Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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There's just no stopping the gold train still as the September month is really kicking off. The reasons to stay bullish on the precious metal are still very much there and after the period of consolidation from end May to end August, that's adding to the extra oomph in the latest breakout we're seeing. The question now is, where do we go from here? The upside momentum has been unrelenting since last year and there will come a period where gold buyers will have to pay their dues. However, it doesn't appear to be that the time is here yet. Even if September is typically a softer month for gold, the narrative this time around is largely driven by other factors. The most nota…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the level of 1.1718 (close of the last weekly candle), the market may start moving downward with a target of 1.1536 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin moving upward with a target of 1.1571 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary of the EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: The price will most likel…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3506 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward with a target of 1.3469 – the 21-day EMA (black thin line). Upon testing this line, the price may begin moving upward with a target of 1.3486 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downtrend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3506 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward with a …
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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The past week proved ambiguous for global markets in terms of determining what to expect for the US economy in the near future and whether the significant deterioration in the US labor market will actually prompt the central bank to reduce interest rates more aggressively. Last Friday, I suggested that if the jobs data released on that day turned out to be below forecast, the Federal Reserve might cut the key interest rate not by 0.25%, but by 0.50% at once. But the report revealed not just a miss, but a catastrophic drop in job growth to 22,000 in August versus a forecast of 75,000. And even though July's figures were revised upward to 79,000, that's still very little. I…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1718 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward with a target of 1.1691 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with a target of 1.1697 – the 76.4% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: Uptrend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1718 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward with a target of 1…
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In a video analysis published today, the crypto chartist known as Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) laid out a multi-time-frame bullish case for Dogecoin, arguing that the asset is entering a third major cycle with technicals aligning for an upside break and multi-dollar targets—provided key resistance levels are cleared. “I’m extremely bullish on Dogecoin. I’m not going to be shy about it,” he said, adding that the current advance looks “a lot healthier than the last cycle.” Dogecoin Breakout Could Shock Bears Cantonese Cat frames the landscape first on the monthly chart, where the 20-month moving average has historically toggled from resistance to support at major inflection…
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Gold prices continue to rise, directly linked to expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve. However, many other factors are also providing strong support for the metal. As the data shows, in August, the People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves for the tenth consecutive month, continuing to diversify its holdings by reducing the share of US dollars. This strategic decision is part of a broader dedollarization trend seen in several countries seeking greater financial independence and protection against dollar exchange rate fluctuations. The data indicate that China is not alone in its pursuit of gold. Many central banks worl…
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It is evident that even after the weak US labor market data—which points to a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve—there was no sharp or explosive demand for Bitcoin or other cryptocurrency assets. This suggests that the market correction is not yet complete, and we are likely to see trading within a channel, with a gradual renewal of weekly lows. In the worst-case scenario, sell-offs will be sharp and rather significant. Investors appeared to ignore the potentially dovish signal from the Federal Reserve, which is usually seen as a positive for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. There are several possible reasons for such a muted reaction. Firstly, the crypto m…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 148.08 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair plunged by 120 pips. Buying on the rebound from 146.84 allowed for an additional profit of around 60 pips from the market. Employment in the US non-farm sector grew by only 22,000 in August, which led to a sharp drop in the dollar and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. This unexpectedly weak figure, which contrasts sharply with forecasts predicting an increase of around 75,000 jobs, caused a wave of concern in financi…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3493 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3546. Selling from there on the rebound allowed for an additional profit of about 30 pips from the market. The latest report from the U.S. Department of Labor showed that employment in the U.S. rose by only 22,000 in August, which led to a sharp drop in the dollar and strengthening of the pound. This figure falls significantly short of forecasts, which anticipated over 75,000 new jobs, and raises…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1709 price level occurred when the MACD indicator began to move upwards from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair grew by more than 50 pips. August US data showing only a slight increase in nonfarm payrolls led to a decline in the dollar and a rise in the euro. According to the US Department of Labor, only 22,000 new jobs were created in August, far less than the 75,000 expected. This information had an immediate impact on the currency markets, causing the dollar to fall and several risk assets, including the euro, to rally. Market participants interpreted th…
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Last Friday, US stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.32%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.08%. The industrial Dow Jones dropped by 0.44%. Today, Asian indices mostly advanced as traders raised expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut following weak US employment data on Friday. European stock futures traded in a narrow range. French government bond futures were little changed ahead of Monday's no-confidence vote in parliament, where Francois Bayrou's government is likely to resign. Expectations of a Fed rate cut strengthened after Friday's US jobs report showed that only 22,000 jobs were created in April, far below economists' forecasts. This led…
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The Bitcoin price chart is now flashing a head and shoulders pattern with quite a clear plan for what could be coming next. Mix in the fact that there is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) available for the time being, with a high probability of being filled. This makes for a good idea for how the Bitcoin price could play out in the new week. However, there is also the possibility of a crash with resistance mounting that could cause trouble for the cryptocurrency. Filling The Fair Value Gap At $114,000 Crypto analyst Xanrox revealed that the first Bitcoin Fair Value Gap (FVG) opened up right above $114,000 following the last crash. This gap left a hole for liquidity that c…
