Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12087 tópicos neste fórum
-
A famous trader is betting on a significant XRP price crash amid this recent market downtrend. The altcoin continues to struggle despite the recent launch of Canary’s XRP ETF, with popular analyst Ali Martinez suggesting it could soon drop below the psychological $2 level. Famous Trader Opens $27 Million Short Position On XRP In an X post, the on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that a famous trader is shorting the market again, opening a 20x short on XRP worth $27.4 million. The trader has also opened short positions of 40x and 10x on Bitcoin and ZEC, respectively, worth $148.5 million and $20.4 million. This comes as the XRP price continues to struggle…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
New Hampshire (NH) has made crypto history by becoming the first US state to approve a Bitcoin (BTC) backed municipal bond. On 17 November 2025, the state’s Business Finance Authority (BFA) decided to give the go-ahead for a $100 million bond backed by BTC instead of going the traditional route of using government credit or public project revenue. Here is the twist, however. Companies that want to borrow through this bond will have to fork up BTC worth 160% of the bond’s value. At the same time, if the price of BTC drops and the collateral drops to 130%, there is a built-in safety mechanism that kicks in to protect investors. BitGo, a crypto custody firm, will hold the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has slightly recovered its position; however, the risk of a new wave of sell-offs still prevails. Meanwhile, the market clings to every piece of positive news and reacts accordingly. It has become known that the US banking regulator has permitted banks to hold cryptocurrency in special accounts. However, this is exclusively for the purpose of paying network fees in blockchains. This is not about investments but rather a technical necessity — allowing banks to handle transactions in digital networks. Clearly, such concessions are a positive step toward enabling traditional financial institutions to integrate with cryptocurrency infrastructure at a fundamental leve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $91,494, rebounding after reaching the psychological level of $90,000. This time, Bitcoin is expected to have strong upside potential to break above -1/8 Murray and thus reach the psychological level of $100,000. Given that the Eagle indicator has reached oversold levels, it is likely that Bitcoin will recover its accumulated losses in the coming hours and could reach $93,750, $95,750, and finally the top of the downtrend channel around $100,000. If the price continues to consolidate around $90,000, there is strong support at the -2/8 Murray line located around $87,500. This level is key and could be seen as an opportunity to buy Bitcoin in the c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1582 within the downtrend channel formed since October 11 and below the 21 SMA and 200 EMA, moving within a very narrow price range without a clear direction. If the euro falls below 1.1570 in the coming hours, we could expect it to continue its downward cycle and reach 1.1525, or even 6/8 Murray around 1.1474. On the contrary, if the euro consolidates above 1.1606, we could expect it to reach the top of the downtrend channel around 1.1640. A break above this area could cause the euro to continue its bullish cycle, and EUR/USD could reach 1.1718, and finally, we expect it to cover the gap it left around 1.1741. The Eagle indicator is giving a b…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around $4,117 with a strong upward movement after finding good support around 6/8 Murray located at $4,062. Gold rebounded above this zone and is now reaching weekly resistance levels. The price is likely to encounter a barrier below $4,120, so a technical correction is anticipated in the coming hours. A return to $4,073 or $4,062 could allow traders to resume buying. Therefore, gold could continue its rise in the coming days until it reaches 7/8 Murray around 4,218. If a technical rebound occurs around the bottom of the uptrend channel located at $4,020 or $4,030, this could also give us the opportunity to buy gold in the short term, and we could expect i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold may face challenges, but they will be short-lived. Financial markets seem to have accepted that the Fed will not cut the federal funds rate in December, despite a series of weak data from alternative sources. However, derivatives imply a 68% probability of a monetary policy easing in January, with the possibility that borrowing costs could drop by as much as 50 basis points. It is no surprise that about 26% of the 172 financial managers overseeing around $475 billion prefer the precious metal as their top pick for 2026. The only contender surpassing it is the Japanese yen, which received 30% of the votes in a Bank of America survey. Saxo Bank believes that the res…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The modern cryptocurrency market continues to be extremely volatile and susceptible to global economic factors. The main concern for investors lies in the uncertainty surrounding the future direction of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve. Recent statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicate a possible continuation of a tight monetary policy, which creates additional risks for digital assets. The Fear&Greed index remains at an extreme level ("12" out of 100), reflecting a high level of anxiety among market participants. Investors are fearful of potential economic shocks, such as a new escalation in trade conflicts between the US and China, the threat of r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Circle’s xReserve lets blockchains issue $USDC-backed stablecoins that interoperate natively with $USDC, cutting reliance on external cross-chain bridges. $USDC’s market cap has surged to around $74B in 2025, reinforcing dollar-backed stablecoins as core settlement assets for on-chain finance. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) reached $17.1M in presale with a token price of $0.025965, as the token rewards investors with governance rights, reduced transaction fees, and access to trusted presales. Best Wallet pairs a non-custodial, multi-chain, mobile-first wallet with presale access, an in-app DEX aggregator, and upcoming debit card and analytics tools. Circle ju…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin fell sharply over the past week, sliding almost 15% and moving beneath the $100,000 and $95,000 marks to trade around $90,300, Wednesday. According to company disclosures, Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought an extra 8,178 BTC for $835.6 million at about $102,171 apiece during the downturn. That move has drawn fresh attention because some of those newest coins are already underwater. Strategy’s Holdings And Recent Buys Reports have disclosed that Strategy now holds 649,870 BTC, equal to roughly 3.2% of the circulating supply. The firm says it paid about $48 billion for those coins. At current prices, the holding’s market value sits near $59.38 billion, leaving an …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Some reports from Axios have emitted the possibility of the Russia-Ukraine war going towards a US-led year-end resolution. Some of this could have been anticipated – Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced yesterday that paths to direct discussion with Russia could reopen and that Ukraine is “preparing to reinvigorate negotiations”. So the overnight report could just be one of diplomatic progress, in a US attempt to provide a plan similar Peace Plan as the one that was agreed in Gaza. The rest will be to see if both sides actually commit to the discussions. The direct effect was some imminent selling in Oil and related products, with Black Gold down $1.80 from its highs, or ver…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday’s (November 18) Cloudflare outage caused billions of dollars in losses as the internet seemingly came to a standstill. The disruption affected many users trying to access X, Truth Social, Reddit, ChatGPT, Coinbase, Ledger, BitMEX, DefiLlama, and many more. Ironically, many of the affected platforms and websites were crypto-related, a sector that promotes decentralization. However, a single cloud hosting protocol going down in Cloudflare subsequently brought the internet to a standstill, highlighting just how centralized much of the World Wide Web still is. The Cloudflare (NET) share price tumbled -1.09% on the day as investors began selling off the stock amid…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
MP Materials (NYSE: MP) has teamed up with the US Department of War (DoW) to form a joint venture in Saudi Arabia with Maaden, the kingdom’s flagship mining company, to build a rare earth refinery. Shares of the company rose. The formation of this joint venture, said MP in a press release Wednesday, represents “a pivotal step toward rebalancing the global rare earth supply chain and aligns with US economic and national security interests.” The company is currently the only fully integrated producer of rare earth materials in the US, with operations centered around its Mountain Pass mine and processing facility in California and magnet production site in Texas. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
While the lithium market looks to be in the early stages of a recovery, IGO (ASX: IGO) has no faith in the prospects for a recovery at the Kwinana lithium refinery in Western Australia. Kwinana, south of Perth, is owned by Tianqi Lithium Energy Australia (TLEA), which is 51% owned by China’s Tianqi Lithium (SHE: 002466) and 49% by IGO. In January, TLEA announced it would suspend the construction of the second train of the Kwinana plant amid the struggle to reach nameplate capacity at Train 1. IGO CEO Ivan Vella told the company’s annual general meeting in Perth on Wednesday that the company continued to negotiate with Tianqi on the future of the facility. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has put a clear reference level on the current Bitcoin correction – but is adamant it should not be mistaken for a prediction. “Many people seem to be misunderstanding this, so let me clarify,” he wrote. “I am not saying $56K is the bottom. I am saying the realized price is 56K. If you follow the cycle theory, that level would be the bottom. But I think the cycle theory is broken, and the price could flip at any time depending on macro conditions and market sentiment.” Bitcoin Realized Price Sits at $56,000 His latest data briefing breaks the market into three layers: futures, spot, and on-chain. In the futures market, Ju says the average or…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Multiple breakdown attempts from selling flows have failed to materialize in more concrete bearish price action. And with key earnings coming up for Nvidia (After the close), the setup for mean reversion was a very decent one for Equity bulls. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are up in today's session with the tech-focused index leading strong, pulled once again by Semiconductors and a stellar performance from Google, who just launched a revolutionary Gemini 3 Model. Tech giants like Nvidia, AVGO, and Oracle are bouncing back from rough stretches, while Consumer Defensives, Energy, and Utilities are on the other hand lagging quite much, leading to the Dow barely tradin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Divorce often brings emotional upheaval along with a sudden sense of financial freedom, which can create strong impulses to overspend. For pre-retirees and retirees, these reactions can undermine years of careful saving and sabotage long-term retirement security. Redirecting those emotions into strengthening a Gold IRA with physical precious metals can help restore stability, discipline, and confidence during a major life transition. Understanding the Post-Divorce Spending Urge and Its Impact on Retirement Savings Even when a divorce is amicable, it can leave individuals feeling unmoored and vulnerable. Many people compensate with spending that feels therapeutic in the mo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has spent the past several weeks trapped in a persistent decline, wiping hundreds of billions of dollars from its market value and reversing nearly a year’s worth of gains. The pullback has pushed the price far below its October all-time high of $126,000 and has dragged sentiment with it as traders search for answers. A detailed breakdown shared by crypto analyst Tracy Shuchart offers the clearest picture yet of why this downturn has been so aggressive. Her analysis points to a failure not driven by a single factor but by several interconnected forces that broke simultaneously and created the conditions for a cascading crash. This presents the possibility of Bit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Navigating the AI Stress Test Markets are bracing for the release of September Jobs data from the US now that the US Government shutdown has come to an end. The report comes at a time when US rate cut expectations have fallen significantly since the Fed's October meeting thanks in part to a hawkish Jerome Powell and the lack of official Government data. Expectations for a rate cut have declined from around 90% ahead of the Fed's October meeting to around 49% at the time of writing, which makes tomorrow's jobs report even more significant. Market participants have been tracking private data releases such as the ADP number …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold is showing moderate intraday growth, although no active buying is observed as markets await news from the United States. Market participants continue to express concern about slowing economic growth caused by the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which is worsening investor sentiment and boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Earlier, Ukrainian forces reported strikes on targets inside Russian territory using U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles. In the context of the ongoing crisis, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky plans to visit Turkey in an attempt to revive stalled peace talks with Russia. U.S. Special Representative Steve Witkoff is exp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Libra-linked wallets quietly pulled roughly $4 million from a failing memecoin and used part of their stash to pile into Solana, according to on-chain tracking and news reports. The move comes amid fraud probes and renewed scrutiny of the token’s launch, which earlier this year saw large withdrawals that rocked investor confidence and drew legal attention. Wallets Rotate Funds Into Solana Based on on-chain data, two addresses tied to the Libra project — labeled “Libra Deployer (Defcy)” and “Libra Wallet (61yKS)” — bought about $61.5 million worth of SOL at an average price near $135. Before these purchases, the same addresses reportedly held roughly $57 million in USD…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern of the EUR/USD 4-hour chart has transformed, but overall it still appears quite clear. There is no indication that the upward trend segment that began in January 2025 has been canceled, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and extended. In my view, the instrument is currently forming corrective wave 4, which has taken on an unconventional shape. Within this wave we see exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt regarding the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets extend up to the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e series looks complete, and the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and extended shape (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any large corrective wave—since it has a corrective, not impulsive, internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal subwaves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken the shape of a five-wave a-b-c-d-e pattern and may now be complete. If that is the case, the instrument is currently at the ver…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. With the US government finally reopening its doors, markets are bracing for an immediate data deluge after months of flying blind. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is scrambling to clear the backlog, with the delayed September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) set to drop tomorrow, Thursday the 20th, followed by the release of PPI data on the 25th. Adding to the high-stakes environment, weekly jobless claims are also making a comeback tomorrow morning. While this influx of information is a gift to a Feder…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Rio Tinto (NYSE, LSE, ASX: RIO) plans to scale back output at its Yarwun alumina refinery in Queensland by 40% starting in October 2026 to extend the plant’s operating life to 2035. The reduction amounts to about 1.2 million tonnes of alumina a year, though the company said Tuesday customer supply commitments will not be affected. “It is a difficult but necessary decision that preserves future options for the site and supports continued economic contribution,” Armando Torres, managing director of Rio Tinto Aluminium Pacific Operations, said in the release. “The scale of investment required is substantial.” High power, labour and capital costs continue to chall…
Last reply by Ben Graham,