Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12158 tópicos neste fórum
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Buy the rumor, sell the fact. This time-tested principle has knocked the S&P 500 out. The broad stock index found itself in the worst wave of sell-offs in a month amid the closing of long positions due to the end of the US government shutdown. Despite the government's promise to provide statistics as possible, the stock market continues to exist in a data vacuum. Investors understand that they have clearly overestimated the chances of a cut in the federal funds rate this December. Hopes for a continuation of the Fed's monetary easing cycle served as a kind of safety cushion for the S&P 500, especially for the rapidly growing technology stocks. Confidence in the s…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Follow Wall Streets Lead Most Read: Dow Jones & S&P 500 Slip More Than 1%, Focus on US Data Releases as Rate Cut Bets Tumble Asian stock markets tumbled on Friday, joining a worldwide selloff after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials dampened hopes for a US interest rate cut next month. This fear, combined with a messy schedule of economic data, caused Wall Street to snap its four-day winning streak with its biggest one-day fall since April, which then spread to Asia. Key regional markets saw steep declines: Japan's Nikkei fell 2%, Australia's resource shares slid 1.4%, and South Korea tumbled by as much as 3.6%. Sepa…
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Yesterday, gold prices rose, preparing for the best week in the last month as traders grappled with uncertainty surrounding the resumption of the U.S. government after a six-week hiatus and the risk of a pause in the rate-cutting cycle. The precious metal traded above $4,200 per ounce, reflecting a weekly increase of about 5% and recovering losses from the previous session. Expectations of another rate cut in the U.S., driven by weak economic outlooks, continue to provide tailwinds for the precious metal, which yields no interest. The five-day growth in silver exceeded 10%, approaching last month's record levels. The rise in gold prices reflects the classic market respon…
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Bitcoin has fallen below $100,000, which is a rather alarming signal for traders. Ethereum is also trading around $3,100, preparing to test the $3,000 mark soon. The sharp decline in the stock markets pulled the cryptocurrency market down yesterday, which is not particularly surprising. According to CryptoQuant and Glassnode, sales by long-term BTC holders are rising, putting strong pressure on the market. However, there are still no buyers, which previously included various spot ETFs, so don't be surprised if we see Bitcoin at $90,000 or even $80,000 in the coming days. The pressure exerted by long-term holders is due to several factors. First, it is the realization of …
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Canary Capital’s XRP ETF made a historic debut on Thursday, surpassing its competitors by hitting $58 million in trading volume on its first day, setting a record for the most traded ETF launch this year. This milestone was lauded by Bloomberg expert Eric Balchunas on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), underlining the remarkable success of the XRP ETF in the market. The launch of the first XRP ETF in the United States earlier today had a notable impact on the XRP price, propelling it towards the crucial $2.5 level. However, subsequent market movements saw a 4% retracement, bringing the token’s current trading price to $2.3. XRP ETF Potential Canary Capita…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.66 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, which allowed buying the dollar in line with the trend. However, after a rise of 10 pips, pressure on the pair returned. Despite a slight strengthening of the yen, Japan's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter of this year, marking the largest decline in several years. GDP data will be released next Monday. If this happens, it will provide Prime Minister Sanae Takachi an opportunity to prepare a significant economic stimulus package, which will likely weaken the Japanese yen against the U.S. d…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3145 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for selling the pound. However, the trade incurred a loss as the pair did not decline. The statements by the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer regarding her consideration of abandoning tax increases led to buying activity for the pound, while uncertainty regarding the future actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve created additional problems for the dollar, resulting in the strengthening of the GBP/USD pair. Since there are no economic data releases from the United Kingdom…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1633 coincided with the MACD indicator rising significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The lack of fundamental data from the U.S. and disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding further actions on the key interest rate negatively impact the dollar's position. Growing uncertainty regarding the monetary policy direction, exacerbated by conflicting statements from the Federal Open Market Committee members, is a key factor that leads traders to avoid long positions in the dollar. The ambiguity surrounding the cen…
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Yesterday, several entry points were established in the market. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3133 level and planned to decide whether to enter the market from there. The breakout and retest of 1.3133 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a gain of more than 30 pips. In the afternoon, a false breakout around 1.3181 enabled the establishment of short positions, resulting in a 25-pip decline. Similar short positions from 1.3216 yielded a profit of about 30 pips relative to the market. To Open Long Positions for GBP/USD: News that the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, is consider…
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Yesterday, several entry points were established in the market. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.1636 and planned to decide whether to enter the market from there. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.1636 led to a sell entry for the euro, resulting in a 15-pip decline of the pair. In the afternoon, a false breakout around 1.1605 enabled the establishment of long positions, after which the euro rose by more than 50 pips. To Open Long Positions for EUR/USD: Confusion within the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding what to do next with interest rates is putting pressure on the dollar. …
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The euro, pound, and other risky assets continued to rise against the U.S. dollar. Confusion among the U.S. Federal Reserve, with significantly differing statements from policymakers, has put pressure on the dollar. Growing uncertainty about the monetary policy trajectory, combined with contradictory statements from members of the Open Market Committee, undermines traders' confidence in the stability of the U.S. currency. On one hand, there are increasing calls for further tight monetary policy to finally curb inflation, which, although slowing, remains above the target level of 2%. On the other hand, the camp advocating rate cuts is gaining strength, pointing to negative…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders have been ramping up their selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s fall under $100,000. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Booking Profits In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the supply of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs). These are referred to as the investors holding their coins for a period longer than 155 days, without selling or involving them in a transaction on the blockchain. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are u…
