Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very sluggishly for most of the day on Wednesday. This is not particularly surprising, as there were no significant events or reports scheduled for yesterday. We mentioned that the second estimate of inflation in the Eurozone carries little weight, and the FOMC minutes are even less relevant, as they are published three weeks after the actual meeting, making the information they contain outdated by the time they are released. As a result, the market once again had nothing to react to yesterday, and over the past few months, it has shown no desire to take the initiative. All analysis of the pair's movements now boils down to two points: vol…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded slightly more actively on Wednesday than it has in most cases over the past few months, and there is a clear reason for this—the UK inflation report. We'll discuss that report shortly, but for now, it can be said that, globally, it had no significant impact. A downward correction continues on the daily timeframe, and the market continues to ignore all factors that are against the U.S. dollar. Today, the macroeconomic backdrop will be much more important. At first glance. After a 2.5-month hiatus, the U.S. unemployment and Non-Farm Payrolls reports will be released today. Immediately, a question arises—how relevant will this data be? Simply…
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The crypto market is buzzing after the launch of the first U.S. spot XRP ETFs, a development that has injected fresh institutional energy into the asset. Related Reading: Famous Trader Bets $27 Million That The XRP Price Will Crash With multiple high-performing firms entering the race, including Canary Capital, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale, a bold question is resurfacing across the industry: Can XRP realistically challenge Ethereum for the No. 2 spot in the global cryptocurrency rankings? XRP ETFs Ignite Institutional Momentum The launch of XRP ETFs in November 2025 marked a historic moment for the asset. Canary Capital’s XRPC debuted with over $58 million in f…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,000 and tested $2,870. ETH is now attempting to recover but faces resistance near $3,100. Ethereum started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above $3,050. The price is trading below $3,100 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,000 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Hurdles Ethereum price failed to continue higher above $3,150 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,050 and entered a bearish zone. The decline gathere…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has revealed where the most significant Dogecoin support level is located, according to on-chain cost basis data. Dogecoin CBD Points To $0.08 As Strongest Support In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how Dogecoin support is looking from the perspective of the Cost Basis Distribution (CBD). The CBD is an indicator created by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode that tells us about the amount of DOGE supply that was last purchased or transacted at the various price levels that the coin has visited in its history. Generally, investors are sensitive to retests of their cost basis and can be prone to showing some kind of reaction d…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.150. The price is now attempting to recover and faces resistance near the $2.15 pivot level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.10 zone. The price is now trading below $2.150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.020. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.20 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.150 and $2.120. There was a move…
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XRP’s price action continues to follow a clear corrective structure, setting the stage for a potential drop toward the key $2.03 support level. With momentum cooling and Wave 2 behavior unfolding as expected, the market may be preparing for one final dip before the uprend shift emerges. Wave 2 Dynamics: Why XRP’s Choppy Pullback Is Completely Normal CasiTrades, a well-followed crypto analyst, noted in a recent market update that XRP still appears to be navigating its way toward the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.03. According to the analyst, the current price action aligns perfectly with the expected behavior of a Wave 2 correction-slow, choppy, and far from…
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Wednesday Trade Analysis: 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair plummeted in the second half of Thursday, dropping sharply. The first question that comes to mind is: why? Let's take a look at the economic calendar. In the morning, the Eurozone published the second estimate of October inflation, which matched the first estimate and the forecasts. In the evening, the FOMC minutes were released, which have always been considered formalities. The rise of the U.S. dollar and the decline of the pair began precisely between these two events. Simply put, the dollar started to appreciate when the U.S. trading session opened, not after the release of the inflation rep…
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Wednesday Trade Analysis: 1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also moved lower on Wednesday. It should be acknowledged that the British pound had reasons for its new decline, as it has been continuously bombarded with negative information from the UK. Last week, it became known that unemployment had risen significantly, industrial production had declined, and GDP had declined. Additionally, it was announced yesterday that UK inflation slowed to 3.6%, giving the Bank of England the green light to lower the key rate at its December meeting. Thus, the global fundamental background remains sharply negative for the dollar, while the local context repeatedly provokes decl…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are only a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, but this data could trigger a "bombshell" in the currency market. Today, the Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment rate for September will be released, and although this data is frankly outdated, there is no doubt the market will react to it with double strength. We continue to observe that when the euro or pound begins to rise, it lasts for only a very short time, and these currencies rise very reluctantly. On the other hand, when the dollar starts to rise, it cannot be considered strong either, but it is more confident than the growth of the euro or the pound. The mar…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $132 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $145 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $135 and $140 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $140 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $145 and $150. Solana Price Aims Higher Levels Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave above $130, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $135 level. There w…
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In crypto market news today, the Bitcoin price is giving away a classic shakeout, plunging under 90K overnight before snapping back with a reversal to 92K, almost mechanical. Anyone who has lived through multiple cycles has seen this same movie before, a violent nuke, followed by an equally violent rebound. The structure of the move looked weirdly similar to 2020 and 2021 flash-sell events, where liquidity hunts cleared out overleveraged longs before the trend marched upward again. For now, the market is treating the 89k region as a line in the sand. While .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container…
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Key takeaways Nikkei 225 remains supported by macro tailwinds, including aggressive fiscal stimulus under PM Takaichi and a renewed steepening in Japan’s government bond yield curves, both historically correlated with upside in the index.A weakening Japanese yen is attracting stronger foreign inflows, with USD/JPY at a 10-month high and foreign net purchases of Japanese equities trending higher, reinforcing bullish pressure on the Nikkei 225.Short-term technicals lean positive, with the Japan 225 CFD Index holding above key moving averages and momentum indicators strengthening; a break above 50,730 could unlock the next leg higher towards 51,530 and 52,775/52,830. T…
