 metres beneath the surface —more than four times the height of the Eiffel Tower — will test the mental and physical limits of every participant. Organized by high-tech metals company Boliden, personal development group BecomingX, and the In…
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Bolivia’s plans to emerge as a major lithium producer have hit an impasse after a local court ordered the suspension of two major extraction deals signed last year valued at more than $2 billion, according to media reports. The contracts were signed in 2023 and 2024 respectively with China’s CBC consortium, which includes battery manufacturer CATL, and Russia’s Uranium One Group, a subsidiary of state nuclear firm Rosatom, as revealed by various publications including Bolivia-based El Deber. The deals aimed to establish direct lithium extraction (DLE) facilities in Salar de Uyuni in southwest Bolivia. The salar is host one of the world’s largest lithium reserves, …
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Solana-based memecoin Bonk is now trading on Switzerland’s SIX Swiss Exchange after Bitcoin Capital AG launched a regulated exchange-traded product tied to the token. The listing puts the memecoin on one of Europe’s main stock markets. Investors can buy exposure to Bonk through standard brokerage accounts. There is no need to set up a wallet or hold the token directly. Bonk is a dog-themed token built on Solana. It launched on Christmas Day in 2022 through a community distribution. The project often calls itself “the first Solana dog coin for the people, by the people.” DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year How Big Is BON…
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According to chart work shared by market analyst Mikybull, XRP is sitting inside what he calls a tight bullish structure that could lead to a sharp rise. Reports have disclosed the setup on a three-week chart and suggested the corrective phase may be ending. The analyst flagged several price levels that traders are now watching closely. Technical Setup And Key Levels Mikybull pointed to an ABC correction pattern that looks close to finishing. He showed XRP hovering around $2.50 and sitting just above a long-term moving average, a zone that has acted as support in prior cycles. On his chart the 1.00 Fibonacci level is pegged to $1.94, while the 1.272 extension comes in …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 17 Both the Bank of Canada (2.75% → 2.50%) and the Federal Reserve (4.50% → 4.25%) cut their rates today which helped to sustain some decent strength in the Canadian Dollar despite pretty negative talks on the Canadian Economy at the decision. The FED actually provided a fairly hawkish cut when looking at the speech from Powell. The Federal Reserve Chair emphasized the decision being centered around the labor market despite economic activity being more than decent. Jerome Powell did mention the resilience of the American consumer and the stable inflation expectation throughout his press conference – This…
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America made a mistake when it initiated a trade war against China. China made a mistake when it not only chose to defend itself but also adopted an aggressive approach. Is this accurate, and who is more right in this situation? In reality, China's retaliatory measures, aimed at strengthening Beijing's negotiating position in its confrontation with Washington, cannot be deemed incorrect. They are logical and consistent. China did not want to follow the path of the European Union, which silently agreed to a "captive" deal that favored the US while leaving Europe with nothing. The well-fed and peaceful EU, which excels at "expressing concern" and "strongly condemning," want…
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In his speech, Bessent reiterated that China would not be able to impose its conditions on the entire world, even though the topic of the entire world did not seem to be under discussion. However, if this is indeed the case, then China has shot itself in the foot. On the one hand, many countries will be forced to purchase rare earth metals from China on any terms because there is no other source. On the other hand, the whole world has been warned that China may "close shop" or use this trump card to dictate its terms for cooperation and trade. America made a similar mistake by starting a trade war —not just with China. I have already stated that neither China nor Canada w…
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Botswana is pushing to take a controlling stake in De Beers as Anglo American (LON: AAL) prepares to divest from the diamond company. The country’s mining minister Bogolo Kenewendo told the Financial Times on Wednesday that President Duma Boko “remains resolute in his quest to increase Botswana’s stake in De Beers to ensure Botswana’s full control over this strategic national asset and the entire value chain including marketing”. The comments come ahead of an early August deadline for bids to be submitted to Anglo from potential buyers of the diamonds business. Kenewendo said any sale of the company “without our support will be difficult to achieve”. “Our…
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Botswana is accelerating efforts to secure control of De Beers as parent company Anglo American (LON: AAL) moves forward with plans to divest its 85% stake in the diamond giant. President Duma Boko said his government intends to finalize a deal by the end of October, despite ongoing negotiations between Anglo and other potential buyers. He confirmed Botswana is in talks with partners, including Oman’s sovereign wealth fund, to help finance the deal. “We are more than ready for the transaction and we’ve said the transaction must be concluded by the end of October,” Boko told Bloomberg News. “It’s a matter of economic sovereignty for Botswana.” Securing a contro…
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NexMetals Mining (TSXV: NEXM) (NASDAQ: NEXM) began trading on the NASDAQ on Wednesday, opening at $12 a share with a market capitalization of nearly $260 million. The company first announced its plans to list on the NASDAQ in early May and subsequently completed a 1:20 share consolidation in preparation for the uplisting. Last month, it changed its name from Premium Resources and trading symbol to NEXM. The successful uplisting to NASDAQ is a transformative milestone in our growth strategy,” chief executive officer Morgan Lekstrom stated in a press release Wednesday. As of noon ET, the shares traded at $7.93 apiece for a market capitalization of approximately …
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Botswana and Angola mining authorities met in Botswana’s capital Gaborone on Friday as both nations position themselves to take control of De Beers, the diamond unit Anglo American (LON: AAL) is selling as part of a major restructuring. Botswana’s mines minister, Bogolo Joy Kenewendo, and Angola’s mineral resources minister, Diamantino Pedro Azevedo, talked behind closed doors for about 40 minutes before briefly addressing reporters. They said they discussed cooperation in the diamond sector, as well as energy and logistics, but did not provide details. The meeting sparked market speculation about a possible deal through which the two countries could divide owners…
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Bitcoin traders are starting to see small but telling signs that the mood across the market may be turning after weeks of heavy pessimism. But how is the crypto fear and greed index looking? Data from social platforms and sentiment trackers now indicate a gradual easing of the fear that dominated most of November, even though traders remain vigilant to economic stress in the broader world. One of the clearest shifts has shown up on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a closely followed measure of investor confidence. Crypto Fear and Greed Chart All time 1y 1m 1w 24h …
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