Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trade Review for Thursday: 1H Chart of EUR/USD On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair unexpectedly collapsed. This does not mean the dollar strengthened enough to start a new local "dollar trend." However, this week's movements have been very mixed and illogical, with the market ignoring many factors unfavorable for the U.S. currency. As noted, the dollar had formal reasons to fall yesterday. The eurozone unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 6.3%, which could have triggered the euro's decline. Yet, in the U.S., a government shutdown has just begun, and the labor market once again showed weakness. In our view, these two factors are far more important than the EU unemploymen…
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Macroeconomic Reports: There aren't many macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, and only one of them is truly important – the ISM Services PMI in the U.S. In addition to this index, we'll also see second estimates of services PMIs for Germany, the UK, and the EU, as well as the Producer Price Index in the EU. However, these reports are of secondary importance. Also, the NonFarm Payrolls report and the unemployment rate were supposed to be released today, but most likely that won't happen due to the U.S. government "shutdown" that began on October 1. Therefore, all attention today will be on the ISM Services PMI. Fundamental Events Overview: Several key…
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As the crypto market kicks off October with a remarkable recovery, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to turn the $4,500 level into support after nearly two weeks. Some analysts forecast that a breakout from this crucial area could set the stage for a massive 50% rally in Q4. Ethereum Retests Next Major Resistance Ethereum has bounced 17% from last week’s lows and is retesting the next crucial level to reclaim. The cryptocurrency started this week by recovering from the recent market correction, which sent its price to a multi-week low of $3,815. Since then, the King of Altcoins has reclaimed the mid-zone of its macro range and broken past a major sell wall located around th…
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The U.S. dollar has regained leadership – especially after it became clear that the much-anticipated key U.S. labor market statistics would not be released this week. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve representatives Logan and Goolsbee, noting that the U.S. economy is in good shape, also increased demand for the dollar. Traders interpreted these comments as a sign of a cautious approach to future interest rate cuts, making the U.S. currency more attractive for investment. Ahead, markets await data on the Eurozone Services PMI, Composite PMI, and the Producer Price Index. Weak numbers will only increase pressure on EUR/USD, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1746 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving down from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell toward the target area near 1.1712. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve officials—that the U.S. economy is in good shape and that the fight against inflation is far from over—spurred U.S. dollar buying. However, today brings important data releases, including the Eurozone services PMI, composite PMI, and producer price index (PPI), all of which could significantly impact the market. The significance of the upcoming reports cannot be over…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3490 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound, which resulted in a drop of over 40 pips. Strong U.S. data, supported by hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, restored confidence in a more cautious approach by the Fed regarding interest rate cuts. This, in turn, makes the U.S. dollar more attractive to yield-seeking investors. The pound, however, came under pressure. The situation is further complicated by the fact that the Bank of England is facing a greater challenge than the Fed. The UK central ba…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 146.82 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving upward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar and resulting in the pair rising toward the target level of 147.22. Hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials—highlighting that the U.S. economy is in good shape and the fight against inflation is not yet over—led to dollar purchases and yen sell-offs. This reaction was neither unexpected nor accidental. It was a logical reflection of the diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. While the Fed may cautiously continue cut…
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[Ripple] – [Friday, October 03, 2025] Looking at the Golden Cross crossover of the two EMAs, accompanied by the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish zone and the appearance of a Hidden Divergence, there is a strong indication that this cryptocurrency has the potential to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.2012 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.1300 3. Pivot : 3.0283 4. Support. 1 : 2.9571 5. Support. 2 : 2.8554 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Ripple's price strengthens and breaks above 3.0283, it has the potential to extend its gains up to 3.1300. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.1300 is breached and closes above, Ripple …
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[Polkadot] – [Friday, October 03, 2025] Although the RSI is at the Neutral-Bearish level, but with EMA(50) positioned above EMA(200), Polkadot has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels Level-Level Kunci 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.4882 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.3985 3. Pivot : 4.2414 4. Support. 1 : 4.1517 5. Support. 2 : 3.9946 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Polkadot strengthens and closes above 3.9946, it has the potential to further extend gains up to 4.3985. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.3985 is breached and closes above, Polkadot could potentially test the 4.4882 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Polkado…
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Bitcoin has finally broken above the $118,000 mark, consolidated at this level, and yesterday set a new monthly high around $121,000. Ethereum also saw a gain of over 4% in just one day. So far, Bitcoin has not posted a single red day for October, reinforcing the historical pattern indicating that traders and investors typically return to the crypto market following a weak September. This year appears to be no exception. An interesting piece of news surfaced yesterday: in late September, one of the largest long liquidations in Bitcoin history occurred, totaling $370 million. This event is historically considered bullish. Contrary to the intuitive assumption that such eve…
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Dogecoin’s daily chart is coiling into a technically clean inflection, according to trader IncomeSharks, who posted a rising channel and an on-balance volume (OBV) wedge that together map a straightforward route to higher levels. “DOGE – Not a bad setup. Obvious channel and clear OBV wedge. Ideally OBV will break out before price,” the analyst wrote, sharing the chart that frames the current advance. Dogecoin Breakout Watch: $0.33 Trigger On Deck Price has been respecting a well-defined ascending channel that has governed trade since early summer. Multiple touches on both boundaries validate the structure: higher lows along the lower trendline from July through early Oct…
