Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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CryptoQuant analyst ‘caueconomy’ found that Bitcoin whales have dumped roughly $12.7B worth of $BTC over the past month. Shockingly, this marks the largest whale sell-offs since July 2022. These $BTC liquidations are anticipated to keep the #1 crypto’s price under pressure for longer – especially if they’re ongoing. Don’t want to sit in the dip while waiting for the market to perk back up? Then why not check out the best crypto presales? Bitcoin Whale Reserves Down 10K+ $BTC in One Month In a blog post on Friday, ‘caueconomy’ highlighted that holders are offloading $BTC more aggressively. So much so that the #1 crypto has reached its highest distribution levels this yea…
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The USD/CHF pair is trying to rebound from the 0.7950 level but so far without success. The U.S. dollar has been attempting to find support from buyers since the start of the new week, partly offsetting losses after the disappointing U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which came in weaker than expected and pushed the currency to its lowest level in more than a month. In addition, the generally optimistic risk sentiment in markets typically reduces demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency, creating favorable conditions for USD/CHF growth. However, the dollar's strengthening potential is limited by expectations of more decisive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.…
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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The Canadian dollar is showing little movement at the start of the week. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, down 0.06% on the day. Canada's employment sinks Canada's labor market is deteriorating quickly. In August, employment slipped by 65.5 thousand, the sharpest decline since January 2022. This was well off the market estimate of a 7.5 thousand gain and following the July reading of -40.8 thousand. That's the loss of over 100 thousand jobs in just two months. The massive loss of jobs has been driven by the US-Canada trade war, as many Canadian products have been slapped with 35% tariffs. There was more bad news, as the unemployment rate jumped…
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GBP/USD Brief analysis:Since the beginning of this year, the British pound has been steadily rising against the U.S. dollar. A corrective phase of the wave began at the end of June and is still unfinished. The structure shows the final part (C) is not complete. The calculated resistance passes along the lower boundary of the potential daily reversal zone. Weekly forecast:In the first days, the pair will likely decline and trade sideways along the support zone. Then, a reversal and renewed upward movement should follow. A brief breakout below the support boundary is possible before the turn. The resistance zone marks the probable upper boundary of the weekly range. Pote…
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EUR/USD Brief analysis:The 4-hour chart of the common European currency major shows that since February this year, the trend has been driven by an upward wave. The unfinished segment of the main trend started on July 31. Over the past two weeks, a counter correction has formed, in the shape of a contracting flat. The price is moving along the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. Weekly forecast:In the coming days, the euro is likely to maintain a sideways bias with an overall upward vector. A stop, reversal, and subsequent decline should be expected near the resistance zone. The support level marks the lower boundary of the expected weekly range. Potenti…
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This is a follow-up analysis and update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225 Technical: A potential bullish reversal looms after a 4% decline as market breadth improves with earnings upgrade”, published on 22 August 2025. The price actions of the Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) have staged the expected bullish reversal after the test on the 41,760 key short-term pivotal support on 2 September 2025 (printed an intraday low of 41,688) and rallied by 3.6% to hit 43,203 on last Friday. 5 September. In today’s Asia session, it gapped up and added 1.7% to print a current intraday high of 43,850, just a whisker away from the recent all-time high of 43,942…
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To most people, nickels represent pocket change worth five cents. But in April 2008, a single 1926-S Buffalo nickel sold for $322,000 at auction. This was no coincidence, but rather a reflection of the coin’s exceptional rarity and condition. The 1926-S Buffalo nickel is the rarest regular-issue coin in the entire series, with fewer than 1,000 examples surviving today in all grades combined. While some Buffalo nickels trade for face value, others command astronomical premiums. This guide reveals which dates to look for, their key traits, and the history behind their rarity. What Makes the Buffalo Nickel Special The Buffalo nickel series combines artistic achievement with…
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To most people, nickels represent pocket change worth five cents. But in April 2008, a single 1926-S Buffalo nickel sold for $322,000 at auction. This was no coincidence, but rather a reflection of the coin’s exceptional rarity and condition. The 1926-S Buffalo nickel is the rarest regular-issue coin in the entire series, with fewer than 1,000 examples surviving today in all grades combined. While some Buffalo nickels trade for face value, others command astronomical premiums. This guide reveals which dates to look for, their key traits, and the history behind their rarity. What Makes the Buffalo Nickel Special The Buffalo nickel series combines artistic achievement with…
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Bitcoin technical analysis and price prediction for today and this week One can say that bitcoin is still hot and that is probably right. But when it was hotter, big companies that buy and hold it (we call them "Bitcoin treasury companies") were super popular at a recent conference in Hong Kong. We can see from the data that they own more Bitcoin than ever before. But a new report shows they're not buying it as fast or as much as they used to. Basically, they're being more careful with their money now. Even though crypto companies now hold a record 840,000 Bitcoin, a new report shows they are buying much less at a time. For instance, the leading buyer, Strategy, is now on…
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The GBP/JPY pair opened the new trading week with a bullish gap, reaching the July 2024 high near 200.35 during the Asian session. However, after hitting the daily high, the pair pulled back and is now trading below the psychological level of 200.00. The broad weakening of the Japanese yen is linked to news of the unexpected resignation of Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, which acted as a catalyst for GBP/JPY's rise. At the same time, domestic political turmoil outweighs the impact of the U.S.–Japan trade agreement, which provides for tariff reductions and higher GDP growth forecasts for Japan in Q2. On Monday, the Japanese government reported that the economy grew …