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[Uniswap] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Death Cross, but with the RSI position at the Neutral-Bearish level, Uniswap has the potential to weaken and fall to its nearest support level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 8.446 2. Resistance. 1 : 7.998 3. Pivot : 7.726 4. Support. 1 : 8.446 5. Support. 2 : 7.006 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Uniswap breaks down and closes below 8.446, it may continue its decline to 7.006. Momentum Extension Bias: If 7.006 is breached, Uniswap could continue weakening to 6.558. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if Uniswap strengthens and breaks above 8.446. Techni…
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[Polkadot] With the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone and both EMAs forming a Death Cross, Polkadot is likely to weaken toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.1364 2. Resistance. 1 : 2.9587 3. Pivot : 2.8575 4. Support. 1 : 26798 5. Support. 2 : 2.5786 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Polkadot breaks down and closes below 2.6798, it may continue its decline to 2.5786. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.5786 is breached, Polkadot will test 2.4009. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if Polkadot strengthens and breaks above 3.1364. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 2.8938 EMA(200):…
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ER/USD is trading around 1.1639, above the 200 EMA, and above the 21 SMA, within a descending trend channel. In the coming hours, the euro could reach the strong resistance at 1.1650. If this level is broken in the coming days, it could reach 1.1718 around Murray's 8/8 level, and finally, we could expect it to reach 1.1740. Should the euro fall below the 200 EMA at 1.1609 and below the 21 SMA at 1.1592, the bearish cycle could resume, and we could expect EUR/USD to reach Murray's 6/8 level at 1.1474. The Eagle indicator has reached overbought levels, so the most prudent course of action is to wait until EUR/USD reaches a resistance zone before opening short positions. The…
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Cash App, the payment platform created by Jack Dorsey’s Block Inc., is stepping things up. A fresh update is now live that lets users send Bitcoin through the Lightning Network and also move around stablecoins inside the app. This means faster payments, more choices for users, and a broader range of ways to handle money, all without needing to leave the platform. Instant Payments with Lightning and Stablecoins With the new Lightning feature, eligible users can make Bitcoin payments that settle in seconds. No fees are added, and you can pay using either your Bitcoin balance or your regular U.S. dollars. The app supports Lightning Network QR codes, so transactions ar…
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XAU/USD is trading around 4,203, above the 21-SMA and within the ascending trend channel formed since early November. Yesterday, during the US session, gold underwent a sharp technical correction from its high of 4,246 to a low of 4,145. From this level, which coincided with the 21-SMA, gold is bouncing and could attempt to reach a new high, potentially hitting the top of the ascending trend channel around 4,275. On the other hand, if gold continues its technical correction, we could expect it to reach the key support level of 4,160. This level could trigger a significant technical bounce and could be seen as a buying opportunity. A sharp break below the 21SMA located at …
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Solana started a fresh decline below the $150 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $150 and might decline further below $142. SOL price started a fresh decline below $155 and $150 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $148 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $142 or $140. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $162 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $155 and $150 support level…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, and the market has been reacting very rarely to local news and macroeconomic reports in recent weeks. Thus, the Eurozone GDP report for the third quarter has a "loud" headline but may actually be ignored by traders. Economic growth is expected to be 0.2%, which is very low in any case. As we can see, the European Central Bank's monetary policy easing has not yet led to an acceleration in the economy. The euro is unlikely to gain support from this report, but it may continue to rise on technical factors. Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are quite a few fund…
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Trade Analysis of Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, and volatility and strength of the growth even... increased. Novice traders need to remember that the pair's growth indicates a rise in the euro and a fall in the dollar. Thus, the dollar continued its decline yesterday on the news of the end of the US government shutdown. One doesn't need to be an analyst or an expert to see the lack of logic in this movement. Simply put, another important yet local piece of news had no impact on the pair's movement. The market continues to trade as it sees fit, ignoring local macroeconomic and fundamental f…
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Trade Analysis of Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 1.3107 level on Thursday, which we identified as strong support, showing new growth and breaking the trend line, only to pull back immediately after. We believe the downward trend is over, but, as often happens, the pair may first correct before resuming its growth. Despite the British currency falling again overnight, it was in an upward trend for most of the previous day. Were there local reasons for this? No, there were not. If the pair had dropped by 100 pips yesterday, it would have been reasonable given the news and events throughout the day. Recall that the official co…
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OKX has rolled out a major update to its mobile app, allowing users to trade directly on decentralized exchanges within the same interface. This new feature supports trading across Base, Solana, and OKX’s own X Layer network. By introducing in-app access to self-custody DEX trades, OKX is removing a lot of the friction that normally comes with juggling different wallets or apps. What’s Included in the New Trading Feature When users activate the DEX trading option, the app creates a passkey-protected wallet automatically. From there, it connects to over 100 liquidity pools to ensure trades get routed through the best available prices. Everything happens inside the a…
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Canary’s spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has surpassed most of the experts’ predictions, and it is currently on track to see a record-breaking debut after registering strong institutional demand on its first day. First Spot XRP ETF Begins Trading On Thursday, the first single-token XRP spot ETF began trading on Nasdaq, smashing the initial performance expectations of multiple experts after clearing the last regulatory hurdles this week. Following the launch of Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF (XRPC), the investment management firm asserted its conviction that “XRP Ledger represents a leading framework for global payments — purpose-built for interoperability and real-w…
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XRP price started a fresh decline from $2.550. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses if it dips below $2.250. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.450 zone. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2.235 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.250. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price attempted more gains above $2.50 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.450 and $2.420. There was a m…
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As Bitcoin continues to show a bearish trajectory, the cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index has fallen to its lowest extreme fear level since March. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Suggests Investors Are Extremely Fearful The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment that’s present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The index uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, volatility, market cap dominance, social sentiment, and Google Trends. It then represents the sentiment using a scale running from 0 to 100. All values …
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