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The US jobs report has turned everything upside down in the stock market. While previously, bad news from the US economy was good news for the S&P 500—since investors raised their bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts—this time, cooling in the labor market triggered a sell-off in the broad equity index. A weakening economy means lower corporate earnings and profits. What's there to cheer about? At first, out of habit, the S&P 500 shot higher and reached a new record after non-farm payrolls rose by a modest 22,000 in August. But then fear set in. Over the first eight months of the year, the US economy added just under 600,000 jobs. Excluding the COVID-19 pandemic, that…
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BNB price is gaining pace above the $865 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $900 handle in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $850 and $865 levels. The price is now trading above $870 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $874 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $870 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Regains Strength BNB price formed a base above the $840 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the…
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XRP price is struggling to recover above the $2.920 zone. The price is now moving higher and might gain pace if it settles above $2.90. XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to recover above the $2.920 resistance. The price is now trading above $2.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.8650 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.850 zone. XRP Price Eyes Upside Break XRP price managed to stay above the $2.80 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.8350 and $2.850 res…
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Ethereum price started a fresh recovery wave above the $4,450 zone but failed. ETH is still struggling and might slide below the $4,220 zone. Ethereum is still struggling to recover above the $4,400 zone. The price is trading below $4,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $4,310 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a decent increase if there is a close above the $4,350 level in the near term. Ethereum Price Remains At Risk Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,200 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the…
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Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above $111,500. BTC is now consolidating and might decline if there is a move below the $110,000 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $110,500 zone. The price is trading below $111,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $110,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $111,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Struggles To Recover Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave above the $112,000 zone but upside was limited. BTC peaked near $113,500 and started a fresh decline. There was a mov…
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Conversations across the crypto space are circling back to blue-chip tokens, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin taking the spotlight. Data from on-chain analytics platform Santiment shows that top market cap cryptocurrencies are dominating the surge in social chatter, with discussions ranging from institutional adoption and ETF speculation to technical barriers and ecosystem growth. Alongside them, Strategy, Tether, and MultiversX are also attracting strong attention. Bitcoin And Ethereum Dominating Attention Despite price resistance at $112,000 throughout last week, Bitcoin is still the most closely watched cryptocurrency by analysts and investors. According to on-ch…
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The Bitcoin price has managed to stay above $110,000 over the weekend, and on-chain data shows that the premier cryptocurrency sits above three crucial support levels. Here are the critical levels to watch out for over the next few weeks. Where Are The Next Support Levels For BTC? On Saturday, September 6, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez took to the social media platform X to offer on-chain insights into the current layout of the Bitcoin price. This price evaluation, which revolves around the BTC UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric, shows the next support levels for Bitcoin. The capacity for a price level to act as an on-chain support or resistance zon…
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Roll call -No Confidence Vote in France: How It Works and Why September 8 Could Be Historic A vote of no confidence in France is one of the most powerful tools the National Assembly has to bring down a sitting government. While such motions are filed regularly, it is rare for them to succeed, as they require a broad coalition of opposition parties to gather at least 289 votes out of 577 deputies. On September 8, however, France could face one of those historic turning points. For once, parties from both the left and the far-right are expected to unite, making the fall of the government a real possibility. (scroll below for a full preview) How Does a Vote of No Confide…
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Data from multiple blockchain trackers shows that Coinbase has drastically cut its XRP holdings, a move that has taken many crypto investors by surprise. Analysts say such a huge reduction points to large outflows from institutional investors, but others have gone further by alleging manipulation. However, pro-XRP lawyer Bill Morgan has poured cold water on these claims. Rumors Of Coinbase Manipulation Swirl On X US-based exchange Coinbase recently reduced its stash from more than 780 million XRP to just under 200 million in a matter of weeks. This translates to a 69% reduction in the exchange’s holdings since the second quarter of 2025, including a 57% plunge over the l…
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i-80 Gold (TSX: IAU) (NYSE-A: IAUX) surged to a six-month high on Friday after the company announced the start of construction at its Archimedes project as planned, with expected production in the fourth quarter of 2026. In a press release, the Nevada-focused gold miner confirmed it has secured all environmental permits required to proceed with underground mining activities at Archimedes. Previously, the company had been permitted for open-pit mining at Archimedes. With respect to underground mining, i-80 is following a phased approach, so that it could begin mining the upper zone while simultaneously pursuing and permits for the lower zone. The new permits would …
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How does gold compare to silver, platinum, and Bitcoin as a store of wealth? Quick take: In the gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin debate, the right store of wealth balances stability, volatility, and long-term utility. This guide compares core traits, correlations, and use cases so you can choose what fits your portfolio. Key takeaways Gold: historically low correlation and durable hedge; highly liquid store of wealth. Silver & Platinum: add growth via industrial demand but carry higher price swings. Bitcoin: high upside and portability with high volatility; adoption trends matter. Diversification wins: mixing assets can smooth risk across market cycles. In the…
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