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Well, I think they're just a bit late to update their call as market expectations for the BOE have been quite settled for a while now. As things stand, traders are not seeing any more rate cuts for this year but are pricing in a strong probability of the next one being in February 2026. As for the first full rate cut priced in though, that will be for March next year. Besides inflation risks, the November budget is going to be a key factor to watch in taking stock of the fiscal side of things for the UK economy. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after rebounding from the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. It consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695, after which the pair pulled back. Today, the growth may continue toward the next 100.0% retracement level at 1.1789. A move below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. dollar and some decline toward the 1.1637–1.1645 level. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous peaks, while the most recent downward wave did not breach the previous low. Thus, the trend continues to shift toward "bullish," although the likelihood of sideways m…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday continued its upward movement after rebounding from the support zone of 1.3416–1.3425 and consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3482. The rebound from this level overnight suggests further pound growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 100.0% at 1.3587. A move below 1.3482 would favor the U.S. dollar and some decline toward the 1.3416–1.3425 level. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke through two previous lows at once, while the latest upward wave has not yet managed to surpass the previous peak. The news background has played a significant role in shaping the waves w…
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Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal level, with selling pressure dominating the market and volatility shaking investor confidence. After weeks of choppy trading, BTC is barely holding above the $110,000 mark, a threshold that many analysts view as critical for maintaining a bullish structure. Momentum has clearly shifted in recent sessions, and the market is now bracing for the possibility of a deeper correction. Adding to the concern, top analyst Axel Adler shared insights from the Bitcoin UTXO Age Metrics, which reveal growing signs of distribution from long-term holders. Historically, when older coins begin to move, it often signals that experienced investors are taki…
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As Bitcoin continues to search for direction, El Salvador has added another 21 BTC to its holdings, worth roughly $2.3 million. The purchase commemorates the fourth anniversary of the country's Bitcoin Law, which established the cryptocurrency as official legal tender back in 2021. "We will buy one #Bitcoin every day until Bitcoin becomes unaffordable with fiat currencies," President Nayib Bukele wrote on Sunday. This step once again highlights the visionary—but also high-risk—strategy of President Nayib Bukele, who has bet on Bitcoin as a tool for modernizing the economy and attracting investment. Despite enthusiasm from Salvadoran authorities, experts and internation…
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Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 70 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting; the rest for a 50 bps cut) ECB: 8 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 12 bps (98% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 42 bps (89% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 30 bps (81% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)RBNZ: 38 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) SNB: 7 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) Rate hikes by year-end BoJ: 12 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)The biggest changes in interest rates expectations happened o…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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The euro posted a modest gain on news that industrial production in Germany rose more than expected in July, offering some hope that the country's key sector may be stabilizing and could soon overcome its prolonged downturn. According to Destatis, output increased by 1.3% compared to the previous month, driven by growth in machinery and equipment production. This was the first increase since March. This modest recovery, however, should not be viewed as a signal of full recovery. Germany's economic indicators, along with those of the eurozone, remain fragile, weighed down by geopolitical risks and structural problems. Nonetheless, the positive surprise from Germany serves…
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Is the bottom finally in? Bulls surely believe so. BTC ▲0.82% is stabilizing above $111,000, trading near $111,300 on September 8 as the crypto market shows signs of steady recovery. Most sectors are in the green: the AI and big data token market rose around 3%, while meme coins posted stronger gains. DOGE ▲7.55% climbed back to $0.23, and smaller crypto such as USELESS rallied about 30% over the past three days. Additional momentum comes from the first Dogecoin ETF, set to launch this week, and the introduction of Dogecoin Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs). Could be DOGE the best crypto to buy right now? DogecoinPriceMarket CapDOGE$35.25B24h7d30d1yAll time EXPLORE: 9+ Bes…
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Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon just lost a $14M court battle over a failed Singapore penthouse deal, as global legal cases mount following the Terra-Luna collapse. The High Court dismissed his claim, ruling that the developer was within its rights to keep the deposit after the purchase fell through. The upshot is: Do Kwon is finally on trial. 135 years down to potentially 12 years. The judge wants to give him 25. Despite the judge ruling against him, he’ll get a lesser sentence than SBF. The property in question, a 7,600-square-foot Orchard Road duplex valued at S$38.8M, was intended to be Kwon’s showcase asset before the 2022 TerraUSD and Luna collapse, which wip…
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The latest U.S. employment report is direct evidence that the Federal Reserve has no option but to return to a looser monetary policy. A few years ago, unemployment was at a half-century low. Now, this troubling rate has reached its highest level since 2021, recorded at the height of the pandemic. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. unemployment rate of 4.3% raises concerns that the labor market—hit both by uncertainty and by rising costs associated with Trump's trade war—is on the brink of a more significant downturn. These 4.3% are not just numbers in a report. They represent a complex picture of interconnected economic forces steadily eroding the fo…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3506 (close of the last weekly candle), the price may continue downward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may extend its downward move toward 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: The price will most likely have a downward …
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Asia Market Wrap - Japan PM Ishiba Resigns Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Cable Recovers but the Outlook Remains Murky. WIll NFP Data Serve as a Catalyst? Following weeks of public pressure due to his party's second national election loss, Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba has announced his resignation. This has triggered a leadership contest that may cause market instability. The Topix, jumped 1.3% to a new all-time high of 3,146.58. The Nikkei 225 index, which tracks top Japanese companies, also rose by 1.45% to 43,643.81, which is close to its own record. The value of the yen dropped by 0.4% against the U.S. dollar, with one dollar now worth 148 yen. Japanese government …
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Prior -3.7Euro area investor morale slumped further going into September, with the headline reading being the lowest since April. Sentix noted that "economic anxieties are coming back with full force", adding that "there is not much sign of an autumn revival and the pressure on export-oriented industry is likely to increase further due to US tariffs". This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
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