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Bitcoin slid below the $92,000 mark on Wednesday, trading at $91,500 at press time after a one-day drop of 5% that left the token down 17% in the last 30 days. Market players were rattled after a stretch of heavy swings that began with a peak early in October. According to market trackers, price pressure has pushed sentiment into deep fear as investors reassess risk. Winklevoss Sees Opportunity According to posts on X by Cameron Winklevoss, prices under $90,000 may not last long. “This is the last time you’ll ever be able to buy bitcoin below $90k!” he said. Cameron and his brother Tyler have long compared Bitcoin to modern gold and have suggested it could one day rea…
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The euro, pound, and Japanese yen have all fallen against the dollar. On Wednesday, the U.S. released the minutes from the October FOMC meeting, where many Federal Reserve officials indicated that it would likely be appropriate to keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2025. This led to active dollar purchases and a weakening of various risk assets. However, this decision may be revisited depending on incoming economic data, particularly the November and December reports on inflation and employment. If inflation continues to decline along with the labor market, the Fed may reconsider lowering interest rates, which would weaken the dollar. Today, we will see the P…
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Several suitable entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.1584 level and planned to base my trading decisions on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.1584 provided an entry point for buying euros, but after a 10-pip rise, demand quickly waned. In the second half of the day, an unsuccessful attempt to break above 1.1584 led to euro selling, resulting in a decline of more than 40 pips. Long Positions for EUR/USDThe euro has lost ground and dropped below the lower boundary of the sideways channel it had occupied all week. The decli…
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Several suitable entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3138 level and planned to base my trading decisions on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3138 provided an entry point to buy the pound, but after a rise of only 10 pips, demand quickly waned. In the second half of the day, a false breakout in the area of 1.3111 led to short positions, resulting in the pound falling by more than 60 pips. Long Positions for GBP/USDThe pound has lost all its positions, dropping below the lower boundary of the sideways channel it occupied …
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The future of the IP market may run through the Base chain – at least according to purrLabs, the Web3 entertainment company betting big on Coinbase’s Layer-2 network. As tokenized characters, AI-driven brands, and on-chain creator economies explode across crypto, Base chain has emerged as the fast, cheap, and consumer-ready battleground for next-generation intellectual property. With purrLabs partnering with District.xyz, and Coinbase backing Base into the #1 consumer L2, more builders are asking whether Base is quietly becoming the new infrastructure standard for the global IP market. (Source – marketgrowthreport) Is Base Chain Really Becoming the Foundation of IP C…
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[#NDX] Although both EMAs are still in a Death Cross condition, but with the appearance of a Hidden Divergence between the #NDX price movement and the RSI at the Extreme-Bullish level suggests that there is significant potential for strengthening today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25265.2 2. Resistance. 1 : 25069.2 3. Pivot : 24717.0 4. Support. 1 : 24530.0 5. Support. 2 : 24177.8 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks above 25069.2, #NDX has the potential to rise to 25265.2. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25265.2 is successfully breached, then #NDX may test the level 25608.4. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bia…
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[#USDX] With both EMAs condition forming a Golden Cross and the RSI indicator positioned in the Extreme-Bullish area, along with the appearance of a Hidden Bullish Divergence, today #USDX has the potential to strengthen. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 100.67 2. Resistance. 1 : 100.39 3. Pivot : 99.92 4. Support. 1 : 99.64 5. Support. 2 : 99.17 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #USDX breaks out and closes above 100.39, there is potential to move toward 100.67. Momentum Extension Bias: If 100.67 is successfully broken and closes above it, the level 101.14 may be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weaken…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1565 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's bearish potential. For this reason, I did not sell euros and missed a good downward movement of the pair. Yesterday's publication of the FOMC minutes from the October meeting indicated that most Federal Reserve officials lean towards keeping interest rates unchanged by the end of this year. Overall, the divergence of opinions within the Fed suggests ongoing uncertainty regarding future monetary policy. It is essential to continue monitoring new statements from Fed representatives and incoming data…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3103 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's bearish potential. The second test at 1.3103 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, prompting trade #2 to buy the pound, which resulted in a loss as the anticipated rise did not materialize. The appreciation of the dollar and the decline of the pound came after it became clear that many Federal Reserve officials consider it prudent to keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2025. The minutes strengthened the dollar's position against other major currencies, as investor…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 156.09 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not buy dollars and missed a good upward movement. The Japanese yen fell to a 10-month low against the U.S. dollar following the release of the FOMC minutes from October. Traders saw clear indications that the Federal Reserve might pause rate changes later this year, which strengthened the dollar's position. As USD/JPY rose sharply, Bank of Japan board member Junko Koeda indicated the possibility of a rate hike at the December meeting, emphasizing th…
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Bitcoin recovered after hitting a new monthly low of around $88,700 yesterday. Ethereum is also attempting to establish itself above the $3,000 mark. The sharp rise in the U.S. stock market pulled the cryptocurrency market along with it. The focus yesterday shifted to Nvidia Corp.'s earnings report and forecast. After the release of strong figures, traders revised their positions, easing concerns about a potential bubble in the artificial intelligence industry that had recently stirred markets worldwide. As the flagship of digital assets, Bitcoin rose, pulling altcoins along with it. Investors felt a renewed sense of confidence, and risk appetite significantly increased…
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Gold has stabilized after two days of gains as traders reevaluate expectations for the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut next month. Following an increase of nearly 1% over the previous sessions, the price of gold has declined. Higher interest rates generally increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. After yesterday's FOMC minutes indicated a pause in the ongoing rate-cutting cycle, traders lowered the likelihood that the Fed would make any changes by the end of the year. The strength of the U.S. dollar is also influencing gold's dynamics. A stronger dollar typically puts pressure on gold prices, making the precious metal more expensiv…
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