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AI rules the day! No matter how grim Donald Trump's threats of mass layoffs, warnings from Scott Bessent about a U.S. economic slowdown, or even the ADP private sector jobs report may seem, the S&P 500 still managed to notch its 30th record high of the year. Leading the northbound herd are the tech giants. Deals between OpenAI and Samsung Electronics, as well as SK Hynix, sparked a swift rebound in the broad equity index after a dip early in the session. Performance of Tech and Other Sectors in the S&P 500 A 45% rally in tech stocks since the April low doesn't look like a bubble — at least according to Bank of America. The bank recommends that its client…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.1714 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1714 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
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Having rallied substantially from lows made last week, the GBP/USD broke a four-day winning streak in yesterday's trading, falling by 0.28%. Today, and at the London open, GBP/USD currently trades at ~1.34521, up 0.10%. GBP/USD: Key takeaways 03/10/2025 The most significant catalyst of GBP/USD movement currently, the US government shutdown is weighing heavily on the dollar, as markets readjust confidence in American governanceOtherwise, and following Wednesday’s worse-than-expected UK manufacturing PMIs, signifying five-month lows, the Bank of England is under increasing pressure to consider further rate cuts, although inflation remains somewhat stickyRecent GBP/USD up…
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Crypto markets started October with renewed strength, as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $119,770.39 0.95% Bitcoin BTC Price $119,770.39 0.95% /24h Volume in 24h $57.98B Price 7d Learn more is up 57% over the past week, supported by $76M in tr…
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Bitcoin's growth continues and is accompanied by active inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs. According to the latest report, recent inflows into BTC ETFs are now significantly stronger than inflows into ETH ETFs, which points to a renewed demand for the world's first cryptocurrency. The daily inflow into these two ETFs amounted to $80.79. The renewed interest in Bitcoin is not accidental. Institutional investors are returning to a tried-and-true value—the "digital gold" that Bitcoin is known as. The recent large correction in Bitcoin down to around $108,000, followed by a new wave of growth, once again demonstrates that investors remain committed to the first cryptocurre…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.3501 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday turned in favor of the U.S. dollar and declined to the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the British pound and a resumption of growth toward 1.3528 and 1.3574. Fixing below the 1.3425 level will increase the probability of further decline toward the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe it has already been fully priced in by traders. This week, …
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair turned in favor of the U.S. dollar and fell to the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695. A rebound from this level allows us to expect renewed growth toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. A close below 1.1695 will increase the probability of continued decline toward the support level at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the previous high. Thus, for now, the trend remains "bearish." Recent labor market data and the changed outlook for Fed monetary policy support bullish traders, …
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Are you thinking about adding gold to your financial journey but are not sure where to begin? Maybe you’ve seen headlines about rising gold prices, or perhaps a family member passed down a coin or two that sparked your curiosity. For many, gold represents both security and opportunity, yet the idea of buying it can feel overwhelming. The truth is, getting started with gold doesn’t have to be complicated. This guide will break down the basics, explain your options, and help you avoid common mistakes along the way. Why People Buy Gold Gold has been treasured for thousands of years for a reason. It is durable, scarce, and has value that spans cultures and generations. Peopl…
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Are you thinking about adding gold to your financial journey but are not sure where to begin? Maybe you’ve seen headlines about rising gold prices, or perhaps a family member passed down a coin or two that sparked your curiosity. For many, gold represents both security and opportunity, yet the idea of buying it can feel overwhelming. The truth is, getting started with gold doesn’t have to be complicated. This guide will break down the basics, explain your options, and help you avoid common mistakes along the way. Why People Buy Gold Gold has been treasured for thousands of years for a reason. It is durable, scarce, and has value that spans cultures and generations. Peopl…
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X’s favorite crypto genius, Arthur Hayes, said there will be lots of money printing that will drive the price of .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $120,152.86 1.11% Bitcoin BTC Price $120,152.86 1.11% /24h Volume in 24h $58.31B Price 7d Hayes continued, “Either the ECB presses the Brrr button now and implicitly finances th…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks on Course for Solid Week Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Asian stock markets were heading for solid weekly gains on Friday, largely because of growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut US interest rates soon. This positive outlook helped calm market nerves surrounding the US government shutdown, which has simultaneously pushed gold prices to record highs and caused the US dollar to weaken. Investors have mostly ignored the shutdown, which is the 15th since 1981, even though it has resulted in the suspension of financial oversight and delayed the release of crucial economic data, inc…
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Key takeaways SPX 500 maintains bullish momentum, rallying to a fresh all-time high of 6,745 despite the ongoing US government shutdown.Fed rate cut expectations remain elevated, with markets pricing a 98% chance for October and 87% for December.Technical outlook stays positive, with key support at 6,690 and upside targets at 6,800–6,850 within the medium-term uptrend channel.Sector rotation favours risk assets, with Consumer Discretionary outperforming Consumer Staples, reinforcing bullish sentiment. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “SPX 500: Three-day sell-off reached 20-day moving average, a tipping point for a bullish reversal”…
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Today kicks off with the BTC USD pair still dominating news headlines. It’s flying above $120K mark, posting 1% gains in 24 hours. Right behind it, BNB is stealing the spotlight, pushing to $1,111 all-time high(ATH) after a 6.3% rally. XRP is not far off, trading at 3.06 USD with an almost 4% jump, hinting that the altcoin season is coming. Uptober is simply twisting the fate of crypto. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time BNB Fires ATH as BTC Stays Strong BNB is breaking ATH after ATH for months now. The move reflects deep confidence in the Binance ecosyst…
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